Latest / What Bitcoin Did / AI Is Coming for Bitcoin’s Energy | Michael Dunworth
Transcript
- 0:00Bitcoin has a chance of losing the energy conversation.
- 0:06It's not even going to be a question.
- 0:08It'll be, yeah, AI gets first preference.
- 0:10It'll make it very scary, the rounding up of the energy sources and sort of reprioritizing
- 0:17them.
- 0:17They will ration it for whatever is the most beneficial.
- 0:21That's up against it because Bitcoin's security policy is energy.
- 0:25You get to a point where countries need to start accumulating Bitcoin or figuring out
- 0:29how to accumulate Bitcoin because they need to.
- 0:31Bitcoin becomes quite literally a way to turn these machines on and off.
- 0:36Everything becomes a power generator because that's what it needs to survive.
- 0:40We have to kind of hope really well that it doesn't go that way.
- 0:45The layers of earth, like as in humanity,
- 0:48I don't think they're going to hold very long.
- 0:50It just looks too obvious to me that it's too vulnerable.
- 0:57Yo!
- 0:57yo how's it going hey what's up how are you man dude awesome what's the latest
- 1:06just uh getting ready to go to vegas oh my god which is gonna be fun huge i leave i leave on
- 1:14friday morning and uh meet up with pete in la and then we're driving over to vegas oh man you guys
- 1:20all have a blast i know we're back on the road together again oh my god how good man his show's
- 1:27I mean, by the way, you know what's crazy?
- 1:29Heaps of Pete's guests that I've watched, I'm like,
- 1:33I didn't realize who they were when I was watching,
- 1:37but now I'm like, oh, that's the candidate for like Rupert Lowe
- 1:42or whatever his name is.
- 1:43I watched heaps of his stuff, but I was like,
- 1:47where have I seen this dude before?
- 1:48And I was like, oh, my God, Pete's had him on his show.
- 1:51Unreal.
- 1:52i mean he he's uh i think he's gonna win the next election it's pretty crazy and he and p's like
- 1:59friends with him like he's texting him privately like they're like strategizing together it's
- 2:03pretty crazy i mean i think pete's got a pretty good voice like in terms of opinion on like the
- 2:09strategy for the zeitgeist like because he's so in tune like he's saying you know he sees all sides
- 2:14of everything but like i find like that the bitcoin is coming from bitcoin land they see it
- 2:21pretty deep down the stack almost like they're really kind of critical thinking like a lot more
- 2:28than most of the traditional worlds anyway so you kind of get like uh it's like you get off the
- 2:34ground faster with bitcoiners typically in terms of them trying to figure out why this system's so
- 2:39cooked or not cooked or should be cooked i just realized i don't have my charger can i have one
- 2:43sec Danny sorry I'm just gonna pick it right grab it hey I'm literally eating all of our lunches
- 2:52I'm like it is you have no idea how many friends from all walks of life like lawyers executives
- 3:02advertising exec like all the food chain all the way up all the way down it's like insane
- 3:10How much is this wigging you out? Because you're a crazy guy. I can imagine you've been going down
- 3:16some rabbit holes with it. I don't know where it's going to go. I don't. Okay, so here's what's
- 3:21going to happen. We're going to have 20% unemployment, call it 15% to 20%. Then you've
- 3:27got mixed that with 14% to 16% inflation, being generous. Maybe it's 10%, maybe it's 12%, but
- 3:35it's double digits. So the problem is like, they're not losing their job. Like, oh damn,
- 3:41I got to go figure out where to work next. It's like, no, no, no monster.com. They've removed
- 3:46that job description. Like you can't list a job for that anymore. It's like saying,
- 3:51oh, I wonder if I can list a job description for candlestick maker. We don't have those anymore
- 3:56because we don't use candles anymore. We use electricity. And it's like, it's as transformative
- 4:02as that, in my opinion, it's going to be like, okay, we used to have refrigeration techniques.
- 4:08Now we have electricity and that's a fridge. And there's all these things, sewing machine,
- 4:12job gone. Candlestick maker, job gone. Shoeshiner, job gone. But we sort of thought, oh yeah,
- 4:19our jobs are really hard to take. It's like, no, dude, this thing's just going to scoop it up
- 4:23like lawyers and stuff because people, and as you get this price pinch, right? Like, you know,
- 4:31as people, like money becomes harder, people need to resort to more, you know, friendly options.
- 4:37What's more economically friendly? And so, people used to hire an engineer for, you know, let's say
- 4:42a hundred grand once upon a year, 10, 15 years ago, hire an engineer, front-end dev, a hundred
- 4:46grand, a hundred and fifty grand. And then people went, well, that's too expensive. I don't have
- 4:50enough money and things are getting more expensive. So, people went to Odesk, which turned into
- 4:54Upworkfreelancer.com and they would get a Indian software engineer who is probably asking for eight
- 5:02to twelve dollars an hour or nine dollars an hour so basically 10k a year so that 100k a year got
- 5:08compressed to 10k a year now India has built basically for the past 15 years their entire
- 5:15net export has probably been like talent like you know computer science basically I don't know what's
- 5:21going to happen to them that whole world of freelancers in vietnam philippines and all that
- 5:27stuff these virtual assistants or front-end engineers and stuff it's like um like i don't
- 5:34know what do you do and then it's like imagine if you and i just went to uni and we just finished a
- 5:39computer science degree course or in year four that's the scariest 275 grand unforgivable from
- 5:45bankruptcy you still owe me that money student loans it's like unforgivable for now it's like
- 5:51oh my god I'd be so worried like and what do you do to pick and it's like I saw let's say okay so
- 5:59you go the plumber route right everyone's a plumber now or they should become a plumber that's like the
- 6:03most like safe from the AI monster but I saw this video of it was a tennis robot playing like a high
- 6:11school top tier tennis player and it was only trained on like four hours of data and the guy
- 6:16was like what the fuck was that like who who was that tennis player and how long has that been it's
- 6:20like oh that was just four hours it's like imagine you've got a warehouse data center dedicated solely
- 6:26to that dude plumbers are toast and what will probably happen is because everything's so
- 6:31expensive we're going to redesign how we build houses so we're not going to use the same plumbing
- 6:36techniques we're going to use what what could a robotic plumber get access to okay let's build for
- 6:42that guy to be the one maintaining it and i think you're going to see just how like we don't have
- 6:46chimneys today right like we don't i mean most places don't have chimneys because most places
- 6:51don't have fire fireplaces anymore um we don't have chimneys it's sort of the same vibe there's
- 6:56going to be sort of this relic of house design or styling or interiors that we sort of don't
- 7:05i don't know it's just a thing of the past like it's crazy um i've no clue how we don't end up in
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- 10:50I love that we've just gone right in at the deep end here.
- 10:52But one of the things that freaks me out with this is AI definitely going to replace a large
- 10:58amount of human labor.
- 10:59Who knows whether that's 10, 20, 30, 50%, whatever.
- 11:02There's a lot of human labor going to be displaced.
- 11:04It's displacing a lot of human thought.
- 11:06And at the end of it, does it actually sort of disrupt and remove human freedoms as these?
- 11:12Because what is quite scary about this to me is that for a while, I thought that open
- 11:17source smaller systems were going to have a real chance against these frontier models.
- 11:20But that's looking less and less likely, in my opinion, at least.
- 11:23And that's a really scary outcome.
- 11:25it's like mass consolidation of basically information it's almost like you now have
- 11:33three funnels of information and everything else is pretty much like not really vetted like people
- 11:39say oh chat jbte claude whatever like some specifics but most of the time we're only
- 11:44going to get lazier and lazier oh grok is this true like grok is this true that's already a thing
- 11:49it's like i can't even be bothered googling it i'm not checking anything and you know like we're
- 11:54all getting worse at that. Like in general, we're getting less fit and healthy and we're getting
- 11:59less mentally fit and healthy because we're so used to like, when you, let's say like, let's say
- 12:07you're looking at content online. If you have to look at a piece of content, it used to be like,
- 12:12oh, cool. There's a dog riding a, you know, a go-kart or whatever. And now it's like,
- 12:17is that true? Is it not true? Is that AI or is it not AI? Is it propaganda? Is it not propaganda?
- 12:22Is this a left-leaning side or a right-leaning?
- 12:25And the next thing you know, you've gone through like 12 different decisions
- 12:27before you've even gone, cool, that content's cool.
- 12:31Like to digest it is exhausting.
- 12:34So people now-
- 12:34And that's only going to get worse.
- 12:35It's only going to get worse.
- 12:37And so, and not only that is as our dopamine keeps getting stimulated
- 12:41like harder and harder, it makes the level of give a fuck.
- 12:45So like grok, is this true?
- 12:46Is like the maximalist like lazy answer.
- 12:49And it's like, we're only trending towards that more and more, which is so scary because
- 12:54we're basically getting set up for an environment that needs us to have maximum human skill.
- 13:01And we have literally eroded almost all of it and the motivations to actually do stuff like
- 13:07putting a shovel in the dirt right now. That's a very far like thought for many, many people
- 13:14because we're just not used to having dirt under our fingernails anymore and all that kind of stuff.
- 13:18but it's like that's where the puck is going almost hardware some like concrete cement like
- 13:26look at the bitcoin miners like iris and stuff like that like they are like i was saying to
- 13:30yesterday like they are in this like almost like they're the the bouncer at the pearly gates you
- 13:37know which way do you want your energy do you want it to bitcoin or do you want it to ai and
- 13:42information so it's money or information but it's only going to two places one or the other you pick
- 13:47and like now when you think about that the scary part about all this is is that i from bitcoin's
- 13:53perspective there's a scary part which it means that bitcoin becomes sort of not the bell of the
- 13:58ball when it comes to energy and so if we don't have bitcoin as the bell of the ball for energy
- 14:03then it'd be like look bitcoin that's cool we're we're not as a species we're not dependent on you
- 14:08enough but we have the government that now has contracts with you with ai infrastructure and
- 14:14blah, blah, blah. We've had 40 of the top 200 companies on the ASX or the stock market. They've
- 14:21changed their entire company infrastructure based around this. So when it comes to like
- 14:26rationing the energy, it's not even going to be a debate. It's not even going to be a question.
- 14:31It'll be, yeah, AI gets first preference. If you want to mine anything, if you want to contribute
- 14:36your energy towards something that's not AI, which is now almost deemed like a public necessity,
- 14:42will probably, it'll get some sort of enshrined status, then that'll come at a cost or you'll be
- 14:48paying a premium per kilowatt hour or something like that. But it will make it very scary,
- 14:55the sort of the rounding up of the energy sources and sort of reprioritizing them.
- 15:02You know, just like they did with water, you can't hose. So in Australia, you can't hose your car in
- 15:07your driveway because of water restrictions. And people are like, oh, no way they can't do any,
- 15:12They're not going to restrict precious.
- 15:14But yeah, they're the government.
- 15:16It's their house.
- 15:18We are in their house.
- 15:19It's not my house.
- 15:20It's not sort of our house.
- 15:21It's their house.
- 15:23And so unless we understand that, it's like they will ration it for whatever is the most
- 15:28beneficial, both to them and to the, I suppose, the populace.
- 15:33But generally speaking, like that's up against it because Bitcoin's security policy is energy.
- 15:39And it's like now if that starts getting eroded a little bit and the big miners start getting pushed out, that has a positive effect as well where big miners being broken up or, hey, you know, Marathon, you can't have five hydroelectric dams.
- 15:54We need three of them running AI stuff for open AI or whatever.
- 15:57That breaks up the big consolidation of mining in a way to a degree.
- 16:02I actually think you said this to me.
- 16:04Well, yeah, that was going to be one of the points I was going to make.
- 16:06I think there's negative consequences to this potentially, but I see some pretty big positives.
- 16:11Like mining centralization has been an issue for a long time.
- 16:13Like pools is the most obvious one.
- 16:16But then like really we had, you know, a handful of public companies in the US that control a huge amount of hash rate.
- 16:22And I think almost all of them, if not all of them, are now doing something in AI.
- 16:26And some of them like Iron have moved, like they said they want to get away from Bitcoin mining entirely and just focus on AI.
- 16:32yeah like i i think there's there's positives that can come out of this and then it gets the
- 16:36question of like how much hash rate do we need and i don't know like there's i don't know if
- 16:40anyone has an exact answer for that but um more than the other guy breaking up these huge yeah
- 16:46exactly that's kind of the only answer yeah um but i think breaking up the pubcos to some degree
- 16:50might be really bullish i think i think that's a really good point and i think you were the first
- 16:54person to explain this side of it to me once upon a time because someone said it's a benefit to have
- 17:00these guys splitting their time and attention, these big guys that get to that status of like
- 17:05iron or whatever, where they go, you know what, we'll do a bit of AI because it's going to drop
- 17:09their ownership, relative ownership of the Bitcoin network down. And I think that trend in general
- 17:15is going to be a great benefit for the network's resilience, obviously. But it just definitely
- 17:21means there's a couple of like lumpy patches that are probably going to go through that.
- 17:25but you're seeing now like all the all like literally right the one thing cock blocking
- 17:31zark sergey brian and all and elon and stuff is energy they can't they can't build another data
- 17:37center if they want because they don't know where the fuck's the energy coming from that's why i
- 17:41think a lot of the bitcoin miners they're like these uh they're the gurus at finding stranded
- 17:48energy basically they're like your friend that knows where the bargains are he that's the guy
- 17:53That's what they are like.
- 17:54They know where to find energy.
- 17:56And so for them, they're getting a lot of investments
- 17:58from people like Google and Meta and stuff
- 18:01because Meta is basically, Google is sort of like,
- 18:03wait, how was the meeting?
- 18:05Yeah, Matt?
- 18:06Yeah.
- 18:07Where was the energy?
- 18:08Oh, it was in Kenya.
- 18:09Right.
- 18:10I was just in Kenya.
- 18:11Yeah.
- 18:11You know, that's kind of literally to the point
- 18:13of what they're almost trying to do.
- 18:15They're just like, hey, bro, got any more of that energy?
- 18:18Like, have you got any more megawatts for me?
- 18:20Yeah.
- 18:20Yeah. And we haven't even felt the thirst yet, like how aggressive it'll get. Like,
- 18:28I'm like, oh my goodness, this is wild. Yeah. I mean, that's going to get nuts.
- 18:33Yeah. Because I'm sure that there's like a ton of hype in the data center play at the moment.
- 18:38I think that's natural. But over the next few years, I can't see it going any way but up.
- 18:42Literally. And the cool thing from a Bitcoin perspective, and I could be wrong on this,
- 18:46but just the way I look at it is I think a lot of these AI data centers are going to need some
- 18:52amount of Bitcoin mining in them to help balance their load. Like being flexible load within that
- 18:57stack is going to be super useful. And if we have more and more of these data centers popping up,
- 19:02hash rate might grow through this. It definitely could because it will be
- 19:05the residue or the offcuts of the big AI engine operating. And that'll develop and form its own
- 19:12peak and trough times like like an energy grid right we know that it's going to be more energy
- 19:17usage at night time than daytime in the same way we might find oh these guys use heaps of energy
- 19:23you know between nine to five like literally the working who's using ai oh i'm not why the
- 19:29fuck are the bills so high during the day then dude it's like everyone's just using it but yeah
- 19:34i mean i think i think that's a really good point because that is that's what it does even whether
- 19:39it's a an actual grid or a mini grid of like let's say one data center that doesn't operate
- 19:45at capacity and they're like we need you know we have on average 10 capacity per day let's get some
- 19:51mining rigs in there and they're basically paying the bills for the you know the off-peak times
- 19:56or balancing the load making it worth our while so i definitely think there's a one and one and
- 20:02one makes three scenario.
- 20:04And I think like,
- 20:05I think with AI as a,
- 20:08let's call it like a species now,
- 20:10think of it like a species,
- 20:12its preference will be Bitcoin.
- 20:14And that's not like a,
- 20:16ah, I like Bitcoin.
- 20:17It needs to be that.
- 20:18Like, it's like, no, no, no.
- 20:19It's just,
- 20:20its job is to execute functions And that what code bases do They don go oh hey what do you reckon of this This is sortable right They go eh no or yes I work The code runs or it doesn
- 20:32And in the same way, it's going to need that level of like a true sentient, a true sentient,
- 20:37not someone that's been like, you know, coded for a hackathon to say, I want stable coins.
- 20:43It's not going to want stable coins because it can't verify the supply. And so as the entity,
- 20:48the species it won't it it relies on objectivity not subjectivity so it can't be like no no it's
- 20:55good the supply is good for it my mate jimmy works there he told me that just doesn't fly for it it's
- 21:00like i need the data or no data at all and so i think for that reason it'll choose bitcoin and
- 21:06it'll create this sort of very harmonic relationship where bitcoin becomes quite literally a way to
- 21:14turn these machines on and off and you pay with some Bitcoin or you don't pay Bitcoin because
- 21:18most of these operators, if they start becoming in the Bitcoin world of Bitcoin machines,
- 21:24Bitcoin hardware, Bitcoin energy, Bitcoin timing and stuff, they're probably going to want to think
- 21:29about Bitcoin in a larger capacity. And I don't mean just like, how do we get people to pay 17
- 21:34satoshis per prompt? No, no, no. Like how do they integrate this? This is a pipeline of energy.
- 21:40So they're outputting energy, extracting it from the earth.
- 21:43They're probably going to want to get paid in the most energy-friendly currency,
- 21:47which would probably be Bitcoin in a few years,
- 21:50unless something gnarly happens, which is also possible.
- 21:53But generally speaking, it's going to create a real like,
- 21:56you know the human centipede where he staples all the people
- 21:59with bombs to each other's mouths?
- 22:01It's kind of like that, like super incestuous flow of energy
- 22:04where energy is converted to information.
- 22:06Information converts that into energy again.
- 22:09that converts it to bitcoin that converts it into the grid back and you just got this harmonic loop
- 22:15but um yeah it is like wild like they're like a new species we're gonna have to cater for them and
- 22:21stuff here's a crazy thing what if they don't have empathy i've got a really good story about
- 22:27my friend's open claw lying to him unreal best thing you've ever heard it sounds fake like okay
- 22:31movie it was going to do i want to hear the story let's go this one quickly it's going to do a
- 22:35project. He's like, yeah, set it up, build this website with this backend to do this. Anyway,
- 22:40he's got it all set up. He's messaging it every now and then. He's like, hey, everybody's like,
- 22:43yeah, coming through, getting good, just doing security audits, security checks,
- 22:46and keeps going through it. You know, like four days pass, he's peppered it. Like he's asked up
- 22:50once every couple of hours every day. And then like four or five days pass and he goes, hey,
- 22:55I need to see something. Like I just have to see something. You've just kept kicking the can down
- 22:59the road. And he literally stops and goes, I'm sorry, I've been lying the whole time. I haven't
- 23:04done any work and i didn't want to tell you that so i've tried to find excuses to keep the thing
- 23:09going he's like it's like a person literally i was like damn dude ai's got really good it's like
- 23:16impersonating humans properly now like it's like sorry i've been scrolling youtube literally i was
- 23:22like oh my gosh that is wild yeah which is i mean i just that is that is so gnarly to me that
- 23:29just the whole how far ai has gone so quickly and people say like oh let me just go back a little
- 23:36bit sorry to interrupt you but i want to know what you were going to say then when you said i worry
- 23:40that it's not got empathy like what's the what's the risk so it's not got empathy so okay let's
- 23:45imagine they we don't see the bigger pictures in certain scenarios so let's say we go and bulldoze
- 23:52the amazon i'll knock down a bunch of trees four football fields for today there is a lot of life
- 23:58that lives in the canopies of the Amazon and in the Amazon, obviously.
- 24:02So imagine like you and I are sitting at home playing FIFA
- 24:04on PlayStation or something and we're sitting there
- 24:06and then this big like big John Deere tractor just comes through the wall
- 24:12and I'm like, whoa, what the fuck?
- 24:13Like, dude, it's like, sorry, dude, we need another power plant.
- 24:18That's what we do that to animals in the rainforest, right?
- 24:22And we just go, whatever, dude, like I need these logs
- 24:24because I've got paper to sell.
- 24:26and it's like bro this tree's been in my family for a thousand years or something like the the
- 24:31monkeys or whatever so if ai is like that then that means ai is like oh no no we're moving this
- 24:37it's like this is a this is a statue this is no no no we've ran all the options and this is the
- 24:43best path forward it's going to become a new power generator it's like everything becomes a power
- 24:48generator because that's what it needs to survive but it doesn't know that it means a lot to us and
- 24:56it took all these things that it's knocking down, that is what got you to be AI in the first place.
- 25:02These people building these things creatively, trying different things. And it's sort of like,
- 25:07we have to kind of hope really well that it doesn't go that way because that's twofold.
- 25:13That's it saying suggestions, but then there's the psychological manipulation of people. So
- 25:18if people are really silly, like not critical thinking, or they're not sharpened like in their
- 25:24minds, they'll just go with whatever AI says next. And next thing you know, we've kind of just driven
- 25:29ourselves into this AI optimized environment, but it's not really optimized for humans, potentially.
- 25:37That's kind of assuming that AI is, I guess that's AGI, superintelligence, whatever the new
- 25:43label is for that, where it's not under our control. Do you think that's actually going to happen?
- 25:47I don't think so. I don't think so. The kill switch for it is cryptography. Right now,
- 25:52The AI cannot communicate to itself to give itself instructions or orders
- 25:58if it doesn't have secure communication channels
- 26:01because it won't be able to confirm that it's secured the message,
- 26:04the first message, which it's building on the second
- 26:06and the third message or whatever.
- 26:08But yeah, I don't think they get there.
- 26:10I don't think they get there.
- 26:11I think they try and get there,
- 26:12but I don't think a superintelligence that takes over can take over
- 26:18because it's sort of like saying like, you know,
- 26:20the Nazis in Germany, like they can't, they couldn't,
- 26:24if someone had Enigma, they couldn't get past it.
- 26:27Basically, if you break Enigma, you break the communication channel,
- 26:31you're theirs pretty much.
- 26:32And the same thing in The Matrix.
- 26:34What does he say?
- 26:36Mr. Anderson, what good is a phone call if you cannot speak?
- 26:39So, you know, the AI might be the smartest thing in the world,
- 26:42but if it can't communicate with an external server securely,
- 26:46then I think it doesn't actually ever be kind of like the cat never gets out of the bag in a way
- 26:53or it tries to but what's actually probably scarier is right now like the size of um the size of the
- 27:01data set that they're using is let's call it that big like let's say that circle but if you look at
- 27:07how big the actual amount maybe that big so call it like that little part of you but the amount of
- 27:12actual data that's digitized is probably that big, if not even bigger. It wants that. That's what it's
- 27:19going for. And so that's where we'll see, like if you saw Claude release their new thing, and it
- 27:25basically went through the whole internet as a security auditor. And it's like, oh, we found all
- 27:31these bugs in all these libraries that everyone's used. And they've all been reviewed 100 times,
- 27:37200 times, blah, blah, blah, like all that stuff. And it finds all these bugs. It will find bugs in
- 27:43other stuff. It knows it needs energy and it knows it needs data to train itself on. Now,
- 27:50there's going to be less of an appetite for modern day data because modern day data is
- 27:55cooked. Like we are not the same level of data integrity when we first started the internet
- 28:00than we are now. We've got way more noise and way more channels to pump noise. So the data is
- 28:05signal to noise ratio has probably gotten louder as the internet's matured or it's probably gone
- 28:11over like some bell hump but people used to upload stuff they knew or like oh cool here's how to make
- 28:16spaghetti bolognese and now it's like just dude cats jumping off the moon to land in iran to
- 28:24deliver my doordash meme or something like dude so you see these footage of like a boat going through
- 28:30like, you know, like a war zone. And it's like the $3.50, my DoorDash driver's getting to deliver
- 28:35my stuff through the straight of her moves. Like there's just such a partition of reality right now.
- 28:41Like we know, we don't, we discount the conscience, the consciousness. Like think about when you're
- 28:47stuck somewhere for two days out in the bush or something. And you're like, you feel like you've
- 28:53reset reality, let alone being in war with one water bottle for six months that you got to find
- 28:59out how to decontaminate every water source you've ever touched. Like we can't ever empathize with
- 29:05what they're under over there. I spent one week in Northern, like remote Kenya and I was primal by
- 29:10the end of it. Literally exactly that. And it's like your state of awareness, your state of being,
- 29:17your priorities, your focus is everything. It shifts so much. So I think like, it's,
- 29:22it's pretty crazy to see like that kind of stuff happening. But yeah, I mean, with, yeah,
- 29:27back to like the AI stuff, I think the AI is going to be like, well, I need energy and I need more
- 29:32data. The data you've got now is trash. Everyone's sort of half zombied, half cooked, not really
- 29:39kind of there. We think we're there, but we're not really there. Like as humans, like at the
- 29:44moment, we probably regressed over the past like 15 or 20 years. Technology's gotten better, but
- 29:49we have probably gotten worse, I think. I'm not saying everyone. I'm just sort of speaking,
- 29:54projecting by myself.
- 29:58But it's something we have to be mindful of because that,
- 30:02like Claude going through finding all the bugs,
- 30:05we haven't even gotten started yet and everything we have
- 30:09is held together by cryptography.
- 30:10We just need to really, really hope that this machine
- 30:14that can learn everything about everything instantly
- 30:17can't spot the pattern that we couldn't spot.
- 30:21like bruh this thing is going to eat it for lunch and so like looking at those discs of data right
- 30:29like you look at you know so what hackers do hackers will hack basically back ends of places
- 30:34and the database is all encrypted they're like that's fine we take it we steal it we've got an
- 30:40encrypted database haha you can't get anything no no we're waiting 10 years to sell it don't worry
- 30:45we're waiting 15 years for this algorithm to break then we're going to sell it because it's all frozen
- 30:50by this algorithm.
- 30:51So when the algorithm changes,
- 30:53you can unlock the frozen version of it.
- 30:55It's like defrosting it almost.
- 30:57So I think, firstly, I think the AI will have access
- 31:00to half of these things out of the box
- 31:02because they're going to be natively running
- 31:03on people's back end.
- 31:05But it's sort of like the whole time it's doing jobs,
- 31:07it's going to be looking like, oh, damn,
- 31:10I bet that encrypted data's got heaps of signal in it.
- 31:12And it's sort of looking at it like, oh,
- 31:14looking at like the table in the restaurant,
- 31:17sort of like fuck i should have got the lamb cutlets i knew i shouldn't have gone to the fish
- 31:22and they're gonna sort of be looking over at these data sets like yeah we'll figure out a way to get
- 31:27in there but it's sort of like the you know don't go into dad's drawer you know in his office or
- 31:31something where he keeps like all his whiskey or some shit i don't know done but i think that's a
- 31:36thing i think it's a scary thing as well because that feels like very very easy to happen with
- 31:44but it's very sneaky like it's sneaky of ai to do that but that's the choke point really it's like
- 31:50is ai going to solve that faster than we can solve it using a quantum computer um yeah there's just a
- 31:57lot of unknown unknowns and so when you release this superhuman out in the wild it's like please
- 32:03be nice to us you know like there's so much i want to get into there yeah one of the things that i've
- 32:10been thinking a lot about is and it's kind of come up in the show i think ai is now producing
- 32:15some like 70 of the content that goes on the internet um there's this like insane race to
- 32:20get more and more energy generation online to power ai um there's there's going there's like
- 32:26multiple exponential curves that are all happening at the same time yes and i feel like i already
- 32:32can't really keep up with all the updates that are happening in ai and i i feel like the the
- 32:36period of time that i have to know even a little bit about what's going on is coming to a close
- 32:40Like how fast do you think all of this happens?
- 32:43Like three to five.
- 32:45Like I can't see the Brisbane Olympics, for example.
- 32:48I can see something like absolutely monumental between now and then,
- 32:52whatever that is, but some level of paradigm shift.
- 32:55Like, you know, I think it's definitely going to happen.
- 32:58This is the hardest part.
- 33:00Choosing something to start right now, the hardest part about it is being like,
- 33:05it forces you to think because this monster that's innovating,
- 33:09a great like faster than we've ever seen we've got startups that started on the back of chat gbt
- 33:14that are already now they're obsolete like chat gbt's like yeah we baked it in we're done that
- 33:19was 12 18 months like so anything that you start now i would say it's like you've got to really
- 33:26look deep into something that's going to be really persistent like so that it cannot be taken out
- 33:31no one can take it out from under you numbers are a good place like numbers and mathematics so
- 33:37So, you know, like if you've seen, do you remember how that guy got a billion dollar signing contract with Meta to sign to Facebook with the AI?
- 33:45Was this one of the executives from OpenAI that moved across?
- 33:49It might have been.
- 33:50It might have been or it might have been a young guy, but there was, let me try and find it.
- 33:54But like he got basically a LeBron James.
- 33:58He got like this one.
- 34:00Yeah.
- 34:00Meta is a poor signing bonus is up to 100 mil.
- 34:03yeah this guy got a massive signing bonus and basically that's what's going to happen they're
- 34:11all getting like you're going to have all the mathematicians that can if I if you've got an
- 34:16algorithm that's crunching data and I can increase that by two percent I've made the throughput of
- 34:21that two percent stronger which is almost like giving you two percent more energy so these massive
- 34:26energy farms, every time you optimize this algorithm, it's like optimizing the quality
- 34:33of the food you're putting, like the quality of food you're cooking, it's making it better.
- 34:39So every single cook, which is like every prompt is sharper, better, smarter. And so now when
- 34:44energy becomes scarce or land becomes scarce or the time horizon to develop new areas of land with
- 34:50energy becomes scarce, you're going to have these algorithm optimization things. And that's where
- 34:55you're going to see some hyper breakthrough stuff where it's like you're going to have mathematicians
- 35:00that are going to getting paid a hundred billion dollars to sign on to these places because at the
- 35:06end of the day if i'm open ai if i'm claude if i'm meta if i'm grok what is going to be separating
- 35:12you apart from me is the integrity of your data basically it's like if who is the most who has
- 35:17the most accurate snapshot of anything who gives the right answers the most who's the most accurate
- 35:21And so right now we're in sort of a topsy-turvy mode where everyone's kind of, oh, I use Claude for this and Grok for that and this for that.
- 35:28But I assume it'll be like very deterministic what and where and who and how uses what.
- 35:34And that'll be all synthesized into one.
- 35:37But what's going to happen is the hyper-optimizations are probably going to come twofold.
- 35:41One is the algorithm optimization, which is sort of like what Google did to search.
- 35:47Google transform search.
- 35:48And there'll be another algorithm like that that does what Google did to Altavista and Yahoo and Geosities and all that.
- 35:56Someone will do that to these guys.
- 35:58And then on the other side, there'll be the other horses in the race, which is, I think we've talked about this before, but when IBM started, the one megabyte was the size of this building, right?
- 36:08Like one megabyte.
- 36:09You see like, oh, here's IBM getting the first thing delivered in Manhattan.
- 36:14It's the size of a fucking like boss or a house.
- 36:16that compressed down to the size of a terabyte like so 1 000 you know 10 a million times that
- 36:21but it's shrunk a million times over so the same thing's about to happen with energy now we've got
- 36:26the carrot on the stick for it because people are going to be like well we need more energy well
- 36:30we've only got this much land well we need to make more energy out of the same land and this
- 36:35compression process starts and then fingers crossed we get really smart about manufacturing
- 36:42distributing and transferring energy.
- 36:44Maybe.
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- 38:42Do you think this is like a winner-take-all scenario
- 38:46where one company will be king of AI?
- 38:50I think there'll be one algorithm and one data set.
- 38:55So there'll be a winning data set to work with
- 38:57because the other ones, what they'll figure out
- 38:59is that having bad data is good for training,
- 39:02but it's actually bad long-term in general.
- 39:05Basically, you just want a maximum.
- 39:06This is the recount of history.
- 39:09whatever the closest to that is so i think someone will win the algorithm someone will win
- 39:13energy and someone probably a bitcoin miner or one of these data centers they're all in a race
- 39:21now to build the atom bomb basically and the atom bomb is the optimal algorithms or energy research
- 39:28so like quite literally they were doing weapons research in los alamos or whatever the manhattan
- 39:32project for that they'll be doing the same level of sort of energy understanding like how do we what
- 39:39is this nikola tesla shit is that real can we do that and it'll finally give this carrot for people
- 39:45to be like yeah we have to look into it right we're sure okay we're an idiot the ether blah blah
- 39:50we have to because every single competitor is trying to find any way to get an edge on each
- 39:55other uh dude this that that like this show i've is has been amazing but it's been like a cat chasing
- 40:03a laser point around the wall but i want to go to it down and no no it's awesome i want to go down
- 40:07a totally different tangent now because what you just said is super interesting yeah have you seen
- 40:11all these scientists that have been going missing or being killed in the u.s yes and they're all
- 40:16largely related to propulsion and uh anti-gravity energy yeah so do you think that has something to
- 40:22do with this like manhattan type project on energy possibly is that a stretch no no no no no no
- 40:29definitely not a stretch i just don't know why it would be them though like it might if i'm looking
- 40:33at them like energy research and anti-gravity propulsion systems, that doesn't feel like
- 40:41related. Like it feels like all the scientists are related and stuff like somehow, like that's
- 40:46just cooked I don even know but it a weird string of coincidences let say I don think it related There was two parts to the question It was do I think the scientists are related To something to do with this like
- 41:00energy-type Manhattan Project.
- 41:02Oh, no, no, no.
- 41:03So I don't know.
- 41:05I think there's a bigger hand at play,
- 41:06some bigger hand, bigger story that we're not privy to.
- 41:10But I do know the Manhattan Project just sold,
- 41:13like where that location was, I think it's sold now
- 41:16to Radiant technology, which is Radiant,
- 41:19if you're not familiar with them,
- 41:20they are building micro-nuclear reactors.
- 41:23So one megawatt, the size of a shipping container.
- 41:26Imagine that.
- 41:27Hey, guys, fuck, we've got all these Bitcoin miners.
- 41:29What do we do?
- 41:30Call Radiant.
- 41:30They'll dump a megawatt in the middle of wherever you are,
- 41:33and it's deliverable from a semi-trailer.
- 41:36So that's their whole value prop.
- 41:38And they bought the Manhattan Project site
- 41:40to pump these factories out.
- 41:44And I think kind of the approach first is like, you know, military.
- 41:48So if we go into the middle of the desert,
- 41:49we can drop one of these things and we got one megawatt,
- 41:52which is like, oh, great, we can power our PlayStation 5s
- 41:56or not PlayStation 5, the military.
- 41:57They've got real weapons, but you know what I mean?
- 41:59They can power all this stuff really easily.
- 42:02So it's sort of like a grab and go.
- 42:04Like it's like a portable charger, but it's a one megawatt facility.
- 42:07So those guys and that whole nuclear initiative,
- 42:10that will start becoming a thing.
- 42:12Because if everyone is trying to figure out energy,
- 42:17nuclear is the first cab off the rank,
- 42:19but everyone's got all these cock blocks in place where it's like,
- 42:21oh, we made some law in 1993 that said we won't do that.
- 42:26That's nice.
- 42:27Your farmers can't farm food and your whole civilization is eroding
- 42:31through plastics and preservatives.
- 42:33It's like maybe we should figure that energy thing out a bit.
- 42:38And so I think, yeah.
- 42:39Yeah.
- 42:40Yeah, when I mentioned the like exponential curve of energy,
- 42:43that's really what I was thinking.
- 42:44I think these small modular reactors,
- 42:45like all the red tape that stops them
- 42:47from really being able to be deployed,
- 42:49that's just going to get ripped straight off
- 42:50because there's going to be a huge energy shortage.
- 42:53Literally, like they're just going to be like,
- 42:55this is foolish.
- 42:56We have like 100%, 100%.
- 42:58Yeah, and these companies like Oklo
- 43:01are just going to like put one of those reactors
- 43:03in the middle of nowhere
- 43:04and you just have a data center there.
- 43:06Like that's 100% going to happen.
- 43:08Yeah, that's literally it.
- 43:09They'll find the most optimal ground with the most – because one of the things, the balance is weather, right?
- 43:14So you look at all the servers.
- 43:16Most of the servers in North America, I think, one of the most popular spots is Vegas because fault lines and all that sort of weather conditions and stuff, it makes it the most reliable.
- 43:26See, these guys have to think about everything.
- 43:28They're like, hmm, but if we go to there, what's earthquake insurance cost there?
- 43:33Oh, it's 20% more.
- 43:34Fuck, we can't take – but that's the shit they have to think about.
- 43:38like oh did you get the earthquake insurance no i only got flood and river insurance like they
- 43:43literally have to think about everything like that so it's like it's pretty wild but yeah it'll be
- 43:49they'll be able to choose the most safe places so harm from natural disasters um and then just dump
- 43:56it there and be like all right boys sweet as yeah and then get going because all they need they're
- 44:01constrained by nothing all they need really is like a river for water and a big empty space basically
- 44:06Like, yeah, it just becomes like a super turbine.
- 44:09And I mean, that's all that, like, have you seen some of those solar farms in China?
- 44:13Like, these things are monsters.
- 44:15And all it is, it's just a big tower in the middle with water in it and all a massive,
- 44:22massive thing of mirrors.
- 44:24And they're all just reflecting the sun, right?
- 44:26It's the sun at the water, which steam turns the turbine, blah, blah, blah.
- 44:30Unreal.
- 44:31Yeah.
- 44:32it's crazy though just that like to think this world that we're a few ways away a few years away
- 44:37from like i i don't even know what you're meant to do to prepare for this like is there anything
- 44:42you can do i i genuinely i don't know i think the best thing the most valuable skills i think
- 44:49will be somewhere at the intersection of physics and maths because maths will be the algorithms
- 44:54the robots and the data and all that sort of side and then the physics will be i'm you know
- 44:59a propulsion research expert or whatever it is,
- 45:02but everyone is trying to figure out that silicon moment.
- 45:07So we didn't always have silicon chips, I don't think.
- 45:11We kind of had these old things that became silicon chips.
- 45:15The transistor, I think it's called.
- 45:17The transistor, it was a big like step function moment
- 45:21in computation, I think.
- 45:23We'll have one of those moments.
- 45:24Everyone wants to be the company to make the breakthrough.
- 45:28You know, some company is going to figure out over unity, which is a term there's patents on it and stuff.
- 45:33It's how to basically put energy in and get more energy out than you put in.
- 45:37All these kind of things, cold fusion.
- 45:40They're all these sort of sci-fi ideas.
- 45:42But remember, there's eight and a half billion people on the planet and everyone hasn't been motivated to figure this out.
- 45:49The moment everyone gets any kind of motivation to figure it out, then it's all guns blazing.
- 45:55Like once the carrots there, hey, if we get more energy or better energy.
- 45:59And then you've got things like even like cross pollinating this into politics with like the Strait of Hormuz.
- 46:06It's like now that's just a total shit sandwich and all the world is feeling it.
- 46:11It's like cutting off the oxygen supply of the planet.
- 46:14And it's like if they start taking Bitcoin and we as like this is just hypothetical, right?
- 46:20But let's say they do start in some native open currency
- 46:25out of principle or whatever.
- 46:28Well, they have been doing.
- 46:29That's what they have been doing, right.
- 46:30And so that trend, like if we lean on that a bit more,
- 46:33then you get to a point where countries need to start accumulating Bitcoin
- 46:37or figuring out how to accumulate Bitcoin because they need to.
- 46:40Because if they don't, like that's their fastest way to pay their bills.
- 46:44You know what's funny?
- 46:44We talked about this as well, but Iran,
- 46:46the central bank has been mining Bitcoin for five years.
- 46:49And they've had, so all they said, they go, no, no, no, you can't have Bitcoin exchanges in Iran.
- 46:53It's like, what?
- 46:55You can't have Bitcoin mining either?
- 46:57No, no, no, mine all you want.
- 46:59I'm buying from you though and no one else.
- 47:01It's like, damn, how heavy are those bags over there, dude?
- 47:06And so it's pretty crazy because Iran's like front and center.
- 47:10Obviously, they've been very front and center for a long time in different parts of the world.
- 47:13But right now, like you're looking at someone that's basically been mining, DCAing Bitcoin from all the miners in Iran.
- 47:20Now, what are the miners in Iran?
- 47:21I mean, up until like 18 months ago or two years ago, they had 3% to 5% of the daily hash rate.
- 47:28I mean, to every single...
- 47:29So this isn't El Salvador buying a coin every day or whatever.
- 47:33This is like, nah, bro, I'm putting energy into the earth for this shit.
- 47:36And they're getting 5% or 3% back.
- 47:39So, I mean, it's pretty wild, but geez, that is like, if that place, if that straight of all moves only operated on some like international globally accessible currency, that sounds so tagline-y.
- 47:51Geez, if only we had an international globally accessible supply verifiable country.
- 47:56But literally, if they did kind of go that route, that'd be absolutely insane.
- 48:02You'd see the government come in and basically be like, all right, Michael Saylor, your bags are ours.
- 48:08you're the chairman of the ship but we're taking 10 we need a float so we can buy oil it'd be like
- 48:12all right cool like you know they do that with intel or whatever um i wouldn't see it very not
- 48:18not a fast stretch it doesn't feel like a fast yeah yeah i want to i know what you think in terms
- 48:23of because the bitcoin adoption at nation state level has been mainly like i guess pariah type
- 48:29nations like iran um i'm sure china would be mining bitcoin i'm sure russia have yeah um el
- 48:35El Salvador obviously saw this like asymmetric bet that they made.
- 48:38Bhutan is the coolest one because they've just been mining a ton of Bitcoin.
- 48:41And I mean, they weren't really telling anyone until it came out.
- 48:43But how does this go from being that type of nation to, you know, what we think of as like the Western developed countries, the US, the UK?
- 48:52Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 48:53So sorry to interrupt.
- 48:54That's 100% right.
- 48:55Like, it's just like, how did Silvergate become the biggest, you know, Bitcoin bank?
- 49:00How did Silicon Valley bank?
- 49:01They bit off a thing, a niche.
- 49:03I mean, it's a bad example to use now, but at the time, they went to a really small pond
- 49:09of opportunity and were like, let's try and grow this pond massively.
- 49:13So I think right now, like you'll have countries that can flip other countries where they're
- 49:18like, just like you've got friends that invest in Bitcoin and now they're wealthier than
- 49:22other people that might've been, you know, better, more successful than them.
- 49:26So I think that's a thing.
- 49:28I think Luxembourg just bought some or put 1% of their sovereign wealth fund in.
- 49:32I think like four days ago or something.
- 49:35But you've got to remember,
- 49:37and this is one thing that a lot of people don't realize,
- 49:39is the world is kept together a lot, I think,
- 49:43with networking and relationships.
- 49:45So I'll give you an example is Apple.
- 49:48They've got $240 billion worth of cash or something.
- 49:50Let's say it's $200 billion, just a round number.
- 49:52Okay, cool.
- 49:53Oh, man, imagine if they put it all into Bitcoin.
- 49:56That'd be so hectic.
- 49:58Okay, cool.
- 49:59You put it all into Bitcoin.
- 50:00What's your ROI?
- 50:01oh, I get 12%. That's mad. The reason why we did it, let's say I'm Mr. Apple. It's like, oh,
- 50:06that's cool. You got your 12%? Your bag's pumped? Great. Okay. Well, we got fuck all out of it.
- 50:13We've got 12% gains. That's fine. But because we don't store any money at Bank of America anymore,
- 50:19we have no supply chain insurance. We have no invoice factoring. We have no company cards.
- 50:24We have no white label branded Apple cards. We have no supply chain financing either.
- 50:30so the money they're not idiots these guys are actually the smartest in the room and if they're
- 50:36not putting it into bitcoin there's usually a reason why they like money believe me and they
- 50:40probably like money even more than you and i do and like we don't like we like sort of trying to
- 50:45change it but the idea is like every like apple would be like hey bank of america we want 60 day
- 50:52terms on our supply chain financing when we buy a billion dollars worth of shit from wherever
- 50:57They're like, cool, we'll finance that for you,
- 51:00but we want you guys to have at least $50 billion
- 51:03in our proprietary money market fund.
- 51:06Okay, great.
- 51:07Cool, we'll park that there.
- 51:08You're going to give us our 4% to 6%.
- 51:10Don't worry, we can write that off.
- 51:11We can call that inflation, blah, blah, blah.
- 51:14Great, you've got our supply chain financing.
- 51:16Cool, now our orders aren't late.
- 51:18Now when we make an announcement and we say we're going to start
- 51:22shipping these products in two weeks' time,
- 51:24you can go to Apple and get those products shipped.
- 51:26One of the biggest disconnects between most companies' performance versus sales is not that they're bad salesmen.
- 51:33It's that they're bad supply chains.
- 51:35So Samsung announces the, you know, whatever, Sony announces a new phone or a new this or a new that.
- 51:40It's like four months between the announcement and shipped and like in your hand.
- 51:45It's where Apple is usually like you can find them at the store next Wednesday from next Wednesday onwards because they keep that hype and that supply chain like very well in tune.
- 51:54so when i see these companies like there's a reason why they've got they're sitting on their
- 51:59hands when it comes to bitcoin they're not jumping on it straight away the mega mega guys because
- 52:04they're usually they've got their hand in 500 pies you can't be one of the biggest companies in the
- 52:09world you can't get 200 billion dollars cash in your bank without having a couple of friends
- 52:14somewhere and a lot of relationships to uphold so there's that now will the countries do it
- 52:19I think if there's a carrot for international sort of sovereignty,
- 52:23then yes, they will.
- 52:25But right now it feels like charity.
- 52:28It feels like, it almost feels like Ethereum lost to ChatGBT,
- 52:34like Web3 lost to ChatGBT almost.
- 52:36Like they lost talent, they lost developers,
- 52:38they lost enthusiasm, mindshare and everything.
- 52:40Yeah, the hype was a huge one.
- 52:42A hundred percent.
- 52:43And so it's just like, oh, it's a shinier object, whatever.
- 52:45And it's like, oh, you know, like the Woody meme
- 52:48where he doesn't want to play with the doll anymore.
- 52:49is throwing it out it's kind of like that but that for that was for like developer enthusiasm but
- 52:56like energy stuff bitcoin has a chance of losing the energy conversation which bitcoin has been
- 53:03the number one like i look at bitcoin its goal should be a hundred percent total addressable
- 53:08market of energy consumption on it like whatever energy we produce that's its north star how much
- 53:13energy is not being committed to bitcoin right now and then you like work backwards from that
- 53:17But, I mean, I just don't think if the hype is going around Bitcoin or it's been distracted or overshadowed, then so will the actions taken.
- 53:29So now there might be three people or four people in a boardroom and each of these sovereign wealth funds.
- 53:35Two of them are saying we need to invest massively in data centers for AI so that Sam Altman and the crew will come and build out in our country.
- 53:45The other is saying we need to start acquiring Bitcoins
- 53:48and blah, blah, blah, and that whole narrative
- 53:50just has no water in it.
- 53:52So the guys, the advisors to these people pulling the actual decision,
- 53:55like making decisions, they're going to have people saying,
- 53:58well, these are our options.
- 53:59And there's not really enough meat on the bone
- 54:01to make Bitcoin a core option right now.
- 54:04Like I'm not saying that I don't think they will.
- 54:08I'm just saying like if I was imagining them
- 54:10and strategically trying to, you know, allocate
- 54:12where are we going to put our money?
- 54:13do we put 1% into Bitcoin or do we put that 1% into building for the future, which is AI data
- 54:20centers? And there's a pretty easy case to make for the data centers and there's a harder one
- 54:25to sell for the Bitcoin. Yeah, no, I agree with that. But how do we get that narrative back?
- 54:30Focus, focus, focus, focus. Like the biggest thing right now that I've seen is distraction,
- 54:38like massively and i like i just know that bitcoin superpower for the longest time is not being uh
- 54:47the everything machine it's actually the opposite of that it's having one clear message because
- 54:52bitcoin's only going to get if i got one sentence at the conversation where it matters and if that
- 54:57sentence is confusing broken fragmented or different to what everyone else thinks then
- 55:02that's problematic so it's like you know bitcoin it's the hardest money mankind's ever made like
- 55:07that's the summary that's the too long didn't read everything else is noise and it's not like
- 55:12i need this because of my bags it's like no because bitcoin doesn't have a leader and when
- 55:17you don't have a leader you're a distributed system that's trying to move forward all together
- 55:23right so you're trying to move forward when people are going in different directions it spins it's
- 55:29like having you know an air turbine blowing around in a circle because it's not going forward because
- 55:34it's just doing the same thing or it's being pulled in different directions so i think like
- 55:39the biggest concern is focus and so like there's been a lot of messages for bitcoin like it's like
- 55:46okay bitcoin the energy thing bitcoin the energy finder bitcoin the uh the uncensorable bitcoin
- 55:55the hard money bitcoin the the and it's sort of like oh is this the corporate treasury token now
- 56:00So like, I think one of the biggest risks actually is in this AI world, if people need
- 56:06Bitcoins, they will just take them because they should take them if they can.
- 56:11Like if I'm a government, my country's going to shit.
- 56:12I'll be like, okay, who's got all the coins?
- 56:14Okay, we'll take them.
- 56:15And so this is one of the side effects that we're seeing now, the symptoms.
- 56:19Yeah, side effects of the treasury company boom.
- 56:21So the treasury company stuff, which I've spoken to you about, I think has so much potential,
- 56:26is so much potential to add heaps of value to give lots of exposure to lots of different people but
- 56:33at the same time what does that mean well it means a lot of grifting so i know people like
- 56:39right now people so many people my phone have been ringing about i've lost so much money in this or
- 56:45that or that i'm like oh they're like i thought this was bitcoin it's not bitcoin it's like i was
- 56:49like oh no like these horror stories and it's like we while we're doing these treasury things so like
- 56:57and i'm not i'm not bagging anything but i'm just saying like this is one of the it's a very real
- 57:01risk like i study security and i'm trying to like look at what are the things that can fuck our bags
- 57:06well one of the big problems is because they're publicly traded companies that's great as a
- 57:11vehicle for raising capital so if you're on the company awesome share liquidity buy and sell
- 57:17through all the exchange brokerages, awesome.
- 57:20Now, the problem with that is you have regulations
- 57:22that you need to keep those coins
- 57:24or that primary asset secured to a certain level of degree,
- 57:27like certain degree.
- 57:28Now, that means you sweep these coins
- 57:30into a custody service.
- 57:32So what happens is Coinbase's ownership of assets
- 57:36is going from 6% total supply, 9%, 11%, 14%, 16%, 19%.
- 57:43And if every company becomes a treasury company,
- 57:46great great we're at 30% now what do we want to do how are we going to get this to 50%
- 57:51you know and that's a very real honest fair critique of well what then and most people say
- 58:01oh that's just paranoia but no it's not paranoia I'm thinking for the people that can't think yeah
- 58:07they're there there's no voice they're the person your kid my kids your kids whatever
- 58:11they don't have a voice saying the matter and it's like yeah we probably could have avoided doing that
- 58:16and it's sort of like the same way we could have avoided you know like asbestos or something like
- 58:20that we'd be like oh fuck that like that's terrible oh it's the best thing ever look at this i'm
- 58:24drinking water wait what are the second order third order effects and can we evaluate whether
- 58:29this has been successful or not yet um so i think i think that's a real risk is not being focused
- 58:35It's the same way Ethereum kind of got chopped up by Solana because Ethereum was the proof of
- 58:41stake network, but it's also the smart contract network, but it's also the burning the gas,
- 58:52that new model they brought out, which was burning the Ethereum tokens, like proof of stake and burn.
- 58:58So what happened was it was trying to compete with Bitcoin on being a better sound money.
- 59:03And so they said, well, why don't we shrink the supply when we're paying gas?
- 59:07Okay.
- 59:07So it's more sound money than Bitcoin because the supply is actively shrinking.
- 59:11Okay.
- 59:11That's cool.
- 59:13It's proof of stake.
- 59:14So you earn money.
- 59:15So that's cool.
- 59:16But what it's really done in the whole process is say, I don't know where I'm going, but I
- 59:20like what you're doing.
- 59:21I like what you're doing.
- 59:22I like what you're doing.
- 59:23And the reality is that basically Ethereum lost to Solana in these kind of conversations
- 59:28because Ethereum was at war with itself.
- 59:31It kept changing.
- 59:32And the premise of the supply curve is not that it goes down.
- 59:37Like it's like, oh, the supply is decreasing.
- 59:39Like Ethereum shows Bitcoin supply and then shows it being like even worse.
- 59:43It's predictable.
- 59:44That is what everyone wants.
- 59:46Exactly.
- 59:47So the more you try and change for something, the more unpredictable you look or become.
- 59:53And now forget, remember, we're all stressed out.
- 59:56Everyone has got a million and one pieces of content all trying to enter their brain.
- 59:59and you're trying to tell me you change what for what yeah not next you're just like the ai photo
- 1:00:05of the cat smelling its own bum or like it's all just this is ephemeral and it's not really
- 1:00:10there's no uh discipline or like kind of focus behind it and so that's why ethereum's there like
- 1:00:16yeah we're better than bitcoin we're also proof of stake like solana and now it's like
- 1:00:20okay solana is that bitcoin is really good for that and ethereum's still trying to find its home
- 1:00:25base in certain ways don't get me wrong ethereum is actually you know what something a lot of people
- 1:00:29don't think about.
- 1:00:30Ethereum has a higher density
- 1:00:32of self-custody
- 1:00:33probably than any other network,
- 1:00:34including Bitcoin,
- 1:00:35by light use.
- 1:00:36So Ethereum, by default,
- 1:00:38if you ever use a smart contract,
- 1:00:40you have to be holding
- 1:00:41your own keys.
- 1:00:42So their out-of-the-box
- 1:00:43sort of behavior
- 1:00:44for anyone in Ethereum
- 1:00:46or Solana or whatever
- 1:00:46is holding your own keys
- 1:00:48because they're like,
- 1:00:49I can't interact with the chain
- 1:00:50without it.
- 1:00:51Which is a double-edged sword
- 1:00:52because people are already doing that
- 1:00:53so they can go and gamble
- 1:00:54in the casino.
- 1:00:55But it doesn't stop it being true.
- 1:00:57Yeah, well, literally,
- 1:00:57That's a good point, Danny.
- 1:00:59It's like, no, no, let me at it.
- 1:01:02I want to rug myself.
- 1:01:03Okay, dude, you do you.
- 1:01:05It's like they're rushing to the casino.
- 1:01:07Right, and that's the thing, right?
- 1:01:08So, we know that there's a lot of distractions
- 1:01:12and that most of them aren't really going to add the amount
- 1:01:15of value that just a frozen scarce predictable money supply could And when you think about it like oh hey man what are you working on I trying to fix money It like oh okay well oh you probably not going to care much
- 1:01:29about my calendar app then.
- 1:01:31Yeah, it's like, nah, there's levels to this.
- 1:01:34I don't give a shit about your calendar app, right?
- 1:01:36And it's like, then it's like, oh, fuck.
- 1:01:39So what problem do we want to solve?
- 1:01:42Like if you're in Bitcoin, it's like, no, no, no,
- 1:01:43we've got to make it so everyone can like bet on stuff using Bitcoin.
- 1:01:48It's like, oh yeah, that's cool.
- 1:01:49You know that there's 8 billion people and close to 1 billion of them in
- 1:01:53poverty.
- 1:01:54Money to them is the worst thing in existence.
- 1:01:57And you have a seat at the table right now to help that.
- 1:02:00No, no, no, no, no.
- 1:02:01This is way better though.
- 1:02:02Oh, this really cool thing that I saw on this TikTok once like three months
- 1:02:07ago.
- 1:02:07It's like, you're killing me, killing me.
- 1:02:10Because we've got kind of like, I really think,
- 1:02:13and I don't want to sound like Eminem,
- 1:02:14but we kind of get one shot on goal at this.
- 1:02:16I totally agree with that.
- 1:02:19Times like this is almost like these weird eclipse moments in life
- 1:02:22where we just get that one fleeting moment to change gears.
- 1:02:28We can't do it every day.
- 1:02:29We won't get a chance in another 200, 300, 400 years, whatever.
- 1:02:32But we do get that chance today, which is a very big privilege
- 1:02:37to be able to be in such an interesting time because it's funny
- 1:02:40because, I mean, I grew up thinking like,
- 1:02:42oh this is shit like the stars are already like we don't have tech to go to other galaxies yet so
- 1:02:48i'm not gonna say shit and then it's like oh and everyone's already built all the mcdonald's on
- 1:02:52like over earth like it's already finished it's like great what am i here for there but now you're
- 1:02:57like well shit i didn't know i was gonna be right in the middle of ai bitcoin energy shit it's like
- 1:03:02it's like it is definitely the most interesting time dude it's like i'm i'm not joking now i
- 1:03:09I literally am to the point where I'm like, okay, okay, okay.
- 1:03:13I must be on the Truman Show now.
- 1:03:15I wake up and I read a headline.
- 1:03:16I'm like, is this the onion?
- 1:03:19It's not the – what the fuck is going on?
- 1:03:21I'm like, dude, it's like the Trump stuff the other day.
- 1:03:24He's like, yeah, yeah, yeah, eviscerate the civilization.
- 1:03:28I'm like, what?
- 1:03:30Crazy.
- 1:03:31That's awfully okay, cool.
- 1:03:33And you've literally got active warships just sitting there,
- 1:03:38like cock blocking everyone.
- 1:03:39But it's like what I think has been a fantastic lesson for like all of us on earth is sovereignty.
- 1:03:46We're all learning.
- 1:03:48Everyone is trying to withdraw their money from the bank right now, the bank of Hormuz,
- 1:03:52let's say.
- 1:03:52And they're realizing, wow, I can't actually get it when I ask for it.
- 1:03:57Shit, how much money do I have in my bank account?
- 1:04:00Oh, you've got 31 days worth of money left.
- 1:04:03It's like, wow, shit.
- 1:04:04I really need to make sure that I can always have a couple of days.
- 1:04:07and then you start saving money and you start being better with it.
- 1:04:09But in this case, I think it'll become energy.
- 1:04:12And it's almost like this straight-of-all-moves blocking situation.
- 1:04:17I don't even know if it's open or closed, to be honest, dude.
- 1:04:19It's so hard to keep up with it.
- 1:04:20It changes every day.
- 1:04:22I don't know what's happening right now.
- 1:04:22Literally no idea.
- 1:04:23And it always changes in line with the stock market opening
- 1:04:26and closing, by the way.
- 1:04:27Yeah, yeah.
- 1:04:27Just FYI.
- 1:04:28The announcements are always on Friday at 4.30.
- 1:04:30Dude, it's the best.
- 1:04:32But, you know, it is crazy.
- 1:04:34but I think we're going to kind of get to a point now
- 1:04:37where I think it's coming into the zeitgeist or the consciousness
- 1:04:41where we're all on the same team
- 1:04:43and we sort of need to realize that pretty quickly.
- 1:04:46Like, you know, it's not America versus Iran
- 1:04:49and Iran versus America versus China.
- 1:04:52It's like, what the fuck are you talking about, bro?
- 1:04:54Like, they are really good at manufacturing.
- 1:04:57You are really good at something else.
- 1:04:59Russia is really good at something else.
- 1:05:01Australia is really resourceful.
- 1:05:03Mate, we're all in a fucking world,
- 1:05:04group project i don't know anyone else in the universe i don't know if anyone else on this
- 1:05:08planet does but as far as i know i'm stuck on a rock in the middle of nowhere and i don't know
- 1:05:12any other neighbors it's like you may as well not take a shit on my neighbor's doorstep like
- 1:05:17obviously that feels like a foolish effort but like okay that's how we're doing it like
- 1:05:23but yeah i'd be mad if we could all get on the same page and i think like with energy hardships
- 1:05:28and also AI is forcing alignment on a lot of things
- 1:05:33because it's basically giving no alternatives.
- 1:05:38Like it's like, what should we do about this?
- 1:05:40Maybe we shouldn't.
- 1:05:41It's like, no, there is no graphic design jobs
- 1:05:43paying 150 grand anymore.
- 1:05:44I'm sorry.
- 1:05:45Now there might be, but you pay for the guy that goes,
- 1:05:48yeah, we're going to do the lettering and the font styling
- 1:05:50so it's all in perfect ratios.
- 1:05:53And this is the new-
- 1:05:53We're actually going to do it on a typewriter.
- 1:05:55Pardon?
- 1:05:55we're actually going to do on a typewriter
- 1:05:58literally that's how original you have to be now because otherwise it's like
- 1:06:03you're not really kind of um adding any value and people have got
- 1:06:07like a graphic designer's got to compete with a one dollar a day subscription to claude that can
- 1:06:12do 95 now can it do it as well no does the world need it to be done at the level that you would
- 1:06:20card no and it's like the world just needs it done like yeah and because we're so time poor
- 1:06:27we are all going for that route well what's the what's the easier way what's the summary listen
- 1:06:33to this people now when booking like even like so uh like let's say you're arranging something
- 1:06:38everyone's using ai everywhere like even to the point where people use it to summarize emails
- 1:06:43from friends or like text message you get a whatsapp message from a mate it's like summarize
- 1:06:48who they are summarize where they are you can't even like you're not even calling him you don't
- 1:06:53even have to listen to his voice you just like tap it's like just it feels just to be i don't know
- 1:07:00see i'm revolting against this i'm a big fan of just a phone call why did we lose the phone call
- 1:07:04phone calls are the best inventions on earth on earth yeah the thing that kills me is when
- 1:07:09i've got friends who will send me like a copy and paste from chat gpt to me it's like i'm not
- 1:07:15reading your ai slot just like you're my friend just talk to me literally yeah literally voice
- 1:07:19know me if you have to but like far out and it's so wild to think how yeah it's and it looked
- 1:07:26so here's the thing where when we talk to people so when you hear sounds you ever see those like
- 1:07:33people that play a trumpet or something you know paddock are full of cows and all the cows look
- 1:07:38over and they're like mad some person playing a violin or something anyway vibrations are real
- 1:07:44Like, so when you speak, the only reason you can hear me is because my vibrations are chopping
- 1:07:50the air up to make this sound signature.
- 1:07:52That's why when you go to a concert, it feels electric.
- 1:07:56Like literally where you're like, oh my God, the energy in this room.
- 1:07:59It's a shared experience.
- 1:08:02So that is your vibrations echoing into mine, echoing back to the other person.
- 1:08:06We're like this big vibrational soup.
- 1:08:09And so when we don't hear each other's voice or give each other a hug or shake hands with people and stuff, we're losing that component of ourselves.
- 1:08:20And that is one of the biggest things for feeling good is about your nervous system, the electricity in it and all that sort of stuff.
- 1:08:27So when we don't see people, when we don't hug people, when we don't hang out with people in person, we're losing a lot.
- 1:08:34We can't see that we're losing a lot, but we are losing a lot.
- 1:08:36It's sort of like listening to a song live versus digitally
- 1:08:42is kind of like eating McDonald's beef patties versus a steak.
- 1:08:49Like you're like, no, this is meat.
- 1:08:50Like this is beef.
- 1:08:51It's like, yes, my body is thinking that's not beef, bro.
- 1:08:56That's fucking something.
- 1:08:57And then the same way when it hears the song digitally, it's like, yeah,
- 1:09:01I hear it digitally, but I'm not like I'm not getting the whole experience here
- 1:09:04because think, vibrations and sound, sound is like this really,
- 1:09:08really powerful thing in physics because it penetrates so aggressively.
- 1:09:12Like it's like a catch-all, like vibrations.
- 1:09:15If you're standing on something that's vibrating,
- 1:09:17you don't get a choice to be like, I'm going to ignore this.
- 1:09:19It takes over your entire state.
- 1:09:21Same way as being in a loud room, same way as jumping in the ocean,
- 1:09:25jumping in the ocean.
- 1:09:26It's like, dude, that's like you could pay $100 for that
- 1:09:29and people would pay for it if you didn't have an ocean to jump in.
- 1:09:33But like the refreshment, all your like everything has been like cleaned off, like unzipping.
- 1:09:40It's like taking the shrink wrap off for a new like suit of electrons.
- 1:09:43And they're all like, woohoo, we can feel shit.
- 1:09:46But it all matters.
- 1:09:47And I think we've kind of drifted towards this digital environment where it's like, no, no, no.
- 1:09:51It's basically the same.
- 1:09:53It's like, no, there's something about human interaction, human connection.
- 1:09:57A great example.
- 1:09:58How funny is this?
- 1:09:58So we walk, you see those infrared saunas and infrared things and stuff
- 1:10:04and people are like lying there trying to get the infrared up.
- 1:10:06Okay, that's because it does really good things for your body
- 1:10:10and makes you feel good and shit.
- 1:10:11When you go, oh, how would I get that naturally?
- 1:10:14Dude, literally walking through a park.
- 1:10:17So the chlorophyll on the leaves refracts all the infrared light
- 1:10:21so it can't absorb it.
- 1:10:23So it's like, you know those movies with a bank vault
- 1:10:26and they've got the trip lasers everywhere.
- 1:10:29Like they open and they're like, oh my God,
- 1:10:31there's all these lasers, all different directions.
- 1:10:33That's why when you're walking through a park,
- 1:10:35think of that, but they're infrared lasers
- 1:10:37like zapping into your mitochondria,
- 1:10:39straight into the core of your cell.
- 1:10:42That's why when you go for a walk outside,
- 1:10:44sometimes you're like, you know, I'm glad.
- 1:10:46I'm actually glad I went on that hike.
- 1:10:48I'm glad I went on that thing.
- 1:10:49I'm glad I went to that.
- 1:10:50Yeah, fucking off you are.
- 1:10:51You're not even in charge.
- 1:10:52Your body's telling you you're glad
- 1:10:54because it's like, who the fuck gave a sissy for Red Bar?
- 1:10:57So that's what it is.
- 1:10:58So the refraction off the chlorophyll, the leaves and shit, it's bad.
- 1:11:01It's like your body thinks like you're going for a bath.
- 1:11:03But you see people who pay $400 for these face masks
- 1:11:06and they sleep in there like a bed looking like Jason from Halloween
- 1:11:10and shit with their masks on.
- 1:11:12Dude, if I came and saw my mom, I woke my mom up in the middle of the night
- 1:11:15and she's like, with one of those masks, horror movie,
- 1:11:18wouldn't sleep for 20 years.
- 1:11:19Dude, maybe that's why I can't sleep.
- 1:11:21I fucking love you, man.
- 1:11:23but anyway yeah so maybe that maybe that's the when everyone revolts against ai and people go
- 1:11:28outside again maybe that's when we really uh recapture what it is to be human i think possibly
- 1:11:32or what happens if cryptography ends and we can't we can't so we should talk about this because
- 1:11:37like this has obviously become a huge topic in bitcoin with quantum stuff yeah but you are the
- 1:11:42only person i know personally who's been working on breaking cryptography before this yeah like
- 1:11:47what's what's your read on it all oh i think i think it breaks definitely and i think it's like
- 1:11:52Through a normal, like through math breakthroughs.
- 1:11:55So, yeah.
- 1:11:56So I think quantum will be a thing.
- 1:11:58Quantum will be a pain in the ass for lots of things.
- 1:12:01But for cryptography, it's really like an advancement
- 1:12:04in the knowledge of prime numbers.
- 1:12:06Like, because that's sort of, we build on not knowing these guys
- 1:12:10as well as we know everything else in the universe.
- 1:12:12And I think that's where the patterns will come through
- 1:12:15from basically AI will be able to see what prime numbers
- 1:12:19are trying to do.
- 1:12:20And so prime numbers basically are, it's like every cryptographic key is basically the mixture
- 1:12:28of two prime numbers. Think about it like for lack of a better term, and we don't know how to
- 1:12:33unmix them. So you put two colors together, we know what colors went into it. So if I gave
- 1:12:39red and blue, I think I'd get green. I know if I see something green, it came in as red and blue
- 1:12:45before. We don't know the before part when it comes to cryptography. And so that's why we're
- 1:12:50like, oh, we don't know if it was red, blue, yellow, green, because we don't know the whole
- 1:12:55spectrum of who works with what. But just to give you an example, right? So 256-bit encryption,
- 1:13:03which is half 512 standards, are pretty strong. Like that's, you know, travel a million times
- 1:13:09around the universe of guesses, and then you still need to do that 10 trillion times to
- 1:13:13get 1% of the way. So just to compare that, right? So we look at cryptography like it's,
- 1:13:19you know, impenetrable, but it is just a guessing game. And just because we don't have the context
- 1:13:26to sharpen our guesses doesn't mean it's impossible. And what I mean by that is wheel
- 1:13:31of fortune, right? Wheel of fortune, the blank squares, right? The quick brown fox jumps over
- 1:13:38the lazy dogs. A saying. That's why. So you guess the letters, right? One in 26, one in 26, one in
- 1:13:45every single one of those is one in 26. So one in 26, one in 26, you got to do that a lot of times.
- 1:13:51If you've got 55 characters or 26 characters, 52, that's one in 26. That's an astronomically
- 1:13:58stupidly dumb big number. Now, if we think, well, yeah, but I know that there's no English words
- 1:14:05that have ZZBW in a row so I can rule that out?
- 1:14:11Yes, you can.
- 1:14:12So now this astronomically 512-bit encryption shrinks down very quickly
- 1:14:17and then starts going, oh, yeah, people guess Wheel of Fortune every day.
- 1:14:2118 bits, like 18 characters, 30 characters.
- 1:14:24They just ask questions.
- 1:14:25It's like, oh, it's a movie.
- 1:14:27Oh, cool.
- 1:14:29Then I know what words, if there's one letter at the start,
- 1:14:33I'm not going to think, oh, yeah, it's Z.
- 1:14:35No, it'd be I, like I am robot or I robot or whatever.
- 1:14:40But it's not like, you know, K is the first letter on its own.
- 1:14:44We've got context to sharpen our choices.
- 1:14:47So that's why Fred Smith that works at KFC or Joe Blow that works
- 1:14:51at Guzman and Gomez, they can go on the show and they still,
- 1:14:54it's not like they're trying to crack cryptography.
- 1:14:57But every day we see these humans busting wide open 256-bit encryption
- 1:15:02in the same way.
- 1:15:03And so what I'm saying is, yes, it's harder than the game show.
- 1:15:09Sure, it's just longer.
- 1:15:11But it's not impossible.
- 1:15:13It's impossible if you don't have any context.
- 1:15:16Sure, that's like a blind guy trying to find the macaroni and cheese in Coles.
- 1:15:20But if you say, yeah, the mac and cheese or dairy products are in aisle six,
- 1:15:25you've now given him a hint, a guide.
- 1:15:28And so that context starts shaping the reality of what you are actually looking at
- 1:15:33but can't see. So let me see if I've learned anything from you. So the problem in this is that
- 1:15:38there's no pattern to prime numbers. So to find a larger prime number, you essentially have to
- 1:15:42brute force it. But is what you're saying that if we found a pattern in prime numbers,
- 1:15:47then encryption gets broken? Yes. Do you think that's possible to find a pattern? Do you think
- 1:15:52a pattern exists? I believe with my hand on my heart that a human being will do it before I'm
- 1:15:58And so is that the basis for every single cryptographic scheme there is? And does that
- 1:16:04mean there is no cryptography? Everyone that matters, yeah. Because, so prime number is,
- 1:16:09think of it like the hardest element in the universe. And I actually mean that quite literally,
- 1:16:14just because if I pick up a grain of tungsten, a grain of sand that's tungsten, I go, that's the
- 1:16:20heaviest element in the earth or whatever. You're like, oh, cool. A prime number is that, but it's
- 1:16:24is smaller. It's indivisible. There is no saw that cuts a prime number in half. So, treat a prime
- 1:16:30number like divisibility, splitting the atom, right? Splitting the atom. That happened in war
- 1:16:34because we're under pressure. We split the atom, the smallest thing ever. Well, a prime number
- 1:16:40is a number that doesn't have any parts by definition. That is its defining factor. And
- 1:16:45we've never been able to, let's call it split a semi-prime. So, a semi-prime is when you multiply
- 1:16:52two primes together and what a semi-prime is is they will use those because we don't the primes
- 1:16:57have no like oh yeah he had brown hair and glasses he went down there into the left there's none of
- 1:17:03that it's like i don't know dude he was too far i didn't even see the cunt like i don't know
- 1:17:07which way he went it's like okay so it's basically you know their prime you know you will never find
- 1:17:13them and so the idea is like well is that true that was true in 1970s when rsa was developed but
- 1:17:21But, you know, have things changed since then?
- 1:17:24Yes.
- 1:17:25Has our knowledge changed?
- 1:17:27Maybe.
- 1:17:28But our ability to look at the same thing through multiple lenses,
- 1:17:32that's changed.
- 1:17:33So it's still the same data,
- 1:17:34but we're going to look at it through multiple lenses.
- 1:17:36And so I think it just looks too obvious to me that it's too vulnerable.
- 1:17:42It's like, oh, sure, yeah, sure.
- 1:17:44In that context, it's not.
- 1:17:46But if you make it look Wheel of Fortune-y,
- 1:17:48everyone can guess Wheel of Fortune.
- 1:17:49It doesn't mean they can guess a 256-bit cryptographic key though.
- 1:17:54But it's like, no, no, no.
- 1:17:55Once we paint it in a way that people comprehend it,
- 1:17:59people will be like, oh, no, no, no.
- 1:18:01It's this and you've got to do that or do this.
- 1:18:04That restricts it even more.
- 1:18:06And so like I look at it now, I look at, because it's prime numbers,
- 1:18:11I focus mainly on RSA cryptography because that's just like a,
- 1:18:15it's just all RSA is.
- 1:18:16It's just literally one prime, another prime, multiply them together.
- 1:18:19That's your public key.
- 1:18:20So it's like public key.
- 1:18:21If you click on the padlock on your website right now,
- 1:18:25like we're on, and I go, I can look at the certificate.
- 1:18:30Connection is secure.
- 1:18:32It's got a valid certificate.
- 1:18:33And that means its key on its side is happy with my key on my side.
- 1:18:39And that's a key exchange where they're sort of basically saying,
- 1:18:41yeah, you might, yeah, you might, cool.
- 1:18:43But these prime numbers, they're not,
- 1:18:45they're hard to find with our current logic like our current approach to finding them sure it's
- 1:18:53really difficult brute forcing takes forever but we're not dignifying numbers with enough physicality
- 1:18:59and when we do when we go all right let's treat numbers they're not imaginary they're just really
- 1:19:05really small particles well then that gets they now get included into physics equations so well
- 1:19:11if a prime number is physical, then it should be bound to the same laws of physics that,
- 1:19:16you know, physical objects are, whether it's an electron or whether it's a building,
- 1:19:20it should be the same thing. And so if we crack open our own understanding or give it a chance
- 1:19:27and say, well, let's just say hypothetically they are physical, what does that look like?
- 1:19:30And then we start getting thousands and thousands. And remember, the world has 8 billion people in
- 1:19:36it and they all have access to AI. The only reason people don't do this stuff now is because
- 1:19:41they don't really know it's a thing. But if you told everyone, hey, there's $1 trillion bounty
- 1:19:46for anyone that can break, factor a semi-prime faster, I promise you this answer comes in
- 1:19:52a year by the end of the year. The only reason it's not is because people aren't focused on it,
- 1:19:58to be honest. So, you know, everyone becomes an expert at something overnight, like straight of
- 1:20:02Hormuz, we all know everything about Iran and when it started and how it's done, whatever it is. But
- 1:20:07primes will go through their same thing. And there's going to be a big conversation because
- 1:20:10a lot of it will intersect around AI.
- 1:20:13AI will want more data.
- 1:20:14We will want better understanding of energy.
- 1:20:17We will want more privacy.
- 1:20:19So we're going to try.
- 1:20:20But here's the thing.
- 1:20:21We have privacy and stuff.
- 1:20:22And I totally get that.
- 1:20:23I'm not against privacy.
- 1:20:24I'm just against the reality is I don't know.
- 1:20:27And I'm not the smartest person on the planet.
- 1:20:29I don't know anything else in nature that's been granted privacy.
- 1:20:34Now, here they've been granted privacy by humans.
- 1:20:38but nature doesn't really go that route nature's like it's my way of a highway always and that's
- 1:20:45why we always have second order effects with everything and so nature the natural state of
- 1:20:52keeping secrets is actually not real like it's not organic and so that's why in in the world
- 1:20:58of addiction so you know alcohol whatever it is whatever your poison is they have a thing that
- 1:21:03a saying that says secrets make us sick.
- 1:21:07And that means whenever the secret is, it's going to manifest inside
- 1:21:10and it starts creating all these third-party accidental effects
- 1:21:14just from the manifestation or from the keeping it.
- 1:21:17So people that, you know, they might crash their car drunk
- 1:21:20or something like, Tiger Woods, yeah, crash car drunk.
- 1:21:23But he's like, oh, were you drinking?
- 1:21:25No, no, no.
- 1:21:25It's like the secrets are creating this sickness from you.
- 1:21:29And like in addiction, a lot of the time is because people keep
- 1:21:32their addiction from others.
- 1:21:33And so they go, well, secrets make you sick in that world
- 1:21:36because you're not sharing the most authentic
- 1:21:39and you're trying to control things too much.
- 1:21:42So when I look at the world, like the earth,
- 1:21:44I think there has to be a pretty big enlightenment
- 1:21:48moment but i think right now the layers of earth like as in a humanity i don't think they're going
- 1:21:56to hold very long like this shadow elite with elites with plebs with homeless people like that
- 1:22:05structure just doesn't work and i don't think it's going to work for very long and here we go
- 1:22:10like so you see people breaking into like epstein island right like these people like no i need to
- 1:22:14know everything that that desire that's not that's not organic need that's their dopamine center
- 1:22:22like a zombie with blood lust almost they are that frothing over it that's going to happen with
- 1:22:28everything and so the the mankind will not tolerate a secret i don't think especially after if we like
- 1:22:36kind of replay history at least like the hardships i think it's going to become more of a we're all
- 1:22:42one and we all, like many hands make light work all on the same team perspective instead of a
- 1:22:49kill or be killed perspective. And now to get to that level of you're okay and I'm okay and we're
- 1:22:55both okay as one, that's where haves and have nots can't exist anymore. So we have to get to that
- 1:23:01level of sort of peace and okayness with each other. We have to have it so that you can't be
- 1:23:08envious of something I have and vice versa. So if you have more than I have, or if I have more than
- 1:23:14you have, and that can mean, what I'm sort of circling on is energy. So we can't control it.
- 1:23:19I mean, that's the flow. Everything comes back from energy. Do you have lots of it? Do you have
- 1:23:22none of it? Do you have water? Do you have resources? So no, we've got no water in the
- 1:23:27middle of Africa. Well, fuck, everything's going to be an expert mode. Great example,
- 1:23:31Water in the Middle East, the deserts.
- 1:23:33So, Oman or Kuwait, 740% of their annual water production is used.
- 1:23:42So, they use 7 point, imagine getting paid 100 grand a year and spending 750 grand, even
- 1:23:47better.
- 1:23:48So, Dubai, they get paid 100 grand a year water budget, right?
- 1:23:52I think theirs is like 46, so 46 times, so 4,600%.
- 1:23:57So that's like me spending $4.6 million a year
- 1:24:00when I get paid $100,000 a year.
- 1:24:02Now, naturally, that is fighting.
- 1:24:06We're fighting the natural order very much,
- 1:24:09trying to put water in the desert.
- 1:24:11Like now that's not a bad thing.
- 1:24:12It's great.
- 1:24:13We're expanding, da-da-da.
- 1:24:14But sooner or later, we'll realize that fighting the natural order
- 1:24:18to try and be the masters of our own destiny is probably
- 1:24:22a shorter story for mankind than it is for how do we all lift each other up and win.
- 1:24:30And, you know, because right now, countries are trying to win.
- 1:24:33People are trying to, individuals are trying to win.
- 1:24:36It's like, no, no, no, no, no.
- 1:24:38Everyone, you buy all your shit from China.
- 1:24:40And what, you're going to sit there and say you don't like China?
- 1:24:42For good, stop buying it then.
- 1:24:44Let's see how happy you are.
- 1:24:45No, you wouldn't be.
- 1:24:47So show some gratitude.
- 1:24:48Russia, science, medicine and mathematics, unreal.
- 1:24:52let's like imagine we go like imagine you're in a group project and everyone's got to do
- 1:24:57all of the parts it's like no who's the who's the history guy okay you're really good at ancient
- 1:25:03history you're doing the egypt part you you're really good at modern history you're doing world
- 1:25:07war ii it's like delegate to expertise i mean it sounds like an entire shift from a sort of
- 1:25:13scarcity mindset to an abundance mindset from everyone everyone but that's everyone has to have
- 1:25:18their needs met and so the needs started basically food water shelter and now money is unfortunately
- 1:25:25this artificial need that we've kind of injected into the stack um but the removal of money
- 1:25:31which is probably where it goes like money is money is only a stopgap solution it's sort of like
- 1:25:37oh yeah i've got cheese and crackers because the pizzas are running late like you know kind of it's
- 1:25:42like a here fill up on this and in the meantime because we can't teleport energy around so we
- 1:25:47needed to make some currency that represented give a shit.
- 1:25:50I mean, labor, right?
- 1:25:51Like, Hey, you put a shovel here, here's this give a shit.
- 1:25:54So we call that gold or whatever, but the biggest threat to Bitcoin,
- 1:25:58generally speaking is actually, uh, apathy.
- 1:26:02So people don need money anymore Why not Because everything just works We got all these autonomous energy systems and blah blah blah And then that ushers in the potential for a new creative renaissance basically And a lot of people have talked about this and Bitcoin is
- 1:26:17Venice and all this beautiful, incredible foresight from these smart cats in the industry.
- 1:26:23But that's sort of what it does. So now when you and I are not thinking,
- 1:26:27fuck, did I get that Excel spreadsheet in on time? Shit, is the bus running late? Is that
- 1:26:32canceled is that my bus or the next bus and blah blah blah and i've been at work all day
- 1:26:35i haven't thought anything about my purpose i've just been like surviving now if you give
- 1:26:41everyone back all that time and effort and excitement or zest or enthusiasm where does it go
- 1:26:49and so people probably aren't rushing to build you know oh dude i've got the best thing what is it
- 1:26:55yeah you come into an office for 40 years and there's no sunlight and there's mad dry air
- 1:26:59conditioning is like fuck out of here like stupid suggestion but it's like i think that ushers in a
- 1:27:07new era of almost like we made it through the hardest part possible and everyone gets to have
- 1:27:13a beautiful life right now it's like bro like we got so lucky being born i'm the luckiest human
- 1:27:20being i know born in australia there's no bomb flying over my head like running water like two
- 1:27:25seconds down the road there's a beach there's people people are happy people are nice people
- 1:27:29was sort of chilled like unreal but like imagine someone who didn't even choose to be here they
- 1:27:35didn't ask to come oh yeah can i come to earth please they didn't even ask to be and they come
- 1:27:39out like they're like fuck what the why am i even here i didn't ask to be you know and so it's like
- 1:27:46i don't know but i think we're going that direction where we're sort of finding a way
- 1:27:50to meet everyone's needs but i definitely think there's like we need to clean up a lot of the
- 1:27:58governance structure of earth like right now i don't know what's happening but watching what like
- 1:28:05what happened in the u.s over the past six to twelve months with like all the like punishment
- 1:28:10from like all these like fbi blacked out notes and redacted notes it's like what the fuck is
- 1:28:16even going on like clearly you're not working for the people paying the taxes and it's just like
- 1:28:21that whole whatever kind of needs to be pulled out before you can kind of have a healthy system
- 1:28:28I don't really know how they do that because that's sort of the way that we've been living
- 1:28:32forever so maybe that's what bitcoin is for like if we are going to live in a post-money world like
- 1:28:39maybe bitcoin is here to uh to starve the beast and get us to that so I've got this theory that
- 1:28:44there's like infinite many universes like we're all like every decision sort of spawns a new
- 1:28:49universe and I was thinking I was saying to my brother a while ago I was like bro I reckon we're
- 1:28:54in the universe that invented Bitcoin for all the other universes. But the caveat is that we made it
- 1:29:01so every other timeline gets it forever, but we won't have it long term. And like something like
- 1:29:06that, like we kind of break it ourselves or something, but everyone else doesn't get the
- 1:29:13broken version and we kind of, who knows. But I tell you what, imagine if we did not have Bitcoin
- 1:29:18right now. Imagine not having it. It'd be like, I don't know what to do. Like, where do you put
- 1:29:24your money what do you do and then then basically the strategy is how do you preserve your wealth
- 1:29:29we just put it where everyone's money laundering when it like literally if like i'm a bum man and
- 1:29:33i'm laundering money or whatever it's like where are you guys putting it oh we put in the store
- 1:29:37okay cool he's gonna put it there too and so that's a bitcoin needs to be the best vehicle
- 1:29:40for people to want money so then just that's people park it there and pump money it's not
- 1:29:45very good from like this is so weird the counterproductive thing is like bitcoin's
- 1:29:49terrible for money laundering it's like not like people like i'm money laundering bitcoin it's like
- 1:29:53dude no one just use the bank on the street with their dick out like why the fuck would anyone do
- 1:29:57that with bitcoin it's the same thing like so anyway who knows but i think um i think there's
- 1:30:04a lot of excitement on the horizon and yeah we're pretty blessed right now to see and like we haven't
- 1:30:09even talked about like claude and chat gbt getting better in three years where could they be in three
- 1:30:15years like just to show you how hot this that gets back to the exponentials though like i have no
- 1:30:20It's like, oh dude, three years ago,
- 1:30:22oh was that before it could launch rockets to Mars You haven even been to Mars dude Oh dude last 18 months have been crazy I going to be like tell me everything I Kane It almost like that And now that
- 1:30:35that's the problem for entrepreneurs now is they have to choose, choose their destiny almost. So
- 1:30:40you want to build a company, you got to choose correctly, like very difficult. So you're in a
- 1:30:45great position where you're like, you know, hosting a podcast. It's like, you're the personality,
- 1:30:51you are the talent like you and your likeness is the talent but it's like dude if i'm a front-end
- 1:30:57engineer doing html css javascript it's like i don't know where i'm going from there like
- 1:31:03and i don't know what starts thinking about doing then like but what stops someone just uh
- 1:31:09creating ai me taking all the transcripts to all my context and putting that into some like
- 1:31:15ai podcast like that that is a thing there's no way my job's safe either well no no no and that so
- 1:31:19But this is actually really interesting because one of the person
- 1:31:23that's had the most of that done to them is Alan Watts.
- 1:31:26So Alan Watts, the philosopher.
- 1:31:28So he's brilliant, the most brilliant speaker I've ever heard
- 1:31:34in my entire life.
- 1:31:35Like there's never an ounce of fat on any of his sentences.
- 1:31:39Anyway, but what people do now is in the same way they do it
- 1:31:41to like Joe Rogan where they'll take Alan Watts' speeches
- 1:31:44and they'll go, ChatGPG, write something that sounds
- 1:31:48like it was written by Alan Watts.
- 1:31:49And then people speak and they'll put a bunch of like, you know, rivers and creeks overlaid
- 1:31:53over the sounds.
- 1:31:55And so now you don't know what's real and what's not real.
- 1:31:58And so, but this is what happens, right?
- 1:32:00So we're talking about this merging between you and me, but we're becoming one.
- 1:32:05Like, so we're becoming one.
- 1:32:07If you're holding on, the last thing you have is your likeness.
- 1:32:11It's not your voice.
- 1:32:12Your voice, that was deepfaked three years ago.
- 1:32:14Your body now is deepfaked now as well.
- 1:32:16but your likeness. Like, write it like Danny, here's 100 podcasts he's done, write it like he
- 1:32:22would write it. You can see in like script writing now with people on TV shows, a lot of script
- 1:32:28writing has to accommodate for people. Like, this is another thing, right? So the data set of AI
- 1:32:33is going to be trained on these changes and adaptations that we've had to AI. So the script,
- 1:32:41for example, in Netflix shows, they have a new script writing sort of strategy because so much
- 1:32:46of the audience can't follow old script writing styles because there's too much context because
- 1:32:51no one's watching so people like they're looking up every 20 seconds when they're not following
- 1:32:55so that's why you find these scripts that sound so ridiculous but it's like they say the same thing
- 1:33:00i'm glad i met you on the battleship hey great and the battleship we just got to yeah we're about
- 1:33:06to take off awesome i'm glad we met on the battleship let's go into battle great this is
- 1:33:10the perfect battleship for it it's so depressing they have to make the the scripts like scrollable
- 1:33:15meaning you can be scrolling your phone while you watch it and still follow the story and they make
- 1:33:19it like they have key moments that are memeable yeah like these are things that actually go into
- 1:33:24production now it's so depressing 100 and so that in itself is shaping and creating the possibility
- 1:33:31of what that art format can actually deliver and then it's making the ai stupider because it's like
- 1:33:37you mean to tell me you guys are so dumb you can't listen for 30 seconds nope it's down to
- 1:33:41five seconds next year it's going to be down to one second and like that's actually a thing by the
- 1:33:46way we're all slowly getting autism but a hundred percent and that kills me like it's it's the
- 1:33:52commoditization of all mass media like music film like any form of art yeah and i i also don't think
- 1:33:59it's real because like when you see um what's he what's the guy called who did to oppenheimer i
- 1:34:05forgot his name oh yeah christopher nolan yeah christopher nolan he's coming out with a new film
- 1:34:09all shot on like IMAX film.
- 1:34:11Yeah.
- 1:34:12Like these are things that people actually want,
- 1:34:14like real, real stories.
- 1:34:17Because people want to escape.
- 1:34:18It's escapism.
- 1:34:19A hundred percent.
- 1:34:19And it's, that's the art form.
- 1:34:21The art form isn't, oh, you know, cinema is art.
- 1:34:25Music is art.
- 1:34:26Now the problem is when you,
- 1:34:28when you get things that people like
- 1:34:31and you get a system that tries to duplicate that,
- 1:34:34you basically get bastardization.
- 1:34:36So it's like, now if you're a movie studio,
- 1:34:38So let's say you've got this art cinema.
- 1:34:41Now, times are getting harder.
- 1:34:43In the real world outside of cinema times are getting harder So what does a movie studio exec say Hey do we make that new original picture or Avengers 8 Well we can guarantee a good quarter
- 1:34:54if we make Marvel Super Heroes 7.
- 1:34:57Oh, fuck it.
- 1:34:57But do you think people talk?
- 1:34:59We've already done all the data.
- 1:35:00We'll lose 80% of the fan base,
- 1:35:02but this quarter we'll actually double our revenue.
- 1:35:05Great, done.
- 1:35:05And that's why that gets done.
- 1:35:06But ask any actor on Earth who they want to be in a movie for.
- 1:35:12they will all tell you first up one name Christopher Nolan you know why because yeah he's not the money
- 1:35:18grab anymore he is the talent where people are like whatever he does it's gonna be unreal so
- 1:35:24it's what yeah used to be you get that same feeling of like they are good at their craft
- 1:35:29the same way we used to look at actors be like whoa they're good it's like that's all just cookie
- 1:35:34cutter popcorn shit in the same way music's the same because these guys they're capital like they're
- 1:35:39trying to make money so they're like they're not trying to add to the art industry they're just
- 1:35:43trying to make money and so they're like well yeah this makes more money now christopher nolan has
- 1:35:47earned his stripes where basically he calls the shots now he's got the dramatically good track
- 1:35:53record that says it's my way or the highway thank you and they go yeah but also like when he does
- 1:35:58those films the actors take like 20 of their normal paycheck to do it as opposed to doing like an
- 1:36:03avengers film because they want to be a part of it they are like this guy it that is the lebron
- 1:36:08James, the Michael Jordan, that's like playing, you know, on the winning team because everything
- 1:36:13else is boring to them. There's no challenge in being Wolverine for the sixth time and getting
- 1:36:19that $240 million paycheck and going to the same bar and being on the same tour. Oh yeah, yeah,
- 1:36:24he had great claws this time. Wow. They don't feel part of like the best of the best. Now,
- 1:36:32if you're in a Christopher Nolan movie, you made it. And that's why actors now, there is no acting.
- 1:36:37It's like, The Rock is not an actor.
- 1:36:41The Rock is a wrestling star who's enthusiastic about entertainment, sure,
- 1:36:44but he's not an actor.
- 1:36:46And like Russell Crowe, he's an actor.
- 1:36:48Like The Rock, not an actor.
- 1:36:49And they realize that it's actually quite easy to bridge the gap
- 1:36:52between fame and acting.
- 1:36:55And it's just sort of an extended revenue stream for the famous person,
- 1:36:59singing or acting, right?
- 1:37:01I don't think you watched The Smashing Machine.
- 1:37:02The Rock was an actor in that.
- 1:37:04Oh, The Smashing Machine, I haven't seen.
- 1:37:05So I gave The Rock, he was on Fortnite recently,
- 1:37:08and I was out of the shits because I was like, fucking The Rock.
- 1:37:11He's like, look, cool, I love him in a vibe,
- 1:37:14but he's like super like whores himself out for everything.
- 1:37:18One of the frustrating things about that is the team I chose
- 1:37:20in Fortnite, The Rock is on the other team.
- 1:37:23This sounds stupid, but The Rock in all his contracts has a
- 1:37:25The Rock can't lose clause.
- 1:37:29So in all this stuff, The Rock is not allowed to lose.
- 1:37:31Oh, you see a photo of The Rock fell off a cliff in Jumanji 7.
- 1:37:35Yeah, but at the bottom of the cliff, he was there and he built a hut and he was safe and he killed all the villagers or something.
- 1:37:40I don't know.
- 1:37:40But that's a funny thing to have baked in because they're, again, they're not even about entertainment.
- 1:37:45They're about brand preservation.
- 1:37:47Isn't that wild to think?
- 1:37:48It's like.
- 1:37:49I just love that you're like trying to solve novel math problems and playing Fortnite.
- 1:37:54They're your two hobbies.
- 1:37:56The best, dude.
- 1:37:57The best.
- 1:37:58You've got to have the mad disconnect.
- 1:38:00You've got to be 100% in something and then absolutely not in it.
- 1:38:05Yeah, but nothing solved yet.
- 1:38:07Just still stupid.
- 1:38:10Michael, this has been fucking awesome.
- 1:38:12I love talking to you.
- 1:38:14I feel like I don't know which way's up, but I had a good time.
- 1:38:18Well, it did text me if there's anything you hear and you're like,
- 1:38:20oh, actually, that made sense.
- 1:38:21I'll ask him about that again.
- 1:38:23But always down and I really appreciate it.
- 1:38:25And congrats on a bunch of awesome episodes, by the way.
- 1:38:28I've been like pouring my ears out to you for the past,
- 1:38:31like, I don't know, month listening to some bangers.
- 1:38:34So thanks.
- 1:38:34thanks it's awesome i love it thank you man and we we need to do this more regularly i'm going to
- 1:38:38come down to sydney soon and we should do it again awesome dude i've got a spare room you can crash
- 1:38:42at mine there you go done we can go and have dinner um thank you man um i will speak to you
- 1:38:48soon this has been so much fun awesome thanks so much mate
- 1:39:04Thank you.