Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Wednesday, 06/17/26
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: All systems going clear the lifting.
- 0:41Speaker 2: What is going on ship at Nation YouTube station?
- 0:44Speaker 1: Back US Open week, we got day baseball, we got
- 0:47Speaker 1: night baseball. We got a full day of baseball like
- 0:49Speaker 1: we do each and every Wednesday. Really really good contest
- 0:52Speaker 1: actually for the early slate and now the main slate
- 0:55Speaker 1: as well on DraftKings. So kudos to DraftKings for stepping
- 0:58Speaker 1: up their game in the mb lobbies. I know there's
- 1:00Speaker 1: a lot of satellites for the US Open tomorrow. Hopefully
- 1:03Speaker 1: DK is quick to push the cash out button or
- 1:07Speaker 1: the payout button so you can get in there, and
- 1:10Speaker 1: hopefully not all the US Open contests are filled by
- 1:12Speaker 1: the end of baseball there, so you can get some
- 1:15Speaker 1: extra money in those streets. I know Tambo and Blicko
- 1:18Speaker 1: broke that down on Leverage Lane. That was a great
- 1:20Speaker 1: show this morning. It's right here on this YouTube channel.
- 1:23Speaker 1: If you did miss it, head over and give that
- 1:25Speaker 1: a follow or give that a look and watch that.
- 1:28Speaker 1: They spent about an hour and a half breaking down
- 1:30Speaker 1: the US Open and the potential carnage ahead for that
- 1:34Speaker 1: with potentially up to fifty mili hour winding gusts there,
- 1:36Speaker 1: so it should be a pretty fun weekend of golf
- 1:39Speaker 1: on an already tough track, So looking forward to that.
- 1:42Speaker 1: But hey, we got a win game at Wrigley again.
- 1:44Speaker 1: We got cut our health again with wind blown out,
- 1:46Speaker 1: hot temperatures. There Aaron Savali coming back in our lives.
- 1:51Speaker 1: Bucos didn't get the job done yesterday, but it's I
- 1:54Speaker 1: don't know. They feel like I can't miss spot here today,
- 1:57Speaker 1: gee Risen, But every time we say that, right, they
- 1:59Speaker 1: flat on their face. Any team. Look at the Mets yesterday,
- 2:03Speaker 1: you nailed that one. Now the Mets come back against
- 2:05Speaker 1: a better starting pitcher and Abbott who was chalk absolutely
- 2:10Speaker 1: lit him up for nine runs, but still no home
- 2:12Speaker 1: runs in that game. Marlins are dropping twelve runs on
- 2:15Speaker 1: the early slate there. Nationals are getting shut out against
- 2:19Speaker 1: a Villa who got lit up for seventy five runs
- 2:22Speaker 1: in the first inning against Houston last week. So hey,
- 2:25Speaker 1: we love this super super volatile game of baseball, especially
- 2:30Speaker 1: at this time of the year, g Rosen where we
- 2:32Speaker 1: do have good weather throughout the country overall, But looking
- 2:36Speaker 1: forward to kind of breaking this one down and uh yeah,
- 2:40Speaker 1: how was your uh, how's your Wednesday morning going? Look
- 2:43Speaker 1: at our Wednesday so far going, looking forward to talking
- 2:46Speaker 1: the seven game slate with you.
- 2:48Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean woke up a little extra cheese in
- 2:50Speaker 3: my pocket yesterday and it wasn't from DFS needs. I
- 2:53Speaker 3: had a you know, a bowl in the summertime, and
- 2:54Speaker 3: it's a pretty good league. We got up there and
- 2:57Speaker 3: shot a seven ninety series and won a pocket full
- 2:59Speaker 3: of cats, which was nice. So, uh, nice little pock fall.
- 3:03Speaker 3: I almost went to dispensary and spent and spent it
- 3:06Speaker 3: all till somebody called and I had to hurry up
- 3:08Speaker 3: and get home because the rain windows are open at
- 3:10Speaker 3: the house, or I'd have been in there having fun
- 3:12Speaker 3: like a fat kid in the bakery, that's for sure.
- 3:15Speaker 3: But uh, yeah, Maids, I mean Be's baseball. You summed
- 3:18Speaker 3: it up pretty much. I mean the Mets. I'm done
- 3:19Speaker 3: with the Mets. I already said yesterday. If they couldn't
- 3:21Speaker 3: hit Singer yesterday, forget it, man, I'm done. I'm cashing
- 3:25Speaker 3: out on them. You know, it's just I'm done. I
- 3:27Speaker 3: mean in the Red Sox are gonna be in that
- 3:29Speaker 3: same boat as you mentioned today, the matchup they have.
- 3:31Speaker 3: You know, they're gonna be putting that in that bucket
- 3:34Speaker 3: where I'm not gonna be wanting to play them either.
- 3:36Speaker 3: So uh yeah, I mean interesting slate we got, uh
- 3:40Speaker 3: you know, Gavin Williams against your Brewers. We got pitching.
- 3:43Speaker 3: It's just not very good. Uh you know, we got
- 3:46Speaker 3: the Wrigley win game again. You know, it's like kicking
- 3:49Speaker 3: yourself in the nuts playing the Cubs every damn day.
- 3:52Speaker 3: It's like zipping your dick up and the zippr and aids.
- 3:54Speaker 3: It just ain't fun. So you know, it's just it's baseball.
- 3:58Speaker 3: It's a lot of fun though, sure, that is for sure.
- 4:01Speaker 3: But you know we're gonna get back at it. We're
- 4:02Speaker 3: gonna get back up on the top of them leader
- 4:05Speaker 3: boards here today. So pretty excited about that. But yeah,
- 4:08Speaker 3: I mean tough one here today. Seven games. I think
- 4:11Speaker 3: what is there a difference too? Though, I don't think
- 4:13Speaker 3: the Giants game is on the Fanduels slate because I
- 4:16Speaker 3: know they got the early one. So we got a
- 4:18Speaker 3: little bit of unknowns there too. We don't know what
- 4:21Speaker 3: kind of lineup they're gonna have for this one here
- 4:23Speaker 3: this afternoon. I mean i'd assume that catchers ain't going
- 4:26Speaker 3: back to back. But yeah, I mean interesting slate we
- 4:29Speaker 3: got here in front of us. But yeah, let's get
- 4:32Speaker 3: into it and dive in. See what we can drum up.
- 4:36Speaker 1: Yeah, pretty good slate overall here in terms of pitching,
- 4:41Speaker 1: let's go ahead and add in our slate station here
- 4:45Speaker 1: two screen overlay. Go ahead and blow this up a
- 4:49Speaker 1: little bit here, let's go like that pitcher. We'll start
- 4:54Speaker 1: at the top. Rex n Ashcraft probably has some the
- 5:00Speaker 1: highest talent. Actually, I mean he's got a big pedigree.
- 5:03Speaker 1: He's been a good arm. Issue is is he's pitching
- 5:06Speaker 1: against the red hot as team in that weather and
- 5:09Speaker 1: the ballpark out there, and is the most expensive pitcher
- 5:12Speaker 1: ownership's gonna be held in check four? That reason you
- 5:14Speaker 1: got the three headed monster in the right underneath him,
- 5:17Speaker 1: Gavin Williams, George Kirby, Carlos Roddan. You see the core
- 5:20Speaker 1: tags there, Projections are all going to be there on them.
- 5:23Speaker 1: Those three look like the kind of broad slatee overview right,
- 5:27Speaker 1: it's those three pitchers. It's some Toronto bats in that
- 5:32Speaker 1: fenway due to their salaries, and then it's kind of
- 5:35Speaker 1: spreading out from there in terms of stacks, Atlanta a
- 5:38Speaker 1: little bit, Pirates Cubbies. That's kind of the broad slatee
- 5:43Speaker 1: overview there hard to argue with those three pitchers there,
- 5:46Speaker 1: Gavin Kirby, Rodin Brad it's gonna be a little bit
- 5:50Speaker 1: lower owned than them at eight to three.
- 5:52Speaker 2: Hit on those top five? How do you see that
- 5:54Speaker 2: top five?
- 5:55Speaker 1: And then we'll talk about the value guys on the
- 5:57Speaker 1: slate as well, which I do think have definitely a
- 6:02Speaker 1: place on the slate for sure to get played because
- 6:06Speaker 1: this top tier isn't isn't the best. It's better than
- 6:09Speaker 1: the early slate pitching was, but it's still not a
- 6:10Speaker 1: great pitching slate by any means. Talk to me, how
- 6:13Speaker 1: do you see these five arms up at the top,
- 6:15Speaker 1: Bradish up t Ashcraft.
- 6:18Speaker 3: Yeah, Ashcraft would be tough for me to click his name,
- 6:21Speaker 3: especially you mentioned as hot as the A's have been,
- 6:23Speaker 3: we don't like the park out there in Sacramento. Ashcraft
- 6:27Speaker 3: strikeout percentage is only twenty one percent to right e's
- 6:31Speaker 3: and then he's at thirty percent to lefties.
- 6:36Speaker 2: So you know, I Ashcraft's a good pitcher.
- 6:38Speaker 3: I just don't want to pay up nine to eight
- 6:42Speaker 3: in a Sacramento park for a pitcher, and when we
- 6:44Speaker 3: got some better options down below, so I'd be out
- 6:47Speaker 3: on Ashcraft today. I mean, he is a decent pivot
- 6:50Speaker 3: just because he's a good pitcher. Twenty six percent strikeout, right,
- 6:53Speaker 3: But I mean the A's don't have really that many
- 6:55Speaker 3: strikeouts in their lineup, which does kind of worry me.
- 6:57Speaker 3: They got three bats over the twenty two percent, Kurtz,
- 7:01Speaker 3: Geeloff and Butler, and then after that everybody's in the teens.
- 7:05Speaker 3: Cortes is the low at nine percent. But yeah, so
- 7:09Speaker 3: I'm just not really all enamored with Ashcraft in his
- 7:12Speaker 3: matchup there now Gavin Williams, I think it is interesting here.
- 7:17Speaker 3: I mean, I don't really like picking on your Brewers.
- 7:19Speaker 3: I mean, I just I don't. I don't like that
- 7:22Speaker 3: at all, really, I mean that's another scary proposition. But
- 7:25Speaker 3: you do have a game sitting at a total with
- 7:27Speaker 3: seven and a half. Williams does have some ground balling.
- 7:30Speaker 3: He's forty six percent to the left, forty seven percent
- 7:33Speaker 3: to the right. We know I talk about all the
- 7:35Speaker 3: time Brewers beat the ball into the ground quite a bit.
- 7:39Speaker 3: His strikeout percentages twenty nine percent to the left, twenty
- 7:42Speaker 3: seven percent to the right. There are a few guys
- 7:44Speaker 3: with some ks in this lineup, Yeallich at thirty percent,
- 7:47Speaker 3: Bowers twenty six percent, Garrett Mitchell thirty six and then
- 7:51Speaker 3: you got Cheerio Terrang. Uh they're all above that twenty
- 7:54Speaker 3: two percent rank. So you got five bats in here
- 7:57Speaker 3: he could get to. But uh, I mean it's just
- 8:01Speaker 3: it's picking on the Brewers, right, I mean, the one
- 8:03Speaker 3: of their better teams in baseball. Gavin Williams, sure, I
- 8:05Speaker 3: just think there's a risk to it. I do think
- 8:08Speaker 3: he's got some strikeout upside in that game. But as
- 8:11Speaker 3: I said, the matchup there isn't something that I'm all
- 8:15Speaker 3: too thrilled about. And then you know the two sites.
- 8:18Speaker 3: I think Kirby's going to be more popular on FanDuel
- 8:20Speaker 3: than he will be on DK. I mean, you look
- 8:23Speaker 3: at Kirby, what he's been bringing. I mean, he did
- 8:25Speaker 3: have a decent outing against the same Orioles last time.
- 8:28Speaker 3: He got ten ks, so I think that is is interesting.
- 8:32Speaker 3: I mean him being out in Seattle is another, you
- 8:35Speaker 3: know thing that I like. Here, he's at twenty four
- 8:37Speaker 3: percent to the right side, but he's gonna see a
- 8:40Speaker 3: handful of lefties obviously on this with the Orioles team here,
- 8:44Speaker 3: So I mean he's got a decent ground balling. He's
- 8:46Speaker 3: at fifty three fifty four percent, so I do like that.
- 8:50Speaker 3: He has been getting burrowed up more Kirby from the
- 8:54Speaker 3: right side, So you know, I think Kirby's in a
- 8:58Speaker 3: decent safe matchup. We like the park. I do like
- 9:01Speaker 3: him more on FanDuel than on DK. I mean, he's
- 9:04Speaker 3: he's only nine k on FanDuel. He's ninety three on FanDuel,
- 9:08Speaker 3: nine K on DK, so he's a little a little
- 9:11Speaker 3: bit more reasonable over there.
- 9:13Speaker 2: Now.
- 9:13Speaker 3: I think the guy that I'm really kind of looking
- 9:15Speaker 3: at that kind of has just been standing out to
- 9:17Speaker 3: me is Redone. I know he's a scary click sometime,
- 9:21Speaker 3: especially against the White Sox, who've been pretty good. But
- 9:23Speaker 3: I'll tell you, I mean Redon's problem has been his walks,
- 9:27Speaker 3: So he's got a lot is walk rate the right
- 9:29Speaker 3: He's is at sixteen percent. I mean, that's that's pretty ridiculous.
- 9:34Speaker 3: So but you look at this lineup here that the
- 9:37Speaker 3: White Sox are rolling out, they don't have too many
- 9:39Speaker 3: patient hitters in that lineup, so I think that's gonna
- 9:42Speaker 3: be an edge to Radon there. He's been pitching very
- 9:45Speaker 3: well here recent times, so I don't mind this matchup
- 9:49Speaker 3: here against the White Sox. Radon's last four starts out
- 9:52Speaker 3: twenty one, twenty two, eighteen and nineteen points on DK.
- 9:56Speaker 3: So I think this matchup is one that I'm I'm
- 10:00Speaker 3: willing to look at. I like it better than the
- 10:02Speaker 3: other ones that we're looking at that I just spoke about. So,
- 10:07Speaker 3: you know, I just nothing really stands out. Let's just
- 10:11Speaker 3: get that out on the table for me. But I
- 10:12Speaker 3: think Radon in this lineup, for me, I don't think
- 10:14Speaker 3: he's gonna be as owned as the other So I
- 10:16Speaker 3: do like that just for that, and it's case and
- 10:19Speaker 3: its own. But you know, and then you look at
- 10:21Speaker 3: Bradish here, the dude's just been you just don't know
- 10:24Speaker 3: what you're getting out of this guy. I mean, he's
- 10:27Speaker 3: he's just not been all that consistent. I'm just really
- 10:31Speaker 3: concerned about is his last couple starts he's been bad.
- 10:34Speaker 3: I mean, dudes, gave up ten eer and runs in
- 10:36Speaker 3: his last couple starts. And I mean it's only been
- 10:39Speaker 3: like eight innings too, so he hasn't been really good.
- 10:41Speaker 3: I'm not an an all a fan of Bradish at all.
- 10:44Speaker 3: I think i'd cross him out in eights but above that,
- 10:47Speaker 3: I mean, for me, what we're kind of looking at.
- 10:49Speaker 3: I just think Radon's Redon is for me is the
- 10:52Speaker 3: guy that I put up above the three. I do
- 10:55Speaker 3: like Kirby Moore on FanDuel than I do on DK.
- 10:58Speaker 3: I think Williams is interesting. It's just hard to pick
- 11:01Speaker 3: on your brewers, man, I mean, it just really is.
- 11:04Speaker 3: So pitching isn't all that great. I think there's some
- 11:07Speaker 3: guys down below that I might be interested in too.
- 11:11Speaker 3: But I think maybe you could play two of the
- 11:13Speaker 3: three that you mentioned up at top. I think that's
- 11:15Speaker 3: gonna be fairly chalky. I wouldn't doubt if all those
- 11:18Speaker 3: dudes are around like the thirty percent range after it's
- 11:21Speaker 3: all said and done. So I think those three are
- 11:23Speaker 3: all gonna be probably and most people's lineup one of
- 11:25Speaker 3: the three, two of the three, and probably a good
- 11:28Speaker 3: half of the lineups. And then you might see some
- 11:31Speaker 3: guys like down there, like you know, Sprote might get
- 11:34Speaker 3: some love down below, Asad might get some love down below.
- 11:37Speaker 3: So I think, you know, pitching to me is kind
- 11:40Speaker 3: of tight. I probably play maybe five guys today out
- 11:43Speaker 3: of the fourteen we have, But I think Redone sticks out.
- 11:48Speaker 3: I just think he's in a better spot for me,
- 11:51Speaker 3: so for Radon for me.
- 11:52Speaker 1: Number one, Yeah, I agree pretty much all hardly with you.
- 11:58Speaker 2: Carlos.
- 11:59Speaker 1: Redon is my favorite. You're just you know what you're
- 12:02Speaker 1: getting right. He typically isn't gonna get beat up. He's
- 12:05Speaker 1: gonna kind of go his near one hundred pitches. The
- 12:08Speaker 1: Yankee should have run support behind him facing Anthony k
- 12:12Speaker 1: and that White Sox bullpend behind him, so he has
- 12:14Speaker 1: a chance to get you the win. You look at
- 12:17Speaker 1: his k prop five and a half minus one fifty
- 12:19Speaker 1: seven on the over his outs prop sitting at sixteen
- 12:22Speaker 1: and a half as well, which is pretty solid.
- 12:25Speaker 2: So for me, he is my clear sp one.
- 12:27Speaker 1: On the slate, ownership between Gavin Williams, Rodin and Kirby
- 12:31Speaker 1: is all gonna be forty to forty five percent. I
- 12:33Speaker 1: would say maybe it goes up a little bit in
- 12:36Speaker 1: like the high stake single entry. You're probably gonna see
- 12:39Speaker 1: Rodin and Kirby is kind of the chalkier pairing just
- 12:42Speaker 1: because people are a little worried.
- 12:45Speaker 2: Like you mentioned, right, it's a right handed pitcher against
- 12:48Speaker 2: the Brewers, right.
- 12:48Speaker 1: I know it's Gavin Williams, but Gavin Williams can also
- 12:51Speaker 1: get get get on himself, right, I mean, and gee
- 12:56Speaker 1: raismand we don't talk about it a lot either, but
- 12:58Speaker 1: it's it's a lot harder for obviously. I don't know, right,
- 13:02Speaker 1: I'm not a major league pitcher, but it seems like it.
- 13:06Speaker 1: It just adds extra stress to your starting pitcher when
- 13:10Speaker 1: you know you have to have your best stuff facing
- 13:12Speaker 1: a lineup that does hit right handed pitching as good
- 13:14Speaker 1: as the Brewers do.
- 13:15Speaker 2: I know they hit the ball in the ground a lot, but.
- 13:17Speaker 1: Not only that, the offensive lineup that you have behind you, right,
- 13:21Speaker 1: you know you're not gonna score a shit ton of
- 13:22Speaker 1: runs because there's no j Ram the latter is probably
- 13:25Speaker 1: not in there.
- 13:26Speaker 2: I mean, it's just not a great lineup overall.
- 13:29Speaker 1: So now you have to pitch your ass off against
- 13:32Speaker 1: the team who hits right handed pitching good to even
- 13:34Speaker 1: try and stay in this game. Right, So, I don't
- 13:37Speaker 1: know if there's anything to that. There's probably not, right,
- 13:40Speaker 1: but I do think it's it's fairly interesting there, just
- 13:46Speaker 1: to say it. So for me, Gavin Williams is kind
- 13:48Speaker 1: of third behind Kirby and Rodin. I'm gonna have all
- 13:51Speaker 1: three of them in my pool productions with stay, Gavin
- 13:55Speaker 1: is kind of the chalk. In my one hundred and
- 13:57Speaker 1: fifty bild I got a seventy percent Gavin Williams, sixty
- 14:01Speaker 1: four percent Carlos Rodon, and then fifty seven percent George Kirby.
- 14:05Speaker 1: Outside of that, nobody else really hit anything, So it's
- 14:08Speaker 1: the three headed race there. I do have a little
- 14:10Speaker 1: bit more interest in Bradish than you, just number one,
- 14:13Speaker 1: the ballpark out there in Seattle compared to the other
- 14:17Speaker 1: spots on the slate, and how weak the pitching slate is.
- 14:20Speaker 1: You look at Bradish's props five and a half k prop,
- 14:23Speaker 1: it is juice to the under there, but that's pretty
- 14:26Speaker 1: good for this slate. Sixteen and a half out's prop.
- 14:29Speaker 1: That's pretty equal juice on the over and the under there.
- 14:32Speaker 1: So the props in Vegas don't tend to don't don't
- 14:37Speaker 1: tend to be too worried about Kyle Bradish. He's our
- 14:40Speaker 1: fourth ranked pitcher on the slate as well, behind Gavin
- 14:44Speaker 1: and Ashcraft and radon there. So for me, I do
- 14:49Speaker 1: like him, and then I think Brett Ashcraft is kind
- 14:51Speaker 1: of interesting as well. I know the ballpark there, but
- 14:54Speaker 1: just a net in retrospect of the slate. We saw
- 14:57Speaker 1: what's his face for the Pirates out red hot yesterday
- 15:01Speaker 1: and get some strikeouts. I think Ashcraft has better stuff
- 15:04Speaker 1: and he's a better pitcher than the young kid going
- 15:07Speaker 1: who threw yesterday that ended up obviously not working out and.
- 15:12Speaker 2: Did get beat around a little bit.
- 15:14Speaker 1: But in tournaments on a slate where pitching is pretty weak,
- 15:18Speaker 1: I mean five and a half k prop, he's which
- 15:23Speaker 1: is pretty solid on this slate, sixteen and a half
- 15:26Speaker 1: out prop minus one thirty six on the over, so
- 15:29Speaker 1: they expect him to go right around that that five
- 15:32Speaker 1: six inning mark or six inning mark.
- 15:35Speaker 2: I think he's pretty interesting overall.
- 15:37Speaker 1: To me, they're expecting him to go six in this
- 15:40Speaker 1: ballpark there, and you're gonna get some leverage I think
- 15:45Speaker 1: too on him, and he's gonna be he's one pitcher
- 15:48Speaker 1: up in this top tier that I mean, even Bradish
- 15:50Speaker 1: is gonna be doubled ownership. I think of a of
- 15:52Speaker 1: a guy like Ashcraft, right, and we talked about Kyle Bradish, right,
- 15:56Speaker 1: He's given up a million runs in eight innings over
- 15:59Speaker 1: over his last couple starts there. So for me, I
- 16:02Speaker 1: probably ranked this top tier. Carlos for Don George Kirby, Ashcraft,
- 16:09Speaker 1: Williams Bradish. But I do think you can keep all
- 16:12Speaker 1: five personally in your pool, just because I think the Williams,
- 16:16Speaker 1: Kirby Rodan trio is going to be so heavily owned
- 16:19Speaker 1: that Ashcraft and Bratish do have a spot definitely on
- 16:21Speaker 1: the slate at their salaries. It's not super hard to
- 16:25Speaker 1: afford any of them because of the way the slate
- 16:27Speaker 1: chuck shakes up, and we do have cheap bats in
- 16:30Speaker 1: this lineup, but I do think all five are in play.
- 16:33Speaker 1: Get my rankings there below eight K. It's pretty gross
- 16:37Speaker 1: pretty quickly. Not really messing with Anthony K against the Yankees,
- 16:41Speaker 1: even though you don't love the Yankees lineup, especially without
- 16:45Speaker 1: Aaron Judge in that against the lefty Anthony K has
- 16:48Speaker 1: shown sides of upside there in general, if you really
- 16:52Speaker 1: wanted to get gross, I think he could mess around
- 16:54Speaker 1: with him. Four and a half K prop juice to
- 16:56Speaker 1: be over outs. Prop sitting at fourteen and a half
- 17:00Speaker 1: juice to be over there. So you're probably looking at
- 17:02Speaker 1: five innings. You're hoping for five innings in right around
- 17:07Speaker 1: that five to six strikeout mark, which he could get
- 17:09Speaker 1: there seven. K think he has a spot on the slate.
- 17:14Speaker 1: I'd rather play him than a guy like Grant Holmes.
- 17:16Speaker 1: Jake Bennett out on him. The two main guys you're
- 17:18Speaker 1: looking at below A K or Javier Asad gets a
- 17:21Speaker 1: match up against the Rockies win game in regularly does
- 17:24Speaker 1: scare you. But it is sixty degrees there, not great
- 17:27Speaker 1: hitting environments. Obviously, it's all backed by the wind. It's
- 17:31Speaker 1: still ten total there. I think I'd rather mess around
- 17:33Speaker 1: with a guy like Anthony and K then Javier Asad.
- 17:36Speaker 1: Brandon Sprot's my favorite guy down here. Just this Guardian's
- 17:39Speaker 1: lineup on paper is disgusting, especially without Jay ram in there.
- 17:43Speaker 1: You just saw Robert Gasser, who I think is a
- 17:45Speaker 1: worst pitcher, then Brandon Sprote. I know Gaser throws from
- 17:49Speaker 1: the left side, Sprot throws from the right side. But
- 17:51Speaker 1: I do think Sprot is a solid real life arm.
- 17:53Speaker 1: He has a solid pedigree. I think the Brewers they're
- 17:56Speaker 1: they're great obviously at developing young arms in general.
- 17:59Speaker 2: And he's fifty eight hundred dollars on this slate.
- 18:01Speaker 1: So for me, he'd be my favorite guy if I
- 18:05Speaker 1: was punting, and I really think it's him and Rodin
- 18:08Speaker 1: I think is kind of my favorite pairing in general.
- 18:12Speaker 1: But I'll let you kind of break down this lower tier.
- 18:14Speaker 1: For me, it's really Sproute. Anthony k Javiersad are kind
- 18:17Speaker 1: of three guys, and I think I'll have a spot
- 18:19Speaker 1: on the slate.
- 18:19Speaker 2: I did want to call it.
- 18:20Speaker 1: Max Scherzer did get placed on the fifteen day, I
- 18:24Speaker 1: l so he did get scratched. It's going to be
- 18:26Speaker 1: more of a bullpen game for Toronto. So when we
- 18:28Speaker 1: get to bats, obviously, that's going to probably take myself,
- 18:32Speaker 1: you and a lot of people off the Red Sox stack,
- 18:35Speaker 1: which looked pretty good against Max Scherzer and the corpse
- 18:37Speaker 1: of that. But he woke up with back spasms because
- 18:39Speaker 1: he's ninety seven years old and probably got some back
- 18:42Speaker 1: spasms trying to get out of bed this morning.
- 18:44Speaker 2: So go ahead and break down this lower tiers.
- 18:47Speaker 3: Man, leave the old guys alone.
- 18:48Speaker 2: Needs.
- 18:49Speaker 3: I mean, it is tough. Sometimes you get old man,
- 18:51Speaker 3: you're doing shit, you like move around, You're like, what
- 18:54Speaker 3: the hell I pulled something in my back? How the
- 18:56Speaker 3: hell did I do that? Picking up the golf ball
- 18:58Speaker 3: or something stupid? You know, you you get hold real quick.
- 19:01Speaker 1: What's funny about that is I'm thirty and last year
- 19:04Speaker 1: I ended up in the er because my back went
- 19:06Speaker 1: out because I was pulling my clubs, my golf clubs
- 19:09Speaker 1: out of the bay or out of my back of
- 19:11Speaker 1: my jeep at five thirty in the morning, and my
- 19:15Speaker 1: back went out, and then I went to the doctor,
- 19:18Speaker 1: got figured out, and then it went out again at night,
- 19:20Speaker 1: ended up in the er.
- 19:21Speaker 2: So I totally get it. I played golf every day.
- 19:24Speaker 1: I'd like to think I'm pretty athletic overall, and my
- 19:28Speaker 1: back still went out, So I can't imagine what it's
- 19:30Speaker 1: like for ninety seven year old Max Shure's are trying
- 19:33Speaker 1: to get up on a.
- 19:33Speaker 3: Bed so either pain so bad and turned his eyes
- 19:36Speaker 3: two different colors, you know, I mean either way? But yeah,
- 19:38Speaker 3: I always like that. How many dogs are named Max?
- 19:40Speaker 3: They got two different color eyes. Always every dog comes
- 19:43Speaker 3: up to me. It's like that shepherd sheep dog or
- 19:46Speaker 3: something Australian sheep dog, like a fuzzy black and white
- 19:49Speaker 3: when every one of them dogs seemed like they have
- 19:51Speaker 3: two different color eyes. They're all named Max, it seems like.
- 19:54Speaker 3: But either way, I mean down below NDEs, I mean,
- 19:57Speaker 3: it's it is some thin ass picking. I mean, you
- 19:59Speaker 3: look at it. I mean, you got the win game,
- 20:01Speaker 3: you got the Rockies. He's sixty three hundred. But the dude,
- 20:05Speaker 3: I mean, he's his swinging strike rate is is really low.
- 20:10Speaker 3: His strikeout rate is low. I mean, I'm not sure
- 20:13Speaker 3: if I want to buy into him or not. I'd
- 20:16Speaker 3: rather really play Sprot. To be honest with you, I
- 20:18Speaker 3: mean that Indians lineup is trash, especially as you mentioned
- 20:22Speaker 3: without jay Ram. I mean, they are just not good
- 20:24Speaker 3: at all. Pretty lucky as a Tiger fan to be
- 20:26Speaker 3: struggling as bad as they are, and then jay Ram
- 20:28Speaker 3: go out that just pretty much took the wind out
- 20:30Speaker 3: of the sail of the Indians. So you know, I
- 20:33Speaker 3: definitely would be interested in Sprot. You got a game
- 20:36Speaker 3: sitting at seven and a half, so you know, we
- 20:39Speaker 3: don't mind that is k Prop is four and a half.
- 20:41Speaker 3: So I think Sprot's the guy that I'd kind of
- 20:43Speaker 3: be looking at. Other than that, I mean you mentioned k.
- 20:48Speaker 3: I mean, Kay's got a decent K percentage against Left East.
- 20:51Speaker 3: He's got two guys in that lineup he's gonna see
- 20:54Speaker 3: that he should be able to strike out Ben Rice
- 20:56Speaker 3: and Jazz Chisholm. They're all twenty seven percent for Rice
- 20:59Speaker 3: and Chishom's at thirty one percent strike out rights. I
- 21:02Speaker 3: mean he's got a couple guys in there that he
- 21:04Speaker 3: could get to. He had a decent start last time
- 21:06Speaker 3: actually ended up pitching pretty well, so got his first
- 21:11Speaker 3: I think that was his first win. No, maybe it wasn't,
- 21:13Speaker 3: but uh so, I mean, Kay isn't played. I think
- 21:16Speaker 3: Richie's kind of interesting too. Against against San fran I mean,
- 21:20Speaker 3: I don't really love it. We don't know what kind
- 21:23Speaker 3: of lineup they're gonna throw out either of that second game.
- 21:25Speaker 3: So I think, you know, Richie, I mean he's had
- 21:28Speaker 3: a couple of decent starts his last time out. I
- 21:31Speaker 3: mean he's got well, he had, let me back up,
- 21:33Speaker 3: he had eighteen points his last time out at sixty
- 21:36Speaker 3: five hundred. If he gives me six eighteen points, nineteen
- 21:39Speaker 3: points on this one here, I feel pretty good about it.
- 21:42Speaker 3: But I mean pitching's kind of ugly. I think that's
- 21:44Speaker 3: why you're gonna see those top three guys up there
- 21:47Speaker 3: played quite a bit after. You know, even these guys,
- 21:50Speaker 3: I can't really go anywhere else. I'm not interested. I
- 21:53Speaker 3: think got a couple of bullpen games. But for me,
- 21:56Speaker 3: I think down below would be sprote and then I
- 21:59Speaker 3: think i'd Richie Kane, then maybe a side. I think
- 22:02Speaker 3: I just kind of leave a side alone. But he's
- 22:04Speaker 3: in play today. I just don't love it. Rocky seemed
- 22:06Speaker 3: to be hitting pretty well, and this seems like anything
- 22:09Speaker 3: associated with the Cubs here in recent time, it's just
- 22:12Speaker 3: not been fun.
- 22:14Speaker 1: Yeah. I just I think AD's gonna be the guy
- 22:16Speaker 1: people click just because they people have been streamlined pitchers
- 22:19Speaker 1: against the Rockies, But you actually look at the matchup
- 22:21Speaker 1: here g Risen, especially over the last thirty days. I
- 22:23Speaker 1: know it's inflated, but Rockies below average strikeout right against
- 22:27Speaker 1: right hand and pitching hes so numbers north to two hundred.
- 22:32Speaker 2: I don't know. I just think I don't think ASD's
- 22:35Speaker 2: a great pitcher.
- 22:35Speaker 1: He's got a sixteen percent strikeo right this season to
- 22:38Speaker 1: both sides of the plate.
- 22:39Speaker 2: I'd rather play a guy like Anthony k The props
- 22:41Speaker 2: are better.
- 22:42Speaker 1: He's unowned against the Chalky or Yankee stack, and he's
- 22:47Speaker 1: got four and a half k prop juice to the
- 22:49Speaker 1: over there. So I just and he's not dealing with
- 22:51Speaker 1: the win game. In Wrigley, So I don't know. I
- 22:54Speaker 1: think I definitely have downside ristasd. I'd just rather play
- 22:58Speaker 1: Brandon Sprote over any of these guys down here. Even
- 23:02Speaker 1: when you look at this Cleveland lineup, even if Bazana's
- 23:05Speaker 1: in there, Chase to Laudermanzardo or in there she min
- 23:09Speaker 1: if those guys are.
- 23:10Speaker 2: In there, I mean, you're not really worried.
- 23:12Speaker 1: Brandon Sprolt's actually been better against the lefties in terms
- 23:14Speaker 1: of strikeouts this year. He does get some walks, but
- 23:17Speaker 1: this team just doesn't walk at all. I mean they're
- 23:19Speaker 1: very They're not a patient offense. I mean Bailey five percent,
- 23:22Speaker 1: zero percent, for Arius six percent, for Kwan Seenaman five percent,
- 23:26Speaker 1: Hoskins seven percent, the laud Or six, Rochio seven percent.
- 23:30Speaker 1: The only guy that's really patient at the play is
- 23:32Speaker 1: Kyle Menzarto right, and he strikes out at him some
- 23:35Speaker 1: forty percent rates. So either it's gonna be a walk
- 23:38Speaker 1: or a home run, it seems like, or a strikeout, right,
- 23:40Speaker 1: there's really no in between, it seems like at this
- 23:42Speaker 1: point for a guy like Kyle Menzardo against right hand
- 23:44Speaker 1: and pitching. So I'll take Brandon Sprots twenty four percent
- 23:47Speaker 1: kight against lefties, and he's gonna see probably seven probably
- 23:53Speaker 1: seven lefties here where he's actually better in terms of strikeouts,
- 23:55Speaker 1: and that's what we want in terms of dfs. And
- 23:58Speaker 1: the dude's fifty eight hundred dollars. So for me, I
- 24:01Speaker 1: just see it hard not to play a guy like
- 24:02Speaker 1: Brandon Sproute on the slate. I know he's gonna be
- 24:04Speaker 1: around twenty percent on, but those guys up at the
- 24:06Speaker 1: top are gonna be fifty per so.
- 24:08Speaker 2: And most teams, most people aren't even gonna mess with
- 24:10Speaker 2: the lower tier.
- 24:11Speaker 1: They're gonna play two of those three guys because it's
- 24:14Speaker 1: easy to fit pretty much any team you want on
- 24:17Speaker 1: the slate in terms of stacks. So for me, that's
- 24:20Speaker 1: kind of how I see the lower tier. And Anthony
- 24:22Speaker 1: Kay is kind of my sleeper guy down here. I
- 24:24Speaker 1: think he's really interesting. I get the reasoning for j
- 24:26Speaker 1: Richie there. You got to see what this lineup looks
- 24:29Speaker 1: like for the Giants on the second second leg of
- 24:33Speaker 1: the back to back. After that game got waxed in
- 24:36Speaker 1: the second inning when who Baldwin hit a bomb in
- 24:40Speaker 1: the first inning and then.
- 24:42Speaker 2: What's his face in the outfield?
- 24:43Speaker 1: Too hit hit a bomb, the praise are off at
- 24:47Speaker 1: running and then that game gets waxed, and you want
- 24:50Speaker 1: to talk about just the total fuck up by Atlanta there,
- 24:52Speaker 1: gee rise and I mean it was a clear tarp
- 24:54Speaker 1: the field, wait for the storm to pass and then
- 24:56Speaker 1: play the game, and they didn't even tarp the field
- 24:59Speaker 1: at all, and then the infield got too fucking soggy
- 25:02Speaker 1: that they couldn't play the damn game, and then they
- 25:04Speaker 1: put the tarpa on way too late.
- 25:05Speaker 3: Like what the hell, what the hell are you doing?
- 25:07Speaker 1: Who they They definitely had no intentions of playing that
- 25:10Speaker 1: stupid game. You can't tell you can't tell me some
- 25:13Speaker 1: some guys that are virtually looking at radars and that
- 25:16Speaker 1: can make better decisions than your local fields crew. It's
- 25:19Speaker 1: just seemed like that they were just kind of punted,
- 25:21Speaker 1: punting that game off. After I saw Ross's tweet and
- 25:25Speaker 1: some of the stuff on Twitter talking about that, I
- 25:28Speaker 1: thought that was pretty pretty shocking move there by Truest
- 25:31Speaker 1: Truest Park's grounds crew. Overall, maybe they wanted the fucking
- 25:34Speaker 1: night off right and said, yeah, this is let's let's
- 25:37Speaker 1: just mail it in and go to uh, go to
- 25:39Speaker 1: the I had a party man too, right, something like that.
- 25:44Speaker 3: Yeah, but yeah pitching William Hood. Here about wizen Hunt.
- 25:48Speaker 3: So wizen Hunt is coming up from the miners Sacramento.
- 25:53Speaker 3: He pitched down in Sacramento, so we know about that
- 25:55Speaker 3: park in Sacramento, right. His era is pretty low. It
- 25:58Speaker 3: was I'm only like three sixty five. He had a
- 26:00Speaker 3: pretty good strikeout to walk ratio. But I'll tell you what.
- 26:04Speaker 3: Last year he came up and started five games for
- 26:07Speaker 3: the for the Giants' aids. Five games start, a five
- 26:11Speaker 3: point zero, a five point one era. He pitched twenty
- 26:14Speaker 3: three innings. In those twenty three innings, he gave up
- 26:17Speaker 3: twenty two hits, fourteen runs, thirteen earned six homers.
- 26:22Speaker 2: And he walked twelve dudes.
- 26:24Speaker 3: Not a very good pass last year to come up,
- 26:28Speaker 3: He's just coming up on a spot start. He's gonna
- 26:30Speaker 3: get sent right back down. So I'm a little concerned
- 26:34Speaker 3: about that. I think the Brads are too good of
- 26:35Speaker 3: a lineup to be fucking around with a guy like
- 26:37Speaker 3: wizen Hunt who isn't even really on the Giants. He's
- 26:40Speaker 3: just getting thrown in there because of the doubleheader they
- 26:43Speaker 3: had today. So I lay some serious caution at that one.
- 26:48Speaker 3: I mean it's just a big risk. We'll call that
- 26:51Speaker 3: one the whiskey bottle play if you want one, Naids.
- 26:54Speaker 3: But yeah, I think that one would be a tough go.
- 26:57Speaker 3: But you know, if you want to risk it, there
- 26:59Speaker 3: isn't really anything the slate. I feel like it's gonna
- 27:01Speaker 3: crush you tonight on the pitch and mound. So I mean,
- 27:04Speaker 3: this is a day that you can take some chances
- 27:06Speaker 3: like that and feel a little better about it. Then
- 27:08Speaker 3: when you got some like heavy hitters up at the
- 27:10Speaker 3: top that you know can just bury you if they
- 27:12Speaker 3: get ten or twelve strikeouts, I don't really think we
- 27:14Speaker 3: have that here today. So you know, I Radone and
- 27:19Speaker 3: Williams maybe could get up there, but I just don't
- 27:21Speaker 3: see it happen.
- 27:21Speaker 1: In the day. Yeah, I just I just don't think
- 27:25Speaker 1: you needed at sixty four hundred when we have sprot
- 27:27Speaker 1: cheaper than him. I'd rather play wizend Hunt than a
- 27:30Speaker 1: guy like Javy or Sad. I think at ownership basically
- 27:33Speaker 1: at the exact same price point, or just find the
- 27:36Speaker 1: four hundred dollars.
- 27:37Speaker 2: And go to the other side of the game.
- 27:38Speaker 1: And a guy like Jay Richie who's been a major
- 27:40Speaker 1: league starter this whole year and not just getting thrown
- 27:42Speaker 1: into the fire. Hey, go face one of the best
- 27:44Speaker 1: offenses in baseball at on the road here, because we
- 27:47Speaker 1: need an arm to soak up innings on a dumb
- 27:50Speaker 1: back to back right, so I think you could. I
- 27:53Speaker 1: just I don't love it for me. Pitching's pretty pretty thin.
- 27:56Speaker 1: Rodan Sprote my two favorite arms. And then I'll mess
- 28:00Speaker 1: round with Ashcraft, Williams, Bradish, Anthony k is kind of
- 28:05Speaker 1: how I'm I'm looking at. I don't really like many
- 28:08Speaker 1: of those other guys overall, so kind of those six
- 28:11Speaker 1: main guys that that I'm looking at definitely focused around
- 28:15Speaker 1: Carlos Rodan. Let's jump over here. Let me go ahead
- 28:19Speaker 1: and bring this back down a little bit and share
- 28:23Speaker 1: this tab instead. Talk about your mets. There they hit
- 28:27Speaker 1: their they hit the run total first time in about
- 28:29Speaker 1: six weeks, so that was good for them. On the
- 28:31Speaker 1: early slate there, I saw Kevin McGonagall just hit a
- 28:34Speaker 1: home run there in.
- 28:35Speaker 2: That Tigers get Tiger's early game.
- 28:38Speaker 1: But let's go and talk the main slate here, g Risen,
- 28:42Speaker 1: We're gonna have to get this updated.
- 28:43Speaker 2: We still have Max Scherzer in here.
- 28:45Speaker 1: He did get placed on the I L and we
- 28:48Speaker 1: have an updated Chad Dallas's gonna start. It's gonna be
- 28:50Speaker 1: a bullpen game for the Blue Jays, really good bullpen.
- 28:53Speaker 1: White Red Sox are a shitty offense in general. I
- 28:56Speaker 1: was gonna like them against Max Scherzer just because the
- 28:59Speaker 1: dude get anybody out. He's throwing kickballs up there. And
- 29:02Speaker 1: it's good hitting environment here in Fenway. Temperatures in Fenway
- 29:07Speaker 1: about eighty degrees nine to twelve mile hour wins blown
- 29:10Speaker 1: straight out to left center field, so we know it's
- 29:12Speaker 1: above average place to pit or to hit. Excuse me,
- 29:16Speaker 1: gonna be I mean Jake Bennett lefty going for the
- 29:19Speaker 1: Red Sox, George Springer, Vlad back in here, Okamoto, Alejandra
- 29:24Speaker 1: Kirk helps them against the lefty.
- 29:25Speaker 2: I think the Blue Jays have a spot on the slate.
- 29:27Speaker 1: The issue is I just hate playing into Blue Jay's
- 29:30Speaker 1: team with ownership they this team has been abysmal all year.
- 29:37Speaker 1: I think they're they're definitely have a spot on the
- 29:39Speaker 1: slate against a guy like Jake Bennett, But talk to
- 29:41Speaker 1: me here. The first game to kick us off not
- 29:43Speaker 1: a game that I love overall. With some other spots
- 29:47Speaker 1: in the slate. But how do you see this one?
- 29:49Speaker 3: Yeah, the first thing that stood out to me with
- 29:51Speaker 3: Jake Bennett is fifty played appearance. He's only had sixty
- 29:54Speaker 3: five played appearances all year, but fifty of them been
- 29:56Speaker 3: to the right side. So he's kind of one of them,
- 29:58Speaker 3: you know, righty specialists, being a left e there. But
- 30:01Speaker 3: his k rate is eight percent against righties like that
- 30:05Speaker 3: is not very good. So I think, you know, guys
- 30:09Speaker 3: like Springer Okamoto, I think, are and play Guerrero, But
- 30:15Speaker 3: I mean he's got a pretty heavy groundball lean man.
- 30:17Speaker 3: I mean, this dude's at seventy two percent so far
- 30:20Speaker 3: the left side, fifty three percent to the right side,
- 30:22Speaker 3: So I mean he's a ground ball pitcher. But he
- 30:26Speaker 3: has been getting buriled up a little bit and buy
- 30:27Speaker 3: some righties too, which is kind of interesting. I you know,
- 30:29Speaker 3: I do like the Blue Jays a little bit. They
- 30:32Speaker 3: got a game total nine and a half coming out
- 30:34Speaker 3: the game at six forty five. You get throw in
- 30:36Speaker 3: a couple of Blue Jays, see see how they get,
- 30:40Speaker 3: see how they do for you before we get into
- 30:41Speaker 3: some of this later window. But uh, I think Springer
- 30:45Speaker 3: stands out Guerrero. I think I'd like it more of
- 30:47Speaker 3: a mini stack, but I mean, you got some wind
- 30:50Speaker 3: gonna be blown out, a little bit, ten mile an
- 30:52Speaker 3: hour wind blown out to left field, So I think that,
- 30:56Speaker 3: you know, that just makes it interesting for me. But
- 30:58Speaker 3: it is a bullpen. I mean, I think both of them,
- 31:01Speaker 3: you're not going to see both pitchers really go too long.
- 31:03Speaker 3: So as you mentioned, I'm not really interested in any
- 31:06Speaker 3: of the Red Sox. I mean I would be if
- 31:08Speaker 3: shit they had Max going. But as you mentioned that
- 31:11Speaker 3: Toronto bullpen's pretty good. But you know, i'd bumped the
- 31:16Speaker 3: Red Sox back a little bit here. But yeah, I
- 31:20Speaker 3: think Boston is scary. They're actually the favorite, but I
- 31:23Speaker 3: think i'd rather have to meet some Toronto bats today.
- 31:27Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the Toronto side is better.
- 31:29Speaker 1: The issue here is I just I think it's more
- 31:31Speaker 1: of kind of a bullpen game from both sides, which
- 31:34Speaker 1: obviously you have like more definitely a higher likelihood that
- 31:37Speaker 1: it's a bullpen game for Toronto. Right with Max getting scratched,
- 31:40Speaker 1: Jake Bennett's actually fairly stretched out. He averages around eighty pitches,
- 31:44Speaker 1: so you're probably looking at five inch from him four
- 31:46Speaker 1: innings from the bullpen, something like that as a set
- 31:49Speaker 1: up here, Springer, Vlad Okamodo, Kirk Clement are kind of
- 31:53Speaker 1: the mein guys you're looking at here. Toronto just doesn't
- 31:55Speaker 1: strike out. Balls are going to be in play in
- 31:57Speaker 1: this ballpark, which we know is favorable for hitting with
- 31:59Speaker 1: some wind blown out and I know he's a ground
- 32:01Speaker 1: ball guy, but Schneider hits the ball in the air.
- 32:04Speaker 1: Of Vlad hits the ball in the air, Miles Straw
- 32:05Speaker 1: hits the ball in the air, Springer hits the ball
- 32:07Speaker 1: in the air. I mean, Clement hits the ball in
- 32:10Speaker 1: the air. And then you're not you really don't want
- 32:12Speaker 1: to even play any of the lefties, So Jimenez and
- 32:14Speaker 1: Sanchez don't really make my pool there. So I think
- 32:18Speaker 1: all the rights are definitely in play for Toronto and
- 32:21Speaker 1: we have them ranked in the top six and stacks
- 32:22Speaker 1: obviously there's there's seven games on the slate, so they're
- 32:25Speaker 1: definitely in the top half of this slate in terms
- 32:28Speaker 1: of offense. And I think the Red Sox are favorite
- 32:29Speaker 1: because of Max Scherzer. I assume that's gonna adjust now
- 32:34Speaker 1: with the with the with the update of sures are
- 32:39Speaker 1: getting scratched there, but yeah, not the best game from
- 32:43Speaker 1: an offensive standpoint. To kick us off. More of the
- 32:46Speaker 1: same here White Sox and the Yankees. Carlos Reddon was
- 32:49Speaker 1: our favorite starting pitcher on the slate. On the White
- 32:52Speaker 1: Sox side, you could get some leverage there. The guy
- 32:55Speaker 1: I'd look at would be Vargas. Redon's pretty good to
- 33:00Speaker 1: both sides. He actually gets hit harder from the left
- 33:03Speaker 1: side in terms of power. So you could look at
- 33:06Speaker 1: a guy like Colson Montgomery. Maybe he picks one off,
- 33:09Speaker 1: he hits left. He's pretty good, Brandon Montgomery if you
- 33:13Speaker 1: wanted to there, great, Chuck's gonna see two at bats probably.
- 33:19Speaker 1: I mean, I just I don't think it's a spot
- 33:21Speaker 1: to play many of these White Socks. He could do it.
- 33:23Speaker 1: He's my favorite pitcher, so I'm not gonna mess with it.
- 33:26Speaker 1: He usually just keeps the ball on the ground, especially
- 33:28Speaker 1: against the left side. The Yankee side is more interesting.
- 33:32Speaker 1: I just have a hard time. I just hate this
- 33:34Speaker 1: lineup against left handed pitching. I mean, a guy like
- 33:37Speaker 1: Rosario is gonna get pinch hit for Cavallero, Volpe, Ali Sanchez,
- 33:42Speaker 1: Like I mean, this lineup, they have a lot of
- 33:45Speaker 1: power because Goldschmit's been really good. I think he's a
- 33:47Speaker 1: great play in the slate. Domingas back in this lineup
- 33:50Speaker 1: does help. I think he's interesting.
- 33:53Speaker 2: I just I don't know. I don't love it, especially
- 33:57Speaker 2: into ownership for the Yankee side.
- 33:58Speaker 1: I much rather play, uh, teams like the Pirates, the Cubs,
- 34:03Speaker 1: some even some of the Rockies. Talk to me in
- 34:05Speaker 1: this one, how do you how do you see this
- 34:06Speaker 1: game though? In Yankee Stadium here? In terms of weather,
- 34:10Speaker 1: pretty solid hitting conditions in Yankee Stadium here not as
- 34:15Speaker 1: good as yesterday. Uh, but you do have kind of
- 34:19Speaker 1: wind blown across the field. Doesn't really help the offense overall.
- 34:22Speaker 1: So not gonna play above average like it did yesterday.
- 34:25Speaker 3: Talked to me, Yeah, I mean, kay going up against
- 34:28Speaker 3: k Is, you know, it's it's it's interesting. I mean
- 34:32Speaker 3: he's had two bad games. He had one in April
- 34:34Speaker 3: against Arizona and then he ended up having one here
- 34:38Speaker 3: against Philadelphia here a couple of starts ago. But other
- 34:41Speaker 3: than that, he's been like one two less than two
- 34:44Speaker 3: earned runs and pretty much most of his starts. The
- 34:46Speaker 3: thing is is, I mean the White Sox do have
- 34:48Speaker 3: a lot of lefties and that that bullpen too, so
- 34:51Speaker 3: you know they are gonna probably throw a righty right
- 34:53Speaker 3: back at him right away. With K, then, like you said,
- 34:55Speaker 3: they're gonna end up pinch hitting. And then you know,
- 34:58Speaker 3: as soon as K goes out to maybe the fifth
- 35:00Speaker 3: fifth inning, maybe let's say, they're gonna bring in a righty,
- 35:02Speaker 3: they're gonna switch all those bats you mentioned, and then
- 35:05Speaker 3: they're ending gonna end up in the game with the
- 35:07Speaker 3: end with their with their lefties. So to me, you know,
- 35:10Speaker 3: you're you're you're kind of gonna be playing the matchup
- 35:13Speaker 3: game here, uh as as long as we go here,
- 35:17Speaker 3: and I just don't like the Yankees that much against lefties.
- 35:21Speaker 3: So but I mean, it isn't play though. I think
- 35:24Speaker 3: you definitely got to have it in play. But as
- 35:25Speaker 3: you mentioned, these guys like Rosario, I mean, he's a
- 35:29Speaker 3: pinch hit risk. You know, the bottom half are definitely
- 35:32Speaker 3: pinch hit risk. So yeah, I mean, Yankees bombed it
- 35:36Speaker 3: last night, got twelve runs off a better pitcher than
- 35:39Speaker 3: they're gonna see today. So I mean, I think the Yankees,
- 35:42Speaker 3: as we said before, Yankees are like the Dodgers. Man,
- 35:45Speaker 3: they're one of the better hitting teams in baseball. You
- 35:47Speaker 3: kind of got to consider them. No, matter what. But
- 35:49Speaker 3: uh yeah, I just you know, Kay's a decent pitcher.
- 35:53Speaker 3: I do lay caution to it, but you know, I
- 35:55Speaker 3: do like some of the Yankees. I think I prefer
- 35:57Speaker 3: more of a mini stack. I don't think i'd go five.
- 36:00Speaker 3: It'd be too tough because you're gonna lose one or
- 36:02Speaker 3: two of them, probably in a pinch hit role.
- 36:05Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 36:05Speaker 1: I think Goldschman's an elite one off on the slates
- 36:08Speaker 1: just at first base there.
- 36:09Speaker 2: I think he looks really good.
- 36:14Speaker 3: Crushing them five thirty eight Wolba against left these nads.
- 36:17Speaker 3: That's that's ridiculous.
- 36:19Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean he's gonna be one of the lower
- 36:21Speaker 1: owned first basements on the slate, behind guys like Matt Olsen.
- 36:26Speaker 2: Obviously the Cubs.
- 36:26Speaker 1: Michael Bush is gonna be much higher owned the A's
- 36:30Speaker 1: with Nick Kurtz, the Pirates with Spencer Horwitz. So he's
- 36:34Speaker 1: right there in that Spencer Horwitz tier at a fraction
- 36:36Speaker 1: of the ownership. So I think Paul Goltchmith's a really
- 36:39Speaker 1: interesting stack, are really interesting play and he's actually been
- 36:42Speaker 1: hitting right.
- 36:42Speaker 2: He's pretty solid too.
- 36:43Speaker 1: So for me, Yankees kind of fall down the list
- 36:46Speaker 1: a little bit, especially in our stack ranks as well.
- 36:48Speaker 2: They're behind teams like the Blue Jays.
- 36:50Speaker 1: I like the Rockies even more than the Yankees, just
- 36:52Speaker 1: when you add in all things, because I mean, without judge,
- 36:55Speaker 1: it just makes us line up so much, so much worse.
- 36:57Speaker 1: And then you get these platoon guys like Ahmed Rassari
- 37:00Speaker 1: who sucks at baseball, so the more we shot on.
- 37:02Speaker 2: Him, he probably hits a home run.
- 37:05Speaker 1: I mean, if you wanted to mess around and goal
- 37:07Speaker 1: Goldsmith Rosario a little mini stack there, because Rosari is
- 37:10Speaker 1: thirty seven hundred, but I wish I wish he was
- 37:12Speaker 1: like twenty.
- 37:13Speaker 2: Seven hundred dollars.
- 37:14Speaker 1: Ge Risen, because you're probably looking at two at bats right,
- 37:17Speaker 1: probably looking at k faces this lineup two times through
- 37:20Speaker 1: as long as he doesn't get into too much trouble,
- 37:22Speaker 1: and then you're looking at a right he probably coming
- 37:24Speaker 1: out right out of there to get I don't know.
- 37:26Speaker 1: So yeah, not the best game in my opinion from
- 37:30Speaker 1: either side of that one. Next game, Giants, Braves, do
- 37:35Speaker 1: you have to monitor of these lineups? These were confirmed
- 37:37Speaker 1: because of the early I don't think the lineup stat
- 37:41Speaker 1: posted yet. G Risin for the second lega that back
- 37:44Speaker 1: to back at least, I haven't seen it.
- 37:46Speaker 2: Come out yet.
- 37:49Speaker 1: In terms of kind of handicapping this game, it's gonna
- 37:54Speaker 1: be JR. Richie and then wizen hunts right. Wizen Hunt
- 37:59Speaker 1: horrendous against the right side. The issue is is the
- 38:02Speaker 1: Braves don't really have many good righty's. Ozzie Albi's I
- 38:05Speaker 1: would say it was one of the better players on
- 38:07Speaker 1: the slate, just because anytime he faces a lefty, he's
- 38:10Speaker 1: much better from that side hitting lefty, so I think
- 38:13Speaker 1: he's interesting.
- 38:15Speaker 2: Dubond's been really really good. Hasong Kid, I mean Austin Reiley.
- 38:19Speaker 1: That dude's cheeks, so probably not playing him, I mean Albie's, Dubond,
- 38:24Speaker 1: little mini Stack. I just can't get super excited against
- 38:27Speaker 1: the against this but wizen Hunt could get himself out
- 38:30Speaker 1: of this game pretty early. It's a doubleheader. The Giants
- 38:34Speaker 1: bullpen's not good. It's probably I haven't seen how many
- 38:36Speaker 1: bullpen arms they used in this first game. I haven't
- 38:39Speaker 1: been following it that's going on right now, But I
- 38:42Speaker 1: have to assume they're fairly taxed going back to back here,
- 38:45Speaker 1: So Braves definitely have one of the higher imply run
- 38:48Speaker 1: totals on the slate. You could see it where the
- 38:51Speaker 1: Braves kind of crushed. They were red hot last night
- 38:54Speaker 1: to start that game. Drake Baldwin being back helps a lot.
- 38:57Speaker 1: I don't know if he's going to go back to
- 38:58Speaker 1: back here to me, how do you see this game?
- 39:01Speaker 1: It's pretty tough without confirmed lineups right now to break
- 39:03Speaker 1: it down, but h how do you see it?
- 39:07Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean I got my eyeball on the Braves
- 39:09Speaker 3: over here on on UH on DK, that's for sure.
- 39:13Speaker 3: I mean, wiz' hunt. We don't know really what we're
- 39:16Speaker 3: what we're gonna get there. I mean, the Atlanta offense
- 39:18Speaker 3: is pretty good, so I just think for me that
- 39:22Speaker 3: uh and you know, we don't mind picking on the
- 39:25Speaker 3: Giants either, you know, pitching staff, So I just think,
- 39:29Speaker 3: you know that they got to be in play. I
- 39:31Speaker 3: do like the Braves more than I do the Yankees,
- 39:33Speaker 3: I'll say that. But I was just looking at San
- 39:37Speaker 3: fran through uh through five four relievers in the in
- 39:42Speaker 3: their game, they only gave up the two runs. Braves
- 39:44Speaker 3: ended up using one, two, three four relievers as well,
- 39:48Speaker 3: so a couple of them went two innings. So the
- 39:51Speaker 3: Braves are gonna be without a couple guys and With
- 39:53Speaker 3: that being said, with Richie, I mean he struggled a
- 39:56Speaker 3: little bit with lefties down in the minors I've been
- 40:00Speaker 3: seeing and reading, So I mean, guy, maybe like Devers
- 40:02Speaker 3: is probably a decent one off maybe if you you know,
- 40:05Speaker 3: I would assume he'd probably be in the lineup here today.
- 40:08Speaker 3: So uh, you know, I don't mind that. If you
- 40:11Speaker 3: wanted some other lefties, uh you know, you got Lee,
- 40:14Speaker 3: you could maybe look at Eldridge if you wanted to
- 40:16Speaker 3: go that route. But I just think Devers alone is
- 40:18Speaker 3: is would be a pretty good one off play. And
- 40:21Speaker 3: you know what, their ownership is probably gonna be checked
- 40:23Speaker 3: in check to Nate because everybody's you know, wins the
- 40:25Speaker 3: lineup coming out. You know they're gonna be waiting for
- 40:28Speaker 3: this lineup, So we'll have to see when it drops.
- 40:30Speaker 3: With the later it gets, I think, uh lower owned,
- 40:33Speaker 3: they'll all be.
- 40:35Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 40:36Speaker 1: I do have the braves ahead of the Yankees as well,
- 40:39Speaker 1: just because it's a it's an untrusted starting pitcher who's
- 40:43Speaker 1: getting kind of thrown into the fire that hey eat
- 40:45Speaker 1: innings up for us. It's not your time yet to
- 40:47Speaker 1: be on our on our rotation in the big leagues.
- 40:51Speaker 1: Get get your shit together down there, and he does
- 40:53Speaker 1: have a pedigree, he does have talent, He's probably eventually
- 40:56Speaker 1: gonna be in this rotation. I just think this is
- 40:58Speaker 1: a pretty tough spot to come into in truest Park
- 41:00Speaker 1: against one of the best teams in baseball, and this
- 41:03Speaker 1: lineup getting Drake Baldwin back. I know there's no accunia
- 41:06Speaker 1: in that, so I just think it's pretty tough. That
- 41:09Speaker 1: improves my interest in the Atlanta and Giants bullpen, one
- 41:13Speaker 1: of the bottom five in baseball, especially after they just
- 41:16Speaker 1: used four arms there. Eldridge and Devers would be kind
- 41:20Speaker 1: of the two main guys i'd look at, not really
- 41:22Speaker 1: stacking the Giants up. Don't like I know, Atlanta you said,
- 41:25Speaker 1: used four bullpen arms here, they're just one of the
- 41:28Speaker 1: best bullpens in baseball, So I don't love that.
- 41:30Speaker 2: Jr.
- 41:31Speaker 1: Richie, I think is fairly serviceable, and it's more likely
- 41:34Speaker 1: you're gonna get a You're gonna get a walk and
- 41:36Speaker 1: then a ground ball by a guy like Chapman or
- 41:39Speaker 1: Adamis or Schmidt or something like that, and then it's
- 41:42Speaker 1: gonna be a double play.
- 41:43Speaker 2: So I don't know, I don't love it. Next Bot
- 41:47Speaker 2: on Slate.
- 41:48Speaker 1: Guardians, Giants or the Guardians and the Brewers here, Devin
- 41:53Speaker 1: Williams is gonna be one of the highest on pitchers
- 41:54Speaker 1: on the slate. Brandon Spilt's gonna pick up some ownership
- 41:56Speaker 1: as well. This Guardian's team is just abysmal right now.
- 42:00Speaker 1: This lineup without Jay ram in there just makes this
- 42:03Speaker 1: line up horrendous. Back half of this lineup, I mean,
- 42:05Speaker 1: you got rich Homi Kwan, who couldn't hit water if
- 42:08Speaker 1: he fell out of the boat in the Atlantic Ocean.
- 42:11Speaker 2: Go.
- 42:11Speaker 1: I mean this, this lineup is pretty pretty disgusting. Sprot's
- 42:15Speaker 1: not an amazing arm by any means. He can get
- 42:18Speaker 1: wild at times with walks because he likes to nibble,
- 42:21Speaker 1: gives up power to both sides, get barreleds. He gets
- 42:24Speaker 1: hit hard by by righty's but has a lot more
- 42:27Speaker 1: strikeouts from the lefties. He's gonna see seven lefties here.
- 42:31Speaker 1: I don't love the Guardians Brewers. If you had to
- 42:35Speaker 1: pick it, that'd be my side, surprise, surprise. But Jake
- 42:37Speaker 1: bauers terrang who's red hot right now? I think those
- 42:40Speaker 1: are kind of Garrett Mitchell. Those three a little three
- 42:44Speaker 1: five six something like that I think is interesting in
- 42:47Speaker 1: non Gavin Williams team. So if you're not playing Gavin Williams,
- 42:50Speaker 1: you're playing those other guys up like a Rodin up
- 42:53Speaker 1: at the top that we already talked about, a Rodan
- 42:55Speaker 1: at George Kirby. And then you pick off some of
- 42:58Speaker 1: those other bats, like a Garrett Mitchell at his price
- 43:01Speaker 1: point at thirty four hundred with some power, Jake Bauers
- 43:04Speaker 1: at forty nine hundred, who's reasonably priced there. But I
- 43:08Speaker 1: don't love full stacking against Gavin Williams just because he's
- 43:12Speaker 1: he's a stud. He usually goes one hundred plus pitches
- 43:15Speaker 1: pitches deep into the games. I do think that the
- 43:18Speaker 1: Brewers side in tournaments, though, has some upside, is kind
- 43:21Speaker 1: of home run hunting against the hard throwing Gavin Williams.
- 43:26Speaker 2: Yeah, you know.
- 43:28Speaker 3: I mean you look at the Indian side against SPROT.
- 43:30Speaker 3: I mean Sprot walks a lot of dudes on the
- 43:32Speaker 3: left side. They're going to be throwing a whole you know,
- 43:34Speaker 3: I think, what maybe seven left he's at SPROT, So
- 43:37Speaker 3: I mean, if he can keep his control, you know,
- 43:40Speaker 3: in check, I think he's in line for a decent start.
- 43:43Speaker 3: I mean there's just really no power that you're really
- 43:46Speaker 3: too afraid of on the with the Indians, I mean
- 43:50Speaker 3: mid ground bawling for sprot I just I can't even
- 43:52Speaker 3: there's not even any of the Indians I'd even consider
- 43:55Speaker 3: playing at this point. There's just no reason. Gavin Williams,
- 44:00Speaker 3: as you mentioned, I mean, he's a strikeout arm, but
- 44:03Speaker 3: he has been getting buriled up Nates. I mean fourteen
- 44:05Speaker 3: percent to the left side, almost ten percent to the
- 44:07Speaker 3: right side. So it's not like, you know, we're overly concerned.
- 44:12Speaker 3: He does give up almost double the fly balls to
- 44:14Speaker 3: the left side that he does the right side. So
- 44:16Speaker 3: I mean we know the brew crew can hit some rightyes,
- 44:19Speaker 3: So you know I'd put him as a as a
- 44:22Speaker 3: team that you know, you could definitely have him play.
- 44:25Speaker 3: I mean, you could play Gavin Williams and then stack
- 44:27Speaker 3: against him with some other teams if you want to
- 44:30Speaker 3: go that route. I mean, we only got seven games,
- 44:32Speaker 3: so you know, who knows the winner could score eight
- 44:35Speaker 3: runs tonight. You know, you just don't know. I mean,
- 44:37Speaker 3: I think this is a slate here where I don't
- 44:41Speaker 3: I'm not afraid of the lack of power sometimes at
- 44:43Speaker 3: the Brewers Show, and I'm not really concerned with Gavin Williams.
- 44:48Speaker 3: I mean he is a ground ball pitcher. I mean
- 44:50Speaker 3: he's got some mid ground ball lean but I mean
- 44:52Speaker 3: on a slate we're looking at, I mean, with the
- 44:54Speaker 3: leverage I'd get off Gavin Williams, I think the brew
- 44:57Speaker 3: crew you got to leave him in your pool here today.
- 45:00Speaker 3: I mean, I just you just have to. I just
- 45:03Speaker 3: think they're definitely in play. I mean, but you got
- 45:05Speaker 3: a game throwal at seven and a half. So it's
- 45:08Speaker 3: not like Vegas really likes either side, but I mean, yeah,
- 45:12Speaker 3: I think it's in play today. Nate's I just I
- 45:15Speaker 3: don't love it, but I leave them in my pool.
- 45:18Speaker 2: Yeah, I do want to call this out.
- 45:20Speaker 1: Gavin Williams is giving up six sole and bases so
- 45:22Speaker 1: far this year, which isn't a ton, But in a
- 45:24Speaker 1: game like this, where the Brewers know they're outmatched in
- 45:28Speaker 1: terms of just head to head starting pitching matchup, when
- 45:31Speaker 1: they're facing Gavin Williams on the other side, the Brewers
- 45:34Speaker 1: just set a franchise record for the best win percentage
- 45:38Speaker 1: in their start or in seventy games to start the season,
- 45:43Speaker 1: franchise record.
- 45:44Speaker 2: They know that they obviously are playing to win.
- 45:48Speaker 1: You could see them be more aggressive in games like this,
- 45:51Speaker 1: do you rise in where Yeah, if you got Misserowski
- 45:54Speaker 1: in the mound, they're probably not running crazy on or Harrison.
- 45:58Speaker 1: They're probably not running crazy on the base pass, right
- 46:00Speaker 1: because they just think they're they have the clear cut
- 46:03Speaker 1: advantage in terms of starting pitching on ninety nine percent
- 46:06Speaker 1: of the matchups this one, they're out matched, right, So
- 46:08Speaker 1: you could see them be a lot more aggressive on
- 46:10Speaker 1: the base pass and you can run a little bit
- 46:13Speaker 1: on Gavin Williams. I mean, he's got what who's who's
- 46:15Speaker 1: behind the plate here tonight? Patrick Bailey. I haven't looked
- 46:19Speaker 1: at his arm in terms of throwing out runners there,
- 46:21Speaker 1: but I did want to call that out as well.
- 46:23Speaker 1: Jake Bauers all run a little bit, Mitchell will for
- 46:25Speaker 1: sure run to Ring, will for sure run Freelik Hamilton.
- 46:30Speaker 2: Hamilton will run for sure.
- 46:32Speaker 1: So if you wanted to pick off a thirty one
- 46:33Speaker 1: dollar third base shortstop, which is a weak position overall,
- 46:37Speaker 1: Cooper Prattle run two at twenty two hundred.
- 46:40Speaker 2: So yeah, I do with that.
- 46:43Speaker 1: At an upside, I didn't want to call that out
- 46:45Speaker 1: because in games like this, this is when the Brewers
- 46:47Speaker 1: run a lot more. Is when they're kind of out
- 46:49Speaker 1: matched in terms of starting pitching matchups and they have
- 46:52Speaker 1: to manufacture runs. So I did want to call that
- 46:55Speaker 1: out there. Takes us to Wrigley. Best game in the slates,
- 47:00Speaker 1: one of the best games. This is the ten total
- 47:02Speaker 1: alongside that Sacramento game. Sean Selvin pedigree rookie here for
- 47:08Speaker 1: the Rocky. He's gonna throw from the left side, left
- 47:09Speaker 1: his last start with an illness, not fully stretched out here.
- 47:14Speaker 1: You're probably looking at four four innings or so, so
- 47:16Speaker 1: you got the bulk of the game coming from that
- 47:18Speaker 1: Rockies bullpen, which we know is not good. Cubs have
- 47:21Speaker 1: failed as chalk ninety seven days in a row. G
- 47:24Speaker 1: Risen is the ninety eighth day, the right day to
- 47:27Speaker 1: do it. This is probably one of the better spots,
- 47:30Speaker 1: but it is a lefty starter to start, so it'll
- 47:34Speaker 1: put the test to PCA's red hot streak.
- 47:36Speaker 2: Bregman sucks, but he's serviceable against lefty.
- 47:39Speaker 1: Suzuki would be my favorite guy, followed by Ian Happ,
- 47:42Speaker 1: Carson Kelly, that kind of middle four, five, and six.
- 47:44Speaker 2: I like those guys.
- 47:46Speaker 1: Dansby Swanson, I always love him against the lefty if
- 47:48Speaker 1: he's in there. He is one of the lower own
- 47:50Speaker 1: Cubs bats that never really gets played, especially when the
- 47:53Speaker 1: Cubs are Chalk Nico Horner as chalk feels very gross
- 47:57Speaker 1: to me.
- 47:57Speaker 2: This dude has not hit his way out of what
- 47:59Speaker 2: paper bag.
- 47:59Speaker 1: Talk about a guy who can't hit the ocean if
- 48:01Speaker 1: he was in the middle of it, talk to me,
- 48:05Speaker 1: Cubs Chalk. I think the Rockies are super interesting too
- 48:08Speaker 1: against Javier Asad, who I hear get talked up quite
- 48:12Speaker 1: a bit. And I think as we lead up to Locke,
- 48:15Speaker 1: when people are starting to build teams and they want
- 48:17Speaker 1: to fit in this Cub's offense, they want to fit
- 48:19Speaker 1: in the Pirates in the A's, the expensive guys like
- 48:21Speaker 1: Brandon Lau, Nick Kurtz, the Sha lang Leers, They're gonna
- 48:25Speaker 1: look for salary first. And it feels like, hey, let's
- 48:27Speaker 1: go to the team against the Rockies. There. This Rockies
- 48:31Speaker 1: lineup's pretty solid on paper. McCarthy coming back helps it.
- 48:35Speaker 1: Cole Kerrig has been a stud even though he struck
- 48:37Speaker 1: out three times last night. That was very tilting break
- 48:40Speaker 1: down this win game in Wrigley here.
- 48:43Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, dude, the Cubs are like in bottom
- 48:45Speaker 3: five of hitting in all of baseball and how many
- 48:47Speaker 3: days in a row, like you said, have they've been chalk.
- 48:50Speaker 3: They just keep kicking us in the ass like it's
- 48:53Speaker 3: just what you know day after day. I mean, you
- 48:56Speaker 3: got this guy here, Sullivan, like I said, he threw
- 48:58Speaker 3: forty nine pitchers and then they level with ill what
- 49:00Speaker 3: he put because of you know, nerves and aids. Was
- 49:03Speaker 3: he nervous he threw up like and then you look
- 49:06Speaker 3: under the hood at him. He's been He just doesn't
- 49:08Speaker 3: strike out too many guys. More of a fly ball
- 49:10Speaker 3: pitcher in the minors. So, I mean the Cubbies are
- 49:13Speaker 3: mean online. Again, in a win game, I will fucking
- 49:16Speaker 3: regularly win game that overall analyzes and it just seems
- 49:19Speaker 3: like it's a dud more times than not. But uh yeah,
- 49:22Speaker 3: I mean I don't know, man, I prefer like some
- 49:26Speaker 3: of the righty's on the Cubs, Suzuki, I think HAPs
- 49:29Speaker 3: decent play Kelly, But I mean you can throw in
- 49:32Speaker 3: some of the lefties bragman. Ye as you said, he's
- 49:34Speaker 3: just been struggling, so he's he's kind of a worry.
- 49:36Speaker 3: But I mean I'm almost to the point, like I
- 49:39Speaker 3: always say, I don't like to play teams that can't
- 49:41Speaker 3: hit for shit in recent times, and the Cubbies definitely
- 49:43Speaker 3: fit that bill. And if they're gonna be chalky kind
- 49:45Speaker 3: of like the Mets wur yesterday, I I'm over more
- 49:48Speaker 3: of the notion just to leave it being aide like
- 49:50Speaker 3: I'm a faded like I just find some other spots.
- 49:53Speaker 3: It just seems like they haven't been doing anything, So
- 49:56Speaker 3: why why am I gonna force it? Like we understand
- 49:59Speaker 3: it looks good, but damn. I mean like if you're
- 50:02Speaker 3: playing poker and then you keep getting double jack pair
- 50:04Speaker 3: of jacks in the hole. You're playing hold them and
- 50:06Speaker 3: you've done it for like eight times in a row,
- 50:08Speaker 3: and you keep losing even though you feel you got
- 50:10Speaker 3: the bet. We you're gonna do it again? No, well,
- 50:12Speaker 3: I mean some of us might, but I mean you
- 50:14Speaker 3: know you're you get you kind of get stick your
- 50:16Speaker 3: toe in the water. You're afraid of it. Like I
- 50:18Speaker 3: just I'm not a fan. I do think the Rockies
- 50:21Speaker 3: are interesting though, against the side, like you said, Rocky's
- 50:23Speaker 3: been hitting, I mean they've been hitting pretty well. Asid
- 50:26Speaker 3: doesn't have that high of a strikeout percentage. He's at
- 50:29Speaker 3: almost thirteen percent to the right side nineteen percent to
- 50:32Speaker 3: the left side. He walks more lefties, He's almost at
- 50:34Speaker 3: nine percent. His fly ball rate the lefties is very high,
- 50:37Speaker 3: thirty three percent. So I mean, goodman, we know can
- 50:41Speaker 3: hit about anybody. But uh, I mean, I got McCarthy,
- 50:44Speaker 3: Rumfel Johnson I think are in play. But you know,
- 50:48Speaker 3: you got the wind blown out A side's probably gonna
- 50:51Speaker 3: get some ownership. I think I'd rather just play some Rockies.
- 50:54Speaker 3: I think I'm just in the mindset Nade. I'm just
- 50:55Speaker 3: gonna leave the Cubs alone until they can start hitting.
- 50:58Speaker 3: I mean, they haven't done shit in recent time, so
- 51:01Speaker 3: I'm gonna let everybody else play them. You know, It's
- 51:03Speaker 3: just one of them things I say, if a cold
- 51:05Speaker 3: team's gonna beat me, then so be it. Man, I'll
- 51:08Speaker 3: live with it. I mean, I just feel like, in
- 51:10Speaker 3: more times than not, it just doesn't seem to work out.
- 51:12Speaker 3: I'll just fade it, try to find some offense elsewhere.
- 51:15Speaker 3: You know, we got some we got you know, another
- 51:18Speaker 3: Sacramento game with Pittsburgh and the A's that we got
- 51:22Speaker 3: to sitting at a ten. We got that Toronto Boston
- 51:25Speaker 3: game sitting at a nine and a half. You know,
- 51:27Speaker 3: we got the Braves sitting there at you know, in
- 51:30Speaker 3: a game total of nine. I think there's way better
- 51:32Speaker 3: offenses we can fool with that. I just I'll just
- 51:36Speaker 3: leave the Covies alone.
- 51:38Speaker 1: Yeah, you look at the Cubs over the last month
- 51:41Speaker 1: against left handed pitching here, it's not pretty, gee, Risen.
- 51:45Speaker 1: I mean a team I saw one sixty one strikeout
- 51:49Speaker 1: rate of twenty seven percent, walk rate under seven. I mean,
- 51:53Speaker 1: they're just there. wOBA is two seventy nine. I mean
- 51:57Speaker 1: it's pretty gross. I think my favorite way if playing
- 52:01Speaker 1: the Cubs tonight, is just going to like a Suzuki
- 52:04Speaker 1: Carson Kelly hap little mini stack four five six, something
- 52:06Speaker 1: like that, and just let everybody else chase the full stacks.
- 52:09Speaker 1: And yeah, even if the Cubs go crazy, there's probably
- 52:12Speaker 1: gonna be two to three guys even in a stack
- 52:15Speaker 1: that are probably waxed because a guy like Matt Shaw
- 52:18Speaker 1: is gonna pop in, Bregman, Nico Horner is gonna be
- 52:22Speaker 1: in majority of the Cubs stacks.
- 52:23Speaker 2: Those guys are just ass.
- 52:24Speaker 1: I mean, I just don't want to play them, so
- 52:27Speaker 1: I much prefer the rocky side of this game. I mean,
- 52:29Speaker 1: you look at them against right handed pitching. Krrig's benebeest
- 52:32Speaker 1: Rumfield McCarthy. I mean, this team is blowing the Cubs
- 52:37Speaker 1: on a if you just took the names off at
- 52:40Speaker 1: Gie Rise and you said, Okay, this team's facing alrighty,
- 52:42Speaker 1: this team's facing the lefty. Here's their stats in terms
- 52:45Speaker 1: of a team hitting, the Rockies are like double. They're
- 52:49Speaker 1: like twice as good of on paper. Right, But people
- 52:54Speaker 1: look at it and say, oh, it's the Cubs. They
- 52:56Speaker 1: got Pca and Bregman and all these guys Suzuki and
- 53:00Speaker 1: they look like the way better offense on paper.
- 53:02Speaker 2: So yeah, I much prefer the Rocky side of this game. Cubs.
- 53:05Speaker 1: I really like that four five six if those guys
- 53:08Speaker 1: are in there. There's not a confirmed lineup out yet,
- 53:10Speaker 1: and I did want to bring this up, Gee Risen
- 53:13Speaker 1: talk about the Indians lineup getting worse. The latter just
- 53:17Speaker 1: got placed on the I also, you got Bazana Minzarto, Rochio,
- 53:21Speaker 1: Hoskins hitting clean up against the righty, Schiman, David Frye
- 53:26Speaker 1: against the lrighty, Stephen Kwan helping never heard of him,
- 53:30Speaker 1: and Patrick Bailey. I mean that lineup is just absolutely horrendous.
- 53:34Speaker 1: So yeah, taking delatter out of there as well, which, yeah,
- 53:40Speaker 1: I think that improves, definitely improves. Brandon sprouts outlook here
- 53:45Speaker 1: tonight for me. Next game, we're going out to the
- 53:48Speaker 1: Late Window Seattle. Not a great hitters ballpark by any means.
- 53:52Speaker 2: Here, two arms.
- 53:53Speaker 1: I think he can definitely play. This is a game
- 53:55Speaker 1: that is a speed up. I don't love this game
- 53:58Speaker 1: for offense.
- 53:58Speaker 2: What do you see on this one?
- 54:00Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't really particularly want to pick on it either.
- 54:03Speaker 3: Like you said, game total seven and a half, we
- 54:04Speaker 3: don't like the park. I mean bradish has been bad
- 54:08Speaker 3: in recent times here. I mean he hasn't been good.
- 54:10Speaker 3: He's been getting bailed up quite a bit by Righty's
- 54:13Speaker 3: too at fourteen percent, so I mean you could consider him.
- 54:17Speaker 3: I just don't love it, you know. But on a
- 54:20Speaker 3: slate like today, I mean, Mariners, they do have some power.
- 54:24Speaker 3: I just it's just not something that overload. I mean,
- 54:27Speaker 3: Bradis's been walking a lot of guys too, so you
- 54:29Speaker 3: could get in trouble pretty quick if you know, he
- 54:32Speaker 3: keeps walking some dudes. But yeah, I mean I just
- 54:35Speaker 3: don't love it. I don't have it up there high
- 54:36Speaker 3: enough for me to you know, and with two or
- 54:38Speaker 3: three teams to even consider playing either one of these guys.
- 54:42Speaker 1: Yeah, this bullpark sucks. Both of these bullpounds are top
- 54:44Speaker 1: ten in baseball. I just yeah, I don't like it
- 54:48Speaker 1: much at all. Takes us to the last game of
- 54:51Speaker 1: the Slates. Much prefer this game to Wrigley, definitely. I gee,
- 54:58Speaker 1: rusin at at Prices, I much prefer the A's even
- 55:01Speaker 1: going up against Brax Nashcraft and playing the Cubs against
- 55:05Speaker 1: Sean Sullivan. That's just kind of how I see it.
- 55:07Speaker 1: They're basically the same kind of stack salary. You look
- 55:10Speaker 1: at the Cubs stack salary average five man stack twenty
- 55:13Speaker 1: three to five in terms of salary. You look at
- 55:15Speaker 1: the Athletics twenty six to nine. So a little bit more.
- 55:18Speaker 1: But that's the difference from dropping off a Nick Kurtz
- 55:21Speaker 1: or something like that and going down to the back
- 55:23Speaker 1: half and playing a guy like Larry Butler or Bolty
- 55:27Speaker 1: or something like that. Right, So you can definitely make
- 55:29Speaker 1: that up pretty quickly, especially when we have a fifty
- 55:31Speaker 1: eight hundred dollars starting pitcher in a really good spot
- 55:34Speaker 1: here and you just saw Robert Gasser cover that team
- 55:38Speaker 1: up yesterday. Talk to me here, Pirates look like the
- 55:41Speaker 1: best stack on paper, and ownership is going to be
- 55:45Speaker 1: held fairly in check here. I think because you got
- 55:48Speaker 1: the Cubs, you got the Yankees, you have the Blue Jays,
- 55:54Speaker 1: who I think pick up some ownership too. You have
- 55:57Speaker 1: other teams that are gonna pull. It's gonna at least
- 56:00Speaker 1: hold it somewhet in chack. Savali is just was miserable
- 56:03Speaker 1: before he went onto the il stint. Now he's coming back.
- 56:06Speaker 1: The A's have a terrible bullpen behind him as well,
- 56:08Speaker 1: full nining in at bats here, Savally fly ball guy,
- 56:11Speaker 1: horrible against the left side. All of these lefties look
- 56:14Speaker 1: really really good for the Pirates. And then you have
- 56:17Speaker 1: some cheap guys even at the back half there, like
- 56:19Speaker 1: Tyler Callahan looks like one of the better value plays
- 56:21Speaker 1: in the slate.
- 56:22Speaker 2: Andy Rodriguez from a catcher position.
- 56:24Speaker 1: Jake Mangum doesn't have a ton of power, but he's
- 56:26Speaker 1: gonna swipe every time he's on base.
- 56:28Speaker 2: When he does get on base, talk to me in
- 56:31Speaker 2: this one.
- 56:31Speaker 1: I think the Pirates look like the best stack on
- 56:34Speaker 1: paper on the slate. Ownership is gonna follow, but it's
- 56:37Speaker 1: gonna be held in chuck enough with teams like the
- 56:39Speaker 1: Cubs holding it down.
- 56:40Speaker 2: And some of those other teams that I mentioned.
- 56:43Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll tell you what, Nates. If you changed the
- 56:45Speaker 3: Pirates hitters' names to like you know, and they you
- 56:49Speaker 3: turned him into like Yankees or Dodgers, everybody be all
- 56:54Speaker 3: over this, like you know, white on rice Man, because
- 56:57Speaker 3: basically Nates, I mean the Pirates. You look at it,
- 57:00Speaker 3: click on you know, best top ops and all of
- 57:03Speaker 3: baseball this whole season against righties, and dude, you I
- 57:06Speaker 3: mean I mentioned it the other day. I mean, the
- 57:08Speaker 3: Pirates are right there with the Yankees, Dodgers, Brewers, and Braves,
- 57:11Speaker 3: and the Pirates happened to be tied with the Yankees
- 57:14Speaker 3: with the second highest ops and all the baseball against righties.
- 57:18Speaker 3: I'll tell you, I think it's a it's a good
- 57:21Speaker 3: stack here today. You got Lowes, pretty good, Horowitz Reynolds,
- 57:24Speaker 3: you got Tyler Canahan, Callahan, what are we selling here?
- 57:29Speaker 3: Break parts Callahan's Auto. But that's a great movie, by
- 57:33Speaker 3: the way, either way. But yeah, so Tommy Callahan I
- 57:37Speaker 3: think is definitely in play there too. At cheap twenty
- 57:41Speaker 3: eight hundred. He's got third base, he can be out
- 57:43Speaker 3: in the outfield. I think he's interesting the Pirates for
- 57:45Speaker 3: me are definitely my favorite stack. They get the guaranteed
- 57:49Speaker 3: ninth inning at bat, which we like. We got a
- 57:51Speaker 3: game total sitting at ten. Aaron Savali is just not
- 57:56Speaker 3: good at all. Here's tons of negativity all over his
- 58:00Speaker 3: his stat log. It's just not good. Ground Ball percentage
- 58:03Speaker 3: are low, flyball percentages are high. He gets burreled up
- 58:07Speaker 3: even by right he's at thirteen percent. Who but at
- 58:09Speaker 3: three eighty eight to the left side. K percentage low,
- 58:13Speaker 3: fourteen percent to the left side, eighteen percent to the
- 58:16Speaker 3: right side. I mean, I think the Pirates should should
- 58:19Speaker 3: have a pretty decent chance to score some runs today.
- 58:23Speaker 3: You mentioned the A's two. I mean, yeah, Ashcraft's a
- 58:27Speaker 3: tough pitcher. Kurtz has just been on another level here
- 58:29Speaker 3: recent times hitting the long ball, so I think he's
- 58:32Speaker 3: definitely interesting. So you know, I think, you know, maybe
- 58:36Speaker 3: you could game stack up a little bit. I think, Butler,
- 58:38Speaker 3: you need to worry about McNeil. You need to worry
- 58:40Speaker 3: about as far as a pinch hit risk. But I mean,
- 58:45Speaker 3: I like the Pirates here. I think the Pirates are
- 58:47Speaker 3: in a really good spot. I know they're the late window.
- 58:49Speaker 3: You're gonna have to wait late. You might have to
- 58:51Speaker 3: wake up in the morning and see how you did
- 58:53Speaker 3: oh hoop style and you know, see if you win,
- 58:56Speaker 3: not even watch it. But I think the Pirates for
- 58:59Speaker 3: me stand out quite a bit. I mean, as well
- 59:01Speaker 3: as they're hitting their top of the ranks. We got
- 59:03Speaker 3: a pitcher who's not good, we got a park that's great.
- 59:06Speaker 1: What else do we need?
- 59:07Speaker 3: Naids and all lines up. But the baseball guys could
- 59:10Speaker 3: kick us in the ass like they do, you know
- 59:12Speaker 3: a lot of times. But man, the Pirates just there
- 59:14Speaker 3: in a great spot. I'd be overweight on the Pirates.
- 59:16Speaker 2: Today, yeah, I would be as well.
- 59:19Speaker 1: And the only lefty reliever that I think is available
- 59:22Speaker 1: Holgan Harris through twenty five pitches yesterday.
- 59:24Speaker 2: He's one of their better arms out of that bullpen
- 59:27Speaker 2: is Jose Swarez.
- 59:28Speaker 1: I mean, this guy's got a seventy five to seventy ra,
- 59:31Speaker 1: a one to eighty five whip, only forty strikeouts.
- 59:36Speaker 2: I mean, he's just not a great He's not a
- 59:38Speaker 2: great arm. Obviously, he does pitch from the left side,
- 59:40Speaker 2: so guys like.
- 59:42Speaker 1: Probably Callahan, Rodriguez, mangum To, some of those guys have
- 59:47Speaker 1: pinch hitt risks. Maybe a little bit with a guy
- 59:49Speaker 1: like Spencer Horwitz, but they can't pitch hit everybody, and
- 59:51Speaker 1: they know that even if he's it he comes out
- 59:55Speaker 1: and throws an inning or two, the rest of the
- 59:58Speaker 1: bullpen that's available is all right handed right, So I
- 1:00:01Speaker 1: don't know. I think the Pirates are super interesting. You
- 1:00:05Speaker 1: might not even see him come out right there's no
- 1:00:07Speaker 1: guaranteed that he's going to come out with all of
- 1:00:09Speaker 1: their other arms. I mean, they got a lot of
- 1:00:11Speaker 1: other rested arms that all throw from the right side.
- 1:00:13Speaker 1: So the only two lefty relievers, like I said, in
- 1:00:16Speaker 1: the A's penners, Harris and Jose Suarez with gage jump
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: kind of elevating to the starting rotation.
- 1:00:22Speaker 2: Same thing with Jeffery Springs.
- 1:00:24Speaker 1: Obviously they only have two left and Harris through twenty
- 1:00:27Speaker 1: five yesterday in that game last night. So I love
- 1:00:32Speaker 1: the Pirates. I'm overweight. They're my top stack on the board.
- 1:00:34Speaker 1: Love them one through nine. Don't shy away with from
- 1:00:38Speaker 1: guys like Nick Gonzales. He's going to hit in the
- 1:00:39Speaker 1: middle of that, and he's probably very likely to see
- 1:00:43Speaker 1: a righty or a lefty.
- 1:00:46Speaker 2: And a bad one at that.
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: After that, and some of these other left handed hitters
- 1:00:50Speaker 1: from the Pirates can also hit lefties fairly decent here.
- 1:00:54Speaker 1: If you look at the lefties who hit left, he's
- 1:00:56Speaker 1: pretty good. Callahan hits left, he's good. Reynolds obviously he's
- 1:01:00Speaker 1: switch hitter there. Brandon low hit hits left, He's pretty solid.
- 1:01:03Speaker 1: So yeah, there's there's definitely clear upside here and the
- 1:01:06Speaker 1: A's much for for the A's even to a team
- 1:01:08Speaker 1: like the Cubs here, I think the A's are definitely
- 1:01:11Speaker 1: have a spot on the slate. Nick Kurtz, Soderstrom, Carlos Kortez.
- 1:01:15Speaker 1: You want the lefties against Ashcraft. Don't probably not gonna
- 1:01:18Speaker 1: full five man stack the A's just because I think
- 1:01:21Speaker 1: Ashcraft is a serviceable enough pitcher. But you can definitely
- 1:01:24Speaker 1: home run hunt in chalk your stacks. Play Nick Kurtz
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: or Soderstrom over a guy like Pca, or at second base,
- 1:01:32Speaker 1: play a guy like Geeloff over Nico Horner. I know
- 1:01:35Speaker 1: you have to spend up a little bit more. Just
- 1:01:38Speaker 1: little things like that is how you can get different too.
- 1:01:41Speaker 2: On this slate.
- 1:01:42Speaker 1: G rozen your favorite pitching combination or your top three pitchers,
- 1:01:46Speaker 1: your top three stacks, and a home run call before
- 1:01:47Speaker 1: we get out of here.
- 1:01:49Speaker 3: I mean, the pitching's fairly, fairly easy. We already know Williams,
- 1:01:54Speaker 3: Kirby and Redon are definitely up there. And then like,
- 1:01:59Speaker 3: I think the bottom part I think sprote, especially with
- 1:02:01Speaker 3: that Indians lineup getting to to look the way it is.
- 1:02:05Speaker 3: I just I'm not too concerned about that stacks. As
- 1:02:09Speaker 3: I mentioned, I got Pirates up there. I actually like
- 1:02:11Speaker 3: some of the Braves too. I'm gonna leave the Cubs
- 1:02:14Speaker 3: for everybody else. I'm not gonna be playing any Cubs.
- 1:02:17Speaker 3: I think the A's are interesting. I like that game stack,
- 1:02:20Speaker 3: so i'd look there, and then I do like some
- 1:02:22Speaker 3: of the Blue Jays as well, and then a home
- 1:02:26Speaker 3: run call. I'm gonna go the Blue Jays, and I'm
- 1:02:29Speaker 3: gonna say al Kamoto is going to hit a bomb
- 1:02:33Speaker 3: here today. I like him. And then I like here
- 1:02:36Speaker 3: what Ricky was saying, you know about you need your
- 1:02:39Speaker 3: penol fluff luff? Were you watching the Yankees? I mean,
- 1:02:42Speaker 3: who doesn't love some Tommy Boy movie aids. I mean,
- 1:02:45Speaker 3: that's one of the good movie. I might have to
- 1:02:46Speaker 3: pull that one out of the of the closet there
- 1:02:50Speaker 3: to watch that one, because that one always makes me.
- 1:02:52Speaker 3: I can watch that one over and over and over,
- 1:02:54Speaker 3: and that shit makes me that does it hurt?
- 1:02:56Speaker 2: It don't hurt right here?
- 1:02:57Speaker 3: It Moore hurts right here.
- 1:02:59Speaker 2: You know it's a great movie.
- 1:03:01Speaker 3: You can't doubt that one. But uh, fun to break
- 1:03:03Speaker 3: it down with you nads. Hopefully we get up there
- 1:03:05Speaker 3: in the tournament.
- 1:03:06Speaker 2: Today.
- 1:03:07Speaker 3: We get all kinds of screenshots in that discord, which
- 1:03:10Speaker 3: is always fun. But hey, us open, we got all
- 1:03:14Speaker 3: kinds of stuff rolling here, Nate's good times. I mean,
- 1:03:16Speaker 3: we've got some World Cup going on, so all kinds
- 1:03:18Speaker 3: of sports to watch. We're loving it. But let's let's
- 1:03:21Speaker 3: take us down a baseball slate and then tomorrow days.
- 1:03:24Speaker 3: I don't think we're gonna have us at Thursday show.
- 1:03:26Speaker 3: I think there's not enough games during the day, so
- 1:03:29Speaker 3: I think I'll be on Friday. I think I'm filling
- 1:03:31Speaker 3: in for Ham. I don't know if I'm with you
- 1:03:33Speaker 3: or Matt, but either way, looking forward to that as well. So,
- 1:03:36Speaker 3: uh yeah, big week coming up, So let's get some
- 1:03:39Speaker 3: Let's get some. Like we said, let's get some safety
- 1:03:41Speaker 3: meetings going. Maybe we'll get some high noons and lucky
- 1:03:44Speaker 3: ones out the fridge tonight. Watch them baseball have some
- 1:03:47Speaker 3: fun at rain So it ain't so hot here anymore.
- 1:03:49Speaker 3: Thank god, it was steaming ass hot for a little while.
- 1:03:52Speaker 3: But uh yeah, exciting to get this one through and
- 1:03:55Speaker 3: see what we can come up with.
- 1:03:57Speaker 2: Yeah, no excellent breakdown here.
- 1:03:59Speaker 1: For me, I'm gonna go Carlos Rodon, Brandon Sprout, and
- 1:04:03Speaker 1: then I will throw in Uh, I'll throw in Anthony
- 1:04:07Speaker 1: k as kind of a sleeper with some strike on
- 1:04:09Speaker 1: upside at a cheap price point at seven K, which
- 1:04:12Speaker 1: feels like a pretty ghost play against the Yankees there,
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: but I do think he has a play on the
- 1:04:18Speaker 1: slate in tournaments there. For me, my top stack pirates
- 1:04:22Speaker 1: number one. I will go Braves number two, and then
- 1:04:27Speaker 1: I'll throw in the Rockies as number three. I think
- 1:04:29Speaker 1: the Rockies are super interesting here. And then for me,
- 1:04:32Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to the Rockies. I'm gonna go to
- 1:04:34Speaker 1: a pair of hitters hitting home runs. They're hitting three
- 1:04:36Speaker 1: to five in the order, TJ. Rumfield, and I'm going
- 1:04:39Speaker 1: back to the well with Cole Kig here. That's gonna
- 1:04:42Speaker 1: do it for this show. Appreciate everyone tuning in. Hit
- 1:04:45Speaker 1: that like butt hit That subscribe button helps us out
- 1:04:47Speaker 1: a ton gee. Risen will be back on Friday with
- 1:04:49Speaker 1: our guy Bellman. I'll be back on Monday. Good luck
- 1:04:53Speaker 1: tonight in those contests, enjoy the baseball, build your US Open.
- 1:04:57Speaker 1: Do remember that the slate does lock at five forty
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: five Central time six forty five Eastern, about a half
- 1:05:03Speaker 1: an hour earlier than normal for g rising.
- 1:05:06Speaker 2: I'm ads, good luck, we're out here. Peace