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NCAAB + NBA + NHL + NCAAF Best Bets Friday 11/14/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with wickens
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: Bruins hat man. I don't know what is going on
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth, I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: have with you, as I always am until I die,
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five. The worst month
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's sewed back with you for better
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: off Dead Friday, November fourteenth. Bear with me because I'm
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: also trying to upload some some assets here. I'm including
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: my new drop here, which is the Actually I should
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: keep my headphones in of him to try it out.
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: Maybe I'll try it out during the show. Here, it's
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: the the Rick Petino drop. Maybe I should just not
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: do it during the show because I'm already late. Don't
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: want to have to let me see here? Can I
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: do this? Hold on, I'm gonna try it right now. Yeah,
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be a drop that's gonna be I'm
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: gonna have a few different sports related drops, production value, baby, yeah.
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: Yeah, inside I want to kill myself.
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, all right, there we go. All right,
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: we'll have some drops available if I want to talk
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: about any of that. All right, Jeffrey, what's up man?
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out and dirty sock what's up. Thanks
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: for hanging out guys yesterday on the show. I mean,
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: nice bounce back with the really nice bounce back on
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: the college basketball slate there. I'm happy about it. San
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: Jose State. I mean, they got there. That line was
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: twenty four and a half, twenty three and a half whatever.
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: They wound up losing by nineteen, so they got in
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: within that number. It was never in danger of Michigan
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: State being a loss. But I mean the handicap was
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: this game gonna be low scoring. Michigan State's probably not
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: gonna really care about style points whatever. So Michigan State, yeah,
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, obviously they got the win easily, but they
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: were I don't think they were covering at any point
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: in the game. They were kind of just hovering right
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: around that number and never quite hit it. I think.
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: So that worked out well. Purdue got the outright win
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: for US as a four or three and a half
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: point underdog. I think they were three and a half
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: by the time the game tipped off. One thing I
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: forgot to mention as part of that handicap with Purdue
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: was that Alabama, the fact that they beat Saint John's.
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: Saint John's plays a fast tempo, and that's the tempo
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: that Alabama wants, so Purdue had the ability to potentially
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: slow it down. Purdue was more of a tempo clash,
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: although yes, usually the home team does control the tempo,
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: but Purdue was able to slow it down just enough
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: kept the game in the eighties. That was enough to
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: do it. And I hadn't realized that Purdue one of
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: their start like they brought back four were starters from
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: last year, but one of their best players, Kaufman Wrn
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: I guess, hadn't played yet this season, and I think
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: he played last night, although I'm not sure because I
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: wasn't really watching the whole thing, so I wasn't aware
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: that he wasn't playing. But still, I mean, they were
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: gonna have a really experienced backcourt regardless, so that was
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: part of the handicap there. And then Grambling got us
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: there as well. As they did not blow it. They
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: were winning the game by like double digits for a while.
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: I think they were leading basically the whole game, but
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: they let it get a little bit close for comfort.
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: They wound up winning by I think five, six, whatever
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: it was. And then the hockey play was a winner
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: as well, with the Detroit Red Wings. So that hit
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: that was close for a while. They were never losing,
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: but they were alternating between being tied and being up one,
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: and then they pulled away late. I think they might
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: have had an empty netter at the end with a
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: six to three win, but they were up multiple goals
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: at that point. Troy could kiss my ass. That was
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: terrible and I threw that in my one of my
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: money pick thems that has all the lesser conferences in it.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: I'm pissed about it. I mean, they were still in
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: striking range at halftime. They were down twenty to nothing.
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: It was like, okay, well if they make adjustments at halftime,
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: maybe they'll be able to claw back into this thing.
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: They only needed one score at that point to get back.
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: Oh no, they needed two scores. They had to get
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: back within the number there, which is not asking that
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: much really, although with that offense, I guess it is
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: because their offense is miserable. The one thing I forgot
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: to really think about as far as that handicap was
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: even though old dominion, it's not realistic for them to
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: win their division at this point. It was a primetime
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: game at home, which I did mention that was the
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: first time they were doing that this year, so that
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: is a motivating factor. So I probably shouldn't have really
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: faded that. But the other thing is they're not mathematically eliminated,
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: and now they're in a point where if they keep winning,
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: everything else is just out of their hands. So I
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: talk about this in the NFL a lot, like when
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: a team controls their own destiny, and literally, if they
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: win they're in that puts more pressure on them. But
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: if if they need to win and they need other
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: things to happen, there's like less pressure on them, and
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: they could just play looser because it's like, well, we
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: can win, but we still need these other teams to lose,
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: and that's kind of the spot that they're in. Even
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: I think it's highly unlikely that James Maddison is gonna
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: drop behind them, But still I guess that meant that
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: they were playing a little bit looser for that reason.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: So maybe I shouldn't have added that one. I mean,
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: that was the last one that I added. Thank you, sir,
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: Red Wings Toronto. I forget what was my opinion on Toronto?
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: Did I say I like Toronto? I don't remember. Maybe
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: I did. I don't remember. Obviously, the Red Wings was
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: the one that I really liked yesterday, and then I
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: did like Vegas yesterday, and I don't know if they
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: wound up winning or not. They lost an overtime. Actually,
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: oh I should know, because that's gonna be part of
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: my handicap in my hockey game today. All right, I
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: don't have it up in the banners yet, but let
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: me guys start doing this right now. I'm gonna have
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: two NBA, say four college basketball, one NHL. Man, I
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: don't want this video to go, you know, to go
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: that long. But you know, I'm not even gonna let
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: me not even put them in the in the system yet.
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: Let me just I'll do it, and I'll put them
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: in the band as I talk about them. I guess
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: how about that? Okay, yeah Toronto. Yeah, I don't even remember, man,
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: Like I talk about the game and then it's just
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: like out of my mind. Oh yeah, they were on
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: home against the Kings. Yeah, all right, to the and
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: they covered. Yeah, they lost in overtime. Yeah, so the
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: plus one and a half covered. You probably had to
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: pay a favorite price on that. On the plus one
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: and a half though, all right, college basketball, we do
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: have one eleven AM game that's coming up in less
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: than an hour on YouTube, which is on the field
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: of sixty eight or whatever. They're doing all these YouTube
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: broadcasts now, which I like, you get more and I
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: think it's free, probably with ads if you don't have
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: YouTube Premium, but which I do on my account, not
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: this one, but my personal account. Yeah, so, I mean
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: I like that they're doing this. You get these ugly games,
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: though that this one's real ugly coppin State and Central Michigan,
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: and they're playing in Saint Petersburg, Florida for whatever reason,
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: at least it's not Russia Russia. So I don't know
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: what else to say about that game. Really, I mean,
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: it's an ugly game. Central Michigan is obviously the better team.
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: Copp and State's really bad. Central Michigan is down to
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: a ten point favor from ten and a half, but
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: seventy nine percent tickets eighty four percent of the cash.
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't really want to have my money on a
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: team as bad as Copp and State. I mean, to
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: face a fairly difficult schedule, though they've played all road
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: games except for their opener against Maryland. They played James Madison,
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: South Florida, even LaSalle on the road, not really easy
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: opponents to face. Central Michigan actually is probably the weakest
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: opponent they faced this entire season. And this is of
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: course in a neutral site game. Here said Michigan, I
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: think is further away from this location that Coppin is.
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: I forget where Coppin is, but I think they're closer
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: geographically than Central Michigan. This is probably gonna be an
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: empty stadium though, Like who's gonna go to this game?
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: At eleven between these two teams. Central Michigan just played
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: pretty close against South Alabama in their last game, which
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: was oh this was actually part of the same tournament,
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: the showdown in Saint Pete, and Central Michigan fell just
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: short of a pretty good well not good. I well,
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: I don't know, we don't know yet. But South Alabama
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: they're still undefeated and they're I think probably at least
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: decent in the Sun Belt. So Central Michigan almost pulled
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: off that game. They got knocked out of the tournament
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: because of that, So I would actually lean to taking
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: the points of copp and stated this one, but man,
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: this is ugly. I was gonna say I thought South
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: Florida may have been part of this thing because South
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: Florida is in this area, like, they're a Tampa school,
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: So I was thinking that maybe they were like the
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: host of this tournament or something, but I guess not now.
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: The one thing about Central Michigan, though, is that they've
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: already played in this venue and Common State has not,
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: so I talk about that too. When you have a
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: team that is already adjusted to the venue, like they're
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: more familiar with what the venues like and like the
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: site lines and stuff, so they have a little bit
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: of an advantage in that respect, although I'd still lean
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: against Central Michigan in this case. Plus, they're just not
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: a good team, so asking them to cover by margin
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: is a bit of an ask of though both these
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: teams are terrible. Pinzy, what's up man? Thanks for hanging
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: out eleven AM games for Central Michigan. Yeah, because they're
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: both in this showdown in Saint Pete. I guess whatever
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: the hell that really is? I mean, Lehigh is playing Rutgers.
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: I don't really I don't know if I want to
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: go through this entire board in detail, especially these games
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: that I just have no opinion on. Rutgers obviously the
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: better team. Lehigh might step up their game for a
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: game against a Big ten team, though, and they probably
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: won't be intimidated at this point because they've already played
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: on the road against Houston in West Virginia. West Virginia,
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: by the way, played last and looked pretty good in
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: crushing Pittsburgh. Or the Pittsburgh's best player might have been
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: out for that game. I'll have to look at the
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: box score West Virginia, by the way. Something I did
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: not know is North Texas as coach from the last
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: few seasons is now at West Virginia. So West Virginia
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: they were already playing a slow tempo I think, so
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be one of the slowest tempo
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: teams in the entire nation now with that with that
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: coach in there, that's what he does, slow down play defense.
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: I think it will improve West Virginia though. I mean,
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: they've been down the last couple of years. But Lehigh
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: they've been pretty battle tested so far, so I don't
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: think they're really going to be intimidated facing Rutgers. Of
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: the Rutgers is a seventeen and a half point favorite.
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: They do have the money right now, fifty six percent
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: of the cash, sixty seven percent of the tickets on
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: Lee High. I mean, I don't really know what public
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: better is coming in on Lee High here, but just
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: because Lehi has been battle tests and Rutgers is just
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: not that good, I might lean towards taking the points
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: with Lehigh there. Ut By the way, of course, their
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: entire team basically, which was Ace Bailey and who was
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: the other guy they had last year? They had like
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: two star players and then that was their entire team
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: last year they both went into the NBA. I'm pretty sure.
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: So this Rutgers team, I don't even know what they
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: are at this point, so I don't want anything to
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: do with them. SOB what's up man, Blues Flyers? We
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: will we'll talk about that in the NHL segment, which
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: hopefully I can get through this college basketball quickly. Our
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: friends at IU Indy I U p U Y are
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: playing at Eastern Michigan. Now, I you Indy number one
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: in the country in tempo, man, I mean, this team,
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: it's just what it is. They're they're literally, according to
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: Kent bum they're number one. They're the fastest pace, number
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: one in tempo they're the fastest pace team in the country.
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: There's still like a bottom twenty power rated team, and
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: they're like the third worst defense in the entire country
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: because all they do is just run the floor and
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: if you beat their press, they're not going to defend you.
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, basically, I mean it's ridiculous, Like it's not
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: a it's not a formula for success. Man. Although they
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: have faced a difficult schedule. They played on the road
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: at Ohio State and at Butler, although they allowed both
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: of those teams to score one hundred and twelve or
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: more points. Not great. Now they're on the road again
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: at a weaker opponent in Eastern Michigan, and IU Indy
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: did get their first win finally against the Division two
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: school Eastern Michigan. Not great, although they did play okay
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: at pitt in their last game, so they're like slightly
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: battle tested. They are coming off a more difficult game
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: where they actually played pit to within twelve on the road,
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: So I'm actually gonna lean to taking the points with
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: IUPUI and this one, I mean Eastern Michigan finally a
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: week opponent I think probably the weakest that ipuis faced
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: so far. Besides that Division two team Eastern Michigan is
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: public for whatever reason, I guess because people we'll see
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: iupuy at one and three, it just instinctively fade them.
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: Sixty seven percent of tickets, only sixty five percent of
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: the cash in Eastern Michigan, if you like Iupuy. This
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: line has totally gone away, Like it's down from nine
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: and a half to four and a half now. Just
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: these opening like these college line moves. Man, it's just
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: really really hard to beat some of these line moves
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: because they just get out of control so quickly. I
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: was not really interested in playing that game anyway though,
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: all right lynden Wood and Charleston Southern. I just thought
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: it was a little bit interesting because this is a
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: tournament of the Bulldog Bash, which is being played at Huntsville, Alabama,
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: which I guess is I don't know, is there some
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: school in Huntsville that's the Bulldogs. I don't even know, man,
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: So both of these teams are not playing at home here.
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: It's a neutral site game. I believe Charleston Southern actually
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: already played in this tournament, but they lost to Alabama
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: A and M, which is a pretty disgusting loss, although
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: Alabama A and M was actually favored. I believe they're
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: in the Swack. They're in a very very bad conference.
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: Charleston Southern is in a slightly less bad conference in
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: the Big South. But I guess Charleston Southern is considered
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: to be oh Alabama A and M is hosting it.
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: That's why. So Alabama A and M was literally the
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: home team in this game. They're the bulldogs. Okay, that
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: makes more sense now, So Charleston Southern is actually the
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: better of the two teams, but Alabama A and M
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: was a slight favorite because they were on their home court.
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: They actually got the win, now, Charleston Southern. That's why
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: this was listed as a true road game, now, Charles,
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: and why I didn't notice that it was a part
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: of a tournament. Now, Charleston Southern, they're often ugly loss
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: and they're used to the venue. So those are two
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: things that I think are kind of in favor of
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: Charleston's Southern here because they might want to bounce back
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: from that loss, and they already played in this venue.
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: Whereas linden Wood, I don't believe they did. Linden Wood
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: their last game was at Saint Louis and they did
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: get annihilated though. But linden Wood they're one and two.
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: But their two losses were absolutely expected. I mean, they
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: lost at Texas Tech. There was no way they were
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: gonna win that game, and then at Saint Louis, even
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: though Saint Louis a little bit down. I don't know,
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: does Saint Louis still have cream Abdul Jabbar there now,
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: the guy who transferred over from Indiana State of Vila
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: or is he graduated now? I don't even know, because
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: he was at Saint Louis and they didn't do particularly
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: well with him, but he is good. I don't know
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: if they still have him or not. Still, Saint Louis
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: is way better than linden would, so linden Wood might
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: be in a little bit of a bounce back spot
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: as well, but they are. They actually flip from a
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: four point dog to a three and a half point
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: favorite here, which doesn't make any sense. Maybe there were
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: never actually a four point dog here. I think linden
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: Wood is the better team here at this point, but
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man. I mean, Charleston's Southern already adjusted
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: to the venue. In my opinion, I know it seems
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: like you might want to take the points with them
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: in this game, but I mean, there's no way I'm
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: gonna do anything with that. Oh, thank you, Sorry, Yes,
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: we cashed on all of the college basketball. Yes, the
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: Leafs blew two not thing and three to two leads.
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: They covered the plus one in that buck line in overtime,
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: but they lost. What happened with the Pacers, I have
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: absolutely no idea. The Pacers are not really a team
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: that I'm paying much attention to. Though you're gonna hate
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: my NBA place today. But yeah, although I don't think
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: one of them is on the Pacers. Duke number four
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: in the country, which I think they're probably about appropriately ranked.
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: They're hosting Indiana State. Not a whole lot to say
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: about this. Duke's obviously gonna be a giant favorite here,
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: although Duke plays slow, so I never really want to
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: late points with Duke. Duke on veterans. They just went
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: to West Point and embarrassed army. Last time the Army
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: was that embarrassed was probably the Vietnam War. Baby Duke. Yeah,
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to tell you about that. I mean, yeah,
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: Duke went in and absolutely destroyed them. But that was
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: kind of an interesting game because it was this big
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: veteran say thing. Duke might be feeling pretty satisfied about that.
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: Now they get to play this weak Indiana State team,
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: and Duke does have to play Kansas in four days,
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: which is gonna be a bigger game. So I would
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: probably take the points with Indiana State if I was
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: going to do this. Plus, Duke does play really slow,
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: so you don't really want to lay massive amounts of
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: points with them typically, even though this is against a
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: pretty weak team Indiana State to just pull off an
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: upset over SIU Edwardsville on the road in at Battle
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: of Indiana Schools in I think SIU Edwardsville that game
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: just meant more to them though, because the think they're
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: They're considered to be a littler brother in that state,
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: even though they were actually the favorite in that game
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: because they were at home, so could debatably be a
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: bounce back spot there for Indiana State if they consider
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: themselves to be the bigger brother. Money came in on Duke,
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: driving them up from thirty two and a half to
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: thirty seven, with Jukes sixty percent of tickets ninety five
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: percent of the casual on Duke. I mean, the line
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: at this point is really really high. And again Duke,
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: they play slow, so they do play low scoring games.
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: Though this total is in the one sixties, which is
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: not low. But we'll see what happens. I would look
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: towards fading Duke, though Duke is not as slow as
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: they were last year. It looks like, at least according
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: to kempom right now, but they're still in the bottom
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: like third of tempo's Uh you're e thither you're gonna
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: like uh yeah, like you like painful plays. Uh. Speaking
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: of bad teams, Eastern Illinois playing Kentucky, I mean this
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: is probably even worse. I mean Kentucky. Kentucky is well,
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: it's interesting because this is actually a sandwich spot for Kentucky.
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: Eastern Illinois is worse than Indiana State, is what I
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: meant to say. Uh, Kentucky. They're coming off a big
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: game against Louisville, man, I mean, that's always that's a
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: rivalry game. Louisville is on the upswing. Louisville was able
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: to beat them. I forget what changes Louisville has made
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: this year, but they're looking like they're a pretty dangerous
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: team right now. Kentucky also is, but Kentucky still looks
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: like they're gonna be like lacking a bit defensively. That
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: was their first test they lost. Now they get a
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: home game against a cupcake, and up next they got
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: to play Michigan State in four days. So this is
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot. This is one where I just I
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: just don't think I could do it. Man. With Eastern
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: Illinois playing a second straight road game, they just have
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: to go to Notre Dame South Bend. I know it's
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: probably not that big of a travel leg to go
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: from Southern Indiana down to Kentucky, but still to Lexington. Lexington, Kentucky,
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: I believe to be with Dave Portnoy, Kentucky has gone
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: up to a thirty seven point favor here from thirty
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: four and a half. Money appears to be on Kentucky
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: fifty ticket seventy two percent of the cash coming in
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: out Kentucky, so money is coming in on Kentucky. The
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: other thing about Kentucky is they play pretty fast sixty
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: eighth and tempo, and Kembom actually has them as the
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: ninth best defense right now in defensive efficiency. East Eastern
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: Illinois is like one of the absolute like they're a
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: bottom dweller. I mean they're actually at three in to
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: thirteenth now in the country, but they have a bottom
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: like fifteen offense in the entire country, which is really bad,
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: and they play really slow. So I just can't get
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: there at this one, man. I mean, Kentucky, they're gonna
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: try to speed it up, and if they do that,
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: they might even they might actually be able to blow
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: out Eastern Illinois by that margin. I wouldn't. I mean,
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: I would still probably take the points with Eastern Illinois
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play it, because it's a bad
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: spot for Kentucky. But that pacing this match is really
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: really significant in that one, like just a huge, huge
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: tempo descrapancy between those two teams. All right, the nets
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: are they are they a play Dayron Sharp? I don't
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: even know who that guy is. Is he good? I
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: don't know his name's not good? The nets O, man,
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: that that would be. That would be about as ugly
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: as possible. Norfolk State is playing toousand Norfolk State in
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: this game. They just came off playing really close against
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: both William and Mary and Old Dominion Norfolk State. I
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: mean those are two in state games against yeah, two
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: Virginia teams, and I think Hampton is also in Virginia
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: who they're playing next, So this is like kind of
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: a Virginia sandwich here or whatever sandwiches they eat in Virginia.
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: Then I'll have to go up to Maryland. This is
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: gonna be Norfolk State's first time playing outside of the
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: state of Virginia. They just played a bigger brother in
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: Virginia in Old Dominion. As eight and a half point underdogs,
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: Norfolk State basically took them almost to the limit. Norfolk
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: State was winning early in the game. The game was
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: actually tied with two minutes left in the game, so
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: I think Norfolk State will be hungover coming into this game.
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: I do like towsand in this one. Tousand did face Houston,
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: so they're somewhat battle tested just from that, and they
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: didn't play horribly in the game, although Houston may have
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: just kind of taken them really lightly. I like Towsand
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: here though. If I was gonna play this one, thousand
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: bounced back with an easy win last time out over
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: a Division two team or whatever. This one was close
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: to being a play for me, actually, but you have
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: to lay a bunch of points. The money is agreeing
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: with me, though thousand's up from ten and a half
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: to eleven and a half. Here it looks like the
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: money is on their side, even though I don't see
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: the percentages yet. I do like towsand in that game,
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: it's that one's close. Man, I gotta say, like, that's
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: one of the ones that's just missing my card right now.
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: I don't want to add. I mean, I keep getting
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: caught by adding more plays than what I already had
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: in I won't do it, but I would lay it
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: with towsand if I was gonna do that. Charleston at
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: South Carolina State. Charleston hasn't played for a while, but
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: they did just play in this tournament or whatever it was,
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: which is I believe hosted by Liberty. Charleston did badly
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: in the tournament. They lost to Liberty and FAU. Now
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: they're back at home, which I believe this is gonna
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: be their first Division One game at home. Then they
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: got to play Drake after this. Maybe a look ahead
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: all though Drake is another different team this year. It's
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: possible Charleston's southern overlooks South Carolina State, though on South
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: Carolina State is a team that considers themselves to be
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: one of the little brothers in the state of South Carolina.
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: But the one thing that's a positive for Charleston is
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: they've had a bunch of days off. They haven't played
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: since Saturday when they've finished up in that tournament there,
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: so sometimes having that extra time off will help you
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: break that losing momentum. So I can't quite get there
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: with this one, although I would slightly probably lean to
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: taking the points of South Carolina State. South Carolina State,
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: they've played every game on the road so far. I
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: know it's it does fatigue you when you're on the
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: road for that long though, so that's a little bit
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: of a concern, although it does mean they're at least
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: kind of battle testing because they keep playing all these
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: road games, so they're at least not really going to
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: be intimidated playing another road game. Here. Charleston is up
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: from fifteen to a sixteen and a half point favorite,
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: seventy five percent of the tickets eighty four percent of
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: the cash on the South Carolina State side, so the
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: money is kind of indicating on the South Carolina State side.
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: Lay the points on the road with the Clippers own
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: six last six. They also are winless on the road. Yeah, no,
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: thank you, There's no way I'm gonna be doing that.
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: Minnesota tea will should be minus twenty against anyone at
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: the NBA Cup. Yeah, you're really You're really gonna love
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: what I have to say about that game all the
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: NBA Cup, Dude, it's gonna blind both teams, Like neither
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: team wants to look at these courts. These NBA Cup
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: courts are terrible. A Fordham at Iona, this is a
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: New York battle. Here is I own? I think is
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: more in upstate New York If I'm not mistaken, there's
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: somewhere north of New York City. Fordham is in the
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: Bronx IONNA has won both games so far, though beating
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: Kansas City on the road maybe not a huge deal
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: that they didn't have to travel to can City now
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: they're coming back home. Not the greatest travels fut and
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: they do play Princeton next. So is it possible that
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: IONA overlooks Fordham even though this is a New York
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: battle and Fordham is in a better conference in the
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: A ten. Iona is in the matt Act. But IONA
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: makes the tournament way more often than Fordham does. So
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: which which one of these teams is considered to be
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: the little Brother I don't know, So that's I'm trying
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: to gauge, like, which of these teams will have more
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: motivation here. I think it's gonna be Fordham because Fordham
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: they just almost got caught by Wagner. Fordham at home
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: twelve and a half point favorites came fairly close to
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: losing this game. It was an ugly low scoring game.
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: Wagner was winning the game for basically the entire first half.
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: Fordham was able to overcome it close to the rest
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: of the way. Basically Fordham was able to escape with
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: a win there, So sometimes that will focus. Although now
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: this is Fordham's first true road game, although it's only
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: going to Iona where I think they're fairly comfortable with
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: playing in Iona. Like, I don't think that's a weird
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: travel spot for them. Obviously they're staying in New York
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: and whatever, so I think it's something that they are
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: at least youst I would probably lean towards four them
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: in this game. Iona's Actually maybe Fordham actually does consider
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: themselves to be the little Brother because Iona is the favorite.
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: They're now from seven to five and a half. Of course,
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: Iona did have Rick Patino was their coach there. Hey
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: guess what I get a change?
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: Yeah? Inside I want to kill myself.
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Rick Patino was their coach for a little while there.
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: Eighty eight percent of the tickets on Iona, but fifty
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash coming in on ford Him
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: and Iona did drop off of that key number of
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: seven down to five and a half. If you want that,
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with Fordham. That would be
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: one of my better leans. I guess in that one. No, no,
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: Iona is never going to be ranked, not even close.
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: Am I on the Kings today? I don't know. I
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: was gonna break out my sabonas Jersey, but I didn't
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: do it. Furman and Northern Iowa, This game is actually
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: more interesting. A lot of these games are on ESPN Plus.
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: By the way, I like this matchup. I think both
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: of these teams are pretty interesting teams. Northern Iowa did
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: just fair like they kind of escaped against South Dakota
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: State or the South Dakota State. Still a team that
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: I think you do kind of get up for because
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: they're one of the better Summit teams. Northern Iowa. I
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: think just continuing to play at home or was this
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: game at Sue Falls let me see, No, this isn't
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: home for Northern Iowa, so they're just staying at home.
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: It's a weird travel spot for Furman, and maybe Furman's
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: a little bit down this year. One of their losses
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: was to high Point, and high Point looks like they're
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: pretty good again this year, at least offensively. They certainly are.
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: Inexplicably for Furman did lose for me on the show
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: against Troy and their next game of the Troy isn't
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: a bad team. I mean, I think they won the
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: Sun Belt last year and they're still in the mix
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: in the sun Belt this year. Furman did get their
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: first win to break that losing momentum. When you get
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: that first win, even though it was against a non
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: D one team, you do get that monkey off your back.
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: But now they have to travel to Iowa and Furhman,
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: I believe is in South Carolina if I'm not mistaken.
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: Now they got to go to Iowa, which is a
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: pretty unfamiliar travel spot. I think in Venue. So I
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: do kind of like Northern Iowa and that one of
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: the money is kind of disagreeing with that Furman, sixty
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: seven percent of tickets eighty one percent of the cash
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: on them in Northern Iowa down from ten to nine.
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: I the money seems to disagree with Northern Iowa on
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: that one, But that's just my read on a JC.
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: What's up? Thanks for hanging out. Next up is gonna
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: be one of my plays. So this is the BET's
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: Best Bets segment. Hopefully we're running through these games. Man,
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: I got four college basketball plays today, this first one up.
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: This line is already moving, man, So the money is
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: agreeing with me. Try to get the best. Remember that
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: you count on this. But for me, let me let
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: me just make sure what number I got on this.
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: But this is going to be a play on Hofstra,
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: and the money is already moving towards Hofstra. I found
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: them at minus one and a half. I think it's
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: two two and a half. Now, I mean if it's
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: I think if it's below. Like I'm actually breaking my
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: own rule here because usually I say when it's minus one,
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: minus one and a half or minus two in college basketball,
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: you actually want to lay the money line. So if
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: you want to do that, you could do it. It was
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: it was around minus one thirty though, so I found
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: a minus one and a half at like plus one
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: hundred even money, So I was like, you gotta do
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: it that way if it's that cheap. If it's minus
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: one and a half minus one ten, that's a different story.
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: But at plus one hundred, that actually, I think kind
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: of shifts the value to laying the minus one and
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: a half. But whatever you want to do with this one,
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: I like hofstraight here money line, it makes sense here
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: minus one and a half minus two. I'm not going
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: to knock you for that. If you look at this
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: game on the surface, it's like, well, why would you
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: want to do that? Because Hofstra's on the road, They're
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: only one and two, they haven't won a game on
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: the road yet. Buck Nell is undefeated at home at
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: one and oh and they're two and one overall. So
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: it's like, it looks so easy to take the points
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: with buck Nell, Like, why would Bucknell be an underdog here? Well,
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: the osmakers are telling you that Hofstra is the better team,
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: such that they're actually favored on the road. They're already
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: up to two and a half. It looks like it's
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: headed towards three. I mean again, I dude, I apologize,
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: but these these lines just move so quickly, like this
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: line is legitimately one one and a half, like when
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: I handicap this game like about an hour ago. I mean,
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: it's just crazy how quickly you got to get out
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: to these numbers, Like I'm trying to get get out
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: of the information in the morning, and it's just insane. Now,
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: Hofstra is definitely the better team the Patriot League, where
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: buck Nell is has been awful recently, and we see
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: a lot of indicators that make me want to look
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: against buck Nell. They're only two hundred and fifty eight
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: than ken Bomb's rankings. They're a little bit better defensively
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: at one eighty seven. They can't score well. They're a
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: slow paced team, which I believe Hostra also is, so
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: that I don't think the pacing is really gonna be
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: a problem in this game. I think both teams like
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: to play pretty slow, although Bucknell plays even slower. Bucknell
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: eighty first and Kembum's luck index, and they have not
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: faced a difficult schedule at two hundred thirty fifth and
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: strength to schedule, so that means Bucknell is overperforming at
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: eighty first. In lock they haven't faced a difficult schedule yet.
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: Hostra is up at one to fifty to fifth in
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: kem Bum's right, because I know they've been a team
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: that kind of tends to underperform though, but he has
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: them two hundred and thirty fourth in lock so he
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: has them unlucky so far this year, in ninety seventh
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: in strength to schedule, so their top one hundred straight
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: the schedule. They're one hundred and twenty second in deep
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: bens and they do play slow two hundred and eighty
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: first and tempo, so two slow paced teams, so it's
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: not gonna throw either team like out of their element.
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: So yeah, you know, the home team usually controls the tempo,
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: but that's fine because Hostra wants to play slow as well.
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: Hostra has the better deep vents here and I think
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: the better offense. Howstros is better overall, although both teams
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: I think are more defense oriented. Like I said, yeah,
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: Hofstra I think is just better in both departments. It's
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: almost like they're they're just a similar style of team.
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: It's just that Hostra is better at it and Hofstro
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: has faced some more difficult schedules, so that's why their
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: record looks like looks like it does. They lost by
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: four at UCF in their opener, eight and a half
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: point underdogs in this game. Hofstra played pretty well in
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: this game and at a big twelve team in Florida.
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: That's that is not a bad loss at all, taking
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: UCF almost to the wy there. And then they played
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: our friends at IONA in their last game in a
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: New York battle there in Iona did get the best
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: of them. Even though Hofstro is actually the favorite on
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: the road. So the osmanger's told you Hostro is actually
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: the better team in this game. If you look at
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: what happened in this game, Hostra did out rebound Iona,
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: but they didn't shoot well. I mean really the discrepancy
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: here or the outlier, I should say it was the
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: twenty eight percent three point percentage from Hofstra in the game.
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: Kind of an outlier there. Kind of expect Hoffser to
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: shoot a bit better from three in their next game. Meanwhile,
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: buck Nell buck Nell's faced the easier schedule, man, I
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: mean they beat Delaware at home. Delaware looks like they're
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: a bit down this year. I mean, they made kind
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: of a surprise run last year, and I don't think
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: I don't think they were really as good as they
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: looked last year. And then Bucknell did beat Mount Saint
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: Mary's on the road. Mount Saint Mary's is in the
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: matt Act now and they're not very good in the ECH.
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: And they were actually a favorite in that game against Bucknell,
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: although not by home court, not by the home court advantage,
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: so Bucknell was considered to be the better team in
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: both of those both those games, I believe Bucknell was
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: the home favorite against Delaware, although close. Buck Nell also
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: just went out to Princeton, and I think that was
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: a big game. I mean, Princeton these teams that are
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: kind of in the upper half of the IVY. You
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: usually get up for games like that, and Bucknell, you know,
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: they're in Pennsylvania, Princeton's in New Jersey. Maybe it's kind
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: of a thing like buck Now, I think they got
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: up for this game. Princeton was a favorite, and they
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: did wind up still covering the number, but even so,
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, but it was a difficult game I think
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: for buck Now. I think they got up like emotionally
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: for that game. Now they got to come back home
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: play Hofstra, and coming up next they gotta play Pitt
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: and then they got to play Saint John's Man, so.
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: You know, yeah, inside I want to kill myself.
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: Yeah, So they have bigger games coming up next Man
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: and Pitt is actually a big game for Buck now because,
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: like I said, Buck Noll is in the state of Pennsylvania,
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: So Pitt is one of the biggest games of the year.
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: That's a big brother, little brother situation. They get to
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: play an acc Pennsylvania team. I think they might look
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: ahead here too, So again, I think you have at
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: least a look ahead spot, if not a sandwich spot here,
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: you're getting basically a pick the winner price with Hofstra
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: and Hofstra is the better of the two teams. Again,
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: they're a bit more battle tested right now. And yeah,
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: I mean that's basically what I have to say about it.
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: The records are just misleading early on, So I like Hofstra.
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: That's gonna be the first play there. Hofstra at minus
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: two and a half, that's dude, they're screwing you. Lay
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: the money line like they're screwing you at minus two
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: and a half. At minus one twenty, it's just or
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: just get a get a different book. Besides FanDuel Fandel
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: sucks dude. Again, this is why I say, make make
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: an account at literally every book that's available, including offshore books,
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: which I don't know if I'm allowed to say on here,
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: but offshore you can definitely get some better numbers. It's
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: some of those books over there, all right, Yeah, I
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: mean I'm gonna skip some of these other games here
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: high Point and UAB this game, I did have an
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: opinion on UAB. They're coming off losing at home to
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: Alabama State. I mean, this is that's a bad loss
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: for UAB man, no doubt about it. U A B
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: is nine a point favorites in this game. And you
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: know what I always say, when a team loses a
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: giant favorite like this, something went wrong in that game,
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: you know they're gonna be angry and like start working
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: on fixing some things. After that. Ua B was winning
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: basically this entire game and then somehow lost the game.
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: They just didn't really well. Actually Alabama Alabama State was
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: winning the first half, my mistake, even though uab's win
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: probability was still well above fifty percent because they're that
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: much better. UAB took the lead and it looked like
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: at that point you probably think, Okay, they're gonna finally
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: just put this game away. No, they basically stalled out
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: in Alabama State wound up winning the game. Some outliers
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: here where UAB did win the rebounding battles, so they
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: were the better team on the boards. UAB. The outlier
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: here is they shot ten percent from three point range
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: and they lost the turnover battle at home, which usually
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: does not happen. So I expect some progression for UAB
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: back to some sort of mean and they're gonna play
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: better than that. I think they're gonna get up for
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: this game because High Point made the tournament last year.
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: Everybody kind of knows high Point at this point. They're
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: a good offensive team. They're undefeated. High Points just kind
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: of rolling right now. This is gonna be their first
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: true road game having to go to UAB. I like
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: UAB in this game. You're getting them as an underdog.
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: High Point is the better team. High Point down from
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: three to two and a half here. Seventy one percent tickets,
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: seventy five percent of the cash coming in on UAB,
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: so the money sort of indicating on taking the points
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: with UAB. I would like this better if UAB was
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: a slow tempo team, because High Point likes to play fast,
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: but UAB actually plays even faster. Right now, UAB thirtieth
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: in the country, so I think this is gonna be
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: a chaotic game, and you can see the total all
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: the way up to one sixty nine. I wouldn't really
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: disagree with an over in this game either, because I
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna get You get two teams that are
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: much better offensively than defensively, and they both like to
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: play fast, so over makes sense in this game as well.
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: But and you do tend to you want to go
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: over high totals, usually because the oddsmakers are putting it
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: out that high for a reason, although you've lost some
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: value on that one now, and sometimes I think the
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: public gets scared away from playing overs when they're that high,
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: when the totals are that high. But yes, I do
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: like UAB to bounce back in that game too. That
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: one hasn't made my card, but I like it. I mean,
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: we got some games. I don't want to go into
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: great detail with some of these games. Ole Miss in
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: USC are both playing cupcakes. Ole Miss against cal State Bakersfield,
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: USC and home against Illinois State. They're both gonna be
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: huge favorites. I got really nothing to say about that
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: New Orleans at Tulane in this Battle of Louisiana. Tulane
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: just won a Louisiana battle against Louisiana formerly Louisiana La Fey.
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: Yet Tulayan is a favorite on the road in that
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: game and they only won by four, so you could
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: argue that Tulane got a little bit of a scare
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: there and might bounce back and played better in the
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: next game. They did shoot pretty poorly from three point
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: range in the game twenty one point four percent and
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: lost the turnover battle. They dove Utah stayed up next
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: to those they might consider that to be a big game.
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: And you know, New Orleans here is going to consider
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: themselves to be the little brother to Tulane in the
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: state of Louisiana. Here, New Orleans did just play at LSU,
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: so this is actually gonna be the weakest opponent they
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: faced so far because they played TCU and LSU, and
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: now they get reprieved by playing Tulane here. So I
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: think it's actually a positive for both teams here. So
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: I can't quite do it. I mean, I'll slightly lean
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: to taking the points with New Orleans Tulane's seventy eight
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets eighty seven percent of the cash. They
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: did drop from thirteen to eleven and a half here.
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: I think New Orleans just because they have been battle tested,
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: you know this is they're not really going to be
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: intimidated at this point, and they are still the little brother.
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: Tulane does kind of have bigger things on the horizon potentially,
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: so I still would take the points there, But that's
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: not one that's made my card either. Zach, what's up man?
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. Yeah, Duel is still making me angry.
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: By the way, whenever Jeffrey talks about Fan Duel's lines,
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: I start getting really really angry at how much they
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: screw the customer. Although I do have an account of
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: Van Duel obviously myself. I mean, you got to you
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: got to have accounts everywhere. Man, Sometimes they are they
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: are going to be the choice and have the best
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: number on some particular play that you want to make.
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: On Milwaukee is at Texas Tech. I mean the only
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: thing I could say. Texas Tech obviously is a huge
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: favorite here, but they are coming off their first loss
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: and it was a big game at Illinois, and they
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: played tough in the game. Sometimes when you're not only
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: when you're coming off a tough game like that against
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: a good team, but facing the fact that you took
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: your first loss of the season, sometimes that will hang
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: you over into the next team. And they got to
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: face wake Forest next, which I don't know how much
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: attention Wake Forest really will draw from you. But they
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: are still an acc team, so I could see Texas
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: Tech being a little bit deflated here against Milwaukee. Milwaukee
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: just at least got battle tested by going to play
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: at Indiana and they got blown out by thirty one points.
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: They're rowing two on the road now on Milwaukee. They
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: did lose at Wawford as well, but they're not They're
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: at least not gonna be intimidated by playing on the
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: road against a big opponent Texas Tech. Again, the game's
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: surrounded by bigger teams. They could just be of the
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: mindset that we got to just get in and get
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: out of this game. Texas Tech plays a slower tempo
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: as well, so it's easier to fade it, or it's
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: a better prospect to fade a team when they're laying
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: a ton of points when they play slow. Texas Tech
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: up from twenty five and a half to twenty seven
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: and a half. Seventy one percent of tickets eighty seven
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in on the Milwaukee side.
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: So I would agree with the money on that when
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: it takes the Milwaukee side plus the points if you
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: actually want to do it. Samford is at Arkansas Arkansas.
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna throw Rick Patino in there again. Although
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: Arkansas I believe they beat Rick Patino last year in
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: the tournament. I believe Arkansas had a nice bounce back
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: from that tough game at Michigan's. They bounced back and
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: they crushed little brothers Central Arkansas. Though Central Arkansas sucks.
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: Now they got to face Samford, who is at least
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: better than Central Arkansas. But Arkansas did have a nice
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: bounce back win there. Sanford's off to a fine start,
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: but they haven't beaten anybody good yet, and their best
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: opponent was Toulayane and they lost that game. Sanford has
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: been pretty good over the last few years, but maybe
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: taking a little bit of a step down again. I
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: don't really see an angle in this one. Really. I
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: don't want to do anything with this game. Arkansas big
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: favorite up from twenty five to twenty six. Not a
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: whole lot going on with that, And then Creighton is
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: a huge favorite against Maryland Eastern Shore. But at least
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: with Creighton, you could argue they're in kind of a
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: bad spot because they did have to go out to Spokane, Washington,
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: a big game that they got up for against Gonzaga,
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: and as I predicted, I said, lay the points of
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: Gonzaga on that one, if you want to play it.
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: Gonzaga ran away with that game and just basically embarrassed
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: them in the end of it. Goodzaga likes to play
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: fast as well, I think, and plays a bit slower
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: than that, if I'm not mistaken. Yeah, Creighton a two
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: hundred nineteenth in tempo. Now, so that was a pretty
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: bad match. Iup mean, kind of a weird travel spot.
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: Now they're coming back home. I could see them being
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: a little bit hung over them with traveling back across
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: time zones. Maybe Creighton won't take Maryland Eastern Shore seriously,
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: although we did see Maryland Eastern Shore push Georgia Tech
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: to the limit early on, and they actually played pretty
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: decently against Nebraska in their last game, losing by nineteen
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: on the road to Nebraska. That's not a horrible result.
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: Maryland Eastern Shore. What you can say about them is
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: their battle test. I mean, they've faced Georgia Tech Georgia
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: in Nebraska on the road of They were terrible against
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: Georgia and that was one of our winners on the show,
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: laying the huge price with Georgia in that game. I
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: just thought it was a spot where Maryland Eastern Shore
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: is going to be completely hungover. They're still not good.
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: You could argue this is a bad spot for both teams.
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: After Maryland Eastern Shore did play pretty competitively against Nebraska,
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: Creighton's up to a thirty three point favor from thirty
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: and a half. Not touching this game, just pointing some
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: things out here. So of course the college basketball board
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: takes forever to get through man, and I still have
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: three plays to go. That was somewhere in here. You
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: never know when they're gonna come up. When I do
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: college basketball. East Texas A and M and Rice is
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: interesting just because Rice is I guess better than we
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: thought they were older. They came back home from that
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: big game against Oregon and they did lose because they
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: played Oregon so close. Going out to the Pacific Coast.
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: I think it was a bad spot coming back home.
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: They lost to Stephen F. Austin. Rice was a small favorite.
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: There're Stephen F. Austin, decent program there, and they're actually
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: looking pretty good this year. Rice now stepping down in
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: class to face East Texas A and M potentially in
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: a bounce back spot, even though they do have Tennessee next.
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: Kind of expect Rice to show up for this one.
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: East Texas A and M coming back from playing in Hawaii,
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, not a great travel spot here for East
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: Texas A, and they've only had three days off as well,
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: so I would probably lay the points with Rice. The
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: lines down for twelve and a half to ten here.
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: Rice seems like kind of a surprise team right now.
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: That's maybe better right now than we thought that they
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: were going to be because I'm just used to them
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: being like just non existent almost and now they actually
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: looked not bad. Although East Texas A and M I
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: consider themselves to be a little brother to Rice in
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: the state of Texas too, So you know, do with
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: that information what you will. UCF at Texas A and
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: M is a game between two Big conference teams Big
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: twelve and SEC Texas A and M looking like they're
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: not as good this year. I think they're gonna be
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: a bad offense as usual, but they look like they're
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: taking a step down this year. They did just lose
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: ugly on the road at Oklahoma State, who was not
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: very good. Texas A and M was a favorite there
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: and they lost the game. It was their first road game.
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: I did I think I did say I lean to
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma State in that one. Now Texas A and M
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: is coming back home kind of in a bouncepot. I
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: would say for UCF, I mean, they're one big game.
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: They lost at home to VANDAM and that's not a
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: great sign. Now they're gonna go on the road for
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: the first time this season, first true road game, usually difficult.
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: Lean to Texas A and M for me in this one. Oh,
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: let's manage my ad ons. Yeah, Texas A and M
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: up from nine to ten. You're fifty six percent of tickets,
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: eighty seven percent of the cash coming in on Central
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: Florida those so the money is coming in on UCF.
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: I don't agree with that. I would lay the points
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: with A and M in this one. But there's such
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: a horrific offense that laying points at Texas, A and
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: M is not fun. Let's just put it that way.
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: Not something that's gonna make my card at all. Xavier
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: and Iowa looks interesting because Xavier seems to now be
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: getting disrespect in the market as and maybe rightfully so,
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: because they lost. Of course, their coach from last year,
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: Sean Miller, went to Texas brought some of his guys
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: from Xavier with them. Xavier struggled in their first two
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: games against Maris and Lemoine, who is really bad. Maris
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: isn't that bad in the matt Act right now, but Xavier,
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, they did not look good in those two games.
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: Then they lost by a nineteen at home to Santa Clara.
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: That's not really a good sign. It looks like Xavier
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: is a down team this year. Now they're going on
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: the road to Iowa, first true road game, going to
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: a place where they're not used to playing, and they're
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: going to this Iowa team that's now Ben McCollum and
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: Iowa off to a two and zero star. But they
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: haven't beaten anybody like remotely good really so far. Though
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: I know Robert Morris won the Horizon last year, don't
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: think they're that good. But Iowa, Yeah, I mean, I
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: was gonna be a pretty decent team here. I was
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: up from thirteen to fifteen and a half. I don't
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: really disagree with that move. Although the money's coming back
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: on Xavier fifty six percent tickets, seventy six percent of
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: the cash gonna get on Xavier. Xavier just looks like
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: they're not very good man, I mean, what else can
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: we say about it? Iowa might be improved again in
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: this McCollum regime. It's just that he plays so horrifically
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: slow that laying points double digit points isn't exactly something
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: I'm really I'm really wanting to do. I don't really
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: have a strong opinion on this game either. But total
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: is also way down from one to fifty and a
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: half to one forty one and a half. Money coming
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: in very strongly on the under here, which you gotta think, like,
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: it's not news that Iowa is a Ben McCollum team
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: and people know what he does, so I don't know,
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: huge adjustments in the total is still there. Northwestern at
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: de Paul. This is a Chicago battle here where I
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: think De Paul considers themselves to be the little brother.
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: Since Northwestern is in the Big Ten and they're an
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: upp rational on conference of the Big East, kind of
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: taking a step back, and de Paul's not very good
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: in the Big East. Northwestern nice role to start the season,
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: but I mean they haven't really played anybody good yet.
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be their first true road game, and
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: though I know they're still staying in the Chicago area,
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: but they did just put up one hundred and ten
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: points against Cleveland State, which was a loss for me.
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: On the show, I admitted I did not think Northwestern
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: was gonna explode offensively like that, but I think they're
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: gonna regress after that because they shot ridiculously in this game.
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: Look at Northwestern shooting percentages sixty point three percent from
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: the field and fifty two point four percent from three.
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: In addition, Cleveland State had seventeen turnovers to Northwestern seven
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: of the Northwestern did dominate the rebound battle, but still
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: ridiculous outlier for Northwestern shooting wise. And they got Virginia
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: up next, which is gonna be some tournament game or
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: something like that. They got Virginia, South Carolina, Oklahoma State, Wisconsin,
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: Ohio State, so they have all bigger opponents coming up
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: after De Paul. So, if it wasn't already obvious, I
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: do like DePaul in this one. De Paul's coming up
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: an ugly loss of when they were in eighteen and
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: a half point favored against Buffalo and they lost the
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: game outright, just a horrendous loss. And De Paul shot
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: horribly thirty three point three percent from the field. Thirty
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: six percent from three is fine, but Buffalo forty one
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: point two percent from three. Buffalo didn't shoot well either,
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: but they did shoot really well from three pretty much.
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: And De Paul was just awful from the field and
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: had twenty turnovers, which is not something you usually see
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: from a home team. So I think De Paul may
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: have been looking ahead to Northwestern because it's a big
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: game for them. I think they just got caught unfocused.
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, the turnovers and things you can definitely clean up.
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: The shooting was an outlier, and they did out rebound Buffalo.
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: I'm tempted to add this play, man, I really am,
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: just because those shooting outliers are almost putting this over
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: the top. For me. The money is agree. Northwestern is
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: down from six to five, fifty nine percent of tickets
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: on Northwestern ninety percent of the cash coming in on
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: to Paul. Let's do it. Let's add to Paul. I know,
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: like I said, these last minute plays that I'm adding
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: have not been very strong. But at least you know
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: that the other plays that are on my board, I
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: actually consider them sells to be stronger. And the strength
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: of my plays has been has been you know, we've
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: been gauging it correctly, at least as far as that's concerned.
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: To Paul is a five point underdog basically at all
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: these spots here, that's the best I see. Sprinkle a
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: little bit on the money line in this one too,
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: but yeah, we're gonna add to Paul here. Let's do it.
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: I have to put it all into the system. Man.
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: Hopefully the rest of these uh play, the rest of
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: these plays are not gonna take too long. We're going
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: with de Paul plus the five there. I like it.
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: Let's do it. Money agrees with me on that one,
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: all right. Michigan at TCU, I would look to fade
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: Michigan here. The rank sixth in the country. They're obviously
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: gonna be the favorite, but they're up from six to nine.
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: I mean, even the nine looks it almost looks too
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: easy to lay nine points with, Like you're not even
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: having to lay double digits with the number six team
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: in the country. Fifty five percent of tickets on Michigan,
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of the be in on TCU. I would
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: agree with fading Michigan here, but the problem is Michigan. Well, actually,
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: maybe I don't. I forgot about this. Michigan was a
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: fifteen and a half way favorite against wake Forest, and
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: wake Forest actually took them into overtime, so Michigan did
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: actually get a scare here, so maybe, actually, all right,
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: maybe I take that back. Michigan did shoot really poorly
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: from three point range sixteen percent, lost the turnover battle
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: that they won the remounting battle. They were better, like
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: they should have had a better result in this game.
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: It was just mistakes, bad three point shooting. Wake shot
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: really poorly from the field though, thirty four point five percent.
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: But actually, I think I take that back. Michigan could
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: be in a bounced back spot coming off such a
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: bad performance as a big favorite, although this is their
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: first road game, having to go to Texas to wherever
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: TCU was fort Worth. Maybe don't really love that spot.
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: TCUs is kind of on a roll staying at home,
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: so the travel spot is definitely better for TCU is
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: coming off a game where they didn't do particularly well
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: either against in state Little brother Lamar. TCU is an
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: eighteen and a half point favorite, and really they didn't
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: have a great result here. TCU was sloppy, they lost
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: the turnover battle. They shot well in the game, but
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: I think the turnover battle kind of made the game
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: look a little bit less good. The money is saying
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: TCU here, although I don't really want to fade Michigan
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: when they're off a game where they almost lost the
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: game like that, so as a big favorite. So both
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: teams are actually in positive spots there. That's on ESPN two.
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: We're in the nine pm slate. Next up, I am
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: gonna have a play. And this is this one is real,
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: real horrendous, man. I mean we're getting into the real
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: ugly stuff here. Now. This is you know what it is.
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take the fighting toothpaste Coldgate. I think they're
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: actually the Raiders plus twenty nine and a half here.
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: Oh boy, I know how ugly this looks. And I
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: know it's at Illinois. I know, like this m it's
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: gonna be difficult because, yeah, Illinois, it's a pacing mismatch.
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: I know, Illinois likes to play really fast. Colgate likes
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: to play really slow. But at the very least, a
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: slow paced team can kind of slow the game down
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: a little bit more easily than a fast paced team
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: can if they're you know, the worst team. Because to
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: slow it down, you just have to make sure you
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: don't turn the ball over, right, which I mean Illinois
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: is gonna, you know, try to uptempo when try to
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: turn the turn Colgate over for sure, but you hold
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: onto the ball, you know, you play get into some
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: half court rhythm. You could do that to some extent
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: at the very least, But you're getting a lot of
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: points here. And really this is all about the spot.
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: Like I just think Illinois might not have total focus
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: here and just might kind of want to just get
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: in and get out and maybe not even want to
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: push themselves. So that's the thing. A fast paced team,
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: when they're in a spot like this where they can
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: win easily, they don't necessarily even have to push the
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: tempo as extremely as they might otherwise. So that's the thing.
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: Man and Texas Tech was able to slow them down
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: a little bit in that game with though we got
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: a winner or a push on Illinois in that game
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: against Texas Tech, depending on which number you got. Illinois
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: huge win over Texas Tech timean that was in I
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: think a national TV game, big game between two teams
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: that were ranked. Huge win. Now they get Colegate, Like,
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: are they really gonna be excited about Colegate? When up
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: next they got some tournament game against Alabama, who's ranked
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: eighth in the country. That's gonna be a huge game.
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: That's gonna be a game with a lot of up
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: tempo basketball. Man, So if you like points, that's gonna
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: be a high total Illinois and Alabama. That might be
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: a game where you still want to go over even
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: if with the total being really really high. That's gonna
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: be crazy. Two up tempo teams there. Yeah, but it's
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot, man, between two highly ranked teams. Illinois
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: coming off basically I think their early season kind of
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: legitimizing win. I would call it that, Like when you
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: get that win over a team that's considered to be
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: legit and then you'll really legitimize yourselves like Illinois just did. There,
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: you're gonna be in a bit of a letdown spot
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: coming off to that. Colgate. I know they're off to
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: a bad start. They're one and two, but they played
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: pretty decently against Michigan State on the road. So by
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: the way, they did already play a Big ten team
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: on the road, so they already at least have experience
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: with that, so this will not be their first road game,
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: even though Michigan State plays slow. But I like that
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: the fact that Colgate wasn't really intimidated. They played decently,
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: they covered. They only lost by eleven against Michigan State.
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: That's not bad. They came back from that. They had
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: a bad game at home against Northeastern, but you can
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: kind of explain that because Colgate was coming up that
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: big game against Michigan State. So I think they just
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: they just didn't play well as a favorite against Northeastern,
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: and they bounced back against Drexel. So I think that's
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: good as well because now Colgate they got their first
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: win of the season. It was against a Drexel team.
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: It's not that good, so they're not gonna be overconfident.
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: But now they finally got their first win of the season.
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: So now that monkey is off their back. We're no
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: longer winless. We can just relax play this game. So
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: I do like it better for Colgate. We're gonna take
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: the points here with this one. You can get thirty.
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: Now it looks like it's going up even higher, so
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: take whatever the best number is. Man Illinois up from
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: twenty nine to thirty whatever total you know, is a
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: bit high though, in the one sixty four range here,
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: where it's because the Illinois plays really fast, so I'm
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: worried about that. It does kind of indicate that Illinois
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: will control the tempo a bit here. But still, I mean,
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: if Colgate's able to kind of keep this game like
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: in the eighties, ish, I think they'll be able to
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: get this done like because then you're just asking them
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: to get into the fifties basically, which I think they
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: have the ability to do here. So we'll go with Colgate.
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: And Colgate is still at least one of the better
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: Patriot teams, even though of course they're not good. But
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: they're one eighty in kem Bum's ranking, so they're not
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: putrid at the the very least. So we'll see. Their
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: defense is not very good, so but they can score. Okay, Yeah,
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: there's no money line on Colgate, which is interesting. It's
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: kind of an indicator that the books actually don't want
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: you to play the money line on Colgate. I guess,
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: because you could, like, I don't understand why they wouldn't
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: put the money line up on the favorite there, you
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. But it seems like if they
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: hold the money line off the board, it seems like
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: the reason they would do that is because they don't
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: want you to put money on the underdog. But I
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: don't know, Maybe I'm wrong about that. I don't know.
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: I haven't really seen that before. There's no money line
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: on it, so yeah, I mean, just I guess, just
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: play the whole bet on the spread in that one.
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: Normally I would say, put like ninety seven ninety eight
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: percent of the bet on the money line anyway, or
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: ninety nine percent or excuse me, no, that would be crazy,
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: nine to nine percent of the bet on the spread,
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: excuse me, not on the money line on that game.
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: On the money line, I would say, maybe like somewhere
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: between one and three percent on the money line on
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: that game would make sense. But in this case, of course,
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: you can't even play the money line right now, Yes, sir,
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: I'm not as Sagittarius though. All right, North Carolina ranked
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: eighteenth of the country. They're definitely on the upswing, although
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: I think they're probably overrated at eighteenth ken bummesim at
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: twenty seventh, but still not bad like North Carolina, probably
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: on their way to return it to the tournament this year.
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: NC Central though, is an in state little brother in
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: the state of North Carolina, so you know they're gonna
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: at least get up for this game. And they have
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: played NC State and Virginia on the road already, so
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: they are already road battle tested, so they're not really
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: gonna be intimidated by this. Going into this game. North
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: Carolina undefeated, they're one big wins against Kansas. They don't
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: really have anything upcoming yet though, so it's not really
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: a spot where I'm looking to really fade North Carolina.
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: They're thirty five and a half point favorite. Probably the
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: line's a little bit too high on North Carolina. I
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: would probably take the points, but there's not really anything
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: I see there that really makes me want to do
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: anything with that game. The next game, I am going
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: to actually make a play, and it's going to be
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: a play on a team that I hate. Right now,
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: they're on my bad side, so here's the chance to
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: get back on their good get back on my good side.
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: So you know, they're actually gonna screw me again here
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: because they screwed me when I went against them. Now
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: they're gonna screw me when I'm on and we're gonna
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: take the points with cal Paly plus the five and
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: a half. Even though I actually kind of hate this
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: team because they're one of these teams that just plays
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: in extreme fast tempo, like third in the country or something.
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: I never like teams like that. Basically, they like a
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: team like that usually doesn't play defense, but I'm gonna
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: do it in this spot. Cal Poly second tembo in
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: the nation only to Iupuy. I hate these teams, dude.
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: Cal Pauly is actually a little bit better defensively than offensively,
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: believe it or. Not not good either way though, which
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: is ridiculous. But they're not playing a really great team here. Yes,
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: I know cal Pauly is up there in the Luck
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: Index thirty three, but they face the difficult schedule twenty
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: fourth in the country, difficult most difficult schedule, so that's
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: at least something they're playing Montana. Here, Montana's high and
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: the luck index as well forty third, so both teams
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: are considered to be lucky, so that's kind of it.
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: That kind of negates that Montana's faces a difficult schedule
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: as well seventy first. But cal Paly has faced some
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: more difficult schedule and Montana is actually better offensively than
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: defensively as well. But or actually see, cal Paly is
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: better defensively than offensively, Montana is the opposite, so you're
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: actually getting the better defense getting points here is what
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: I was gonna say, as ridiculous as that sounds, because
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: cal Paly speeds the game game up so much. They're
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: two hundredth right now according to ken Bom in defense,
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: and Montana is two hundred and forty six. And Montana
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: actually plays fast to at ninety ninth to tempo, so
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: Montana is not a team that's really gonna try to
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: slow down cal Poly, so they're gonna be playing at
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: at a pace that cal Paly likes. So this game
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: also looks like it has over probably written all over
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: the totals up to one seventy and a half if
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: you want to lay that ridiculous total. Actually, this game.
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: You can get seven and a half now, man, so
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: let's let's modify that it was five and a half earlier.
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: I hadn't put it into the system yet though. Seven
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: and a half that's even better because you get the
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: key number. Montana is extremely public here tickets ninety five
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash or the money seemingly coming in
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: on them for now up to seven and a half.
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: But it could be a false move where sometimes when
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: the line comes out close to like the key number
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: of seven, sometimes professional betters will throw money on the
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: favorite when they don't actually want them, just to get
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: the number through that key number. Maybe they did that.
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: But now that you're getting the seven and a half,
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: which is a key number because seven is where teams
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: stop potentially fouling because it's the three possession threshold. I
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: like cal Pauly in this one man. Man, dude, these
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: shows take so much out of me that I hate this.
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: I'm not even onto the other sports yet. Geez, cal Pauly,
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: they just you know, they came in within the number
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: last time. I don't think they really should have against
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: Colorado State. Colorado State was an eighteen and a half
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: point favorite, you know, I mean the shooting percentages were
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: about even. Like Colorado State, it was. It was a
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: close game statistically kind of, but Colorado State had chances
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: to do this manage. In Colorado State, they were winning
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: by what was it, They're winning by twenty one here
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: with two forty six left in the game. Yeah, so
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: they had the chance to cover the I give them
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: out at seventeen and a half. It closed eighteen and
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: a half, but they were winning by twenty one with
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: two and a half minutes left. Man, and they wound
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: up only winning by fourteen. That's kind of brutal. Colorado
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: State just stopped scoring like then It's scored for the
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: next two minutes at the end, Like they probably should
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: have covered that. But cal Paul, it wasn't really that close.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: I know it's the third straight road game, which is difficult,
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: and I know it almost looks SANDWICHI because Colorado State
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: and Utah are the opponents that surround this game. And yeah,
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: those games are against bigger opponents. But I kind of
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: think cal Paul is gonna bounce back in this one.
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: And this is also spot rum fading Montana, which I'll
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: show you in a minute. And at the very least
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: cal Pally is battle tested because they played USC already
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: beat Seattle, though that was a fluke, but Seattle's not
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: that bad. Played Colorado State, they were somewhat battle tested.
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: Hear they're playing Montana. Montana's got the better record, which
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: is why the public is on them, and they kind
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: of know the name Montana. Montana made the tournament last year.
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: They're one of the better teams in the Big Sky.
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: I'm not going to disagree with that, obviously, but Montana,
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: they have not faced that difficult of a schedule, to
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: be honest. They did go on the road to Stanford,
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: but I don't think Stanford is that good. And then
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: they continued their road trip and they went into UNLV
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: and they were ten and a half point underdogs, and
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: Montana upset UNLV man and Montana shot ridiculously in the game,
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: fifty five point four percent from the field. UNLV was
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: terrible from three point range, twenty three point one percent
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: uh from three. Yes, Montana did out rebound them, It's
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: still Montana went into the Thomas and Mack and pulled
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: off the upset of UNLV. Now they're coming back home
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: off of that, and I know they haven't lost at home,
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: but they haven't played a Division One team at home yet.
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: And yeah, sometimes you will get up for your first
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: home game against the Division one team, but how can
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: they do that when they just upset UNLV and up
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: next they got Texas A and M, which is an
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: SEC team, and that's their biggest game remaining except for
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: Louisville later in the season. That is a huge game.
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: So I think this is a sandwich spot. We're gonna
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: fade Montana here man, even though I don't know if
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: the spot is necessarily great for cal Paly, but they're
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: continuing to put an effort and I think they're gonna
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: put it in an effort here in this game. Hopefully
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: that is the case. So yeah, we're gonna do that
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: one as well. Maybe that's my weakest that I have here,
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: but that is a play. Georgia Tech is at Georgia.
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: Big game between the two teams. Georgia Tech considers themselves
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: to be the little brother here at this point Georgia
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: from fourteen to fourteen and a half with juice, I
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: would probably take the points if I was gonna play
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: this Georgia Tech actually I think is actually, but I
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: was gonna know actually neither too. I was gonna say
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech probably has faced the more difficult schedule. They
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: have not, but neither team has faced really anybody good yet.
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: So both teams are three and zero. George is definitely
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: the better team, but it is possible that Georgia Tech
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: comes to play in that one. All right, let's try
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: to get through this, man, Providence at Colorado. Is this
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: one of my plays? I think it actually is. Yes,
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: it is trying to get through all these games. Man,
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: we're gonna take the points with Colorado here, Colorado plus
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: one or whatever you can get on this. It's basically
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: gonna pick the winner situation here. I want to fade
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: Providence in this spot. Colorado is actually becoming the favorite here.
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: Don't see the cash percentages yet, but Colorado's up from
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: a pick them to a pick them with juice. I mean,
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: if you want to lay the money line in Colorado,
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: that's also an option, of course. Here. I like Colorado
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: to get this thing done. I don't like the spot
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: for Providence. Everybody kind of knows the name Providence. Even
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: though Colorado made some noise like a couple of years ago,
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: Providence has been kind of the more consistent team that
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: has made the tournament like over the last few years
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: multiple times. Although they neither of these teams I think
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: made it last year. Providence, they're one time where they
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: got battle tested was a neutral site game against Virginia Tech,
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: and they lost the game in overtime. Virginia Tech's not
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: exactly great. I actually don't know if they're better than
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: Colorado or not. They are Virginia Tech's fiftieth in the
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: country in Colorado sixty fifth. But yeah, Providence, they played
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: competitive competitively in that game, but they lost that game. Now,
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: this is their first true road game of the season. Man,
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: Providence having to go into elevation. I think that's difficult
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: for them to do. Man, it's a single game road
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: trip out there. They're coming off beating Pennsylvania and scoring
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: over one hundred points. Providence has scored over one hundred
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: in their last two games, so they look good because
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: of that right now, But this looks like a bad spot. Man,
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: first true road game of the season in an environment
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: that might mess with them because it is high elevation.
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: Colorado has more time often because they haven't played since
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: November eighth, Saturday, although usually I don't like to play
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: a team that has extra rest when they're off to
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: a good start, which Colorado is. They're two and zero,
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: but look at their last game, sixteen and a half
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: point favorites. This was one of my losses. I laid
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: the points with Colorado in this one against Eastern Washington.
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: Colorado came close to losing this game, man, just absolutely ridiculous.
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: And the reason was Eastern Washington shot fifty nine point
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: seven percent from the field and fifty six point three
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: percent from three. I mean, come on, man, that is
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: a massive outlier. And I know Colorado shot well in
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: the game as well, but Eastern Washington was just like,
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: it's so good that it's not even repeatable. But they
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: did offensively in that game, and they actually still fell short.
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: Colorado won the game. But now that Colorado escaped in
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: that game, it was a bit of a fluke for
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: Eastern Washington. I think Colorado's gonna gonna like show up
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: after that. Man, if you almost lose as a favorite,
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: you're gonna be drolling yourselves. You're gonna be focused. I mean,
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: they're playing a big East team. You gotta think they're
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: gonna be focused on this game. So I like Colorado.
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: We'll take Colorado in that one. I think the money
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: is agreeing with me on that. Baylor is playing Tarlaton State.
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: Baylor looks like they're in a sandwich spot. I'm not
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: I don't have a play on this one, but I
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: would look to fade Baylor here. Baylor just beat Washington
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: Big ten team. Don't know how good Washington actually is,
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: but that's still a pretty big win for Baylor. Now
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: they got in state little brother Tarlaton coming in, and
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: Baylor does have Creighton and Saint John's coming up after this.
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 2: Oh no, yeah, inside, I want to kill myself.
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: I need some more drops. But that's gonna be the drop.
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: That drop defines my show man because it's still better
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: off Dad, Which did I say? I think I said
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: better off dead at the beginning of the show too. Sorry,
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: it's total sports. But yeah, Tarloton State, you know they're
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: gonna get up for it, at least just because it
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: is Baylor and in state little brother. Baylor has bigger
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: games surrounding this game. It is a sandwich spot. Baylor
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: likes to play slow as well, so laying a lot
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: of points with Baylor not really a great idea taking
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: the points against the slop based team doesn't make sense.
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: The problem I have is just Tarleton, just like last year,
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: Ken Bomb has him high in his luck index at
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: thirty six in luck, so I do worry about that.
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: Charlaton does also like to play slow, so they're gonna
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: be at a pace that they like because Baylor will
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: also play slow against them. But I just don't know
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: that I could do it, given that Ken Palm does
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: have Charloton listed as a luckier team, which they were
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: last year too, so I knew eventually Tarleton was gonna
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: fall apart last year, like they looked way too good
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: in conference. Last year Baylor was down from twenty four
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: and after twenty four here, so the money looks like
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: it is taking the points with Tarleton. I won't do it,
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: but Tarleton they at least have some momentum right now
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: as well, off of beating a couple of weaker opponents
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: at home. Well ANMCC actually not that bad in the
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: Celtland at least, and then they beat Merrimac was not
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: very good. But they at least have some momentum now.
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: They won't be intimidated being on the road at least
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: because they did play at SMU and LSU on the road,
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: So we'll see that that one is not on my card,
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: but sort of a lean to Charlatan. Mississippi Valley State
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: are favorite Delta Devils there against a UTA Attack. This
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: is the loser bracket in this Hawaii tournament. Here not surprising.
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: These two teams that are clearly the two worst teams
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: in that four team event out there, both lost and
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: now they're playing in the loser bracket. And Mississippi Valley
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: State is so bad that Utah Attack is a huge
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: favorite against them up to twenty eight. Mississippi Valley State, Man,
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know why they don't just move
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: to like Division two or something. I mean, it's just ridiculous.
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, they have a pretty funny social media presence,
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: but that's basically what they do.
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: Now.
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: Do I want to lay that many points of the
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: Utah Attack. No, I don't know what I would want
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: to do with that game.
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: I mean, again, both teams lost in the first games
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: in that Hawaii thing. It's just a hilarious. It's hilarious
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: that you Missippi Valley State is so bad that Utah
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: Attack is basically an insurmountable favorite. One of the biggest
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: games of the actually probably the biggest game on the
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: entire slate is number five Arizona at number fifteen Ucla
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: in a former Pac twelve rivalry. I think these two
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: teams might still play every year. Maybe Arizona's rnged fifth
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: in the country, Ucla fifteenth in the country. Ken Bomb
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: has Arizona eleventh, and he has UCLA thirty second, so
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: he actually has both these teams a little bit overrated.
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: He does love Arizona as usually as the better team,
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: which is why Arizona is the favorite here, even though
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: they're on the road. Arizona from one and a half
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: to two here, it was up to three, I think,
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: and now it's gone down a little bit, so I
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: think it hit that number three, and now money started
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: coming into UCLA sixty und percent of tickets on Arizona
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: sixty nund percent of the cash on UCLA. Money looks
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: like it's coming on in Ucla here. Arizona, they have
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: a big win against Florida, which everybody does remember, but
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: since then they haven't exactly been I mean, that's their
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: one big test. They haven't faced a true road game yet.
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: That game was at Las Vegas and Arizona kind of
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: heading pretty good contingent in that game, so they had
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: a big crowd at that game. This game is not
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: at UCLA, but it is in Englewood, California, so this
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: is basically a semi home game for UCLA. It's in
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: the La Hall of Fame series, so LA is obviously
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: gonna have a lot of fans there. I mean, Arizona
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: will travel, but it's gonna be pretty much, I think
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: a home crowd for UCLA in that game. So it's
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: gonna be like the most hostile crowd by far that
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: Arizona's faced so far this year. So that's not easy.
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: UCLA just hasn't been tested yet, man, and they didn't
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: look good against Eastern Washington. That game was close to
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: UCLA actually hasn't looked good so far. So Arizona is
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: more battle tested than UCLA. So I don't really want
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: I'm not rushing to take the points of the UCLA
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: here by any means. As far as what these teams
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: have done, usually Arizona is the team that plays fast tempo,
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: and they are and usually UCLA plays a slow tempo
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: Oh they do. They're three out of fifty second tempo,
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: So that is one reason. And maybe look towards Ucla
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: is if Ucla they're not at home, but they're semi home,
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: if they're able to slow the pace down to control
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: of the pace, that will throw Arizona out of their element.
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: So Ucla might have a little bit of a pacing
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: advantage there. So we'll see North Texas at Saint Mary's.
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: I did mention that I was looking to fade North
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: Texas here because they took their first loss of the season.
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: It was on the road at Oregon State, and the
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: way they lost that game was awful. They blew a
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: lead in the game. They almost had the win over
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: Oregon State, which would have been a big win for
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: them because it's a former Pac twelve team, and they
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: lost because they called a time out when they didn't
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: have any left, and I guess it was a tide
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: game at that point, and that's a technical foul and
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: Oregon State got the lead because of that. That's how
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: they won the game, Oregon State one on technical fouls
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: because North Texas didn't realize I didn't have any timeouts
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: left and they tried to call it time out. That
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: is a brutal way to lose that game, and now
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: they have to go to Saint Mary's, who is a
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: good team. Man. So I think it's a bad spot
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: for in North Texas. But I do think they still
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: will try to get up for this game because everybody
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: knows Saint Mary's is good. They always make the tournament.
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's, I mean, they're just on a roll right now.
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: I mean they've looked good so far. They haven't really
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: faced anybody great yet, but they're definitely a force. Saint
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: Mary's is I would lay the points to Saint Mary's
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna do this. I'm not gonna get
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: there with this one. They're on from eleven to fifteen though,
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: so you've lost a lot of value on Saint Mary's here.
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: I think the eleven opener is actually close to where
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: it should have been. And this total is unbelievably low
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: at one hundred and thirty because you have two teams
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: that like to slow the game down to like a
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: complete crawl, So the under does make sense in this game.
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: The total at one thirty is so low, but these
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: teams are two of the slowest teams in the country.
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's gonna be ugly ninety percent of tickets
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: one hundred percent of the cash of Saint Mary's. But
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: I don't really want to lay points like in with
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: a number like that with a game that you know
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: is going to be really, really slow on both sides.
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: So I don't love that. If you Forest Man would
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: still lay the points to Saint Mary's as far as
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: the side is concerned, But uh yeah, I'm not gonna
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: get involved there. We do have. I would say cal
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: Baptist is in a bit of a letdown spot because
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: they just went to UC Irvine, who's been one of
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: the staples of the Big West for a while, and
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: I think cal Baptist considers the u U SEE Irving
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: to be a big brother in the state of California.
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: Cal Baptist was they think about an eight point favorite,
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: eight point underdog, excuse me, in that game, won the
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: game in an upset. Now they're coming back home. Looks
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: like a letdown spot for cal Baptists. They do have
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: another California team up next, and you see Riverside, so
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: they're in kind of a California sandwich here, which probably
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: has guacamole, you know, on an avocado wanted or some shit.
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: But do I want to put money? Would I recommend
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: actually putting money on Western Illinois? Probably not. I mean
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: Western Illinois is they're really really bad, man. I just
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: I can't get there with it. Although they are at
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: least battle tested. They played Iowa on the road, and
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: they played all road games so far Western Illinois, and
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: they are at least already out in California because they
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: played Cal State Bakersfield in their last game, so they're
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: at least adjusted to the to the time zone. But
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: Cal baptists up from thirteen to fourteen now through the
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: with juice. But I would take the points with Western Illinois.
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: Oh sorry, Jeffrey, thanks for catching some of the show man.
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: There are gonna be more plays I'm gonna give out
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: here in hockey and NBA, and I think one more
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: college bat no college basketball. I think I'm done, but
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: I will have more plays in the other sports here.
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: But thanks for hanging out, man. I know this is
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: going long. I don't love it either. I don't want
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: it to, but that's just what's happening. Gonzaga is at
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: Arizona State late night ESPN two eleven pm. Gonzaga. They
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: got to be feeling pretty good right now because they
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: beat Oklahoma at home by double digits, and then they
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: beat Creighton by almost thirty points at home, huge win,
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: ranked matchup. Now they're going to play their first true
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: road game at Arizona State. Yeah, I mean could be
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot for Gonzaga here. Arizona State hasn't been
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: tested at all yet, so I do worry about that.
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: But you know, Arizona State's at least gonna get up
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: for this game. How good is Arizona State I don't know,
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: but I mean I would lean to taking the points
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: with them. I do think it could be a letdown
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: spot for Gonzaga. Gonzaga did go up from eleven to
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: thirteen and a half on the line here, but they're
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: public sixty five percent of tickets, only fifty nine percent
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: of cash on them. I would take the points of
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: Arizona State. I do think this will be more of
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: a fast paced game in general, though, because both teams
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: like to play fast, so Arizona State is not one
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: of those teams that's gonna be able to slow down Gonzaga.
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: I don't think. Well, theough maybe actually they might try too,
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: because they don't play as fast as Gonzaga, but lean
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: Tod taking the points at Arizona State. But I'm not
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: gonna get there with that one. Washington at Washington State
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: if this is a big rivalry. Of course, Washington's coming
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: up their first loss of the season at Baylor, and
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: now they're having to come back to the Pacific Coast.
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: Not a great spot for Washington. Could be in a
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: bit of a hangover spot, you know, you lose your
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: first game of the season. It was a big game
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: against Baylor, who's still considered to be a really good
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: basketball program. They're a Big twelve team, although Washington is
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: in the Big Ten. But still now Washington's coming back
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: to the Pacific Coast, they got to play Washington State,
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: who considers themselves to be the little brother of the
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: two of them, because Washington State got orphaned in the
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: Pac twelve and now they're in the WCC. So I
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: think Washington State plays with a little bit of a
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: chip on their shoulder. And they played last year and
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: against Washington couldn't get it done. Washington beat them last year,
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: so Washington State has a little bit of revenge mode
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: of here as well. I think Washington State is gonna
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: show up, and they finally got a win after they
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: had to come back on from the East Coast after
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: they played the double Coburger scenario. Davidson was in the
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: double Coburger against Brian Coberger's to Alma mad Or Washington
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: State and the sales. I still don't get how that
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: became Davidson's schedule. Very very strange, conspiracy brain going off
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: on that one. But yes, Washington State return back home.
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: They got to win over a pretty good St. Thomas team.
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: Sat Thomas definitely I think the best team in the Summit,
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: which I thought they were last year, and they didn't
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: get it done. But we'll see what happens this year.
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: That's a pretty good win and ends Washington State's losing
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: momentum because they finally got a win. I think they
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: will show up for this game. I would take the
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: points with Washington State. Washington's down from ten to nine year,
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: eighty three percent of tickets, eighty five percent of the
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: cash on Washington State. So it looks like Washington State
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: is public. But I don't know, man, I don't see
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: why they would be public, So I doubt that they
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: will be. But yeah, I mean I would take the
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: points of them and then the latest game right at
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: midnight or eleven fifty nine. So it's still considered to
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: be today Hawaii and Manhattan and the winner's bracket in
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: the Hawaii Tournament. This is for the championship in whatever
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: this tournament is called. Hawaii is of course at home,
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: and of course they set themselves up with a bunch
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: of weak opponents here, so they're a big favorite here,
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: both these teams. One, of course, in the Rainbow Classic,
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: of course, Manhattan played a pretty ugly game though against
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: Utah Tech, Manhattan was actually the underdog. That's how bad
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: Manhattan is. This year, Hawaii is up from fourteen to
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: fifteen and a half, sixty seven percent of tickets, ninety
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on them. I'm not going
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: to fade Hawaii here. Even though Manhattan is now adjusted
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: to the time zone and the venue and whatever, it's
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: still on Hawaii's home floor. There's still the better team. So,
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: I mean, these teams are facing a real bad I
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: would probably lay up with Hawaiian that one, but I
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: mean I'm not gonna come close to touching that. So
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: those are my five college plays. Let's get to the
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: NHL we have a short NHL card here. Pittsburgh and
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: Nashville kick it off at two pm Eastern in the
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: afternoon because they're playing in Sweden. So I think both
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: teams will try to get up for this game. Both teams,
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: I think you're actually in positive spots. I mean they
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: both both teams are coming off losses. Pittsburgh's on a
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: losing streak. Their losses were more tolerable, as they lost
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: at New Jersey by one in a shootout and then
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: to the Kings by one. Pittsburgh still kind of with
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: a I don't know. I would say they have iffy
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: gold ending though, and they're still not as good as
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: the record looks, I don't think. But I don't think
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: Nashville is very good either. Pittsburgh, of course, having extra
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: days off to travel, I think that's helpful because you
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: just get to get out of there, just go on
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: the road. You can focus on hockey, try to break
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: your losing momentum. But the same thing applies to Nashville.
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: Nashville is on a losing streak as well. They've been
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: playing pretty poor. They've lost five games in a row,
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: so going out on the road might help them even more.
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: They got blown out in their last game at the Rangers,
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: so gonna be good for them. I think to just
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: go far, far away as well. Pittsburgh is lined as
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: the better team though, and the money's coming in on them.
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: The spot is so similar though, and the teams are
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: probably gonna have similar motivation here. I think probably you
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: do have to agree with going with the better team,
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 1: which is Pittsburgh, evenough I don't think either of these
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: teams are good. So there you go, Sweden, this is
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: what the US has to offer you. Two teams that
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: are not that good. Eight percent of tickets, ninety seven
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Pittsburgh. They're up from minus
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: one to seven to minus one twenty. I won't disagree
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: with Pittsburgh there, but certainly not something I want to play.
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: Vancouver is gonna be at Carolina. Vancouver is starting a
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: road trip on a losing streak, and I talk about
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: how that sometimes is good. They've had multiple days off too.
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: When you're on a losing streak, sometimes it's good to
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: just get out of home focus on hockey. They should
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: be focused because Carolina is good, even though Vancouver did
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: just lose to Colorado and Winnipeg those teams are also good.
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: But having multiple days off starting a road trip, to me,
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: it seems like a positive spot for Vancouver. Carolina has
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: been good. Carolina did just lose a win streak though,
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: and that was the game I gave up Washington on
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: the show, Big Game, and Carolina lost the game, losing
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: a four game win streak. So sometimes that will hang
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: you over a little bit when you lose a win
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: streak and you lose to a decent team. And what
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: was a pretty big game luckily for us, that was
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: a winner on the show. Nice nice win from Washington.
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: It was playoff revenge for Washington in that game too,
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: if I'm not mistaken. Now, Carolina's got Vancouver here and
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: up tomorrow Carolina has to play Edmonton, so that could
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: be a look ahead. I mean, we know Edmonton's just
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: been I mean they've been good obviously, they've won the
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: Western Conference two years in a row. So Carolina may
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: not have full focus in this game against Vancouver. So
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: I do lean to Vancouver. Although the money came in
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: on Carolina from minus two thirty to minus two to
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: seventy eight and nine percent of tickets, ninety five percent
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Carolina looks like the on Carolina,
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: but they are public. If you want to play this game,
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: I would probably take the Vancouver puck line in that
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: one plus the one and a half and see how
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: it goes. Philadelphia at Saint Louis. This game has almost
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: made my card. You know what this is gonna make
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: my card because the market has shifted. Fuck it, we're
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: adding another play here. I'm gonna add this play. Oh boy,
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: you know what it is. We like pain, We all
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: like pain. Here, crap, we're gonna have to lay a
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: money line price here of minus one thirty five with
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: the Saint Louis Blues. Hopefully we're not singing the Blues
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: after this, but we're gonna go with it. Saint Louis
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: Blues minus one thirty five. I'm adding this on the fly.
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: I mean I was almost gonna add it, and the
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 1: market read was kind of like keeping me away. But now,
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: even though Saint Louis did initially drop for minus one
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: forty five to minus one thirty three, we see the
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: market shifting now. Although I know it's early. Some of
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: these early morning market reads you don't want to put
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: too much weight into them. But fifty nine pen of
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: the tickets are on Philly, seventy seven percent of the
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: cash coming in on the Blues, so the money is
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: on Saint Louis. The price on Saint Louis is almost
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: telling you, the oddsmakers are telling you Saint Louis is
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: actually the better team. And when you look at these
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: two teams record wise, it's like, why why would you
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: want to lay a favorite price with a six eight
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: and three team against an eight five and three team,
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: Like it almost looks too easy to take Philadelphia, the
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: team with the better record and the better history, as
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: an underdog here. But I'm saying that you should not
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: do that. So this is one of those games with
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: the misleading line here. Both teams have. I mean, Philadelphia
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: has been mediocre on the road. They're basically five hundred
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: with one overtime loss as well. Saint Louis has been
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: pretty mediocre at home as well, so you don't really
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: have a huge home road dichotomy here in play. So
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: that's not really something that worries me here. I don't
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: think this is a good spot for Philadelphia, So that's
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: kind of the crux of this. Philadelphia is coming off
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: two overtime games playing Ottawa and Edmonton bolt into overtime. Now, yes,
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: they start a road trip. Usually I say a team
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: is focused to start a road trip, but with Philadelphia
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: coming off playing Edmonton that close in that battle, I
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: actually think this is more of a hangover spot here.
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: And their road trip is two games, and one of
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: them is tomorrow against Dallas. And if they're gonna focus
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: on one of these games, you know which one it's
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: gonna be, It's gonna be Dallas. I haven't looked to
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: see who the goalie is gonna be in this game
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: for a Philly but I don't think it matters that
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: much of the vlid r as their better goalie. But
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: I just don't really love Philadelphia's goaltending in general. I
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: don't think it's a good spot. I think it's a
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot. I think they might overlook Saint Louis. The
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: line is misleading. Saint Louis just beat Calgary and they
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: have multiple days off, but I think that's more of
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: just a that was kind of a get right spot
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: beating Calgary, so I think that gives them a little
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: bit of momentum coming into this one. They're below five hundred.
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're really gonna overlook anybody with multiple
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: days off. Bennington should be back in net here, so
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: you should be getting their better goalie here because he's
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: basically been playing two games in a row when he
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: does play, so I expect that to be the case.
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: Maybe that's why the money started shifting as well. Maybe
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: it was the Goali announcement. I don't have that site
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: up right now, but we're gonna do it. Saint Louis
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: money line, and then the final play here is gonna
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: be one that's gonna be a bit of a weird
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: way to play this one. Well, I mean not for me.
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: I mean I do I do stuff like this all
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: the time. This next play. I was playing a lot
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: of big underdogs today, man, but this is actually gonna
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: be a big favorite that I want to play here,
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: which is Utah. And let me just figure out, like,
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: let me get this straight. How did I play this
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 1: one again? Okay? I mean you can play you can
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: do this on the puck line or that. I don't
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: love puck line plays in hockey. So the way I'm
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: gonna do this is a split bet where you put
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: about two thirds of it on the money line. Even
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: though it is expensive at minus two hundred and the
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: rest of it on the plus one twenty four on
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: the minus one and a half puck line here for Utah,
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: and it comes out to about a minus one thirty
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: or so favorite if you do it that way. And
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: of course if you do it this way, if they
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: win by exactly one, you'll push the bet so you
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: don't even win by multiple goals, which I know is
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: in ask in hockey, But I hate the spot for
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: the Islanders, dude. The Islanders look a little bit too
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: good right now, nine to six and two. I think
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: they're a little bit worse than that. But look at
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: what they've done in their last three games, three road games.
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: And what they did is they went to the Rangers
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: and shut them out in the New York rivalry there
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: that was a win for us on the show. Then
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: they went to New Jersey and they beat them to
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: and overtime. And the Devils have been good this year.
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: So the Islanders beat their two geographic rivals on the road.
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: Then they didn't suffer a letdown last night. They went
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: into Vegas, shifting time zones, going to Vegas and they
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: beat them in overtime. Shockingly, I don't know how this
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: even happened because I like Vegas in that game. Man
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: didn't give it out as a play luckily, but Vegas
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: had more shots in the game. They were the way
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: more physical team in the game. Although the Islanders did
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: win the face off battle, but Vegas destroyed them and hits,
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: so it looked like the Islanders are kind of a
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: finesse team in that game, which I don't particularly like.
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: That means they got beaten up by Vegas in that game.
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: Now they got to go to Utah, and usually, yeah, Utah,
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, because they have a good record, you normally
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: would be focused on them. But I think this is
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: the least of all these games here. It's a back
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: to back, so probably Riddich will be back in Net
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: here for the Islanders. And with Riddich, they've lost two
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: of their last three games with him in net He's
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: been okay, but he's not as good as Sorak, and
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: I assume he's gonna be the goalie here and the
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: Islanders of Colorado and Dallas up next, so they might
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: actually overlook Utah here because Utah is still, you know,
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: a newcomer, and Utah has been actually fading now to
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: the point where now they're ten and seven Utah, although
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: they broke their losing streak in their last game on Wednesday,
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: so they have a day off and they're staying at home,
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 1: and that was their return home spot where I thought
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: it was a bad spot for them. They still got
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: to win over Buffalo, so that kind of tells me
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: something that even in a bad spot, they put together
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: a pretty good performance. And I don't think it was
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: misleading either. I think they pretty much dominated. So that's good.
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: That breaks that losing momentum for them. So I think
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: this is a positive spot, even though they do have
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: Anaheim up next. But I don't know if they're gonna
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: overlook a winning Islander team here, man. So I like Utah.
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go with the Maams in this one. With
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: the way that I recommended. They're from minus two hundred
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: and minus two to two on the money line here
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: and UH tickets eighty eight percent of the cash on Utah,
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: so the money is coming in in Utah. That's gonna
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: be the play there all right. Now, we gotta do NBA.
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: Oh God, there's so many games today, man. And then
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: there are a couple of college football games NBA try
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: to get through this. Miami is at the Knicks. This
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: is not one of my plays. The Knicks did just
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: lose at home to Orlando. Now they gotta face Miami.
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: I mean that did break a win streak though. The
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: Knicks had won five in a row, so sometimes when
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: you lose a win streak, it does hang you over.
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: How focused are they gonna be against this Miami team.
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Out of buy on here. Both still
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: out for another game or two here, so they're gonna
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: be out. The Knicks are gonna be without Jalen Brunson
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: in this game though, so it's gonna be an injured
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: player spot for the Knicks. That's something to be aware of.
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: He played in their last game and now he's out,
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: So injured player spot, you know that means you're gonna
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: get extra value on the Knicks, and it means the
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: Knicks are gonna show up for this game because they
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: know they have to compensate for Jalen Brunson being out.
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: But could be a hangover spot after losing their win
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: streak from Miami though. Miami's coming off a couple of
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: big games against Cleveland and now going to New York
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: for a single game at New York and then they
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: have to play the Knicks again at home. Pretty strange
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: scheduling here in Miami. Has to fly up the coast
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 1: just for this game. It's kind of a weird spot
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: for both teams. Like, I don't love the spot for
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: either team. I'm gonna lean to the Knicks just because
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: I think the the injured player spot puts this over
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 1: the top. The Knicks are up from four and a
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: half to five and a half here with juice sixty
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 1: three percent of ticket sixty nine percent of the cash
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: on them. I'll agree with it and lean towards laying
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: the points with the Knicks, but I don't want to
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: touch it next stup, you know what I'm about to do. Baby,
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: Let me see what the best number is on this.
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: It looks like fourteen and a half looks like it
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: might be out there on this Although fourteen and a
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: half fourteen thirteen and a half is not a huge
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: difference in the NBA. When you get up into that realm,
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: here you go, baby, you knew it was gonna come.
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: The Brooklyn Nets plus the fourteen and a half against
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 1: the Orlando Magic. We're gonna do it. The Magic look
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: like they dropped a little bit from fourteen to thirteen
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: and half. I think fourteen's are still pretty predominant out
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: there right now, eighty five percent of tickets, ninety six
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Magic for now. But
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 1: I think the Magic republic, so or at least you're
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: fading that sentiment. I don't know that the money is
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: really coming in on them. Money's coming in in the
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: under as well, so that's a good sign for taking points.
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 1: And it's not a high total. So maybe maybe Orlando
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: is actually not playing his fast tempo now man, because
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: they've been trying this fast temple thing hasn't been working,
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: although they've been better reason but they're coming off beating
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 1: the Knicks on the road, man, I mean, come on,
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: that's a huge win for Orlando, and now they're coming
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: back home over that, and they got to play the
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 1: lowly Brooklyn Nets, who might be the worst team in
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 1: the NBA, and then up next they gotta travel and
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 1: play Houston and then Golden State after that. That's this
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: is a sandwich spot, man. I mean, I don't think
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: that there's any doubt about that. I don't see how
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: they really get up for this game against Brooklyn, so
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: hopefully we can get this one. Brooklyn has been They've
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: actually been decent for us. I mean, I think we
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: had one game where I think they should have covered
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: that they didn't. Which one was that, I forget? No,
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: maybe I'm wrong. Do they get blown out in a
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: game right I played them? Maybe it was against Philadelphia,
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: I don't know. But Brooklyn they got the win for
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: us one other time that we played them as a
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: really big underdog on the road. Actually we got the
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 1: win outright against Indiana. So I'm not saying they're gonna
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: win out right here, but hopefully we get a win here.
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn has actually had multiple days off and they're starting
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: to travel as well. But that's a better spot for them.
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: Because you're losing at home, one of the best things
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: you can do is just have a little bit of rest,
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: break that losing momentum, and then go out on the road.
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: That's what they're doing here. So I think it's a
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: positive spot for Brooklyn here. I think they should be
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: focused here. We'll do it. We'll take the points of
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 1: the Brooklyn Nets. I know it's horrendous. I told you
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be really really ugly. Philadelphia at Detroit
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: is a big game here. Philadelphia is coming off beating Boston. Unfortunately,
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: that's a big win for Philadelphia. Now they have this
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: single game against Detroit. But it is revenge for Philadelphia,
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 1: quick revenge because they did just lose to Detroit at
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: home the game before the Boston game. So now with
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: a couple of days off, I think it's a better
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: spot for Philadelphia in a way because they get to
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: go out and try to get revenge against Detroit. Here
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: Detroit at ten and two. I think that that makes
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: them look better than they really are right now. Detroit's
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 1: coming off that big win which I gave out as
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 1: my one play on Wednesday in the NBA winner on
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: what was not a good Wednesday, but NBA was good.
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: Detroit got the win against Chicago. That was revenge for Detroit.
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: That was part of that handicap. They were able to
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: get the revenge for Chicago beating them in their opening game.
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: Detroit now has that win over Chicago. Could be for
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a letdown spot here, member Detroit,
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: you know against Philadelphia here, Yeah, we'll see. I mean
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: they might still get up for Philadelphia, but again they
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: did just beat them on the road, so I think
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: the spot sets up better for Philadelphia here. And the
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: other thing is the other reason I like Philadelphia is
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: remember the other part of the handicap against Chicago the
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: other day was that Cad Cunningham was out for that game.
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: So I said, Detroit's in the injured player spot. You're
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: gonna get more value on Detroit. They're gonna show up
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: like they're gonna play well like for that one game
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: because they know they have to play hard without Cunningham.
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: That's what happened. They did that well. Now and by
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: the way, Chicago actually had Giddy I think coming back
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: in that game too, So it was a reverse injured
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 1: player spot on the other side, So really a rare
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: spot where I really like Detroit in that game. Now
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 1: Cunningham he is coming back tonight after he missed that
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: one game. So now the Detroit got the win and
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: played really hard without him. Now they're in the reverse
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 1: injured player spot. So now he comes back. Now you're
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 1: gonna get less value on Detroit because the star player
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: is coming back, So the line might overadjust him coming
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: back and the team might take their foot off the
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: gas a little bit. Thinking, hey, we just beat Chicago
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: without our star player, and we already beat Philadelphia on
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: the road. We can definitely beat Philadelphia at home. I
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: think they might get a little bit over confident here, man,
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 1: So I like the Sixers. Pistons are down from five
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: and a half to four and a half here, fifty
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: eight percent toket seventy percent of the cash on Detroit
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: right now. Don't know if I buy that cash percentage there.
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with the Sixers if I
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 1: was gonna play at which I am not going to.
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 1: Portland is playing at Houston here. Portland did get a
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 1: win against New Orleans to break a little bit of
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 1: a lost streak they had. Should be a positive spot
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 1: for Portland after that, maybe some new momentum here Houston.
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 1: You know they're gonna get up for Houston. Houston not
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 1: really in a bad spot either though. I mean Houston
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: return home from a road trip didn't even matter. They
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: beat Washington up anyway. In a return home spot. They
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: probably will get up for Portland because Portland's been playing
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 1: pretty well this year. Houston is up from seven and
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: a half to eight here, seventy nine percent to take
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 1: it's ninety four percent of the cash on them, so
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: the money is kind of indicating on Houston. I don't
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: really disagree with it. I mean, when you have two
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: teams that you think might both be focused here, the
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: better team tends to win out. So I'm not going
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 1: to really disagree with Houston, but I don't have a
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: strong opinion Charlotte. The Charlotte Hornets are at Milwaukee here.
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: This is a bit of a zigzag spot from Milwaukee,
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: as Charlotte just beat Milwaukee at home. Charlotte was able
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: to beat Milwaukee here by eleven. But remember or maybe
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 1: not remember, but I don't even know if I mentioned this,
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: but Yannis did not play in this game for Milwaukee,
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 1: so Milwaukee was without their obviously their star players. So
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee was definitely a disadvantage for that reason. So now
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: that Charlotte did beat them, I do think Milwaukee will
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: show up in this game because they did just lose
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: to Charlotte. So it's a bit of a zigzag spot
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: now where Milwaukee lost that game, now they have the
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: adjustments to make in the game. With Yannis out, Milwaukee
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: was a two and a half point favorite, which would
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: indicate that if he comes back, which I believe he
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 1: will be here. They should probably be somewhere in the
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: realm of about a seven point favorite. In this one,
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: they're actually nine and a half though they're actually down
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 1: from ten to nine and a half. So I think
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: the line has overadjusted to Giannis coming back, which is
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: why I can't really get involved in this game. Seventy
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: eight percent of tickets, ninety four percent of the cash
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 1: on the bucks, so money seems to be indicating on
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: the bucks. If Giannis was still out, I mean maybe
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 1: I would consider playing it on the zigzag because Milwaukee,
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 1: you know, after they lost, you know, at Charlotte, you
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: gotta think they're gonna bounce back from that and they're
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 1: gonna want a zigzag that and play well. But they
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: do have to face the Lakers tomorrow and then Cleveland,
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: so there is a little bit of a look ahead
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 1: component here. And with the honest coming back, you know
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 1: what I always say again, it's the reverse injured player spots.
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: With Giannis coming back, the line's gonna over adjust a bit.
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 1: So I just don't really think there's line value there.
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 1: And Milwaukee, you know, maybe they ease up a little
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: bit because they know their star players back although I
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 1: don't really expect them to ease up necessarily because they
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 1: were playing the Charlotte team again that just beat them.
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: So I mean, I kind of still lean to laying
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: it with Milwaukee, but I at that price, I don't
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: think you could really do it, so, you know, and
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: there is that injured player component that I do not love.
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: All right, Sacramento at Minnesota. Guess guess what, baby, Here's
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: here's the other play here Sacramento. I call the ball sacks.
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 1: The their abbreviation is sack and they play with the ball.
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 1: So we're gonna go with the ball sacks plus the
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 1: twelve here. Let me make sure that my first play
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 1: isn't early because hopefully, yeah, all my plays are tonight
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 1: because I'm like, oh god, I gotta put all these
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: freaking Instagram videos. All right, Yes, we're gonna take the
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 1: points of Sacramento in this game. We're gonna fade Minnesota
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 1: even though it's the NBA Cup whatever. I ignore that completely.
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 1: I don't like the spot for the ta Wolves here.
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 1: They're very public. Ninety two percent of the tickets, only
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 1: eighty three percent of the cash, so the money is
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 1: seemingly agreeing with taking the points with the Kings. Here
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 1: Tea Wolves up a little bit from eleven and a
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 1: half to eleven and a half with juice, but I
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 1: think the real money is coming back on Sacramento twelve
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: eleven and a half. Whichever of those numbers. Not a
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 1: big difference between the two. Sacramento they've been playing real ugly.
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 1: I know they're three and nine, they're not that good,
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 1: but they're gonna be playing with some fire, I think
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 1: just because they have been playing poorly. I know it's
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: a third game in four days, but the first two
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: games are at home. They just got wrecked on their
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 1: home stand. Dude. They lost their last four games of
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: the home stand, but it was against Oklahoma City, Minnesota, Denver.
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: Those are all really good teams. And then they did
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 1: lose to Atlanta embarrassingly without Trey Young. Atlanta beat them
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 1: by thirty three at home. And when that's your last
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 1: home game, one of the best things that you can
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 1: do is go out on the road. Man, just forget
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 1: about that. So I think this is a positive spot
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 1: for the Kings because they were playing real bad at home.
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 1: Now they just get to forget about it, go focus
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 1: on Minnesota. Oh and by the way, Minnesota was one
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 1: of the teams that just beat them on that home standing.
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 1: Boy do they beat them one hundred and forty four
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 1: to one hundred and seventeen. Ooh oh boy. That's bad.
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 1: So Sacramento is in a little bit of a revenge
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: spot here. But also more importantly, Minnesota might just overlook
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: Sacramento completely because if Minnesota just beat Sacramento by that
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 1: much in Sacramento, they're not gonna take Sacramento very seriously
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 1: in this game, man, And I think Minnesota will show
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 1: up for this now. Sibonas has been hurt for a bend.
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: Of course, he is the best player for the Kings,
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 1: averaging a double double. I almost put on my Sibonas jersey.
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 1: He's questionable tonight. But if he is out, I actually
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: still like Sacramento because it becomes an injured player spot
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: again because he did play in their last game, so
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 1: they're gonna know they have to step up even further
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 1: if their star players not there. So I do like that.
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 1: And by the way, let's look at the King's schedule
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: here for a minute here between the third and the sixth. Yeah,
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 1: they actually played two games without Sabonis and guess what
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 1: that game was against Minnesota and that last that game
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 1: on the ninth, because I believe Yeah, Sabonis, let's look
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 1: at him again here. Yeah, he had not played US
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 1: since the third against Denver. He got injured, and the
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 1: game that he came back was that game against Misota's
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 1: what I always talking about, the reverse injured player spot.
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: The bonus came back. I think it was maybe a
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 1: bit of a chemistry doing quit back. Maybe the Kings
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 1: kind of took it a little bit more lightly because
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 1: they knew the star player was back. Yeah, so I
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 1: think that had some impact on the game, even though
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 1: I know Sacramento has has been playing real ugly since then,
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 1: But I don't think you really expected them to beat
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 1: teams like the a team like the Nuggets and then
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, maybe they were just in a
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 1: bad like got caught in a bad spot there against Atlanta.
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know what that was. But we still haven't
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 1: even talked about the Minnesota side of this. I mean,
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 1: I don't really love the Minnesota side of this. They
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 1: did have a bunch of time off, but when you're
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 1: winning like they have three straight wins, I don't think
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 1: that's a good thing, man, because that can hurt your momentum.
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 1: And Minnesota scored one hundred and twenty or more in
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 1: all three, but the teams they beat were Utah, Sacramento,
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 1: and Utah again. So looking at Minnesota, I mean they
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: have not actually played well when stepping up in class.
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 1: Although I know Sacramento's bad, but again I think they
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 1: might take them lightly because they just beat Sacramento. But
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 1: look at Minnesota's I'm not gonna say Minnesota's bad, They're
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: certainly not. But every time they've stepped up in class
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 1: so far this year, they've lost. They lost to the Lakers,
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 1: they lost to Denver, they lost to the Lakers again,
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 1: they lost to the Knicks, who are their seven wins
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: against Portland was probably their best win on the road.
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: Then they beat Indiana, Charlotte, Brooklyn, Utah, Sacramento, and Utah again.
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 1: So this is actually not an impressive resume for Minnesota
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 1: right now. Man. Again, they're a good team, obviously, but
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 1: the resume just hasn't been great so far. And now
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 1: I think they might have been a momentum slowed down
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: by having too many days off there are having to
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 1: return home from elevation where They've been away since Sunday
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 1: at least, so maybe a little bit of a return
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 1: home component here, or maybe you get a little bit distracted,
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 1: especially when you're playing against the team that you just annihilated.
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 1: And up next tomorrow they got to play the Denver Nuggets. Man,
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 1: who they lost to already this year. And it's the
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 1: Denver Nuggets. I mean, they're like the class of the
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 1: Western Conference, pretty much one of the best teams in
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 1: the Western Conference and the NBA. So you know that's
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 1: got to be a a pretty big look ahead there. Man.
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 1: So this is a bad spot for Minnesota. We'll take
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 1: the points with the Kings in that game, all right,
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: trying to finish this off here. Lakers are a New
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: Orleans here. I know I've been talking about every single game.
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 1: It's just what I do, man, I give you all
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 1: the info. Lakers are coming up. Kind of getting embarrassed
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 1: at Oklahoma City. I know that was a big game
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 1: on ESPN. I put it on for a little bit
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 1: and I just laughed because I love to hate the Lakers. Baby.
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 1: As a Celtics fan, you know, I can't stand the Lakers.
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 1: Don't like them. Great for me to see them get
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 1: just embarrassed by the Thunder. Although the Thunder are really good.
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 1: The Thunder are good at home. I actually thought the
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 1: Lakers would be able to hang in that game. They
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 1: did not, so I could see it going both ways. Man.
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 1: On the one hand, maybe they're gonna be in an
• 1:47:23
  Speaker 1: embarrassed mood and come out with some fire here. On
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 1: the other hand, I mean, it was a game where
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 1: they stepped up their game to play against the Thunder
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 1: and got up emotionally for it and fell way short.
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 1: So I could see them maybe struggling in this game
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: for that reason. They do play Milwaukee tomorrow, which is
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 1: a bigger game, so maybe there's a little bit of
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 1: a look ahead here. New Orleans obviously has been very
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 1: unimpressive so far, but Zion Williamson has been out for
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 1: a lot of their games, and I think he's out
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 1: again tonight. New Orleans is in a bit of a
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 1: better spot because they did return home from a road
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 1: trip lost the first game back home against Portland. Usually
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 1: when that happens, you're in a better spot the next game,
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 1: and it is the Lakers coming into their place, so
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 1: you know they're at least gonna get up for the game.
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 1: So I would actually lead to taking the points of
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 1: the Pelicans here, Lakers down from ten and a half
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 1: to ten, very public, not not surprising, eighty eight percent
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 1: of tickets, only eighty five percent of the cash on
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 1: the Lakers. I would take the points with New Orleans
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 1: and that one am I gonna do it? No Clippers.
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 1: Here we go. The Clippers and the MAVs, both teams
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: three win teams, the Clippers. The one thing I will
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 1: agree with sob on here is that the Clippers are
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 1: the better team right now, which the osmakers are telling
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 1: you because the Clippers are favored on the road. They're
• 1:48:38
  Speaker 1: down from three and a half to three, but seventy
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 1: two percent of tickets eighty two percent of the cash
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 1: on the Clippers money looks like it's kind of agree
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: on the Clippers. Yes, it's a positive spot in that
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 1: they're leaving home after a horrific home stand, but they've
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 1: actually lost five games in a row at home, losing
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 1: three on the most recent home stam So yes, it
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 1: is gonna be good for the Clippers to just get
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 1: out of it. Surprisingly, the Clippers are no longer good
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 1: at home after they were really good after they got
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 1: their new home Arena. Last year they're really good at home.
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 1: They no longer are now they've got to go on
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 1: the road to play Dallas. It should be a focused spot.
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 1: They do play Boston next, which could be a look
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 1: ahead because the Saltics just draw your attention still, even
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 1: though they're kind of mediocre this year. Still, I think
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 1: it is a positive spot because when you're losing that
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 1: many games in a row, you're not really gonna overlook anybody.
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 1: So I don't really disagree with that it being a
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 1: positive spot for the Clippers. I don't think it's really
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 1: a negative for Dallas either though, as Dallas is but
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 1: we have to see. The only issue is I got
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 1: to like see what their injury situation is. In a minute, Dallas.
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 1: They've lost a couple of games at home as well,
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 1: losing to Phoenix most reacently, staying at home not exactly
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for Dallas. I mean they should be
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 1: also focused and kind of in a bounce back mode here. Now.
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 1: The question is what's going on with Dallas's injuries, because
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 1: they've been an injured team. Uh PJ Washington's game time decision.
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 1: He's mostly been playing, so I kind of think he's
• 1:50:04
  Speaker 1: gonna play. He's got a shoulder thing. He's questionable. He
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 1: played in their last game, but he only played five
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: minutes and exited the game. We'll see if he's gonna play.
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 1: But obviously the biggest deal is Anthony Davis. Is he
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 1: gonna play. He's listed as questionable now. The thing is
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 1: he hasn't played since October twenty ninth. So here's the thing.
• 1:50:24
  Speaker 1: I like sobs Clipper play a lot more if Davis
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 1: comes back, So I would wait on this because if
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 1: Davis is gonna come back, that's like the big injury it,
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 1: you know, injury news that can happen here. The line
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 1: will actually drop a bit on the Clippers. You'll get
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 1: him in a number on the Clippers if Davis comes back.
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 1: And if he does, then I do actually like the
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 1: Clippers a bit more than I would otherwise because I
• 1:50:47
  Speaker 1: would probably still lean that way, but a little bit
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 1: of a stronger lean of Ad comes back because he's
• 1:50:53
  Speaker 1: been away for so long and he still hasn't even
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 1: been on Dallas that long, so he hasn't even played
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 1: with Dallas because they got him last ye and then
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 1: he immediately got injured, so they still haven't even developed
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 1: chemistry with Anthony Davis. So him coming back is gonna
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 1: throw a wrench into their rotation, you know what I mean,
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 1: Like they're gonna have to take time to build up
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 1: that chemistry. They might like take it a little bit
• 1:51:13
  Speaker 1: easy realizing that he's back. So if Davis comes back tonight, yeah,
• 1:51:18
  Speaker 1: I think it's it is definitely a fade spot for
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 1: fading the MAVs there, but I just don't want to
• 1:51:24
  Speaker 1: get involved in the game. And then we do have
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 1: Golden State San Antonio. This is a good game, and
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 1: this is also a zigzag Let me see, Actually, you
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 1: know what, I think I actually have a play on
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 1: this game. Two I do. I forgot I did actually
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: decide to make a play on this. We're gonna lay
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 1: the points with San Antonio in this game minus the two.
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 1: This is a zigzag spot here Golden State, and I mean,
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 1: there are team that's kind of pass their prime now man.
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 1: And they're playing a third straight road game in four days,
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: although both these last two games were in San Antonio,
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 1: so they're not traveling, but still three games in four days,
• 1:52:01
  Speaker 1: it's a fourth game in six days. It's actually a
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 1: fifth game in eight days, and it's a seventh game
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 1: in what is that seventh game in eleven days or
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 1: something like that. So they've had a really packed schedule
• 1:52:13
  Speaker 1: with most of those games being on the road. So
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 1: the schedule for Golden State isn't very good. They did,
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 1: and they did win in a high scoring game on
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 1: Wednesday at San Antonio. San Antonio was a three and
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite in that game and lost the game,
• 1:52:30
  Speaker 1: and now San Antonio is only a two point favorite.
• 1:52:32
  Speaker 1: So I think you're gonna get value. This is a
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 1: zigzag spot where looks like you're getting value in the
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 1: market now because San Antonio lost the game. But San
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 1: Antonio was winning this game for a while. If you
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 1: look at what happened in this game, san Antonio, they
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 1: had the lead throughout the entire first half. They had
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: the biggest lead in the game of fifteen I think
• 1:52:51
  Speaker 1: is what the biggest lead was in the entire game,
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: and that was San Antonio, and then Golden State overtook
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 1: them to the second half and got out of there
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 1: at the win. But San Antonio actually was debatably the
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 1: better team in this game. San Antonio just had I mean, really,
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 1: the tail was twenty turnovers for San Antonio. They had
• 1:53:11
  Speaker 1: a horrific turnover game Golden State sixteen as well. But
• 1:53:15
  Speaker 1: you lose the turnover battle, it's gonna be difficult to
• 1:53:17
  Speaker 1: win the game. Man. San Antonio at home, I think
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: they're gonna clean things up. Man, with the zigzag, sometimes
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 1: you get more value in the number. But also the
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 1: team that lost has the adjustments to make, whereas the
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 1: team that won, they don't have any changes to make
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 1: because they already like they were able to win the game.
• 1:53:34
  Speaker 1: So it's like, what do you have to fix? You
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 1: don't really have anything to fix. So I like that
• 1:53:38
  Speaker 1: better for San Antonio. They have things to clean up.
• 1:53:40
  Speaker 1: San Antonio is still five and one at home. That
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 1: was their first home loss, so I know that could
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 1: I guess you could debate that that would hang you
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 1: over a little bit, but I think it's gonna motivate
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 1: them in this case. And the Warriors have been bad
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 1: on the road two and six on the road, so
• 1:53:54
  Speaker 1: you do have a San Antonio team it's way better
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 1: at home than the Warriors are on the road, So
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 1: that is definitely a factor. Well, I think it is
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 1: a bounce back spot. I think San Antonio is better
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 1: than they actually looked in that game. They're gonna try
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 1: to win this game. They're gonna be focused Golden State again,
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 1: they don't. They just don't really have anything to fix
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 1: in this game, man. So that's the whole kind of
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 1: the crux of this is the zigzag and the fact
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 1: that san Antonio was better in that game than they looked.
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 1: And san Antonio is a little bit more rested here
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 1: as they've had more days off in the mix there
• 1:54:23
  Speaker 1: and almost all the recent games have been at home,
• 1:54:25
  Speaker 1: so that sets up better for them, more rest for them.
• 1:54:29
  Speaker 1: As far as the injury situation, I don't think there's
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 1: anything huge here. I think it's basically been kaminga for
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 1: for Golden State who's been an issue. But he did
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 1: play in the last game. He got hurt in the
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 1: last game. He's questionable. But I mean, if it's an
• 1:54:44
  Speaker 1: injured player spot for him, I don't really think that's
• 1:54:47
  Speaker 1: really that much of a factor. He's not like the
• 1:54:50
  Speaker 1: star player on Golden State or anything like that, so
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: I don't really see this as being like an injured
• 1:54:54
  Speaker 1: player spot. Champaignee whoever you've pronounce his name is, is
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 1: also listed on the injury report for the Spurs, who's
• 1:55:03
  Speaker 1: kind of one of their better players. I mean, he
• 1:55:05
  Speaker 1: hasn't been that effective this year though for them. He
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 1: played twenty minutes in the previous game as well. Whatever,
• 1:55:11
  Speaker 1: I just don't think there's a whole lot to go
• 1:55:13
  Speaker 1: on as far as the injuries there. I don't think
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 1: there's much to really read into. I would lay it
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 1: with san Antonio though. So that's gonna finish the NBA board. Man.
• 1:55:20
  Speaker 1: We got a lot of games here. We got five
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: college basketball, three NBA and two NH else So pack
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 1: Friday with ten plays. I don't have any plays in
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 1: college football, but we'll talk about that of course before
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 1: we leave here. ESPN seven thirty pm. We have this
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 1: big ACC matchup between Clemson and number twenty Louisville. This
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 1: game when it's when the season started, it looked like
• 1:55:44
  Speaker 1: this game is gonna be a lot bigger than it
• 1:55:46
  Speaker 1: is now because Clemson has struggled this year. Clemson is
• 1:55:51
  Speaker 1: four and five now, and one argument is for Clemson
• 1:55:55
  Speaker 1: from some people is gonna be that, oh, Clemson is
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 1: still trying to win to become Bowl eligible. But I
• 1:56:01
  Speaker 1: don't agree with that line of argumentation because Clemson, I mean,
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 1: they're a team that thought they were gonna be in
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 1: the playoff again. They thought they were gonna be in
• 1:56:09
  Speaker 1: the mix for the championship this year. And when you're
• 1:56:12
  Speaker 1: a team that thinks you're gonna get ten for a championship,
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 1: you don't care about getting into a bowl game. Man, Oh,
• 1:56:17
  Speaker 1: we get to get to six wins and we get
• 1:56:19
  Speaker 1: to play in you know, the the Mayo Bowl or
• 1:56:22
  Speaker 1: the Duke's Mayo Bowl, and our coach gets Dabo Sweeney
• 1:56:24
  Speaker 1: gets gets a little bit of more of a more
• 1:56:27
  Speaker 1: than a dab of mayo dumped on him. They're not
• 1:56:30
  Speaker 1: gonna care about that. That is that might be where
• 1:56:32
  Speaker 1: they wind up, because they're gonna be bowl eligible anyway,
• 1:56:34
  Speaker 1: because they're gonna beat Ferman next week. I mean, I
• 1:56:37
  Speaker 1: don't think there's any question about that. So they're gonna
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 1: be bowl eligible or no that they need one more
• 1:56:41
  Speaker 1: win actually never mind, they need one more besides that.
• 1:56:44
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. Actually, yeah, it's a little bit
• 1:56:47
  Speaker 1: dicey for Clemson actually as far as making them bowl
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 1: we'll see. But I thought they had five wins for
• 1:56:52
  Speaker 1: some reason. But yeah, anyway, they're not gonna care about
• 1:56:56
  Speaker 1: being in some crap bowl like they're Clemson they're a
• 1:56:59
  Speaker 1: title contender. If they make a bowl like that, they're
• 1:57:03
  Speaker 1: probably not even gonna show up for it. So that
• 1:57:04
  Speaker 1: would be a game where you want to look to
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 1: fade Clemson in a bowl game like that. But Clems
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 1: is also coming up a pretty big win over Florida State.
• 1:57:12
  Speaker 1: That was a nice win for them, beating one of
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 1: the bigger names in the ACC. I do think they'll
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 1: still get up though, for a game against Louisville. Like
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 1: when you're Clemson and you don't have anything left to
• 1:57:22
  Speaker 1: really play for him for the rest of the season,
• 1:57:24
  Speaker 1: I think you will still get up for an ESPN
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 1: game against an ACC rival that's ranked because you do
• 1:57:29
  Speaker 1: have the ability to play spoiler here. If you're Clemson,
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 1: you could spoil Louisville's shot at maybe potentially getting into
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 1: the championship game here. And by the way, one of
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 1: Clemson's only losses last year was to Louisville at home,
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 1: so Louisville actually went into Death Valley beat Clemson, so
• 1:57:46
  Speaker 1: Clemson might remember that. So I think Clemson is actually
• 1:57:50
  Speaker 1: going to pay attention to this game and to South
• 1:57:53
  Speaker 1: Carolina at the end of the season when it gets
• 1:57:54
  Speaker 1: to it, because they lost to South Carolina in that
• 1:57:57
  Speaker 1: game last year too, So a team like Clemson that
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 1: had very few losses last year, they're gonna remember those losses,
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 1: so I actually think that will motivate them here as well. Louisville,
• 1:58:08
  Speaker 1: of course, is going to be motivated because they're in
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 1: a spot similar to Old Dominion last night, which I
• 1:58:13
  Speaker 1: should have taken that into account. Where Louisville it's unlikely
• 1:58:17
  Speaker 1: they're gonna make the a SEC Championship, but they need
• 1:58:20
  Speaker 1: teams above them to lose. Louisville's got two losses in
• 1:58:23
  Speaker 1: the AEC. They got four five teams ahead of them
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 1: with one loss right now, so it's unlikely Louisville's gonna
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 1: make it. But if multiple of those teams dropped to
• 1:58:33
  Speaker 1: four and two, there's a chance that Louisville might be
• 1:58:34
  Speaker 1: able to still make it. So Louisville's a team that's
• 1:58:37
  Speaker 1: in a spot right now where they're still mathematically alive,
• 1:58:41
  Speaker 1: but they need a lot of help, so it's kind
• 1:58:43
  Speaker 1: of like it's like it's out of their hands, so
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 1: they can play a little bit looser. They are hosting
• 1:58:47
  Speaker 1: this game at home, and I think they're also going
• 1:58:49
  Speaker 1: to be focused because it's against Clems, And I think
• 1:58:52
  Speaker 1: you still get up for a game against Clemson because
• 1:58:54
  Speaker 1: it's a big name. And Louisville lost at home to
• 1:58:56
  Speaker 1: Cal last week in overtime. That's an ugly one loss, dude,
• 1:59:00
  Speaker 1: for Louisville. Losing is a home favorite of eighteen and
• 1:59:03
  Speaker 1: a half points they lost to Cal. That is like
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 1: almost unacceptable. So you could argue that that could be
• 1:59:09
  Speaker 1: considered a dream crusher because it gave Louisville their second loss,
• 1:59:12
  Speaker 1: and Cal actually outgained them in the game too, so
• 1:59:15
  Speaker 1: it wasn't that misleading. But I could see both arguments here. Man,
• 1:59:21
  Speaker 1: I could see the argument that it's a dream crusher,
• 1:59:23
  Speaker 1: but I don't think it is because I don't think
• 1:59:25
  Speaker 1: they're completely eliminated yet. And again I think because it's
• 1:59:28
  Speaker 1: Clemson and because that was such an embarrassing loss, I
• 1:59:31
  Speaker 1: actually expect them to still focus on this game, but
• 1:59:34
  Speaker 1: I also expect focus out of Clemson. Here. Both teams
• 1:59:38
  Speaker 1: played on Saturdays. They have the same rest here. As
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 1: far as the market read Louisville is, you'd think there
• 1:59:45
  Speaker 1: would be the public side. They're down from three to
• 1:59:47
  Speaker 1: two and a half here, fifty five percent of the
• 1:59:49
  Speaker 1: tickets are actually on Clemson, but sixty five percent of
• 1:59:51
  Speaker 1: the cash on Clemson. Don't think you can get the
• 1:59:54
  Speaker 1: three anymore on Clemson. Maybe it'll show up again, maybe
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 1: or if you wait around game time. If you do
• 1:59:59
  Speaker 1: like Clemson, and I do lean that way, I would
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 1: take the points with Clemson in this one if I
• 2:00:03
  Speaker 1: was gonna play it. Obviously getting the key number three
• 2:00:05
  Speaker 1: would be big, which you missed out on it at
• 2:00:08
  Speaker 1: this point, But you might see it show up during
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 1: the day, especially if the public starts kind of coming
• 2:00:12
  Speaker 1: in on Clemson, because you know, the public likes saym
• 2:00:15
  Speaker 1: at football and on a Friday night, this is the
• 2:00:17
  Speaker 1: game they're gonna bet. Most likely this is bigger than
• 2:00:19
  Speaker 1: the other games. So you may still be able to
• 2:00:22
  Speaker 1: catch a three on Clemson if you like that total
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 1: dropped from fifty one and a half to fifty one.
• 2:00:27
  Speaker 1: Juice to the under. If you do like the under,
• 2:00:29
  Speaker 1: the fifty one is the key number there seventy three
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets eighty two percent of the cash on
• 2:00:33
  Speaker 1: the over in a game like that, I mean I
• 2:00:36
  Speaker 1: would probably be leaning towards an under as well, because
• 2:00:39
  Speaker 1: you might see both teams focusing off on the game.
• 2:00:45
  Speaker 1: Although I hesitate a little bit. I mean, I don't
• 2:00:46
  Speaker 1: have a strong opinion on the game really, so and
• 2:00:50
  Speaker 1: then Minnesota is at Oregon, who's ranked eighth in the country.
• 2:00:53
  Speaker 1: Oregon's up from twenty three and a half to twenty five.
• 2:00:55
  Speaker 1: Here they're getting the cash sixty eight percent of the
• 2:00:57
  Speaker 1: cash on Oregon, fifty six percent of tickets on mis Minnesota.
• 2:01:01
  Speaker 1: So Minnesota is actually public, which seems very strange to me.
• 2:01:05
  Speaker 1: I don't understand why the public would be would be
• 2:01:08
  Speaker 1: wanted to play Minnesota against Oregon, even though it is
• 2:01:11
  Speaker 1: a big number. Minnesota has had a bunch of time
• 2:01:14
  Speaker 1: off because they last played on November first. They're coming
• 2:01:17
  Speaker 1: out of a buye. They did go into the buy
• 2:01:19
  Speaker 1: in a good note because they got their six wins,
• 2:01:21
  Speaker 1: so their Bowl eligible again, which with Minnesota, I mean
• 2:01:24
  Speaker 1: that is one of their goals because I don't think
• 2:01:25
  Speaker 1: they realistically think they can win the Big Ten or
• 2:01:28
  Speaker 1: anything like that. So that's a big win for them
• 2:01:30
  Speaker 1: to get Bowl eligible against Michigan State. So they did
• 2:01:34
  Speaker 1: go into the buy in a good note. But they
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 1: do have extra prep time here for Oregon, and it's
• 2:01:38
  Speaker 1: not like they're gonna be unfocused against Oregon. But it
• 2:01:41
  Speaker 1: is a spot where they do have to go out
• 2:01:42
  Speaker 1: to the Pacific Coast, so that is a difficult travel
• 2:01:45
  Speaker 1: spot and it's a very hostile environment that Minnesota is
• 2:01:49
  Speaker 1: not familiar with because they don't usually have to play
• 2:01:51
  Speaker 1: in Oregon. I don't think they really I don't think
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 1: they've ever played a regular season game at Oregon, or
• 2:01:55
  Speaker 1: at least not recently, because Oregon's new to the conference.
• 2:02:00
  Speaker 1: So I think if they played it all last year,
• 2:02:02
  Speaker 1: it would have been at Minnesota. Now, Minnesota did do
• 2:02:05
  Speaker 1: it once this year. They went to Cal in September,
• 2:02:08
  Speaker 1: so they did make this Pacific Coast trip one time,
• 2:02:10
  Speaker 1: so they're at least used to it. Although they lost
• 2:02:12
  Speaker 1: that game. Cal has been a decently competitive team though.
• 2:02:16
  Speaker 1: But now I think the fact that they've done it
• 2:02:18
  Speaker 1: once and they have extra time off will actually kind
• 2:02:20
  Speaker 1: of mitigate that Pacific Coast travel spot a little bit.
• 2:02:25
  Speaker 1: So I don't hate that. And they got the extra
• 2:02:27
  Speaker 1: time off because Oregon is on a short week. Oregon
• 2:02:30
  Speaker 1: did just play on Saturday and they got a big
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 1: win against Iowa. Man So that was a big game
• 2:02:37
  Speaker 1: in the Big Ten, really physical battle. Iowa will beat
• 2:02:40
  Speaker 1: you up. It was a close physical game, Oregon God
• 2:02:43
  Speaker 1: the win. You could argue they escaped because Oregon was
• 2:02:46
  Speaker 1: the favorite in the game, but I kind of see
• 2:02:49
  Speaker 1: it as it being a big game, a rank versus
• 2:02:52
  Speaker 1: rank matchup, and with short time, I think it actually
• 2:02:55
  Speaker 1: could maybe set up a bit of a letdown spot
• 2:02:57
  Speaker 1: for Oregon here, even though of course they're still fighting
• 2:02:59
  Speaker 1: to try to get into the Big Ten championship. Here,
• 2:03:01
  Speaker 1: they got one loss in the Big Ten. I mean,
• 2:03:03
  Speaker 1: it's unlikely because they need Indiana or Ohio State to
• 2:03:06
  Speaker 1: slip up, but it is mathematically possible. And I mean
• 2:03:11
  Speaker 1: Oregon already lost to Indiana though, so they don't have
• 2:03:13
  Speaker 1: the tiebreaker against Indiana, so that is a problem. They
• 2:03:16
  Speaker 1: have not played Ohio State, I don't think, so that's
• 2:03:18
  Speaker 1: the one thing that kind of helps them. They need
• 2:03:20
  Speaker 1: Ohio State to split to slip up though, so or again,
• 2:03:26
  Speaker 1: if Indiana does slip up again, Oregon will potentially over
• 2:03:31
  Speaker 1: take them. So like I guess if Indiana slips up twice,
• 2:03:36
  Speaker 1: which is probably not gonna happen, But anyway, Oregon's in
• 2:03:40
  Speaker 1: kind of one of those situations like Old Dominion last night,
• 2:03:43
  Speaker 1: in like Louisville tonight, where there's still mathematically alive, but
• 2:03:46
  Speaker 1: they need help. So really all they can do is
• 2:03:48
  Speaker 1: win and then it's kind of out of there. It's
• 2:03:50
  Speaker 1: almost like it's in God's hands, you know what I mean.
• 2:03:52
  Speaker 1: So they actually get to play looser for that reason.
• 2:03:55
  Speaker 1: But they do have usc UP Next. That's a big game,
• 2:03:58
  Speaker 1: a former Pack twelve game there, that's a big ten game.
• 2:04:02
  Speaker 1: So there is definitely an argument to be made here
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 1: that that it's a sandwich spot and Minnesota with extra rest,
• 2:04:08
  Speaker 1: you know, I'm gonna lead to taking the points of
• 2:04:10
  Speaker 1: Minnesota in that game. I don't want to touch it though,
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 1: but that would be my lean in that game. The
• 2:04:15
  Speaker 1: money seems to disagree with me in that one, but
• 2:04:17
  Speaker 1: I do think because Oregon's coming off such a punishing
• 2:04:20
  Speaker 1: game and with short rest here with usc UP next, yeah,
• 2:04:23
  Speaker 1: I mean I would kind of lean against it, but
• 2:04:25
  Speaker 1: I just I don't want to play Minnesota, especially just
• 2:04:28
  Speaker 1: going to a really unfamiliar, hostile environment on the road
• 2:04:32
  Speaker 1: with another Pacific time zone trip. Don't want to do it,
• 2:04:35
  Speaker 1: So I'm leaving the game alone. That's gonna do it. Man.
• 2:04:40
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out, Charles, what's up? Man? Thanks for
• 2:04:42
  Speaker 1: coming in at the end of the show. You get
• 2:04:45
  Speaker 1: all my plays real quick, and we got a bunch
• 2:04:46
  Speaker 1: of them today, and a lot of these lines have moved,
• 2:04:48
  Speaker 1: so I apologize for that, but it just happens in
• 2:04:53
  Speaker 1: college basketball early in the morning. Miss, So once again
• 2:04:55
  Speaker 1: the plays today, Hofstra minus the one and a half
• 2:04:58
  Speaker 1: or money line or you might have to lay two
• 2:04:59
  Speaker 1: to one half on it now. I like the hoster
• 2:05:02
  Speaker 1: side though. College basketball, we're talking about DePaul plus the
• 2:05:06
  Speaker 1: five or whatever the best numbers you can get. Always
• 2:05:08
  Speaker 1: get the best number. Colgate plus twenty nine and a half.
• 2:05:11
  Speaker 1: You might be able to get a better number on
• 2:05:12
  Speaker 1: that one now too, So I'll have to look and
• 2:05:14
  Speaker 1: see what the best number is cal Paul plus the
• 2:05:17
  Speaker 1: seven and a half, Colorado plus one, although you might
• 2:05:21
  Speaker 1: have to lay like a money line on it now
• 2:05:22
  Speaker 1: because they're shifting to the favorite NHL. We got the
• 2:05:25
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis Blues on the money line. We gotta split
• 2:05:27
  Speaker 1: bet and make your own plus one puck line, make
• 2:05:31
  Speaker 1: your own minus one excuse me puck line on Utah
• 2:05:33
  Speaker 1: as a favorite. You could go with Utah on regulation
• 2:05:36
  Speaker 1: and about minus one thirty five as well, but those
• 2:05:38
  Speaker 1: have not been working out for me, so I'm going
• 2:05:41
  Speaker 1: back to the more risk averse solution where if they
• 2:05:44
  Speaker 1: win the game at all, it'll be a push you
• 2:05:46
  Speaker 1: having to lay about the same price on this at
• 2:05:48
  Speaker 1: about minus one thirty I think a little bit less
• 2:05:51
  Speaker 1: at about minus one thirty four if you can kind
• 2:05:53
  Speaker 1: of find the best number on both splitting part of
• 2:05:55
  Speaker 1: it on the misus one and have minus one and
• 2:05:57
  Speaker 1: have puck line and the other part of it on
• 2:06:00
  Speaker 1: two hundred on the money line. Unfortunately, but there are,
• 2:06:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, there just aren't great ways to play favorites,
• 2:06:05
  Speaker 1: but it's just such a good spot. I just don't
• 2:06:07
  Speaker 1: want to really leave it alone, bad spot for the islander.
• 2:06:11
  Speaker 1: So that's what we're doing there. Gets a little bit
• 2:06:14
  Speaker 1: pricey for that. To make it your own minus one
• 2:06:17
  Speaker 1: puck line exactly. You can use a and all It's
• 2:06:20
  Speaker 1: calculator for that, like I've shown you, and it comes
• 2:06:23
  Speaker 1: out to about sixty percent of the bet on the
• 2:06:25
  Speaker 1: minus two hundred. And then in the NBA, we're getting
• 2:06:27
  Speaker 1: real ugly with the Brooklyn Nets plus fourteen and a half,
• 2:06:31
  Speaker 1: Sacramento Kings plus twelve and less ugly. I guess the
• 2:06:35
  Speaker 1: San Antonio Spurs minus two that's gonna do it last minute.
• 2:06:39
  Speaker 1: Those are all the plays. Yes, sir, I'm gonna eat
• 2:06:42
  Speaker 1: lunch now as well. Thanks guys, thanks for hanging out.
• 2:06:45
  Speaker 1: I appreciate it. Happy Friday and everybody, let's get some wins.
• 2:06:48
  Speaker 1: Huge card. Gonna lose my voice again, Gonna put out
• 2:06:51
  Speaker 1: all these Instagram videos. Long lived Tower Gang. I decided
• 2:06:54
  Speaker 1: to bring back the hat for a little bit. Almost
• 2:06:57
  Speaker 1: wore my sabonas jersey and I should have because it's
• 2:07:00
  Speaker 1: got black and well, I'm in black matches. Anything but
• 2:07:02
  Speaker 1: black and purple will go well with the black hat.
• 2:07:04
  Speaker 1: So that's gonna do it. Thanks guys for hanging out.
• 2:07:07
  Speaker 1: Learn to toad on Instagram and learn to toad on Twitter.
• 2:07:10
  Speaker 1: I like it. Subscribe here toadstool Sports. Hopefully hopefully you
• 2:07:13
  Speaker 1: guys like the rebranding here toadstool Sports. Yeah, so like subscribe.
• 2:07:18
  Speaker 1: Comment helps me out on the channel here, uh, towergat
• 2:07:22
  Speaker 1: for Life. Yeah, give me a good review on Spotify
• 2:07:24
  Speaker 1: and iTunes. We've got a few five stars on Spotify,
• 2:07:27
  Speaker 1: so I appreciate that. Not on iTunes Apple yet, So
• 2:07:30
  Speaker 1: it helps me out all that stuff covered in you
• 2:07:34
  Speaker 1: because my yuke channel on YouTube, I know I need
• 2:07:37
  Speaker 1: to somehow get that to take off a little bit more.
• 2:07:40
  Speaker 1: Been thinking about consolidating all my stuff into like a
• 2:07:42
  Speaker 1: just one single Toad YouTube, but I don't know yet,
• 2:07:47
  Speaker 1: just because I feel like i'm too I don't know,
• 2:07:50
  Speaker 1: I'm like spreading myself too thin. Maybe I don't know.
• 2:07:53
  Speaker 1: But then having like ridiculously like disparate things on one
• 2:07:56
  Speaker 1: channel is weird too, Like a channel with Yuke and
• 2:07:59
  Speaker 1: sports betting and if I want to do like tier
• 2:08:02
  Speaker 1: lists and stuff, I don't know, because I've been thinking
• 2:08:03
  Speaker 1: about maybe doing that too, it seems a little weird
• 2:08:05
  Speaker 1: on one channel anyway. I don't know. I'm just thinking
• 2:08:09
  Speaker 1: about things. And then yeah, the toe diverse, I could
• 2:08:12
  Speaker 1: call it that. Yeah, interesting, hmm, I'll think of h
• 2:08:16
  Speaker 1: think about it. I don't know how I would have
• 2:08:18
  Speaker 1: like merged the two channels that already have stuff up
• 2:08:21
  Speaker 1: on each channel that I mean, I could just start
• 2:08:22
  Speaker 1: posting the Yuke videos on like, you know, use this
• 2:08:26
  Speaker 1: channel here and change the name of it again, just
• 2:08:29
  Speaker 1: start using the putting the Yuke videos up on this one,
• 2:08:32
  Speaker 1: I don't know, and Patreon dot com, slash learn to
• 2:08:34
  Speaker 1: Toad all Yuke content. Right now, there's a Spotify YUKEV
• 2:08:37
  Speaker 1: and I know, I apologize. I'm very slow at being
• 2:08:40
  Speaker 1: up to date with that. This sports betting has taken
• 2:08:43
  Speaker 1: a lot out of me.
• 2:08:44
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 2:08:44
  Speaker 1: I should just be betting because it's been really good.
• 2:08:46
  Speaker 1: I should be back to betting. I was doing it
• 2:08:48
  Speaker 1: for like eighteen years, and I stopped because my money
• 2:08:51
  Speaker 1: was not liquid enough after I got after I lost
• 2:08:54
  Speaker 1: my job, I never really had that much money, you know,
• 2:08:56
  Speaker 1: that was totally liquid, So bad bad spot for me,
• 2:09:01
  Speaker 1: the ill liquid fun spot for me there. So I
• 2:09:04
  Speaker 1: gotta figure out what I want to do. Because we've
• 2:09:06
  Speaker 1: been hot. I would have been winning money on this recently,
• 2:09:08
  Speaker 1: so it's been a good like end of the year.
• 2:09:11
  Speaker 1: We're gonna wind up up for the year for sure
• 2:09:13
  Speaker 1: at this point unless something really goes badly, which I
• 2:09:16
  Speaker 1: know I have high it's the high volume part of
• 2:09:18
  Speaker 1: the year, so I guess it's possible, but hopefully that
• 2:09:21
  Speaker 1: doesn't happen. Yeah, but that's it, man, And then you
• 2:09:25
  Speaker 1: get requests on the Patreon as well. That's gonna do it.
• 2:09:28
  Speaker 1: Have a good one, guys.
• 2:09:29
  Speaker 2: Peace,