Latest / Financial Survival Network / Gold Just Fired a Warning - Ed Siddell #6368
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: And as soon as it hit fives, in short order,
- 0:01Speaker 1: it's going to hit seventy five hundred, and then it's
- 0:03Speaker 1: going to hit ten. And we see that happening, We
- 0:06Speaker 1: really do. And again I don't know if it's within
- 0:09Speaker 1: twelve months or a couple of years. But the other
- 0:12Speaker 1: thing that I talked about there is a couple issues. Right,
- 0:14Speaker 1: So the economy, interest rates and then the devaluate the dollars.
- 0:18Speaker 1: It relates to the national debt. I mean, we're as
- 0:20Speaker 1: soon as we hit forty trillion, the dollar is going
- 0:24Speaker 1: to be more debased than ever before. You can't get
- 0:26Speaker 1: out of that much debt. You either have to default
- 0:29Speaker 1: or you have to inflate. You're listening to Carrie.
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- 0:58Speaker 3: And welcome you are listening to and watching the Financial
- 1:02Speaker 3: Survival Network. I'm your host, Carrie Lutz. Our good friend
- 1:05Speaker 3: Ed sidel is with us now he's freezing up in
- 1:10Speaker 3: the north from this bomb cyclone thing that they came up.
- 1:15Speaker 3: We used to just say, hey, it's really cold out
- 1:17Speaker 3: or it's an arctic chill or whatever. But now it's
- 1:20Speaker 3: a bomb cyclone.
- 1:22Speaker 1: Well they yeah, well there's.
- 1:25Speaker 3: A bomb cyclone taking place in the markets now too,
- 1:29Speaker 3: isn't there.
- 1:31Speaker 1: Yeah? Absolutely, Well, like we were talking about, excuse me,
- 1:36Speaker 1: you know, when you take the dog for a walk
- 1:38Speaker 1: and she doesn't want to go outside and it's minus
- 1:41Speaker 1: eleven without the wind hill, it's just cold, you know,
- 1:43Speaker 1: for us here at all, it's just cold.
- 1:46Speaker 3: Yeah, yes, it's definitely cold. So the market's pretty cold
- 1:52Speaker 3: now too. But gold and silver have heated up really.
- 1:56Speaker 1: Well, huh, it really has a p now it's pulled
- 2:01Speaker 1: back obviously. I mean gold was up another two hundred
- 2:04Speaker 1: dollars this morning, and silver was I think it was
- 2:10Speaker 1: approaching I don't know if it actually hit it, but
- 2:12Speaker 1: it was approaching you know, one hundred and twenty an ounce,
- 2:16Speaker 1: and it's since pulled back. Now they're both down. I
- 2:19Speaker 1: think gold is down almost one hundred dollars and silver
- 2:21Speaker 1: is down five or six bucks. But you know, we're
- 2:25Speaker 1: I think we're just seeing a lot of panic buying,
- 2:27Speaker 1: not to say that it's not justified, but a lot
- 2:30Speaker 1: of fomo. If you look at the volume just since
- 2:33Speaker 1: yesterday this morning, it was a multiple of volume compared
- 2:38Speaker 1: to what it was at the close yesterday, so less
- 2:41Speaker 1: than twenty four hours. It's just so I think we'll,
- 2:45Speaker 1: I think, be a little pulled back, but it's going
- 2:47Speaker 1: to ramp right back up again. Yeah, that's what it's
- 2:50Speaker 1: been doing.
- 2:50Speaker 3: It'll go down for a day, sometimes a matter of hours,
- 2:54Speaker 3: that'll turn red a little bit, and then boom, it's
- 2:59Speaker 3: back and it's back bigger than ever. In fact, it's
- 3:03Speaker 3: already starting to fade. I mean, at one point gold
- 3:07Speaker 3: was down two hundred, silver was down five point fifty.
- 3:11Speaker 1: Now they're fading. So what is the.
- 3:15Speaker 3: Gold and silver prices telling us about about the economy,
- 3:20Speaker 3: about the dollar, about inflation and all that good stuff?
- 3:23Speaker 1: Ed you know when when we look at the So
- 3:27Speaker 1: let's talk about the economy first, all right, So I
- 3:29Speaker 1: think there's three things that come into play here. Our
- 3:32Speaker 1: economy is getting stronger. We're looking at the Atlanta Fed GDP,
- 3:38Speaker 1: it's going to be over five percent. You know, if
- 3:41Speaker 1: we look at durable good orders, they're positive. So the
- 3:44Speaker 1: economy is growing, but when you see excessive growth in
- 3:48Speaker 1: such a short period of time, that's inflationary and wages
- 3:51Speaker 1: can't keep up with that, and so the Federal Reserve
- 3:54Speaker 1: they're not going to lower rates. I mean, honestly, they
- 3:58Speaker 1: legitimately they can't. If if you look at mortgage rates,
- 4:01Speaker 1: the bond market is already telling us that we're really
- 4:04Speaker 1: in an inflationary cycle. So that's number one. Number two
- 4:10Speaker 1: because of the debt, the interest rates, and a lot
- 4:13Speaker 1: of uncertainty, you're seeing central banks all around the world
- 4:18Speaker 1: rebuilding their stockpiles and gold and they're replacing US treasuries
- 4:22Speaker 1: with golden so that's increasing the gold prices silver. You know,
- 4:27Speaker 1: if you look at the ratio of gold is silver, historically,
- 4:32Speaker 1: you know, since the beginning of time, it was ten
- 4:35Speaker 1: to one, so ten ounces of silver equaled one ounce
- 4:38Speaker 1: of gold, and really since the early nineteen hundreds, the
- 4:43Speaker 1: average has been about thirteen to one here in the US.
- 4:48Speaker 1: But if we go back to a year ago, it
- 4:51Speaker 1: was ninety two to one, so it was ninety two
- 4:54Speaker 1: ounces of silver at equal one ounce of gold. Now
- 4:57Speaker 1: it's coming back a little bit more into reality, but
- 5:01Speaker 1: still we believe that silver is still way undervalue. You
- 5:05Speaker 1: go back to what it was last year. Really silver
- 5:09Speaker 1: should be five hundred and fifty dollars an ounce. You know,
- 5:11Speaker 1: we see it hitting over two hundred, and we've been
- 5:14Speaker 1: calling for that since you know, last year, this time
- 5:16Speaker 1: last year, and it's for a whole host of reasons.
- 5:19Speaker 1: Number one, we think it's the value has been held
- 5:22Speaker 1: down artificially. But now we're seeing you know, industrial uses,
- 5:27Speaker 1: you know AI as well as you know these these
- 5:31Speaker 1: data centers and chips and everything else. So it's pushing
- 5:36Speaker 1: the value up as we go through. And I would
- 5:39Speaker 1: not be surprised if in twelve to eighteen months we
- 5:43Speaker 1: don't see it over two hundred dollars an ounce.
- 5:46Speaker 3: Yeah, I wouldn't be surprised either. Been calling for this
- 5:49Speaker 3: for a while, and there's no surprises here, is there?
- 5:55Speaker 1: No no? And you know we we were saying too
- 5:57Speaker 1: that gold is going to hit five, and it's as
- 6:00Speaker 1: soon as it hit fives, in short order, it's going
- 6:01Speaker 1: to hit seventy five hundred, and then it's going to
- 6:03Speaker 1: hit ten. And we see that happening, we really do.
- 6:07Speaker 1: And again, I don't know if it's within twelve months
- 6:09Speaker 1: or a couple of years. But the other thing that
- 6:12Speaker 1: I talked about there was a couple issues. Right, So
- 6:14Speaker 1: the economy, interest rates and then the devaluate the dollars.
- 6:17Speaker 1: It relates to the national debt. I mean, we're as
- 6:20Speaker 1: soon as we hit forty tryon, the dollar is going
- 6:23Speaker 1: to be more debased than ever before. You can't get
- 6:26Speaker 1: out of that much debt. You either have to default
- 6:29Speaker 1: or you have to inflate. Those are the only two
- 6:31Speaker 1: ways out of it. And then I think gold is
- 6:34Speaker 1: just going to skyrocket at that point in time.
- 6:37Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, there is no way. I mean, the debt
- 6:40Speaker 3: is unsustainable. We've been in this situation for a while.
- 6:44Speaker 3: They've been kicking the can down the road. It doesn't
- 6:46Speaker 3: matter who's in office, they all do exactly the same thing.
- 6:50Speaker 1: And now the bill's coming due, isn't it. The chickens
- 6:56Speaker 1: are coming home to roost, you know. In it people
- 6:59Speaker 1: are shocked, you know, and I don't know if they're
- 7:02Speaker 1: acting or if they really believe that they're shocked that.
- 7:06Speaker 1: You know, people are upset and central banks are ditching
- 7:09Speaker 1: you know, US treasuries for gold. But when you listen
- 7:12Speaker 1: to the pundits and you listen to d C. They're
- 7:16Speaker 1: either ignoring it or completely discounting it. And and that's
- 7:19Speaker 1: scary in and of itself.
- 7:21Speaker 3: Yeah, so what do you make of all the war
- 7:25Speaker 3: clouds on the horizon here, the Venezuela's situation, the Cubas situation, Iran.
- 7:34Speaker 3: It's all like coming to a head, isn't it?
- 7:37Speaker 1: It is and it is unnerving. But I'm trying to
- 7:42Speaker 1: think of it along the lines of the tariff situation.
- 7:47Speaker 1: You know, tactics versus taxes, right, so they it was
- 7:51Speaker 1: a tactic the art of the deal, and you have
- 7:55Speaker 1: to be willing to go through with what you're talking about.
- 7:59Speaker 1: In uh, the Venezuela situation, I think that put everyone
- 8:03Speaker 1: on notice that, hey, you know, we are willing to
- 8:06Speaker 1: do this. But that in and of itself is also unnerving.
- 8:11Speaker 1: You know, So if you are willing to do that,
- 8:13Speaker 1: what is that going to look like going forward? I
- 8:17Speaker 1: think we had to do it. We couldn't have Russian
- 8:18Speaker 1: and China in our backyard. They were already had a
- 8:20Speaker 1: strong foothold. I think we're going to see more things
- 8:23Speaker 1: as it relates to the Panama Canal zone and Cuba. Again,
- 8:28Speaker 1: that's uh, sure, We're that is literally in our backyard,
- 8:34Speaker 1: so I think we're gonna see more geopolitical uncertainty there Greenland.
- 8:40Speaker 1: I'm still anxious to see with the deal that's cut
- 8:42Speaker 1: and the impact that that's going to have and what
- 8:44Speaker 1: that's going to cost you and me and everyone else.
- 8:47Speaker 1: But I think that that's a necessary evil as well.
- 8:51Speaker 1: I do believe that NATO is well, I'm trying to
- 8:56Speaker 1: think of a nice term, but I think it's feckless.
- 8:59Speaker 1: I think it really is nothing other than a cost
- 9:05Speaker 1: center for US. I mean, we're paying all the money
- 9:07Speaker 1: and we're really getting no benefit. I think it is
- 9:10Speaker 1: it's a worthless entity now and going forward. I do
- 9:15Speaker 1: believe that we do need Greenland, not just for national security,
- 9:18Speaker 1: but also for the resources. I'm just glad we're bringing
- 9:21Speaker 1: everything back on shore from prescription meds manufacturing. We have to.
- 9:27Speaker 1: We can't believe in this global society anymore because look
- 9:30Speaker 1: at the situation that it put us in. You know what,
- 9:34Speaker 1: you have to depend on our competitors or our enemies enemies. Yes,
- 9:41Speaker 1: I was trying to think of a better word, but yeah,
- 9:43Speaker 1: our enemies for our medications, our steel are the things
- 9:48Speaker 1: we need to fight the war that didn't make any sense.
- 9:51Speaker 1: So I'm glad we're bringing that manufacturing back on shore.
- 9:54Speaker 1: But it's not going to be an overnight fix. It's
- 9:56Speaker 1: going to take years. Well it took years to do it.
- 10:00Speaker 3: But the AI revolution seems to really be having an impact,
- 10:04Speaker 3: doesn't it.
- 10:05Speaker 1: It does? It does, And you look look at ups,
- 10:09Speaker 1: you know, everyone's saying, well, you know, all these jobs
- 10:11Speaker 1: are being replaced by AI. You know, if you look
- 10:14Speaker 1: at the thirty thousand jobs that they're getting rid of,
- 10:18Speaker 1: you know, I think possibly that's part of it. But
- 10:21Speaker 1: I also think that they way over hired during COVID, remember,
- 10:25Speaker 1: you know, couldn't get anything they needed, all the drivers,
- 10:27Speaker 1: everyone was working over time, So I think they're kind
- 10:30Speaker 1: of cleaning house. I'm looking at it as a good
- 10:33Speaker 1: thing as an investor long term for the health of
- 10:36Speaker 1: the company. And they're they're leveraging AI to be more
- 10:40Speaker 1: productive so that you know, the you know, the shareholders
- 10:44Speaker 1: reaped the benefits and the rewards of being a more efficient,
- 10:47Speaker 1: profitable company.
- 10:48Speaker 3: Hey, Amazon today just announced the sixteen thousand office workers going.
- 10:54Speaker 3: And notice they're not getting rid of the the drivers
- 11:01Speaker 3: and the warehouse people.
- 11:03Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, because they're needed the office people. That's that's
- 11:08Speaker 1: a you know, when when you're paying six figures and
- 11:13Speaker 1: a lot of that you can use leverage and technology
- 11:15Speaker 1: and AI to replace those office workers.
- 11:18Speaker 3: That just makes sense, totally, totally, and we're seeing it
- 11:22Speaker 3: here right. I mean, it's happening now as we speak. So,
- 11:27Speaker 3: so what do you think is the upshot for for
- 11:32Speaker 3: twenty twenty six?
- 11:34Speaker 1: Her head? I think from an economic standpoint, from a
- 11:38Speaker 1: market standpoint, it's going to be positive. I think we're
- 11:41Speaker 1: going to see a lot of volatility. My fear is
- 11:45Speaker 1: my concern is right before the midterms, so we're going
- 11:47Speaker 1: to see a correction, and you know, typically what we
- 11:51Speaker 1: see is the the party that's in power, they loses power.
- 11:55Speaker 1: They lose power at the midterm. We've got to do
- 11:57Speaker 1: a better job messaging as far as you know what's
- 12:00Speaker 1: happening the good. Otherwise it's going to be a lame
- 12:04Speaker 1: duck presidency for the last two terms and nothing will
- 12:07Speaker 1: get happen. If we see an impeachment, which I think
- 12:11Speaker 1: probably could happen, that is going to have negative effects
- 12:14Speaker 1: on the economy going forward. So I am thinking positive
- 12:17Speaker 1: for the rest of this year, possibly even double digit
- 12:21Speaker 1: growth again for the markets, but that's as forward looking
- 12:25Speaker 1: as we're seeing right now until after the midterms.
- 12:30Speaker 3: All right, Ed, Well that's interesting here. Just tell us
- 12:33Speaker 3: where do we find you? How do we connect with
- 12:35Speaker 3: you on the web.
- 12:37Speaker 1: Yeah, we are at e G. Sifinancial dot com in
- 12:41Speaker 1: our podcast The Retirement Trainer. You can find us on Spotify, Apple,
- 12:47Speaker 1: all the big names so you can, and our YouTube
- 12:50Speaker 1: channel as well, ETSI Financial.
- 12:52Speaker 3: All right, excellent, appreciate you coming on. Any questions comments
- 12:56Speaker 3: for Ed myself, shoot me an email kl.
- 12:59Speaker 1: At Carrie let Gold and Silver.
- 13:02Speaker 3: It'll be interesting to see how high they can go
- 13:06Speaker 3: right now, it's obvious there's a concerted effort to drive
- 13:10Speaker 3: them back into saner territories. We'll see how that works out,
- 13:15Speaker 3: and we'll see how the market responds as well. The
- 13:19Speaker 3: market is liked inflation so much for the past ten
- 13:25Speaker 3: twenty years, unlike the seventies. So as long as you
- 13:29Speaker 3: have economic growth and you have inflation, I guess the
- 13:32Speaker 3: market will figure out a way to deal with it,
- 13:34Speaker 3: right print more money. All right, on that note, take care,
- 13:38Speaker 3: We'll talk to you soon.
- 13:40Speaker 2: All right, Thanks Gerry, thanks for listening to carry Letz's
- 13:43Speaker 2: Financial Survival Network. Your solution to today's trying times. For
- 13:48Speaker 2: the latest, go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial Survival
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