Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / CFB DFS - WEEK 5 | September 27, 2025 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: All systems going clear for lifting, and here we are
- 0:36Speaker 1: for another week of college football. Maybe Army sucks. Maybe
- 0:41Speaker 1: it's just a product of them falling behind early in
- 0:43Speaker 1: every single game. What's going on everybody is Week five
- 0:48Speaker 1: of college football. My name is Bill put a dollar
- 0:51Speaker 1: in front of it. You'll find me on Discord and Twitter.
- 0:52Speaker 1: Welcome to the Week five College Football ship at Nation
- 0:56Speaker 1: DFS Breakdown Show, and we have a pretty fun looking
- 1:00Speaker 1: slate this week. I'll be honest, I looked at the
- 1:03Speaker 1: pricing initially and I thought, maybe this is going to
- 1:05Speaker 1: be another soft pricing week. But it's just a little
- 1:08Speaker 1: bit more weird than it is soft, I would say.
- 1:11Speaker 1: But we're gonna break that all down in a minute.
- 1:13Speaker 1: Just a quick note that we still have our football
- 1:16Speaker 1: package is ship at Nation. I tell you what, if
- 1:19Speaker 1: you're into football and you just want to play college
- 1:21Speaker 1: football DFS, NFL DFS, get your football fix in this
- 1:25Speaker 1: three forty nine for the rest of the season gets
- 1:27Speaker 1: less and less valuable the longer you wait, so you
- 1:30Speaker 1: might as well get in now. I mean, the Ryder
- 1:31Speaker 1: Cup is going on this weekend, so I go in
- 1:35Speaker 1: for all access. We have swing season stuff for PGA too.
- 1:38Speaker 1: Even after the Ryder Cup has done, MMA is still
- 1:40Speaker 1: going strong. We're on the fringe of NHL and NBA
- 1:43Speaker 1: picking up, so we do have this football for the
- 1:46Speaker 1: rest of the season at a nice price for you.
- 1:48Speaker 1: But I always suggest to all access and if you
- 1:52Speaker 1: get in on one of these monthly or longer football
- 1:54Speaker 1: packages are all access. We do still have the Ship
- 1:56Speaker 1: at games going on. We just gave out our thirteenth
- 1:59Speaker 1: ticket this week and the share ship this week is
- 2:02Speaker 1: going to be a two hundred and fifty thousand dollars
- 2:04Speaker 1: top prize, so we could be adding to this prize
- 2:06Speaker 1: pool again. Ship at games dot com if you want
- 2:09Speaker 1: to learn more information about that. But just an awesome program.
- 2:12Speaker 1: I talk about it every week, but I can't get
- 2:15Speaker 1: tired of talking about it. For what it is. Not
- 2:18Speaker 1: too many, not too many times you'll see a content
- 2:22Speaker 1: provider putting out almost eight thousand dollars in cash and prizes,
- 2:26Speaker 1: giving back to the community. It's what we love to do.
- 2:28Speaker 1: We're community focused here at ship It, and honestly, like
- 2:32Speaker 1: if this doesn't tell you everything you need to know,
- 2:33Speaker 1: I don't know what will. We had some big wins
- 2:35Speaker 1: this last week. Our guys sheets and Rio with some
- 2:38Speaker 1: big money wins on the week. But as you can see,
- 2:41Speaker 1: just ship at Nation logos littering the top of leaderboards,
- 2:44Speaker 1: and this isn't this isn't a one off. It's members
- 2:49Speaker 1: at all levels of bank roll, all levels of experience
- 2:51Speaker 1: are finding their way to the top of the leaderboard,
- 2:53Speaker 1: getting that sweat in every week, and we hope for
- 2:55Speaker 1: another sweat this weekend. So let's just jump right into
- 2:57Speaker 1: the slate. Week five. We're going to take it off
- 3:00Speaker 1: with Notre Dame at Arkansas. We have a four and
- 3:02Speaker 1: a half point spread. Notre Dame is the road favorite. CJ.
- 3:06Speaker 1: Carr just kind of been fine. He's he showed us
- 3:11Speaker 1: a little bit of something against Purdue, but he also
- 3:13Speaker 1: only had twelve pass attempts, so it's just a matter
- 3:15Speaker 1: of how much you want to put into that. He
- 3:17Speaker 1: can get it done on the ground too, but he's
- 3:20Speaker 1: just a little bit spendy in this spot. But with
- 3:22Speaker 1: a thirty four point team total, you're probably going to
- 3:25Speaker 1: look at the guy touching the ball every single play, right.
- 3:28Speaker 1: Jeremiah Love Jendarium price maybe the best one two punch
- 3:31Speaker 1: in college football. They priced down Jeremiah Love even though
- 3:34Speaker 1: we're going up against the sieve of a defense. But yeah,
- 3:38Speaker 1: Arkansas is going to give it up in all likelihood
- 3:40Speaker 1: just based on them being Arkansas. But Love at eighty
- 3:44Speaker 1: five hundred is a great price. Even Jadarium price is
- 3:47Speaker 1: priced probably where he should be. He doesn't need quite
- 3:51Speaker 1: as much at that at that cost. But I love
- 3:53Speaker 1: both of these guys. And then this wide receiver room,
- 3:56Speaker 1: I mean, good luck figuring out the pass catchers. Malachi
- 3:58Speaker 1: feels it seems like the top guy, but Faison's had
- 4:01Speaker 1: a big game, Raredon had a big game. Obviously, Fields
- 4:04Speaker 1: had the eleven target game against Texas A and M.
- 4:08Speaker 1: So the potential is there for all three of these guys.
- 4:10Speaker 1: Fields being the cheapest doesn't quite make sense to me.
- 4:13Speaker 1: But if you do want to stack CJ. Carr with
- 4:16Speaker 1: a receiver, it's probably one of those top three guys.
- 4:18Speaker 1: I know, we could see Pauling still mix in Greathhouse
- 4:21Speaker 1: is still there. But honestly, if you're going to stack
- 4:24Speaker 1: this game, you're probably looking at, you know, one of
- 4:28Speaker 1: these two running backs, maybe a wide receiver. And then
- 4:30Speaker 1: obviously Taylor Green is just a stud. But at ninety
- 4:35Speaker 1: one hundred, it's what price are you going to pay
- 4:38Speaker 1: for quarterback. There's some good pay up options on the slate,
- 4:41Speaker 1: and Taylor Green is one of them. That's just where
- 4:43Speaker 1: you're going to have to start to make your decisions.
- 4:47Speaker 1: But he's a guy that doesn't need much explanation. We
- 4:50Speaker 1: have seen an uptick in this backfield for Mike Washington's usage.
- 4:53Speaker 1: He's got three touchdowns last game, in the last two
- 4:56Speaker 1: games to boot, so at sixty one hundred, he's kind
- 4:58Speaker 1: of in that middle range. I think it's a fair price. Honestly,
- 5:02Speaker 1: hit like Russell's gonna mix in, but his biggest risk
- 5:06Speaker 1: is probably tailing Green rushing. But even still, if you're
- 5:10Speaker 1: going all in on this first game of the slate here,
- 5:13Speaker 1: I don't mind Washington and then in this wide receiver
- 5:16Speaker 1: and so make a Blake still leading the charge. I
- 5:20Speaker 1: know we have CJ and Jalen Brown railing Shart, but
- 5:22Speaker 1: last week everybody was looking up, who the heck is
- 5:24Speaker 1: Rohan Jones. We had him projected a ship at Nation.
- 5:27Speaker 1: We had a decent projection on him, but not three
- 5:30Speaker 1: touches for two touchdowns type of projection he had the
- 5:34Speaker 1: ultimate ceiling game. Is it repeatable? Obviously it's repeatable. What
- 5:39Speaker 1: are the chances Probably not as high, but you're really
- 5:42Speaker 1: looking at Blake, it's just a little bit expensive on
- 5:44Speaker 1: a slate where there's a bunch of cheap wide receivers.
- 5:47Speaker 1: So a lot of these guys I don't mind, especially
- 5:50Speaker 1: as last guy's in. Jeremiah loves probably a cash quick
- 5:54Speaker 1: Taylor Green's right up there. But there's a few guys
- 5:57Speaker 1: in this game that I don't mind as like a
- 5:58Speaker 1: last guy in, especially if if you have a stack
- 6:00Speaker 1: you really like on another game, or a good GPP
- 6:02Speaker 1: lineup that you like, and you have, you know, sixty
- 6:05Speaker 1: one hundred dollars left at running back, Mike Washington's fine.
- 6:10Speaker 1: There's definitely adjustments you can make to to upgrade elsewhere,
- 6:13Speaker 1: but that's that's kind of how I feel about this game.
- 6:16Speaker 1: The team totals like, the game environment is great, so
- 6:19Speaker 1: it might go a little bit under the radar just
- 6:22Speaker 1: because of how usage has been spread out. The next
- 6:25Speaker 1: game another good total, just not quite as much as
- 6:27Speaker 1: the one before. We got Cincinnati at Kansas. Cincinnati a
- 6:30Speaker 1: four and a half point dog with a twenty six
- 6:32Speaker 1: and a half point imply a team total. And I'll
- 6:34Speaker 1: just say Brendon soorsill be too cheap. Say what you
- 6:37Speaker 1: want about him, but in this offense, he's the team's
- 6:39Speaker 1: leading rusher, which honestly, it's not really saying much for Cincinnati.
- 6:45Speaker 1: But despite playing you know, just a partial game. Jalen
- 6:47Speaker 1: Henderson even had a solid day against Kansas on the ground,
- 6:50Speaker 1: So don't I don't mind this Miszoo threw on him
- 6:55Speaker 1: with the ease and we know Soors we can chuck
- 6:56Speaker 1: the ball a little bit too, So sixty four hundred,
- 6:59Speaker 1: it's it's too cheap for a game, especially if they
- 7:03Speaker 1: are trailing and happy to throw a little bit more.
- 7:06Speaker 1: But Sorsby being the leading rusher, like I said, it's
- 7:08Speaker 1: not really a good sign for this running back room.
- 7:11Speaker 1: Tobby Walker's there, but his greatest success has come against
- 7:13Speaker 1: Northwestern State, and I mean, who doesn't have success against
- 7:18Speaker 1: Northwestern State? But no one averages more than eight carries
- 7:21Speaker 1: a game. Could we see this usage shift a little bit?
- 7:24Speaker 1: Maybe I don't. It's it's a tough click with so
- 7:28Speaker 1: many other good plays and I'll get to another running
- 7:30Speaker 1: back that's a great play on the other side of
- 7:32Speaker 1: this game in just a moment. Cyrus Allen is still
- 7:34Speaker 1: kind of the guy for Cincy here they played a
- 7:37Speaker 1: couple of plus TV matchups, but he did have five
- 7:39Speaker 1: catches on seven targets against Nebraska, which is actually I
- 7:42Speaker 1: haven't looked, so I don't know if there's still where
- 7:44Speaker 1: they're ranked after that Michigan game in terms of pass defense,
- 7:48Speaker 1: but a good pass defense nonetheless, Caldwell and Goodie'll mix
- 7:52Speaker 1: in all of these guys being in the four k's,
- 7:55Speaker 1: especially like Joe Rorior two. He's consistent. I mean he
- 7:58Speaker 1: doesn't have the most targets on the team, but he's
- 7:59Speaker 1: consider getting three four two three four like he's gonna
- 8:03Speaker 1: be on the field. So if you want a pair source,
- 8:06Speaker 1: be with any one of these guys. They're they're in
- 8:07Speaker 1: that price range where you can make it happen on
- 8:11Speaker 1: the Kansas side. Jalen Daniels another, He's seventy one hundred
- 8:15Speaker 1: is too cheap for him too. He's got that rushing upside.
- 8:18Speaker 1: He's already got twelve passing touchdowns on the season two it.
- 8:22Speaker 1: Like I said in previous shows, he looks like the
- 8:24Speaker 1: Jalen Daniels of old. So love him in this spot,
- 8:27Speaker 1: especially as you know, a home favorite. But Daniel Higshaw
- 8:30Speaker 1: is doubtful to play for Kansas, So Lashawn Williams is
- 8:33Speaker 1: looking real nice, real nice at thirty nine hundred. You know,
- 8:39Speaker 1: Williams kind of took the reins against West Virginia, ran
- 8:41Speaker 1: the ball nineteen times. So if if that doesn't kind
- 8:44Speaker 1: of lead you to believe that he's going to have
- 8:45Speaker 1: a workhorse sort of load, then I don't know what will.
- 8:48Speaker 1: But we're getting You know, if if he had been
- 8:50Speaker 1: the workhorse all season, he'd probably be in that six
- 8:52Speaker 1: to seven k range at the very least. But he's
- 8:54Speaker 1: thirty nine hundred, so we're getting him at a discount
- 8:56Speaker 1: just because of injury. In this wide receiver room, it's
- 9:00Speaker 1: Emmanuel Henderson. I mean, can't pick It flashed early in
- 9:02Speaker 1: the season, but Henderson's been the usage hog ever since.
- 9:06Speaker 1: You know, they've been playing tight ends in the slot
- 9:08Speaker 1: a little bit. So maybe that's why pickt His fall
- 9:10Speaker 1: picket has fallen off. So you got like the Sean
- 9:11Speaker 1: Hannica you can look at for thirty two hundred, but
- 9:15Speaker 1: it's really just Henderson you're looking at. Levi Wentz scored
- 9:18Speaker 1: his first touchdown last week and I know his uncle,
- 9:20Speaker 1: so cool, but irrelevant for DFS purposes. Emmanuel Henderson is
- 9:25Speaker 1: the guy you're looking at if you want to stack
- 9:27Speaker 1: a receiver with Daniels, but honestly, I don't mind it.
- 9:29Speaker 1: Daniels Lashawn Williams stack QB RB are basically RB one
- 9:33Speaker 1: RB two and then you know, like I said, Soorsby
- 9:36Speaker 1: on the other side, a little mini game stack here
- 9:39Speaker 1: because we kind of know where the usage is going
- 9:41Speaker 1: to go for Kansas and Sorsby touches the ball every play.
- 9:46Speaker 1: Georgia Tack and Wake Forest projected to be a two
- 9:49Speaker 1: touchdown game. White Forest being at home does help a
- 9:52Speaker 1: little bit. But what really catches my eye here is
- 9:57Speaker 1: the price of Haynes game. This is I mean, sub Ak,
- 10:00Speaker 1: sign me up. Wake Sucks. King is averaging sixteen rushes
- 10:03Speaker 1: a game. I don't honestly, I don't know what more
- 10:06Speaker 1: I need to say. If you watch Georgia Tech this year,
- 10:07Speaker 1: especially that cleansing game, he was getting the run. And
- 10:11Speaker 1: speaking of the run, Jamal Haines also runs the ball.
- 10:14Speaker 1: He's kind of RB two behind Haines King right now, though,
- 10:18Speaker 1: but at seven k it's that weird price. You know,
- 10:21Speaker 1: it's too easy for Haines King to eat into his usage.
- 10:24Speaker 1: But another possible quarterback, running back Stack Holsey, will eat
- 10:29Speaker 1: in a little bit, but probably not enough to get
- 10:33Speaker 1: me completely off of Haines. He's also getting usage in
- 10:38Speaker 1: the passing game, third on the team in targets, so
- 10:41Speaker 1: the Haines Haines combo lives on for Georgia Tech. But
- 10:46Speaker 1: he might be third in targets just because Eric Rivers
- 10:49Speaker 1: only has fourteen and he's the team's leader through four games.
- 10:53Speaker 1: He does have the big play potential, but like Malik
- 10:56Speaker 1: Rutherford and Isaiah Cannon are actually catching the passes throwing
- 10:58Speaker 1: their Way's catch rate is not quite as good as
- 11:03Speaker 1: Rutherforder Canyon, and Rutherford is right behind him in targets
- 11:06Speaker 1: and he's played one fewer game. So if I'm gonna
- 11:09Speaker 1: stack Haynes King with a pass catcher, it's probably gonna
- 11:12Speaker 1: be Rutherforder Canyon. But just no going in if you
- 11:15Speaker 1: do that. Eric Rivers is good enough to pop at
- 11:18Speaker 1: any point, and he'll probably get some tempered ownership for
- 11:21Speaker 1: that reason. On the wake Fourest side, like I said,
- 11:25Speaker 1: I already talked about them enough to give my thoughts
- 11:28Speaker 1: on this team. Tex defense has been fine, not great.
- 11:33Speaker 1: I mean, if you're gonna attack him, it's gonna be
- 11:35Speaker 1: on the ground, So maybe Ashford if he can get
- 11:37Speaker 1: his legs going a little bit. He's also cheap at
- 11:41Speaker 1: six K. Demon Claiborne at fifty nine hundred just seems
- 11:44Speaker 1: unreal to me. He's the workhorse of this backfield. I
- 11:49Speaker 1: know he got hurt in that first game, but he
- 11:50Speaker 1: bounced back, albeit against an FCS opponent. He's definitely gonna
- 11:55Speaker 1: at least get a look when I see his name
- 11:58Speaker 1: next to five K range price and then another misprice.
- 12:02Speaker 1: At wide receiver, Chris Barnes is the team's leader. Thirty
- 12:06Speaker 1: six hundred is way too cheap for him, speaking a
- 12:09Speaker 1: catch rate with Eric Rivers, Carlos Hernandez is even worse.
- 12:12Speaker 1: He leads the team in targets, he just has a
- 12:14Speaker 1: thirty nine percent catch rate. Clayborne and sterling Berg Calter
- 12:18Speaker 1: both have more receptions than Carlos Hernandez does, But Chris
- 12:23Speaker 1: Barnes is really the first guy I'm looking at in
- 12:25Speaker 1: this wide receiver room. After that, it's kind of a
- 12:26Speaker 1: mix and match. But if you are of the ilk
- 12:31Speaker 1: that thinks wake Forest can keep this game even somewhat close,
- 12:35Speaker 1: the pricing is really nice in this game for you
- 12:37Speaker 1: to get some action on and pay up at quarterback
- 12:40Speaker 1: or running back elsewhere. But beyond that, it's really just
- 12:43Speaker 1: the Georgia tech side with Haines, Haines and maybe one
- 12:47Speaker 1: of those pass catchers. Louisville at Pittsburgh. Louisville's a four
- 12:53Speaker 1: and a half point road favorite, and Pitt's not really
- 12:56Speaker 1: the cream of the crop, but maybe the best opponent
- 12:59Speaker 1: Louisville has played all year. Miller Moss again ben solid,
- 13:03Speaker 1: but the team didn't look that great against jmu did
- 13:08Speaker 1: rebound nicely against Bowling Green despite not having a passing
- 13:10Speaker 1: touchdown of a fifty seven hundred another just unrealistic price
- 13:14Speaker 1: for him long term. I can't see him staying in
- 13:17Speaker 1: the five k's and I honestly see him getting up
- 13:19Speaker 1: to the seven and eight k's as the season goes on.
- 13:23Speaker 1: But you only need seventeen to hit his floor here,
- 13:25Speaker 1: so he's definitely going to get a look from me.
- 13:28Speaker 1: This running back room is interesting. Isaac Brown and Duke
- 13:31Speaker 1: Watson are both listed as questionable, and Keewan Brown is
- 13:34Speaker 1: already listed is out, so we're gonna have to watch this.
- 13:37Speaker 1: It does seem like Isaac and Duke Watson are trending
- 13:40Speaker 1: toward playing, but if we do get some news that
- 13:43Speaker 1: they aren't going to be able to go, it's Braxton Jennings,
- 13:47Speaker 1: min price running back who's probably going to get a
- 13:49Speaker 1: lion's share as long as you know he takes care
- 13:51Speaker 1: of the football, or if we get news that one
- 13:54Speaker 1: of these running backs is going to be out. We
- 13:56Speaker 1: know Isaac Brown's been a workhorse in the past, regardless
- 13:59Speaker 1: of what the backroom looks like, So even at seventy
- 14:02Speaker 1: seven hundred, you could consider him. But on the Louisville side,
- 14:06Speaker 1: if you want to avoid that running back room altogether,
- 14:09Speaker 1: especially if everybody's going to be healthy and we don't
- 14:11Speaker 1: quite know yet what that's going to look like. Chris
- 14:14Speaker 1: Bell and Colin Lacey are both underpriced. They hog most
- 14:16Speaker 1: of the target share, and you know Bell's been a
- 14:19Speaker 1: little bit more consistent, but Lacey had a big eight
- 14:22Speaker 1: reception game last time out. Jagari Collins actually started last
- 14:26Speaker 1: game too, and at thirty two hundred, he's not the
- 14:28Speaker 1: worst option in the world. He did have a big game.
- 14:31Speaker 1: Like I said, just the discount you're getting on him,
- 14:33Speaker 1: But really it's just Belle and Lacey. You could even
- 14:35Speaker 1: do a double stack with a fifty seven hundred dollars
- 14:38Speaker 1: quarterback and middle range wide receivers. It does open up
- 14:42Speaker 1: a lot in terms of stacking, especially if you're going
- 14:45Speaker 1: to run it back with the Pittsburgh side. I mean,
- 14:48Speaker 1: Pitts had one test this year. I mean, is West
- 14:52Speaker 1: Virginia considered a test. They didn't look good in that game,
- 14:56Speaker 1: but Eli Holstein still had three hundred yards passing, So
- 14:59Speaker 1: seventy five hundred is probably still a little bit underpriced.
- 15:04Speaker 1: And you know, like I said, even if they lose
- 15:06Speaker 1: the game, if they're gonna put up numbers, who cares.
- 15:08Speaker 1: We don't care about who wins and who loses in
- 15:10Speaker 1: terms of DFS. We just want to know who's gonna
- 15:12Speaker 1: get the yards and who's going to get the scores.
- 15:14Speaker 1: And Holstein is one of those candidates for sure. Desmond
- 15:17Speaker 1: Reid has been practicing. He did get hurt early in
- 15:20Speaker 1: that West Virginia game, but they had a bye week
- 15:22Speaker 1: and he, you know, like I said, he's been at practice,
- 15:24Speaker 1: so it seems like he should be a go. And
- 15:26Speaker 1: if you know anything about Desmond Reid, seventy three hundred
- 15:29Speaker 1: dollars is not expensive enough for him. So in this
- 15:32Speaker 1: it's a home game for Pitt, like you know, makes
- 15:35Speaker 1: me like him a little bit more even so, like
- 15:38Speaker 1: if he doesn't go, Jules Golf is min price, not
- 15:43Speaker 1: min price, but close enough to min price, and he
- 15:45Speaker 1: seemed to get the workload after Reid went down a
- 15:47Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago. But I do think Reid is
- 15:50Speaker 1: going to go, and at seventy three hundred, you're going
- 15:53Speaker 1: to consider him, especially with how cheap the passing grunbacks
- 15:55Speaker 1: are Louisville in a game stack situation, and speaking of
- 16:00Speaker 1: under priced, Raphael Williams is the leader of the pack
- 16:04Speaker 1: for Pitt this far, thus far, coming off of a
- 16:07Speaker 1: couple of huge games. You know, Kenny Johnson and Kataurus
- 16:10Speaker 1: Hicks are going to be the other two guys out there,
- 16:12Speaker 1: and Hicks is men price. But since your Lee is
- 16:15Speaker 1: projected to be back, he's probable on the injury report,
- 16:18Speaker 1: so that is likely going to affect the usage, even
- 16:23Speaker 1: if ever so slightly. It could take away from one
- 16:25Speaker 1: of these or all three of these top guys, honestly,
- 16:28Speaker 1: but Williams does seem like the safest one. The tight
- 16:31Speaker 1: end situation is a little bit interesting because it was
- 16:34Speaker 1: Jake Overman to start the season, but he's done virtually nothing,
- 16:37Speaker 1: So now we have Malachia Thomas starting over over Men.
- 16:41Speaker 1: It's again another men. Price would be an extreme Darth throw.
- 16:45Speaker 1: But like I said, top two wide receivers for Louisville
- 16:48Speaker 1: with Miller Moss is cheap. Pittsburgh is cheaper than they
- 16:50Speaker 1: probably should be. So a very very stackable game. It
- 16:55Speaker 1: seems like I've been saying that a lot already. Maybe
- 16:57Speaker 1: it is another good slate for GPPs everybody, So go
- 17:02Speaker 1: ahead and stock this game if if you wish, I
- 17:05Speaker 1: will not talk you off that at all. USC at
- 17:09Speaker 1: Illinois really like in the looks of this USC game
- 17:13Speaker 1: after watching Illinois Indiana last week. Illinois's defensive secondary is decimated.
- 17:21Speaker 1: I don't know exactly who's going to be out there,
- 17:23Speaker 1: but it's an early game, so we will get news.
- 17:25Speaker 1: And if you see a lot of those normal starters
- 17:27Speaker 1: on defense that are not playing, this might be a
- 17:30Speaker 1: spot to attack them. Even though we have the West
- 17:33Speaker 1: coast to East coast time zone travel that is a
- 17:36Speaker 1: real thing. By the way, with Jane Mayeva at ak It,
- 17:41Speaker 1: he can definitely reach his ceiling at this prices. Like
- 17:44Speaker 1: I said, especially after what we saw last week, Ak
- 17:47Speaker 1: is a fair price again. There's some good options right
- 17:51Speaker 1: above and some good options below him too, so it playable.
- 17:56Speaker 1: I'll call him playable. I'm not going to write him off.
- 18:00Speaker 1: Jordan has definitely taken a hold of his backfield. He's
- 18:03Speaker 1: got sixteen or more carries in the last three and
- 18:05Speaker 1: he's got six targets to go with it. The thing
- 18:07Speaker 1: that might give me pause is that Eli Sanders also
- 18:11Speaker 1: had sixteen carries last game, so maybe we see more
- 18:14Speaker 1: of a fifty to fifty split. But they were also
- 18:16Speaker 1: just doing whatever they wanted to on the ground against
- 18:18Speaker 1: Michigan State, so maybe we don't look as much into
- 18:21Speaker 1: that one game sample size. Long term, they're probably going
- 18:25Speaker 1: to be throwing the ball. But if they do get
- 18:27Speaker 1: up early, I wouldn't be surprised to see another heavy
- 18:29Speaker 1: workload for both of these guys, both at fair prices.
- 18:33Speaker 1: Brian Jackson could be back again. We're not going to
- 18:35Speaker 1: know that until we get there, but like I said,
- 18:38Speaker 1: at least it's an early game, so we'll have that news.
- 18:41Speaker 1: Somebody we do think is going to be back, as
- 18:43Speaker 1: Jacoby Lane he missed last week, but he's been practicing,
- 18:46Speaker 1: so it adds another target for my AVA in this
- 18:48Speaker 1: passing game. But with or without Lane mkayle Lemon has
- 18:51Speaker 1: been the guy this year. Even at this price, he's
- 18:54Speaker 1: got the upside. He's one of the more expensive receivers
- 18:56Speaker 1: on the slate, but I don't mind it at all.
- 18:58Speaker 1: And the Lake McCree is the other guy who's going
- 19:01Speaker 1: to be out there on the field, and at thirty
- 19:02Speaker 1: two hundred, it just kind of a look for me. Illinois.
- 19:10Speaker 1: It's hard to really talk any of these guys up
- 19:13Speaker 1: after the showing they had last week. I mean, Luke
- 19:16Speaker 1: Altmeyer's price down, but why wouldn't he be And Ryan
- 19:19Speaker 1: Brown did throw for three hundred on this USC team,
- 19:22Speaker 1: so maybe that's what you're holding onto at sixty two hundred.
- 19:25Speaker 1: He doesn't eat up a ton of salary. So sure,
- 19:30Speaker 1: Luke Altmeyer's fine. There is a glimmer I hope for him.
- 19:34Speaker 1: Aiden Laffery should be good to go for this game.
- 19:36Speaker 1: So that kind of dampens really anything I'm looking at
- 19:38Speaker 1: in this running back room. It's Fagan and Laffery and
- 19:42Speaker 1: maybe Valentine mixed in, but they're just all priced in
- 19:45Speaker 1: that range where maybe you click on a name as
- 19:48Speaker 1: a last guy in and hope that he's the one
- 19:50Speaker 1: who gets the hot hand. But this wide receiver room
- 19:53Speaker 1: is a little bit more interesting. Hank Baby was banged up,
- 19:57Speaker 1: but he is expected to be back. He's probable. Do
- 20:00Speaker 1: you like his target share and the upsides there? And
- 20:01Speaker 1: then Dixon's kind of the next guy up and he
- 20:05Speaker 1: just hasn't you know, had the explosive game yet. But really,
- 20:08Speaker 1: like Clement, Hudson, Clement and Justin Bowick are honestly guys
- 20:12Speaker 1: that they're not priced like their min price. So if
- 20:15Speaker 1: they're guys that are going to be on the field
- 20:16Speaker 1: at min price, the opportunity is going to be there.
- 20:19Speaker 1: So it's just a matter of Altmeyer looking their way.
- 20:22Speaker 1: And I don't mind paying down at receivers who are
- 20:25Speaker 1: going to at least be on the field. And like
- 20:28Speaker 1: HUDs and Clement, we know is a decent wide receiver.
- 20:31Speaker 1: He was wide receiver won at West Virginia. I don't
- 20:34Speaker 1: know how much that says, but again Illinois being the
- 20:38Speaker 1: home team in the trail for USC, if this game
- 20:40Speaker 1: does stay tight, it's another stackable game. I should just
- 20:45Speaker 1: hit a button. I need a button that says this
- 20:47Speaker 1: game's stackable, saying it a lot today. Auburn at Texas
- 20:52Speaker 1: A and M one of the more one of the
- 20:54Speaker 1: lower totals on the slate, but should be a competitive game.
- 20:57Speaker 1: At the very least. You'd hope Jackson Arnold is cheap.
- 21:01Speaker 1: A and M hasn't really done much on defense to
- 21:04Speaker 1: get me completely off of him. His legs are a
- 21:07Speaker 1: little bit more intriguing than his arm in this one.
- 21:09Speaker 1: Just you know, based on what Texas A and M
- 21:14Speaker 1: has done this year, they've been giving it up more
- 21:17Speaker 1: on the ground than they have through the air. This
- 21:19Speaker 1: is another interesting backfield, though Durell Robinson's already ruled out.
- 21:23Speaker 1: Jeremiah Cobb found his way onto the injury report, so
- 21:28Speaker 1: we'll have to see what that looks like like. He
- 21:30Speaker 1: might have been banged up last game, but tomorrow Alston
- 21:33Speaker 1: had forty six snaps to Cobbs twenty two. Now was
- 21:35Speaker 1: that because of the injury? I don't know if that
- 21:40Speaker 1: was the primary factor, but definitely something we're gonna watch.
- 21:43Speaker 1: I do think Cobb is going to go in this one,
- 21:45Speaker 1: but Austin was RB one coming into the year. They're
- 21:48Speaker 1: both priced again in that middle range they're fair not
- 21:52Speaker 1: the greatest game environment, but they're fine players. I don't
- 21:56Speaker 1: know that I'll get there too much. In DFS. Eric
- 21:59Speaker 1: Singleton has been getting the target share and he's a
- 22:03Speaker 1: big discount from Cam Coleman. Cam Coleman is a stud,
- 22:07Speaker 1: like there's gonna be one of these games where he
- 22:08Speaker 1: goes for thirty, but you know, until we see it,
- 22:11Speaker 1: it's hard to be harder to click his name when
- 22:14Speaker 1: there's Eric Singleton sitting at forty eight hundred and producing
- 22:17Speaker 1: more this year on the same team, So that's he's
- 22:21Speaker 1: a very solid play at forty eight hundred. Coleman's definitely
- 22:23Speaker 1: got the upside. One thing. Horatio Fields broke his foot
- 22:26Speaker 1: at practice earlier this week, and Perry Thompson seems to
- 22:29Speaker 1: be the guy that's going to be next man up.
- 22:33Speaker 1: Don't know another min price wide receiver, but it's kind
- 22:36Speaker 1: of the unknown with him. But it just it could
- 22:39Speaker 1: funnel more to Eric Singleton and Cam Coleman as well.
- 22:44Speaker 1: That's probably still where I'm looking if I'm going to
- 22:46Speaker 1: play the Auburn side, and probably honestly as a one off.
- 22:49Speaker 1: I don't know how much I love Jackson Arnold, but
- 22:52Speaker 1: sixty nine hundred. Like I said, we'll catch my eye.
- 22:56Speaker 1: And then on the Texas A and M side as
- 22:58Speaker 1: the home team, Marcel Reid ninety three hundred. Fine, sign
- 23:01Speaker 1: me up. He's been hue the season, three exs price
- 23:03Speaker 1: every single game, even at ninety three hundred, and he
- 23:07Speaker 1: looks good. He looks really good. They beat Notre Dame.
- 23:11Speaker 1: Obviously that was a later game on a national stage.
- 23:13Speaker 1: I'm sure most of you who are watching this saw that,
- 23:15Speaker 1: if not at least caught up on the box score
- 23:17Speaker 1: and highlights later. I really would like this a lot
- 23:21Speaker 1: more if third team total was above thirty. It has
- 23:24Speaker 1: nothing to do with anything except the fact that it's
- 23:26Speaker 1: a number in the twenties staring me in the face
- 23:28Speaker 1: when there's thirty point team totals, and obviously those are
- 23:31Speaker 1: just predictions, but it would be a little bit more
- 23:34Speaker 1: comfortable if they're in the thirties. The backfield does have
- 23:37Speaker 1: a bunch of guys that mix in. However, Le'Veon Moss
- 23:39Speaker 1: had twenty carries last game, so if you think that's
- 23:41Speaker 1: a trend, you're definitely gonna consider him at fifty four hundred.
- 23:46Speaker 1: So I guess it's a one game sample size. But
- 23:50Speaker 1: if they are going to keep trending in that direction,
- 23:52Speaker 1: it's a great price for Moss in this game environment.
- 23:55Speaker 1: But the surprise of the year is Mario Kraver getting
- 23:58Speaker 1: nine targets a game and his first output on DraftKings
- 24:01Speaker 1: this year is twenty five point four points, which is
- 24:04Speaker 1: just shy of five x his current price at fifty
- 24:07Speaker 1: two hundred. He is not a fifty two hundred dollars
- 24:10Speaker 1: wide receiver after like two of his games are in
- 24:13Speaker 1: the thirties and they're still pricing him at fifty two hundred,
- 24:16Speaker 1: So he's kind of in that first click for cash
- 24:19Speaker 1: sort of range, and it makes it easier to stack
- 24:23Speaker 1: with Marcel Reid if you do want to do a
- 24:25Speaker 1: game stack in this game Casey's concepcion probably isn't a
- 24:28Speaker 1: fifty nine hundred or fifty seven hundred dollars wide receiver either.
- 24:31Speaker 1: His catch rait just hasn't quite been there, but he's
- 24:33Speaker 1: still got a ton of upside. After that, there is
- 24:36Speaker 1: a big drop off, and anyone else is kind of
- 24:38Speaker 1: a dart throw here. But those top two guys in
- 24:40Speaker 1: this game have a huge ceiling. A Marcel Reid double
- 24:43Speaker 1: stack with those guys if you can figure out a
- 24:45Speaker 1: way to afford it, and like the rest of your
- 24:46Speaker 1: lineup does seem pretty juicy running back with Eric Singleton.
- 24:53Speaker 1: Wouldn't be surprised if I have shares of that. And
- 24:55Speaker 1: that's just one example of how you can play this game.
- 24:57Speaker 1: But you know, up front, if you can affor with
- 25:00Speaker 1: the read price, it's really nice. LSU at Ole Miss
- 25:05Speaker 1: may be the best real life game on the slate,
- 25:08Speaker 1: but also looks like there's a lot of points, especially
- 25:12Speaker 1: if you buy into Twitter and Lane Kiffen, whose daughter
- 25:16Speaker 1: is dating a defensive player on LSU. It was posted
- 25:19Speaker 1: on Twitter and Lane Kiffen responded to the tweet and
- 25:23Speaker 1: said bet the over. So if you don't follow Lane
- 25:26Speaker 1: Kiffin on Twitter, it's one of the more entertaining ones
- 25:28Speaker 1: in college football. But if you believe in Lane Kiffin's tweet,
- 25:34Speaker 1: this game looks even better than the twenty seven to
- 25:37Speaker 1: twenty nine total that we have here. Garrett Nsmeyer, he's
- 25:41Speaker 1: been pretty average this year, but you can still look
- 25:43Speaker 1: at him just because the past defense for Old Miss
- 25:45Speaker 1: has been pretty atrocious. You know, a couple of games
- 25:49Speaker 1: they weren't tested, but when they were tested, Taylor Green
- 25:51Speaker 1: went off on them. But what I do know is
- 25:54Speaker 1: everybody is running the ball on this defense, and Cayden Durham,
- 25:59Speaker 1: if he goes, he did make his way on the
- 26:01Speaker 1: injury report, so we're gonna have to watch for news
- 26:04Speaker 1: over the next couple of days. We're not going to
- 26:06Speaker 1: get the news early enough for the eleven o'clock Lords
- 26:10Speaker 1: time zone locks, but we will get Friday's injury report
- 26:15Speaker 1: to see if he does get upgraded. But at sixty one,
- 26:18Speaker 1: it's just too cheap for his workload, probably looking at
- 26:20Speaker 1: mid teens to high teens. And carries in this one
- 26:24Speaker 1: again questionable, so we'll have to keep an eye on it.
- 26:27Speaker 1: The wide receiver rom Aaron Anderson, Barry and Brown, They're
- 26:29Speaker 1: both in life for a solid amount of work. Brown's
- 26:32Speaker 1: just cheaper and Xavier and Thomas could also mix in
- 26:35Speaker 1: and is even cheaper yet, and you know a couple
- 26:39Speaker 1: of these guys can get involved in the running game too,
- 26:41Speaker 1: so even if they don't get the targets, there is
- 26:43Speaker 1: gonna be some other slight opportunity. Bower Sharp is a
- 26:47Speaker 1: guy that you know he's on the field and I
- 26:49Speaker 1: would not be surprised to see him have a two
- 26:51Speaker 1: touchdown game at some point trade as Green is back,
- 26:54Speaker 1: but how much that eats into Sharp and his time
- 26:57Speaker 1: on the field. I don't know that it's anything to
- 27:00Speaker 1: take too heavily, but it is something to consider because
- 27:05Speaker 1: Green hasn't played yet and he's now listed as probable.
- 27:11Speaker 1: But on the whole Miss side, Trinidad Shambless. Everybody loves
- 27:14Speaker 1: Chambless right now, we might as well run it back
- 27:16Speaker 1: with him at seventy seven hundred, just too cheap. I
- 27:18Speaker 1: do think that LSU's defense is a little bit overrated
- 27:21Speaker 1: right now too, until we see it considering how Florida
- 27:24Speaker 1: and Clemson's offense has been. I'm not saying they have
- 27:27Speaker 1: a bad defense, but it may not look as good
- 27:30Speaker 1: after facing an offense like Ole Miss. But again, that's
- 27:32Speaker 1: just something we'll have to wait and see. Kuwan Lacey,
- 27:35Speaker 1: one of the bigger workhorses on the slate. At sixty
- 27:38Speaker 1: seven hundred seems like a steal, I don't. I'll be
- 27:41Speaker 1: looking at Lacey pretty closely on the wide receiver room
- 27:46Speaker 1: a little bit more up in the air, but they're
- 27:47Speaker 1: still all pretty cheap. Harrison Wallace let everybody down last week,
- 27:50Speaker 1: but if that means anything, it's a prime spot for
- 27:53Speaker 1: a bounce back, even if five K they priced him
- 27:55Speaker 1: up a little bit. So if it talks, if it
- 27:57Speaker 1: gets people off of him, and he, like I said,
- 28:01Speaker 1: bounce back potential is definitely there, I'll play him at
- 28:05Speaker 1: low ownership. Does Alexander had the big game last week
- 28:07Speaker 1: and he's still too cheap uh Dai, Kwon Wright, Kaden Lee,
- 28:12Speaker 1: Dejon Stribling all going to be involved all sub five
- 28:14Speaker 1: K da Quon Wrights in the three k's and he's
- 28:16Speaker 1: low key an animal at tight end. He's fun to
- 28:18Speaker 1: watch if you haven't watched up Miss played football this year,
- 28:21Speaker 1: and he does have ceiling potential in him. Honestly, ten x,
- 28:27Speaker 1: they're na, we'll just go eight x to be safe.
- 28:30Speaker 1: Thirty five hundred. The potential is there. I'm not saying
- 28:33Speaker 1: it's gonna happen, but I do like the potential for it.
- 28:36Speaker 1: So if I'm if I'm mmy ing, I'm definitely getting
- 28:39Speaker 1: shares of this ole Miss offense with a mix of
- 28:41Speaker 1: these wide receivers, but Keywon Lacy and Trinidad Chambers would
- 28:45Speaker 1: probably be my high highest exposed If I were a
- 28:48Speaker 1: bigger MM player Baylor at Oklahoma State, I mean Baylor.
- 28:58Speaker 1: That's really all I got to say. If you out,
- 29:00Speaker 1: but if you thought old Missus wide receivers were spread out,
- 29:03Speaker 1: let's let's talk a little bit of Baylor. The nice
- 29:05Speaker 1: thing about Szoy Robinson is he's the one who's throwing
- 29:08Speaker 1: him the ball. So even at ten to one, Robertson
- 29:10Speaker 1: is really enticing. The running back room also expensive, but
- 29:14Speaker 1: for good reason. Bryson Washington is a workhorse. Plus he
- 29:17Speaker 1: has double digit targets on the season already, so he's
- 29:19Speaker 1: involved in the passing game. The one thing is that
- 29:21Speaker 1: Cayden Knighton in this sort of game script could definitely
- 29:24Speaker 1: get there at thirty five hundred, and he could start
- 29:26Speaker 1: to work in a little bit earlier with the cesspool
- 29:29Speaker 1: of a team that they're facing on the other side.
- 29:32Speaker 1: So keep that in the back of your mind. I'm
- 29:34Speaker 1: not saying go out and put Kayden Knighton in all
- 29:36Speaker 1: of your lineups, but especially if you're playing Bryce and Washington,
- 29:39Speaker 1: go in eyes wide open. In this wide receiver room,
- 29:43Speaker 1: I mentioned them briefly. They have four guys with more
- 29:45Speaker 1: than twenty targets, seven with double digit targets. Ashton Hawkins
- 29:50Speaker 1: spent most of last week invisible and now he's forty
- 29:54Speaker 1: three hundred and even without getting much last week. If anything,
- 29:57Speaker 1: he's still has twenty five targets on this season. Cameron
- 30:02Speaker 1: and Trigg both had more than thirty targets, And you
- 30:04Speaker 1: might remember Michael Trigg had that sixteen target game to
- 30:06Speaker 1: kick the season off, and he missed a half of
- 30:09Speaker 1: football this season already and still has over thirty targets.
- 30:13Speaker 1: And you can't forget about Cole Wilson at four K.
- 30:16Speaker 1: He had a huge game against Auburn. He just hasn't
- 30:18Speaker 1: found his ceiling since. So there's good prices on these guys.
- 30:22Speaker 1: If you find the right combination where the usage is
- 30:24Speaker 1: getting funneled, that could mean a big day for a
- 30:25Speaker 1: team with a nearly forty point implied team total, even
- 30:29Speaker 1: in a road game. This is you know, Baylor's licking
- 30:33Speaker 1: their chops looking at Oklahoma State on the other side,
- 30:36Speaker 1: and that's because Oklahoma State is bad and they're going
- 30:38Speaker 1: to be coached by not Mike Gundy for the first
- 30:41Speaker 1: time in two decades. I don't know how much Oklahoma
- 30:44Speaker 1: State I'll get to here. Plus their injury report is
- 30:47Speaker 1: longer than Gundhi's tenure at the school, So I don't know.
- 30:52Speaker 1: Rodney Fields is a little bit interesting. If you watch
- 30:57Speaker 1: the OSU Tulsa game at all, or even saw the
- 31:00Speaker 1: Ox score, Caleb Hicks kind of got phased out of
- 31:02Speaker 1: the offense completely. He was dressed on the sideline by
- 31:06Speaker 1: all reports, but it was Rodney Fields, and now Freddie
- 31:13Speaker 1: Brock is doubtful. He's the guy who came in and
- 31:16Speaker 1: relief of Fields when he needed a breather. So at
- 31:19Speaker 1: four K, even in this game environment, Rodney Fields might
- 31:22Speaker 1: catch my eye if he's legitimately going to be the
- 31:24Speaker 1: only guy out there. But really you're looking at the
- 31:27Speaker 1: Baylor's side here. Utah West Virginia almost a two touchdown
- 31:33Speaker 1: full two touchdown and extra point spread, Utah with an
- 31:35Speaker 1: implied team total of thirty. Devin damp here if you
- 31:40Speaker 1: played him last week, I'm sorry. Now he's ninety six hundred,
- 31:45Speaker 1: but he was dealing with injury it sounded like, and
- 31:48Speaker 1: we found out after the game. But this is a
- 31:50Speaker 1: much easier matchup if he does get his body right.
- 31:53Speaker 1: Ninety six hundred is not too expensive for the ceiling
- 31:56Speaker 1: potentially has. It's just a matter of clicking his name
- 31:59Speaker 1: with that price tag. You know, looking at the rest
- 32:03Speaker 1: of the slate, Nakari Rodgers and Wayshawn Parker have been
- 32:06Speaker 1: split in the backfield, but Parker's been much more effective
- 32:09Speaker 1: with his usage. They're kind of in that price range
- 32:11Speaker 1: where there's good guys above him, good guys below them,
- 32:14Speaker 1: a little bit tougher click even with a positive game
- 32:19Speaker 1: environment for Utah, Hunter Andrews out for the season, and
- 32:24Speaker 1: that means probably just more for Ryan Davis and Dale
- 32:27Speaker 1: and Bentley. Davis is already you know, on my Raider
- 32:30Speaker 1: for cash before, I mean, he's going to be on
- 32:33Speaker 1: my Raider for cash as long as he's forty five hundred.
- 32:35Speaker 1: Even if Hunter Andrews was in and Dalen Bentley has
- 32:38Speaker 1: the upside in the three k's, it's hard to say
- 32:41Speaker 1: where this usage is going to go For Utah. It
- 32:43Speaker 1: might just funnel more to Bentley and Davis with no Andrews,
- 32:46Speaker 1: especially because they still have defensive players that are getting
- 32:49Speaker 1: snaps on offense and getting targets. So it's tough to say,
- 32:52Speaker 1: like Tobias Maryweather's going to be next man up or
- 32:55Speaker 1: jjbchann is going to be next man up, even though
- 32:57Speaker 1: their prices are nice. Until we see it on the field,
- 33:00Speaker 1: It's just going to be a lot harder to predict.
- 33:02Speaker 1: So I would just focus on those top two guys
- 33:04Speaker 1: in the wide receiver room on the West Virginia side.
- 33:06Speaker 1: Let we could just talk about injuries. Nico Markiel is
- 33:10Speaker 1: questionable to play, so we could see Jalen Henderson, we
- 33:12Speaker 1: could see Scotti Fox, we could see both. I don't
- 33:14Speaker 1: know that this is a matchup. I want to test
- 33:17Speaker 1: two quarterback potential and especially like no, like Jalen Henderson
- 33:24Speaker 1: is more expensive than Miller Moss, why not play Miller
- 33:27Speaker 1: Moss who has three hundred yard upside the running back
- 33:30Speaker 1: room also dinged up Ty Edwards is questionable since your
- 33:33Speaker 1: Bowers is doubtful, so we could see a heavy dose
- 33:35Speaker 1: of Clay Ash. I know they've been talking about Dioriy
- 33:37Speaker 1: Hubbard a little bit again, tough game environment, but if
- 33:40Speaker 1: Ash is the only guy getting usage, forty four hundred
- 33:42Speaker 1: is not bad. And then in the wide receiver room,
- 33:45Speaker 1: definitely upside for cam Vaughn here. But I really don't
- 33:48Speaker 1: know what to do with this dream, especially Preston Fox
- 33:50Speaker 1: is also on the injury report. So at this point
- 33:54Speaker 1: we have a seventeen and a half point team total
- 33:55Speaker 1: on a slate like this, I don't even know if
- 33:57Speaker 1: you need to consider West Virginia, Indiana, Iowa. Talked a
- 34:01Speaker 1: little bit earlier about Indiana blowing out Illinois. Fernando Mendoz
- 34:06Speaker 1: now your Heisman favorite, and it's a because he's been
- 34:10Speaker 1: a stud this year and B because jeohnmetears hurt. He
- 34:13Speaker 1: came run when he need to. He hasn't really needed
- 34:15Speaker 1: to this year. Sixty eight hundred dollars for the Heisman favorite.
- 34:19Speaker 1: I don't know how much explanation more than that that
- 34:22Speaker 1: you need, Roman, Hendry, Henby, Kaylin Black, Kobe Martin. It's
- 34:27Speaker 1: a three headed monster in this backfield. Lee BB went
- 34:29Speaker 1: down and they didn't skip a beat and getting Kobe
- 34:31Speaker 1: Martin usage in the last game. Again, Indiana hasn't had
- 34:34Speaker 1: a close game yet this year, So what this running
- 34:37Speaker 1: back room will actually look like long term maybe yet
- 34:40Speaker 1: to be seen. But we're still looking at potential for
- 34:42Speaker 1: three guys to get equal amount of carries in this one.
- 34:45Speaker 1: They're all fairly cheap. There's just a lot of better
- 34:47Speaker 1: options on the slate. Definitely upside for Sarratt and Cooper,
- 34:52Speaker 1: especially if you're playing Mendozo and you want to stack
- 34:54Speaker 1: it EJ. Williams, Jonathan Brady, Holden, Stay's Raley, No Tkowski.
- 34:59Speaker 1: Just guys are going to be on the field, But
- 35:00Speaker 1: it's really those top two that you're looking at, and
- 35:02Speaker 1: it's an easy stack. With Mendoza, I don't think you're
- 35:05Speaker 1: gonna run it back on the other side another sub
- 35:08Speaker 1: twenty point imply team total. But Mark Ronowski does have
- 35:10Speaker 1: the upside being a dual threat, and he's cheap. He's
- 35:13Speaker 1: just We've already talked about guys that are cheaper than
- 35:16Speaker 1: him that seem to be in better spots, so it's
- 35:18Speaker 1: a gp P play at best. The running back room
- 35:21Speaker 1: is interesting Jason Joson Patterson. Most Colin Patterson. Patterson's going
- 35:29Speaker 1: to be out this game. They've already announced that we
- 35:31Speaker 1: don't have to wait for the injury report Saturday morning,
- 35:33Speaker 1: so we should see a lot of Kamari Moulton and
- 35:36Speaker 1: then Tara Washington should be the next man up. But
- 35:39Speaker 1: Moulton was the RB one coming into the season, so
- 35:41Speaker 1: it wouldn't be surprised to see him start to get workhorse.
- 35:44Speaker 1: He did find the end zone Friday night last week,
- 35:47Speaker 1: and he's definitely looking good. Enough to be on the
- 35:50Speaker 1: field long term. So sixty two hundreds fine. Again, just
- 35:55Speaker 1: a situation where there's a lot of good running backs
- 35:57Speaker 1: on this slate above and below him. Pricing, So if
- 35:59Speaker 1: you want to spend ken, if you want to spend down,
- 36:01Speaker 1: you can. This middle range is just it's a tough
- 36:04Speaker 1: click for Molton in this game. And I'm not going
- 36:06Speaker 1: to even talk about the Iowa wide receivers. Ohio State
- 36:10Speaker 1: at Washington another potentially good game in real life. Julian
- 36:15Speaker 1: saying he's didn't do much against Texas, but he didn't
- 36:20Speaker 1: necessarily like they wanted to win that game, and he
- 36:23Speaker 1: did well enough that they didn't lose. But how well
- 36:26Speaker 1: can he travel for his first Big Ten Conference road game?
- 36:31Speaker 1: Washington has done really well this season. The one thing
- 36:35Speaker 1: with Washington though, is you know, watching Wazoo move the
- 36:38Speaker 1: ball on them, and the Apple Cup is pretty concerning.
- 36:42Speaker 1: Ohio State, in case he didn't know, is a better
- 36:44Speaker 1: football team than Washington State. So if the Kougs can
- 36:47Speaker 1: move the ball, I think the Buckeyes can too. Just
- 36:50Speaker 1: saying that you might want to consider saying but at
- 36:54Speaker 1: eighty one hundred, another pricing thing when you look at
- 36:57Speaker 1: the slate as a whole. We'll get to a guy
- 36:59Speaker 1: in the next game who is in the exact same
- 37:01Speaker 1: range as him that might be in a better spot. CJ.
- 37:04Speaker 1: Donaldson James People's Bo Jackson. If you're looking at the
- 37:07Speaker 1: game against Texas, CJ. Donaldson got the two to one
- 37:10Speaker 1: workload over Peoples, but a little wrench thrown into this,
- 37:15Speaker 1: Bo Jackson has been getting work against bad football teams. However,
- 37:19Speaker 1: if you look at the props, bo Jackson is second
- 37:22Speaker 1: in rushing props. He is now ahead of People's. So
- 37:25Speaker 1: if you believe in the true freshman, thirty one hundred
- 37:28Speaker 1: is a very easy price to fit into your lineup,
- 37:31Speaker 1: and Bo Jackson has the upside like the ceiling talent
- 37:35Speaker 1: in real life. And if you believe, if you're a believer,
- 37:38Speaker 1: that this Bo Jackson could be the next Bo Jackson,
- 37:42Speaker 1: it's weird. Thirty one hundred is great. I love him
- 37:46Speaker 1: in this spot, especially if Ohio State can get ahead
- 37:48Speaker 1: and they're going to continue to trust the freshman. It's
- 37:52Speaker 1: just again, you're making predictions at that point, Jeremi Smith.
- 37:56Speaker 1: You don't need to make predictions about because he's already
- 37:58Speaker 1: shown on the field what he's capable. Belove doesn't need
- 38:02Speaker 1: much explanation, just a matter of if you can fit
- 38:04Speaker 1: nine thousand dollars wide receiver in your lineup and still
- 38:06Speaker 1: like the rest of it. Carnel taits at a nice discount.
- 38:09Speaker 1: Sixty one hundred is a solid price for him, and
- 38:12Speaker 1: he should still be very involved. I do think Max
- 38:15Speaker 1: Claary is another tight end that he's gonna have a
- 38:18Speaker 1: ceiling game and we're gonna see twenty five points next
- 38:20Speaker 1: to his name with the flame emoji, and we're not
- 38:22Speaker 1: going to be surprised by it, just because we know
- 38:24Speaker 1: the talent's there. He just hasn't been involved in his
- 38:27Speaker 1: first few games as a Buckeye. On the Washington side,
- 38:32Speaker 1: it's it is difficult just because of how these guys
- 38:35Speaker 1: are priced. It's a home game, which helps demand. Williams
- 38:39Speaker 1: is a dual threat. Normally at eighty two hundred, you
- 38:42Speaker 1: really take a hard look at him and in some
- 38:46Speaker 1: games he would just be an easy first click, but
- 38:49Speaker 1: in this matchup you do have you do take pause.
- 38:53Speaker 1: Jonah Coleman in sixty nine hundred, He's had a stellar
- 38:55Speaker 1: season to start the year. I do think he has
- 38:57Speaker 1: the upside in this game, not just because of his
- 39:00Speaker 1: workload in the run game, but because he's getting targets too,
- 39:04Speaker 1: So at that price, it's fine. The past game. The
- 39:07Speaker 1: one thing I'll say about Denzel Boston is that he's
- 39:10Speaker 1: going to get the targets. I just don't know if
- 39:13Speaker 1: I can pay seventy five hundred dollars for him in
- 39:15Speaker 1: a matchup against Caleb Downs after that, don't. I mean,
- 39:21Speaker 1: you can, fine if you want to. But they're legitimately
- 39:24Speaker 1: five other min price wide receivers on this slate that
- 39:27Speaker 1: I would rather play over any of these Washington guys
- 39:30Speaker 1: if you're doting a mind price option. So if you
- 39:34Speaker 1: do believe Washington can keep it close, it's probably because
- 39:36Speaker 1: of Williams, Coleman and Boston. It's just a tough game
- 39:39Speaker 1: stack if you want to play the usage guys, with
- 39:43Speaker 1: Smith and Boston being the prices that they are and
- 39:45Speaker 1: those quarterbacks being in that upper mid tier range. Speaking
- 39:50Speaker 1: of the upper midtier range, we got Joey Agilar on Tennessee,
- 39:52Speaker 1: who's a seven and a half point favorite on the
- 39:54Speaker 1: road in Mississippi State. He's looked really good this year.
- 39:58Speaker 1: We saw him perform all against Georgia, who like these
- 40:02Speaker 1: SEC teams are just scoring points now, so you're not
- 40:05Speaker 1: quite as worried about the defense, you know, as you
- 40:08Speaker 1: might have been a few years ago. So Joey Agilar
- 40:11Speaker 1: is great, and why not just find the extra hundred
- 40:13Speaker 1: dollars or two hundred dollars to pay him over pay
- 40:15Speaker 1: for him over one of the quarterbacks in the last game.
- 40:18Speaker 1: I do still think Deshaun Bishops RB one in this room,
- 40:21Speaker 1: but if you look at the box scores as far
- 40:23Speaker 1: as like rushing usage, you wouldn't You wouldn't know it
- 40:26Speaker 1: because Star Thomas still gets a ton of usage, and
- 40:29Speaker 1: Peyton Lewis even works in It's another situation where you're
- 40:31Speaker 1: trying to find the hot hand in this backfield, but
- 40:35Speaker 1: the wide receiver rooms a little bit clearer. Chris Brazil
- 40:38Speaker 1: had the huge game on the big stage against Georgia,
- 40:40Speaker 1: but actually Brayln Staley has as many targets as as
- 40:43Speaker 1: Brazil does. He just doesn't have the yards. Brazil's already
- 40:47Speaker 1: got like four hundred and twenty yards on the season.
- 40:48Speaker 1: It's insane the year he's having so far. Both of
- 40:53Speaker 1: these guys have priced probably underpriced in that five K range.
- 40:58Speaker 1: So if you're in the five K range. First, I
- 41:00Speaker 1: like both of these guys. Mike Matthews still can mix in,
- 41:03Speaker 1: for sure, but he's been playing third fiddle so far
- 41:06Speaker 1: this year. And on the Mississippi State side, are they good?
- 41:10Speaker 1: I don't know. I think they're all right. I mean,
- 41:14Speaker 1: twenty eight points even though they're like they're at home
- 41:17Speaker 1: against Tennessee. But twenty eight points against Tennessee ain't nothing
- 41:21Speaker 1: blake shape and is fine. He is a cheap option
- 41:24Speaker 1: in a good game environment. If you want to pay
- 41:26Speaker 1: down at quarterback. There's already a couple other paydown quarterbacks
- 41:30Speaker 1: that I like a little bit more. But it's a
- 41:32Speaker 1: leverage play, especially since teams have been scoring like UA
- 41:36Speaker 1: B scored on Tennessee in Knoxville, so if they can
- 41:39Speaker 1: do a soak in Mississippi State. At Mississippi State, this
- 41:43Speaker 1: running back room fluff Bothwell has been the guy lately,
- 41:47Speaker 1: but they've also had a group of five and FCS matchups,
- 41:50Speaker 1: so I did think he was the RB one coming
- 41:52Speaker 1: into the season. So at sub five K, I don't
- 41:56Speaker 1: mind him. But I also would not be surprised to
- 41:57Speaker 1: see Devon Booth get the usage in this game. At
- 42:00Speaker 1: forty seven hundred so it's kind of a coin flip
- 42:02Speaker 1: between these two. If I was gonna pick when, it
- 42:04Speaker 1: would be bothwell, but I don't know that I'm going there.
- 42:06Speaker 1: On the slate the wide receiver room, it's Evans and
- 42:09Speaker 1: Thompson at the top, and it's i mean not super
- 42:14Speaker 1: close after that, but both of them being subpi sub
- 42:17Speaker 1: five k, both averaging six plus targets a game, and
- 42:20Speaker 1: they have the big play potential. And again Tennessee has
- 42:23Speaker 1: been beaten through the air. So if you do want
- 42:25Speaker 1: to stack Mississippi State like a two wide receiver stack
- 42:28Speaker 1: wish shaping, if you think Thompson and Evans can get there,
- 42:31Speaker 1: there's a good chance they take shaping with them and
- 42:33Speaker 1: you can run it back with one of these Tennessee guys. Again,
- 42:36Speaker 1: Mississippi State being at home does give me the thought
- 42:39Speaker 1: that they could potentially keep it closer. But that's it
- 42:42Speaker 1: for this slate. Like I said, stackable game after stackable
- 42:46Speaker 1: game after stackable game. And then there's Iowa in Oklahoma
- 42:50Speaker 1: state even worse. But there's a lot of different ways
- 42:52Speaker 1: you can go. Again, a good slate for GPPs cash,
- 42:58Speaker 1: we might see ownership spread out a little bit more
- 43:00Speaker 1: than we normally would, but just again, just an awesome
- 43:03Speaker 1: time to be playing college football, which leads me right
- 43:07Speaker 1: into rule number one. College football is fun. Enjoy the process,
- 43:12Speaker 1: enjoy the sweat, enjoy watching college football, and just the
- 43:16Speaker 1: fact that we have the opportunity to play college football
- 43:18Speaker 1: at the FS. But most of all, don't take a
- 43:21Speaker 1: single day for granted, we don't get enough and we
- 43:24Speaker 1: never know when this one is going to be our last.
- 43:28Speaker 1: But for now, that's going to wrap up the show.
- 43:30Speaker 1: I will see you in the streets this weekend and
- 43:32Speaker 1: let's ship one for the big guy. Still