Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / CFB DFS CFP Quarterfinals | College Football DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays and Process

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CFB DFS CFP Quarterfinals | College Football DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:05
  Speaker 1: All systems going clear, we left them, We got more
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: college football playoffs.
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: We have made it to the quarterfinals. What's going on? Everybody?
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: My name is Bill.
• 0:42
  Speaker 3: Put a dollar in front of it, and welcome to
• 0:45
  Speaker 3: the Ship at Nation. CFP Quarterfinals breakdown an analysis show.
• 0:50
  Speaker 3: We have some games to get to. But I also
• 0:52
  Speaker 3: want to just thank everybody for watching all season long.
• 0:55
  Speaker 3: We're coming up on the end of great NFL, great
• 0:59
  Speaker 3: cf B seasons at Ship at Nation, and I want
• 1:03
  Speaker 3: to take a second to remind you we got PGA
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  Speaker 3: coming up right around the corner.
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: Now. We're not done with NFL and college football. I
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: do want to make that clear.
• 1:11
  Speaker 3: We're still going to have great content for the rest
• 1:13
  Speaker 3: of the bowl games for the NFL playoffs, Crummy Week eighteen,
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: all the variants and everything that comes with that in
• 1:21
  Speaker 3: the NFL, and then the National Championship for college football
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: as well. But we got some pretty big things in
• 1:27
  Speaker 3: the hopper coming up for PGA. So now's a great
• 1:30
  Speaker 3: time to get in. Try us out five days for
• 1:32
  Speaker 3: nineteen bucks if you like it enough. This is the
• 1:34
  Speaker 3: place to be for PGA, but right now it's the
• 1:37
  Speaker 3: place to be for the CFP and over the holidays.
• 1:41
  Speaker 3: We had some huge winners at Ship at Nation a
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  Speaker 3: big one hundred thousand dollars takedown for am Bellman, and
• 1:48
  Speaker 3: then we had Earwig with a big best ball win,
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  Speaker 3: Hamhock advancing to the College Football World Championship, and just
• 1:55
  Speaker 3: winners across the board flying the ship at Nation Flag
• 1:58
  Speaker 3: our members having a lot of success. Us ending twenty
• 2:01
  Speaker 3: twenty five on a good note. But let's get to
• 2:05
  Speaker 3: the football. If you're watching this early enough, we haven't.
• 2:09
  Speaker 3: We haven't had this game yet. Miami at Ohio State,
• 2:11
  Speaker 3: the showdown on Wednesday night. Now, if you're watching this
• 2:16
  Speaker 3: Thursday morning or real late on Wednesday, you can't skip
• 2:19
  Speaker 3: ahead or watch my breakdown. Tell me what I did right,
• 2:22
  Speaker 3: but probably more so what I got incorrect. I know
• 2:26
  Speaker 3: that's more fun to prod. But any who, we're gonna
• 2:28
  Speaker 3: start with this showdown on Wednesday night, Miami in Ohio
• 2:31
  Speaker 3: State in the quarterfinals. Miami coming in is big underdogs,
• 2:36
  Speaker 3: and rightfully so. I mean, Ohio State's clearly been the
• 2:39
  Speaker 3: better team for most of the season, if not all
• 2:41
  Speaker 3: the season, and can an ACC team hang with the
• 2:46
  Speaker 3: buck guys. Carson Beck has had a much better ceiling
• 2:50
  Speaker 3: against mid to low competition. We witnessed another poor DFS
• 2:54
  Speaker 3: performance against A and M and that was a good defense,
• 2:57
  Speaker 3: and I think Ohio States is better. Even though Miami
• 3:00
  Speaker 3: won the game, it wasn't like we didn't find a
• 3:03
  Speaker 3: lot with Carson Beck on DraftKings and FanDuel, so I'd
• 3:07
  Speaker 3: say proceeded with caution with him again on a Showdown.
• 3:10
  Speaker 3: The quarterbacks catch the ball almost every play, so there's
• 3:13
  Speaker 3: there's definitely still a chance for him there, just he
• 3:17
  Speaker 3: hasn't wowed us. He hasn't been beneficial this entire season.
• 3:20
  Speaker 3: For the most part, mark Fletcher in this backfield. It
• 3:25
  Speaker 3: was pretty clear last week he was the most trusted
• 3:27
  Speaker 3: back in this running back room. It is a tough matchup,
• 3:30
  Speaker 3: but if there's gonna be that much volume for him,
• 3:34
  Speaker 3: I do think there's some upside at seven thousand on Showdown.
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: And then you know, the one thing I do want.
• 3:40
  Speaker 3: To mention too is you know we could see more
• 3:42
  Speaker 3: Pringle and Brown rotate in to keep these guys fresher.
• 3:45
  Speaker 3: Now that's speculation. Obviously I'm not in the coaching room.
• 3:49
  Speaker 3: So I still do like Fletcher the most out of
• 3:53
  Speaker 3: these three backs, and there's really like sixty four and
• 3:57
  Speaker 3: fifty two is not that much of a discount. Now,
• 3:59
  Speaker 3: maybe a few hundred bucks is going to help out
• 4:02
  Speaker 3: your showdown lineup enough, But you gotta think about what
• 4:05
  Speaker 3: you're losing to if Fletcher is still going to be
• 4:07
  Speaker 3: the main back here the wide receiver room Malkie Tony
• 4:11
  Speaker 3: visibly frustrated after that turnover against A and M. Now,
• 4:13
  Speaker 3: he did have redemption with that touchdown, So while the
• 4:17
  Speaker 3: box store score doesn't look great, there was just more
• 4:20
  Speaker 3: proof last week that they're going to try to get
• 4:21
  Speaker 3: him the ball anyway they possibly can, whether it's in
• 4:23
  Speaker 3: the run game, whether Tony's throwing the ball or he's
• 4:27
  Speaker 3: catching the passes on really any type of route. Tony's
• 4:30
  Speaker 3: a guy that can run any type of route. As
• 4:33
  Speaker 3: much of a nightmare as this Ohio State defense can be.
• 4:35
  Speaker 3: I think Tony's just as much of a matchup nightmare
• 4:37
  Speaker 3: for defenses. So even at eighty eight hundred, I think
• 4:42
  Speaker 3: a guy that if you can fit him in to
• 4:44
  Speaker 3: your lineups, isn't a bad option. Definitely. I mean, I
• 4:48
  Speaker 3: don't know how many people are going to be playing
• 4:49
  Speaker 3: Miami captains. I think Tony would be the most popular
• 4:52
  Speaker 3: out of the bunch, but you still might get some
• 4:54
  Speaker 3: leverage putting him in the captain spot instead of an
• 4:56
  Speaker 3: Ohio State guy.
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: And then I do think we can see more C.
• 5:00
  Speaker 3: Daniels as well this week. He's definitely got the talent
• 5:03
  Speaker 3: and upside. You know, he missed some time and you know,
• 5:09
  Speaker 3: the ceiling hasn't been huge since earlier in the season,
• 5:13
  Speaker 3: but obviously, like I said, talented enough that he's certainly
• 5:16
  Speaker 3: an option. And Keilan Marrian just has continued to keep
• 5:19
  Speaker 3: his target share even when Daniel's returning. He's been pretty solid,
• 5:26
  Speaker 3: So maybe you get some point per reception upside, especially
• 5:29
  Speaker 3: if if Miami does need to throw the ball a
• 5:31
  Speaker 3: lot more in this game. It's more so like the
• 5:33
  Speaker 3: reception opportunity that's that's pushing me a little bit towards
• 5:36
  Speaker 3: these guys.
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: It's just it.
• 5:38
  Speaker 3: Even in showdown, it gets hard to play a side
• 5:40
  Speaker 3: that only as a fifteen and a half point team total.
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: After that, in terms of value, it gets pretty gross.
• 5:46
  Speaker 3: Like Lofton is probably the best value on the Miami side,
• 5:49
  Speaker 3: and with these pass catches, just because of the amount
• 5:51
  Speaker 3: of time he spends on the field trader and more,
• 5:55
  Speaker 3: their snapshare has been down like it dropped pretty significantly
• 5:58
  Speaker 3: last week, So I don't know how much you're getting
• 6:01
  Speaker 3: to these guys.
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: That'd be more of an extreme dart throw.
• 6:03
  Speaker 3: Definitely probably gonna definitely probably nice job, Bill, probably gonna
• 6:09
  Speaker 3: get you a little bit different if you do play
• 6:10
  Speaker 3: these guys, and it helps you fit in some of
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: the studs on the other side. Speaking of the other side,
• 6:16
  Speaker 3: big favorites in Ohio State, Julian saying, another guy who's
• 6:20
  Speaker 3: he's shown more upside than Carson Beck, but he's also
• 6:23
  Speaker 3: short of a pretty low floor. More comfortable playing him
• 6:26
  Speaker 3: in Showdown, even at an elevated price. Egg the most
• 6:29
  Speaker 3: expensive guy on this slate, especially with the weapons he
• 6:32
  Speaker 3: has to throw too. The one thing you do need
• 6:34
  Speaker 3: to worry about a little bit, though, is Lincoln Keenholes
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: will come in and snipe some touchdowns in sort of
• 6:39
  Speaker 3: a quarterback wildcat formation. So even on the goal line,
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: I don't know that you're gonna get a ton of
• 6:45
  Speaker 3: Julian sayan rushing touchdown upside, but it's definitely still there.
• 6:49
  Speaker 3: And again on the favorite team, if you're playing a quarterback,
• 6:53
  Speaker 3: you probably lean saying between the two. And then, like
• 6:58
  Speaker 3: I said, Keenoles will snipe some touchdowns here and there,
• 7:01
  Speaker 3: so that could hurt Bo Jackson as well. But with Bo,
• 7:05
  Speaker 3: you're just going for the volume. He's got a lot
• 7:07
  Speaker 3: of potential here, even against a tough defense. It's I
• 7:10
  Speaker 3: don't know, it's Big ten versus ACC I mean, Miami
• 7:14
  Speaker 3: could stand up and be firm on defense, but just
• 7:19
  Speaker 3: everything on paper tells me that the Hurricanes are outmatched. Now,
• 7:24
  Speaker 3: could they win the game, certainly, but I do think
• 7:27
  Speaker 3: Bo Jackson has a lot of potential here.
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: But along with Keenholdts, CJ.
• 7:30
  Speaker 3: Donaldson still has the capability of sniping a touchdown from
• 7:35
  Speaker 3: Bo Jackson, so well, I do think Jackson's going to
• 7:37
  Speaker 3: get the volume. His biggest risk is just other guys
• 7:40
  Speaker 3: taking away the touchdowns once they get inside the five
• 7:42
  Speaker 3: yard line. Should that prevent you from playing him, Absolutely not,
• 7:45
  Speaker 3: But just one of those things you want to go
• 7:47
  Speaker 3: in eyes wide open. And then Isaiah West I would
• 7:49
  Speaker 3: not be surprised to see him get some run in
• 7:51
  Speaker 3: this game too. And in showdown you're looking for who's
• 7:54
  Speaker 3: that Mint Price guy going to be? Well, Isaiah West.
• 7:57
  Speaker 3: If he's going to be on the field at min price,
• 7:59
  Speaker 3: I'll take that for k even if he only gets
• 8:01
  Speaker 3: five carries, if one of them happens to be a touchdown,
• 8:04
  Speaker 3: that could easily be the difference in a game like
• 8:07
  Speaker 3: this where there's not a ton of points expected. The
• 8:11
  Speaker 3: wide receivers Jeremiah Smith and Carnel Tate need no introduction.
• 8:15
  Speaker 3: No doubt they'll be popular with the Buck guys being
• 8:18
  Speaker 3: big favorites and such a low point total for Miami.
• 8:20
  Speaker 3: But you can still be different with how you play
• 8:22
  Speaker 3: these guys, you know, maybe playing Sane at the captain
• 8:25
  Speaker 3: and pairing both of the wide receivers with him, and
• 8:29
  Speaker 3: then obviously you have to jam in some value. But
• 8:31
  Speaker 3: then you're looking at guys like Max Claire, Brandon Innis,
• 8:34
  Speaker 3: Will kack Mark. It's not pretty, but sometimes you gotta
• 8:39
  Speaker 3: get grouse and showdown, not just to you know, like
• 8:43
  Speaker 3: get leverage on it, is to get leverage and maybe
• 8:47
  Speaker 3: find the touchdown. If Sayan spreads out his touchdowns, he
• 8:49
  Speaker 3: throws four touchdowns, two of them to Smith, one to Tate,
• 8:52
  Speaker 3: and then one to one of these other cheap guys,
• 8:55
  Speaker 3: maybe that's enough to make it work that way. And
• 9:00
  Speaker 3: like I said, they're gross, but it helps you avoid
• 9:03
  Speaker 3: dupes too. It's like a more of an all or
• 9:05
  Speaker 3: nothing approach. There's going to be a lot of dupes
• 9:08
  Speaker 3: in this game because of just where the usage goes
• 9:10
  Speaker 3: on either team and how big of a favorite Ohio
• 9:13
  Speaker 3: State is.
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: So maybe that's the way you get different.
• 9:15
  Speaker 3: And then kickers if we do get a sloggy defense
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: at battle, which is not out of the question here,
• 9:20
  Speaker 3: I don't mind a kicker on either side fielding. Obviously,
• 9:23
  Speaker 3: being on the favorite team projected to score more points,
• 9:26
  Speaker 3: it seems like he will have more opportunities.
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: To get points. However, field goals are worth more than
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: extra points, and we've seen Ohio State be okay giving
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: up field goals like a bend but don't break. Not
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: that they gave up a ton of points, but ten
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: points from Davis might be enough on this slate at
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: just forty four hundred.
• 9:45
  Speaker 3: In terms of structure, I think you're going to see
• 9:47
  Speaker 3: a lot of four to two Ohio State captain builds,
• 9:50
  Speaker 3: a lot of five to one Ohio State captain builds,
• 9:53
  Speaker 3: and regardless, a lot of Ohio State in the captain spot.
• 9:57
  Speaker 3: So you can get different by playing Miami, but obviously
• 10:01
  Speaker 3: it comes with some risk in a game like this.
• 10:05
  Speaker 3: Let's move on to Thursday. The three game slate of
• 10:09
  Speaker 3: the CFP Oregon in Texas Tech the first one on
• 10:12
  Speaker 3: the board and the lower seed is favored Dante Moore
• 10:17
  Speaker 3: crushed in the first round, but Tech is obviously a
• 10:19
  Speaker 3: different team than James Madison. I do think if there's
• 10:22
  Speaker 3: an offense that can crack the code, Oregon is going
• 10:24
  Speaker 3: to be on that short list. And more like I said,
• 10:28
  Speaker 3: obviously showed his upside against James Madison. And if he
• 10:33
  Speaker 3: can run in a touchdown and throw for two or
• 10:36
  Speaker 3: three more, seventy seven hundreds not too much to ask.
• 10:38
  Speaker 3: And with a twenty seven point implied team total, it
• 10:41
  Speaker 3: does seem like the books feel like Organ's going to
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: be able to score some points. And on a slate
• 10:50
  Speaker 3: where a lot of the points are going to be
• 10:52
  Speaker 3: in this last game here below, maybe we see some.
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: Lowered ownership on more and you get a little bit
• 10:58
  Speaker 2: of leverage.
• 10:58
  Speaker 3: Now I don't know that I see that necessarily, but
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: if he comes in lower on than the rest of
• 11:05
  Speaker 3: the quarterbacks, I'm certainly certainly interested. Now, last week in
• 11:09
  Speaker 3: this running back room, No Whittington played less than Davison
• 11:12
  Speaker 3: and about the same as Hill, But that may have
• 11:14
  Speaker 3: been by design or can controlled the game, even though
• 11:17
  Speaker 3: the the Duke's covered and the final score looked maybe
• 11:22
  Speaker 3: a little bit different than how the entirety of the
• 11:23
  Speaker 3: game went. I do think we could certainly see more
• 11:26
  Speaker 3: Whittington here, but I would not be surprised to see
• 11:30
  Speaker 3: all three again. All three are viable on a small slate.
• 11:33
  Speaker 3: We get these three game slates, you need to get
• 11:34
  Speaker 3: a little bit weird. Don't be afraid to play, you know,
• 11:37
  Speaker 3: these running backs. He don't get much of a discount
• 11:39
  Speaker 3: with Davison, but he certainly looks like he would be
• 11:42
  Speaker 3: RB two. But if we get some d Airey Hill
• 11:44
  Speaker 3: inside the twenty, inside the ten and he gets a
• 11:47
  Speaker 3: touchdown or two again at forty six hundred, you're just
• 11:49
  Speaker 3: looking for value and ways to avoid dupes on smaller
• 11:52
  Speaker 3: slates like this, and maybe fit in some more combinations
• 11:57
  Speaker 3: of expensive guys that you wouldn't otherwise get if he
• 11:59
  Speaker 3: didn't play forty six hundred dollars running back. The wide
• 12:02
  Speaker 3: receiver room is interesting. Kenyon Sadek and Jamari Johnson had
• 12:06
  Speaker 3: the most snaps last week, and they could certainly continue
• 12:08
  Speaker 3: running twelve personnel for the Ducks and it would not
• 12:11
  Speaker 3: surprise me at all, and that just puts those guys
• 12:14
  Speaker 3: on the field more so. It's not necessarily about how
• 12:17
  Speaker 3: many targets they got, it's just the opportunity to be
• 12:20
  Speaker 3: on the field. And Sadik, I mean, he does seem
• 12:25
  Speaker 3: like the most consistent guy on this team. Now, Goryan
• 12:27
  Speaker 3: Moore in his return did have the third most snaps
• 12:30
  Speaker 3: of the wide receivers, but Malik Benson and Jeremiah McClellan
• 12:34
  Speaker 3: have just been really good, and you get a discount
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: with McClellan two. So while I do think to Corey
• 12:39
  Speaker 3: Moore's still the alpha, that doesn't necessarily always translate to
• 12:44
  Speaker 3: DFS production. Just because you're the best player on the
• 12:47
  Speaker 3: field doesn't always me and you get fantasy points. It's
• 12:50
  Speaker 3: just the fact of the fantasy world that we live in.
• 12:54
  Speaker 3: And then Gary Bryant, we might see some increased usage
• 12:58
  Speaker 3: from him. He only had a few snaps last week,
• 13:00
  Speaker 3: but he was also coming back from injury, so that
• 13:02
  Speaker 3: just throws another wrench into it.
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: And all of this.
• 13:04
  Speaker 3: What this kind of points to me to is that
• 13:06
  Speaker 3: Dante Moore is going to have a lot of weapons
• 13:09
  Speaker 3: on the field and a lot of different ways he
• 13:11
  Speaker 3: can go with the ball.
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: So it kind of comes back to Dante Moore for me.
• 13:15
  Speaker 3: But with with Oregon being favored in this game, if
• 13:19
  Speaker 3: they do get up early, we know they like to
• 13:21
  Speaker 3: run the ball, and I don't think they'll be afraid
• 13:23
  Speaker 3: to do it against Texas Tech. Now, if this game
• 13:25
  Speaker 3: stays competitive, it could be a different story. But I
• 13:28
  Speaker 3: like the deck, I like Benson, But if Benson does
• 13:31
  Speaker 3: get steam because of his last game or just his
• 13:34
  Speaker 3: increased usage, I don't mind taking a shot on any
• 13:36
  Speaker 3: of these guys really on.
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: The Texas Tech side. Baron Morton's fine, it's a tough matchup.
• 13:42
  Speaker 3: I don't know how strong you would consider him if
• 13:44
  Speaker 3: it was a twelve game slate, but he definitely creeps
• 13:46
  Speaker 3: into view when you're talking about a three gamer. And again,
• 13:50
  Speaker 3: if Texas Tech gets down and they need to throw more,
• 13:53
  Speaker 3: certainly opportunity. It's just a matter of, you know, is
• 13:57
  Speaker 3: he getting the passing touchdowns? He's probably gonna need it
• 14:00
  Speaker 3: on in this game. The running backs still have a
• 14:04
  Speaker 3: pretty even split in terms of snap share, but if
• 14:07
  Speaker 3: we look at the conference championship, Dickie just got more
• 14:09
  Speaker 3: touches than Jacoby Williams. You can honestly play both though
• 14:13
  Speaker 3: on the slate and hope touchdowns just funnel through them.
• 14:15
  Speaker 3: When Texas Tech does score, if it goes to Dicky
• 14:18
  Speaker 3: and Williams, They'll be just fine playing both of these guys,
• 14:21
  Speaker 3: especially after James Madison just ran for more than five
• 14:24
  Speaker 3: yards of carry against the Ducks. H every I'm gonna
• 14:28
  Speaker 3: I've said it a lot already and it's probably gonna
• 14:32
  Speaker 3: come out of my mouth again, just because it's the
• 14:33
  Speaker 3: nature of how this slate plays out.
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: There's gonna be tough matchups for everybody.
• 14:37
  Speaker 3: There's a reason these teams are in the quarterfinals, so
• 14:40
  Speaker 3: we have to we have to play somebody, and it
• 14:43
  Speaker 3: can just all be You know, you can't overstack the
• 14:47
  Speaker 3: last game where the shootout's gonna be. But I don't
• 14:50
  Speaker 3: know how different that's gonna get you from the field
• 14:52
  Speaker 3: if you're looking to take down some of these GPPs.
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: Back to Texas Tech.
• 14:56
  Speaker 3: Though, these wide receivers are pretty much as they have
• 14:58
  Speaker 3: been all season. Koy Eken had the great game against
• 15:00
  Speaker 3: BYU that could increase his ownership and leave leverage spots elsewhere.
• 15:04
  Speaker 3: Caleb Douglas, I do think, is still wide receiver one.
• 15:07
  Speaker 3: Reggie Virgil is certainly capable of being wide receiver one,
• 15:10
  Speaker 3: and he might be on a lot of other teams.
• 15:12
  Speaker 3: And Terrence Carter's on the field and he's definitely involved
• 15:15
  Speaker 3: enough to consider. And you're getting a couple of guys
• 15:18
  Speaker 3: that are going to be on the field a lot
• 15:20
  Speaker 3: in the mid four k's, So I'm never going to
• 15:22
  Speaker 3: complain about that at the wide receiver position. Just tech
• 15:27
  Speaker 3: has shown that they will spread the ball out, and
• 15:30
  Speaker 3: you know, once in a while we'll see games funnel
• 15:32
  Speaker 3: to one or two of these guys. But really it's
• 15:35
  Speaker 3: the running backs on the Texas Tech side that I
• 15:37
  Speaker 3: think have the best opportunity here. The biggest spread of
• 15:43
  Speaker 3: the slate Alabama and Indiana.
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: Alabama coming in as the dogs.
• 15:47
  Speaker 3: Ty Simpson just hasn't done anything to wowas for the
• 15:51
  Speaker 3: most part this year, and if Alabama can't get this
• 15:54
  Speaker 3: running game going, it's just so much easier for defenses
• 15:57
  Speaker 3: to key in on Simpson and the pass game.
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: Now.
• 16:01
  Speaker 3: Indiana is going to be without Stephen Daily, who's second
• 16:04
  Speaker 3: on the team in quarterback hurries and has four sacks.
• 16:06
  Speaker 3: He's the guy who hurt himself celebrating after the conference
• 16:09
  Speaker 3: championship victory, so it could have some impact. I do
• 16:12
  Speaker 3: think Indiana has enough depth that it won't be maybe
• 16:15
  Speaker 3: as big of a deal as it's being played out,
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: just because of the nature of how the injury happened,
• 16:20
  Speaker 3: but certainly something to keep in mind at the very least,
• 16:25
  Speaker 3: and I already mentioned it a little bit, but Bama
• 16:27
  Speaker 3: just continues to show the inability to run the ball.
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: Daniel Hill did.
• 16:32
  Speaker 3: Have the most success against Oklahoma and had a score,
• 16:35
  Speaker 3: so maybe some leverage there if we're going to see
• 16:38
  Speaker 3: him get lower ownership technically the RB two on the team,
• 16:41
  Speaker 3: but there I don't know if there is an RB
• 16:45
  Speaker 3: one on this team. Jam Miller could certainly be healthier.
• 16:48
  Speaker 3: And then the other thing to consider with BAM as
• 16:51
  Speaker 3: that Kevin Riley's going to be back and he should
• 16:53
  Speaker 3: be into the rotation in some capacity. But I would
• 16:57
  Speaker 3: say these guys are more leverage plays than anything else.
• 16:59
  Speaker 3: It's not it's not necessarily about you know what has
• 17:03
  Speaker 3: happened this season. It's the guys that are going to
• 17:05
  Speaker 3: be on the field and how you can get your
• 17:06
  Speaker 3: lineups different. Now I don't love it, I really don't
• 17:09
  Speaker 3: not against this Indiana defense. It's just allowing two point
• 17:11
  Speaker 3: nine yards to carry this year, so I don't like it,
• 17:18
  Speaker 3: but I don't think anybody's off the board on a
• 17:21
  Speaker 3: three game slate, especially with the talent these teams have.
• 17:24
  Speaker 3: I just think maybe the least the position group I
• 17:30
  Speaker 3: like the least is the Alabama running backs out of
• 17:32
  Speaker 3: everybody on the slate. The wide receiver room you never guess,
• 17:36
  Speaker 3: but the number one team in the country has a
• 17:38
  Speaker 3: pretty good pass defense too.
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: Just seven touchdowns through the.
• 17:40
  Speaker 3: Air given up by Indiana this year and no more
• 17:42
  Speaker 3: than one in any game. But tough matchup there. I
• 17:48
  Speaker 3: said it again, Jeremy Bernard didn't do much against Oklahoma.
• 17:51
  Speaker 3: I expect Bama to try to get him more involved.
• 17:53
  Speaker 3: It was Lazier Brooks who had the huge game. Ownership
• 17:56
  Speaker 3: might follow him because of it, especially since he's sub
• 17:59
  Speaker 3: four K, but he had the two touchdown game. He's
• 18:02
  Speaker 3: had the upside, I think, all season, and he's finally
• 18:05
  Speaker 3: shown it in the first round of the CFP and
• 18:08
  Speaker 3: then Isaiah Horton led the team.
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: In targets with eight against Oklahoma.
• 18:11
  Speaker 3: So the opportunity is certainly there for him, and at
• 18:13
  Speaker 3: thirty five hundred, I wouldn't be surprised to see him
• 18:15
  Speaker 3: catch some steam as a value play as well Ryan Williams,
• 18:19
  Speaker 3: and maybe it's finally a week for him. I just
• 18:22
  Speaker 3: don't love it because he's underwhelmed us and been a
• 18:24
  Speaker 3: letdown for most of the season. But again, if we
• 18:28
  Speaker 3: get him at just fifty six hundred, which last year,
• 18:30
  Speaker 3: if you would have asked, that would be completely abnormal.
• 18:34
  Speaker 3: I don't know how many people are gonna go there,
• 18:36
  Speaker 3: and just any spot you can get a little bit
• 18:38
  Speaker 3: of leverage and still be able to build lineups that
• 18:40
  Speaker 3: you mostly like. And I say mostly because a lot
• 18:43
  Speaker 3: of lineups are going to have a gross piece or
• 18:45
  Speaker 3: two just with how this slate plays out. If you're
• 18:48
  Speaker 3: going for that all or nothing approach, don't be afraid
• 18:52
  Speaker 3: to get too uncomfortable. And Ryan Williams is certainly uncomfortable.
• 18:57
  Speaker 3: On the Indiana side. Mendoza is expensive, the most desive
• 19:00
  Speaker 3: guy on slate, so you're asking for a little bit
• 19:03
  Speaker 3: more from him, and he hasn't really shown a ceiling
• 19:05
  Speaker 3: against tough defenses, but maybe that lowers his ownership a
• 19:08
  Speaker 3: little bit too. And hack Oklahoma through for three hundred
• 19:10
  Speaker 3: yards on Bama, there's no reason that Indiana can't, so
• 19:14
  Speaker 3: he's again, everybody's on the radar. I keep saying it.
• 19:17
  Speaker 3: It's just it's maybe a I guess, a tick, a
• 19:20
  Speaker 3: verbal crutch, not a tick, a verbal crutch, we'll call it.
• 19:25
  Speaker 3: What I do like is these running backs Hemby and
• 19:27
  Speaker 3: Black get a decent split, which I say decent because
• 19:31
  Speaker 3: it's a running back by committee. But both of them
• 19:33
  Speaker 3: had mid teens and carries against Ohio State, and man,
• 19:36
  Speaker 3: they love pounding the rock. Now lt Overton is back
• 19:39
  Speaker 3: for in Alabama on the defensive line, but I do
• 19:42
  Speaker 3: think this is a chance for the Hoosiers to just
• 19:44
  Speaker 3: continue to pound the rock again and again and again.
• 19:47
  Speaker 3: And we know SIGs likes to run the ball. Even
• 19:49
  Speaker 3: if they fall behind, they continue to run the ball.
• 19:52
  Speaker 3: So the usage opportunity is really what I'm interested with
• 19:54
  Speaker 3: these guys, you know, a different situation than the tech
• 19:58
  Speaker 3: running backs, but similar in the sense that I think
• 20:00
  Speaker 3: both are viable on this slate, and I don't think
• 20:03
  Speaker 3: it's too crazy to play him together and on the
• 20:06
  Speaker 3: wide receiver room, Omark Cooper says he's feeling much better,
• 20:08
  Speaker 3: so we should see that one two punch again with
• 20:10
  Speaker 3: him and Serat. But that one two punch comes with
• 20:12
  Speaker 3: a little bit of an interesting caveat because Charlie Becker
• 20:16
  Speaker 3: has really inserted himself into this rotation and playing a
• 20:19
  Speaker 3: big role in this offense. Now it's he had a
• 20:24
  Speaker 3: big game in the Conference championship as well, But was
• 20:26
  Speaker 3: that because Cooper was dealing with back spasms or is
• 20:29
  Speaker 3: it because he really is becoming one of Mendove's's favorite targets.
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: I think it could honestly go either way. But at
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: forty four hundred.
• 20:39
  Speaker 3: He's a guy I'm not afraid to take a chance on,
• 20:42
  Speaker 3: so I would imagine he just because of his his
• 20:44
  Speaker 3: box score in the Conference championship game, he'll probably catch
• 20:47
  Speaker 3: some steam. As far as ownership, it is a little
• 20:49
  Speaker 3: bit more difficult to project him with a full with
• 20:53
  Speaker 3: the full CORP wide receivers back, but Cooper sarat Becker
• 20:58
  Speaker 3: and maybe a take a discus shot on EJ. Williams
• 21:01
  Speaker 3: even though he's really been hit or missing.
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: Most of his successes come with.
• 21:06
  Speaker 3: Some of these guys either dealing with injury or not
• 21:10
  Speaker 3: playing completely. A game that could certainly get a lot
• 21:15
  Speaker 3: of eyes on it from a DFS perspective, a because
• 21:19
  Speaker 3: it's the highest total on the Slate B.
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: Georgia is the only team with the team total.
• 21:23
  Speaker 3: Over thirty and see because the last time these two
• 21:26
  Speaker 3: teams played it was a forty three to thirty five shootout.
• 21:29
  Speaker 3: Georgia won that game. Just I think it's proved that
• 21:33
  Speaker 3: this game could go either way. Now, how much did
• 21:35
  Speaker 3: Lane Kiffin have to do with that? Tough to say?
• 21:38
  Speaker 3: Did you count them many times they said his name
• 21:40
  Speaker 3: last week is probably going to happen again this week.
• 21:44
  Speaker 3: Trinidad Chambliss didn't seem to have too many issues racking
• 21:48
  Speaker 3: up points against this Georgia team. He did have two
• 21:50
  Speaker 3: rushing touchdowns, but I think his upside for two rushing
• 21:52
  Speaker 3: touchdowns is there every single week. He can throw the
• 21:55
  Speaker 3: ball once they get inside the ten yard line. They're
• 21:58
  Speaker 3: not afraid to run quarterback draws. So I think that
• 22:01
  Speaker 3: upside is super enticing, especially if you're looking at like
• 22:03
  Speaker 3: Trinidad Chamblis at eight five dollars discount from Fernando Mendoza.
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: That it Chambliss, I.
• 22:10
  Speaker 3: Wouldn't be surprised to see as the highest owned quarterback
• 22:13
  Speaker 3: on the slate, probably competing with his counterpart in this game,
• 22:19
  Speaker 3: Keiwan Lacey, always a volume play only twelve carries the
• 22:23
  Speaker 3: last time these two teams met, but he also found
• 22:25
  Speaker 3: the end zone twice and he added a few receptions
• 22:27
  Speaker 3: to Boots. So if almost could move the ball like
• 22:29
  Speaker 3: they have all season and like they did against Georgia
• 22:31
  Speaker 3: in the first game, the touchdown upside for both Chamblas
• 22:34
  Speaker 3: and Lacey is absolutely there. And these wide receivers, they
• 22:39
  Speaker 3: all have a really high ceiling on the first round
• 22:42
  Speaker 3: we saw was stribbling Deuce Alexander and da kuon Wright
• 22:45
  Speaker 3: getting a lot of the attention, but Wallace was still
• 22:48
  Speaker 3: out there plenty, and all four got a solid target
• 22:51
  Speaker 3: share in the first matchup against Georgia. So I could
• 22:54
  Speaker 3: see it going one or two of these guys with
• 22:56
  Speaker 3: how cheap they are. It's there's always opportunity. Even Caten Lee,
• 23:01
  Speaker 3: like everybody on your screen, has potential. Here, Katen Lee
• 23:03
  Speaker 3: and Winston Watkins. I don't want them to feel like
• 23:06
  Speaker 3: to feel like I'm leaving them out because these guys
• 23:08
  Speaker 3: are all gonna be on the field, and if they're
• 23:11
  Speaker 3: all going to be on the field and this game
• 23:12
  Speaker 3: shoots out again, there's gonna be opportunity there. And Caleb
• 23:16
  Speaker 3: Otum is questionable, which doesn't seem like huge news, but
• 23:20
  Speaker 3: it just means more snaps for like Daikwon White, right,
• 23:23
  Speaker 3: we might see Trace Butler and Lukash those guys would
• 23:26
  Speaker 3: be extreme disgusting dart throws. But what it tells me
• 23:29
  Speaker 3: is that there's gonna be maybe two or three more
• 23:31
  Speaker 3: targets to be split out between these guys.
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: And we could honestly see.
• 23:35
  Speaker 3: A situation where all six of these guys get five targets,
• 23:40
  Speaker 3: and if we get the ones that score the touchdowns
• 23:42
  Speaker 3: are the ones that get the big plays, that it
• 23:45
  Speaker 3: could it could spread out ownership on these guys. Now,
• 23:47
  Speaker 3: maybe ownership gets steamed up a little bit just because
• 23:50
  Speaker 3: people see these prices, they see this game total, and
• 23:53
  Speaker 3: they see the last game.
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: Certainly possible.
• 23:56
  Speaker 3: But mixing and matching these guys, I like ole Miss
• 23:59
  Speaker 3: a lot in this game, but.
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: I like Georgia a lot too.
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: Georgia guys are going to be get in good spots
• 24:05
  Speaker 3: because ole Miss is more suited for shootouts than they
• 24:07
  Speaker 3: are to stop teams with their defense.
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: Gunner stocked in a dual threat had an absolute.
• 24:11
  Speaker 3: Monster game against the Rebels, almost forty points if I recall,
• 24:15
  Speaker 3: and he's got thirty point upside in basically every game
• 24:19
  Speaker 3: unless he's playing Georgia Tech. So at eighty one hundred,
• 24:22
  Speaker 3: certainly high on my radar. Here, Nate Fraser is getting
• 24:26
  Speaker 3: the snap shot, although we do need to remember the
• 24:28
  Speaker 3: last game was a few weeks ago and it was
• 24:31
  Speaker 3: Chauncey Bowen's first game back, So while it does seem
• 24:33
  Speaker 3: like Fraser is still RB one, we could see more
• 24:35
  Speaker 3: of a split here. Fraser did have seventeen carries against
• 24:39
  Speaker 3: Ole Miss in the first game, but Bower Bowen still
• 24:42
  Speaker 3: had ten. So I think if it's a matter of
• 24:46
  Speaker 3: saving seven hundred dollars and getting to another play that
• 24:49
  Speaker 3: you really really like, I don't mind taking a shot
• 24:51
  Speaker 3: on Bowen's over Fraser, especially if we see Fraser come
• 24:54
  Speaker 3: in with higher ownership. But I think both are in
• 24:57
  Speaker 3: a good spot here. Zach Aryan Branch has been a
• 24:59
  Speaker 3: stock and he's still priced.
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: At just five K.
• 25:02
  Speaker 3: I mean, it doesn't it doesn't seem like it's mattered
• 25:05
  Speaker 3: if it's a three game slate, in eight game slate,
• 25:07
  Speaker 3: a twelve game slate. Zachari Branch is somewhere between like
• 25:10
  Speaker 3: forty eight hundred and fifty eight hundred, and it does
• 25:13
  Speaker 3: continue to baffle me, but here we are, so definitely
• 25:16
  Speaker 3: somebody that I like on this slate. Now maybe the
• 25:20
  Speaker 3: biggest news on the slate. Kobe Young was listed as
• 25:24
  Speaker 3: probable on the initial report, and now he's off the report.
• 25:27
  Speaker 3: So Kobe Young is active. You could call this a
• 25:29
  Speaker 3: revenge game, nay, a redemption game. It was this game
• 25:34
  Speaker 3: in the regular season that he had his leg injury,
• 25:36
  Speaker 3: just a few steps into the old Miss game, and
• 25:38
  Speaker 3: there was fear that he was going to be missed
• 25:39
  Speaker 3: for the entire season.
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: I don't know if he's going to get full run
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: in this game.
• 25:44
  Speaker 3: It feels like they're gonna put him out there and
• 25:46
  Speaker 3: he's gonna have a big play, just for the storyline,
• 25:49
  Speaker 3: the narrative.
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: I love a good narrative.
• 25:51
  Speaker 3: And at thirty three hundred, even if he has like
• 25:54
  Speaker 3: sixty five percent of what is normal workload, would be
• 25:58
  Speaker 3: at thirty three hundred as a steal for Kobe Young.
• 26:00
  Speaker 3: And I don't think anybody's going to be a stranger
• 26:03
  Speaker 3: to what he can do if they know college football.
• 26:07
  Speaker 3: So another guy wouldn't be surprised if we get some
• 26:09
  Speaker 3: steam steamed up ownership. Now, we can't steam everybody, right,
• 26:14
  Speaker 3: so if I think a lot of these guys have
• 26:16
  Speaker 3: potential to get steamed, that just means somebody is going
• 26:18
  Speaker 3: to be left behind.
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: So there's definitely still some leverage opportunities with that.
• 26:22
  Speaker 3: One big question mark with the return of Kobe Young, though,
• 26:25
  Speaker 3: is what is that going to do to Noah Thomas.
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: He did see.
• 26:27
  Speaker 3: Increased run after the Young injury, and he was dealing
• 26:30
  Speaker 3: with some back spasms in the Conference championship, but it
• 26:33
  Speaker 3: seems like he's cleared to play as well.
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: So it's a little bit tough for a click with
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: Kobe Young back.
• 26:41
  Speaker 3: But again, we don't know exactly what the split is
• 26:44
  Speaker 3: going to be, what the usage is going to be.
• 26:46
  Speaker 3: With Young coming back from injury and Thomas coming back
• 26:48
  Speaker 3: from injury. We could see a good deal of them both,
• 26:51
  Speaker 3: or maybe one of them takes the reins and just
• 26:52
  Speaker 3: sees the field a lot more.
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: And then we can't forget about Dylan Bell.
• 26:56
  Speaker 3: He's still be involved as well, and it sounds like
• 26:58
  Speaker 3: for star freshmen, Ethan Barber will be available.
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: To tight end.
• 27:02
  Speaker 3: Now I don't know that he's necessarily playable, but what
• 27:05
  Speaker 3: that does is it just adds to the tight end
• 27:07
  Speaker 3: rotation and take like guys like Oscar Dalpin, Loss and
• 27:10
  Speaker 3: Lucky probably take a hit.
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: But what I love about this Georgia team is they're
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: all cheap. But I know I'm not alone in that.
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: So people are going.
• 27:19
  Speaker 3: To see these price tags and see this point total
• 27:22
  Speaker 3: and think, all right, it's you know, stocked is expensive,
• 27:25
  Speaker 3: Chamblis is expensive. But look at how easy it is
• 27:27
  Speaker 3: to stack them with their wide receivers. Maybe you go
• 27:30
  Speaker 3: super heavy on this game to get a little bit different,
• 27:33
  Speaker 3: or maybe you do some mini stacks and go a
• 27:36
  Speaker 3: little bit heavier stack on one of these other games
• 27:39
  Speaker 3: to get a little bit different. But all in all,
• 27:42
  Speaker 3: a decent slate, some good contests on DraftKings. The structure
• 27:46
  Speaker 3: is always going to leave some to be desired on
• 27:49
  Speaker 3: those those bigger contests. But like I said earlier, don't
• 27:53
  Speaker 3: be afraid to get uncomfortable in a spot or two.
• 27:55
  Speaker 3: That's really what sets you apart on these smaller slates
• 27:59
  Speaker 3: is find those guys that maybe seem gross on paper,
• 28:04
  Speaker 3: but not gross when they find the end zone and
• 28:07
  Speaker 3: you're at the top of the leader board.
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: But that's going to.
• 28:10
  Speaker 3: Do it for the college Football quarter Final show. Just
• 28:15
  Speaker 3: have fun watching college football New Year's Day. Hopefully you
• 28:19
  Speaker 3: get the day off and you can just veg, lounge
• 28:21
  Speaker 3: watch college football, watch college football on your underpants if
• 28:24
  Speaker 3: you want to. But we're going to end as we
• 28:27
  Speaker 3: do every single show with the Big Guys. Rule number
• 28:32
  Speaker 3: one and that is college football is fun. Enjoy the process,
• 28:35
  Speaker 3: enjoy the sweat, enjoy building your lineups, but again, most
• 28:38
  Speaker 3: of all, enjoy the fact that we get to watch
• 28:41
  Speaker 3: college football on TV and enjoy it and get to
• 28:43
  Speaker 3: play college football dfs.
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: And I know that's rule number one. College football is fun.
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: But the most important part of this close is.
• 28:51
  Speaker 3: To never take a day for Granted, we never know
• 28:54
  Speaker 3: when our last one is going to be and we
• 28:56
  Speaker 3: never get enough. But that'll do it for this week's
• 28:59
  Speaker 3: college football quarter final show. I will see you in
• 29:01
  Speaker 3: the streets this weekend. Let's go out there and ship
• 29:03
  Speaker 3: one for the Big Guy.