Latest / Simply Bitcoin / We Just Entered "CRASH STAGE 4" (Is $35,000 Bitcoin Next?) | Simply Originals
Transcript
- 0:00Bitcoin fell below 65 K last night. 230 million worth of
- 0:06levered longs liquidated in just 60 minutes.
- 0:09But yeah, you know how the saying goes when there's blood
- 0:12in the streets. Giga Chance got to eat, and boy
- 0:16did he. Michael Saylor and MicroStrategy
- 0:19just made their 100th Bitcoin buy, and they did so during a
- 0:24pronounced downturn. The company continues buying
- 0:28even while it's enormous. This position sits roughly $12.4
- 0:32billion underwater. Because that's what you do.
- 0:37Strategy just bought another 592 Bitcoin for 40 million cuck
- 0:41bucks. They now hold 717,722 BTC.
- 0:47Probably nothing. While some are panic selling the
- 0:49dip and calling for Bitcoin to fall to 35 K, others understand
- 0:55volatility is vitality. The fact we're able to stay back
- 1:00here is a blessing because if Michael Saylor is right, Bitcoin
- 1:04is overtaking gold in the next decade, and that would mean
- 1:09you're looking at one of the greatest information arbitrages
- 1:13in history. And the uptrend on our road to
- 1:15$1,000,000 Bitcoin and beyond, well, it'll be arriving soon.
- 1:19That's right, strapping lads, we got a hell of a show today.
- 1:30First question, do you see Bitcoin catching up to and
- 1:33surpassing gold's market cap by 2035?
- 1:36What say you? I do.
- 1:39I think we're in a Bitcoin. We're in the digital gold rush
- 1:42and 2035 is the .99 year. That means that 99% of all the
- 1:48Bitcoin will have been mined in the year 2035.
- 1:52There's only there's. If you want Bitcoin, you need to
- 1:54get it between now and then, because the last 1% of Bitcoin
- 1:57comes out over 100 years. Yeah, there's no doubt in my
- 2:02mind Bitcoin will be a larger asset class than gold by the
- 2:06year 2035. Bitcoin will be a larger asset
- 2:09class than gold by 2035. That's pretty hard to believe,
- 2:13especially when you see this. We're getting annihilated out
- 2:16here. Bitcoin has officially entered
- 2:19what analyst Dr. Prophet calls the Stage 4 of a six phase bear
- 2:23market that could send Bitcoin to 35 K.
- 2:26After topping near 120526K back in October 2025, Bitcoin is
- 2:32cooled off aggressively, dipping towards 60K.
- 2:35According to this model, we're now in the sideways fatigue
- 2:39phase where price grinds, hope fades, and half the market
- 2:43questions their life choices. Roughly 46% of Bitcoin supply is
- 2:47reportedly underwater, meaning nearly half of holders are
- 2:51giving the Cooper stared of their portfolio, the analyst
- 2:54says. This isn't the bottom, not even
- 2:57close. Stage 5.
- 2:59That's the so-called capitulation phase with targets
- 3:03between 35K and 45K. Translation Max Payne Max panic
- 3:08maximum. Why didn't I sell it 100K?
- 3:11There could be relief rallies toward 97107 K.
- 3:14But he warns those would likely be traps, not trend reversals.
- 3:19The big picture, macro stress, regulatory uncertainty in
- 3:22markets waiting on legislation like the Clarity Act.
- 3:25It's all adding up to fuel the bearish case, this guy's bearish
- 3:29case. And according to his road map, a
- 3:31real bull market may not return until late 2026 or even 2027.
- 3:37I don't know. What do you guys think?
- 3:38Is Doctor Prophet see in stage 4 or stage 420?
- 3:42I think he needs to layoff there to.
- 3:44Sheesh. But let's actually look at a few
- 3:46reasons to back up why it could get even worse from here.
- 3:51Remember when we talked about global uncertainty hitting
- 3:54record highs? Well, that was like a week ago
- 3:56and a lot has happened since then.
- 3:58Tariffs off Supreme Court says GFY and Trump responds with 10%
- 4:03higher tariffs globally. GFY actually.
- 4:07The clarity in the decision appears to have emboldened the
- 4:10Orange man, and that likely means more tariffs and economic
- 4:14warfare are coming our way. Which have also been confirmed
- 4:19and are fully allowed. Therefore, effective
- 4:23immediately, all national security tariffs under Section
- 4:27232 and existing Section three O 1 tariffs.
- 4:32They're existing, they're there, remain in place, fully in place
- 4:39and in full force and effect. Today I will sign an order to
- 4:42impose a 10% global tariff under section 122.
- 4:47Over and above are normal tariffs already being charged.
- 4:51Oh, and not to mention those guys that have been one week
- 4:54away from a nuke since 1984. There again, one week away from
- 4:59a bomb, allegedly, despite a few months ago the bombing that
- 5:04would set them back years, we're told what a great success.
- 5:08Now they're a week away again. Well, besides all of it being
- 5:12highly regarded, it doesn't stop there.
- 5:15Because an operation that took out a cartel leader has led to
- 5:18complete chaos in Mexico. When you take this geopolitical
- 5:23chaos unfolding everywhere before us and also take some of
- 5:27these things into account. Pending home sales fell to
- 5:30lowest level ever recorded. Credit card loans are now in
- 5:34serious delinquency, the second highest in history.
- 5:37The only time the percentage was higher was the aftermath of the
- 5:41global financial crisis. So is it possible for all this
- 5:45chaos and economic ruin to lead to a 35K capitulation event?
- 5:49Sure. But a flash crash to 35 K would
- 5:53be the most insane opportunity in history.
- 5:56Saylor would call that a gift for the faithful.
- 5:59Volatility was a gift to the faithful.
- 6:02It scares away the tourist, it scares away the lazy.
- 6:07It scares away the people that are already conventionally rich,
- 6:11that have all the money. If you're a 20 something or a 30
- 6:15something and you're willing to do the work, if you're willing
- 6:18to spend 100 hours or 200 hours, if you have more time than
- 6:22money, then the volatility of Bitcoin is a gift to you.
- 6:26If you have more, if you're, if you have more money than time
- 6:29and you're arrogant and egotistical and, and you just
- 6:35pick the obvious, then if the volatility goes away, you buy
- 6:40Bitcoin. If people, if people in the rest
- 6:42of the world knew what I know and they understood and they
- 6:45agreed with me, Bitcoin would go to $10 million tomorrow.
- 6:50And if Bitcoin went to $10 million tomorrow, I want you to
- 6:54think about how you would feel and how your viewers would feel
- 6:58because you would lose 20 years of stacking opportunity during
- 7:04which you get to buy it less than $10 million.
- 7:08So the difference between $10 million and 100,000, that's what
- 7:12you give up if the volatility goes away and people start to
- 7:16agree with you and. Also guys have some good news
- 7:19that could possibly cancel that strike on Iran and that is that
- 7:24we apparently we don't have enough toilets aboard our large
- 7:29vessels. The planned US attack on Iran
- 7:32has a hitch. Most of the bomb toggling crew
- 7:34are busy curing for toilets on the lead vessel, the USS Gerald
- 7:39R Ford. This is not a joke.
- 7:41A set of emails was obtained by MPRAUS Public Broadcasting Group
- 7:45revealing that toilet wars have broken out on board the most
- 7:48expensive ship the US Navy ever built, and the Wall Street
- 7:51Journal followed up to confirm the tale today.
- 7:54TLDR summary There are too few functioning toilets for 4600
- 7:59sailors and the problem is worsening daily.
- 8:02Problem 1 Design plan is screwed up by including too few toilets
- 8:05for 4000 plus sailors, leading to 45 minute queues on a daily
- 8:09basis. Leave it to the military
- 8:11industrial complex, am I right? I mean, I know what you're
- 8:15thinking. Is Iran the reason Americans
- 8:17can't afford homes? Is Iran the reason that there's
- 8:21fentanyl zombies? Is Iran the reason our
- 8:25politicians are corrupt beyond measure?
- 8:27I don't think so. And there is an excellent
- 8:30arbitrage opportunity playing out to almost near perfection,
- 8:35and that is the short the state and long the sound money trade.
- 8:40What we are experiencing right now, Danny, is an, as an
- 8:44information or a knowledge arbitrage.
- 8:46And so people just do not yet understand how Bitcoin is
- 8:49different and why it is the ultimate store value and the
- 8:54ultimate debasement asset. They just don't understand it
- 8:57yet. There's a lot of confusion
- 8:59there. You know, the, the, the
- 9:01mainstream media puts out confusing and, and hit pieces
- 9:05about it all the time. They commingle it with all the
- 9:08other cryptocurrencies and they just call them all the same
- 9:11thing. And so I have friends who say,
- 9:13Oh yeah, I own that. I own Bitcoin, I own the, the,
- 9:15the Solana one. And it's like they just don't
- 9:19get it. And it's OK.
- 9:20It's not their fault. They're, they're just not
- 9:22interested in doing the doing the research themselves.
- 9:26And they're listening to mainstream media and getting
- 9:28their, their news off of Facebook or their research off
- 9:31of Facebook. They're just not getting it.
- 9:32And so there is an information arbitrage that you and I are
- 9:36experiencing right now. It feels bad and it makes you
- 9:40feel like, am I an idiot? Am I just stupid that I'm, how
- 9:44early am I here? And the answer is you're still
- 9:48pretty early because I, I think that that Bitcoin is going to
- 9:51trade above $1,000,000 in early 20 thirties, 20322033.
- 9:56I would be very surprised if we're not touching $1,000,000
- 9:59Bitcoin. That's me.
- 10:02That's my thesis. That's where I believe this
- 10:04thing is going. But I also believe that part of
- 10:07that is that arbitrage of that not knowledge arbitrage will
- 10:11close. And as that does, you know,
- 10:14you're going to have the Harvards and, and the Yales and
- 10:17the the University of Texas and the the CalPERS and the Texas
- 10:22teachers and the every pension and fire fund out there taking
- 10:28positions in Bitcoin as a core asset.
- 10:31And when they do that, it's that that's when that knowledge
- 10:35begins to really spread. And people like, Oh yeah.
- 10:38So Bitcoin is different. OK.
- 10:39So Bitcoin is different. It's not just this moon shot
- 10:41thing. It's digital gold.
- 10:43OK, then I should probably own some.
- 10:46And funny enough is I think that that's going to be a much
- 10:49healthier rise for Bitcoin in price and a much more stable
- 10:52rise. It's not going to be this
- 10:53massive volatile thing. It's going to be like people.
- 10:56Oh, I get it. OK, I get it.
- 10:58Oh, OK, I understand now. I understand.
- 11:01I understand how it's different. And then we'll feel vindicated
- 11:04and, you know, we'll look like we're 143 years old when we're
- 11:09when we're just in our 50s, or in your case, 30s.
- 11:14Now Bitcoin is about to finish its 5th consecutive down month,
- 11:17and looking back, the last time that happened, Bitcoin followed
- 11:21with five green months. Bitcoin doesn't stay at these
- 11:24levels for long, and Tim Draper warns the uptrend is about to
- 11:28return with a vengeance and with more eyebrows.
- 11:32We're about to bring it home today.
- 11:34But before we do, look at our likes.
- 11:37Speaking of holding your own keys, if you're looking to
- 11:39reclaim your sovereignty, you're going to want to visit our
- 11:42friends over at the Bitcoin Way. If you're not running a node,
- 11:45you're not verifying your own transactions, you're relying on
- 11:49someone else. The Bitcoin Way will get your
- 11:51coins off the exchanges into cold storage and guide you step
- 11:55by step in setting up your own node.
- 11:57It's hands on training from the masters of self custody And ask
- 12:00yourself, are they listening to your calls tracking every tap?
- 12:05The Bitcoin will help you choose a privacy phone, install a
- 12:08privacy operating system and regain your digital sovereignty.
- 12:12And if you need location insurance, a Plan B residency is
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- 12:19into a Bitcoin friendly community where sovereign
- 12:21individuals thrive. Visit thebitcoinway.com and book
- 12:24your free 30 minute consultation using that link in the show
- 12:28notes. Today's show is brought to you
- 12:30by Leaden. If you ever need cash but don't
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- 13:14dot IO slash Simply. That's learn dot leaden dot IO
- 13:19slash simply. Bitcoin keeps perfect records.
- 13:22It's transparent, it's open, everybody can see it.
- 13:28So it's honest and I think and it and it brings humanity to a
- 13:39higher level. And I think we're going to see,
- 13:44yeah, I think it might drop a little more as the, as people
- 13:47have to unravel because they were a little too enthusiastic
- 13:51and they borrowed to buy more Bitcoin.
- 13:55I think those have to be unravelled and and then it'll
- 13:58resume its upward trend. So.
- 14:01I'm very excited about it. I, I think it's the greatest
- 14:03thing that's happened to humanity.
- 14:06It's, it's so great that we now have another way for us to all
- 14:11do business. And it's like as big a deal as
- 14:15going from nothing to shells or from shells to gold or from gold
- 14:21to the promise of gold. Each of those made the world
- 14:25wealthier. This is going to make the world
- 14:27wealthier. There's extraordinary innovation
- 14:29happening around Bitcoin. And in fact, we have this
- 14:33Bitcoin FI accelerator that that brings in all of these new
- 14:39innovations as as those innovations make it easier for
- 14:43people to operate in Bitcoin than in dollars, there will be
- 14:47less and less of a need for a dollar.
- 14:49What did we learn today? Well, we learned that the world
- 14:53falling apart is an amazing Bitcoin buying opportunity.
- 14:57So short the state lung, the corn, and there's no better time
- 15:01to cauliflower up those ears and get your 40 hours per weekend
- 15:05than during the bear market. And the possibility of World War
- 15:103 is higher than ever, which is probably a good time to visit
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- 15:42signal. No problem.
- 15:44Let us know what you think down below and don't forget to smash
- 15:47the like and give us a pack by sharing the sound money gospel.
- 15:50We get a lot more coming your way, so stay tuned, stay humble
- 15:53and stack sets. I love you guys, catch you next
- 15:56time. If you prefer to go down with
- 15:58the. Ship you.