Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 287 - 5/28/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:18Hello, and welcome to episode 287 of the All Systems Go sports
- 0:24Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:27I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
- 0:36Happy Wednesday. We are halfway through our work
- 0:38week. Of course it is hump day.
- 0:40You know what that means? You were grinding the first few
- 0:42days of the week and now hopefully it's downhill coasting
- 0:45as we get toward the weekend and finish up the month of May.
- 0:48And today, guys, we're going to do what we've been doing all
- 0:50year long and trying to, of course, maximize our edge.
- 0:53I might have told you guys this before, but when I was new to
- 0:56sports betting and I was kind of learning the data-driven
- 0:59approach and all the concepts that I've, you know, come to
- 1:02know and love today, I had a mentor of mine always tell me
- 1:05try to maximize your edge because really as betters, we
- 1:08want to bet on everything. Like, hey, we had a hockey game
- 1:11last night, we had an NBA playoff game last night, you had
- 1:14WNBA, we had baseball and you know, hey, I want to bet a
- 1:17little bit of everything. I want to walk through the
- 1:19buffet and pick up this, pick up that and have a big night.
- 1:22But you know what, Sometimes you're better at some sports
- 1:24than others. Part of that is maybe your
- 1:26approach as a specific individual better or maybe it's
- 1:29just the market. Some markets are, I'm not going
- 1:31to say easy because nothing is easy.
- 1:33Sports betting is extremely difficult.
- 1:35We all know that it's hard to win consistently long term, but
- 1:38there are sports that we're better at than others.
- 1:40So when you try to maximize your edge, that basically means, hey,
- 1:43put your effort, your research, your devotion, your bankroll
- 1:47towards sports that are making you money and producing good
- 1:49results instead of, you know, having a good sport and then
- 1:52giving away units on sports that maybe you're forcing or you
- 1:55don't have as much of A finger on the pulse on.
- 1:58So you guys know the drill by now.
- 1:59That's Major League Baseball. So I do have for you today a
- 2:03three pack of Major League Baseball bats.
- 2:05Looking at a couple modest short favorites.
- 2:07One bigger favorite here, 11 team in particular had a lot of
- 2:11late steam that I was excited to to explain to you guys today.
- 2:15We do have a couple really good sharp mush edges as well.
- 2:18Also, I'm going to talk about a new feature at rhythm the team
- 2:21at Rhythm that does a fantastic job of giving us these AI backed
- 2:24models for game bets and player props.
- 2:26They have a new feature that I want to hit on here.
- 2:29We will talk about that here in a second and then again we're
- 2:32going to see if we can grind out a you know a winning day here
- 2:34today, which is always the goal now looking back toward
- 2:37yesterday, it's exactly what we did.
- 2:39We kept the good vibes going 2 and 1 + 0.74 units.
- 2:43So I will take 3/4 of a unit every single time again, put it
- 2:47back into our bankroll, reinvest it for today.
- 2:49But we did have couple big wins yesterday.
- 2:51One the Phillies coming through for the team, 2 nothing.
- 2:54Ranger Suarez pitch great. Got worried because Spencer
- 2:58Strider nailed Bryce Harper on the elbow and he left the game
- 3:01like oh that's good, best player on the team.
- 3:03I'm sweating is out. But luckily we had the Phillies
- 3:06hang on to nothing and then had a big win with the Saint Louis
- 3:08Cardinals. They made us sweat that one.
- 3:10They won 7 to 4, but they were up three O.
- 3:12Then they lost the lead and they came back in the late innings
- 3:15and poured on some runs and got a winner there for us as well.
- 3:19Only loser was Kansas City. Love that play.
- 3:22But again, Cincinnati, I really kind of just put on a bunch of
- 3:25runs late and couldn't get us that Kansas City win.
- 3:28But either way, guys, this is the name of the game.
- 3:30Baseball is a long season. I actually wanted to give a
- 3:33shout out to one of my my favorite people on Twitter who
- 3:36has been grinding with me for a very long time, my guy Thomas
- 3:39McCullough. And he said something about how
- 3:42I love the MLB grind. It's even better than football.
- 3:45So you know, is the sweat as good as football?
- 3:47I don't know. But the daily grind of so many
- 3:49games to choose from in such a long period, long season here.
- 3:53I'm with my guy Thomas in that one.
- 3:55So before we dive in our sweats here for today, I did did just
- 3:58want to mention this new feature of rhythm.
- 4:00And I'm just so honored and proud and happy to power with
- 4:03rhythm. First off, I, I will, I will go
- 4:06to the ends of the earth for my guy James Santor, who I've known
- 4:09for quite a while at this point. And James does a great job as
- 4:13the chief marketing officer for Rhythm and Megan and Brian, of
- 4:17course. And you guys know Rhythm at this
- 4:18point because they power the pod and we referenced them quite a
- 4:21bit. But Rhythm came up with a new
- 4:23feature. It's called power trends.
- 4:25So I want you all to re download the app.
- 4:28You might have to update it if you don't have it yet, of
- 4:29course, you better go download Rhythm.
- 4:31But the power trends are now officially live in the app.
- 4:34We want to make sure that everyone knows about this and
- 4:37can really use it to their advantage.
- 4:40And really what you're going to see is a Thunderbolt.
- 4:41It almost looks like the San Diego chart or the LA Chargers
- 4:44logo. But a power trend let's I'll
- 4:48give you exactly what rhythm how they describe it.
- 4:50A power trend is an AI detected pattern where the model has
- 4:54shown a high win rate and return on investment under a specific
- 4:57set of repeatable conditions. When those conditions appear be
- 5:01highlighted with a lightning bolt.
- 5:03So it's a pretty amazing feature.
- 5:05Basically what it does is it will still get the regular
- 5:08models and predictions, but this one really focuses on almost
- 5:11like when we talk betting systems, specific criteria that
- 5:14go into kind of creating this, these conditions for these power
- 5:18trends. It's almost like, you know, a
- 5:20recommendation on steroids basically.
- 5:22I don't know if that's a good, good comparison.
- 5:25You know, talking MLB and although I will admit, baseball
- 5:28I thought was more fun when they were on steroids, but these AI
- 5:31detected patterns where the model is showing a higher win
- 5:34rate in ROI under these repeatable conditions.
- 5:37Basically, when you see a lightning bolt only available on
- 5:40rhythm, you can then obviously take advantage of these power
- 5:43trends and it's really a game changer because it's pattern
- 5:46related. Like if you see these specific
- 5:48conditions over a long period of time in this spot and they
- 5:52produce really good results, you want to know the next time this
- 5:55takes place. So for me, as a data-driven
- 5:57better, I'm always looking for systems that not only that win,
- 6:00but basically have a good theory and model behind it with a lot
- 6:04of of system matches and a big sample size.
- 6:07So with these AI detected patterns, with these consistent
- 6:10win rates, I'll give you an example.
- 6:12Think about a 62% of strikeout prop caches when the win
- 6:17probability is between 80 and 90% and the price is between
- 6:21-100 and -150. So that's basically saying, hey,
- 6:25we predict it or basically based on our, our, our models and our
- 6:29all the data that we've compiled, this is a 62% of
- 6:33strikeout props caching in the specific condition.
- 6:37So the probability 8090%. But I really like the price
- 6:40because to me, the price is important.
- 6:42You know, if you're getting plus money props or you're looking at
- 6:45minus numbers, obviously minus numbers, you got to win at a
- 6:47higher rate. But sometimes I lean more on
- 6:49minus numbers. Like I'm thinking when I bet a
- 6:51lot of NFL player props, like if I'm looking at, you know, Dalton
- 6:55Kincaid to go over 35 1/2 receiving yards and it was -120
- 7:00and now it's -140 yeah, I don't want to pay the -140 but the
- 7:03sign of the juice increasing makes me more confident because
- 7:07it tells me a lot of respect the money came in to move that
- 7:09number. So this, this power trend
- 7:12basically applies the price of the, the, the odds in the prop.
- 7:16And in those conditions, you know, kind of multiplying or
- 7:21layering and more factors, it wins at a higher rate.
- 7:24So there's no guesswork that these are back tested systems
- 7:26that win. These power trends update daily.
- 7:29They're only available on rhythm.
- 7:31And of course, once you get rhythm, you're off and running
- 7:33here with all the different sports right now.
- 7:36WNBA, of course, we got baseball NBA playoffs.
- 7:40But I want all of you guys to check out a great tweet that my
- 7:43buddy James Santor put up, basically walking you through
- 7:46and explaining how these how these power trends work.
- 7:50And then hopefully we can apply them each day to some of our to
- 7:53some of our, you know, kind of kind of plays and give us more
- 7:55confidence to get down. So again, shout out to the
- 7:58rhythm team. The one thing all about Rhythm
- 8:00is that they're constantly trying to improve, constantly
- 8:03trying to add more features, help us win.
- 8:05And this new power trends feature is really amazing
- 8:08because again, it's right up my alley because it looks at when
- 8:11these repeatable conditions take place and under these
- 8:14conditions, something wins at a higher rate.
- 8:16Hey, that's something that we want to take advantage of.
- 8:18So shout out to Rhythm again, you might want to update the app
- 8:21to get those power trends. You see that lightning bolt?
- 8:24That's a good sign here and a play that you might want to
- 8:26tail. So with that being said, now
- 8:29let's get to doing what we love doing, which is betting on
- 8:31sports from a data-driven, sharp contrarian perspective.
- 8:34So 3 pack of MLB bets overall. Let's now jump on the first one
- 8:39that caught my eye today. Let's look at a 1:10 PM Eastern
- 8:41Time first pitch, Minnesota Twins visiting the Tampa Bay
- 8:44Rays. So this is the rubber match of a
- 8:47three-game series. We have the Rays who are 27 and
- 8:5027500 club. They took the opener 7 to 2.
- 8:53They cashed as a -, 115 home favorite.
- 8:56Then we saw the Twinkies 30 and 24.
- 8:58They bounced back with a four to two win yesterday.
- 9:00Took care of business as a -, 125 Rd. favorite.
- 9:03So the favorites have won all these the first two games of
- 9:06series. I'm hoping that continues
- 9:07because I like Tampa Bay today. Now, First off, let's look at
- 9:10the pitching match up. Pretty good pitching match up.
- 9:12This is why you see a low total of 8, but we have the twins
- 9:15going with the ready Pablo Lopez.
- 9:16He's four and two 2.31 ERA. Meanwhile, the Rays are going to
- 9:20go with fellow ready Drew Rasmussen.
- 9:22He's 3 and 4, but with a nice 2.6 O era.
- 9:26Now, what are we seeing across the market?
- 9:28Well, this game open at a pick them basically -110 both sides.
- 9:32And what do we always talk about?
- 9:33You open out of pick them. It's very important to me which
- 9:35direction does the line move, because maybe pros also have a
- 9:38pick em based on their models and power ratings and what they
- 9:41predict the the money line should be.
- 9:44Maybe also they don't. Maybe they have one team favored
- 9:46over another. So it looks to me when this game
- 9:48opened up, pick em. And this is not an opinion.
- 9:50This, you know, the market proves it.
- 9:52All money's been flowing in on Tampa Bay.
- 9:54And I also like that it was late steam.
- 9:55This took place. I want to say maybe like 11 AM,
- 10:00ten AM, 11:00 AM, somewhere around there, which again, for a
- 10:03110 game, that's when big bets are flowing in.
- 10:06So we've seen now Tampa Bay get steamed up to -125 some shops
- 10:10even as high as -130 remember they open -110 I really like the
- 10:14bet splits on Tampa. It's almost to fade the trendy
- 10:17dog play. The Rays are only getting 39% of
- 10:20money line bets, but 51% of money line dollars at DraftKings
- 10:24and at Circa only 40% bets but 76% dollars.
- 10:28So we got a line move. We got low bets, higher dollars
- 10:30or even contrarian at both DraftKings and circa.
- 10:34I love the betting system value as a non division favorite.
- 10:37So lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN quote.
- 10:39The better team was expected to win based on that favorite
- 10:42designation and then also a favorite low total total again
- 10:45in this game is 8. So fair amount of expected runs
- 10:47scored again, more likely to come from quote UN quote that
- 10:50better team. Tampa Bay has been better as of
- 10:53late, both at the, you know, on the bump and at the plate.
- 10:57They're hitting 2:48 with a 2.22 team ERA in their last 10.
- 11:01Minnesota's hitting 234 with a three-point O3 ERA.
- 11:04And then if we dig a little deeper into some specific
- 11:08hitting situations, the Rays are hitting 255 against righty's.
- 11:12That's the 9th best in baseball. Twins are only hitting 243.
- 11:16They're that's 20th. And then if you look home Rd.
- 11:19Twins hitting 2:30 on the road that ranks 21st Tampa Bay not
- 11:23bad at home hitting 249 that ranks 15th.
- 11:27So this game open as a pick em all steam has been going toward
- 11:30Tampa. They got a really good low bets,
- 11:32higher dollar sharp contrarian bet split and then oh by the
- 11:35way, pop open the juice reel app 28% sharp mush edge lighting up
- 11:40here on Tampa Bay. So early matchup.
- 11:43Let's hope we can start our day off with a win.
- 11:45I'm going to Tampa Bay Rays in this one.
- 11:46I got Tampa -124 you should still be able to get a -, 125
- 11:51out there, but again, shop around.
- 11:53Some books are as high as -130. Next bet for you, another 1:10
- 11:57PM Eastern Time. First pitch, let's go to
- 11:59Cleveland, the LA Dodgers visiting the Cleveland Guardians
- 12:03now. The Dodgers who are 34 and 21,
- 12:06they've taken the first two games of this three-game
- 12:08interleague series. They won the opener 7:00 to 2:00
- 12:11as a -, 180 Rd. favorite. Then they won again yesterday,
- 12:159:00 to 5:00 as a -, 135 Rd. favorite.
- 12:19So pitching match up for today, we have the Dodgers going with
- 12:22the ageless wonder Clayton Kershaw, the lefty O&O 7.5 O
- 12:25ERA. Guardians, meanwhile, who are 29
- 12:28and 25, they're going to go with the southpaw Colby Allard 2 and
- 12:32O 1.5 O ERA. This was a spot start.
- 12:35We didn't know who was going to pitch this game.
- 12:36And Allard came in late and it's kind of interesting, even though
- 12:39he's got pretty good numbers and Kershaw hasn't been great, all
- 12:43the steam is gone on the Dodgers.
- 12:44I like the Dodgers today, guys. This line opened Dodgers around
- 12:47a -, 135 Rd. favorite, Cleveland around a + 115 home dog.
- 12:52And we've seen the Dodgers get steamed up -135 all the way up
- 12:56to -165 - 170. So that is a massive steam
- 13:00movement. It really coincided with once
- 13:02Allard was announced. So I think it's important you
- 13:05know, not just hey, the Allard's two one O 1.5 O ERA.
- 13:08That's really good. You know, let's take Cleveland
- 13:10as a dog. But no sharps are saying we want
- 13:11to bet against this guy and a spot start.
- 13:14Hopefully the bats of how the Dodgers can get to Allard.
- 13:18Did I mention that? Yeah, I got dodgers -168 again,
- 13:22some shops as high as -170 now at this point, but really good
- 13:25bet split at Circa. Dodgers are only getting 47% of
- 13:29money line bets, but 96% of money line dollars.
- 13:32So a huge low bets, higher dollar split tells me the bigger
- 13:36wise guys out in the desert in Vegas are going Dodgers.
- 13:39Dodgers have that interleague favorite value.
- 13:41So lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN quote, the
- 13:43better team system match that I really like when you are a
- 13:46bigger favorite -170 or more and you see the line move toward
- 13:50that big favorite. Basically, hey, you're heavy
- 13:52favorite for a reason and you're becoming more of a favorite.
- 13:55Those teams are 125 and 4972% with a 4% ROI this year.
- 14:01Banking on the Dodgers, hopefully Kershaw to kind of get
- 14:04back on track here. I think he's making his third
- 14:05start overall. But the Dodgers offense, let's
- 14:08hope it shows up today. They're on the year hitting
- 14:1126487 home runs, 320 or 310 runs scored.
- 14:16The Guardians meanwhile only hitting 23056 homers, 216 runs
- 14:21scored. LA is hitting 248 on the road.
- 14:24That's top ten in baseball, 9th overall.
- 14:26Cleveland is only hitting 214 at home.
- 14:28That is dead last, the worst home hitting team in baseball.
- 14:32Dodgers meanwhile also hitting 259 against lefties.
- 14:34That's again top ten, 7th overall.
- 14:37Guardians only hitting 216 against southpaws, that is 24th.
- 14:42So you got it all up here, guys. We have a massive steam move on
- 14:44the Dodgers. Great bet.
- 14:45Split out at Circa. Better bats.
- 14:48Kind of fishy again. Allard good numbers, but Lions
- 14:50going to Dodgers. I'm laying it with the Dodgers
- 14:53in this spot here, guys, I got dodgers -168 again.
- 14:57Shop around some books as high as -170 last bit of the day with
- 15:02a lot of good day sweats here for today.
- 15:04I'll be honest, I could probably, you know, push through
- 15:06a few more bets, but hey, I want to be fearless with disciplined.
- 15:09Let's go to a 3:40 PM Eastern Time.
- 15:12First pitch out in the desert Pittsburgh Pirates visiting the
- 15:15Arizona Diamondbacks. This is a rubber match of a
- 15:18three-game series. The D backs who are 27 and 28.
- 15:21They won the opener 5. Nothing took care of business as
- 15:24a -, 190 home favorite pirates, by the way, 20 and 36.
- 15:28They clawed back with a nine to six come from behind wind
- 15:30yesterday as a + 215 Rd. dog. You had a big favorite Arizona.
- 15:35I believe they're up 6 nothing and like late in the game and
- 15:38blew a huge lead. So I hope they bounce back today
- 15:41because because that awful collapse yesterday.
- 15:44Hint hint, I'm on the snakes here pitching match up, though.
- 15:47Pirates are going to go with the ready phenom Paul Skeens 3 and
- 15:51five 2.63 ERA Snakes going to go with the ready Zach Gallon three
- 15:56and six 5.25 ERA. So what are you seeing across
- 15:59the market here? Well, this game open Arizona a
- 16:02-, 125 home favorite Pittsburgh around a plus one O 5 row dog.
- 16:06And right off the bat that jumps out to me like skeens as great
- 16:09as he is, why is he a dog? And also he's becoming more of a
- 16:13dog again open getting like plus one O 5.
- 16:17Now he's as high as like what plus 1/15.
- 16:20So why are the odds makers giving you a better payout to
- 16:23back Paul Skeens? Well, because looks like Arizona
- 16:26is the sharp play here today. Arizona's gotten steamed up -125
- 16:31up to -135 I got Arizona -134 at FanDuel.
- 16:36But I do like the splits. Around 60% bets, but nearly 70%
- 16:40of the money at DraftKings is on Arizona.
- 16:43So kind of modest, slight public support, but also some good
- 16:46sharp action there in the form of a low bets, higher dollars
- 16:49bet split. I got some system matches as
- 16:51well. One one that I really like when
- 16:53both teams are below 500, which is the case here.
- 16:56Take the home favorite. Those teams are 61 and 3266
- 17:00percent, 7% ROI this year, a non division sweet spot favorite
- 17:04when you're between -135 and -160.
- 17:07Those teams are 96 and 5862% with a 6% ROI.
- 17:12Also, we have a correlative betting favorite low total.
- 17:15So Arizona's favorite in this one becoming more of a favorite.
- 17:18Total of 7 1/2. So low total.
- 17:20Fewer amount of expected runs scored.
- 17:22Again, more likely, hopefully, hopefully literally going to the
- 17:25better team. Arizona in the spot.
- 17:28Diamondbacks obviously facing a really good pitcher in Skeens,
- 17:31but they do have the better bats between these teams.
- 17:33They're hitting 25676 homers, 278 runs scored.
- 17:37Pirates only hitting two 2539 homers, 173 runs scored.
- 17:43I look at some other factors here.
- 17:44Hopefully that will benefit Arizona.
- 17:46They're hitting 263 at home. That's the 7th best in baseball.
- 17:49Pirates are only hitting two O 9 on the road.
- 17:51That ranks 28th. Pittsburgh is also even though
- 17:54they came back and won yesterday on the road, they're still just
- 17:567 and 20 on the road this year. That's the third worst Rd.
- 18:00record in baseball. And then also day games.
- 18:02We have seen Diamondbacks go 10 and eight in day games versus
- 18:07the pirates only going 7 and 16 in day games.
- 18:11And one little cherry on top, popped open juice reel, 37%
- 18:15sharp mush edge in favor of Arizona here.
- 18:18So I know Skeens is great, but we have a line move, good low
- 18:22bets, higher dollars bet split system matches.
- 18:24And again, Arizona blown that 6 nothing lead.
- 18:26Hopefully they're the the manager.
- 18:29Lavulo is getting them going here and they want to bounce
- 18:31back because that was pretty pathetic.
- 18:32Look, thank God I wasn't on Arizona last night because that
- 18:35would have been brutal if you had played them and seen them
- 18:37collapse like that. But good move, good sharp, sharp
- 18:40mush. Just a match.
- 18:41Let's go Arizona. That's what I'm doing.
- 18:43I got snakes -134 so Rays, Dodgers, Arizona, can we eke out
- 18:50A2 in one day? Continue the hot streak here.
- 18:52That is the goal. So that about does it for
- 18:55episode 287 of the All systems Go Sports Betting podcast
- 18:58powered by Rhythm, who again unveiled the amazing new feature
- 19:02today, the power trends. So give them give them a look.
- 19:05But this is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and they
- 19:08start first by saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
- 19:11out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
- 19:13the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
- 19:16with me. I'm very proud and honored to
- 19:18host this pod each day. Obviously, I want to just hand
- 19:22out winners left and right, but betting is difficult.
- 19:24So in a way, I'm kind of proud of the grind, daily grind that
- 19:28we that we have to undertake each day because sports betting
- 19:31is hard. It's challenging, but to me,
- 19:33that's what makes it exciting, rewarding when you win and
- 19:37hopefully not getting down on yourself when you're struggling.
- 19:39But anyway, if you do enjoy this pod, you want to help me grow
- 19:41the pod, could you please do me a very easy, simple thing?
- 19:44Could you give this podcast a five star review on Spotify or
- 19:48iTunes go a long way to helping us to continue to grow the pod.
- 19:52If you want to leave a nice review under the review section,
- 19:55leave a nice comment. Hey, I'll take that.
- 19:57And if you want to also recommend the pod to a friend or
- 20:00click the follow button. That way you get alerted as soon
- 20:02as it drops each day you get a pop up on your smartphone.
- 20:06That would be much appreciated as well.
- 20:08Next, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, data-driven,
- 20:12sharp contrarian betting. People always ask me like, who
- 20:15do you who do you like tomorrow? Who do you like today?
- 20:16I'm like, I like whoever, whoever the sharp team is.
- 20:20But if this style of betting has appealed to you, you've kind of
- 20:22seen some of the benefits of leaving your bias at the door
- 20:25and betting based on data and line movement and splits and
- 20:28system matches. Well, if that's the case and you
- 20:31want to learn more about data-driven betting, or maybe
- 20:33you know someone who could use a few data-driven tips, or you
- 20:36just want to make my day and let me know you, you enjoy the pod,
- 20:40you know what you should do. You should go to Amazon.com and
- 20:42type in the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
- 20:45It's my baby, my first book ever wrote.
- 20:47Very proud of it. It's got everything I've learned
- 20:49in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
- 20:51they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
- 20:54action, how to go contrarian, how to place the bet in person
- 20:57or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up a
- 20:59bankroll management plan all included in the Everything Guide
- 21:03to Sports Betting. Now while you're at it, while
- 21:05you're on Amazon getting the everything guide, you should
- 21:07then type in type in the NFL sharp betting playbook.
- 21:12That's my new baby. The due date is August 12th,
- 21:142025. Cannot wait for you guys to
- 21:16check it out. I actually tweeted out yesterday
- 21:19at Josh under score insights the cover so triumph books.
- 21:22My publisher just showed me the finished copy of the cover, the
- 21:26front and back. I love it cannot wait for you
- 21:28guys to check it out. But if you want to pre-order a
- 21:30copy of the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook, I'd very much
- 21:34appreciate that. You'd make me happy.
- 21:36You'd make the publisher happy. So give give it a thought.
- 21:39I think you guys are going to enjoy it.
- 21:41But bring the everything guide, the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook
- 21:43to the sports book. I'll sign them for you.
- 21:45I'll buy a beer or ginger ale or truly or I don't know, a rum and
- 21:50coke, whatever you want. And we'll get some nachos and
- 21:52sweat some sharp data-driven plays together.
- 21:54How's that sound? Sounds pretty good to me.
- 21:57Next, have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Reel yet?
- 21:59My two favorite sports betting apps.
- 22:01They're all based on data rhythm of course, unveiling their power
- 22:04trends today. Great for their AI back models
- 22:06and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 22:09Juice Reel another fantastic sports sports betting app that
- 22:14you got to download. This is the part of the pod
- 22:17where I'm going to hold out past the hat.
- 22:19If you want to drop in a $5.00 bill and support the pod, you
- 22:22can sign up to get the official all systems go best bet picks
- 22:26that are available only on Juice Reel. 5 bucks per week you
- 22:31there's a 7 day free trial if you want to test it out, but
- 22:33again, this pod is free. Hopefully you feel like I give
- 22:36you a dollar's worth of insights each day, but you can get those
- 22:39all systems go official best bets only on juice reel and I
- 22:42put them in usually a little bit before the pods.
- 22:44Hopefully you beat some closing lines, but I'd love for you guys
- 22:47to sign up and get those. You can always click the tweet
- 22:49that I put out each day at Josh under score insights, directing
- 22:53you to the all systems go best bets on juice reel or when you
- 22:57got juice reel, you just click buy sell bottom right corner and
- 23:00you can search ASG or sorry, yeah, ASG under score podcast.
- 23:03But also you're going to get the sharp mush indicators.
- 23:06The arbitrage plays sync up your sports books to all of your your
- 23:11sports betting apps to the app. You also get, of course, the
- 23:14robo Jackson best bet picks. Just a lot of great features
- 23:17available on juice reel. So download rhythm, download
- 23:20Juice Reel and you'll be off and running with another tool and
- 23:23you're data-driven sports betting tool kit.
- 23:26Next, do you have a live odds page?
- 23:28You need a live odds page. I, I hammer you guys every day
- 23:31about this and you're probably sick of it, but those of you who
- 23:33have one, you know how important it is.
- 23:35You got to know #1 the most basic thing of the day is what
- 23:39games are being played, What are the start times, who's playing
- 23:42who? You need live scoring.
- 23:44Once the game gets going, you need live, you know, live odds,
- 23:48literally live in game wagering odds as the game gets going.
- 23:51But really with the live odds page, what I love about it is it
- 23:54lets you track and monitor the betting market.
- 23:55So you can have a opening column that never changes.
- 23:58In the middle of the page to the right are all the current
- 24:00numbers. Literally within one to two
- 24:02seconds, you can see which direction the line is moving.
- 24:05You can pull up the line history.
- 24:06You can shop for the best line and get the best price.
- 24:09Very, very important to have a live odds page.
- 24:11So you may have one, you may not.
- 24:14You may have a free one that you like, but it's delayed or it
- 24:16doesn't give you many sports books.
- 24:18I know you have have one that is is OK, but it's expensive.
- 24:22Well, you know what you should do?
- 24:23You should switch to odds logic and you should go to
- 24:26thislinkoddslogic.com/josh 123 again, odds logic.com/josh 123
- 24:35and once you click that link, you will get a 7 day free trial
- 24:38and then 50% off your first month of service.
- 24:41And again, any questions about anything, anything on the pod or
- 24:44any any things we mentioned, you can always hit me up on Twitter.
- 24:46Send me Adm at Josh under score insights.
- 24:49That about does it everybody. As always, I'll leave you with a
- 24:52couple things. One, whether I see you at the
- 24:54Borgata and Atlantic City Twin River in Rhode Island, the
- 24:57Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
- 24:59Connecticut at the encore in Boston or plain Ridge park
- 25:02casino MGM Springfield or the Nash and Nashville, New
- 25:05Hampshire in my neck of the woods.
- 25:07Or, of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get down
- 25:10or Billy Walter sends his number runners with lowest juice
- 25:13possible is found at the South Point.
- 25:14Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
- 25:17swim pool. When you catch a big ticket at
- 25:19Circa Herbert, may be you're going to walk up to me.
- 25:22Show me a Phil's ticket. Show me a Cardinals ticket.
- 25:25Guess what? First one's on me, next one's on
- 25:27you. We'll post about the book and
- 25:29sweat. More MLB games for today.
- 25:32But as always, guys two and one, one and two, three and OO and
- 25:35three again. When we have a great day, we're
- 25:38always excited to go right back into the arena and bet we have a
- 25:40bad day. Maybe we're a little more a
- 25:43little a little more anxious, I guess.
- 25:45But here's the thing, good day, bad day, hot day, cold day.
- 25:48We just got to stick to the model, stick to the blueprint,
- 25:50never get too high or too low and just grind the model and you
- 25:54guys might know it by now. We're looking for games that fit
- 25:56our criteria against the public, with the house, with the pros,
- 26:00flat bet, avoid parlays and get that closing line value.
- 26:03If we can do that long term, I'm confident we're going to be
- 26:06successful sports betters. So have a great Wednesday,
- 26:08everybody. Let's see if we can find a way
- 26:10to get two of these three MLB plays and then we'll be right
- 26:13back at it tomorrow for episode 288 of the All Systems Go Sports
- 26:18Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 26:20Good luck everybody and enjoy the day sweats.