Latest / The Chuck ToddCast / Chuck’s Commentary - The Strait of Hormuz: Iran's Weapon Trump Didn't See Coming + FCC Chair Declare War On Press Freedom
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- 0:00Speaker 1: This episode of the Chuck Todcast is brought to you
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- 1:51Speaker 1: their Happy Monday, and welcome to another episode of the
- 1:54Speaker 1: Chuck Podcast. I'm actually personally pretty excited about today because
- 2:01Speaker 1: tonight I'm going to my first ever WBC World Baseball
- 2:06Speaker 1: Classic game down in Miami. I'm very excited about this,
- 2:09Speaker 1: going to go see Venezuela versus Italy. I'll be honest,
- 2:15Speaker 1: I was when I bought these tickets. I was hoping
- 2:18Speaker 1: for two of the following three teams to be playing
- 2:21Speaker 1: each other. TV USA Dominican Republic Team Japan. I miss
- 2:26Speaker 1: missed out on the tickets for Team I thought I
- 2:30Speaker 1: was buying the right ones for Team USA, but not
- 2:33Speaker 1: being the one seed out of their pool put them
- 2:36Speaker 1: in the other bracket. You know, be careful gaming these things.
- 2:39Speaker 1: Obviously getting to both semi finals should have been the goal,
- 2:43Speaker 1: but hey, we all have logistical challenges here. But this
- 2:46Speaker 1: is something my son really wanted to do. And I thought, hey,
- 2:49Speaker 1: what a great excuse. He's on his spring break. He's
- 2:52Speaker 1: been hanging out down in Florida, because it isn't that
- 2:54Speaker 1: what you do in spring break. But this is a
- 2:57Speaker 1: good way for me to parachute in as a parent
- 3:00Speaker 1: have a fun little bothering son. But I'll be honest
- 3:04Speaker 1: with you, I am ecstatic. I wanted one of the
- 3:08Speaker 1: following three teams to see in Miami. I wanted to
- 3:12Speaker 1: see either the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, or Venezuela, and
- 3:15Speaker 1: I'm going to get Venezuela. I just the excitement in
- 3:18Speaker 1: the community and it is such a reminder about what
- 3:22Speaker 1: baseball should be in South Florida. And we've a as
- 3:26Speaker 1: a South Florida Native front and a huge baseball fan.
- 3:32Speaker 1: My frustration. It's just a series of horrendous owners, and
- 3:36Speaker 1: it's a multiple of horrendous owners. You've probably heard me
- 3:38Speaker 1: go off on this rant. But when you see the
- 3:40Speaker 1: turnout and excitement for the WBC in Miami, we've seen it.
- 3:45Speaker 1: We saw it three years ago. Again, we see it now.
- 3:47Speaker 1: There's really you know, it's it's electric. This is what
- 3:52Speaker 1: a really well run baseball franchise in Miami could do.
- 3:56Speaker 1: We just haven't had a well run one. It is
- 3:59Speaker 1: just frustrating, and this is only highlights the frustration with
- 4:05Speaker 1: Major League Baseball in general and Commissioner Manfred. Your challenge
- 4:08Speaker 1: is to improve the ownerships. Right, the owners collectively suck
- 4:13Speaker 1: in baseball. They suck anyway. I know I've got a
- 4:17Speaker 1: lot more to say about this, and at some point
- 4:19Speaker 1: I'm going to really ran about this when they try
- 4:20Speaker 1: to loot cost us a season after baseball's like been
- 4:24Speaker 1: on this incredible positive trajectory. But see, look, I'm getting
- 4:28Speaker 1: myself all worked up and I'm just excited about seeing
- 4:34Speaker 1: I do something that I've never been able to witness
- 4:37Speaker 1: in person. In Miami. I nearly sold out Marlin's Park
- 4:41Speaker 1: to watch a baseball game, so anyway, that is just
- 4:46Speaker 1: thought I would share that little anecdote. I know we've
- 4:48Speaker 1: got a lot of NCAA talk. I'm going to have
- 4:50Speaker 1: a little bit of that at the end of the podcast.
- 4:52Speaker 1: Let me lay out what to expect today. On this episode,
- 5:00Speaker 1: we've we've we've drawn the inside straight and that is
- 5:02Speaker 1: not a good thing in this war. We're going to
- 5:04Speaker 1: talk all things straight of war moves and how this
- 5:07Speaker 1: choke point could choke off whatever positives that the President
- 5:12Speaker 1: was hoping to get out of starting this war with Iran.
- 5:16Speaker 1: I got a fun little time machine and I just
- 5:18Speaker 1: got a simple hint for you about the topic time
- 5:23Speaker 1: Tom keeps on ticking ticking anyway, Sorry, just revealed my
- 5:27Speaker 1: gen X rock and roll roots there, but time that's
- 5:31Speaker 1: your clue. And like I said, I have a little
- 5:33Speaker 1: bit of a few thoughts on the NCAA's pretty much
- 5:38Speaker 1: we're coming up with. You know, we just finished the
- 5:42Speaker 1: first of three fantastic weeks when it comes to college basketball,
- 5:47Speaker 1: and we just wrapped up an incredible week. I've had
- 5:50Speaker 1: a blast. There's nothing like working during the day and
- 5:53Speaker 1: having muted basketball games on the TV during the afternoon.
- 5:57Speaker 1: I am going to miss that Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday
- 6:00Speaker 1: of next week, but we get a brief taste of
- 6:02Speaker 1: that again Thursday and Friday. But let's dig in to
- 6:08Speaker 1: the war because at this point, as much as you
- 6:11Speaker 1: could say there are other things going on in American politics,
- 6:13Speaker 1: there are other things going on in the world, but
- 6:16Speaker 1: there really is. There is really only one story right
- 6:19Speaker 1: now before everything else, because this story is going to
- 6:23Speaker 1: has tentacles for everything, for the mid terms, for the economy,
- 6:28Speaker 1: for the global political order, you know, for the weekend's
- 6:33Speaker 1: developments just strengthened Russia in ways that I don't think
- 6:36Speaker 1: any of us expected even with this administration. So needless
- 6:40Speaker 1: to say, we are at an important pivot point here
- 6:45Speaker 1: in this war. Two weeks in and the biggest story
- 6:48Speaker 1: is no longer the bombing campaign itself, because militarily this
- 6:52Speaker 1: has been a route, but militarily so is the Iraq
- 6:56Speaker 1: war a route. Militarily at times, so is the nam
- 7:00Speaker 1: a route. Militarily at times, it looked like the Russians
- 7:05Speaker 1: are going to route the Ukrainians. But the minute you
- 7:07Speaker 1: can make the war asymmetrical, when you can start to
- 7:11Speaker 1: use the bigness against your as an overmatched opponent against
- 7:18Speaker 1: the entity that supposedly is overmatching you. That's when you
- 7:22Speaker 1: run into massive problems. And we are at potentially one
- 7:26Speaker 1: of those points because we have a narrow strip of water.
- 7:29Speaker 1: It's about twenty one miles wide. It's called the Strait
- 7:32Speaker 1: of Hormuz, and it is now the single most important
- 7:36Speaker 1: waterway in the world. The Strait is where Donald Trump's
- 7:39Speaker 1: theory of this war is colliding with reality. This war
- 7:43Speaker 1: was supposed to be fast, right, It's going to be easy.
- 7:46Speaker 1: The Iranians were going to fold like that, right, it
- 7:50Speaker 1: was going to be decisive. It was supposed to demonstrate
- 7:53Speaker 1: overwhelming American power and force Iran to back down quickly. Right,
- 7:58Speaker 1: just like what happened for him in Venezuela. They snatched
- 8:01Speaker 1: the president. Immediately everybody around the president folds, and now
- 8:05Speaker 1: he's got a puppet state. A little concerning that, there's
- 8:08Speaker 1: no democracy and there doesn't seem to even be a
- 8:10Speaker 1: plan for it. And by the way, if you're wondering
- 8:13Speaker 1: that it's going to be I will have my ear
- 8:16Speaker 1: tuned in a little bit at that when I'm at
- 8:18Speaker 1: the game tonight between ben to hear and talk with
- 8:22Speaker 1: some of my friends in the Venezuelan community. But we
- 8:25Speaker 1: all want to focus on baseball, but I am going
- 8:27Speaker 1: to be curious on that front. But I digress everything
- 8:33Speaker 1: in Iran. And it's clear that what the president thought
- 8:36Speaker 1: he could get away with what he had already done
- 8:37Speaker 1: with Iran, that these guys were weak, We're going to cave,
- 8:42Speaker 1: and that they were like him, very malleable, very transactional.
- 8:49Speaker 1: He seemed to forget that Iran and this regime and
- 8:53Speaker 1: has supporters that are similar to his supporters that are
- 8:57Speaker 1: so blindly loyal. He could shoot somebody in Fifth Avenue
- 8:59Speaker 1: and they go nowhere. So if he has built that
- 9:03Speaker 1: kind of following in ten years, what does he think
- 9:06Speaker 1: the Iranian theocracy has done over forty seven years. Bottom
- 9:11Speaker 1: line is the straight of Warmus is now the place
- 9:14Speaker 1: where this narrative is under the most stress. And now
- 9:19Speaker 1: thanks to our friends at the Wall Street Journal, you know,
- 9:23Speaker 1: the supposed friendly Wall Street Journal owned by the Murdoch
- 9:25Speaker 1: but we've known they have really kept to their independence,
- 9:28Speaker 1: and the Murdoch family ought to be praised for that.
- 9:31Speaker 1: I mean in many ways that Murdochs are managing a
- 9:33Speaker 1: more independent media, at least with the Wall Street Journal,
- 9:36Speaker 1: than anything so far that the ellisents have done. But
- 9:38Speaker 1: I digress. But according to their journal, before the US
- 9:42Speaker 1: launched these attacks, the chairman of the Journey Chiefs, General
- 9:45Speaker 1: Dan King, warned the President that Iran could respond by
- 9:49Speaker 1: trying to shut down the Strait of Warmus. It is
- 9:52Speaker 1: always been the concern. It has always been one of
- 9:56Speaker 1: the biggest sort of deterrens that Iran had on keeping,
- 10:00Speaker 1: you know, deterrent one. That's why they wanted nuclear weapons.
- 10:04Speaker 1: They see what a deterrent It's paid off for North Korea, right,
- 10:07Speaker 1: But the deterrent that they've had for most of the
- 10:10Speaker 1: last forty seven years is the fact that they could
- 10:14Speaker 1: easily shut down the Strait of Ormus and essentially choke
- 10:17Speaker 1: off the world economy like that. So the President heard
- 10:24Speaker 1: this warning from the from the from General Kane. By
- 10:27Speaker 1: the way, General Kane been nothing but professional secondary head
- 10:31Speaker 1: set anything but But I digress. But the warning, of
- 10:35Speaker 1: course wasn't even hypothetical. It's it's been the central scenario
- 10:38Speaker 1: in US war planning for decades. Iran has always understood
- 10:43Speaker 1: that they cannot defeat the United States militarily. They've always
- 10:46Speaker 1: known this. Their response was always the Strait of Ormuz
- 10:51Speaker 1: because they can create enormous leverage by threatening the global economy,
- 10:55Speaker 1: which is what they're doing at the moment, because the
- 10:58Speaker 1: Strait of Ormuz is the lever to do that. Roughly
- 11:01Speaker 1: a fifth of the world's oil supply passes through that waterway.
- 11:04Speaker 1: It's one of the most important energy choke points on
- 11:06Speaker 1: the planet. And Kane told Trump that Iran could demploy minds, drones,
- 11:11Speaker 1: anti ship missiles to disrupt shipping. There everything we're seeing. Look,
- 11:15Speaker 1: our military is top notch for a reason. The leadership
- 11:19Speaker 1: knows what it's doing, the uniform leadership, but they report
- 11:25Speaker 1: to a civilian leadership. And if your civilian leadership doesn't
- 11:28Speaker 1: know what it's doing, that's where trouble arises. Now, Trump
- 11:31Speaker 1: apparently he did acknowledge the risk. He understood it. Okay,
- 11:34Speaker 1: I see it. But according to the Journal, the president
- 11:39Speaker 1: believed that Iran would likely capitulate before it tried something
- 11:42Speaker 1: that drastic. What evidence he had in that is beyond me.
- 11:48Speaker 1: But he just was convinced of this, that this forty
- 11:50Speaker 1: seven year old theocracy would quickly capitulate. He knew the
- 11:54Speaker 1: Cubans had been you know, we're on the verge of capitulating.
- 11:57Speaker 1: We know this in Venezuela. But these are much different societies,
- 12:04Speaker 1: much different societies than the Iranian theocracy. And then of
- 12:09Speaker 1: course there's a bit of hubris here. He said, if
- 12:12Speaker 1: Iran tried it, he really believed the US military could
- 12:14Speaker 1: easily handle the situation. Well, maybe easily, doing a lot
- 12:19Speaker 1: of work here. I got two words for you, ground troops.
- 12:24Speaker 1: Let's put a pin in that. So what we're seeing
- 12:28Speaker 1: is that this calculation that he took now is real life.
- 12:32Speaker 1: Iran has not capitulated, and there doesn't seem to be
- 12:34Speaker 1: evidence that they're going to capitulate anytime soon. You know,
- 12:38Speaker 1: they don't see you know, look at the evidence. What
- 12:43Speaker 1: going to the table now with the United States? I
- 12:46Speaker 1: know the president every hour says, you know, this feels
- 12:48Speaker 1: like you know him saying that, you know, like O. J. Simpson,
- 12:52Speaker 1: he's going to find the real killers, or he's going
- 12:54Speaker 1: to find the real Obama birth certificate. He says, irene's
- 12:57Speaker 1: about that. You know, they want they want to surrender.
- 12:58Speaker 1: There's just nobody there to surrender, are going to and
- 13:00Speaker 1: you're just like, what part of this do you not understand? Right?
- 13:06Speaker 1: You mean, look at how easy he's manipulated his own
- 13:09Speaker 1: political base. It's only ten years old. I keep coming
- 13:11Speaker 1: back to this because I just think this is this
- 13:14Speaker 1: is just incredible lack of self awareness, you know, And
- 13:21Speaker 1: you know, the biggest two mistake many American leaders have
- 13:24Speaker 1: made over the years and decades has been assuming other
- 13:27Speaker 1: people think like we do. And that's always the mistake.
- 13:31Speaker 1: You've got to actually put yourself in their shoes. You
- 13:34Speaker 1: cannot assume they're going to do what you believe is
- 13:38Speaker 1: in their best interest. Straight up, harmon Hormons is the
- 13:45Speaker 1: regime's most powerful leverage point in this war. And do
- 13:47Speaker 1: you think they're going to walk away from it anytime soon?
- 13:52Speaker 1: Ships have been stuck, Shipping traffic has slowed, Insurance costs
- 13:55Speaker 1: for tankers have served. Oil markets are reacting violently. The
- 13:59Speaker 1: war is no longer just a military story. It's an
- 14:05Speaker 1: economic story, and it's a global economic story. In fact,
- 14:11Speaker 1: just listen to how the president himself is framing the situation.
- 14:13Speaker 1: After the US decided to strike Iran's carg Island. This
- 14:16Speaker 1: is the hub of Iran's oil export infrastructure. Trump posted
- 14:20Speaker 1: the following statement on truth Social He wrote, moments ago,
- 14:23Speaker 1: my direction in the US United States Central Command executed
- 14:26Speaker 1: one of the most powerful bombing raids in the history
- 14:27Speaker 1: of the Middle East. He continued, our weapons are the
- 14:31Speaker 1: most powerful and sophisticated that the world has ever known.
- 14:34Speaker 1: And then he added this Iran has no ability to
- 14:37Speaker 1: offend anything that we want to attack. There is nothing
- 14:39Speaker 1: they can do about it. And yet they're not surrendered
- 14:45Speaker 1: because there is something they think they can do about it.
- 14:48Speaker 1: They can make this war incredibly expensive. They get to
- 14:52Speaker 1: own the West instead of owning the Libs. You get
- 14:55Speaker 1: my point here, right. You know you've always wondered why
- 14:58Speaker 1: do certain partisans do do or say things or act
- 15:01Speaker 1: what is not in their best economic interests? Right, This
- 15:05Speaker 1: is not in Iran's best economic interest, But this is
- 15:09Speaker 1: bigger than their economic interests, right. And you know, I
- 15:14Speaker 1: keep putting this back to our extreme politics in this country,
- 15:19Speaker 1: and when we wonder there's such devotion to it it's
- 15:22Speaker 1: illogical at times. How come it's now pragmatism, okay, And
- 15:27Speaker 1: then we wonder when we deal with a country that
- 15:31Speaker 1: is run by an extremist. By the extremism, don't be
- 15:37Speaker 1: surprised when there's a lot of devotees to the extremism.
- 15:39Speaker 1: We know there's a lot of people that are fighting it,
- 15:41Speaker 1: but there's still plenty of people devoted to it. So
- 15:47Speaker 1: Iran can do something about this. They can make this
- 15:49Speaker 1: more very expensive, they can make it global, they can
- 15:53Speaker 1: make it politically painful, and they can do that without
- 15:55Speaker 1: defeating the United States militarily. This is the scary part
- 16:00Speaker 1: of this war. And this was right, the lack of
- 16:03Speaker 1: sort of intellectual maturity between between Trump and Hagsath Propaganda Pete.
- 16:10Speaker 1: We had in the first Golf War. We had Bagdad
- 16:13Speaker 1: Bob and the crazy Saddam spokesperson who would say crazy things.
- 16:17Speaker 1: I don't think any of us thought we'd have it,
- 16:18Speaker 1: we would be the entity that had the propagandist, but
- 16:23Speaker 1: we do. Unfortunately in Propaganda Pete, there was just some
- 16:29Speaker 1: intellectual immaturity here. Just did not see it and in
- 16:33Speaker 1: many cases perhaps saw it through too much of a
- 16:35Speaker 1: religious prism. You know that they thinking this is some
- 16:39Speaker 1: existential fight, fighting for Christianity, fighting for Western culture and
- 16:43Speaker 1: Western civilization, which is you know, always gets you to
- 16:46Speaker 1: make stupid decisions when you're making these ideological, less rational
- 16:50Speaker 1: based decision making. And I do fear there was too
- 16:53Speaker 1: much of that with some of the civilian entities here.
- 16:56Speaker 1: The military guys have been nothing but doing followed orders.
- 17:01Speaker 1: They've executed it as brilliantly as possible, they've warned of
- 17:06Speaker 1: the fallout, and it's been essentially ignored by our civilian leadership.
- 17:12Speaker 1: So welcome to the essence of asymmetric warfare, which, of
- 17:16Speaker 1: course is a playbook that everybody has now around the world.
- 17:20Speaker 1: It's a playbook arguably originally written by a bunch of
- 17:25Speaker 1: renegade bandits in thirteen colonies in the United States in
- 17:28Speaker 1: the late eighteenth century. Right, Asymmetrical warfare always can extract
- 17:37Speaker 1: a high cost on huge conventional military powers. So that's
- 17:44Speaker 1: what's happening here. When a weaker power confronts a stronger one,
- 17:47Speaker 1: it rarely tries to win it conventionally, you're not going
- 17:49Speaker 1: to win a conventional war. Instead, you try to stretch
- 17:52Speaker 1: the conflict. You try to exact costs all over the place,
- 17:55Speaker 1: not just at the front lines, but economically and politically
- 18:00Speaker 1: so and guess what it's there's a great line that
- 18:04Speaker 1: the Taliban used to use. You have the watches, we
- 18:08Speaker 1: have the time as the expression that the Taliban would
- 18:11Speaker 1: use all the time in Afghanistan, and that's essentially the
- 18:14Speaker 1: way the extremists here with Iran in this regime. We
- 18:20Speaker 1: have the watches. As far as they're concerned, they have
- 18:23Speaker 1: the time, so they want to raise the cost. They
- 18:26Speaker 1: want to turn time into the weapon. Aarn doesn't need
- 18:29Speaker 1: to sink a single American aircraft carry to complicate this war, right,
- 18:34Speaker 1: and we're sinking all sorts of good. They okay, we
- 18:37Speaker 1: got rid of their conventional navy. They were never going
- 18:39Speaker 1: to fight us with a conventional navy. All around has
- 18:43Speaker 1: to do is to make the straight of horror moves
- 18:45Speaker 1: dangerous enough that the global economy feels it. And that's
- 18:48Speaker 1: exactly what we're seeing. This episode of The Chuck Toddcast
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- 20:25Speaker 1: understand why this matters so much. It does help the
- 20:28Speaker 1: look backwards because we've seen something like this before. So
- 20:31Speaker 1: in the late eighties, during the Iran Iraq War, the
- 20:33Speaker 1: Persian Gulf became the center of what was known as
- 20:36Speaker 1: the tanker war. Iran and Iraq both began attacking oil
- 20:40Speaker 1: tankers to try to disrupt each other's exports. Right, it
- 20:42Speaker 1: was trying to hit both of their economies. Eventually, those
- 20:45Speaker 1: attacks spread to ships belonging to neutral countries, and the
- 20:49Speaker 1: insurance markets panic, shipping companies reconsidered routes, and global energy
- 20:53Speaker 1: markets felt the shock. Now the United States eventually intervened.
- 20:57Speaker 1: In nineteen eighty seven, the Reagan administration launched operations an
- 21:00Speaker 1: earnest will. It was called escorting Qaty oil tankers, with
- 21:03Speaker 1: putting American flags on them and escorting them through the Gulf.
- 21:07Speaker 1: The idea was simple, protected commercial shipping, but protecting shipping
- 21:11Speaker 1: meant something else. It meant American warships operating constantly near
- 21:14Speaker 1: Iranian forces. So there was constant tension and there was
- 21:17Speaker 1: constant risk. And in eighty eight the US S Samuel B.
- 21:21Speaker 1: Roberts struck an Iranian naval mind and those were rudimentary
- 21:24Speaker 1: mines in the Straightahom News then in the late eighties,
- 21:27Speaker 1: much more sophisticated drones and mines these days that didn't
- 21:32Speaker 1: exist then. But that mine almost sank that ship. Ten
- 21:36Speaker 1: shillers were injured. The US retaliated with what was called
- 21:40Speaker 1: Operation Praying Mantis, destroying several Iranian vessels. The history matters
- 21:45Speaker 1: because convoy protection missions rarely stay small. You start by
- 21:50Speaker 1: escorting ships, then you must protect the escorts, Then you
- 21:53Speaker 1: must suppress the threats to the escorts, and suddenly the
- 21:56Speaker 1: war grows larger than the one you started. Welcome to
- 22:00Speaker 1: Mission Creep. And that brings us back to today. The
- 22:03Speaker 1: Pentagon is already moving additional marines and naval assets into
- 22:06Speaker 1: the region. Ships from the USS Tripoli Amphibious Ready Group
- 22:10Speaker 1: and the thirty first Marine Expeditionary Unit are both headed
- 22:14Speaker 1: towards the Middle East. Marines are arriving in the theater.
- 22:18Speaker 1: Do that mean they're going to be ground troops? Well,
- 22:22Speaker 1: we'll see. If the objective becomes securing the strait of
- 22:25Speaker 1: Oar moves, well, the mission changes dramatically. Now you're talking
- 22:30Speaker 1: about escort operations, you're talking about mine clearing missions, anti
- 22:35Speaker 1: drone patrols, protection of commercial vessels, suppression of missile batteries
- 22:40Speaker 1: along Iron's coastline. Protection of the force is protecting the
- 22:44Speaker 1: shipping and that is where the mission creep starts to
- 22:48Speaker 1: become real because once the objective becomes keeping shipping lanes open,
- 22:54Speaker 1: the timeline expands, so do the risks. And now the
- 22:58Speaker 1: consequences of this aren't limited to the battle. They're already
- 23:01Speaker 1: spreading across the global economy. Look at the Gulf States.
- 23:04Speaker 1: For years, countries like Saudi Arabia, the Ue, Bahrain, Qatar
- 23:08Speaker 1: have tried to transform their image not just as oil exporters,
- 23:11Speaker 1: but tourism hubs. Many of you have probably seen the
- 23:14Speaker 1: advertisements over the last few years, you know, talking about
- 23:19Speaker 1: coming to Dubai and Abu Dhabi and you know, being
- 23:24Speaker 1: able to experience. They're basically trying to pitch themselves against
- 23:29Speaker 1: the Pacific islands in the Caribbean, right, and they want
- 23:32Speaker 1: to be this other part of the globe where you
- 23:37Speaker 1: would go to seek warmth and enjoy tourism. They're also
- 23:42Speaker 1: becoming huge financial centers, big entertainment destinations, particularly with the
- 23:47Speaker 1: individual sports right either the mixed martial arts you see
- 23:51Speaker 1: as a huge presence. Tennis and golf have big presence
- 23:55Speaker 1: Formula one. They've poured enormous sums into makeup projects, sporting events,
- 24:00Speaker 1: cultural spectacles, all designed to show the world that the
- 24:02Speaker 1: golf is stable and open for business. Formula one races
- 24:08Speaker 1: in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia perfect example. They're not just
- 24:11Speaker 1: sporting events, they're global branding exercises. They signal that this
- 24:17Speaker 1: is a modern era, this is a stable place, and
- 24:22Speaker 1: they give the golf global prestige. But now the war
- 24:25Speaker 1: is disrupting that narrative. Formula one had to cancel its
- 24:28Speaker 1: April races in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia because of the conflict.
- 24:31Speaker 1: You know, that tells you if it conflict and in
- 24:33Speaker 1: tomorrow they couldn't rebuild the infrastructure in time to do
- 24:38Speaker 1: this right, So already this is not just an economic
- 24:42Speaker 1: blow to the region, this is an image blow that's
- 24:46Speaker 1: going to take years to recover from, not weeks, not months, years, Okay,
- 24:55Speaker 1: Formula one pulling out sends the message far beyond sports.
- 24:58Speaker 1: It signals uncertainty and instability, undercuts the basic economic transformation
- 25:04Speaker 1: the golf governments have spent years promoting and remember these
- 25:10Speaker 1: golf States at the same time were simultaneously encouraging the
- 25:13Speaker 1: United States and Israeli to take care of their Iranian problem.
- 25:15Speaker 1: So I'm not going to sit here and have one
- 25:16Speaker 1: hundred percent empathy for them on this because they essentially
- 25:20Speaker 1: wanted Israel in the United States to do their security
- 25:24Speaker 1: dirty work for them. They want to confront Iran, but
- 25:28Speaker 1: not on their terms. They'd rather see the air then.
- 25:31Speaker 1: They don't like how the US and Israel and I
- 25:33Speaker 1: understand that it may not like it, but they're the
- 25:36Speaker 1: ones that have that have been encouraging this the most,
- 25:40Speaker 1: particularly the Saudis on this. They were very encouraging and
- 25:44Speaker 1: now they see, oh, this thing's so good. No it's not.
- 25:53Speaker 1: But we have a real world example of a massive
- 25:55Speaker 1: economy of a nuclear power collapsing in a matter of weeks.
- 26:03Speaker 1: If we're not Carol careful, it's Pakistan. Pakistan imports roughly
- 26:07Speaker 1: eighty five percent of its crude oil from Saudi Arabia
- 26:09Speaker 1: and the UEE, and guess how it comes through routes
- 26:14Speaker 1: connected to the Strait of Hormus. If those routes become unreliable,
- 26:18Speaker 1: of which they are right now, Pakistan's fragile economy feels
- 26:23Speaker 1: the impact immediately. Fuel prices rise, food prices rise, energy
- 26:27Speaker 1: short shortens, energy shortage is worsened. So now you have
- 26:32Speaker 1: a war that was centered in the person Gulf, affecting
- 26:34Speaker 1: the economic stability of a nuclear armed country thousands of
- 26:37Speaker 1: miles away who was in the middle of its own
- 26:41Speaker 1: kinetic I don't know what you want to call this,
- 26:43Speaker 1: but essentially kinetic conflict with Afghanistan at the moment, but
- 26:48Speaker 1: the Taliban government there. Now you add Europe to the
- 26:51Speaker 1: equation because this was the huge blow to freedom around
- 26:57Speaker 1: the world that happened over the last seventy two hours,
- 27:00Speaker 1: and that was the president's decision to lift temporary lift
- 27:03Speaker 1: oil sanctions on the Russians, I mean, just a disastrous
- 27:08Speaker 1: decision for freedom in Ukraine. Does higher oil prices benefit
- 27:14Speaker 1: Russia and its war machine? When global energy prices rise,
- 27:19Speaker 1: Russian oil revenue rises with them, and that means the
- 27:22Speaker 1: war in Iran is now indirectly strengthening Russia's financial position
- 27:27Speaker 1: in its war against Ukraine in a massive way. European
- 27:31Speaker 1: governments are already struggling to sustain the military and financial
- 27:34Speaker 1: support for Kiev, and now the Russians just got a
- 27:37Speaker 1: financial shot in the arm. Thanks about President of the
- 27:39Speaker 1: United States, by the way, and a meeting with the
- 27:42Speaker 1: G seven. Apparently six countries were against this, one was
- 27:45Speaker 1: for it. So now we've got a conflict in the
- 27:51Speaker 1: Persian Gulf, reshaping strategic calculations all across the entire European continent.
- 27:57Speaker 1: We've got the potential, we've got we're in the middle
- 27:59Speaker 1: of it appears to be a growing military crisis between
- 28:03Speaker 1: Afghanistan and Pakistan. And now you've got Pakistan's economy could
- 28:06Speaker 1: collapse again. It's a nuclear power, right, and the economic
- 28:12Speaker 1: implications aren't going to stop there. The straight of or
- 28:14Speaker 1: Moves crisis threatened something that American voters feel very quickly. Inflation.
- 28:19Speaker 1: Energy prices ripple through the entire economy, transportation costs, manufacturing costs,
- 28:25Speaker 1: food costs, air travel, shipping. If oil prices remain elevated
- 28:30Speaker 1: for weeks or months, that pressure shows up everywhere, and
- 28:35Speaker 1: that creates a political challenge for Donald Trump. So even
- 28:38Speaker 1: if this conflict doesn't trigger a formal recession, it could
- 28:42Speaker 1: easily produce something voters experience just as intensely, and something
- 28:46Speaker 1: they've been experiencing now ever since COVID rising. Prices and
- 28:50Speaker 1: economic uncertainty. You know, when you mess with the shipping lanes,
- 28:54Speaker 1: when you mess with the supply chain, when you mess
- 28:56Speaker 1: with the energy markets, the American consumer feels it quickly,
- 29:02Speaker 1: so which means that this war is not just a
- 29:04Speaker 1: foreign policy gamble, it is an economic gamble. Markets are
- 29:10Speaker 1: still one of the few checks that actually seem to
- 29:14Speaker 1: work on presidential decision making in American politics right now,
- 29:17Speaker 1: at least with this president. But here's the thing. Just
- 29:23Speaker 1: stopping declaring victory and stopping isn't necessarily going to get
- 29:27Speaker 1: Iran to stop screwing with the straight of ormus. And
- 29:31Speaker 1: that's the problem he's got here. Now, there's one more
- 29:34Speaker 1: dimension to this story that I want to touch on,
- 29:38Speaker 1: and it's one that I've vacillated about whether to touch
- 29:41Speaker 1: on because it's clearly a manufactured story to try to
- 29:46Speaker 1: distract from what was questionable civilian decision making to launch
- 29:51Speaker 1: this war in the first place. Okay, over the last
- 29:56Speaker 1: seventy two hours, the Chairman of the FCC, Brendan Carr,
- 29:59Speaker 1: has it eventually declared regulatory war on the broadcast press.
- 30:05Speaker 1: He wants to eradicate freedom of the press completely, cars
- 30:12Speaker 1: invoking a long standing legal concept known as the public
- 30:15Speaker 1: interest standard. Broadcast stations operate on public airways. It's the
- 30:20Speaker 1: affiliates that technically operate on the broadcast airways, not the
- 30:23Speaker 1: overall networks themselves. And BC doesn't have the license. Its
- 30:27Speaker 1: affiliates have the license. Okay, so the law does require
- 30:31Speaker 1: them to quote serve the public interest. So what's the
- 30:33Speaker 1: public interest? Freedom of expression, freedom of the press. It's
- 30:36Speaker 1: all in the First Amendment. I think it's pretty easy.
- 30:38Speaker 1: We know what public interest is. But Carr now is
- 30:41Speaker 1: trying to reinterpret that standard through a political lens. So
- 30:45Speaker 1: on Saturday, he posted that broadcasters running what he called
- 30:47Speaker 1: quote hoaxes and news distortions what he labeled fake news,
- 30:51Speaker 1: have a great chance to quote correct course before their
- 30:53Speaker 1: license renewals come up. Interesting. Then, in a CBS interview,
- 30:57Speaker 1: he went further. He said broadcast licenses are not a
- 31:00Speaker 1: property right, they are a privilege. He said broadcasters have
- 31:04Speaker 1: grown too comfortable assuming the government cannot take those licenses away,
- 31:08Speaker 1: and he suggested that the FCC must enforce patriotic standards
- 31:11Speaker 1: of truth in wartime. Wow, patriotic standards. Look, we went
- 31:19Speaker 1: through this ship in World War two and it. You know,
- 31:22Speaker 1: it is one of the black marks on World War Two.
- 31:25Speaker 1: Let's not pretend that this was a good thing. Okay,
- 31:28Speaker 1: It's one thing to ask movie makers to to to
- 31:32Speaker 1: make movies that, you know, show the Americans in a
- 31:35Speaker 1: good light and help explain how bad the Nazis are.
- 31:38Speaker 1: I think that that that's one thing, but it's another
- 31:42Speaker 1: to actually start censoring the news. There was no censoring
- 31:47Speaker 1: of the news, but that's what he wants to do here.
- 31:53Speaker 1: Patriotic standards of truth in wartime, this is this is
- 31:56Speaker 1: putin bullshit. This is Russian today, this is our t ship.
- 32:00Speaker 1: And you know, I don't know what to make of
- 32:03Speaker 1: Brendan Carr. I mean, I think he's not a dumb man,
- 32:07Speaker 1: but he's really acting like a political clown. And this
- 32:11Speaker 1: is just you know, some of these people that perform
- 32:15Speaker 1: just for the audience of one, and which is what
- 32:17Speaker 1: this is, to performance for an audience of one. There's
- 32:21Speaker 1: no serious story here. There shouldn't be. And if he
- 32:24Speaker 1: actually attempts this, I mean, he's so undermining the constitution
- 32:29Speaker 1: that it will just get killed in the courts. But
- 32:34Speaker 1: it's normalizing this garbage that we ought to be fighting
- 32:40Speaker 1: and that's why it's an extraordinary statement. The chairman of
- 32:42Speaker 1: the SEC is essentially saying that a broadcasters air reporting
- 32:46Speaker 1: that the administration considers false. And remember what propaganda petes
- 32:51Speaker 1: definition of what's false is, it's stuff that he doesn't like.
- 32:54Speaker 1: Doesn't make it false. It doesn't like the tone of coverage.
- 32:58Speaker 1: You know, that's what an authority regime does, not a democracy.
- 33:03Speaker 1: But he's threatening regulatory consequences. And here's the thing. Car
- 33:07Speaker 1: knows that the corporate owners of these entities are spineless
- 33:12Speaker 1: and effeckless fools, and they'll all rollover because they already have.
- 33:17Speaker 1: Because legally, Car can't simply shut down a network. The
- 33:20Speaker 1: FCC licenses are individual stations, not networks, so revoking a
- 33:24Speaker 1: license requires a hearing, evidence and a vote by the
- 33:27Speaker 1: full Commission. But he does have a Republican majority in
- 33:30Speaker 1: the FCCA, and he can launch investigations, and the investigations
- 33:35Speaker 1: themselves can create pressure. Right, it's coercion, it's extortion, essentially,
- 33:39Speaker 1: it's it's sort of government extortion. Corporate boards, we know this.
- 33:43Speaker 1: They hate regulatory fights, they hate uncertainty. And if a
- 33:47Speaker 1: network's coverage triggers FCC scrutiny, and by the way, the
- 33:50Speaker 1: broadcast networks, whatever's left of these big four, of these
- 33:54Speaker 1: big three and a half news divisions. I don't know
- 33:56Speaker 1: where to put Fox here, because their news divisions mostly
- 33:58Speaker 1: out of their cable outlet. They really don't much stuff
- 34:00Speaker 1: on their national network. They do for big specials, but
- 34:03Speaker 1: not often. So mostly we're talking about ABCNBC and CBA
- 34:07Speaker 1: there are shells of their former selves. They they're barely doing.
- 34:10Speaker 1: They're doing like ten percent of the coverage that they
- 34:12Speaker 1: did even three or four years ago. This is really
- 34:16Speaker 1: going to put pressure and it's clear what they're doing.
- 34:19Speaker 1: This Next Star Tegna merger that's taking place, that's going
- 34:22Speaker 1: to combine and create the largest owner of individual TV
- 34:25Speaker 1: stations in the country. He's and you know, Next Star
- 34:28Speaker 1: is buying Tegna, and Next Star has been playing the
- 34:32Speaker 1: right wing foot seat and been doing little performative virtue
- 34:36Speaker 1: signaling in order to get this quick regulatory approval. And
- 34:41Speaker 1: we've seen, right, I mean, look, the the you know,
- 34:44Speaker 1: the the biggest, biggest mistake that was made was what
- 34:49Speaker 1: Bob Eiger did in settling the Stephanopolis lawsuit. Totally. What
- 34:53Speaker 1: it did is it made all three broadcast networks capitulators.
- 34:57Speaker 1: It stained them permanently, and this is why the rise
- 35:01Speaker 1: of a dependent media is become stronger and stronger. It's
- 35:04Speaker 1: now a self fulfilling prophecy. Right, the more Brendan Carr
- 35:08Speaker 1: manipulates the public and creates these false right wing narratives,
- 35:13Speaker 1: the more these broadcast networks capitulate, and the more they
- 35:15Speaker 1: do nothing, and they come across as feckless fools. And
- 35:19Speaker 1: it's unfortunate. There's some good journalists there and the smart
- 35:21Speaker 1: ones are leaving. You kind of have to leave if
- 35:25Speaker 1: you want to keep your integrity because it's clear the
- 35:28Speaker 1: corporations aren't going to allow journalists to keep their integrity here,
- 35:32Speaker 1: and that's unfortunate. But you know what, maybe we'd be
- 35:35Speaker 1: better off to not have corporate shareholder impact where the
- 35:40Speaker 1: government regulatory process can impact freedom of speech and freedom
- 35:45Speaker 1: of the press. But it's clear Brendan Carr is hoping
- 35:49Speaker 1: to do that, to use corporate extortion to essentially get
- 35:53Speaker 1: propaganda on the airways, and it aligns closely with proposals
- 35:58Speaker 1: that were outlined and that's so called twenty twenty five
- 36:00Speaker 1: blueprint for government. The idea is to reinterpret the phrase
- 36:04Speaker 1: news distortion as a failure of character qualification under the
- 36:08Speaker 1: public interest standard. So it's not censorship, is what car
- 36:13Speaker 1: and his supporters would argue. It's regulation. Doubtful the legal
- 36:17Speaker 1: theory would survive real serious judiciary scrutiny. First Amendment creates
- 36:21Speaker 1: an extremely high bar here. But again, the investigation itself
- 36:25Speaker 1: is the point, right. But I have to imagine the
- 36:27Speaker 1: reaction if Barack Obama has suggested that Fox News needed
- 36:31Speaker 1: to quote correct course on wartime reporting or risk it's
- 36:33Speaker 1: broadcast licenses the right wing pitchforks. They'd already be stabbing
- 36:40Speaker 1: people to death. The outrage would have been deafening. The
- 36:43Speaker 1: principle would have been obvious, and I'd have been right
- 36:46Speaker 1: there with them. Government officials cannot threaten the press over
- 36:49Speaker 1: coverage of war propaganda. Pee can do everything he can. Here,
- 36:54Speaker 1: he's making a fool of himself. And you know what's
- 36:56Speaker 1: also ugly, what President Trump and Haig Seth doing to
- 37:00Speaker 1: celebrate the destruction. There's no celebration in destroying anything. It's
- 37:07Speaker 1: a sad consequence of diploma of a failure of diplomacy.
- 37:12Speaker 1: And it may be a ron's failure of a diplomacy,
- 37:15Speaker 1: but it's tragic that this is happening. It's not something
- 37:18Speaker 1: to celebrate, to intersperse with football highlights, to drag professional
- 37:23Speaker 1: athletes into this, It's sick and gross. Pete haiks Seth
- 37:28Speaker 1: should be so fired, so impeached. So just absolutely this
- 37:34Speaker 1: is he is an embarrassment to what he's doing, and
- 37:38Speaker 1: he is. I assume many uniform military folks are just
- 37:43Speaker 1: appalled at the behavior of propaganda Pete. So the government's
- 37:50Speaker 1: narrative is being tested most directly by one place on
- 37:52Speaker 1: the map, the strait of war moves this look. Yes,
- 37:58Speaker 1: the president can complain that the press isn't celebrating its
- 38:01Speaker 1: military victory enough, but what were your war aims? Your
- 38:06Speaker 1: war aims have not come to fruition yet. Iran has
- 38:09Speaker 1: not capitulated. There is not a new regime. And if anything,
- 38:13Speaker 1: terrorist threats against Americans are now up, not down. This
- 38:18Speaker 1: was supposed to limit the terrorism. Now it's expanding it.
- 38:22Speaker 1: We had two attacks over the last seventy two hours
- 38:24Speaker 1: in this country. Wanted old Dominion, wanted a synagogue in Michigan.
- 38:30Speaker 1: I don't think our leaders have properly prepared Americans that
- 38:34Speaker 1: this is now something we all have to live with
- 38:36Speaker 1: being a Jewish American, it is not new to me
- 38:39Speaker 1: to have security in and around synagogues. We've been doing
- 38:42Speaker 1: this for years. We spend millions of dollars a year
- 38:46Speaker 1: for security. This very small group of people has to
- 38:49Speaker 1: spend all this money on our own. Ditto with those
- 38:52Speaker 1: that practice is in this country. The majority religions haven't
- 38:57Speaker 1: had to do this, but have had to do this,
- 39:03Speaker 1: so we know firsthand the impact of threats of terrorism.
- 39:08Speaker 1: This administration is not prepared the country for this, and
- 39:11Speaker 1: I do fear that this war has already essentially launched
- 39:14Speaker 1: two terrorist attacks in this country. This is the fallout,
- 39:18Speaker 1: This is the risk of doing this, and the President
- 39:21Speaker 1: did nothing to prepare the country for this, did nothing
- 39:25Speaker 1: to rally the country or prepare us for the consequences.
- 39:30Speaker 1: We all have to live with the consequences. We in
- 39:32Speaker 1: a free and independent press have to report on the
- 39:35Speaker 1: actual reality and what's happening here, and the fact that
- 39:39Speaker 1: the administration doesn't want the truth to come out should
- 39:42Speaker 1: scare the shit out of all of you. I apologize
- 39:46Speaker 1: that I've been a little four letter wordy, but I'm
- 39:49Speaker 1: trying to get the FCC's attention right. I'm borrowing the
- 39:52Speaker 1: old seven words of George Carlin, so we may say
- 39:54Speaker 1: them all. I'm not going to say the f wort,
- 39:59Speaker 1: but it's this is look, I vacillated about how hard
- 40:06Speaker 1: to come at car because he's like taken stupid shots
- 40:10Speaker 1: at me. And I know there's some funny graphic rolling
- 40:13Speaker 1: around that like claimed that Trump purged me from NBC
- 40:17Speaker 1: and Lester whole. I mean, it's kind of amusing, but
- 40:21Speaker 1: you know there is some truthiness. Right. A lot of
- 40:23Speaker 1: us felt we couldn't practice independent journalism anymore and it
- 40:27Speaker 1: was just useless to stay if you want to do
- 40:31Speaker 1: your job. And that's a real decision that many a
- 40:34Speaker 1: journalist is having to make right now. But I believe
- 40:39Speaker 1: in our constitution and above all, because if it goes away,
- 40:44Speaker 1: you know, then it is the rules of the jungle.
- 40:47Speaker 1: I don't want the rules of the jungle. I like
- 40:49Speaker 1: our constitution and I'm going to fight to the death
- 40:52Speaker 1: to support it and defend it and explain it. So
- 40:58Speaker 1: all of you know all of the rights you really
- 41:01Speaker 1: have here. The good news is Brendan Carr's threats will
- 41:05Speaker 1: go nowhere. The courts will stop him. I know what
- 41:08Speaker 1: you're thinking. All the courts have been manipulated a little bit,
- 41:10Speaker 1: not that much, not that much. Okay, the courts are
- 41:15Speaker 1: definitely more pro business than ever before. I'm not gonna
- 41:17Speaker 1: sit here and say that the corporate America has a
- 41:20Speaker 1: more friendly court system today than they did fifteen years ago.
- 41:23Speaker 1: But on the basics of our rights on speech, I
- 41:28Speaker 1: don't think this is going to go This is going
- 41:31Speaker 1: to go well for him. But just the ability to
- 41:36Speaker 1: scare you, the ability to distract, and this is well.
- 41:40Speaker 1: Like I said, I hesitated getting involved because it the
- 41:43Speaker 1: fact is, they just want a distraction from what is
- 41:47Speaker 1: uncomfortable reality of this war. It's been a tactical military success,
- 41:53Speaker 1: but if you don't achieve the aims of the war,
- 41:55Speaker 1: what is the success. What have you gotten for your efforts?
- 42:02Speaker 1: And right now we are getting higher prices, we are
- 42:05Speaker 1: getting a more unstable glow, we are getting more threats
- 42:08Speaker 1: of terrorist attacks. The President owes the American public and explanation.
- 42:13Speaker 1: Why paying higher prices and being less safe is the
- 42:16Speaker 1: price to pay for this war? Trust me, I want
- 42:22Speaker 1: the Iranian regime gone. It has been a singular scourge
- 42:28Speaker 1: on free people that live in Israel in particular. But
- 42:34Speaker 1: it's been. They've been, They've been a scourge. The golf
- 42:37Speaker 1: has been trying to develop for years, and the Iranians
- 42:39Speaker 1: have tried to prevent that from happening. This is not
- 42:42Speaker 1: a good regime. And I shouldn't say the Iranians this regime,
- 42:46Speaker 1: just like I don't like when people say the Americans,
- 42:47Speaker 1: it's this administration. A new regime would absolutely be has
- 42:55Speaker 1: to be better for the world than this regime. But
- 42:59Speaker 1: there's cost and this president did nothing to explain the costs,
- 43:04Speaker 1: and he apparently ignored civilian leadership, excuse me, military leadership
- 43:09Speaker 1: when they told him the honest truth about how hard
- 43:12Speaker 1: victory was actually going to be. All right, let's stick
- 43:18Speaker 1: a commercial break in there on that upbeat note. Thank
- 43:23Speaker 1: you to all of my sponsors, and thank you for
- 43:25Speaker 1: supporting independent journalism. As we've now learned, we know the
- 43:29Speaker 1: broadcast networks, their corporate parents will not stand up to
- 43:33Speaker 1: this administration. They should on behalf of their journalists. I
- 43:37Speaker 1: know my colleagues are begging for these wimpy network corporate
- 43:45Speaker 1: parents to stand up, but Iger already wouldn't. Comcasts already
- 43:50Speaker 1: spun off MSNBC, and we already saw what CBS has done,
- 43:55Speaker 1: so thank you sponsors for supporting independent journalism. That's the
- 43:59Speaker 1: only way you're going to get an honest assessment of
- 44:04Speaker 1: Like I've always said, I practiced, I cover politics as
- 44:07Speaker 1: it is, not as I wish it were, and miss
- 44:10Speaker 1: politics as it is. With the Chuck Podcast today, let's
- 44:13Speaker 1: take a break and when we come back, my conversation
- 44:15Speaker 1: with one of the chief advisors to Bernie Sanders Fashion Court.
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- 45:46Speaker 1: quote at ethos dot com slash chuck. So again, that's
- 45:50Speaker 1: Ethos dot com slash chuck. Application times may vary and
- 45:55Speaker 1: the rates themselves may vary as well, but trust me,
- 45:58Speaker 1: life insurance is something you should really think about it,
- 46:01Speaker 1: especially if you've got a growing family. By the way,
- 46:06Speaker 1: a few reminders of the week. Going to be doing
- 46:08Speaker 1: live election covers of the big Illinois primaries on Tuesday night.
- 46:13Speaker 1: Chrystal is a decision to s HQ. Jeffrey s Kelley
- 46:15Speaker 1: will be back covering this, and it is a feast
- 46:20Speaker 1: of billionaire spending, particularly on the democratic side of the eye,
- 46:24Speaker 1: on these primaries, whether it's AI AI for APAC, AI
- 46:30Speaker 1: for artificial intelligence, crypto, a billionaire governor putting money in,
- 46:36Speaker 1: it's the battle of the billionaire funds in different ways.
- 46:42Speaker 1: The question is if, basically, if all the billionaires are
- 46:47Speaker 1: the winners, are we all the collective losers? But in
- 46:49Speaker 1: all seriousness, will be covering that on Tuesday, so keep
- 46:55Speaker 1: an eye out for that. It'll be on all of
- 46:56Speaker 1: my socials, all of Crystalizas socials, all of Decision Desk
- 47:00Speaker 1: HQ socials. All right with that? Its time machine. This
- 47:09Speaker 1: is a fun one, I said. The theme to this
- 47:11Speaker 1: time machine is time, and it's when time stopped being local.
- 47:17Speaker 1: So if you traveled across the United States in eighteen fifty,
- 47:20Speaker 1: the time changed constantly, not because you crossed time zones,
- 47:25Speaker 1: but because every town kept its own time. Noon was
- 47:28Speaker 1: simply when the sun reached its highest point in the sky.
- 47:32Speaker 1: Travel west and noon came a few minutes later. Travel east,
- 47:35Speaker 1: and it came a few minutes earlier. Each town set
- 47:38Speaker 1: its clock literally by the sun right for centuries. The
- 47:43Speaker 1: system worked pretty well until modern life made it nearly impossible.
- 47:49Speaker 1: And on March nineteenth, an anniversary will be celebrating later
- 47:52Speaker 1: this week. On March nineteenth, nineteen eighteen, so just over
- 47:57Speaker 1: one hundred years ago, Congress passed the Standard Time Act,
- 48:01Speaker 1: officially creating national time zones in the United States. And
- 48:05Speaker 1: you know, okay, it sounds bureaucratic, but it was one
- 48:08Speaker 1: of the quiet revolutions that made modern life that we
- 48:10Speaker 1: all enjoy today possible. So the time before standard time,
- 48:16Speaker 1: what was that like? Well, for most of human history,
- 48:18Speaker 1: timekeeping was both local and natural sundials, church bells, town clocks.
- 48:24Speaker 1: Mechanical clocks eventually made time keeping a bit more precise,
- 48:28Speaker 1: but they didn't standardize time. Each town still ran on
- 48:32Speaker 1: solar time, and by the mid eighteen hundred to the
- 48:34Speaker 1: United States had hundreds of local time standards, and that
- 48:39Speaker 1: didn't matter until what the arrival of the railroads, We
- 48:46Speaker 1: got the railroad problem. Railroads created the first truly national
- 48:49Speaker 1: transportation network. That's great, railroads require precise schedules, but the
- 48:55Speaker 1: country was still operating on hundreds of local clocks. By
- 48:59Speaker 1: the eighteen seven, the United States had more than three hundred.
- 49:02Speaker 1: That's right, three zero zero, three hundred different local time zones.
- 49:07Speaker 1: Chicago alone reportedly had twenty one different local times. You know,
- 49:12Speaker 1: it's amazing. At Marshall Field it's twelve oh five, but
- 49:15Speaker 1: at Wrigley Field it's twelve ten. But I digress. But
- 49:19Speaker 1: in all honesty, it was it all dependent on which
- 49:21Speaker 1: railroad station you were standing in. And you know they
- 49:23Speaker 1: were at a crossroads to Chicago, so they were all
- 49:25Speaker 1: sorts of railroad stations. Coordinating trains under those conditions wasn't
- 49:29Speaker 1: just confusing, it actually was dangerous. And in fact, like
- 49:33Speaker 1: everything in our country, it takes injury harm to the
- 49:40Speaker 1: populace before we do something. But it is worth noting
- 49:44Speaker 1: the man who imagined global time, and I want to
- 49:46Speaker 1: give a shout out to the intellectual architect of standardized time.
- 49:50Speaker 1: His name was Sanford Fleming. Fleming was frustrated by chaotic
- 49:54Speaker 1: railroad schedules, and in the eighteen seventies he proposed dividing
- 49:58Speaker 1: the globe into twenty four time zones, each representing one
- 50:02Speaker 1: hour of Earth's rotation. Today the idea feels obvious, Well duh,
- 50:08Speaker 1: somebody had to see it first, So let's give old
- 50:11Speaker 1: Sanford Fleming the shout out here at the time. It
- 50:13Speaker 1: was a radical idea, and instead of every town keeping
- 50:17Speaker 1: its own solar time, entire regions which share a single clock.
- 50:23Speaker 1: Railroads actually decided to adopt Fleming's logic before the governments did,
- 50:28Speaker 1: and so on November eighteenth, eighteen eighty three, American railroads
- 50:32Speaker 1: private entities imposed standardized time zones. The government was not involved. Eastern,
- 50:38Speaker 1: Central Mountain, and Pacific the four main time zones of
- 50:41Speaker 1: the continental United States. On November eighteenth, they were born
- 50:45Speaker 1: thanks to the railroads. Railroad station synchronized clocks using telegraph signals.
- 50:50Speaker 1: In many towns, people experience what newspapers called the day
- 50:53Speaker 1: of two noons. First came noon according to the Sun.
- 50:57Speaker 1: Then railroad officials reset the clocks. Suddenly it was noon again.
- 51:01Speaker 1: Some people simply adjusted their watches. Others were a bit
- 51:05Speaker 1: more upset about it. As you know, we always debate
- 51:08Speaker 1: these time zone issues, and we've been debating them since
- 51:10Speaker 1: we decided to do this. Critics called it railroad time,
- 51:14Speaker 1: and that wasn't a compliment to them. It was corporations
- 51:18Speaker 1: dictating the rhythm of daily life. See, we're always angry
- 51:22Speaker 1: at big entities back then in the nineteenth century is
- 51:25Speaker 1: big railroad. Some clergy even denounced it as unnatural, using
- 51:31Speaker 1: religion to weigh in on things. Again, some things never
- 51:34Speaker 1: change in our politics right. One sermon warned that the
- 51:37Speaker 1: railroads were trying to change the sun itself. What engineers
- 51:43Speaker 1: saw as efficiency, others saw as an attempt to rewrite nature.
- 51:48Speaker 1: Then the dangers became undeniable. In eighteen ninety one, two
- 51:52Speaker 1: trains approached each other near Kipton, Ohio. The system depended
- 51:56Speaker 1: on precise timing. One train was supposed to clear the
- 52:00Speaker 1: track before the other arrived, but the engineer's watch had
- 52:02Speaker 1: stopped for four minutes. That tiny error caused a head
- 52:07Speaker 1: on collision. Eight people were killed. The accident shocked the
- 52:11Speaker 1: railroad industry. Investigators concluded the problem wasn't just scheduling, it
- 52:15Speaker 1: was timekeeping itself. Railroads began enforcing stricter standards. Engineers had
- 52:20Speaker 1: to carry certified railroad grade watches. Those watches had to
- 52:25Speaker 1: meet exact specifications. They had to be open face pocket watches,
- 52:31Speaker 1: not hunting case watches with lids, because opening a lid
- 52:35Speaker 1: wasted precious seconds. The pocket watch anyway, they had to
- 52:40Speaker 1: remain accurate to within thirty seconds per week, and they
- 52:43Speaker 1: were inspected regularly by certified railroad time inspects. How about
- 52:48Speaker 1: that for your bureaucredit. See some jobs do get eliminated
- 52:51Speaker 1: as technology goes over time. We used to have people
- 52:54Speaker 1: who did nothing but inspect watches at railroad stations, and
- 52:58Speaker 1: now we have the atomic clock. I got ahead of
- 53:00Speaker 1: ourselves here, but anyway, it is fun to remind people that,
- 53:04Speaker 1: you know, jobs get taken away and jobs get at it.
- 53:07Speaker 1: You just never know. Railroad safety now depended on something
- 53:10Speaker 1: incredibly small, a watch ticking correctly in a conductor's pocket. Meanwhile, scientists,
- 53:17Speaker 1: we're trying to build a global system of an agreed
- 53:20Speaker 1: upon time, if you will. In eighteen eighty four, an
- 53:23Speaker 1: international conference adopted Greenwich Meantime GMT. You've probably seen it, well,
- 53:28Speaker 1: it's the world's prime meridian. Navigation, astronomy and global commerce
- 53:33Speaker 1: began coordinating around that single shared clock. But everyday life
- 53:38Speaker 1: in America was still governed by railroad practice rather than
- 53:40Speaker 1: federal law now entered daylight saving time. Daylight saving time
- 53:48Speaker 1: is an unusual origin story. Yes, Ben Franklin joked about
- 53:51Speaker 1: it in the seventeen hundred, So our friends at at
- 53:56Speaker 1: the movie National Treasure, and in that little one liner
- 53:58Speaker 1: that was correct history. But the modern campaign came from
- 54:01Speaker 1: a gentleman named William Willett, the British builder who believed
- 54:04Speaker 1: shifting clocks forward would give people more usable evening daylight.
- 54:08Speaker 1: Will It spent years promoting the idea. He died in
- 54:11Speaker 1: nineteen fifteen, one year before daylight saving time was adopted
- 54:15Speaker 1: in Europe during World War One. He never got to
- 54:18Speaker 1: actually see his idea implemented. But look what triggered governments
- 54:26Speaker 1: getting involved in time World War One? Back then, of course,
- 54:29Speaker 1: it was just the Great War. War finally forced governments
- 54:32Speaker 1: to act. Or one required massive industrial coordination. Railroads moved troops,
- 54:37Speaker 1: factories produced weapons. Energy had to be conserved, and the
- 54:40Speaker 1: fuel that powered industry was coal. Officials believed shifting clocks
- 54:44Speaker 1: forward would reduce evening lighting demand and save millions of
- 54:49Speaker 1: tons of coal. Germany adopted daylight savings time in nineteen sixteen,
- 54:53Speaker 1: and other countries quickly followed suit. Hence, March nineteenth, nineteen eighteen,
- 54:58Speaker 1: when the United States entered the war, that's when Congress
- 55:01Speaker 1: formalized the system. The Standard Time Act officially recognized the
- 55:05Speaker 1: four time zones already used by the railroads, and it
- 55:07Speaker 1: introduced at the same time nationwide daylight saving time, so
- 55:11Speaker 1: for the first time time itself became officially federal infrastructure.
- 55:17Speaker 1: Now the farmer myth Today many people think daylight saving
- 55:19Speaker 1: time was created for farmers. Oh no, the opposite is true.
- 55:22Speaker 1: Farmers were amongst its strongest opponents. Their work followed the sun,
- 55:27Speaker 1: not the clock. Cows didn't care what Congress said the
- 55:31Speaker 1: time was they needed milking when the sun came up
- 55:34Speaker 1: hard stop. So when the war ended, opposition grew quickly,
- 55:39Speaker 1: and Congress repealed daylight saving time. In nineteen nineteen. President
- 55:44Speaker 1: Woodrow Wilson vetoed the repeal. Wilson believed daylight saving time
- 55:49Speaker 1: improved productivity, and according to several contemporary accounts, he also
- 55:54Speaker 1: enjoyed the extra evening daylight for golf. Congress overrode is
- 55:58Speaker 1: veto Obviously, not enough golfers, yet in Congress, they wouldn't
- 56:01Speaker 1: have done that today, would they. Daylight saving time disappeared
- 56:05Speaker 1: nationally until World War Two. World War two, daylight saving
- 56:10Speaker 1: time returned. This time it stayed year round. From forty
- 56:13Speaker 1: two to forty five, the country operated on quote wartime.
- 56:17Speaker 1: When the war ended, local choice returned and chaos followed.
- 56:22Speaker 1: By the nineteen fifties, the system had become wildly inconsistent again.
- 56:27Speaker 1: Cities adopted daylight saving time, nearby towns rejected it. One
- 56:32Speaker 1: bus route reportedly passed through seven time changes within thirty
- 56:36Speaker 1: five miles. Businesses struggled to coordinate schedules, so Congress had
- 56:42Speaker 1: a step in again, the Uniform Time Act. Nineteen sixty six,
- 56:47Speaker 1: Congress passed the Uniform Time Act, standardizing when daylight Saving
- 56:51Speaker 1: Time begins and ends nationwide. And they've been tinkering with
- 56:54Speaker 1: this sucker ever since. We used to have it six
- 56:56Speaker 1: month and six months now. Of course we've had the
- 56:59Speaker 1: mission cree right, keep it longer and longer and longer
- 57:02Speaker 1: till eventually they're going to try to bring it all
- 57:04Speaker 1: back again. But I'm going to get to that in
- 57:05Speaker 1: a minute. But the law they passed in sixty six
- 57:08Speaker 1: did still allow states to opt out, which is why
- 57:11Speaker 1: even today Arizona still does not observe daylight saving time.
- 57:14Speaker 1: It is for half plus another month of the year
- 57:19Speaker 1: on one in the Mountain time zone, and then they're
- 57:22Speaker 1: in the Pacific Time Zone for the other part. Why
- 57:24Speaker 1: does not observe daylight saving time. The Navajo Nation inside
- 57:29Speaker 1: Arizona does observe daylight saving time. Indiana spent decades split
- 57:35Speaker 1: between time zones before standardizing statewide daylight saving in two
- 57:39Speaker 1: thousand and six, but even today standardized time contains a
- 57:42Speaker 1: bunch of local exceptions. Now, though it was we did
- 57:46Speaker 1: one more experiment, a year round daylight saving time. We
- 57:49Speaker 1: tried it again in nineteen seventy four during the original
- 57:52Speaker 1: oil crisis. Obviously, the idea was energy conservation, but winter
- 57:57Speaker 1: mornings became dangerously dark. Officials called the ending called for
- 58:02Speaker 1: ending the experiment. Florida, remember home to two cent marko Ruby,
- 58:06Speaker 1: was the lead center of trying to get trying to
- 58:09Speaker 1: go to standardize time zone. But ironically it was Florida
- 58:14Speaker 1: where there was an incident that triggered getting rid of
- 58:17Speaker 1: the year long daylight saving Officials called for an ending
- 58:19Speaker 1: the experiment after eight kids were killed in traffic accidents
- 58:22Speaker 1: in a single month, all while waiting for school buses
- 58:25Speaker 1: before sunrise. Within a year, the policy it was indeed abandoned.
- 58:30Speaker 1: So for most of human history, time belonged to the
- 58:32Speaker 1: sun and the local town and the clock tower. However,
- 58:35Speaker 1: you built your clock tower. Railroads imposed coordinated time for
- 58:39Speaker 1: obvious reasons, War forced governments to actually have to regulate
- 58:43Speaker 1: it for even more obvious reasons, and ever since politics
- 58:46Speaker 1: has been arguing about how the clock should work. Ever since.
- 58:49Speaker 1: Today the world's clocks are synchronized not by the sun
- 58:52Speaker 1: or by the railroads, but by atomic clock so precise
- 58:56Speaker 1: they lose only a second every hundreds of millions of years.
- 59:00Speaker 1: But the principle remains the same. Whoever controls the clock
- 59:03Speaker 1: quietly does shape daily life, work hours, markets, transportations, and
- 59:07Speaker 1: even sleep. Which is why this debate is never going
- 59:12Speaker 1: to end, regardless of what Congress does, whether they continue
- 59:17Speaker 1: to do the mission creep of daylight saving and the
- 59:19Speaker 1: ridiculousness right now of all the darkness in the morning
- 59:23Speaker 1: for so many of us on the East Coast, and
- 59:25Speaker 1: all of the messing with everybody's body clock. What's funny
- 59:29Speaker 1: is that the older you are, the less you care
- 59:31Speaker 1: about daylight in the evening hours, and the younger you are,
- 59:34Speaker 1: and the more you look forward to the daylight in
- 59:36Speaker 1: the evening hours. At least that's the way I remembered
- 59:38Speaker 1: it as a kid. Either way, time doesn't stand still.
- 59:43Speaker 1: Now doesn't all right, I had to try one bad
- 59:45Speaker 1: dad juke there at the end. There you go. There's
- 59:48Speaker 1: your history lesson for the week. Everything you needed to
- 59:50Speaker 1: know about time. Ask Chuck. All right, just a few questions, Uh,
- 1:00:04Speaker 1: do a couple of them here? All right? This one
- 1:00:06Speaker 1: Jay new York, and he wants them. This is a
- 1:00:08Speaker 1: five timer. He has too many good questions. So that's
- 1:00:12Speaker 1: why he makes it. You got to learn from Jay
- 1:00:14Speaker 1: new York. Thank you to answered my question recently about
- 1:00:16Speaker 1: the link between populism and Semitism. I wanted to ask
- 1:00:18Speaker 1: a follow up about the main Senate Democratic primary. The
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: populist Graham Platner continues to lead in polls and earn
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: endorsements despite recent headlines that added to a troubling anti
- 1:00:26Speaker 1: Semitic narrative. As a friend to the Jewish community, I'm
- 1:00:29Speaker 1: concerned about the moral implications of elevating someone with his
- 1:00:32Speaker 1: background as someone who wants to defeat Susan Collins. I'm
- 1:00:34Speaker 1: concerned about the strategic implications of elevating someone who will
- 1:00:38Speaker 1: be inundated with two hundred fifty dollars worth of Nazi
- 1:00:40Speaker 1: tattoo ads. Do you think the Democrats might be walking
- 1:00:42Speaker 1: into a trap here? Or is this just not a
- 1:00:44Speaker 1: saying issue in Maine. We love your thoughts of this
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: unique race. PS. If you answer this, I'm officially in
- 1:00:49Speaker 1: the five time club. Keep me in mind if you
- 1:00:53Speaker 1: ever do any five Time merchandise. I think, look, I
- 1:00:56Speaker 1: need to mess around with this merchandise idea. And so
- 1:01:01Speaker 1: we are officially considered this a We are officially NASA
- 1:01:05Speaker 1: and Lauren we are gonna do merch Okay, there's too many,
- 1:01:09Speaker 1: but we're only going to do fun stuff. Podcast time Machine,
- 1:01:14Speaker 1: five Time ass Chuck. I kinda I kind of dig
- 1:01:17Speaker 1: this because it's it falls under the category if you know,
- 1:01:20Speaker 1: you know, if I can do this without losing losing
- 1:01:23Speaker 1: my shirt? Literally, we are going to do this because
- 1:01:26Speaker 1: this is too much fun. I don't know it's the
- 1:01:32Speaker 1: simple answer here. I vacillate on this. I think there's
- 1:01:37Speaker 1: a lot of there's a part of me I think,
- 1:01:40Speaker 1: you know, Unfortunately, if you don't live in a community
- 1:01:43Speaker 1: with many Jewish people or many Muslim people, you don't
- 1:01:46Speaker 1: learn much about Islam and you don't learn much amount
- 1:01:48Speaker 1: of Judaism. And I accept the premise, you know, I
- 1:01:53Speaker 1: sort of you know, I was I lived in a
- 1:01:57Speaker 1: Jewish bubble, and I didn't fully appreciate that I lived
- 1:01:59Speaker 1: in a Jews bubble. Growing up in Miami. You know,
- 1:02:03Speaker 1: it was not uncommon that there were six or eight
- 1:02:07Speaker 1: of us celebrating Hanukkah, not uncommon that there were a
- 1:02:09Speaker 1: bunch of us, you know, doing Passover. So I never
- 1:02:13Speaker 1: felt I knew I was in the minority, but I
- 1:02:15Speaker 1: never felt isolated. And I say this because if you so,
- 1:02:22Speaker 1: there's a I want to have, I think that it's
- 1:02:25Speaker 1: I think if you're young and dumb and you and
- 1:02:29Speaker 1: you say some things, you get a tattoo, it shouldn't
- 1:02:34Speaker 1: shouldn't mark you for life if you don't. If you're
- 1:02:37Speaker 1: somebody who's educating yourself as you go out through life,
- 1:02:39Speaker 1: and you sort of you know, we've got to allow
- 1:02:43Speaker 1: people to evolve and get smarter and the more they learn, right,
- 1:02:47Speaker 1: you know, I think we do a terrible job of
- 1:02:49Speaker 1: educating people about the Middle East. You've heard me rail
- 1:02:52Speaker 1: about and I put my money where my mouth is.
- 1:02:54Speaker 1: I mean, one of the inspirations for my whole Time
- 1:02:57Speaker 1: Machine segment is by frustration over how people teach the
- 1:03:01Speaker 1: Middle East, how poorly we've taught World War one, how
- 1:03:04Speaker 1: poorly we've taught about the fall of the Ottoman Empire.
- 1:03:06Speaker 1: Most people think the Middle East began in nineteen forty
- 1:03:08Speaker 1: eight with a partition, and it just so. I mean,
- 1:03:12Speaker 1: in many ways, my obsessions with teaching more history and
- 1:03:16Speaker 1: connecting history with what's going on now are at the
- 1:03:20Speaker 1: are at its roots this issue and a guy who
- 1:03:24Speaker 1: grew up without knowing any Jews, and when you don't
- 1:03:28Speaker 1: grow up knowing a minority group at all, it becomes
- 1:03:32Speaker 1: a lot easier to turn them that minority group into
- 1:03:34Speaker 1: a two dimensional figure in your brain. And then it's
- 1:03:37Speaker 1: astonishing that once people meet people from said minority group
- 1:03:41Speaker 1: that they've never met, then all of a sudden they
- 1:03:43Speaker 1: see these you see each other as three dimensional figures,
- 1:03:46Speaker 1: and then suddenly the stupid hate notes away. There can
- 1:03:50Speaker 1: be some caricatures and still some stereotypes that don't go away,
- 1:03:55Speaker 1: you know, like the insistent, you know, the constant reminder
- 1:04:00Speaker 1: of how of which wealthy people happen to be Jewish?
- 1:04:04Speaker 1: What about the wealthy people that aren't Jewish? Does that
- 1:04:06Speaker 1: indicate the Christians control all this money? So it's a
- 1:04:09Speaker 1: it's a really uncomfortable when when people go down that road.
- 1:04:13Speaker 1: I don't think they realize how they're indicting than anybody
- 1:04:17Speaker 1: from any faith, any group of people anyway. It's just
- 1:04:21Speaker 1: it's very disturbing when it's done, and it's obviously done
- 1:04:25Speaker 1: for some it's a way to try to turn working
- 1:04:27Speaker 1: class and poor people who may not know everything about
- 1:04:31Speaker 1: the entity, about what's being debated, automatically against an entire
- 1:04:36Speaker 1: group of people. So I say all that in that
- 1:04:42Speaker 1: what Graham Platner thought and did years ago should be
- 1:04:45Speaker 1: a data point, not the data point. It's how he
- 1:04:51Speaker 1: responds to the attacks. It's how he reassures members of
- 1:04:55Speaker 1: the Jewish community and members of any minority community that
- 1:04:59Speaker 1: he hasn't agree with, whether they should feel comfortable that
- 1:05:02Speaker 1: he's going to represent their interests. Now, you know a
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: lot of this, a lot of this timing matters here, right,
- 1:05:12Speaker 1: What's what's going to be the focal point? I The
- 1:05:18Speaker 1: question is in most campaigns, who's it going to be
- 1:05:21Speaker 1: a referendumunt? Is this a referendum on Trump? Is this
- 1:05:24Speaker 1: a referendum on Platner? Is this a referendum on Collins?
- 1:05:27Speaker 1: And ultimately, which campaign is able to write she wants
- 1:05:30Speaker 1: to make it a referendum on Platner. If Platner gets
- 1:05:36Speaker 1: a nomination, Mills wants to make it an electability argument,
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: which about Platner, which only but it doesn't fix the
- 1:05:43Speaker 1: perception of the problems that some in the in the
- 1:05:47Speaker 1: Democratic base had with her. So it could be a
- 1:05:52Speaker 1: problem if he's a bad candidate. It's not a problem
- 1:05:55Speaker 1: if his if he's truly evolved from the guy who
- 1:05:59Speaker 1: had the Nats who decide who made the decision to
- 1:06:01Speaker 1: get the Nazi tattoo right? Is that you know, it's
- 1:06:05Speaker 1: sort of like who is the real grand Platner. We're
- 1:06:07Speaker 1: gonna the campaign itself will expose this. Campaigns are MRIs
- 1:06:12Speaker 1: for the soul, not just presidential campaigns, but pretty high
- 1:06:15Speaker 1: expensive campaigns are. So ultimately we'll we'll learn from Platner
- 1:06:20Speaker 1: and we'll see how he handles this. I've been I
- 1:06:25Speaker 1: would give him about a C minus so far in
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: handling this. He's he's done the bare minimum. But I
- 1:06:30Speaker 1: don't I think they're trying so hard to avoid it
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: that it because I think they're they don't have I
- 1:06:37Speaker 1: think he's changed the explanation a couple of times, which
- 1:06:40Speaker 1: then doesn't help the situation. But It's also very possible
- 1:06:47Speaker 1: that he could not manage this well and still win.
- 1:06:51Speaker 1: That's how much I think this becomes a referendum on
- 1:06:53Speaker 1: Trump into a less or so on Collins. So, now,
- 1:07:01Speaker 1: if there's a high profile attack on Jews that take
- 1:07:03Speaker 1: place in October and the way things are going, the
- 1:07:08Speaker 1: likelihood of that is not low. Unfortunately, that could change.
- 1:07:12Speaker 1: That could change things in this race. Right, That's one
- 1:07:15Speaker 1: of those where how things play out could change things.
- 1:07:20Speaker 1: But in some ways I think he has not inoculated
- 1:07:22Speaker 1: himself enough on this issue. Next question comes from Lauren
- 1:07:27Speaker 1: mm hey. Thanks for introducing us to the Perfect Neighbor documentary.
- 1:07:30Speaker 1: I was very impressed with their ability to string together
- 1:07:32Speaker 1: bodycam video pretty seamlessly into a comprehensive storyline. I was
- 1:07:35Speaker 1: also impressed by the professionalism and kindness of the police
- 1:07:38Speaker 1: towards the community. What a sorrowful story, but an important
- 1:07:40Speaker 1: one to share in Lauren m Lauren, That's exactly the
- 1:07:42Speaker 1: impression I got, And I understand. You know, we had
- 1:07:45Speaker 1: this long debate with the filmmaker about how should you know?
- 1:07:49Speaker 1: And I think I think various people view the behavior
- 1:07:52Speaker 1: of the police in different ways, and but it it
- 1:07:55Speaker 1: doesn't matter. I mean, I think it's I think to
- 1:07:58Speaker 1: me it was a reminder why body footage should be
- 1:08:01Speaker 1: a necessity and there shouldn't be any law enforcement without
- 1:08:04Speaker 1: it and all times, and there's no doubt, right incentives.
- 1:08:09Speaker 1: When you have good incentive structures, your behavior changes, and
- 1:08:12Speaker 1: these police officers have good incentive structures and their behavior
- 1:08:15Speaker 1: whether you know. I think it's a reminder that I
- 1:08:18Speaker 1: think ninety five percent of police officers, you know, their
- 1:08:21Speaker 1: intent is to keep calm. Their intent is to be
- 1:08:25Speaker 1: a member of the community, not an enforcer of law
- 1:08:28Speaker 1: inside the community. Right, So I'm with you. I think
- 1:08:31Speaker 1: that's it's a tragic story. I think there's reminders of,
- 1:08:36Speaker 1: you know, how institutional racism does play can play itself
- 1:08:40Speaker 1: out into society and ways that we don't fully see,
- 1:08:43Speaker 1: but you kind of have to experience this. But just
- 1:08:45Speaker 1: going through it and realizing, you know, the world that
- 1:08:48Speaker 1: that woman was raised in and the war and it
- 1:08:51Speaker 1: just it's it's tragic, but it was. It was just
- 1:08:54Speaker 1: such a wealthier I'm so glad you enjoyed it. And
- 1:08:58Speaker 1: this just makes me go, I continue, you know, because
- 1:09:02Speaker 1: these aren't always the best interviews for the utube algorithms, right,
- 1:09:06Speaker 1: that sort of thing. But this is why I want
- 1:09:09Speaker 1: to keep fighting to get these important conversations in the
- 1:09:14Speaker 1: audio space. Brian from Marlington, Virginia rights, Hey, I live
- 1:09:17Speaker 1: in Virginia, but loved your recent top five Texas state
- 1:09:20Speaker 1: y racist. Perhaps you'll add this small twist to the
- 1:09:23Speaker 1: Bush the bench Benson honorable mention story in a future telling. Yes,
- 1:09:26Speaker 1: George HW. Bush lost that Senate race to Benson, but
- 1:09:28Speaker 1: he got more than even Bush Quail Pete to cockas
- 1:09:31Speaker 1: Benson in the eighty eight US presidential election. Absolutely, Brian,
- 1:09:34Speaker 1: I mean, you gotta love the fact that they faced
- 1:09:36Speaker 1: off twice, right, Like, it's just such a you know,
- 1:09:39Speaker 1: I just love those little I'm with you that thread.
- 1:09:42Speaker 1: You're right, that was like the thread I think was implied,
- 1:09:45Speaker 1: but I didn't say it directly. It's a it's a
- 1:09:47Speaker 1: great it's you know. That's why I love history. I
- 1:09:50Speaker 1: love the I love how everything is connectedly one large
- 1:09:53Speaker 1: family tree of American history. Last question before I keep
- 1:10:00Speaker 1: going to a quick little uh my advice for filling
- 1:10:03Speaker 1: out here into DOAA bracket. This comes from Luke and
- 1:10:06Speaker 1: he writes, happened to notice Trump's post on troop social
- 1:10:08Speaker 1: today lotting his ability to change the American media landscape,
- 1:10:12Speaker 1: and I noticed you happen to be featured. Yeah, congrats
- 1:10:14Speaker 1: to me. I think listeners know your opinion on the
- 1:10:17Speaker 1: administration's meddling in the free press by now. But I'm
- 1:10:19Speaker 1: curious how you feel about the President taking credit for
- 1:10:21Speaker 1: your move to independent media. Seems the Post is suggesting
- 1:10:24Speaker 1: that he's removed your influence in public discourse, among others.
- 1:10:27Speaker 1: But I wonder if you feel your reach has grown
- 1:10:29Speaker 1: or shrunk since the move. Independent media has certainly allowed
- 1:10:33Speaker 1: you to speak more freely, and I, for one, have
- 1:10:34Speaker 1: loved the change. Should I thank Trump? I guess thanks
- 1:10:37Speaker 1: for everything you do. Luke. You know it's funny. You
- 1:10:41Speaker 1: know you're like, well, thanks for caring, mister president. I'm
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: so glad you cared. It's I will tell you how
- 1:10:50Speaker 1: I know that I've gotten some really good traction. So
- 1:10:56Speaker 1: for last summer through say, you know, September October, I'd
- 1:11:03Speaker 1: run into people who would say, hey, I miss you
- 1:11:06Speaker 1: on Meet the Press? What are you doing now? Over
- 1:11:10Speaker 1: the last three months pretty much since election Day twenty
- 1:11:14Speaker 1: twenty five. You know, it's just sort of how I
- 1:11:16Speaker 1: can tell it's building. It's like, hey, I miss you
- 1:11:19Speaker 1: on Meet the Press, but I love what you're doing. So,
- 1:11:23Speaker 1: you know, like everything, it takes time to build. But
- 1:11:26Speaker 1: in some ways, I mean, thank you, mister President. Incredible
- 1:11:30Speaker 1: endorsement of why you can't trust you know, they're trying
- 1:11:35Speaker 1: to extort the corporations that that that own broadcast media.
- 1:11:42Speaker 1: He's acknowledged that I was one that spoke truth to
- 1:11:44Speaker 1: power and they didn't like it, you know, I mean
- 1:11:51Speaker 1: it is nobody had ever successfully you know, I'd all
- 1:11:56Speaker 1: the attacks by sort of the right wing, you know,
- 1:11:58Speaker 1: sort of message machine, you know, you're your sort of
- 1:12:00Speaker 1: your dumbasses, right the Fox and Friends world and Hannity
- 1:12:06Speaker 1: and O'Reilly back before there was an O'Reilly, you know,
- 1:12:09Speaker 1: the ones that were just sort of like paint by
- 1:12:11Speaker 1: numbers there. Every attack on me never was substantive. It
- 1:12:16Speaker 1: was always a derivative of, oh, I know a Democrat,
- 1:12:21Speaker 1: or I'm related to a democrat, or I'm married to
- 1:12:23Speaker 1: somebody who's in partisan politics, or i'm there were always
- 1:12:27Speaker 1: these derivatives. There was never they never there was never
- 1:12:32Speaker 1: the actual substance of what I did, and nobody would
- 1:12:34Speaker 1: ever say I was an unfair interviewer. They couldn't even
- 1:12:37Speaker 1: say that either. So it was always an attempt to
- 1:12:40Speaker 1: do guilt by association, guilt by association if I had,
- 1:12:43Speaker 1: if I interacted with people in the other political party,
- 1:12:46Speaker 1: guilt by association where I work, guilt by association. And
- 1:12:49Speaker 1: it was always just sort of ham handed, and it
- 1:12:51Speaker 1: was it was done in such a way that never
- 1:12:53Speaker 1: hurt my credibility. It only enhanced it. And this, I mean,
- 1:12:57Speaker 1: my goodness, thank you, mister president. I mean, what a
- 1:13:01Speaker 1: way to enhance my credibility as an independent journalist to
- 1:13:05Speaker 1: note that you that you're you're claiming you are manipulating.
- 1:13:09Speaker 1: I mean, if I am at one of these broadcast networks,
- 1:13:12Speaker 1: I hate what he did because he's put everybody in
- 1:13:15Speaker 1: a terrible position. And again I urge the CEOs of
- 1:13:20Speaker 1: these major corporations that own these broadcast news divisions to
- 1:13:24Speaker 1: grow a frickin' spine and stand up and say, hey,
- 1:13:28Speaker 1: I don't always like what they report, but I'm never
- 1:13:30Speaker 1: standing in the way of what they're doing. Get out
- 1:13:33Speaker 1: your big boy pants and put them on all right.
- 1:13:38Speaker 1: Stop capitulating, Stop settling bullshit lawsuits, mister Haiger, stop spinning
- 1:13:44Speaker 1: off cable channels just to appease regulators, mister Roberts. And then,
- 1:13:54Speaker 1: of course, you know what the ellisids are doing is
- 1:13:57Speaker 1: classic virtue signaling that the the worst of all worlds
- 1:14:00Speaker 1: we know's going to come as soon as there's a
- 1:14:03Speaker 1: new administration. They're just going to cut loose the entire
- 1:14:05Speaker 1: news division anyway and get rid of it. And not
- 1:14:08Speaker 1: what the headache, you know what, please just sell the
- 1:14:11Speaker 1: news divisions. Just sell them, allow for truly independent board
- 1:14:17Speaker 1: of directors, independent ownership. We cannot have anybody who can
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: be extorted by any entity in government, whether it's a
- 1:14:23Speaker 1: left wing government or a right wing government, not if
- 1:14:25Speaker 1: we want to protect what we care about as freedom
- 1:14:28Speaker 1: of the press. So anyway, I was amused, and at
- 1:14:34Speaker 1: the end of the day it was in many ways,
- 1:14:39Speaker 1: and I viewed it as an endorsement. So thank you
- 1:14:42Speaker 1: for noticing, thank you for the question, and thanks for
- 1:14:47Speaker 1: the support and the growth, because this is how we
- 1:14:50Speaker 1: rebuild a trusted information ecosystem and I'm proud of what
- 1:14:55Speaker 1: we're doing. So thank you, And with that, let's get
- 1:14:58Speaker 1: to some serious business filling out your bracket. Look, I'm
- 1:15:01Speaker 1: going to be very careful here here's what I will
- 1:15:06Speaker 1: just tell you. I know everybody will tell you there's
- 1:15:09Speaker 1: always a thirteen seed that you have to contemplate, and
- 1:15:12Speaker 1: you know, usually, boy, those twelve five matchups are always tough,
- 1:15:15Speaker 1: and you got to take a tw This is going
- 1:15:19Speaker 1: to be a chalky year, Okay. I put it this way.
- 1:15:23Speaker 1: I am The last thing I'd want to be is
- 1:15:25Speaker 1: a seventh seed or higher in this tournament because if
- 1:15:28Speaker 1: you're facing a one or two seed in the second round,
- 1:15:31Speaker 1: you are screwed. The number ones and number twos are
- 1:15:35Speaker 1: so much better. There's a couple of stats you need
- 1:15:38Speaker 1: to be paying attention to. Just it is okay to
- 1:15:41Speaker 1: get chalky with your brackets. And here's why. There's some
- 1:15:45Speaker 1: great analysis that this year's Bubble Teams was the worst
- 1:15:49Speaker 1: set of Bubble teams that have been in contention, meaning
- 1:15:53Speaker 1: these essentially some of these teams wouldn't have even been
- 1:15:56Speaker 1: on the bubble in previous years because their records aren't
- 1:15:59Speaker 1: not that good. I'm looking at you, Auburn, their metrics
- 1:16:03Speaker 1: aren't that great. Like it just you know, look, you
- 1:16:05Speaker 1: got to put sixty eight teams in and there's always
- 1:16:08Speaker 1: you know where it will get up. And yes, I'm
- 1:16:10Speaker 1: for ninety six. In case anybody's asking whatever it is,
- 1:16:15Speaker 1: I think ninety six would would would would take you
- 1:16:17Speaker 1: to another adding another thirty two. So I am in
- 1:16:20Speaker 1: favor of it personally, but I don't think you're going
- 1:16:24Speaker 1: to see i'd be. I am highly doubtful. Put it
- 1:16:29Speaker 1: this way, I am not betting on a single double
- 1:16:32Speaker 1: digit seed to make it to the sweet sixty. Maybe
- 1:16:36Speaker 1: a one seed loses in the second round, but I
- 1:16:38Speaker 1: don't buy that either. This could be the year the
- 1:16:41Speaker 1: all ones and twos make it through the first weekend
- 1:16:44Speaker 1: and a lot of the And if you tell me
- 1:16:51Speaker 1: you know there are more threes and fours than there
- 1:16:53Speaker 1: are fives and six as it wouldn't surprise me either.
- 1:16:57Speaker 1: It's the top ten is as strong as it's ever been,
- 1:17:00Speaker 1: least amount of losses compared to previous top tens, and
- 1:17:02Speaker 1: the bubble teams are The point is, you know, and
- 1:17:07Speaker 1: the reason I'm saying this out loud because I'm one
- 1:17:10Speaker 1: of those it screws up my brecket every year by trying.
- 1:17:12Speaker 1: I always picked the wrong twelves, the wrong thirteen, the
- 1:17:15Speaker 1: wrong elevens. I'm right that there's a couple of elevens
- 1:17:19Speaker 1: that get there or twelve or that. What I'm saying
- 1:17:21Speaker 1: this year is I'm avoiding those double digit seeds like
- 1:17:24Speaker 1: the plague. That's my one piece of advice for you
- 1:17:27Speaker 1: on that. My rooting interest. In case you're wondering, it's
- 1:17:32Speaker 1: always GW basketball first before Miami Basketball, and we had
- 1:17:37Speaker 1: a fun little run, should have beaten in Saint Louis,
- 1:17:39Speaker 1: blew a big lead. It's the story of my time
- 1:17:41Speaker 1: with GW. I can't tell you how many times in
- 1:17:44Speaker 1: key critical games that GW is blowing a double digit lead.
- 1:17:48Speaker 1: I'm still still upset about one, going back to the
- 1:17:51Speaker 1: NCAA tournament in the early nineties against Iowa, I think
- 1:17:53Speaker 1: we blew a fifteen point lead with less than five
- 1:17:55Speaker 1: minutes ago in a game in a first round matchup
- 1:17:59Speaker 1: when Doctor Tom and I think it was doctor Tom
- 1:18:01Speaker 1: Davis as the coach back then who never lost a
- 1:18:03Speaker 1: first round matchup. It seemed any time it happened, we
- 1:18:07Speaker 1: were the one that he should have lost and it
- 1:18:09Speaker 1: didn't happen. But that's always my primary. After that, it's Miami,
- 1:18:14Speaker 1: and then after that I will tell you of the
- 1:18:17Speaker 1: big top two seeds. You know, I'm kind of pulling
- 1:18:21Speaker 1: for Houston. I kind of feel like they're the elite
- 1:18:24Speaker 1: team that gets no respect. They're there every year, they
- 1:18:27Speaker 1: seem to always get there. They can't quite Calvin Sampson
- 1:18:30Speaker 1: can't quite get that ring. What more, you know, he's
- 1:18:34Speaker 1: one of the few guys that seems to have transitioned
- 1:18:36Speaker 1: from the previous era of how you do college basketball
- 1:18:39Speaker 1: to this era of how you do it. They always
- 1:18:42Speaker 1: play gritty, they're tough, they're physical. It's not always the
- 1:18:46Speaker 1: prettiest game. But I find myself I'm kind of you know,
- 1:18:51Speaker 1: and you know, I know most people either like to
- 1:18:55Speaker 1: root against Duke. I don't have those strong feelings about
- 1:18:58Speaker 1: Duke that others do. I strong feelings are always reserved
- 1:19:02Speaker 1: for one and one school only, and it's the school
- 1:19:06Speaker 1: that is in the most unfortunate geographic region in the
- 1:19:09Speaker 1: state of Florida, the armpit of Florida of the Peninsula.
- 1:19:12Speaker 1: It is Gainesville, the University of Florida, which of course
- 1:19:15Speaker 1: means they're likely going to win back to back titles.
- 1:19:20Speaker 1: But with that, there's my unofficial advice for how to
- 1:19:23Speaker 1: manage your bracket. I know I'm telling you to be chocky. Yes,
- 1:19:28Speaker 1: be chocky, be chocky. I will say this, I don't
- 1:19:31Speaker 1: trust yu Kon. They seem flawed looking backwards. It's amazing
- 1:19:38Speaker 1: Duke didn't win last year. It feels like, you know,
- 1:19:44Speaker 1: it feels like we're inevitably going to see some sort
- 1:19:47Speaker 1: of Duke Michigan rematch here. They seem to be up
- 1:19:51Speaker 1: and above, But boy, the Big twelve. What I love
- 1:19:53Speaker 1: about this tournament is that I can't wait to see
- 1:19:56Speaker 1: some of these Big twelve teams play a few of
- 1:19:58Speaker 1: these ACC teams and Big ten teams, and all four
- 1:20:02Speaker 1: Power four conferences are going to have eight or more
- 1:20:05Speaker 1: in this sucker. How many have three or more left
- 1:20:10Speaker 1: by the second weekend that will determine prominence. It feels
- 1:20:13Speaker 1: like it's the SEC that's going to take the beat
- 1:20:15Speaker 1: down this year. That there's only Florida and maybe Vanderbilt
- 1:20:20Speaker 1: has the capability of getting to the eight. Maybe Vanderbilt.
- 1:20:24Speaker 1: I kind of like them. You know, it's hard to
- 1:20:28Speaker 1: call somebody that's essentially a top twenty five team a
- 1:20:31Speaker 1: dark horse there in Vandy, but that's probably the only
- 1:20:34Speaker 1: other SEC team. You know, you never want to rule
- 1:20:38Speaker 1: out Calipari at Arkansas, But I think the SEC is
- 1:20:43Speaker 1: the conference that gets. You know, there's always one conference
- 1:20:45Speaker 1: that you know falls on its face in the first
- 1:20:48Speaker 1: first two rounds. Maybe I'm hoping it's the SEC because
- 1:20:52Speaker 1: I love rooting against them as an ACC guy. But
- 1:20:54Speaker 1: in all honesty, I the SEC seems the most vulnerably.
- 1:20:58Speaker 1: They're the lead, They're the lead. He's top heavy of
- 1:21:02Speaker 1: the conferences there. And I will say this, I do
- 1:21:04Speaker 1: think the ACC is getting disrespected that the idea that
- 1:21:09Speaker 1: only gets to be a high seat and none of
- 1:21:11Speaker 1: the other schools anyway, Just think all the ACC schools
- 1:21:14Speaker 1: feel like they're all seated about a slot too low.
- 1:21:18Speaker 1: But they've been punished for what was a bad year
- 1:21:20Speaker 1: last year. You know that stuff matters, even if they
- 1:21:24Speaker 1: say it's not supposed to matter. All right, enjoy the tournament,
- 1:21:27Speaker 1: Enjoy the next two next two weeks which are amazing.
- 1:21:31Speaker 1: I'll see you election night Tuesday night, Primary night in Illinois,
- 1:21:35Speaker 1: and of course right back here on Wednesday morning.