Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Wednesday, 01/28/26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yah, all systems don't clear?
- 0:10Speaker 2: I left? What is going on? Everyone? We're back for
- 0:42Speaker 2: a Wednesday edition of the NBA Show. But our guy
- 0:46Speaker 2: Marky in here go collect Uh. So you got I
- 0:49Speaker 2: think one or two lineups in the two twenty two
- 0:50Speaker 2: tonight's of good luck there, Gregory Lynch, Marcus d william Exclusive,
- 0:57Speaker 2: Ricky got a guy butter made a run in the
- 0:59Speaker 2: fire our last night. Shout out to you, Boboso, Torreen
- 1:03Speaker 2: and mister Mike's daddy Matt will bring in. How's your
- 1:07Speaker 2: Wednesday going? How's your week been so far?
- 1:09Speaker 3: Wednesday's going good man? Finally at least I was gonna
- 1:12Speaker 3: say warmed up, but it hasn't warmed up. It's still
- 1:14Speaker 3: like zero degrees here. But sun's out so daughter is
- 1:17Speaker 3: back in school today. Things are looking up. Uh, Wednesday's
- 1:20Speaker 3: going good man. We got a full slight to talk about,
- 1:22Speaker 3: as we kind of chatted a little bit before about.
- 1:24Speaker 3: But always happy to be here talking to some hoops
- 1:27Speaker 3: with you. How's your week going?
- 1:28Speaker 2: Yeah, week's going good. Thanks for asking. Yeah, I agree
- 1:31Speaker 2: with you there. I like these slates a little bit better.
- 1:34Speaker 2: Was kind of tilting a little bit last night about
- 1:37Speaker 2: the winning lineup in the five dollars wasn't the perfect lineup,
- 1:39Speaker 2: but it was a seven white chop and a seventy
- 1:42Speaker 2: two thousand dollars or a seventy two thousand person tournament.
- 1:45Speaker 2: Just I haven't seen anything like that all season long,
- 1:47Speaker 2: especially in that big of a tournament, so that was
- 1:49Speaker 2: a little little disheartening. I know that we had a
- 1:51Speaker 2: few people in our discord that were making a run
- 1:54Speaker 2: at the top. Like I said, Butter was up there,
- 1:56Speaker 2: and then our guy coach sav was up there in
- 1:59Speaker 2: the top fifty believe, so definitely a tough runout for
- 2:03Speaker 2: people playing that tournament. And then I think we also
- 2:05Speaker 2: had somebody ship the mini Max got really not lucky,
- 2:10Speaker 2: but very fortunate that he won, because I believe the
- 2:13Speaker 2: second place lineup was one person that ran a forty
- 2:16Speaker 2: lineup train and he beat him out by maybe a
- 2:19Speaker 2: point or a little bit less than a point, so
- 2:22Speaker 2: really really good run out. There is a shout out too,
- 2:24Speaker 2: I think I believe his name is j MSN or
- 2:26Speaker 2: JSMN in our discords, shout out to him. But yeah,
- 2:30Speaker 2: we got a lot to talk through, so I won't
- 2:32Speaker 2: really spend too much time on all the intro stuff.
- 2:38Speaker 2: Jump right into the first game actually, because we do
- 2:40Speaker 2: have nine games with the lotter injury news, try to
- 2:42Speaker 2: get in and out here in an hour. We got
- 2:45Speaker 2: Lebron James making his return to Cleveland to face your
- 2:48Speaker 2: Cleveland Cavaliers. I'll kick it off to you right away.
- 2:50Speaker 2: We have close spread Cleveland favored, which is somewhat surprising
- 2:54Speaker 2: to me. Lakers are playing okay basketball right now. Cleveland's
- 2:58Speaker 2: playing really well. But no Darius Carland know Evan Mobley.
- 3:02Speaker 2: What are they going to do to fill up those minutes?
- 3:04Speaker 2: And I we've always seen a massive role from Donovan Mitchell.
- 3:07Speaker 2: He's been really putting it together. But the Mobley news
- 3:09Speaker 2: is really big for the Cabs moving forward.
- 3:13Speaker 3: Yeah, the Mobley news is big. Hopefully it's just a
- 3:15Speaker 3: shorts from injury. Got to be really careful with those
- 3:17Speaker 3: cap strains. He'd missed a couple of weeks earlier, like
- 3:21Speaker 3: about a month ago, came back gradually and obviously it's
- 3:25Speaker 3: now missing time again. Never good to see from a
- 3:28Speaker 3: DFS perspective. It's gonna make everyone on Cleveland look that
- 3:32Speaker 3: much more desirable because outside of Donovan Mitchell, he's been
- 3:35Speaker 3: like the second best offensive player for Cleveland. They've clearly
- 3:38Speaker 3: asked him, wanted him to do a lot more this season,
- 3:41Speaker 3: and he's been good as of late. So I think
- 3:43Speaker 3: that you're gonna kind of see a cumulative effort in
- 3:46Speaker 3: terms of his terms of the minutes from guys off
- 3:48Speaker 3: the bench, But as far as the production goes, hard
- 3:52Speaker 3: not to like Donovan Mitchell right now at ninety seven hundred,
- 3:55Speaker 3: was already in really good form again multiple I think
- 3:59Speaker 3: fifty five plus in at least three straight games that
- 4:01Speaker 3: have to go back and check. It's Fantasy points, and
- 4:04Speaker 3: his price is now two hundred dollars less than it
- 4:07Speaker 3: was last late. He's getting ownership, but hard to argue.
- 4:10Speaker 3: It looks really really good here. This game should be
- 4:13Speaker 3: pretty high scoring and competitive, so there's just a lot
- 4:16Speaker 3: to like about him in this spot. Then you look
- 4:18Speaker 3: at Jared Allen, who's probably the first guy you think
- 4:20Speaker 3: of that's going to benefit with MOBILEI out, and yeah,
- 4:23Speaker 3: it just is likely that he sees a bump in
- 4:26Speaker 3: his rebounding equity, maybe a little bit more minutes at
- 4:29Speaker 3: the true five. So at sixty three hundred, it's scary.
- 4:33Speaker 3: I really don't like playing him these days, but Jared
- 4:35Speaker 3: Allen looks good. He's getting owned, so I think you
- 4:38Speaker 3: can make cases to fade him because this late is
- 4:40Speaker 3: massive and you don't want to go too heavy on
- 4:44Speaker 3: this first game. But he's not priced for Mobli to
- 4:47Speaker 3: be out, so there's a lot to like about Allen
- 4:49Speaker 3: and Michell. I think those are the first two guys.
- 4:51Speaker 3: Then you start to get to like the Dean Wades,
- 4:53Speaker 3: who had already started to play more with Hunter being
- 4:55Speaker 3: out the past two games. He was Chalking a couple
- 4:57Speaker 3: of games ago at thirty six hundred now forty two
- 5:01Speaker 3: hundred projected for over thirty minutes. Yeah, I mean, I
- 5:06Speaker 3: don't hate it. I never love him, especially at Chalk,
- 5:08Speaker 3: so I'm probably looking to get away from that, but
- 5:11Speaker 3: I understand why people are going there. The guy I
- 5:13Speaker 3: want to get to is Jalen Tyson. Price is down
- 5:16Speaker 3: a little bit at sixty to six hundred. I'm not
- 5:19Speaker 3: sure the production matches the price tag from like a
- 5:23Speaker 3: projection level standpoint, but I do think he's got upside,
- 5:27Speaker 3: especially with mobiley out. I think you could just see
- 5:29Speaker 3: him play a ton with the ball in his hands
- 5:33Speaker 3: and if anything gets a little bit wonky as far
- 5:35Speaker 3: as Mitchell goes like I think Tyson is the next
- 5:37Speaker 3: guy up as far as offensive production goes. So there's
- 5:39Speaker 3: gonna be a lot toke on Cleveland. I don't want
- 5:41Speaker 3: to get too heavy heavy with it. I think nak
- 5:44Speaker 3: Kwan Tablin is a guy you could potentially look at
- 5:46Speaker 3: for cheap. Is there anyone on Cleveland that you like
- 5:49Speaker 3: have the roster here?
- 5:52Speaker 2: I don't know if I would say that. I think
- 5:53Speaker 2: that the pricing is pretty fair. I would say that
- 5:56Speaker 2: Jared Allen feels like the most mispriced guy when you
- 5:59Speaker 2: cannsider his permanent production. Just the usage role increase with
- 6:04Speaker 2: Evan Mobley and Garland Off, so I think I'll probably
- 6:07Speaker 2: end up getting the most of him. It's also a
- 6:08Speaker 2: pretty good matchup for him. DeAndre Aiden's been playing so
- 6:12Speaker 2: poorly on defense lately. I think that there's even a
- 6:14Speaker 2: chance the Lakers run more small ball out there, which
- 6:16Speaker 2: would be good for Jared Allen from a rebounding standpoint
- 6:19Speaker 2: and just scoring around the basket. I think he'll get
- 6:21Speaker 2: a lot more frontcourt touches and paint touches tonight, So
- 6:24Speaker 2: I feel like he is my favorite option. But I'm
- 6:26Speaker 2: with you on Donovan Mitchell. It feels like he still
- 6:29Speaker 2: hasn't Like he put a forty five points last game.
- 6:32Speaker 2: That was a pretty you know, obviously a really really
- 6:34Speaker 2: strong outing, but it still feels like there is room
- 6:37Speaker 2: for even more upside for him. His role has just
- 6:40Speaker 2: been insane over the last six games. With Daris Garland
- 6:43Speaker 2: missing and then you take off Evan Moby as well.
- 6:47Speaker 2: The usage is way up, touch time, his way up,
- 6:49Speaker 2: potential assist or way up. So I think there's even
- 6:52Speaker 2: a shot, Like I don't know if a triple double
- 6:53Speaker 2: is within the range of outcomes, but I do think
- 6:56Speaker 2: that a thirty to forty point double double could be
- 7:00Speaker 2: something that he flirts with tonight. So I definitely agree
- 7:02Speaker 2: with you. I think Donald Mitchell is really really strong,
- 7:05Speaker 2: But I'm with you on Nick on Tom, and he
- 7:07Speaker 2: was kind of the guy that stood out to me.
- 7:09Speaker 2: I feel like, just the role that you have to
- 7:11Speaker 2: replace Evan Mobley with. He is kind of the guy
- 7:14Speaker 2: that pops in my mind. Not really a really big
- 7:17Speaker 2: offensive threat, but is a super high energy guy. He's
- 7:20Speaker 2: also been playing a lot more lately. I really like
- 7:22Speaker 2: watching him play. How do you like Tom Tomlin as
- 7:25Speaker 2: a Cavs fan?
- 7:27Speaker 3: Love him man like he's been given the Calves everything
- 7:30Speaker 3: they've been missing so far, kind of that energy, hustle guy.
- 7:33Speaker 3: We've talked about the Calves a bunch. They've been very
- 7:35Speaker 3: disappointing for much of the season, finally starting to turn
- 7:38Speaker 3: it around, but before this little stretch where they've turned
- 7:40Speaker 3: it around, a lot of their problems have come from malaise, energy,
- 7:44Speaker 3: low energy, and Tomlin's been the opposite. So he's been
- 7:47Speaker 3: really really fun to watch for the Calves on a
- 7:49Speaker 3: two way. I think you're gonna see him as a
- 7:51Speaker 3: big part of this rotation with mobiley out.
- 7:54Speaker 2: Yeah, it's funny. There's so many tweets and videos of
- 7:57Speaker 2: him combing across my timeline over the past two weeks
- 7:59Speaker 2: where he's just sprinting down the court like running like
- 8:03Speaker 2: a gazelle. He's he's fun to watch for sure.
- 8:05Speaker 3: And he's like new to basketball, like very new to basketball.
- 8:08Speaker 3: I can't remember like when he started, but it wasn't
- 8:11Speaker 3: until late high school, so he's still learning a lot.
- 8:13Speaker 3: It might not have been until after high school, I
- 8:16Speaker 3: want to say, so very raw still.
- 8:18Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I mean, all these guys are gonna get
- 8:22Speaker 2: a bump, so you ask can I see people ask
- 8:24Speaker 2: about Greig Porter. Obviously he's another guy that's gonna get
- 8:27Speaker 2: a bump all these guys. That's trickle down effect. You
- 8:29Speaker 2: just kind of have to make the decision how much
- 8:30Speaker 2: you want early? Is my take on the bench guys,
- 8:33Speaker 2: what about you?
- 8:35Speaker 3: Yeah? Same what I'm yeah, same like. I just think
- 8:41Speaker 3: guys like Craig Porter, unless he's happening to start at
- 8:44Speaker 3: forty four hundred, I'm just not sure how how good
- 8:48Speaker 3: guys like that are gonna look the guards. I think
- 8:50Speaker 3: the big men are gonna look better just because they're
- 8:52Speaker 3: shorthanded there. I know that they're that Garland's out, but
- 8:55Speaker 3: they've been missing Garland. I get the case for basically
- 8:59Speaker 3: anyone on the have bench because they are shallow and
- 9:01Speaker 3: we don't know what they're gonna do. But someone like Tomlin,
- 9:06Speaker 3: at least on paper, looks better to me than someone
- 9:08Speaker 3: like Porter.
- 9:09Speaker 2: Yeah, at least from a minute standpoint. You're also getting
- 9:12Speaker 2: Sam Merrill and DeAndre Hunter back. They've been missing a
- 9:15Speaker 2: lot of the games, so they're getting those guys back,
- 9:17Speaker 2: which is just gonna loosen up to rotation a little bit.
- 9:22Speaker 2: As So for me, I feel like there's a big
- 9:25Speaker 2: tear drop down from Donovan Mitchell and Jared Allen. In
- 9:28Speaker 2: terms of guys that I'll be prioritizing, it's gonna be
- 9:30Speaker 2: nakuon Tomlin, and then probably I would put Jalen Tyson
- 9:34Speaker 2: into that group, and then everybody else kind of below that.
- 9:38Speaker 2: As for the Lakers, okay, cool. As for the Lakers,
- 9:42Speaker 2: you got Lebron making his return to Cleveland where it
- 9:45Speaker 2: all started. Obviously ninety one hundred. No. Evan Mobley should
- 9:49Speaker 2: still be guarded by a pretty solid defender, Dean Wade.
- 9:52Speaker 2: It's gonna be on him. I feel like he matches
- 9:54Speaker 2: up pretty well. I'm not sure that I want to
- 9:57Speaker 2: pay ninety one for on with Luca kind of close
- 10:02Speaker 2: enough to where he could match him from a point
- 10:04Speaker 2: pur seiling standpoint. So I kind of lean Luca here,
- 10:07Speaker 2: but the matchup is not great for either of them.
- 10:10Speaker 2: Jalen Tysons is playing really good defense. Obviously it's Luca
- 10:12Speaker 2: he's match approof. But I do say lean Luca over Lebron,
- 10:16Speaker 2: and then don't think I really want to mess with
- 10:18Speaker 2: the rest of the guys. The price is really good
- 10:20Speaker 2: for Aden if you think that he's gonna be able
- 10:22Speaker 2: to turn it around here. But Ruy's playing really well,
- 10:25Speaker 2: and I think that they're more than willing to go
- 10:27Speaker 2: more small balls. So it's kind of Luca and Lebron
- 10:29Speaker 2: and a max one of those two guys, and then
- 10:31Speaker 2: probably some max two of Lakers overall. How are you
- 10:34Speaker 2: prioritizing those guys?
- 10:35Speaker 3: Yeah, the Lakers don't really look good here from like
- 10:37Speaker 3: a projection standpoint point per hour standpoint, I do. I'm
- 10:40Speaker 3: with you, it's Luca over Bron here. If you want
- 10:44Speaker 3: to give the boost to Bron for going back to Cleveland,
- 10:46Speaker 3: I get it, But I think you're just paying full
- 10:48Speaker 3: freight for him right now at ninety one hundred, So
- 10:51Speaker 3: could he get there?
- 10:52Speaker 2: Sure?
- 10:52Speaker 3: Is he a priority for me?
- 10:53Speaker 2: No?
- 10:54Speaker 3: And honestly the same with Luca. Twelve to two on
- 10:58Speaker 3: this slate is expensive. Now, we could potentially get in
- 11:01Speaker 3: our value where you're able to fit him with ease,
- 11:03Speaker 3: but as of right now, I think there's better roster constructions.
- 11:07Speaker 3: So you know, again, I like to break it down.
- 11:11Speaker 3: If I were playing one lineup here, I don't think
- 11:13Speaker 3: i'd get to anything from the Lakers.
- 11:16Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that's probably where I'm at too. I
- 11:18Speaker 2: would drive over to the next game Chicago Indie really
- 11:21Speaker 2: high total close spread here, so a lot to like
- 11:24Speaker 2: here from game environment standpoint does get a little messy
- 11:28Speaker 2: when you add in Josh Giddy getting healthier for Cleveland
- 11:30Speaker 2: or for Chicago. That will be without Trey Jones for
- 11:33Speaker 2: a little bit, but not really too big of a
- 11:36Speaker 2: name there. So I think that there is an outside
- 11:38Speaker 2: shot for Giddy to get back to the starting lineup.
- 11:40Speaker 2: He said that he felt really good after last game
- 11:42Speaker 2: played twenty eight minutes, which was where they had him
- 11:45Speaker 2: capped at. Would I would guess that if he started tonight,
- 11:49Speaker 2: they probably feel good about him playing around thirty minutes,
- 11:52Speaker 2: so that would make him interesting get seventy eight hundred,
- 11:55Speaker 2: But then it just kind of confuses the rest of
- 11:59Speaker 2: the guys. For me, I don't really know where else
- 12:01Speaker 2: I'd like to go. I love the matchup for VOUCH.
- 12:03Speaker 2: I think Kobe White would be in a pretty good spot.
- 12:05Speaker 2: But with Giddy getting healthier, how does that affect his
- 12:07Speaker 2: usage as of right now? I kind of don't see
- 12:11Speaker 2: this game as when I'm really needing to get to.
- 12:14Speaker 2: But the game environment, so I could see there being
- 12:16Speaker 2: a lot of points here. So what are you thinking?
- 12:18Speaker 2: About this Indie and Bulls game.
- 12:21Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you. Like, from a thirty thousand foot view,
- 12:23Speaker 3: this game looks really appealing, but then when you start
- 12:25Speaker 3: to look closer, price tags are where they should be,
- 12:28Speaker 3: and then you get like the Giddy back to playing
- 12:31Speaker 3: more full minutes for the Bulls, and that really muddies
- 12:34Speaker 3: up the situation there. The two guys that I like
- 12:37Speaker 3: from this game, I think from the Chicago like all
- 12:40Speaker 3: their normal guys are in play still, but I think
- 12:43Speaker 3: with Giddy back to potentially playing full minutes, it does
- 12:45Speaker 3: hurt them. I like what I've seen from Kobe White
- 12:48Speaker 3: at seven k I think he's just a tournament play,
- 12:51Speaker 3: but they're certainly upside there. My favorite play from this
- 12:55Speaker 3: game though, is Jarris Walker. He's questionable here, so you know,
- 13:00Speaker 3: obviously I like him if he's in, but playing really
- 13:03Speaker 3: good ball right now and cheap at fifty two hundred
- 13:06Speaker 3: filling either of the forward position, so you can roster
- 13:09Speaker 3: him at a bunch of spots, like I'd like Jarris
- 13:12Speaker 3: Walker here as my favorite player from this game, presuming
- 13:15Speaker 3: he's in. Otherwise, like I'm in you, I'm with you,
- 13:18Speaker 3: I should say, I don't think there's much you have
- 13:22Speaker 3: to get to from this game, despite like how appealing
- 13:25Speaker 3: it does look, just because there's other games that also
- 13:27Speaker 3: look really appealing here.
- 13:30Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with you. There would love if Siakam
- 13:33Speaker 2: was a little bit cheaper, because I think this is
- 13:35Speaker 2: a good spot for him. He's done really well against
- 13:36Speaker 2: Chicago this season, and just the ways that he gets
- 13:39Speaker 2: the basket and scores, I think could really shine here.
- 13:43Speaker 2: But I'm with you. I feel like Jaris Walker is
- 13:46Speaker 2: the only guy that you're really prioritizing. I think I
- 13:49Speaker 2: would have interesting Giddy if I knew that he was
- 13:50Speaker 2: starting and playing, if he's like thirty minutes, and he'd
- 13:54Speaker 2: be really really interesting because he's been playing well off
- 13:56Speaker 2: the bench. It's just kind of it's tough to get
- 13:57Speaker 2: into a rhythm when you have those short of Since.
- 14:02Speaker 3: I see he is projected to get a little bit
- 14:04Speaker 3: of ownership, which I get. I mean, it does seem
- 14:07Speaker 3: like this slate is pretty spread out, so there isn't
- 14:11Speaker 3: like the chalk we had last night. At least now
- 14:13Speaker 3: it's a bigger slate, so that makes sense. Like at ownership,
- 14:18Speaker 3: I'm more inclined to get off of Giddy, just because
- 14:21Speaker 3: you know, again, it's not like he's gonna play full
- 14:23Speaker 3: minutes here even if he does, like if he plays thirty.
- 14:26Speaker 3: He looks really appealing at seventy eight hundred, but there's
- 14:28Speaker 3: still outs for him not to get there. Like, I
- 14:31Speaker 3: see both sides of it. At that price point, you know,
- 14:34Speaker 3: he would be the guy from Chicago that you'd want
- 14:36Speaker 3: to get to, especially if we've got some sort of
- 14:39Speaker 3: like you know, we got their coach saying that he
- 14:43Speaker 3: was gonna play more. So I guess we'll just have
- 14:44Speaker 3: to wait and see.
- 14:45Speaker 2: Yeah, I believe they have a back to back tonight
- 14:49Speaker 2: as well, or tomorrow is a back to back, and
- 14:53Speaker 2: I think they have another back to back over the weekend.
- 14:55Speaker 2: So some of the beat writers were saying, they'll see
- 14:57Speaker 2: how both Kobe and Giddy are spawn to these back
- 15:00Speaker 2: to backs to kind of determine how much they're gonna play. Also,
- 15:04Speaker 2: keep an eye on the starting lineup before Indye. I
- 15:06Speaker 2: feel like in a matchup with Vouch, a guy like
- 15:11Speaker 2: Jay Huff who's been pretty much out of the rotation
- 15:12Speaker 2: could come back to life here, So definitely keep an
- 15:15Speaker 2: eye on that. He's only four k power for its
- 15:17Speaker 2: center eligible, he would definitely be a guy that would
- 15:19Speaker 2: be in play for value if he does get a
- 15:21Speaker 2: random start here right Orlando at Miami. Orlando really struggling
- 15:26Speaker 2: as of late, lost four in a row. Obviously not
- 15:29Speaker 2: having Franz Wagner has really hurt them all around offensively
- 15:32Speaker 2: and defensively. One of the worst teams over the last
- 15:35Speaker 2: two weeks or so. They've been a team that's really
- 15:37Speaker 2: been given up to lead handlers all season long, but
- 15:39Speaker 2: their three point defense has actually been getting a lot
- 15:41Speaker 2: worse as they've had to kind of shift their defensive
- 15:44Speaker 2: game plan. Miami coming in in much better form but
- 15:47Speaker 2: also pretty thin tonight, know Tyler Hero and then Davian
- 15:51Speaker 2: Mitchell was downgraded to doubtful. Khalil Ware is questionable, but
- 15:55Speaker 2: it sounded like he was at practice yesterday, so good
- 15:57Speaker 2: chance that he's back. And then Norman Powell got an
- 16:00Speaker 2: upgrade to probable. There was a couple of games earlier
- 16:03Speaker 2: this season, I believe, against the two teams that were
- 16:06Speaker 2: pretty solid for fantasy purposes. I think there's a lot
- 16:10Speaker 2: going on here that you could definitely get into. You
- 16:12Speaker 2: have studs spin up for Bam and Paulo, and then
- 16:14Speaker 2: you have some mids. Your guys in the Bin Black
- 16:18Speaker 2: Powell range, and then some value as well on the
- 16:21Speaker 2: Miami side. So I think there's a lot to talk
- 16:23Speaker 2: through here. How you looked at this game feels like
- 16:27Speaker 2: one you could definitely get into.
- 16:30Speaker 3: Yeah, it does. You mentioned how they played a couple
- 16:33Speaker 3: of games that were really good from a fantasy perspective,
- 16:35Speaker 3: and now that you mentioned that, I believe they played
- 16:36Speaker 3: on the first game of the season where everyone was
- 16:40Speaker 3: just like, this is not a game you want at all,
- 16:42Speaker 3: and it ended up being like, by far the best
- 16:44Speaker 3: game from a DFS perspective, So kind of shows you
- 16:46Speaker 3: the unknowns coming into the season. But I'm with you, like,
- 16:49Speaker 3: there are kind of good plays in every range here.
- 16:53Speaker 3: I think the best plays are probably like the mid
- 16:56Speaker 3: range guys you to touch time them in passing, Jalen Suggs,
- 17:01Speaker 3: Anthony Black, both those guys look to be in play
- 17:05Speaker 3: for sure at their price points. You know, you flip
- 17:08Speaker 3: to the other side, someone like a Heimi Hakaz Norm
- 17:12Speaker 3: Powell down to seven K. I'll say this, I think
- 17:15Speaker 3: there's a lot to like from this game. Nothing that
- 17:18Speaker 3: I love. Is there anything that you absolutely love here?
- 17:24Speaker 2: Honestly, Bam is kind of sticking out to me here.
- 17:27Speaker 2: I feel like this is a pretty good spot for him,
- 17:29Speaker 2: just with the way that the Magic are playing on
- 17:31Speaker 2: defense or they have been giving up more at around
- 17:33Speaker 2: the basket. I think I would need Where to be
- 17:36Speaker 2: out to really love him because I think that the
- 17:38Speaker 2: high end minutes for Bam could be there if Where
- 17:40Speaker 2: does miss. I think he's averaging like thirty six minutes
- 17:43Speaker 2: per game against the Magic this season, and he's been
- 17:46Speaker 2: flashing ceiling as of laid a couple of fifty point performances.
- 17:48Speaker 2: I feel like he's the guy that is kind of
- 17:50Speaker 2: sticking out to me. But then we also need to
- 17:53Speaker 2: talk about the point guard situation for the Heat because
- 17:57Speaker 2: it is a pretty good spot for whoever starts. It's
- 17:59Speaker 2: been Casper's I don't know, you can try to pronounce
- 18:02Speaker 2: his last one. I think it's Jocko chonas he's been starting,
- 18:05Speaker 2: but it's kind of been Drew Smith running away with
- 18:07Speaker 2: the bigger role and the more minutes, so that would
- 18:10Speaker 2: be probably be playing more into Drew Smith. If playing
- 18:13Speaker 2: one of the two, they're not really overlapping at all,
- 18:15Speaker 2: so you definitely should be max one of those two guys.
- 18:18Speaker 2: It also feels like a spot where Drew Smith is
- 18:22Speaker 2: just matched up better. I think that you kind of
- 18:24Speaker 2: replace Daveon's defense with Drew Smith's. A team like the
- 18:27Speaker 2: Magic that has a lot of guards that you really
- 18:30Speaker 2: require somebody like Drew Smith to play defense against. So
- 18:33Speaker 2: I'm leading him, but definitely keep the lad in for Casprisk.
- 18:37Speaker 2: I think that he does have pretty solid permanent ups.
- 18:39Speaker 2: Is a guy that can fill the stat sheet up
- 18:40Speaker 2: a little bit, so if he gets hot, maybe they
- 18:42Speaker 2: run with him a little bit more. And hockey has
- 18:45Speaker 2: played a ton of minutes last game. I don't think
- 18:47Speaker 2: that's gonna be the case moving forward, but it's nice
- 18:50Speaker 2: to see that he does have that within the range
- 18:51Speaker 2: of outcomes because he's always been a really, really solid producer.
- 18:55Speaker 2: But on the Magic side, nothing really stands out like
- 18:58Speaker 2: you're calling Suggs. Wasn't really considering him, but he is
- 19:01Speaker 2: getting healthier, so probably closer to thirty minutes tonight at
- 19:05Speaker 2: six point three K good matchup for guards, and I
- 19:08Speaker 2: think Paulo should definitely be considered in consideration as a
- 19:11Speaker 2: spend up. DE would ask him to rebound a lot
- 19:13Speaker 2: more so you've seen the double double bonus he got
- 19:16Speaker 2: two last game and they just need win. So I
- 19:18Speaker 2: could see him playing a ton right now, close game,
- 19:21Speaker 2: close spread, and a pretty solid total. So I definitely
- 19:24Speaker 2: think this game there's ways to get in it. Into
- 19:26Speaker 2: it from like a like creatively, I think you can
- 19:28Speaker 2: definitely get into it.
- 19:30Speaker 3: That's a good call on polo, Like they need a
- 19:33Speaker 3: w right now, so I mean they're not going to
- 19:35Speaker 3: play him forty eight minutes here, but like you could
- 19:37Speaker 3: see him playing a little bit more, and he's coming
- 19:40Speaker 3: off a really really good game against Cleveland, So I
- 19:43Speaker 3: like that call. I feel like between Drew and Casparis,
- 19:47Speaker 3: it's the answer is easily Drew, with especially him being
- 19:50Speaker 3: cheaper regardless of who starts. But the fields teas it
- 19:54Speaker 3: the exact same way. So I think you're going to
- 19:56Speaker 3: see Drew Smith significantly higher on I don't think you're
- 19:59Speaker 3: gonna see him as like uber Chalk today, So I
- 20:03Speaker 3: really get the rational for both of them. I'm more
- 20:06Speaker 3: likely to play Drew Smith, but I'm like with you
- 20:08Speaker 3: don't forget about Casper's either.
- 20:11Speaker 2: Yeah, you definitely don't. I wouldn't say Drew is a
- 20:13Speaker 2: great value played by any means, just because this team
- 20:16Speaker 2: is I mean, outside of dave On and Hero, they
- 20:18Speaker 2: are fairly healthy, getting Norm and Clail. Weareback for this one,
- 20:22Speaker 2: so I don't think you need to be running and
- 20:23Speaker 2: playing Drew Smith if if you don't want to. I
- 20:25Speaker 2: think there's other values on tonight's later just different ways
- 20:28Speaker 2: to play the slate, all right. Atlanta at Boston. Atlanta
- 20:35Speaker 2: have been playing much better defense as of late, but
- 20:38Speaker 2: still think that they have some issues that have been
- 20:40Speaker 2: kind of masked. I don't really look at them as
- 20:43Speaker 2: a great defense. Their sixteenth over the last two weeks.
- 20:45Speaker 2: Rebounding and riom defense has been improving this month, but
- 20:48Speaker 2: there's still bottom three and room defense on the season
- 20:51Speaker 2: shouldn't matter too much here. Celtics continued to be a
- 20:55Speaker 2: team that's going to be launching a ton of threes,
- 20:57Speaker 2: but they're also the allowing the most catches shoot threes
- 21:01Speaker 2: per game this season, so the way you want to
- 21:03Speaker 2: attack them is with perimeter scores. Atlanta definitely has some
- 21:05Speaker 2: guys that stand out here, But the one thing I
- 21:07Speaker 2: think we need to talk about right off the top,
- 21:10Speaker 2: the Miya's Kada is out tonight. Luca Garza did get
- 21:12Speaker 2: upgraded to in but I'm seeing around some places around
- 21:16Speaker 2: the industry that Amari Williams is projected to get the
- 21:19Speaker 2: start here. That's very interesting. You get three point seven
- 21:23Speaker 2: k and I think a pretty decent matchup for him,
- 21:25Speaker 2: So I definitely have interest there. But kind of talk
- 21:27Speaker 2: about this a lot. It goes back to like the
- 21:29Speaker 2: drum and bonus stuff. The guy that's coming off the
- 21:32Speaker 2: bench is also gonna get a lot less ownership, so
- 21:35Speaker 2: that'll be an interesting leverage spot. Yeah, how would you
- 21:39Speaker 2: be reacting to the news if Amari Williams does get
- 21:42Speaker 2: ruled as the starter.
- 21:44Speaker 3: Yeah, I still will play garzap personally, like not like
- 21:48Speaker 3: if we're playing one fifty. I obviously have exposure to both,
- 21:51Speaker 3: but I should say this, I like the guards Of
- 21:53Speaker 3: playing more than the Williams play off the bench. I
- 21:55Speaker 3: projected lower ownership because Garza is undoubtedly the better fantasy
- 22:00Speaker 3: the points per minute guy. I think that his ownership
- 22:04Speaker 3: would be lower and a lot lower than it would
- 22:07Speaker 3: be if he were starting. And like, there's still tons
- 22:11Speaker 3: of ways this plays out where gars Of plays more
- 22:14Speaker 3: than Williams. If Garza is just better when he's on
- 22:17Speaker 3: the floor, Williams could start, Guarsa could close like neither
- 22:21Speaker 3: of them could close. I like gars Of more just
- 22:23Speaker 3: because he's the better fantasy producer. But I understand why
- 22:27Speaker 3: people would want to play a thirty seven hundred hours
- 22:30Speaker 3: starting center against Atlanta, so I think they both be
- 22:34Speaker 3: in play for sure. I would like the guards Of
- 22:36Speaker 3: play more for the reasons you mentioned. You know, he's
- 22:40Speaker 3: also five hundred hours more like he will be less
- 22:43Speaker 3: owner than Williams, and I just think he's the much
- 22:45Speaker 3: better fantasy performer. Do you see it differently?
- 22:48Speaker 2: No, Yeah, he definitely looks like at least the uh like,
- 22:51Speaker 2: we have more historical data of him being the guy
- 22:55Speaker 2: that has been a better fantasy producer if only Amari's
- 22:59Speaker 2: played in I don't know a handful of games in THEBA,
- 23:02Speaker 2: so we don't really know that. I'd have to see
- 23:05Speaker 2: what ownership looks like, because I do agree with you there.
- 23:06Speaker 2: If it's like fifty to ten Williams over Garza, then
- 23:12Speaker 2: I think you just have to take that ownership discount
- 23:14Speaker 2: because Garza is gonna play for sure. But I did
- 23:17Speaker 2: see somebody in our discord earlier ask if it was
- 23:20Speaker 2: smart to play both and just kind of get all
- 23:22Speaker 2: the center minutes. I don't think that would be the
- 23:24Speaker 2: case to night. Joe Mizula is not a guy that
- 23:28Speaker 2: does what you expect him to do, Like, I wouldn't
- 23:30Speaker 2: be surprised to see him dust off. I don't even
- 23:33Speaker 2: know if Josh Mino is still with the team, but
- 23:34Speaker 2: like he was a guy that was starting at center
- 23:36Speaker 2: for them earlier this season. But they could easily go
- 23:38Speaker 2: to Jordan Walsh as the small ball center. I mean
- 23:42Speaker 2: they might even go like Hugan Zalez Baylor Shireman and
- 23:44Speaker 2: just move guys up a little bit. Like there's ways
- 23:46Speaker 2: that they can get creative, and I don't I wouldn't
- 23:48Speaker 2: expect all forty eight of the center minutes to be
- 23:51Speaker 2: covered by by the centers tonight. Matt thinks that Williams
- 24:00Speaker 2: is better than guards are definitely more talented for sure.
- 24:02Speaker 2: I mean he's younger and has some crazy G League stats.
- 24:05Speaker 2: I think a lot of these guys that bounce back
- 24:07Speaker 2: and forth are gonna have really good G League stats.
- 24:09Speaker 2: Same thing in college. See, I definitely have an interest
- 24:14Speaker 2: in Williams.
- 24:15Speaker 3: I mean, go ahead, I was just gonna say this
- 24:19Speaker 3: about Garza as far as Williams goes, Like Garza's college
- 24:22Speaker 3: offensive stats are amazing like the reason Gars that can't
- 24:26Speaker 3: play in the NBA really is because he's like slow
- 24:28Speaker 3: footed on defense, but offensively, like he was one of
- 24:31Speaker 3: the most talented center prospects like to literally ever play.
- 24:34Speaker 3: So like him being a DFS, like a guy that
- 24:37Speaker 3: can put up points per minute is never a worry
- 24:40Speaker 3: for me. If Gars is gonna play like, he's gonna
- 24:42Speaker 3: be productive, at least that's how I see it.
- 24:45Speaker 2: How do you think that he matches up with the
- 24:47Speaker 2: the Coongu and Jalen Johnson front court.
- 24:51Speaker 3: I don't. I mean, he's gonna get cooked, which is why,
- 24:54Speaker 3: like it's scary to play him, especially at ownership, But
- 24:58Speaker 3: like maybe he is just really good offensively. Maybe they
- 25:02Speaker 3: can hide him a little bit, like because they are
- 25:04Speaker 3: missing their starting center here. So yeah, I think that
- 25:07Speaker 3: Williams is the better matchup, certainly defensively, but Guards is
- 25:11Speaker 3: going to give them a lot more on the offensive end.
- 25:13Speaker 3: So I really get playing both of them. I'm also
- 25:17Speaker 3: with you, I would not play both of them together
- 25:19Speaker 3: because of everything you said. I'd be surprised if they
- 25:23Speaker 3: combined for you know, to eat all the center minutes.
- 25:25Speaker 3: And even if they did, I wouldn't be surprised if
- 25:28Speaker 3: like one of them played thirty two and the other
- 25:31Speaker 3: played sixteen, depending on who's playing.
- 25:33Speaker 2: Well, Yeah, I think at the end of the night,
- 25:36Speaker 2: when it comes down to it, it'll probably end up
- 25:38Speaker 2: being like a maybe like a twenty to twenty two
- 25:41Speaker 2: split and then some other guys mixing in for some
- 25:43Speaker 2: small ball is what I'm expecting, which is plenty. Like
- 25:46Speaker 2: twenty two from either one, I think is enough to
- 25:49Speaker 2: hit value if you really run into a hot shooting
- 25:51Speaker 2: game from Garza or just Amari Williams gets the rebounds
- 25:54Speaker 2: and stocks things like that. As far as the rest
- 25:57Speaker 2: of the guys go in this game. On the Boston side,
- 26:01Speaker 2: I have a little bit more interest in the Guards,
- 26:03Speaker 2: Derek White and Paid Pritchard than I do Jalen Brown.
- 26:05Speaker 2: Jalen Brown cooked the Hawks earlier this season, went for
- 26:08Speaker 2: forty one, six and two in just thirty minutes, but
- 26:11Speaker 2: Dyson Daniels wasn't in for that game. Dyson's gonna be
- 26:13Speaker 2: on him tonight. I think they're gonna throw a bunch
- 26:15Speaker 2: of attention his way. So that kind of leans into
- 26:18Speaker 2: more of like the Derek White Pritchard stuff. The hawksman
- 26:21Speaker 2: getting killed by Guards lately they're dead last against point
- 26:26Speaker 2: guards and DVP, and then over the last seven games
- 26:28Speaker 2: they're bottom seven against shooting guards. So I think that
- 26:32Speaker 2: it's a pretty solid spot for Pritchard and Derek White tonight.
- 26:37Speaker 2: And then on the Hawk's side, we didn't really touch
- 26:40Speaker 2: on them, but if you want to leave things off there,
- 26:42Speaker 2: nobody really projecting great, but I think that there is
- 26:45Speaker 2: upside for some of these guys.
- 26:47Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you. No one here is gonna get ownership,
- 26:50Speaker 3: no one here is gonna project great from a points
- 26:52Speaker 3: per hour perspective, but Jalen Johnson always gonna have really
- 26:56Speaker 3: high upside. Back down to ten k, cheapest has been
- 26:59Speaker 3: in like three weeks, so there's some meat on the
- 27:02Speaker 3: bone in there. Like he's not cheap, but he's the
- 27:05Speaker 3: cheapest he's been in three weeks. And you know, he's
- 27:08Speaker 3: been more inconsistent since the McCollum trade, but his upside
- 27:13Speaker 3: has hasn't gone anywhere. So interesting. He's interesting to me
- 27:17Speaker 3: at ten k here, o'conwell a little bit intriguing. Dyson Daniels.
- 27:22Speaker 3: They're pretty healthy, though not much I like from Atlanta.
- 27:25Speaker 3: I think my favorite piece from this game, uh, you know,
- 27:28Speaker 3: is I think Derek White. You know, either Derek White
- 27:33Speaker 3: or Jalen Brown, you know, the two guys from from
- 27:35Speaker 3: Boston that you normally want. I get your points on Brown,
- 27:38Speaker 3: and maybe that's the reason to not play him here
- 27:40Speaker 3: when there's a lot of good spend up and the
- 27:42Speaker 3: chier options. But you know, he's also just been really
- 27:46Speaker 3: really good this year. It seemingly gets there in every matchup.
- 27:49Speaker 3: I think for a stud, he's got one of the
- 27:51Speaker 3: better floor ceiling combinations on the slate. He just gets
- 27:54Speaker 3: there often, even if it's not like Luca type ceiling.
- 27:58Speaker 3: I think Brown at this point is just going to
- 28:00Speaker 3: be in play on every slate he's on and what
- 28:03Speaker 3: should be a competitive, high scoring game here. I think
- 28:07Speaker 3: I like Jalen Brown a little bit more than you,
- 28:09Speaker 3: but I don't think he's a muss player or anything.
- 28:12Speaker 2: Yep with you on the Jalen Johnson stuff too. Definitely
- 28:15Speaker 2: always in play, but I agree with you about him
- 28:18Speaker 2: kind of being a little bit less of a ceiling
- 28:20Speaker 2: guy with CJ. I think he's topped sixty d K
- 28:23Speaker 2: points just twice since CJ came over, So that's not
- 28:26Speaker 2: great to see, but it's nice to see that he
- 28:28Speaker 2: still does have that upside. I do think that the
- 28:31Speaker 2: matchup is pretty solid for the secondary guys. Not really
- 28:34Speaker 2: Dyson Daniels because he's more of the guy you want
- 28:36Speaker 2: to play when he's facing against a weak rim defense,
- 28:39Speaker 2: but at cong Wu and any W and CJ should
- 28:42Speaker 2: all get up a ton of threes in this matchup.
- 28:44Speaker 2: Congo's pretty interesting at seven pointy five k playing a
- 28:47Speaker 2: lot of minutes and then it's kind of gross, But
- 28:50Speaker 2: like I wouldn't be opposed to playing a little bit
- 28:52Speaker 2: of Lucannard at least keeping him in your playerpool if
- 28:55Speaker 2: you're playing mm meets tonight, because he's been playing a
- 28:58Speaker 2: lot more even over court Kis butally just traded for
- 29:00Speaker 2: he has been playing over him and he's been shooting
- 29:02Speaker 2: the ball really well. Always been a sniper. So definitely
- 29:05Speaker 2: a good spot against a three point final like the
- 29:07Speaker 2: Boston Celtics. All right, now we have the Knicks heading
- 29:11Speaker 2: into Toronto back to back international travel day for them,
- 29:14Speaker 2: They're gonna be without a few guys. No Mitchell Robinson,
- 29:17Speaker 2: no Duce mc bright tonight and then questionable tag on
- 29:19Speaker 2: Josh Hart. Raptors are fairly healthy for the most part,
- 29:24Speaker 2: obviously no Yaka Perto, but then a questionable tag on
- 29:27Speaker 2: Colin Murray Boyles, who's been out for I believe like
- 29:30Speaker 2: a week or so. Raptors really clicking right now on defense,
- 29:34Speaker 2: and the Knicks are coming off of a string of
- 29:36Speaker 2: really really good games, still not playing the best defense,
- 29:40Speaker 2: kind of getting lit up against pick and roll heavy guys.
- 29:43Speaker 2: I think this game is one of the worst on
- 29:46Speaker 2: the slates, at least from just a total game environment standpoint,
- 29:49Speaker 2: really low total close spread, which is good, but I
- 29:52Speaker 2: think that there are some ways that the Knicks can
- 29:54Speaker 2: hit ceiling. I mean, you're taking away two big rotation guys, catsmen.
- 29:58Speaker 2: It should be more secure at cent, but he'll have
- 30:00Speaker 2: a tough matchup against either one of CMB or Scottie Barnes.
- 30:04Speaker 2: I think it'll be Scotty Barnes on him, and then
- 30:06Speaker 2: Brunston did cook the Raptors earlier this season. But I
- 30:09Speaker 2: don't really see anything on the Knick side that is
- 30:11Speaker 2: truly like a standout play. If I had to choose one,
- 30:14Speaker 2: it would be cut at eight point three kids, because
- 30:16Speaker 2: we talked about all the time, a little too cheap
- 30:18Speaker 2: for the upside that we know that he has, Yeah,
- 30:21Speaker 2: that's probably it for me and the Knicks, and then
- 30:23Speaker 2: the Raptors is kind of gross too. I think it's
- 30:26Speaker 2: just e manual quickly, just because he's got a little
- 30:28Speaker 2: bit of a revenge spot and he's just been playing
- 30:30Speaker 2: really great, really great lately.
- 30:32Speaker 3: Yeah, he stole that one for me that was gonna
- 30:34Speaker 3: be my guy from this game quickly here, Like, I
- 30:37Speaker 3: think he's priced where he should be, but clearly there's upside.
- 30:40Speaker 3: He's gotten there with upside like the past three or
- 30:42Speaker 3: four games. Now you get him in a revenge spot
- 30:45Speaker 3: against the team that played last night. I'm interested in
- 30:48Speaker 3: him here. Like he's projected to be like one to
- 30:50Speaker 3: two percent own at some places I'm seeing on a slate,
- 30:54Speaker 3: Like that's really intriguing to me, Like, clearly he's got upside.
- 30:57Speaker 3: At this price tag, games should be close, Like I
- 31:00Speaker 3: don't love it from a DFS perspective, but that doesn't
- 31:02Speaker 3: mean I think no one's gonna get there. So I
- 31:04Speaker 3: like to quickly call and then we pretty much always
- 31:07Speaker 3: see towns eye to eye, and we do here too.
- 31:10Speaker 3: I think that in this spot, at this price tag,
- 31:12Speaker 3: he's too cheap for his upside, but he's also got
- 31:15Speaker 3: a low floor. We've seen it a bunch of this year.
- 31:17Speaker 3: It's not a good matchup, so just know what you're
- 31:19Speaker 3: getting yourself into with Towns. I don't think he'll be
- 31:21Speaker 3: owned really though, so that makes me even more interested
- 31:24Speaker 3: in him in tournament. So the Towns quickly like run
- 31:28Speaker 3: back looks good to me here. I like both those guys.
- 31:31Speaker 3: Other than that, nothing I like from this game. I
- 31:34Speaker 3: think you kind of said it best. The Knicks just
- 31:36Speaker 3: don't really look good here. They are missing a couple
- 31:38Speaker 3: of rotation guys, but prices are where they should be.
- 31:41Speaker 3: They're not in a good spot, and they played last night.
- 31:45Speaker 2: Yeah, I feel like if there was ever a spot
- 31:46Speaker 2: for Kat to really hit at lowernship, it would be tonight.
- 31:51Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 31:52Speaker 2: I mean, he's averaging like thirty three minutes per game
- 31:55Speaker 2: in games that mister Robinson missed the season, just under
- 31:57Speaker 2: fifty DK points, And I get it. The matchup is
- 32:00Speaker 2: really bad with how good the Raptors have been playing
- 32:02Speaker 2: on defense. But still, I mean, Kat is he's much
- 32:07Speaker 2: better than he has been playing later at least then
- 32:09Speaker 2: the box score has been showing, because last night he's
- 32:11Speaker 2: actually pretty good. From a permanent standpoint, just didn't see
- 32:14Speaker 2: a ton of minutes because the game was kind of
- 32:17Speaker 2: out of reach. They didn't really need him. Maybe they
- 32:19Speaker 2: knew that Mitch rob was going to be out for
- 32:21Speaker 2: this game. They probably did, and they're just like, let's
- 32:23Speaker 2: get him more minutes. But I mean, even in the
- 32:26Speaker 2: game against Brooklyn, like he was on his way to
- 32:27Speaker 2: a massive game, only played twenty minutes. So I kinda
- 32:32Speaker 2: like Katsnight, I think I'll they'll probably get a good
- 32:35Speaker 2: good amount of him and then yeah, just kind of
- 32:38Speaker 2: echoing your sentiment on manual Quickly Eastern Conference Player of
- 32:41Speaker 2: the Week and playing great revenge spot, good pick and
- 32:44Speaker 2: roll matchup for him. So I like that call there,
- 32:49Speaker 2: all right. Charlotte at Memphis Charlotte surprisingly one of the
- 32:54Speaker 2: hottest scenes in the NBA over the last couple of weeks.
- 32:56Speaker 2: They are they have the best point different over the
- 33:00Speaker 2: last two weeks, thinks in large parts with a few
- 33:02Speaker 2: huge blowouts. They're third in defense first, and offense been
- 33:06Speaker 2: getting it done with some really hot three point shooting
- 33:08Speaker 2: and the rebanding rebounding has been spectacular. Lusa, Diabate, Cockbran
- 33:11Speaker 2: and all those guys really contributing there. So I think
- 33:15Speaker 2: it sets up pretty well for them here matchup wise
- 33:17Speaker 2: against a team like Memphis who's a huge three point final.
- 33:20Speaker 2: All these guys should be well arrested to only played
- 33:22Speaker 2: like twenty to twenty five minutes last game in the
- 33:25Speaker 2: blowout win over Philly. This is a back to back
- 33:29Speaker 2: for Charlotte's well front end of a back to back,
- 33:31Speaker 2: So LaMelo is going to be managing one of these
- 33:33Speaker 2: two games. But these prices are really really good for
- 33:37Speaker 2: all these guys. I have a lot of interest in LaMelo,
- 33:40Speaker 2: Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges, and con on the Charlotte side.
- 33:43Speaker 2: Why lets you break it down how you see in
- 33:45Speaker 2: the Charlotte side of things.
- 33:47Speaker 3: Yeah, I continue to like Charlotte. Like Charlotte's in a
- 33:51Speaker 3: weird spot right now because, as you said, they they're
- 33:54Speaker 3: playing really good ball right now. They've been involved in
- 33:56Speaker 3: a bunch of blowouts. The games they've lost, they've gotten
- 34:00Speaker 3: blown out, So the minutes have been so wonky for
- 34:02Speaker 3: these guys. Granted some a couple of the games where
- 34:06Speaker 3: these guys have gotten full minutes, they haven't gotten there.
- 34:08Speaker 3: Namely I'm looking at you, Miles Bridges, but man sixty
- 34:11Speaker 3: three hundred for Miles Bridges here just stands out like
- 34:14Speaker 3: a sore thumb. To me, I am biased. I like
- 34:17Speaker 3: him a lot, I play him a lot, and outside
- 34:20Speaker 3: of like the past, I don't know week ten days,
- 34:23Speaker 3: like he would be an auto smash at this price point.
- 34:26Speaker 3: Now he hasn't gotten there even at this tag in
- 34:29Speaker 3: a bunch of the recent games. But I think that
- 34:31Speaker 3: can be attributed a lot to the blowout and just
- 34:33Speaker 3: lack of minutes. So I wanted to go right back
- 34:36Speaker 3: to Bridges here, Brandon Miller, Konkin Nipple. I like all
- 34:40Speaker 3: three of those guys a lot. I want to like LaMelo.
- 34:44Speaker 3: They've been really, really weird with his minutes though on
- 34:48Speaker 3: back to backs, especially like playing him, just weird amounts
- 34:51Speaker 3: in both games. We don't know what they're gonna do here.
- 34:54Speaker 3: So I think he's got upside at seventy six hundred,
- 34:58Speaker 3: but there's a real floor that or two. He is
- 35:01Speaker 3: now getting to the price point though, where the minutes
- 35:03Speaker 3: start to become less of a concern, Like he was
- 35:05Speaker 3: eighty five hundred than eight K. Now he's you know,
- 35:08Speaker 3: seventy six hundred mid seven K range. Like, clearly he's
- 35:12Speaker 3: got upside at this tag. I mean, we've seen it
- 35:14Speaker 3: a ton with him, so I like a lot of
- 35:17Speaker 3: Charlotte here. They're pretty clearly, at least so far, my
- 35:20Speaker 3: favorite team that we've talked about. I want exposure here.
- 35:24Speaker 3: It's hard for me to decipher between like con Brandon Miller,
- 35:28Speaker 3: and Miles Bridges. I like all of them at their
- 35:31Speaker 3: respective tags. And then I think LaMelo is the wild card.
- 35:34Speaker 3: How do you see it?
- 35:36Speaker 2: Yeah, with you on the LaMelo stuff. If with the
- 35:39Speaker 2: price being as low as it is, if he's starting,
- 35:43Speaker 2: he got him in there for like twenty eight minutes,
- 35:44Speaker 2: I think that's plenty of time for him to hit ceilings.
- 35:46Speaker 2: I'm with you there, But for me, I do have
- 35:49Speaker 2: a kind of a strong lean to Brandon Miller is
- 35:53Speaker 2: the number one guy for me, just a lot working
- 35:55Speaker 2: in his direction. He's been shooting the ball great as
- 35:58Speaker 2: of late last two games, says like an nine true
- 36:01Speaker 2: shooting percentage, but over the last seven games he's seen
- 36:04Speaker 2: more involvement in the offense, more usage, seventy percent true
- 36:07Speaker 2: shooting percentage, shooting forty five percent from three, which is
- 36:10Speaker 2: kind of the That's a big one for me because
- 36:12Speaker 2: I love the match for three point shooters. There was
- 36:15Speaker 2: like a time where he was taking a ton of
- 36:17Speaker 2: shots but not making them. But now he's taking a
- 36:19Speaker 2: little bit less over the last three games but making
- 36:22Speaker 2: a lot more. If you run into a game where
- 36:24Speaker 2: he's playing full minutes and taking more and making more,
- 36:27Speaker 2: I mean, he's just been more efficient scoring the ball.
- 36:28Speaker 2: I think that there's a ton of upside for him.
- 36:31Speaker 2: So he's my favorite. But then I think I have
- 36:33Speaker 2: Con slightly behind Miles Bridges. I wish these guys had
- 36:38Speaker 2: different eligibility. They're all I mean, they all this like
- 36:42Speaker 2: the right eligibility for sure, but it'd be better if
- 36:45Speaker 2: they had like shooting guards, small forward, small forward, power forward,
- 36:48Speaker 2: things like that. But I do like the spot for
- 36:50Speaker 2: Con here. Just think he's kind of the forgotten man
- 36:52Speaker 2: in the offense but still producing even not even having
- 36:54Speaker 2: that high of a usage rate. The three point percentage
- 36:58Speaker 2: has come down a little bit, but it is a
- 36:59Speaker 2: good spot for him and Brandon Miller.
- 37:01Speaker 3: Yeah, I like all those guys. I think this is
- 37:05Speaker 3: a game that I don't love the Memphis side, but
- 37:11Speaker 3: I think I like it more than the field. Also,
- 37:13Speaker 3: like they're coming off a really tough spot against Houston.
- 37:17Speaker 3: You know, at least so far. This is the best
- 37:19Speaker 3: game that we've talked about from a DFS perspective. I
- 37:23Speaker 3: don't mind running it back with like a Cam Spencer
- 37:25Speaker 3: at sixty four hundred Eccentric Coward at fifty eight hundred.
- 37:30Speaker 3: I think those would be my two favorite guys. But
- 37:32Speaker 3: but namely Spencer, I like playing him when John Morant
- 37:35Speaker 3: is out. Now he's not cheap anymore, but I still
- 37:39Speaker 3: think he can get there with upside at this price
- 37:42Speaker 3: point in a matchup that I think could be relatively
- 37:45Speaker 3: high scoring and close. So give me some lowan Cam
- 37:49Speaker 3: Spencer here.
- 37:50Speaker 2: Yeah, I was looking at him too. He's been obviously
- 37:54Speaker 2: been really good in the games that Jaws missed and
- 37:56Speaker 2: as of late been playing really well. He doesn't shoot
- 37:59Speaker 2: the ball, I think. I mean, he's a really good
- 38:02Speaker 2: He has a pretty solid offensive game, just not taking
- 38:04Speaker 2: a ton of shots. He's also ran kind of hot
- 38:07Speaker 2: with the potential assists lately's averaging fifteen potentials per game
- 38:11Speaker 2: converting twelve. That's like you don't really get that type
- 38:13Speaker 2: of conversion. So I think that there might be like
- 38:15Speaker 2: the assist numbers might be a little bit skewed, but
- 38:18Speaker 2: I agree, like I think that he would be the
- 38:19Speaker 2: guy that I prefer, just because I think that he
- 38:23Speaker 2: can get there if he does decide to get more
- 38:26Speaker 2: shots of an offense than coward two. I'm with you there.
- 38:29Speaker 2: Nice se him get up to thirty minutes last game, didn't.
- 38:32Speaker 2: I kind of thought that they had him like a
- 38:33Speaker 2: soft limit, but they never really said anything. So it's
- 38:35Speaker 2: good to see that he has that in his in
- 38:38Speaker 2: his bag. And then I'm okay with Jock. He's been
- 38:40Speaker 2: playing really well. It's not a great match up for him.
- 38:43Speaker 2: The Hornet's really good rebound on the ball, have been
- 38:45Speaker 2: playing really good basketball defend or defending the rim, so
- 38:48Speaker 2: I think that it's kind of a negative spot for him,
- 38:50Speaker 2: and he's been shooting it hyper efficient. I don't think
- 38:53Speaker 2: that's going to continue. Any thoughts in Jaron seven point
- 38:56Speaker 2: four K.
- 38:58Speaker 3: Yeah, with land out safety back, I'm good there. Like
- 39:03Speaker 3: I think there's like neat on the bone at that tag,
- 39:06Speaker 3: But I think most of the time he's just going
- 39:08Speaker 3: to be a play that gives you like thirty three
- 39:10Speaker 3: fantasy points and you're not gonna really want him.
- 39:13Speaker 2: Yeah. I saw somebody after the Houston game just kind
- 39:17Speaker 2: of point out how crazy it was that somebody that's
- 39:19Speaker 2: I don't know, like eleven years older. I don't know
- 39:21Speaker 2: how much older KD is to Jared Jackson, but he
- 39:25Speaker 2: played like like not double his minutes, but like eight
- 39:28Speaker 2: or ten more minutes than Jared Jackson did.
- 39:32Speaker 3: That's sad.
- 39:33Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely think that he might get traded, but we'll
- 39:37Speaker 2: see what happens there. Minnesota at Dallas. Anthony Edwards will
- 39:41Speaker 2: be back tonight after getting the night off. Has dealing
- 39:44Speaker 2: with some sort of foot injury that's kind of been
- 39:47Speaker 2: holding him in and out of the lineup, but he'll
- 39:49Speaker 2: be back tonight. This is a front end of a
- 39:52Speaker 2: back to back for Minnesota, I believe, and they play
- 39:54Speaker 2: Okay see tomorrow, so definitely want to get your guys
- 39:57Speaker 2: ready for that one. And then on the Dallas side,
- 40:00Speaker 2: i'd semi big injury news for sure. I mean, Cooper
- 40:02Speaker 2: Flagg been playing great in the absence of Anthony Davis.
- 40:05Speaker 2: He's questionable, was limited in practiced the other day, didn't
- 40:09Speaker 2: really do too much, and then Klay Thompson got the
- 40:11Speaker 2: downgrade earlier in the day, so I feel like he's
- 40:14Speaker 2: probably more than likely going to sit tonight. I think
- 40:17Speaker 2: this game has a chance to get a lot better
- 40:19Speaker 2: if you get the questional tags on Dallas if those
- 40:22Speaker 2: guys get ruled out. I already like Anthony Edwards a
- 40:24Speaker 2: good bit here. Just think that Dallas doesn't have the
- 40:27Speaker 2: defenders that can really stay in front of him. They've
- 40:29Speaker 2: been getting killed by guards of his archetype all season long.
- 40:32Speaker 2: So I like him and I like Gobert as my
- 40:34Speaker 2: two top options on the Minnesota side. But yeah, breakdown
- 40:38Speaker 2: to me what you're seeing from this game and from
- 40:40Speaker 2: Dallas if we do get the Q tags out for them.
- 40:44Speaker 3: Yeah, so from Dallas, I do think, like you said,
- 40:48Speaker 3: obviously a big tag that are with Cooper Flag. I
- 40:50Speaker 3: kind of lean him not playing. He was doubt for
- 40:52Speaker 3: the game over the weekend. That game got canceled, so
- 40:56Speaker 3: questionable here. Kind of lean on him not playing, which
- 40:59Speaker 3: would make everyone on Dallas look more desirable, like as is,
- 41:03Speaker 3: guys like Brandon Williams, Max Christy, like those guys look
- 41:07Speaker 3: pretty good. Someone like Brandon Williams would look a ton
- 41:10Speaker 3: better if Cooper Flag is out. So obviously, I think
- 41:14Speaker 3: this is one of the later games on the slate.
- 41:16Speaker 3: I'm not sure how many lock here after, maybe only
- 41:19Speaker 3: one or two so it's news. Hopefully we get earlier
- 41:22Speaker 3: rather than later, but just pay attention to it because
- 41:24Speaker 3: flag being out is going to make all these Dallas
- 41:27Speaker 3: guys look more desirable. And as I said with him in,
- 41:29Speaker 3: I think these guys are still in play. My favorite
- 41:32Speaker 3: guy from Dallas is Najie Marshall. Kind of reminds me
- 41:35Speaker 3: of Quickly here where he's just on a heater playing
- 41:39Speaker 3: really good ball and he's not getting ownership and his
- 41:42Speaker 3: tag isn't moving. There's a little bit of sticker socket
- 41:44Speaker 3: sixty nine hundred. But man like, I like him a
- 41:48Speaker 3: lot here. I heard you call this out yesterday. I
- 41:49Speaker 3: appreciated the shout out shooting guard small Ford eligible can
- 41:52Speaker 3: roster them at five different positions. That gives you a
- 41:55Speaker 3: lot of different flexibility, and normally with guys like that,
- 41:57Speaker 3: you see their ownership get high because you can roster
- 42:01Speaker 3: them at so many spots. Not happening with Naji Marshall here.
- 42:04Speaker 3: So I really like him as a low owned play
- 42:07Speaker 3: like not a cash game guy, but I don't play
- 42:09Speaker 3: cash games in tournaments. He's one of my favorite plays
- 42:11Speaker 3: on the slate. All the other Dallas guys get a
- 42:14Speaker 3: big bump with Cooper flag out. Why don't you break
- 42:16Speaker 3: down Minnesota?
- 42:19Speaker 2: Yeah, with you for sure on the Naji Marshall stuff
- 42:22Speaker 2: like some Max chrisy as Well shooting great over the
- 42:24Speaker 2: last four games, seventy two percent true shooting. And then
- 42:27Speaker 2: with you Brandon Williams can only get better already in
- 42:29Speaker 2: play right now? Yeh. For me, it's I like aunt Aton.
- 42:32Speaker 2: I think nine point three K is a really good
- 42:33Speaker 2: price seg for him mentioned at the top. I just
- 42:35Speaker 2: think that it's a really good spot. Just don't see
- 42:38Speaker 2: anybody in Dallas that's capable of selling him down. Got
- 42:41Speaker 2: the night off a couple of nights ago. The only
- 42:43Speaker 2: thing that worries me is the back to back. But
- 42:44Speaker 2: he's if is in, he's gonna play full minutes. I
- 42:47Speaker 2: don't really think that's too big of a factor. But
- 42:50Speaker 2: Rudy Gobert, I think is. I don't know if I
- 42:52Speaker 2: like him more than ant, but I like him a lot.
- 42:55Speaker 2: At six point four K, I feel like that's too
- 42:56Speaker 2: cheap of a price sag for how well and how
- 42:58Speaker 2: much he's playing right now. And Dallas is a team
- 43:01Speaker 2: that just gets killed on the boards, gets killed around
- 43:03Speaker 2: the basket. They will be getting Gafford, you know, getting
- 43:06Speaker 2: a little bit healthier. But it's not like Gafford is
- 43:08Speaker 2: a great defender or a great at limiting center. Production
- 43:11Speaker 2: by any means that Dallas has been one of the
- 43:14Speaker 2: worst teams at given him fantasy points all season long.
- 43:17Speaker 2: Rudy's on both sides of the DVP sheet the season
- 43:21Speaker 2: long and two weeks last two weeks. So I think
- 43:23Speaker 2: that he's the guy that kind of stands out for me,
- 43:26Speaker 2: always fine with like Randall and nas Reed. And then
- 43:30Speaker 2: I think that Bones is not He's not not in play.
- 43:34Speaker 2: There was a lot of positive coach speak from Chris
- 43:36Speaker 2: Finch after the game against Golden State, and there's a
- 43:40Speaker 2: chance that Mike Conley's just a DMP tonight and Bones
- 43:43Speaker 2: gets all those backup point guarden shooting guard minutes tonight.
- 43:47Speaker 2: So I think that they like him a lot. They
- 43:49Speaker 2: wanted to be more aggressive, so I wouldn't be opposed
- 43:51Speaker 2: to getting onto him for the like at least for
- 43:54Speaker 2: some late swap just kind of emergency stuff.
- 43:57Speaker 3: Yeah, that's also where like the game Tom could benefit
- 44:01Speaker 3: because I'm with you, like especially the first game I'm
- 44:03Speaker 3: back to back. I'm not concerned about it as much
- 44:06Speaker 3: as the second game, because you know what happened in
- 44:08Speaker 3: the first game for the second game. But and you
- 44:10Speaker 3: expect in the first game, in a close game, they're
- 44:12Speaker 3: gonna give it their all and it's gonna play full minutes.
- 44:14Speaker 3: But if the game does get a little lopsided, I
- 44:16Speaker 3: think they're more apt to pull their guy sooner, which
- 44:18Speaker 3: would make someone like Bones stand out. Go Beart or
- 44:22Speaker 3: Jared Allen here.
- 44:25Speaker 2: Yeah, that was That was kind of the one v
- 44:27Speaker 2: one that was on my mind when I saw the
- 44:29Speaker 2: Gobert play. I feel like it's got to be Jared
- 44:31Speaker 2: Allen's because you know that he's going to get the production,
- 44:34Speaker 2: like he has much less to compete with than Rudy
- 44:37Speaker 2: Gobert does. But I do like the matchup a little
- 44:40Speaker 2: bit better for Rudy. I would say that it might
- 44:42Speaker 2: be honestly, it might be better for Jared Allen now
- 44:45Speaker 2: with how bad Aiden's been. What do you what do
- 44:48Speaker 2: you think?
- 44:48Speaker 3: I think it's really close. I think ownership is going
- 44:51Speaker 3: to be pretty close. I think Allen will be higher owned,
- 44:54Speaker 3: but I think Gobert will be owned, especially coming off
- 44:56Speaker 3: a really good game. I don't have like a strong
- 44:59Speaker 3: lean I think that you can really make the case
- 45:02Speaker 3: for either of them, and at the end of the day,
- 45:03Speaker 3: I think they look really similar and project pretty damn
- 45:06Speaker 3: similarly as well.
- 45:08Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, before I jump into the last two games,
- 45:12Speaker 2: I want to take some time to ask you guys
- 45:14Speaker 2: to kindly hit the like button gut over three and
- 45:18Speaker 2: fifty guys watching right now. If any of you are
- 45:20Speaker 2: not a member and you want to become a member.
- 45:22Speaker 2: You could see at the top of the screen here
- 45:24Speaker 2: we got the code ship nineteen five days for nineteen
- 45:28Speaker 2: trying to do a better job in that because Matt
- 45:31Speaker 2: took over for that last last week, doing a little housekeeping.
- 45:34Speaker 2: But yeah, I want to shout that out there, all right,
- 45:39Speaker 2: second last game, let's say we got my Utah Jazz
- 45:41Speaker 2: welcoming in the Golden State Warriors back to back for Utah,
- 45:45Speaker 2: and injury report is fairly clean, at least from the
- 45:49Speaker 2: last I've seen. I'm not sure if they've completely filed everything,
- 45:52Speaker 2: but I did. We know some guys are going to
- 45:54Speaker 2: be out. Kevin Love is out and Laurie is off
- 45:57Speaker 2: the injury report, Kyante off the injury report. We do
- 46:00Speaker 2: have a questionable tag on Nurkicchen, Cody Williams still waiting
- 46:03Speaker 2: for them to report on those guys. For the Warriors,
- 46:06Speaker 2: they are fully healthy, obviously minus Jimmy Butler Kaminga. Those
- 46:11Speaker 2: guys will be out Jimmy dunf for the season. Obviously
- 46:13Speaker 2: Kaminga done for the next few games, but Steph will
- 46:17Speaker 2: be back, Draymond's back, Horford Danthony Melton off the injury report,
- 46:20Speaker 2: and then Gary Payton is probable. Obviously, anytime Utah is
- 46:24Speaker 2: on the slate, you want to be looking at the
- 46:27Speaker 2: opposing team. A little bit of a different situation for
- 46:30Speaker 2: Golden State because we know that Steve Kurr loves to
- 46:33Speaker 2: run an eleven man sometimes even twelve man rotation, so
- 46:37Speaker 2: it makes it a little bit more difficult. You're not
- 46:39Speaker 2: getting thirty six minutes from a stud like Stephen Curry's
- 46:43Speaker 2: price at nine K, and you're also probably not getting
- 46:46Speaker 2: anybody into the mid thirties, so it makes it a
- 46:48Speaker 2: little bit tougher. But all these guys are obviously really
- 46:51Speaker 2: strong plays at these price tags in this good of
- 46:54Speaker 2: a matchup. So I'll kick it over to you first,
- 46:58Speaker 2: what are you prioritizing on the the Warrior's side, And
- 47:01Speaker 2: then if you wanted to talk on the Jazz after
- 47:03Speaker 2: that then be my guests.
- 47:05Speaker 3: Yeah, man, so much ownership coming into the Warriors here,
- 47:09Speaker 3: Like I get it. Horford forty three hundred, he's too cheap.
- 47:15Speaker 3: Curry even with like the lack of big time, and
- 47:18Speaker 3: it's still probably too cheap at nine K, Draymond fifty
- 47:22Speaker 3: five hundred, probably a little bit too cheap. The main
- 47:26Speaker 3: three guys, those are them right there. Then you're starting
- 47:29Speaker 3: to get into like the d Anthony Mountains of the world.
- 47:31Speaker 3: He's also getting ownership, Like on this big of a slate.
- 47:37Speaker 3: I understand the ownership for all these guys, like I
- 47:40Speaker 3: make sense each one individually. But I don't think there's
- 47:43Speaker 3: any one guy here that I'm afraid to fade. Al
- 47:47Speaker 3: Horford looks like the best points per dollar guy here,
- 47:51Speaker 3: but it's Al Horford forty three hundred. It's not like
- 47:54Speaker 3: he's free. So yeah, play him if you want, but
- 47:57Speaker 3: I don't think you have to play him in tournaments.
- 48:00Speaker 3: I feel the same about Curry at nine k. Certainly
- 48:01Speaker 3: there's guys in his price range that can beat him.
- 48:04Speaker 3: Draymond hasn't gotten there in weeks, even at this price point,
- 48:07Speaker 3: So yeah, I understand the ownership here, but man, on
- 48:11Speaker 3: this big of a slate, I kind of like the
- 48:13Speaker 3: idea of getting away from it. There are tons of ways,
- 48:16Speaker 3: or this game just gets wonky and no one gets there.
- 48:20Speaker 3: I certainly see the outcome is where everyone gets there,
- 48:22Speaker 3: but ownership is already there in a big, big way here.
- 48:26Speaker 3: So I really don't like that, especially with other games
- 48:29Speaker 3: that I think are desirable. Now, a lot of the
- 48:31Speaker 3: games we talked about you don't love, but there were
- 48:34Speaker 3: some diamonds in the rough there, and you might have
- 48:37Speaker 3: to get a little bit comfortable with being uncomfortable fading
- 48:40Speaker 3: some guys from this game. But I'm fine doing that
- 48:42Speaker 3: because I don't want to be loading up on Chalk
- 48:46Speaker 3: Warriors here. Given everything that we know, which is what
- 48:49Speaker 3: you broke down, it's Steve Kerr. They're going to run
- 48:51Speaker 3: a big rotation. No one here is going to play
- 48:53Speaker 3: big minutes. They're probably gonna go with the hot hand
- 48:56Speaker 3: approach for a lot of these rotation guys. So it's
- 49:00Speaker 3: flimsy chalk and it's big chalk. So in tournaments, especially
- 49:05Speaker 3: like tonight where we've got that two twenty two, three
- 49:07Speaker 3: thousand person tournament instead of like a seven seven seven,
- 49:11Speaker 3: five hundred person tournament. I think you gotta think a
- 49:14Speaker 3: little bit more outside the box, which I'm willing to do.
- 49:18Speaker 3: From the Utah side, they don't look as good as
- 49:20Speaker 3: the Golden State guy as the Golden State side does.
- 49:23Speaker 3: But Kiante is always going to be in play for
- 49:26Speaker 3: me as a low spend up option. He's just been really,
- 49:29Speaker 3: really freaking good this year. And then Nurkic. I like
- 49:32Speaker 3: Nurkic if he plays. If he's out, I think the
- 49:35Speaker 3: trickle down effect we see Philip Houks can be come
- 49:37Speaker 3: in play. But if nurk is in, I think he
- 49:40Speaker 3: is a really really intriguing contrarian option at seven to eight.
- 49:45Speaker 3: And I think if you're playing someone like nirk I'm
- 49:49Speaker 3: cool with playing more of the Golden State chalk because
- 49:52Speaker 3: you're running it back with a really low owned guy
- 49:54Speaker 3: with upside.
- 49:55Speaker 2: YEP, that's exactly what I was going to lead off
- 49:57Speaker 2: with three straight triple doubles for Nurkic, by the way,
- 50:01Speaker 2: he's the I think he might have like the most
- 50:03Speaker 2: triple doubles in jazz history now. If not, he's only
- 50:08Speaker 2: he's the only one that's done it three times in
- 50:09Speaker 2: a Row I know that for sure, but I believe
- 50:11Speaker 2: he marriviag has probably more than three. But yeah, I
- 50:15Speaker 2: agree with you there. I feel like if you're playing NRK,
- 50:17Speaker 2: if you're playing Kiante, if you're playing Lori, you're betting
- 50:20Speaker 2: on the game environment doing well, so it does make
- 50:22Speaker 2: sense to pair them up. I would think that Steph
- 50:25Speaker 2: is probably the easiest guy to click on because if
- 50:27Speaker 2: you're getting full minutes from Steph, he's gonna smash. Like
- 50:29Speaker 2: if if I'm if you told me Steph was playing
- 50:32Speaker 2: thirty four minutes an I in a close game, like
- 50:34Speaker 2: I might project him from fifty five to sixty points,
- 50:37Speaker 2: Like I don't see a way a world where he
- 50:38Speaker 2: doesn't go off in this matchup. But then like the
- 50:42Speaker 2: main guys that would play closer in a blowout would
- 50:44Speaker 2: be like Pods, Draymond Melton, and then you can get
- 50:47Speaker 2: away from some of the other guys like Horford, I
- 50:50Speaker 2: would think. But I agree with you, like it's never
- 50:53Speaker 2: never comfortable playing the Warriors Chalk. I feel like you
- 50:57Speaker 2: can probably come into the sleigh with a little bit
- 50:59Speaker 2: of rules to limit how much shot you're getting, especially
- 51:01Speaker 2: in that two twenty two, Like you said, the rules
- 51:04Speaker 2: that I would say is like if one of nurkic
- 51:07Speaker 2: KIATR Lorii, then at least one of or maybe even
- 51:11Speaker 2: two of like Steph POD's Draymond Melton, and then for
- 51:14Speaker 2: the Warriors groupings, you could say Max one of Melton
- 51:18Speaker 2: and Pods Max one of Draymond and Horford. I know
- 51:22Speaker 2: that they'll probably start alongside of each other, but I
- 51:24Speaker 2: feel like they're gonna be competing for rebounds and assists
- 51:27Speaker 2: ats together, So I would be Max one of those
- 51:28Speaker 2: two guys, and then I think that's probably it like
- 51:32Speaker 2: it would. I don't think you're gonna really get too
- 51:34Speaker 2: deep into the bench guys like Guisanto's post or Buddy Heild,
- 51:38Speaker 2: who I do think Buddyhild is another guy that's kind
- 51:40Speaker 2: of that should be in play, just a really good
- 51:42Speaker 2: matchup for three point shooters. I'm not not exiting him out,
- 51:46Speaker 2: but yeah, I think this this game definitely has upside,
- 51:49Speaker 2: obviously highest over under on the slate, but there are
- 51:52Speaker 2: ways that the Warriors shock could go wrong.
- 51:54Speaker 3: Yeah, it's more like there's certainly a lot of risk
- 51:57Speaker 3: in fading you know, guys from this game, but it's
- 51:59Speaker 3: more just like the ownership is already there. And as
- 52:02Speaker 3: we've talked about a bunch me and you, at least
- 52:05Speaker 3: like we've seen ownership, like the projections, especially like guys
- 52:10Speaker 3: that are projected to be really popular are only that
- 52:12Speaker 3: much more popular and smaller field stuff. Yeah, and like
- 52:16Speaker 3: even though it's you know, the two twenty two has
- 52:18Speaker 3: more people than like the whatever, Sky five five or whatever,
- 52:21Speaker 3: it's still a smaller field tournament. So it's still going
- 52:24Speaker 3: to have much higher ownership on these guys. So that's
- 52:27Speaker 3: the real reason to get away from it.
- 52:30Speaker 2: Yeah, people play it as if it's a lot smaller
- 52:32Speaker 2: than it actually is too, So that would be right,
- 52:35Speaker 2: you'd be you gotta be okay leaning into a little
- 52:37Speaker 2: bit of that's a great point. Yeah, all right. Last
- 52:41Speaker 2: game on the slate, uh sant Antonio Spurs Houston Rockets.
- 52:44Speaker 2: This is a rematch from a few few days ago.
- 52:47Speaker 2: I believe this team's played last week or at least
- 52:49Speaker 2: a week before that. But yeah, this is the lowest
- 52:53Speaker 2: total on the slate. Makes sense too defensive minded teams,
- 52:57Speaker 2: so it's not really that surprising, but they're there is
- 53:00Speaker 2: obviously a lot of star power in here. You got
- 53:01Speaker 2: wemby Castle Fox on one side, Segoon, durant Im and Thompson.
- 53:06Speaker 2: So there's definitely ways that we get some really high
- 53:09Speaker 2: fantasy scores from these guys. Feels a little bit less
- 53:12Speaker 2: likely than some of these other games. But ownership is
- 53:14Speaker 2: going to be extremely low here. If you see nobody
- 53:16Speaker 2: even getting double digit ownership Tar East and only one
- 53:20Speaker 2: near at nine percent. I mean, I'm always interested in Wemby.
- 53:24Speaker 2: It seems now like the minutes limit for him is
- 53:27Speaker 2: starting to come off. Obviously, had an awful game against
- 53:29Speaker 2: the Rockets last time they faced. They had a really
- 53:31Speaker 2: good game plan for him. We're putting some smaller guys
- 53:34Speaker 2: on him. He went five for twenty one from the field,
- 53:36Speaker 2: but it's Wemby like he's matchup proof. I feel like
- 53:39Speaker 2: they'll obviously try to get him more involved early and
- 53:43Speaker 2: change up the matchup for him a little bit. So
- 53:44Speaker 2: I feel like he's the best option probably in this game,
- 53:48Speaker 2: if not on the Spurs side itself. So I like
- 53:53Speaker 2: him the most, but I'm okay with Castle. I think
- 53:56Speaker 2: I like Castle more than Fox. Here should see a
- 53:59Speaker 2: week of defender. Thompson will be on Darren Fox, so
- 54:01Speaker 2: it's gonna be Jabari Smith on Castle, who's not obviously
- 54:04Speaker 2: not bad, but Castle can fill the stats sheet. Houston
- 54:07Speaker 2: Rim defense has been a lot worse. He just was
- 54:09Speaker 2: really inefficient scoring the ball last game against the against
- 54:12Speaker 2: the Rockets, so I like him as the second option.
- 54:16Speaker 2: That's probably where I cut it off. Though. Last time
- 54:18Speaker 2: I talked about I believe it was it might have
- 54:20Speaker 2: been last Wednesday. We talked about the or at least
- 54:23Speaker 2: I talked about Champagne being a bad play and his ownership,
- 54:26Speaker 2: and he went for eight threes or whatever it was
- 54:28Speaker 2: against team that doesn't give up any threes. Yeah, any
- 54:32Speaker 2: any thoughts on the on the store side now?
- 54:35Speaker 3: Was it was actually last Tuesday? And then we chuckled
- 54:37Speaker 3: about it before the show last Wednesday, because I remember
- 54:40Speaker 3: I happened to catch it like the show right at
- 54:41Speaker 3: that moment, and I was like, God, like, what are
- 54:44Speaker 3: the odds this dude good? It's like ten threes and
- 54:46Speaker 3: the worst matchup possible. But of course I don't love
- 54:51Speaker 3: this game from a fantasy perspective. What does stand out
- 54:53Speaker 3: is what you mentioned, a lot of star power here,
- 54:55Speaker 3: so like Wemby always going to be in play, especially
- 54:58Speaker 3: with the minutes ticking up, like he's not going to
- 55:01Speaker 3: be owned also, which is intriguing. I think that on
- 55:04Speaker 3: this particular slate, like he's not going to be a
- 55:07Speaker 3: priority for me, but I understand why anyone would want
- 55:10Speaker 3: to prioritize him, especially a low ownership. I like Shangoon
- 55:13Speaker 3: on the other side, Boombus spot for him. He's coming
- 55:17Speaker 3: off a really good game here. I just love the
- 55:20Speaker 3: price tag and the positionality he has with still being
- 55:23Speaker 3: powerfulward eligible. He's had some spike games in this spot too. Obviously,
- 55:28Speaker 3: they've played a bunch and he's got some performances that
- 55:32Speaker 3: you wouldn't want at this price tag, but he's also
- 55:34Speaker 3: got a couple that could win you a slate, So
- 55:37Speaker 3: he's also kind of match up proof because he's his
- 55:39Speaker 3: own entity Sun Goon, He's going to be a guy
- 55:42Speaker 3: I like on every state he's gonna get no ownership,
- 55:44Speaker 3: and that's going to be the case tonight. And then
- 55:46Speaker 3: I wanted to ask you about Reed Shepard. I was
- 55:49Speaker 3: high on him last slate. I didn't end up seeing
- 55:51Speaker 3: what happened any idea why he only played fifteen minutes,
- 55:55Speaker 3: obviously far from the norm from what he had been playing.
- 55:59Speaker 2: It just seemed like he was shooting the ball terribly
- 56:01Speaker 2: and not doing enough on defense. So it's kind of
- 56:04Speaker 2: if you're shooting bad and you're also him, Yeah, exactly,
- 56:07Speaker 2: like he's over seven from three two for eleven from
- 56:10Speaker 2: the field, like he was getting clean looks. He was
- 56:12Speaker 2: watching the game, but it just it just they seemed
- 56:15Speaker 2: like they wanted to go. I think it was even
- 56:18Speaker 2: who was seeing miss Oh Kogie I believe finished or
- 56:21Speaker 2: started or sorry closed over him and Tari Easton. I
- 56:24Speaker 2: think even who else was mixing there, Jashon Tate I
- 56:29Speaker 2: believe mixed in for a little bit. So yeah, it
- 56:30Speaker 2: was just kind of a bad runout for Rechephard. But
- 56:33Speaker 2: he was kind of the hero in the game the
- 56:34Speaker 2: last time the teams faced off, so obviously it's a
- 56:38Speaker 2: high variance guy like Rea Sheepherd. You probably could keep
- 56:42Speaker 2: him in your player pool, but he's getting a little
- 56:43Speaker 2: bit of ownership too, So I'm.
- 56:45Speaker 3: Yeah, like he's someone I would love at like no ownership,
- 56:49Speaker 3: but at ownership, I have no interest. Just there's so
- 56:51Speaker 3: much downside there, we just thought, and like he's not
- 56:55Speaker 3: free either, so I think they're certainly upside there. And
- 56:58Speaker 3: again if he falls through the cracks and he ends
- 57:01Speaker 3: up being like two or three percent on then I'll
- 57:03Speaker 3: definitely want some of him. We just don't won't know
- 57:05Speaker 3: that before the slate Yep.
- 57:08Speaker 2: I agree with you on Seng Gun though, he's probably
- 57:10Speaker 2: the top option in Houston. Like you said, there's been
- 57:13Speaker 2: these teams to face off a ton in the same
- 57:15Speaker 2: division or conference, I believe. I don't know if that's
- 57:19Speaker 2: that's true. I don't really I don't think conferences really
- 57:21Speaker 2: even matter. But he's averaging fifty or went over fifty
- 57:26Speaker 2: d K points twice against the Spurs' season, averaging just
- 57:28Speaker 2: under forty seven against Wemby. But he does have like
- 57:31Speaker 2: an eighty plus point performance against Wemby in his game locks,
- 57:35Speaker 2: So definitely upside still there. Like this could easily be
- 57:40Speaker 2: a game that stays really close and is surprising high scoring.
- 57:44Speaker 2: But I think the more likely outcome is that it
- 57:46Speaker 2: is it is lower scoring. But I don't mind Katie
- 57:50Speaker 2: or Tari. Either matchup's gonna be a little bit better
- 57:52Speaker 2: for those guys than it will be for Seng Gooon. Obviously,
- 57:54Speaker 2: Wemby gonna be on Sangoon KD probably seeing Harrison Barnes
- 57:58Speaker 2: and KELDN Johnson and then Tari, Like it could be
- 58:01Speaker 2: Darren Fox on him. I just don't know who they're
- 58:03Speaker 2: gonna start with if Tarri is in the starting lineup, Like,
- 58:06Speaker 2: I don't think they're gonna They're definitely not putting some
- 58:08Speaker 2: fun castle on him. Maybe Champagne. I feel like Champagne
- 58:12Speaker 2: probably makes more sense on Jabari Smith, So it's probably
- 58:14Speaker 2: gonna be Darren Fox on Tory Easton. I feel like
- 58:17Speaker 2: that's a pretty pretty good matchup considering tars is gonna
- 58:20Speaker 2: be crashing the basket, so I think that he's pretty solid.
- 58:26Speaker 3: Yeah, I like that call. I think that's a good
- 58:28Speaker 3: like because he's not gonna get ownership either. One other
- 58:30Speaker 3: thing I wanted to call out about Sangoon here, like
- 58:33Speaker 3: especially I think Shangoon gives you a good out from
- 58:36Speaker 3: Curry here, Like, if you like your line up, just
- 58:40Speaker 3: you know you've got guys that have snowflakes or whatever,
- 58:43Speaker 3: you have Curry at the utility, make sure you have
- 58:45Speaker 3: another couple of hundred because Curry is gonna be really popular.
- 58:48Speaker 3: And if you get off him for Sandoon and Curry
- 58:51Speaker 3: happens to bus like that could be enough to get
- 58:53Speaker 3: you cashing. You know what I'm saying, so it gives
- 58:55Speaker 3: you a little bit of an out at the same
- 58:56Speaker 3: price point.
- 58:58Speaker 2: Yep, good shout there. Yeah, I mean definitely a game
- 59:02Speaker 2: you could get into. Don't need to force it. But
- 59:04Speaker 2: there's obviously a lot of a lot of star power
- 59:06Speaker 2: in this one for sure. All right, that is all
- 59:10Speaker 2: nine games. Got four hundred of you watching now, So
- 59:14Speaker 2: just ask you kindly one more time, please hit the
- 59:16Speaker 2: like bund helps us out a ton so we can
- 59:18Speaker 2: continue doing these free shows for you guys every single week. Matt,
- 59:23Speaker 2: any close thoughts here a great show. Has always loved
- 59:26Speaker 2: doing this stuff with you. But yeah, any any close
- 59:28Speaker 2: thoughts before this pick slate?
- 59:30Speaker 3: No closing thoughts, but wanted to ask you favorite low
- 59:33Speaker 3: on play on the slate because there's a lot of
- 59:36Speaker 3: them tonight.
- 59:38Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely. I haven't had enough time to think about it.
- 59:45Speaker 3: But yeah, my bad to put you on the spot
- 59:47Speaker 3: like that.
- 59:48Speaker 2: No, it's all good. If you If you got a guy,
- 59:49Speaker 2: then please do the.
- 59:51Speaker 3: I got two guys that I'm happy you asked two guys.
- 59:54Speaker 3: We talked about him earlier. I like the run back
- 59:56Speaker 3: here towns and quickly Yeah.
- 1:00:00Speaker 2: Yeah, you're gonna get really low ownership on that pairing,
- 1:00:02Speaker 2: I think quickly, it's not even projected for a single
- 1:00:06Speaker 2: percentage right now, and then Kat only gonna be four percent,
- 1:00:09Speaker 2: usually becoming really low on these slids. I like that call. Yeah,
- 1:00:15Speaker 2: I think for me it's I mean, I don't I
- 1:00:19Speaker 2: don't know if Brandon Miller does come in coming at
- 1:00:21Speaker 2: this price or at this ownership thirteen percent if it
- 1:00:24Speaker 2: could be lower. But I like him a lot. I
- 1:00:26Speaker 2: think that this is a really really good matchup for him.
- 1:00:28Speaker 2: So he's kind of the guy that I'm honing in on.
- 1:00:30Speaker 2: But I also think Nurkic if he plays like just
- 1:00:33Speaker 2: ride the hot hand, if he's gonna be loaned.
- 1:00:35Speaker 3: Yeah, I love the nerd call. I love the ner call.
- 1:00:37Speaker 3: And that's Charlotte Memphis game, and I think it is
- 1:00:39Speaker 3: my favorite, like low O game stack or game of
- 1:00:41Speaker 3: the night.
- 1:00:42Speaker 2: Yeah, any bets. I don't know what Steph Curry's three
- 1:00:47Speaker 2: point line is, but that would be one I'd be
- 1:00:49Speaker 2: I'd be laddering all the way up to eight. Probably.
- 1:00:51Speaker 2: I think that's that's the only one. I really they
- 1:00:53Speaker 2: really sit up for me. He's averaging six may threes
- 1:00:55Speaker 2: against the Jazz this season, and that was the game
- 1:00:59Speaker 2: where he barely played like thirty minutes. And so if
- 1:01:01Speaker 2: you if we get a random game where the jazz
- 1:01:03Speaker 2: keep a close thirty four minutes like Steph could go
- 1:01:05Speaker 2: for ten plus, Oh yeah, that's gonna do it. Appreciate
- 1:01:10Speaker 2: all you guys tuning in. We're able to get this
- 1:01:12Speaker 2: done in ample time, just over an hour. But yeah,
- 1:01:14Speaker 2: we'll see you guys. I'll be back tomorrow with title
- 1:01:17Speaker 2: Matt back on Friday with Ham. Good luck tonight, everyone,
- 1:01:20Speaker 2: Let's catch you later.
- 1:02:01Speaker 3: Sad and Man still mothered, b Mons, sped Most and
- 1:02:08Speaker 3: Mother and
- 1:02:12Speaker 1: Most set and the spreads and the speed and the
- 1:02:25Speaker 1: spank