Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Best Bets for NFL Week 6

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Best Bets for NFL Week 6 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

0:08
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.
0:13
Speaker 1: I'm Chatmanment, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. It
0:17
Speaker 1: is Thursday. I am joined by my bff, my companion,
0:22
Speaker 1: Michael Padre, professional better, Mr Simon Hunter. What up? Brother
0:31
Speaker 1: Sad who excited for the night. Buddy'd been drinking since
0:35
Speaker 1: I woke up this morning. Getting ready? Head over to
0:37
Speaker 1: Jetro after the show is done and continue tail game
0:40
Speaker 1: before this Eagles Tampa Bay kick off. Listen Even without
0:44
Speaker 1: a game, that's just another Thursday in Philadelphia and South Jersey.
0:49
Speaker 1: We all know that we got a lot to talk
0:51
Speaker 1: about because, as everybody knows, on Tuesday, we go over
0:54
Speaker 1: the entire slate, we start pinpointing the games and the
0:57
Speaker 1: numbers that we love. Onto days show, we will narrow
1:01
Speaker 1: it down and we will try to pick six seven
1:05
Speaker 1: games that we love, and out of those six or seven,
1:08
Speaker 1: we will choose the five best. We will share those
1:11
Speaker 1: on Sunday via our various avenues, whether it's Twitter, whether
1:15
Speaker 1: it's following us in the free and award winning Action
1:18
Speaker 1: Network app. We will also today pinpoint the money line
1:23
Speaker 1: parlay we love. We will settle on a survivor pick.
1:28
Speaker 1: We will remind people that you can watch Convince Me
1:32
Speaker 1: with Me and Simon Hunter, Sean Crooner, Chris RayBan, Samantha
1:36
Speaker 1: Riviti on Fantasy, and Darren Ravell on Market News. On
1:40
Speaker 1: Sunday Mornings. I Love An a m Eastern at Action
1:42
Speaker 1: Network HQ. A lot of what we're discussing today will
1:45
Speaker 1: be refined, narrowed down. This is always the really fun
1:48
Speaker 1: podcast for me because, as you know, I love my
1:50
Speaker 1: Thursday mornings. I get my espresso, I get my Green
1:55
Speaker 1: Team MATCHA, get my apples of peanut butter. I settle in,
2:00
Speaker 1: I do my research, Get ready for the day, Get
2:02
Speaker 1: ready for the podcasts. You're too old, You're just an
2:05
Speaker 1: old man. Before we get to all that, we do
2:08
Speaker 1: the podcast on Tuesday, we do it on Thursday. Between
2:11
Speaker 1: Tuesday and Thursday, lines move, injury reports, get updated, markets change,
2:17
Speaker 1: and you get calls from your wise guy buddies criticizing
2:22
Speaker 1: or supporting some of our decisions. Let's get some sharp calls. Hello,
2:31
Speaker 1: who's there, I'm talking? Yeah, lucky that Hey, it wasn't
2:40
Speaker 1: as strong as it was last week. Uh, I wouldn't
2:43
Speaker 1: say it wasn't there. I had a couple of guys
2:46
Speaker 1: immediately calling me up Tuesday night and just said, what
2:49
Speaker 1: are you guys thinking here taking this Bills team on
2:51
Speaker 1: the road against the tendency Titans. But I was expected.
2:54
Speaker 1: I knew professionals are gonna love that Tennessee Titan number.
2:57
Speaker 1: That's just a classic primetime home dog. I'm almost always
3:01
Speaker 1: on that position. But again, I just love this matchup
3:04
Speaker 1: for this Bills team. So they didn't move me too
3:06
Speaker 1: much with that conversation. I think they finally tucked me
3:10
Speaker 1: off this Jaguars team. Chet Um really yeah, I still
3:15
Speaker 1: love the three and a half, but it's down to
3:16
Speaker 1: three now, Vanduel Um. You know, I might maybe I
3:21
Speaker 1: am betting too much with my head thinking that I
3:25
Speaker 1: have this number at one it's three and a half.
3:27
Speaker 1: I think I'm getting great value. I have to take
3:30
Speaker 1: a step back. Like these guys keep saying to me,
3:32
Speaker 1: They're like, how can you trust Urban Meyer Like that
3:35
Speaker 1: cover they had against the Bengals, Any any any kind
3:39
Speaker 1: of coach that is just half a brain wins that
3:42
Speaker 1: game like they had against the Bengals. Um and he
3:44
Speaker 1: blew that game. So I I was coming into this weekend,
3:49
Speaker 1: I was gonna make that one of my bigger bets.
3:51
Speaker 1: Now that's probably not gonna being my top fifteen, like bets,
3:54
Speaker 1: signs and totals that I even hit this week. So
3:56
Speaker 1: I'm kind of walking back off the Jags after having
3:59
Speaker 1: a couple of conversations, and the last one was you
4:02
Speaker 1: wanted me to find out more about this Arizona Cardinals game. Um,
4:06
Speaker 1: I mean, man, Mitch can cut this out. I don't
4:08
Speaker 1: know if I'm talking out of school, but a guy
4:09
Speaker 1: who works in the business with the last name Sharp,
4:12
Speaker 1: which is a made up last name, apparently his group
4:14
Speaker 1: is the one that hit that Arizona Cardinals line. Um,
4:17
Speaker 1: they hit it Sunday night, they hit it again Monday,
4:20
Speaker 1: and now they're buying back. They bought back at two
4:22
Speaker 1: and a half because I think they realized they kind
4:24
Speaker 1: of made an air here where Arizona has kind of
4:27
Speaker 1: had some injuries come out lately, their centers out of
4:29
Speaker 1: the game. Now, the weather isn't looking ideal for the
4:33
Speaker 1: playing style of this Cardinals team, so apparently they bought
4:36
Speaker 1: out their position. They're hitting back to their side on
4:38
Speaker 1: the Browns. I only bought more um stock in this
4:41
Speaker 1: Browns team at two and a half, so I'm all
4:44
Speaker 1: in on the Browns. That's now that it's moved the
4:47
Speaker 1: other way back to three, I'm pretty sure me and
4:49
Speaker 1: Chad are gonna lock this one is our best five.
4:51
Speaker 1: We just love this number, so I um, I'm interested
4:55
Speaker 1: to see where it ends up because of what weather
4:57
Speaker 1: might come in on Sunday. But if you can still
5:00
Speaker 1: get two and a half of your book when you
5:01
Speaker 1: hear this, please please take this Brown's number. I love
5:06
Speaker 1: this Browns, this Brown's number the whole week, and we're
5:10
Speaker 1: gonna dig We're gonna dig deeper into that. We're not
5:12
Speaker 1: going to talk much more about the Jags because I
5:15
Speaker 1: think that's really interesting. But does that mean that all
5:17
Speaker 1: of a sudden, like, have you been convinced that you're
5:20
Speaker 1: on the Dolphins or have you just been convinced this
5:23
Speaker 1: is a game in which you're not going to invest much. Yeah,
5:26
Speaker 1: we can see what's up with Ta that's uh like Again,
5:29
Speaker 1: that was one of my biggest whiffs of the preseason.
5:31
Speaker 1: I was all in on Miami and Ta. I really
5:33
Speaker 1: thought he was gonna take the next step and he hasn't,
5:37
Speaker 1: and that division is just looking incredibly weak. So that
5:40
Speaker 1: was one of those trained training chain reactions here where
5:44
Speaker 1: I'll probably been on Miami. But yeah, like, my my
5:47
Speaker 1: biggest bet right now we can talk about this stuff
5:49
Speaker 1: is um is the Eagles by far plus seven. UM.
5:54
Speaker 1: I hit that number multiple times a bunch of different books, dandels.
5:57
Speaker 1: Moving down a six and a half, I still like
5:59
Speaker 1: a six and a half half, I have this at
6:00
Speaker 1: four and a half. So this is again I don't
6:04
Speaker 1: want to give it. I didn't give up to my clients.
6:05
Speaker 1: Is one of my four biggest bets of the year,
6:08
Speaker 1: but it's getting up there at this point. Like I've
6:09
Speaker 1: just hit this number so many times now, and if
6:12
Speaker 1: it wasn't a Thursday night game, this would be a
6:15
Speaker 1: no brainer, huge bet for me. But because it is
6:17
Speaker 1: Thursday night, we've just seen it time and time again.
6:20
Speaker 1: Just these big favorites on Thursday Night end up covering
6:23
Speaker 1: for some reason. It's a reason I had any type
6:26
Speaker 1: of pause. But I do think this is a bad
6:28
Speaker 1: number in this Tampa Bay Eagles game. Should we be
6:32
Speaker 1: considering it right now for one of our five? Should
6:35
Speaker 1: we pull the trigger on a Thursday game? I mean
6:38
Speaker 1: I wanted to beg you for it. I feel like
6:39
Speaker 1: I was worried about you being like this is a
6:40
Speaker 1: Homer pick, but I promise you it isn't like this
6:42
Speaker 1: is truly a value based pick. Well, listen, I don't
6:45
Speaker 1: think it's a Homer pick at all. Everybody is loving
6:50
Speaker 1: the Eagles in this spot. If I can think about
6:53
Speaker 1: like one area where I am finding consistent consensus, it
6:57
Speaker 1: is on the Eagles as underdogs. And you're right, this
7:01
Speaker 1: number has been hit uh pretty hard um across the board.
7:06
Speaker 1: I'm looking at the numbers right now. It's plus six
7:09
Speaker 1: and a half. And what's interesting is the money. The
7:14
Speaker 1: the amount of money bet on on each side is
7:16
Speaker 1: relatively split. The bets are heavily in favorite of the Buccaneers.
7:21
Speaker 1: So like to me, this is feeling a little bit
7:24
Speaker 1: like a pros Joe's game. Now. My runners said he
7:27
Speaker 1: talked to the two different bookmakers. One of the guys
7:29
Speaker 1: that was at board data. He's claiming they have thirteen
7:32
Speaker 1: to one tickets right now in favorite of the Buccaneers
7:36
Speaker 1: compared to the Eagles. And we live in New Jersey,
7:38
Speaker 1: so I can't imagine what it is across the country,
7:40
Speaker 1: how much more money the Buccaneers are getting. But people
7:44
Speaker 1: can go through the data. I believe Tom Brady is
7:47
Speaker 1: oh and eight or owned seven against the spread in
7:49
Speaker 1: primetime games. So it's a little scary where this guy
7:54
Speaker 1: is due to cover one. This is such an inflated line.
7:57
Speaker 1: We talked about all the time with this the defense
7:59
Speaker 1: of woes and there. There's just too much value on
8:02
Speaker 1: this Eagles team not to put enough money down on it.
8:05
Speaker 1: And I try to warrant people that the Chiefs Buccaneers
8:08
Speaker 1: teaser this week. You know I love chalkie teasers. Stay away.
8:12
Speaker 1: I'm begging people stay away. It's alre. I mean, last
8:16
Speaker 1: time I checked how much money is on these two
8:18
Speaker 1: these two sides and the Chiefs and the Bucking Years.
8:21
Speaker 1: So I hope people can take on like you know,
8:24
Speaker 1: it's one of those where even if the Buccaneers Chiefs hit, yeah,
8:27
Speaker 1: you can be mad at me, but I'm trying to
8:29
Speaker 1: save you money because it's it's it is a trap
8:32
Speaker 1: and they're laying these traps after last week. And everyone
8:35
Speaker 1: I've talked to, all my job public friends that reach
8:37
Speaker 1: out to me, they look, that's their favorite teaser this week,
8:40
Speaker 1: So please stay away from that Buccaneers Chiefs teaser. What
8:44
Speaker 1: what number can we get if we were to put
8:46
Speaker 1: this into our five best in a mythical contest, it's
8:50
Speaker 1: gonna be six and a half. I mean, like that's
8:52
Speaker 1: the contest. I've gotten smarter where they know where the
8:54
Speaker 1: sharp money is gonna come in, and they move that
8:56
Speaker 1: number to it just because they want to scare us off,
8:58
Speaker 1: like it's worked for them all year and you have
9:00
Speaker 1: been terrified. We move it off the numbers that we like.
9:02
Speaker 1: So obviously if this was plus seven, no brain or bet,
9:05
Speaker 1: but still plus six. We talked about how that's a
9:08
Speaker 1: key number now with all these miss extra points and
9:10
Speaker 1: things like that, we like the plus six and a half.
9:12
Speaker 1: And now it's in here talking about the Eagles has
9:14
Speaker 1: to be our hornets nest play, doesn't it. I couldn't
9:16
Speaker 1: agree more. Let's go, let's walk into that hornet's nest.
9:19
Speaker 1: Let's get stunk. I'm walking to a fucking hornets nest.
9:22
Speaker 1: All right, now'll be my companions. All right. You have
9:36
Speaker 1: to love the reverse line movement, like when it's it's
9:39
Speaker 1: moving down and people think they're getting a better number
9:42
Speaker 1: on the Buccaneers. It's such a great feeling as a professional.
9:45
Speaker 1: All right, we're gonna put a pin in that one.
9:47
Speaker 1: We'll come back to it. The next game that was
9:49
Speaker 1: on our list were the Texans plus ten against the Colts.
9:54
Speaker 1: That number has moved down from eleven and a half.
9:58
Speaker 1: I don't feel strongly against it. I don't feel strongly
10:04
Speaker 1: for it. It's a bet the right number kind of bet.
10:08
Speaker 1: I I don't know, like if we love the Eagles
10:12
Speaker 1: and we're gonna get to the Browns, Like, there's probably
10:14
Speaker 1: a couple of games, a handful of games that I
10:16
Speaker 1: like a little better than this one. So um, I
10:20
Speaker 1: don't feel strongly bet in the Texans plus ten right now. Yeah,
10:24
Speaker 1: and actually know a couple of professionals that are on
10:26
Speaker 1: the Colts in this matchup, which makes you feel in
10:28
Speaker 1: better about our survivor. Pick. Um, this will be a
10:30
Speaker 1: tough week for you having to pick two. This is
10:32
Speaker 1: like there's a lot of well I don't have to
10:35
Speaker 1: pick two. I only have to pick two one more
10:36
Speaker 1: time before week ten, and I am contemplating this as
10:40
Speaker 1: being a week two thing and we can get to this.
10:41
Speaker 1: But I kind of like the Colts and the Steelers. Yeah,
10:45
Speaker 1: actually I like that to sneaky playing the Steelers. Um,
10:49
Speaker 1: But I just keep getting flashbacks of the Steelers are
10:52
Speaker 1: playing the awful Jaguars team with Blake Bortles and Big
10:55
Speaker 1: Borrows comes in and puts a forty five points on Pittsburgh.
10:58
Speaker 1: It's like, this is this is the I am. I
11:00
Speaker 1: stay away from Pittsburgh. So um, listen, listen to me,
11:04
Speaker 1: hold on, hold on. You're a professional. Better you bet
11:10
Speaker 1: based on what you see in your power ratings, in
11:14
Speaker 1: the numbers, in the research, in the data. Do not
11:18
Speaker 1: let me feel like you are influenced by bad dreams
11:24
Speaker 1: and nightmares from Blake Bortles years past. You have not
11:29
Speaker 1: been bordled. You've just been bordled and not at all.
11:33
Speaker 1: I bet awful teams consecutive weeks in a row chat.
11:35
Speaker 1: That's that's what I do, baby. But I'm just warning
11:37
Speaker 1: these people out here that it looks like a real
11:40
Speaker 1: easy lay up taking Pittsburgh in primetime at home against
11:43
Speaker 1: Geno Smith, little fishy, little fishy, And I had that
11:47
Speaker 1: line at four or four and a half, and now
11:48
Speaker 1: it's with the fine half, so I don't know. It's
11:53
Speaker 1: it's one of those I'm advising people stay well, even
11:54
Speaker 1: though I get it you just want to get rid
11:56
Speaker 1: of the Steelers and the survival pool. What's What's worse
11:58
Speaker 1: than getting rid of the Colts. I'm culture terrible. I'm
12:01
Speaker 1: happy to get rid of them this week and survivors.
12:03
Speaker 1: So the the plus ten I get if you want
12:07
Speaker 1: to stay away, but I don't know it's I'm gonna
12:11
Speaker 1: be betting it, but yeah, it probably won't be one
12:12
Speaker 1: of my favorite five. Also, if you like this Houston team,
12:16
Speaker 1: they're saying to Rod Taylor's me back next week, I've
12:18
Speaker 1: already bet the plus fourteen against Arizona next week with
12:21
Speaker 1: this Houston team just in case he does come back.
12:23
Speaker 1: I can see the line dropping. So do you like
12:25
Speaker 1: this Houston team with Rod Taylor as a quarterback? Plus
12:28
Speaker 1: fourteen next week has good value? Man? That is professional.
12:31
Speaker 1: That is called value investing right there? Sadly twenty limits
12:36
Speaker 1: you can't put that much down, but I still like.
12:38
Speaker 1: I still think it's a good value. Guy, I don't.
12:40
Speaker 1: I don't get anything less than five times, So if
12:43
Speaker 1: I can't get if I can't get more than a
12:46
Speaker 1: thousand down, then it's not it's probably not gonna be
12:48
Speaker 1: worth my time. Uh, here's an interesting game on on Tuesday.
12:55
Speaker 1: We love the Washington football team plus seven. Uh the
12:59
Speaker 1: line has in bet down two six and a half,
13:02
Speaker 1: So sharp money is coming in on this Washington football
13:05
Speaker 1: team because the bets are all over the Chiefs. So
13:08
Speaker 1: the question becomes at six and a half, are we
13:11
Speaker 1: all of a sudden betting the Chiefs against a Washington
13:15
Speaker 1: football team defense that really just isn't very good and
13:19
Speaker 1: a quarterback who doesn't seem to sort of be able
13:23
Speaker 1: to make the progressions as we wouldn't expect them to.
13:26
Speaker 1: He's not an elite level NFL quarterback. He's a guy
13:30
Speaker 1: who was out of the league, shows flashes of athleticism,
13:34
Speaker 1: makes miraculous heroic plays against bad teams. But are we
13:39
Speaker 1: feeling like the Chiefs of the right side at six
13:41
Speaker 1: and a half? Yeah, and that was our Simon says,
13:44
Speaker 1: plays simply because I didn't think the seven we're gonna last.
13:47
Speaker 1: I kind of looked like the pros, we're gonna come
13:49
Speaker 1: in on this number, and they did. It's just a
13:51
Speaker 1: smart number to go down on. So yeah, I wouldn't
13:54
Speaker 1: take the Chiefs here at six and a half just
13:56
Speaker 1: because it's still a little too high for their defense.
14:00
Speaker 1: It's there's just something wrong there this Chief's team. They
14:03
Speaker 1: can't run the ball to establish you know, a lead.
14:07
Speaker 1: They like, they get up on a team, it team
14:09
Speaker 1: is gonna be able to come back at any time.
14:10
Speaker 1: So I don't know. I wouldn't I wouldn't tell people
14:14
Speaker 1: to take a six and a half with the Chiefs.
14:16
Speaker 1: I would probably still be on the Washington side with that.
14:18
Speaker 1: But if you got down to five five and a half, yeah,
14:21
Speaker 1: I like the Chiefs in that position. But at this number,
14:24
Speaker 1: they're still getting good value in this Washington team just
14:26
Speaker 1: because of that defense. With this Kansas City Chiefs team.
14:30
Speaker 1: Right now, we talked about the Chargers in the Ravens
14:34
Speaker 1: when this game was at plus three. There are places
14:39
Speaker 1: on the board right now where you can get the
14:45
Speaker 1: um Ravens for minus two and a half right now,
14:54
Speaker 1: same feeling like I'm on the Ravens, but no, don't
14:58
Speaker 1: want to make it one of my biggest bets. I'm
15:00
Speaker 1: gonna have way more money bet on the Chargers in
15:02
Speaker 1: a teaser because you're gonna be like, right now, get
15:04
Speaker 1: you get Chargers eight and a half. In what world
15:07
Speaker 1: can he not cover that number? It's like you you're
15:09
Speaker 1: kind of betting on Herbert really keeping you in this game.
15:12
Speaker 1: That's just a smart number at eight and a half.
15:14
Speaker 1: In a teaser. But of course I still like the Ravens.
15:17
Speaker 1: They're just a great running team against a really bad
15:20
Speaker 1: run defense. And I know they're gonna try and make
15:23
Speaker 1: a one dimensional the Chargers. They'll they'll they'll stack the
15:25
Speaker 1: box and make Lamar try to beat him with his arm.
15:28
Speaker 1: He's won a bunch of games this year with his arm.
15:30
Speaker 1: I don't love it enough to make it one of
15:32
Speaker 1: our best five. Like I felt really good about coming
15:34
Speaker 1: into this week. Don't overthink this. Just do the Chargers
15:37
Speaker 1: in a teaser. Get them over eight and a half.
15:39
Speaker 1: That's a great number to have Herbert, Like, any time
15:41
Speaker 1: you're gonna be able to get Herbert this year is
15:43
Speaker 1: a dog. They're gonna feel good about it. So I
15:46
Speaker 1: I'm still on the Ravens. I'm gonna try to hit
15:48
Speaker 1: that middle though. Get tick the eight and a half.
15:50
Speaker 1: Take the two and a half of the Ravens. One
15:54
Speaker 1: of the games we loved. Uh Bengals Lions. This is
16:00
Speaker 1: at three and a half. Now there are places where
16:04
Speaker 1: it's at three, um, so it's been heading in the
16:09
Speaker 1: Lions direction. I like this at heating number because I
16:13
Speaker 1: think the Lions are a sneaky money line dog here.
16:19
Speaker 1: This is definitely when these games are losing, because it
16:21
Speaker 1: feels too easy. Like I love this number, it really does.
16:24
Speaker 1: That's why it's making me so scared. Like the three
16:26
Speaker 1: and a half did not make sense at all, Like
16:29
Speaker 1: they had to have known pros. We're gonna pound that number.
16:32
Speaker 1: Um makes sense. Now that's down to three. Bengals again,
16:36
Speaker 1: they are a good team, no doubt they can pass
16:39
Speaker 1: the ball. The Lions are very weak in the secondary
16:42
Speaker 1: at this point. That's one of the bigger weaknesses. But
16:45
Speaker 1: Lions just don't go away, and we've seen it where
16:49
Speaker 1: they're kind of always in these games. And at three
16:51
Speaker 1: and a half, this was a great number. At three,
16:54
Speaker 1: I don't love it as much. Kind of love that hook.
16:56
Speaker 1: I know you think they can get the r right win.
16:58
Speaker 1: Some of these teams just can't win this This destroyed team.
17:01
Speaker 1: They don't know how to win yet. Um, And they're
17:03
Speaker 1: trying to they're trying to learn, but they just haven't
17:05
Speaker 1: figured out. So I still love it at three and
17:08
Speaker 1: a half if that's what it is in our our
17:09
Speaker 1: contest for our best five. But at three it's kind
17:12
Speaker 1: of like making me a little scared off at this
17:14
Speaker 1: point because it's like, Uh, it's too easy. That's It's
17:18
Speaker 1: one of these games I look at where it just
17:19
Speaker 1: seems too easy and the numbers all line up that
17:21
Speaker 1: way where I had to set to three and a half,
17:25
Speaker 1: you know, point a half difference. That's huge value from you.
17:27
Speaker 1: So still still like it at three. I just don't
17:30
Speaker 1: love it as much as I did at three and
17:31
Speaker 1: a half. We're actually having a hard time finding five
17:37
Speaker 1: that we potentially love. Oh, I got you, you do
17:43
Speaker 1: all right? Well, we're not done yet. We got like six, seven,
17:46
Speaker 1: we got plenty, we got four other games that I
17:51
Speaker 1: want to talk about. Um, so we're not We're not
17:56
Speaker 1: entirely done yet. Uh do you want to talk about
18:01
Speaker 1: Vikings and Panthers. We had sort of waffled on that
18:04
Speaker 1: one the other day. Still pro game, all pros will
18:08
Speaker 1: be on the Panthers. The Vikings are bad away from home,
18:11
Speaker 1: their badest favorites. I think they're owing seven or owned
18:14
Speaker 1: five or something like that in their last uh seven,
18:16
Speaker 1: five or six starts as favorites. They're just not reliable.
18:20
Speaker 1: This is when Kirk kind of lets teams down, and
18:22
Speaker 1: I love the bounce back spot for Sam Donald on
18:25
Speaker 1: this position against just not that good of a defense.
18:28
Speaker 1: And the Vikings, I know they had a crazy game
18:30
Speaker 1: against the Browns where they really shut down the Browns offense.
18:33
Speaker 1: It was just more like a flukey, sloppy game. Um,
18:37
Speaker 1: I like the I like Carolina get right in this game.
18:39
Speaker 1: So if you're if you're cool with putting this one in.
18:41
Speaker 1: I know they burned us last week, but at home
18:44
Speaker 1: is a dog. It's a great number. I want nothing
18:47
Speaker 1: to do with this game, staying away. Yeah, this is
18:50
Speaker 1: a terrible idea. Uh, this is one of those games
18:54
Speaker 1: where how do I want to think about this game?
18:57
Speaker 1: It's a little bit like last week, Like you know,
19:01
Speaker 1: there were reasons to like or not like either side,
19:06
Speaker 1: And like this game, there is no consensus. We can
19:13
Speaker 1: make whatever decision we want to make based on whatever
19:16
Speaker 1: numbers we decided to believe in. Do we want to
19:19
Speaker 1: take a short home dog with a really good defense.
19:21
Speaker 1: Do we want to fade a spotty quarterback who is
19:25
Speaker 1: reverting back to his old habits in Sam Donald? Do
19:28
Speaker 1: you want to be on a Vikings team that consistently
19:30
Speaker 1: finds ways to put themselves in a position to lose
19:33
Speaker 1: alas since he and Detroit and Arizona. Um, so this
19:39
Speaker 1: to me feel like you're not you're not telling me
19:42
Speaker 1: anything that says we have a handicapping edge in this game.
19:47
Speaker 1: It's a field game, and I don't feel good. Yeah,
19:50
Speaker 1: it's fair. Um, it is one of those games I'll
19:52
Speaker 1: be teasing. Um, Caroline, you can get them right now
19:55
Speaker 1: there plus one and a half. You can get them
19:56
Speaker 1: up a seven a half right now, And it's easer.
19:57
Speaker 1: That's a great, great number to hal at a home doll.
20:00
Speaker 1: It feels like maybe a Chargers Panthers teaser might be
20:06
Speaker 1: the way to go right. Yeah, and all the hay
20:09
Speaker 1: we've been getting I think in the Action app, I'm
20:11
Speaker 1: like twenty and four or twenty and five on teasers
20:14
Speaker 1: this season. I mean, come on, people, that's I mean,
20:17
Speaker 1: that's sounds like we got a six point teaser. The
20:24
Speaker 1: worst part is the new Jersey is getting new Jerk
20:26
Speaker 1: is getting tough with these teasers, like most of Juice
20:28
Speaker 1: on most of these teachers now the minus one thirty,
20:30
Speaker 1: minus one forty, it is getting kind of brutal. Yeah,
20:32
Speaker 1: it's bullshit. It's like they don't want you to win.
20:34
Speaker 1: It's like they're trying to keep their money. Yeah, it's ridiculous.
20:38
Speaker 1: All of a sudden, the Jersey books are getting as
20:39
Speaker 1: smart as the Vegas books. Um, all right, here's what
20:43
Speaker 1: I know. We're gonna dig in on green Bay Packers
20:48
Speaker 1: visiting the Chicago Bears. They're four and a half point favorites.
20:53
Speaker 1: The Packers are. We squared this one on Tuesday Pro
20:59
Speaker 1: Joe game, which it still is. I can't find any
21:03
Speaker 1: reason that I don't want to bid the Bears. Yeah.
21:07
Speaker 1: The only fear is the green Bay has been absolutely
21:11
Speaker 1: horrible in the red zone, and you expect that to
21:13
Speaker 1: come back down to a middle part like I think
21:15
Speaker 1: our twenty seven and red zone efficiency, it would make
21:18
Speaker 1: more sense if they hit middle of the pack down
21:20
Speaker 1: to thirteen or fourteen with Aaron Rodgers. But we're trying
21:22
Speaker 1: to capitalize on that. We have a Bears defense that's
21:24
Speaker 1: really good in the red zone. We have a Bears
21:26
Speaker 1: defense plays great at home. We're betting a lot on
21:29
Speaker 1: Justin Fields here. We're betting on Justin Fields can kind
21:32
Speaker 1: of have a good game where he did not play
21:34
Speaker 1: well in Vegas. He did enough obviously to win. Didn't
21:38
Speaker 1: play well. Um, we need more explosive players, more downfield throws,
21:41
Speaker 1: from them. So this is a a scary number at
21:46
Speaker 1: four and a half, but I think you're getting a
21:47
Speaker 1: great number because it's gonna go down to four or
21:49
Speaker 1: three and a half by kickoff. The pros will come
21:51
Speaker 1: in on this just because everyone's like the same thing.
21:54
Speaker 1: That Bears defense just plays much better at home, and
21:57
Speaker 1: the Green Bay team has just not They've won games, right,
22:00
Speaker 1: They've been good this year, but they just haven't looked
22:03
Speaker 1: like they did last year. They were this unstoppable force.
22:06
Speaker 1: There's a little bit of holes and you know, a
22:09
Speaker 1: divisional game for you know, first place in this division.
22:13
Speaker 1: The Bears team is gonna get up for this at home.
22:16
Speaker 1: We love it at four and a half. It's We're
22:19
Speaker 1: Me and Chad. If you haven't noticed, we love home dogs.
22:22
Speaker 1: This is what he talked about. We circled this one
22:24
Speaker 1: because this is one of one of my favorite players
22:26
Speaker 1: this week. You love the Bears in this position. The
22:29
Speaker 1: only Paul is again it's a rookie quarterback. There's a
22:32
Speaker 1: lot of unknown just from that standpoint. You never really
22:35
Speaker 1: know what you're gonna get from that. But matchup wise, defense,
22:39
Speaker 1: the Chicago Bears defense against the Screen Bay offense. I
22:42
Speaker 1: love that towards the Bears defense. A couple of stats
22:46
Speaker 1: that I'm stealing from the Action Network podcast with Chris
22:50
Speaker 1: ray Bond and Stucky. The Packers are the only team
22:53
Speaker 1: in the league that is four and one and has
22:54
Speaker 1: a negative point differential. This team is a fucking reputation.
22:59
Speaker 1: It's not a good team, right and uh that's number one.
23:03
Speaker 1: Number two the past two weeks. Again, I stole this
23:06
Speaker 1: directly from Raybon The last two weeks, the Bears are
23:11
Speaker 1: running the ball cent of the time and they are
23:15
Speaker 1: max protecting protecting for fields. So you couple that with
23:20
Speaker 1: the fact that their pass rush from a from a
23:24
Speaker 1: sack perspective is really good. Like they're there leading the
23:29
Speaker 1: league in sacks right now. So there's no reason not
23:35
Speaker 1: to feel comfortable betting on this Bears team, as much
23:37
Speaker 1: as it makes me sick to my stomach because of
23:39
Speaker 1: my allegiance, if I were looking at this and if
23:42
Speaker 1: if this was Packers plus four and a half against
23:48
Speaker 1: any other team that had the stats the Bears have,
23:52
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be hesitating, right, And some people are hanging
23:57
Speaker 1: up saying like should they not take the Bearers money line?
24:00
Speaker 1: Don't get me wrong, I'm taking their money line, like
24:02
Speaker 1: the Egoist money line, Washington Football Team's moneyline, Detroit's money line,
24:05
Speaker 1: the Bears money line, these home dogs. I love taking
24:09
Speaker 1: money lines on home dogs just because it works out
24:11
Speaker 1: for me. Maybe my fifth one is gonna be Oakland.
24:13
Speaker 1: That's a Las Vegas Raiders, I should say, because that's
24:16
Speaker 1: a that's a team I really like to bounce back
24:17
Speaker 1: this week. But um, it's it. I feel like too
24:23
Speaker 1: many people are in a coming this week thinking what
24:25
Speaker 1: you just said, They're going to glorify the Screen Bay team,
24:27
Speaker 1: where they kind of need to look at what the
24:28
Speaker 1: Screen Bay team is this season and they just have
24:31
Speaker 1: not been right in a lot of ways. So we
24:33
Speaker 1: try to catch them. Last week with the Bengals, I
24:35
Speaker 1: think we're gonna catch them this week with the Bears.
24:37
Speaker 1: That was a bad, bad draw. So yeah, that was awful, awful.
24:41
Speaker 1: I try really hard. I'm watching these games with my son,
24:46
Speaker 1: who's going to be fifteen. We're very open about what
24:50
Speaker 1: I do about betting, about betting money. We talked about
24:55
Speaker 1: how I'm not betting money that is going to keep
25:00
Speaker 1: us from being able to pay for the house, keep
25:02
Speaker 1: us from being able to like put food on the
25:05
Speaker 1: table keep anyone from going to college. You know, we
25:08
Speaker 1: talked about betting responsibly all the time, and like, I
25:11
Speaker 1: don't want him to think, oh, yeah, I got some money,
25:13
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna throw in a game and and not
25:16
Speaker 1: be sort of considerate with his cash when he eventually
25:19
Speaker 1: has some. Um. I also don't want him to think
25:23
Speaker 1: like overreacting and throwing things at the TV and screaming
25:29
Speaker 1: and yelling is the right way to manage your betting.
25:33
Speaker 1: Uh So, last week when the Vikings were about to
25:37
Speaker 1: lose for us in the Survivor pool and the Bengals
25:41
Speaker 1: were missing field goals, uh, I was like doing everything
25:46
Speaker 1: in my parental power to not scream, to not whip
25:53
Speaker 1: my my phone across the room. It was hard. Like
25:57
Speaker 1: the Bengals and Packers put us to the spence like
26:00
Speaker 1: a little bit. Yeah, and like, uh, you actually make
26:03
Speaker 1: me think of my ex where she used to be
26:04
Speaker 1: like you handle like losing really well. Like literally know
26:07
Speaker 1: I'm in her bathroom just screaming into a pillow like
26:10
Speaker 1: top of my lungs. I'm just so mad, So I'm
26:13
Speaker 1: gonna I'm like you, I try to hide her from
26:14
Speaker 1: the people around. But yeah, like inside, I'm dying. So
26:17
Speaker 1: it is tough. Honestly, I feel like my wife doesn't
26:21
Speaker 1: even know this. But when on the weekends, when we're
26:24
Speaker 1: losing the most towards the end of the second games,
26:29
Speaker 1: that's when I'm most active in the kitchen. I'm I decided,
26:32
Speaker 1: I'm making dinner, or I'm doing all the dishes, or
26:36
Speaker 1: I'm emptying the dishwasher, whatever it is. I'm like somewhere
26:39
Speaker 1: away from the games, and I'm getting all these points
26:42
Speaker 1: for being so fantastic and such a great husband, and
26:45
Speaker 1: it's really just I need to find something to do
26:48
Speaker 1: so I don't like break things. Our old friends Scooch,
26:52
Speaker 1: former co host of this podcast, I used to say,
26:56
Speaker 1: when all hope is lost, all that's left is relief.
26:59
Speaker 1: And that's kind of how you feel on a Sunday
27:01
Speaker 1: afternoon when you're losing it is I feel like we're
27:05
Speaker 1: completely different people that you're going to help out the kitchen.
27:08
Speaker 1: I'm like one of these people. I need to watch
27:10
Speaker 1: myself die, like I have to watch just the ultimate pain,
27:13
Speaker 1: just like really instill myself like you made this mistake.
27:16
Speaker 1: That's why I like people always like I hate they
27:18
Speaker 1: don't freak out on Twitter. You don't complain anything like that.
27:22
Speaker 1: It's just as a professional, I I literally lean into it.
27:25
Speaker 1: I suffer, and then on Monday it's a clean sheet.
27:27
Speaker 1: It's like nothing ever happened. And like that's that's how
27:30
Speaker 1: you have to be because the wins will come. That's
27:32
Speaker 1: just a matter of fact. We have to understand. The
27:34
Speaker 1: losses will come. No one wins, even the best professionals.
27:37
Speaker 1: I know is the dream every season. So it's the
27:41
Speaker 1: loss is hurt, but I know it's gonna go our
27:43
Speaker 1: other way. That's why I try to get too down
27:45
Speaker 1: on it because eventually it flips. It does. It always flips,
27:48
Speaker 1: and this week it's gonna flip because we're gonna be
27:50
Speaker 1: on the Browns minus three and we fucking love this number.
27:54
Speaker 1: Easy money done done totally. I'm putting it in. I'm
28:00
Speaker 1: putting it in the contest already. Not anything else to say.
28:03
Speaker 1: Like we've talked about it. You talked about some of
28:06
Speaker 1: the syndicates coming in betting on one side realizing they
28:09
Speaker 1: made a mistake betting up the other side. Uh, the
28:12
Speaker 1: matchup is great. It's a coaching matchup that we like.
28:15
Speaker 1: Was Stefanski over Kingsbury, Um it's a on the field
28:20
Speaker 1: match up with the Browns rushing game against the Cardinals
28:24
Speaker 1: rushing defense. Uh, there's a weather advantage for the Browns
28:28
Speaker 1: and the way they play versus the way the Cardinals play.
28:30
Speaker 1: Everything about it. Love it, love it, love it, want
28:33
Speaker 1: to marry it, would want it to walk with me
28:35
Speaker 1: to the end of the earth. Yep, no, no doubt.
28:38
Speaker 1: This is one of our five. This is one of
28:39
Speaker 1: my favorite bets this week. And now a word from
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Speaker 1: next step or text next step to five three three
30:32
Speaker 1: four two in Arizona. Let's get back to it. If
30:36
Speaker 1: we go to the next game and you tell me
30:37
Speaker 1: that the Patriots are now one of your favorite five too,
30:40
Speaker 1: by God, Simon, then I don't want to know you. Yeah, well,
30:43
Speaker 1: it probably won't be one of our five we talked
30:45
Speaker 1: about last week. I mean, on Tuesday, I loved it
30:48
Speaker 1: at plus four. I was hoping to get to four
30:50
Speaker 1: and a half. It's now down to three and a
30:52
Speaker 1: half and might get down to three. Because the pros
30:54
Speaker 1: are coming in on it. Yeah, I don't mind it,
30:56
Speaker 1: but it's there's a reason I put in my round
30:59
Speaker 1: Robin this this cow Boys team. They're just too good.
31:02
Speaker 1: That's the only fear with this number. Were literally going
31:04
Speaker 1: against the best against the spread team right now. So
31:07
Speaker 1: eventually we're gonna be on the other side of a
31:08
Speaker 1: lot of Dallas games because they're gonna be overinflated like
31:10
Speaker 1: they are in this game. But they're just so high
31:13
Speaker 1: right now. So it's it's a little terrifying where yes,
31:16
Speaker 1: the numbers, all the things sake go against Dallas. The
31:19
Speaker 1: human element stops me and says, don't put too much
31:22
Speaker 1: money on this Patriots team. Okay, they they're You're literally
31:25
Speaker 1: taking a rookie QB verse doc in a matchup that
31:29
Speaker 1: a lot of its its slants towards this Dallas team.
31:31
Speaker 1: They just have a lot of especially on the D
31:33
Speaker 1: line of the old line. A lot of things are
31:35
Speaker 1: better for this Dallas team than it is for the
31:37
Speaker 1: Patriots team. So I do like the Patriots chap, but
31:40
Speaker 1: I don't think this would be one of our best five.
31:42
Speaker 1: I know you love the Raiders. Go ahead and tell me,
31:44
Speaker 1: tell me why so I Actually we do a thing
31:50
Speaker 1: here the actually where we do an NFL like power
31:52
Speaker 1: rating thing. Um, we're pretty much putting our numbers from
31:55
Speaker 1: our systems and you can see everyone's numbers. And that's
31:59
Speaker 1: how I learned to love this guy named Travis Reid
32:00
Speaker 1: who works for this company. This dude is a legit maniac.
32:03
Speaker 1: He'll make like teenpoint underdogs, you know, a three point underdog.
32:07
Speaker 1: This guy's system is wild, So I love him. I
32:10
Speaker 1: love going on there and seeing what lines he puts
32:12
Speaker 1: up there. The most interesting game this week is this one.
32:15
Speaker 1: I'm the only one that has Las Vegas Raiders is
32:18
Speaker 1: a favorite. So everyone else is all over this, this
32:21
Speaker 1: Denver team. They think this is a good line. On
32:23
Speaker 1: the other way, I have the I have Las Vegas
32:26
Speaker 1: of minus one, so I love this number. I think
32:29
Speaker 1: we're getting incredible value three and a half. And so
32:31
Speaker 1: with all the professionals I've talked to, everyone I know
32:34
Speaker 1: is that this Las Vegas Raiders team. So it could
32:37
Speaker 1: be a little bit of home bias of the boys
32:39
Speaker 1: down the desert, but this is a smart number, and
32:41
Speaker 1: I'm sure the Action Network it's the same thing to
32:43
Speaker 1: say the money is towards Las Vegas right now. Uh
32:46
Speaker 1: see right now this game it's all Broncos. So that's
32:53
Speaker 1: pretty interesting. So yeah, maybe we'll see that switch switch.
32:57
Speaker 1: I know that I've had a couple of guys reach
32:59
Speaker 1: out that they they don't like all the drama right
33:01
Speaker 1: now that's happening with Las Vegas. Like we have guys
33:03
Speaker 1: get from practice and taking personal time to figure out
33:06
Speaker 1: their own stuff. But this is just a great, great
33:09
Speaker 1: bounce back spot for this Las Vegas team, and they're
33:11
Speaker 1: playing against the Denver team. That yeah, I know that
33:16
Speaker 1: I was kind of like turning the tide on them,
33:18
Speaker 1: but I think we've kind of learned now those first
33:19
Speaker 1: three games, they just played really bad teams, and we
33:21
Speaker 1: don't think Las Vegas they might not be as good
33:23
Speaker 1: as they looked early in the year. They're not a
33:25
Speaker 1: really bad team, like like, they have a good offense.
33:28
Speaker 1: So I still love this number three and a half.
33:30
Speaker 1: I really hope you let me put this one in
33:32
Speaker 1: for us. Listen, dude, I'm not I don't live in
33:36
Speaker 1: a world where I keep people from chasing their dreams.
33:40
Speaker 1: That's you know what, That's not the kind of relationship
33:43
Speaker 1: I want to have with anybody. Someone wants something bad enough,
33:46
Speaker 1: I want to be there to support them. Well, this
33:49
Speaker 1: isn't a dream of mine, but I would like to
33:50
Speaker 1: put it in. Okay, let's do it. What I would
33:53
Speaker 1: like to know is why do you have this power
33:56
Speaker 1: rated so differently than everybody else? I think every ones
34:00
Speaker 1: just doesn't want to be touching this Las Vegas Raiders team.
34:03
Speaker 1: It's just, uh, there's too much drama, too much unknown,
34:07
Speaker 1: and they're also probably looking at from the standpoint of
34:09
Speaker 1: Denver just plays better at home, but in a divisional matchup,
34:13
Speaker 1: this is such a good number. I just I don't
34:15
Speaker 1: I can't see a word that we don't get we
34:16
Speaker 1: don't cover three points in this matchup. Derek Carr had
34:20
Speaker 1: a stinker last week. This is a great bounce back
34:22
Speaker 1: spot frame against a Denver team that was a little
34:25
Speaker 1: overrated the secondary. People talk about how great their secondary was.
34:29
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson passed all over them. Ben Roethlisberger just passed
34:33
Speaker 1: all over them. I love this matchup for Derek Carr,
34:36
Speaker 1: so a little bit of I think people are just
34:40
Speaker 1: down on this Las Vegas team right now, where I'm
34:42
Speaker 1: still at the same point I was when we started
34:44
Speaker 1: the year. I think they're above average team. All right, Well,
34:48
Speaker 1: we're gonna put in the contest and it's gonna be
34:51
Speaker 1: ugly and it's gonna cause me to go clean the
34:53
Speaker 1: kitchen at about six Eastern Sunday afternoon. U it Steelers Seahawks.
35:02
Speaker 1: Oh no, actually that's not one of the games on
35:04
Speaker 1: our list. Um the last one I want to talk about. Uh,
35:08
Speaker 1: you gotta talk about Titans Bills because it was a
35:09
Speaker 1: sharp call you'r you might have been turned around. Interesting
35:13
Speaker 1: one Bills road favorite, getting of the tickets you wanted
35:19
Speaker 1: to be on the Bills Here your anti Titans all
35:21
Speaker 1: season long. A lot of signals that prove you're correct
35:25
Speaker 1: from the Titans point of view. Um, but they're also
35:29
Speaker 1: a team that plays to the level of their opponent,
35:33
Speaker 1: so the fact they're at home, it's a relatively big number.
35:37
Speaker 1: All the sentiment on the Bills, I agree with what
35:40
Speaker 1: your sharp buddies are saying. You gotta go with the Titans. Yeah,
35:44
Speaker 1: I think they're looking at for a matchup standpoint that
35:47
Speaker 1: the Titans are the same kind of makeup as the
35:48
Speaker 1: Bill is. They're big, big d line, big offensive line
35:51
Speaker 1: that like the bully teams around. But I, like I
35:55
Speaker 1: told the professionals, I just think that they're sleeping on
35:57
Speaker 1: Josh Allen in prime time and in these kind of
35:59
Speaker 1: match ups where he's just been covering and dominating teams
36:02
Speaker 1: and he's kind of set up. So if you take
36:04
Speaker 1: away the playoffs last year, I think they had seven
36:06
Speaker 1: straight covers. They didn't cover obviously week went against Pittsburgh,
36:09
Speaker 1: and now they're four straight covers. So I'm I'm gonna
36:13
Speaker 1: be riding this Bills team. I'm all in on them.
36:15
Speaker 1: I think this line should be six six and a half.
36:17
Speaker 1: It's still five and a half. Happy to take that
36:20
Speaker 1: number at this point, so I will be having the
36:23
Speaker 1: Bills and a lot of teasers and I will be
36:24
Speaker 1: losing a lot of money if you are right, and
36:26
Speaker 1: that the Tennessee team can upset them. But usually the
36:30
Speaker 1: positions primetime games, I like to take the home team.
36:32
Speaker 1: But there's certain teams that break these rules. I think
36:34
Speaker 1: the Bills will be that team this year. They're just
36:36
Speaker 1: gonna break a lot of these rules. So nothing that
36:39
Speaker 1: the year wise guys on the other side said convinces
36:43
Speaker 1: you that the Titans on the right side, it just
36:46
Speaker 1: made you feel like they are less, that the Bills
36:49
Speaker 1: are less of a team that are not the team
36:52
Speaker 1: that we want to put into one of our five
36:54
Speaker 1: favorite right Like I felt good at five and a
36:57
Speaker 1: half because I had this game at six, but because
36:59
Speaker 1: after talking to that and them saying they think it
37:00
Speaker 1: should be four or three and a half, I'm just
37:03
Speaker 1: gonna tease it. I'll leave it out of our contest.
37:04
Speaker 1: That's what I'm trying to get better at. Where I'm
37:06
Speaker 1: just gonna stick games in where i think I'm getting
37:09
Speaker 1: the best number. Um, I need to listen to my
37:12
Speaker 1: old heads, the guys who've been around, They've seen these
37:14
Speaker 1: things a million times, and they just they just know
37:16
Speaker 1: they like, they don't run some computer system. They're just
37:18
Speaker 1: going off pure instinct and how they've just watched the
37:21
Speaker 1: game over all these years. So if they're telling me
37:24
Speaker 1: that I'm I'm overthinking, I'm not taking out a bad number,
37:27
Speaker 1: I gotta listen to them. So, yeah, I'll be teasing
37:29
Speaker 1: this down, but I won't be taking at five and
37:30
Speaker 1: a half. All right, then, then this is sort of
37:33
Speaker 1: our lineup right now. Eagles plus six and a half.
37:38
Speaker 1: We're in the Hornets nest. We're going against Tom Brady
37:41
Speaker 1: in a prime time matchup because because why wouldn't you
37:44
Speaker 1: want to do that with real money at stake? We
37:47
Speaker 1: love the Browns. We are thinking that we're gonna be
37:54
Speaker 1: on the Raiders. So that's three. We're liking the Bears, Bears,
38:00
Speaker 1: Bears have to be in there. Four and a half
38:02
Speaker 1: we're on. We're on the Bears at four and a half.
38:04
Speaker 1: That's four games Eagles, Brown's, Raiders, Bears, and then I
38:10
Speaker 1: think we're gonna choose on Sunday like Lions, Texans or
38:14
Speaker 1: somebody else. Yeah, Washington, like that's what we're gonna be
38:17
Speaker 1: talking about it, Like we already talked about the lines
38:20
Speaker 1: that just feels too easy. That's the only one that
38:21
Speaker 1: really scares me because that feels like the easiest bet
38:24
Speaker 1: of this week where that was an incredible number they
38:27
Speaker 1: gave was at three and a half. And it's if
38:30
Speaker 1: it's three, if it's just three in our our pickpul
38:33
Speaker 1: or contests wherever we're doing, Yeah, I'll stay away from it,
38:36
Speaker 1: but it's it will be hard not to take lines
38:39
Speaker 1: at three and a half if that's the number. All right. Uh,
38:42
Speaker 1: if we're going to do a round robin money line parlay,
38:48
Speaker 1: who are our teams? So I'm gonna do Thursday Night special.
38:54
Speaker 1: I'll have the Eagles in there, even though I really
38:56
Speaker 1: had zero faith in this team to win, but I
38:58
Speaker 1: do love them to cover Detroit Washington. Uh again, Caroline
39:05
Speaker 1: is two shorts. We don't have to put that one in. Um,
39:09
Speaker 1: put the lines in there, and then I like capping
39:12
Speaker 1: off of the Raiders just because I would love to
39:15
Speaker 1: have New England in there. I just can't see them
39:18
Speaker 1: winning it. I just I can't have faith in a
39:21
Speaker 1: rookie quarterback like that to close this game out against
39:23
Speaker 1: DAC that has just been playing too well this year.
39:25
Speaker 1: So it's maybe come Sunday, I'll throw one out there
39:29
Speaker 1: with the with New England in there. As we sit
39:31
Speaker 1: here Thursday, I don't have any money line ties to
39:34
Speaker 1: this New England, but very good Colts cults for our
39:38
Speaker 1: Survivor and Chad also likes Pittsburgh. So if you lose
39:41
Speaker 1: on Pittsburgh Survivor, please leave me alone Yellow Chat Listen.
39:46
Speaker 1: I haven't decided if I'm going with it. I like
39:50
Speaker 1: to play though the Steelers, like if I end up
39:53
Speaker 1: choosing to it will be those two teams. And then
39:57
Speaker 1: I'm debating if I want the Steelers of the Colts.
39:59
Speaker 1: I'm really just thinking about down the line. Do I
40:01
Speaker 1: have better chances to use the Colts later in the
40:04
Speaker 1: year than the Steelers. Yeah, like you'll have a chance
40:07
Speaker 1: using against the Texans again and the Jaguars like that.
40:10
Speaker 1: I get why you're you're weighing that in. I just
40:12
Speaker 1: cannot trust Pitsburgh, especially after a win. By the way,
40:16
Speaker 1: your favorite person, Travis Reid, who does our Survivor column
40:20
Speaker 1: every week, Uh, I think he has both the Colts
40:24
Speaker 1: and the Steelers as two of the best teams to
40:26
Speaker 1: take this week. Yeah, that was just two favorites. He said,
40:29
Speaker 1: Stay away um, stay away from the Rams, I believe,
40:32
Speaker 1: because he thinks that's gonna be the most like publicly
40:35
Speaker 1: done one this week, the Rams against the Giants on
40:38
Speaker 1: the road. He's like me, he's excused towards home teams
40:41
Speaker 1: with these. I think we covered it all, my friend.
40:44
Speaker 1: We narrowed down our games. We did a money line
40:46
Speaker 1: run Robin Parlay, we got a survivor, we got our
40:49
Speaker 1: hornets nest. We're gonna do disgusting things. We're gonna ask
40:52
Speaker 1: a lot of people. We're gonna ask for their faith.
40:55
Speaker 1: We're gonna ask for their patients. We're gonna ask for
40:57
Speaker 1: their understanding. Will probably end up asking for their forgiveness,
41:00
Speaker 1: and we'll ask them to come back to listen to
41:02
Speaker 1: the Favorites on the Volume podcast Network on Tuesday. We're
41:05
Speaker 1: going to ask them to download the podcast from Apple Podcasts,
41:07
Speaker 1: from Spotify, wherever they get their podcasts. Until next time,
41:11
Speaker 1: Love you,