Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 274 - 5/8/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:18Hello, and welcome to episode 274 of the All Systems Go sports
- 0:25Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:28I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
- 0:37Happy Thirsty Thursday. Our work week rolls on almost to
- 0:41Friday, almost to the weekend, and we got a lot going on in the
- 0:45sports betting world. We got a lot going on in the
- 0:47world in general. Did you guys see that?
- 0:49We have a brand new Pope, Cardinal Robert Prevost, who
- 0:54will go by Pope Leo the what, 14th, 13th?
- 0:58Sometimes I screw up my Roman numerals, but we have a Pope who
- 1:01was a massive upset. I don't know if anyone paid
- 1:03attention to some of the betting odds really just as offshore as
- 1:06posting those odds because again, can't really bet on
- 1:09political or world events at most, you know, accredited
- 1:12licensed US books. But anyway, I noticed that
- 1:15Mister Prevost Pope Leo the again, I think it's the 14th, he
- 1:19was +5000 at one of the offshore books to become the next Pope.
- 1:23So massive upset here. But again, I was, I was writing
- 1:26my sharp report for visen.com. I was getting ready for the pod
- 1:29and I was waiting on watching the news, seeing who would be.
- 1:32And we do have a new Pope. So shout out to Mr. Robert
- 1:35Prevost, the first American Pope ever.
- 1:37I believe he's from Chicago. He went to Villanova.
- 1:40So who knows, maybe, maybe we got AUS Pope who's interested in
- 1:44sports and I don't know if he's placing bets, but hey, a Chicago
- 1:48guy who went to went to Villanova.
- 1:50So Congrats to to Mr. Prevost, Cash and Bigley +55000 as the
- 1:55next Pope. Now looking toward today, guys,
- 1:58we do have another big slate, or actually I should say smaller
- 2:01than usual slate with Major League Baseball only nine games
- 2:04overall. I do have some day sweats that
- 2:06I'm focused on right now, but I found 3 plays here for tonight.
- 2:09As always, 3 pack. Let's try to go 2 and 1 eke out
- 2:12a winning day. That is the goal.
- 2:14Now looking toward last night, man, reading the market
- 2:17correctly, we're just getting no breaks here guys. 1 and 3 -,
- 2:212.23 units. We did have a nice hit with the
- 2:24Red Sox to start off the night. Cubs let us down, though, and
- 2:27then it was really the Jays and the Panthers.
- 2:30That really was frustrating last night because the Jays, if you
- 2:35were watching that game, was on MLB Network.
- 2:37So I went from stat tracking to watching it.
- 2:39They were up four to two, bottom of the ninth.
- 2:42Bring in Jeff Hoffman, who was a big free agent signing guys,
- 2:45actually pretty good reliever historically.
- 2:47He promptly gives up three runs and blows the save and the Jays
- 2:51lose 5:00 to 4:00. So that was a kick in the, you
- 2:53know what, blowing a four to two lead in the bottom of the ninth.
- 2:56And then the one that really frustrated me was the Panthers.
- 2:59Panthers in the NHL Stanley Cup playoffs.
- 3:02Did you guys see the closing line value?
- 3:04We got on the Panthers, got them at -140 they closed at -160 so
- 3:09$0.20 of CLV. Again, reading the market, doing
- 3:13our part as betters. Panthers letting us down on the
- 3:15ice. They lose again to the Toronto
- 3:18Maple Leafs. And then don't even get me
- 3:19started on the Celtics again. I thought there was value to
- 3:22buying low on the -300 boy, was I wrong about that because the
- 3:26Celtics continue to completely crumble and implode down the
- 3:29stretch. I believe it's the first time
- 3:31ever in the postseason that a team has coughed up to 20 point
- 3:35leads, you know, third, fourth quarter in a game and lost both
- 3:39games. So it's now tight.
- 3:41It's now 2, nothing New York going back to New York.
- 3:44I did notice the series price is now basically a pick em or plus
- 3:47100 Celtics. So hey, if you think they can
- 3:49come back, not a bad buy. Low point.
- 3:52I'm going to probably ride and die with my -300 that I thought
- 3:55was pretty good value. But obviously it wasn't because
- 3:57you know what? Jason Tatum cannot come through
- 4:01in these spots. And also Joe Missoula, again,
- 4:03this is me kind of whining as a Celtics fan, but I cannot stand
- 4:06Joe Missoula. He's a, he's a jerk and
- 4:09postseason there in the press conferences.
- 4:12And how do you not call a timeout right before that final
- 4:15play? You have 12.7 seconds left.
- 4:17Call a timeout, draw up a play instead, no time out right down
- 4:22the lane again, Tatum can't even get a shot off.
- 4:25And after the game, Missoula, who will never admit like, oh, I
- 4:28did something like what's wrong with admitting you did something
- 4:30wrong? Or you know, maybe should have
- 4:31done things differently. Instead he says, oh, the play
- 4:34worked at the play before where Tatum went coast to coast and
- 4:37dunked. So he did it literally the same
- 4:39exact time. Well, number one, that's lazy.
- 4:41Why are you calling the same exact play?
- 4:43I get that it worked the first time, but why not drop something
- 4:46else? And then also, if it worked the
- 4:48first time, don't you think the Knicks might have been thinking
- 4:50about the same play the next time?
- 4:52Thibodeau is a great defensive minded coach.
- 4:54Anyway. Celtics are frustrating to me
- 4:56because they got all the talent in the world, but they don't
- 4:59have the killer instinct. And again, maybe they'll come
- 5:01back in and win the series and win another title, but it is
- 5:04frustrating here as a Celtics fan in Boston.
- 5:07So what are you going to do anyway?
- 5:09Series prices like Celtics plus 100.
- 5:11But I did notice they had some line movement.
- 5:13This is going to be a couple days off on Saturday.
- 5:16Actually, my buddy's throwing a cookout.
- 5:18So we're all going to get together and watch that game at
- 5:20my at my friend's house. But they open -4 -, 4 1/2.
- 5:24They're up to 5 1/2. So the line is moving toward the
- 5:26Celtics to hopefully get back on track.
- 5:29But anyway, guys, again, not the greatest night.
- 5:32Last night, beating closing lines teams, blowing it for us.
- 5:35That's sports betting. Got to have thick skin, got to
- 5:37stick with it. We're going to continue making
- 5:39data-driven plays and hopefully we'll get some breaks and some
- 5:41CLV that turns into some wins here for today.
- 5:45So that being said, let's get right back to some Major League
- 5:48Baseball. I'm once again taking a night
- 5:51off of the NBA postseason. Didn't see much for tonight's
- 5:53game. No Steph Curry, obviously, I was
- 5:56thinking of possibly a prop bet but didn't want to force it.
- 5:59And I did notice a big line move.
- 6:01If you know, you know what I'm talking about.
- 6:02NHL tonight, same exact spot as the Florida Panthers.
- 6:06So I'm hoping that team wins, but I didn't play him because
- 6:08again, I feel like I got no touch in the NHL right now.
- 6:12So let's stick with what is making us some money this year.
- 6:14That is the Major League Baseball slate.
- 6:17So first, but on the board for me, 3 pack.
- 6:19Let's try to again get at least two of them, Philadelphia and
- 6:22the Tampa Bay Rays. 7:05 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, let's
- 6:26set the stage. Talk some line movement and I'll
- 6:28give you my play for this one. So the Phillies come in 21 and
- 6:3115 on the year. We've taken the first two games
- 6:33of this three-game interleague series.
- 6:35They won the opener 8 to 4 as a -. 130 Rd. favorite.
- 6:39They won again yesterday, 7 to nothing as a -, 165 Rd.
- 6:42favorite. So for tonight's series finale,
- 6:45we have the Phillies going with the lefty, hey, Zeus Lizardo.
- 6:48He's been great three and O 1.94 ERA.
- 6:51Meanwhile, the Rays, who are 16 and 20 on the year, they're
- 6:53going to go with the righty Ryan Pepio, who's two and four, the
- 6:574.23 ERA. Now, what do we see across the
- 7:00market? Well, nothing but steam on the
- 7:03Phillies. Give me the fills here, guys.
- 7:04This game open Philly listed around a -, 125 -, 130 Rd.
- 7:08favorite Tampa Bay around a + 110 home dog.
- 7:11And we've seen the steam really kind of Jack up the Philly price
- 7:16from -130 now up to -145 some shops even as high as -150 now.
- 7:21I jumped on Philly -145 a little bit earlier today, which you can
- 7:26always get those plays early and immediately on the Juice Reel
- 7:28app, but they are now the best price -148 I believe at Bet MGM.
- 7:33Again, other books closer to -150 but aside from that, steam,
- 7:37pretty good bet splits on the fills at DraftKings, 80% of
- 7:41money line bets in dollars on the Philadelphia Phillies.
- 7:44And then at Circa, this one kind of jumped out to me, only about
- 7:4760% of bets, but more than 70% of the money on the fills.
- 7:51So some good low bets, higher dollar splits there on
- 7:53Philadelphia. Then we have a bunch of system
- 7:56matches on Philly. 6 system matches for me are lighting up
- 7:59on the Phills. The first one that caught my eye
- 8:01is interleague favorites. Just a lack of familiarity
- 8:04benefiting quote UN quote the better team who was expected to
- 8:06win the game. But interleague favorites this
- 8:08year are 95 and 5862 percent, 5% ROI.
- 8:13Favorites who made the playoffs the previous year, 179 and 164
- 8:17percent, 4% ROI. And then kind of a combination
- 8:20of a few systems, but favorites with line movement in their
- 8:23direction who also made the playoffs the previous year.
- 8:26That's 128 and 6168 percent, 9% ROI.
- 8:31Then we get to the bats. Hopefully Philly's bats continue
- 8:33to show up this series. Remember, this is not in the the
- 8:36Trop indoors. This is outside at Steinbrenner
- 8:38Field. Philly does have the better
- 8:40offense. They're hitting 259 this year,
- 8:4238 homers, 174 runs scored. Meanwhile, Tampa only hitting
- 8:47239 on the year, 29 homers and 135 runs scored.
- 8:52In particular, Philly's going up against the righty Pepio today.
- 8:55They're hitting 257 against righties.
- 8:57That's the fifth best in baseball.
- 8:59Rays going up against Lizardo, A southpaw.
- 9:01They're only hitting $1.82 against lefties, that's second
- 9:04worst. And Major League Baseball, Look
- 9:07at the Rays, also only 9 and 15 at home this season.
- 9:10Again, can't really blame them. They're playing in a replacement
- 9:12ballpark. But they are tied for the fifth
- 9:14worst home record in baseball. So hopefully no home homecourt
- 9:17advantage here or home home field advantage, I should say,
- 9:21for Tampa. Then in particular, if you dig
- 9:23into these pictures a little bit more, Lizardo has a 1.59 ERA on
- 9:27the road this year. Pepio has a 4.82 ERA at home.
- 9:31So we've seen Philly take the 1st 2:00.
- 9:33I'm going to bank on the Phills hopefully sweep in the series.
- 9:37Good steam in their favor. Bunch of system matches, bet
- 9:40splits, better bats. Not much of A home home field
- 9:43advantage for Tampa. So I laid it with Philly guys.
- 9:46Let's see if the Phills can start our day off with a win.
- 9:49I got them at -145 again -148 looks to be your best price
- 9:53right now. Next one for you. 7:15 PM
- 9:56Eastern Time, the Red legs visiting the Atlanta Braves.
- 10:01So this is the final game of a four-game set we have seen.
- 10:04The Braves were 17 and 19. They took the first two games of
- 10:08this series. If you look at what they've
- 10:12done, they won the first game for nothing as a - 135 home
- 10:16favorite. They won again 2 to one as a -,
- 10:18220 home favorite. But then you did see the Reds
- 10:20who are 19 and 19 on the year. They bounce back with A4 four to
- 10:24three win yesterday, cashed as a run a + 105 Rd. dog.
- 10:28So in the series finale tonight, we have the Reds going with Nick
- 10:31Lodolo, the lefty. He's three and three, 3.27 ERA.
- 10:35Mean all the Braves are going with the righty Spencer
- 10:38Schwellenbach. He's one and three with a 3.92
- 10:41ERA. So what have you seen across the
- 10:43market? Well, boy, when you look in the
- 10:45dictionary, you're going to see the word steam and a picture of
- 10:47the Braves today, because it's been nothing but massive
- 10:50movement in favor of the Braves. Braves open this game around
- 10:53-165 we've not seen the Braves get but up all the way to -200
- 10:58So on the one hand, you're like, oh, that's not good.
- 11:00It's, you know, I got to pay more juice.
- 11:02It's a more expensive price. But on the other hand, you say,
- 11:05wow, nothing but steam, nothing but sharp action, no buyback
- 11:09whatsoever. So it kind of gets you a little
- 11:10bit excited. Now the bet splits look pretty
- 11:12good on Atlanta, 69% of money line bets, 70% of money line
- 11:16dollars at DraftKings at Circa, this one really jumped out to
- 11:19me, 57% of money line bets and 99% of money line dollars.
- 11:25Really overwhelming split. They're out in Vegas.
- 11:28We do have quite a few bet systems here.
- 11:30I have 10 systems lit up on Atlanta home favorites off a
- 11:34loss that bounce back system. 86 and 49 this year. 64 percent, 6%
- 11:39ROI. Favorites with line movement in
- 11:41their direction who made the playoffs the previous year. 128
- 11:44and 6168% with a 9% ROI. Big favorites -200 or more.
- 11:51Remember we talked about this the other day with the Dodgers
- 11:53where, hey, it's a big number, but they tend to win these
- 11:55games. They are 66 and 1879% with an
- 12:0011% ROI of low 500 play favorite playing an opponent who missed
- 12:05the playoffs the previous year, 86 and 47 on the season, 65%
- 12:11with a 7% ROI. So a lot of system matches here
- 12:14lighting up on on the Braves. Braves also have that
- 12:17correlative betting value play again, big line move here toward
- 12:20the favorite Atlanta also, we've seen this total stay pretty
- 12:24stagnant around 8. So fair amount of expected runs
- 12:27scored more likely to come from quote UN quote that better team.
- 12:31And then you also have that non division favorite value, once
- 12:33again, lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN quote the
- 12:36better team. So that's lighting up here on
- 12:38the Braves. Atlanta, by the way, they're
- 12:40hitting 262 at home this year. That's the 7th best in baseball.
- 12:44If you flip it the actually if you look at the Braves in
- 12:48particular at home, they're 11 and 6.
- 12:51Doesn't hurt that we do have a 10% sharp mush edge in favor of
- 12:55the Braves in the juicer lap. So 10% more of the sharper
- 12:58winning betters who have downloaded Rhythm or sorry,
- 13:01downloaded Juice Reel, which you should too, and synced up their
- 13:04books. They're leaning toward the
- 13:05Braves as well. So big line move.
- 13:07You had me at the steam again. It's a large number.
- 13:11You can still get -198 Again, just try to get anything below
- 13:14-200 If not, 200 is probably your best price.
- 13:18But let's see if we can get the Braves to come through in
- 13:20Atlanta. Got the Braves -198 last bed of
- 13:24the night, 9:38 PM Eastern Time. I called this the revenge play.
- 13:28I cannot believe Toronto blew it for last night.
- 13:30That's that's one of the worst. The four to two lead good closer
- 13:34comes in. You blow it like that, that's
- 13:36just pathetic. Anyway, let's look at Toronto in
- 13:40LA again. This is let's see.
- 13:44Let me just pull up this game for you.
- 13:47We have the Jays coming in 16 and 20, the Angels 15 and 20.
- 13:52About similar here, but we have seen the Angels take the first
- 13:55two games of the series. So we have the Angels winning
- 13:58eight to three and then 5:00 to 4:00 last night.
- 14:00Don't remind me. But now for tonight's pitching
- 14:03match up, we have Chris Bassett going for Toronto.
- 14:06He's two and two with a 2.95 ERA.
- 14:09He'll be opposed by the ready Jose Soriano.
- 14:11He's two and four with a 3.83 ERA.
- 14:14What have we seen across the market?
- 14:16A lot of movement here going toward Toronto, so maybe the
- 14:20sharps are are kind of saying, hey, even though we got our
- 14:22hearts broken last night, let's see if we can get a winner
- 14:24tonight. Toronto open this game as low as
- 14:27a -, 115 -, 120 Rd. favorite. We've now seen Toronto get
- 14:31steamed up to around -130 some shops even as high as -135 S
- 14:36Some good movement there in favor of the Jays.
- 14:38Tells me a lot of smart money laying it for the Jays to
- 14:42hopefully avoid the sweep here. You get to the splits look
- 14:44pretty good on Toronto at DraftKings, 72% of money line
- 14:48bets 80% of money line dollars on the Jays and at circa 75%
- 14:53bets 83% dollars on the Jays. So lighting up there on Toronto,
- 14:58do have some system matches on the Jays favorites off a loss
- 15:02141 and 87 this year, 62 percent, 4% ROI blow 500
- 15:08favorite playing an opponent who missed the playoffs 86 and 4765%
- 15:13with a 7% ROI. And I have another system
- 15:15favorite looking to avoid the sweep, which is about a 66%
- 15:19system this season as well. So all lighting up here on
- 15:23Toronto, we do have the Jays as a non division favorite.
- 15:27So lack of familiarity, hopefully benefiting the better
- 15:29team and not blowing it in the bullpen tonight.
- 15:32If you dig into Soriano a little bit more on the road, he's been
- 15:35good 2.49 ERA, but at home 6.14 ERA.
- 15:39So hopefully the the bats of Toronto can get to Soriano.
- 15:43If you look at the bullpen as well, Jays are you know, nothing
- 15:47to write home about 4.33 ERA. But you have the Angels, one of
- 15:52the worst, actually the second worst bullpen in baseball, 7
- 15:55point O 1 ERA. Also with two righties on the
- 15:59bump. How do these teams fair against
- 16:01righties? Well, Toronto's been better 237
- 16:03average versus only 222 for the Angels.
- 16:07So even though they broke our hearts last night, they owe US1
- 16:10tonight. They're sharp.
- 16:11We got good bet splits, good system matches.
- 16:13Let's see if the Jays can give us a winner again after ripping
- 16:17our heart out and dancing to the beat last night.
- 16:19I'm on Toronto, I got them at -130 should still be available
- 16:23at FanDuel. So Philly, Atlanta and Toronto.
- 16:26Let's try to get two out of those and eek out a winning day.
- 16:30So that about does it for episode 274 of the All Systems
- 16:33Go Sports Betting podcast, Powered by Rhythm, Of course.
- 16:36This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up, and I
- 16:39start first by saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
- 16:42out of your day, out of your busy lives, to pull up a chair
- 16:45to the virtual bar and sweat some sharp, data-driven
- 16:47breakdowns with me. We're reading the market, guys.
- 16:50We're just getting some unlucky breaks.
- 16:52We're not getting any breaks at all.
- 16:53How about that? What's worse?
- 16:55Would you rather bet a game with great CLV and lose, or would you
- 16:59rather have a 4-2 lead in the bottom of the ninth and lose?
- 17:02I think you'd probably prefer neither.
- 17:04I don't know which one's worse. To me it was maybe that that
- 17:07Jays one just blowing it like that.
- 17:09But anyway, sticking to the model, sticking to the
- 17:11blueprint. If you do enjoy this pod, if you
- 17:14find it insightful, if maybe you tail or fade or pick and choose
- 17:19or just listen and want to get some breakdowns.
- 17:21Hey, if you value the pod, that means a lot to me.
- 17:24If that's the case, could you please do me a solid give it a
- 17:26five star review. Whether you're listening on
- 17:29Spotify or iTunes should be located right there for you.
- 17:33If you also want to leave a nice comment in the review section or
- 17:35recommend it to a friend or click the follow button.
- 17:38That way you get alerted as soon as it drops each day.
- 17:40That will be fantastic as well. Next, if you enjoy the style of
- 17:45betting, breakdown, again, we don't go into a day saying, oh,
- 17:47I want to bet this team or that team.
- 17:49No, every day we come in with a clean slate, no favoritism, let
- 17:53the market speak to us, tell us where we can again
- 17:56simultaneously bet against the public, be with the sharps and
- 17:59hopefully have some good system matches.
- 18:01But if this style of betting has made you pretty interested in
- 18:04learning more about data-driven betting, or maybe you have a
- 18:06friend or a colleague or somebody who maybe wants to get
- 18:09into betting and doesn't know how it works or bets and loses a
- 18:12lot and has no philosophy, you know what you should do.
- 18:15You should go to Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to
- 18:19Sports betting. It's the first book I ever
- 18:21wrote. I put everything I knew into
- 18:22that book and it's got everything I've learned in the
- 18:25industry, how lines are set, how and why they move, how to read
- 18:28line movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet
- 18:30in person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
- 18:34a bankroll management plan, all included in the everything guide
- 18:37to sports betting. So pick up a copy of the
- 18:39everything guide and while you're at it and you're still on
- 18:41Amazon, type in the NFL sharp betting playbook.
- 18:44It's my new book. It comes out on August 12th
- 18:46actually got I'm probably going to tweet it today at Josh under
- 18:50score insights. But I got the design of the
- 18:52cover, so the front and the back of it.
- 18:54It looks just amazing. But if you want to pre-order a
- 18:57copy, make me happy, make my publishers happy.
- 19:00That would really mean a lot as well.
- 19:02And you'll bring the everything guide in the NFL sharp betting
- 19:04playbook to the sports book and I'll sign them for you.
- 19:07I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale.
- 19:09We'll sweat some games together next.
- 19:12Have you downloaded rhythm and juice real yet?
- 19:14Well, if you haven't, what are you waiting for?
- 19:16My two favorite sports betting apps on the market because
- 19:18they're all about data and more information, the more reliable
- 19:23insights we can get in terms of numbers and not emotion, it's
- 19:26only going to be a benefit to us.
- 19:28So first you got to download rhythm for the great AI backed
- 19:31models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 19:33And then you're going to download Juice Reel.
- 19:36Juice Reel is where you can support the pod as I hold out my
- 19:39hat, the tip jar. This pods free if you want to
- 19:41let me know you appreciate the pod or you feel like I'm giving
- 19:44you at least $4.99 worth of insights each day.
- 19:48Basically each pod is is a dollar.
- 19:50If you think that's worth it, which I hope it is pretty
- 19:53confident that it is. But if that's the case and you
- 19:55want to support the pod, please sign up for the all systems go
- 19:58best bet pics. You can just click the buy sell
- 20:01tab at the bottom right corner of the app and you can search
- 20:04ASG under score podcast Sign up for 99 a week.
- 20:09You'll be off and running. But aside from that, you're also
- 20:11going to have the Robo Jackson best bet pics, which are the
- 20:13official Juice real best bets. And then you're also going to
- 20:16get the sharp mush indicators, arbitrage plays, shop for the
- 20:20best line futures you can, sync up your sports books and get a
- 20:23running report card of reaction and get real dollar breakdowns
- 20:26on every game. Spread money line in total based
- 20:29on everyone who has synced their books and placed real money down
- 20:32on these games. So download rhythm, download
- 20:34Juice reel, give them a five star view in the App Store while
- 20:37you're at it. Next, do you have a live odds
- 20:40page? Hey, if you don't, you need one.
- 20:43You got to know if you're going to be a data-driven better.
- 20:45You got to know number one, what are the sports in action today?
- 20:48What which games are available to bet on?
- 20:50The most obvious question. And then you got to know all the
- 20:53lines. What did it open at?
- 20:54How is it moved? Look at the line history again,
- 20:57shop for the best line, get the best number.
- 20:59Follow the books that you bet at, but not just the books you
- 21:01bet at, but the sharp market setting books that are the first
- 21:04to move. And you can kind of see a domino
- 21:06effect like once pinnacle and circle move, then you're going
- 21:09to see the rest of the market move once they start to move.
- 21:12You could though, then, you know, get down on the game at a
- 21:14slow moving book that maybe you bet at as kind of like an alarm
- 21:18bell, like a 2 minute warning, like, hey, you got less than two
- 21:20minutes, you know, you see or you see, for example, you know,
- 21:25if you look at like where is it? I think it was it was Saint
- 21:29Louis. Like this is a play that I made
- 21:31earlier in the day yesterday. If anyone read the sharp report
- 21:34or followed the all systems go best bets.
- 21:36But that was an early game before the pod started.
- 21:38I saw Saint Louis hover around -160 all morning and then they
- 21:42immediately shot up at Pinnacle to -175 so I said, oh, we got
- 21:47some movement here. Tells me big market setting book
- 21:49is taking big action. So if you could jump on a book
- 21:51that was still hanging the 165 before it got adjusted, boom,
- 21:55you were able to use the live odds page to your advantage.
- 21:57So in order to do all these things, you need a live odds
- 21:59page and you got to give a shot to odds logic.
- 22:02It's the best one around. All you got to do is go to
- 22:05oddslogic.com/josh 123. Make sure you do the slash Josh
- 22:10123 at the end. Once you do that, you'll get a 7
- 22:13day free trial and then you'll get 50% off your first month and
- 22:16then you'll be off and running. So that about does it guys.
- 22:19Episode 274 of the ASG pod. Again, we're beating closing
- 22:23lines. We're getting bad breaks.
- 22:25This is the part of betting where you just got to grind
- 22:27through it. Keep keep grinding through it
- 22:29guys, until we post our our next winning day.
- 22:32But as always, finish up the pot.
- 22:34I'll leave you the couple things.
- 22:35One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
- 22:38River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
- 22:40Foxwoods or Mohegan Sundown in Connecticut, at the Encore in
- 22:44Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield or the
- 22:47Nash and my neck of the woods around Boston.
- 22:51Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
- 22:53down. Or Billy Walter sends his number
- 22:55runners where the lowest juice possible is found at the South
- 22:57Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
- 22:59plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
- 23:02When you catch a big ticket at Circa, wherever it may be,
- 23:04you're going to walk up to me. Show me Red Sox ticket.
- 23:08Maybe you played the car Cardinals earlier in the day.
- 23:11Whatever you do, Jays pathetic, pathetic blown save and the
- 23:15Panthers man CLV for days. And you, you come up short
- 23:18against the Leafs. What a backup goalie and come
- 23:20on, man. But anyway, guys, we keep
- 23:23grinding. First one's on me, next one's on
- 23:24you. We'll sweat some games tonight
- 23:26at the book as always, guys. One and three, three and one,
- 23:30four and OO and four, two and two again, up, down, hot, cold,
- 23:34somewhere in the middle. We always continue to grind and
- 23:37never stray away from the model because you got to stick to this
- 23:41model in order to be successful. You can't just pick and choose
- 23:43when you follow line moves or oh, I agree with this line move,
- 23:46so I'll play it or oh, that line move doesn't make sense.
- 23:48I disagree. So I'm going to layoff or go the
- 23:50other way. No, we got to stick with it.
- 23:52That's the whole point of the data-driven approach.
- 23:54You're not going to see a result one night or, you know, two
- 23:57nights. It's a it's a long term strategy
- 24:00and mentality that you got to stick with.
- 24:02So with that being said, guys, again, we got to stick to the
- 24:05model, stick to the blueprint and you guys might know it by
- 24:07now. I say it every day, but I, I, I
- 24:10say it not to annoy you, but to kind of instill it hammer at
- 24:12home. We're looking for games that fit
- 24:14our model against the public with the house, with the pros
- 24:17flat bet, avoid parlays, get that CLV.
- 24:20If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors
- 24:22long term. So enjoy your Thursday night,
- 24:25everyone. Reminder, I will be on live bet
- 24:28tonight on SiriusXM with my buddy Patrick Maher and my buddy
- 24:32Dustin Swedel since we'll see you at 8 O clock if you want to
- 24:34tune in rather than that, guys, we'll be right back at it
- 24:37tomorrow for a big Friday edition.
- 24:39That'll be episode 275 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting
- 24:43podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
- 24:46great thirsty Thursday night.