Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Full Show Podcast: 19 September 2025

Transcript

Full Show Podcast: 19 September 2025 · Early Edition with Ryan Bridge

0:01
Speaker 1: The issues, the interviews and the insight. Ryan Bridge on
0:05
Speaker 1: Earli Initia with one roof love where you live, news talks,
0:09
Speaker 1: there'd be.
0:10
Speaker 2: Good morning, Welcome to Friday. The calls for Willis and
0:13
Speaker 2: Luxurn now to resign. We'll look at those, The shocker
0:16
Speaker 2: Q two number, the black Ferns, Georgia Miller, the mystery injury,
0:19
Speaker 2: mystery no more. We're in the UK with Trump and
0:22
Speaker 2: Starmer and Mark Mitchell joins the program on the ankle
0:25
Speaker 2: bracelet's go and walk about when they shouldn't. The agenda
0:30
Speaker 2: it is Friday, the nineteenth of September. Trump and Starmer
0:33
Speaker 2: of how to joint press this after the state visit.
0:35
Speaker 2: During the state visits, and Trump has some advice to
0:38
Speaker 2: Starmer on the border control.
0:40
Speaker 3: I told the Prime Minis Teroe would stop it.
0:42
Speaker 2: And it doesn't matter if you call out the military.
0:45
Speaker 3: It doesn't matter what means you use.
0:47
Speaker 4: But it's going to destroy it destroys countries from within.
0:52
Speaker 1: Right.
0:52
Speaker 2: They've also signed a tech deal. This is AI quantum computing,
0:55
Speaker 2: nuclear power and big text piling and Microsoft dropping twenty
0:59
Speaker 2: two billion pounds into the UK, biggest spend outside of America.
1:03
Speaker 2: Google five billion for II research in Vidia five hundred
1:07
Speaker 2: million pounds for new data centers.
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Speaker 3: Two one hundred and fifty billion pounds flowing both ways
1:13
Speaker 3: across the Atlantic. That is a record expected to create
1:17
Speaker 3: fifteen thousand jobs here in the United Kingdom, high skilled
1:21
Speaker 3: jobs in cutting edge sectors where people can build careers
1:26
Speaker 3: for the long term.
1:27
Speaker 2: Back how I'm green and p Benjamin Doyle's gone, but
1:29
Speaker 2: not before this.
1:31
Speaker 5: I did not come here on my terms. I was
1:34
Speaker 5: summoned under difficult and unexpected circumstances, but I accepted that call. Today, however,
1:43
Speaker 5: I leave by choice, not because I want to, but
1:47
Speaker 5: because I have chosen to put my child first.
1:54
Speaker 1: Views and views you trust. To start your day, It's
1:57
Speaker 1: early edition with Ryan Bridge roof love where you live?
2:02
Speaker 2: News talks. He'd be so Dan as one of the greats,
2:04
Speaker 2: won't they right? Eight minutes after five news talks, he'd
2:06
Speaker 2: b I see that in the Herald this morning, Matthew
2:09
Speaker 2: Howson unsurprisingly is piling on and saying, yes, this is
2:13
Speaker 2: time for Luxe and to go. I'll read you just
2:16
Speaker 2: a little bit, he says, no other option now. The
2:20
Speaker 2: disastrous GDP result reveals Christopher Luxe has failed and what
2:24
Speaker 2: voters say the most important part of his job is
2:27
Speaker 2: I think his resignation is now the only sure way
2:30
Speaker 2: to avoid the catastrophe of a labor green government reliant
2:33
Speaker 2: on to party. Marti, I think he's wrong. We'll talk
2:35
Speaker 2: about that a little later in the program. Keen to
2:37
Speaker 2: hear your thoughts. Nine two ninety two is the number
2:39
Speaker 2: to text eight minutes after five. Now to the US,
2:42
Speaker 2: this Jimmy Kimmel business is nuts. I reckon, Have you
2:46
Speaker 2: caught up with this? The right is now as guilty
2:49
Speaker 2: as the left on cancel culture. They all need to
2:52
Speaker 2: check themselves. Here's what he actually said on his show.
2:55
Speaker 6: We had some new lows over the weekend with the
2:58
Speaker 6: Maga gang desperately trying character to rise this kid who
3:01
Speaker 6: murdered Charlie Kirk as anything other than one of them,
3:04
Speaker 6: and everything they can to score political points from it.
3:08
Speaker 2: Okay, did he incite violence? No? Did he call for
3:10
Speaker 2: civil war?
3:11
Speaker 7: No?
3:11
Speaker 2: Did he threaten harm to anyone?
3:13
Speaker 8: No?
3:13
Speaker 2: Was it insensitive? Yes, because someone's just died. But that's
3:17
Speaker 2: no reason to cancel Somebody canceling a talk show host
3:20
Speaker 2: for talking is bonkers.
3:22
Speaker 6: This is the ultimate in cancel culture.
3:25
Speaker 9: We're losing our our first Amendment rates it's freedom of.
3:28
Speaker 2: Speech can canceled.
3:33
Speaker 10: To me, that's bizarre.
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Speaker 11: It's fine if you don't like these comedians, and it's
3:37
Speaker 11: fine if you don't like.
3:38
Speaker 6: These shows, but what if you say something that someone
3:44
Speaker 6: doesn't like.
3:45
Speaker 2: If anything, it might teach the far left the value
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Speaker 2: of free speech. You know, it's usually them that call
3:50
Speaker 2: for the sackings, of course, but the far right, if
3:54
Speaker 2: that's what they want to be called, should be equally
3:56
Speaker 2: ashamed here. The more we cancel people, the less we listen,
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Speaker 2: the more divided we become. Ryan Bridge, just gone ten
4:04
Speaker 2: after five nine two ninety two is the number to text.
4:07
Speaker 2: We'd love to hear from you this morning. Now we
4:08
Speaker 2: will get to Vincent mcavinie in the UK Europe. That's
4:11
Speaker 2: around quarter to six this morning for the latest on
4:13
Speaker 2: Trump and Starmer. Next though, we're going to Mark Mitchell
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Speaker 2: corrections Minister. Why Well, you know when you get a
4:19
Speaker 2: little ankle bracelet instead of going to jail, you get
4:21
Speaker 2: an ankle bracelet, and they say go home and be
4:23
Speaker 2: a good boy or girl and stay there. Well they're not.
4:27
Speaker 2: That's next.
4:31
Speaker 1: The news you need this morning and the in depth
4:33
Speaker 1: analysis Early edition with Ryan Bridge and one Root Love
4:38
Speaker 1: where you live news talks a'd be Brian.
4:40
Speaker 2: I think Nikola Willis needs to go because she's simply
4:43
Speaker 2: out of her depth and you could see it yesterday
4:45
Speaker 2: twelve after five. I'll give you the new SEAK employment
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Speaker 2: numbers shortly. First, if you've seen more people out with
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Speaker 2: the corrections ankle bracelets on lately, we know why. Ankle
4:54
Speaker 2: monitor escapes have increased from sixty four and twenty fifteen
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Speaker 2: to more than eight hundred an in the last year.
5:01
Speaker 2: The number of electronic monitoring is also up through the
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Speaker 2: roof though, from twelve hundred to six thousand, so there's
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Speaker 2: some context. Mark Mitch was the Corrections minister with us
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Speaker 2: this morning. Minister, good morning, Hey, good morning, Ryan. You're
5:12
Speaker 2: still back in your finance minister. You know you're prime Minister.
5:16
Speaker 2: What do you think of these calls for them to resign?
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Speaker 8: No hand Per said, I'd bet them. I mean, you know,
5:21
Speaker 8: this is my second round in government. Is an actual
5:24
Speaker 8: government and like the first time around, we had we
5:27
Speaker 8: inherited a roup port economy and some real issues in
5:30
Speaker 8: the economy, and it took us a while. We turned
5:32
Speaker 8: it around, and I don't know if you've meant it.
5:33
Speaker 8: But it used to be called the rock star economy.
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Speaker 8: This time around we inherited a much bigger problem and
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Speaker 8: it's going to take a bit of time to turn around.
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Speaker 8: The Finance minister is doing the outstanding job.
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Speaker 2: And so as the promise, would you call negative point
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Speaker 2: nine outstanding?
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Speaker 8: Well, like I said to you, there's some there's definitely
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Speaker 8: a few head ons there. There's no doubt about that.
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Speaker 8: There was some good growth before the negative point nine.
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Speaker 8: And like I just sit to you, we last time
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Speaker 8: I was in government and was nationally here John t
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Speaker 8: in Bill English, we inherited really big problems from.
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Speaker 2: The labor government.
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Speaker 8: This is this political cycle we seen to happen. It
6:10
Speaker 8: seems to happen as that labor comes in, they throw money,
6:12
Speaker 8: were nothing gets delivered. They reach up huge debt for us.
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Speaker 8: I mean we're paying angrily about eight nine billion dollars ten.
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Speaker 2: All right, so just stick to the plan, stick.
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Speaker 8: Run the police force four times over on now.
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Speaker 2: Stick to the plan, stick to the script. All right, minister,
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Speaker 2: Let's talk about this electronic monitoring. So in twenty fifteen
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Speaker 2: in percentage increase becomes important because there's been an increase
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Speaker 2: in those who were getting electronic monitoring. Right, So twenty
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Speaker 2: fifteen it was five percent, twenty twenty five is absconding
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Speaker 2: is now fourteen percent? So what how did that happen?
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Speaker 8: Okay, well, you've got different numbers. I've I've got eleven percent,
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Speaker 8: but it's actually dropped significantly. They're doing equations are quite
6:58
Speaker 8: quite SI, we're doing out standing job. Yes, to number
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Speaker 8: of people on electronic bail has increased, you know, it's
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Speaker 8: getting up towards thirty zerousand. The reason for that is
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Speaker 8: because there we're now wrapping consequences. Well, we want consequences
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Speaker 8: to actually that's the serious of the offense. And I've
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Speaker 8: also we've also had to deal with a massive increase
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Speaker 8: of people coming into the correction system that's so prioritizing
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Speaker 8: public safety.
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Speaker 2: So I've got here from newstalks. There be as a
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Speaker 2: proportion of individuals on electronically monitored bail, the absconding rate
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Speaker 2: increased from five percent to fourteen percent. Is that wrong?
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Speaker 8: Has gone from what twenty fifteen to eleven percent? Is
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Speaker 8: a thirty one July twenty twenty five.
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Speaker 2: Okay, so eleven percent or fourteen percent that's gone up?
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Speaker 8: Yeah, So yeah, So when it's actually coming down. So
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Speaker 8: if you look at what they're doing, it's actually starting
7:51
Speaker 8: to come down. But then it's quite that basically Ryan
7:55
Speaker 8: that there has been a big increase in people on
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Speaker 8: electronic bail, more than we would have liked because what
8:00
Speaker 8: was happening is we wore there's people getting electroc bail
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Speaker 8: that we thought should literally be in prison. So that's
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Speaker 8: why we've made changes changed to the what.
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Speaker 2: Does absconding mean you like it is that cutting the.
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Speaker 8: Brace means basically, what it means is just not complying
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Speaker 8: with the orders that are in place. So Corrections have
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Speaker 8: got teams are working twenty four seven that are mooriforing
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Speaker 8: that they work very closely with the police. They informed
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Speaker 8: the police when someone breaches there electroc bail and the
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Speaker 8: police take exture on that. And that's why you start
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Speaker 8: to see our reduction as well as because you know
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Speaker 8: we are as the incoming government. We've been very clear
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Speaker 8: that there's going to be consequences that match, you know,
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Speaker 8: the serious.
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Speaker 2: Just how can you say it's coming down when the
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Speaker 2: rate's gone from five percent to that's eleven or fourteen,
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Speaker 2: that's going up, isn't it?
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Speaker 8: Well, No, no, because if you look at if you
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Speaker 8: look at twenty nineteen, it was nineteen percent, twenty twenty
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Speaker 8: seventeen percent, twenty twenty one to sixteen percent, twenty twenty
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Speaker 8: two fifteen percent, twenty twenty three, twenty twenty.
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Speaker 2: Four, fourteen.
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Speaker 8: To July twenty five eleven. Gotcha, So in the last
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Speaker 8: two years it's coming down.
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Speaker 2: All right, minister, appreciate your time. Mark Mitchell is the corrections. Minister,
9:13
Speaker 2: time is seventeen after five, lots of your text to
9:15
Speaker 2: get to next and we'll talk black ferns and that
9:18
Speaker 2: injury for Georgia Miller. News Talk said B.
9:21
Speaker 1: The first word on the News of the Day early
9:24
Speaker 1: edition with Ryan Bridge and one roofe love where you live.
9:28
Speaker 1: News Talk said B.
9:29
Speaker 2: It is five nineteen Ryan, for goodness sake, it's the
9:32
Speaker 2: Reserve Bank that needs to be held to account. Remember
9:35
Speaker 2: they are independent, says Die morning. Ryan. We have a
9:38
Speaker 2: saying on the farm. You have one bad year, it
9:40
Speaker 2: puts you back five. These people that criticize this is
9:43
Speaker 2: the people calling for the resignation of Luxon and Willis
9:47
Speaker 2: or Willis. The people that criticize have bugger all understanding
9:51
Speaker 2: of the economy. Chairs Hamish Hamish. Good morning to you.
9:53
Speaker 2: It's just gone twenty after five and Ryan Bred share
9:56
Speaker 2: my views with you on that in just a second.
9:58
Speaker 2: First women's rugby the any final time is tomorrow's six am.
10:02
Speaker 2: The Black Ferns, unbeaten against Spain, Japan, Ireland and South
10:06
Speaker 2: Africa now take on second ranked Canada. Big chat is
10:10
Speaker 2: about that injury to Georgia Miller. Ricky s fanelle Is
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Speaker 2: Skysport commentated with us this morning. Ricky, good morning morning
10:16
Speaker 2: to hear Ryan. How are you very good? Thank you
10:18
Speaker 2: Georgia Miller. I see there was there was apparently a
10:21
Speaker 2: post put up by a New Zealand rugby contractor that
10:23
Speaker 2: said it was a hamstring injury that was taken down
10:26
Speaker 2: or edited or something. Do we know what's going on here?
10:29
Speaker 8: Yeah?
10:30
Speaker 12: Look I think probably a mountain has been made out
10:32
Speaker 12: of a Molehillowey, but with this one it probably not
10:35
Speaker 12: helped by this sort of the wording around it. From
10:38
Speaker 12: my understanding, it's not a major injury, but it's obviously
10:41
Speaker 12: enough to keep her out of a Rugby World Cup
10:43
Speaker 12: semi final, which as we know, is a really unfortunate
10:46
Speaker 12: for her as a person and a player, but for
10:48
Speaker 12: New Zealand because she's I mean, she's a once in
10:51
Speaker 12: a generation player, Georgia Miller on them. The bright side though,
10:55
Speaker 12: her replacement Kennedy took awaf who is not a bad
10:57
Speaker 12: player to be fish. He's very, very handy. I think
11:00
Speaker 12: was one of the best in Super rugby. And it
11:02
Speaker 12: also means Leila Sati can come on to the bench
11:04
Speaker 12: bench and she's had an outstanding tournament, so you know,
11:07
Speaker 12: it gives the Black fans options. Yes, it is a
11:09
Speaker 12: massive loss. Georgia is absolutely incredible. Fingers crossed if they
11:14
Speaker 12: do go through that she would be available for a
11:17
Speaker 12: potential final next week. As I understand, the injury isn't
11:21
Speaker 12: a major and that's the case. But yeah, I guess
11:24
Speaker 12: it's you know, for the Black Ferns and for Kenny
11:26
Speaker 12: tok go off in particular, it's like, right, go out,
11:28
Speaker 12: job done, and go out.
11:30
Speaker 2: And do that job. And Canada, how have they been
11:33
Speaker 2: performing so far in the competition and what do we
11:35
Speaker 2: need to look out for most.
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Speaker 12: They've been outstanding. I think they've been the best team
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Speaker 12: in the competition. They played the best forty minutes of
11:43
Speaker 12: any side in the first half against Australia last week.
11:46
Speaker 12: They beat the Black Ferns last year, they drew with
11:48
Speaker 12: them in May this year. They played very similar style
11:51
Speaker 12: to New Zealand. They will they will want to play,
11:53
Speaker 12: they want to run, they play really fast, but they
11:55
Speaker 12: can be physical as well. So it is a superb matchup.
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Speaker 12: We've got Olympic silver medalists in their team, players who've
12:02
Speaker 12: been on the.
12:02
Speaker 2: Big stage that you know.
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Speaker 12: To me, it is the best match of the tournament
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Speaker 12: on paper at least looks like the wead is going
12:09
Speaker 12: to be nice and dry for both teams too, so
12:12
Speaker 12: that'll be a factor giving them that opportunity to run
12:15
Speaker 12: and to rarely play. So it should be an absolute
12:18
Speaker 12: belter and perfect time at six am on a Saturday
12:20
Speaker 12: morning in New Zealand as well. That's that's a bacon
12:22
Speaker 12: and eggs bricky, if ever there was one frigant.
12:25
Speaker 2: We look forward to it. Ricky. Thank you, Ricky sonel
12:27
Speaker 2: Skysport commentator. The game is tomorrow six o'clock Black Ferns,
12:31
Speaker 2: be candidate. It's twenty two minutes after five.
12:35
Speaker 8: Right.
12:35
Speaker 2: Here's the good news for you this morning. Because we
12:37
Speaker 2: have the shaker from Q two. We've had flat jobs
12:40
Speaker 2: numbers from the Sikh New Zealand employment report from basically
12:44
Speaker 2: October last year until May, and finally their August report
12:48
Speaker 2: brings some good news and it is clear signs of
12:52
Speaker 2: hiring activity picking up. So you know, here's a bright
12:55
Speaker 2: spot for you. Volumes are up one percent month on
12:59
Speaker 2: month and the prior two months they have been adjusted
13:02
Speaker 2: up as well, so one percent increases respectively. Annual growth
13:07
Speaker 2: now up four percent, first time that job abs have
13:11
Speaker 2: grown year on year since November of twenty twenty two.
13:14
Speaker 2: Applications are up two percent in July. That's a new
13:18
Speaker 2: record high solid growth in the big industries Manufacturing, transport
13:22
Speaker 2: logistics up three percent, trade in services up two percent.
13:27
Speaker 2: And this is this is across the board. This is
13:29
Speaker 2: broad based increases for most industries and crucially for the
13:35
Speaker 2: larger regions including Auckland, which is now up two months consecutively.
13:39
Speaker 2: Twenty three after five News Talks.
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Speaker 1: MB the early edition full show podcast on iHeartRadio powered
13:46
Speaker 1: by Newstalks IV five.
13:49
Speaker 2: Twenty five News Talks MB has Nikola Willis failed on
13:52
Speaker 2: growth in her year of growth so far. Yes, we've
13:56
Speaker 2: gone nowhere in six months. Quarter two basically wiped out
13:59
Speaker 2: Quarter one. Should she resign? No? Why Trump's tarris She
14:04
Speaker 2: didn't see them coming, sure, but nobody saw them coming.
14:07
Speaker 2: Markets thought he was bluffing a negotiation tactic until he wasn't.
14:12
Speaker 2: Businesses and mums and dads sat on the cash to
14:14
Speaker 2: wait it out, which is a reasonable response to an
14:16
Speaker 2: uncertain future. Should she borrow and spend more, she can't.
14:21
Speaker 2: It'd be political sacrilege for a party elected to do
14:23
Speaker 2: the opposite. Besides, she's already borrowing Robertson level cash, the
14:27
Speaker 2: interest tabs nearing ten billion bucks, and rating agencies are
14:31
Speaker 2: watching closely. The RBNZ printed money like it was going
14:35
Speaker 2: out of fashion. Governments here and abroad overcook, the COVID
14:38
Speaker 2: response with border controls, the world ground to a halt,
14:43
Speaker 2: we artificially concocted, and the inflationary wildfire so hot that
14:48
Speaker 2: the ambers burned close to the Central limits to this day.
14:52
Speaker 2: As for those calls from Douglas and Cove for Willis
14:55
Speaker 2: to her head on a stake. That's what they're asking for.
15:00
Speaker 2: You've got to ask what exactly is it they want
15:03
Speaker 2: and what impact would it have had had she gone
15:07
Speaker 2: full Ruth Richardson in Budgets one and two, Getting the
15:10
Speaker 2: books in line sooner. That growth number we saw yesterday,
15:14
Speaker 2: the one that prompted the press release calling for her scalp,
15:18
Speaker 2: would have been a hell of a lot worse than
15:20
Speaker 2: zero point nine negative. So the waiting game continues, which
15:25
Speaker 2: is cold comfort to many, but the medicine for such
15:28
Speaker 2: a nasty illness was always going to be hard to swallow.
15:32
Speaker 2: Bryan Bridge by twenty seven News Talks eb Over in
15:36
Speaker 2: the UK. Nigel Farraj, I mean, this guy could seriously
15:38
Speaker 2: be the next British Prime minister if you can keep
15:41
Speaker 2: up the momentum and we'll see what happens with those
15:44
Speaker 2: local elections are happening next year. But if you can
15:47
Speaker 2: keep this momentum up and the immigration thing is still
15:50
Speaker 2: a problem, then yeah, I mean he could be. It's
15:53
Speaker 2: a potential. Now he along with people like Rudy Giuliani
15:58
Speaker 2: doing this weird thing. I don't know if you know
16:00
Speaker 2: about cameo. You might have been sent one of these
16:03
Speaker 2: for your birthday. And a cameo gets celebrities and pays
16:06
Speaker 2: them to send personalized sort of messages so you can say,
16:10
Speaker 2: I want you to say this funny thing or that
16:11
Speaker 2: funny thing. Farage does ninety five dollars. I'll say anything,
16:18
Speaker 2: cameos and literally says anything.
16:22
Speaker 1: Happy birthday, and this is from the lads, lads, lads.
16:27
Speaker 2: And like there are ten to fifteen second videos. Now,
16:30
Speaker 2: what he makes from this is apparently one hundred and
16:33
Speaker 2: eighty thousand dollars in the last year, so ninety five
16:36
Speaker 2: bucks a pop. He's just sitting in his office with
16:39
Speaker 2: a microphone and a webcam and filming himself and then
16:43
Speaker 2: sending them off one hundred and eighty thousand dollars. Now
16:45
Speaker 2: he reckons, And I think this is actually quite interesting
16:48
Speaker 2: because he's you know, it sort of looks a bit weird,
16:50
Speaker 2: it could be a bit risky, but he reckons that
16:53
Speaker 2: not only is he making a lot of money, he's
16:56
Speaker 2: engaging with an audience that otherwise would have no idea
17:00
Speaker 2: who he is or not find him particularly attractive. And
17:03
Speaker 2: I've interviewed this as a Wall Street Journal article. They
17:06
Speaker 2: interviewed a young guy who said, not sure I'd vote
17:09
Speaker 2: for him, but it's hilarious how he'll just say anything,
17:12
Speaker 2: and it's quite relatable content. So interesting, isn't it that
17:15
Speaker 2: you could in a way campaign and get paid for it.
17:19
Speaker 2: That's on top of his parliamentary salary. By the way,
17:22
Speaker 2: Rudy Giuliani, you don't want to see this, but he
17:25
Speaker 2: got a few hundred bucks for performing I'm a little teapot.
17:30
Speaker 2: That's scream's desperation, doesn't it. Twenty nine after five news
17:34
Speaker 2: talk zib to get to the GDP number before six
17:38
Speaker 2: and the UK before that.
17:46
Speaker 1: Get ahead of the headlines on early edition with Ryan
17:50
Speaker 1: Bridge and one roof love where you live used talks be.
18:02
Speaker 2: You're twenty four away from six news talk zbe bit
18:05
Speaker 2: of a rock and a half place for Nicola Willis
18:07
Speaker 2: really the text machines been lit up, Craig, says Ryan.
18:10
Speaker 2: The fact that Willison Luckxon's government hasn't done something more
18:12
Speaker 2: radical like reform the economy, which is what we expected
18:15
Speaker 2: from them, as a sign that things will only get
18:19
Speaker 2: worse to an extent, You're right. I mean people, some
18:22
Speaker 2: on the right wanted them to come in and go
18:24
Speaker 2: all Ruth Richardson, go all gung ho. And she did reform,
18:28
Speaker 2: and she did cut deeply, much deeper than Willis as
18:32
Speaker 2: I mean, she's still Willis borrowing as much as Richard,
18:35
Speaker 2: as Grant Robertson. But if she had cut deeper that
18:41
Speaker 2: number you're looking at yesterday would have been much worse.
18:45
Speaker 2: That's what happens. Yes, Ruth Richardson got to five percent
18:48
Speaker 2: growth eventually, but it took about three years to get there.
18:51
Speaker 2: So you're looking at political cycles. You're looking at a party,
18:54
Speaker 2: a national party, which is our centrist medal manager party,
18:59
Speaker 2: isn't it. That's what they are. If we wanted what
19:02
Speaker 2: you suggest, Craig, then we should have all voted act
19:06
Speaker 2: you know what I mean. That's how you get you
19:08
Speaker 2: to use their campaign's logan Real change time is anyway,
19:12
Speaker 2: we'll talk about the GDP number before six and we'll
19:15
Speaker 2: head to the UK for the Trump Starmer joint presser
19:19
Speaker 2: in about ten minutes time. I'm thirteen away from six.
19:23
Speaker 2: Now callen, Proctors and Dnedan for us this morning. Callen,
19:25
Speaker 2: Good morning morning. Right time is ticking for prosecution over
19:29
Speaker 2: the South Island's Sea lion killings.
19:33
Speaker 11: Yeah, the Sea Lion Trust here has this fifty thousand
19:36
Speaker 11: dollars reward out for information about three deliberate killings and
19:40
Speaker 11: the captains last year of sea lions.
19:42
Speaker 2: You may remember.
19:43
Speaker 11: The prosecution though has to come within a year of
19:45
Speaker 11: the incident, and tomorrow is the deadline for that action,
19:49
Speaker 11: so the trust is disappointed. It's fair to say that
19:53
Speaker 11: there's been no progress on this despite the reward. They
19:57
Speaker 11: concerned that whoever did it may think they got away
19:59
Speaker 11: with it and could do it again. The co chair
20:02
Speaker 11: is Sean McConkie. He's told us he hopes the community
20:04
Speaker 11: support and the reward, though encourages people in future to
20:08
Speaker 11: think twice. All right, how's your weather are the odd
20:10
Speaker 11: early shower clears to find southwester turns northerlyeds and Eden's
20:14
Speaker 11: high though only twelve today?
20:16
Speaker 2: All right? Chairs? Jamie Cunningham for christ Church Jamie, good morning,
20:20
Speaker 2: Good morning Ryan. The Wildlife Photographer the Year exhibition has
20:23
Speaker 2: returned to Canterbury Museum.
20:24
Speaker 7: Yeah, that's right. A fresh batch of one hundred animal
20:27
Speaker 7: images from around the world are online from London's Natural
20:31
Speaker 7: History Museum, showcasing photographic talent from fifty nine thousand entries
20:35
Speaker 7: and one hundred and seventeen countries. It gives visitors the
20:38
Speaker 7: chance to see a grizzly bear fishing in his sub
20:41
Speaker 7: zero Canadian river, the nocturnal glow of a Chilean volcano,
20:45
Speaker 7: in the intimate world of tiny insects, Museum Director Anthony
20:48
Speaker 7: Riots's previous exhibitions have been enormously popular in twenty nineteen
20:53
Speaker 7: and last year. He sees the captivating images and stories
20:56
Speaker 7: of the world's wildlife are loved by contabrians and visitors,
21:00
Speaker 7: so they're delighted to bring it back to christ Church.
21:02
Speaker 2: Right, how's your weather?
21:04
Speaker 7: A few showers, clearing to find in the morning, southwesterlies
21:07
Speaker 7: and a high of twelve.
21:08
Speaker 2: All right, Max is in Wellington, Max, good morning, good morning.
21:11
Speaker 2: Now I found this story quite hilarious, not funny, not funny. Yesterday,
21:16
Speaker 2: this is about the public service still working from home?
21:20
Speaker 13: Yes, it's fitting that this is a Friday, because really interesting.
21:23
Speaker 13: Latest data from the Public Service Commission Flexible working arrangements
21:27
Speaker 13: working from home taking a cheeky Friday off. It's all
21:30
Speaker 13: still rampant, it seems across the public sector, despite what
21:33
Speaker 13: the government and previous Minister Nikola Willis might desire, a
21:37
Speaker 13: majority in fact still working flexibly sixty five percent. That
21:41
Speaker 13: might also be adjusted or compressed hours, flexible start finish time.
21:45
Speaker 13: Indeed working from home. The proportion of people working at
21:49
Speaker 13: home only down slightly on the Commission's last survey. Shockingly, shockingly,
21:54
Speaker 13: the most common day to take off is Friday. Almost
21:56
Speaker 13: a quarter work from home on Fridays. No wonder Wellington's
22:01
Speaker 13: hospitality industries in the pan. And what was also alarming though,
22:04
Speaker 13: is that the Public Service Commission says it's now going
22:06
Speaker 13: to stop collecting this type of data, which was perhaps
22:11
Speaker 13: the problem in the first place. It's rationale is that
22:14
Speaker 13: working from home arrangements are our agreements between staff and managers,
22:18
Speaker 13: and it no longer needs to track who's working at home.
22:21
Speaker 2: Went great, So even when we track them, we get nowhere.
22:25
Speaker 2: And as soon as we stop tracking them, imagine where
22:27
Speaker 2: it's going to go Thursday Friday. I mean, just take
22:29
Speaker 2: the whole week.
22:30
Speaker 13: You know a lot of people listening to the show
22:32
Speaker 13: and bed I think today.
22:33
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's your Wither. No, they're listening.
22:36
Speaker 13: They're listening to Arned in Wellington, Perhapsia the Odd Show.
22:41
Speaker 13: Otherwise find Strong Southerly's ten today.
22:43
Speaker 2: All right, thanks mix, No, our listeners are up in
22:46
Speaker 2: Adam already, Neva's and Auckland Neva good Morning, Happy Friday,
22:49
Speaker 2: hopy Friday, and currently only and Wayne Brown are up
22:52
Speaker 2: and Adam they're going to a stage event today for
22:55
Speaker 2: a debate.
22:55
Speaker 14: Just get your popcorn. Oh my goodness, gracious me. So
22:58
Speaker 14: today's Meet the Candidates of Now. This is hosted by
23:01
Speaker 14: Gray Power. It will see those two give short speeches
23:06
Speaker 14: and then take questions from the audience. So Leoni's criticized
23:09
Speaker 14: Brown in the past, you know, for not showing up
23:11
Speaker 14: to debates. So apparently a recent freshwater pole, this was
23:16
Speaker 14: commissioned by Brown, shows him firmly in the driver's seat
23:18
Speaker 14: with about sixty five percent of likely voters backing him.
23:21
Speaker 14: That same pole showed Leoni head just six percent support,
23:25
Speaker 14: although she says, you know, like her internal polling paints
23:28
Speaker 14: a very different picture. Of course it does. So you know,
23:30
Speaker 14: that'll be interesting today. I think quite a few media
23:33
Speaker 14: people are going to head along to that. That's at
23:35
Speaker 14: the north Shore. On the North Shore one pm, Shall
23:38
Speaker 14: I say where netballed North Harbor?
23:40
Speaker 2: Great? Do you know? I had had one Brown on
23:42
Speaker 2: the show last week or was it week before, and
23:44
Speaker 2: he had his first candidates event. I said, oh, Wayne,
23:48
Speaker 2: how did it go? And he goes it was insufferable.
23:52
Speaker 14: And I could just see his face. I could just
23:54
Speaker 14: pat Oh right, it's sufferable. I mean it's quite comical.
23:58
Speaker 2: Really, he's the grinch, but everyone kind of likes it.
24:01
Speaker 2: It's right right neither. How's our weather cloudy show.
24:05
Speaker 14: Is clearing to find this afternoon? Yay sixteen the high
24:07
Speaker 14: first day school holidays.
24:09
Speaker 2: Have a fantastic weekend. Good to see you. It is
24:11
Speaker 2: twelve sorry eighteen minutes away from six or on news
24:14
Speaker 2: Talk SeeDB we will talk GDP just before six o'clock.
24:18
Speaker 2: Will get to Vincent mcavenie and the UK next News
24:21
Speaker 2: Talk SeeDB. If you run a small business, you know
24:24
Speaker 2: the pain of waiting to get paid. You finish the job,
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24:35
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24:39
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24:42
Speaker 2: just the zero accounting app. Here's the really smart but
24:45
Speaker 2: though once the payment goes through, the invoice is automatically
24:48
Speaker 2: marked as paid in zero. This is ready to be reconciled.
24:52
Speaker 2: Less admind less making around with the paperwork, more time
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Speaker 2: running your actual business, which is what you want to
24:57
Speaker 2: be doing. It's secure, it's instant, and it kee your
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Speaker 2: cash flow moving instead of grinding to a halt every month.
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Speaker 2: Except payments on the spot as soon as the job's complete.
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Speaker 2: No more awkward. I'll keep that invoice to your conversations.
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Speaker 2: For small businesses, this could genuinely be a game changer.
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Speaker 2: Less time chasing late payments, more time focusing on what
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25:25
Speaker 1: To pay, International correspondence with ends and eye insurance, peace
25:30
Speaker 1: of mind for New Zealand business sporting away.
25:32
Speaker 2: From six News talks too. Trump's offered some advice to
25:35
Speaker 2: Kiir Starmer at a joint press conference. This is during
25:38
Speaker 2: his state visit. The Vincent Mecavin Exact UK europe correspondent
25:41
Speaker 2: joining me this morning, Vincent. They seem to be getting
25:44
Speaker 2: along quite well, Yeah, very well.
25:47
Speaker 9: Donald Trump likes a winner, and he saw that historic
25:50
Speaker 9: victory that Kair Starmer had in last year's election, securing
25:53
Speaker 9: that massive mandate. Yes, he's having a bit of trouble
25:56
Speaker 9: domestically at the moment, but Donald Trump and Kairs Starmer
25:59
Speaker 9: c to have developed quite a strong bond, in part
26:02
Speaker 9: because Kirs Starmer went out and met with Donald Trump
26:06
Speaker 9: in sort of summer twenty twenty four ahead of his
26:09
Speaker 9: election victory. So Donald Trump felt sort of flattered and
26:12
Speaker 9: enamored by that. But over the past two days of
26:15
Speaker 9: this visit, first the sort of royal day at Windsor
26:17
Speaker 9: and then today at Checkers, the Prime Minister's country residence,
26:21
Speaker 9: Trump's deep affection for the United Kingdom, his mother was
26:24
Speaker 9: of course Scottish has been on full show and he
26:27
Speaker 9: hasn't really put a foot out of line.
26:29
Speaker 2: And what about this tick deal that they're talking up?
26:32
Speaker 2: Is this serious? Is it going to happen? Is it
26:34
Speaker 2: guaranteed to heppen?
26:37
Speaker 9: Well, this tech deal is interesting, it's sort of tens
26:40
Speaker 9: of billions of pounds. But what has been coming from
26:42
Speaker 9: the US side is it would be much more if
26:45
Speaker 9: the UK would do two things. Get rid of its
26:47
Speaker 9: digital services tax and get rid of its new online regulation.
26:52
Speaker 9: These are two things that Downing Street simply won't get
26:54
Speaker 9: rid of because they say that the sort of the
26:57
Speaker 9: online sales services tax, for instance, there has to be
27:00
Speaker 9: some contribution to these massive online companies, the likes of Amazon,
27:04
Speaker 9: that have taken away business from the high streets and
27:07
Speaker 9: the high streets have to pay things like business rates
27:09
Speaker 9: and rental rates for shops and all that kind of stuff.
27:12
Speaker 9: And when it comes to the sort of dangers of
27:14
Speaker 9: the internet, the online regulation built. You can't access, for instance,
27:17
Speaker 9: pornography here in the UK anymore online without going through
27:20
Speaker 9: an age certification process. And the Prime Minister was clear
27:23
Speaker 9: that he didn't want children to be able to access
27:26
Speaker 9: that kind of meat material and that there has to
27:28
Speaker 9: be curves online of access to for instance, terrorist material
27:31
Speaker 9: as well. So a downing Streets are very resolute that
27:34
Speaker 9: the UK won't fold on this. Trump is trying to
27:36
Speaker 9: put the same kind of pressure on the European Union
27:39
Speaker 9: as well, because the likes of Mark Zuckerberg and all
27:43
Speaker 9: those other tech bros are constantly putting pressure on him
27:46
Speaker 9: to try and get other nations to get rid of
27:48
Speaker 9: this before it becomes the international norm.
27:50
Speaker 2: All right, interesting stuff, Thans and making of any UK
27:52
Speaker 2: europe correspondent time as twelve away from six Ryan, we
27:56
Speaker 2: dealt with the politics of this. Now let's get to
27:57
Speaker 2: the numbers. So GDP fell point nine percent in the
28:00
Speaker 2: last quarter. That's double what the economists had fared and
28:03
Speaker 2: lot three times what the Reserve Bank had fared and
28:06
Speaker 2: joining me this morning, Mark Smith asb Senior Economists, Mark,
28:09
Speaker 2: good morning.
28:10
Speaker 10: Good morning.
28:10
Speaker 2: Right, So yes, worse quarter two change decline. Does it
28:15
Speaker 2: change your prediction for the quarter three number now that
28:19
Speaker 2: we've gone so low?
28:21
Speaker 10: Yeah, probably a little bit. Yeah, the bigger the whole,
28:25
Speaker 10: I suppose for the larger of the rebounds, so we
28:28
Speaker 10: do have a little bit more of a bounce back,
28:30
Speaker 10: but the thing is the whole is bigger.
28:33
Speaker 2: Why.
28:35
Speaker 10: Well, essentially we saw quite a pretty strong start the year,
28:40
Speaker 10: and really what we saw on Q two was very
28:43
Speaker 10: much an unwining of those things and it happened a
28:46
Speaker 10: lot more significant than what we thought. And really what
28:49
Speaker 10: we're seeing now is that the economy does not really
28:52
Speaker 10: have a lot there that can really push it up,
28:55
Speaker 10: apart from really monetary policy. And it's really the key.
28:58
Speaker 2: Would a double cut last time, I mean, it wouldn't
29:01
Speaker 2: have made a difference to this number because it was
29:03
Speaker 2: backwards looking, right, But now everyone's thinking they'll do a
29:06
Speaker 2: double cut next time.
29:09
Speaker 10: Possibly with the benefit of hindsight. I think with the
29:12
Speaker 10: Reserve Bank, they're focuses as inflation, and I think we're
29:16
Speaker 10: getting a lot more confident now that we will see
29:18
Speaker 10: inflation pick up a bit in Q three, but we're
29:22
Speaker 10: more confident now that's going to be lower further down
29:24
Speaker 10: the tracks. And that's really why that there is a
29:26
Speaker 10: bank with confidence can cut a bit more strongly.
29:29
Speaker 2: Does the fact that FED is cutting in the US
29:32
Speaker 2: despite their inflation still being outside band, does that have
29:36
Speaker 2: any effect on the inflation calculation here going forward?
29:41
Speaker 10: At the margin? You know, the extent that have fixed
29:45
Speaker 10: long term interest rates here and the extent that fixed
29:48
Speaker 10: the New Zealand dollars into the margin. But really it's
29:51
Speaker 10: the same sort of dilemma that that we're facing as well.
29:55
Speaker 10: I've gone back a while. I suppose the risk was
29:58
Speaker 10: inflation will high for longer. I think the comfort now
30:03
Speaker 10: for both central banks is that there's enough to be
30:05
Speaker 10: a capacity in the economy and that will result in
30:08
Speaker 10: inflation falling over time. And now it's also the focus
30:12
Speaker 10: it's more on the labor market rather than inflation.
30:14
Speaker 2: So where do you where do you see? How low
30:16
Speaker 2: do you see the OCA going two point two five?
30:20
Speaker 10: Yeah, by the end of the year, to give you
30:22
Speaker 10: an idea of where things are. Typically, if you're like
30:26
Speaker 10: your goldly locks rates about three percent, So we think
30:29
Speaker 10: the Reserve Bank will need to put the foot on
30:31
Speaker 10: the gas pedal to try and get the economy going. Previously,
30:35
Speaker 10: when the flation was too high, the foot was on
30:37
Speaker 10: the brake, and now the foot will need to go
30:39
Speaker 10: on the gas pedal.
30:39
Speaker 2: Give us an economy, Give us an idea of what
30:42
Speaker 2: that would mean for a mortgage interest rate? How low
30:44
Speaker 2: could it go?
30:46
Speaker 10: A lot of it is already priced in. But you
30:48
Speaker 10: know we will see for those floating rates will move down,
30:51
Speaker 10: you know pipelike ware margin. Those fixed rates move not
30:55
Speaker 10: so much because it's already priced in to some extent.
30:58
Speaker 10: So certainly those variable rates will will come down.
31:00
Speaker 2: By This is the thing, right because last time the
31:02
Speaker 2: Reserve being sure they didn't do a double hit, but
31:05
Speaker 2: they essentially did a seventy you could aigue a seventy
31:08
Speaker 2: five point cut because they signaled the rest to come right,
31:12
Speaker 2: which has been priced in.
31:15
Speaker 10: Yeah, I think they're signals we want to see the
31:17
Speaker 10: economy start to start to ready to move. I think
31:20
Speaker 10: they worry is if it does not move enough, they've
31:23
Speaker 10: all needed it more. So you know, again, what what
31:27
Speaker 10: will happen to the official cash rate is really conditional
31:31
Speaker 10: on the economic outlook and without there being enough tail
31:34
Speaker 10: when suit the economy going, it's going to come more
31:36
Speaker 10: on the OCI to do that.
31:38
Speaker 2: Appreciate your time, Mark Mark Smith ASB Senior Economists. You're
31:41
Speaker 2: on News Talk sad B.
31:43
Speaker 1: On your radio and online on Iheard Radio Early edition
31:47
Speaker 1: with Ryan Bridge and one roof Love where you Live,
31:51
Speaker 1: News Talks.
31:52
Speaker 2: EDB six or six on News Talk SEDB.
31:54
Speaker 8: SO.
31:54
Speaker 2: Then yesterday, Simon Brown puts out a press statement says
31:57
Speaker 2: that they've offered one hundred and sixty million dollars extra
32:00
Speaker 2: to the doctors five and a half thousand senior doctors
32:03
Speaker 2: over a sixteen month term, and they've walked away from it.
32:06
Speaker 2: So it strikes happening forty eight hours. Next week goes ahead,
32:09
Speaker 2: thirteen thousand treatment appointments postponed, eighteen hundred elective procedures, thirty
32:14
Speaker 2: six hundred specialists, seven thousand follow ups, and eight hundred
32:17
Speaker 2: outpatients delayed. There you go. Good news Friday morning five
32:22
Speaker 2: to six, Ryan Breede Morning, Mike Morning. Sorry, what's on
32:26
Speaker 2: the show today?
32:27
Speaker 4: Well, we got John Key and we've got Nichola Willis.
32:29
Speaker 4: You should read if you haven't read already. Thomas Coglin's yeah,
32:32
Speaker 4: he gat one of them. Yeah, he's like he sums
32:35
Speaker 4: up yesterday extremely well in the sense he's sort of
32:39
Speaker 4: I mean, it's in the weeds. But Labour's inability to
32:42
Speaker 4: focus on the day came in with questions about education,
32:46
Speaker 4: whether they pulled them out of a basket or whatever
32:49
Speaker 4: they do. But their day to kill the government was
32:51
Speaker 4: yesterday and they failed miserably.
32:54
Speaker 2: They was sick.
32:54
Speaker 4: But Nikola Willis equally had no real comeback in the sense.
32:58
Speaker 4: And here's the interesting thing for me in ald time
33:00
Speaker 4: talk to her about it because she's on the program.
33:02
Speaker 4: So when the parme miniter came on the program a
33:04
Speaker 4: couple of weeks ago, you remember I got him to
33:06
Speaker 4: criticize the Reserve Bank because he is the real issue,
33:09
Speaker 4: and he all the op ed writers got all angsty
33:11
Speaker 4: about that, said you can't do it. They're independent, blah
33:13
Speaker 4: blah blah. But they've been just demonstrably let down by
33:18
Speaker 4: the Reserve Bank. So if you just chart this, April,
33:21
Speaker 4: May and June was the quarter we're dealing with. They
33:24
Speaker 4: came out in July. By that time all was gone,
33:26
Speaker 4: Hawksby was in and what did they do in July?
33:29
Speaker 4: It was nothing that was die. So we've just watched
33:33
Speaker 4: a quarter. We now know it's zero point nine contract
33:36
Speaker 4: in a major way, and their view of it was
33:38
Speaker 4: we don't need to do anything more.
33:39
Speaker 2: These calls for her to resign from it, that's the
33:42
Speaker 2: usual crad. It's crap, but it's crap for a particular reason.
33:46
Speaker 4: I just I disagree with what you said earlier. But
33:49
Speaker 4: the only thing I would say.
33:50
Speaker 2: Is that that if she had cut, she would have
33:54
Speaker 2: been far worse. And therefore why put a pressure release
33:57
Speaker 2: out on it yesterday?
33:58
Speaker 4: Because at the end of the day, the problem with Douglas,
34:01
Speaker 4: or the thing about Douglas is Douglas is my financial
34:04
Speaker 4: minister hero, that guy. We're in many respects, in the
34:07
Speaker 4: same position. You're too young to remember, but we're in
34:09
Speaker 4: the same position now that we were in when he
34:12
Speaker 4: came in at eighty four and he blew the place up,
34:15
Speaker 4: and we're probably requiring the same restaurant.
34:19
Speaker 2: Now, look forward to the show today. Mike has looked.
34:21
Speaker 2: Next Happy Friday, everyone, I'm on Driday next week, Star.
34:25
Speaker 2: I'll capture the following.
34:28
Speaker 1: For more from early edition with Ryan Bridge, listen live
34:31
Speaker 1: to news Talks. It'd be from five am weekdays, or
34:34
Speaker 1: follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.