Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Metsera Tumbles After Novo Pulls Out of Bidding War With Pfizer
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the
- 0:10Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us Live weekdays at ten am
- 0:14Speaker 1: Easterned on Apple Coarclay, and Android Auto with the Bloomberg
- 0:17Speaker 1: Business App. Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts,
- 0:21Speaker 1: or watch us live on YouTube.
- 0:24Speaker 2: Looking at the news, Met Sarah shares tumbled after Noboode
- 0:27Speaker 2: nord Dick's declined to further raise its offer for the
- 0:30Speaker 2: US maker of an experimental weight loss drug, bringing a
- 0:33Speaker 2: bidding war with Pfizer to an end.
- 0:35Speaker 3: I like the good bidding war. Being a former.
- 0:37Speaker 2: Banker, Sam Fazzelli joins US here director of research for
- 0:40Speaker 2: Global Industries. He covers all the healthcare stuff for Bloomberg Intelligence.
- 0:44Speaker 3: He's based in London.
- 0:45Speaker 2: So how good is this Met Sarah company? Sam and
- 0:51Speaker 2: their drug? How good is met Sarah? Because boy, it
- 0:53Speaker 2: seemed like everybody wanted a piece of it.
- 0:56Speaker 4: Yeah. So, Paul, before this last week, sorry, I've been
- 1:02Speaker 4: off and you know what happens to your brain when
- 1:03Speaker 4: you're off for a few days. Before last week, which
- 1:07Speaker 4: is called we had the obesity week right where my
- 1:11Speaker 4: colleague mug Show was at. There was a little bit
- 1:13Speaker 4: of confusion around how good their data was, how good
- 1:16Speaker 4: their assets were in the obesity space, and some questions
- 1:20Speaker 4: about can they really be dosed once a month if
- 1:23Speaker 4: people wanted to do that. Do we really know what
- 1:26Speaker 4: the side effect profile is like? Given the way that
- 1:30Speaker 4: disclosed so far, and of course last week you cleared
- 1:32Speaker 4: most of it up. The side effect profile is the
- 1:34Speaker 4: same as most of these GLP wilogy. You get some nausea,
- 1:37Speaker 4: in some tough cases, you get some vomiting, but those
- 1:42Speaker 4: are early on and they get out of the way
- 1:44Speaker 4: if you can withstand them. You seem to get the
- 1:46Speaker 4: benefit and it seems to work pretty well as a
- 1:49Speaker 4: once monthly drug, but there's always more wood to be chopped.
- 1:52Speaker 4: You know what these things are like. So the assets
- 1:55Speaker 4: look great, they're competitive. Adfiser just stood this ground and
- 2:01Speaker 4: put the bid up. And of course I think what
- 2:03Speaker 4: Clinch did was what we'd be going on for ages
- 2:06Speaker 4: about for the past ten days or twenty days about,
- 2:08Speaker 4: is that Nova's deal had the risk of not being
- 2:11Speaker 4: able to pass due to competition competition issue with FTC issues,
- 2:16Speaker 4: and it sounds like the FTC had had given Metzera
- 2:18Speaker 4: call saying look, if you go with that there is
- 2:21Speaker 4: a risk you won't close, so do whatever you think
- 2:24Speaker 4: is the right thing for your shareholders. And they did
- 2:26Speaker 4: in the end and find as it did a bit
- 2:27Speaker 4: spit right.
- 2:28Speaker 5: So Novo Nordisk one in a way in that Vizer
- 2:31Speaker 5: is paying up more. Does that actually work in Nova
- 2:33Speaker 5: Nordisks favor or does it? Is it still as desperate
- 2:38Speaker 5: as it was before to look for some new catalysts
- 2:41Speaker 5: in the obesity market.
- 2:43Speaker 4: I mean, I'm not going to call Novo desperate. I
- 2:47Speaker 4: think they have assets in there. I think they wanted
- 2:49Speaker 4: to add some more options to their their sales reps
- 2:55Speaker 4: bags over time, so I wouldn't call them desperate, but
- 2:59Speaker 4: they're obviously by going after this, they did say that
- 3:02Speaker 4: we need more assets in our bang so and Lily
- 3:05Speaker 4: wasn't in the game. So it just gives them. That
- 3:07Speaker 4: gives you that flavor that they are and I think
- 3:11Speaker 4: the market's telling you that. Look at the divergence of
- 3:14Speaker 4: the share price performance of Lily versus never noticed that
- 3:18Speaker 4: there's the market favoring the drugs that Lily has got
- 3:22Speaker 4: on the market today and to compete they needed to
- 3:24Speaker 4: get some more. So I think this is not the
- 3:27Speaker 4: end for novo at all in this space. There's lots
- 3:29Speaker 4: of other interesting obviously assets coming up with different mechanisms.
- 3:34Speaker 4: That's the thing that I think the company is now
- 3:36Speaker 4: going to have to think about rather than trying to
- 3:38Speaker 4: go after the same mechanism all the time.
- 3:40Speaker 2: So, Sam, all these big, big cap pharmaceutical companies that
- 3:45Speaker 2: you've covered for decades, I kind of always thought they
- 3:47Speaker 2: were big diversified portfolios of lots of different drugs and
- 3:50Speaker 2: therapeutics and you know, but Bay, when I look at
- 3:53Speaker 2: your stocks this year, it seems like there's halves and
- 3:56Speaker 2: have nots. If you have obesity exposure, the stocks up,
- 4:00Speaker 2: and if you don't, they're down. Is that kind of
- 4:03Speaker 2: how your world's evolved into over the last several years.
- 4:07Speaker 4: I would just give you one little caveat to the Astrosenicasenica.
- 4:11Speaker 4: I think it's doing fine. And then they have an
- 4:13Speaker 4: obesity asset, but it's not their major game. Their big
- 4:16Speaker 4: plays in oncology cardiovascular is there and they're adding it
- 4:21Speaker 4: to it. So, yes, obesity the has been the talk
- 4:26Speaker 4: of this this past twenty twenty five. I think you'll
- 4:29Speaker 4: still be the talk of twenty twenty six. But there's
- 4:31Speaker 4: a lot more going on in pharma neuroscience. Diseases of
- 4:34Speaker 4: the brain, diseases of mental health are getting much more attention.
- 4:38Speaker 4: Cardiovascular aside from obesity, is getting quite a lot of
- 4:44Speaker 4: attention in heart to treat hype atension, et cetera. I
- 4:46Speaker 4: have to tell you, I don't think there's an area,
- 4:49Speaker 4: perhaps antibiotics set aside, that is not getting a significant
- 4:54Speaker 4: amount of progress across some farmer company somewhere.
- 4:58Speaker 5: Is what happened with Metsara, no Nordisk afisor an unabashed
- 5:02Speaker 5: victory for Eli Lilly. I mean, does it just kind
- 5:04Speaker 5: of keep on moving forward or does any of this
- 5:07Speaker 5: kind of hurt Eli Lilly's market position.
- 5:11Speaker 4: No, I mean, at the end of the day, there'll
- 5:13Speaker 4: be multiple players in this space as that are now
- 5:15Speaker 4: too at least, and I think Eli Lily is currently
- 5:19Speaker 4: very well placed with the assets that they have today
- 5:22Speaker 4: to compete, and they're showing that they're competing very very
- 5:25Speaker 4: effectively and in some cases winning market share from Noma,
- 5:29Speaker 4: not disc.
- 5:29Speaker 2: Sam got about thirty seconds left. What's that you have
- 5:32Speaker 2: a little hindsight here, President Trump threatening medical funding at.
- 5:36Speaker 4: The university level.
- 5:37Speaker 3: What's the updated there with the status of that.
- 5:40Speaker 4: Yeah, it seems to be that some universities are getting
- 5:43Speaker 4: some reprieve from general funding issues, but medical funding is
- 5:47Speaker 4: something that I keep scratching my head on. I don't
- 5:49Speaker 4: understand why you would want to cut off funding to
- 5:52Speaker 4: research and funding to medicine in general, because that is
- 5:56Speaker 4: a major driver of economic boom in the US. And
- 6:00Speaker 4: it's not just medicine, it's also stem I don't understand it.
- 6:05Speaker 3: Stay with us more from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 6:11Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 6:15Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android
- 6:18Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever
- 6:22Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 6:26Speaker 2: Man Deep Singh just barely made it under the wire
- 6:28Speaker 2: to get here to talk to us today. Then I
- 6:30Speaker 2: was going to give him a hard time, but then
- 6:31Speaker 2: I remember he has like five other jobs. He's like
- 6:34Speaker 2: senior research channels covering technology. He manages a bunch of people.
- 6:38Speaker 5: He's also updating the AI tech guide, that that slide
- 6:44Speaker 5: that you're always talking about.
- 6:45Speaker 2: You know, all right, we'll cut a break here. Many
- 6:47Speaker 2: Deep sing joints us here. He's our senior techauist the
- 6:49Speaker 2: Bloomberg Intelligence managing it's like hurting it.
- 6:52Speaker 4: You know, a group of cats.
- 6:53Speaker 2: And you're managing research channels because they, by definition, they
- 6:55Speaker 2: don't want to be managed. You know, Taiwan semiconductor manufacturing,
- 7:00Speaker 2: we don't pick attention to this one.
- 7:01Speaker 3: It's chips and stuff like that. That's not a lot
- 7:04Speaker 3: of fun.
- 7:04Speaker 4: But this is interesting.
- 7:05Speaker 2: They reported some numbers slower growth, and I think for
- 7:09Speaker 2: those that are concerned about the growth of this AI
- 7:11Speaker 2: juggernaut that we've all been on over a couple of years,
- 7:13Speaker 2: you're wondering does slow and growth at Taiwan Semi confector
- 7:16Speaker 2: mean anything for the industry? Written large, Andy, what do
- 7:19Speaker 2: you think when you saw the Taiwan Semiconductor numbers.
- 7:22Speaker 6: I mean, Taiwan Semi is unique because they give you
- 7:25Speaker 6: monthly numbers. So all of our companies report on a
- 7:28Speaker 6: quarterly basis. And when I look at Taiwan Semi's quarterly results,
- 7:33Speaker 6: they had over thirty percent growth. Gave a guide where
- 7:37Speaker 6: AI would be growing, you know, almost fifty percent plus
- 7:40Speaker 6: over the next five years. And so if you know
- 7:44Speaker 6: this deceleration is happening for a reason, you know I
- 7:48Speaker 6: would attribute it to the diversification of their business, because
- 7:51Speaker 6: you have to remember Apple is more than twenty percent
- 7:54Speaker 6: of their revenue and video is close to twenty percent now,
- 7:57Speaker 6: and then they also have some auto's revenues, some analog business.
- 8:01Speaker 6: So what is happening right now is everyone is putting
- 8:06Speaker 6: their dollars in AI capex, but then they have to
- 8:10Speaker 6: take away spending from elsewhere, and so the non AI
- 8:14Speaker 6: piece of the hardware spend that seems to be slowing down,
- 8:18Speaker 6: although we haven't really seen that. Even with PC sales
- 8:22Speaker 6: things seem to be steady. But that could be one
- 8:24Speaker 6: reason I can think of in terms of why the
- 8:27Speaker 6: monthly number was slightly weak, And there could be seasonality
- 8:30Speaker 6: as well. I mean, this is a monthly number. Could
- 8:34Speaker 6: happen that the next two months actually are above thirty percent,
- 8:37Speaker 6: and then the overall quarter may still look solid.
- 8:40Speaker 5: Very good point. And just to recap the numbers, a
- 8:43Speaker 5: sixteen point nine percent increase in October sales, which was
- 8:46Speaker 5: on track with analyst estimates, but that is the slowest
- 8:48Speaker 5: pace in about eighteen months. Well, I keep reading how
- 8:52Speaker 5: TSMC is constrained by limited capacity, so if it wanted to,
- 8:57Speaker 5: it would want to actually have higher sales. It's just
- 9:00Speaker 5: physically limited.
- 9:02Speaker 6: Well limited capacity again on the AI side. Okay, so
- 9:06Speaker 6: you know TSMC does one hundred and twenty billion dollars
- 9:09Speaker 6: run rate business in a year, so out of that
- 9:12Speaker 6: AI is still fifteen percent, you know. And so from
- 9:15Speaker 6: that perspective, not everything that TSMC manufacturers is at the
- 9:20Speaker 6: cutting edge. And then you can slice it by leading
- 9:23Speaker 6: versus you know, some of the trailing notes. So from
- 9:26Speaker 6: that perspective, the utilization is far higher in terms of
- 9:30Speaker 6: the leading notes versus some of the other notes that
- 9:33Speaker 6: they manufacture on. And it could happen that, you know,
- 9:37Speaker 6: because of the lower utilization they're not seeing as much
- 9:41Speaker 6: customer orders flow in. And look, I mean it's hard
- 9:45Speaker 6: to say for sure, given you know the book of
- 9:48Speaker 6: their business and how many customers they have, and for
- 9:51Speaker 6: some customers, they're still the only game in town. You know.
- 9:55Speaker 5: So TSMC makes custom chips for companies that order it
- 9:59Speaker 5: from TSMC. It's a manufacturer overall. We know that all
- 10:04Speaker 5: these big tech companies in the US are starting to
- 10:07Speaker 5: turn on their own capabilities of making their own chips.
- 10:10Speaker 5: Is that competition or is that out of necessity? I mean,
- 10:13Speaker 5: does that take away market share from TSMC down the road.
- 10:15Speaker 6: I mean, look, if Intel is successful in terms of
- 10:19Speaker 6: reviving itself on the manufacturing side, and that's what everyone
- 10:23Speaker 6: is hoping, you know, with the initiative with the government
- 10:26Speaker 6: taking a ten percent stake Intel, that the fab side
- 10:30Speaker 6: really gets a lift in terms of other companies using
- 10:33Speaker 6: Intel fabs to manufacture chips. That's when you got to
- 10:37Speaker 6: be worried about TSMC. But for now, there is nothing
- 10:40Speaker 6: on the horizon where you think and Open Ai or
- 10:43Speaker 6: any of these chip companies is going to go to
- 10:45Speaker 6: Intel for manufacturing their chips.
- 10:48Speaker 2: And TSMC marketcap one point five trillion, stock up fifty
- 10:52Speaker 2: five zero percent this year.
- 10:54Speaker 3: Maybe I should pay a little more attention to this one.
- 10:56Speaker 3: What do you think?
- 10:57Speaker 2: In a related story in Nvidia, more Bloomberg News reporting
- 11:01Speaker 2: these people are everywhere in Nvidia, chief executive officer Jensen
- 11:05Speaker 2: Wang said he had asked Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing for more
- 11:08Speaker 2: chips supplies as artificial intelligence demand remained strong.
- 11:12Speaker 3: So there you go. I mean, I mean, that's hey,
- 11:15Speaker 3: is this thing slowing down? Well, not the Gensen Wong.
- 11:18Speaker 6: The Blackwell ramp up is actually accelerating. And if all
- 11:22Speaker 6: the hyperscalers are telling you they're raising their capex for
- 11:25Speaker 6: twenty twenty six and it's going to be another fifty
- 11:28Speaker 6: percent plus year. They need more TSMC capacity, and Nvidia
- 11:32Speaker 6: needs more TSMC allocation because TSMC can allocate to anyone
- 11:36Speaker 6: outside of Nvidia as well. So from that perspective, you
- 11:39Speaker 6: can see how much Nvidia cares about TSMC capacity.
- 11:44Speaker 4: Let me ask a dumb question.
- 11:45Speaker 5: I used to cover Taiwan equities when I worked in
- 11:47Speaker 5: Hong Kong, and there are two big companies in Taiwan,
- 11:49Speaker 5: TSMC and UMC United Microelectronics, and it feels like TSMC
- 11:53Speaker 5: just ran away with it and UMC is kind of
- 11:55Speaker 5: a shadow of its former self. Is there anyone any
- 11:59Speaker 5: company with in Taiwan that can really compete or even
- 12:03Speaker 5: hope to compete against TSMC?
- 12:05Speaker 6: Not right now, and especially when it comes to leading notes.
- 12:09Speaker 6: I think that's where our TSMC talking about two nanometer.
- 12:13Speaker 6: I mean, we have seen why Intel has struggled in
- 12:15Speaker 6: the last five years because they are not able to
- 12:18Speaker 6: make the note transitions even though they are a leading
- 12:20Speaker 6: note manufacturer. So from that perspective, I mean TSMC, it
- 12:24Speaker 6: feels like they have an unassailable mode, and not just
- 12:27Speaker 6: in terms of manufacturing, but also their efficiency when it
- 12:30Speaker 6: comes to using these semicap equipment tools, like they are
- 12:34Speaker 6: probably the best in terms of the leverage they have
- 12:37Speaker 6: shown in terms of the useful life of these tools
- 12:41Speaker 6: that other manufacturing companies haven't been able to show.
- 12:45Speaker 2: All Right, got about a minute and a half left.
- 12:47Speaker 2: Instead of me asking a dumb question, why don't I
- 12:49Speaker 2: just say, Hey.
- 12:49Speaker 3: What are you and your keem working on? What's the
- 12:51Speaker 3: next cool thing we need to be we're reading about
- 12:53Speaker 3: from you guys.
- 12:54Speaker 6: I mean, we are in the process of updating our
- 12:56Speaker 6: GENII numbers and they are going up for twenty twenty six.
- 13:00Speaker 6: And also there's a heavy emphasis on data centers. So
- 13:04Speaker 6: our next big report our dashboard is going to be
- 13:07Speaker 6: on data center utilization, data center capacity editions. Everyone is
- 13:12Speaker 6: talking in terms of gigawatts, so opening I said, they'll
- 13:14Speaker 6: be adding thirty gigawatts over the next five years. Well,
- 13:18Speaker 6: we want to track overall gigawats from all these vendors, Microsoft,
- 13:22Speaker 6: all the Hyperscaler.
- 13:23Speaker 3: Do we have a utilities analyst?
- 13:25Speaker 4: We do?
- 13:25Speaker 2: Who is that?
- 13:26Speaker 6: Well, I mean it's covered by multiple people. Craw Barnett
- 13:30Speaker 6: and because.
- 13:30Speaker 3: Guys, those guys become front center. I mean, do we
- 13:34Speaker 3: have the grid to power all this stuff?
- 13:37Speaker 6: I mean everyone has called that power. In fact, right now,
- 13:40Speaker 6: the consensus is your power is the biggest constraint, even
- 13:44Speaker 6: more so than the GPUs, which was the case for
- 13:46Speaker 6: the past three years.
- 13:47Speaker 5: So it's always going to be something.
- 13:49Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, And how many analysts aren't covering like
- 13:52Speaker 2: technology browding defined for BI We're close to twenty people,
- 13:56Speaker 2: twenty people globally, right, They're not just stuck in New
- 13:59Speaker 2: York everywhere?
- 14:00Speaker 4: Right there? You need that stay with us.
- 14:03Speaker 3: More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 14:09Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 14:13Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am easterne on Apple, Cocklay and Android
- 14:16Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever
- 14:20Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 14:23Speaker 5: Let's head over now to company news, because we do
- 14:26Speaker 5: still have companies reporting earnings, and Tyson is the latest
- 14:31Speaker 5: to do so. Tyson of course reporting results today and
- 14:34Speaker 5: it looks like we had a fourth quarter adjusted earnings
- 14:37Speaker 5: for share Beat. And Jennifer Bartashis is joining us now.
- 14:41Speaker 5: Jen Covers Senior she's the senior retail staples and packaged
- 14:45Speaker 5: food analysts for us here at Bloomberg Intelligence, and Jen,
- 14:49Speaker 5: you know, we think about Tyson, I think about chicken
- 14:52Speaker 5: right away, and hired demand for chicken certainly was a
- 14:55Speaker 5: factor that helped fourth quarter results. But beef is going
- 14:59Speaker 5: to be a problem on the road, isn't it.
- 15:01Speaker 7: Well, it's an interesting thing because obviously Tyson has been
- 15:05Speaker 7: doing very well with the chicken business. They've invested in
- 15:07Speaker 7: the last couple of years and improving their operations and
- 15:10Speaker 7: we've seen that come through with a better margin, better
- 15:12Speaker 7: operating usage, and that sort of thing. But when we
- 15:17Speaker 7: look at the guidance for next year, over half of
- 15:20Speaker 7: their adjusted operating income is expected to come from chicken.
- 15:23Speaker 7: And for a diversified protein company, that's putting a lot
- 15:26Speaker 7: of eggs in one basket, so to speak. And so
- 15:29Speaker 7: you know it, it's doing well. There's there's a lot
- 15:33Speaker 7: of momentum behind chicken in general, but Tyson is going
- 15:37Speaker 7: to be very dependent on the continued success of that
- 15:39Speaker 7: segment to hit its guidance for next year.
- 15:42Speaker 2: Talk to us about the cattle herd in this country,
- 15:45Speaker 2: how does that work here? I mean, prices are so high,
- 15:48Speaker 2: and I thought, for like a lot of commodities, when
- 15:51Speaker 2: you see a price, you know, move materially higher, it
- 15:54Speaker 2: brings on more supply. But I guess it's a little
- 15:55Speaker 2: different in the cattle business. What's your understanding.
- 15:59Speaker 7: Yeah, it's a little bit harder in the cattle business.
- 16:01Speaker 7: You know, you have to remember that raising cattle is
- 16:03Speaker 7: a it's a capital intensive activity, and so there have
- 16:07Speaker 7: been a lot of things that have held ranchers back
- 16:09Speaker 7: from increasing the size of their herds. We've had high
- 16:12Speaker 7: interest rates because a lot of them have to borrow
- 16:16Speaker 7: in order to rebuild herds. We've had drought conditions, especially
- 16:19Speaker 7: in the West and in the South, which make it
- 16:22Speaker 7: difficult to commit to raising more animals if your land
- 16:25Speaker 7: can't sustain them. And so those are some of the
- 16:28Speaker 7: kind of structural impediments that have really held us back
- 16:30Speaker 7: from what we would typically at this point have expected
- 16:34Speaker 7: to see some rebuilding of those herds already. You know,
- 16:37Speaker 7: Tyson says they see a couple of indicators in the
- 16:40Speaker 7: Northwest and sorry in the Upper Midwest that there's some
- 16:43Speaker 7: some heifer retention coming that means that cows are not
- 16:48Speaker 7: being sent to slaughter, but it's not enough to really
- 16:51Speaker 7: move the needle. So from our estimate, we're not looking
- 16:54Speaker 7: at a meaningful change in supply until twenty twenty eight,
- 16:58Speaker 7: So you know, expect high beef pace beef prices to continue.
- 17:02Speaker 5: Yeah, okay, so not great news if you're a hamburger lover.
- 17:04Speaker 5: And it's because these consumer beef prices that are at
- 17:07Speaker 5: record highs is what prompted President Trump to ask the
- 17:10Speaker 5: DOJ to investigate the meat packing industry. He is blaming
- 17:14Speaker 5: majority foreign owned companies for driving up these beef prices. Jen,
- 17:18Speaker 5: how do you think about this?
- 17:19Speaker 7: Well, you know, when we look at this, I mean,
- 17:23Speaker 7: this seems like it's more of a political maneuver than
- 17:26Speaker 7: actually based on anything from a market perspective. At this
- 17:30Speaker 7: point we will see what the dj comes up with
- 17:32Speaker 7: and what they actually share, but this seems to be
- 17:35Speaker 7: looking for a rationalization for high beef prices versus actually
- 17:40Speaker 7: understanding what the market fundamentals are. And the other thing
- 17:43Speaker 7: you have to remember is that we import a huge
- 17:45Speaker 7: amount of beef, especially for ground beef, from Brazil, and
- 17:49Speaker 7: we have tariffs on that. So part of the part
- 17:53Speaker 7: of the government's own policy is contributing to the higher
- 17:56Speaker 7: beef prices, but that's not part of this investing at all.
- 18:01Speaker 2: All right, So what's next for Tyson is this, I mean,
- 18:05Speaker 2: are these kind of companies are they how much did
- 18:08Speaker 2: they have in their control because they don't have control
- 18:10Speaker 2: of herd sizes and bird flus and things like that,
- 18:13Speaker 2: whether the weather exactly is how do investors kind of
- 18:17Speaker 2: invest in a company like Tyson's.
- 18:20Speaker 7: Yeah, you really have to look at you know, how
- 18:22Speaker 7: how are they controlling what they can control? And so
- 18:25Speaker 7: that that comes down to their operations. Are they generating
- 18:29Speaker 7: the efficiency they need to out of their plants? You know,
- 18:31Speaker 7: are they operating at capacity? Do they still have excess
- 18:34Speaker 7: capacity to fill? It really comes down to operational execution
- 18:38Speaker 7: in this kind of backdrop when there are a lot
- 18:40Speaker 7: of unknown variables that can impact supply. But ultimately, you know,
- 18:45Speaker 7: supply at least for chicken does look pretty good. It
- 18:48Speaker 7: looks pretty solid. So if all things go well, you know,
- 18:52Speaker 7: Tyson should be in a position to be able to
- 18:53Speaker 7: hit that guidance.
- 18:54Speaker 5: Before we let you go, Jen, what does pricing for
- 18:57Speaker 5: turkeys look like as we get closer to things.
- 18:59Speaker 7: Getting Yeah, you know, turkey has been hit harder by
- 19:04Speaker 7: avian flu than chicken. And so if you're talking about
- 19:10Speaker 7: a frozen turkey, you're gonna be fine. Those turkeys have
- 19:12Speaker 7: been in frozen storage for quite a while. They'll be
- 19:15Speaker 7: ready to go. If you're more interested in the fresh bird,
- 19:18Speaker 7: your price is probably going to be a little bit
- 19:19Speaker 7: higher this year than it was last year.
- 19:23Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,
- 19:27Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live each
- 19:31Speaker 1: weekday ten am to noon Eastern on Bloomberg dot com,
- 19:35Speaker 1: the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app.
- 19:39Speaker 1: You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube
- 19:42Speaker 1: and always on the Bloomberg terminal