Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / BlackRock Loads Up On Ethereum?💰Bitcoin ETF Update
Transcript
- 0:07Speaker 1: Let's talk about it ethereum today and what it means
- 0:09Speaker 1: with black Rock continuing to double down on this. We'll
- 0:11Speaker 1: break it down for you. My name is Paul Bhrer,
- 0:13Speaker 1: Welcome back in a tech path. Let's get started, or
- 0:15Speaker 1: do want to think our sponsor and that is Coinbase.
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- 0:29Speaker 1: amount of assets over there that you can get into,
- 0:31Speaker 1: so it doesn't matter if you're into meme coins, you know,
- 0:33Speaker 1: traditional blue chips, or even bitcoin in eath, all of
- 0:36Speaker 1: it available over on coinbase. Check it out use our
- 0:38Speaker 1: link down below. Let's go over to a couple of
- 0:40Speaker 1: things I want to hit on today. One of the
- 0:43Speaker 1: things to follow up here on this article is showing
- 0:45Speaker 1: about one hundred and fifty thousand Bitcoin contracts valued at
- 0:48Speaker 1: about fourteen billions, so you can see the ratio hitting
- 0:51Speaker 1: it around eighty five thousand, where you'd see a lot
- 0:53Speaker 1: of max pain start to evolve, and a couple of
- 0:55Speaker 1: points within this I think when you look at the
- 0:58Speaker 1: market in general and how that might play out is
- 1:02Speaker 1: especially when options are set for these year ins. Yes,
- 1:04Speaker 1: you're going to see a little bit of under performance
- 1:07Speaker 1: on the market, but I think immediately after that is
- 1:09Speaker 1: when people start to really kind of reel back in.
- 1:12Speaker 1: With that being said, we are looking very closely as
- 1:15Speaker 1: what is this going to look like for the rest
- 1:17Speaker 1: of the market. OTC desks now say trading volumes are
- 1:20Speaker 1: going gangbusters, and I think that's another factor that plays
- 1:23Speaker 1: into so prices are up. Volume is way up. Kraken's
- 1:27Speaker 1: OTC volumes have risen almost two hundred twenty percent, so
- 1:29Speaker 1: a lot of cash coming in off the sidelines and
- 1:32Speaker 1: further into this. Institutions than others are also looking for
- 1:35Speaker 1: new opportunities and ways to get exposure beyond the Bitcoin
- 1:38Speaker 1: and East. So I think some of this is going
- 1:39Speaker 1: to go into the all coin season, which we already
- 1:42Speaker 1: kind of know where that is heading. And last up
- 1:45Speaker 1: here within this article, they start with Bitcoin and then
- 1:47Speaker 1: it moves ether, then to Salona, then they start moving
- 1:49Speaker 1: into some all coins and other things like maybe even memes.
- 1:52Speaker 1: So as you can see, it's all a cycle of
- 1:55Speaker 1: how they're looking for the next potential earner out there,
- 1:59Speaker 1: whether it's a category or it's a specific token, other
- 2:02Speaker 1: things that are happening right now. Blackrock investors sold one
- 2:07Speaker 1: hundred and eighty eight million worth of bitcoin yesterday. So
- 2:10Speaker 1: you got to think about it this way, guys. It's
- 2:12Speaker 1: not really Blackrock selling this. This is the investors that
- 2:15Speaker 1: use Blackrock. Blackrocks gaining the fees on all those transactions,
- 2:19Speaker 1: win or lose. That's the advantage that Blackrock has. And
- 2:23Speaker 1: of course the investors are saying, hey, maybe it's time
- 2:26Speaker 1: to take a little profits off the table and move
- 2:28Speaker 1: from there. Or if I'm a short time investor, maybe
- 2:31Speaker 1: they're saying, Okay, maybe it wasn't a good bet. I'm
- 2:33Speaker 1: going to recoil out of crypto and go back to
- 2:36Speaker 1: my traditional investing ways. Those are the kind of scenarios
- 2:39Speaker 1: and discussions that are being made. Let me jump to
- 2:41Speaker 1: a tweet right here. This is Kiyosaki, Robert Kiyosaki. This
- 2:45Speaker 1: is the guy that wrote brig stat portet. I don't
- 2:47Speaker 1: understand what he's saying here other than he doesn't like Fink.
- 2:50Speaker 1: But the point is is that these are the investors
- 2:52Speaker 1: of Blackrock, So clients that are going in and out
- 2:56Speaker 1: of the asset, whether it's an ETF, So it don't
- 3:00Speaker 1: really have anything to do with Blackrock themselves. They're not
- 3:02Speaker 1: making the decision. The point of Bitcoin the price around
- 3:06Speaker 1: one hundred K. I think that is the market potential
- 3:09Speaker 1: because we've seen it go and in terms of a
- 3:12Speaker 1: little better performance over one hundred k, but we haven't
- 3:14Speaker 1: seen that sustained win. So I think that it's just
- 3:16Speaker 1: a matter of investors getting either coal fee or going
- 3:19Speaker 1: ahead and taking profits for those who had been buying
- 3:21Speaker 1: back at sixty five k. So there's a lot looking
- 3:25Speaker 1: like it's going to continue to move. But I think
- 3:27Speaker 1: the thing he hits here is that he still wants
- 3:29Speaker 1: to hold on his own direct exposure. I think most
- 3:32Speaker 1: of you are probably already on that anyway. Other things
- 3:35Speaker 1: I want to hit at Blackrock becomes the top ethereum
- 3:37Speaker 1: whale with three point five billion. This is a big
- 3:40Speaker 1: deal because that means the clients of Blackrock are now
- 3:43Speaker 1: starting to look at ETH. And that is a big
- 3:47Speaker 1: deal because what happens here is when you see ethereum
- 3:51Speaker 1: start to take center stage, it has such an effect
- 3:54Speaker 1: on the rest of the market, not only ETH. If
- 3:56Speaker 1: we see ETH make its way back up to forty
- 3:58Speaker 1: eight hundred at all time high. What happens after that
- 4:01Speaker 1: is where we start to see a lot of impact
- 4:04Speaker 1: on the market around it, including the ecosystem around Ethereum
- 4:08Speaker 1: by itself, but then the all coins and even beam
- 4:10Speaker 1: took so all that is leading in ETH is the trigger.
- 4:14Speaker 1: I think that gets the all coin bull run underway.
- 4:17Speaker 1: So we're watching that one very closely. Ethereum spot ETFC
- 4:21Speaker 1: consistent inflows. We already have been talking about this. The
- 4:24Speaker 1: spot might be a precursor to the market moves around ETH,
- 4:28Speaker 1: So keep an eye on this one. Much like what
- 4:31Speaker 1: we saw when you look at the ETFs and performance
- 4:33Speaker 1: all the way back into January to where it is
- 4:35Speaker 1: right now, the inflows are dramatic and it became, you know,
- 4:40Speaker 1: I became the largest and most successful ETF out there.
- 4:44Speaker 1: So could ethereum may have their day in the sun
- 4:47Speaker 1: in twenty twenty five. I think a lot of people
- 4:49Speaker 1: are looking at that. The other thing that could help
- 4:52Speaker 1: this would be Donald Trump maybe making Ethereum a little
- 4:56Speaker 1: bit more regulatory friendly. So ETH got sandwich in twenty
- 5:00Speaker 1: twenty four between bitcoin Obviously that got a lot of interest,
- 5:04Speaker 1: and then Salona kind of gain traction with all of
- 5:06Speaker 1: the capacity around it, but also the capacity of what
- 5:10Speaker 1: it did in the mean markets. You also look under
- 5:13Speaker 1: the new administration that there's a potential here, I think
- 5:16Speaker 1: where things could really get pretty fluid on ETH, just
- 5:19Speaker 1: with the fact that we could see a lot of
- 5:21Speaker 1: positive regulations, so again very beneficial for ETH. And then
- 5:24Speaker 1: long term, this article hits on the promising future of tokenization.
- 5:29Speaker 1: Only sixty seven thousand in terms of entities only representing
- 5:32Speaker 1: aboutzero point zero three outside of stable coins of global assets,
- 5:36Speaker 1: so a very very small amount. With Trump's new administration
- 5:39Speaker 1: regulations and more favorable tokenizations that are expected, this could
- 5:43Speaker 1: balloon into three, maybe even four percent of the total value,
- 5:47Speaker 1: and that would be a dramatic shift for the market overall.
- 5:51Speaker 1: You look at ETH milestones, this is very similar to
- 5:55Speaker 1: what we've seen really around even kind of the Bitcoin event.
- 5:59Speaker 1: But you had Denkon upgrade that was in March, really
- 6:02Speaker 1: kind of sideways action when this spot was approved versus
- 6:05Speaker 1: the US spot ETF's launching which was in July, and
- 6:08Speaker 1: then we had that big dip right there. I think
- 6:10Speaker 1: this right here was pretty much Bitcoin sucking the wind
- 6:13Speaker 1: out of ethereum in general, and then since right there
- 6:17Speaker 1: mid November is when things have really started to move
- 6:20Speaker 1: around and the ethereum stable coin supply hits its all
- 6:23Speaker 1: time high. So this could be the beginning of where
- 6:26Speaker 1: eth truly gets back into the mainstream around on all time high.
- 6:31Speaker 1: Other things to hit at is just Bitcoin, the holding's
- 6:34Speaker 1: largest crypto. Etf I bit and micro Strategy now hit
- 6:37Speaker 1: a record almost a million bitcoins. This is a big
- 6:40Speaker 1: deal because it's doubled over the last just the last
- 6:43Speaker 1: few months, where it was around four hundred and forty
- 6:45Speaker 1: four thousand. To me, that is a astronomical growth in
- 6:50Speaker 1: a short, very short period of time. So I think
- 6:52Speaker 1: the key here to look at is how does this
- 6:55Speaker 1: perform into twenty twenty five Because twenty twenty five, a
- 6:58Speaker 1: lot of people are going to be looking at a
- 7:00Speaker 1: profit taking, a lot of people are going to be
- 7:02Speaker 1: looking at tax positions. All of those plays into a
- 7:04Speaker 1: very interesting market heading into twenty five. I want to
- 7:07Speaker 1: go to a quick clip here is Papoliano talking about
- 7:12Speaker 1: even normal people are having a hard time investing in bitcoin.
- 7:16Speaker 2: Take a look, you say to people who say it
- 7:18Speaker 2: has had a massive run, it's you know, mentally, it's
- 7:22Speaker 2: difficult to kind of get on board at these levels,
- 7:24Speaker 2: and we know where it's been, and we've also seen
- 7:26Speaker 2: that volatility. Somebody very smart told me, well, take two
- 7:29Speaker 2: percent and just money that you know you're willing to
- 7:33Speaker 2: risk and put it in. I still find that difficult
- 7:35Speaker 2: to do.
- 7:36Speaker 3: If you go back to the nineteen eighties or nineteen nineties,
- 7:38Speaker 3: buying the S and P five hundred was real scary,
- 7:40Speaker 3: but you were a genius if you did it in hindsight.
- 7:42Speaker 3: And so same thing here with bitcoin is you can
- 7:44Speaker 3: look backwards and see how high it rose. But if
- 7:47Speaker 3: you look forward and say, well, if this continues, which
- 7:49Speaker 3: we have every reason to believe it will, buying today
- 7:52Speaker 3: is the second best time to buy, because the first
- 7:53Speaker 3: best time was yesterday, And if we keep waiting, it's
- 7:56Speaker 3: only going to get worse and worse. And so I
- 7:57Speaker 3: do think I hear you. It's hard to pull the trigger,
- 8:01Speaker 3: of course, and that's true of all financialast set's right.
- 8:03Speaker 3: I mean, think of a real estate market and people
- 8:04Speaker 3: will go and they'll say, oh my god, I could
- 8:05Speaker 3: have bought five years ago. Now it's at this price.
- 8:08Speaker 3: I just can't wrap my head around that. Well, if
- 8:10Speaker 3: you wait five more years, the dollar is going to
- 8:12Speaker 3: continue to be devalued. And so usually if you decide, hey,
- 8:15Speaker 3: I want to own something and go ahead and buy it.
- 8:18Speaker 1: I think the volatility is the thing that is really
- 8:20Speaker 1: spooking most investors, and because one they're not adjusted to
- 8:24Speaker 1: that kind of volatility and crypto. If you guys are
- 8:26Speaker 1: watching our show, most likely you're already a little bit nonsensitive,
- 8:31Speaker 1: you know, to the volatility of crypto. A twenty percent move,
- 8:33Speaker 1: even a thirty percent move in a market over a
- 8:36Speaker 1: short period of time doesn't really rattle most hardened crypto investors.
- 8:40Speaker 1: I think what is happening yet is bitcoin has not stabilized.
- 8:44Speaker 1: And once bitcoin truly does stabilize, because you could have
- 8:47Speaker 1: a one oh five to a ninety move in a
- 8:49Speaker 1: matter of three weeks, a lot of people would look
- 8:51Speaker 1: at that and say I made a bad investment. Many
- 8:53Speaker 1: people might look at that and say the ninety K
- 8:56Speaker 1: or early ninety two K was another opportunity for me
- 8:59Speaker 1: to get in. If I'm looking at a long term
- 9:01Speaker 1: and most I think that is the other thing that
- 9:03Speaker 1: Pampolano was leading into, and that is what is your
- 9:06Speaker 1: time horizon here? If you're a young investor, your time
- 9:09Speaker 1: horizons beyond ten years most likely. If you're an older investor,
- 9:12Speaker 1: maybe your horizon is ten years and you have to
- 9:15Speaker 1: maximize that. So everybody's going to be a little bit different.
- 9:18Speaker 1: I think the key here is just understanding where this
- 9:20Speaker 1: asset class is going to be going, and I believe
- 9:23Speaker 1: that it is pretty much a bullish future. Only thing
- 9:27Speaker 1: that really slows this down is going to be some
- 9:28Speaker 1: of the macro economies that could hit. Robinhood, of course
- 9:32Speaker 1: is pushing out their program because they of course see
- 9:35Speaker 1: this as a factor going into the next generation of investors,
- 9:38Speaker 1: and what they're rolling out is Robinhood legend and is
- 9:41Speaker 1: coming out now for crypto. So that is a big
- 9:43Speaker 1: factor here because this will start to open up I
- 9:46Speaker 1: think some opportunities, even though they only have I think
- 9:49Speaker 1: it was around twenty assets twenty one assets with bitcoin
- 9:52Speaker 1: on their platform. Hopefully that will change, but even those
- 9:56Speaker 1: twenty one there's a lot of assets in there that
- 9:58Speaker 1: would be very tradable right now. So could be a
- 10:00Speaker 1: good move for Robinhood to gain more access into crypto markets,
- 10:04Speaker 1: especially with the younger investors, and that truly is their demographic.
- 10:09Speaker 1: Other things that are happening right now is Kathy Woods
- 10:12Speaker 1: this headline. She's calling for tax clarity, she's riding the
- 10:16Speaker 1: Trump bump idea, and basically what this boils down to
- 10:20Speaker 1: into and we've had a very heated discussion about this
- 10:23Speaker 1: in the crypto pit today, but the point is is
- 10:25Speaker 1: that her statement is I see them saying, Okay, we're
- 10:29Speaker 1: going to get tax cuts is but we'll make them
- 10:30Speaker 1: retroactive to January twenty twenty five. So imagine this. If
- 10:33Speaker 1: you get a tax cut approved in let's say Q
- 10:36Speaker 1: two of twenty five, most of the time those are
- 10:39Speaker 1: for the next tax year, so that would be for
- 10:41Speaker 1: twenty twenty six. So what she's pushing for is to
- 10:45Speaker 1: drive clarity and certainty for the markets is go ahead
- 10:48Speaker 1: and give the tax cut, but make it retroactive to
- 10:51Speaker 1: the first of the year. So anybody that is going
- 10:54Speaker 1: to be selling in twenty twenty five would be able
- 10:57Speaker 1: to achieve those tax cuts. So I think that's the here.
- 11:00Speaker 1: This is really pressure to sell in twenty twenty five,
- 11:04Speaker 1: Meaning is Kathy Wood's exiting bitcoin? Is she exiting ethereum?
- 11:08Speaker 1: What's happening there? So that I think is a big
- 11:10Speaker 1: factor here. But if they don't, you're going to get
- 11:12Speaker 1: companies and individuals holding back. And I'm trying to communicate
- 11:15Speaker 1: that's the regular kind of regularly to anyone who will listen.
- 11:18Speaker 1: And I think the point being here with what Kathy
- 11:21Speaker 1: is trying to say and this, you could look at
- 11:23Speaker 1: this two ways. One is people who hold it right
- 11:26Speaker 1: now they want the tax cut so they can sell
- 11:29Speaker 1: in twenty five. People who are saying I'm setting on
- 11:31Speaker 1: the sidelines and I'm thinking about investing in crypto, but
- 11:34Speaker 1: if the tax cut comes, I definitely would roll into
- 11:37Speaker 1: crypto because I know I'm going to get a gain
- 11:39Speaker 1: and I want to be able to, you know, execute
- 11:42Speaker 1: that tax cut. Or if you're saying, well, no, I'm
- 11:44Speaker 1: gonna if I'm on the sidelines, is I'm going to
- 11:46Speaker 1: hold long term this tax cut doesn't really matter. Those
- 11:48Speaker 1: are the kind of investors that are playing this out
- 11:50Speaker 1: right now. So and she's dealing with a lot of
- 11:52Speaker 1: those kind of people. So how are you guys playing this?
- 11:55Speaker 1: Is twenty twenty five a sale year for you or
- 11:58Speaker 1: are you exiting the market or are you going to
- 12:01Speaker 1: look at this maybe a forever upcycle. Let me know
- 12:03Speaker 1: in the comments down below. Just give us some of those.
- 12:05Speaker 1: I always kind of like to take a little what
- 12:07Speaker 1: you guys think. Another thing that's happening right now, Russia
- 12:10Speaker 1: says it's using bitcoin to evade sanctions. I think this
- 12:12Speaker 1: is necessarily good for bitcoin. It's good in the sense
- 12:15Speaker 1: that it shows the use case for digital assets. But
- 12:20Speaker 1: I think the key here is is that it's going
- 12:21Speaker 1: to put more pressure on bitcoin as an asset, or
- 12:26Speaker 1: it will continue to put pressure on other governments around
- 12:29Speaker 1: the world to maybe go and follow into Russia's footsteps.
- 12:33Speaker 1: And of course that's been happening around break simity more.
- 12:36Speaker 1: What this simply means, guys, is we've got an active
- 12:38Speaker 1: market right now. Likelihoods we're going to see some pretty
- 12:41Speaker 1: interesting things happening in early January. So stick around for
- 12:44Speaker 1: all that. If you're not part of the Diamond Circle,
- 12:46Speaker 1: get in right now. It's a great place to get
- 12:48Speaker 1: additional content. Also, follow me on x at Paul Baron.
- 12:51Speaker 1: We'll catch you next time right here on tech Path.
- 13:00Speaker 3: Yeah,