Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 86 - 7/30/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 86 - 7/30/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:18
Hello and welcome to episode 86 of the All Systems Go sports
0:24
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:27
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
0:34
Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena,
0:37
guys. Only two days left today and
0:39
tomorrow for the month of July, and then we flip the page and
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get to August. And did you guys know this kind
0:45
of crept up on me a little bit on Thursday, August 1st is the
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NFL Hall of Fame game. That's right, the first game of
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the NFL season, a preseason matchup.
0:55
We actually might have a bet on this one because I do have kind
0:59
of a theory or a style of betting the preseason, looking
1:02
at information based bets, looking at how the market moves
1:06
and I'm seeing Houston, Chicago, some movement.
1:09
We did see Chicago open as a 1 1/2 point favorite.
1:11
Now it's flipped to Houston -1 1/2.
1:14
Typically you see lower scoring games here.
1:15
We did see the total fall around 33 down to 31 1/2.
1:19
So we are going to talk some football.
1:21
If you've been waiting for football to get back in your
1:23
life, well guess what? You don't have to wait much
1:25
longer because we do have the Hall of Fame game and just two
1:29
short days. That means football is going to
1:31
be back in our lives anyway. With that being said, until that
1:34
time, we're still going to grind Major League Baseball.
1:37
Today is the trade deadline. So of course before we get to
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all of our sweats for today, which I do have a 5 pack for
1:43
you, including four dogs. Who let the dogs out.
1:47
I got a lot of dogs for you today guys.
1:49
Four dogs. Can we go two and two eke out a
1:51
profit because of plus money? And then I got a total for you,
1:54
which hopefully we'll get a redo of last night's total, which
1:57
made us sweat but did go over. But A5 pack overall, 4 money
2:00
lines, all dogs in one total. But today is the trade deadline,
2:04
and we do want to keep our eyes out on starting pitchers getting
2:08
scratched. We saw it actually happened a
2:10
couple times yesterday. Now we talked about from last
2:13
night, 2 and 2 -, 0.49 units or you went to one and 1 + 0.51
2:19
units. And you might ask yourself,
2:20
Josh, what are you talking about?
2:21
You had four bets. How can you either have gone two
2:24
and two or two one and one? Well, it all hinged on that
2:28
Houston Astros game because the Houston Astros, if you had bet
2:31
them listed pitcher, that game was a no bet.
2:33
It was an alt. It was a refund.
2:35
It was a it was a not non action because you did see a starting
2:38
pitcher getting scratched. There it was.
2:41
I forgot the kids name, but he just actually just got traded
2:44
with the Kachuki deal. Anyway, he got scratched.
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Houston ends up losing the game. So if you woke up saying like
2:50
man, tough loss with Houston. By the way, Josh Hader, those of
2:53
you who did either bet action or maybe you re bet the game after
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you saw the starting pitcher getting scratched, Josh Hader
3:00
blew it for us last night. I thought Josh Hader was
3:03
unhittable out of the pen. He gave up a three run Homer in
3:06
the top of the ninth inning to Michael Taylor, who's hitting
3:08
like $1.90 and he's got two homers on the year.
3:10
So anyway, that was either a loss or it was a non action
3:15
depending on action versus the pitcher.
3:17
Twins got their faces beat in, more on them later, but we did
3:20
have a couple good hits with the Guardians.
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Remember the Guardians had that good sharp move in their favor.
3:25
You might have bet them early at -120 but that was another
3:28
scratch starting pitcher. And we did talk about on the pod
3:31
yesterday re betting the game. Well, I'm glad we re bet it
3:34
because they rolled in that one. Was it eight to three, eight to
3:36
four, something like that. But my favorite game from last
3:39
night, Kansas City and Chicago over 9 now.
3:43
I was getting flashbacks because a lot of us, I bet the, you
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know, over 9 or 9 1/2 and it was a five to four-game.
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I believe going into the 8th inning, I'm like, here we go
3:52
again. You know, the people who got the
3:54
bad 9 1/2, we're going to lose. It's going to land five to four.
3:56
Funny how that always happens. And then we got a gift from the
3:59
gods because Bobby Witt Junior, this guy is an absolute stud,
4:04
hit a Grand Slam in the 8th inning to cash that over.
4:07
So they got 9 or 9 1/2 either way.
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You catch that, that over bet. So 2 and 2 -, 1/2 unit or two
4:15
one and one up a half unit. Again, all dependent upon action
4:18
versus the pitcher and how you handled that Houston game.
4:21
Either way, guys, we're going to turn the page from yesterday to
4:23
today and keep on grinding and talk some Major League Baseball.
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So again, mention this, but stay glued to Twitter, see what's
4:30
going on in the trade market, see what's going on with scratch
4:34
starting pitchers. But as of now, these are the
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bets that I have for you, and we're going to hopefully get
4:38
some dogs to bark today. So first on the board, Yankees
4:42
and the Philadelphia Phillies. This is a 6:40 PM.
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Eastern Time for his pitch. We saw the Yankees.
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I'm actually kicking myself for not playing the Yankees
4:49
yesterday because it'd see a little movement in their favor.
4:51
They're like plus 130 down to plus 120.
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But I'm not going to miss that opportunity today.
4:56
Another sharp move to the Yankees.
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Spoiler alert, I'm going Yankees.
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Anyway. Yankees are 63 and 45.
5:02
Won the opener last night 14 to 4:00.
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Looks like Jazz Chisel was a good pick up for them.
5:07
Hit two homers. They cash plus 115 + 120
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tonight. Three match.
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The Yankees are going with Garrett Cole three and two 5.4 O
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ERA. Meanwhile, the Phills are going
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to go with Aaron Nola 11 and four 3.44 ERA.
5:22
The Phills on the year 65 and 41.
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So what do we see across the market here?
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Well, we saw this line open Philly list around a -, 125 home
5:30
favorite. Now Philly's down to like -110
5:35
this is basically becoming a pick em game.
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We've seen the sign go away from the Phills toward the Yankees.
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Yankees open getting around plus 115.
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Now the Yankees are down to again minus one O 5 -, 110.
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So the lines going away from Philly toward New York, NY,
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which tells me smart money is going Yankees once again today,
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Yankees pretty good bet split 60% bets, nearly 70% money.
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So slight public support, but good low bets, higher dollars
6:02
bet split in their favor. Yankees also has a good
6:04
correlative betting like technically they're a dog right
6:07
now. We may see this flip dog to
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fave. As of now, they're a very slight
6:11
-1 O five row dog. But if you look at dog high
6:14
total total, this one is 9 1/2. It's kind of interesting because
6:17
Cola Nola, you know, you would think, you know, these are two
6:20
of the best pitchers in baseball probably going to get a low
6:22
scoring game, right, Three to two game.
6:24
But no, this total is actually ticked up.
6:26
It opened at around 8 1/2. It's been bet up to 9 1/2.
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So seeing that total rise, that's a good thing because the
6:33
Yankees are the dog. Therefore, when you are a dog,
6:36
high total correlative betting play member.
6:37
We like favorites, low totals, fair amount of expected runs
6:40
scored, more likely to come from the favored team, the better
6:43
team expected to win. So a total like less than 8 1/2.
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This total is 9 1/2. So more expected runs, more
6:50
upset opportunities, more variants benefit to the dog.
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Now the Yankees are four and one in Cole's last five starts.
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I know he hasn't pitched great. Remember, he was injured for
6:58
much of the first half. But the Yankees, I'm going to
7:01
bank on their offense because they are red hot right now.
7:03
They got Stanton back from the injured list.
7:05
Obviously, Judge is incredible, but bring in Jazz Chisholm.
7:08
I thought that was a really good pick up for her from the
7:10
Marlins. They're hitting 291.
7:12
The Yankees are in their last ten games.
7:15
Phillies are hitting 229 in their last 10 games.
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New York also has the better bullpen.
7:19
They have an ERA of 3.63 versus 4 point O 7.
7:23
And in this spot, the Yankees as a dog, they're 16 and 770
7:27
percent, 48% ROI as a dog this year.
7:31
Again, if you're just 500 as a dog, you're doing very well
7:34
because of plus money. You're profitable When you're 16
7:37
and seven as a dog, man, you really play well.
7:40
Maybe it's, I don't know, Aaron Boone using it as motivation
7:43
here. But either way, Yankees are
7:45
great when they're kind of counted out.
7:47
They are the best dog team in baseball.
7:49
So the Yankees have a good sharp move in their favor, low bets,
7:51
higher dollars, bet split, better bats, and great as a dog.
7:55
That's enough for me, guys. I'm going to go Yankees here.
7:57
Shop around. I got Yankees a little bit
7:59
earlier today at plus 100. Now you're looking Yankees at
8:01
around -105 keep on cruising. Seattle Mariners, Boston Red
8:06
Sox. Now, here's another game I was
8:07
kicking myself from yesterday that I didn't take the Red Sox
8:10
because they moved a little bit. They're like -110 up to -115.
8:14
And then those of you who like to look at late movement, they
8:16
shot up as high as like -125 -, 130 like the last 10 minutes
8:21
before that game started. They end up rolling 7:14 to
8:24
7:00. There's a football score for
8:26
you. But I'm not going to miss the
8:27
Sox tonight. I'm going Red Sox game two of
8:30
the series. We did see, of course, the Red
8:32
Sox roll yesterday as around a -, 125 home favorite.
8:35
Sox are now 56 and 49, Mariners 56 and 52.
8:39
So kind of right there battling for a wild card spot.
8:42
But going into this one pitching match up, we have the righty
8:45
Luis Castillo going for Seattle on the year.
8:48
Castillo is, let me find it eight and ten. 3.38 ERA mean all
8:53
the Red Sox are going to go with lefty James Paxton.
8:55
I just picked him up, reacquired him from the Dodgers.
8:58
Paxton on the year 8 and two 4.43 ERA.
9:01
I'm I don't really get why the Dodgers let him go.
9:04
His numbers don't look that bad. His ERA isn't 9 Anyway, we've
9:08
seen this line go away from Seattle toward Boston.
9:10
Boston or actually Seattle open this game around a -, 130 Rd.
9:14
favorite. Seattle's now down to -115 So
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the line's going away from Seattle toward the Red Sox.
9:20
Red Sox were plus 115. Now they're down to basically
9:23
plus 100. Even money even see some shops
9:25
may be creeping toward like -1 O 5 Boston.
9:27
So basically, if you like the Yankees, you like the Red Sox.
9:30
Vice versa. These are both you know, short
9:32
dogs that are becoming a pick em type play or becoming shorter of
9:36
a dog. But the Red Sox 65% bets nearly
9:39
70% money. So good combo of pro and Joe
9:41
support. In addition to that steam move
9:43
in their favor. Red Sox have that dog high total
9:47
correlative betting total in this one is 10 1/2 open 9 1/2.
9:50
Looks like a lot of money going over here as obviously easily
9:53
catch the over yesterday, but dog high total in favor of the
9:57
Red Sox. Red Sox also have the better
9:59
bats. This to me is the advantage
10:00
here. Hopefully they can get to
10:02
Castillo. The Red Sox are hitting 259 with
10:05
513 runs scored. Mariners are hitting 2:18 with
10:09
only 419 runs scored. Their offense has been so bad,
10:12
they dealt for Rose Arena and Justin Turner yesterday.
10:15
Meanwhile, Castillo, he's been good all year, 2.82 ERA at home,
10:19
but 4.11 on the road, he's on the road tonight.
10:22
And Paxton, who again was just picked up from the Dodgers, he's
10:26
very well rested. He hasn't pitched since July
10:28
21st. Hopefully that is a benefit.
10:30
He's got a fresh arm. Mariners only hitting 215
10:34
against lefties this year. That's dead last in baseball.
10:37
That's that's hopefully going to be at play to our benefit
10:39
tonight mean all the Sox are hitting 264 against righties.
10:43
That's second best in baseball against righties.
10:46
And like the Yankees barking as a dog, Red Sox as a home dog.
10:49
Nine and eight this year, 53%. But because of that plus money,
10:53
you're up 13% ROI. So that is a play for me on
10:57
Boston. I got the Red Sox at even money
10:59
plus 100. Now you're looking at around
11:01
plus 100 or around -1 O 5. Keep on cruising.
11:05
This team absolutely let us down last night.
11:07
Wasn't even close. Got their faces ripped off.
11:10
But I'm a glutton for punishment.
11:12
I'm going right back to the well with the Twinkies.
11:15
They're sharp again tonight. Let's get some revenge.
11:17
Minnesota on the road against the New York Mets.
11:20
Obviously we've seen both these teams really turned it on.
11:24
I think the Twins were kind of pretty much good from start to
11:27
current. Mets obviously have really
11:28
turned it around recently, but going to this one, the Twins 58
11:32
and 47, the New York Mets 56 and 50.
11:35
You did see of course the Mets roll 15 to 2 yesterday.
11:39
But for the pitching match up here for tonight, we have David
11:42
Festa. He is on the bump.
11:44
He's a young kid. You probably never heard of him.
11:46
I really haven't until today, but he is a 24 year old rookie
11:51
one and one 8.16 ERA. He'll be opposed by Sean Manias
11:55
six and four 3.74 ERA. What have we seen across the
11:58
market here? Well, this line is going away
12:01
from the Mets toward the Minnesota Twins.
12:04
This game open Mets listed around a -, 135 even -140 home
12:08
favorite. Now the Mets are down to -125 -,
12:12
120. Now that is important because if
12:14
you'll get the bet splits, everyone's betting the Mets.
12:16
The Mets are getting 75% of tickets.
12:19
So if they're getting 75% of tickets, why are we seeing this
12:23
line go away from them? You know, if they open -140 ish,
12:26
shouldn't this line be moving up to -150 -, 160?
12:30
You would think so. Get the lines going the other
12:32
way toward Minnesota. Minnesota open, getting a, you
12:35
know, plus 125. They're down to plus 105 even
12:38
though they're only getting 25% of bets.
12:41
So with this line moving away from the Mets toward Minnesota
12:44
tells me we got smart money on the Twinkies.
12:46
Back to that pitching matchup, David Festa, young kid here, he
12:50
got lit up in his first two starts.
12:52
You're asking like how can we bet on this guy with an 8 ERA?
12:55
He did pitch better his last time out.
12:56
It was a 5 four win against the Phillies.
12:58
He went 4.1 innings pitched, only gave up one run, struck out
13:01
seven. Also, hey, he's never faced
13:04
obviously the Mets, so maybe that's an advantage.
13:07
They won't really have a book on him.
13:09
And if you look at Sean Manaya on the road, 3.17 ERA at home,
13:13
4.33. So hopefully the bats of the
13:15
Twins can get to the Mets. You also look at the Minnesota
13:19
Twins against left-handed pitching now.
13:21
It didn't bode well for us yesterday.
13:23
They went against Cantana, couldn't get anything going, but
13:26
they are hitting 276 against lefties.
13:28
Minaya is a lefty that is number one in baseball against
13:31
southpaws. Of course only 25% bets, but
13:35
nearly 40% money is on Minnesota.
13:37
So I'm on the Twinkies here guys.
13:38
I got Minnesota at around plus one O 5.
13:41
You might be able to shop around.
13:42
Get closer to a + 110. But I also want to give a shout
13:46
out to Juice Reel and in particular the hardest working
13:49
AI bot in the game, Robo Jackson.
13:51
Because Robo Jackson is 9 and one last 10.
13:54
Bets you might see me tweet up about Juice Reel looking at
13:58
arbitrage sharp mush. Remember yesterday was a
14:00
Cleveland Guardians sharp mush opportunity where the best
14:04
betters run Cleveland, the worst betters run Detroit.
14:07
But Juice Reel 2 picks a day, Come out at noon every day at
14:10
noon. The first one here is on the
14:12
Twins. So Robo Jackson is sharp as a
14:14
tack, hot as hell right now. He's on the Twins.
14:17
So that's a good thing, which matches with our market based
14:20
approach. Liking the Twins today, so let's
14:22
go Minnesota plus 105 + 110. Let's see if a dog can bark.
14:27
Keep on cruising. Next one for you, Let's look at
14:29
eight. 9:38 PM Eastern Time. First pitch between two really
14:33
bad teams, Colorado Rockies and the Los Angeles Angels.
14:37
Now, going to this one, this is going to be our total bet.
14:40
By the way, we've seen this line pretty much stay around angels
14:44
-130 ish. But one thing I've been looking
14:47
at with the total is going over. That's right.
14:50
I'm looking at some runs hopefully being scored between
14:53
the Angels and the Rockies tonight.
14:54
Now looking at both these teams, Rockies 38 and 69, Los Angeles
14:59
Angels 46 and 60, both bad teams, but I think there's a
15:03
reason to hopefully root for some runs here tonight.
15:05
Now let's look at the way the total has moved.
15:08
This total opened at 8 1/2 and a lot of shops are 8 1/2 / - 120.
15:13
Might even -125 some books even at 9:00.
15:17
So we've seen this line either stay the same or tick up.
15:20
Now I'm going to hopefully get an 8 1/2 here.
15:23
I was able to get the 8 1/2 / - 120.
15:26
If you are only at a nine, wait it out.
15:28
See if this thing dips back down.
15:31
Obviously, Bobby Witt Junior really helped us last night.
15:34
Didn't matter 9/9 and 1/2 because he hit that Grand Slam
15:37
in the 8th inning. But we don't want to see this
15:39
game 5:00 to 4:00 and we push a nine when we could have won an
15:43
over. 8 1/2. So there are some eight and a
15:44
halfs out there. Shop around, make sure you get
15:46
over. 8 1/2, but again, open 8 1/2 up to nine. 8 1/2 juiced up,
15:51
either staying the same or rising.
15:53
So it tells me all liability is on this over.
15:55
I like the bet split to the over at DraftKings.
15:58
Currently 70% of bets but 84% of money is on the over.
16:03
So a pro and Joe split, but a low bets higher dollar split
16:06
with a 14% discrepancy to the over.
16:09
And I'm really banking on a couple things here.
16:11
One starting pitching and the bullpen.
16:14
If you look at the starting pitching matchup tonight, we
16:16
have Cal Quantrell on the bump for Colorado.
16:19
Excuse me, he's seven and seven with a four point O 9 ERA
16:22
doesn't look terrible, but in the month of July 5.68 ERA.
16:27
So in four July starts he has really gotten lit up and kind of
16:31
the weird thing when it comes to Cal Quantrell is he's actually
16:35
better in Colorado than he is on the road. 3.95 ERA at home, 4.24
16:40
on the road. But again, month of July he's
16:42
really gotten lit up and he's going up against the guy who's
16:45
also gotten lit up all year long in the month of July, Griffin
16:48
Canning, he's 3 and 10 with a 5 point O 4 ERA.
16:51
He has a 6.88 ERA and four July starts.
16:56
So both guys, you know, basically 6 or higher ERA is 5
17:00
1/2 or higher in the month of July.
17:02
Also, this really helped us last night, the White Sox having a
17:06
terrible bullpen. But if you look at the two
17:09
pitching bullpens tonight, two of the worst pens in baseball.
17:12
So maybe this is a, you know, three to three-game in the 7th
17:15
and we are like man, we need a few more runs.
17:18
Well, Colorado has a 5.58 bullpen ERA that is dead last in
17:22
baseball. LA Angels have a 4.35 bullpen
17:25
ERA, fifth worst in baseball. SO2 bad starters, 2 bad bullpens
17:30
and then just take a look at the weather.
17:32
The winds blowing out should be a great night.
17:34
If you're going to the game at the Angel Stadium, it's going to
17:38
be about 80° and there's going to be winds blowing out around
17:41
5:00 to 10:00 mph. So we got great weather for the
17:44
over. We have market movement 8 1/2
17:47
juiced up over or even touching nine.
17:50
We have a good bet split. We have two bad starters and two
17:52
bad bullpens. I'm going to root for some runs
17:54
here guys. Give me a six to four-game,
17:57
seven to five game, 5:50 game. Doesn't matter.
18:00
Let's get some runs in Anaheim. I'm going Colorado in the
18:03
Angels. Try to shop around and find 8
18:05
1/2. I got 8 1/2 over at -120 Some
18:09
books are at 9 again. You can play the 9 at Reduce
18:12
Juice 9 / -, 105, but wait it out.
18:14
See if we can get a 8 1/2. Shop around.
18:16
That's my play. Colorado Angels over 8 1/2.
18:20
Last bit of the night. Let's see if we can finish it
18:22
off with another dog barking. I'm talking about the Dodgers
18:26
visiting the San Diego Padres now going into this one.
18:29
Both teams were off yesterday, so we're starting a very brief 2
18:33
game series and coming into it. We've seen the Dodgers scuffle a
18:38
little bit here. They're 63 and 44, but did just
18:41
drop two or three against the Astros.
18:44
They made a flurry of moves yesterday, picking up Rosario
18:46
and a couple other guys, but they did avoid the sweep against
18:49
the Stroh's. They won the finale on Sunday,
18:51
6:00 to 2:00 as a + 120 Rd. dog. You know, all the pods, they're
18:55
playing pretty well. They're 57 and 51.
18:58
Just took two or three against the Orioles.
18:59
Couldn't get the sweep, though. They lost that finale eight to
19:02
six as a + 120 Rd. dog. So for tonight's series opener,
19:07
Dodgers are going with ready Tyler Glass, now eight and six
19:10
3.47 ERA. Pods, meanwhile, are going to go
19:13
with Matt Waldron, fellow righty.
19:15
He's 6:00 and 9:00 with a 3.64 ERA.
19:18
What have you seen across the market here?
19:19
Well, the theme of the day is contrarian sharp dog movement.
19:23
That's what we're seeing once again here.
19:24
The Dodgers open this game as high as a -, 145 -, 150 Rd.
19:29
favorite. Now they're down to -135 -, 130.
19:33
And what's notable is that the public's on the Dodgers.
19:35
Dodgers are getting 69% of bets. They're the popular bet tonight.
19:40
So if they're getting, you know, 7 out of 10 bets, shouldn't this
19:43
line be rising in their favor? Should the odds makers be
19:45
adjusting it further toward the Dodgers to make the public pay a
19:49
a more expensive price and move up the San Diego plus money
19:53
payout to entice betting limit their risk?
19:55
No, it's going the other way. Even though the Dodgers are the
19:58
popular bet lines dropping away from the Dodgers toward the
20:01
Padres. Padres open this one getting
20:04
around plus 130. Now they're down to plus 115.
20:08
You know, some books even dipping a little bit further.
20:11
So that tells me we got sharp reverse line movement on San
20:14
Diego. San Diego also has a great bet
20:16
split. They're only getting 31% of
20:18
bets, but 49% of dollars. So a good sharp contrarian, low
20:23
bets, higher dollars bet split. Classic divisional dog value.
20:27
Both these teams are from the National League West, so
20:30
divisional opponents you breed a lot of familiarity.
20:33
That familiarity levels the playing field benefits the team
20:36
getting plus money. Padres, meanwhile, they're
20:38
hitting 285 with a 3.27 ERA over their last ten games.
20:43
Dodgers, meanwhile, only hitting 247 with a 410 ERA over their
20:47
last ten games. San Diego, by the way, they're
20:50
really good as a dog. They're 24 and 2153% with a 20%
20:55
ROI as a dog this year to the third best dog team in Major
20:58
League Baseball. And to add a add a little cherry
21:01
on top here, I'm giving away the I'm giving away the shop here.
21:05
But Juice Reel, I told you they give out two best bets each day.
21:08
They're nine and one Robo Jackson last 10 picks.
21:11
Well, Robo Jackson like the Twins and you know who else he
21:14
liked? He liked the Padres.
21:16
So that is a Robo Jackson best bet pick here from Juice Reel,
21:20
which overlaps with our market based approach.
21:23
So I'm going Padres shop around. I got the pods at plus 1:15.
21:28
So of our four dogs, can we get at least two to bark?
21:31
Yankees, Red Sox, Twins, San Diego, and can we also get a
21:35
high scoring game and Anaheim over 8 1/2, Colorado and the
21:39
Angels? That about does it for episode
21:42
86 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast, Powered by
21:45
Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
21:47
where I ask a favor of you. If you were listening to this
21:50
pod, you're hearing my voice #1 thank you for tuning in,
21:53
supporting the team, pulling up a chair to the virtual bar, and
21:56
sweating sharp contrarian plays each day with me.
21:59
But even more importantly, can you help me to grow this
22:01
podcast? Can you spread the word about
22:03
the All Systems Go Pod? And can you easily do one thing
22:06
for me? Quick, dirty, easy.
22:09
Can you give this a 5 star review?
22:11
Whether you're listening on Spotify or iTunes or any other
22:14
platform, give it five stars. That'll help us to rise up the
22:17
charts. The ratings get more eyeballs if
22:20
you want to click the follow button.
22:22
That way you get alerted as soon as the pod drops.
22:24
That would be great as well if you want to refer the pod to a
22:27
friend. Again, mention this all the
22:28
time, but word of mouth from someone you respect is always
22:32
going to be the best way to to spread the word.
22:34
So either way, guys, five stars, spread the word, tell your
22:38
friends. It really would mean a lot to
22:40
me. Secondly, if you enjoy these
22:43
breakdowns, you like getting into the nitty gritty of the
22:45
market, how the market is moving, what it tells us, how to
22:49
identify sharp contrarian bets, how to take advantage of bet
22:52
splits and system matches. Whatever the case may be, if
22:55
this style of betting is appealing to you and you want to
22:58
learn more about how to be the the best sharp data-driven
23:01
better you can be guess what? I wrote a book and I would
23:05
recommend that you buy that book.
23:06
Support the team, make me happy. Let me know you appreciate the
23:09
hard work that I put in hosting this pod each day.
23:12
But more importantly, it's not charity.
23:14
You're going to get something out of it.
23:15
You're going to learn more about how lines are set, how and why
23:18
they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
23:20
action, how to place a bet in person or online, how to shop
23:24
for the best line, how to set up a bankroll management plan, all
23:27
included in the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
23:29
Just go to Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to
23:32
Sports Betting. Pick up a copy.
23:34
And when I see at the book, I'm going to sign the book for you
23:36
and I'm going to buy you a beer or a ginger ale.
23:38
If you don't drink, I would. Seriously, guys, thank you so
23:41
much. If you want to pick one up, of
23:43
course, I mentioned a lot of Juice Reel today with Robo
23:47
Jackson. How does it, you know, sharp as
23:49
a tacker, hot as a piston out. You know, I was combining two
23:51
different cliches there. But anyway, have you signed up
23:54
for your free seven day trial of Juice Reel?
23:57
I also love their arbitrage bets.
23:58
Just grinding out three bucks here, 4 bucks there may not seem
24:02
like a lot, but hey, memberships going to pay for itself.
24:05
It's 899 a month. So if you hit a couple
24:08
arbitrage, boom, you're already overcoming what you got to pay
24:11
for and then you're making money.
24:13
But arbitrage bats, robo Jackson, best bet picks, sharp
24:16
mush opportunities, syncing up your sports books, all available
24:19
to you when you sign up for a 7 day free trial of Juice Reel.
24:22
Also, I'd love for you guys to sign up for a 7 day free trial
24:25
of Rhythm. Now Rhythm.
24:27
They're in the lab, they're working hard, but Rhythm is
24:30
great for their AI backed best bet picks for both totals or
24:35
sides totals game bets as well as prop bets.
24:38
And rhythm is on a bit of a lull right now because all we have
24:41
going right now is golf. WNBA is on a break, but we got
24:45
the Hall of Fame game in the NFLI know the NFL system matches
24:49
are starting to populate college football.
24:51
So I'd love for you guys to sign up for rhythm because we're
24:53
going to use rhythm quite a bit during the football season and
24:56
now is a good time to sign up. Get the seven day free trial
24:58
play around it. They put the rhythm team has put
25:01
in a ton of work updating the app.
25:03
It looks great. So sign up for both rhythm and
25:05
juice reel. We got to do it a specific way.
25:08
Just click the custom link that's located in the bio
25:11
description of this podcast and you will be on your way to
25:14
making sharp data-driven bets. Of course, that about does it
25:18
for the pod. So whether I see you at the
25:20
Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook
25:23
of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun in my neck of the
25:27
woods at the in Massachusetts or of course, across the the world
25:32
or across the the state, I should say, or the country, to
25:34
put it correctly. Out in the desert where the true
25:36
grinders get down, where Billy Walter sends his number runners,
25:39
where the lowest use possible is found at the South Point.
25:42
We're sweating sharp contrarian plays, jumping in the stadium
25:44
swimming pool when he cash a big bet at Circa, wherever it may
25:47
be. You're going to walk up to me.
25:49
We're going to show me a Guardians ticket.
25:50
You're going to show me AKC White Sox over 9.
25:54
Thank you, Bobby Witt junior. Guess what?
25:57
First one's on me, next one's on you.
25:58
We're going to post about the book Sweatsharp Contrarian Plays
26:01
all night long. So wish you the best luck
26:03
everybody. Hope you have a fantastic
26:05
Tuesday. I'll tell you this, today is my
26:08
one year anniversary. That's right, a year ago today I
26:12
married the love of my life. And tonight we are celebrating
26:15
by going to the North End in Boston and getting a crazy
26:19
expensive Italian dinner. So I'm very much looking forward
26:22
to it. I can't believe one year as as
26:24
flown by. So I'm a veteran.
26:26
I'm a veteran of the marriage game one year celebrating with
26:29
my beautiful wife Elise tonight. So it's a it's an important
26:32
night for me. That means I'm going to miss
26:33
some of the sweats. But I, you know, tonight's a
26:36
night where if I tell her I, hey, I can't do anything.
26:39
I got to sweat my game sheet and say, are you kidding me?
26:40
I'm going to divorce you. So I got to be with the the wife
26:44
tonight and I'm looking forward to it's going to be a lot of fun
26:46
because I love her about one year.
26:48
I can't believe it. I'm I'm married a year.
26:51
Boy does time fly anyway guys have a great Tuesday night.
26:54
We back at it tomorrow for episode 87 of the all systems go
26:58
sports betting pod powered by rhythm and I'll leave you with
27:01
this as always stay sharp, stay contrarian bet against the
27:04
public place yourself on the side of the house always be with
27:07
the smart money never against it.
27:09
Will smart money when every time of course not hey crazy things
27:12
happen. Betting ain't easy.
27:14
Again, you got to stick with a model, stick with a blueprint
27:17
and if we can do that bet with our head and not our heart
27:19
against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
27:23
avoid parlays, get some closing line value.
27:25
If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports betters.
27:28
So enjoy the sweats, everyone. Let's see if we can get some
27:30
dogs to bark in baseball tonight.
27:32
Let's get some runs in Anaheim and I'll see you guys back
27:35
tomorrow for episode 87 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting
27:38
podcast powered by Rhythm. Have a great night everybody,
27:42
good luck.