Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Is Trump's Plan ACTUALLY Working?!? | Simply Originals
Transcript
- 0:00Let's start out with the most important news of the week, the
- 0:02jobs report. The crazy part about this jobs
- 0:05report is that the government's role in the jobs number was its
- 0:07lowest ever. Despite a lot of skepticism
- 0:10about Trump's plan for America First tariffs and reassuring the
- 0:13plan is actually working. Here's what Scott Besson had to
- 0:16say about the plan on CNBC this morning.
- 0:19Their numbers were more than 170,000 and government jobs were
- 0:24reduced by more than 40,000. More than 30, 30,000 of that was
- 0:29federal jobs. We're at the lowest ratio of
- 0:33government jobs to total jobs since 1966.
- 0:36And this is part of President Trump's plan to re privatize our
- 0:40economy. And I, I think as I've said many
- 0:43times, 2025 is about setting the table. 2026 is going to be a a
- 0:50banquet for the American people. 2026 is going to be even better
- 0:57year than 2025 for the average American.
- 1:00Going back to your friends and telling them that you were wrong
- 1:02about Trump's plan all along is going to be more awkward than
- 1:04the conversation about who's going to be big spoon and little
- 1:07spoon in the double S men's luge.
- 1:09But despite the crazy jobs report, the market is getting
- 1:12smacked like the United States by Norway and Italy.
- 1:16In the Winter Olympics on Thursday, $3.6 trillion of
- 1:19market cap was wiped out in 90 minutes.
- 1:22Gold was off 3.76%, the S&P 500 off 1%, the NASDAQ off almost
- 1:282%, Bitcoin down 5% And silver said you thought you were
- 1:32volatile. Bitcoin hold my beer.
- 1:34Silver prices fell 10% in nearly 30 minutes, below $76.00 an
- 1:38ounce. The real estate giant CBRE
- 1:40plunged 12% on Thursday. The only two times where the
- 1:44stock has fallen more were during COVID in the Great
- 1:46Financial Crisis. It's actually off more than 30%
- 1:49over the last two trading days. For the first time in history,
- 1:52Walmart trades at a 45 times price to earnings ratio, while
- 1:56Amazon, the future tech giant, one of the most profitable
- 1:58companies in the world, trades at just 21 times future
- 2:01earnings. Maybe that sugar high from COVID
- 2:03is wearing off. Speaking of sugar, sugar is at
- 2:05its lowest price since COVID. Over the last eight sessions,
- 2:09115 stocks in the S&P 500 are down more than 7%.
- 2:14Anytime that's happened, the market has had a drawdown of 34%
- 2:18or more on average. So what's really going on right
- 2:20now is late stage cycle behavior where volatility comes back in
- 2:24and dislocations in the market cause investors to make a bad
- 2:27decision. And it's because we're in a
- 2:29major regime shift. Listen to what Senator Mark
- 2:31Rubio has to say about America's role in questioning what's going
- 2:35on between the old world and the new world.
- 2:37The world is changing. Very fast.
- 2:40The old world is gone. Frankly, the.
- 2:42World I grew up in and we live in a new era at geopolitics and
- 2:46it's going to require all of us for to re examine what that
- 2:49looks like it what our role is going.
- 2:50To be the old world is gone, According to him.
- 2:53And when this happens, there's always a dislocation markets and
- 2:56every single time there's any sort of downturn or volatility
- 2:59markets, the Bitcoin bears and the haters come out of the
- 3:02woodworks like Aunt Jemima Kelly saying that bitcoins going to 0,
- 3:06Where do you actually think it's kind of value should be?
- 3:10No, I do genuinely think its value is zero.
- 3:12I think there is no inherent value to it.
- 3:14I think that it has this pretend argument that it has scarcity,
- 3:18but in fact, although it's true that there are 21 million,
- 3:21there's going to be a total of 21 million bitcoins.
- 3:24There is no limit to the number of copycat cryptocurrencies,
- 3:28many of which can do more than Bitcoin can.
- 3:30So you have to keep making this argument that Bitcoin is the
- 3:33only one. That's the people who kind of
- 3:35push Bitcoin as the only one, because it's the only way to
- 3:38claim that there is any scarcity.
- 3:40And basically what it's all based on is just belief.
- 3:44And it's very hard to gauge what that belief is worth, right?
- 3:48So I'm not going to claim that it's going to 0 tomorrow because
- 3:51it might be because I'm basically would be betting on at
- 3:54what point people people are going to stop to believe in it.
- 3:57And there are people who have a lot of hugely vested interest in
- 4:00them in IT, people like Michael Saylor who just mentioned.
- 4:03Saying Bitcoin isn't valuable because other cryptos exist is
- 4:06like saying that gold has no value because I have gravel in
- 4:09my driveway like the Mona Lisa has no value because your
- 4:12daughter can do finger paint. Like the Super Bowl ring isn't
- 4:16valuable because you can buy a ring at Walmart.
- 4:18Speaking of the Super Bowl, these Sam Donald T-shirts are
- 4:20out of hand and I just ordered 1.
- 4:22You get the point. Aunt Jemima Kelly is not the
- 4:25only one. I love that Sam Smith song.
- 4:28Ben McKenzie has come out the woodworks probably 1 of bitcoins
- 4:32biggest bears and he's back and his takes are worse than ever.
- 4:35You may have noticed the cryptos crashing again, like it did in
- 4:382022 and 2018 and 2013. You get the picture.
- 4:42But there's something different about this crash that you need
- 4:44to know about. Crypto has always gone through
- 4:46boom bust cycles. But now, thanks to loosening
- 4:48regulations, people can buy financial products that give
- 4:51them exposure to Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies through
- 4:54the regulated stock markets. They're called ETFs, and over
- 4:57$100 billion worth of crypto was bought by ETFs in the past two
- 5:00years as the size of the market seemed to only go up.
- 5:03But in October of last year, after Bitcoin briefly reached an
- 5:06all time high price of $125,000, investors began to take some
- 5:11risk off off the table and sell their shares of these ETFs.
- 5:14The result? The price of Bitcoin and other
- 5:16cryptocurrencies has nose dived. As of the time of recording this
- 5:19video, Bitcoin is down nearly 50% in just four months.
- 5:23So what happens now? Well, we'll see how much actual
- 5:25money is backing these cryptocurrencies.
- 5:27When people sell their shares of the crypto ETFs, the Wall Street
- 5:30firms that issue them like BlackRock turn to the crypto
- 5:33exchanges like Coinbase to actually sell the Bitcoin.
- 5:36But if there aren't enough buyers, then the price starts
- 5:38plunging. What's the floor?
- 5:39Well, zero. So he's saying that the market
- 5:41it is saying that the ETFs are going to sell off Bitcoin and
- 5:43that it could go back down to 0. It's real value.
- 5:47But when you listen to what the ETF issuers are actually saying,
- 5:51BlackRock, the $13 trillion ETF manager, well, they're saying
- 5:54the exact opposite. Their holders aren't the ones
- 5:56selling. The misperception out there that
- 5:58like it's a bunch of hedge funds in ETFs that are creating
- 6:02volatility and and selling. That's not what we're seeing.
- 6:05You look at I bit last week on a week that was tumultuous,
- 6:10obviously in the Bitcoin market we had 0.2% of the fund redeem,
- 6:17right. So if there actually were hedge
- 6:18funds that were massively unwinding trades that they were
- 6:21running in the ETF, you would have seen billions at we saw
- 6:24many billions liquidated on these levered per platforms.
- 6:27The ETF's have been very steady. It's a much more long term buy
- 6:30and hold type investor base. Coinbase, the corporate rug
- 6:33puller who I don't trust, but you do have to give them credit.
- 6:36They've been in Bitcoin for as long as any company, and their
- 6:39CEO, Brian Armstrong says he's more bullish than ever.
- 6:42But Bitcoin remains the best performing asset class of the
- 6:45past decade. We've been through cycles like
- 6:48this many times at Coinbase. And adoption.
- 6:51Continues to grow, regulatory clarity is on the horizon, and
- 6:54I'm more bullish than ever. In fact, they just announced
- 6:56that they bought $40 million worth of Bitcoin and they
- 6:58continue to buy every week. The major reasons that Bitcoin
- 7:01is by the dip is because they're investing for tomorrow and not
- 7:03for today. They're not traders, they're
- 7:05long term capital allocators. In the past Bitcoin because it
- 7:09wasn't in ETFs, because it wasn't as broad based that
- 7:12there. Wasn't the?
- 7:13Kind of price discovery that's now available today and maybe
- 7:16these prices are more realistic than what had been the case.
- 7:20Before. Well, there's no doubt the asset
- 7:23is seasoning and that's a good thing.
- 7:27We just had an all time high Andrew four months ago, October
- 7:316th I believe. So if if you've got a time
- 7:34horizon of less than four years, you're not really a capital
- 7:37investor, you're a trader. And the traders are having a
- 7:40field day with the volatility, good for them.
- 7:42But the capital investors are looking out four years.
- 7:44And if you look at a four year time frame, Bitcoin is 2 to 3X
- 7:48the performance of the alternative capital assets and
- 7:51and anything built on Bitcoin over a four year or more
- 7:55timeframe is going to outperform for the same reason.
- 7:58But that's just for Michael Saylor, one of the biggest
- 8:00Bitcoin investors in the world. But what about someone like Gary
- 8:03Vee, the wine connoisseur, the social media influencer, the ad
- 8:07executive? He's buying Bitcoin because he's
- 8:09thinking about it 13 years from now at today's prices.
- 8:13I walk in here right now as bitcoins crashing, I'm
- 8:17comfortable say out loud, I'm buying Bitcoin left and right
- 8:19the last 48 hours 'cause I'm at cost averaging out like it was a
- 8:23bucket and a quarter it's 68,000.
- 8:25It can go down to 30,000. If I said here right now y'all
- 8:28you have to buy Bitcoin and you guys air this tomorrow, I'm sure
- 8:30you have a process but if you did and it goes from 68 to 42
- 8:34people to be mad at me, but I'm saying 68 by now for 13 years.
- 8:38From now and if you're like Gary Vee and you're thinking about
- 8:41Bitcoin for 13 years, well, you don't want to sell your Bitcoin.
- 8:43So work with the leader, like letting so that you can unlock
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- 9:01They'd never lost a single cent or set of customer money.
- 9:04It's because they have responsible lending standards.
- 9:06They only let you borrow up to 50% loan to value.
- 9:08So if you want a $1000 loan, you have to post $2000 in Bitcoin
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- 9:23One of the ways you could be sovereign in your Bitcoin
- 9:25journey is by running a Bitcoin node.
- 9:27But don't go at it alone. Get a coach from the team at the
- 9:30Bitcoin Way. They will walk you through step
- 9:32by step how to run your own node, become your own bank and
- 9:34do so privately. Save safely, confidently and
- 9:36securely holding your own keys so that you're prepared for the
- 9:40future in whatever future that may be.
- 9:42Scheduled a free 30 minute meeting with the team at the
- 9:44bitcoinway.com/simply Bitcoin. Back to Gary Vee, I love his
- 9:48long term mindset and I didn't realize that he was such a
- 9:51Bitcoin proponent. In a recent conversation with
- 9:53Cam Newton, he said that if you gave him 100K, he's putting at
- 9:56least 10 to 15% in Bitcoin. I got $100,000.
- 10:02Knowing what you know, where should I invest it?
- 10:06That's a really timely question. First of all, it depend.
- 10:10Biggest issue, especially with youth culture is I got 100,000
- 10:15and I want a million tomorrow and that's why people lose their
- 10:19money. What's up my man?
- 10:21And so I would say that there's a couple ways to think about it.
- 10:25It's ironic that you asked me right this second at a time that
- 10:28Bitcoin is getting its face beaten big bitcoins at 60
- 10:32something 1000 on an asset that I think is this generations gold
- 10:38to one of the places to divvy up a little of that 100,000
- 10:41especially today, not four months ago, but today a little
- 10:451015 K into Bitcoin excites me. So when markets reset and
- 10:50there's dislocations in the market, you have to understand
- 10:52that bad investors have their emotions go up and down and they
- 10:55make bad decisions. But the great investors, they
- 10:58don't ride their emotions or their motivations.
- 11:01They ride their discipline. This is a great clip from
- 11:03Ukrainian boxer Alexander Yusick, who talks about the
- 11:06difference between motivation and discipline.
- 11:09Listen bro, I don't have motivation.
- 11:11I have discipline, motivation. It's temporary.
- 11:20Today, for example, today you have motivation.
- 11:26Tomorrow, wake up early, you don't have motivation.
- 11:30But when I wake up early morning in training, I never have
- 11:37motivation. I have only discipline.
- 11:40By the dip, don't have motivation, have discipline,
- 11:43continue to execute whether it's an upmarket or a down market
- 11:46because over the four year term, in the long term, 13 years from
- 11:49now, like Gary Vee says, Bitcoin is going to be the asset that is
- 11:52going to be the new digital goal.
- 11:54So ignore what the haters are saying like Aunt Jemima Kelly
- 11:57and Ben McKenzie, focus on the future and focus on the long
- 12:00term. And one of the ways that you can
- 12:02do that is by buying Bitcoin through Bitcoin mining.
- 12:04Bitcoin mining sounds complicated.
- 12:06That is when you try to do everything yourself, buying
- 12:08machines, finding power, doing the repairs.
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- 12:29you can be disciplined in bear markets like this.
- 12:32This is Dante Cook with Bitcoin. Simply happy stacking.