Latest / Dollars In The Dirt / #048 - Exactly How Trump Is Impacting The Cattle Market
Transcript
- 0:00Trump has signed an order aimed at giving American producers more
- 0:03options to process and sell their own beef. Most producers look
- 0:06at that and think, well that's America, it doesn't have much to do with us. After
- 0:10helping hundreds of farmers secure over a billion dollars in finance, I
- 0:13can tell you that it matters because the same issue exists here. A
- 0:17small group of huge processors own a lot of capacity. which
- 0:21can leave producers as price takers. So in this video, I'm
- 0:24going to break down what Trump's trying to do, whether Australia should
- 0:28be looking at something similar and what it could mean for cattle producers here.
- 0:32The headline is pretty straightforward. Trump has signed an executive action
- 0:36in the US. It's aimed at giving American farmers and ranchers more
- 0:39options and more access to customers beyond the normal
- 0:43channels. And the issue is processing concentration. In
- 0:46America, a lot of beef moves through big processes. And
- 0:50in Australia, we've got a similar issue. A small number
- 0:53of large processes control a lot of capacity. It
- 0:57just means the chain is concentrated. So here's the issue. Say
- 1:01you're a cattle producer, you've bred the animal, you've carried the feed
- 1:04risk, you've carried the seasonal risk, and you've carried the
- 1:07price risk. But at sale time, your options can still be
- 1:11limited. But with only a few major processing pathways, producers
- 1:15can become price takers. And that's the part Trump is trying to
- 1:18address. The order supports small and regional processors. It
- 1:22aims to modernise the inspection process. It aims to expand access
- 1:26for eligible meat products. And it includes support for loan programs
- 1:30for small and regional processor. It doesn't mean food safety disappears.
- 1:34It doesn't mean anyone can process meat anywhere. It doesn't
- 1:38mean the market changes overnight. And the point is market
- 1:41access. Can smaller operators get through the system properly?
- 1:45Can regional processes build capacity? And can producers have
- 1:49more pathways to reach customers? And that's the conversation. And
- 1:53that's what matters here. This isn't just an American story. The
- 1:56same processing pressures exist in Australia. So this
- 2:00is really about market access and how much choice does
- 2:03a processor have. By the way, if you're looking at buying a property or
- 2:06growing a business and you want to talk through what the finance could look like, book
- 2:09a free call. The link's in the description. I think it's worth talking about if
- 2:13Australia should be looking at something similar. We already have paddock-to-plate
- 2:16businesses here. You see producers selling beef direct. You
- 2:20see cattle processed, packed, and then delivered to customers. So
- 2:24it's not a new idea. It's already happening. But the thing
- 2:27is, it takes work, and there's regulation to deal with, and
- 2:31you can't shortcut food safety, and you can't shortcut processing
- 2:35standards. The question is different. Can we make it easier
- 2:38for legitimate operators? Can regional processes grow, and
- 2:42can producers access customers without dropping the standard? And
- 2:45that's where the opportunity might be. If there were more pathways to
- 2:49market, producers could have more choice. Not every producer would
- 2:53use it, and not every producer should use it. But
- 2:56some might. Say you've got a strong local brand, or
- 2:59you've got customers already asking for beef, or you've got a product
- 3:03people are willing to pay for, a direct market might make sense.
- 3:07But for most family farms, the normal channels will still be
- 3:10the main game. You still sell into the market that suits
- 3:13your cattle, and that's the reality. But for the right producer, another
- 3:17route could matter, and it could mean more control over the product. It
- 3:21could mean more concentration, it could mean more connection with
- 3:24the customer, and it could mean keeping more value in the business. This
- 3:28is the part that gets people thinking. A producer might sell a beast for around
- 3:32$2,000. And by the time that meat reaches retail, it could
- 3:35be worth $6,000 or $7,000. And now that gap
- 3:38isn't all profit. So you can just look at the retail price and
- 3:42call it margin. But there's value in the chain. And right now, a
- 3:45lot of that value sits after the farm gate. And that's the opportunity
- 3:49people are looking at. Can they keep more of the end value? For
- 3:52some producers, the answer might be yes, but it's not easy money.
- 3:56It's not an instant second income stream. And it's not something
- 4:00every grazing business should chase. If you're looking at it, the
- 4:03first thing I look at is the market. Who's actually buying? And
- 4:06how often are they buying? And that makes a big difference. Then
- 4:10I look at the processing. Where is it being processed? How
- 4:13reliable is that access? And what does it cost? Then
- 4:17I look at the setup. Do you need working capital? Those
- 4:20things matter. Because cash still matters. You
- 4:24don't want a new idea to drain the business that pays the bills. Paddock
- 4:28to plate can be the strong model for the right operator. It needs market,
- 4:31compliance, infrastructure and execution. And without those things,
- 4:35it's just a good idea. So Trump's announcement won't change the
- 4:38Australian cattle market tomorrow, but it does raise a fair question. Should
- 4:42Australian producers have more ways to reach the customer? Should
- 4:46regional processing have more support? And should producers have
- 4:49more opportunity beyond the farm gate? I think it's worth discussing.
- 4:54We've already got producers doing paddock to plate well here in Australia. It
- 4:57also won't suit plenty of producers. But things can be
- 5:00true. For most family farms, the normal selling channels will
- 5:04still make sense. But more market access gives producers
- 5:08more options. What are your thoughts? Drop your comments below. And
- 5:11if you're looking at growing your business, buying a property or working through how
- 5:15an opportunity could fit alongside your current operation, book a