Latest / Brandon Fogal Evolution / #98 - Did China Just Make a HUGE MISTAKE?

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#98 - Did China Just Make a HUGE MISTAKE? · Brandon Fogal Evolution

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  So the U.S. stock market had its biggest day yesterday, April 9th, 2025.
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  And were you a panicking? Were you a person that got out of the market because
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  you thought that it was just plummeting and you thought there was no end in
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  sight? It was just going to keep going down further and further.
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  To be honest, I was feeling that.
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  I even looked into it a little bit like, do I need to be smart about this?
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  Do I need to reach out and maybe pull things, pull some things back?
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  But I was, I had to reassure myself and I'm sure a lot of people out there felt
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  that same way. You got to hold the line.
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  You got to hold the line. You got to know when to put your, you know,
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  to bounce back out and you got to know when to stay in.
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  And I think right now this, this administration, it is thinking long game.
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  And I don't think we, anybody should be a person that panics because things
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  like yesterday can happen.
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  They were heavily influenced by Trump announcing they were going to do a 90-day
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  pause on tariffs for the rest of the world besides China.
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  The tariffs are in effect hugely still on China, and they're going to stay that way.
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  And was that a big mistake by China?
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  My name is Brandon Fogle. This is Evolution. Let's dive into it.
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  So there are a lot of things that happened yesterday. I really was not watching the market.
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  I'm trying not to watch any of my, my accounts go up or down.
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  You know, I just, because if you are, unless you're like a stockbroker,
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  that is, that is what you live and breathe.
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  It isn't the best mental mind game to be looking at your bank account and your
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  stocks go up and down. It's, it doesn't feel good.
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  I mean, I guess it feels good when your stocks are going up,
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  but when they're going down and when you just, I would be, so I guess I should start it off with this.
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  I'm not a person to take financial advice from. So I am not a financial advisor. And.
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  Anytime that I have tried to make some money in whatever it is,
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  stocks or whatever, I come out very poorly.
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  And that's why I have made it my goal to let others handle that.
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  Let others make the right decisions. People that do it for a living.
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  Because it is so easy to just freak out when you see the market plummeting.
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  And also, I've always wanted to try to get rich quick. you know,
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  try to make some money quick, you know, and try to get those and try to like,
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  try to forecast what this penny stock out there is going to do,
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  you know, the pink sheets.
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  Is it going to make me some money? You know, I did that for a while and that was a huge mistake.
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  You know, some people can get lucky and some people are like Bradley Cooper.
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  You know, you're taking that limitless pill and you're able just to know exactly
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  what the market's going to do based on history based on the statistics, what's going on.
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  But most people don't have that. Most people don't got the time or day.
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  And I found that like every time that I tried to throw money into,
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  I think it's going to, this is the next, the next big deal.
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  This is the next thing, man. I come out looking pretty bad to myself.
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  You know, I don't really share it with anybody.
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  I don't tell anybody about it except for now, except for you,
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  you all know about it, but no one else knows.
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  I don't even tell my wife about it. Really. I don't, I try not to tell her anything about it.
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  I only tell her good news. If there's good news, I tell her.
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  If there's bad news, I keep it to myself.
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  And it's not even fun to talk financial stuff ever with your spouse.
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  I don't think it's ever a good idea. I've, you know, I learned that from Michael Scott.
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  I, you don't, you don't talk financial stuff. It is, it does not take you in
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  the right direction. It does not, it does not end out, end up favorably for you.
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  So just stay away from finances, stay away from money, especially in that personal
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  life with your, with your significant other. But maybe you are a person that
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  is able to read the tea leaves and you know what's going to be gold and you
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  know what's going to make bank money.
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  As opposed to someone else. But the regular Joe out there, I don't think you do.
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  The regular person out there that doesn't do it for a living.
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  But is there any, even the stockbrokers, do they know what's going to go on?
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  The people that are on Wall Street, do they really know what's going to happen?
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  Or are they just playing a game? Are they just every day going into a casino
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  and they don't know what's going to happen either?
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  They're reading the headlines. I think they're just looking,
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  they're looking to the right and to the left and see what everybody else is doing.
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  But when some news comes out like trump
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  announced that there's going to be a pause Everybody reacts
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  instantly But it's not to say that this
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  is not going to have huge ramifications for the
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  future of our country Because trump he paused
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  the 90 the the terrace for 90 days for everyone else But he left that 10 on
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  there for everyone and everybody just kind of goes past that He made some headway
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  And he he made it so everybody's going to come to the table now and renegotiate
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  where we stand with each country.
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  And he's made it clear that we will not play soft anymore.
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  We're going to play hardball with everyone. And the rest of the world,
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  besides China, reacted the smart way.
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  And this, I would say, is going to be a huge problem for China going forward.
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  If your stock portfolio was in China, I would say get out. I would say get out of that.
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  But I'm the person I've just said, I don't know anything. I don't know anything.
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  I have no idea. I'm just, I'm a talking head about that.
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  And so maybe, maybe take my other advice, you know, I don't know.
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  It goes back and forth. I just said, I don't know anything about it,
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  but I, I just got, I got, I got a feeling. I got a feeling, but my money's not going there.
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  So maybe, maybe you can trust me on that one.
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  I just think that China has been put in a bad position.
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  They reacted very poorly. and we're going to see that they are going to be put
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  on the sideline for the world economy for the near future.
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  And I would say for the distant future for a while, unless they make amends
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  and come to us, pull everything down.
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  And I think I don't see them doing that.
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  They are very proud people with a very proud president.
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  And I don't see them doing that at all. And that's why I think in the a little
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  bit distant future, they are going to react in a way that is not good at all.
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  We're always talking about them going into Taiwan.
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  I don't think it's going to happen right now, but they are going to see that
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  their economy does not is not in a good spot at all.
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  And I think they are going to react eventually, not the immediate future,
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  but they are going to do something because this is going to hurt them significantly
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  when they see everyone else is inside this world working economy and they're
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  having to sit on the sidelines and they can't just have that one up over the United States anymore.
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  So I would prognosticate that they are going to do something probably within
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  the next year or two because they are going to their their economy is going
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  to be hurt significantly very badly from this very badly.
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  All right so if you're not aware of what happened. I'm going to take a,
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  we're going to take a look at this, this column from Yahoo Finance stock market today.
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  It now explodes as this was yesterday, 3000 points higher. S and P 500 has best day since 2008.
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  As Trump paused the reciprocal tariffs. U.S.
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  Stocks skyrocketed higher on Wednesday as President Trump announced a 90-day
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  pause on tariffs for most countries, yet at the same time, upped increasingly
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  ballooning levies on China.
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  The benchmark S&P 500 roared up 9.5% posting its best day since 2008.
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  I saw also, this was really the best day since World War II.
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  You know, we're always gauging on World War II because we were in a war and
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  somehow everything just went up.
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  The markets just went wild and we made a lot of money. But this was a huge day.
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  And I think we hit the bottom right there. I think we hit the bottom the day before that.
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  That's not to say that there's always going to be flipping and going back and
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  forth. But we did see that roar yesterday, what happened.
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  It's looking good for the United States going forward. So if you weren't able
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  to get into the stock market yesterday.
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  I would say it's, you're in a good spot to probably jump in now because things
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  are going to be going forward and looking up for the United States based on
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  just historical trends and what Trump is doing because he's not in,
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  this isn't a way to inflate money because prices are coming down.
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  Mortgage rates are coming down.
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  The rates in general, because Trump really just shocked everything.
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  He shocked everyone. He shocked the world by what he announced in,
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  in throwing the tariffs on and now pulling them back, but still leaving that
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  10%, the US dollar is going to grow stronger each day.
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  So Trump always talks about the biggest economy we've ever had,
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  the best economy in his first term.
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  This is going to be, I believe, an economy that is going to last because we
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  are the ones taking front and center full stage and China is going off to the sidelines.
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  They will, they're going to fade. This is going to be the mark that is,
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  they're going to fade into not that superpower that they were.
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  And that's what is giving me that cause like to pause and think,
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  will they react and escalate things in a much dangerous, more dangerous position
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  than they are doing it right now?
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  Because they're all they can do is react with tariffs right now,
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  but the rest of the world is going to play ball with the United States and they
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  are going to move to the side And I'm just a little bit concerned by...
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  When you are a trapped rat in a corner and you don't got anywhere else to go,
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  you're going to start lashing out and biting and doing things.
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  People go to animal instinct easily when you got nothing else to live for and
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  nothing else to play for.
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  And this is the beginning of what's going to unfold for China.
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  So will we see them do something crazy?
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  I think we will probably within the year or two. They are going to do something
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  crazy. It's something we've talked about for years.
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  They're backed in a corner, and it doesn't look like that way right now because,
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  oh, this is just an immediate reaction from me and what I think.
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  But sometimes you can see the writing on the wall.
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  And could this be something, that linchpin that sets things in motion and off?
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  We will see, but I would say that this is the thing, the Kickstarter that is
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  going to start that engine of moving forward to something maybe globally catastrophic.
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  So but the united states is in a good a good
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  spot right now and i don't think trump should dial it down maybe maybe try to
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  de-escalate in certain scenarios but china is the one that needs to come to
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  the table they're the ones that are in the bad spot we are the ones with the
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  cards but for china it does not look good at all keep going and keep evolving
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  to that best version of you.