Latest / The Front / No apology: Howard fires up over Brittany Higgins in new Paul Kelly book
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- 0:04Speaker 1: From The Australian. Here's what's on the front. I'm Claire Harvey.
- 0:08Speaker 1: It's Tuesday, July seven, twenty twenty six. Why did the
- 0:15Speaker 1: Federal government apologize to Brittany Higgins. The scandal that tore
- 0:20Speaker 1: apart Scott Morrison's government and allowed his critics to tear
- 0:24Speaker 1: down his character should have been handled with less panic
- 0:28Speaker 1: and more of the self confident conservative common sense of old.
- 0:32Speaker 1: According to former Prime Minister John Howard, that's just one
- 0:37Speaker 1: of a stack of revelations in the Twilight of Exceptionalism,
- 0:41Speaker 1: a new book by eminent journalist and historian Paul Kelly.
- 0:45Speaker 1: He's a regular here on the Front and The Australian's
- 0:48Speaker 1: editor at Large. Paul is breaking huge stories in the book,
- 0:52Speaker 1: and we've got the first interview on what happened to
- 0:55Speaker 1: Australia and the Federal Coalition during a tumultuous decade here
- 1:00Speaker 1: in just a moment. Paul Kelly is The Australian's Editor
- 1:14Speaker 1: at Large. He's Australia's most eminent political journalist and I
- 1:18Speaker 1: think also our most eminent political historian. Paul, your latest book,
- 1:22Speaker 1: The Twilight of Exceptionalism, is a seven hundred and sixty
- 1:26Speaker 1: six page whopper. It's a very heavy book in all
- 1:29Speaker 1: senses of the word, but it's also got your characteristic
- 1:32Speaker 1: lightness and deafness of touch. Your writing is absolutely beautiful
- 1:36Speaker 1: and there are some absolute Zinger news stories in here
- 1:39Speaker 1: as well. Of course, because it's a Paul Kelly book.
- 1:42Speaker 1: I think you are quite tough on Scott Morrison. You
- 1:45Speaker 1: say at one point there is no forgiving Morrison's personal
- 1:48Speaker 1: flaws and political blunders. You detail those in quite excruciating,
- 1:53Speaker 1: excruciating detail, Paul, But one of your fundamental points is
- 1:57Speaker 1: that he had kind of been left behind by his
- 2:00Speaker 1: own generation. That he had not been I suppose changed
- 2:05Speaker 1: by everything that happened after the sexual Revolution, the advent
- 2:08Speaker 1: of women into the professional classes, all the other changes
- 2:11Speaker 1: that Australia went through. What was it about him that
- 2:14Speaker 1: made him be left behind? And why was that bad
- 2:18Speaker 1: for him? As Prime minister?
- 2:19Speaker 2: I think Scott Morrison was a greatly misunderstood prime minister
- 2:25Speaker 2: and part of that was his own fault. Morrison was
- 2:30Speaker 2: an old fashioned Australian. He was a very astute and
- 2:34Speaker 2: smart politician and minister. He was deeply conservative and deeply religious.
- 2:42Speaker 2: His guiding stars were faith, family and country. But he
- 2:48Speaker 2: was out of touch with the way politics was changing,
- 2:53Speaker 2: and politics was becoming more about feeling, it was becoming
- 2:58Speaker 2: more about emotions. This was the age of the me
- 3:02Speaker 2: too movement, and Morrison unfortunately got caught up in this
- 3:08Speaker 2: debate about female rights. Grace Tame Christine Holgate and then
- 3:14Speaker 2: Britney Higgins in terms of the rape of Britney Higgins
- 3:19Speaker 2: as subsequently determined by the Federal Court, and Morrison I
- 3:24Speaker 2: think struggled in the politics of emotion, the politics of
- 3:29Speaker 2: female justice. A number of women felt that he struggled
- 3:33Speaker 2: to deal with them in an effective way. The cultural
- 3:38Speaker 2: and sexual revolution from the sixties and seventies in a sense,
- 3:43Speaker 2: passed Scott Morrison by. Now that's no criticism of him.
- 3:47Speaker 2: I just think it's a reality. But what it meant
- 3:49Speaker 2: was that when he's Prime Minister and he's dealing with
- 3:52Speaker 2: the consequences of a lot of these movements and the
- 3:56Speaker 2: quite legitimate demands from women in terms of social, economic,
- 4:03Speaker 2: and sexual justice, he had a difficulty coming to grips
- 4:06Speaker 2: with this. I think the other problem he had was
- 4:10Speaker 2: that he tended to be very aggressive, loose with the
- 4:15Speaker 2: truth and developed a credibility problem when it came to
- 4:19Speaker 2: the capacity of the electorate to trust what he said.
- 4:23Speaker 2: And I think these two problems really undermined him. Now,
- 4:27Speaker 2: Anthony ALBANIZI picked this and what happened at the end
- 4:30Speaker 2: of the day was Labor waged a ruthless campaign against
- 4:34Speaker 2: Morrison's character. Makes too many mistakes.
- 4:38Speaker 1: Next time something goes wrong, do you trust him to
- 4:41Speaker 1: make it right?
- 4:43Speaker 2: That's not my job. They got that right. They picked
- 4:45Speaker 2: his vulnerability, and Scott Morrison, when I interviewed him, actually
- 4:49Speaker 2: conceded that he thinks what happened when he lost the
- 4:53Speaker 2: twenty twenty two election. He feels, I think correctly that
- 4:57Speaker 2: he lost this more on character ground and policy grounds.
- 5:02Speaker 1: He described himself famously as a bit of a bulldozer,
- 5:05Speaker 1: and you look at that in detail in some of
- 5:07Speaker 1: his other government decisions. But in relation to the Britney
- 5:10Speaker 1: Higgins matter, he seemed to freeze. Then he apologized, I
- 5:15Speaker 1: am sorry, we are sorry.
- 5:21Speaker 2: I'm sorry to miss Higgins for the terrible things that
- 5:24Speaker 2: took place here.
- 5:26Speaker 1: He left Fiona Brown, a senior government staff, for feeling
- 5:29Speaker 1: completely cut adrift. She made me in that program with
- 5:32Speaker 1: the project. More of the villain than Bruce Lahman. Linda Reynolds,
- 5:37Speaker 1: the minister who ultimately this destroyed her career. She says
- 5:40Speaker 1: that Morrison was not a misogynist, but that he ran
- 5:44Speaker 1: a kind of men only government that she seemed to
- 5:47Speaker 1: feel kind of excluded from. Interestingly, John Howard said to
- 5:51Speaker 1: you about the Brittney Higgins matter with some sort of incredulity,
- 5:55Speaker 1: Why did we apologize? Why didn't we just stick to
- 5:58Speaker 1: the triade and true formula, which is we're not going
- 6:00Speaker 1: to comment on this. It's a matter going through the courts.
- 6:03Speaker 1: But I think if Scott Morrison had done that, he
- 6:05Speaker 1: would have been flayed alive. What do you think would
- 6:07Speaker 1: that have been a better course for Scott Morrison than apologizing,
- 6:11Speaker 1: giving Britney Higgins a payout, leaving women in his own
- 6:14Speaker 1: government feeling abandoned, and kind of enraging everybody else At
- 6:17Speaker 1: the same time, I.
- 6:18Speaker 2: Think the Brittney Higgins issue exposed some of Scott Morrison's
- 6:23Speaker 2: character flaws and the fact that he had great difficulty
- 6:28Speaker 2: coming to grips with this particular issue. Someone who was
- 6:32Speaker 2: a very assured politician on most fronts, who saw himself
- 6:38Speaker 2: as a pretty reliable political fixer who had a pretty
- 6:42Speaker 2: astute capacity to read the electorate. He was at all
- 6:46Speaker 2: at sixes and seven's when it came to this issue.
- 6:49Speaker 2: When Britney Higgins a couple of years later decided to
- 6:54Speaker 2: go public and reveal what had happened to her, that
- 6:58Speaker 2: is that she'd been raped. She did this in terms
- 7:02Speaker 2: of a coordinated attack on the Morrison government. It felt
- 7:08Speaker 2: like it became this was like immediately became sort of
- 7:11Speaker 2: a political problem.
- 7:12Speaker 1: It felt like that immediately it wasn't.
- 7:15Speaker 2: And the argument was that the Morrison government had engaged
- 7:19Speaker 2: in a cover up, that it hadn't been concerned about
- 7:22Speaker 2: her at all, that it was prepared to sacrifice her career,
- 7:27Speaker 2: that it was concerned about its own political fortunes, and
- 7:33Speaker 2: she coordinated this assault on the Morrison government with the
- 7:37Speaker 2: Labor Party. You just did aged that we put you
- 7:41Speaker 2: in hospitals.
- 7:41Speaker 1: You just let I put you in hospital at Senator Reynolds.
- 7:46Speaker 2: Now, these claims were false. They have demonstrated to be
- 7:51Speaker 2: false at great length by Justice Michael Lee in the
- 7:54Speaker 2: Federal Court in the long decision he made.
- 7:58Speaker 1: Trying to particularize it during the evidence was like trying
- 8:01Speaker 1: to grab a column of smoke.
- 8:03Speaker 2: Scott Morrison did not handle it well in a political sense.
- 8:09Speaker 2: He did not show the sort of empathy that was
- 8:11Speaker 2: required at the time. But the central argument made against
- 8:15Speaker 2: Morrison by Britney Higgins and her supporters and the Labor
- 8:20Speaker 2: Party that Morrison engaged in a political cover up at
- 8:24Speaker 2: the time was a false argument. And this was pretty
- 8:28Speaker 2: extraordinary because much of the Australian media accepted this argument.
- 8:33Speaker 2: They took the line, which is understandable, that when a
- 8:37Speaker 2: woman makes an accusation about rape, she's got to be believed,
- 8:41Speaker 2: and they extended that to say, and when Britney Higgins
- 8:45Speaker 2: is accusing the Morrison government of cover up, she's got
- 8:49Speaker 2: to be believed. Well, she doesn't have to be believed
- 8:51Speaker 2: on that second issue at all, particularly when she was
- 8:55Speaker 2: making a false accusation.
- 8:57Speaker 1: You say that Labor was within its right at the
- 9:00Speaker 1: time to pursue this issue as it sought to find
- 9:02Speaker 1: out exactly what had happened. Was there a way to
- 9:05Speaker 1: handle it for him or was it just absolutely impossible
- 9:08Speaker 1: once it all started going.
- 9:11Speaker 2: I think it was very difficult to handle this issue
- 9:13Speaker 2: once it started going, because essentially this was a completely
- 9:19Speaker 2: astonishing political event. You had a former Liberal Party staffer
- 9:25Speaker 2: going public with an accusation of rape on a popular
- 9:30Speaker 2: television program, but linking this accusation to an attack on
- 9:35Speaker 2: the Morrison government, claiming it was guilty of a cover
- 9:38Speaker 2: up and justice. Lee made the point talking about that
- 9:42Speaker 2: TV program that the main emphasis was not the rape,
- 9:46Speaker 2: The main emphasis was the false attack on the Morrison government. Now,
- 9:52Speaker 2: once that attack had been launched, in that extraordinary situation
- 9:57Speaker 2: where you had the bulk of the media accepting a
- 9:59Speaker 2: face vau what Britney Higgins had said, and accepting a
- 10:02Speaker 2: face failure what the Labor Party was saying, it was
- 10:05Speaker 2: very difficult for Morrison, I think to get out of that.
- 10:12Speaker 1: The title, why did you call it the Twilight of Exceptionalism?
- 10:16Speaker 2: I called it the twilight of exceptionalism because I see
- 10:19Speaker 2: this decade, this period of coalition government under Tony Abbott,
- 10:24Speaker 2: Malcolm Turnbull and Scott Morrison, as a period of underperformance
- 10:28Speaker 2: by Australia. We lost our way in this decade. We
- 10:33Speaker 2: lost the magic, We lost the sense of Australia as
- 10:36Speaker 2: a country that could lead the world. And in the
- 10:40Speaker 2: book that phase of history that involved Hawk and Keating
- 10:44Speaker 2: and Howard and Costello I've called that the age of
- 10:49Speaker 2: Australian exceptionalism. That's when we excelled, That's when we led
- 10:54Speaker 2: the world. That's when we were very successful and a
- 10:58Speaker 2: much happier country. And that is the defining sense of
- 11:02Speaker 2: this book. It's reinforced by Paul Keating who said that
- 11:07Speaker 2: when he was Treasurer and Prime Minister, the aim was
- 11:10Speaker 2: to make Australia a first rate country, a place with
- 11:14Speaker 2: a powerful economic engine and a soul to match. Well,
- 11:19Speaker 2: we don't have the engine anymore, and I think the
- 11:22Speaker 2: soul is fairly elusive. So essentially, what's happened in the
- 11:26Speaker 2: period I think since John Howard ceased to be Prime
- 11:29Speaker 2: Minister is that Australia has lost its way and lost
- 11:33Speaker 2: its sense of Australian exceptionalism. Hence the title of the book.
- 11:39Speaker 1: You say on page thirty three, Paul, that the Liberals
- 11:42Speaker 1: won elections during this period, but they lost the battle
- 11:45Speaker 1: of ideas. You depict them as a party who since
- 11:49Speaker 1: John Howard, really had failed to find a new identity
- 11:53Speaker 1: for the new era, and that Australia had changed and
- 11:55Speaker 1: really left the Liberal Party behind. In some ways, you
- 11:59Speaker 1: draw there're a cast of characters too who are deeply
- 12:02Speaker 1: flawed in all sorts of ways, as all human beings are.
- 12:05Speaker 1: But you quote John Howard to quite devastating effect saying
- 12:09Speaker 1: that the true test is leadership in government and that
- 12:13Speaker 1: all three Abbot, Turnbull and Morrison failed that test. I mean,
- 12:18Speaker 1: those are harsh words from the former prime minister. I've
- 12:21Speaker 1: never read him being quite so. Frank, what's your sense
- 12:25Speaker 1: of what went wrong during those years of government under
- 12:28Speaker 1: these three prime ministers?
- 12:30Speaker 2: The key point to make here is that what happens
- 12:33Speaker 2: in this decade is that the Liberal Party, which has
- 12:38Speaker 2: been the principal governing party in Australia since World War Two,
- 12:42Speaker 2: the Liberal Party loses its psychological grip on the nation.
- 12:46Speaker 2: It's a power crisis, it's a leadership crisis, particularly this
- 12:51Speaker 2: struggle between Tony Abbot and Malcolm Turnbull. And we have
- 12:56Speaker 2: three prime ministers over three terms, Abbot, turn Beyond Scott Morrison.
- 13:01Speaker 2: They have different characters. They have a different view of
- 13:05Speaker 2: what the Liberal Party is, they have a different view
- 13:08Speaker 2: of Australia. The Liberal Party loses its sense of conviction,
- 13:13Speaker 2: it loses its sense of belief. It's caught in a
- 13:16Speaker 2: revolving door. It's confused, it doesn't know whether it's coming
- 13:21Speaker 2: or going under these three leaders, and you can't win
- 13:25Speaker 2: a battle of ideas in this sort of situation. I
- 13:29Speaker 2: don't want to be too harsh on this period of government.
- 13:33Speaker 2: There were significant achievements, but I think the only conclusion
- 13:37Speaker 2: to draw overall given what happens at the twenty twenty
- 13:41Speaker 2: two election, when under Scott Morrison, Labor wins led by
- 13:47Speaker 2: Anthony Albanezi, and the Liberals to that point suffer the
- 13:51Speaker 2: worst election defeat in their history since Mensis formed the party.
- 13:55Speaker 2: And this is because the public have lost a sense
- 13:59Speaker 2: of what is the Liberal Party, What is the Liberal
- 14:02Speaker 2: Party standing for anymore? The public is confused and that
- 14:06Speaker 2: confusion is reflected in the magnitude of the twenty twenty
- 14:10Speaker 2: two election defeat for the coalition government and the Liberals.
- 14:15Speaker 1: But why is it so hard for them? I mean
- 14:17Speaker 1: John Howard had shaped the Liberal Party really in his
- 14:20Speaker 1: own mold. He brought together, as you say, conservatism and liberalism,
- 14:24Speaker 1: the two great traditions, and had kind of thrown in
- 14:28Speaker 1: ordinary family values, loyalty to country, patriotism in a kind
- 14:32Speaker 1: of low key sort of way, a sense of Australian sovereignty,
- 14:36Speaker 1: he would describe all that as just common sense. That's
- 14:39Speaker 1: not so hard, is it.
- 14:41Speaker 2: This is a really important question and it goes to
- 14:44Speaker 2: I think two of the central themes of the book.
- 14:47Speaker 2: One is about the challenges facing the country and the
- 14:51Speaker 2: other is the quality of leadership. Australia is now facing
- 14:55Speaker 2: a new series of challenges that are broader and deeper
- 15:00Speaker 2: than those confronted by Bob Hawk or John Howard. Economic
- 15:05Speaker 2: management is much tougher. Low productivity, of stagnant living standards,
- 15:10Speaker 2: so the economic challenge is more difficult. We've got the
- 15:15Speaker 2: energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables, and this is
- 15:20Speaker 2: very difficult for Australia given that we were such a
- 15:23Speaker 2: powerful and economically competitive fossil fuel economy and the consequences
- 15:28Speaker 2: higher energy prices, which creates great difficulties for the government.
- 15:34Speaker 2: You've then got social and cultural change, in particular with
- 15:39Speaker 2: the rise of identity politics, the nation starts to fracture.
- 15:43Speaker 2: There's confusion and a lot of difference about core beliefs
- 15:48Speaker 2: in this country, beliefs which were all accepted thirty or
- 15:52Speaker 2: forty years ago but aren't any more. In terms of
- 15:55Speaker 2: identity politics in relation to race sex and gender. This
- 16:00Speaker 2: makes it more difficult to govern. And the conclusion I
- 16:03Speaker 2: reach is that successive governments and successive prime ministers lack
- 16:09Speaker 2: the capability to really address these challenges. Then you've got
- 16:14Speaker 2: the related point about leadership. Tony Abbott was the most
- 16:19Speaker 2: conservative leader the Liberal Parties ever had. Malcolm Turnbull was
- 16:23Speaker 2: the most progressive leader the Liberal Parties ever had. Scott
- 16:27Speaker 2: Morrison was a transactional centrist. All of them had their
- 16:32Speaker 2: own strengths. There's no question about that they were diligent
- 16:36Speaker 2: prime ministers. But despite their achievements, they were not able
- 16:40Speaker 2: to successfully meet the aspirations of the Australian people and
- 16:45Speaker 2: not able to successfully meet those challenges that I just outlined.
- 16:53Speaker 1: My friends, I can inform you that the government of
- 16:59Speaker 1: Australia has changed for just the seventh They swept into power,
- 17:07Speaker 1: led by the very effective Tony Abbot in twenty thirteen,
- 17:10Speaker 1: and I think there was a sense from most Australians
- 17:12Speaker 1: that the revolving door of the Rudd Gillard Rudd years
- 17:16Speaker 1: were over, that the embarrassment of having a party that
- 17:19Speaker 1: couldn't even hold on to a prime minister was going
- 17:21Speaker 1: to stop. And now the adults were in charge. He
- 17:24Speaker 1: made two really interesting observations about Abbot. One is the
- 17:27Speaker 1: Liberals kind of failed to sell his character as an asset,
- 17:32Speaker 1: and the other was that the twenty fourteen budget was
- 17:35Speaker 1: a catastrophe that he could never recover from the combination
- 17:38Speaker 1: of the Medicare co payment, new harsh restrictions on access
- 17:42Speaker 1: to Center Link for example, these were things that he
- 17:44Speaker 1: didn't have a mandate for. First, on that question of
- 17:47Speaker 1: Abbot's morality and his persona, the sort of triathlete, you know,
- 17:51Speaker 1: living at the police headquarters, not living at the lodge,
- 17:54Speaker 1: you know, getting up at five am to go to
- 17:56Speaker 1: the gym. Why should the Liberals have sold Abbot better?
- 18:02Speaker 2: The really interesting thing about Tony Abbot is that he
- 18:05Speaker 2: wins big in two thy thirteen. But he's a conservative,
- 18:11Speaker 2: and so while the people vote him in, they're not
- 18:15Speaker 2: actually voting in the authentic Tony Abbot. They're not voting
- 18:21Speaker 2: for Tony Abbot the conservative, They're not actually voting for
- 18:26Speaker 2: what he is. So there's a conflict. There's a conflict
- 18:29Speaker 2: here between the authentic Abbot as a conservative and where
- 18:34Speaker 2: the Australian people are, and the nature of this conflict
- 18:37Speaker 2: was concealed by the magnitude of abbots two thousand and
- 18:41Speaker 2: thirteen victory. I think the other point to make about Abbot,
- 18:45Speaker 2: and a lot of people won't understand this point because
- 18:48Speaker 2: Abbot is seen as a really muscular figure, very masculine,
- 18:54Speaker 2: very aggressive, very muscular. What I argue is he is
- 18:59Speaker 2: the most humble prime minister I've seen since GoF Whitlam.
- 19:05Speaker 2: He needed support, he needed Peter Kredlin as his support,
- 19:10Speaker 2: and Tony Abbot felt that his victory at the twenty
- 19:13Speaker 2: thirteen election was a partnership. It was a partnership victory
- 19:18Speaker 2: between himself and Peter Kredlin. Now this is a pretty
- 19:22Speaker 2: extraordinary attitude for a prime minister that to have. But
- 19:26Speaker 2: this reveals the true nature of Tony Abbot. He's not
- 19:30Speaker 2: an ego maniac at all, or a monogynist exactly. He's
- 19:35Speaker 2: actually a humble guy who has inner doubts about himself
- 19:41Speaker 2: and inner doubts about his real strength. This is the
- 19:45Speaker 2: real psychological conundrum about Tony Abbott, the muscular politician who's
- 19:52Speaker 2: got doubts about himself.
- 19:54Speaker 1: In your view, did he let Joe Hockey kind of
- 19:57Speaker 1: run away with a way too conservative agenda? In first
- 20:00Speaker 1: budget and kind of blow it all up for himself.
- 20:03Speaker 2: I don't think so. The Abbot Hockey relationship is a
- 20:07Speaker 2: closer and more intimate relationship than was the relationship between
- 20:12Speaker 2: John Howard and Peter Costello as Prime Minister and treasurer.
- 20:17Speaker 2: And if Abbot was ever going to get rid of Hockey,
- 20:20Speaker 2: it had to be done before the election. There was
- 20:23Speaker 2: no way after Tony Abbott came in as Prime Minister
- 20:27Speaker 2: and they worked together on that first contentious and highly
- 20:32Speaker 2: unpopular budget, that Abbot was going to turn around and
- 20:36Speaker 2: sack Hockey. Abbott would have seen that as an act
- 20:39Speaker 2: of betrayal, and he would have seen that as putting
- 20:43Speaker 2: onto Hockey's responsibility the collective failures of the government, for
- 20:48Speaker 2: which Abbot bore a substantial responsibility. When John Howard, among others,
- 20:56Speaker 2: advised Abbot to get rid of Hockey and make Turnbuoks Treasurer,
- 21:01Speaker 2: Tony Abbot's response was, no way, I'm not going to
- 21:05Speaker 2: do that, and don't think this will help the government.
- 21:07Speaker 2: It won't help the government at all. And Abbot felt
- 21:11Speaker 2: that to make Turnbull Treasurer would be to institute instability
- 21:16Speaker 2: at the very apex of the government. It might have
- 21:20Speaker 2: assisted the transition to the Turnbull government, but that wasn't
- 21:24Speaker 2: in Tony Abbot's interest.
- 21:26Speaker 1: You describe Abbot coming into power with three misconceptions about
- 21:29Speaker 1: his election victory. One of those was that he would
- 21:32Speaker 1: get two terms. Malcolm Turnbull obviously had other ideas. How
- 21:36Speaker 1: did Malcolm Turnbull turn out as prime minister in your estimation?
- 21:40Speaker 2: Now, the tragedy of the Abbot prime ministership is that
- 21:44Speaker 2: in two years, despite a significant parliamentary majority, he lost
- 21:48Speaker 2: the confidence of the Parliamentary Party. The party was to
- 21:53Speaker 2: a certain extent panicked, It was alarmed by the poles.
- 21:57Speaker 2: It was very, very concerned that it might be a
- 22:01Speaker 2: once a government, that it might lose the re election contest.
- 22:06Speaker 2: And so it went for Malcolm Turnbull on the pragmatic
- 22:10Speaker 2: assumption that Turnbull would be a better vote winner than Abbott.
- 22:15Speaker 2: Now there was this force aura built up about Malcolm Turnbull.
- 22:21Speaker 2: There's no doubt Malcolm Turnbull is a highly intelligent and
- 22:24Speaker 2: brilliant man, a great opportunist, an extraordinary record as an investor,
- 22:31Speaker 2: as a lawyer, as someone who understood how commerce and
- 22:36Speaker 2: finance worked in Australia. But Turnbull was a businessman and
- 22:41Speaker 2: an investor. He was not a natural politician. A number
- 22:46Speaker 2: of his supporters saw Turnbull as a transformational prime minister.
- 22:50Speaker 2: Malcolm was never going to be a transformational prime minister.
- 22:53Speaker 2: That wasn't his nature. He was going to be a rationalist,
- 22:57Speaker 2: an incrementalist, at reformer, a cautious leader. That he was
- 23:03Speaker 2: never going to be a transformation or prime minister. Finally,
- 23:08Speaker 2: they got wrong the extent to which he could harness
- 23:12Speaker 2: the votes of the Australian people and become an election
- 23:15Speaker 2: vote winner. Malcolm Turnbull did win the twenty sixteen election,
- 23:20Speaker 2: and in that sense he delivered on the hopes of
- 23:22Speaker 2: the party room and kept the coalition in government. But
- 23:26Speaker 2: he just got there. He just fell over the line
- 23:30Speaker 2: at the twenty sixteen election. He was actually out campaigned
- 23:34Speaker 2: by Bill Shorten, no question about that. And what it
- 23:38Speaker 2: meant was while Turnbull survived as Prime minister, he was
- 23:42Speaker 2: a weakened prime minister and the government was weakened overall.
- 23:47Speaker 1: Of course, Paul I read this book wanting to know
- 23:49Speaker 1: what you think they should all do now, and I
- 23:53Speaker 1: think all of our political parties are a little adrift
- 23:56Speaker 1: right now as we see the rise of Pauline Hanson's
- 23:58Speaker 1: one nation ebbing and flowing in the polls, a Liberal
- 24:02Speaker 1: party that doesn't seem to know which way to turn,
- 24:04Speaker 1: at a Prime minister who perhaps thinks that he can
- 24:07Speaker 1: just barrel on through with his huge majority.
- 24:10Speaker 2: What happens during the decade is there's an effort to
- 24:14Speaker 2: rediscover and rekindle conservatism in Australia. It doesn't go well.
- 24:22Speaker 2: It doesn't go well at all. Now, what happened at
- 24:27Speaker 2: various stages during the past decade was we had a
- 24:31Speaker 2: number of people saying the answer has got to be
- 24:35Speaker 2: populist conservatism. We've got to look at what's happening in
- 24:38Speaker 2: the United States with Donald Trump, what's happening in the
- 24:41Speaker 2: United Kingdom with Nigel Farage. We've got to understand that
- 24:45Speaker 2: there is a populist conservative revolution running through Western democracies
- 24:50Speaker 2: and we've got to take this and apply this revolution
- 24:55Speaker 2: to Australia. And so the future for the Coalition in
- 24:58Speaker 2: this country will be populist conservatism. I reject this totally.
- 25:03Speaker 2: Unlike Britain, we've never had a political party in Australia
- 25:08Speaker 2: called the Conservative Party. We've never had a party called
- 25:12Speaker 2: the Tory Party. Why is that? Well, There's a very
- 25:16Speaker 2: simple reason for this, and the reason is since seventeen
- 25:20Speaker 2: eighty eight and the arrival of Europeans in Australia, there
- 25:24Speaker 2: have been three great political traditions in this country liberalism,
- 25:29Speaker 2: socialism and conservatism. But the weakest of the three has
- 25:35Speaker 2: been conservatism, and often in Australian history conservatism was seen
- 25:41Speaker 2: as a term of abuse. One of the great lessons
- 25:45Speaker 2: for the coalition side of politics is they've got to
- 25:48Speaker 2: keep working on these two traditions, liberalism and conservatism. And
- 25:53Speaker 2: the idea that the solution is populist conservatism is a myth.
- 25:59Speaker 2: It's been disproved by that decade.
- 26:02Speaker 1: You describe Donald Trump as a false prophet and make
- 26:06Speaker 1: the point that he was not a conservative, but in
- 26:09Speaker 1: fact he kind of blew up the Republican Party and
- 26:11Speaker 1: everything that it stood for in terms of conservative values
- 26:14Speaker 1: in America. He did get elected twice, though, and that's
- 26:18Speaker 1: something that liberals are struggling with.
- 26:20Speaker 2: He did get elected twice. He's a remarkable populist politician,
- 26:25Speaker 2: but he's not a conservative. And the point I make
- 26:28Speaker 2: is that we don't have a presidential system in this country.
- 26:31Speaker 2: We have a Westminster system. There will be no Trump
- 26:35Speaker 2: in this country because the people don't elect the prime minister.
- 26:39Speaker 2: The parliamentary parties elect the prime minister. I think this
- 26:43Speaker 2: is a far superior system to that of the United States.
- 26:47Speaker 2: America's political culture is very, very different to Australias, and
- 26:52Speaker 2: I think this is widely recognized now. Clearly that I
- 26:57Speaker 2: argue in the epilogue, written after the twenty twenty five election,
- 27:01Speaker 2: the Liberal Party and the coalition in this country now
- 27:04Speaker 2: it faces an existential crisis. The fundamental requirement for the
- 27:09Speaker 2: party is to articulate and get behind with a sense
- 27:14Speaker 2: of unity, what its beliefs are in the current decade,
- 27:19Speaker 2: in this contemporary period of Australian history. The party's got
- 27:23Speaker 2: to move on. It's got to go back and look
- 27:26Speaker 2: at its traditions, but it's got to update those traditions
- 27:30Speaker 2: with fresh policies, and that's going to be a very
- 27:33Speaker 2: difficult challenge.
- 27:34Speaker 1: I'm sure they will be rushing out to buy this
- 27:36Speaker 1: book to give them some clues. Paul, thank you very much,
- 27:38Speaker 1: and thanks for writing it, and thanks for being with us.
- 27:41Speaker 2: Thank you very much for the interview, Claire. I've appreciated
- 27:43Speaker 2: very much.
- 27:50Speaker 1: Paul Kelly is the Australian's editor at large and the
- 27:52Speaker 1: author of the Twilight of Exceptionalism. It'll be launched this
- 27:56Speaker 1: Friday by John Howard. There'll be extracts in the this
- 28:00Speaker 1: weekend and it'll be in bookstores on July fourteenth. You
- 28:04Speaker 1: can check out all our journalism anytime at the Australian
- 28:08Speaker 1: dot com dot au