Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process

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UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:04
Speaker 1: Fall systems, going clear living, what is going on?
0:36
Speaker 2: Everybody?
0:37
Speaker 3: Hope everyone's having a great week. I'm ready to talk
0:39
Speaker 3: some fights with my man, Big Barley. Thirteen fights on
0:42
Speaker 3: tap thirteen is a great number. Fingers crossed, we keep
0:45
Speaker 3: all thirteen a couple midweek like you see eighty three
0:49
Speaker 3: hundred sixty nine hundred. I don't know why Chaos and
0:52
Speaker 3: Nick light on that price as yet. There was another
0:55
Speaker 3: one as well, menieve is a short notice replacement a
0:58
Speaker 3: lot of juggling fights. But fingers crossed, we keep all
1:01
Speaker 3: thirteen because if we do. In my just put in
1:03
Speaker 3: our discord a couple hours ago. The definition of a
1:06
Speaker 3: shitty real life card a great DFS card. That's how
1:10
Speaker 3: I see it. Only one favorite greater than minus three hundred.
1:13
Speaker 3: Otherwise no favorites greater than so twelve of them less
1:17
Speaker 3: than minus three hundred favorites, only one at minus three hundred.
1:20
Speaker 3: That is the eighty three hundred dollars fighter, one five
1:22
Speaker 3: round fight that Big Marley doesn't have as a five star,
1:25
Speaker 3: so that means you probably can fade it. I think
1:27
Speaker 3: it's going to be really good for DFS. A lot
1:29
Speaker 3: of ways to get different, can leave a little salary.
1:32
Speaker 3: I'm excited to break it down, even though, yeah, the
1:34
Speaker 3: real life aspect not really too. It's hard to get
1:38
Speaker 3: up for this one too much, especially after a pay
1:40
Speaker 3: per view last week. But we're real fight fans. We
1:42
Speaker 3: tune in every Saturday. Violence is violence, and I'm ready
1:45
Speaker 3: to watch eight of the thirteen expected to finish. Big
1:48
Speaker 3: Marley bring in. How you doing today? Thoughts on this card?
1:51
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm good and I have the same exec thoughts.
1:53
Speaker 4: That's what I was thinking is we got a pretty
1:56
Speaker 4: low level fight card to watch, but it's really a
1:59
Speaker 4: perfect DFS card, and I kind of expect a solo
2:03
Speaker 4: shipper on this one as long as there's some salary
2:05
Speaker 4: left on the table, I think there's gonna be lots
2:07
Speaker 4: of ways you can get different. So many live dogs
2:09
Speaker 4: on this card. Really, every single dog on the card
2:13
Speaker 4: is live. We could have an optimal with six dogs
2:17
Speaker 4: up there. So who knows what's gonna happen on this one,
2:19
Speaker 4: But looking forward to talking about with you.
2:20
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I love those cards.
2:22
Speaker 3: Again, It's not great real life, but give me a
2:24
Speaker 3: bad real life if it has to be a good
2:27
Speaker 3: real life and shitty DFS. So like eleven great fights
2:30
Speaker 3: or the White House card, whatever it is. Eight great fights,
2:33
Speaker 3: even though I don't even know if they're all great,
2:34
Speaker 3: but a real good, real life card that ten fights
2:36
Speaker 3: shitty for dfs are really bad real life card, but
2:39
Speaker 3: great for dfs. If prices are still good, which you're
2:42
Speaker 3: still a hundre kup top, give me the bad real
2:44
Speaker 3: life good dfs all day long. We're in the business
2:47
Speaker 3: trying to make money. We're gonna try and help break
2:49
Speaker 3: it all down. It's a lot more than just picks
2:52
Speaker 3: and plays, game theory, roster construction. We'll do our best
2:55
Speaker 3: to break it all down, line, line movement, etc. All
2:57
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4:02
Speaker 3: the best discord around, and I think you will love
4:04
Speaker 3: what you see and probably want to make sense. So
4:07
Speaker 3: we appreciate everyone hanging out again like Puton, is all
4:10
Speaker 3: we ask for on this show. We appreciate all the
4:11
Speaker 3: support and I want to drop. I want people in
4:15
Speaker 3: the YouTube chat to drop their favorite their favorite dog
4:19
Speaker 3: not named Melcossa. So seven point five k in below.
4:23
Speaker 3: I'm curious to hear whose people favorite dog is this week.
4:26
Speaker 3: Big Jim Miller, forty two year old Jim gets the
4:29
Speaker 3: job done last week with the tight guillotine things you
4:32
Speaker 3: absolutely love to see any broad slap before. I mean,
4:35
Speaker 3: we kind of talk some broad slave, but any other
4:37
Speaker 3: things you want to mention before you go fight by fight, No, man.
4:40
Speaker 4: I think it's gonna be a tough one. You already mentioned.
4:43
Speaker 4: I don't think this is going to be a main
4:44
Speaker 4: event that we have to really focus on a whole
4:47
Speaker 4: lot and then every every underdog on the card is live.
4:52
Speaker 4: But we also got the Bukowskis, who's gonna get a
4:55
Speaker 4: ton of ownership at eighty three hundred dollars. But aside
4:58
Speaker 4: from him and just typical main event ownership, I think
5:01
Speaker 4: it's gonna be pretty spread out.
5:03
Speaker 2: I totally agree. I think it's definitely spread out.
5:05
Speaker 3: No one higher price than ninety two hundred on the card,
5:08
Speaker 3: and again, with so many live dogs, salary does not
5:10
Speaker 3: mean too much. This week the two Chalkias Medesta's bukaukis
5:15
Speaker 3: minus three thirty five favorite in a fight minus won
5:17
Speaker 3: seventy to finish. He definitely, I think will be the
5:19
Speaker 3: most popular, and after that, I think it'll be mel
5:21
Speaker 3: Cosa at seventy six hundred. He's taking a whole lot
5:24
Speaker 3: of money. When we get there. He's down to plus
5:27
Speaker 3: one to h five on bet online. It very could well,
5:30
Speaker 3: it might go off as a coin flip. I definitely
5:33
Speaker 3: value line movement. Last week a crazy week. That Buckley
5:36
Speaker 3: line movement got hammered like minus two thirty and it
5:40
Speaker 3: didn't pay off. But he still was only twenty eight percent,
5:42
Speaker 3: and I believe Brady was twenty three percent. I know
5:45
Speaker 3: Brady was on the winner. Helped me get the job done.
5:47
Speaker 3: But people don't adjust enough to the line movement, especially
5:50
Speaker 3: the late line movement. I think a lot of people
5:52
Speaker 3: build their team's Friday maybe Saturday morning, So if there
5:56
Speaker 3: is a lot of late s team, I don't think
5:58
Speaker 3: people adjust for it as much.
5:59
Speaker 2: Doesn't always work.
6:00
Speaker 3: I know it bad a lot of people, but that's
6:02
Speaker 3: one of the notes I had coming into this week.
6:05
Speaker 3: We will go bottom to top like always again, eight
6:08
Speaker 3: of the thirteen expected to finish and only one favorite,
6:11
Speaker 3: which is medestas over minus three hundred three women's fights.
6:15
Speaker 3: We will kick it off with a woman's fight Nicole
6:17
Speaker 3: Kelliari minus two seventy five taken on Shawing the Band
6:20
Speaker 3: and plus two thirty five minus three to twenty five.
6:24
Speaker 3: For this fight to go the distance, we have Kellari
6:27
Speaker 3: plus two to eighty inside the distance ban and plus
6:29
Speaker 3: nine hundred. I'm gonna take kick it off with the
6:32
Speaker 3: hot take right here, Nicole Kelliari is going to be
6:34
Speaker 3: one of my favorite You called the.
6:39
Speaker 2: Ochoa Ohoa was your guy last week?
6:41
Speaker 3: Right that got one oh eight? Yeah, he would have
6:44
Speaker 3: been on the winner over Chamaya. So the winning lineup,
6:48
Speaker 3: which was split a decent amount of ways, was not
6:51
Speaker 3: the actual optimal. If you went a Choa over Jamayah,
6:54
Speaker 3: it would have been on the winner. Kelliari is maya
6:56
Speaker 3: choa from you last week in a different way. But
7:00
Speaker 3: no one's really gonna not know one. But it's tough
7:02
Speaker 3: to clicker at nine k with the fight very heavily
7:05
Speaker 3: juice to go the distance the second most but a
7:07
Speaker 3: I think SHAWNA Bannon stinks she just got submitted by
7:10
Speaker 3: Sam Hughes in the second round last week and Kelly
7:13
Speaker 3: or last fight, and Kelly Aari wants to get to
7:15
Speaker 3: the fight to the mat. As you can see right here,
7:18
Speaker 3: two point eight eight takedowns per fifteen minutes. I think
7:20
Speaker 3: she's gonna shoot a good amount. I think her judo
7:22
Speaker 3: tosses will be on point. I think there's four plus
7:25
Speaker 3: takedown upside and also plus two to eighty inside the
7:28
Speaker 3: distance isn't bad open plus three hundred, so little money
7:32
Speaker 3: on the under as well. She can't get there in
7:34
Speaker 3: the decision. She can get there with the finish, and
7:37
Speaker 3: I don't think she'll be too highly owned, so I'm
7:39
Speaker 3: kicking off right away. I like Kellyari quite a bit.
7:42
Speaker 3: I will hope for one hundred plus, and I do
7:44
Speaker 3: not like SHAWNA.
7:44
Speaker 2: Bannon. What do you see him as?
7:46
Speaker 3: One?
7:49
Speaker 2: Yeah on mute.
7:52
Speaker 4: Newte Well idiot. Um, Yeah, I just moved it to
7:59
Speaker 4: four star Kaliari two star, banning just from that because
8:03
Speaker 4: I am picking Kaliari to win. I just really didn't
8:06
Speaker 4: have too much interest in the fight. But she is
8:09
Speaker 4: gonna be the one that wants to grapple in this one.
8:11
Speaker 4: She I mean, she's not a bad striker. I think
8:15
Speaker 4: she could win the fight on the feet, but she
8:17
Speaker 4: needs to stay away from range, away from kicking range
8:20
Speaker 4: really because that's where Bannon wants to be. I think
8:23
Speaker 4: if it's at range, Bannon wins with her kicks really alone,
8:26
Speaker 4: but Kalliar can crash her way into the pocket with
8:29
Speaker 4: a couple of combos. Do okay on the feet that way?
8:31
Speaker 4: But yeah, ultimately she needs to clinch up look for
8:34
Speaker 4: takedowns and that's where she's gonna have most of her
8:36
Speaker 4: successes on the ground. And she does add four takedown
8:39
Speaker 4: upside here, so I think she'll have to land multiple
8:44
Speaker 4: takedowns for her to look like a minus three hundred
8:46
Speaker 4: favorite or whatever she is now, and money keeps coming
8:49
Speaker 4: on her, so I think that makes sense to be
8:51
Speaker 4: on the Caliari side of this one. She will be
8:53
Speaker 4: unowned and I really don't want to click on band
8:56
Speaker 4: and on a card where I do like a handful
8:58
Speaker 4: of underdogs, so I probably am go ahead, just fade Bannon,
9:01
Speaker 4: hope she doesn't lock up some submission off of her
9:04
Speaker 4: back and Calliary can cruise her way to a decision
9:07
Speaker 4: win and score decent.
9:09
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is just not one of the cards I
9:10
Speaker 3: want seventy points from an underdog, So plus nine hundred
9:14
Speaker 3: for Bannon to finish like no thanks, Kellari not only
9:17
Speaker 3: taking a little money on the inside the distance prop
9:20
Speaker 3: taking money on the money line open minus two twenty
9:22
Speaker 3: five twenty minutes later was minus one eighty and then
9:26
Speaker 3: ever since then taking a lot of money, including throughout
9:29
Speaker 3: the week this week now minus two seventy five so
9:32
Speaker 3: I'm definitely gonna play some Kaliari. She I hope stays
9:35
Speaker 3: low owned, and I'll be hoping she's optimal, especially because
9:39
Speaker 3: like Malcolm well Makers, he's naturally gonna get ownership for
9:43
Speaker 3: being minus one ten to finish and all that. There
9:45
Speaker 3: is no wrestling upside in this one. So who's the
9:48
Speaker 3: nine k fighter or ninety one hundred? I mean, we'll
9:52
Speaker 3: get to Tommy in a little bit. Tommy Nat, he
9:54
Speaker 3: definitely has some wrestling upside. He's a good play. But
9:57
Speaker 3: if you go from Nat to Kei and leave one
10:01
Speaker 3: hundred like you could be looking at half the ownership,
10:03
Speaker 3: and that's a way to get completely different. Not my
10:05
Speaker 3: favorite way to do it, but especially the well Maker
10:08
Speaker 3: down to Caliari. Well Maker not gonna he's knockout or
10:12
Speaker 3: busts it seems, and Calliari again could get there in
10:14
Speaker 3: the decision. So spent a lot of time on this
10:16
Speaker 3: first fight that's not getting much ownership, but it's probably.
10:19
Speaker 2: Gonna be one of my bigger stances this week. Let's
10:23
Speaker 2: move to a mid tier fight.
10:24
Speaker 3: Luis Garriel minus one fifty five taking on Daniel Barres
10:27
Speaker 3: plus one thirty five plus one fifteen for this Fight
10:30
Speaker 3: to Finish Gurula plus two to sixty inside the distance
10:34
Speaker 3: Barres plus two to ninety. You can see right here
10:37
Speaker 3: the fate or the higher price fighter. Barrez is now
10:40
Speaker 3: a pretty size, pretty good sized underdog, and that is
10:43
Speaker 3: because Grulay has taken a lot of money. He opened
10:46
Speaker 3: minus one ten so straight coin flip and that's when
10:49
Speaker 3: these odds came out. And man, this week he's gotten
10:52
Speaker 3: hammered all the way down to minus one fifty five.
10:54
Speaker 3: I'm curious if it does keep growing. This Fight to
10:57
Speaker 3: Finish as well open plus one twenty five once a
11:00
Speaker 3: plus one thirty five and money is coming on the
11:02
Speaker 3: under at plus one point fifteen.
11:05
Speaker 2: Curiose to hear your take on this one again.
11:07
Speaker 3: I think Rule might get some He's gonna get some ownership,
11:10
Speaker 3: for sure, but it's a unique card with modestus and
11:13
Speaker 3: then Costa at seventy six hundred and eighty three hundred
11:16
Speaker 3: getting so much ownership, he's not going to get as
11:19
Speaker 3: much as a minus one to fifty five favorite at
11:22
Speaker 3: eight k would normally get on a card in my opinion,
11:24
Speaker 3: So HeSE to hear your take on this one.
11:27
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't have a ton of interest in this fight.
11:30
Speaker 4: I really think it's a kind of pick him type
11:32
Speaker 4: of fight, and I also think a draw is in
11:35
Speaker 4: play on this type of fight as well. I think
11:38
Speaker 4: that Barrez is the better fighter in round one. I
11:42
Speaker 4: think he's the more well rounded fighter. He could take
11:44
Speaker 4: the fight to the ground. He could win it or
11:46
Speaker 4: finish it there. I think he's also dangerous on the
11:49
Speaker 4: feet in round one, maybe a little bit more aggressive
11:51
Speaker 4: overall as well. But at thirty seven years old, handful
11:54
Speaker 4: of losses, he's definitely at the end of his career
11:56
Speaker 4: and he doesn't have great cardio as is, So if
11:59
Speaker 4: he's gonna come out hot in round one, I think
12:02
Speaker 4: he could finish score one hundred plus points beyond the
12:04
Speaker 4: optimal lineup. I have him as the four star for
12:07
Speaker 4: that reason, but after round one, I don't trust this
12:10
Speaker 4: guy at all, and I think Garula is more likely
12:13
Speaker 4: to win the second In the third round also, I
12:16
Speaker 4: mean also but albeit at a lower pace. I think
12:20
Speaker 4: he is more of a consistent, slower pace kind of guy.
12:23
Speaker 4: He does have power. He could knock out Barrez, I
12:27
Speaker 4: guess in any round. I think more likely second in
12:29
Speaker 4: the third round, but I'd worry about him kind of
12:32
Speaker 4: cruising his way to a decision. Maybe drop the first,
12:35
Speaker 4: win the second and the third, and score fifty sixty
12:38
Speaker 4: points on the scorecards. He has that in his play,
12:42
Speaker 4: but if he gets a knockout, he could score anywhere
12:44
Speaker 4: from you know, sixty to one hundred in this card.
12:46
Speaker 4: So I'm not against Garule, but the more money comes
12:50
Speaker 4: in on him, the higher his ownership is going to get,
12:53
Speaker 4: and the higher his ownership gets, the less I like him.
12:55
Speaker 4: So my preferred play is gonna be Barrez. But I
12:58
Speaker 4: don't love this way.
13:00
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't love this fight either. Again plus one
13:02
Speaker 3: thirty five. This fight was to finish on Tuesday, now
13:04
Speaker 3: plus one fifteen, which is a little appealing, but man
13:08
Speaker 3: like the more like you said, minus one fifty five
13:10
Speaker 3: for ak, people are going to see that, and it's
13:12
Speaker 3: not going to be like thirty five percent like some
13:14
Speaker 3: cards and most cards. It would be again like I said,
13:17
Speaker 3: because of coasts and medestas, but even twenty seven percent,
13:20
Speaker 3: like you're talking round one. Both these guys are sixty
13:22
Speaker 3: five or plus six fifty plus six fifties thirteen percent. Yeah,
13:27
Speaker 3: second round knockout in the mid tier could get it done.
13:29
Speaker 3: But the mid tiers loaded. I think Santo's Choi is
13:32
Speaker 3: going to be a good fight. Medestas is right there,
13:35
Speaker 3: Chaos Nikolai, it's favored to finish, so paj.
13:38
Speaker 2: Don't love this fight as much. Don't love the Calvicante.
13:41
Speaker 3: But if you added the Arnold Allen Coast to fight,
13:43
Speaker 3: which is really close to the mid tier, you're gonna
13:45
Speaker 3: need a solid score. So I don't love this fight,
13:48
Speaker 3: And the more money Gurula takes, to be honest, the
13:51
Speaker 3: more less interest I haven't both sides because Gurlat's ownership
13:55
Speaker 3: goes up and ip he wins a decision and paying
13:57
Speaker 3: eighty two hundred for a decent sign dog that his
14:01
Speaker 3: inside the distance is going the wrong way also doesn't
14:04
Speaker 3: sound the most appealing to me, So I'm not I
14:06
Speaker 3: don't have too much interest in this fight unless I
14:08
Speaker 3: see this inside the distance prop line, the inside the
14:12
Speaker 3: fight to finish line keep going down, and then maybe
14:15
Speaker 3: I'll have a little more. But for now, not too
14:17
Speaker 3: much interest in either side. Keep a rolling next fight
14:21
Speaker 3: on the card, at least artily in minus twoh five
14:23
Speaker 3: taking on Pollyana Vianna plus one seventy five plus one
14:26
Speaker 3: fifty for this fight to finish Artilene plus two to
14:29
Speaker 3: eighty inside the distance beyond a plus three fifty. I
14:32
Speaker 3: don't know what's with me right now, but two women's favorites.
14:36
Speaker 3: I have a good amount of interest in Artilene will
14:38
Speaker 3: be another low owned fighter.
14:40
Speaker 2: I'm looking to click.
14:41
Speaker 3: Two and two in the UFC her last two fights
14:44
Speaker 3: both wins one oh three and ninety three. You can
14:47
Speaker 3: see seven point three five significant strikes per minute, high
14:50
Speaker 3: volume striker Pollyanna Vianna a grappler, so we're looking at
14:54
Speaker 3: a clash of styles right here. And Artoline open plus
14:58
Speaker 3: three thirty five inside the distance now plus two to
15:00
Speaker 3: eighty That is quite a bit of money. Beyona open
15:03
Speaker 3: plus three thirty five now plus three fifty. One hundred
15:07
Speaker 3: more is Artilene than Arnold Allen. So that's pretty interesting
15:10
Speaker 3: right there. If you can score one oh three in
15:12
Speaker 3: a decision, I definitely have some interest because I think
15:16
Speaker 3: it's possible she gets there in a decision, but I
15:18
Speaker 3: think a finish. I'm picking her to win by finish.
15:21
Speaker 3: I think the longer the fight goes, the more BEYONDA.
15:23
Speaker 3: Gases was also a little surprised with Ardilene's submission prop
15:26
Speaker 3: it's plus five point fifty four wins by her by
15:29
Speaker 3: sub four wins by Ko. Bianna is comfortable on her back,
15:32
Speaker 3: could be a mistake in this fight, though. If she
15:35
Speaker 3: gets beat up early and continues to go to her back,
15:38
Speaker 3: it could be bad news Bears for an Artilene could
15:40
Speaker 3: find something. So I'm definitely gonna play some Artilline too.
15:42
Speaker 3: Want to be overweight Beyona. I'm kind of on the
15:45
Speaker 3: fence about what to do, probably gonna play a little bit.
15:47
Speaker 3: I do not love it, especially because I'm picking against
15:49
Speaker 3: her and the money's going against her.
15:51
Speaker 2: But here's see your take on this one.
15:54
Speaker 4: Yeah, I like this fight. I actually almost put this
15:56
Speaker 4: as a four star because I'm cool with both sides
15:58
Speaker 4: of this fight. I think Ardeleine is our minute winner
16:01
Speaker 4: in this one, whether it be striking or wrestling. I
16:04
Speaker 4: think she could land takedowns and maybe avoid the submissions
16:07
Speaker 4: and win just control time on the ground with a
16:10
Speaker 4: heavy ground striking pace. But she's also a high, high
16:15
Speaker 4: volume striker too, where she should clearly win on the
16:17
Speaker 4: feet volume wise. But Vianna is the more dangerous fighter
16:22
Speaker 4: in this one, whether it be submissions or knockouts. I
16:25
Speaker 4: think she's more dangerous everywhere, but she is also more
16:28
Speaker 4: of a quitter, which puts Artilene in a infinity category
16:33
Speaker 4: as well. So I'm cool with both sides of this one.
16:35
Speaker 4: I don't think either side will get too much ownership.
16:38
Speaker 4: I think Beyonna could submit her from the bottom. She
16:42
Speaker 4: also has fought much better competition over her career, so
16:46
Speaker 4: I picked beyond her the win because I wasn't about
16:48
Speaker 4: to lay minus two hundred dollars on all ass Artolene here.
16:52
Speaker 4: But I do like both sides in DFS, and I
16:54
Speaker 4: would kind of just let saber Stim control.
16:56
Speaker 2: It for me.
16:57
Speaker 4: If I ended up with twenty to forty of Ardelene,
17:01
Speaker 4: I'd be fine with that. I probably wouldn't want forty
17:04
Speaker 4: on the bey Onna side, but i'd be okay with
17:06
Speaker 4: like fifteen to thirty. I think prefer less than thirty,
17:10
Speaker 4: but I'd be okay if it went up to there.
17:12
Speaker 4: And I liked everything else because she is cheap and
17:14
Speaker 4: she has ninety point upside. Ardelene's aggression should help be
17:19
Speaker 4: on early in the fight at least for that possible submission.
17:23
Speaker 4: But good fight to target, and I don't think ownership
17:25
Speaker 4: will really be there.
17:26
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean so that was my initial take being
17:29
Speaker 3: around the field possibly under rate Vianna, and you kind
17:32
Speaker 3: of confirmed it. I'm gonna play some Vianna. Like you say,
17:35
Speaker 3: if she wins, I think it's more than likely a
17:37
Speaker 3: submission off her back, unless she just reverses or gets
17:39
Speaker 3: her own take down to spend time on top.
17:42
Speaker 2: I'm definitely not taking her, though. I like Ardolene quite
17:44
Speaker 2: a bit.
17:45
Speaker 3: Ardelene and Caliari two women's fights that are expected to
17:48
Speaker 3: go the distance. I'm on the favorites overspending for these women.
17:52
Speaker 3: But when you play Melcosta, when you play Medestas, you
17:55
Speaker 3: do have to get different in some spots. I can
17:57
Speaker 3: see a path for both, So I'm going to be
17:59
Speaker 3: on it. Oh baby, Big Mutherley's favorite fighter. Next fight
18:03
Speaker 3: on the car, Andre Petrowski and Cody Brundage. Petrotski minus
18:07
Speaker 3: two hundred Cody Brundige plus one seventy minus one sixty
18:10
Speaker 3: for this fight to finish, Petroski plus one seventy five
18:13
Speaker 3: inside the distance, Brundage plus two oh five good amount
18:17
Speaker 3: of line movement on the Petrowsky inside the distance prop
18:20
Speaker 3: open plus two fifteen now plus one seventy five the
18:24
Speaker 3: stages years take it away, Brundage Petrowski.
18:29
Speaker 4: I mean, I'm just sick of this guy, Dad, I'm
18:31
Speaker 4: so sick of Brundage being in UFC fights every other weekend.
18:34
Speaker 4: So I'm rooting for Petrowski to finish him in the
18:37
Speaker 4: first round so the UFC can just be done with them,
18:40
Speaker 4: and I am gonna pick Petrowski as my pick to
18:42
Speaker 4: win my preferred play. I do think he has more
18:45
Speaker 4: one hundred point upside with that early first round finish potential,
18:49
Speaker 4: but after round one, I really don't trust Petrowski to
18:52
Speaker 4: wrestle heavily in rounds two and three. I think he's
18:55
Speaker 4: gonna start to slow down as the fight moves along.
18:58
Speaker 4: I think Brundage is the better and more dangerous striker,
19:02
Speaker 4: and if it's a boring striking match, I would much
19:05
Speaker 4: rather have a Brundage than eighty nine hundred dollars Petrowski,
19:08
Speaker 4: and I do think brun just can knock him out
19:09
Speaker 4: in any round, so unfortunately, I think Brundage is definitely playable,
19:14
Speaker 4: definitely live on this card, which makes me want to
19:17
Speaker 4: play limited lineups just so I don't have to throw
19:19
Speaker 4: too much money into the pot, and I would rather
19:22
Speaker 4: just play a couple lineups and root for Petrowski and
19:24
Speaker 4: play him in those lineups. Yeah, give me Petroski Round one.
19:28
Speaker 4: Sub a lot of bias in that one.
19:31
Speaker 3: I'm going Cody Brundage by knockouts, and yeah, it pains me.
19:35
Speaker 2: It's mainly the odds.
19:36
Speaker 3: Like under Petrowski knocked out four of his five losses
19:40
Speaker 3: is a minus two hundred favorite. Brundage can wrestle a
19:43
Speaker 3: little bit if he can use that defensively when he's fresh,
19:45
Speaker 3: which I think he can at least threaten in guillotine
19:48
Speaker 3: keep it on the feet. I mean, man, Patrossi can
19:50
Speaker 3: get knocked out by anything, and Brundage does have power early,
19:54
Speaker 3: but I like both sides. Petroski averages three point one
19:56
Speaker 3: five takedowns per fifteen minutes inside the distance prop has
20:00
Speaker 3: been steamed eighty nine hundred. Put Wellmaker and take Wellmaker out.
20:03
Speaker 3: Go Petrowsky leaf three hundred. I can argue you're almost
20:06
Speaker 3: gaining more upside because Petrowski has five six plus take
20:10
Speaker 3: down upside and submission upside. Brundage has quit plenty of
20:14
Speaker 3: times in the past, And yeah, I think this is
20:16
Speaker 3: a favorable matchup for Brundage in the sense of he's
20:19
Speaker 3: going against a glass chin on the other side, So
20:23
Speaker 3: I like this fight quite a bit. Obviously, it could
20:25
Speaker 3: be a no contest to dq whatever, because Brundage finds
20:29
Speaker 3: ways to get in those fights. But I think at
20:32
Speaker 3: this price it's Brundage Dogger pass DFS wise, though, I
20:35
Speaker 3: like both people's upsides, so I'm definitely gonna be playing both.
20:39
Speaker 2: What's up, Little Neck. Great to see you again.
20:41
Speaker 3: Shout out to great showdown content in the NBA streets,
20:44
Speaker 3: very sharp in a lot of different sports. Love to
20:47
Speaker 3: see you in here. Next fight on the card, This
20:49
Speaker 3: one will be real quick for me. Jacquelyn Calviconte minus
20:52
Speaker 3: one seventy Kaitlyn Vieira plus one forty five. The most
20:55
Speaker 3: likely fight to go the distance on the card Open
20:57
Speaker 3: minus three fifty now minus five hundred, Covi Conti plus
21:01
Speaker 3: four seventy five inside the distance Viera plus five fifty.
21:05
Speaker 3: No chance I am playing a fight that's minus five
21:07
Speaker 3: hundred to go the distance when eight of the thirteen
21:10
Speaker 3: are expected to finish, you can, I mean one hundred more?
21:14
Speaker 3: Is Arnold Allen and the Coast to fight and then
21:18
Speaker 3: one hundred less you are looking at the Santo's Troy fight.
21:21
Speaker 2: Modestas is right there.
21:23
Speaker 3: Easy fade unless you're playing one fifty, and even then
21:26
Speaker 3: I wouldn't fad anyone in one fifty on this card.
21:28
Speaker 2: It's a high variant sport. But I had no chance
21:31
Speaker 2: for me.
21:32
Speaker 4: What about you, I'd fade Cavalcanti with one fifty for sure.
21:36
Speaker 4: I wouldn't like Cavialconti with your one fifty. But now
21:39
Speaker 4: I'm just going to ex this fight out because I
21:41
Speaker 4: think she wins a striking match, probably scores sixty something points,
21:45
Speaker 4: and that's just not going to cut it. Vieira has
21:48
Speaker 4: the higher ceiling. She would be our better grappler in
21:50
Speaker 4: this one, has more one punch knockout power too. I'm
21:54
Speaker 4: not going to rely on a knockout from either one
21:56
Speaker 4: of them, though. I think Cavalcanti just cruises to a
22:00
Speaker 4: fairly clear decision and doesn't score well. So I'll make
22:03
Speaker 4: them both out and hope that that's exactly what happens.
22:06
Speaker 4: But I mean, neither one of them has ever scored
22:08
Speaker 4: ninety Draftings points, so I just if you win first
22:12
Speaker 4: place and this one's on your lineup. Man, congrats, I
22:15
Speaker 4: just won't.
22:15
Speaker 2: Be the one. I definitely won't be the one either.
22:18
Speaker 3: Thirteen fight card and making it a twelve fight card again,
22:21
Speaker 3: They're not gonna get much ownership, but in my opinion,
22:23
Speaker 3: they're always going to get some and I'll view those
22:25
Speaker 3: people as paying the rake. This week, next fight on
22:28
Speaker 3: the card, I'm excited for this one. Tommy Gant taking
22:31
Speaker 3: on Arthur Archer. Menieve again it was Gant against Trey Ogden.
22:36
Speaker 3: Out was Ogden due to injury in steps Menive on Tuesday.
22:41
Speaker 2: Somebody's oh has to go.
22:43
Speaker 3: As you can see right here, two guys making a
22:44
Speaker 3: UFC debut, but eleven and oh and seven and Oh
22:49
Speaker 3: minus two o five plus one seventy five Menive minus
22:51
Speaker 3: one sixty for this fight to finish Gant plus one
22:54
Speaker 3: thirty five inside the distance Manive plus two to seventy five.
22:58
Speaker 3: Quite a bit of line movement on this one too.
23:00
Speaker 3: Gant open minus four hundred ten minutes later, was minus
23:03
Speaker 3: one fifty six and now finds himself as a minus
23:07
Speaker 3: two to zero five favorites. I just think seeing minus
23:09
Speaker 3: four hundred and minus one fifty six and ten minutes
23:12
Speaker 3: shows that people do have respect for the Meniev side,
23:15
Speaker 3: and I like Gant too.
23:16
Speaker 2: I'm looking like this.
23:17
Speaker 3: As a wrestler in Gant versus a heavy handed striker
23:21
Speaker 3: in Meniev, I'm definitely gonna be playing both sides of this.
23:24
Speaker 3: Gant has as much upside as anyone. I think ownership
23:27
Speaker 3: does come with which then makes Menive a solid leverage play,
23:31
Speaker 3: great inside the distance prop for the price at two
23:33
Speaker 3: seventy five. And he took this fight on Tuesday, so
23:36
Speaker 3: maybe he comes out guns blazing and says it's a
23:39
Speaker 3: first round knockout or I lose, which is also pretty good.
23:42
Speaker 3: So I really like this fight real life and DFS
23:45
Speaker 3: I'll be all over it.
23:46
Speaker 2: What about you?
23:47
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna more so. I like the Gant side.
23:50
Speaker 2: Uh.
23:51
Speaker 4: Menieve is a striker. He's going to be just head
23:55
Speaker 4: hunting for the knockout, but he's not a high volume striker.
23:58
Speaker 4: He's really just the head hunt hoping that he hits
24:01
Speaker 4: a big shot. And he's never really fought me, Buddy Good.
24:04
Speaker 4: I only watched a couple of his fights, but all
24:06
Speaker 4: the ones that I didn't watch was against worthless opponents.
24:09
Speaker 4: I felt like I didn't even need to but I
24:11
Speaker 4: wasn't very impressed. If he knocks out Gant, he can
24:14
Speaker 4: score well. But if he I mean, I don't even
24:16
Speaker 4: know if he could win a striking based decision. I
24:18
Speaker 4: think it's knockout or bus for this guy, and I
24:21
Speaker 4: like other underdogs more so I'm not gonna get too
24:23
Speaker 4: much Miniev. I also don't think the line makes that
24:26
Speaker 4: much sense. I think he should be a bigger favorite
24:29
Speaker 4: against Menieve than he was against Odden, but he's not
24:34
Speaker 4: for me. It's I'd rather have the wrestler, the grappler,
24:37
Speaker 4: wrestler who came into this fight with a camp, and
24:40
Speaker 4: now he's fighting a striker rather than somebody who he
24:44
Speaker 4: could have maybe struggled with on the ground. So I
24:46
Speaker 4: think this is a pretty good spot for Gant, and
24:49
Speaker 4: he's gonna be one of my favorite clicks on the car.
24:52
Speaker 4: Ninety one hundred dollars too. Most cards were probably paying
24:55
Speaker 4: ninety four or ninety five for a Gant, but I'll
24:58
Speaker 4: take that ninety one dollar on this card for sure.
25:01
Speaker 2: Do you know what Monieve's nickname is?
25:05
Speaker 4: A head hunter? Actually?
25:07
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, yeah, you said it within the sentence talking
25:10
Speaker 3: about them, so I didn't know if that was just
25:12
Speaker 3: craziness or if that was a little play on words there.
25:16
Speaker 3: But yeah, I think this is a great fight for sure.
25:19
Speaker 3: Appreciate everyone hanging out.
25:20
Speaker 2: We really do.
25:21
Speaker 3: Great support we've had all the way from the beginning bringing.
25:25
Speaker 3: I'm hoping I get a couple messages at random times.
25:28
Speaker 3: My favorite ones is like, Yo, your content just got
25:31
Speaker 3: me into the sport of MMA. Forget the DFS part,
25:33
Speaker 3: obviously I like that, but man, mixed martial arts one
25:36
Speaker 3: of the best sports in the world, as alpha as
25:38
Speaker 3: it gets two trained killers, the discipline it takes to
25:42
Speaker 3: even make weight, the whole camp during all this, I
25:45
Speaker 3: mean we watched we chirp, I know, Big Marley's chirp
25:47
Speaker 3: and Cody Brundage and all this stuff. These dudes are
25:49
Speaker 3: on a whole other level mentally, physically, they put it
25:52
Speaker 3: on the line for us to watch on Saturdays, and
25:55
Speaker 3: just I just truly appreciate the greatness of this sport
25:58
Speaker 3: of mixed martial arts.
25:59
Speaker 2: And I'm really happy to COVID.
26:02
Speaker 3: Obviously COVID wasn't really good, but the one thing it
26:04
Speaker 3: was good for was it made mixed martial arts, especially
26:07
Speaker 3: the UFC, so much bigger, with pretty much the only
26:09
Speaker 3: sport in town, so really cool to see it grow
26:12
Speaker 3: MMA DFS prize pools have grown a lot because of.
26:15
Speaker 2: It and is really cool to see.
26:17
Speaker 3: So appreciate all the sport and again, like button, helps
26:20
Speaker 3: us out a ton. Next fight on the card, Big
26:23
Speaker 3: Marley's only five star fight and definitely a great one
26:25
Speaker 3: to target a class of styles. Evon Erslin the striker
26:28
Speaker 3: minus one seventy, George Tocos the wrestler plus one forty
26:32
Speaker 3: five minus two hundred for this fight to finish the
26:35
Speaker 3: most likely on the card Ersline minus one ten inside
26:38
Speaker 3: the distance Tocos plus three seventy five Erslon in round
26:42
Speaker 3: one plus two fifty, which is the second best on
26:45
Speaker 3: the card. Phenomenal fight. My opinion for DFS. I mean,
26:48
Speaker 3: these guys aren't good if you look at it, fourteen
26:51
Speaker 3: and six and eleven and five, But it doesn't matter
26:54
Speaker 3: how good these fighters are. Sometimes the styles make fights,
26:57
Speaker 3: and I think this style will make for a good
27:00
Speaker 3: score whether it is Ersline or Toko.
27:02
Speaker 2: So break it down.
27:04
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think, oh we got knockout potential, early knockout
27:09
Speaker 4: potential with Ursuline here where he could score one hundred
27:12
Speaker 4: plus and then we have decent pace grappling potential from Tokos,
27:18
Speaker 4: where if he wins all three rounds and the decision,
27:21
Speaker 4: he could I think score one hundred plus in this one.
27:23
Speaker 4: So I think both sides are very in play, but
27:27
Speaker 4: I am more so on the Toco side because even
27:31
Speaker 4: in a striking match, I think Tokos could win a
27:33
Speaker 4: striking match just because Ersline is so low volume. If
27:37
Speaker 4: he doesn't get the first round knockout, I just don't
27:39
Speaker 4: really like Urslan very much.
27:40
Speaker 5: He's powerful, but he's not gonna go out there and
27:43
Speaker 5: blow you away with volume, and he shouldn't be looking
27:45
Speaker 5: for takedowns in this matchup either, So I would rather
27:48
Speaker 5: have Toko, so I think is gonna work for my money.
27:51
Speaker 5: Even on the feet, I think he could match Eursline
27:53
Speaker 5: volume wise, but you just don't want to strike with him.
27:56
Speaker 5: Go out there and wrestle this guy where you can
27:58
Speaker 5: just keep top control, and I don't think Ersline has
28:00
Speaker 5: anything off his back.
28:02
Speaker 4: So my preferred play is the underdog. I think the
28:04
Speaker 4: line should be closer to even, and if first Line
28:08
Speaker 4: doesn't get a first round knockout, I just don't think
28:10
Speaker 4: he's on the OPTAMA lineup, So I'm hoping he gets
28:14
Speaker 4: a good amount of ownership. I think he is fine
28:16
Speaker 4: for MMM, but I want to be underweight Ersline overweight Totos.
28:21
Speaker 3: He definitely didn't get a good amount of ownership Man underweight.
28:25
Speaker 3: That's that's ballsy, There's no doubt about that. But it
28:27
Speaker 3: makes sense. It definitely makes sense. I'm gonna play a
28:30
Speaker 3: good amount of both sides. Ersline tied for the best
28:33
Speaker 3: inside the distance profit minus one ten. Actually I haven't
28:36
Speaker 3: seen with Desis as yet. Let me check plus one hundreds. Yeah,
28:40
Speaker 3: him and Wallmaker are tied at minus one ten and
28:43
Speaker 3: then plus two to fifty to in round one Wilemakers
28:46
Speaker 3: plus two forty. Any Wellmaker team can definitely go down
28:49
Speaker 3: to ursuline, but a great fight to target for sure. Wow,
28:53
Speaker 3: this line has moved a bunch. This next one Chaos
28:56
Speaker 3: williams Now minus one twelve taking on Nikola Iberia Technikov
28:59
Speaker 3: minus one eight, minus one sixty for this fight to finish,
29:02
Speaker 3: Chaos plus one seventy inside the distance Nickeola plus two
29:06
Speaker 3: point fifteen. On Tuesday this when I put all these
29:09
Speaker 3: odds up, he was minus one thirty. Was Chaos at
29:12
Speaker 3: open he was minus one fifty Nicolay has continued to
29:16
Speaker 3: take money. My guess is by fight time he will
29:19
Speaker 3: go off as the favorite for four hundred less. And
29:21
Speaker 3: if that's the case, there's a chance that mel Costa
29:24
Speaker 3: at seventy six hundred, nicola I seventy nine hundred, Grula
29:32
Speaker 3: at eight k. I thought there was one more. Maybe
29:34
Speaker 3: it's those three three cheaper fighters though mic go Off
29:38
Speaker 3: is the favorite this week, and then Madesta's to eighty
29:40
Speaker 3: three hundred. Just a crazy, crazy card we are looking at.
29:44
Speaker 3: But I'm really torn on this fight. I think your
29:46
Speaker 3: three stars says it all. Like both guys good inside
29:49
Speaker 3: the distance props for their price, both have heavy hands
29:52
Speaker 3: eight wins for Chaos my knockout ten for Nikolai, but
29:56
Speaker 3: no wrestling upside on either, and I think I think
30:00
Speaker 3: it probably goes the distance over two and a half,
30:02
Speaker 3: over one and a half minus two twenty over two
30:04
Speaker 3: and a half about a coin flip if it gets
30:07
Speaker 3: to the third round. I have a hard time seeing
30:08
Speaker 3: it be optimal on this high scoring card, so I'm
30:12
Speaker 3: not gonna fade it. But I'm either underweight or probably
30:14
Speaker 3: capping it at their inside the distance prop. I'm actually
30:17
Speaker 3: probably even less than they're inside the distance prop. I
30:19
Speaker 3: don't love it. I really don't love it, but curiously
30:21
Speaker 3: hear what you got to say.
30:24
Speaker 4: Yeah, I really don't love it either. I think the
30:26
Speaker 4: line movement is going to make me just fade Bear
30:29
Speaker 4: Tinnikov and it would be Williams or pass for me.
30:32
Speaker 4: But I wouldn't want to knockout for Chaos if I'm
30:35
Speaker 4: gonna play him at eighty three hundred in a decision
30:38
Speaker 4: when I just don't think Chaos will scoring ten X
30:41
Speaker 4: eighty three hundred dollars even in a third round knockout.
30:46
Speaker 4: I don't know that he's gonna get there.
30:48
Speaker 2: But you don't want to have that hour.
30:49
Speaker 4: He can't be aggressive.
30:52
Speaker 3: Sorry, ten X is like terrible on this card for
30:54
Speaker 3: these prices like eighty three and seventy nine is not
30:58
Speaker 3: it's not cutting it this week.
31:01
Speaker 4: Yeah, and I really think we need to finish from
31:03
Speaker 4: either one of them. I think there is a little
31:05
Speaker 4: bit of wrestling upside for Vera Tinnikov's side, but he
31:08
Speaker 4: doesn't do enough with it where you have to worry
31:10
Speaker 4: about one hundred points in any kind of decision win.
31:14
Speaker 4: I'm gonna fade Verit Tennikov and hope he doesn't get
31:16
Speaker 4: a knockout. I think that the line is kind of
31:19
Speaker 4: based off Williams's last two fights where he kind of
31:22
Speaker 4: got dominated by gust of saying took him down eight
31:25
Speaker 4: nine times, but that's not very Tennikov. And then the
31:28
Speaker 4: fight before that was like Gabriel Bonfieme or something like that.
31:31
Speaker 4: It was just way more dangerous than Vera Tennikov. And
31:33
Speaker 4: he's also a better wrestler and a better submission artist,
31:36
Speaker 4: so I just think they are totally different matchups. I
31:39
Speaker 4: favored Chaos slightly in this one. I just don't know
31:42
Speaker 4: that I want to play him in DFS. I hope
31:43
Speaker 4: that he wins a decision and scores in the seventies.
31:46
Speaker 3: I agree, I don't like this fight too much. I'm
31:48
Speaker 3: probably gonna be underweight when it's all said and done.
31:51
Speaker 3: Very curious to see where that line keeps going, though,
31:54
Speaker 3: pretty much a coin foot now open minus one fifty Chaos.
31:57
Speaker 3: I wouldn't be surprised if Nick Lai closes like a
31:59
Speaker 3: minus one t five favorite on Saturday.
32:03
Speaker 2: A couple fights left.
32:04
Speaker 3: Next mid tier fight Bernardo Sopi minus Timothy Kowamba plus
32:11
Speaker 3: one twenty eight plus one sixty for this fight to finish,
32:15
Speaker 3: so Pi plus two to seventy inside the distance Kowamba
32:17
Speaker 3: plus four to twenty five.
32:19
Speaker 2: I'll throw it to you first. I see you have
32:21
Speaker 2: a two star. I take it. Not much interest, yeah, not.
32:26
Speaker 4: Really too much interest. I think you could play Kwamba
32:29
Speaker 4: as a as an underdog, but his ceiling would have
32:32
Speaker 4: to come with a knockout. I just don't think he's
32:34
Speaker 4: a minute winning scorer. I don't look at him to
32:39
Speaker 4: get more than one or two takedowns really in any fight.
32:42
Speaker 4: But in this matchup, I like so Pi to be
32:44
Speaker 4: the better wrestler. Both of them are gonna be pretty
32:47
Speaker 4: low volume, but I like so Pi to be higher volume.
32:50
Speaker 4: So my preferred play is gonna be the favorite in
32:52
Speaker 4: this one. I don't even want to play too much
32:55
Speaker 4: Sopi because I don't think he'll wrestle as much as
32:56
Speaker 4: I would like. But he is only eighty four hundred
32:59
Speaker 4: dollars a pivot away from Hukowskis if you want to
33:02
Speaker 4: go that route. So I'm thinking for me, it's so
33:05
Speaker 4: pie or passed, with pass being my main option.
33:09
Speaker 3: I'm kind of with you, so pibly is my preferred
33:11
Speaker 3: play because if someone wrestles.
33:12
Speaker 2: I think it's him.
33:13
Speaker 3: If someone gets a finish, he's plus two to seventy
33:15
Speaker 3: versus plus four to twenty five, so it's more than
33:18
Speaker 3: likely him. But I mean, I respect to me Kwamba.
33:21
Speaker 3: I think this is just kind of a junkyard fight
33:23
Speaker 3: between the two that doesn't really score but goes the distance,
33:26
Speaker 3: and if that is the case, it is not going
33:28
Speaker 3: to get there. On Tuesday, this fight was plus one
33:31
Speaker 3: actually open plus one thirty to finish. Tuesday was plus
33:34
Speaker 3: one sixty. Let me take the neck open plus one
33:38
Speaker 3: thirty to finish. Tuesday was plus one fifty to finish.
33:41
Speaker 3: Today it's plus one sixty. So a good amount of
33:44
Speaker 3: money has come in on the over two, which I
33:46
Speaker 3: do not like to see in a loaded mid tier
33:48
Speaker 3: where I'm expecting some ninety plus scores that are on
33:51
Speaker 3: the optimals. So I'm in agreement. I do not like
33:54
Speaker 3: it much. If you're had to pick this fight or
33:56
Speaker 3: the Chaos fight, which one would you choose.
34:02
Speaker 4: Just both favorites. I think that Chaos has the highest
34:06
Speaker 4: ceiling with the pert n knockout, but so by scores more.
34:11
Speaker 3: In a decision, I agree, I'll choose the Chaos fight
34:14
Speaker 3: because I'm hunting for upside, and that's minus one sixty
34:17
Speaker 3: to finish versus plus one sixty.
34:20
Speaker 2: But I don't love either.
34:22
Speaker 3: All right, Let's get to the most interesting fight on
34:25
Speaker 3: the card again. It was Medessa's Pukalkis against.
34:29
Speaker 2: Why am I blinking?
34:32
Speaker 3: Let me pull it up quick because I uh this
34:34
Speaker 3: fight was canceled a little earlier against Ridolfo Blato. It
34:38
Speaker 3: was Modesta's versus Blotto pretty closely. Line fight out is
34:43
Speaker 3: Blotto in Steph's Christian Edwards eight and four. Christian Edwards
34:47
Speaker 3: making his UFC debut, and that leads to Medesta's being
34:50
Speaker 3: the biggest favorite on the card, and because pricing was
34:52
Speaker 3: already out, it does not change. He opened minus three hundred,
34:57
Speaker 3: now he's minus three fifty and Edwards is plus two five.
35:01
Speaker 3: This fight's minus one seventy to finish. Modesta's plus one
35:04
Speaker 3: hundred inside the distance Edwards plus three eighty five. I'll
35:08
Speaker 3: throw it to you. What are you doing in this one?
35:11
Speaker 4: I'm just gonna eat the chalk or avoid the fight,
35:16
Speaker 4: is what I'm thinking. With limited lineups. But if Edwards
35:19
Speaker 4: wins his fight, he is He looks to me as
35:22
Speaker 4: a grappler who is a high work rate type of grappler,
35:26
Speaker 4: not a super skilled type of wrestler or even submission guy.
35:30
Speaker 4: But he will work for your money and has sixty
35:33
Speaker 4: nine hundred dollars. If he wins, he's gonna score well,
35:36
Speaker 4: but he's taking this fight on a couple of days.
35:38
Speaker 4: Notice it's a catchweight two hundred and fifteen pounds, so
35:42
Speaker 4: that tells me that he's too out of shape to
35:44
Speaker 4: make two hundred and five pounds. So if he's gonna
35:46
Speaker 4: come in here looking to wrestle heavily in the first round,
35:50
Speaker 4: I don't think he's gonna be there in rounds two
35:51
Speaker 4: and three for any type of wrestling, And I think
35:54
Speaker 4: bukowskis puts him away in the second or the third round,
35:57
Speaker 4: So Edwards probably needs a submission. This also me guessing
36:00
Speaker 4: I don't know anything about Edwards. He might not be
36:02
Speaker 4: out of shape. A lot of guests is there, but
36:05
Speaker 4: it also kind of seems like it's baked into the line.
36:09
Speaker 4: But Bukowska is going to be the better striker, not
36:12
Speaker 4: a high volume striker, so he's not going to score
36:14
Speaker 4: well in a decision. He's also not going to look
36:16
Speaker 4: to wrestle in this one, So we need the knockout
36:19
Speaker 4: for Mukowskis. So since he's gonna have so much ownership,
36:22
Speaker 4: I think this is one where you could cap him
36:25
Speaker 4: at his knockout line, maybe even a first second knockout line,
36:29
Speaker 4: something like that, because I feel pretty good about him
36:32
Speaker 4: not being on the optimal lineup. If he wins a decision,
36:35
Speaker 4: I would think he might even lose the first round
36:37
Speaker 4: if that's the case. So the ownership makes it difficult,
36:42
Speaker 4: but you're getting a thousand dollars discount on Bukowskis, who's
36:46
Speaker 4: a He's the biggest favorite on the card now, right, Yeah,
36:48
Speaker 4: biggest favorite on the card, and in my maybe wrong opinion,
36:54
Speaker 4: I just think that he's gonna have a really easy
36:55
Speaker 4: time in the second or the third round in this
36:57
Speaker 4: one and probably not even need the decision. So Mukowskas
37:00
Speaker 4: is my pick to win by knockout, but he's gonna
37:03
Speaker 4: have to get past the first round and Edwards's probably
37:06
Speaker 4: gonna want to wrestle heavily in that run.
37:09
Speaker 2: Yeah.
37:09
Speaker 3: I mean, I think on this card there's enough ways
37:12
Speaker 3: to get different where I'm definitely good eating Modesta's chalk
37:15
Speaker 3: and I will and plenty of teams. But when I'm
37:17
Speaker 3: not playing Modesta's, I do know for sure I'm gonna
37:19
Speaker 3: play some Edwards. He's plus two eighty five. Plus two
37:23
Speaker 3: eighty five is twenty six percent chance to win. His
37:26
Speaker 3: inside the distance at plus three eighty five is twenty
37:29
Speaker 3: point six percent chance to win. I think his ownership
37:32
Speaker 3: is going to be a lot less than twenty percent.
37:34
Speaker 3: It might even be ten percent nine percent. And then
37:37
Speaker 3: not only are you getting good odds that way, the
37:40
Speaker 3: leverage of if he beats Modesta's sixty percent or whatever
37:43
Speaker 3: it is of the field is gone just makes him
37:46
Speaker 3: so intriguing in a fight minus one seventy to finish.
37:49
Speaker 3: So for all those reasons, I'm definitely gonna play some
37:52
Speaker 3: Christian Edwards. Sixty nine hundred opens up a lot for
37:55
Speaker 3: your teams. More importantly, a lot of teams are buried
37:58
Speaker 3: with heavy ownership on the midet side, So Edwards is
38:01
Speaker 3: an easy click for me. Modestas is an easy click
38:04
Speaker 3: for me. I mean, I'm gonna have some fight fades,
38:07
Speaker 3: but honestly, I think I just want to jam Modesta's
38:10
Speaker 3: and Edwards and hoe Modestas puts up one hundred plus
38:12
Speaker 3: or Edwards wins the fight, and I'll take my chances
38:15
Speaker 3: that he gets there.
38:16
Speaker 2: So I want good amount of exposure on both. I'd
38:18
Speaker 2: love to be overweight on both.
38:20
Speaker 3: I'm not going to make it a point to jam
38:22
Speaker 3: In go one hundred percent, but if I did have
38:24
Speaker 3: one hundred percent, I would be fine with it. Medessas
38:28
Speaker 3: can't be boring, though at distance there's no doubt about that.
38:31
Speaker 3: It is worth interesting to note. You're probably going to
38:34
Speaker 3: be surprised Edwards by KO plus four fifty, Edwards by
38:39
Speaker 3: sub plus two thousand and again, that could be ground
38:42
Speaker 3: and pound, like him being on top. But I kind
38:45
Speaker 3: of surprised by seeing that.
38:48
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's interesting.
38:50
Speaker 3: I like this fight, though, I'm definitely gonna play and
38:52
Speaker 3: again using just the math versus ownership, I think Edwards
38:55
Speaker 3: is an elite sixty nine dollars play with the leverage
38:58
Speaker 3: you are going to get on Medesta's three fights left again. First,
39:02
Speaker 3: just want to turn the page and show that we
39:06
Speaker 3: are turning three three years at chipin Nation tomorrow on
39:10
Speaker 3: May fifteenth, So we are giving away, not giving away,
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39:18
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39:51
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39:54
Speaker 3: Three fights left Malcolm well Maker the highest price and
39:57
Speaker 3: the tie for the second biggest favorite minus two seventy four,
40:00
Speaker 3: taking on one DS plus two thirty four minus one
40:04
Speaker 3: eighty for this fight to finish well Maker minus one
40:06
Speaker 3: ten inside the distance DS plus four hundred. I've kind
40:10
Speaker 3: of already tipped my hand, but I plan to be
40:13
Speaker 3: underweight well Maker maybe with the feel that best, but
40:17
Speaker 3: a lot of that has to do with I can
40:18
Speaker 3: plug in well Maker and go kell Yary. I can
40:20
Speaker 3: go plugging well Maker and go Tommy. I can plug
40:23
Speaker 3: in well Maker and go Erslan. If I'm eating modestas
40:26
Speaker 3: chalk and Malcosta chalk and other chalky spots. I'm not
40:29
Speaker 3: trying to zero out my money and play well Maker.
40:33
Speaker 3: Sure he can get a first round knockout, which is
40:35
Speaker 3: plus two forty plus two forty is twenty nine percent.
40:39
Speaker 3: To be honest, I probably cap it around there because
40:42
Speaker 3: he's not gonna wrestle. Sure a second round knockout could
40:44
Speaker 3: get their multiple knockdowns. I'm not saying these round wonder Bus,
40:48
Speaker 3: but I'll take my chances if it gets outside the first.
40:50
Speaker 2: Round that he won't be optimal.
40:52
Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm just naturally the highest priced fighter at
40:55
Speaker 3: ninety two hundred, which is a crazy most of the
40:58
Speaker 3: time it's way like ninety sixty seven hundred, which shows
41:01
Speaker 3: how good this card is. But I can plug him
41:04
Speaker 3: in and then drop to a couple other fighters in
41:05
Speaker 3: the upper tier with similar upsides. So I don't like
41:08
Speaker 3: wandas though I think well Maker is going to get
41:11
Speaker 3: back on track. Ethan Ewing showed against Estevon like he
41:14
Speaker 3: might be the real deal. So he lost at like
41:17
Speaker 3: that eighty three hundred dollars price, saying against the short
41:19
Speaker 3: notice fighter, I'm not going to like knock him for that,
41:22
Speaker 3: but it's just more so the nature of this card.
41:24
Speaker 3: I hope the highest priced fighter is not optimal.
41:27
Speaker 2: What about you.
41:30
Speaker 4: I'm okay with this fighter, but I'm also okay not
41:33
Speaker 4: targeting this fight for all the reasons you mentioned. Well, maker,
41:37
Speaker 4: you are going to need the first round knockout. But
41:40
Speaker 4: I mean, I like his hands, but I think he's
41:41
Speaker 4: got the best hooks in the entire UFC. I think
41:44
Speaker 4: he could knock out anybody.
41:45
Speaker 2: Alex Perira, So what Alex Pereira.
41:51
Speaker 4: Maybe not better out there?
41:55
Speaker 6: Man up there some of the best tooks in the UFC.
41:59
Speaker 6: But what I was gonna say, that's how But you
42:05
Speaker 6: aren't gona need that first round knockout, which you said
42:07
Speaker 6: is twenty nine percent. I would say that's a good
42:10
Speaker 6: cap thirty percent cap for him. And then I'm probably
42:13
Speaker 6: gonna cap Diaz at thirty percent too, because his win
42:17
Speaker 6: percentage is thirty percent. So if he wins, I think
42:21
Speaker 6: he will outscore a seven K salary.
42:24
Speaker 4: Even on the feet. He can put up enough volume
42:26
Speaker 4: to score well. But he's not gonna want to keep
42:28
Speaker 4: this fight on the feet. He should be looking to
42:30
Speaker 4: mix in takedowns on this one. Uh. And if he could,
42:33
Speaker 4: that's where he would score well, and really that's how
42:36
Speaker 4: he would win. So I would think thirty percent cap
42:39
Speaker 4: on both of these guys makes a lot of sense.
42:41
Speaker 4: Either one of them could be there, But I also
42:43
Speaker 4: don't feel good about clicking either name. So like a
42:46
Speaker 4: single entry, I would rather just leave salary on the table,
42:50
Speaker 4: go down to Gant or Petrowski even something like that. Uh.
42:56
Speaker 4: And then Diaz there is just I'm picking him to lose.
42:59
Speaker 4: I would rather pick an underdog, and I'm picking to win.
43:02
Speaker 4: So I think it's a better MMM card than it is.
43:05
Speaker 4: Like you're just handbuilding a couple of lineups looking for
43:08
Speaker 4: a big score, trying to hit big.
43:11
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I'll say that every single week. I'm
43:13
Speaker 3: definitely team MM over single entry. Some people are better
43:17
Speaker 3: at single entry. I am dog water, but that's what
43:20
Speaker 3: the kids like to say, absolutely cheeks at single entry.
43:24
Speaker 3: I try and go MMM, make competitive lineups that make
43:27
Speaker 3: sense with each other while dialing in exposures and ownership
43:31
Speaker 3: that I like. But yeah, I'm probably gonna be underweight
43:34
Speaker 3: on this fight. When it's all said and down, give
43:35
Speaker 3: me Christian Edwards over one d as for one hundred
43:40
Speaker 3: less because of the leverage it offers. All right, two
43:43
Speaker 3: fights left. I think this can be a phenomenal fight.
43:46
Speaker 3: Daniel Santos taking on Duho Choi minus one seventy. Santos
43:51
Speaker 3: plus one forty five Choi minus one sixty five For
43:53
Speaker 3: this fight to finish, Santos plus one forty five inside
43:56
Speaker 3: the distance, Choi plus two forty. Look at this green, green,
44:01
Speaker 3: green green. Santos three point on one takedowns Toy one point.
44:04
Speaker 2: Four to three.
44:05
Speaker 3: Both guys average over four point five significant strikes per minutes.
44:09
Speaker 3: I think the biggest difference between these two is the durability.
44:12
Speaker 3: Santo's never been knocked out, Choi has. But I think
44:16
Speaker 3: these are two skilled guys that are going to leave
44:17
Speaker 3: it out there, and I think we're in for a
44:19
Speaker 3: great fight. I just hope we get a finish. I'm
44:22
Speaker 3: playing both for sure. What about you?
44:24
Speaker 4: Yes, three fight probably the best fight on the card
44:27
Speaker 4: from a watching purpose. I think it's gonna be a
44:29
Speaker 4: fun striking match where either guy could mix in the
44:32
Speaker 4: takedown here or there. Either guy could get a knockout
44:36
Speaker 4: really in any round of this one. So that's why
44:39
Speaker 4: I have it as a four star. But I would
44:41
Speaker 4: worry about both scores in the decision. I also think
44:44
Speaker 4: it could be a close, back and forth fight where
44:47
Speaker 4: you don't know who's even gonna win the fight, and
44:49
Speaker 4: I would align this fight a lot closer to a
44:51
Speaker 4: pick him as well. I think Choi is the more
44:54
Speaker 4: technical overall striker. I also think he is the more
44:59
Speaker 4: dangerous overall striker two, but Santos is a little bit
45:03
Speaker 4: more aggressive, probably the one pushing forward, controlling the octagon.
45:08
Speaker 4: I would think he's more likely to wrestle as well,
45:11
Speaker 4: but I just expect a wild fight in this one
45:14
Speaker 4: back and forth. I picked Choy to win, so he's
45:17
Speaker 4: gonna be my preferred play. I would rather, you know,
45:21
Speaker 4: taking Santo's lineup and put Choi in there too and
45:23
Speaker 4: completely reduce my dupes that way. But I'm fine mixing
45:27
Speaker 4: in some Santos if I am, imm mean, if I
45:30
Speaker 4: if I'm going like one lineup. Though, for me, my
45:33
Speaker 4: single intry would be I'm gonna play the five five five.
45:36
Speaker 4: That's usually how I do it. I don't like it.
45:38
Speaker 4: I don't like em and me in a five five five.
45:40
Speaker 4: So let me take a chance here on a lineup
45:42
Speaker 4: or two. We'll go in the big one instead of
45:44
Speaker 4: em and mean I wouldn't put Santos in my five
45:47
Speaker 4: five five. I would rather be Choy and even reduce
45:50
Speaker 4: my duplicates there. But I don't even worry about dupal
45:54
Speaker 4: lineups personally in a five five five because I put
45:57
Speaker 4: in multiple Chalky lineups and somehow I'm still the only
46:01
Speaker 4: one with that lineup in that type of contest. So
46:03
Speaker 4: when you have two hundred, three hundred opponents, it's a
46:06
Speaker 4: completely different ballgame. So I do like playing single entry
46:09
Speaker 4: for that reason. It's just kind of a different mindset.
46:13
Speaker 2: You said a lot.
46:14
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's DFS for you right there. For what contests
46:17
Speaker 3: are you joining? What's your style? A two hunder man
46:19
Speaker 3: contest is a lot different than even a five hundred
46:23
Speaker 3: man contest because the two hundred man can win it.
46:25
Speaker 3: I think it's six max. Is that five point fifty five.
46:28
Speaker 3: Five hundred goes up to like twenty or something, and
46:31
Speaker 3: there are some people throwing in twenty. So two hundred
46:34
Speaker 3: to five hundred alone is a way different game. So yeah,
46:38
Speaker 3: I think you said a lot of good things. I'm
46:39
Speaker 3: not even in the comments. I'm awful when I plug
46:42
Speaker 3: in five to fifty five. My teams are garbage. They
46:44
Speaker 3: never win. I quit doing it. I always play the
46:47
Speaker 3: flag ship, whether it's the twenty five to twenty eighteen
46:50
Speaker 3: and the three dollars. So yeah, I think what you
46:53
Speaker 3: said makes a lot of sense right there, And definitely
46:55
Speaker 3: you can plug in Santos, drop down to Troy and
46:58
Speaker 3: least six hundred on the table without giving up much
47:01
Speaker 3: upside when I am playing Costa and I am playing
47:03
Speaker 3: Medestis that is something I would be willing to do
47:06
Speaker 3: for sure. Main event time. A lot of line movement
47:11
Speaker 3: we have seen in this one. Arnold Allen minus won
47:13
Speaker 3: twenty five taken on Melcosta plus one oh five minus
47:16
Speaker 3: one ten for this fight to finish Allen plus one
47:19
Speaker 3: ninety inside the distance Costa plus three seventy five, three
47:24
Speaker 3: seventy five, three twenty five plus three twenty five. Excuse me,
47:27
Speaker 3: this fight opened plus one oh five to finish now
47:30
Speaker 3: minus one ten.
47:31
Speaker 2: So money has come in.
47:33
Speaker 4: On the under.
47:35
Speaker 3: Arnold Allen open minus one fifty, got as low as
47:38
Speaker 3: minus two hundred on Monday, and now finds himself at
47:42
Speaker 3: a minus one twenty five favorite. So Allen took money early.
47:46
Speaker 3: Mel cost has tookn A taken a whole lot of money.
47:49
Speaker 3: As of late, he's the more likely wrestler in this one.
47:53
Speaker 3: But if we just get a striking match between these two,
47:55
Speaker 3: which is very possible, that is how this fight bus
47:58
Speaker 3: Arnold Allen a fourth round knockout.
48:00
Speaker 2: Arnold Allen wins.
48:01
Speaker 3: The decision scores eighty eight eighty five, and that's not
48:05
Speaker 3: enough on this card, So I will definitely not have
48:07
Speaker 3: one hundred percent. With that being said, I keep saying
48:09
Speaker 3: I think I can get different on this card. Because
48:12
Speaker 3: I can get different, I will be playing this fight.
48:14
Speaker 3: Melcosta is going to be higher owned. He might even
48:16
Speaker 3: close the favorite. Seventy six hundred favorite in a five
48:19
Speaker 3: round fight is usually something I don't ignore. So I'm
48:22
Speaker 3: fine eating that chalk. It's just when I'm playing him
48:25
Speaker 3: and Modesta's together, I'm going to be cautious on what
48:27
Speaker 3: I do with the last four. And I think Arnold
48:30
Speaker 3: Allen's a good play because a he's a lot more
48:32
Speaker 3: likely to finish at plus one ninety, but he's going
48:35
Speaker 3: to be lower own than I think people expect, and
48:37
Speaker 3: I think mel Costa will be higher owned with all
48:40
Speaker 3: this line movement, which then you get a lot of
48:42
Speaker 3: leverage eighty six hundred doesn't break the bank on this card.
48:45
Speaker 3: It doesn't even matter that much. So I'm definitely gonna
48:48
Speaker 3: play the fight, gonna have some fight fades. I'm not
48:51
Speaker 3: going to have like too crazy of a stance relative
48:53
Speaker 3: to the field on this one. I just know for
48:55
Speaker 3: sure when I go Costa and Modesta's, I have to
48:58
Speaker 3: be weary about what I do with the rest of
49:00
Speaker 3: my spots. And again i'm talking the flagship stuff five
49:04
Speaker 3: point fifty five. I still think you should be a
49:05
Speaker 3: little weary, but not nearly as crazy as you do
49:09
Speaker 3: with those bigger stuff, solid fight. I'm really really curious
49:12
Speaker 3: to hear your take on this though, if you would have
49:13
Speaker 3: one hundred percent and twenty teams or what your plan
49:16
Speaker 3: would be.
49:18
Speaker 4: I mean, my plan is to probably fade Arnold Allen,
49:22
Speaker 4: to be honest, At eighty six hundred dollars, this is
49:25
Speaker 4: five rounds. He doesn't have five round fights to work
49:28
Speaker 4: with on his record, but he's got fourteen UFC fights
49:31
Speaker 4: and he's only scored more than eighty two one time,
49:36
Speaker 4: and most of his fights are wins. He's won like
49:38
Speaker 4: all but maybe two fights, and he's fought the better
49:40
Speaker 4: competition he's got that going for him. He is well rounded,
49:44
Speaker 4: but he's just not a high work rate type of fighter.
49:47
Speaker 4: Eighty six hundred dollars. I would rather get a high
49:50
Speaker 4: work rate type of fighter or a better finisher than
49:53
Speaker 4: Allen Costa. On the other hand, he's got six wins,
49:57
Speaker 4: he's never scored less than eighty two points, and we're
50:00
Speaker 4: getting him at a thousand dollars less than Allen. I
50:03
Speaker 4: think he is a high work rate fighter. He averages
50:06
Speaker 4: more strikes, he averages more takedowns, more submission attempts. He's
50:11
Speaker 4: the guy who could score one hundred plus points in
50:13
Speaker 4: a decision here, and he's on a six fight win streak.
50:17
Speaker 4: I'm kicking myself so bad because he was like plus
50:19
Speaker 4: one sixty when I was looking at this fight, and
50:22
Speaker 4: I'm looking at it, I'm like, why is this just
50:24
Speaker 4: doesn't make any sense? And I feel like money immediately
50:27
Speaker 4: came in on Allan as I'm thinking this, and I'm like,
50:29
Speaker 4: what am I missing here? So I said I'll look
50:31
Speaker 4: at it tomorrow, and I think I got too busy
50:34
Speaker 4: forgot to look at Oh. I got sick, That's what
50:36
Speaker 4: I happened. I got sick for two days came back
50:38
Speaker 4: to look at it, completely missed the line, and now
50:41
Speaker 4: I've missed it even more. So I'm just gonna xout Allen.
50:45
Speaker 4: It's gonna be co star passed. But I do like Costa.
50:48
Speaker 4: I liked him when he was plus one sixty. I
50:50
Speaker 4: like him even more now that he might be a
50:53
Speaker 4: favorite going into the damn fight. I think he will
50:56
Speaker 4: put up a pretty decent score. So coasta or pass
51:00
Speaker 4: is the way I'm looking at it.
51:01
Speaker 3: Are you surprised to see even with all this line
51:03
Speaker 3: movement like Allen opened plus two hundred inside the distance
51:07
Speaker 3: now plus one ninety Coast open plus three fifty nol
51:10
Speaker 3: plus three twenty five to finish.
51:12
Speaker 2: So I mean it's pretty.
51:14
Speaker 3: Like even though the line movement's gone there, the inside
51:18
Speaker 3: of this is prop hasn't really changed much. Where if
51:20
Speaker 3: there's a finish books, do think it more than likely
51:23
Speaker 3: is Allen?
51:25
Speaker 4: I would say, because the coast is pat like who well,
51:27
Speaker 4: who was it Moistest or somebody finished them really easily
51:30
Speaker 4: hit at Thiago Moys is like if Moistest is finished
51:32
Speaker 4: and you gotta worry a little bit. That was his
51:35
Speaker 4: uc Dedu a long time ago. He's a different man now,
51:38
Speaker 4: So yeah, I say that does surprise me. I would
51:42
Speaker 4: say it goes down.
51:44
Speaker 3: Hey, I'm excited for this one in the sense that
51:47
Speaker 3: I think it's a phenomenal DFS card. A lot of
51:49
Speaker 3: added wrinkles. Seventy six hundred Guy main event might be
51:52
Speaker 3: a favorite, eighty three hundred, the biggest favorite on the
51:55
Speaker 3: card might have a seventy nine hundred dollars favorites.
51:59
Speaker 2: That's the one.
51:59
Speaker 3: It was nine hundred dollars favorites. We do have an
52:01
Speaker 3: eight k favorite right now. Eight of the thirteen are
52:04
Speaker 3: expected to finish. I just have my fingers crossed that
52:07
Speaker 3: we do keep thirteen. A lot of jungle or jumble
52:10
Speaker 3: fights right now. So far we keep all thirteen, It's
52:13
Speaker 3: gonna be good for DFS. Solo ship are definitely definitely
52:16
Speaker 3: in play.
52:18
Speaker 2: I'm hoping.
52:19
Speaker 3: I'm hoping to repeat what happened last week, but I'm
52:21
Speaker 3: hoping it's with a lot less people. There's no doubt
52:23
Speaker 3: about that. A big chop last week Crazy though Sean
52:27
Speaker 3: Strickland be tomzat chamayav at sixty nine hundred or whatever,
52:31
Speaker 3: and chamayav In a loss at ninety five is on
52:34
Speaker 3: the winner. Crazy Crazy card we saw last week, but
52:37
Speaker 3: I'm excited for this one for sure.
52:40
Speaker 2: Any final thoughts before we get on out of here,
52:42
Speaker 2: I'm in.
52:43
Speaker 4: Congrats to you Title. I completely missed it. It was
52:46
Speaker 4: listening to some Morgan Wallin and Ella Langley Lucas Oil.
52:49
Speaker 4: It was a good time, but I missed every single fight.
52:52
Speaker 4: I'm have to go back and check that card out
52:53
Speaker 4: I did here was a wild one. But congrats to
52:56
Speaker 4: you Title running back this week. Good luck to you,
52:57
Speaker 4: good luck to everybody listening. I ship it.
53:00
Speaker 2: Definitely go watch the Van and Tyra fight. Man.
53:04
Speaker 3: Tyra is as tough as it gets. Phenomenal, phenomenal fight.
53:07
Speaker 3: Van a straight chunkyard dog. That was a great one.
53:11
Speaker 3: Main event was obviously good, too crazy. I mean at
53:14
Speaker 3: one point it was like, why you're strictly not shooting
53:16
Speaker 3: for takedowns, toms out? Why are you even trying to
53:18
Speaker 3: wrestle something you never thought you'd say? But phenomenal fight there. Yeah,
53:23
Speaker 3: I got the job done. I'll say those I talked
53:25
Speaker 3: about like sometimes high dupes lineups aren't bad. I actually
53:29
Speaker 3: think the lineup I won with was a pretty bad team,
53:32
Speaker 3: and all things consider, with how many dupes it was
53:35
Speaker 3: so sometimes better to be lucky than good. There's no
53:37
Speaker 3: doubt about that. You have to analyze not just the results.
53:41
Speaker 3: Actually you shouldn't really analyze the results. The process is
53:45
Speaker 3: very important, and yet being results oriented is not necessarily
53:48
Speaker 3: the way to go. So I'll definitely take the extra
53:51
Speaker 3: money in my pocket. With that being said, I do
53:53
Speaker 3: think it was a pretty bad team after all the
53:56
Speaker 3: cards were flipped over. That'll do it for us, though.
53:58
Speaker 3: Again appreciates and hanging out. Head over to shipanation dot com.
54:02
Speaker 3: You can get in for free. A lot of sports
54:05
Speaker 3: going on. Good luck to you as well. Shouldn't check
54:07
Speaker 3: m m A. Good luck to you, Big Marley, good
54:09
Speaker 3: luck to everyone watching. We appreciate it. Like button on
54:11
Speaker 3: the way out helps us out of time. For Big Marley,
54:14
Speaker 3: I'm titled town be Safe.
54:15
Speaker 2: Good luck