Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NHL Quick Hit | December 19, 2023 | DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Skaters, Goalies and Stacks
Transcript
- 0:05All systems gone clear, you lift up what's going on YouTube? Welcome to
- 0:38the December nineteenth Tuesday NHL breakdown for the eleven games slate tonight on FanDuel and
- 0:45DraftKings, brought you by shipping nation dot com. If you are not a
- 0:48member, head over to ship nation dot com. Use promo code mail get
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- 0:58We had eleven games on tap tonight. Pretty good slate overall. I'm gonna
- 1:02talk through it. Got a seven total in Edmonton and New York obviously a
- 1:04bunch of six and a half totals, and then one five and a half
- 1:07total there in Minnesota and Boston. We'll talk about that a little bit,
- 1:11and then, as I always talk, my favorite stacks, talk some value
- 1:15plays at each position, so I have some favorite goalies. But as always,
- 1:18all my final content slate playing core plays will be live for ship at
- 1:22Nation subscribers over on ship at nation dot com. They'll further ado. Let's
- 1:26jump right into tonight's slate here. Let's start with the chalk of the slate
- 1:30here, Kings minus two sixty rowd favorites facing San Jose. We know the
- 1:34deal with San Jose here, best matchup on the board for DFST purposes.
- 1:41Give up a ton of goals here. Kings coming off of three to two
- 1:45win last game against Seattle three nights ago in Seattle where they right at the
- 1:52ship after a three game losing streak there. I like them to keep the
- 1:55momentum rolling here. Really like the second line here tonight for the Kings.
- 1:59Kevin Fiala, Philip Deno, and Trevor Moore really like that second line overall
- 2:04for the Kings. Prefer the second line to the top line here tonight,
- 2:07but I do think you can obviously play the top line a Scopeitar Buyfield in
- 2:10Adrian Camp really like this power play matchup as well. So Kings six meth
- 2:19road power play in the league. At home ice, the Sharks killoff just
- 2:23seventy five percent of their penalties. They give up the third most penalties against
- 2:27in the league per game as well. So if you really want to uh
- 2:30to go in on the Kings, Adrian Camp, Copeitar, Kevin Fiala,
- 2:34Drew Dowdy and Quentin Buyfield is that top power play unit? All great plays
- 2:38Byfield four point six k Drew Doughty continues to be way too cheap here gets
- 2:43the best matchup on the slate against the Men, So Drew Doughty four point
- 2:47ak one of the best demon plays on the slate. So Kings obviously chalkolate
- 2:51the slate for a good reason. Get a great match up here on the
- 2:54road against San Jose. Another team I have interest in here is is the
- 3:00Coyotes on home ice here against Ottawa. Ottawa is not the same team on
- 3:05the road. Overall, they are the second best road scoring team in the
- 3:07league, but they give up a ton of goals on the road. Arizona
- 3:10on home ice is giving up almost two point two goals against per game on
- 3:15average. Here expected goals is very good. They limit high danger chances.
- 3:20They're very good defensive hockey team on home ice overall. They've won two straight
- 3:24both shutouts here. Really like Arizona here on home ice against Ottawa. I
- 3:30prefer the Arizona side of this game. It is a six and a half
- 3:32total. It's basically pick them as Vegas has it right now, give me
- 3:36this Arizona Coyotes here. Clayton Keller, Schmaltz Kerfoot. All those guys have
- 3:40great price points. Nick Schmaltz is back five k flat, should play eighteen
- 3:44to twenty one minutes somewhere in that ballpark. Clayton Keller six point one K.
- 3:47His price is finally down, very reasonably priced there. Logan Cooley is
- 3:53a value play three point nine K on that top par play unit. I
- 3:55think is fine. JJ Moser top line top power play three point nine one
- 4:00of the best values on the slate. Odawa is bottom third in the league
- 4:02against Demn so I really like that. Kerk Foot three point five K one
- 4:06of the best values on the slate here in my opinion at three point five
- 4:10K. Really like that. And then that second line continues to play pretty
- 4:14solid hockey right Makeli Buchstad and lost in Kraus So like the top two lions
- 4:18for Arizona here, think they go overlooked. And I like Arizona to win
- 4:21this game as another late night hammer against the Senators here who are traveling to
- 4:27town. Another team I like quite a bit here is not the Oilers who
- 4:31are on the road heading into New York here, it's actually the other flip
- 4:34retrospect. I like the Islanders here a little bit on home ice plus one
- 4:40twenty home dogs here in this one. They're coming off back to back losses
- 4:45here, but I do like them to win here. Edmonton obviously won this
- 4:49game earlier this season back a couple of nights ago or last month, excuse
- 4:54me, November thirteenth, right four to one in Edmonton. I think that
- 4:57flips here tonight. I like the Islanders to win this game overall. Islanders
- 5:03last game was on the sixteenth here, had a couple of nights off after
- 5:06losing back to back to Boston to Montreal, two games where they were offensively
- 5:12there, but defensively they were not there. Obviously, draw a pretty tough
- 5:15task here with Connor McDavid Dryan's sidel hymen and the boys coming to town.
- 5:20But I do like these guys. Bull Horvatt continues to be favorably priced,
- 5:26Matthew Barzol anders Lee all continue to be cheap. And then the second line
- 5:30Brock Nelson is on an absolute heater right now. Really like him at six
- 5:32point three k He's got two cheap linemates, and Kyle Palmiri and Ngvill Paumirie
- 5:36correlates with him on that top power play unit as well, so New York
- 5:41won on New York two. Really like them both here. I prefer them
- 5:44to the Edmonton side in this game. It is a seventh total. I
- 5:47expect gals to be both ways, and I expect the ownership to go to
- 5:50the Edmondson tide. So I really like the Islanders in this spot here tonight.
- 5:56Another team I'm looking at here is Buffalo at home against Columbus. Columbus
- 6:01UH Bleeds goes to everywhere here. Rasmus Dollen six point one K for him
- 6:08great, great Demon play gets the second best matchup in all of the NHL,
- 6:12behind Demon against San Jose, which we already talked about. Six point
- 6:16one K for him. He could get away with Dollen and Dowdy pairing.
- 6:20They could both get you twenty plus DraftKings points six point one K and then
- 6:25Dowdy's sub five K there, So good plays there. J J. Peterca
- 6:30four point eight K continue to be pretty cheap, averaging nearly four shots and
- 6:32goal per game over to the last five. He's a second liner, top
- 6:36power play unit. His two linemates Midstat and Cousins have solid price points,
- 6:42but this top line with Alex Tuck, Zach Benson and Taje Thompson here seven
- 6:46point three K for Thompson. He's not been good since he's returned back from
- 6:50the IR. But if there's any spot to break out here, it's against
- 6:55uh Columbus, where they ranked dead last in the league against centers. Thompson
- 6:59has smashed Columbus. Last year he put up seventy where he shot or scored
- 7:02five goals. Last year. He's got six goals in two games last season
- 7:08against this Columbus squad. I like the Buns back spot for Taje Thompson here,
- 7:11even as a one off you can use him really like that. Dylan
- 7:15Cousins gets the same matchup right at four point three K second line or second
- 7:17power play. He's fine. Casey middlestat four point three K that second line
- 7:23overall with Cousins Casey middle stat in Patterca is overall super cheap. Here get
- 7:28great matchups, so Buffalo obviously great plays here on home ice against Columbus,
- 7:31who bleed goals on the road. Last team I'm gonna look at here is
- 7:36Tampa. Tampa in this game at home against Saint Louis. Great great spot
- 7:42here. Nikita Koutrov one of the best value or no value excuse me,
- 7:46one of the best spend ups on the entire slate nine point five K.
- 7:48I prefer him to McDavid. I prefer him to try and side off for
- 7:51him to posterknock some of the top end guys that Ranton and McKinnon, some
- 7:57of the top end guys that are people are going to go to. Really
- 8:00like Kutroov here Stamkos has been playing great hockey six point eight K. If
- 8:05you can't get all the way up to Kutarov six point eight K for Stammer,
- 8:09who's almost three thousand dollars cheaper than and then Kutrov gets the same matchup
- 8:13against Saint Louis here top power play unit as well. So I like that
- 8:18Brandon Hagel's got a fair price point. Anthony Sirelli at two K flat,
- 8:20I'll touch on him once we get to value plays. Skate next to Hago
- 8:24and stamcoast here against Saint Louis. I like that Nicholas Paul top line top
- 8:31power play at sub four K. I'll touch on that as a value play.
- 8:35He's averaging over twenty minutes over the last twenty minutes per game over the
- 8:37last five, averaging over two shots and go per game. He's one of
- 8:41the best value centers on the entire state, especially Skate next to bradon Point
- 8:45and Nikko Kutrov. So Tampa's gonna round out my five favorite, fifth favorite
- 8:48stack on the slate some of other teams that are Obviously you're going to get
- 8:52a ton of ownership here at Colorado. I'm super chalky here. I'm gonna
- 8:54be underweight on Colorado, just taking a stance Blackhawks. Underlying metrics have been
- 9:00said on home ice here. Obviously Colorado very very offensive powerhouse, but over
- 9:05the last ten games on the road, they're the twenty fifth best scoring offense
- 9:09in the league, seventeenth best offense in terms of expected goals. So I'm
- 9:13gonna be underweight on that chalk. The chalk I much rather go to is
- 9:18the Kings in a much better spot, So I'm gonna be underweight on that,
- 9:20and then underweight on the Bruins as well, who should pick up some
- 9:24ownership here at home against Minnesota, Minnesota's numbers have turned around. They've figured
- 9:28it out defensively. They just struggle offensively, which obviously we saw a bunch
- 9:33last year so underweight on the Bruins, underweight on the Avs, overweight on
- 9:37the Kings in terms of the chalk and then obviously the other stacks that I
- 9:41did bring up I have a ton of interest in as well, jumping into
- 9:45some value plays. Best value play on the slate here, in my opinion,
- 9:48is Nicholas Paul from the center position again brought it up top line top
- 9:52power play against Saint Louis here who ranked bottom half the league in terms of
- 9:58matchups against centers. Top line top power play with two great line mates in
- 10:01a solid matchup here. Due like Nicholas Paul quite a bit at three point
- 10:05eight K, Another guy, Morgan Frost here Philly, I think is a
- 10:09little bit sneaky on the slate against New Jersey Jersey at home, but their
- 10:13home numbers in terms of defense, they've been allowing goals. Morgan Frost three
- 10:18point seven K, getting second line top power play unit. He's playing fifteen
- 10:20to seventeen minutes. He's averaging over three shots and go per game. He's
- 10:24been playing pretty solid hockey as of late. Three point seven K. I
- 10:26think he's a fine value play. Going back to my favorite chalk stack of
- 10:31the night is going to be Peer Luke de Bois here for the La Kings
- 10:37on the road third line. He's skating next to Lafrenier and Kaleev, getting
- 10:43power play time fourteen to sixteen minutes expected. Pere Luke dea Bois here,
- 10:46pretty solid hockey player overall. I like him at three point seven K.
- 10:50And then the last value center I will bring up on the slate is going
- 10:52to be Kevin Hayes here on the other side of Tampa. Again, Tampa
- 10:56can be scored on. He's a third liner playing fifteen to seventeen minutes.
- 11:01He's averaging over three shots and go per game, getting power play time.
- 11:05Jake Nabors and Tropachenko are his two linemates here. Kevin Hayes three point three
- 11:09K I think is fine. He's coming off a pretty solid week of hockey.
- 11:13Ten eleven, three, twenty two to three and twenty are his game
- 11:16logs over the last six games. I think you can go back to well
- 11:20with him at three point three K. Here, Tampa ranks twenty second in
- 11:22the league against centers as well. Jumping into some value wings on the slate,
- 11:28first guy I will bring out from the chalk of the slate, We're
- 11:31gonna be Miles Wood here. If I'm going to the Avs, it's gonna
- 11:35be these cheap Avs, like guys like Roth's, Colton, Jonathan Drow and
- 11:37Miles Wood. That second line preferred if I go to them. So Miles
- 11:41Wood at three point four K, I think he's fine. He's playing thirteen
- 11:45to fifteen minutes only, but when he's out there, he's active two point
- 11:48averaging two and a half shots and go per game over the last five averaging
- 11:52nearly nine DraftKings points per game over that stretch as well. So at three
- 11:56point four k in a great match up here against Chicago, I think he's
- 11:58fine. Really like Peer Ngvall here talked about like in the Islanders on the
- 12:03other side of this Edmonton game seven total three k flat for pure Angvall skating
- 12:07next to Brock Nelson and Kyle Palmier. That second line is absolutely in frouego
- 12:11right now for the Islanders, Peer Angvall three k flat, five hundred dollars
- 12:15over min price. I like him quite a bit here tonight. Another value
- 12:18Colton Sissons for Nashville on home ice here getting top park play time He's got
- 12:22great success against Vancouver. He scored a goal in both their games this year
- 12:28back in October to start the year. Three point nine K for him.
- 12:31I do like that. Get in top park play time here on home ice,
- 12:35so Colton scissions. And then the last value wing I will bring up
- 12:39is going back to Arizona here. Third liner at home here, Jason Zucker.
- 12:43This guy's averaging over two shots and go per game playing over seventeen minutes
- 12:48was pretty solid for his three point six K price points. So Jason Zucker.
- 12:50Gonna round out my value wings on the slate. Jump into some value
- 12:56d men here, some four K demon. First guy Connor Murphy here should
- 13:00be able to block a ton of shots against Colorado. Colorado should be firing
- 13:03the puck at Ton. He's got a pretty solid four blocking shots. He's
- 13:05shooting the puck when he's out there, hasn't scored under eight Draft Kings points
- 13:09in the last eight games, So I do like Connor Murphy quite a bit
- 13:13at three point six K. He's my favorite value demon on the slate.
- 13:16Another value demon you can go to is Mattias Samuelson here for Buffalo. Top
- 13:20liner against Columbus again, gets the second best matchup on the slate, demon
- 13:24against Columbus here ten nine seven DraftKings points his last three he's playing twenty two
- 13:30to twenty four minutes. Minutes in this matchup lead to fantasy production. So
- 13:35I do think he's fine at three point four K. I like him.
- 13:39JJ Moser for Arizona top line, top power play three point nine K in
- 13:43a matchup against Ottawa. I do like that. JJ Moser solid play here,
- 13:46he's playing over twenty one minutes as well. Do like that. And
- 13:50then the last guy I'll bring up is Mike Riley for the Islanders. Here,
- 13:54he's playing nineteen to twenty one minutes. He's averaging over two and a
- 13:58half shots on go per game over the last five three point eight K for
- 14:01him. You can also go to a guy like Alex Romanov here for New
- 14:07York Islanders as well, who's been very good at three point seven K.
- 14:09So pair of Islanders d man in this matchup against Edmonton, I do like
- 14:15it as well. In terms of goalies on the slate, a very interesting
- 14:20goalie play here is ilis are Rocan here. Like I said, I like
- 14:26the Islanders in this spot against Edmonton. I think Edmonton's gonna draw all the
- 14:30ownership. So Rocan, who's been very good. Even in that game where
- 14:33he let up four or three goals against Edmonton earlier this year, he still
- 14:37scored nine DraftKings points. Now he's at home here, I could see him
- 14:41see Islanders, like I said, stealing this game, him getting you that
- 14:45thirty five save in a win, which would be huge at his seven point
- 14:48four K price point. So GPPs definitely gonna take a shot or two on
- 14:52islists are Rocan here. Cam Talbot's going to be the chalk of the slate
- 14:56in terms of goalies eighty four hundred for him against the Sharks. King should
- 15:00win this game, he'll probably be twenty to thirty percent. Ownership, Do
- 15:03have interest in him if you're spinning up at eight point four k, Cam
- 15:07Talbot another goalie here on home ice. Is you sorrows versus Vancouver here,
- 15:13tough matchup, but the upside is there in terms of saves twenty six,
- 15:18thirteen, twenty five, thirty one, twenty eight, seventeen. He's won
- 15:22six straight games as well here, back to back home wins against Philly.
- 15:26In Washington, he beat Tampa five to one at Home picked up three road
- 15:31wins in there as well, so seven point six k for sorrows with how
- 15:33he's playing right now and seeing the puck. In terms of goalies, I
- 15:37do like that quite a bit. And then the last guy I will bring
- 15:39up here is Connor Ingram seven point ak. Another sub ak goalie on the
- 15:45slate. I like Arizona. I like a home goalie that's eight K or
- 15:48sub eight K here. Connor Ingram, who's been been pretty solid. Even
- 15:52in that loss against Pittsburgh, he still put up twenty one DraftKings points where
- 15:56he give up three goals. So Arizona gives up a ton of shots.
- 15:58Ottawa should be firing the pluck. Connor Ingram can pick up a lot of
- 16:02saves here. I do like that. That's gonna do it for this edition
- 16:06of the NHL Quick Hit Again, as always, all my final content,
- 16:08slave planning core plays will be live ship a Nation dot com. If you
- 16:11are not a member, head over shipping nation dot com click on join now
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- 16:19in the industry as well. But good luck tonight in your contest. Hope
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