Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NFL Best Bets Sunday 12/7/25
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
- 0:05Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
- 0:07Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
- 0:11Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
- 0:14Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
- 0:17Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
- 0:19Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
- 0:24Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
- 0:27Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with bookends
- 0:33Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached
- 0:37Speaker 1: a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my Bruins
- 0:41Speaker 1: hat Man. I don't know what is going on with
- 0:43Speaker 1: the Bruins. March eight, is that what it is? I
- 0:46Speaker 1: don't even know it's March ninth. I think who even knows? Man,
- 0:50Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. I don't even
- 0:53Speaker 1: know what datas anymore. Man, back with you after the
- 0:57Speaker 1: worst day that I could possibly have, Back with you
- 1:00Speaker 1: as I always am until I die, at least oh
- 1:03Speaker 1: and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not go well
- 1:06Speaker 1: for me. Own five the worst month that I've ever
- 1:10Speaker 1: had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't know
- 1:13Speaker 1: what to even tell you about this anymore. Slump, the
- 1:16Speaker 1: slump disconvenues, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:22Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
- 1:25Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's
- 1:33Speaker 1: towed back with you. Better off dad, No Toadstool Sports Sunday,
- 1:39Speaker 1: December seventh, Thanks to everybody was hanging out last night
- 1:43Speaker 1: for the NFL show. Got two plays in the NFL today.
- 1:46Speaker 1: I will reiterate those at the end of the show.
- 1:49Speaker 1: You can go see my analysis on the show from
- 1:51Speaker 1: last night or follow me on Instagram learn to Toad
- 1:54Speaker 1: and I'll put those up soon. We're gonna have seven
- 1:58Speaker 1: plays today. I think I'm limiting myself too. I mean,
- 2:02Speaker 1: there's a decent amount of College of basketball today. I
- 2:04Speaker 1: got two plays there. I'll talk about the big games
- 2:07Speaker 1: as well. I'm gonna have two NBA plays, even though
- 2:11Speaker 1: there aren't that many games. I kind of like a
- 2:13Speaker 1: few of them. There's one that I almost want to
- 2:15Speaker 1: throw in the card too, that I have off my
- 2:17Speaker 1: card for now, but it's close. And then one NHL
- 2:20Speaker 1: play and I believe that will be it. For the
- 2:24Speaker 1: the board today or the card today. We went seven
- 2:27Speaker 1: and seven yesterday, which was a slight loss, and depending
- 2:32Speaker 1: on how you did it, you may have won or
- 2:36Speaker 1: lost more depending on which way you went. If you
- 2:40Speaker 1: went with the well, I'll talk about everything Northwestern, that
- 2:43Speaker 1: line went back down to like a pick them, like
- 2:45Speaker 1: the late money came in against Northwestern. But I looked
- 2:48Speaker 1: at like the percentages on like at the end of
- 2:51Speaker 1: the day, I just went through and I looked at
- 2:52Speaker 1: all the percentages, like the site that I look at
- 2:55Speaker 1: here pregame to see like cash versus ticket disparity, and
- 2:59Speaker 1: like almost all of them were in line with my bets,
- 3:03Speaker 1: Like the cash percentage was in line with mine, except
- 3:05Speaker 1: one of the ones that I won, it actually wasn't.
- 3:08Speaker 1: But I don't know, man, it's just it's hard to
- 3:11Speaker 1: read into read too much into these markets. So I
- 3:14Speaker 1: just go with the situation. Mostly in college basketball, but
- 3:17Speaker 1: the Northwestern, I mean, they were looking good in the
- 3:19Speaker 1: middle of the game. They were winning for a decent
- 3:21Speaker 1: portion of the game. They fell short. Obviously, Ducaine was
- 3:25Speaker 1: extremely frustrating because they were winning that game by a
- 3:28Speaker 1: huge margin, well not huge, but they were definitely winning
- 3:31Speaker 1: by more than double digits, like they were winning by
- 3:35Speaker 1: somewhere in the teams for a good stretch of that game,
- 3:37Speaker 1: and I'm thinking, all right, we're going to start the
- 3:39Speaker 1: day potentially two and oh here, and then Ducane fell
- 3:43Speaker 1: short of the number. Man. They never fell behind, but
- 3:46Speaker 1: they lost the huge lead and then they were only
- 3:49Speaker 1: up six late in the game. They wound up winning
- 3:51Speaker 1: by nine, So they missed by a half point. And
- 3:54Speaker 1: if that had won, we would have had a winning day.
- 3:56Speaker 1: I mean, so it's like it's that thin it was.
- 4:00Speaker 1: We were a half point away from having a winning
- 4:01Speaker 1: day there. With Duquane the opening number, I think you
- 4:04Speaker 1: could have gotten a push on that one instead of
- 4:06Speaker 1: the loss. But I never saw the nine. I didn't
- 4:08Speaker 1: think there was. There shouldn't have been a difference between
- 4:11Speaker 1: nine and nine and a half. It just so happened.
- 4:13Speaker 1: The game landed nine. Not really typical of a basketball game.
- 4:17Speaker 1: We got Nickels right, that felt good. Getting a win
- 4:21Speaker 1: on an zero to seventeam or the bet just looks
- 4:24Speaker 1: like absolute insanity, like why would you do this? Well,
- 4:27Speaker 1: we got that one right, and we did get North
- 4:29Speaker 1: Carolina A and T right as well, So starting to
- 4:34Speaker 1: win some stuff back on the day we lost on Fresno. Unfortunately,
- 4:39Speaker 1: they were I don't know, they weren't that far off
- 4:42Speaker 1: from covering that number. I think they lost by like
- 4:44Speaker 1: twenty six or something, but they took the loss. Ohio
- 4:48Speaker 1: was a winner for US, I believe still in college
- 4:51Speaker 1: basketball here they got the win and cover. I think
- 4:53Speaker 1: they won by double digits if I remember correctly. Texas
- 4:57Speaker 1: Southern unfortunately took the loss. They were hanging They were
- 5:00Speaker 1: winning the game out right for a while early and
- 5:02Speaker 1: they were hanging within that number into the second half,
- 5:05Speaker 1: and then they wound up losing by I think double digits.
- 5:08Speaker 1: But they seemed like they had shots to cover that
- 5:10Speaker 1: game late in the game and kind of fell apart.
- 5:14Speaker 1: New Orleans was just dead right away. They were never
- 5:17Speaker 1: going to cover that as a favorite. I think they
- 5:18Speaker 1: lost out right. That was just a horrible performance there.
- 5:21Speaker 1: And then we did get the cover with cal Baptist,
- 5:24Speaker 1: so I think it was a four and five College
- 5:26Speaker 1: of Basketball day, which obviously I'm not happy about that,
- 5:30Speaker 1: but cal Baptists finished it off with a cover there.
- 5:33Speaker 1: They fell behind by decent margin, but they were able
- 5:36Speaker 1: to get back within that number. I think they lost
- 5:38Speaker 1: by four or so. We got the win in hockey
- 5:41Speaker 1: in Montreal. That was a win. I think it actually
- 5:44Speaker 1: wound up going into overtime or they won late. It
- 5:46Speaker 1: was a close game, but they won. And then I'm
- 5:49Speaker 1: gonna talk about it again today. But I think the
- 5:51Speaker 1: Tampa Bay loss was kind of bullshit, man. I mean,
- 5:55Speaker 1: they were losing that game, won nothing for like the
- 5:57Speaker 1: whole game, and they won every metric in that game. Basically,
- 6:00Speaker 1: they had more shots, more hits, more, They almost won
- 6:03Speaker 1: like I think sixty percent of the face offs. I
- 6:06Speaker 1: don't know what happened in that game. It was just
- 6:09Speaker 1: they were up against so Rock and I think he
- 6:11Speaker 1: played a bunch of games in a row. He was
- 6:14Speaker 1: just out of his mind in the game. This is
- 6:16Speaker 1: nothing else. You can't stop a goaltender like you're gonna
- 6:19Speaker 1: lose the game. When you have a goaltender that's just
- 6:21Speaker 1: on fire and just stopping every shot you throw at him,
- 6:24Speaker 1: there's nothing you could do. Like Tampa Bay, they were
- 6:27Speaker 1: the better team in the game. They outplayed the Islanders
- 6:29Speaker 1: in the game and the final score was two to nothing,
- 6:32Speaker 1: but there was an empty net goal at the end.
- 6:35Speaker 1: It was one nothing for most of the game just
- 6:39Speaker 1: I hated that. I absolutely hated that. I think it
- 6:41Speaker 1: was the right side. And then we lost on the
- 6:44Speaker 1: Washington Wizards again, Thank you Wizards. Thanks a lot guys
- 6:49Speaker 1: for maybe maybe we should just never play the Wizards
- 6:52Speaker 1: again because they can't even cover when they're facing teams
- 6:54Speaker 1: that are in bad spots. We did get an outright
- 6:57Speaker 1: whim of the Sacramento Kings, so a little bit of
- 7:01Speaker 1: I always say, put in a case where you have
- 7:03Speaker 1: an NBA like single digit underdog there, I recommend putting
- 7:07Speaker 1: like ten percent of the bet on the money line
- 7:09Speaker 1: so you get that extra money line cash there. That
- 7:12Speaker 1: would have happened if you did that with Sacramento. So
- 7:14Speaker 1: that was a win. And then we got the outright
- 7:16Speaker 1: win with Indiana in the Big Ten Championship as well,
- 7:20Speaker 1: very low scoring game. I don't know if I don't
- 7:24Speaker 1: think Ohio State was ever covering in the game. So
- 7:26Speaker 1: it was a wire to wire Indiana cover, very low
- 7:29Speaker 1: scoring game, and Indiana got the win outright. So yeah,
- 7:33Speaker 1: we'll take that obviously, and then we'll move on to
- 7:36Speaker 1: today and we have a bunch of plays today, so
- 7:38Speaker 1: we're gonna get into it here. I'm gonna have to
- 7:40Speaker 1: edit all my banners yet, dude, I am. I'm not
- 7:43Speaker 1: gonna be able to get used to this. Like I
- 7:44Speaker 1: throw all the banners in like I had them really quickly,
- 7:47Speaker 1: and then I always forget that. Well I don't always
- 7:50Speaker 1: forget because they just changed this, but I've mentioned it
- 7:53Speaker 1: on every show so that they've changed the stream yard.
- 7:57Speaker 1: They put a timer on all the on all the banners.
- 8:02Speaker 1: Now it's yeah, it's just ridiculous. Oh my god, what
- 8:09Speaker 1: is even happening here? Oh that's one of my plays?
- 8:12Speaker 1: Hang on, I apologize, man, this is just like I'm
- 8:15Speaker 1: trying to get the timer off on all these stream
- 8:17Speaker 1: Yard is actually like it's all messed up right now,
- 8:19Speaker 1: like the I'm like trying to edit the banners and
- 8:23Speaker 1: it's all hidden right now. Hold on, save save stop it.
- 8:28Speaker 1: Oh my god. Yeah, this is just getting ridiculous. All right,
- 8:33Speaker 1: I almost have this ready because I just hate the
- 8:36Speaker 1: timer where I'm talking about the game and then the
- 8:39Speaker 1: banner goes off. We don't have anybody in the chat
- 8:41Speaker 1: right now anyway, though, So all right, we're good. Let's
- 8:44Speaker 1: do it. Let's get into it, all right, we got
- 8:48Speaker 1: college basketball here. I'm not gonna talk about every game. Obviously,
- 8:53Speaker 1: we do have a game at noon, one of the
- 8:55Speaker 1: Military Academy games air Force and Navy. Really not a
- 8:59Speaker 1: whole to say here. I mean, air Force is traveling
- 9:02Speaker 1: to the Baltimore area, which seems like kind of a
- 9:04Speaker 1: difficult travel spot for air Force here. I think I
- 9:10Speaker 1: was gonna say it's their first cheer road game. It isn't.
- 9:12Speaker 1: They had one other cheer road game. They lost to
- 9:14Speaker 1: Belmont by double digits. Navy is the better team here,
- 9:18Speaker 1: and they're in a more familiar environment here staying at home.
- 9:21Speaker 1: They're up to a ten and a half point favorite.
- 9:23Speaker 1: I mean, if you forced me to give an opinion,
- 9:26Speaker 1: I would probably lay it with Navy. But the total
- 9:29Speaker 1: is pretty low at one thirty four, so I'm not
- 9:31Speaker 1: really too keen on that. One PM on ESPN two,
- 9:35Speaker 1: we do have one pretty big game, which is the
- 9:37Speaker 1: basketball edition of the Border War between Missouri and Kansas.
- 9:41Speaker 1: Big game, two Big Conference teams here. The game is
- 9:45Speaker 1: in Kansas City, which is a neutral site game sort
- 9:48Speaker 1: of midway between the two schools. Kansas is ranked twenty
- 9:54Speaker 1: first of the country, Missouri is unranked. Kansas is the
- 9:56Speaker 1: better team. The question is by how much I don't
- 10:00Speaker 1: think it's by that much. Kansas is up to a
- 10:02Speaker 1: five and a half point favorite, fifty seven percent tickets,
- 10:05Speaker 1: fifty eight percent of the cash, and that it looks
- 10:07Speaker 1: like the money has kind of come in on that side.
- 10:09Speaker 1: But I kind of lean in the other direction, even
- 10:13Speaker 1: though I do have some hesitations with that, which I'm
- 10:15Speaker 1: obviously not going to give out a play on this.
- 10:16Speaker 1: Missouri they're eight and one, but they really haven't been tested.
- 10:21Speaker 1: I mean, their biggest win was against Minnesota, and then
- 10:23Speaker 1: they took a loss in their last game at Notre Dame,
- 10:26Speaker 1: but that was only their second true road game. Missouri
- 10:30Speaker 1: didn't play well. I think there were probably a small
- 10:32Speaker 1: favorite in that game because Notre Dame is not that good.
- 10:34Speaker 1: They took the loss, so you could argue that, well,
- 10:37Speaker 1: it was kind of an ugly loss and maybe they'll
- 10:38Speaker 1: bounce back from that. But you could also argue that
- 10:41Speaker 1: it was their first loss of the season, so they're
- 10:43Speaker 1: gonna be hungover coming into the next game. So I
- 10:46Speaker 1: could see both arguments there, which is why I struggle
- 10:48Speaker 1: with this, and I don't want to play the game
- 10:51Speaker 1: for Kansas, though I do think Kansas is not in
- 10:53Speaker 1: a great spot here Kansas playing a few big games
- 10:57Speaker 1: in a row here Man Tennessee. Nice win for Kansas
- 11:01Speaker 1: against Tennessee, but that was a win for us on
- 11:03Speaker 1: the show. Remember Tennessee was coming off the huge win
- 11:06Speaker 1: over at Houston, which was a tournament revenge game, so
- 11:10Speaker 1: Tennessee was in a letdown spot after that. I felt
- 11:13Speaker 1: Kansas got the win. And then Kansas played close against
- 11:16Speaker 1: Yukon in their most recent game as well, so they're
- 11:19Speaker 1: coming off some real battles. Yes, Kansas is definitely the
- 11:22Speaker 1: more battle tested team by far. They've played the more
- 11:26Speaker 1: difficult schedule and they are the better team. But the spot,
- 11:30Speaker 1: to me, it doesn't set up that great for them.
- 11:32Speaker 1: On the spot. People will also maybe look at, say, oh,
- 11:35Speaker 1: Kansas is six and three, Missouri is eight and one,
- 11:38Speaker 1: and maybe it looks tempting to take the points with
- 11:40Speaker 1: the eight and one team. In this case, I would
- 11:42Speaker 1: leanto taking the points with the Missouri though, just again,
- 11:45Speaker 1: I think the situational setup is actually a little bit
- 11:48Speaker 1: excusually a little bit better just because Kansas is coming
- 11:51Speaker 1: off a string of big games in a row. But
- 11:54Speaker 1: I don't really have much of a feel for that game.
- 11:56Speaker 1: Central Connecticut and Northeastern caught my eye a little bit.
- 12:00Speaker 1: Central Connecticut played okay against Seaton Hall against a big
- 12:04Speaker 1: East team. It seems to be on the way back
- 12:06Speaker 1: up a little bit. Central Connecticut covered I think for
- 12:09Speaker 1: us on the show by like a half point or
- 12:11Speaker 1: one and a half points or whatever. Now they got
- 12:14Speaker 1: to go up to Northeastern. Now for Northeastern, I actually
- 12:17Speaker 1: think they're in a better, more focused spot here because
- 12:20Speaker 1: they just took a pretty ugly loss at holy Cross.
- 12:23Speaker 1: Northeastern was coming up of a bigger game against wake
- 12:25Speaker 1: Forest and they beat Ducuane the game before that, which
- 12:29Speaker 1: is a nice win for Northeastern. So Northeastern was in
- 12:31Speaker 1: a bad spot and holy Cross and they got up
- 12:33Speaker 1: for the game against a bigger Massachusetts school as like
- 12:38Speaker 1: the little brother there. So I do think it's a
- 12:40Speaker 1: bounce back spot for Northeastern. Maybe a little bit of
- 12:43Speaker 1: a concern. They have Syracuse next, which is a big
- 12:45Speaker 1: game that's not for thirteen days, so I'm not too
- 12:49Speaker 1: concerned about that. So I would look towards Northeastern here
- 12:52Speaker 1: after Central Connecticut played a physical defense, a slow down
- 12:56Speaker 1: seedon Hall team in Northeastern is coming off a real
- 13:00Speaker 1: ugly loss. So yeah, and it looks very strange to
- 13:04Speaker 1: see a three and five Northeastern team laying three and
- 13:07Speaker 1: a half to a five and three Central Connecticut team.
- 13:09Speaker 1: But the Oswegers are telling you Northeastern is actually the
- 13:11Speaker 1: better team. I wouldn't really disagree. Well, the slightly better team,
- 13:17Speaker 1: I guess, because they're getting home court as well. Other
- 13:20Speaker 1: a three and a half way favorite. Like I said,
- 13:22Speaker 1: not much movement on the line there. It is a
- 13:24Speaker 1: low total one hundred and thirty nine. Central Connecticut gets
- 13:28Speaker 1: in a lot of low scoring games. But yeah, I
- 13:31Speaker 1: mean my opinion would be Northeastern and that one laying
- 13:33Speaker 1: the points. And again it looks weird to do that
- 13:38Speaker 1: with a team with the worst record, but Northeastern is
- 13:41Speaker 1: in the better conference, although we haven't started conference play yet.
- 13:45Speaker 1: All right, impure, what's up? Man? Divine liturgy? You're going
- 13:52Speaker 1: to church? What this is? I thought this was church
- 13:55Speaker 1: for everybody over here? Thank you, sir. What's going on? Man?
- 13:58Speaker 1: Thanks for popping in UTSA and number twelve Alabama. I
- 14:04Speaker 1: don't really want to jump in on this game, but
- 14:06Speaker 1: I do think Alabama is in sort of a sandwich spot,
- 14:09Speaker 1: and you could really argue that I mean, basically, it
- 14:13Speaker 1: involves their entire schedule. Like one end of the sandwich
- 14:15Speaker 1: is their last seven games basically where they played Power
- 14:19Speaker 1: conference teams except for Gonzaga, and I mean Gonzaga is
- 14:22Speaker 1: a blue blood so they count as well. Alabama's faced
- 14:26Speaker 1: all big opponents up until this game against UTSA, so
- 14:30Speaker 1: I kind of expect Alabama to just come in and
- 14:32Speaker 1: go through the motions here. They're coming off a good
- 14:34Speaker 1: win against Clemson. Alabama does have to turn around and
- 14:37Speaker 1: play Arizona in six days. It's going to be a
- 14:40Speaker 1: huge game and probably a very fast paced game, so
- 14:43Speaker 1: Alabama does not really want to. I don't think they
- 14:45Speaker 1: want to over exert themselves against the UTSA team that
- 14:48Speaker 1: they can basically beat blindfold. And UTSA is coming off
- 14:52Speaker 1: a real horrendous looking loss to South Alabama eighty two
- 14:57Speaker 1: to fifty eight, and even if SETH Alabama is the
- 15:00Speaker 1: better of those two teams, nobody wants to lose eighty
- 15:03Speaker 1: two to fifty eight. Man, maybe UTSA was looking ahead
- 15:06Speaker 1: a little bit here too, so I would expect more
- 15:08Speaker 1: focused from UTSA, although they have not been really battle
- 15:12Speaker 1: tested yet. But again, this is gonna be a big game.
- 15:16Speaker 1: For them and for Alabama, it's gonna be a somewhat
- 15:19Speaker 1: meaningless game for them. Alabama's laying thirty four points. It
- 15:23Speaker 1: is a very high total of one hundred and sixty
- 15:24Speaker 1: nine and a half because Alabama, you know what they're
- 15:26Speaker 1: gonna do it, They're gonna speed the game up. I
- 15:28Speaker 1: just think that they don't really have reason to really
- 15:31Speaker 1: go full throttle and speeding the game up, So I
- 15:34Speaker 1: don't think they cover this number thirty four. I would
- 15:37Speaker 1: take the points of the UTSA. I'm obviously Alabama could
- 15:40Speaker 1: just get in get out win by twenty like by
- 15:43Speaker 1: putting in no effort at all, So I think it
- 15:45Speaker 1: might be one of those types of games. Saint Mary's
- 15:49Speaker 1: at Davidson is kind of a weird spot for Saint Mary's.
- 15:52Speaker 1: Saint Mary's just took their first loss of the season,
- 15:54Speaker 1: so that could hang them over potentially here this is
- 15:57Speaker 1: gonna be their first true road game of the season
- 15:59Speaker 1: is well, so kind of a double whammy as far
- 16:02Speaker 1: as the scheduling spot for Saint Mary's. And maybe it's
- 16:05Speaker 1: even a little worse than that because they have Boise
- 16:08Speaker 1: next and that's gonna be probably a bigger game to them.
- 16:10Speaker 1: Than Davidson is so a lot of things working against
- 16:13Speaker 1: Saint Mary's here where it's almost a sandwich spot. I mean,
- 16:16Speaker 1: the only thing that maybe gives me a little bit
- 16:20Speaker 1: of hesitation on the fate of Saint Mary's here is
- 16:23Speaker 1: that that loss to Vanderbilt was really ugly. It was
- 16:26Speaker 1: a blowout, But still everything else looks like a really
- 16:29Speaker 1: bad spot here. Davidson has been really good at home too.
- 16:32Speaker 1: They're five to zero at home, although they just really
- 16:34Speaker 1: haven't been tested yet, so that is also the concern
- 16:37Speaker 1: with Davidson is that the best opponent they faced, which
- 16:39Speaker 1: was Utah State, absolutely smoked them. And Saint Mary's is very,
- 16:45Speaker 1: very good as well. They don't play the same style
- 16:47Speaker 1: as Utah State though, like Saint Mary's is not typically
- 16:50Speaker 1: going to put up ninety plus points against you because
- 16:52Speaker 1: they play really slow. Utah State plays really fast. But still,
- 16:57Speaker 1: I mean, I can't quite get there with it to
- 17:00Speaker 1: Davidson in this one. The money looks like it's disagreeing
- 17:03Speaker 1: and coming in on Saint Mary's sixty two tickets ninety
- 17:06Speaker 1: four percent of the cash on them, and they're up
- 17:08Speaker 1: to a nine and a half point favorite. I mean,
- 17:10Speaker 1: Sat Mary's again, they're not really the style of team
- 17:13Speaker 1: that you want to lay points with on the road.
- 17:16Speaker 1: I mean, uh, they they're gonna try to slow the
- 17:18Speaker 1: game down. It seems like that will happen with a
- 17:20Speaker 1: low total of one hundred and thirty eight. Yeah, my
- 17:23Speaker 1: opinion there would be to take the points with Davidson,
- 17:25Speaker 1: but that is not on my card. What else we
- 17:29Speaker 1: got here, not too many other totally in dressing games.
- 17:34Speaker 1: Illinois Chicago is coming off a really really ugly loss
- 17:37Speaker 1: to Arkansas Pine Bluff, who were really really a bad team,
- 17:41Speaker 1: like one of the worst teams in all of D one.
- 17:43Speaker 1: We does ken Bum have those guys? Ken Bum has
- 17:46Speaker 1: them actually a little bit better than I thought. Three
- 17:48Speaker 1: hundred and forty nine tho out of three hundred and
- 17:50Speaker 1: sixty five, still really really ugly loss for U. I see,
- 17:54Speaker 1: he was a big favorite there. I think they go
- 17:57Speaker 1: out and they have a better performance here at Yale.
- 18:00Speaker 1: Maybe they were even looking ahead to Yale, although Yale,
- 18:04Speaker 1: I mean they're not in a bad spot whatsoever. Though.
- 18:06Speaker 1: Yale's coming out of a win over brand Dice, I
- 18:09Speaker 1: think is who that is the what are they a
- 18:14Speaker 1: law school? Law school finance? I should know because they're
- 18:17Speaker 1: in Massachusetts. I think they're in Waltham, mass I think
- 18:21Speaker 1: they're finance. I think is what mostly they do. I
- 18:25Speaker 1: think there might be some law there too, though I
- 18:27Speaker 1: don't know whatever. But both teams are in positive spots here,
- 18:30Speaker 1: I would say, so I can't really get a read
- 18:33Speaker 1: on it and jump in on this. Although u C
- 18:35Speaker 1: should show up better in this game than they did
- 18:38Speaker 1: in the last game, will it be enough for them
- 18:42Speaker 1: to cover thirteen and a half against the Yale team?
- 18:44Speaker 1: It's probably the best team in the IVY League. Yet again,
- 18:48Speaker 1: I don't know. Man. Maybe maybe a slight lean towards
- 18:53Speaker 1: taking the boys with u C. But yeah, I mean,
- 18:56Speaker 1: I don't have much of a read for it. We
- 18:58Speaker 1: do a number nineteen Texas Tech at LSU. LSU maybe
- 19:04Speaker 1: under the radar right now. I mean they're undefeated, although
- 19:07Speaker 1: that might tempt people to come in and try to
- 19:08Speaker 1: take the points. This is actually not at LSU, my mistake.
- 19:11Speaker 1: This is in Fort Worth, so it's actually more of
- 19:14Speaker 1: an advantageous spot for Texas Tech, more of a semi
- 19:19Speaker 1: home spot perhaps for Texas Tech here, although Texas Tech
- 19:22Speaker 1: the fans are probably all still celebrating the big twelve
- 19:27Speaker 1: football victory yesterday, which I was wrong about. I mean,
- 19:30Speaker 1: BYU was hanging in that game early and then it
- 19:32Speaker 1: just totally fell apart BYU. I mean, they should not
- 19:35Speaker 1: be in the playoff. Man. We'll see what happens later today.
- 19:38Speaker 1: But i'd give my college football playoff predictions at the
- 19:42Speaker 1: end of this Why don't I do that at the
- 19:45Speaker 1: end of the show as well. I don't think it'll
- 19:48Speaker 1: be too long of a show. But this is a
- 19:49Speaker 1: good game. Texas Tech and LSU basketball. LSU they're not
- 19:53Speaker 1: really tested yet, man, I mean their best win is
- 19:56Speaker 1: I guess their most recent one where they had to
- 19:58Speaker 1: go on the road to be c and they showed
- 20:00Speaker 1: something by going up there and still winning the game
- 20:03Speaker 1: in their first tru Rog game. I know BC is
- 20:05Speaker 1: not that good, but they're still an ACC team. That
- 20:07Speaker 1: was a pretty good win. Texas Tech certainly more battle tested, though,
- 20:12Speaker 1: But Texas Tech is coming up a pretty bad performance
- 20:14Speaker 1: against Wyoming, where maybe Texas Tech was just looking ahead
- 20:18Speaker 1: to this, I don't know. I mean, I think they
- 20:19Speaker 1: almost got caught in that game. They were a huge
- 20:21Speaker 1: favorite and they only won by four. So it looks
- 20:24Speaker 1: like a positive spot for Texas Tech here in this
- 20:27Speaker 1: game against LSU, and they are the better teams so
- 20:30Speaker 1: and they're in Texas, So I'm not really going to
- 20:33Speaker 1: disagree with the Texas side here. There are Texas Tech.
- 20:36Speaker 1: Excuse me, they're up to a six point favorite, fifty
- 20:38Speaker 1: percent tickets, fifty five percent of the cash on LSU.
- 20:41Speaker 1: But I mean LSU just hasn't shown anything yet. Texas Tech, though,
- 20:45Speaker 1: you could argue that they have not stepped up well
- 20:47Speaker 1: in class. I mean they lost to Illinois that was
- 20:49Speaker 1: very close, and lost to Purdue. They did beat Wake four,
- 20:52Speaker 1: although barely, but that's not really a great resume so
- 20:56Speaker 1: far for Texas Tech. So there is that argument that
- 21:01Speaker 1: that could be made there. All right, first best bet
- 21:04Speaker 1: is coming up right now, and we're we're getting into
- 21:07Speaker 1: the you know me, man, I mean, I try to
- 21:10Speaker 1: handicap all three hundred and sixty five whatever team's here.
- 21:13Speaker 1: So there're gonna be some weird conferences that people don't
- 21:17Speaker 1: typically look at here, and this is one of those.
- 21:19Speaker 1: We're gonna lay five and a half with U Team
- 21:21Speaker 1: Martin in this game, Tennessee Martin. This line is going
- 21:25Speaker 1: up because it seems like the money agrees with me,
- 21:28Speaker 1: it's up from four and a half to six. Now,
- 21:30Speaker 1: I mean probably I would still lay it. Get the
- 21:32Speaker 1: best number that you can of me. And the total
- 21:34Speaker 1: is not too high in this game, in the one forties,
- 21:36Speaker 1: but I'm still doing this. This is against Alabama State,
- 21:40Speaker 1: even though Alabama State, I mean, they've been pretty impressive
- 21:43Speaker 1: for a swack team, but they're coming off a ridiculous performance.
- 21:47Speaker 1: So they went to New Mexico into the pit, and
- 21:50Speaker 1: I think maybe New Mexico just didn't totally show up
- 21:53Speaker 1: in this game. And New Mexico was I think more
- 21:55Speaker 1: than a twenty point favorite in this game, and Alabama
- 21:58Speaker 1: State could have won this game outright. And playing at
- 22:01Speaker 1: the pit, I mean, it's not easy. Man. It's in
- 22:03Speaker 1: high elevation and it's an underground arena. It's a pretty
- 22:07Speaker 1: crazy spot. New Mexico has a pretty significant home court
- 22:13Speaker 1: edge usually, and Alabama State was winning almost the entire game,
- 22:17Speaker 1: and they were winning by double digits late in the game,
- 22:20Speaker 1: I believe it was double digits. Yeah, they were winning
- 22:22Speaker 1: by eleven with like ten minutes to go, lost the lead,
- 22:25Speaker 1: got it back, and they were still maintaining the lead
- 22:27Speaker 1: until the final three minutes of the game when it
- 22:29Speaker 1: was tied, and then they just didn't have enough left
- 22:32Speaker 1: in the tank. I guess it felt just short unbelievable
- 22:35Speaker 1: performance from Alabama State in that game. And now they're
- 22:37Speaker 1: coming off of that and having to come back to Tennessee,
- 22:40Speaker 1: and to make matters worse, they got to turn around
- 22:43Speaker 1: and play Missouri in four days, and then they play Cincinnati, Memphis,
- 22:46Speaker 1: and Mississippi State. So you want to talk about a
- 22:49Speaker 1: sandwich spot, a down spot in the schedule, this looks
- 22:52Speaker 1: like it would be it man for Alabama State. I
- 22:55Speaker 1: don't know what they're gonna have left off for this
- 22:57Speaker 1: game here, U Team Martin. I know they have the
- 23:00Speaker 1: better record, so it looks a little bit easy to
- 23:03Speaker 1: do it. But for you Team Martin, they're just staying
- 23:06Speaker 1: at home and coming off some fairly easy wins here,
- 23:08Speaker 1: so they got a little bit of momentum staying at home.
- 23:11Speaker 1: The spot is just much much better for them if
- 23:14Speaker 1: you look into it a little bit. You Team Martin
- 23:16Speaker 1: did actually play better against the common opponent, Florida State.
- 23:19Speaker 1: They only lost by fourteen at Florida State and Alabama
- 23:22Speaker 1: State at Florida State lost very badly by thirty seven.
- 23:28Speaker 1: So there is that common opponent that they have there. Although, yeah,
- 23:31Speaker 1: Alabama State, I guess you could argue they're a little
- 23:33Speaker 1: bit more battle tested because they did play Colorado whatever.
- 23:35Speaker 1: They got run out of the building in that game too.
- 23:38Speaker 1: I mean, this resume is just not impressive for Alabama State.
- 23:41Speaker 1: Their best win easily is the game against UAB. And
- 23:44Speaker 1: you know that was a monster game for Alabama State
- 23:46Speaker 1: there too, because UAB is one of the bigger brothers
- 23:49Speaker 1: in Alabama to them, so they definitely got up for
- 23:51Speaker 1: that game and pulled off the upset. But I don't
- 23:54Speaker 1: think it's gonna happen in this one. Man. It's gonna
- 23:56Speaker 1: be U team Martin. They are the better team ken
- 24:00Speaker 1: bum as UT Martin. I mean, neither of these teams
- 24:02Speaker 1: are that good. I know he has them high in
- 24:03Speaker 1: the Luck Index, but we're still gonna go with them.
- 24:06Speaker 1: Ut Martin, he has sort of like a mid range defense,
- 24:09Speaker 1: which isn't too bad overall. I mean in D one,
- 24:13Speaker 1: so that's not that bad. He does have Alabama State
- 24:16Speaker 1: as the lesser team, does have them lower in the
- 24:19Speaker 1: Luck Index, meaning they've underperformed a little bit and they
- 24:21Speaker 1: have the stronger strength to schedule, but they also play
- 24:24Speaker 1: a little bit faster and their defense is way way worse.
- 24:26Speaker 1: So UT Martin has a significant defensive edge in this game,
- 24:30Speaker 1: and U U Team Martin is gonna also try to
- 24:32Speaker 1: slow the game down, and their offenses are not that
- 24:35Speaker 1: significantly different, although U Team Martins is a little bit worse,
- 24:39Speaker 1: but U Team Martin will also try to slow the
- 24:41Speaker 1: game down here. And I know I don't love laying
- 24:43Speaker 1: points of the slow down team, but Alabama State doesn't
- 24:46Speaker 1: want to go as slow and for a basketball game,
- 24:49Speaker 1: I mean, this is not a huge number to lay,
- 24:51Speaker 1: so hopefully we get it in that one. Let's keep
- 24:55Speaker 1: it going, man. I don't know if I want to
- 24:58Speaker 1: talk about too many of these other games, but I mean,
- 25:01Speaker 1: if anybody else is in the chat and they want
- 25:02Speaker 1: me to talk about some game that I haven't, I
- 25:04Speaker 1: will do. So let's go to my final best bet here.
- 25:11Speaker 1: Bring up the graphic yet again this next one. I mean,
- 25:16Speaker 1: people are gonna look at this and think that there's
- 25:18Speaker 1: only one way to look at this game, and I'm
- 25:21Speaker 1: gonna go in the opposite direction. I'm gonna take the
- 25:23Speaker 1: points with San Francisco against Mississippi State at four and
- 25:27Speaker 1: a half. I mean, people are gonna look at this
- 25:29Speaker 1: and think this is insane, Like, how can you have
- 25:31Speaker 1: an SEC team only laying four to four and a
- 25:34Speaker 1: half points to a West Coast Conference team? Like it
- 25:37Speaker 1: just looks ridiculous. Even though San Francisco is five and four,
- 25:40Speaker 1: not a very impressive record Mississippi State at four and four,
- 25:43Speaker 1: but I will tell you San Francisco is not that bad.
- 25:46Speaker 1: Ken Balm I think has them cracking his top one
- 25:49Speaker 1: hundred or at least close to that. They're a competitive team,
- 25:52Speaker 1: man Like, definitely, they're they're gonna be one of the
- 25:55Speaker 1: better teams in the WCC here and Mississippi State, they're
- 25:59Speaker 1: they look like down this year man. Ken Bom has
- 26:01Speaker 1: them in like the seventy something range overall, which is
- 26:04Speaker 1: a step down from where they were the last few years.
- 26:07Speaker 1: Even though they are an SEC team, they seem to
- 26:09Speaker 1: be on the way down a little bit, even though
- 26:10Speaker 1: they still have Chris Jans as their coach and whatever.
- 26:13Speaker 1: But I like San Francisco here. The money is coming
- 26:17Speaker 1: in that way, fifty tickets eighty three percent of the
- 26:19Speaker 1: cash on the downs for San Francisco. I mean they
- 26:24Speaker 1: face a fairly difficult schedule so far. I mean, they
- 26:27Speaker 1: had a six point loss on the road at Memphis,
- 26:30Speaker 1: which is a good sign, by the way, because this
- 26:31Speaker 1: game is, well, this game is not a true road game,
- 26:34Speaker 1: but the fact that they were really competitive in a
- 26:37Speaker 1: true road game against Memphis, that's a good sign. I
- 26:41Speaker 1: think Memphis is, you know, maybe comparable to Mississippi State
- 26:44Speaker 1: as far as how good each one of those teams is.
- 26:48Speaker 1: Memphis is not that good, but neither was Mississippi State.
- 26:51Speaker 1: That's a good sign. Now this game is like a
- 26:53Speaker 1: semi home game for Mississippi State. This is not in Starkville.
- 26:57Speaker 1: It's in two below, the home of Elvis and the
- 27:01Speaker 1: Elvis impersonators. And there's a crazy Netflix documentary Kings of
- 27:07Speaker 1: Tubulo I think is what it's called. That involves two
- 27:10Speaker 1: Elvis impersonator brothers and like one like was cheating on
- 27:14Speaker 1: the other with the same woman. And I mean, excuse me,
- 27:18Speaker 1: one woman was cheating on one with the other I mean,
- 27:20Speaker 1: is what is what I mean to say? Oh my god,
- 27:22Speaker 1: that sounded crazy. But then one of them is like
- 27:25Speaker 1: this conspiracy theorist who's like getting involved in all this,
- 27:31Speaker 1: Like he's basically like contacting all these government officials because
- 27:34Speaker 1: he's saying that these local hospitals are involved in like
- 27:38Speaker 1: stealing organs and trading organs. And I actually don't even
- 27:41Speaker 1: think he's wrong about that, but he comes off as
- 27:44Speaker 1: like a kook basically, and everybody thinks he's an idiot.
- 27:46Speaker 1: And then I guess like Risin got sent to like
- 27:51Speaker 1: a bunch of politicians, including Obama I think during his presidency,
- 27:55Speaker 1: and this Elvis impersonator guy got accused. I think he
- 28:00Speaker 1: got charged with all those crimes and he didn't actually
- 28:03Speaker 1: do it. Go watch I mean, it's it's really ridiculous, man,
- 28:06Speaker 1: you can go watch it. I mean it's one of
- 28:08Speaker 1: the more ridiculous documentaries I've seen. I think it's like
- 28:10Speaker 1: three episodes. But anyway, this game is in two below.
- 28:16Speaker 1: But for San Francisco, I mean, look at the run
- 28:18Speaker 1: that they just made. Man, they beat Minnesota, a pretty
- 28:20Speaker 1: good win there. Then they lost to Colorado by ten,
- 28:24Speaker 1: lost to Nevada, and this was in some neutral site.
- 28:28Speaker 1: This is out in California, I guess, so they were
- 28:30Speaker 1: still in their home state there for those yeah, but
- 28:33Speaker 1: difficult games there. And then coming off that tournament that
- 28:36Speaker 1: they were in there, they I think they just came
- 28:38Speaker 1: up flat. Man. They were at home against North Alabama.
- 28:41Speaker 1: San Francisco was a big favorite in this game against
- 28:43Speaker 1: North Alabama and they lost the game outright. I just
- 28:46Speaker 1: think it was a bad spot, man. I mean they
- 28:48Speaker 1: had that game sandwiched in between that acrosure event that
- 28:52Speaker 1: they were in, that tournament that they were in, and
- 28:54Speaker 1: then they had this game up next against Mississippi State.
- 28:56Speaker 1: I think it was a major flat spot for San Francisco.
- 28:59Speaker 1: And that's what happened in the game. They had one
- 29:01Speaker 1: of the worst games ever. They shot horribly in the game,
- 29:04Speaker 1: although both teams did, and yeah, San Francisco did get
- 29:06Speaker 1: massively out rebounded. But when you have a game like
- 29:10Speaker 1: that that's that bad, you're gonna show up focused in
- 29:13Speaker 1: the next game, man. So I think that's what we're
- 29:14Speaker 1: gonna get out of San Francisco. By the way, they
- 29:16Speaker 1: do also have a win over Bradley, which is a
- 29:18Speaker 1: pretty good win. So San Francisco, they're not a bad team.
- 29:23Speaker 1: Mississippi State. I know they're not a bad team either.
- 29:26Speaker 1: Mississippi State. I think they're kind of in a sandwich
- 29:29Speaker 1: spot now. Is they just came off an overtime game
- 29:33Speaker 1: against SMU where they that was a loss for us
- 29:35Speaker 1: on the show. Mississippi State should have won that game
- 29:38Speaker 1: against SMU, and they took the loss. They turned around
- 29:40Speaker 1: and they beat Georgia Tech on the road to the
- 29:42Speaker 1: Jergia Tech's not great, but that was a nice win
- 29:45Speaker 1: over an ACC team. Now they got to turn around
- 29:47Speaker 1: and face a West Coast Conference team, and up next
- 29:50Speaker 1: they're gonna have to face Utah. I just don't see it, man.
- 29:53Speaker 1: I think it sets up a lot better for not
- 29:56Speaker 1: only a nice bounce back spot for San Francisco, but
- 29:59Speaker 1: it looks like a sandwich for Mississippi State. So we
- 30:02Speaker 1: will take it with San Francisco in that game, all right.
- 30:06Speaker 1: Other games here UNLV and Stanford, I mean, kind of
- 30:09Speaker 1: an interesting game. Stanford really coming off almost nothing. I mean,
- 30:15Speaker 1: they beat Portland in their last game after they had
- 30:17Speaker 1: a big win over Saint Louis the game before that,
- 30:19Speaker 1: but Stanford played through beat Portland anyway. UNLV's played some
- 30:23Speaker 1: more difficult teams here. They'll playing Maryland, Alabama and then Rutgers.
- 30:27Speaker 1: Of the Rutgers is kind of a step down, but
- 30:29Speaker 1: UNLV took pretty ugly loss and that went to a
- 30:32Speaker 1: Rutgers team. It's not that good now going out on
- 30:35Speaker 1: the road to face Stanford here. It is only UNLV's
- 30:38Speaker 1: second tru road game, but they won the first one
- 30:40Speaker 1: at Memphis, and that was a win for us on
- 30:42Speaker 1: the show. It was a really bad spot from Memphis
- 30:45Speaker 1: there though. In this game, Stanford's a nine and a
- 30:47Speaker 1: half Bay favorite, sixty tickets, eighty three percent of the
- 30:50Speaker 1: cash on them. I mean, money looks like it's coming
- 30:54Speaker 1: in on Stanford. I mean, I guess, I don't know
- 30:57Speaker 1: if I could really disagree with it. I mean, UNLV's
- 31:00Speaker 1: just coming off that run of bigger games and now
- 31:02Speaker 1: having to go back out on the road. Sanford's just
- 31:05Speaker 1: staying at home off of some easy games. Maybe it
- 31:07Speaker 1: is better for Stanford here Hofstra and Pitt Pitt. They're
- 31:13Speaker 1: coming off a couple of difficult games then, but they
- 31:15Speaker 1: beat Ohio State and on a buzzer beater, and then
- 31:17Speaker 1: they played well again in the next game against Texas
- 31:19Speaker 1: A and M, only losing by eight, and I think
- 31:22Speaker 1: the game was pretty close. And now they're coming off
- 31:24Speaker 1: all that, they have to play Hofstra and then up
- 31:27Speaker 1: next they got to play Villanova in six days. So
- 31:29Speaker 1: this does look like a sandwich spot, so I'd start
- 31:32Speaker 1: looking to maybe want to play hostraight here. Problem is
- 31:36Speaker 1: Hofstra they just had a pretty difficult game as well
- 31:40Speaker 1: at Columbia. Columbia actually playing pretty well this year so far.
- 31:43Speaker 1: Even though I know they started off hot last year
- 31:45Speaker 1: and I basically said once IVY League plays started they
- 31:48Speaker 1: were going to completely fall off. I'm not sure that's
- 31:51Speaker 1: the case this year. I think Columbia might be a
- 31:53Speaker 1: little bit better than that this year. But Hofstra they
- 31:57Speaker 1: were an underdog on the road there at Colombia and
- 31:59Speaker 1: they took them within two points and lost a wind
- 32:01Speaker 1: streak on that. So even though yeah, I expect Hawstra
- 32:04Speaker 1: to show up for this and play well against an
- 32:07Speaker 1: ACC team, and I would still lean to hofstraight here,
- 32:09Speaker 1: I can't quite get in on this one. Pittsburgh is
- 32:12Speaker 1: up to an eight and a half point favorite from
- 32:14Speaker 1: seven and a half, so we'll see what happens in
- 32:17Speaker 1: that game. Slightly towards taking the points there, Zach, what's
- 32:21Speaker 1: up man? Thanks for hanging out staking eggs. I like
- 32:25Speaker 1: that For a For a breakfast, I usually just have
- 32:27Speaker 1: oatmeal because it's quick. I don't know what I'm gonna
- 32:32Speaker 1: have for lunch. We'll figure it out, though. I had
- 32:34Speaker 1: eggs yesterday though with bacon and sausage and cheese. All right.
- 32:40Speaker 1: Georgetown in North Carolina is an ESPN game at five pm.
- 32:44Speaker 1: Decent game. North Carolina rink sixteenth in the country. Georgetown
- 32:48Speaker 1: off to a decent start the season. You and c though,
- 32:51Speaker 1: I mean, I still think the way to handicap this
- 32:54Speaker 1: is that they're probably gonna let down spot because they
- 32:56Speaker 1: just went into Lexington, Kentucky. I don't know if Dave
- 32:59Speaker 1: port it was there, but North Carolina pulled off the
- 33:02Speaker 1: upset win at Kentucky. That was a huge win for
- 33:05Speaker 1: North Carolina. Now they're coming off of that. I do
- 33:08Speaker 1: think it is somewhat of a letdown spot here for them. Georgetown.
- 33:12Speaker 1: I just worry about Georgetown playing again a team of
- 33:16Speaker 1: this caliber on the road. Man, although it is a
- 33:18Speaker 1: good sign that Georgetown went into Maryland and their only
- 33:21Speaker 1: other true road game and beat Maryland on the road.
- 33:24Speaker 1: Georgetown did also beat Clemson in maybe a neutral site
- 33:28Speaker 1: or maybe that was at home, I don't know. And
- 33:29Speaker 1: then they took Dayton into overtime. That's a pretty good
- 33:32Speaker 1: performance there as well. And then there are other power
- 33:35Speaker 1: Conference game they lost to Miami, and that's a Miami
- 33:37Speaker 1: team that might be a little bit on the rise here.
- 33:39Speaker 1: So Georgetown, I mean, they are battle tests, and I
- 33:41Speaker 1: mean they've they've proven that they can hang with some
- 33:44Speaker 1: of these better teams at the very least. So I
- 33:46Speaker 1: do think they can cover a number against North Carolina,
- 33:49Speaker 1: which is gonna be a double digit spread here too.
- 33:51Speaker 1: So North Carolina is an eleven and a half point favorite,
- 33:54Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of the cash on them, eighty percent
- 33:56Speaker 1: of the tickets on Georgetown. But the money looks like
- 33:59Speaker 1: it's completely disagreeing with me here, But I would lean
- 34:02Speaker 1: towards taking the points with Georgetown in that one. Alabama
- 34:06Speaker 1: A and M against Lipscomb Lipscomb. As I pointed out, Lipscomb,
- 34:11Speaker 1: they're coming out of a real ugly performance against Tennessee Tech,
- 34:14Speaker 1: where Tennessee Tech they're a little brother to Lipscomb in
- 34:17Speaker 1: the state. At Tennessee. They really really stepped it up
- 34:20Speaker 1: for that game. And Lipscomb is a double digit favorite,
- 34:23Speaker 1: a big favorite. They only won the game by three,
- 34:26Speaker 1: And when a team comes off and escape like that,
- 34:28Speaker 1: you do expect them a bounts back and play better.
- 34:31Speaker 1: My hesitation would be that Lipscomb does play Duke next
- 34:34Speaker 1: Sol though it's not for nine days, but that is
- 34:37Speaker 1: looming ahead, so that does worry me a little bit
- 34:40Speaker 1: about Lipscomb. Here. Lipscomb is still three and oh at home.
- 34:43Speaker 1: Though Alabama A and M is their opponent here, they
- 34:46Speaker 1: are a pretty weak opponent. They're also winless on the road.
- 34:51Speaker 1: They have not stepped up well on the road, man,
- 34:53Speaker 1: although two of their road losses were to Indiana and Clemson,
- 34:56Speaker 1: which are certainly a step up from Lipscomb. But they
- 34:59Speaker 1: also lost at Coastal Carolina. That's not a good loss.
- 35:03Speaker 1: Alabama A and M coming off a satisfying win, I
- 35:05Speaker 1: guess you could say against Tennessee State, where I presume
- 35:08Speaker 1: Alabama A and M was an underdog there because they're
- 35:11Speaker 1: really not a good team. So I would lean towards
- 35:14Speaker 1: Lipscomb here, laying the points you're gonna have to lay, well,
- 35:18Speaker 1: not too much up to ten and a half here
- 35:20Speaker 1: from nine. If I was gonna play it, I would
- 35:22Speaker 1: lay it with Lipscomb in that one, because I do
- 35:25Speaker 1: think it's a bounced back spot for them. We got
- 35:27Speaker 1: in Nevada and Washington State here, neither of these teams
- 35:31Speaker 1: is very good, but they've both been decently battle tested.
- 35:35Speaker 1: At least Washington State coming off a pretty difficult game
- 35:38Speaker 1: at Bradley. Bradley's a solid team. Washington State only lost
- 35:42Speaker 1: by four. That is not a bad performance coming up
- 35:45Speaker 1: of that maybe difficult, although I don't think they're gonna
- 35:47Speaker 1: overlook Nevada, even though they do have USC up next Nevada.
- 35:51Speaker 1: I mean, they still have a lot of weight behind
- 35:53Speaker 1: their name and basketball, even if they're not that good
- 35:55Speaker 1: this year. Nevada's coming off a couple of big wins too,
- 35:58Speaker 1: against San Francisco in you see San Diego delivering you
- 36:02Speaker 1: see San Diego's first loss of the season, pretty big
- 36:05Speaker 1: win because you see SD's been the team to beat
- 36:08Speaker 1: basically in the Big West now for the last couple
- 36:10Speaker 1: of seasons. Now Nevada having to go on the road.
- 36:13Speaker 1: They've only played one other true road game and they
- 36:15Speaker 1: lost at Santa Clara. Santa Clara is a pretty solid
- 36:18Speaker 1: team and they were definitely a favorite at home there.
- 36:21Speaker 1: But so Washington State is actually probably worse than Santa Clara.
- 36:26Speaker 1: But I don't know, man, I mean, the spot to me,
- 36:28Speaker 1: it doesn't set up well for either team. So I'm
- 36:31Speaker 1: not getting involved in this game, but it is one
- 36:33Speaker 1: of the more interesting games of the day. Let's say
- 36:36Speaker 1: the money looks like it's on the Nevada side, even
- 36:38Speaker 1: though they drop from three to two and a half,
- 36:40Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of tickets ninety two percent of the
- 36:42Speaker 1: cash on them. I mean, I guess I won't disagree
- 36:46Speaker 1: with it just because I think Washington State, just because
- 36:49Speaker 1: of their name, people think that they're better than they
- 36:51Speaker 1: actually are. But that's really all I'll say about that.
- 36:56Speaker 1: Creighton and Nebraska, here we go this. This is the
- 37:00Speaker 1: big Nebraska rivalry man with Creighton and Nebraska on FS
- 37:04Speaker 1: one at five PM. This should be a good game.
- 37:06Speaker 1: I like how this sets up. It is gonna be
- 37:09Speaker 1: kind of a contrast of styles. I think we're Nebraska
- 37:12Speaker 1: plays fast and I actually think Creighton wants to slow
- 37:15Speaker 1: the pace down. Now, yeah, Creighton is a slower paced
- 37:18Speaker 1: team this year, but the oddsmakers are gonna have Nebraska
- 37:21Speaker 1: as a Jesus sized favor here. But ken bum only
- 37:23Speaker 1: has these teams separated by seven ranking spots, So you
- 37:27Speaker 1: kind of know where I'm gonna go with this. Nebraska's undefeated.
- 37:30Speaker 1: It's gonna look pretty easy to lay, you know, somewhat
- 37:33Speaker 1: small amount of points with Nebraska here and they are
- 37:35Speaker 1: at home here. But of course Creighton, I mean they're
- 37:38Speaker 1: used to playing in Nebraska obviously because they're a Nebraska team.
- 37:42Speaker 1: And these two teams play each other every year, so
- 37:44Speaker 1: every they play each other every year, and every other
- 37:47Speaker 1: year it's at Nebraska. You know, they switch off as
- 37:51Speaker 1: far as which team is the home team, I believe.
- 37:55Speaker 1: Now for Nebraska, they're eight to no, but their best
- 37:57Speaker 1: wins are against Oklahoma. It's a state New Mexico. I mean,
- 38:02Speaker 1: those are all decent teams, but they're not like up
- 38:05Speaker 1: rational on teams, you know, So Nebraska hasn't really faced
- 38:08Speaker 1: an up rational on team. And you might even be
- 38:11Speaker 1: able to argue Creighton is gonna be the best opponent
- 38:13Speaker 1: that they've faced so far, which seems crazy to say.
- 38:17Speaker 1: Creighton has only made one true road game and they lost,
- 38:19Speaker 1: but it was at Gonzaga. Gonzaga they're elite, they're better
- 38:23Speaker 1: than Nebraska, so Creighton. But Gonzaga is a speed up team.
- 38:27Speaker 1: Creighton couldn't handle them, but Nebraska should be a bit
- 38:29Speaker 1: easier for them to handle. Now Creighton has played a
- 38:32Speaker 1: more difficult schedule, but they've lost their step up games.
- 38:35Speaker 1: They lost to Iowa State, although we saw what Iowa
- 38:38Speaker 1: State did yesterday to Purdue, and that Iowa State team
- 38:41Speaker 1: is definitely legit. And Creighton did lose to Baylor. I mean,
- 38:45Speaker 1: that's not a horrible loss. Baylor's fine. Crayton was able
- 38:49Speaker 1: to beat Oregon. That was their best wins so far
- 38:51Speaker 1: the season, which isn't totally impressive. But something's got to
- 38:56Speaker 1: give here, man. So I think Creton at five and three,
- 38:59Speaker 1: people are not gonna want to take other points with
- 39:01Speaker 1: Creighton against an eight to no team, against a Big
- 39:04Speaker 1: ten team, you know, but Creighton, again, they have faced
- 39:06Speaker 1: the more difficult schedules so far. I don't think they're
- 39:09Speaker 1: that much worse than Nebraska. I would take the points
- 39:11Speaker 1: with Creighton here. Uh, sixty four percent of the tickets
- 39:14Speaker 1: around Nebraska they're up to a six point favorite, and
- 39:17Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of the cash on Creighton. I think
- 39:20Speaker 1: that's a decent amount of points. I think the opening
- 39:22Speaker 1: number of four was actually more appropriate in this game,
- 39:25Speaker 1: like Nebraska is just slightly better and then you give
- 39:28Speaker 1: them the home court. Six points I think is a
- 39:30Speaker 1: bit too high. So yeah, I would take it with
- 39:32Speaker 1: Creighton if I was gonna play that. What I didn't
- 39:37Speaker 1: realize that it's hilarious is the Green Bay. Their coach
- 39:40Speaker 1: is Doug Gottlieb, who I just remember Doug Gottlieb being
- 39:43Speaker 1: like in the studio, is one of the one of
- 39:45Speaker 1: the analysts, and now he's coaching Green Bay and throwing
- 39:49Speaker 1: chair as he's pulling the Bobby night baby. I don't know.
- 39:52Speaker 1: Do we have video of this? I don't know. Let
- 39:53Speaker 1: me see Gottlieb tosses chair. Can we see it? Let
- 39:56Speaker 1: me see? Oh, yeah, we can. Let's do it. I
- 40:02Speaker 1: don't think the audio will come through though on this
- 40:05Speaker 1: because I don't have it in my tab. I can
- 40:06Speaker 1: bring it up in my tab if you want me
- 40:08Speaker 1: to hold on. Actually, yeah, let me do it. Let's
- 40:12Speaker 1: let's have some fun here. I can bring it up
- 40:15Speaker 1: in a in a chrome tab here and share it.
- 40:17Speaker 1: Let me see here. That means I have to unshare this.
- 40:20Speaker 1: Hang on share screen. No wait, I want to share tab.
- 40:27Speaker 1: I'm going to all this extra for you, man. Yeah,
- 40:29Speaker 1: share chrome tab. Gottlieb toss's chair. Let's see if this works.
- 40:33Speaker 1: Is this gonna work? Let me see you guys can
- 40:36Speaker 1: let me know if you can hear it.
- 40:37Speaker 2: But yeah, all right, here we go and take the lead.
- 40:51Speaker 2: Living Darius Livingston hit a couple of big ones.
- 40:56Speaker 1: Don't know, let's see that again.
- 40:58Speaker 2: It falls to one here.
- 41:00Speaker 1: Wow, young team.
- 41:02Speaker 2: Gotta learn how to win, Gotta learn how to close
- 41:04Speaker 2: them out.
- 41:05Speaker 1: Oh they didn't show it on the video. What it
- 41:07Speaker 1: must Oh there it is. You could barely see it.
- 41:11Speaker 1: Man hit a couple of Robert Morris down the stretch.
- 41:17Speaker 2: They were able, Ah, not happy, frustrated the way out.
- 41:23Speaker 1: Oh Man, all right, anyway, I mean that's uh, that
- 41:27Speaker 1: was That was less. That was less hilarious than the
- 41:30Speaker 1: Bobby Knight throwing it across dude. That's what I thought
- 41:34Speaker 1: they were saying that gottlib did. I thought they were
- 41:35Speaker 1: saying that he threw it across the court. That's what
- 41:38Speaker 1: he should have done. Man. Still pretty hilarious, though, So
- 41:42Speaker 1: he's pissed that Green Bay team is having to face
- 41:45Speaker 1: Right State now today. I don't really have much of
- 41:47Speaker 1: an opinion on this, but that was a fairly difficult
- 41:50Speaker 1: loss to Robert Morris. I mean, Robert Morris kind of
- 41:52Speaker 1: has a target on their back in the horizon because
- 41:54Speaker 1: they won the conference last year. The angry Gottlieb face here,
- 42:00Speaker 1: will they bounced back from it on the road against
- 42:02Speaker 1: Wright State? I actually don't know. I mean, Right State
- 42:04Speaker 1: is the favorite in this one. Green Bay is really
- 42:07Speaker 1: not a very good team. Right State themselves. They're coming
- 42:09Speaker 1: up a pretty difficult game against Youngstown, though that was
- 42:12Speaker 1: a game with a close line. Youngstown is one of
- 42:14Speaker 1: the better teams in this conference as well, so I
- 42:17Speaker 1: guess you could argue that. Maybe you could argue for
- 42:21Speaker 1: taking the points here. I mean, the money seems to
- 42:23Speaker 1: be coming in that way. Right stayed done from eight
- 42:25Speaker 1: to five and a half, eighty six percent of tickets,
- 42:28Speaker 1: ninety two percent of the cash on them. Again, I
- 42:30Speaker 1: don't have a read on this game at all. I
- 42:32Speaker 1: think both teams are coming off fairly difficult games, so
- 42:34Speaker 1: I don't really want to do anything with this game.
- 42:37Speaker 1: I just thought the chair throwing was some fun there. No,
- 42:41Speaker 1: I don't remember that which Creighton coach was that McDermott
- 42:45Speaker 1: is he's still there. I don't even know, because I
- 42:46Speaker 1: remember it was McDermott is his name, right, and his
- 42:50Speaker 1: son played on the team for a bit. I don't
- 42:52Speaker 1: even I'm not even sure if he's still there, but
- 42:55Speaker 1: I don't remember that comment. No about the plantation, you
- 43:00Speaker 1: Texas A and M. This is an interesting game. This
- 43:02Speaker 1: is a neutral site game, I guess in Arlington, Texas.
- 43:06Speaker 1: It's I think it's closer to SMU because they're in Dallas,
- 43:08Speaker 1: although Texas A and M college station I don't think
- 43:12Speaker 1: is that far away from this either, though an A
- 43:14Speaker 1: and M might have somewhat of a bigger fan base
- 43:17Speaker 1: at this point too. This is gonna be a weird,
- 43:19Speaker 1: one interesting game. SMU off to an eight and one start,
- 43:23Speaker 1: but they took a loss to Vandy in their last game. Man.
- 43:27Speaker 1: In fact, they're coming off a couple of difficult games
- 43:29Speaker 1: against Mississippi State. Nice comeback win for them in overtime,
- 43:33Speaker 1: unfortunately a loss for us, like I said, and then
- 43:36Speaker 1: they played a tough Vandy team. Man, it took a
- 43:38Speaker 1: loss there, and a lot of times, as I point out,
- 43:41Speaker 1: when a team takes their first loss, a lot of
- 43:43Speaker 1: times it does hang them over into the next game.
- 43:45Speaker 1: So I don't love how it sets up for SMU. Here.
- 43:49Speaker 1: For A and M, they're coming off a couple of
- 43:52Speaker 1: good wins against Florida State, Pittsburgh I mean, those are
- 43:55Speaker 1: not great teams, but solid wins. Nonetheless, still I think
- 44:01Speaker 1: it sets up better for A and M, just because
- 44:02Speaker 1: the SMU's games were more difficult here. Although the money
- 44:06Speaker 1: is coming in on SMU, I don't really agree with that.
- 44:09Speaker 1: A and M up to a two and a half
- 44:10Speaker 1: point favorite, sixty percent of tickets on them eighty four
- 44:13Speaker 1: percent of the cash on SMU. I would lean towards
- 44:15Speaker 1: A and M in this game, and it looks weird
- 44:17Speaker 1: seeing the team with the worst record being the favorite,
- 44:20Speaker 1: but I think they are that way for a reason.
- 44:24Speaker 1: That would be my opinion in that one. I think
- 44:26Speaker 1: SMU has faced a more difficult schedule overall, though, as
- 44:29Speaker 1: we saw, that recent stretch they ran through was a
- 44:33Speaker 1: bit difficult, whereas A and M they haven't really like
- 44:36Speaker 1: those games that I just wented out they just played
- 44:38Speaker 1: recently were against lesser power conference team. So yeah, SMU
- 44:41Speaker 1: is definitely facing a more difficult schedule, So there is that. Yeah.
- 44:46Speaker 1: Doug McDermot, I think it is his name. A lot
- 44:49Speaker 1: of Dougs as coaches here North Texas and TCU. This
- 44:53Speaker 1: is a neutral site game, I guess because it's actually
- 44:57Speaker 1: not at TCU, but it's in Fort Worth. It is
- 45:00Speaker 1: basically it's a semi home game for TCU. I guess
- 45:03Speaker 1: although North Texas is in Denton, they're not really that
- 45:06Speaker 1: far away from here, so I guess it is basically
- 45:09Speaker 1: a neutral site game. It's an interesting one, and I
- 45:12Speaker 1: do think North Texas should bounce back from that atrocious
- 45:16Speaker 1: game that they had against Houston Christian that I mentioned yesterday,
- 45:19Speaker 1: where North Texas was probably about an eighteen point favor
- 45:22Speaker 1: and they almost lost the game. I think maybe they
- 45:24Speaker 1: were looking ahead because TCU is a big game for them, man.
- 45:27Speaker 1: They get to face one of the bigger boys in
- 45:30Speaker 1: the state of Texas. You know, North Texas is gonna
- 45:32Speaker 1: get up for a game like this for TCU, They're
- 45:35Speaker 1: coming off some bigger games. They beat Florida, they beat Wisconsin,
- 45:39Speaker 1: had a bit of a letdown and lost to Notre Dame.
- 45:42Speaker 1: But that's a pretty difficult run of games, man, So
- 45:45Speaker 1: I don't know that they totally bounce back from that
- 45:49Speaker 1: and totally play well here in North Texas. Their team
- 45:51Speaker 1: likes to grind you and slow you down, man, and
- 45:54Speaker 1: that's what they're gonna try to do here. And it's
- 45:55Speaker 1: a low total of one hundred and thirty five and
- 45:57Speaker 1: a half. TCU is laying up to nine I did
- 46:00Speaker 1: and half points. Now I would take it with North Texas.
- 46:03Speaker 1: North Texas the style that they play is much much
- 46:06Speaker 1: better as an underdog because again they slow you down,
- 46:09Speaker 1: they play physical, they play defense. That's what you want
- 46:12Speaker 1: as an underdog. So I do lean to North Texas
- 46:15Speaker 1: getting the points in this one. North Texas. Ken bum
- 46:18Speaker 1: does have them pretty high in the luck Index to
- 46:22Speaker 1: tenth in the country, so that's not that great as
- 46:25Speaker 1: far as that means. Worth Texas is overperforming right now.
- 46:28Speaker 1: He's got TWOCU in the fifties though, which isn't that great.
- 46:30Speaker 1: But he does have TCU very unlucky right now. I
- 46:33Speaker 1: think some of that has to do with that New
- 46:35Speaker 1: Orleans loss that they took. But he does have TCU
- 46:38Speaker 1: very very good defensively as well, but pretty weak offensively.
- 46:42Speaker 1: But again, that's not a good recipe for laying points,
- 46:45Speaker 1: so TCU, I mean, they're not a team that is
- 46:48Speaker 1: built to really cover numbers like this, so this is
- 46:50Speaker 1: expected to be a low scoring defensive game. Both teams
- 46:53Speaker 1: are better defensively than offensively, so taking the points does
- 46:56Speaker 1: make sense, and I think that's about it. I mean,
- 46:59Speaker 1: Goodzaga is hosting North Florida. I mean, Gonzaga is so
- 47:03Speaker 1: good that they're a forty four point favorite in this
- 47:06Speaker 1: game at home. I mean, it's just ridiculous. I mean,
- 47:09Speaker 1: I don't think are forty six and a half now, sorry,
- 47:11Speaker 1: I mean I don't think I would lay that sixty
- 47:15Speaker 1: seven percent tickets eighty two percent of the cash with them.
- 47:17Speaker 1: But it's like, where's the incentive for Gonzaga to actually
- 47:20Speaker 1: win by that margin. I mean, I don't think it's there,
- 47:23Speaker 1: although if they do happen to do it, maybe they will.
- 47:25Speaker 1: But Gonzaga's coming up. It just a ridiculously satisfying win
- 47:29Speaker 1: against Kentucky. That was an unbelievable win. And I told
- 47:33Speaker 1: you I liked Gonzaga because they're lost in Michigan. Was
- 47:36Speaker 1: so embarrassing, even though Michigan's good, losing by forty points,
- 47:40Speaker 1: you had to know Gonzaga was gonna bounce back at
- 47:42Speaker 1: this game against Kentucky. By the way, it was not
- 47:44Speaker 1: at Kentucky. It was actually in Nashville, so Kentucky, you know,
- 47:48Speaker 1: Kentucky had a bigger fan base at that game. But
- 47:50Speaker 1: Gonzaga still absolutely destroyed them, So I think Goodzaga could
- 47:55Speaker 1: be in a bit of a let down here coming
- 47:56Speaker 1: back home. And they do have UCLA up next to
- 47:58Speaker 1: just a bigger game. So I certainly would not lay
- 48:01Speaker 1: the points. I mean, am I jumping onto my seat
- 48:03Speaker 1: to take points here with North Florida? Not really, But
- 48:07Speaker 1: I just don't see Gonzaga having that much of a
- 48:09Speaker 1: reason to really go all out in this game to
- 48:12Speaker 1: cover a forty six and a half points, Brad, I
- 48:14Speaker 1: don't know why they would, So I would take the
- 48:17Speaker 1: points if I was gonna play that game. All right,
- 48:20Speaker 1: let's go to NHL here. We have a lot of
- 48:21Speaker 1: NHL games for a Sunday trying to get this video done. Here, man,
- 48:27Speaker 1: we have Colorado at Philadelphia. Colorado don't know that they're
- 48:32Speaker 1: in the greatest spot here. I mean, they played yesterday,
- 48:34Speaker 1: so they're playing a third game in four days, all
- 48:36Speaker 1: in different arenas. Let's say, I mean the first two
- 48:39Speaker 1: were both in New York. It's not much of a
- 48:41Speaker 1: travel spot between New York and Philadelphia either. But Colorado
- 48:45Speaker 1: did have an overtime game yesterday to beat the Rangers,
- 48:47Speaker 1: who still continue to lose at home. I mean, the
- 48:52Speaker 1: spot is not great though for Colorado. Although they don't
- 48:54Speaker 1: really have anything upcoming. They're playing Nashville. I mean, they're
- 48:56Speaker 1: not really gonna care about that. Maybe they will still
- 48:59Speaker 1: try to focus on Philly because Philly does have a
- 49:01Speaker 1: good record right now. Philly coming up an easy win
- 49:04Speaker 1: over Buffalo, which we I don't remember doing. No, we
- 49:07Speaker 1: didn't take a loss in that game, did we. I
- 49:08Speaker 1: don't think we did. No. We I think we faded
- 49:11Speaker 1: Philly against Pittsburgh the game before that, though, but they
- 49:14Speaker 1: bounced back nicely after first game back home. A lot
- 49:16Speaker 1: of times teams played bad next game, a lot of
- 49:19Speaker 1: times they will bounce back. Philly basically played as expected
- 49:24Speaker 1: in those two games. They've had a bunch of days off, though,
- 49:28Speaker 1: so Philly is the way more rested team here. They
- 49:30Speaker 1: haven't played since Wednesday, so the spot does set up
- 49:33Speaker 1: better for Philadelphia. But the money looks like it's coming
- 49:35Speaker 1: into Colorado surprisingly fifty three percent take it sixty eight
- 49:39Speaker 1: per the cash, and they're up to minus one sixty one.
- 49:42Speaker 1: I would slightly lean towards grabbing Philly as the underdoggle,
- 49:45Speaker 1: though the Osburgers are telling you that Philly is probably
- 49:47Speaker 1: not as good as their record looks all right, Next
- 49:51Speaker 1: up is gonna be one of the one of the
- 49:54Speaker 1: other best bets will show the logo again or the
- 49:59Speaker 1: screen again. My one playing hockey is going to be
- 50:02Speaker 1: a split bet on the Florida Panthers. Make your own
- 50:05Speaker 1: minus one puck line, which at plus one fifty eight
- 50:08Speaker 1: on the minus one and a half pock line and
- 50:09Speaker 1: minus one sixty two on the money line. So the
- 50:13Speaker 1: way that I say you should do it is you
- 50:14Speaker 1: should arrange this so you make your own minus one
- 50:16Speaker 1: puck line, and that way, if they win by one,
- 50:18Speaker 1: you'll at least push the bet. And to do that,
- 50:22Speaker 1: the amount that you lay on the money line part
- 50:24Speaker 1: of it. The amount that you win out of that
- 50:27Speaker 1: should be the amount that you bet on the money line.
- 50:29Speaker 1: On the puck line part of it, excuseually, if that
- 50:31Speaker 1: makes sense. So the amount to win on the money
- 50:34Speaker 1: line should be the amount that you risk on the
- 50:36Speaker 1: puck line, if that makes sense. So it comes out
- 50:42Speaker 1: to about minus one oh seven for me making the
- 50:44Speaker 1: minus one puck line, which is a price that I
- 50:47Speaker 1: do like we're fading the Islanders. I know we tried
- 50:51Speaker 1: to do it yesterday, but as I pointed, out at
- 50:52Speaker 1: the top of the show. This game was not what
- 50:54Speaker 1: it looked like. It was a two to zero win
- 50:56Speaker 1: for the Islanders yesterday, but Tampa won like every aspect
- 50:59Speaker 1: of this game, and except that they're that the Islanders
- 51:02Speaker 1: goals ending was just great in the game and there's
- 51:05Speaker 1: nothing you could do about it. So Rokans stopped every
- 51:07Speaker 1: shot and then the final goal in the game was
- 51:11Speaker 1: an empty net goal. So it was a one nothing game.
- 51:13Speaker 1: It was a nothing, nothing game for most of the game,
- 51:16Speaker 1: and then it was one nothing for a lot of
- 51:18Speaker 1: the third period and that was about it. I mean,
- 51:20Speaker 1: you could see here Tampa Bay outshot the Islanders thirty
- 51:23Speaker 1: two to nineteen. I thought they out hit them, my mistake.
- 51:26Speaker 1: They did not. They lost the hits by one, but
- 51:29Speaker 1: they did have a fifty seven point four percent faceop percentage.
- 51:32Speaker 1: I thought it was about sixty. But yeah, uh the
- 51:35Speaker 1: the Lightning. They played pretty well in the game, man,
- 51:37Speaker 1: So it was a very misleading result here in this one.
- 51:41Speaker 1: The Islanders were not as good as they looked. That
- 51:43Speaker 1: was another huge win for the Islanders. So now the
- 51:45Speaker 1: Islanders not only did they come off the win over
- 51:48Speaker 1: the Avalanche the game before that, which is a huge win.
- 51:52Speaker 1: But they just took the second game from Tampa Bay.
- 51:55Speaker 1: So now they've beaten Tampa Bay twice in Colorado in
- 51:58Speaker 1: their last three games, and they're on a bet to back,
- 52:01Speaker 1: having to travel from Tampa down to the Miami area
- 52:04Speaker 1: where I think Florida Panthers, I think they basically playing
- 52:07Speaker 1: in the Everglades outside of Miami somewhere. And yeah, and
- 52:13Speaker 1: doing all of this in a span of four days.
- 52:16Speaker 1: I don't like it at all, Man, three games of
- 52:18Speaker 1: four days back to back, and they do a Vegas
- 52:20Speaker 1: up after this. Yeah, I'm actually gonna say that maybe
- 52:23Speaker 1: the flat spot comes up here against the returning champ
- 52:26Speaker 1: Florida Panthers. I actually think it might happen here because
- 52:29Speaker 1: Florida they're just not playing that well this year. Man,
- 52:32Speaker 1: So I think they're starting to be overlooked by some
- 52:34Speaker 1: teams and they're not really as bad as they look. Florida.
- 52:38Speaker 1: I know they're on a back to back as well,
- 52:39Speaker 1: in a third game in four days as well, both
- 52:41Speaker 1: teams are, but Florida's not traveling. They're staying at home.
- 52:44Speaker 1: And yes, I know those games both went into overtime.
- 52:46Speaker 1: Yesterday they had a ridiculous seven to six game in overtime,
- 52:50Speaker 1: but we're gonna go with it anyway. Man. I think
- 52:55Speaker 1: they're gonna show up and win this game. We're probably
- 52:56Speaker 1: gonna get both backup goalies here, which is gonna be
- 53:00Speaker 1: Tarasov for Florida, which isn't great, but they've won two
- 53:05Speaker 1: of his last three. I think they've won with him
- 53:07Speaker 1: in nets. That's not horrible. And then for the Islanders
- 53:11Speaker 1: it should be Ridditch, who he's been okay as well though,
- 53:16Speaker 1: So I mean, I don't think there's that much of
- 53:17Speaker 1: a downgrade for either team really for those goalies, but
- 53:21Speaker 1: I guess Florida's downgrade for the goalie is a bit more,
- 53:24Speaker 1: I would say, but the way Sarakan played yesterday, it's
- 53:26Speaker 1: got to be somewhat of a downgrade from him to Ridditch. So,
- 53:30Speaker 1: but the spot is just really bad, dude. So we're
- 53:32Speaker 1: gonna be on Florida here. The spot is really bad
- 53:35Speaker 1: for the Islanders. Florida's got sixty nine percent tickets eighty
- 53:38Speaker 1: three percent of the cash on them down for minus
- 53:40Speaker 1: one sixty two to minus one fifty nine. So we
- 53:43Speaker 1: will take Florida as my one hockey play here. Uh,
- 53:48Speaker 1: San Jose at Carolina, don't have much to say about this.
- 53:51Speaker 1: Carolina is a huge favorite here. Carolina did just beat
- 53:54Speaker 1: in Nashville, but that's not a huge win. Don't really
- 53:59Speaker 1: don't really have anything this. It isn't back to back
- 54:02Speaker 1: though for Carolina. They played yesterday, but they're staying at home.
- 54:05Speaker 1: San Jose did not play yesterday, but they did play
- 54:08Speaker 1: Dallas the day before that, but they lost four to one,
- 54:11Speaker 1: so I guess you could argue San Jose has more rest.
- 54:13Speaker 1: They're somewhat in a bounce back spot here, but Carolina
- 54:17Speaker 1: is not in a bad spot either. There minus two
- 54:19Speaker 1: ninety five down for minus three to ten eighty six
- 54:22Speaker 1: percent to take its ninety six percent of the cash
- 54:24Speaker 1: on Carolina. Again, those percentages probably a little bit out
- 54:27Speaker 1: of whack again, I think because this site tracks a
- 54:32Speaker 1: lot of the more professional books. So what you're seeing
- 54:36Speaker 1: there I think is a lot of the professional money.
- 54:38Speaker 1: But I mean, I don't know, man, I mean I
- 54:39Speaker 1: would not lay a price like that with Carolina though here,
- 54:43Speaker 1: so I don't want to touch the game at all.
- 54:45Speaker 1: Pittsburgh at Dallas. Pittsburgh still with this good looking record,
- 54:50Speaker 1: but as the odds will suggest in this game, Dallas
- 54:53Speaker 1: is definitely the better team. Pittsburgh is coming off a
- 54:56Speaker 1: huge win over Tampa Bay as well, and they've had
- 54:58Speaker 1: two days off. When you're coming a massive win like that,
- 55:01Speaker 1: I don't think having days off is really that good
- 55:03Speaker 1: because you kind of just sit around thinking about that win.
- 55:06Speaker 1: I'm sure they should show up for a game against Dallas,
- 55:09Speaker 1: but I kind of worry about, like, what's Pitts we're
- 55:11Speaker 1: gonna have left in the tank here? Dallas staying at home?
- 55:14Speaker 1: They had an easy win against San Jose in their
- 55:17Speaker 1: last game. In this case, I think Dallas is actually
- 55:20Speaker 1: in the slightly better spot. Slight lean for me to
- 55:23Speaker 1: Dallas eighty eight percent tickets, ninety six percent of the cash,
- 55:26Speaker 1: and the medaw for minus two to fifteen to minus
- 55:28Speaker 1: one eighty nine. Yeah. I don't have a whole lot
- 55:33Speaker 1: else to say about that, but yeah, so yeah, I
- 55:38Speaker 1: would lean towards Dallas. Maybe a split puck line money
- 55:41Speaker 1: line play there. Saint Louis at Montreal. Saint Louis is
- 55:47Speaker 1: gonna be the more rested team here because Montreal played.
- 55:49Speaker 1: Oh no, both teams played yesterday, My mistake. Both teams
- 55:51Speaker 1: played yesterday, Saint Louis is actually in a third game
- 55:54Speaker 1: in four and as I forgot about the game completely
- 55:57Speaker 1: that they played yesterday, they played at all at one.
- 56:00Speaker 1: They won yesterday at auto one. Now they're gonna go
- 56:02Speaker 1: from Ottawa to Montreal. Not an easy spot for Saint
- 56:06Speaker 1: Louis really, although Montreal they got a win for us yesterday,
- 56:09Speaker 1: and they had a big win yesterday against Toronto in
- 56:11Speaker 1: a shoot on. I mean Montreal against Toronto always a
- 56:14Speaker 1: big deal, although Montreal before that hadn't played since Wednesday.
- 56:18Speaker 1: So Montreal, I guess, is the Montreal is I guess
- 56:21Speaker 1: actually the slightly more rested team here. Both teams aren't
- 56:24Speaker 1: traveling though, from Ontario into Montreal here, so Montreal could
- 56:30Speaker 1: be in a look ahead spot too, because they do
- 56:31Speaker 1: have Tampa up next year. So maybe the spot actually
- 56:36Speaker 1: might make more sense for Saint Louis here worrying about
- 56:41Speaker 1: the look ahead a little bit there from Montreal. Montreal
- 56:43Speaker 1: looks like they're getting some of the money right now
- 56:45Speaker 1: for minus one thirty six to minus one forty sixty
- 56:48Speaker 1: percent of tickets sixty nine percent of the cash on them.
- 56:50Speaker 1: But I might come back and maybe I don't know, man,
- 56:54Speaker 1: I would probably lean towards taking Saint Louis as the dog,
- 56:57Speaker 1: and that one Vegas is that the Ranger. We know
- 57:01Speaker 1: what I always say, Rangers at home man usually not
- 57:04Speaker 1: good for Vegas. They're coming off of a big win,
- 57:08Speaker 1: basically a shoutout at New Jersey, and sometimes I would
- 57:11Speaker 1: say maybe they'll be in a letdown spot after that,
- 57:13Speaker 1: but I don't know. I think the spot is actually
- 57:15Speaker 1: worse for the Rangers here because the Rangers played yesterday,
- 57:19Speaker 1: so they're the less rested team, and they took Colorado
- 57:22Speaker 1: into overtime yesterday, so they're the less rested team, and
- 57:26Speaker 1: they had a huge game where they fell just short
- 57:28Speaker 1: in overtime. I think the spot is pretty bad for
- 57:30Speaker 1: the Rangers here, so I would lean to Vegas in
- 57:34Speaker 1: this one. And of course, as we point out, the
- 57:36Speaker 1: Rangers are bad at home. Vegas pretty big favorite here
- 57:39Speaker 1: up for minus one forty eight to minus one sixty five.
- 57:42Speaker 1: Money starting to come back on the Rangers. I don't
- 57:44Speaker 1: know Vegas quite deserves to be priced like that on
- 57:47Speaker 1: the road, but I do think Vegas should win the game.
- 57:51Speaker 1: Sixty percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash
- 57:53Speaker 1: on the Rangers. I slightly disagree. I mean, it's another
- 57:57Speaker 1: spot where maybe I would look to make your own
- 57:58Speaker 1: pocket line or something, or you could also go to
- 58:01Speaker 1: win in regulation, although I worry about that a little
- 58:03Speaker 1: bit more. Columbus at Washington. Columbus has a good record,
- 58:08Speaker 1: but Washington is definitely the better of the two teams.
- 58:12Speaker 1: Columbus just went to overtime with Florida yesterday, and look
- 58:16Speaker 1: at their recent run of games, winning at New Jersey
- 58:19Speaker 1: on Monday, shootout win at home against Detroit on Thursday,
- 58:22Speaker 1: and then yesterday overtime loss to Florida. Now they're gonna
- 58:25Speaker 1: fly down to fly up to Washington, turn around and
- 58:28Speaker 1: play Washington. They did just lose at Washington five to one,
- 58:32Speaker 1: So I'm not gonna say Columbus is gonna be unfocused here,
- 58:35Speaker 1: even though they do have Carol line up next. But
- 58:37Speaker 1: I just think Columbus might run out of steam here. Man.
- 58:40Speaker 1: That's kind of the problem. Although the spot for Washington
- 58:43Speaker 1: is also quite bad. Washington didn't play yesterday, but they
- 58:47Speaker 1: were turning over from a road trip, but they actually
- 58:49Speaker 1: started in New York and then they went out to
- 58:51Speaker 1: the Pacific coast and to finish the road trip, they
- 58:54Speaker 1: lost at Anaheim in a shootout. That's a brutal loss Man,
- 58:57Speaker 1: and it ended along wind streak, So I'll lot of
- 59:00Speaker 1: things working against Washington here. Man return home spot. I
- 59:03Speaker 1: always talk about how teams can be a bit distracted
- 59:06Speaker 1: when they return back home, and I think it's even
- 59:08Speaker 1: worse for them because they play Carolina next as well,
- 59:11Speaker 1: so that's a look ahead. The fact that they lost
- 59:13Speaker 1: a wind streak also can lead to a hangover spot,
- 59:16Speaker 1: so and the fact that they just smacked Columbus not
- 59:20Speaker 1: that long ago another reason why Washington might not be
- 59:23Speaker 1: focused here. So when you dive into that game, the
- 59:26Speaker 1: spot is worse for Washington. But do I really want
- 59:29Speaker 1: to take Columbus here? I don't. After what they did yesterday,
- 59:35Speaker 1: I don't want to do it. I mean, I think
- 59:36Speaker 1: an over might make sense, although it's a six and
- 59:38Speaker 1: a half total, but it is high for a reason.
- 59:42Speaker 1: Both teams in bad spots. It's just I kind of
- 59:44Speaker 1: tend to say that my opinion would be the over,
- 59:48Speaker 1: even though I last year I play I made some
- 59:50Speaker 1: of those plays on the show. This year, I haven't
- 59:52Speaker 1: done it, but I got to keep my eye on it.
- 59:55Speaker 1: Yesterday I was correct about the over in the Edmonton game,
- 1:00:00Speaker 1: eight nun percent to take us nine to nine percent
- 1:00:01Speaker 1: of the cash on the Washington side. But if I
- 1:00:04Speaker 1: was going to play the side, I would probably go
- 1:00:06Speaker 1: Columbus puck line there. But don't love it. Let's go
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: to NBA. I got some more opinions in the NBA here,
- 1:00:12Speaker 1: although actually I gotta reload them. Water again, blow my
- 1:00:17Speaker 1: nose again. I feel like I do this all the time.
- 1:00:18Speaker 1: Let's go to an intermission and I'll bring up the
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: NBA board so you guys can take a look at
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: this and see if you can figure out which two
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: games I'm on here, and one of them is almost
- 1:00:27Speaker 1: going to be on my card as well. Give me
- 1:00:30Speaker 1: a second. All right, we're back, alright, NBA, Yes, NBA.
- 1:01:55Speaker 1: First game up Orlando, New York. Now this is a
- 1:01:58Speaker 1: pretty big game. And now one thing I did not
- 1:02:00Speaker 1: realize is that Bnchero actually came back. I thought he
- 1:02:03Speaker 1: was supposed to come back today, but he actually came
- 1:02:05Speaker 1: back in the game against Miami, so Orlando's coming off
- 1:02:08Speaker 1: that game. Now Orlando was at home, so they actually
- 1:02:11Speaker 1: didn't cover. So the reverse injured player spot actually did
- 1:02:15Speaker 1: work in that game. If he took Miami in that game.
- 1:02:18Speaker 1: I don't think I gave it out on the show
- 1:02:20Speaker 1: or anything like that, but I always say when the
- 1:02:23Speaker 1: star player comes back, man, he's got to get back
- 1:02:26Speaker 1: into his role. The line will move too much, usually
- 1:02:29Speaker 1: on the team, so more often than not they actually
- 1:02:32Speaker 1: don't cover. In a spot like that, they did not cover,
- 1:02:35Speaker 1: they won. But now this is the second game with
- 1:02:39Speaker 1: Bonchero back, so usually that second game of their star
- 1:02:41Speaker 1: player player back, you do play better. This is gonna
- 1:02:46Speaker 1: be a big game for both teams, though. Orlando is
- 1:02:48Speaker 1: coming off a big win against Miami and now they're
- 1:02:50Speaker 1: having to go travel up to New York for a
- 1:02:52Speaker 1: single game. They did beat New York in Orlando by
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: double digits November twenty second without Bonchero, so will they
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: really overlook the Knicks? Though probably not. The Knicks are
- 1:03:04Speaker 1: coming off a blowout win over Utah, but they are
- 1:03:07Speaker 1: just staying at home. So I do think the spot
- 1:03:10Speaker 1: sets up better for the nixt because Orlando's having to travel.
- 1:03:13Speaker 1: I mean, they have some you know, moving parts here. Still,
- 1:03:16Speaker 1: Orlando did already beat the Knicks once, so I do
- 1:03:19Speaker 1: kind of towards the Knicks. The money is definitely against
- 1:03:22Speaker 1: that though the Knicks are down for four and a
- 1:03:24Speaker 1: half to two and a half, seventy two percent tickets
- 1:03:26Speaker 1: on the fifty five percent of the couch on the Magic,
- 1:03:28Speaker 1: so the Margaret Reed is definitely saying the magic. This
- 1:03:30Speaker 1: game is actually at now in Eastern we have some
- 1:03:34Speaker 1: afternoon basketball. That's not gonna be one of my plays.
- 1:03:38Speaker 1: The next game is a play for me if you
- 1:03:40Speaker 1: could have guessed going to the best bets again baby,
- 1:03:49Speaker 1: and it is going to be fading my boss and Celtics,
- 1:03:52Speaker 1: which the last time I tried that, I got destroyed.
- 1:03:56Speaker 1: But that was because Washington sucks. You know who doesn't suck, tron.
- 1:04:01Speaker 1: I think this is a bad spot for the Celtics, dude,
- 1:04:03Speaker 1: as much as they're gonna want to be focused on Toronto,
- 1:04:06Speaker 1: and it does, I admit it does look a little
- 1:04:08Speaker 1: weird to see the Celtics laying points on the road
- 1:04:10Speaker 1: here like this against a Raptor team that has a
- 1:04:13Speaker 1: slightly better record, but fifty three percent to take a
- 1:04:16Speaker 1: sixty two percent of the cash coming into the Raptors.
- 1:04:19Speaker 1: The oddsmakers are telling you the Celtics are the better team,
- 1:04:21Speaker 1: which I know that all of that does seem crazy.
- 1:04:24Speaker 1: But this is all about the spot, and I do
- 1:04:26Speaker 1: not like the spot for the Celtics. The Celtics, they're
- 1:04:30Speaker 1: coming out a satisfying win of the Lakers. Man, And
- 1:04:32Speaker 1: I will tell you, as I pointed out in that game,
- 1:04:36Speaker 1: that's a huge ride. It's probably the biggest rivalry in
- 1:04:40Speaker 1: the NBA. Dude, Like, yeah, the Celtics. You know, they
- 1:04:42Speaker 1: don't like Cleveland, they don't like New York, they don't
- 1:04:45Speaker 1: like Detroit. Whatever. Celtics Lakers is like a next level thing. Man.
- 1:04:50Speaker 1: For the Celtics to demolish the Lakers at home by
- 1:04:54Speaker 1: twenty one points on Friday, that is an extremely satisfying win.
- 1:04:58Speaker 1: Now they got to go up to Toronto and play Toronto.
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: I just don't love it. Man. I think it is
- 1:05:03Speaker 1: a letdown spot for the Celtics here. But the other
- 1:05:07Speaker 1: end of this is gonna be that I think it's
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: a great spot for Toronto. So I'm gonna talk about
- 1:05:10Speaker 1: that in a second. But yes, I know Luca did
- 1:05:12Speaker 1: not play in that game. I think Lebron might not
- 1:05:15Speaker 1: have played either in that game. So the Celtics beat
- 1:05:18Speaker 1: kind of a shell They beat shell A the shelle
- 1:05:24Speaker 1: A Lakers, but still you beat the Lakers like that,
- 1:05:29Speaker 1: I mean, extremely satisfying win. And for Toronto, I think
- 1:05:33Speaker 1: they're gonna be very, very angry in this game. This
- 1:05:36Speaker 1: is a much better spot for Toronto. Toronto, they just
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: lost one eleven to eighty six to Charlotte and I
- 1:05:43Speaker 1: gave that out as a play here on the show.
- 1:05:44Speaker 1: We got the wim with Charlotte because I said it
- 1:05:47Speaker 1: was a sandwich spot. Toronto had lost two of those
- 1:05:49Speaker 1: same Lakers on a buzzer beater and then had the
- 1:05:52Speaker 1: Celtics up next. I was like, this is a bad spot.
- 1:05:55Speaker 1: But now I think they're in a much better spot
- 1:05:57Speaker 1: now because they're staying at home. They're coming off that
- 1:06:00Speaker 1: horrendous lost. They still want to get this win here,
- 1:06:03Speaker 1: want to even up the home stand back at two
- 1:06:04Speaker 1: and two. Yeah, I think you're gonna see a very
- 1:06:07Speaker 1: angry Toronto team. They had a really bad game in
- 1:06:10Speaker 1: that game against Charlotte, and people will see the common
- 1:06:12Speaker 1: opponent here, I think, and oh, the Celtics, like the
- 1:06:15Speaker 1: public might actually not really want Toronto here because the
- 1:06:19Speaker 1: public might see, well, the Celtics crushed La, and you
- 1:06:23Speaker 1: know in Toronto lost to La, so the Celtics should
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: be able to win this game for that reason, right,
- 1:06:29Speaker 1: And I think both games were without Luca as well. Yeah,
- 1:06:31Speaker 1: so Luca did not play in either of those games,
- 1:06:34Speaker 1: so people might make that comparison. I think this actually
- 1:06:38Speaker 1: looks kind of easy to play the Celtics here. I'm
- 1:06:40Speaker 1: not gonna do it. I'm gonna take the Raptors plus
- 1:06:42Speaker 1: the three three and a half here. I think the
- 1:06:45Speaker 1: Celtics lose the game. That would be my reaid on
- 1:06:48Speaker 1: this game. See if my Celtic gauge is back is
- 1:06:54Speaker 1: recalibrated here, we will see. I guess by the way,
- 1:07:00Speaker 1: I did forget to mention there were some common opponents
- 1:07:02Speaker 1: in play in some of those college basketball games too
- 1:07:05Speaker 1: that were part of the handicap. Actually, I kind of
- 1:07:09Speaker 1: want to go back to it for one second, because
- 1:07:11Speaker 1: I did forget to mention that, and that is kind
- 1:07:12Speaker 1: of an interesting part of which I think was the
- 1:07:14Speaker 1: San Francisco game. Let me just while it's on my mind,
- 1:07:18Speaker 1: let me just see real quick, San Francisco, what was this?
- 1:07:23Speaker 2: Who?
- 1:07:24Speaker 1: I don't wanted this to take too long, but NBA
- 1:07:26Speaker 1: is the last thing we're talking about here. So wait,
- 1:07:29Speaker 1: what Francisco? Where are you? What the oh I'm gonna
- 1:07:32Speaker 1: go at a Saturday. I'm an idiot. San Francisco. Yeah,
- 1:07:36Speaker 1: San Francisco, Mississippi State. I don't know. I thought there
- 1:07:41Speaker 1: was a common opponent in here, and I was like, oh,
- 1:07:43Speaker 1: that makes this even better. Maybe not though, no, I
- 1:07:49Speaker 1: guess I'm wrong, but whatever. Oh no, it was North Alabama. Yeah, exactly.
- 1:07:55Speaker 1: Mississippi State opened the season crushing North Alabama. And that's
- 1:07:59Speaker 1: that North Alabama team that just beat San Francisco. So
- 1:08:03Speaker 1: that makes it look even easier to play Mississippi State here, right, Like,
- 1:08:05Speaker 1: if Mississippi State crushed North Alabama and North Alabama just
- 1:08:09Speaker 1: beat San Francisco, then of course Mississippi State's gonna win
- 1:08:12Speaker 1: that game, right, So I liked that too, that common
- 1:08:15Speaker 1: opponent aspect of that. All right, let's get back to NBA.
- 1:08:19Speaker 1: We have Denver at Charlotte, and of course Charlotte is
- 1:08:22Speaker 1: coming off that blowout win over Toronto. But not only that,
- 1:08:25Speaker 1: but they're returning home from a road trip. Although it
- 1:08:28Speaker 1: wasn't a long road trip, it kept them in the
- 1:08:30Speaker 1: Eastern time zone. It was only three games, but it
- 1:08:33Speaker 1: was since Monday. I mean again, when teams are turning
- 1:08:36Speaker 1: on from road trips. Sometimes they don't have a great
- 1:08:39Speaker 1: game coming off that road trip, especially if you're coming
- 1:08:41Speaker 1: off a blowout win and you're a bad team. I mean, yes,
- 1:08:44Speaker 1: ideally Charlotte wants to get up for a game against Denver,
- 1:08:47Speaker 1: but you can't do it every game, man. I think
- 1:08:49Speaker 1: it is a bad spot for Charlotte finishing the road
- 1:08:52Speaker 1: trip with a blowout upset win and now having to
- 1:08:56Speaker 1: come back home and you got stuff to do back
- 1:08:58Speaker 1: at home. Maybe you gotta start helping decorate, although your wife,
- 1:09:02Speaker 1: I guess is probably doing that, but maybe you got
- 1:09:04Speaker 1: to do some of the Christmas decorating. Denver. They're coming
- 1:09:08Speaker 1: off a real close call at Atlanta, and Atlanta played
- 1:09:11Speaker 1: them really tough, so Denver kind of got a scare
- 1:09:13Speaker 1: there in their last game. It wasn't a good game
- 1:09:15Speaker 1: for them, So coming out of that, I expect more
- 1:09:17Speaker 1: focus out of Denver here, and they don't really have
- 1:09:19Speaker 1: anything upcoming either. So if I was gonna play this game,
- 1:09:22Speaker 1: I would lay it with Denver. Although the money seems
- 1:09:25Speaker 1: to disagree sixty one percent of the tickets and uh
- 1:09:28Speaker 1: fifty eight percent of the cash on Denver ten and
- 1:09:31Speaker 1: a half point favorite, I would still I would lay
- 1:09:33Speaker 1: it though with Denver in that one, if I was
- 1:09:34Speaker 1: gonna play it. Portland at Memphis. This is the game
- 1:09:38Speaker 1: that almost made my card. I like Memphis. In this game, Memphis,
- 1:09:42Speaker 1: they return on from a road trip and didn't suffer
- 1:09:46Speaker 1: any sort of bad spot there. They beat the Clippers
- 1:09:49Speaker 1: in the return home spot. Now they're back at home,
- 1:09:51Speaker 1: they can focus on basketball. They got Portland coming in Memphis.
- 1:09:56Speaker 1: The worry is that John Morant might come back in
- 1:09:59Speaker 1: this game. And if Morent was coming back, I would
- 1:10:00Speaker 1: not want Memphis at all because then you'd get the
- 1:10:03Speaker 1: reverse injured player spot and the line would probably move
- 1:10:06Speaker 1: more towards Memphis. And then, you know, I think Morant
- 1:10:09Speaker 1: is a chemistry killer himself, so I would not like
- 1:10:12Speaker 1: that at all, you know, and the team just in general,
- 1:10:16Speaker 1: when your star player comes back, the line usually over
- 1:10:19Speaker 1: just and then the team has to get used to
- 1:10:20Speaker 1: him again. But with Moran, I think it's even worse
- 1:10:23Speaker 1: because I think they're better without him. But he's not
- 1:10:27Speaker 1: coming back. He's doubtful for this game, I believe, so
- 1:10:29Speaker 1: I don't believe he's coming back, so you want to
- 1:10:33Speaker 1: make sure of that though, if you're gonna play Memphis here.
- 1:10:35Speaker 1: I would not do it if Morant is coming back.
- 1:10:37Speaker 1: I would do it only if he's not coming back.
- 1:10:40Speaker 1: But this is a bad spot for Portland doing. I mean,
- 1:10:42Speaker 1: look at this run that Portland has been on here
- 1:10:46Speaker 1: since November thirtieth. They played Oklahoma City to within eight
- 1:10:49Speaker 1: at home, went up to Toronto and played them to
- 1:10:52Speaker 1: within three, which we took a loss on that one.
- 1:10:54Speaker 1: Toronto was blowing them out and still didn't cover. Portland
- 1:10:58Speaker 1: made a huge comeback there to turn around the very
- 1:11:01Speaker 1: next night and they upset Cleveland in Cleveland. Don't even
- 1:11:04Speaker 1: know how that happened. Then they turn around and they
- 1:11:06Speaker 1: played well again in a third game in four days,
- 1:11:09Speaker 1: all in different cities against Detroit, and they only lost
- 1:11:13Speaker 1: by six, and that game was close late too. I
- 1:11:16Speaker 1: just don't know what energy Portland's gonna have left after
- 1:11:18Speaker 1: a run like that, man, and not playing a fourth
- 1:11:20Speaker 1: game in six days, a fifth game in eight days,
- 1:11:23Speaker 1: all of them in different cities. It's a really bad
- 1:11:25Speaker 1: spot for them here, dude. So I do like Memphis here.
- 1:11:30Speaker 1: This one almost made my car for some reason. The
- 1:11:32Speaker 1: money looks like it's on Portland seventy percent to take
- 1:11:34Speaker 1: as ninety three percent of the cash. I don't get it.
- 1:11:37Speaker 1: I do not agree with it. I like I like
- 1:11:41Speaker 1: the Grizzlies in that game, Golden State at Chicago. This
- 1:11:45Speaker 1: is the other game best bets. Usually I don't do it,
- 1:11:49Speaker 1: but for why not, let's throw the best bets graphic
- 1:11:53Speaker 1: up there. We're gonna take the Chicago Bulls plus the
- 1:11:56Speaker 1: one here. I like it. I mean maybe if you
- 1:11:58Speaker 1: want to go moneyline, I think that's fine too. But
- 1:12:01Speaker 1: taking the plus one at a decent price, I mean,
- 1:12:03Speaker 1: why not get the one point? I mean you can
- 1:12:06Speaker 1: get it at minus one ten out there right now?
- 1:12:08Speaker 1: I think this is a bad spot for Golden State. Dude.
- 1:12:11Speaker 1: They're on a back to back. They're playing a third
- 1:12:13Speaker 1: game in four days, and actually a fourth game in
- 1:12:16Speaker 1: six days, all in different cities. Starting with losing to
- 1:12:19Speaker 1: Oklahoma City, which that game was closer than the final
- 1:12:23Speaker 1: looked man. They lost by twelve, but Golden State was
- 1:12:25Speaker 1: in that game late in the game. Then they turned
- 1:12:28Speaker 1: around on the road. They lost at Philadelphia by one
- 1:12:31Speaker 1: in another competitive game, turned around on Saturday yesterday and
- 1:12:36Speaker 1: they upset Cleveland. Now they're off of an upset on
- 1:12:39Speaker 1: the road on a back to back, playing a struggling
- 1:12:43Speaker 1: Chicago team, and who do they have next? After a
- 1:12:46Speaker 1: big break, they return home and they play Minnesota, which
- 1:12:50Speaker 1: not only is Minnesota a good team and that might
- 1:12:52Speaker 1: be enough for a look ahead, but this is even
- 1:12:54Speaker 1: more significant because Minnesota is the team that eliminated Golden
- 1:12:58Speaker 1: State from the playoffs last year and they haven't played
- 1:13:02Speaker 1: yet this year. So that is playoff revenge. Man, Golden
- 1:13:05Speaker 1: State against Minnesota. It's a huge deal. Man. I'm pretty sure,
- 1:13:09Speaker 1: am I right about I'm pretty sure I'm right about that.
- 1:13:10Speaker 1: Let me make sure I'm right about that. I think
- 1:13:12Speaker 1: I am. Yeah. Golden State lost four in a row
- 1:13:15Speaker 1: to lose to Minnesota. After they won the first game,
- 1:13:18Speaker 1: Minnesota won the next four to eliminate Golden State. So
- 1:13:21Speaker 1: that is a huge game. Man. They have not played
- 1:13:23Speaker 1: Minnesota yet this year. This is the first time playing them.
- 1:13:27Speaker 1: Playoff revenge is one of the only types of revenge
- 1:13:30Speaker 1: that matters. Man. You remember who ended your season, You're
- 1:13:33Speaker 1: gonna have that game circle. So that is a much
- 1:13:35Speaker 1: bigger game for Golden States. This is pretty significant. This
- 1:13:38Speaker 1: is a pretty significant sandwich spot here for the Bulls.
- 1:13:42Speaker 1: They've lost six games in a row. Man, So They're
- 1:13:45Speaker 1: playing real bad right now, and I think it's really
- 1:13:47Speaker 1: reached total, like rock bottom here, losing to Brooklyn at
- 1:13:51Speaker 1: home and then losing to Indiana at home. Second time
- 1:13:54Speaker 1: losing to Indiana, and yeah, I realized this is real
- 1:13:57Speaker 1: ass for the Bulls, like most of these games where
- 1:14:00Speaker 1: against bad teams, Like the only good team that beat
- 1:14:02Speaker 1: them in that run was Orlando and it was without
- 1:14:05Speaker 1: Benchero as well. So yeah, the Bulls are playing like
- 1:14:08Speaker 1: absolute ass right now. But at some point it's gonna
- 1:14:11Speaker 1: turn around. Man. I think it's gonna happen here. I
- 1:14:13Speaker 1: mean this Golden State team, Like people are only gonna
- 1:14:18Speaker 1: want Golden State here because Chicago's looks so bad recently.
- 1:14:21Speaker 1: And the line is basically a pick the winner. Like
- 1:14:24Speaker 1: who in the right mind is gonna be on the
- 1:14:25Speaker 1: Bulls in this game? You know what I mean? But
- 1:14:27Speaker 1: the Bulls are still six and four at home, Golden
- 1:14:30Speaker 1: State's five and nine on the road, so that's not
- 1:14:32Speaker 1: that good. As far as the injury situation in this game,
- 1:14:36Speaker 1: we gotta look at the Steph Curry situation is the
- 1:14:39Speaker 1: one thing that really is gonna be of impact here.
- 1:14:43Speaker 1: But I guess I don't know what's going on with
- 1:14:44Speaker 1: Jimmy Butler either. Butler didn't play in the last game,
- 1:14:48Speaker 1: so he's probably playing in this game. So if Butler
- 1:14:52Speaker 1: is coming back in this game, because yeah, he played
- 1:14:56Speaker 1: last on the second though, and I think he heard
- 1:14:58Speaker 1: his ass, but now it looks like it's knee injury,
- 1:15:00Speaker 1: I don't know. I think Butler will play though, because
- 1:15:04Speaker 1: it is against one of his former teams here, so
- 1:15:06Speaker 1: I expect that he will play. But I still don't
- 1:15:08Speaker 1: really like it. Man, I don't know. Hey, Jimmy, great game.
- 1:15:16Speaker 1: Oh yeah, Jimmy played pretty good. Yeah, well we'll see
- 1:15:22Speaker 1: if Jimmy can play pretty good in this game. But
- 1:15:24Speaker 1: I expect that he will play. The other thing that's
- 1:15:27Speaker 1: going on with Golden State is, of course, the Steph
- 1:15:29Speaker 1: Curry injury situation. Where is he. I don't know, he's
- 1:15:33Speaker 1: still out. He's not playing in this game as far
- 1:15:35Speaker 1: as I can tell, So that's just not going to
- 1:15:37Speaker 1: be a thing like I was expecting. Maybe it'll be
- 1:15:40Speaker 1: a reverse injured player spot, but I still think this
- 1:15:43Speaker 1: is just this is a horrible spot for Golden State anyway.
- 1:15:45Speaker 1: But yeah, Curry is remaining out here, so he's not
- 1:15:48Speaker 1: coming back. He's been out for a while, doesn't matter.
- 1:15:52Speaker 1: But yeah, this spot is just much much better for
- 1:15:54Speaker 1: Chicago here man, And it looks so easy to fade
- 1:15:57Speaker 1: Chicago here. So Chicago is the play there. That's what
- 1:16:00Speaker 1: we're gonna do. Grizzlies have eedy uah nefl And that's true.
- 1:16:05Speaker 1: He's not the tallest, the tallest player though, but he
- 1:16:08Speaker 1: is like seven five seven six stacks. What's up, man,
- 1:16:11Speaker 1: thanks for hanging out. Actually is eating the tallest player
- 1:16:13Speaker 1: currently in the NBA. I'm not sure. I mean, he's
- 1:16:15Speaker 1: definitely not the tallest of all time. Which I've met
- 1:16:21Speaker 1: one of one of those men, George Murorsan, George A. Murrasan.
- 1:16:26Speaker 1: I I met him at the same event where Larry
- 1:16:29Speaker 1: Bird refused to uh sign my autograph and said nasty
- 1:16:34Speaker 1: things to me as a kid. Uh. Mirrorsan was the
- 1:16:37Speaker 1: complete opposite. It was a It was an event with
- 1:16:39Speaker 1: like four different NBA teams their summer league in Boston
- 1:16:43Speaker 1: in like the nineties. Mrorsan was there because he was
- 1:16:46Speaker 1: on Washington at the time and they were there, and
- 1:16:49Speaker 1: Mirroorsan was like so nice like with the kids, like
- 1:16:51Speaker 1: he was there, wanted to like take pictures with kids
- 1:16:54Speaker 1: and stuff, because it's always hilarious because he's an absolute
- 1:16:57Speaker 1: giant and kids like go up to like his ship
- 1:17:00Speaker 1: in basically, so it looks ridiculous. So he was like
- 1:17:03Speaker 1: he was staying there taking pictures with everybody so long
- 1:17:05Speaker 1: that he almost missed the boss to get out of there.
- 1:17:09Speaker 1: So yeah, Mirosan, he seems like a good dude man. Anyway,
- 1:17:16Speaker 1: the other games we have LA at Philadelphia for LA,
- 1:17:20Speaker 1: I think Luca is back in this game, so that
- 1:17:22Speaker 1: is one factor here. Where does that is that really
- 1:17:24Speaker 1: a reverse injured player spot here that I don't know
- 1:17:27Speaker 1: if Lebron's gonna play in this game or not. I
- 1:17:29Speaker 1: don't think it matters that much. Lebron is kind of
- 1:17:31Speaker 1: getting to the point where he's not much of a factor.
- 1:17:34Speaker 1: Luca is, of course a huge factor. Now. Luca was
- 1:17:37Speaker 1: in Slovenia for the birth of a child. He missed
- 1:17:40Speaker 1: the last two games. But I think the fact that
- 1:17:43Speaker 1: they got embarrassed by Boston, I expect the Lakers will
- 1:17:46Speaker 1: show up in this game against Philadelphia, even though it
- 1:17:48Speaker 1: is a third game in four and a's in different cities,
- 1:17:51Speaker 1: so not the easiest spot. But Luca will come into
- 1:17:54Speaker 1: this probably fresh at least except for maybe the getting
- 1:17:57Speaker 1: no sleep because of the baby factor or whatever. Philadelphia
- 1:18:01Speaker 1: coming in off three straight wins with good wins against
- 1:18:05Speaker 1: Golden State and the Milwaukee I guess it's still a
- 1:18:07Speaker 1: good win, even though Giannis is probably not coming back ever.
- 1:18:13Speaker 1: So yeah, I don't know. I think this spot does
- 1:18:14Speaker 1: set up a little bit better for LA With Phili,
- 1:18:16Speaker 1: you always have to see who's even playing for them.
- 1:18:20Speaker 1: Paul George game time decision, EMBIID game time decision. Ubra
- 1:18:24Speaker 1: is still out again. That's basically the case all the time.
- 1:18:27Speaker 1: So I guess keep an eye on the injury reports
- 1:18:30Speaker 1: into tonight, I guess to see what's happening. But I
- 1:18:33Speaker 1: would probably lean towards laying it with the Lakers four
- 1:18:36Speaker 1: and a half on the road, seventy eight percent of tickets,
- 1:18:38Speaker 1: eighty five percent of the cash on them. But I
- 1:18:40Speaker 1: don't love the game by any means, so I'm staying away.
- 1:18:43Speaker 1: And there is still the chance that you know, the
- 1:18:45Speaker 1: reverse the reverse injured player spot, the reverse father spot.
- 1:18:49Speaker 1: Well you know that is that is actually a thing,
- 1:18:51Speaker 1: right the fade the baby is the thing in the UFC,
- 1:18:54Speaker 1: like when a fighter just had a baby. You want
- 1:18:56Speaker 1: to fade that fighter, that's a thing. So and this
- 1:19:00Speaker 1: is a very individual sports so maybe you do want
- 1:19:03Speaker 1: to fade Luca in a spot where he's coming back
- 1:19:05Speaker 1: from Europe and just had a baby. I don't know, man,
- 1:19:08Speaker 1: because he should improve their lineup, but maybe the line
- 1:19:11Speaker 1: did overreact to him coming back, and maybe it will
- 1:19:13Speaker 1: sort of be like a reverse injured player spot. So
- 1:19:16Speaker 1: I do have some worries about that. And then we
- 1:19:19Speaker 1: have the thunder and the jazz, which sounds like a
- 1:19:23Speaker 1: I don't know, some sort of musical album. Oklahoma City.
- 1:19:29Speaker 1: I mean they're coming off an easy whinever Dallas, Oklahoma City.
- 1:19:32Speaker 1: They're just rolling. Obviously they're at Utah here not an
- 1:19:37Speaker 1: easy spot really, I mean Utah High elevation, It's not
- 1:19:40Speaker 1: an easy place to play. Utah coming off a real
- 1:19:43Speaker 1: embarrassing loss to the Knicks. They are turning over from
- 1:19:45Speaker 1: a road trip, so they're having to come back from
- 1:19:47Speaker 1: the East coast, so though they were only away Thursday
- 1:19:50Speaker 1: and Friday, but it is still a return home spot. Nonetheless,
- 1:19:53Speaker 1: I mean they're not going to overlook Okay see though,
- 1:19:55Speaker 1: and the last time Okase came in here, they beat
- 1:19:58Speaker 1: Utah one twelve, so they totally embarrass them. So I
- 1:20:02Speaker 1: do expect Utah to be focused. Now the thing is
- 1:20:06Speaker 1: the thunder. We're gonna be an eighteen point favorite in
- 1:20:09Speaker 1: this game, and now they're only a nine point favorite.
- 1:20:12Speaker 1: So I think the line has overreacted to the fact that,
- 1:20:15Speaker 1: like Oklahoma City's entire team is basically out for this game.
- 1:20:20Speaker 1: SGA most notably is out for this game. Hartenstein and
- 1:20:25Speaker 1: Dort have both been out anyway for a while on CAREW,
- 1:20:28Speaker 1: so I think has also been out for a bid anyway.
- 1:20:31Speaker 1: So those guys, those guys don't really matter as much,
- 1:20:34Speaker 1: I guess as far as like day to day, because
- 1:20:36Speaker 1: I think that all of them have sort of been
- 1:20:38Speaker 1: in and out of the lineup anyway. But SGA, I mean,
- 1:20:41Speaker 1: he's the star and he's out, but that means it's
- 1:20:44Speaker 1: an injured player spot man or okay see, now they're
- 1:20:46Speaker 1: laying nine points fewer mostly because SGA is out. I mean,
- 1:20:50Speaker 1: is he himself worth nine points? I don't really think so.
- 1:20:54Speaker 1: I mean this is an okay see team that they're
- 1:20:57Speaker 1: like next man up man, Like, it doesn't even seem
- 1:20:59Speaker 1: to matter who's even in their lineup. They still just
- 1:21:02Speaker 1: come out there and play and win. It's crazy, like
- 1:21:05Speaker 1: how deep OKAC is and how they can just do
- 1:21:07Speaker 1: this with like half their players not playing. So I
- 1:21:10Speaker 1: do not want to really fade Oklahoma City here, man.
- 1:21:13Speaker 1: I would actually probably lay the cheaper price here, sixty
- 1:21:17Speaker 1: four percent of the tickets fifty eight percent of the
- 1:21:20Speaker 1: cash on the Jazz. So the Jazz have actually become
- 1:21:23Speaker 1: like a public underdog of sorts. It looks like here,
- 1:21:26Speaker 1: which you never really want that. And when is the
- 1:21:29Speaker 1: public ever fading the Thunder? Maybe they're not. Maybe it's
- 1:21:33Speaker 1: not gonna be that way when the game goes off,
- 1:21:35Speaker 1: but I think the public might really not want much
- 1:21:38Speaker 1: to do with the Thunder with like half their team
- 1:21:40Speaker 1: not playing so or more than half. But I think
- 1:21:43Speaker 1: it's actually value on the Thunder in that game. But anyway,
- 1:21:47Speaker 1: that's that's the rundown there. Yep, fade the baby, Fade
- 1:21:51Speaker 1: the baby. It is. It is a thing man in
- 1:21:54Speaker 1: the UFC. I think it might apply to NBA like
- 1:21:58Speaker 1: individuals that have a big impact on the game, and
- 1:22:03Speaker 1: it might affect starting pitchers in baseball as well. All right,
- 1:22:06Speaker 1: the final reader, Oh yeah, well, I'll give out my
- 1:22:10Speaker 1: plays one more time.
- 1:22:11Speaker 2: For the.
- 1:22:13Speaker 1: For NFL again at the end of the show. But
- 1:22:18Speaker 1: looking at the market read real quick as far as like,
- 1:22:20Speaker 1: what is the market saying. The market for the Casher
- 1:22:22Speaker 1: sent is still saying the Vikings, which is good for
- 1:22:26Speaker 1: me because that's one of my plays. It's still saying
- 1:22:28Speaker 1: the Dolphins. I have hesitations with that one. Man, the
- 1:22:32Speaker 1: market is still saying the Dolphins. I don't know. I mean,
- 1:22:37Speaker 1: I don't know which which team I want to pick
- 1:22:39Speaker 1: in that game yet. It might just come down to
- 1:22:40Speaker 1: which side of the number I'm getting on the three there.
- 1:22:45Speaker 1: Browns are definitely public with less than the money on them,
- 1:22:47Speaker 1: So I still agree with taking the points of the Titans.
- 1:22:50Speaker 1: The money on the Steelers. Ravens game is saying to
- 1:22:53Speaker 1: take the points of the Steelers. I mean, I see
- 1:22:55Speaker 1: arguments both ways in that game. Man, I mean difficult
- 1:23:00Speaker 1: call in that one. It's still a very like I
- 1:23:02Speaker 1: said last night, it's a very difficult call. I mean,
- 1:23:06Speaker 1: maybe I'm gonna have to slightly lean towards taking it
- 1:23:08Speaker 1: with the Stealers. But oh god, Falcons look like they're
- 1:23:13Speaker 1: a very anti public play with less of the cash
- 1:23:15Speaker 1: on the Seahawks here, So the Falcons are still the
- 1:23:18Speaker 1: market read there. I'm not changing my opinion on that.
- 1:23:20Speaker 1: I agree with that. Money coming in on the Jaguar
- 1:23:22Speaker 1: is still I don't disagree with that either, especially with
- 1:23:25Speaker 1: the Colts not having won at Jacksonville since twenty fourteen.
- 1:23:30Speaker 1: I agree with Green Bay still, that's not gonna change.
- 1:23:32Speaker 1: The money is agreeing with that one too. Money is
- 1:23:35Speaker 1: saying the Buccaneers, even though they're public. I'm having a
- 1:23:39Speaker 1: hard time disagreeing with that one, to be honest, Like,
- 1:23:42Speaker 1: I just don't see much of an angle for the
- 1:23:43Speaker 1: Saints there, so that one, Yeah, I don't know, man,
- 1:23:49Speaker 1: that's a difficult That one's a difficult one as well.
- 1:23:51Speaker 1: It might take me right up until game time and
- 1:23:53Speaker 1: final market read on that one, because that one you're
- 1:23:56Speaker 1: gonna have to be laying more than seven to seven
- 1:23:58Speaker 1: and a half there for sure. In like your games
- 1:24:00Speaker 1: or whatever, you can see why I'm not giving out
- 1:24:02Speaker 1: plays on these games. The money is saying to take
- 1:24:05Speaker 1: the points of the Raiders. I don't really disagree with that.
- 1:24:08Speaker 1: It is slightly on the Rams, even though the Republic
- 1:24:11Speaker 1: road favorite here, and I see a lot of arguments
- 1:24:14Speaker 1: for both sides in that game too. Man, I do
- 1:24:16Speaker 1: think the scheduling spot sets up better for the Rams. Difficult,
- 1:24:21Speaker 1: very very difficult game there, man, I don't know. I
- 1:24:25Speaker 1: think Buccaneers and Rams. I mean, if you, if you like,
- 1:24:29Speaker 1: if you lay both favorites, you're probably gonna go at
- 1:24:32Speaker 1: worse one and one on those two in like your
- 1:24:34Speaker 1: pick them games. I mean, of course one on one
- 1:24:36Speaker 1: is not what you want when you're betting, because you're
- 1:24:37Speaker 1: gonna lose. But yeah, I mean the money is still
- 1:24:40Speaker 1: on the Bills against the Bengals. I don't really disagree
- 1:24:43Speaker 1: with that one. I think the Bengals are coming off
- 1:24:45Speaker 1: of more not only a more monumental win for them,
- 1:24:49Speaker 1: but a game is just more ridiculous and it was
- 1:24:53Speaker 1: a game that was very misleading. So I do still
- 1:24:55Speaker 1: agree with the Bills. Obviously, I agree with the Chiefs
- 1:24:58Speaker 1: because that's one of my plays. You might have to
- 1:24:59Speaker 1: lay four now and then Monday night. We'll talk about
- 1:25:02Speaker 1: it again tomorrow. But it does look like a pretty
- 1:25:04Speaker 1: strong market read on the Chargers for tomorrow, but we
- 1:25:07Speaker 1: will see anyway. My plays for today are as I said,
- 1:25:12Speaker 1: Minnesota Vikings plus the one and a half Kansas City
- 1:25:14Speaker 1: Chiefs minus at three and a half maybe you have
- 1:25:17Speaker 1: to lay four now, but there's not really that much
- 1:25:19Speaker 1: of a difference between those two numbers. College basketball, we're
- 1:25:21Speaker 1: laying the points with U Team Martin. We're taking the
- 1:25:24Speaker 1: points with San Francisco Hockey. We're doing a split make
- 1:25:28Speaker 1: your own puck line play make your own minus one
- 1:25:31Speaker 1: puck line on Florida, partially on the on the minus
- 1:25:35Speaker 1: one and a half puck line, partially on the money line.
- 1:25:37Speaker 1: And NBA we're taking the points of the Raptors and
- 1:25:40Speaker 1: we're taking you one point with the Bulls, or if
- 1:25:43Speaker 1: you want to go moneylane with that, it's pretty similar.
- 1:25:46Speaker 1: So either way. All right, Now, what I was going
- 1:25:50Speaker 1: to do is, you know, I wanted to look at
- 1:25:55Speaker 1: let me see for DraftKings. Yeah, let's go to college football.
- 1:26:02Speaker 1: Let me see here, so we have Army Navy. I
- 1:26:05Speaker 1: want to see, yeah, futures and then playoff here. So
- 1:26:07Speaker 1: this is what we want to see. What are the
- 1:26:09Speaker 1: odds to make the playoff? Notre Dame looks like they're
- 1:26:11Speaker 1: almost certainly gonna get in. This is coming up. I
- 1:26:13Speaker 1: think at noon this is gonna get announced, by the way,
- 1:26:16Speaker 1: and Alabama is a favorite at minus two eighty and
- 1:26:18Speaker 1: then Duke, there's no way they make it Miami at
- 1:26:21Speaker 1: plus one thirty. And then here's the yes or no
- 1:26:25Speaker 1: on that, which I think it's just the same teams
- 1:26:27Speaker 1: from for the most part there, except there's not even
- 1:26:30Speaker 1: a yes or no offered on Duke. This is at
- 1:26:31Speaker 1: DraftKings though. Okay, now, so what do we want to
- 1:26:36Speaker 1: do with this? So for the college football playoff predictions?
- 1:26:41Speaker 1: So actually, let me see what we want here on
- 1:26:43Speaker 1: let me see. How do I even want to look
- 1:26:44Speaker 1: at this? Let me see because it's not announced it
- 1:26:49Speaker 1: untill noon. Right, I'm gonna look at just see what
- 1:26:54Speaker 1: people have as the predictions here. Oh, the New York Times.
- 1:26:57Speaker 1: That's great. Oh, I don't have an account, so they
- 1:26:59Speaker 1: won't let me look at it. Let's take a look here.
- 1:27:04Speaker 1: I just want to see, like what people have for
- 1:27:06Speaker 1: the structure here, and then I'll give you what my
- 1:27:07Speaker 1: predictions are. Really quick. Here, I'll look at ESPN for this.
- 1:27:12Speaker 1: Can I move this into my other window here? Let
- 1:27:14Speaker 1: me see? Oh, it looks like I can. And there
- 1:27:18Speaker 1: we go. There it is. Hey, all right, someone is
- 1:27:24Speaker 1: gonna be upset. Yeah, well, teams are gonna get upset
- 1:27:26Speaker 1: in the thing too. But yes, Duke is not gonna
- 1:27:28Speaker 1: make it. Okay, Bobby, what's up man? Thanks for hanging out.
- 1:27:32Speaker 1: You like my plays? I like it. Let's let's let's
- 1:27:34Speaker 1: have a winning day today, man. So yeah, I mean
- 1:27:40Speaker 1: we're talking about Duke is definitely not gonna make it.
- 1:27:42Speaker 1: Duke won the a CC, but they're like a five
- 1:27:44Speaker 1: lost a CC team. They have no chance. But I
- 1:27:47Speaker 1: believe what they did do is they eliminated virgin yet.
- 1:27:49Speaker 1: So I don't believe Virginia is gonna get it in
- 1:27:51Speaker 1: because the ACC does not have an auto bid. So
- 1:27:55Speaker 1: I think the the ACC, they're not getting a team in. Man,
- 1:27:58Speaker 1: that would be what I think is gonna happen here.
- 1:28:01Speaker 1: Now there's Alabama losing the SEC championship to Georgia. Will
- 1:28:05Speaker 1: they still get in as a three loss team? I
- 1:28:07Speaker 1: think they should because Alabama is, like, if you look
- 1:28:09Speaker 1: at all the power ratings, guys, Alabama is legitimately like
- 1:28:12Speaker 1: a top five team in the country. So I think
- 1:28:15Speaker 1: they absolutely should get in. I thought they should have
- 1:28:17Speaker 1: been in last year because I mean, do you really
- 1:28:20Speaker 1: think Alabama was worse than like SMU or Boise last year?
- 1:28:24Speaker 1: I mean, come on, man, teams that just embarrassed themselves
- 1:28:26Speaker 1: when they played in the playoff. But that's the way
- 1:28:29Speaker 1: the playoff works, man. Is that the G five whatever
- 1:28:33Speaker 1: you call it, like the non power teams, like, they
- 1:28:36Speaker 1: get one team in, like the best team, according to
- 1:28:39Speaker 1: these guys that don't know what they're talking about, gets in.
- 1:28:43Speaker 1: So one of these teams from one of the lesser
- 1:28:45Speaker 1: conferences is gonna get into the playoff. Will Alabama get in? Well,
- 1:28:50Speaker 1: according to according to this it looks like they're favored
- 1:28:53Speaker 1: to do so, so I would say they will get in,
- 1:28:57Speaker 1: even though they were a three loss team. I think
- 1:28:59Speaker 1: they're gonna get in, which a lot of people will
- 1:29:02Speaker 1: be fuming about that, but I actually agree with it.
- 1:29:04Speaker 1: If you want the better teams to be ine, I
- 1:29:07Speaker 1: think Notre Dame absolutely will get in. I mean, they
- 1:29:10Speaker 1: haven't lost since Week two or whatever, so they've done
- 1:29:12Speaker 1: everything they needed to do. So the projection for the
- 1:29:16Speaker 1: top twelve is that Indiana's gonna get the one seed.
- 1:29:19Speaker 1: Now I agree with that because they're undefeated. Now, I
- 1:29:21Speaker 1: mean they got the win for US yesterday and they're
- 1:29:23Speaker 1: still undefeated. They beat Ohio State. The committee is gonna
- 1:29:27Speaker 1: make them the number one team even though they're probably
- 1:29:29Speaker 1: not actually the number one team, which I still think
- 1:29:31Speaker 1: Ohio State is the best team. But we'll see what
- 1:29:34Speaker 1: happens in the playoffs. But yes, I agree that Ohio
- 1:29:37Speaker 1: State will be the number two seed as well. So
- 1:29:39Speaker 1: those two teams I believe are gonna get buys. Despite
- 1:29:41Speaker 1: Ohio State's loss. They're one loss Big Ten team who
- 1:29:46Speaker 1: is ranked one all season. They will be there. You know,
- 1:29:50Speaker 1: it's possible they get knocked down to three. I could
- 1:29:52Speaker 1: see that happening as well, because the committee is very
- 1:29:55Speaker 1: recentcy biased, so I could see Georgia getting the two seed.
- 1:30:00Speaker 1: You know what, maybe I will predict that because the
- 1:30:02Speaker 1: SEC always gets that, like the SEC always gets the
- 1:30:06Speaker 1: hype man. So I'm gonna say that's what's gonna happen.
- 1:30:08Speaker 1: I think Ohio State's gonna get a bye, but they'll
- 1:30:10Speaker 1: be the three in the playoff bracket. Georgia, I think,
- 1:30:13Speaker 1: will jump up to the number two after they beat Alabama.
- 1:30:17Speaker 1: Texas Tech at four. I agree that's where they'll be.
- 1:30:20Speaker 1: They won the Big Twelve, they're still one loss team,
- 1:30:22Speaker 1: not as good of a conference, but yes, I agree
- 1:30:24Speaker 1: they'll get the last by Texas Tech. Oregon ESPN is
- 1:30:29Speaker 1: projecting them as the number five. They're still a one
- 1:30:32Speaker 1: lost Big Ten team. They're definitely gonna be in Uh
- 1:30:36Speaker 1: will they be the five? I don't know, man, I
- 1:30:38Speaker 1: mean ole Miss is a one line. I think the
- 1:30:41Speaker 1: SEC they just get the benefit of everything. Man, So
- 1:30:43Speaker 1: I think ole Miss might be the five and Oregon
- 1:30:46Speaker 1: might be six. But ole Miss, I mean, Lane Kiffin
- 1:30:51Speaker 1: left And this is one thing that I forgot to mention,
- 1:30:53Speaker 1: by the way, with Tulane in North Texas, because they
- 1:30:55Speaker 1: played each other and both of their coaches announced that
- 1:30:58Speaker 1: they're leaving, but those coaches stayed. So those coaches stayed
- 1:31:02Speaker 1: to play that championship game in the American and basically said,
- 1:31:05Speaker 1: if our team gets into the playoff or I think
- 1:31:07Speaker 1: even in the bowls, because they're both gonna be in bowls.
- 1:31:09Speaker 1: If they don't make the playoff, the coaches are gonna
- 1:31:12Speaker 1: stay to finish out the season with those teams, which
- 1:31:15Speaker 1: I think is good because it gives those teams continuity.
- 1:31:18Speaker 1: But that's not the case with Old Miss. Man. So
- 1:31:20Speaker 1: if we're all miss, Lane Kiffin's not gonna be there,
- 1:31:23Speaker 1: so they're gonna have an interim coach. I think they're
- 1:31:26Speaker 1: kind of a dead man walking in the playoffs. Man,
- 1:31:28Speaker 1: but I think the committee might still not even care
- 1:31:31Speaker 1: about that. I might put them at the five. And
- 1:31:34Speaker 1: then there's Texas, Texas A and M. I mean, well, again,
- 1:31:38Speaker 1: this is the SEC, I mean A and M. I
- 1:31:41Speaker 1: think A and M is actually gonna get even more
- 1:31:43Speaker 1: credit than that, actually, maybe more credit than o'll miss.
- 1:31:45Speaker 1: You know what, I'm gonna predict that Texas A and
- 1:31:48Speaker 1: M is the five actually because I don't think they're
- 1:31:50Speaker 1: gonna gonna get knocked that much from losing to Texas
- 1:31:55Speaker 1: A and M again in the SEC, and still has
- 1:31:58Speaker 1: their coach out go there. So I'm actually gonna predict
- 1:32:00Speaker 1: that you're gonna have five will be Texas A and M.
- 1:32:04Speaker 1: Six will be All miss At seven will be Oregon.
- 1:32:07Speaker 1: That's what I'm gonna predict here. Espna's Oklahoma is the
- 1:32:11Speaker 1: eighth team. I think they will be in eight. You know,
- 1:32:14Speaker 1: seems about right. Again, they're an SEC team. So Notre
- 1:32:17Speaker 1: Dame in is the nine. Yeah, I think I agree
- 1:32:21Speaker 1: with that. I think Notre Dame is gonna be in there.
- 1:32:23Speaker 1: Notre Dame is gonna be a real threat to make
- 1:32:25Speaker 1: a run in this thing. Man. They're good and yes,
- 1:32:28Speaker 1: I believe they will get in. I think the nine
- 1:32:30Speaker 1: is probably where they'll be. I think they'll be ahead
- 1:32:32Speaker 1: of Alabama. I do agree with Alabama being ten. I
- 1:32:35Speaker 1: think Alabama still gets in as the ten. Actually Hold
- 1:32:38Speaker 1: on a minute, Wait a minute, what the Miami and BYU.
- 1:32:46Speaker 1: I don't think that's I don't think that's possible, right,
- 1:32:52Speaker 1: Hold on a minute. So Miami is a two loss
- 1:32:54Speaker 1: team by use a two loss team. Yeah, this is interesting, man,
- 1:32:59Speaker 1: this is weird because to me, it seems like maybe
- 1:33:01Speaker 1: one of those two teams gets in, and then I
- 1:33:03Speaker 1: thought one of the lower conference teams was like has
- 1:33:06Speaker 1: to get in. So I don't know what ESPN is
- 1:33:09Speaker 1: doing here, like which low They don't have any of
- 1:33:12Speaker 1: the lower conference teams in, so I think either Tulane
- 1:33:17Speaker 1: or James Madison has to get in. I think based
- 1:33:19Speaker 1: on the rules. So I think the twelve seed is
- 1:33:22Speaker 1: going to be one of them, and it's probably gonna
- 1:33:23Speaker 1: be James Madison. It should. They're better than Tulane. I
- 1:33:27Speaker 1: know Tulane just beating North Florida, but I think James Madison,
- 1:33:30Speaker 1: I mean, they're like a one loss team. I believe
- 1:33:32Speaker 1: they've done everything they needed to do. I think they're
- 1:33:34Speaker 1: one loss was just some good team too, So I
- 1:33:37Speaker 1: expect James Madison will actually get in as the twelve seed.
- 1:33:40Speaker 1: That would be my guess. And I think I think
- 1:33:43Speaker 1: Miami gets bounced, and then I guess that means BYU,
- 1:33:46Speaker 1: I guess still gets in. Is the eleven? Is that right?
- 1:33:52Speaker 1: But no, I mean I think because Alabama being at
- 1:33:54Speaker 1: three losses and people are saying, I mean because the
- 1:33:57Speaker 1: odds on DraftKings are only listing these four teams in
- 1:34:00Speaker 1: the to make the College Football Playoff, that means some
- 1:34:02Speaker 1: of these other teams are already definitively in. So I
- 1:34:06Speaker 1: think that. So I actually think that Notre Dame will
- 1:34:09Speaker 1: be the number ten, Alabama will be the number eleven,
- 1:34:12Speaker 1: and I think BYU might actually be the number nine.
- 1:34:15Speaker 1: Like I don't think BYU is gonna get docked that
- 1:34:17Speaker 1: much for losing to Texas tex So that would be
- 1:34:20Speaker 1: what I think is gonna happen here. But we'll see,
- 1:34:24Speaker 1: because yeah, now that I think about it, because who
- 1:34:26Speaker 1: else would there be that might get in? That seems
- 1:34:29Speaker 1: to be it. I think Miami doesn't get in. Well,
- 1:34:34Speaker 1: I mean, the the ACC sucks, so yeah, that that
- 1:34:38Speaker 1: would be what I think, and then this guy projected
- 1:34:40Speaker 1: all the other Bowl matchups here too. We're gonna have
- 1:34:43Speaker 1: fun with these bowl names, as we always do. But
- 1:34:47Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. Man, some insight there, We'll see.
- 1:34:50Speaker 1: We'll see what happens with the with the playoff bracket.
- 1:34:53Speaker 1: I will do a bracket special. I don't think again,
- 1:34:55Speaker 1: I don't think I'm gonna actually do a Bowl special
- 1:34:57Speaker 1: because like you don't even know what like some of
- 1:35:01Speaker 1: these bowls are gonna like be right, like you can't really.
- 1:35:05Speaker 1: I know. A lot of guys try to jump in
- 1:35:07Speaker 1: and get like you know, like a lot of guys
- 1:35:10Speaker 1: will bet them line like right when they come, right
- 1:35:12Speaker 1: when it comes out, and try to beat where the
- 1:35:14Speaker 1: market is gonna go. But the bulls are so hard
- 1:35:16Speaker 1: to predict that I just don't think you can even
- 1:35:18Speaker 1: do that anymore. Because with the nil and the transfers,
- 1:35:21Speaker 1: you have no idea who's gonna opt out of these
- 1:35:23Speaker 1: Bowl games. So I think you have to kind of
- 1:35:25Speaker 1: wait as information comes out and then decide if you're
- 1:35:28Speaker 1: gonna play the game or not. I really think that's
- 1:35:29Speaker 1: kind of the only way. But I will do a
- 1:35:31Speaker 1: bracket special at the very least, because at least that
- 1:35:34Speaker 1: is much more predictable, where you know every team is
- 1:35:36Speaker 1: gonna show up with motivation, so that's gonna do it.
- 1:35:40Speaker 1: I appreciate it, guys. Thanks for hanging out as usual.
- 1:35:44Speaker 1: Peace out For now. I'll decide when I want to
- 1:35:46Speaker 1: do the Bracket special. Maybe tonight, maybe tomorrow. I'll learn
- 1:35:50Speaker 1: it tone on Twitter, learn it tone on Instagram. Check
- 1:35:53Speaker 1: me out, check everything out obviously. I like subscribe to
- 1:35:57Speaker 1: the channel here. Let's boost this thing, give me good comments,
- 1:36:01Speaker 1: listen on audio. Give me good reviews on audio. That
- 1:36:03Speaker 1: helps me out as well. That's on iTunes or Apple
- 1:36:08Speaker 1: and Spotify. Covered in You is my ukulele channel on YouTube, Patreon,
- 1:36:13Speaker 1: dot com, slash learned to Toe. There's some bonus yuke
- 1:36:15Speaker 1: stuff there. Loser Cast, the new comedy panel podcast that
- 1:36:19Speaker 1: a month with Leyton Tyler and some other dudes that's
- 1:36:22Speaker 1: every Tuesday night, should be on the loser cast YouTube
- 1:36:25Speaker 1: channel this week, at least for the live version of it.
- 1:36:28Speaker 1: I think the episode one is on Outlawed Thoughts still
- 1:36:32Speaker 1: Layton's channel, and also later today this afternoon, the first
- 1:36:36Speaker 1: episode of the Greatest Giants Podcast New York Giants Podcast
- 1:36:41Speaker 1: ever exists the g spot with me and Ben Weir,
- 1:36:46Speaker 1: that will be happening, I believe today as well, so
- 1:36:48Speaker 1: be on the lookout for that. I don't know where
- 1:36:50Speaker 1: it's gonna be. I'm assuming he has a YouTube channel
- 1:36:53Speaker 1: for it or whatever because this is his baby, so
- 1:36:55Speaker 1: I don't know. We'll see what happens with that, but
- 1:36:57Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. I'll be back possibly tonight for
- 1:37:01Speaker 1: a bracket special, but I might wind up doing it tomorrow.
- 1:37:03Speaker 1: We'll see, but at the very least probably tomorrow, as
- 1:37:06Speaker 1: long as I'm still alive tomorrow morning, I will be
- 1:37:09Speaker 1: here for the Monday Morning Show as usual and Monday
- 1:37:13Speaker 1: Morning Quarterback. Peace out guys, Pinzy yep, thanks for hanging out.
- 1:37:17Speaker 1: Peace guys,