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Reflections on a French Revolution (Part 1) · John’s Newsletter

• 0:00
  [music]
• 0:15
  SPEAKER_00: Good morning,
• 0:16
  SPEAKER_00: everyone,
• 0:16
  SPEAKER_00: and welcome to Around the world in 20 minutes,
• 0:19
  SPEAKER_00: where we try to make sense of the beguiling new planet we find ourselves on.
• 0:24
  SPEAKER_00: And this is one of those times that you're glad to be alive doing what I do.
• 0:29
  SPEAKER_00: We had three major events hit in one day.
• 0:33
  SPEAKER_00: That's the way this works.
• 0:34
  SPEAKER_00: Quiet, quiet, quiet, then explosion.
• 0:36
  SPEAKER_00: As Lennon said,
• 0:38
  SPEAKER_00: there are decades where nothing happens,
• 0:40
  SPEAKER_00: and then there are days where decades happen.
• 0:43
  SPEAKER_00: And we're entering a period, I think, where there are going to be days where decades happen.
• 0:48
  SPEAKER_00: And so we're going to begin on what's going on with the French disturbances at the moment.
• 0:53
  SPEAKER_00: But I think it's more than that.
• 0:55
  SPEAKER_00: And so I am taking the language of my great hero,
• 0:58
  SPEAKER_00: Edmund Burke,
• 0:59
  SPEAKER_00: that great realist who wrote one of his great treatises on reflections of
• 1:04
  SPEAKER_00: the French Revolution,
• 1:05
  SPEAKER_00: correctly identifying it as utopian and destructive in nature,
• 1:10
  SPEAKER_00: as opposed to an organic realism, which he supports and I support.
• 1:15
  SPEAKER_00: And I'm going to take that and update that
• 1:16
  SPEAKER_00: because I think these aren't just disturbances,
• 1:19
  SPEAKER_00: that this is indeed a kind of French Revolution.
• 1:22
  SPEAKER_00: So reflections on a French Revolution.
• 1:25
  SPEAKER_00: Part one, we'll see how many parts we can get.
• 1:27
  SPEAKER_00: There might be a book out of this.
• 1:29
  SPEAKER_00: There may be so many parts by the time that we're done.
• 1:32
  SPEAKER_00: And by revolution, what I mean is that France is not going to end up where it is now.
• 1:38
  SPEAKER_00: It will not stay the same.
• 1:40
  SPEAKER_00: The days of the establishment Macronistas,
• 1:44
  SPEAKER_00: the days of the people who go to my Aspen events,
• 1:47
  SPEAKER_00: John Manet Center of whatever, are reaching an end.
• 1:51
  SPEAKER_00: But France will not stay the same.
• 1:53
  SPEAKER_00: It will not stay where it's been.
• 1:55
  SPEAKER_00: The elite have failed too fundamentally for that to be the case.
• 1:59
  SPEAKER_00: Where it ends up, we're going to map out together.
• 2:02
  SPEAKER_00: And in line with that, please do give.
• 2:05
  SPEAKER_00: Today is the Thank you.
• 2:06
  SPEAKER_00: Thank you.
• 2:21
  SPEAKER_00: And without that funding they're having a hard time winning.
• 2:40
  SPEAKER_00: We're all over that story, which is huge.
• 2:43
  SPEAKER_00: The Spanish election story,
• 2:45
  SPEAKER_00: given the immigration and the failure of the European elite,
• 2:48
  SPEAKER_00: of which the French story is a part.
• 2:51
  SPEAKER_00: Spain is going to the polls because not only can Sanchez no longer pass a budget,
• 2:56
  SPEAKER_00: which he hasn't done since 2023,
• 2:58
  SPEAKER_00: he can't even pass housing legislation,
• 3:00
  SPEAKER_00: where he's somewhat popular in his stance,
• 3:03
  SPEAKER_00: so he's decided to go for it down about 12 or 13 points at the moment to
• 3:07
  SPEAKER_00: the People's Party,
• 3:08
  SPEAKER_00: the establishment right-wing party,
• 3:10
  SPEAKER_00: which will probably form a coalition with the populist Vox Party.
• 3:15
  SPEAKER_00: He decided to go for it.
• 3:16
  SPEAKER_00: Not a bad call tactically, but can he overcome that even significantly?
• 3:20
  SPEAKER_00: I'm doing all that today, around the clock.
• 3:35
  SPEAKER_00: Plus, Brothers Karamazov, which I finished last night.
• 3:39
  SPEAKER_00: The 600 pages for the Dead Realist Society.
• 3:42
  SPEAKER_00: I'm not complaining.
• 3:42
  SPEAKER_00: I love what I do.
• 3:44
  SPEAKER_00: But keep faith with what we're doing.
• 3:46
  SPEAKER_00: Because Around the Clock, we're doing this for you.
• 3:48
  SPEAKER_00: And for those of you who listen and We're going to begin.
• 3:51
  SPEAKER_00: Just begin.
• 4:20
  SPEAKER_00: To cover that today and indeed there are more demonstrations today
• 4:23
  SPEAKER_00: where politico types and unions join the students demonstrating the students
• 4:28
  SPEAKER_00: who tend to be Muslims who seem to be much older than the age of students.
• 4:33
  SPEAKER_00: Well let me sketch this out and these demonstrations out
• 4:37
  SPEAKER_00: and point out some stupidities as we go beneath the surface to look
• 4:41
  SPEAKER_00: at what's really happening here.
• 4:43
  SPEAKER_00: Well, first of all,
• 4:44
  SPEAKER_00: when you read the mainstream media,
• 4:45
  SPEAKER_00: thank God for X,
• 4:46
  SPEAKER_00: you wouldn't know that there are first,
• 4:49
  SPEAKER_00: second and third generation Muslims in the streets who are beating teachers up,
• 4:56
  SPEAKER_00: setting firemen on fire and then taking pictures of it.
• 5:00
  SPEAKER_00: That's the picture of the year.
• 5:02
  SPEAKER_00: The French firemen on fire with what seemed to be a group of people not
• 5:06
  SPEAKER_00: of native French ethnicity, Filming him as he burns after they've set him on fire.
• 5:12
  SPEAKER_00: These barbarians film it because that's about as far as their attention span carries things.
• 5:19
  SPEAKER_00: That's what you're seeing.
• 5:20
  SPEAKER_00: If these people cared so much about schools, why are they burning?
• 5:23
  SPEAKER_00: This is what Aristotle demands of us if we're going to live in
• 5:27
  SPEAKER_00: a representative system, that we have the ability to think rationally.
• 5:40
  SPEAKER_00: If people are setting firemen on fire,
• 5:43
  SPEAKER_00: burning him,
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  SPEAKER_00: and then filming it,
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  SPEAKER_00: that doesn't seem to have a lot to do with school supplies,
• 5:49
  SPEAKER_00: nor does burning down French schools that frankly look like cathedrals to me.
• 5:54
  SPEAKER_00: This has nothing to do with the state of the French school system.
• 5:58
  SPEAKER_00: This has everything to do with people who are fundamentally unassimilatable,
• 6:04
  SPEAKER_00: For Muslim students and then far left French students,
• 6:07
  SPEAKER_00: and I'll get to this in a minute,
• 6:08
  SPEAKER_00: this red-green coalition,
• 6:10
  SPEAKER_00: green being the flag of Islam,
• 6:13
  SPEAKER_00: red the flag of the far left, and you see this forming.
• 6:18
  SPEAKER_00: In a revolutionary kind of way, where there are no amount of benefits.
• 6:22
  SPEAKER_00: You see this in the Labour Party in the UK.
• 6:25
  SPEAKER_00: You see this in the establishment,
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  SPEAKER_00: the Socialist Party in Spain,
• 6:30
  SPEAKER_00: as Sanchez can't wait to naturalize illegal immigrants.
• 6:33
  SPEAKER_00: That's his voting base.
• 6:35
  SPEAKER_00: You see the Labour Party more and more being dependent in the split that is now
• 6:39
  SPEAKER_00: the fracture of the British political system on Muslim voters.
• 6:43
  SPEAKER_00: So if you complain about Unassimilated immigration,
• 6:47
  SPEAKER_00: you get arrested,
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  SPEAKER_00: not the person behaving badly in the streets doing God knows what
• 6:52
  SPEAKER_00: or grooming working class English girls, you can't bring that up.
• 6:56
  SPEAKER_00: But you're the problem.
• 6:58
  SPEAKER_00: That's because they have to pander to their voting base.
• 7:01
  SPEAKER_00: And more and more you see this now injected internally into the bloodstream
• 7:06
  SPEAKER_00: of European politics.
• 7:07
  SPEAKER_00: It's not barbarians at the gate.
• 7:09
  SPEAKER_00: That would be bad enough.
• 7:10
  SPEAKER_00: It's barbarians within the gate.
• 7:12
  SPEAKER_00: People who don't want to be assimilated to Western values, who hate barbarians.
• 7:15
  SPEAKER_00: Western civilization who are at best benefit shopping and who frankly just want
• 7:20
  SPEAKER_00: to burn it all down in league in France with the types like Jean-Luc Mélenchon
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  SPEAKER_00: who says this.
• 7:26
  SPEAKER_00: I mean I like Mélenchon compared to the others in that he's honest and he just says
• 7:30
  SPEAKER_00: the only way we get to a far left France is a fusion of leftist French people along
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  SPEAKER_00: with the newly arrived Muslim immigrants.
• 7:40
  SPEAKER_00: And that's what you see.
• 7:41
  SPEAKER_00: You see a red-green alliance.
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  SPEAKER_00: This isn't about schools.
• 7:44
  SPEAKER_00: That would be point one.
• 7:45
  SPEAKER_00: And let's use our brain.
• 7:47
  SPEAKER_00: If schools are so precious to these people, why are they burning them to the ground?
• 7:51
  SPEAKER_00: Why are they having flamethrowers at people who beg them not to burn down?
• 7:56
  SPEAKER_00: There's a picture on X, incredible, of a woman who just says, please don't burn our city down.
• 8:00
  SPEAKER_00: And they meet her by trying to burn her face off.
• 8:03
  SPEAKER_00: There it is.
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  SPEAKER_00: You don't see this in the mainstream media,
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  SPEAKER_00: thank God for X,
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  SPEAKER_00: where it's just discussions about French students and we mustn't hurt them.
• 8:11
  SPEAKER_00: And as Amnesty International said, we must listen to them.
• 8:16
  SPEAKER_00: I want to see them or see them, even more modern language, which I hate even more.
• 8:21
  SPEAKER_00: I want to see them.
• 8:22
  SPEAKER_00: I want to see them in jail.
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  SPEAKER_00: Without order, there can be no republic.
• 8:27
  SPEAKER_00: Our founders found that.
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  SPEAKER_00: We don't want to live with nihilism.
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  SPEAKER_00: And if you tolerate the intolerable, the intolerable will bite you.
• 8:35
  SPEAKER_00: If you don't master history, as I would put it, history will master you.
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  SPEAKER_00: So point one, this isn't about schools.
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  SPEAKER_00: Point two, the French establishment are predictably awful.
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  SPEAKER_00: President Macron,
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  SPEAKER_00: and again,
• 8:48
  SPEAKER_00: here's a spoiler alert,
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  SPEAKER_00: the deserved future winner of the miracle, unanimous vote in our office.
• 8:54
  SPEAKER_00: We were going to give it to him anyway as a parting gift because Jupiter,
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  SPEAKER_00: as he calls himself,
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  SPEAKER_00: the king of the gods,
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  SPEAKER_00: is exactly why the European establishment are on their way out,
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  SPEAKER_00: deservedly so for the ash heap of history.
• 9:08
  SPEAKER_00: Here's a guy.
• 9:10
  SPEAKER_00: Again, Aspen meetings, they love Macron.
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  SPEAKER_00: He's well-coiffed,
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  SPEAKER_00: and he went to the right schools in France,
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  SPEAKER_00: so he's intellectual,
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  SPEAKER_00: wears a nice suit,
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  SPEAKER_00: worked in finance,
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  SPEAKER_00: speaks in language about the rule of law and Wilsonian nonsense,
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  SPEAKER_00: the international community.
• 9:28
  SPEAKER_00: You can't pry this guy away from a camera.
• 9:31
  SPEAKER_00: He's the king of cosplaying for Ukraine.
• 9:34
  SPEAKER_00: And given that his country is on fire, where has he been?
• 9:38
  SPEAKER_00: He's hiding under a desk somewhere in the least Gaullist manner possible.
• 9:43
  SPEAKER_00: He may have a picture of Charles de Gaulle on his desk,
• 9:46
  SPEAKER_00: but he knows nothing about President de Gaulle,
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  SPEAKER_00: who would be out there in the streets arguing for there to be some sort of stability
• 9:53
  SPEAKER_00: in order to protect the republic.
• 9:55
  SPEAKER_00: And would be bravely addressing this issue and not hiding under a desk.
• 9:59
  SPEAKER_00: These people are frankly contemptible in terms of their moral courage.
• 10:04
  SPEAKER_00: Just ridiculous.
• 10:06
  SPEAKER_00: I mean, I had no regard at all for Macron and somehow it's gone low.
• 10:11
  SPEAKER_00: He's a gopher.
• 10:25
  SPEAKER_00: The second thing he wrote about was the Ukraine war,
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  SPEAKER_00: his go-to issue,
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  SPEAKER_00: while the streets,
• 10:30
  SPEAKER_00: the fireman's on fire,
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  SPEAKER_00: and a bunch of Muslim students, quote-unquote, are filming it.
• 10:36
  SPEAKER_00: And then third,
• 10:37
  SPEAKER_00: he said today,
• 10:38
  SPEAKER_00: and I just can't make this up,
• 10:39
  SPEAKER_00: you can imagine this making my Burkean and Jeffersonian blood boil,
• 10:44
  SPEAKER_00: that American views about freedom of speech are the opposite of freedom of speech.
• 10:49
  SPEAKER_00: He literally said that.
• 10:50
  SPEAKER_00: He wrote a letter to von der Leyen saying,
• 10:52
  SPEAKER_00: We need to move faster with setting up a framework for speech
• 10:56
  SPEAKER_00: where we monitor free speech.
• 10:58
  SPEAKER_00: Buddy, I don't know what you learned in school but it wasn't about Jeffersonianism.
• 11:03
  SPEAKER_00: If you're monitoring speech,
• 11:04
  SPEAKER_00: if you think you have the right to decide what is good speech and bad speech,
• 11:08
  SPEAKER_00: it's not free speech.
• 11:10
  SPEAKER_00: You, in other words, are an authoritarian tyrant.
• 11:14
  SPEAKER_00: So he has time for that but not a peep about France being on fire.
• 11:19
  SPEAKER_00: So one, this is not about...
• 11:23
  SPEAKER_00: In fact, burning schools to the ground would lead you to a different conclusion.
• 11:27
  SPEAKER_00: Rather, it's about the Red-Green Alliance testing its strength ahead of elections next year.
• 11:32
  SPEAKER_00: Two, the administration are living down to the Patrick Henry podcast.
• 11:38
  SPEAKER_00: Even by my low standards,
• 11:39
  SPEAKER_00: they've really done an amazing job of disappointing any living human being.
• 11:45
  SPEAKER_00: 3,000 students, at least say students, have been detained in France school rioting.
• 11:50
  SPEAKER_00: More than 300 police have been injured.
• 11:52
  SPEAKER_00: The protests are increasingly violent,
• 11:54
  SPEAKER_00: and today, La France Insoumise, which is the LFI, I'm not making this up.
• 12:07
  SPEAKER_00: We were talking in the office about whether we'd have to stay all weekend and cover
• 12:11
  SPEAKER_00: the French riots.
• 12:12
  SPEAKER_00: And I said, no, no, no, go home.
• 12:13
  SPEAKER_00: Have a nice weekend with your families.
• 12:15
  SPEAKER_00: And my Italian colleague said, well, why in the world are you sending us home?
• 12:18
  SPEAKER_00: And I said, the French aren't going to riot on the weekend.
• 12:21
  SPEAKER_00: That's their time.
• 12:23
  SPEAKER_00: This is absolutely ridiculous.
• 12:27
  SPEAKER_00: If this is so important,
• 12:29
  SPEAKER_00: they'd be like Danton, Round the clock, sound the toxin, ring the bells.
• 12:34
  SPEAKER_00: No, they need their weekend off before they go back to protesting.
• 12:38
  SPEAKER_00: People are going to look at us historically and say how laughably unserious we were.
• 12:43
  SPEAKER_00: And sure enough, there were no protests, but there will be today.
• 12:47
  SPEAKER_00: All the other usual groups are going to get their day off and are going to go protest.
• 12:50
  SPEAKER_00: So today's the day to watch.
• 12:52
  SPEAKER_00: I may well be back to talk to you again as we move the story forward.
• 12:58
  SPEAKER_00: But the government and the intelligence services in the government,
• 13:01
  SPEAKER_00: Le Corneau,
• 13:01
  SPEAKER_00: the prime minister,
• 13:02
  SPEAKER_00: Sebastian Le Corneau's office,
• 13:04
  SPEAKER_00: has directly accused La France Insoumise,
• 13:07
  SPEAKER_00: the far-left party, of being behind this crisis.
• 13:15
  SPEAKER_00: The intelligence services have told him the unrest is a tactic organized by the LFI
• 13:21
  SPEAKER_00: and ultra-left proxies, as well as these unassimilatable Muslims.
• 13:27
  SPEAKER_00: Muslims, who are unfortunately French citizens, so they can't be re-migrated that easily.
• 13:31
  SPEAKER_00: That's the bill you pay for unassimilated, unfettered immigration for 25 years.
• 13:37
  SPEAKER_00: This is what I'm constantly talking about, that my rivals have only the difference.
• 13:41
  SPEAKER_00: I believe in karma, good and bad.
• 13:42
  SPEAKER_00: This is the bill for letting in folks without assimilating them for the
• 13:56
  SPEAKER_00: And so now that they're within,
• 14:01
  SPEAKER_00: but still unable to work,
• 14:04
  SPEAKER_00: not desiring to work,
• 14:06
  SPEAKER_00: and increasingly seeing their benefits perhaps cut,
• 14:09
  SPEAKER_00: they are increasingly radicalized in the streets.
• 14:13
  SPEAKER_00: Melenchon,
• 14:18
  SPEAKER_00: by the way, is about second in the vote at the moment.
• 14:21
  SPEAKER_00: He's tied for second with Edouard Philippe and Le Pen is way in front.
• 14:25
  SPEAKER_00: But we could have a far right, far left runoff.
• 14:27
  SPEAKER_00: That would be a French revolution.
• 14:29
  SPEAKER_00: Indeed, it's very, very close.
• 14:30
  SPEAKER_00: We're waiting on polling numbers after all this occurring to see.
• 14:34
  SPEAKER_00: What actually happens.
• 14:35
  SPEAKER_00: But the French intelligence people are saying it's the far left.
• 14:39
  SPEAKER_00: Now, there's a great picture on exit of the mayor of Saint-Denis,
• 14:43
  SPEAKER_00: Bale Bagayoko, dancing and cheering at a school burning.
• 14:48
  SPEAKER_00: Again, you can't make this up.
• 14:50
  SPEAKER_00: He's the mayor of Saint-Denis,
• 14:51
  SPEAKER_00: a no-goat banlieue near Paris,
• 14:54
  SPEAKER_00: Bale Bagayoko, who's dancing outside the The burning of a school.
• 15:01
  SPEAKER_00: If now isn't the time to defense French civilization,
• 15:03
  SPEAKER_00: which is magnificent,
• 15:05
  SPEAKER_00: was just there and remembered all the things I liked about the country,
• 15:09
  SPEAKER_00: then I don't know what we're doing here.
• 15:11
  SPEAKER_00: And Macron's hiding under his desk, quite literally, quite extraordinary.
• 15:18
  SPEAKER_00: But let's look at the problem again.
• 15:21
  SPEAKER_00: Let's drill down on this third point.
• 15:24
  SPEAKER_00: About who am I talking about?
• 15:25
  SPEAKER_00: Why am I saying these mean things about these people?
• 15:28
  SPEAKER_00: Here's some numbers to add rigor to what I'm saying and bolster it.
• 15:32
  SPEAKER_00: Again, let's be intellectual and academic and empirical about this.
• 15:37
  SPEAKER_00: 34% of France's under-18 population, this first, second, or third generation immigrants, 34%.
• 15:47
  SPEAKER_00: of France's under-18 population,
• 15:49
  SPEAKER_00: a solid third of first, second, or third generation immigrants.
• 15:53
  SPEAKER_00: So that's having to assimilate an awful lot of people quickly, which is palpably not happening.
• 15:59
  SPEAKER_00: Two-thirds of this third, two-thirds of this cohort Two-thirds are from the third world.
• 16:06
  SPEAKER_00: So not an easy fit.
• 16:08
  SPEAKER_00: We're not talking folks from Germany,
• 16:10
  SPEAKER_00: the United States,
• 16:11
  SPEAKER_00: or Spain who kind of get how modern society,
• 16:14
  SPEAKER_00: modern Western society works and value Western civilization in some basic way.
• 16:19
  SPEAKER_00: Two-thirds are from the third world.
• 16:21
  SPEAKER_00: And 44%, almost half, arrive from Muslim-majority countries.
• 16:27
  SPEAKER_00: Okay, so one-third of all under-18 population are first, second, third generation.
• 16:33
  SPEAKER_00: Two-thirds of this are from the third world, the developing world.
• 16:37
  SPEAKER_00: And 44% of the cohort are from Muslim-majority countries.
• 16:41
  SPEAKER_00: This contrasts with about 4% in the United States of immigrants.
• 16:47
  SPEAKER_00: So 4% of immigrants in the United States are Muslim, 44% in France.
• 16:54
  SPEAKER_00: With a very,
• 16:55
  SPEAKER_00: very different view of God,
• 16:57
  SPEAKER_00: of the state in relation to religion,
• 17:00
  SPEAKER_00: of social norms, and they show no desire to assimilate.
• 17:04
  SPEAKER_00: Rather, they're benefit shopping.
• 17:06
  SPEAKER_00: And now we have a group of unemployable, unassimilatable people.
• 17:10
  SPEAKER_00: You can't assimilate unless it's demanded of you,
• 17:13
  SPEAKER_00: which the French aren't doing, and unless you want to.
• 17:17
  SPEAKER_00: These are two basic urges.
• 17:19
  SPEAKER_00: Do you want to assimilate,
• 17:20
  SPEAKER_00: and do they demand of you,
• 17:21
  SPEAKER_00: and or do they demand of you that you assimilate,
• 17:24
  SPEAKER_00: and in neither case are the French doing anything.
• 17:28
  SPEAKER_00: One more time with the numbers, so we're clear.
• 17:31
  SPEAKER_00: 34% of France's under 18 are first, second, or third generation immigrants.
• 17:35
  SPEAKER_00: Two-thirds of this cohort come from the developing world,
• 17:38
  SPEAKER_00: and 44% arrive from Muslim-majority countries with a very different view
• 17:43
  SPEAKER_00: of how society should work.
• 17:45
  SPEAKER_00: Not an easy fit for assimilation if anyone wanted to, and they don't.
• 17:49
  SPEAKER_00: The younger generation, by various polling standards, is more hard-line than the parents.
• 17:56
  SPEAKER_00: The people who came in after Algeria,
• 17:59
  SPEAKER_00: many of them tried to make a go of being French, and that hasn't worked very well.
• 18:02
  SPEAKER_00: But second or third groups,
• 18:04
  SPEAKER_00: which normally are now tied to the society in America by the third generation,
• 18:09
  SPEAKER_00: everybody's in.
• 18:11
  SPEAKER_00: Not having the first generation tend to be treated rather badly,
• 18:14
  SPEAKER_00: discriminated against, work at low jobs in America.
• 18:17
  SPEAKER_00: But everyone knows their kids go to school.
• 18:19
  SPEAKER_00: They learn English.
• 18:20
  SPEAKER_00: They learn the rudiments of representative government.
• 18:22
  SPEAKER_00: If they're smart, they go to college.
• 18:24
  SPEAKER_00: Certainly their kids do.
• 18:26
  SPEAKER_00: And within three generations, 40 or 50 years, it takes a great deal of time.
• 18:30
  SPEAKER_00: This is not mentioned either.
• 18:32
  SPEAKER_00: You don't just let people in.
• 18:33
  SPEAKER_00: That's a 50-year commitment you're making.
• 18:36
  SPEAKER_00: Then you have an American citizen.
• 18:38
  SPEAKER_00: And that every American knows this because we're a nation of immigrants.
• 18:42
  SPEAKER_00: This is not the European experience until recently.
• 18:45
  SPEAKER_00: So this is new.
• 18:47
  SPEAKER_00: I said 25 years ago at a meeting with,
• 18:49
  SPEAKER_00: ironically,
• 18:50
  SPEAKER_00: the French,
• 18:51
  SPEAKER_00: they could learn a lot from American cultural assimilation
• 18:53
  SPEAKER_00: that I could say they could learn a lot from America.
• 18:56
  SPEAKER_00: They turned off.
• 18:57
  SPEAKER_00: They didn't have phones to play with.
• 18:58
  SPEAKER_00: But if they did, they would have started playing with them.
• 19:00
  SPEAKER_00: How dare you say we could learn from America?
• 19:02
  SPEAKER_00: And yet here we sit.
• 19:04
  SPEAKER_00: The key problem is unfettered, unassimilatable people.
• 19:09
  SPEAKER_00: They're not assimilatable because they don't want to be assimilated.
• 19:12
  SPEAKER_00: The second and third generation dream of an Algeria that doesn't exist,
• 19:16
  SPEAKER_00: collecting billions in benefits and moving not one step closer to assimilation,
• 19:22
  SPEAKER_00: rather the reverse, hating living in the banlieue, being penned in.
• 19:28
  SPEAKER_00: And not having any direction,
• 19:30
  SPEAKER_00: spending all their time on TikTok with videos about people committing pranks,
• 19:34
  SPEAKER_00: unable,
• 19:35
  SPEAKER_00: and this is said,
• 19:36
  SPEAKER_00: so many business people behind closed doors say,
• 19:39
  SPEAKER_00: if we take in these folks,
• 19:40
  SPEAKER_00: they're so brittle,
• 19:41
  SPEAKER_00: they can't work a straight day,
• 19:43
  SPEAKER_00: they're immediately offended, I immediately have a tribunal issue.
• 19:47
  SPEAKER_00: They are not prepared to work in a Western-oriented advanced industrial country.
• 19:53
  SPEAKER_00: They do not wish to do so,
• 19:54
  SPEAKER_00: and they do not see the tradeoff between the benefits they've acquired,
• 19:59
  SPEAKER_00: the safety they've acquired, any gratitude whatsoever.
• 20:03
  SPEAKER_00: Rather, they set French firemen on fire and film it.
• 20:08
  SPEAKER_00: That's what we're dealing with here.
• 20:10
  SPEAKER_00: And if you let them in,
• 20:11
  SPEAKER_00: it's not barbarians at the gate,
• 20:13
  SPEAKER_00: it's barbarians within the gate who've now found a political ally
• 20:17
  SPEAKER_00: in Jean-Luc Mélenchon,
• 20:18
  SPEAKER_00: always seeming to try out for a part in Les Miserables and the crowd,
• 20:22
  SPEAKER_00: one would imagine.
• 20:23
  SPEAKER_00: But this younger generation is less likely to assimilate and harder line than their parents.
• 20:30
  SPEAKER_00: The ethnic riots have been deployed by the Red-Green Alliance to test in their strength.
• 20:34
  SPEAKER_00: So here are the three things we've learned.
• 20:37
  SPEAKER_00: One, this isn't about schools.
• 20:40
  SPEAKER_00: They're burning them to the ground.
• 20:41
  SPEAKER_00: Rather, this is a political grouping, a Red-Green Alliance.
• 20:45
  SPEAKER_00: Hey, Tuesday on the street, we're really going to see this as this goes on.
• 20:49
  SPEAKER_00: This alliance of the far left student movements,
• 20:52
  SPEAKER_00: Melenchon,
• 20:53
  SPEAKER_00: communist trade unions,
• 20:55
  SPEAKER_00: the usual French Trotskyite riffraff, part of the cosmopolitanism.
• 21:01
  SPEAKER_00: They don't understand.
• 21:03
  SPEAKER_00: And the Green Alliance, these folks I've talked about.
• 21:06
  SPEAKER_00: Second, the state isn't defending itself.
• 21:10
  SPEAKER_00: The only guy doing anything is Darmanian.
• 21:12
  SPEAKER_00: The interior minister is saying, well, parenthesis.
• 21:15
  SPEAKER_00: They should help us pay for burning the schools down.
• 21:17
  SPEAKER_00: They should be responsible for this action.
• 21:19
  SPEAKER_00: At least he's trying to demand some form of accountability.
• 21:30
  SPEAKER_00: Managing his country, which is a long and sorry pattern.
• 21:33
  SPEAKER_00: So we have a surging quasi-revolutionary movement from years of unfettered,
• 21:39
  SPEAKER_00: unassimilated immigration and a sizable minority of French people who vote
• 21:44
  SPEAKER_00: for Trotsky and always have.
• 21:46
  SPEAKER_00: We have that.
• 21:47
  SPEAKER_00: We have the elite not defending their country,
• 21:51
  SPEAKER_00: Western civilization, hiding under their desk, very un-De Gaulle, I might argue.
• 21:56
  SPEAKER_00: And then three...
• 21:58
  SPEAKER_00: We have the reason for this being the bill being paid most of all.
• 22:03
  SPEAKER_00: And yes,
• 22:03
  SPEAKER_00: there is also,
• 22:04
  SPEAKER_00: by the way, a bond crisis going on with the French that we'll get back to.
• 22:08
  SPEAKER_00: They failed on all three of the elite's basic metrics.
• 22:11
  SPEAKER_00: No significant growth of 2% over a generation, 80 quarters.
• 22:16
  SPEAKER_00: Unassimilated, unfettered immigration.
• 22:18
  SPEAKER_00: They've done better on the energy because the French actually have nuclear.
• 22:21
  SPEAKER_00: But they failed on two of the major three issues.
• 22:24
  SPEAKER_00: And by the way, spending, government spending rates that beggar belief.
• 22:28
  SPEAKER_00: The worry in all this is that nobody out there, it doesn't seem likely to get better.
• 22:33
  SPEAKER_00: I mean, we're just at the thin end of this wedge,
• 22:36
  SPEAKER_00: but I want to mention and leave you with the fact,
• 22:38
  SPEAKER_00: one of the problems I have with the populace who might take over,
• 22:42
  SPEAKER_00: and by this I mean on the right, Marine Le Pen, the likely winner.
• 22:45
  SPEAKER_00: And here's a spoiler for next year.
• 22:47
  SPEAKER_00: We're going to say she's going to win the French election.
• 22:50
  SPEAKER_00: And this is a seismic,
• 22:52
  SPEAKER_00: that would be revolutionary, by the way, if either she or Melenchon came to power.
• 22:57
  SPEAKER_00: But she's for lowering the retirement age.
• 22:59
  SPEAKER_00: These people, populists tend to be economic illiterates.
• 23:03
  SPEAKER_00: She's for lowering the retirement age, again, as Melenchon.
• 23:07
  SPEAKER_00: So there's not the sign of a sane economic policy anywhere.
• 23:12
  SPEAKER_00: We're just at the beginning of the story.
• 23:14
  SPEAKER_00: But I think reflections on a French Revolution will be a storyline that goes on and on and on.
• 23:20
  SPEAKER_00: And I thought we'd start today.
• 23:22
  SPEAKER_00: And in fact, I may be back.
• 23:23
  SPEAKER_00: But these are the basic parameters to look at as we move forward.
• 23:28
  SPEAKER_00: Hope you enjoyed this.
• 23:30
  SPEAKER_00: Fascinating for me.
• 23:31
  SPEAKER_00: Incredibly busy.
• 23:32
  SPEAKER_00: This is an honor system.
• 23:34
  SPEAKER_00: Please keep faith with us as I am with you.
• 23:37
  SPEAKER_00: Everybody have a great day.