Latest / Balance of Power / Trump to Release Election Integrity 'Findings' in Primetime Address
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- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. You're listening to the
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- 0:34Speaker 2: Radio today, and at the White House as we speak,
- 0:36Speaker 2: we're preparing to see a briefing from the White House
- 0:39Speaker 2: Press Secretary Caroline Lovett, who should retake the podium any
- 0:43Speaker 2: minute now, her first briefing with reporters show. Of course,
- 0:46Speaker 2: since having her second child. She is back from maternity leave,
- 0:49Speaker 2: and I would imagine she's going to be pressed a
- 0:51Speaker 2: number of times as to what exactly she knows about
- 0:54Speaker 2: what the President is planning to say in his primetime addresses.
- 0:57Speaker 3: Yeah, we haven't seen her in this forum in some time,
- 0:59Speaker 3: and she's going to, I'm I'm sure, try to frame
- 1:01Speaker 3: what the President wants to talk about this evening without
- 1:04Speaker 3: getting in front of the boss. There's only so much
- 1:06Speaker 3: that you want to say, and of course there's only
- 1:07Speaker 3: so much that everyone knows about what exactly is inside
- 1:10Speaker 3: Donald Trump's head. He's known for tweaking the script right
- 1:13Speaker 3: up until the moment is put on the prompter and
- 1:15Speaker 3: then ad libbing around it.
- 1:16Speaker 4: When it's on the paddles.
- 1:17Speaker 3: I guess we'll be in the East Room tonight. I'm
- 1:19Speaker 3: curious to know if he has an audience again this time.
- 1:21Speaker 3: I remember there was a seated crowd filled with cabinet
- 1:24Speaker 3: officials and others last time he did one of these.
- 1:26Speaker 2: Yeah, there's been reporting that the FBI director Cash Bettel
- 1:29Speaker 2: could be involved this go around, as it is expected.
- 1:32Speaker 2: At least it has been reported that the President is
- 1:34Speaker 2: going to unveil new intelligence pertaining to the twenty twenty election.
- 1:38Speaker 2: But we're all on tender hooks to find out. We
- 1:40Speaker 2: actually don't know. None of this is confirmed.
- 1:43Speaker 3: This is going to be something, which is why we
- 1:45Speaker 3: start at the White House. Bloomberg's Tyler Kendall is on
- 1:47Speaker 3: a sweltering north lawn right now. It's about ninety five
- 1:50Speaker 3: degrees here in the nation's capital. As we anticipate the
- 1:53Speaker 3: smoke plumes, we'll be looking a lot like New York.
- 1:56Speaker 3: They say, by tomorrow, Tyler, what's in store for us
- 1:58Speaker 3: this evening, the President speaking nine pm Eastern. What do
- 2:01Speaker 3: you know about it?
- 2:03Speaker 5: Well, Joe, at this point, we know it's going to
- 2:04Speaker 5: be a primetime address. President Trump is set to address
- 2:08Speaker 5: the nation about what we're expecting to be As you
- 2:11Speaker 5: both are outlining election security. There has been various reporting
- 2:15Speaker 5: on exactly what the President could lay out tonight, including
- 2:19Speaker 5: this report from Politico that says that he will focus
- 2:22Speaker 5: on the declassification of previously unseen intelligence related to the
- 2:26Speaker 5: twenty twenty election. But as you both mentioned, we don't
- 2:29Speaker 5: know at this point, but we do know that there's
- 2:31Speaker 5: a lot of contexts leading up to this, which is
- 2:33Speaker 5: that President Trump, for the most part in the past weeks,
- 2:36Speaker 5: has really been pinning most of his legislative agenda on
- 2:39Speaker 5: the Save America Act, that voter ID law that would
- 2:42Speaker 5: tighten restrictions around voting as we head into the midterm elections.
- 2:46Speaker 5: He's tied it to most of the legislation on Capitol Hill,
- 2:50Speaker 5: from the FAISA extension to that housing bill back by
- 2:53Speaker 5: Portisan bill that he didn't put his signature on the
- 2:56Speaker 5: other context that we know, of course, is that there
- 2:58Speaker 5: are very slim marks jins when it comes to Congress,
- 3:01Speaker 5: and perhaps this could be trying to lay the groundwork
- 3:04Speaker 5: as we head into the midterm elections. Democrats only need
- 3:07Speaker 5: a net gain of three seats in the House and
- 3:09Speaker 5: four seats in the Senate to flip those respective chambers,
- 3:12Speaker 5: and I would expect that the President's going to talk
- 3:14Speaker 5: about his views on this as we get closer to
- 3:18Speaker 5: election day.
- 3:21Speaker 2: Well, and of course election day does just grow ever
- 3:24Speaker 2: closer with every passing day, Tyler, and that looming election
- 3:28Speaker 2: and the economic consequence of what has happened in the
- 3:30Speaker 2: Middle East that could impact voters as they head to
- 3:33Speaker 2: the elections is the reason why the President was pursuing
- 3:36Speaker 2: a deal with Iran and entered the memorandum of understanding that,
- 3:40Speaker 2: of course, he has since declared dead. As we see
- 3:43Speaker 2: a resumption of hostilities with Iran, do we expect that
- 3:47Speaker 2: he'll have anything to tell the country about the prosecution
- 3:50Speaker 2: of those operations moving forward. The last time he did this,
- 3:54Speaker 2: as I recall, he was talking about Iran and how
- 3:56Speaker 2: he expected that it could be wrapped up in a
- 3:58Speaker 2: matter of weeks, and that was back in April.
- 4:01Speaker 5: Keyley, it's definitely a possibility. President Trump himself said yesterday
- 4:05Speaker 5: that he would have really big news, seeming to allude
- 4:08Speaker 5: to the election security aspect of this, but he also
- 4:10Speaker 5: said that he would speak on other topics. So at
- 4:12Speaker 5: this point we're going to have to see if he
- 4:14Speaker 5: does give some sort of update, as it's been very
- 4:17Speaker 5: clear that the US is opting for tighter economic pressure
- 4:20Speaker 5: and also kinetic action to try to force Ron back
- 4:23Speaker 5: to the negotiating table. We had President Trump yesterday reiterating
- 4:27Speaker 5: his threats to hit Iranian energy infrastructure by next week
- 4:31Speaker 5: if they don't start to resume talks, as well as
- 4:36Speaker 5: seeing just overnight the US target a super tanker near
- 4:41Speaker 5: carg Island that was headed towards an Iranian port in
- 4:45Speaker 5: the first instance of the US upholding its naval blockade
- 4:49Speaker 5: that it re enacted earlier this week. At this point,
- 4:52Speaker 5: Joe and Kelley, things are pointed toward escalation, but as
- 4:56Speaker 5: we have learned in the cycle of this conflict, there
- 4:58Speaker 5: can always be some sort of breakthrough that may tamp
- 5:01Speaker 5: down those tensions. So we'll be on the lookout to
- 5:03Speaker 5: see if President Trump announces anything that either ratchets up
- 5:07Speaker 5: the tensions or perhaps gives us some sort of leeway
- 5:09Speaker 5: when it comes to the diplomatic channels that we know
- 5:12Speaker 5: this White House would like to pursue.
- 5:15Speaker 2: All right, Bloomberg's Tyler Kendall live at the White House
- 5:18Speaker 2: for us, Thank you so much. As Tyler told you,
- 5:20Speaker 2: and as we've told you, no one knows for sure
- 5:22Speaker 2: what the President will say, though I would imagine that
- 5:24Speaker 2: there's going to be some bets in the betting markets
- 5:26Speaker 2: around what he could say. Joe, I just have to
- 5:28Speaker 2: mention quickly this story, this report that the teleprompter operator
- 5:33Speaker 2: that Trump has long long worked with for years apparently
- 5:37Speaker 2: was able to make one hundred thousand dollars betting on
- 5:40Speaker 2: what would be in his speeches. And this is under
- 5:43Speaker 2: investigation now by Washington.
- 5:46Speaker 4: Yeah, on kylshe you got to be kidnemed. I guess
- 5:49Speaker 4: you're in the cap birds seat.
- 5:50Speaker 3: When you're the one loading the speech into the prompter
- 5:52Speaker 3: and you know what's going to be announced. It also
- 5:55Speaker 3: reminds us how quickly these things take place. You get
- 5:57Speaker 3: seconds notice and you can make that much money on
- 6:00Speaker 3: how she fascinating that it was Cawshi that reported this
- 6:03Speaker 3: to authorities maybe.
- 6:04Speaker 2: Trying to ingratiate themselves. It's not all bad. We are
- 6:08Speaker 2: also self police, considering and self regulating. In the absence
- 6:12Speaker 2: of who's going to be on the teleprompter tonight, that
- 6:14Speaker 2: is an excellent question. Will there be a teleprompter tonight
- 6:17Speaker 2: that may dictate how long exactly this prime time? Yes,
- 6:20Speaker 2: that one is going to be, but of course it
- 6:22Speaker 2: is expected a lot of this may center around the
- 6:25Speaker 2: twenty twenty election. Even as the twenty twenty six midterm
- 6:28Speaker 2: elections approach. This could be some relitigation. We saw plenty
- 6:31Speaker 2: of reltigation yesterday as well, in confirmation hearings for two
- 6:35Speaker 2: key appointees that the President has wants to serve and
- 6:40Speaker 2: key roles in the government, including the Director of National
- 6:42Speaker 2: Intelligence nominee J. Clayton, who, of course used to run
- 6:45Speaker 2: the SEC was a US attorney for the Southern District
- 6:47Speaker 2: of New York. Was asked repeatedly who won the twenty
- 6:49Speaker 2: twenty election. Didn't always give an answer, as evidenced by
- 6:53Speaker 2: what has exchanged with Democratic Senator of Georgia John Ossoff,
- 6:57Speaker 2: looked like yesterday, listen.
- 6:58Speaker 4: Who won the twenty election? You know I'm not going
- 7:02Speaker 4: to do this with you. This is a job interview.
- 7:07Speaker 6: We've established that you have an obligation I'm pretty honest
- 7:10Speaker 6: and forthright with the committee. Yes, you do have an
- 7:13Speaker 6: obligation to be honest and forthright with the committee. Yes,
- 7:16Speaker 6: who won the twenty twenty election?
- 7:18Speaker 4: Like I said, I'm not going to get into that
- 7:19Speaker 4: with you.
- 7:20Speaker 6: But you do have an obligation to be honest and
- 7:22Speaker 6: forthright with the committee.
- 7:24Speaker 4: Is anything that I just said not honest or forthright? Yes,
- 7:26Speaker 4: you're not being honest or forthright? Who won? The time
- 7:29Speaker 4: to ask the question? We can keep doing this and
- 7:35Speaker 4: they did, by the way.
- 7:36Speaker 2: Yeah, this went on for a bit and there were
- 7:39Speaker 2: a number of exchanges that sounded pretty similar.
- 7:42Speaker 4: Yes, exactly to that.
- 7:43Speaker 2: But all of this, of course leads up to the
- 7:45Speaker 2: address the President will give tonight, and again twenty twenty
- 7:48Speaker 2: could come up repeatedly in that speech as well. So
- 7:50Speaker 2: on that note, we turned now to Andre Gillespie, who
- 7:52Speaker 2: is joining us from Emory University, where she's associate professor
- 7:55Speaker 2: of political science. We frequently talked to her about Georgia
- 7:59Speaker 2: and Georgia politics, and it does seem Andre, welcome back
- 8:02Speaker 2: to the show that Georgia could be at the very
- 8:03Speaker 2: center of the claims the President's getting ready to make tonight,
- 8:06Speaker 2: both in terms of say, what happened in Fulton County
- 8:08Speaker 2: and also even it's been reported, could look into the
- 8:11Speaker 2: results that elected John Ossoff and Rafael Warnock in the
- 8:16Speaker 2: first place. Will voters in Georgia or anywhere else believe that?
- 8:20Speaker 7: I think it really comes down to the quality of
- 8:23Speaker 7: the evidence that's presented. So if President Trump wants to
- 8:26Speaker 7: make this case, and he says that this Election Security
- 8:30Speaker 7: Commission that he's put together has findings, people are going
- 8:34Speaker 7: to have to interrogate those They're going to have to
- 8:35Speaker 7: interrogate the quality of the source, whether or not it
- 8:38Speaker 7: is objective, whether or not the analysis is systematic or not.
- 8:43Speaker 7: But suffice to say, he has an uphill climb. If
- 8:45Speaker 7: we look nationally at what people think about the results
- 8:49Speaker 7: of the twenty twenty election, the economists and you did
- 8:51Speaker 7: a survey that came out about a month ago. Only
- 8:54Speaker 7: twenty eight percent of Americans believed that Donald Trump really
- 8:59Speaker 7: won the twenty two on the election. If we break
- 9:01Speaker 7: that down by party, it's about half of Republicans. So
- 9:05Speaker 7: there are a lot of people who will need convincing,
- 9:06Speaker 7: and there are a lot of people who will also
- 9:09Speaker 7: want to ask whether or not this line of inquiry
- 9:12Speaker 7: is even valid or prudent at this time. Given all
- 9:14Speaker 7: the challenges that our nation is facing right.
- 9:17Speaker 3: Now, well, let's catalog some of them. The president, professor says,
- 9:22Speaker 3: or at least his subordinates say, he could talk about
- 9:25Speaker 3: a range of issues. This is the narrative we've been
- 9:28Speaker 3: hearing throughout the week, knowing that he wants to have
- 9:32Speaker 3: a higher cadence of these primetime addresses that he is
- 9:35Speaker 3: typically not embraced if he does, in fact get to
- 9:38Speaker 3: the economy.
- 9:39Speaker 4: This evening gets.
- 9:40Speaker 3: To iran, what's the impact for voters here who are
- 9:44Speaker 3: trying to balance their own lives here and follow the
- 9:48Speaker 3: ball at the White House.
- 9:50Speaker 7: Well, this primetime address format is actually an interesting format.
- 9:54Speaker 7: Political scientist Samuel Kurnell kind of developed this idea called
- 9:57Speaker 7: going public more than forty years ago, and he was
- 10:00Speaker 7: using the Reagan administration's use of these primetime addresses as
- 10:05Speaker 7: an example here. And so what President Reagan did and
- 10:08Speaker 7: what President Trump could be doing tonight is using primetime
- 10:11Speaker 7: addresses to circumvent Congress, to try to persuade individual voters
- 10:16Speaker 7: to put pressure on their congress members, on their senators
- 10:20Speaker 7: to vote for legislation. So if this is about voting,
- 10:24Speaker 7: then I think the big question is does President Trump
- 10:27Speaker 7: use this to try to boost his say that which
- 10:30Speaker 7: is stalled, or is he going to try to announce
- 10:33Speaker 7: some type of unilateral action that could immediately be put
- 10:37Speaker 7: into court because of questions about whether or not the
- 10:40Speaker 7: executive branch has power over elections or whether or not
- 10:44Speaker 7: it looks like he's trying to suspend elections. So we
- 10:46Speaker 7: have to wait to see exactly where this is going.
- 10:50Speaker 7: If he's going to make these addresses, I think it
- 10:52Speaker 7: becomes a question of whether or not he uses as
- 10:55Speaker 7: persuasion to try to influence the legislative branch to align
- 10:59Speaker 7: with his agenda, or whether or not he's using it
- 11:01Speaker 7: to justify some type of unilateral action at whether or
- 11:04Speaker 7: not that unilateral action would actually be deemed constitutional, even
- 11:10Speaker 7: within the context of expansive presidential power.
- 11:14Speaker 2: Well, and on the persuasion idea on or it's one
- 11:17Speaker 2: thing to persuade elected officials to try to do things.
- 11:20Speaker 2: It's another to persuade voters to show out and to
- 11:23Speaker 2: vote your way. If this is primarily going to be
- 11:27Speaker 2: about twenty twenty an election integrity. Does that not play
- 11:30Speaker 2: to the president's base? Is that not motivating for them?
- 11:35Speaker 7: So it might be motivating to the base, where you
- 11:37Speaker 7: could look at half of them believing that that President
- 11:42Speaker 7: Trump didn't win the twenty twenty election as an evidence
- 11:45Speaker 7: of slippage in some way, shape or form. But I
- 11:48Speaker 7: think the important thing to kind of keep in mind
- 11:50Speaker 7: is that when we're talking about congressional elections in this cycle,
- 11:53Speaker 7: given party polarization, most seats are safe. We're talking about
- 11:57Speaker 7: a handful a few dozen districts that could be swing.
- 12:00Speaker 7: This is not helpful for them. This is also not
- 12:03Speaker 7: necessarily going to be helpful and most salient even for
- 12:06Speaker 7: base voters who might have concerns about other issues like
- 12:09Speaker 7: the state of the economy, like our continued involvement in
- 12:12Speaker 7: the war in Iran, and other types of issues. And
- 12:15Speaker 7: so I think the question that we may be thinking
- 12:17Speaker 7: about tomorrow, once we've heard the speech and once we
- 12:20Speaker 7: know what action he's proposing or what his big announcement is,
- 12:24Speaker 7: is whether or not this was actually a good use
- 12:27Speaker 7: of time.
- 12:29Speaker 3: Democratic Congressman Jim Himes, with an op ed in the
- 12:32Speaker 3: New York Times talking about this very issue, Professor the
- 12:37Speaker 3: headline on the guest essay, Trump's election denial has never
- 12:41Speaker 3: been more dangerous, and he floats the prospect knowing that,
- 12:44Speaker 3: as Kaylee mentioned, FBI Director Cash Pateel maybe part of this,
- 12:48Speaker 3: along with others, including Bill Pulty. His concern that Bill
- 12:51Speaker 3: Pulty or others could declassify certain documents that are not
- 12:57Speaker 3: in fact credible anecdotal evidence, things that have not been
- 13:03Speaker 3: confirmed by our intelligence agencies, could really change some American's
- 13:08Speaker 3: view of the electoral system and the security around elections,
- 13:12Speaker 3: which begs the question is this about twenty twenty or
- 13:15Speaker 3: is this about twenty twenty six.
- 13:17Speaker 7: I think it's about both. President Trump certainly has an
- 13:21Speaker 7: incentive for his legacy to try to relitigate twenty twenty
- 13:24Speaker 7: because I think he wants to at the end feel vindicated,
- 13:26Speaker 7: and this is the way that he has decided that
- 13:28Speaker 7: he will feel vindicated. It's not enough to have come
- 13:31Speaker 7: back in won election again in twenty twenty four for him,
- 13:34Speaker 7: he has to prove that everything was wrong about twenty
- 13:36Speaker 7: twenty and perhaps get a pound of flesh from people who.
- 13:40Speaker 4: Were involved in that.
- 13:42Speaker 7: I think the danger with this classified information being declassified
- 13:47Speaker 7: selectively is whether or not people are discerning of the
- 13:51Speaker 7: source of the information and the quality and the systematic
- 13:54Speaker 7: analysis of that information, and so it could reinforce ideas
- 14:01Speaker 7: amongst people who have been misinformed that their thoughts and
- 14:05Speaker 7: that there are sort of instincts about the twenty twenty
- 14:07Speaker 7: election were real. There are also people who would be
- 14:11Speaker 7: inured to that, sometimes for superficial reasons, like it's coming
- 14:15Speaker 7: from the wrong party, but also because there are other
- 14:18Speaker 7: people who might be better equipped to be able to
- 14:21Speaker 7: discern misinformation and then to be able to kind of
- 14:24Speaker 7: dispel that from their thought process.
- 14:28Speaker 3: It's good to have you back with this, Professor Andre Gillespie,
- 14:31Speaker 3: Associate professor political Science at Emory University. Great to have you,
- 14:34Speaker 3: and of course we're going to carry this speech from
- 14:36Speaker 3: President Trump this evening. It starts at nine.
- 14:38Speaker 4: Pm Washington time.
- 14:40Speaker 3: Congressman Heims. In this piece, Kayley says, I have read
- 14:45Speaker 3: the most detailed version of this assessment of the election,
- 14:48Speaker 3: and the declassified findings are fully consistent with the classified material,
- 14:53Speaker 3: which was based on exceptionally sensitive, high value, high confidence intelligence.
- 14:57Speaker 3: His concern is that we'll be cherry picking things this
- 15:00Speaker 3: evening declassifying unsubstantiated reports from human sources that could say
- 15:04Speaker 3: a lot of wild things.
- 15:05Speaker 2: Yeah, he of course can't divulge what he's been told
- 15:08Speaker 2: in classified briefings. But it did say in that piece
- 15:11Speaker 2: that he has seen no evidence of activity to actually
- 15:15Speaker 2: disrupt the voting process in the midterms coming from adversaries
- 15:19Speaker 2: of the United States. But of course this is going
- 15:22Speaker 2: to be the subject of much debate throughout the day
- 15:23Speaker 2: to day leading up to the president's speech, and I
- 15:25Speaker 2: would imagine very much so in the aftermath.
- 15:27Speaker 4: That's for sure.
- 15:28Speaker 3: We'll be doing this again tomorrow. That's why you should
- 15:30Speaker 3: join us this evening for the speech. We'll be unpacking
- 15:32Speaker 3: it together live on the air, and we'll assemble our
- 15:34Speaker 3: panel next only here on Bloomberg.
- 15:37Speaker 4: Stay with us on Balance of Power. We'll have much
- 15:39Speaker 4: more coming up after this.
- 15:43Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcasts. Catch
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- 16:00Speaker 1: at eleven.
- 16:00Speaker 2: Thirty at the White House in the briefing room, Caroline
- 16:05Speaker 2: Lovett is back at the podium, the White House Press
- 16:07Speaker 2: Secretary giving her first briefing to the media since returning
- 16:10Speaker 2: from maternity leave. We haven't seen her do this in
- 16:14Speaker 2: a few months, Joe, and no surprise, she let off
- 16:16Speaker 2: her comments with some scheduling announcements. Not only will the
- 16:19Speaker 2: President be attending the FIFA World Cup final on Sunday
- 16:23Speaker 2: between Spain and Argentina, he apparently will be attending a
- 16:26Speaker 2: FIFA reception at Trump Tower in New York City tomorrow,
- 16:30Speaker 2: And of course before any of that, he has a
- 16:32Speaker 2: speech to give to the country tonight and slated for
- 16:34Speaker 2: nine pm Eastern. And the White House Press Secretary just
- 16:37Speaker 2: confirmed what we had been reporting and seen reports about
- 16:39Speaker 2: that the President will be talking about election integrity.
- 16:43Speaker 3: So just to back up, first of all, if you're
- 16:45Speaker 3: at the Peninsula Hotel, you're in for it on Friday night,
- 16:48Speaker 3: what will these people going to the game have to endure?
- 16:51Speaker 7: Oh?
- 16:51Speaker 4: Yeah, when he went.
- 16:52Speaker 3: To Madison Square Garden, that was what if he had
- 16:54Speaker 3: to get there five hours early for the next game
- 16:56Speaker 3: airport style security. I'm assuming that'll be the same on Sunday.
- 17:00Speaker 2: Yeah, Plus there's the smoke factor to contend with. This
- 17:03Speaker 2: time might not be a super cool experience, but of
- 17:06Speaker 2: course for fans of Spain and Argentina and soccer in general,
- 17:09Speaker 2: I'm sure it's once in the lifetime stuff.
- 17:11Speaker 3: Breathe deep, wear a mask. Let's assimilar political panel. We've
- 17:14Speaker 3: got a lot to talk about. Rick and Jeanie our
- 17:16Speaker 3: Bloomberg Politics contributors. Genie is our democratic analyst and democracy
- 17:20Speaker 3: visiting fellow at Harvard Kennedy School's Ash Center. Rick our
- 17:23Speaker 3: republican strategist and partner at Stone Court Capital. I know
- 17:27Speaker 3: you've got your clock set for nine pm. Guys, it's
- 17:29Speaker 3: great to have you with us. Rick talk to us
- 17:32Speaker 3: about the president's decision to use the primetime address here
- 17:37Speaker 3: to go back.
- 17:38Speaker 4: To the future.
- 17:39Speaker 3: This is a very critical moment, of course, for rhetoric
- 17:42Speaker 3: coming from both sides. As fundraising takes place, we work
- 17:45Speaker 3: through the primary calendar. The economy, as we've reasserted based
- 17:49Speaker 3: on new polling, this hour shows that the economy is
- 17:53Speaker 3: the number one issue, not who won the twenty twenty election.
- 17:56Speaker 3: What's the president getting into here?
- 18:00Speaker 8: Yeah, you would have to be living under a rock
- 18:02Speaker 8: to not know that for the last fourteen months, the
- 18:05Speaker 8: economy has been the number one issue. And if you pulled,
- 18:10Speaker 8: you know, the concerns about the twenty twenty election outcome,
- 18:14Speaker 8: I suspect, you know, you would get only the hardest
- 18:18Speaker 8: core of Donald Trump's already you know, base vote, thinking
- 18:25Speaker 8: that it is at all an issue, and they're already
- 18:28Speaker 8: voting for him. So it's not like he needs to
- 18:31Speaker 8: talk to them. So who is he talking to? I
- 18:35Speaker 8: think this is probably as has been discussed as much
- 18:39Speaker 8: about his legacy as anything. It's not like you're going
- 18:42Speaker 8: to go back and say, oh, well, you're deemed now
- 18:46Speaker 8: present in your third term. I mean, you know, they're
- 18:50Speaker 8: not going to actually declare him winner. Nobody will of
- 18:53Speaker 8: the twenty twenty election. So what are we trying to
- 18:56Speaker 8: accomplish here? If it's to make elections better, then the
- 19:00Speaker 8: administration looks needs to look no further than their own actions,
- 19:04Speaker 8: you know, basically shutting down efforts at the cybersecurity, at
- 19:09Speaker 8: Homeland Security, you know, having the postal Service cracked down,
- 19:14Speaker 8: pursuing rules in Congress like the Save Act, which makes
- 19:18Speaker 8: it harder vote not easier. I mean, it's really kind
- 19:22Speaker 8: of a head scratcher. Is to what he would hope
- 19:25Speaker 8: to accomplish in this other than, you know, just his
- 19:29Speaker 8: legacy saying he was right and everybody else who attacked
- 19:34Speaker 8: him on this idea that the elections were rigged were wrong.
- 19:38Speaker 8: His own administration at the end of twenty twenty said
- 19:41Speaker 8: there was not an impact in the election with any
- 19:48Speaker 8: of these efforts that maybe described tonight. So he has
- 19:52Speaker 8: nowhere else to look but himself in that regard.
- 19:56Speaker 4: So I don't know.
- 19:57Speaker 8: To me, it's a horrible waste of perfectly good presidential
- 20:00Speaker 8: time in the Oval office. I'd be trying to get
- 20:03Speaker 8: the public on board with the Iran campaign. That would
- 20:06Speaker 8: be a really good use of time, since that seems
- 20:09Speaker 8: to be exploding. But no, we'll see. I guess where
- 20:13Speaker 8: it winds up tonight.
- 20:16Speaker 2: Well, And I wonder, Jennie, how much you see this
- 20:19Speaker 2: as if he can't make an argument that Republicans should
- 20:23Speaker 2: win or focus on the issues he thinks they should
- 20:25Speaker 2: win on, he can set the stage for people to
- 20:28Speaker 2: question the results if Republicans lose. Is this pretense for
- 20:32Speaker 2: what could happen leading up to and after the votes
- 20:36Speaker 2: are in?
- 20:38Speaker 9: Yeah, Kelly absolutely might be. First of all, I want
- 20:40Speaker 9: to say, I was questioning this speech tonight, and now
- 20:43Speaker 9: that you guys are reporting he's coming to New York tomorrow,
- 20:47Speaker 9: I'm telling you everybody here is grabbing their masks and
- 20:50Speaker 9: trying to leave. So now I'm questioning that as well.
- 20:53Speaker 9: It's very smoky here. You know, I don't think any
- 20:57Speaker 9: of us know why the President is doing this primetime addressed.
- 21:02Speaker 9: It is a very risky strategy unless he has something
- 21:05Speaker 9: really important to share with the American public. And as
- 21:09Speaker 9: far as we know, he's going to focus on election
- 21:12Speaker 9: integrity and he's going to try to wind it back
- 21:15Speaker 9: to twenty twenty, and there is absolutely nothing new that
- 21:19Speaker 9: has been shared, at least so far, that would have
- 21:23Speaker 9: changed the results of those elections. And you know, it's
- 21:26Speaker 9: almost as if the president thinks that everybody is thinking
- 21:29Speaker 9: about twenty twenty the way he is. Most of us
- 21:32Speaker 9: who think about it think it was a year we
- 21:33Speaker 9: want to forget, that was COVID. Very few of us
- 21:37Speaker 9: think about it as oh, I'm so sorry Donald Trump
- 21:39Speaker 9: lost the presidency. And of course let's not forget. If
- 21:43Speaker 9: he tells us there was foreign interference and he has
- 21:47Speaker 9: some evidence of that, well guess who was president He was,
- 21:51Speaker 9: so is he trying to tell us that while he
- 21:54Speaker 9: was president there was Chinese foreign interference in our elections?
- 21:58Speaker 9: So again, it doesn't make much sense. A big question
- 22:02Speaker 9: is how do the networks handle this? Do they carry
- 22:05Speaker 9: this live? Do they fact check in fact check rather
- 22:08Speaker 9: in real time? And if they want to continue to
- 22:11Speaker 9: do these primetime addresses and he doesn't say something very
- 22:14Speaker 9: important to the American public, how much does this come
- 22:17Speaker 9: back to haunt and I think this is a very
- 22:20Speaker 9: risky strategy. And oh, by the way, today, as mortgage
- 22:23Speaker 9: rates have hit their highest level in a year, and
- 22:27Speaker 9: that's what people care about, he's going to talk about
- 22:29Speaker 9: the twenty twenty election. It doesn't make much political sense
- 22:32Speaker 9: for the Republicans at all.
- 22:35Speaker 3: Six point five to five percent on a thirty Rick.
- 22:39Speaker 3: We're keeping tabs on Caroline Levitt here. She's being asked
- 22:42Speaker 3: about this as we're discussing it, and says that she's
- 22:45Speaker 3: seen misreporting on what the president will say, a lot
- 22:48Speaker 3: of reporting and misreporting. She says, the American people will
- 22:51Speaker 3: be relieved to hear what they hear from him. He's
- 22:53Speaker 3: going to talk about safe and secure elections, she says,
- 22:57Speaker 3: And he's also working on quote all these economic issues
- 23:00Speaker 3: unquote that Americans have at home. If this is going
- 23:04Speaker 3: to be a variety speech, are we giving getting into
- 23:06Speaker 3: the sort of fireside chat mode here where we talk
- 23:09Speaker 3: about a lot of things like a mini State of
- 23:11Speaker 3: the Union, a White House that wants to increase the
- 23:15Speaker 3: cadence of these addresses? Could the president make this venue
- 23:18Speaker 3: work for him?
- 23:20Speaker 8: First of all, it's a great venue for the president.
- 23:22Speaker 8: It's his bullypul pit. And sure it probably isn't attended
- 23:27Speaker 8: to as much by the public as it used to
- 23:29Speaker 8: be when the President would go and do a public
- 23:32Speaker 8: address from the Oval Office. It's still important and it'll
- 23:35Speaker 8: make a lot of hay in the social media world afterwards.
- 23:38Speaker 4: So yeah, it's still important.
- 23:40Speaker 8: To do these things. If indeed he focuses more on
- 23:43Speaker 8: the sort of the political issues of the day and
- 23:47Speaker 8: plugs his you know, Save America Act, that would that
- 23:50Speaker 8: would be okay traditional, But like where's the beef? I mean, like,
- 23:55Speaker 8: why in the world do you have to do that
- 23:57Speaker 8: from you know, the Oval Office in a you know,
- 24:00Speaker 8: primetime speech when you could have been doing that in
- 24:03Speaker 8: Pennsylvania yesterday. You could have been doing that, you know,
- 24:05Speaker 8: in some of the other events that you've held. And frankly,
- 24:08Speaker 8: he's just, for whatever reason not wanting to talk about
- 24:12Speaker 8: cost of living affordability. And when he does, he does
- 24:16Speaker 8: it in more of a disparaging way, not like, hey,
- 24:19Speaker 8: my administration's doing something. I mean, he's got some great
- 24:21Speaker 8: economic news this week to talk about. He should talk
- 24:24Speaker 8: about the strength of the US economy and how that
- 24:26Speaker 8: will ultimately benefit everyone.
- 24:28Speaker 4: But I don't know.
- 24:30Speaker 8: I mean, like, when was the last time he gave
- 24:32Speaker 8: an uplifting positive speech. I mean like we're still waiting
- 24:35Speaker 8: around for that to happen, And so we can hope.
- 24:38Speaker 8: And I'm tuning in because I know one thing for sure,
- 24:42Speaker 8: it's going to be high entertainment value.
- 24:47Speaker 2: Well, so Rick Davis will be a member of the audience,
- 24:49Speaker 2: so too Joe, and I a genie as well. But
- 24:52Speaker 2: there is a question of to which audiences the president's
- 24:55Speaker 2: really speaking, if it is to people at home, or
- 24:57Speaker 2: if it is Genie, say, to lawmakers on Capitol Hill
- 25:00Speaker 2: he wants to push to pass the Save America Act.
- 25:04Speaker 2: Is he able to sway holdouts with a speech like
- 25:08Speaker 2: this by applying so much public pressure, does it simply
- 25:11Speaker 2: not change a difficult math equation in the Capitol.
- 25:16Speaker 9: I would be surprised if it changed the calculation as
- 25:19Speaker 9: on the Save Act. You know, I agree with Rick
- 25:23Speaker 9: that traditionally these speeches are very important for presidents, but
- 25:27Speaker 9: we're talking about Donald Trump, and Donald Trump has not
- 25:31Speaker 9: proven to be a depth at using these speeches. He
- 25:34Speaker 9: is much better with a rally. He is much better
- 25:37Speaker 9: when he is going off the cuff.
- 25:39Speaker 4: He's going to have to.
- 25:40Speaker 9: Give the networks a limited time here. He's not going
- 25:43Speaker 9: to be able to bob and weave and curve the
- 25:46Speaker 9: way he likes to do. That makes this all very difficult
- 25:49Speaker 9: for somebody like Donald Trump, who has many gifts relating
- 25:52Speaker 9: to the public, but this hasn't proven to be one
- 25:55Speaker 9: of them. If he was doing this in a traditional way,
- 25:58Speaker 9: he would be speaking to the that Pugh told us
- 26:01Speaker 9: yesterday have now switched sixteen points since twenty twenty four,
- 26:05Speaker 9: twelve percent leaning Democrat. Those are the people who want
- 26:09Speaker 9: to hear number one, two and three economy, cost of living,
- 26:13Speaker 9: affordability and optimism, and a plan for going forward on
- 26:17Speaker 9: the war and everything else. They're not as interested in
- 26:21Speaker 9: an issue like election integrity, and certainly not the twenty
- 26:24Speaker 9: twenty election reltigation, and so he usually reverts then to
- 26:29Speaker 9: speaking to the base. And while that can drum up
- 26:32Speaker 9: his base getting out in twenty twenty six, you know
- 26:35Speaker 9: what it also does, Kayley. It makes Democrats much more enthused.
- 26:39Speaker 9: And the enthusiasm amongst Democrats is a critical problem for
- 26:43Speaker 9: Republicans going into twenty twenty six because Donald Trump says
- 26:47Speaker 9: things that get them out to vote.
- 26:50Speaker 4: Stay with us on Balance of Power.
- 26:52Speaker 3: We'll have much more coming up after this.
- 26:57Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch
- 27:01Speaker 1: us live weekdays at noon and five pm Eastern on
- 27:04Speaker 1: almal Coarchleay and Android Otto with the Bloomberg Business app.
- 27:08Speaker 1: Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts, or watch
- 27:11Speaker 1: us live on YouTube.
- 27:14Speaker 3: Mister Gura, great to see you, Welcome back to Balance
- 27:16Speaker 3: of Power. What are you hearing about this speech tonight?
- 27:19Speaker 3: I'm just curious and sideline conversations in Aspen as the
- 27:23Speaker 3: United States leans back into war with Iran.
- 27:28Speaker 10: You know, I think there's some hunger here picking on what
- 27:30Speaker 10: you just said a moment ago, Joe, that there are
- 27:32Speaker 10: any number of issues he could talk about besides election integrity,
- 27:34Speaker 10: and obviously the focus here is on the war in
- 27:37Speaker 10: the Middle East. Principally, there's some attention being paid to
- 27:39Speaker 10: what's happening with China as well, especially when it comes
- 27:42Speaker 10: to AI. But I should say there were some rolling
- 27:45Speaker 10: eyes here when it comes to the President delivering a
- 27:47Speaker 10: speech that would focus on election integrity, knocking back to
- 27:50Speaker 10: twenty twenty. You know, I did sit down with Ram Emanuel, who,
- 27:55Speaker 10: among his many past jobs as chief of staff to
- 27:57Speaker 10: President Obama, and something we talked about was just the
- 27:59Speaker 10: sensitive but he's surrounding delivering an address like this. Obviously
- 28:02Speaker 10: he worked with President Obama on many of them when.
- 28:05Speaker 4: He was in the White House.
- 28:07Speaker 10: His council, interestingly to the President was he should go
- 28:09Speaker 10: on as much as he wants or can on this subject.
- 28:11Speaker 10: That it seems so out of touch with what Americans
- 28:13Speaker 10: are thinking about and care about at this moment in time.
- 28:15Speaker 10: It would be advantageous for Democrats or the President just
- 28:18Speaker 10: to keep talking about what happened in twenty twenty. But
- 28:20Speaker 10: I think that you're highlighting the fact that there are
- 28:22Speaker 10: folks here who would rather him be talking about strategy,
- 28:24Speaker 10: military strategy, diplomatic strategy than this. And I did get
- 28:29Speaker 10: a note this morning in indication that one of the
- 28:32Speaker 10: dinners here is off site and has very poor self service.
- 28:36Speaker 10: So if you intend to watch this speech, it may
- 28:38Speaker 10: be difficult.
- 28:41Speaker 2: Well, that may be difficult. Indeed, David, you mentioned your
- 28:45Speaker 2: conversation with Rom Emmanuel. I know it ventured into other
- 28:48Speaker 2: subject areas as well, including Israel, where, of course he
- 28:51Speaker 2: visited to make a speech in Tel Aviv just recently.
- 28:53Speaker 2: What did he tell you?
- 28:57Speaker 10: You know, I started off that conversation by saying, there's
- 29:00Speaker 10: kind of a sense that that speech really was a
- 29:02Speaker 10: direct criticism of Prime Minister Netanyahu. And it was that
- 29:05Speaker 10: in part, and I was very curious to hear from
- 29:08Speaker 10: him just about how he gauged the reception to that speech.
- 29:10Speaker 10: So he did travel to Tel avivf he spoke at
- 29:12Speaker 10: Tel Aviv University. He didn't meet with the Prime Minister
- 29:14Speaker 10: while he was there. He didn't want to be seen,
- 29:16Speaker 10: as he said in many interviews, as influencing domestic politics there.
- 29:19Speaker 10: But of course that was part of the substance of
- 29:21Speaker 10: that speech. Look, he took a lot of parties to task, yes,
- 29:24Speaker 10: the current Israeli government, but Arab states as well, the
- 29:26Speaker 10: Palastinian authority. He was doling out a lot of criticism,
- 29:30Speaker 10: But what he emphasized to me and our conversation this
- 29:32Speaker 10: morning is he really wanted to present a constructive path
- 29:34Speaker 10: forward for peace in Israel and really wanted to get
- 29:38Speaker 10: Israelis to recognize the fact that as Prime Minister Netanyah,
- 29:41Speaker 10: who has focused so much on military strength and on
- 29:44Speaker 10: defense really since October seventh, twenty twenty three, he's kind
- 29:49Speaker 10: of squandered playing up par emphasizing what else Israel has
- 29:52Speaker 10: going for, And part of that, of course, is economic.
- 29:54Speaker 10: Israel is a country that has a huge venture capital
- 29:56Speaker 10: community and ecosystem, and he thinks that that's been largely
- 29:58Speaker 10: ignored by.
- 29:59Speaker 4: The Prime.
- 30:01Speaker 10: I found that fascinating. He also said, kind of lost
- 30:03Speaker 10: in the coverage of that speech. Yes, here domestically the
- 30:06Speaker 10: United States, but around the world is on the heels
- 30:07Speaker 10: of that, he traveled to Germany and gave another speech
- 30:09Speaker 10: that was focused on NATO, in the future of NATO
- 30:12Speaker 10: and how Europe could be defending itself in kind of
- 30:14Speaker 10: a different partnership with the United States. So kind of
- 30:17Speaker 10: a fascinating window into him wanting to kind of make
- 30:20Speaker 10: constructive strides on talking about his vantage on foreign policy. Yes,
- 30:23Speaker 10: perhaps in an effort to position himself as a presidential
- 30:26Speaker 10: candidate here as we move ahead, but the way in which,
- 30:29Speaker 10: in this political moment, when this issue of US Israeli
- 30:31Speaker 10: politics is so fraud, parts of that were seized.
- 30:35Speaker 2: On and others were not all right, David Gera live
- 30:38Speaker 2: at the Aspen Security Forum, Thank you so much, and
- 30:41Speaker 2: let's listen ourselves to some of David's conversation with Rammanuel earlier.
- 30:46Speaker 11: I think the Prime minister led Israel into basically a
- 30:49Speaker 11: dead end. Here's what I would do to get out
- 30:51Speaker 11: of that status, because I have concern for the alliance
- 30:55Speaker 11: and more than that, Japan and ally very popular in
- 30:58Speaker 11: the United States, NATO popular in America. We have a
- 31:01Speaker 11: critical ally who is dropping precipitously in America, dropping precipitously
- 31:06Speaker 11: in Europe, Canada, Australia. You have to have a breakout
- 31:09Speaker 11: moment that actually establishes support for the country, not just
- 31:13Speaker 11: a particular prime minister or government.
- 31:15Speaker 10: What did you make of the reaction to the response
- 31:18Speaker 10: to it? Again, it has been kind of distilled into
- 31:19Speaker 10: something that it wasn't entirely.
- 31:21Speaker 4: What do you make of that?
- 31:22Speaker 10: What does it say about the way that we talk
- 31:23Speaker 10: about US Israel policy.
- 31:24Speaker 11: Work like without characterizing some sense. You know, President Clinton
- 31:28Speaker 11: and I talked. Hillary Clinton put out a comment. I know,
- 31:32Speaker 11: I've talked to Hakim Jeffries. So one, I view the
- 31:37Speaker 11: pariah status, the isolation of Israel strategically, diplomatically, militarily, economically
- 31:42Speaker 11: as a.
- 31:44Speaker 4: Real threat to Israel.
- 31:46Speaker 11: Big article today about the economists what this is in nature?
- 31:49Speaker 11: So I laid out a strategy.
- 31:50Speaker 4: You know.
- 31:52Speaker 11: The Saudi Arabia, which is kind of the Crown Jewel,
- 31:55Speaker 11: was a sponsor of the twenty thirteen proposal by the
- 31:58Speaker 11: Arab League twenty three state solution. Basically all twenty one
- 32:02Speaker 11: nations would recognize Israel if you came to a sum
- 32:06Speaker 11: settlement agreement between sovereignty and security the Holy Grail. But
- 32:11Speaker 11: Saudi Arabia now post October seventh, won't go singularly, but
- 32:15Speaker 11: in a there's a comfort in numbers with all twenty
- 32:18Speaker 11: one gay one. But you don't get to sit on
- 32:21Speaker 11: the sideline arably. You have to stand up a Palestinian
- 32:24Speaker 11: authority because there are three strikes it out. They got
- 32:27Speaker 11: three times offered sovereignty, three times said no, and returned violence.
- 32:32Speaker 11: So you've made a cynical Israeli partner. That's not how
- 32:34Speaker 11: you build trust. So I'm gonna give you a chance
- 32:36Speaker 11: to get out of jail card a fourth chance. But
- 32:39Speaker 11: everybody in the Arab League has got to stand up
- 32:40Speaker 11: that partner. You've got to recognize it not only the
- 32:43Speaker 11: state of Israel, but it's historic right. You got to
- 32:46Speaker 11: stop rewarding terrorists for killing Israelis because they're Israelis, and
- 32:49Speaker 11: stop teaching your children to hate Israel's not Israel. It's
- 32:52Speaker 11: got to stop undermining And a classic example of this government.
- 32:56Speaker 11: This government undermined the Palestinian authority, but they allow to
- 33:00Speaker 11: Qatar to send six billion dollars to Hamas. Hamas was
- 33:04Speaker 11: not using that six billion dollars to build McDonald's franchise
- 33:07Speaker 11: in Gaza. They were building tunnels.
- 33:09Speaker 4: And you knew it.
- 33:11Speaker 11: That was a strategic failure of this government. Second, as
- 33:15Speaker 11: you can see, I recommended the IMEC India, Mideast Europe
- 33:21Speaker 11: Economic core cables, ports energy. You got to get around
- 33:25Speaker 11: the strait of Hermus. It puts Israel's technological prowess at
- 33:28Speaker 11: the center of the most important trade rail so both
- 33:30Speaker 11: economically and strategically, making Israel as David Bengorion, the founding father,
- 33:36Speaker 11: said a nation among nations. Second important is in the critique.
- 33:41Speaker 11: Every country has four tools in its security toolbox military power,
- 33:47Speaker 11: political persuasion, economic staycraft, cultural attraction. The Prime Minister has
- 33:52Speaker 11: had to feed three of them to the point their
- 33:54Speaker 11: non existence and relied on only one.
- 33:57Speaker 4: That is not acceptable.
- 33:58Speaker 11: If you're trying to be and we have actually security.
- 34:02Speaker 11: Example of that, and I'll pay the calling cards. You
- 34:04Speaker 11: can use my at and t calling. Okay, you have
- 34:07Speaker 11: a Syrian government today, they said Iran as our common enemy.
- 34:11Speaker 11: Syria is the highway sixty six for Iran to has Belat.
- 34:15Speaker 11: You can cut it off. And he wants to come,
- 34:18Speaker 11: he said, the president of Syria, I want to come
- 34:22Speaker 11: to a security agreement with Israel. The United States is
- 34:24Speaker 11: now building or facilitating a building of Iraqi oil.
- 34:30Speaker 4: Call the Syrian president.
- 34:33Speaker 11: It's not even a piece agreement. Security agreement. The people
- 34:36Speaker 11: in the northern galley of Israel would get security, and
- 34:39Speaker 11: you would actually knock out the security. The trade route
- 34:43Speaker 11: from Tehran to Beirut suburbs that has fund has Belot.
- 34:49Speaker 4: That's it.
- 34:50Speaker 11: Use your diplomatic tools. The Prime Minister likes to say
- 34:53Speaker 11: he was raised with English, learned the letter D. It
- 34:56Speaker 11: starts first letter in the word diplomacy. Try it it works.
- 35:02Speaker 3: Rom Emanuel speaking with Bloomberg's David Goura, who was kind
- 35:06Speaker 3: enough to bring us out to the Aspen Security Forum.
- 35:08Speaker 3: He's out there for the week, and we'll have more
- 35:10Speaker 3: of David's conversations with us. We want to see it
- 35:12Speaker 3: is on this moment, though, what they were talking about
- 35:14Speaker 3: plays directly into what took place last evening on Capitol Hill.
- 35:19Speaker 3: A vote in the House to cut USA to Israel
- 35:21Speaker 3: more than three billion dollars worth cut the Democratic Caucus
- 35:26Speaker 3: in half, Kaylee. The numbers that we saw there were remarkable.
- 35:28Speaker 3: One hundred and three Democrats voted to withhold the aid,
- 35:33Speaker 3: ten more voted present. Pretty remarkable. Here ninety eight opposed it.
- 35:39Speaker 3: It did fail because Republicans rejected this, but it brings
- 35:43Speaker 3: us to Capitol Hill, where we want to spend a
- 35:45Speaker 3: couple of moments with Bloomberg correspondent Eric Wasson, who has
- 35:50Speaker 3: a little bit more on this. Eric, this is something
- 35:52Speaker 3: that would have been considered unthinkable a couple of years ago,
- 35:56Speaker 3: and it speaks to the state of the Democratic Party
- 35:58Speaker 3: now in the House.
- 35:59Speaker 4: What do you think.
- 36:00Speaker 12: The state of the Democratic Party, state of US relations
- 36:02Speaker 12: with Israel. It's a real red warning sign too the
- 36:06Speaker 12: Israeli government that there are large sections of the American
- 36:09Speaker 12: population who are waiting in their support for Israel, especially
- 36:13Speaker 12: after the way that the war on Gaza has been conducted.
- 36:16Speaker 12: You know, House leader Democratic Leader Hakim Jeffries voted against
- 36:20Speaker 12: this measure, but his number two, Catherine Clark, voted for it.
- 36:23Speaker 12: It's put the leadership right down to Pelosi voting in
- 36:28Speaker 12: order to strip this AID to send a signal, she
- 36:30Speaker 12: said in a statement. You know, Republicans pounced on this
- 36:34Speaker 12: and their statements plan to use it in a campaign.
- 36:37Speaker 12: But I talked to at least one Republican Nate who said,
- 36:39Speaker 12: you know, on the Republican side, there are also problems
- 36:42Speaker 12: for members who voted to defend Israel AID, and they
- 36:44Speaker 12: may see problems from some of their right wing base,
- 36:47Speaker 12: the same base that Thomas Massi represents, who are skeptical
- 36:50Speaker 12: of Israel AID. So this is a troublesome time in
- 36:53Speaker 12: the US Israel relationship, and this was certainly a landmark
- 36:57Speaker 12: moment for that.
- 37:00Speaker 8: Well.
- 37:00Speaker 2: As we talk about troublesome times and fissures we see
- 37:03Speaker 2: in the Republican Party in particular. Eric, I also wonder
- 37:06Speaker 2: what you're hearing about the prospects for this reconciliation three
- 37:09Speaker 2: point zero package that they're trying to mark up in
- 37:11Speaker 2: the Budget Committee today. Are the votes there for it?
- 37:14Speaker 2: And I'm not just talking about the House. Is the
- 37:16Speaker 2: Senate interested in this at all?
- 37:18Speaker 12: Well, first breaking news from rigav My Colli kN Tran
- 37:22Speaker 12: is there. He says the committee did pass it out
- 37:24Speaker 12: of the committee, which was not a given. You know,
- 37:27Speaker 12: it's supposed to come to the House floor next week,
- 37:29Speaker 12: and leadership seems pretty confident of it. But we are
- 37:32Speaker 12: hearing it from a lot of senators. This is going
- 37:34Speaker 12: nowhere in the Senate. You're talking to John Thune, he
- 37:37Speaker 12: said it's a risky proposition. We had already flagged to
- 37:40Speaker 12: our terminal and web readers that you know, there's a
- 37:42Speaker 12: political risk here in voting to support an unpopular Ron
- 37:46Speaker 12: war that's raising prices right before the election. But there
- 37:48Speaker 12: are also other problems with it. It's not offset. It
- 37:51Speaker 12: adds to the depicts ninety five billion dollars right to
- 37:53Speaker 12: the deficit going to the military bill Cassidy I talked
- 37:56Speaker 12: to him in the hallway and he said, I want
- 37:58Speaker 12: that thing offset. I want to line spending cuts. There's
- 38:01Speaker 12: got to be a way to do that. But then
- 38:02Speaker 12: I talked to Roger Wicker, who's a military hawks, and
- 38:05Speaker 12: he says it's not spending nearly enough. He wants three
- 38:07Speaker 12: hundred and fifty billion dollars for the military. So it's
- 38:10Speaker 12: a real mess.
- 38:10Speaker 4: In the Senate, I.
- 38:11Speaker 12: Talked to Lisa Murkowski and she said, I don't see
- 38:13Speaker 12: this getting done before the election at all, and frankly
- 38:16Speaker 12: after today in the Senate, my money would be on
- 38:18Speaker 12: it and not getting done anytime soon.
- 38:21Speaker 4: Wow. Great reporting.
- 38:23Speaker 3: I love this, yep, bringing it straight to us.
- 38:25Speaker 2: Eric, thank you live from the Halls of Congress.
- 38:27Speaker 4: We appreciate it.
- 38:28Speaker 2: As always, Bloomberg's Eric Wasson.
- 38:35Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Balance of Power podcast. Make
- 38:38Speaker 3: sure to subscribe if you haven't already, at Apple, Spotify,
- 38:41Speaker 3: or wherever you get your podcasts, and you can find
- 38:44Speaker 3: us live every weekday from Washington, DC at New Time
- 38:47Speaker 3: Eastern at Bloomberg dot com.