Latest / NO FILTER / Congress hasn_t _held back the king_ while Trump takes powers that aren_t his_ Economist(MP3_160K)
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- 0:00Speaker 1: Joining US Financial Times columnists and provots of King's College, Cambridge,
- 0:04Speaker 1: Jillian Tet, Professor of economics and public Policy at the
- 0:07Speaker 1: University of Michigan, Justin Wolfers, and NBC News senior business
- 0:11Speaker 1: correspondent Christine Romans. First, Christine, I want to ask you
- 0:14Speaker 1: about the markets. Yeah, they initially reacted quite positively to
- 0:17Speaker 1: this news.
- 0:18Speaker 2: Yeah, they did because, look, it was the first real
- 0:21Speaker 2: challenge to the president's trade war. Trade war that markets
- 0:24Speaker 2: don't like, that business doesn't like, right, And this was
- 0:27Speaker 2: a case was brought by states and also by small
- 0:29Speaker 2: businesses who said, look, you don't have the authority, mister President,
- 0:32Speaker 2: to do this, and it's too disruptive to our business.
- 0:35Speaker 2: And this three panel, three judge panel, a bipartisan panel,
- 0:40Speaker 2: by the way, Reagan, Obama and Trump appointed judges, three judges,
- 0:44Speaker 2: so really important there. They said, no, you don't have
- 0:46Speaker 2: the authority to do this, and Wall Street really liked that.
- 0:48Speaker 1: But the reaction I.
- 0:49Speaker 2: Think has sort of come back down to earth a
- 0:51Speaker 2: little way is because there still is a trade fight here.
- 0:54Speaker 2: Donald Trump still really loves tariffs, and he could go
- 0:56Speaker 2: ahead and use other authorities that he has successfully used
- 0:59Speaker 2: for like steel aluminum, he could try to put tariffs
- 1:01Speaker 2: on in different ways as well. This also there was,
- 1:05Speaker 2: in a weird twisted way, some certainty July ninth, when
- 1:08Speaker 2: his big pause of those so called reciprocal tariffs was
- 1:11Speaker 2: going to expire, and they said they'd have all these
- 1:13Speaker 2: trade deals done by then. Well, now that's kind of
- 1:15Speaker 2: up in the air as well. So there's still a
- 1:17Speaker 2: lot of uncertainty and maybe maybe the White House doesn't
- 1:21Speaker 2: have the leverage it thought it did and these trade negotiations,
- 1:23Speaker 2: and so Wall Street kind of came off of its
- 1:25Speaker 2: early enthusiasm.
- 1:27Speaker 1: Let's talk about the EU Jillian, I mean, that was
- 1:29Speaker 1: the next big trade deal that Donald Trump was going after.
- 1:33Speaker 1: He initially said one deadline, then he moved that deadline
- 1:36Speaker 1: back a bit, citing work with the United or the
- 1:40Speaker 1: European Union to actually get to a deal. What is
- 1:43Speaker 1: the European Commission, the executive arm of the EU do,
- 1:46Speaker 1: now that there was this court order.
- 1:50Speaker 3: Well, this timing is extraordinary because the European Union leaders
- 1:54Speaker 3: have been debating in recent days whether they should act
- 1:58Speaker 3: top like the Chinese and simply basically respond to bullying
- 2:03Speaker 3: with trying to face him down, or whether they should
- 2:07Speaker 3: be more like the UK and try and dance around
- 2:10Speaker 3: Washington and get them more on their side and cut
- 2:12Speaker 3: some kind of deal. Now that Trump's trade tarts have
- 2:16Speaker 3: been turned down by the courts, they're likely to actually
- 2:19Speaker 3: either simply stall, as you say, or really stand up
- 2:23Speaker 3: to him and say no. Now, the danger of all
- 2:26Speaker 3: this is that Trump has, as we know, a pretty
- 2:29Speaker 3: fragile ego. He tell us to respond to losses by
- 2:32Speaker 3: doubling down and being even more aggressive. The fact that
- 2:35Speaker 3: people are calling him Taco Trump or with chickens out,
- 2:39Speaker 3: which was one of the acronyms one of my colleagues
- 2:40Speaker 3: at the Financial Times first started writing about, has really
- 2:44Speaker 3: got under his skin. Donald Trump, of course likes to
- 2:46Speaker 3: call other people names, not how people call him names.
- 2:50Speaker 1: And so there is a danger.
- 2:51Speaker 3: Now that he simply lashes out, that he invokes other
- 2:54Speaker 3: types of trade laws to try and impose his plan,
- 2:57Speaker 3: or that he simply ignores the courts. At some point
- 2:59Speaker 3: we just no. So there's a lot more uncertainty, But
- 3:02Speaker 3: certainly for the European Union right now, there's a very
- 3:05Speaker 3: strong incentive to stall and to keep stalling.
- 3:08Speaker 1: You know, I wish now that you're talking about taco.
- 3:11Speaker 1: I wish that I had the forethought to screen grab
- 3:14Speaker 1: the front of the Drudge Report right now. It's an
- 3:16Speaker 1: AI generated image of Donald Trump wearing a king of tacos,
- 3:21Speaker 1: wearing a taco suit and a taco crown worth taking
- 3:24Speaker 1: a look at, obviously trying to taunt him. Justin let
- 3:26Speaker 1: me ask you about the normal rules of the game. Here.
- 3:31Speaker 1: Part of the reason this Trade Commission or this trade
- 3:33Speaker 1: court said Donald Trump doesn't have this authority is because
- 3:37Speaker 1: normally the authority to levy tariffs, not in a time
- 3:39Speaker 1: of an emergency, is within Congress. I think it's notable
- 3:44Speaker 1: that it's the courts that have to assert Congress's authority.
- 3:47Speaker 1: Congress itself, other than a few lawmakers, have not done
- 3:52Speaker 1: so right.
- 3:54Speaker 4: So the president is not born with the right to
- 3:57Speaker 4: do this.
- 3:59Speaker 5: Congress gave it to him, and so the first best
- 4:01Speaker 5: thing would be if we had a grown up Congress
- 4:03Speaker 5: who took their role seriously. Instead, this has been the
- 4:07Speaker 5: most passive Congress I can ever remember. In fact, as
- 4:10Speaker 5: far as I can tell, they've done nothing about anything
- 4:13Speaker 5: so far, but they certainly haven't held back the king.
- 4:17Speaker 5: So what Trump has done is very aggressively tried to
- 4:19Speaker 5: take powers that would normally belong to Congress, and the
- 4:22Speaker 5: courts have smacked him down, Katie, I just got noticed.
- 4:25Speaker 5: Apparently an hour ago, a DC District court also ruled
- 4:30Speaker 5: on the same set of issues, issuing another preliminary injunction.
- 4:34Speaker 5: So we've now had two federal courts within twenty four
- 4:37Speaker 5: hours rule that this use of the emergency powers is illegal.
- 4:41Speaker 4: And to be clear, it's utterly obvious.
- 4:43Speaker 5: The so called emergency was that we had imbalanced trade.
- 4:47Speaker 5: It turns out every country around the world has imbalanced trade.
- 4:50Speaker 5: It turns out the United States has had it in
- 4:52Speaker 5: every single year of its existence. So the idea that
- 4:54Speaker 5: all of a sudden, it was a national emergency in
- 4:57Speaker 5: twenty twenty five but no other year saw seems absurd
- 5:01Speaker 5: on its face.
- 5:02Speaker 1: But I do understand if you want to make the
- 5:04Speaker 1: argument that there are national security concerns and there are
- 5:07Speaker 1: some things we do need to manufacture. Here, we've got
- 5:09Speaker 1: to get control over some of our critical supply chains,
- 5:12Speaker 1: technology supply chains, you know, steel supply chains, whatever, because
- 5:16Speaker 1: that's important for our national security. I get that justin
- 5:21Speaker 1: But if you want to do that, and you want
- 5:22Speaker 1: to argue that is this the way you go about it,
- 5:27Speaker 1: no is there to do about it.
- 5:30Speaker 5: Yeah, there's a very clear distinction here that's worth bearing
- 5:32Speaker 5: in mind. So what Trump was doing was trying to
- 5:35Speaker 5: beat up on whole countries. You know, China's a bad guy,
- 5:39Speaker 5: The United Kingdom's a bad guy, Europe's a bad guy.
- 5:41Speaker 5: Even the herd and McDonald Islands were bad penguins. That's
- 5:46Speaker 5: what was rulely llegal. Now it turns out there's a
- 5:48Speaker 5: lot of other trade authorities, including specific authorities around national security,
- 5:53Speaker 5: that the president can has and does use. For instance,
- 5:56Speaker 5: there are currently tariffs on steel and aluminum. Believe is
- 6:00Speaker 5: how Americans say it got to rate okay, great aluminium.
- 6:08Speaker 5: Those tariffs are still in place because they're a national
- 6:11Speaker 5: security concern, and they went through a process of making
- 6:14Speaker 5: the case, the sort of process Congress laid down in
- 6:16Speaker 5: order to make that case.
- 6:17Speaker 4: So we're going to move from these country.
- 6:19Speaker 5: Specific tariffs instead to looking at specific industries, which I
- 6:23Speaker 5: think is at the very least going to lead the
- 6:27Speaker 5: present to be a little bit more precise in what
- 6:30Speaker 5: he's doing. Having said that, there are some authorities still
- 6:34Speaker 5: where he can go and clob a whole countries. There's
- 6:35Speaker 5: one reason allowed to, and I wouldn't be surprised if
- 6:38Speaker 5: he did it this week.
- 6:39Speaker 4: He can levy.
- 6:40Speaker 5: Tariffs of up to fifteen percent on countries for up
- 6:44Speaker 5: to one hundred and fifty days. After that, he'd have
- 6:46Speaker 5: to go back to Congress, which he's not been very
- 6:48Speaker 5: fond of doing.
- 6:49Speaker 1: Let me play Caroline Lovett at the White House today,
- 6:52Speaker 1: echoing what we've heard from this administration about individual or
- 6:56Speaker 1: groups of judges.
- 7:00Speaker 6: Last night, the Trump administration faced another example of judicial overreach.
- 7:05Speaker 6: Three judges of the US Court of International Trade disagreed
- 7:08Speaker 6: and brazenly abuse their judicial power to usurp the authority
- 7:12Speaker 6: of President Trump to stop him from carrying out the
- 7:14Speaker 6: mandate that the American people gave him. The courts should
- 7:17Speaker 6: have no role here. There is a troubling and dangerous
- 7:20Speaker 6: trend of unelected judges inserting themselves into the presidential decision
- 7:23Speaker 6: making process.
- 7:25Speaker 1: It seems that they want this battle, Christine. They want
- 7:28Speaker 1: to push the courts. They want to force the Supreme
- 7:31Speaker 1: Court to get involved in these cases. I'm sure there
- 7:33Speaker 1: are people within the administration who understand what authorities the
- 7:37Speaker 1: president has and what authorities he does not have. I
- 7:40Speaker 1: know that they probably have gone through the various rules
- 7:42Speaker 1: that he could levy tariffs on. I'm sure I'm going
- 7:46Speaker 1: to give them a benefit of doubt. I think they
- 7:47Speaker 1: know this, but I also think these individual fights that
- 7:51Speaker 1: they know are going to get held up in courts
- 7:53Speaker 1: are fights that they want to have because they want
- 7:55Speaker 1: to go to the Supreme Court, the same Supreme Court
- 7:58Speaker 1: that gave him unilateral authority just a few years ago
- 8:03Speaker 1: with the presidential immunity case.
- 8:05Speaker 2: You've already heard them. The you know, the allies of
- 8:08Speaker 2: the president today is calling this a globalist, pro trade,
- 8:11Speaker 2: you know, pro importer kind of.
- 8:14Speaker 1: That's not what they're they're ruling.
- 8:15Speaker 2: They're ruling authority and they're ruling on the law. And
- 8:18Speaker 2: I'll go back again, this is a bipartisan, really nerdy
- 8:22Speaker 2: trade focused court with Reagan, Obama and Trump appointee there.
- 8:27Speaker 2: This is not this is not These are not DNC
- 8:30Speaker 2: lawyers here that they're that they're fighting against. It is
- 8:33Speaker 2: a third co equal branch of government.
- 8:36Speaker 1: You know what, I do want to get back to
- 8:37Speaker 1: taco because I think it's it's worth lingering.
- 8:39Speaker 2: On the taco trade.
- 8:40Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, because the president, I mean, Gillian, you mentioned this.
- 8:42Speaker 1: The President doesn't like this, doesn't like this idea. He
- 8:45Speaker 1: was asked about it yesterday, and I think we should
- 8:48Speaker 1: play how we responded, mister President Walster.
- 8:53Speaker 2: Analysts have coined a new term called the taco trade.
- 8:55Speaker 6: They're saying Trump always chickens out on your tear of threats,
- 8:58Speaker 6: and that's why markets are higher this week.
- 9:00Speaker 1: What's your response to.
- 9:01Speaker 4: That, I kick out, check it out.
- 9:04Speaker 1: Oh, then I check it out.
- 9:06Speaker 7: I've never heard that. You mean because I reduced China
- 9:09Speaker 7: from one hundred and forty five percent that I set
- 9:12Speaker 7: down to one hundred and then down to another number,
- 9:14Speaker 7: and I said, you have to open up your whole country.
- 9:17Speaker 7: And because I gave the European Union a fifty percent
- 9:22Speaker 7: tax tariff, we had a dead country. We had a
- 9:26Speaker 7: country people didn't think it was going to survive. And
- 9:29Speaker 7: you ask a nasty question like that, It's called negotiation.
- 9:35Speaker 1: Christine just pointed out he misspoke and said tax right there.
- 9:39Speaker 1: Instead of calling it a tariff, he called it a tax,
- 9:41Speaker 1: which is what it is the administration. I tried to
- 9:43Speaker 1: deny that, but Gillian, let's go back to the core.
- 9:45Speaker 1: There By the way I was able to get that
- 9:47Speaker 1: image from the drudge report the Taco king here, it
- 9:51Speaker 1: is the AI image of it. He doesn't like being mocked,
- 9:55Speaker 1: and this is not a reporter mocking him. It's not
- 9:57Speaker 1: a reporter asking a question that she thinks is going
- 9:59Speaker 1: to get it them. I mean, this is what's happening
- 10:01Speaker 1: with traders. This is what traders are saying about Donald Trump.
- 10:05Speaker 1: This is how they are making money off of Donald Trump.
- 10:09Speaker 4: Yeah, there's two points to make.
- 10:10Speaker 3: Firstly, as we know, bullies like to appear completely impregnable
- 10:15Speaker 3: and domineering and in control until they're suddenly not. And
- 10:19Speaker 3: they can't afford to look as if they're weak because
- 10:21Speaker 3: they lose their power. Secondly, he's used to giving the
- 10:25Speaker 3: names to other people and drawing out taunts attacking others.
- 10:28Speaker 3: Remember Crooked Hillary or Little Mark Rubio, things like that.
- 10:31Speaker 3: So the idea that Wall Street has basically turned the
- 10:35Speaker 3: same game back against him is pretty threatening, and you
- 10:38Speaker 3: can see that from the way he's stumbling. There's another
- 10:41Speaker 3: acronym going around, which Anthony Scaramucci coined, tastes if you like.
- 10:46Speaker 3: Trump always confuses everyone, and that's another way of declubbing
- 10:50Speaker 3: what's going on right now. But I think there's a
- 10:52Speaker 3: lot of diplomats around the world, and a lot of
- 10:54Speaker 3: CEOs and frankly Trump opponents will be noticing what's happened
- 10:58Speaker 3: around the whole Tago tag in the last few hours,
- 11:02Speaker 3: trying to learn some lessons, and we may well see
- 11:04Speaker 3: a repeat of this going forward.