Latest / Simply Bitcoin / BREAKING: 1.7 Million Bitcoin EXPOSED. Google Set the Date. 2029 | Simply SatoSHE
Transcript
- 0:00One of the top tech companies in the world just released a 22
- 0:04page report claiming that bitcoin's security algorithm may
- 0:09be at risk. Every coin, every transaction
- 0:13tracked and putting your Bitcoin at risk.
- 0:16Here's what they're reporting. Breaking bitcoins cryptography
- 0:19requires 20 times fewer resources than anyone previously
- 0:24thought. We're talking about a quantum
- 0:26computer that could crack the encryption protecting your
- 0:30wallet in minutes. Google set a 2029 deadline, and
- 0:34the price of Bitcoin just dropped into the 60s.
- 0:38I want you to sit with that for a second because it sounds
- 0:41terrifying and honestly, part of it is.
- 0:44But the bigger question is why drop this information now?
- 0:48Who wrote this? Is this a coordinated attack or
- 0:51a genuine concern? Let's find out.
- 0:54Welcome back to Satoshi. Let's get into it.
- 0:58Bitcoins wallet security relies on something called elliptic
- 1:02curve cryptography, specifically ECDLP 256.
- 1:07In plain English, when you create a Bitcoin wallet, a
- 1:10mathematical relationship between your private key and
- 1:13your public key protects your funds.
- 1:15The assumption has always been that solving that mathematical
- 1:19problem would require millions of quibbets more computing power
- 1:23than any realistic quantum computer would ever have.
- 1:26Google's paper changes that S dramatically.
- 1:30They've compiled quantum circuits, essentially the code
- 1:34for how a quantum computer would run the attack, that require
- 1:37fewer than 1200 logical quibits and under 500,000 physical
- 1:43quibits to break ECDLP 256. That's a 20 fold reduction from
- 1:49prior estimates, and they say that it could be done in
- 1:53minutes. Now here's what I want to be
- 1:56precise about, because the coverage has been sloppy.
- 2:00What the paper says, a future quantum computer could break
- 2:05bitcoins wallet encryption. What the paper does not say that
- 2:09this is possible. Today, no quantum computer with
- 2:12500,000 physical quibits exists. The most advanced quantum
- 2:17processors today have a few thousand, and we are nowhere
- 2:21near that capacity yet. Google published this to give
- 2:25the cryptocurrency community time to upgrade, not to announce
- 2:29that Bitcoin is already broken. In fact, Bitcoin might not even
- 2:34be a thing in this. It might really just affect the
- 2:37shit coins. Their own words.
- 2:39We want to raise awareness on the issue and are providing the
- 2:42cryptocurrency community with recommendations to improve
- 2:46security and stability before this is possible.
- 2:49There's also a crucial distinction in the mainstream
- 2:52coverage that is completely missing.
- 2:55Bitcoin actually uses 2 cryptographic systems.
- 2:58Shocked 256, which powers Bitcoin mining and proof of
- 3:01work, is not vulnerable to quantum attacks.
- 3:04The paper is specifically about ECDSA, the signature algorithm
- 3:09used for wallet keys. The Bitcoin network itself is
- 3:13not at risk. Specific exposed wallets are
- 3:17which wallets are exposed primarily 2 types.
- 3:20First. Wallets that have already sent a
- 3:23transaction, because when you send, your public key becomes
- 3:26visible on the blockchain. Second to PK outputs the oldest
- 3:31Bitcoin addresses, including Satoshi era coins where the
- 3:35public key was exposed. By design, about 1.7 million
- 3:39bitcoins sits in these vulnerable addresses.
- 3:42If you've never sent from a wallet and you're using a modern
- 3:46address type, your coins are significantly safer.
- 3:50Now here's where it gets a little interesting.
- 3:53The T is that the Google Paper names its partners Coinbase, the
- 4:00Stanford Institute for Blockchain Research, and the
- 4:04Ethereum Foundation. The paper was co-authored by
- 4:07someone employed by the Ethereum Foundation and the paper dropped
- 4:12on the same day that Ethereum launched its quantum resistance
- 4:17portal. I'm gonna let that sit for a
- 4:18second. Now, I'm not saying Google's
- 4:21findings are fake. The math is the math.
- 4:24The threat is real. But the timing, the
- 4:27partnerships, and the narrative framing of this paper are worth
- 4:30examining carefully. Because here's what's happening
- 4:34in the coverage. Bitcoin is being portrayed as
- 4:36vulnerable and unprepared. Etherium is being portrayed as
- 4:41proactive and ahead of the curve.
- 4:43The paper specifically mentions that Etherium is already testing
- 4:47post quantum alternatives like BLS12-381.
- 4:51Google's own blog post mentions the Etherium Foundation by name
- 4:56as a collaborative partner. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is framed as
- 5:00having no coordinated response. And yet Bitcoin Magazine
- 5:05confirmed this week that ABIP 360, a Bitcoin improvement
- 5:10proposal specifically designed to make Bitcoin quantum
- 5:13resistant, is already deployed on test net.
- 5:17Developers are literally writing the code right now.
- 5:20Developers, developers, developers, developers.
- 5:23The narrative doesn't match the reality.
- 5:26And the question that you should be asking is who benefits from
- 5:29that gap? Google's own paper warns that
- 5:32unscientific fear is, and I'm quoting directly, an attack on
- 5:37the system. The irony of that statement,
- 5:39given the coordinated timing of this release, is not lost on me.
- 5:45And look, if this episode has you thinking about the security
- 5:48of your own stack, that's exactly the right instinct.
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- 6:05control of your stack. Book a free 30 minute
- 6:08consultation at the bitcoinway.com/simply.
- 6:11Tell them Satoshi sent you. Here's the theory I want to put
- 6:14forward, and I want to be transparent in that this is my
- 6:17opinion, not an established fact.
- 6:20But I think it's worth saying out loud.
- 6:22Building a quantum computer capable of breaking bitcoins.
- 6:25Cryptography is not something an individual, a startup, or even
- 6:29most corporations can do. We're talking about a machine
- 6:32requiring hundreds of thousands of physical Quibbets operating
- 6:36at temperatures colder than outer space, requiring
- 6:40extraordinary cooling infrastructure, billions of
- 6:43dollars of investment, and years of coordinated engineering at a
- 6:47nation state level. The entities that can build this
- 6:50are Google government research labs and state sponsored
- 6:55programs like China's Quantum Initiative.
- 6:58These are not decentralized actors.
- 7:01These are the most centralized, most powerful institutions on
- 7:05the planet. And here's the thing about those
- 7:07institutions. They need centralized currency
- 7:10to maintain control, the ability to print money, to freeze
- 7:14accounts, to monitor financial transactions, to cut people off
- 7:18from the financial system. That is a fundamental pillar of
- 7:22how modern states exercise power, and Bitcoin is a direct
- 7:27threat to that pillar. A fixed supply, permissionless,
- 7:31censorship resistant monetary network that nobody controls is
- 7:35the last thing that a centralized power structure
- 7:37wants to see succeed. So ask yourself, what is the
- 7:41incentive structure here? The most powerful centralized
- 7:45actors on the planet have both the means to build quantum
- 7:49computers and the motive to use them against the most powerful
- 7:53decentralized monetary network ever created.
- 7:55Quantum isn't just a technical threat to Bitcoin, it's the most
- 8:00powerful tool a centralized system has to fight back against
- 8:05a decentralized 1. And yet, Bitcoin has survived 17
- 8:09years of existential threats, code bugs, exchange hacks,
- 8:13regulatory crackdowns, bands, bear markets.
- 8:17Every single time the network adapted and got stronger.
- 8:22So here's what I find genuinely fascinating about Bitcoin.
- 8:25And it connects to something bigger than just quantum.
- 8:29Bitcoin is, in a very real sense, the first network in
- 8:33history where human beings have a direct economic incentive to
- 8:37ensure its survival and upgrade its defenses.
- 8:41Miners, developers, node operators.
- 8:43They're not doing this out of the Bitcoin they hold.
- 8:47Mine and earn only has value if the network survives.
- 8:52The having creates A perpetual economic engine that funds
- 8:56security indefinitely. The open source development
- 8:59model means that when a threat is identified like quantum, the
- 9:03best cryptographers in the world have every incentive to solve
- 9:07it. BIP 360 being on test net right
- 9:10now is not an accident, it's bitcoins immune system
- 9:14activating. The same way that the network
- 9:16adapted to SegWit, to taproot, to lightning.
- 9:20It will adapt to quantum not because someone told it to,
- 9:24because the incentive structure demands it.
- 9:27And here's the other thing post quantum cryptography doesn't
- 9:31just protect Bitcoin. Shaw 256 in quantum resistant
- 9:35signature schemes will eventually be the security
- 9:37backbone of the entire digital economy.
- 9:40Banking systems, government databases, military
- 9:44communications. Bitcoin is not fighting this
- 9:47battle alone. The entire Internet has to solve
- 9:51this problem, and the solutions being developed, including VIP
- 9:55360, will be part of the global upgrade that benefits everyone.
- 10:00Google set a 2029 deadline to migrate its own systems. the US
- 10:05government is working on it. Bitcoin developers are already
- 10:09on test net. Everyone is moving.
- 10:11So the question isn't whether Bitcoin can adapt, it's whether
- 10:15it can adapt fast enough. And the answer based on the
- 10:18history of this network is a yes.
- 10:23And if any of this makes you think about your own Bitcoin
- 10:25security step one is making sure that you actually own it
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- 11:00OK, enough theory. Let's talk about what this
- 11:03actually means for you right now.
- 11:05First, don't panic. The Google Paper is a warning
- 11:08about a future threat and not an announcement that Bitcoin is
- 11:12already broken. No quantum computer capable of
- 11:15this attack exists today. Second, stop reusing wallet
- 11:19addresses. Every time that you send from
- 11:21the same address, your public key is exposed on the
- 11:24blockchain, so use a new address for every transaction.
- 11:28Every modern wallet makes this easy.
- 11:30Third, if you have coins in the old P2, PK addresses the very
- 11:36old Bitcoin address format. First of all, you're probably a
- 11:39billionaire. Second of all, those are the
- 11:41highest risk. If you have access to those
- 11:44keys, consider moving those coins to a modern address type
- 11:48if you want to still be a billionaire. 4th watch VIP 360.
- 11:52It's on test net now. When it moves to main net, it
- 11:55could be the most important Bitcoin upgrade since Taproot.
- 11:59Understand what it does. It introduces quantum resistant
- 12:02signature schemes that protect your keys even against a few
- 12:06future CRQC 5th and most importantly, the fact that this
- 12:11threat is being discussed openly, that developers are
- 12:14already building solutions, that Bitcoin magazine is covering VIP
- 12:19360 that check matey read the paper and called for a formal
- 12:23plan that is the system working exactly as it should.
- 12:28Bitcoin has no CEO to panic. It has a community of thousands
- 12:32of developers and millions of hodlers who all have economic
- 12:36skin in the game, and that is not a weakness.
- 12:39That is the strongest security model that has ever been
- 12:42created. And if you want to be in the
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- 13:06Do not sleep on this. Bitcoin has been called dead and
- 13:10then resurrected more times than I can count.
- 13:12Trust me, I've been in the space long enough to know every threat
- 13:16gets louder right around the bottom of a bear market.
- 13:19Funny how that works. The Google paper is real, the
- 13:22threat is real, nobody is denying that, and the timeline
- 13:26is real. And bitcoins response already on
- 13:29test net, already in development is also real.
- 13:33So here's what I keep coming back to.
- 13:35The most powerful centralized institutions on the planet are
- 13:39spending billions of dollars building the technology that
- 13:43they hope will finally break Bitcoin and Bitcoins.
- 13:46Response is a volunteer community of developers who hold
- 13:50the asset and have everything to lose.
- 13:53History says bet on the people with skin in the game.
- 13:57Thanks for watching simply Bitcoin Satoshi.
- 13:59Don't forget to smash the like button.
- 14:01Share the show with your friends and drop a comment below.
- 14:04I read them all. Follow me on X at Internet
- 14:07Sophie and as always, stack, slay and stay bullish baby.