Latest / The Slippery Slope / COVID-19 showed modelling is broken and JN.1 is on it's way.

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COVID-19 showed modelling is broken and JN.1 is on it's way. · The Slippery Slope

• 0:13
  Low. OK.
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  So about two weeks ago, I was listening to this, this report,
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  this interview on the radio and it was someone who was involved
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  with, well, it's actually a professional at doing modeling
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  the, you know, the kind of models that tell us that kind of
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  predict the future mathematically says, oh, this is
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  what's going to happen. So all these models were used
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  during the plan endemic. So you probably remember people
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  like Anastasia Palache and Dan Andrews standing up and said,
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  you know, saying things like we've looked at the modeling,
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  this is where it's predicted. This is what's going to happen.
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  This is the reason why you need to be locked up in your home.
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  This is the reason why you need to wear masks.
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  This is the reason why. Because we've looked at the
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  modeling and the modeling predicts that there's going to
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  be all of these deaths, that all these things are going to
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  happen. And yet the modeling says that
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  if you wear masks, if you do this, if you get the the jab,
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  well then we can, we're making these predictions.
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  This is what's going to happen. The problem is all this modeling
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  was wrong. It's all been wrong.
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  And I'm listening to this interview a couple of weeks ago,
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  and this is a, this is a person who's actually involved with
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  modeling. This is his job.
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  That's what he does. And he was actually doing some
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  of the modeling for COVID-19, and he's sitting there saying
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  the modeling was wrong. And my head is being blown away
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  because I'm sitting there going, why isn't this receiving a lot
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  more coverage, our politicians standing up and locking us down?
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  Why? Why isn't this received more
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  coverage? So let's have a look at it and
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  there's a few things coming our way.
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  I believe, and I don't think it's going to be good.
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  COVID-19 showed modeling as broken.
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  This needs urgent fixing. We need to change the future of
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  modeling to be more responsible and inclusive after seeing how
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  failed COVID-19 models ruled the world in our lives during the
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  pandemic. So I'm I'm not going to read the
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  whole lot, just some various things throughout here.
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  And it gives 3 reasons why the models failed.
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  So as COVID-19 rapidly spread across the world, researchers
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  and policy makers raced to create models predicting how the
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  pandemic would unfold, including the potential loss of life.
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  As I said, you can remember all of our premiers, our Prime
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  Minister at the time, standing up and talking about the models
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  that were predicting the future and how everything was going to
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  unfold. We all remember it.
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  For better or for worse, these models controlled our basic
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  rights. They advised governments and
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  populations. They shut borders and separated
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  families for months on end. They determined the the the
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  stringency of isolation requirements.
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  They indicated if and where we should wear masks, and they
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  decided when loved ones could reunite and finally hug.
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  They profoundly shaped our everyday lives.
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  Unfortunately, many of the models built predict the
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  pandemic were wrong. It's nice to know now, and not
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  just by a bit. They were way off.
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  As we start to live in the COVID Normal world, it's time to take
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  stock of our model of how we model and how we can do it
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  better. So this chapter says this
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  doctor. Sorry, it's Doctor Hassan
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  Nabavi. So he says that my research
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  shows the problems with many COVID-19 models were due to
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  three major factors. Goes on to list factor 1
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  assumptions and values. Like other models, COVID-19
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  models were built on a specific set of assumptions about the
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  nature of the virus, including its properties, rate of
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  infection, and rate of mortality.
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  Different models may make different assumptions and yield
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  different predictions. Some of the assumptions made
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  during modeling did not reflect the reality of the pandemic on
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  the ground. For example, in many models it
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  was an assumption that the population was relatively
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  immobile and had a consistent level of susceptibility to the
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  virus. Another example in another
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  example of failure, the Doherty model which guided Australia's
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  COVID-19 response overlooked the viruses impact on different
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  ethnic communities by assuming equal vaccine distribution,
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  understating the risk to certain communities.
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  All models are built on assumptions, so this is not just
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  a failing of those trying to represent COVID-19.
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  However it does question the values guiding an attempt, any
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  type of modeling and how modeling is then deployed.
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  Factor 2 maths and uncertainty models operate differently based
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  on the characteristic of their engine, that is the maths behind
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  them. For modeling COVID-19, various
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  mathematical techniques were used to emulate how the virus
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  spread and when the pandemic would peak, each with its own
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  limitations and benefits. None of them were perfect.
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  For example, the well known Sir SAR Susceptible, Susceptible,
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  Infected, Recovered models largely failed in predicting the
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  epidemic. In the long term, most models
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  also fail to deal with uncertainty.
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  Factor 3 context models have and make their own context.
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  A model is not only the representation of the situation,
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  but also the product of many socio political interactions.
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  The problem with COVID-19 models was that they were generally
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  detached from local knowledge and history or being attached to
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  a global narrative framing COVID-19 and potential
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  responses. I think of you know this local
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  knowledge and history. There was several times in the
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  NT when they had lockdowns. There was 1/3 day lockdown that
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  they had where if you were not if you did not, had not received
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  any vaccination. You were not allowed to go to
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  work, but you were not even allowed to go outside in your
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  backyard, even if you were the only person who lived in the
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  house. If you are unvaccinated, you
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  weren't allowed in your own backyard.
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  You're in the NT, a place that is known for its heat, COVID-19.
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  If you were outside in the heat and not locked up in some dank
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  dark house, you're very, very much less likely to get sick.
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  And but as they're saying here, you know, they they weren't
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  taking into account local knowledge, history, the local
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  surroundings. And yet that their politicians
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  are quoting this modelling and using that to lock people down,
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  even locking them down to not even be able to go on your own
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  backyard. You're crying out loud.
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  The backyard of someone living in the NT in a small town in the
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  NT is completely different from someone who lives in a little
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  tiny unit in inner Sydney, inner Melbourne.
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  But you know, this is, this is the problem when you rely on
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  models, and that's all you're going to rely on anyway, Get
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  back to it. The problem with cure Now where
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  is it? The question here is not that
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  how models should be locally translated, but how they should
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  be deliberately deliberative, deliberatively inclusively and
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  democratically negotiated with different mentalities.
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  There's no democratic negotiation with ours here in
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  Australia. We're just told this is what's
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  gonna happen. You get arrested if you don't go
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  along with it. Responsible modeling should be
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  our highest priority. First hand experience of the
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  pandemic clearly tells us that society needs to take the power
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  of models seriously, particularly those models that
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  are actively shaping policy decision.
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  This is the whole problem that they use these stupid models to
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  shape policy decision and and politicians, they're all just
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  about the next election. That's all they care about.
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  They don't. Well, there's no actual good
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  leadership in our nation. I don't think there there hasn't
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  been any good leadership in the end of the upper echelon of
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  society for a long time when it comes to our politicians.
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  Where is it? A models, assumptions, math and
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  context need to be understood as part of a wider conversation
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  that takes place. COVID-19 models incorporated
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  more than just the science that was shaped by political agendas
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  and public demands. Political agendas and public
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  demands. And this is a problem.
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  Political agenda was what was shaping, really shaping the
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  models that we used, I believe. So that is what has caused a lot
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  of problems that we've seen while the pandemic was going on.
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  Caused a lot of the lockdowns. Unnecessarily being locked down
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  in our own house, being forced, being placed under the thumb,
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  being forced under control to be under the control of or
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  whatever. Whoever was out there trying to
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  control us. It's we all know who they are.
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  Realistically. The thing is why this is even
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  more important Now let's talk about a couple of other articles
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  that have just come up. Sky News is reporting how nurses
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  have been sacked for refusing COVID jab despite QLD lifting
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  vaccine mandate. This is only just happening.
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  Bring it up so you can follow along.
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  Check out what's going on. So this article is so
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  experienced nurses in Queensland who was stood down after
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  refusing to get the COVID-19 vaccine during the pandemic and
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  now being sacked from their jobs.
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  This is despite the state government lifting the vaccine
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  mandate in September of last year 2023.
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  What a ridiculous situation, is what this host has said.
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  So we have this the shortage, the shortage of nurses.
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  Sure. Well, when I said before about
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  bad leadership, it it's, and I've said this before, it seems
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  like some of our leadership are trying to destroy our society
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  that are purposely making decisions that are bad for our
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  society as the whole. We need nurses.
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  We need good, experienced nurses.
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  So what do they do? Experienced nurses that had the
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  courage not to take the jab? OK, everything's been rolled
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  back. No more mandates, Don't have to
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  get vaccinated anymore. But because they didn't do as
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  they're told back then, Forget your experience.
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  We don't care. But we don't care that we have a
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  shortage of nurses. We don't care that we need more
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  medical staff, especially more experienced medical staff.
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  No, no, you're out, you're out. What kind of leadership is that
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  in Queensland? It feels like they are purposely
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  trying to destroy our society, destroy our way of life.
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  And why is that? Could it be that there is
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  something on the horizon and I feel like I'm just making, well,
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  I don't know, just this is just, I think this is what's coming up
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  and This is why. Well, I just think they're doing
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  this on purpose. They're doing these things on
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  purpose. They lack.
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  Well, who was it that said, it's just, you know, these are the
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  useful idiots. These are the useful idiots that
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  make these decisions. And why is it we've got another
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  one coming? I believe we've got another one
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  around the corner this year. Is this what's happening?
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  Experts express serious concerns over new JN .1 COVID variant.
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  The world is facing a new challenge in the ongoing
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  COVID-19 pandemic with the emergence of JN 1A variant that
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  has quickly garnered the attention of health experts
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  globally. Sounds very, very professional.
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  This variant, arising from the Omicron lineage, marks a
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  significant shift in the virus's behavior and spread.
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  Having spread to around 41 countries, Jay and One first
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  came to light with its detection in Luxembourg and has been
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  rapidly expanding its footprint since then.
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  The World Health Organization, You know we're in trouble anyway
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  when they're getting involved again.
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  The World Health Organization has acknowledged the variant
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  swift proliferation by categorizing it as a variant of
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  interest. Health authorities are now on
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  high alert as The Who predicts the surge.
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  Predicting they're predicting it because they're making it
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  happen. Predicting a surge in
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  respiratory illnesses attributed to JN one spread, according to
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  the National Herald India. Prominent voices in the medical
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  community, including Doctor Eric Topol and Doctor Michael
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  Osterholm, have expressed serious concerns about JN One.
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  They emphasize that this variant represents a significant
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  development in the virus's evolution.
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  It's an evolution. It's not that they created it in
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  the 1st place, it's the evolution and warned that the
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  pandemic's trajectory is far from over.
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  So these doctors further stress JN One's unique characteristics,
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  underscoring it's unprecedented genetic change and potential to
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  dominate future virus lineages. There you go.
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  So that's what I think they're they're telling us all this
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  because obviously as we've seen the last couple of years, they
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  just, you know, they don't really try to hold to hide the
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  truth. They well they kind of try and
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  hide the truth, but then they they put it out there, drip feed
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  us. This is what's happening just to
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  feed this little bit and then it's, hey, we've told you about
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  it. We've we've warned you.
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  I think this is what's coming. I think this is, this is what
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  we've got ahead for 2024. I don't, I don't think 2424 is
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  going to be a great year for the world as a whole.
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  If you're a Christian, you know where your hope lies.
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  But if you're not, I think this is where we what we've got in
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  store. OK, We have, I think we've got
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  another pandemic. It's on our way, on the way.
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  It's just a they're just going to roll out what they've already
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  been done. We've already seen news stories
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  coming out about how in in the States mass mandates are being
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  put back into effect. We've been talking about
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  lockdowns again, it's always been on the news.
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  They're just getting us ready, just drip feeding us all these
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  little bits and then they'll say, hey, modeling shows.
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  Forget all that other modeling. It was, it was wrong, but we
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  fixed the problem with the modeling and math is now on
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  point. But the modeling shows you need
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  to be locked down again. You need to do this well.
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  We want to keep a track of people.
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  So we're going to have to get rid of cash even more quickly,
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  even quicker than we assumed. Let's get rid of the cash.
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  Everything is contactless. Everything you know will will
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  move into the the Central, the CBDC, the central banking system
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  that we've got set up. So no more cash.
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  We need to be able to track everyone through cash.
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  Don't worry about all these other apps, we'll just track you
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  by your spending. Every time you yell to move your
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  car, every time you do anything, we'll be able to track you.
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  And it's all because while we want to keep a track of the JN
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  One virus, then you COVID One Virus and then modelling shows
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  that you need to do as you're told.
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  Yep. This is where we're going.
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  This is where I think we're going.
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  Let me know what you think. Thank you for listening to the
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  slippery slope plan. Demick They.