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UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:05
  Speaker 1: All systems going clear the lift.
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: Oh baby, we're back talking some UFC three twenty nine,
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: Max Holloway, Connor McGregor. Connor McGregor is back in action
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: after five years. And you you will know Connor is
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: back when you see the prize pools in the DraftKings
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: Lobby two hundred thousand, first forty seven thousand people in
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: the main flagship contest. Say what you want about Connor
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: McGregor on or in, on and off the field, in
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: and out of the octagon, but man, there's no denying
• 1:05
  Speaker 2: the star power he has, the fandom he has behind
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: him when he fights, people want to watch. That makes
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: me absolutely pumped for this card. But even if you
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: took away Connor McGregor, Max Holloway and put up some
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: other fight in the main event, we have fourteen fights.
• 1:18
  Speaker 2: Fingers crossed, we keep all fourteen because that is awesome
• 1:21
  Speaker 2: for dfs. Plenty of fights expected to go the distance.
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: Gable Stevenson making his UFC debut as well. Top to bottom.
• 1:29
  Speaker 2: I think this card has a lot of awesome fights.
• 1:31
  Speaker 2: I think it's pretty hard for dfs with so many
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: good fights to target, and I do think there's gonna
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: be some concentrated ownership when we get to the mid
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: tier and stuff like that. But I'm super pumped. Cannot
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: wait for Saturday, five pm Eastern Fight Capital of the
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: World at te Mobile Arena. We got Nate, d Ax, Hebrew, Cheetah,
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: and Marquee. Absolutely everyone loving this slate, Big Marley, what
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: are your thoughts on the slit? How we doing today?
• 1:55
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I love having a Connor McGregor card.
• 1:58
  Speaker 3: I've been around for a long time.
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 2:01
  Speaker 4: Connor is the one who really blew up the sport.
• 2:03
  Speaker 3: I mean he's done a lot of shitty things since then,
• 2:06
  Speaker 3: but it's good to have him back.
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 2:08
  Speaker 3: I'd like the ara is there. I mean, I wish
• 2:10
  Speaker 3: I was in Vegas for this card for fight week.
• 2:13
  Speaker 3: Nothing like Connor McGregor card with all the Irish fans. Man,
• 2:17
  Speaker 3: they're freaking wild, dude. So I'm imagining that's exactly what
• 2:21
  Speaker 3: Vegas is this weekend. It's just gonna be a wild
• 2:24
  Speaker 3: time and a wild card and I'm glad we have
• 2:26
  Speaker 3: fourteen fights. I think it's it's a good fourteen fight
• 2:31
  Speaker 3: card because we got some easy five star fights that
• 2:33
  Speaker 3: I was I couldn't wait to put some five stars
• 2:36
  Speaker 3: on this fight, but then I was trying to find
• 2:38
  Speaker 3: like one one star and I couldn't do it. I
• 2:40
  Speaker 3: don't think there's any easy fight to fade a couple
• 2:43
  Speaker 3: of fighters. I'm okay getting away from them, but no
• 2:46
  Speaker 3: easy fight to fade on a fourteen fight card.
• 2:48
  Speaker 4: So I think it's a good DFS one.
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: I agree with that for sure. In terms of ownership,
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: I kind of hinted at some popular fights. Obviously the
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: main event been watching Antony. Patty Pimlet is gonna be
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: very popular in the mid tier, and of course, anytime
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: you see that name Terence McKinney, him and his opponent
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: are always popular. So I think that very clear. The
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: three highest own fights, best three fights at target. Big
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: Marley sees it the same with his five stars main event,
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: comin event McKinney, King Green. When you do start all
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: your teams with those three fights, though, I would be
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: a little cautious what you're doing with your other spots.
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: Right now, our current projected ownership has nobody over fifty
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: percent and only a couple of fighters below ten percent.
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: After that, it'll be mixed and matched, and that is
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: perfect for DFS. If you chop ten ways in the
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: flagship this week, I promise you will be happy again
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: almost double. The size is two hundred K to first
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: versus one hunter K to first, and it's forty seven
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: thousand people, so a lot of people. I'm hoping and
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: expecting a lot of casual money to be in the
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: DFS streets. I think it's an awesome, way awesome week
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: to jam it pretty hard. Not every slate is good
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: for DFS. That means I don't think you should play
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: the same bank rull every single week for some I
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: think you should pick your spots in all DFS sports
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: and that this is one of the better weeks in
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: my opinion, when we're talking at UFC with the casuals,
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: with the prize pools, and with fourteen fights to talk,
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: so I'm super pumped. We're going to go bottom the top,
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: like always, try and find where we can get different,
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: what we like, where we can fade, and there's always
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: the like button and subscribe button helps us out a ton,
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: But we got no time to waste fourteen fights to
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: talk about. We're kicking it off with a pretty solid
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: fight here. Alessandra coast to minus two to thirty five
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: Cody Dirton plus two hundred minus one eighty for this
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: fight to finish, Coast to minus one ten inside the
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: distance third and plus four hundred. Anytime Cody Durton is
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: pricing the lower tier, I almost always have interests. You
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: can see on the stone three point nine to nine
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: takedowns per fifteen minutes. If he wins, it's usually behind
• 4:43
  Speaker 2: multiple takedowns. And if he wins at seventy one hundred
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: with multiple takedowns, hard to see him not scoring well,
• 4:49
  Speaker 2: at least a score that you'd be mad at. So
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: I'm going to play some Cody Durden for sure. He's
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: my preferred play because Coast is two k more at
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: ninety one hundred. I don't think he really wrestles, and
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: Sturdin will be. He is minus one ten inside the
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: distance and plus two seventy five in round one. I
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: mean that's good enough for me to play some for sure.
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: But if he doesn't get that first round knockout, second
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: round is live. Maybe needs multiple knockdowns. But Dirtin, I think,
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: is the one that has to push the pace for
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: Coasta to do something, because otherwise he is fine sitting
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: on the back foot throwing light kicks and finding his shots.
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: So I assume you're gonna have a similar take playing Dirdam,
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: and I'm curious to hear your take on Costa.
• 5:27
  Speaker 3: Yeah, Dirtin should be our minute winner in this one,
• 5:31
  Speaker 3: like if we're turning out turning off knockouts. I feel
• 5:34
  Speaker 3: like he could kind of hang with Coast volume wise
• 5:37
  Speaker 3: on the feet.
• 5:38
  Speaker 4: But Dirten has to wrestle in this fight.
• 5:40
  Speaker 3: And if he can just wrestle, stay in top control,
• 5:43
  Speaker 3: land multiple takedowns, and control this fight and not get finished,
• 5:46
  Speaker 3: he should win the fight. And he should also score
• 5:49
  Speaker 3: ninety plus points. He should score very well. If he wins,
• 5:52
  Speaker 3: it might be a no Dirtin, no cash type of week.
• 5:54
  Speaker 3: So I definitely do like Dirtin. But the moment winner
• 5:58
  Speaker 3: in this fight, whether that be on the ground or
• 6:00
  Speaker 3: the feet, I think Coasta could knockout Dirtin, or I
• 6:03
  Speaker 3: think he could submit him as well, whether it be
• 6:07
  Speaker 3: the first round or the third. I just think that
• 6:09
  Speaker 3: Coast is gonna be live for that finish at any
• 6:11
  Speaker 3: given point. And I don't think he's gonna get much
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: ownership either, So I like Dirtin. I do think he'll
• 6:17
  Speaker 3: get some ownership as a as a way to get
• 6:20
  Speaker 3: up to Gable Stevenson, But Coast is one of my
• 6:23
  Speaker 3: ways to get different on this card. I don't have
• 6:25
  Speaker 3: a whole lot of ways to get different, but I
• 6:27
  Speaker 3: think Coast first round, second round, knockout or knock down
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: club itself. I think that is super live on this card.
• 6:35
  Speaker 3: And I think that Dirdin's aggressiveness is also gonna help
• 6:38
  Speaker 3: Coasta's I guess points scoring as well, because he's gonna
• 6:45
  Speaker 3: have to at least match that aggressiveness or get that
• 6:47
  Speaker 3: early finished. And if he does, I'm just not gonna
• 6:50
  Speaker 3: have to compete as with as much of the card
• 6:52
  Speaker 3: as I would if I'm going up to like a
• 6:54
  Speaker 3: thirty five forty percent on Gable Stevenson.
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: Muted muted, oh right away to start the car. That's
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: not good, But that makes a lot of sense if
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: you just look at Coasta's round one prop plus two
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: seventy five is about twenty six percent. His own projected
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: ownership right now is under twenty six percent, especially with
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: Max Holloway right here for only one hundred cheaper. Not
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: saying you can like you have to play Coast if
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: you leave zero dollars and play Coasta and you fade
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: the main event. That'll be a lot more different obviously
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: than leaving the one hundred and playing Max. Holloway, do
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: you like that idea? Would you be fine having nobody
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: in the main events and you just start playing coast
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: and zeroing it out or leaving one hundred on the
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: table instead of playing Max for one hundred cheaper.
• 7:38
  Speaker 3: Ah, Man, I don't know. This might be a week
• 7:41
  Speaker 3: where I make a rule for the main event, but okay.
• 7:44
  Speaker 4: I don't know. I feel like you're gonna need the
• 7:46
  Speaker 4: main event. We'll get we'll get to it. We'll get there.
• 7:49
  Speaker 4: But I don't think I would do that.
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: Sounds good, Yeah, we'll We'll get to it when we
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: get to it. The reason I asked mainly, though, is
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: because McKinney been was Saint Denis and or McKinney and
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: King Green and Wah and Patty Pimlitt are both really
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: really good fights in my opinion as well, and all
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: in the mid tier. And it's really easy when you
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: hand build and even optimizers to play all three of
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: those fights. But when you do, you do really have
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: to be cautious with your with your other three spots.
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: So if I think if I'm playing a lot of teams,
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: which I do expect to play a lot of teams
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: this week. I would be fine in very large field
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: stuff if you do Costa instead of Max Holloway in
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: the main event and he does outscore him in a
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: vacuum that could be three dupes or less versus twenty plus.
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: And when you're winning three dupes or less, I mean
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: you're winning seventy five plus thousand this week. When you win,
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: how much do you win? So I think I would
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: be fine with it. It's not something I'm necessarily going
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: out of my way to do, but I mean, yeah,
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: he's twenty six percent to win in round one. That
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: clearly has upside. You get two knockdowns in there that
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: is very live to score over one hundred plus Max
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: scores ninety eight and he beats him that way, But
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: Thurdan's the easier click in this fight. You need dogs.
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: But I think ownership will kind of reflect that as well.
• 8:58
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I do think that makes since.
• 9:00
  Speaker 3: Actually, I mean if I was making one hundred and
• 9:02
  Speaker 3: fifty lineups too, especially if I'm making like, you know,
• 9:05
  Speaker 3: twenty or ten or less, I'm probably looking through to
• 9:07
  Speaker 3: make sure I have the main event in there. And
• 9:09
  Speaker 3: if I just saw wait, wait, wait, there's no main
• 9:11
  Speaker 3: event in this one, and I just saw a coasta
• 9:14
  Speaker 3: in there, it just wouldn't feel good.
• 9:16
  Speaker 4: So I think it would be more of an mm
• 9:17
  Speaker 4: E thing.
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: Maybe I won't make it any rule if I am
• 9:20
  Speaker 3: MM but I just know with my handbeilts, I'm gonna
• 9:23
  Speaker 3: be looking through making sure I see Holloway.
• 9:24
  Speaker 4: And if I don't see Holloway, I want to see McGregor.
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: Hey, that makes a lot of sense for sure. Gotta
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: say hi to couple people and chat Matthaus in here.
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: Appreciate the words. Gee, Pfeiffer, Hey, I missed you dude
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: as well. I hope life is treating you well. It's
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: been a minute. Hope you're enjoying the UFC streets in
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: life is treating you well. We'll keep it rolling to
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: one of my favorite fights at Target on the card,
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: Ryan Gondre minus one thirty five taken on Zach Reese
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: plus one fifteen minus six hundred For this fight to finish,
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: Gondra minus won twenty five inside the distance Reese plus
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: one seventy five ron one props. Gondre plus one forty
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: five zach Reese plus three sixty five and zach Reese
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: open plus five hundred in round one, so he's taken
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: quite a bit of money there as far as under
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: one and a half was minus one seventy five, then
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: minus one ninety. It got to a little money back
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: on the over though it is back to minus one
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: seventy five. I put these odds up on Monday, and
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: the inside the distance props up I believe this morning.
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: So yeah, money really hasn't moved too much since earlier
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: in the week. With that being said, though, at open,
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: zach Reese opened minus two twenty five shortly after found
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: himself is the dog at plus one fifty got all
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: the way down to plus one seventy and then he's
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: taken some money, So reese big favorite line flipped to
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: Gondra Reese is now taking some money on the way back.
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: Just looking on the money line, zach Reese is the
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: easier click, the better play plus one fifteen at seventy
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: six hundred. There's money buying value there with the great
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: inside the distance prop. So I think he's an easy click.
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: I think ownership will be there though, I think gondre
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: is a pretty easy click. Give me a lot of
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: this fight. What about you?
• 11:02
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I almost made it a five star.
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: I really liked this fight, and I think both sides
• 11:07
  Speaker 3: have a really good chance to score more than one
• 11:09
  Speaker 3: hundred points. But I would just worry really about both
• 11:12
  Speaker 3: sides if this fight gets extended. I still't know what
• 11:15
  Speaker 3: this fight's gonna look like if it's the second round.
• 11:18
  Speaker 3: I mean there's a good chance though, that it doesn't
• 11:20
  Speaker 3: and we just get one hundred hundred and ten points
• 11:22
  Speaker 3: from either one of these guys, and I would imagine
• 11:24
  Speaker 3: that puts him on the optimal lineup.
• 11:25
  Speaker 4: So I might move this to a five star because
• 11:28
  Speaker 4: I want to use.
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: A lot of it.
• 11:30
  Speaker 3: The more the line changes, the more I have liked Reese,
• 11:34
  Speaker 3: and I think it makes sense.
• 11:35
  Speaker 4: He's the better athlete.
• 11:36
  Speaker 3: I think he is the slicker striker, probably has the
• 11:40
  Speaker 3: better cardio, but he can be inconsistent in fights. He
• 11:43
  Speaker 3: can get cracked himself, and Gondre has big time power.
• 11:48
  Speaker 3: When I looked at this fight, Gondre was like minus
• 11:51
  Speaker 3: one eighty five to two hundred range and I ended
• 11:54
  Speaker 3: up picking him to win. The more that the line
• 11:56
  Speaker 3: has closed, I feel like the ownership it's not gonna
• 11:59
  Speaker 3: go away, but it is going to go down at
• 12:01
  Speaker 3: least a little bit, and the more it goes down,
• 12:03
  Speaker 3: the more I like Gandra, So he's my preferred play
• 12:06
  Speaker 3: in this one. But for like the World Championship, I've
• 12:11
  Speaker 3: even thought like, damn, do I go Reese because he's
• 12:13
  Speaker 3: so cheap and the line is tightening up so much.
• 12:16
  Speaker 3: But then I was like, nah, I mean, he could
• 12:18
  Speaker 3: score zero points and I don't know if I can
• 12:20
  Speaker 3: just get away with that in the World Championship. But
• 12:24
  Speaker 3: the more that the line is closed, the more I've
• 12:25
  Speaker 3: thought about Reese being like a really good underdog play
• 12:29
  Speaker 3: for Draftings.
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: Yeah, from the top, I should have said something, good
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: luck to you this week, good luck to Kenny, good
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: luck to Ricardo, good luck to Sheets any when else
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: here watching definitely good luck in that shout out to
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: Rose Bowl. I mentioned it prior though he not the
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: MMA Championship, but it was I had to have qualifier championship.
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: That DraftKings ran like an online final, and he took
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: second for forty thousand, even more money for the World Championship.
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: Is it a one hundred down to forty down to
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: fifteen like it was two years ago? Yep, Yeah, one
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: hundred and forty to fifteen. Yeah, very interesting. I've qualified twice,
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: have yet or didn't get to the final, hardly even
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: tried this year. But I said, Terrence McKinney, it was
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: him against Esabon Rievivicks, and it was on the one
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: to get to the final, and it was really Chalky
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: McKinney and I debated what to do. Especially the only
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: reason I'm bringing that up is his zach Reese's floors
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: four McKinney's flour in that one. I think he scored one,
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: but it's like three points. It's really tough. But when
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: they win, they score a lot, and he's seventy six hundred.
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: So yeah, very very interesting there, especially because first place
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: and fortieth place are identical this week. You don't make
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: any extra money regardless of wordy place there. You just
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: move on. So yeah.
• 13:40
  Speaker 3: Also worry me that a lot of people will have reee.
• 13:43
  Speaker 3: And if I'm worried about him scoring zero and they
• 13:45
  Speaker 3: all score one hundred and ten, maybe that that kills
• 13:48
  Speaker 3: me two.
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: One hundred percent a lot of games there. I'm not,
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: like I said, I've never got there. I made the
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: wrong decision. I almost played a Sabon Rievi's that one
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: day who was only one player played him, and that
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: was Shady Advice, who I deemed to be one of
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: the best players in the world. So so much goes
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: in to those in projecting ownership in that contest with
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: one hundred people is a lot different than flagship stuff
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: and all that. So, yeah, good luck to you guys
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: this week. For sure. I'm obviously I wish I was
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: in there and had to make the tough decisions, but
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: there are tough decisions to make on this card with
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: a lot of binary fights, no doubt. Yeah, what's up, Tracy.
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: He's wishing all of you guys good luck? He or
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: she I should say, Yeah, we'll get We'll get to
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: the Gable talk in a little bit. First, we got
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: to talk about the latest fight that was added to
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: the card pricing. I believe just came out today maybe yesterday,
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: But Freed Boschrot second biggest favorite on the card minus
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: seven hundred, taken on John Garza plus five hundred. I'm
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: always seeing DraftKings have the fight to finish prop Right
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: now it's minus one forty five individual inside the distance
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: props bashrat plus one hundred, Garza plus seven fifty and
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: DraftKings has around one props as well. Freed Boschrot plus
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: two seventy five. So it is worth noting costa for
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: five hundred cheaper better inside the distance prop by ten
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: cents and the same round one prop. Does that make
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: you not like Farid much? And then I break this
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: one down?
• 15:13
  Speaker 4: Yeah?
• 15:13
  Speaker 3: I really it's hard to want to get to Freed
• 15:16
  Speaker 3: at ninety six hundred dollars. I think he's only paid
• 15:19
  Speaker 3: that off one time in his career, and I mean
• 15:22
  Speaker 3: ninety six is an extra one hundred dollars too.
• 15:24
  Speaker 4: I mean I prefer like ninety five or less.
• 15:27
  Speaker 3: And then not only do you have to worry about
• 15:28
  Speaker 3: paying ninety six, you also have to wonder if it's
• 15:31
  Speaker 3: better than paying down from Stevenson at ninety nine.
• 15:34
  Speaker 4: Who knows what the hell he's gonna do on this card.
• 15:37
  Speaker 3: So I just think that Fared is more of an
• 15:39
  Speaker 3: ownership play on this where you're getting away from that
• 15:42
  Speaker 3: Gables Stevenson ownership and you're cutting it at least in
• 15:46
  Speaker 3: half and going to Bashaatt I think more than half.
• 15:50
  Speaker 3: And in this fight, Basharat should be looking to wrestle
• 15:54
  Speaker 3: and grapple, and that's how he would score his most
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: points because Garza actually put this five in one stars
• 16:00
  Speaker 3: before I even looked at Garza just based on the line,
• 16:03
  Speaker 3: but I kind of liked what I saw from Garza.
• 16:05
  Speaker 3: He's got some really slick hands, a fast jab, a
• 16:09
  Speaker 3: good one too, some heavy lay kicks, but pass Rat's
• 16:13
  Speaker 3: a really good striker too. I feel like it's gonna
• 16:15
  Speaker 3: be hard to beat mash Rat on the feet, and
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: if Basharratt feels like that it's not going well on
• 16:20
  Speaker 3: the feet. I think he can completely dominate the fight
• 16:23
  Speaker 3: on the ground and look like a minus six hundred
• 16:25
  Speaker 3: and fifty favorite. So I'm gonna pick fash Rat to win.
• 16:30
  Speaker 3: I just don't want to pay too much for him
• 16:32
  Speaker 3: in DFS at that ninety six hundred dollars price tag.
• 16:35
  Speaker 3: I'd rather go down to a handful of other people
• 16:37
  Speaker 3: or people or go out for Stevenson and have a
• 16:41
  Speaker 3: better chance at like a quick win bonus something like
• 16:43
  Speaker 3: that where you might really need them.
• 16:45
  Speaker 4: So I have it as a two stars. I want
• 16:47
  Speaker 4: to get away from this fight.
• 16:49
  Speaker 3: If I was making one hundred and fifty lineups, bash
• 16:52
  Speaker 3: Rat makes sense as an ownership play, and I would
• 16:54
  Speaker 3: get a little bit of Garza, just in in case
• 16:56
  Speaker 3: he gets a knockout.
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: Yeah, if I'm playing one hundred fifty, I'm playing every
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: single fighter but Elijah Ellison, who will talk about a
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: little later. But I would play a little Guarza. It's
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: really just too like if he somehow this fight goes
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: fifteen minutes and he scores thirty DraftKings points, maybe that's
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: enough at sixty six hundred if not many dogs win.
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: Think for Reid is the more interesting talking point though,
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: And I have the same feelings as you like it
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: feels like an overspend. But that's why his ownership should
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: be sub twenty percent. I do not love teams that
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: go have money for Stevenson. Like if you leave three
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: hundred with Bostra and you don't go off to Stevenson,
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: you are eliminating a ton of dupe. So I'm not
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: gonna say that I would avoid doing that or like
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: make a rule not to, but I would probably need
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: twenty plus teams, maybe forty plus teams to start digging
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: that deep. And that's really just a large field tournament play.
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: When you win, how much do you win? Like we
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: talked about earlier, but in a vacuum, it feels tough
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: in a vacuum to go and play bostrap over Stevenson
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: straight up. Hey, we've we've seen crazier things happen. Is
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: there a chance he goes out there and gets takedown
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: Garza gets up takedown guards, it gets up takedown submission, Like,
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: can we just see domination from the jump and enough
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: pressure from guards or Baschrod and just like action early on.
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: I mean, the bas brothers just aren't known to do that.
• 18:18
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I doubt it.
• 18:19
  Speaker 3: I think bash Rat would be too good at controlling
• 18:22
  Speaker 3: the fight on the ground where I don't see gars of.
• 18:24
  Speaker 4: Just being able to get up and have Matt returns.
• 18:27
  Speaker 3: And I also think it could just be a takedown
• 18:30
  Speaker 3: and then he finds his neck gets a submission, and
• 18:33
  Speaker 3: maybe the fight doesn't even go long enough for the score.
• 18:36
  Speaker 3: Well it's just like ninety seven ninety eight points right
• 18:39
  Speaker 3: out of the jump. So I think there's just a
• 18:41
  Speaker 3: lot of ways Basharat doesn't get there, and if he
• 18:45
  Speaker 3: does get there, it's almost like a fluco on this
• 18:47
  Speaker 3: car based on how many people are there. But like,
• 18:50
  Speaker 3: you're right, that could be how you get a solo
• 18:52
  Speaker 3: shipper just by going to Basharat and not Stevenson or
• 18:55
  Speaker 3: a hollowood Yep.
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: We'll talk to tackle this question right away and not
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: even wait till the end, just because my answer is none.
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: Like I do not see my I might play four
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: hundred teams or probably not four hundred, but I'm probably
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: gonna play one hundred and fifty plus teams. I am
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: not even considering along the fight stack in any of
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: these if I have to. I mean, I guess maybe
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: the main event, hoping Connor does have Cardio and it's
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: a war, but I really do not like the idea
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: fourteen fights. The more fights, the harder it is for
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: fight stacks to get there. And yeah, I think a
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: dog or two at least comes through on this card.
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: So it's a no for me. I'm not even gonna pick. Oh,
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: I said the main events, I guess thoughts for you.
• 19:38
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not gonna make any GPPs with a stack.
• 19:41
  Speaker 3: I did make a World Championship hand built lineup with
• 19:46
  Speaker 3: BSD and Patty Stack. That was my first go through
• 19:50
  Speaker 3: with my handbuild. It ended up as that see what
• 19:53
  Speaker 3: else I could do around it? And I didn't hate it.
• 19:55
  Speaker 3: I mean I wouldn't. I don't even know what it
• 19:57
  Speaker 3: was at this point. I've changed it since then, but
• 19:59
  Speaker 3: I wouldn't be completely opposed.
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: To using it. My guess is like, yeah, in cash
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: games and stuff and in the world, like people are
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: gonna stack the main event. It's if there's not gonna
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: be any other three rounder, people will stack. You can
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: see it though. BSD is absolutely a monster and really
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: brings the pressure. You just really want that fight to
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: go long and hit the over when you do stack
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: it that way. But yeah, to get to the top,
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: I don't think it's the right move in tournaments this
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: week or most weeks. Next fight on the card, Damien
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: Penis taking on Caesar. I'll made a penis minus two forty.
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: I made a plus two five minus three fifty for
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: this fight to finish penis minus one thirty inside the distance.
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: I made a plus two forty penis in round one
• 20:41
  Speaker 2: open plus two to fifteen now plus one point eighty.
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: That looks really really nice. Completely different date or fight
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: from his debut against West Schultz the wrestler, but Man
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: the twenty four year old stayed composed, fought his fight,
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: kept it where he wanted, showed he had power. Broke
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: this late for us. Many probably remember that the first
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: fight of the night a couple months ago when we
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: loaded up on it, and yeah, I mean, this is
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: the fight that Caesar Almeida wants. Though former kickboxer finally
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: is not going to fight a wrestler, at least I'm
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: not expecting Penis to wrestle. I think both these guys
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: are going at it. Oh Man minus two pot five
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: on Monday now minus two forty for Penis, So he's
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: taken some money there at open though it was minus
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: two sixty five. Penis then went to minus one forty
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: seven shortly after, and he's taken money. It's close, I
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: think at the price and at the number right now,
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: I'm leaning al Naida just because I mean he's a striker.
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: He's gonna get the fight he wants. And it feels
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: wide right now. And for DFS, we play a salary
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: based game. We need dogs. He can knock out Penis
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: at any point. With all that being said, I definitely
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: have interest in Penis as well at eighty nine hundred,
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: and I prefer him to coast in a vacuum, and
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: I would prefer leaving actually one hundred from Max Holloway
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: and playing Penis then I would like having to spend
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: that one hundred with Coast. Plus one eighty in round
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: one is a really strong number after opening plus two fifteen.
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: This could be a war. If Penis wants it to be,
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: I guess I'll throw it to you. Do you think
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: he wants it to be Kenny force Almeida into a war,
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: not just a kickboxing match at range?
• 22:16
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I think he's gonna have to force that.
• 22:18
  Speaker 3: I think he's gonna have to force the action et
• 22:20
  Speaker 3: a strike to give one because he is definitely the
• 22:23
  Speaker 3: more powerful guy. This guy's got scary power. I mean,
• 22:27
  Speaker 3: he's only twenty four. He's gonna continue to get better
• 22:29
  Speaker 3: and probably stronger as well. But yeah, Almeida is the slicker,
• 22:33
  Speaker 3: more skilled striker, way more credentialed. And if it is
• 22:36
  Speaker 3: going to be strike for strike, that's gonna be Almeida.
• 22:39
  Speaker 3: And if Almeida takes Penis deep, then maybe Penis.
• 22:43
  Speaker 4: Gases, you know.
• 22:44
  Speaker 3: So I think Ada makes a lot of sense, especially
• 22:47
  Speaker 3: on this card, because I don't think he's gonna get
• 22:50
  Speaker 3: too much ownership, where Penis is probably gonna be around
• 22:55
  Speaker 3: thirty percent.
• 22:55
  Speaker 4: I'm thinking that'd be pretty high on this card.
• 22:58
  Speaker 3: Almeida I see being around half of that, and he
• 23:01
  Speaker 3: can score anywhere from like sixty to one hundred points.
• 23:05
  Speaker 3: But I think on this card I'm fine with any
• 23:07
  Speaker 3: of those outcomes in a win. That is, he could
• 23:10
  Speaker 3: also score zero points because Panas just freaking knocks him
• 23:14
  Speaker 3: out in the first thirty seconds, and I do think
• 23:17
  Speaker 3: that Pnas has like what second third highest chance of
• 23:23
  Speaker 3: a quick win bonus on this card. See my pick
• 23:27
  Speaker 3: is Damian to get the win. I just think that
• 23:29
  Speaker 3: power is real. He's gonna get a striking match. It's
• 23:32
  Speaker 3: just he's gonna have to blitz him and really connect
• 23:36
  Speaker 3: rather than go strike for strike, because I think the
• 23:38
  Speaker 3: longer this fight goes, the more al made it can
• 23:41
  Speaker 3: start to read them, and it's just gonna get easier
• 23:43
  Speaker 3: for him to avoid those knockout shots. So I think
• 23:48
  Speaker 3: dfs I made it makes a lot of sense. But
• 23:51
  Speaker 3: give me Penis round one.
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: Yeah, nothing I can argue there. I'm hoping for a
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: fun fight. I would like if Poenis knocks him, I'll
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: probably run one because I'll be over but I also
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: plan on being overweight on Caesar Ill made it two.
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: I'm hoping this fight is optimal more than likely next
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: fight on the car pretty much a coin flip. Tracy
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: Cortes minus one fourteen, Wang Kong minus one oh six
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: plus one ninety five for this fight to finish, weighing
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: plus two eighty five inside the distance, Cortes plus five fifty.
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: In terms of opening line, it was Coretes minus one
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: seventy less than an hour later she was plus one
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: thirty five, and it bounced around a little bit, and
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: now find himself at a pick them for me, it's
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: pretty easy. I kind of agree with how your stars are.
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: It's dogger pass in terms of actually that's not even
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: the right word. It's cheaper fighter or pass. I prefer
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: Tracy Cortez overweighing. The reason for that, The Stone says
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: it all, weighing six point two to two cinemon strikes
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: per minute, less than one takedown, Cortes three point eight
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: six significant strikes per minute, a little over two takedowns
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: per fifteen minutes. Weighing the striker Cortes the wrestler in
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: a very very loaded mid range where I think you
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: need big scores. If a fight's gonna go the distance,
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: give me the wrestler with a chance to get ninety
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: plus one hundred plus a lot more than the striker.
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: I still don't love it, but his fight's gonna be
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: low owned because it's competing with a very strong mid tier.
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: But yeah, someone breaks the slate. I think it is Cortes.
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: But that being said, plus two eighty five for winging
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: inside a distance, that's twenty six percent. Her ownership might
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: be half of that. I guess I'll throw it to
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: you on this note, how many finishes of hers are optimal?
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: Because again Benoir, Terence McKinney, Gondra Reese like that range
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: is loaded. So yeah, what's your take?
• 25:38
  Speaker 3: Yeah, if she got a finish, for sure, I mean
• 25:40
  Speaker 3: I would think a decent amount of those could be
• 25:43
  Speaker 3: optimal at eighty two hundred, just because of the price,
• 25:47
  Speaker 3: But it would probably have to be like round one
• 25:49
  Speaker 3: or two, because if it's round three, maybe she was
• 25:51
  Speaker 3: on her back for two rounds and at that point
• 25:53
  Speaker 3: it's gonna be too late. But I'm not gonna take
• 25:56
  Speaker 3: any chances on weighing in this one, especially if I'm
• 25:59
  Speaker 3: making twenty or less lineups. She's just gonna be an
• 26:01
  Speaker 3: easy fade for me. I would even think about fading
• 26:04
  Speaker 3: her with one hundred and fifty. I think the only
• 26:06
  Speaker 3: way she gets there is with a knockout, and I
• 26:09
  Speaker 3: just do not want to rely on knockouts and one
• 26:11
  Speaker 3: hundred and twenty five pound women divisions, and I do
• 26:14
  Speaker 3: think Cortes wants to have a full on grappling match.
• 26:18
  Speaker 4: That's the smartest way to go about this. I do
• 26:20
  Speaker 4: think that she's got a.
• 26:21
  Speaker 3: Way better chance at hanging with Waning on the feet
• 26:23
  Speaker 3: than Wing does on the ground. But we're not gonna
• 26:26
  Speaker 3: get a big score in a three round striking match.
• 26:29
  Speaker 3: We can get a big score in a three round
• 26:31
  Speaker 3: grappling match, and that would be Cortes. So she is
• 26:34
  Speaker 3: my preferred play. I don't know if she's gonna get
• 26:36
  Speaker 3: it done. I haven't better or anything, but I'll get
• 26:39
  Speaker 3: my investment in her on DFS because if she wins,
• 26:43
  Speaker 3: she'll probably score pretty well. And I also don't think
• 26:45
  Speaker 3: she could be too highly owned on this card where
• 26:48
  Speaker 3: there's a lot of big names.
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: Agree with all that, Yeah, Cortes my preferred play. Don't
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: see myself playing much Wing. But if you are making
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: a lot of lineups, and again I realize it sounds
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: like the easy way out, but if you're looking at
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: pros if you're looking at sheets who has hopped on
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: here before and stuff like that, who do play one
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: hundred and fifty teams? It's about building a portfolio, your
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: lineup making sense ownership wise, and Wang will if you're
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: playing Holloway, Patty Pimblet and Terence McKinney, that's maybe a
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: team where then throwing in a Wang Kong makes sense
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: as she's your way to get different with a lot
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: of chalk around it. So if you're not playing, if
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: you're only playing one of those three fights up top,
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: I think playing Wang would be very bad. So that's
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: kind of what we mean by when you do play Wang,
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: your your team should look a different way than when
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: you don't. What's up y s then awesome to see.
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: Hope you're doing well.
• 27:38
  Speaker 4: Crazy went from Penis to Wang.
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: Yeah, there you go. Next fight on the card, we
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: got Luke Riley minus two fifty five taken on Kai,
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: Kamaka plus two fifteen plus one forty for this fight
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: to finish, Riley plus one eighty five inside the distance
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: Kamaka plus five seventy five. I'll let you start with
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: this one. What are you seeing.
• 28:00
  Speaker 4: Another one?
• 28:00
  Speaker 3: I'm really not looking to get to in DFS. I
• 28:02
  Speaker 3: do think it makes sense as another ownership type of
• 28:06
  Speaker 3: play if you're trying to get different Kamaka. I think
• 28:09
  Speaker 3: he is just a good, well rounded fighter who can
• 28:12
  Speaker 3: bring a solid pace. He is mainly a striker, but
• 28:15
  Speaker 3: he can mix in a couple of takedowns as well,
• 28:18
  Speaker 3: and in this fight, I think he should be one
• 28:20
  Speaker 3: to mix in a couple of takedowns. But I think
• 28:23
  Speaker 3: that his success in this specific fight would come in
• 28:26
  Speaker 3: round one because Riley is a slow starter, so it
• 28:30
  Speaker 3: could look like Kamaka is winning the first round. But
• 28:33
  Speaker 3: once Riley gets going, man, I just think he's just
• 28:35
  Speaker 3: too good. And I think it's going to be mainly
• 28:37
  Speaker 3: a striking match. I think he'll be too fast for Kamaka.
• 28:40
  Speaker 3: The volume will be there, I think the power will
• 28:42
  Speaker 3: be there. He'll be hurting Kamaka a little bit more.
• 28:45
  Speaker 3: But I have this going to a decision, and I
• 28:47
  Speaker 3: just don't really see how Riley really has any chance
• 28:51
  Speaker 3: on the optimal lineup with a decision win. I think
• 28:54
  Speaker 3: he really needs probably a first round knockout for him
• 28:57
  Speaker 3: to be on the optimal this week. I'm not gonna
• 29:00
  Speaker 3: take too many shots at that. I do think Kamaka
• 29:02
  Speaker 3: makes more sense for DFS because he's only sixty nine hundred.
• 29:06
  Speaker 3: It could be a close fight where we think Riley wins,
• 29:09
  Speaker 3: but the two or three eightiot judges ringside think that
• 29:12
  Speaker 3: Kamaka wins.
• 29:13
  Speaker 4: So I think he makes sense.
• 29:15
  Speaker 3: As a sixty nine hundred dollar play, and I think
• 29:18
  Speaker 3: he could score anywhere same thing as all made in
• 29:21
  Speaker 3: like a sixty to one hundred type of type of win.
• 29:24
  Speaker 3: And I would feel a lot better about him scoring
• 29:27
  Speaker 3: thirty or forty in a loss as well, So maybe
• 29:30
  Speaker 3: he could get there in a loss.
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: I'm glad I throw it to you first, because yeah,
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: you took all the words out of my mouth. Kamaka
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: as my preferred play. Part of that reason, this fight
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: is favorite to go the distance. If it does, Luke
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: Riley's not getting there at ninety three hundred, Kai Kamaka
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: still has outs even if it does go the distance.
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: Kamaka is just a steady fighter that'll fight for your dollar.
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: I mean the power Advan is definitely on the Riley side.
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: I don't see Kamaka getting a finish. Fourteen of his
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: eighteen wins have come by decision five of a seven
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: loss is my decision. He's been knocked out in the
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: other two, he'll fight for your dollar. Riley's just a striker.
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: Maybe kamakakamicks in the takedown or two. Yeah, I think
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: he can make it greasy. Hopefully when it's all said
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: and done, it's a split decision, and maybe the sixty
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: nine hundred dollars fighter gets his hand raised because he
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: is my prefer play. As far as Riley, I think
• 30:20
  Speaker 2: you're really just want in the first round finish. That's
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: at seventeen percent plus four seventy five seventeen percent looking
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: at his ownership right now, although that's still a little
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: higher than we do have his projected ownership, so it's
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: a tough click in a vacuum. Not even all round
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: one finishes would be optimal. But if I do know
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: he's getting a round one finish, I would definitely want
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: to be overweight at a low ownership tag at ninety
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: three hundred, but one of my least favorite in the
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: upper tier. Part of that is because this next guy
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: that's only one hundred more, Adrian Yanyez, looks a lot better,
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: but again, ownership will be different. So Riley ninety three
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: hundred minus two fifty five. Adrian Yanyez plus or ninety
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: four hundred minus fourth, so almost double. Cody Garbran plus
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: three to thirty five on the other side minus one
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: eighty for this fight to finish, Yanya's plus or minus
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: one thirty five. Inside the distance, Garbrandt plus five to
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: fifty Yanya is in round one plus two fifty. But
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: first I was like, all right, this kind of is
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: an easy fight fade because Cody Garbrandt is allergic to
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: fun fights. The dude runs around the cage looking not
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: to get hit, wants to go fifteen minutes, take no damage,
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: collect your paycheck. I'm not gonna chirp you. I think
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: that actually is probably pretty smart nowadays for him, especially
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: with the questionable chin. But that said, doesn't really have
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: a dance partner on the other side that likes to
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: do that. Yanyas comes forward, throws a lot of strikes, punches,
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: and bunches a phenomenal boxer. Cody's chin can be cracked,
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: So I'm gonna throw it to you. Ken. Yanyas make
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: it a fun fight while Cody wants to avoid a
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: fun fight, because I think that's what we need. At
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: ninety four hundred. What are you doing in this one?
• 31:56
  Speaker 3: I think you can make it a fun fight, as in,
• 31:58
  Speaker 3: push the action, get a knockout. I don't think he
• 32:01
  Speaker 3: can make it fun enough to be on the optimal
• 32:04
  Speaker 3: lineup in a decision win. But yeah, I also think
• 32:08
  Speaker 3: that the knockout is similar to Riley, would probably have
• 32:11
  Speaker 3: to come early and in the first round. And I
• 32:15
  Speaker 3: think the one worry for Janaz in this matchup would
• 32:19
  Speaker 3: be the power from garbrand If Janaz loses this fight,
• 32:21
  Speaker 3: I think it would be a knockout, just a one
• 32:23
  Speaker 3: punch knockout from Garbrandt. But if that doesn't happen, Yana
• 32:28
  Speaker 3: is just the better striker. He's gonna triple Garbrand up
• 32:32
  Speaker 3: in volume as well, quadruple him up. I mean, garbrand
• 32:35
  Speaker 3: doesn't throw strikes, he doesn't wrestle. I don't even know
• 32:37
  Speaker 3: what he's doing out there anymore. I can't stand watching
• 32:40
  Speaker 3: him in the hotsagon these days running.
• 32:43
  Speaker 4: So I wouldn't mind seeing Janas get that knockout.
• 32:45
  Speaker 3: I just think that his worry with being the knockout,
• 32:48
  Speaker 3: maybe he doesn't force the action quite like that, and
• 32:51
  Speaker 3: he just goes out there and just tries to put
• 32:54
  Speaker 3: on a good striking match and clearly win the fight.
• 32:57
  Speaker 3: I think he could get a thirty twenty seven and
• 33:00
  Speaker 3: not put himself in too much danger in this fight.
• 33:02
  Speaker 3: But for DFS that would really suck, so I'm not
• 33:05
  Speaker 3: targeting this fight. I would rather go with Yanez over Riley,
• 33:10
  Speaker 3: but I'm just probably gonna try and get away from.
• 33:12
  Speaker 4: Both of them.
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that makes a lot of sense, and I do
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: think the Yanya's will be higher on than Riley, but
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's gonna be too too highly owned.
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: Before we keep a rolling, just want to head over
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: to our ship a Nation homepage. This is where all
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: the magic happens. You can see we got PGA going
• 33:27
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• 34:08
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• 34:10
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• 34:29
  Speaker 2: of teams. All right, we're gonna keep it rolling. The
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: fight that everyone wants to talk about, Gable Stevenson taking
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: on Elijah Ellison. Looking at the odds in this, you
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: don't see it very often, but a minus three thousand
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: for Stevenson plus eleven hundred for Ellison minus two thousand
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: for this fight to finish Stevenson. Let's see individual inside
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: business proplem minus sixteen hundred. I'm seeing on DraftKings has
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: round one prop minus three hundred. He's ninety nine hundred dollars.
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: That's like the main talking point. Do you have enough
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: dogs winning on this card? Do you think he outscores
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: the other top tier by a wide enough margin where
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: it becomes feasible to play them. I always struggle with
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: ninety six hundred and above. You've talked about it plenty,
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: Sheets has talked about it plenty, and now we're talking
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: ninety nine hundred. He can get a first win bonus
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: score one hundred and twenty nine points and still be
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: nowhere near the winner when it's all said and done.
• 35:25
  Speaker 2: For that reason alone, I'm probably gonna be underweight. Also,
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: it's just every Stevens, the team you plug in, it
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: feels like you're going down the same roster path. You're
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: gonna play one of McKinney, Green, you're gonna play one
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: of Ben Watt, Patty, you're probably gonna play Connor McGregor,
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: and you're just funneling right into such a similar build
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: that I don't think it's difficult to get different enough.
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: So I mean, he's minus what tooth out what I say,
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: minus sixteen hundred to finish like, he's probably gonna score
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: one hundred plus. Is one ten enough? Is one twenty enough?
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: How do you what do you think he scores? I'm
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: to be underweight, like I said, for all the points
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: I made, but you can't argue and man, his future
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: in the UFCFF you want to talk about that? Do
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: you think he'll be a have youweight champ? I mean,
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: it's his credentials are out of this world, but hey,
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: once you get hit in the face, things change.
• 36:18
  Speaker 4: Yeah, Man, I don't know.
• 36:20
  Speaker 3: I think that the ninety nine hundred dollars is gonna
• 36:22
  Speaker 3: make it tough. And the reason I'm kind of wanting
• 36:26
  Speaker 3: to get away from him is what you mentioned is
• 36:28
  Speaker 3: that all of the lineups with him are gonna be
• 36:31
  Speaker 3: similar to what everybody else is making. You're gonna look
• 36:34
  Speaker 3: to go to a Reese because he's closing the gap,
• 36:36
  Speaker 3: to a cry Love because he's closing the gap, and
• 36:39
  Speaker 3: those other guys you've named too, And I'm just not
• 36:42
  Speaker 3: trying to have that many duplicates with a freaking Gable
• 36:44
  Speaker 3: Stevenson lineup, So I'll probably just try and focus more
• 36:48
  Speaker 3: on the mid range and not get up to the
• 36:50
  Speaker 3: ninety nine ninety six. Maybe under ninety three sounds great
• 36:54
  Speaker 3: to me this week. And if I'm leaving some salary
• 36:57
  Speaker 3: because of it, I think that's fine as well. Yeah,
• 37:00
  Speaker 3: I'm pretty confident he's gonna score more than one hundred
• 37:04
  Speaker 3: points in this fight. I think he's just gonna destroy
• 37:06
  Speaker 3: this guy. I think he's gonna win in the first minute. Actually,
• 37:10
  Speaker 3: but yeah, that might not even be enough at ninety
• 37:12
  Speaker 3: nine hundred. So I'm not sure what the heck I'm
• 37:17
  Speaker 3: gonna do with Stevenson. I know I'm gonna just go
• 37:18
  Speaker 3: in X out Ellison. Also, I'm not sure about Stevenson's future.
• 37:25
  Speaker 3: I mean I would I would imagine he can be
• 37:27
  Speaker 3: the UFC heavyweight champion. I just haven't seen enough of him.
• 37:30
  Speaker 3: I mean, former what gold former Olympic gold medalist, made
• 37:35
  Speaker 3: the NFL as well. I mean that's that's what you
• 37:38
  Speaker 3: would want if you're looking if you're like sculpting a
• 37:40
  Speaker 3: fighter out of just athletes. So yeah, i'd say he
• 37:43
  Speaker 3: has every background to be a champion.
• 37:46
  Speaker 4: But we'll see how it goes.
• 37:48
  Speaker 3: Man, I think this is a pretty crappy first test
• 37:50
  Speaker 3: for him. But I imagine he's gonna go out there
• 37:53
  Speaker 3: score one hundred and ten to one hundred and twenty
• 37:56
  Speaker 3: five points, and we'll just see if that's enough or not.
• 38:01
  Speaker 3: So I forget where I put his ownership back. But
• 38:03
  Speaker 3: let's let's say he's gonna be thirty eight percent in
• 38:07
  Speaker 3: the flagship.
• 38:08
  Speaker 4: What do you think his ownership will be in the World.
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: Championship twenty five?
• 38:17
  Speaker 3: Really I was kind of thinking it would be higher,
• 38:19
  Speaker 3: just because you're locking in a win and there's no
• 38:21
  Speaker 3: other way to really do that, but you're forcing other
• 38:25
  Speaker 3: than the stack.
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: I think if you go Stevenson, you find another partner
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: like to pair him with, versus going before just spinning
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: out stuff and I'm gonna spit it out, but like
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: Stevenson and Zach Reese or let's see Penis and Lannie
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: Cavanaugh or something like that. I just think that, And
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: again I don't know that necessarily the price, but if
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: you're going a huge favorite Stevenson and having them to
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: pick a dog versus two favorites that are around like
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: minus two hundred, it feels a little more comfortable getting
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: the minus two fifty favorites or something like that. When
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: like your dog and Zach Reese or whatever can get
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: you five points or something like that. I ask me
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: that on on Friday. Hit me up in Discord, because
• 39:21
  Speaker 2: I haven't really looked at cash games too much or
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: even built for that yet. And I do think a
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: lot of people, especially around one forty percent, move on
• 39:28
  Speaker 2: build more of a cash game style. So I'll have
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: to get back to you on that. I could be
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: completely completely off on that. So if you're in this
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: World Championship, like, don't take what I said. It's Wednesday
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: night right now. I have not prepared enough in my
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: cash games and built that stuff yet to make a
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: proper answer to that. That's just my initial thought, because man,
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: ninety nine hundred is a lot a lot of money
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: when you can go you're saving five hundred for yanyez,
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: but he's still minus four forty. You're saving three undred
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: for free, he's still minus seven hundred. Like if that
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: upgrades that'll or second fighter that's a dog to then
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: a favorite, it really would make me consider it. So
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: but if you think he wins in round one and
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: you're in your bank, you're putting one hundred and twenty
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: in his first projection, I mean you're gonna get him
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: in so many teams. There's no doubt about that. Yeah,
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: that's It's what I'm gonna.
• 40:16
  Speaker 4: End up doing. But I don't know. I was wondering
• 40:18
  Speaker 4: about his ownership in both both.
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: Yeah, hit me up on on Friday if you're curious,
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: or Saturday, and I can give you a better answer.
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 40:29
  Speaker 2: I was gonna ask you your your boy, Josh Hokit.
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: Let's say this week it was Gable Stevenson. Josh Hokit,
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: what are the odds and who you picking? Shit?
• 40:38
  Speaker 3: Stevenson will probably be the favorite, But give me hok
• 40:40
  Speaker 3: It man, team hoke it all day.
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: He would Stevens would have to be the favorite.
• 40:45
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I hope we see that fight one day.
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: Oh me too, Me too too. Yeah, two collegiate wrestlers,
• 40:50
  Speaker 2: I mean, man, I'm very excited to see what Stevens
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: has got though in the UFC. All right, we'll keep
• 40:55
  Speaker 2: it rolling. Very interesting fight here at two oh five.
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: Robert Whitaker minus one thirty. Nikita Krela plus one ten
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: minus one eighty for this fight to finish, Whittaker plus
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: one fifty five inside the distance, kre Loov plus two hundred.
• 41:09
  Speaker 2: Whittaker round one plus four hundred kree Lov plus six hundred.
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: So again I said, this fight's at light. Have youweight
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: that does not look good for Robert Whittaker. I mean
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: he's a small It was a small one eighty five
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: or at middleweight. Now coming up to two h five,
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: he's gonna be tiny compared to all these guys in
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: this matchup alone giving up three inches in height four
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: inches in reach. With all that being said, though, this
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: is Krela's forty third walk to the octagon as a pro,
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: and I believe it's twenty third. Let me make sure
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: I get that right for sure, twenty second walk for
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: the US into the UFC octagon. And you can tell,
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: in my opinion, he used to wrestle a lot. He
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: used to be able to strike, and he still can.
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: But the cardio has definitely, in my opinion, is very
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: scary nowadays. The chin is a little more questionable. He
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: looks more stiff, he looks slower. That'll happen when you
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: have forty three profile, you're going for your forty third
• 42:01
  Speaker 2: at only thirty four years old. Skill for skill, I
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: think it's still Robert Whittaker all day, even though he's
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: getting up there in age. But yeah, I think either
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: can connect on the chin. I'm curious to hear your
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: thoughts on how you think this fight plays out there
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: boring at Rain. Do you think someone tries to wrestle,
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: they get in the car crash right away like that's
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: I think it could play out a lot of ways.
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: I'm curious to hear your take.
• 42:23
  Speaker 3: I think it has to be cry Love just tries
• 42:27
  Speaker 3: to have to knock his head off on the feet,
• 42:30
  Speaker 3: but he should be looking to wrestle in this fight.
• 42:32
  Speaker 3: He's just going to be that much bigger if he
• 42:34
  Speaker 3: can get on in top control, I think he can
• 42:36
  Speaker 3: maybe finish Whittaker with ground a pound or find his
• 42:40
  Speaker 3: neck get a rear naked choke. But I think he
• 42:43
  Speaker 3: could be heavy in top control and grind down minutes
• 42:45
  Speaker 3: and win a decision. But no matter what, I think,
• 42:48
  Speaker 3: if Krylov wins, he's gonna put up a pretty good
• 42:50
  Speaker 3: score in this fight, and then getting Whittaker to the
• 42:53
  Speaker 3: ground will be tougher. And Whittaker is the better faster striker,
• 42:58
  Speaker 3: He's gonna probably even more have more power at this weight.
• 43:03
  Speaker 3: But for Whitaker and DFS at eighty seven hundred dollars
• 43:06
  Speaker 3: on this card, against the opponents that he's going against.
• 43:09
  Speaker 4: I think we probably need a first round knockout.
• 43:12
  Speaker 3: You said that is a plus four hundred, which is
• 43:14
  Speaker 3: twenty percent. I'm probably maxing him right at twenty percent
• 43:18
  Speaker 3: and hoping I'm getting less than that, because I would
• 43:21
  Speaker 3: imagine if he doesn't get a first round knockout, he's
• 43:24
  Speaker 3: just knocking to be on the optimal lineup. And if
• 43:26
  Speaker 3: he wins a decision, he could score fifty sixty points.
• 43:30
  Speaker 4: And I am picking him to win a decision. That's
• 43:32
  Speaker 4: why I have this as a three star.
• 43:34
  Speaker 3: But cry Lov it's scary to fade cry Lov with
• 43:38
  Speaker 3: that size advantage.
• 43:40
  Speaker 4: He's got knockout power on the feet.
• 43:42
  Speaker 3: He's got knockout power on the ground too, and submissions
• 43:45
  Speaker 3: on the ground. Even a decision from cry Loov, if
• 43:48
  Speaker 3: it's a grappling based decision, could score ninety plus points.
• 43:52
  Speaker 4: Even though I'm picking him to lose.
• 43:54
  Speaker 3: I think I want to be at least with the
• 43:55
  Speaker 3: field on cry lob if not overweight. I think he
• 43:58
  Speaker 3: makes a ton of sense as an underdog, So for
• 44:01
  Speaker 3: df as, I'm kind of rooting for my pick to
• 44:03
  Speaker 3: be wrong in this one.
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think cry Love will be one of the
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: more popular dogs similar to Zach Reese, he's only one
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: hundred cheaper. He's plus one ten on the money line
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: at seventy five hundred. That's obviously phenomenal. Then you look
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: at the inside of the distance prop of plus two
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: hundred open plus two fifteen. There's a lot to and
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: wrestling upside. On top of that, there's a lot to
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: like about cry Love, which all of that makes me
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: like Robert Whittaker even more because Whittaker is gonna be
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: lower on than cry Loove in this matchup. He might
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: be half the ownership or almost half the ownership. If
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: that's the case, He's one plus one fifty five inside
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: the distance, which is good. Eighty seven hundred doesn't break
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: the bank. It is over overpriced for his money line,
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: but we care about upside. And again at plus one
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: fifty five, I think if Krelov tries to go wrestle earlier,
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: really just comes in and makes us a car crash,
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: like Whittaker can find the chin or find some shot. Again,
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: I think he's more skilled everywhere, hoping he does carry
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: more power as he should at two oh five, it's
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: just a very low owned play. When I am playing Holloway,
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: King Green and Ben Roi Saint Denis. Maybe I'll look
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: at Robert Whittaker as my way to get difference again.
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: Plus one fifty five will be low owned, his opponent
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: will be one of the chalkiest underdogs you get leverage.
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: I think a lot makes sense there, so I'm gonna
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: be hoping this fight is probably optimal when it's all
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: said and done and open minus one sixty now it's
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: minus one eighty. Just not a fight people are getting to.
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: Or I take that back, Cree Love is someone people
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: are getting to, and I think for obvious reasons, So
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: I will eat that chalk When you play Krelov, though,
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: your lineup should be a little less owned than when
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: you play Whittaker since he'll be lower owned and has leverage.
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: But yeah, good fight. I'm man this card. I'm so
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: pumped for this card, this banger after banger after banger.
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: I'm definitely gonna be missing and feeling a little left
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: out not being in Vegas at the Team Mobile Arena.
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: That would have been one hell of a time for sure.
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: All right, let's go to an absolute banger four. As
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: long as it lasts, It's Terrence McKinney minus one twenty six.
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: It's King Green all right, minus one thirty. McKinney plus
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: one ten, King Green minus twelve hundred for this fight
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: to finish, McKinney minus won twenty five inside the distance,
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: Green plus one thirty. Terrence McKinney in round one minus
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: one ten after opening plus one ten. We talk about
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: it all the time. If we see Terrence McKinney on
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: the card, just load up on both sides. He either
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: wins in round one, loses in round one, or loses
• 46:29
  Speaker 2: in round two. He's really not winning in any other round.
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: But one banger, absolute banger. I guess, Yeah, what's your
• 46:36
  Speaker 2: preferred side? I think without throwing everything away, I think
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: you can easily play King Green and leave six hundred
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: on the table and chalk your teams at Bill McKinney.
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: McKinney out down to Green, don't upgrade anything, and that's
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: how you can eat some chalk. You're giving up absolutely
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: no upside. So that's just the one thing that stands
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: out for me. But yeah, take it away.
• 46:55
  Speaker 3: Yeah, Green is going to be my preferred side. I'm
• 46:59
  Speaker 3: picking him to win, but I have it as a
• 47:01
  Speaker 3: three and a three just because man Terrence, he could
• 47:04
  Speaker 3: always put up one hundred and twenty points, and I
• 47:07
  Speaker 3: don't feel good about Green winning. It's just if Green
• 47:10
  Speaker 3: makes it out around one, I think the fight's already over.
• 47:13
  Speaker 3: You go ahead and raise Green's hand at that point,
• 47:15
  Speaker 3: and he's gonna score a ton of points. No matter
• 47:18
  Speaker 3: if it's a first round or a second round knockout
• 47:20
  Speaker 3: for Green, or if it gets to the third, Green
• 47:22
  Speaker 3: he'll still put up a bunch of points somehow. But
• 47:24
  Speaker 3: I just don't see how that's even possible. It's round
• 47:28
  Speaker 3: one or bus for McKinney. He is crazy aggressive. He
• 47:31
  Speaker 3: could win the fight on the feet or the ground.
• 47:33
  Speaker 3: But I think this is a matchup where maybe he
• 47:35
  Speaker 3: kind of looks up to Bobby Green a little bit.
• 47:38
  Speaker 4: Bobby's been around for a.
• 47:39
  Speaker 3: Long time, and maybe he doesn't come out with that
• 47:42
  Speaker 3: same aggressiveness. And if you don't blast Green in the
• 47:45
  Speaker 3: first two minutes, I just think that Green's gonna take
• 47:48
  Speaker 3: over and win the fight. So I'll have more Bobby
• 47:52
  Speaker 3: for sure, But I feel like this is a fight
• 47:56
  Speaker 3: I just want to avoid in the World Championship. Maybe
• 47:59
  Speaker 3: let other people get it wrong and hope that takes
• 48:02
  Speaker 3: them out of it and just load up and have
• 48:04
  Speaker 3: probably one hundred percent of it in the flagship.
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that makes a lot of sense, a lot of
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: al atility in this one. I'm picking Terrence McKinney. I'd
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: very rarely picked against Terrence McKinney. I just King Green's
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: been knocked out six times. He's thirty nine years old.
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: Ever since that bomb fiend fight against McKinney where he
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: did take his foot off the gas a little bit
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: and try to fight smart, he got knocked out and
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: he was like, yeah, I'm never doing this again. It
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: just doesn't work for me. And he hasn't done it since,
• 48:30
  Speaker 2: and I don't expect him to be opening a Connor
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: McGregor main card. This fight got moved from the undercard
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: to the main card. I think McKinney's gonna come out
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: do what he always does, just like King Green. Green's
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: hands will be down, He'll be talking. I don't know
• 48:44
  Speaker 2: how much he'll be able to talk early though, since
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: McKinney will be all gas, no breaks. If McKinney starts
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: to slow down and King Green feels that and starts yapping,
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: have your phone out hammer King Green on the money
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: line for live betting. But with that being said, books
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: are definitely have caught on to that. I mean, I
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: remember the Terrence McKinney. The Ziem Sadikov McKinney one round
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: one very easily checked the live line. And McKinney's still
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: a good sized dog. They're not u yeah, they're not
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: oblivious to that anymore. But what a fun fight. McKinney
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: is my pick. I'm not gonna say my preferred play though,
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: because that six hundred does go a long way on
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: this card, and again, that is one way you can
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: get different without leaving, without giving up. Upside is playing
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: green and leaving six hundred. So he's my pick to win,
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: but I'm not sure I will have more of the
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: more of him too the field when it is all
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: said and done again, I appreciate everyone hanging out, man.
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: This This card's got me so excited, no doubt about that.
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: Next fight on the card continues to be good. Lonnie
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: Cavanough minus two twenty, Brandon Royval plus one eighty five
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: plus one twenty for this fight to finish, Cavanaugh plus
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: one ninety inside the distance, Royval plus four fifty Monny
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: Cavanaugh plus in round one plus four to twenty five
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: this fight open plus one thirty to finish now plus one. Yeah,
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: I mean the initial thoughts is it's two primary strikers
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: in a fight to go the distance. So I do
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: not have interest. But if you're a fight fan, you
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: know you see the name Brandon roy Vale, and you
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: know talk about all gas, no breaks. I mean his
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: Joshua Van fight alone is all you need to see.
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: Both guys landed over two hundred significant strikes. That is
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: always in play in a Brandon roy Vale fight. He's
• 50:22
  Speaker 2: my preferred play because he's seventy four hundred. If he wins,
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: it's hard to see him landing less than one hundred
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: significant strikes or getting a finish. So a lot of
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: good things to say about him. Lannie's a tougher one,
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: but it mainly is like, is Brandon Royvel gonna push
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: a pace hard enough that makes Lonnie do enough work
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: where he can get there in a second round knockout
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: or something like that. I'll throw to you with that question,
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: what do you think?
• 50:45
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I actually started this off as a two star fight,
• 50:49
  Speaker 3: just in thoughts of I'm gonna fade Cavanaugh and I'm
• 50:52
  Speaker 3: cool using some roy val but I do think that
• 50:55
  Speaker 3: Roy VAL's aggressiveness could.
• 50:57
  Speaker 4: Lead to.
• 50:59
  Speaker 3: Lannie either getting that first round knockout or just having
• 51:02
  Speaker 3: enough vulume for a second round to be there. So
• 51:04
  Speaker 3: I bumped it up to a three because I think
• 51:07
  Speaker 3: Kavanaugh makes sense as an ownership play and he is
• 51:11
  Speaker 3: what five hundred dollars less than Riley, who I mentioned
• 51:14
  Speaker 3: as the same type of play six hundred dollars less
• 51:16
  Speaker 3: than yan Is. I see him as a similar type
• 51:18
  Speaker 3: of play as those guys. He's just cheaper, and I
• 51:21
  Speaker 3: do think he is the better striker in this In
• 51:24
  Speaker 3: this fight, I think he is more powerful as well.
• 51:28
  Speaker 3: But Roy Valz is gonna bring him and if he
• 51:31
  Speaker 3: doesn't get knocked out, he's gonna be bringing it. I
• 51:33
  Speaker 3: would love to see him mix in some takedowns as well.
• 51:36
  Speaker 3: He doesn't wrestle, but he is a good grappler if
• 51:39
  Speaker 3: he gets it there. So I'm picking Roy Valve by split.
• 51:42
  Speaker 3: Don't feel good about it. Kavanaugh is a really good striker,
• 51:46
  Speaker 3: but I think for me it's gonna be Roy Valve
• 51:50
  Speaker 3: makes a lot of sense. He's gonna get ownership as well,
• 51:52
  Speaker 3: but Kavanaugh is one of my more favorite ownership ways.
• 51:58
  Speaker 3: To get tricky on this car, because I do think
• 52:01
  Speaker 3: that aggressive miss from roy Val could lead to him
• 52:04
  Speaker 3: getting knocked out.
• 52:05
  Speaker 4: For like what third time in a row?
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: Yeah, And then like I agree with a lot of
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: that too, comparing him to Yanyez, to Luke Riley, to
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: Fried bascherad to even Coasta, like all guys that we
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: were fine with but had some concerns with. All of
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: those guys are more expensive than Lannie, Like he's eighty
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: eight hundred, so at least he has a little discount
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: in price. Where if he does score ninety six, is
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: it optimal? I mean they could go both ways like
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: a good chance it's not, but ninety six at eighty
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: eight hundred versus ninety six at ninety three hundred feels
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: a lot different there, especially if no underdogs win or
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: very few. You could find just a loaded mid tier
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: eight K range high sevens that people then are on
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: the winner. So I don't hate it, because again it's
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: assuming that Royvel pushes a high pace like he usually
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: does and makes Lonnie fight. Ravel is still my preferred
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: place since he has more ways to get there at
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: seventy four hundred. Great fight, though, as all these fights
• 52:59
  Speaker 2: are talking about good fights, I mean, if you're talking
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: non title fight skill for skill, I think it's hard
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: to draw up a better fight than this one talking
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: real life. Cory Sanhagen minus one thirty five Mario Batista
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: plus one fifteen plus one ninety for this fight to
• 53:14
  Speaker 2: finish san Haagen plus two to eighty inside the distance
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: Batista plus five hundred a rematch from actually Batista's UFC
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: debut where san Haagan got the win by submission. A
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: lot has changed thence then in the sense of Batista's
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: gotten a lot better. You guys know me though, I
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: mean I pick Cory Sanding against morab I'll say it,
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: I looked like a fool. I'm not afraid to admit
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: that at all. I am is bullish on it. Corey
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: Sanhagen is probably anybody out there. The dude's skill everywhere
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: is phenomenal, his mental is phenomenal, His fight IQ is awesome,
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: his style makes him very hard to hit, his in
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: and out, his movements. Just a phenomenal fighter. And I
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: mean nothing bad to say about Mario Batista. He can wrestle,
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: he can strike or fight for your dollar. He has Cardio,
• 53:59
  Speaker 2: what a great, great fight if you're a mixed martial
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: artist fan, not just oh I like swinging, like two
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: heavy guys swinging blows and someone falls. I mean, when
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: these guys get takedowns, what they do on their back
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: to get up, and just every little thing is going
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: to be so high level. With all that being said,
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: I don't think that translates to DFS more than likely
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: since I do respect these guys so much. Curiously your
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: take there, but unless Batista is getting four plus five
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: plus takedowns, which I guess is possible since we know
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: Sanahagan can keep getting up. So maybe Batista, even though
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: I'm not picking him to win, is my preferred play
• 54:34
  Speaker 2: just because I think he has more takedown upside. But
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: that being said, Sanhagen's almost twice as likely to finish
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: than Bautista, but even a third round finish probably is
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: not enough in that loaded mid tiers. So I don't
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: like this fight much for DFS. I love it for
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: real life picking san Hagen, but maybe Batista is even
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: my preferred play for four and or cheaper. What do
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: you think?
• 54:54
  Speaker 3: Yeah, it's closer to a two star than a four star,
• 54:56
  Speaker 3: but this this is my fight of the night. Both
• 55:00
  Speaker 3: guys super well rounded. It's gonna be such a high
• 55:02
  Speaker 3: level fight. I can't wait to watch it, and I
• 55:05
  Speaker 3: do think that it being Fighter the Night on a
• 55:08
  Speaker 3: Connor McGregor card, it could be enough volume on the
• 55:11
  Speaker 3: feet and enough takedowns from both sides. Plus partly that
• 55:15
  Speaker 3: with it being in the mid range, I think it
• 55:17
  Speaker 3: could be on the optimal lineup in the decision on
• 55:20
  Speaker 3: either side. So I'm keeping it as a three for
• 55:22
  Speaker 3: now because I'm fine with either side. I'm picking Sanagan
• 55:26
  Speaker 3: to win. I don't think I've ever picked against Sanagan,
• 55:30
  Speaker 3: but that four hundred dollars. If I need four hundred
• 55:33
  Speaker 3: on this card and Sandagan's already in my lineup, I'm
• 55:36
  Speaker 3: fine taking him out going Bautista instead, because Bautista is
• 55:40
  Speaker 3: that good. I think he can hang with with Sanagan
• 55:43
  Speaker 3: minute for a minute. Maybe you could land a big
• 55:45
  Speaker 3: knockout shot as well. I just can't wait for this fight.
• 55:48
  Speaker 3: It's gonna be a great fight. But yeah, it's better,
• 55:51
  Speaker 3: probably a better fight to watch than play in DFS,
• 55:54
  Speaker 3: So I do lean with it being a little bit
• 55:56
  Speaker 3: closer to a two star overall, and I'm not gonna
• 55:59
  Speaker 3: be forcing it into any lineups. That's for sure, but
• 56:03
  Speaker 3: mid range it should be fun. Can't wait for it?
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: Yeah? Man, so so high level. It doesn't get any
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: more high level in that, I mean the highest level
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: fight on the card. In my opinion, I don't even
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: really think it's too much of an argument. You can
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: say what you want, Max Connor, all that, ben Wah Patty, sure,
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: but who knows about Connor nowadays? Benoir is just a
• 56:22
  Speaker 2: fricking beast that'll run forward and all that. Corey Sanhagen,
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: Mario Batista, every faint, every single transition on the ground.
• 56:29
  Speaker 2: It's it's gonna be fun, man, It's gonna be a
• 56:31
  Speaker 2: lot of fun, for sure. All right, a lot of
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: fun is the comain event, that's for sure. Ben Wah
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: Saint denis taking on Patty Pimble at minus one forty two.
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: Bin Wa plus one twenty two is Patty minus two
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: fifteen for this fight to finish ben Wah plus one
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: twenty five inside the distance Patty plus two fifteen. Ben
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: waht in round one plus three point fifty. So we're
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: talking line movement in this fight. Bn Wah open minus
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: two hundred and now finds himself at only minus one.
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: That's a little buyback from Monday. As you can see,
• 57:03
  Speaker 2: it was minus one thirty three. Ben Wah, Like I said,
• 57:07
  Speaker 2: ben Wa, all action, no breaks the stone says it
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: five point six to two cinemia strikes per minute, four
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: point one to nine takedowns per fifteen minutes. He's taken
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: on a really good grappler in Patty, though. So do
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: you think ben Wa goes for takedowns like he always does?
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: Do you think he has success? Can he stay safe
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: on top? Are we gonna get some striking? What do
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: you see? How do you see it going down?
• 57:28
  Speaker 4: Seah? I think it's gonna be a car crash.
• 57:30
  Speaker 3: I think they're both gonna be going for the knockout early,
• 57:34
  Speaker 3: both to be going for takedowns. Bsd's gonna be trying
• 57:37
  Speaker 3: to lay in ground a pound, Patty's gonna be trying
• 57:39
  Speaker 3: to get some missions. It's I think it's gonna be wild.
• 57:42
  Speaker 3: But BSD is just one of my favorite really all
• 57:46
  Speaker 3: time DraftKings plays. I mean, this guy's got three losses
• 57:50
  Speaker 3: in the UFC and he still averages more than one
• 57:52
  Speaker 3: hundred DraftKings points per fight. Like, this guy is insane.
• 57:56
  Speaker 3: I love the pace he brings. I love the power
• 57:58
  Speaker 3: he brings as well. I think I think he could
• 58:00
  Speaker 3: finish Patty in any round, but I also think that
• 58:03
  Speaker 3: Patty could finish BSD in any round as well. So
• 58:06
  Speaker 3: I'm just gonna load up on this fight. I have
• 58:08
  Speaker 3: it as a five star because I want to make
• 58:09
  Speaker 3: sure when I'm looking through my handbuilds, let me make
• 58:12
  Speaker 3: sure I clicked on one of these guys the main event,
• 58:15
  Speaker 3: this one in the Terrence McKinny fight. I just want
• 58:17
  Speaker 3: to make sure I'm getting those. And then I got
• 58:19
  Speaker 3: to think how I'm gonna get different. But I'm probably
• 58:22
  Speaker 3: gonna handbuild every lineup. So I'm just gonna be handbuilding
• 58:24
  Speaker 3: in a way where I'm thinking of how I get
• 58:27
  Speaker 3: different after those three fights, but that's where I'm gonna
• 58:30
  Speaker 3: start them all. Give me BSD to get the win, though,
• 58:33
  Speaker 3: I just don't see me picking against him.
• 58:35
  Speaker 4: Really against too many people.
• 58:36
  Speaker 3: I mean, the higher the talent gets, the scarier it
• 58:40
  Speaker 3: is picking BSD because he's not, you know, the safest fighter.
• 58:44
  Speaker 3: He's not even the most skilled fighter. He's just an
• 58:47
  Speaker 3: absolute madman in a powerhouse and I love it. So
• 58:50
  Speaker 3: give me BSD. And I think he scores over one
• 58:52
  Speaker 3: hundred points again, he's never scored less than one hundred
• 58:55
  Speaker 3: and four DraftKings points and I'll win and I would
• 58:59
  Speaker 3: imagine that can take if he gets his hand rise here.
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the definition of all heart like you
• 59:04
  Speaker 2: want to fight, that's gonna fight for your dollar Beini Saintanise,
• 59:07
  Speaker 2: one of the best to have on your side. I
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: mean a former Special Forces for France. The first fight
• 59:13
  Speaker 2: is all his first fight in the UFC up at
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: one seventy against the Lesquidos Santos. For any of my
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: real true UFC grinders out there, I mean, it was
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: so bad that the ref got fired on the spot.
• 59:24
  Speaker 2: He was supposed to have multiple matches that day. Made
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: it not send him back out there. I mean the
• 59:29
  Speaker 2: dude literally left been wow to dry, just absolutely got pounded, pounded, pounded.
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: He could have quit any second, waved it off. He
• 59:37
  Speaker 2: fought till the end, took an absolute beating. I mean,
• 59:40
  Speaker 2: it wasn't good. If Corner should have threw the towel,
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: it hurt his career, even though he's still an absolute monster.
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean that fight alone showed everything I
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: needed to know about Ben Wah. With all that being said, though,
• 59:51
  Speaker 2: I'm on the Patty side. The reason for that is, hey,
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: I think on the feet it's close. I actually think Patty.
• 59:58
  Speaker 2: I think Patty's chin right now. I don't know if
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: this is a cot take or not. He took a
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: lot of damage against Gaiche, but I trust his chin
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: more than benoas right now, I think the leg kicks
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: will be absolutely money for Patty, as should the light
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: kicks and the body kicks for Benoa. But I think
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: the hands of Patty's better. But why I'm picking Patty
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: is like I do think Benoa gets a takedown him
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: on top. Patty I think is live for a submission
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: off his back. His grappling's that good. If Patty gets
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 2: on top of Benoit, I think Benoa is in trouble.
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: I think Patty is a lot more dangerous on top
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: with the submissions his ground and pound there. Benoa is
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 2: very good with ground and pound all that. When you
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: try ground and pound and posture up that allows you
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: to get an arm snatched to get reversed some way
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: or another. I just think Patty has more ways to win.
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: Seeing him as the dog I think is wrong. So
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: I'm on the Patty side in this one. I like
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: how he's eight hundred cheaper. I plan on having more
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: of him. But if Benoit wins, he's gonna probably put
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 2: up one hundred plus. It's gonna be an awesome finish.
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 2: He's probably gonna destroy Patty then or get a sick knockout,
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: and he's going to probably be on the optimal. But
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: I'm on Patty. This is a phenomenal fight to target
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: for sure though main event time. Again, appreciate every single
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 2: one hanging out with us. Fourteen fights you f C
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: three to twenty nine at the Team Mobile Arena. All
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 2: of our content will be up on Friday. Projections ownership,
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: this stone will be completed. It'll be color coded, slate
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: plan breaking down all the fights. Big Marley breaking down
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: all the fights for the tear rank or fight rankings,
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 2: Tear rankings. Core reports also do have more education MMA.
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: Big Marley and I talked for about an hour and
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: a half. Everything to do with MMA dfs Again. You
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: can get in for as low as nineteen dollars four
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: or five days. You can also get in for the
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: monthly forty nine dollars for your first month, or for
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 2: the MMA only less than a dollar. Actually it's twenty
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: nine dollars, so less than a dollar a day. But
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: because it's a weekly sport, you cannot do any wrong
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 2: with that, all right, this is what everyone wants to
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: hear about. It's Max hollow minus two twenty five. It's
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 2: Connor McGregor plus one ninety minus five hundred for this
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: fight to finish, Holloway minus one forty inside the distance
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 2: counter plus two fifteen. Max Holloway in round one plus
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: five hundred. Connor McGregor in round one plus five hundred.
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 2: We're talking opening odds in this fight. It was Max
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 2: Holloway minus five point fifty at open. Ever since, Connor
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: has continued to take money. I'll throw it to you
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: right away. Is it because of his fan base? Is
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 2: it because of his stardom? Is it because Connor just
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 2: should never be a plus three something dog? At the
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: end of the day, where do you think all that
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: money is coming from? Where do you think it goes
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: from now until fight time on Saturday? And then break
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: it down for DFS.
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's casual money, and I would imagine
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 3: it keeps coming in. I'm hoping it keeps coming in.
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 3: To be honest with you, because I want to hammer
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 3: Max I think right now, Max is playable. I think
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 3: there's value in the current line, but I haven't played
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 3: it yet. I will play it. If he goes up
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 3: a little bit more, I'll still probably play it as well.
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 3: But I'm a huge McGregor fan. He's were my favorite
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 3: of all time. I think what he's done for the sport,
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 3: all the bad things he's done, like, what he's done
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 3: for the sport almost erases all the bad things he's
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 3: done just inside the cage anyways, because he just elevated
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 3: the sport to a level that we never even thought
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 3: he would go to.
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 4: Back in the day.
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 3: Man his press conferences we're more exciting than any other
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 3: pay per views alone.
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 4: So I love McGregor. I'll always be a fan.
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 3: But if he doesn't knockout Max Halloway in the first round,
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 3: I just don't know how he wins this fight. I mean,
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 3: he is still a skilled striker. He's gonna have more power,
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 3: for sure, but he doesn't have a twenty five minute
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 3: gas tank. Especially I don't think at one hundred and
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 3: seventy pounds, and especially if Holloway is gonna throw Holloway
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 3: type of volume, I just think Halloway avoids the big
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 3: shot early and takes McGregor into deep waters and drowns them.
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 3: I just don't think there's anyway McGregor can last if
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 3: Holloway is gonna be landing seven strikes per minute. Maybe
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 3: he doesn't do that in round one. He kind of
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 3: hangs back, plays defensively a little bit more and lets
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 3: McGregor wear himself out. But I think after round one
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 3: it's just Max all the way. So it'll be sad
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 3: to see McGregor lose, but I just think that it's
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 3: it's the it's the right way to go out. And
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 3: I think I heard that like they offered him protase
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 3: or somebody like that at first, And why are you
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 3: offering him protease If you want McGregor to go out
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 3: there and get a win, you're trying to meet McGregor
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 3: to up and coming talent. So I think like negotiations
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 3: went back with a whole different bunch of different people
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 3: and they landed on Max. But I think that the
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 3: Max was kind of a UFC thing too. We want
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 3: somebody who's still going to be a really big name
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 3: that can beat you as well, not just a Conda
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 3: McGregor card. So I think it's a Max fight, and
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 3: I think the Conor McGregor days are I'm glad they happened.
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 4: They were fun, man, but I think they're over.
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: Yeah, man, I think Protest would have been the worst
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: matchup for Connor McGregor. Like, how is Connor winning that fight?
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 2: Protest is sending that dude with the knee, with the
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 2: headcike with something seeing the ship or seeing the stars
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: because a lot of like Max Holloway's up one to
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 2: fifty five, that just moved up from one forty five
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 2: not too long ago, so clearly this is not his
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 2: weight class. Connor's never making one fifty five again. I'm
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 2: curious to see how he does look on the scales
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: at one seventy. He clearly will have the power advantage early.
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: But I agree with everything you said if it gets
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: out of round one. I mean, Connor has been away
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: for five years, probably on the Jews, probably on the
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 2: coke and all these other drugs. I'm gonna say probably
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: because I guess you never know, but the dudes that
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's been absolutely dialed into his nutrition,
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: to his body and all of that during this whole layoff,
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: like Max has been consistently fighting the best of the
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 2: best at multiple weight classes for a long time, so
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 2: I I just don't know how you can't go against Holloway.
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: I'm also debating absolutely loading up the wagon and throwing
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 2: a big one on holliway, with that being said, if
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: I do, my butt will be puckered in round one.
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: Max has ben hurt Connor has regardless of all that
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: the dudes a snipers disiness management his striking, He's a
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: fighter too, like the say what you want about all
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 2: that stuff, Like when he gets a met octagon, he's
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: going to be trying to put on a show and
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 2: he's going to be trying to find that chin. He
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: has the power to do so against a thirty four
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: year old Holloway. But this kind of reminds me of
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: the manual Tourist phyz fight a couple weeks ago or
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: two weeks or whenever it was. I went against everything
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: I usually do, the more skillful fighter. All this I
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: said was Phyzeve, and I picked the wild brawler that
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: I think would land the shot. McGregor's not a wild
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 2: brawler necessarily, but he's the guy that needs the knock out. Otherwise,
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: Holloway is just going to keep chipping at him, and
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 2: that volume is gonna end up best boxer in the UFC.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 2: Like you said against Cater, I mean he can put
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 2: on a show as long as Connor starts slowing down
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 2: and he gets out of one. So I definitely want
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 2: to plenty of Holloway. I think people will click the
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: counter name too, not only because he's the main event dog.
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: Seventy two hundred good money line, just easy to play
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: Connor McGregor when you're comparing him to a lot of
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: other dogs on this card, hoping that leads to him
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: being over owned, which I'm expecting, makes me load up
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 2: on Holloway even more. And then if you're sitting with
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: the nuts with Max Holloway and it looks like a
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: pretty like just say you need ninety for Max to win,
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 2: you can then maybe hedge a little bit on Connor
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: get some good plus money if you want to do
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: so that way. I'm punked, though, man, five PM Eastern
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: t Mobile Arena, Fight Capital of the World, fourteen fights
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: figures crossed. We keep all fourteen. Any final thoughts from you,
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 2: Big Marley Man.
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 3: I wish I was out there in Vegas. This would
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 3: be an awesome card. I hope it is that McGregor
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 3: atmosphere that we saw back in the day, and if
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 3: he does pull off this upset man, it'll be good
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 3: to have McGregor back and winning in the UFC anyway,
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 3: So I think it no matter what happens, is going
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 3: to be a great card.
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 4: Good Luck to you title, good luck to everybody listening.
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 4: Let's ship it.
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: Good Luck to you in the MMA Championship. Good Luck
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: to Kenny, good luck to Ricardo, good luck to sheets.
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 2: If I am missing anybody, I apologize and let me
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: know in the discord. Please drop a link in there,
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 2: Big Marley or any of you guys watching. I want
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 2: to be sweating it out with you guys. Definitely a
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 2: lot of fun, big money up there. Hey, I always
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: appreciate your rio. Good luck this week. I know you
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 2: will be in the streets like always hit that like
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: hit that. Subscribe on the way out. It helps us
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 2: out a ton. Good luck this weekend, enjoy some fights.
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 2: Hopefully we see some ship in Nation logos up top.
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: Definitely getting the discord if you join us at the
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: Nation as well. There you go for Big Marley on
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: titled town. Good luck, be safe, peace, and.
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 4: Never still have the mist.
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: And the step, and then step
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: At and hands