Latest / The Curve / Australia’s Wealth Divide BC and AC.
Transcript
- 0:01Welcome to this episode of The Curve Weekly.
- 0:04This is where we read the finance news so you don't have to.
- 0:07I'm Vic Harris.
- 0:08I am a finance professional and have spent many years making money for other people.
- 0:16in this week's episode we give you a update on the netflix warner brothers saga now if you haven't
- 0:25kept up well go back and listen to a few episodes because oh my goodness this keeps getting more and
- 0:30more juicy and paramount the other bidder for warner brothers has tried to sweeten their deal
- 0:36a bit so we update you on that uh we also talk about an iconic and a classic shoe brand within
- 0:44Nike that is really actually weighing it down financially.
- 0:48Google has a massive, massive
- 0:51financial flex, which we'll run through and explain for you in much, much detail.
- 0:55And it's
- 0:56to do with the AI space.
- 0:57We can't have a Curve Weekly without mentioning AI.
- 1:00And we're updating
- 1:01you on BC and AC.
- 1:04We don't mean before Christ and after Christ.
- 1:06This is before COVID and after
- 1:08COVID.
- 1:09And the massive wealth disparity that's occurred in Australia between people who bought
- 1:13properties bc and people who bought properties after covid or ac but before that we have a new
- 1:21temporary studio and we're very excited to show you this is what life would be like if we lived
- 1:31in new zealand the studio yeah it's so good thank you honestly i've been trying to keep it a secret
- 1:38but it's hard when you record video i know but it is quite hard to see because it's it was only
- 1:43one shot yeah i did think wow it's looking so good there but i just didn't know what the context was
- 1:49so okay we'll probably give a bit of backstory because this time last year it was a bit of a
- 1:54shit show trying to record i was like we can just use my parents bedroom it's fine and then they had
- 1:59like people staying oh it was just a bit and there was a bed taking up the whole room and my dad
- 2:03bliss was like i'm being quiet and then he'd like put on the coffee machine and the kettle was so
- 2:08It was all go.
- 2:11Anyway, Vicks completely transformed a room into an actual studio.
- 2:16Like, it looks amazing.
- 2:17I think I should be an interior designer.
- 2:19Genuinely, if all else fails, I would say the same.
- 2:21Well, I actually had a lot of help.
- 2:25What do you mean?
- 2:25All this beautiful furniture has been loaned to us.
- 2:28So we don't own it.
- 2:29This is not, we don't get to keep it.
- 2:31I mean, we can.
- 2:32Because I was going to say, I actually think I almost like these chairs and the table more
- 2:36than what we have in our studio in London.
- 2:37I know.
- 2:37I reckon they shipped to London.
- 2:39Anyway, it was KU Studio in Auckland have very kindly loaned us these beautiful seats, tables, benches.
- 2:48Is the rug theirs too?
- 2:49I know.
- 2:49It's so nice.
- 2:51I feel very luxurious.
- 2:53Same.
- 2:54And there's like a beautiful bowl.
- 2:55Is this from there too?
- 2:56Yes.
- 2:56Yeah.
- 2:57It's so good.
- 2:58Also, Vic's framed.
- 2:59Well, actually, I thought she'd purposefully framed them for us, but actually we got sent our podcast awards.
- 3:05Yeah.
- 3:05And they're framed in our studio.
- 3:08They're very cute.
- 3:09Here they are.
- 3:10Best independent podcast.
- 3:11Best education podcast.
- 3:13I actually think we should take these to London.
- 3:15I think we should definitely put them somewhere.
- 3:18They're so cool.
- 3:19Should I just put them up on the wall at parents' house
- 3:21and when they get back?
- 3:23You don't even have photos of me on the wall.
- 3:24Thank you.
- 3:25You know when you get sent your degree?
- 3:27Oh, yeah.
- 3:27Or you get your degree and most people frame it.
- 3:29I did not.
- 3:30Did you?
- 3:30I don't even know what mine is.
- 3:30Yeah, no, I have no idea.
- 3:32I love it.
- 3:32I love it.
- 3:33It's so good.
- 3:33Yeah, and the chair swivel, which is so good.
- 3:35They're nicer than the ones in our studio.
- 3:37I love the kind of beige-y colour rather than off-white.
- 3:40Yeah.
- 3:41It's just they're quite comfortable.
- 3:43I'm like sort of already slouching back.
- 3:45I know.
- 3:46It's so much beautiful stuff.
- 3:47I was like.
- 3:48Did you choose it?
- 3:48I wanted to be like, oh, can you throw in a few extra things for me personally?
- 3:51It'd be great.
- 3:52Just put on the work.
- 3:52Did they design the space or did you choose what you wanted?
- 3:56I chose it.
- 3:57No.
- 3:58No, they were very helpful.
- 3:58They were like.
- 3:59You're taking credit.
- 3:59Yeah.
- 4:00I was like, I just need two chairs and a table.
- 4:03And then, bless, it was a rug.
- 4:05It was a bench.
- 4:05It was some bowls.
- 4:06And I was like, oh, okay.
- 4:07She knows what she's doing.
- 4:09No, so they're just a beautiful homewares store.
- 4:12And I reached out to them.
- 4:13And she, bless, was a huge fan of the podcast.
- 4:16Oh, that's so good.
- 4:17Don't you love it?
- 4:18It's such a good starting point.
- 4:23And, yeah, just incredibly helpful.
- 4:25And it's perfect.
- 4:26Also, I think mum and dad should just keep this as a podcast studio.
- 4:29I agree.
- 4:29if anyone needs to rent a studio.
- 4:31Yeah.
- 4:32Yeah, so thank you, KU Studio,
- 4:34for helping us out.
- 4:35Big, big help.
- 4:36We would have been sitting on the ground otherwise.
- 4:37No, no.
- 4:38Honestly, last year it was a bit dire.
- 4:39Yeah.
- 4:39It would take us like 45 minutes
- 4:41to set up each podcast
- 4:42because we had such limited space
- 4:43with the way we could shoot it.
- 4:45And then we'd have guests
- 4:45and it would be so awkward.
- 4:46It was embarrassing and hot.
- 4:48Yeah.
- 4:48I remember it was so awkward.
- 4:50Yeah, it was.
- 4:50Oh, you can sit there
- 4:51and you can sit there.
- 4:52Yeah, it was bad.
- 4:53I'll just stand.
- 4:54Oh, I actually podcast from the bed.
- 4:57I don't think people realise how,
- 4:59You know, people do record podcasts from their bed, but I don't know.
- 5:03There's so much effort, more effort that we put in, but I think it's great.
- 5:07I prefer to walk into a beautiful studio like this.
- 5:09It puts you in the mood.
- 5:10Totally.
- 5:11It's the difference between getting dressed up and not.
- 5:14Like sometimes I find in the morning, this is a really weird example,
- 5:17but if I don't feel good or like I don't like being in track pants and working
- 5:22because I just don't feel like I'm ready for the day.
- 5:25It's like during COVID.
- 5:26I had to put on shoes.
- 5:28Oh, yeah, that's right.
- 5:29I just had this, if I put on shoes, it was like I was ready for the day.
- 5:33Ready for the day.
- 5:34And I'd put on my shoes and walk from my bedroom to the kitchen.
- 5:37And now it's still a thing.
- 5:39If I work from home, I have to put on shoes.
- 5:40It's so weird.
- 5:41Yeah.
- 5:42I just, I like often people will have their home, you know, like baggy pants or like they
- 5:48don't get dressed.
- 5:49There's no way any good work is getting done if I don't feel like I'm.
- 5:52Also, I have a bone to pick with you, with our producer, with everyone listening.
- 5:58Oh no.
- 5:58I am sorry I do not know my analogies well.
- 6:02I am sorry I get them wrong most of the time.
- 6:06Okay, wait, you need to give context for what,
- 6:07because some people might not have listened to last week's episode.
- 6:09No, so last week I said, oh my giddy arms.
- 6:16You didn't say that.
- 6:17You were trying to say that.
- 6:18Sorry, no, I said, oh my giddy arms.
- 6:22Yes.
- 6:22And I meant, well, I didn't even know,
- 6:24I didn't actually know the actual saying,
- 6:26but it's, oh my giddy aunt.
- 6:29It sounded like you said ghillie arms.
- 6:31Oh, no, I said ghillie arms.
- 6:32That's right, and it's ghillie arms.
- 6:33Yeah.
- 6:34Anyway, my brain only has capacity for so much, okay?
- 6:39And that is financial content.
- 6:41Yeah, yeah.
- 6:42So cut me a break, okay?
- 6:43No, no, cut me a break.
- 6:45There we go.
- 6:49Cut me some slack.
- 6:50Cut me some slack.
- 6:52Wow.
- 6:53Oh, my God.
- 6:53Couldn't have scripted that one better.
- 6:57Honestly.
- 6:57I'm just so glad someone picked up on it
- 6:59I think I'm so used to your analogies being twisted
- 7:02That I didn't even notice at the time
- 7:04Yeah
- 7:05Great to have you back on this side of the world
- 7:07Honestly I'm back
- 7:07How are you doing?
- 7:08My hair's frizzy again
- 7:09This isn't coffee number four
- 7:10My skin's turned to shit again
- 7:12It's all great you know
- 7:14I'm loving the humidity
- 7:16Your hair does look great
- 7:17It's so chaotic isn't it
- 7:19I don't know what it is about this weather
- 7:21But my hair and skin hates it
- 7:23It is very muggy at the moment in New Zealand
- 7:26What I will say, this is completely random.
- 7:30I really want to go to some fitness classes in Auckland.
- 7:33I want to go to some weights type classes.
- 7:35Nice.
- 7:36I'd love to know if anyone is based in Auckland and has any recommendations on good fitness
- 7:40classes.
- 7:41Because I just feel like, what?
- 7:42Sala.
- 7:43Yeah, but it's quite far for me because I'm living in the depths of suburbia right now.
- 7:48I'm kind of more in, I'm not really on Ponsonby side.
- 7:51Anyway, sorry, super niche.
- 7:53Yeah, any recommendations.
- 7:54Any recommendations, let us know.
- 7:56I've actually bought ankle weights and when I go for a walk,
- 7:59I walk with ankle weights.
- 8:00Oh, do you?
- 8:00Yeah.
- 8:01Does it work?
- 8:02Yeah.
- 8:02It's just like an extra bit of work.
- 8:05Oh, my God.
- 8:05That's quite good.
- 8:06Because sometimes walking, you're kind of like, you know,
- 8:08it's just a walk.
- 8:09But then if you actually put ankle weights, it's like a walk.
- 8:12Is it getting fit legs toned?
- 8:15I don't know.
- 8:15I think it's just more weight, so therefore using more muscle
- 8:19is just more of a strenuous exercise.
- 8:20Right.
- 8:21How heavy are they?
- 8:21That's quite intense.
- 8:22I feel like I've found out.
- 8:23One kg.
- 8:24Oh, okay.
- 8:26No, but I bought two KGs.
- 8:28And oh my goodness, it was like this big.
- 8:30It was like this massive turd on my ankle.
- 8:35No, I think if you're going, you can't be obvious.
- 8:37It'll look like you're walking around with an ankle monitor.
- 8:39You know you want it to be subtle and tucked away under your bootlegs.
- 8:41I couldn't even walk in them, let alone like go for a walk in them.
- 8:44Yeah.
- 8:45Anyway.
- 8:45That really takes me back to my gymnastics days.
- 8:47We used to have lots of ankle weights.
- 8:49Leg lifts with ankle weights.
- 8:51Yeah.
- 8:51Have you watched the Winter Olympics?
- 8:53No.
- 8:54I should.
- 8:54Why?
- 8:54What's wrong with me?
- 8:55where do I watch it?
- 8:57Skysport
- 8:58but like who has Skysport?
- 8:59I know
- 9:00no seriously
- 9:00I mean like
- 9:01do we watch online?
- 9:02yeah I think so
- 9:03you can do Skysport
- 9:04one of my friends
- 9:05is the presenter
- 9:05is a presenter over there
- 9:06she's amazing
- 9:07so is my boyfriend
- 9:08yeah yeah
- 9:09yes he's doing the night shift
- 9:10he just came home
- 9:11and he just had a beer
- 9:12at 7am
- 9:12it was quite wild
- 9:13he comes in and he's like
- 9:14how you going girls?
- 9:15I was like wow
- 9:16you look like shit
- 9:17actually when I hugged him
- 9:18I thought you smell like a brewery
- 9:19but I didn't want to say that
- 9:20because it's 7 in the morning
- 9:21I was like surely not
- 9:22goes to a cafe
- 9:23for breakfast
- 9:24and orders a beer
- 9:25but actually this is dinner.
- 9:26I was like, imagine if there will be people out there
- 9:29that have this kind of shift work.
- 9:30Yeah.
- 9:31And literally I wake him up and then I'm like, good night.
- 9:36Weird.
- 9:36So weird.
- 9:37Yeah.
- 9:38Very bizarre.
- 9:39Yeah.
- 9:39And he has a shower and I'm like, hurry up.
- 9:41I want to go to sleep.
- 9:42You know, like it's kind of.
- 9:43How weird.
- 9:44So weird.
- 9:45Being on different time zones.
- 9:46And like having dinner by myself because he's asleep.
- 9:49He nearly made a steak at seven in the morning.
- 9:51I know.
- 9:51So no, I haven't been watching it.
- 9:52Have you had any highlights to share?
- 9:54No, I just like all the tricks and stuff, you know.
- 9:57I'm sorry.
- 9:58Could we sound any less educated around sport?
- 10:02No.
- 10:02Me, no.
- 10:03Where do I watch it?
- 10:04You, I like the tricks.
- 10:06I do.
- 10:07It's the fun Olympics, right?
- 10:09I don't know.
- 10:09They do like, you know.
- 10:13Are we talking about skiing?
- 10:14Skiing, yeah.
- 10:14And then like the half pipes and then like the ice skating.
- 10:17They're the fun sports to watch.
- 10:18I wonder if it's higher accident prone.
- 10:21than because it is quite like action isn't it there was lindsey von she was one of the oldest
- 10:27competing woman 41 she just had like knee construction surgery or something so she was
- 10:33skiing with a brace and this was like her comeback like she'd been training for years and like
- 10:38went down everyone's like woohoo and then 13 seconds in absolutely totaled herself got
- 10:43helicoptered out like i know oh god quite sad i was like god like you just don't hear much of
- 10:49athletes over the age of 40 really not even i mean it could be anyone 40 or 20 is that still
- 10:55true yeah that's three years you know like it's not as though she's like an old woman i know i
- 11:00know but that's what i mean like you look at these tennis players and i'm like gosh they look like
- 11:04old men but actually they're younger than us some of them you know i'm like wow you really do peak
- 11:10as an athlete quite young yeah i mean that's why you need to sort out your finances early
- 11:15it's true yeah your career is peaking gonna peak a lot quicker than most people
- 11:21although that's the finance angle i can bring that's all like really nice
- 11:26let's talk about what's happening in the world there's some really big interesting news happening
- 11:31this week yes now we've got a bit of an update oh oh god on what on netflix oh yes the saga that
- 11:39continues.
- 11:39Saga.
- 11:40I genuinely
- 11:41hope they make a Netflix series out of this
- 11:43Netflix deal.
- 11:44I think they will.
- 11:45Yeah.
- 11:45It'd be weird to watch yourself being
- 11:47played.
- 11:47Normally it's like 50 years after.
- 11:49Yeah.
- 11:50But I wouldn't be surprised if in like
- 11:5112 months time they're like, hello.
- 11:53Who would
- 11:53play you if you're in a movie?
- 11:56Margot Robbie.
- 11:58Yeah, I get told
- 11:59that I look like Margot all the time.
- 12:01I actually am going to get my hair cut and dyed
- 12:03because I'm hating the brown crown
- 12:05that I've got.
- 12:06Anyway, I was looking at
- 12:07photos of Margot Robbie being like, what's her hair
- 12:09doing stunning stunning have you watched withering no but could you put two more hot people i know
- 12:16together i saw a photo something with his hand going into her mouth and i was like i think it's
- 12:20quite sexual say no more oh yeah yeah yeah i'm hoping so yeah anyway um we had about 10 seconds
- 12:29of finance chat you were kendall jenner would play you oh stop it stop it she's she'd be
- 12:35to get a work done but anyway who cares i reckon disney disney plus or something would do the
- 12:40netflix drama you have to get an independent or like amazon prime or something you know
- 12:44although you would need insight into like the characters and what was going on and you only
- 12:49would get that from the inside but if netflix did it they'd have a one one-sided view you know true
- 12:54for those who have missed this there is a huge media acquisition happening and it's quite
- 12:59fascinating you know there's some stories that we come back to we can you know a couple of weeks and
- 13:04we give it a break and we come back to it.
- 13:06It's just the story that keeps on giving, isn't it?
- 13:07I know, it is.
- 13:08It's like, oh, what are we going to hear this week?
- 13:11So anyway, Warner Brothers is essentially for sale.
- 13:15Netflix has wanted to buy it.
- 13:17Paramount came in also wanting to buy it.
- 13:19There's kind of two bids for Warner Brothers going on.
- 13:22Warner Brothers has said we want to go with Netflix,
- 13:24but Paramount's putting its foot down and going,
- 13:27no, no, no, no, no.
- 13:28Our deal's best interest for shareholders, you know,
- 13:30and they're making it very difficult.
- 13:32They have now come out.
- 13:33So Paramount has now come out and sweetened its deal more to get Warner Brothers across the line.
- 13:40Imagine just being Warner Brothers and sitting there going, what have you got?
- 13:43Oh, what have you got?
- 13:44And what else can you give me?
- 13:45It's a bit strip poker-y, isn't it?
- 13:46It's a bit like, I'll take my top off.
- 13:47Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 13:49But it's like, oh my God, here, I'll give you a bunch of flowers and chocolates.
- 13:52It's like, no, no, I'll give you flowers, chocolates and wine.
- 13:54What is it like?
- 13:55It is really, it's almost like trying to pick a teammate when you're at school or something.
- 14:00You know, oh, cool.
- 14:01I see that and I'll raise you your five chocolate bars
- 14:05and I'll also throw in a free Powerade.
- 14:08It's like trying to win over a girl.
- 14:10Yeah.
- 14:10Oh, yes, that's quite good.
- 14:12But she's interested in him and you're like,
- 14:14well, no, I'll buy a better car.
- 14:15I've got a beach house.
- 14:16Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 14:17So Paramount has now said that it will cover the termination fee
- 14:23for Warner Brothers that it will have to pay Netflix
- 14:26if it ends these negotiations.
- 14:29So Warner Brothers has got to deal with Netflix
- 14:31because there's a lot of lawyers involved.
- 14:33There's a lot of costs associated with this.
- 14:35So it's kind of like, don't F us around.
- 14:38If you're serious, you're serious.
- 14:40And so Warner Brothers and Netflix have a deal that if it falls over,
- 14:44then Warner Brothers has to pay Netflix $2.8 billion.
- 14:49Billion?
- 14:49Billion, yeah.
- 14:51And is it just Netflix?
- 14:53What about to?
- 14:53So it's kind of like a make good being like, look,
- 14:56let's sign a little agreement saying, a big agreement saying that,
- 15:00you know we're in this we're in this we want to help you get across the line and we will help you
- 15:06get there and if we if we don't we'll pay you 2.8 billion essentially so Warner Brothers will pay
- 15:12Netflix 2.8 billion dollars if the deal doesn't go through so it's kind of they're basically trying
- 15:17to say don't take us for a ride don't take us for a ride but what who's taking her for Warner
- 15:21Brothers don't take Netflix for a ride and Paramount don't try and entertain both of these
- 15:25deals like that's not fair on paramount and netflix if you're entertaining both deals
- 15:33exclusively work with us to get this deal across the line and warner is like yep cool we are we
- 15:39promise we will we promise so much in fact that we will pay you 2.8 billion dollars if it doesn't
- 15:43go through does that make sense so basically yeah but is paramount still and then paramount's come
- 15:50out and said, look, Warner Brothers.
- 15:53If you bail on them, we'll pay the 2.8.
- 15:55So it's like now there's nothing to stop you from entertaining both deals.
- 15:59Oh, God.
- 15:59Do you know what I mean?
- 16:00They literally throw everything out.
- 16:02Yeah.
- 16:03It's essentially, well, yeah, it's a ginormous penis competition.
- 16:08Can we just for a second talk about, is Warner Brothers that amazing?
- 16:11I know.
- 16:11Like, it feels like they're fighting over, like, a really bitchy girl who's actually
- 16:16not that nice.
- 16:17But also what will happen.
- 16:19if there is a Netflix Warner Brothers deal that puts that company that new company in a much
- 16:25stronger position which Paramount is now like going to be if that goes ahead oh shit we've
- 16:30now got a much stronger competitor so we need to get it's like what's the lesser evil yeah yeah
- 16:36exactly it's like and also we think we can be better and stronger with Warner Brothers
- 16:40as part of our company but it's kind of we need to prevent this as much as we can because if it
- 16:46goes through we're kind of effed over but same with netflix as well that's why they're both
- 16:54yeah god imagine the bargaining power you'd have imagine the whining and dining of the
- 16:59i'm actually not sure about that if you could just book another dinner yeah for us to just talk
- 17:05about um i actually think we need to discuss this over um a holiday in the caymans yeah i feel like
- 17:10the maldives is where i'm gonna need to be making this decision but why what i don't get is like
- 17:16how long is this going to go on for at what point is someone just going to get off because it sounds
- 17:21like netflix were getting a bit annoyed being like don't entertain this with paramount because
- 17:27and we're going to pay these you know like it feels like it's starting to get to that point
- 17:31so also paramount so remember paramount is controlled by a very trump friendly family
- 17:38the allison family i forgot so kind of another reason why you know this is getting very political
- 17:44as well but they have also said they'd pay warner brothers shareholders a ticking fee
- 17:51which means that for every quarter so every three months that the transaction isn't closed by
- 17:59december this year they get an extra 25 25 cents on each share yeah so that is paramount saying
- 18:09that yeah so this is to say like if the deal if the deal closes and again there's kind of there is
- 18:16an agreement made and then the deal close there's so much you know kind of in terms of merging the
- 18:20two businesses and all that that will take so much time so that's why it seems like ages away but
- 18:24these things take time you're dealing with two massive companies so even if Warner Brothers goes
- 18:29okay and all the shareholders agree we're gonna go to Netflix or we're gonna go with Paramount
- 18:34like there is so much that then needs to be done so what Paramount is saying is like they're
- 18:38saying to shareholders we will close this deal as quickly as possible because and if we don't
- 18:44and if things get dragged out we will pay you more so like they're really trying to get Warner
- 18:48Brothers shareholders across the line I think if Paramount wins it's a political financial situation
- 18:52because let's be honest who's the better who would you want to be partnering with it would be Netflix
- 18:58it wouldn't be Paramount and I think I'm a bit uh biased because I own Netflix shares so I'm like
- 19:03Netflix get in there buy it do what you have to yeah you know um whereas if I was a Warner Brothers
- 19:07shareholder i'd be like well whoever's gonna pay me the most yeah you know so or if you don't
- 19:13either you're kind of like incentives yeah i actually i really want to buy netflix shares
- 19:18because i don't right now but i'm still on team netflix yeah i think you've got time
- 19:23it sounds like probably jump around a bit you know if they do sign a deal with paramount
- 19:27then netflix share price will probably go back up because this has been a huge distraction huge cost
- 19:33but then you've also got the threat like what i was saying before of paramount and warner brothers
- 19:36now being a bigger competitor to Netflix.
- 19:39But yeah, Netflix's share price hasn't done that well
- 19:41because of this deal.
- 19:43The amount of cash they're going to have to pay for it,
- 19:46which means it puts their own business at risk, right?
- 19:48Because they've got less cash on their balance sheet,
- 19:51like all of that.
- 19:52Yeah.
- 19:53Yes.
- 19:54We will keep you updated, listeners.
- 19:56Don't you worry.
- 19:57Don't you worry.
- 19:58Did you talk about Pepsi?
- 19:59I knew you were going there.
- 20:01I was looking at it and I thought,
- 20:02yes, that's what I'd like to talk about next.
- 20:04So Pepsi has announced that they've raised their dividend for the 54th consecutive year in a row.
- 20:1254 years.
- 20:13That's older than me and you.
- 20:15I just can't imagine a business having enough money to pay out dividends like that for such a long period of time.
- 20:23Yeah.
- 20:24I mean, the idea of a dividend is that they're making so much money that they don't need to keep any more of it within the business.
- 20:30They can give it to the shareholders.
- 20:31Yeah.
- 20:32Like dividends are a percentage of profits that are paid out to shareholders because, yeah, the company's like, we don't need the million dollars that we've generated.
- 20:41We'll keep half a million.
- 20:42We'll pay out half a million.
- 20:43So the fact that they've increased that every year shows just how consistent their profits are or how consistent their view on the world is and their growth plans, which, you know, we've had a COVID pandemic.
- 20:55We've had a global financial crisis.
- 20:57We've had some pretty monumentous occasions and it's still racist evidence, which is wild.
- 21:04The fact that Pepsi has been so successful over such a long period of time, I would have thought in the world of, you know, eating well and going to yoga and running, that Pepsi would be struggling way more than being in a position to pay out even more of a dividend.
- 21:23Well, they have 200 brands, over 200 brands, and they've got snacks.
- 21:28They've also got their drinks.
- 21:30Yeah.
- 21:30Like they have 7-Up, Mountain Dew, like so many, Gatorade, all of those.
- 21:35They own all the unhealthy drinks in every petrol session.
- 21:38They've got 70% market share in the sports drinks market.
- 21:41Oh, wow.
- 21:42Yeah, which kind of lands into the health and wellness issue.
- 21:44So is PepsiCo kind of like a uni-lever bit of snacks and drinks?
- 21:48Yeah.
- 21:48It's the consistent, boring company, the stable one, the one that's defensive.
- 21:55And it sells a billion products a day.
- 21:58Crazy, crazy.
- 21:59They've actually also bought SodaStream.
- 22:01So that's probably their health angle.
- 22:03I do love SodaStream.
- 22:04Yeah.
- 22:05They paid $3.2 billion for it in 2018.
- 22:08SodaStream, also, don't you think that that business, someone was just in their kitchen thinking,
- 22:12I just need to blow off a bit of bubbly water.
- 22:15It's pretty genius.
- 22:16Yeah.
- 22:16I love sparkling water.
- 22:17if only I had a little contraption that could fizz my water.
- 22:20Boom, there's $3.2 billion.
- 22:22Honestly, wild, wild, wild.
- 22:24But sometimes when I think about the idea of business ideas,
- 22:27you assume all of those easy ideas have been taken.
- 22:31Yeah.
- 22:32But it also shows me that you don't have to be a genius.
- 22:34You don't have to think of a new tech platform with innovation.
- 22:37It's just solve a problem that people have.
- 22:39Or that you have.
- 22:40Yeah, that you have.
- 22:41Yeah, exactly.
- 22:42I don't want to buy San Pellegrino every time I need sparkling water.
- 22:45I just want to have it in my kitchen all the time.
- 22:47Exactly.
- 22:48I'm like, what could we do?
- 22:50Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 22:51But Warren Buffett owns a lot of PepsiCo, actually.
- 22:55Of course he does.
- 22:55Yeah.
- 22:55It's a dividend paying company.
- 22:57Yeah, exactly.
- 22:57And it's a consistent, these are actually called dividend kings, which I know you call them
- 23:02dividend queens.
- 23:03Any company that has paid a dividend consistently, sorry, has raised its dividend consistently
- 23:09for 50 years.
- 23:10So wait, so sorry.
- 23:11So 50 years is the dividend king mark.
- 23:13Yep.
- 23:13That's when you like join the dividend king club.
- 23:14Would there be that many different things?
- 23:16There's quite a few.
- 23:17Really?
- 23:17Procter & Gamble, 3M, Coca-Cola, Walmart, Kimberly-Clark, Johnson & Johnson, Walmart.
- 23:24God.
- 23:25Walmart.
- 23:25Have you seen the Walmart share price?
- 23:28No.
- 23:28You think Amazon is dominating?
- 23:30Compare Amazon's share price with Walmart.
- 23:33Walmart is a sleepy giant that's no longer sleeping.
- 23:35Wow.
- 23:37It's up 163% in five years.
- 23:41Oh my God, I'm just looking at it now.
- 23:42Even in the last six months, it's up a lot.
- 23:44Amazon's share price is up 26% in five years.
- 23:47Why is it doing so well?
- 23:50People need to buy their...
- 23:52You said this ages ago.
- 23:54You did say this ages ago when you were like...
- 23:56It's not an AI company.
- 23:57But everyone gets so caught up in what's the next AI.
- 23:59It's like there's a whole lot of companies out there
- 24:01that have nothing to do with AI that are also still killing it.
- 24:05Thank God.
- 24:05They just don't get any airtime.
- 24:07Yeah.
- 24:07I mean, Walmart, I can't even really...
- 24:09It's basically just a ginormous supermarket,
- 24:11like cheap chain supermarket, right?
- 24:13Yeah.
- 24:14Well, it's just like a supermarket, but it sells everything.
- 24:17It'd be like in New Zealand, the warehouse, Woolworths combined.
- 24:22Yeah.
- 24:22So this is a big green flag.
- 24:24When I saw this headline, I was like, massive green flag.
- 24:27Green flag for PepsiCo or for those businesses in general?
- 24:31Green flag for PepsiCo.
- 24:32Just investing in, and I'd love to do this case study.
- 24:35If you just invested in the Dividend Kings,
- 24:37and I'm sure there's like a fund that does,
- 24:41how well you would have done.
- 24:43But the fact that they've raised their dividend again, this is the 54th year.
- 24:48If you want some stock steady defensive companies in your portfolio, which when the market has done so well recently, I'd be putting some companies, some defensive companies in my portfolio.
- 25:00Defensive.
- 25:00It's like having your goal defense in there, your wing defense.
- 25:04Yeah, exactly.
- 25:04You know, you're having, you've got your little centers that are the maybe AI and they're the constant running around the court.
- 25:12and then you've got the defensive ones that are like,
- 25:14oh, you thought you were going to have a disaster?
- 25:15Don't you worry, I'm here.
- 25:16Yeah, yeah.
- 25:17You need your goalie, but you also need your wingers.
- 25:19Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 25:20I don't know what sport.
- 25:22We really started the podcast sounding incredibly unsporty.
- 25:25Yes, we did.
- 25:26Also, I want to talk about something which is the wealth in Australia,
- 25:30BC, and the wealth in Australia, AC.
- 25:32It's before Christ and after Christ.
- 25:34We're going religious with this one.
- 25:35Yeah.
- 25:37I loved this.
- 25:38When I first saw the headline, I thought it took me a while to get it.
- 25:42Did you think we were talking about Jesus?
- 25:43Yeah, yeah.
- 25:44I was like, what is going on?
- 25:46Who was investing before Christ?
- 25:49I actually got this.
- 25:50I went to the doctor and they were like, when did you last get your smear or something?
- 25:54I don't know.
- 25:55I was like, oh God, I can't remember.
- 25:57They were like, was it BC or AC?
- 25:59And I was like, and they thought that was so funny.
- 26:01I was like, before COVID or after COVID?
- 26:03And it was actually a good like ballpark.
- 26:05I was like, oh no, it was before.
- 26:07You know, and they're like, oh, you need another one.
- 26:09And it was, yeah, it was quite a good.
- 26:10I guess it's a five-year mark really.
- 26:12Totally.
- 26:12And it's like everyone kind of knows where they were, what they did or, you know, at that point in time.
- 26:18So it is quite good.
- 26:19A good benchmark.
- 26:20Anyway.
- 26:21Benchmark.
- 26:22Benchmark?
- 26:22We'll go with that.
- 26:23Benchmark.
- 26:24Yeah.
- 26:24Anyway, in Australia, there's been a huge divide in wealth with Australians who bought homes before COVID and Australians who bought homes after COVID.
- 26:39and can I ask you before you get into the story is this going to make anyone that doesn't own a
- 26:43home in Australia or actually anywhere in the world feel really gutted with themselves maybe
- 26:49yeah okay sorry sorry this is the thing that's shit about property is you could have always
- 26:54bought it sooner and you would always be better off yeah which I hate because it makes everyone
- 26:58feel like they've missed the boat constantly but it's the same with investing right could have
- 27:02always bought last year and you'd be up 20 percent you know but like there is the thing is we take
- 27:08a long-term view with these things.
- 27:09There's going to be ups, there's going to be downs.
- 27:11So if you've got the funds and you want to make that investing decision,
- 27:15just do it.
- 27:17Not advice, but you know.
- 27:19Anyway, so people who bought property in kind of 2021 before COVID,
- 27:24mortgage rates were super low.
- 27:26So what they could, there was a lot of people buying properties
- 27:30and a lot of people able to borrow debt.
- 27:32So therefore, they could get on the property ladder.
- 27:34And if that was one of you, you know, someone listening,
- 27:36then they would be much more better off than someone buying after COVID
- 27:41where rates, interest rates absolutely roofed it
- 27:46and they're in a much worse off financial position
- 27:49than people that bought before COVID.
- 27:51Also, house prices went after COVID.
- 27:55Not straight after, but a bit of a delay after.
- 27:57Because it was everyone really all over the world was thinking,
- 28:00get me home, get me to a nice space because I'm going to be stuck inside.
- 28:04Yeah, we don't know how long this is going to go on for.
- 28:06So there was like low rates and house prices went up substantially.
- 28:11But rates take a while to move, right?
- 28:12You can't just jack up rates overnight by 5%.
- 28:16It would absolutely break the economy.
- 28:19So they have to stagger them up.
- 28:20So they were staggering them up.
- 28:21House prices were falling.
- 28:23And then all of a sudden there was also a lack of demand because everyone had kind of bought houses.
- 28:27Yeah.
- 28:28So there were these people that had bought houses at the peak and interest rates were rising on their debt that they'd borrowed.
- 28:35so it was kind of like a the cluster so essentially if you bought before covid yeah you've done well
- 28:42yeah if you bought when things were rising you're struggling or have done pretty badly because you
- 28:48bought at a peak yeah yeah i mean and it was was there was a pretty fine line but yeah like it was
- 28:55there was a pretty i guess opportunistic gap in terms of like the time when rates were ultra low
- 29:00and then house prices absolutely exploded, which, I mean,
- 29:04I wasn't a buyer then.
- 29:06I bought a few years earlier, but I still got the benefit.
- 29:09Really?
- 29:09I'm still BC.
- 29:11Oh, really?
- 29:11Okay, right.
- 29:12So it doesn't matter if you weren't buying it.
- 29:15Well, I guess the increase is different depending on how close to that.
- 29:19Yes, yeah.
- 29:20If you were right on that mark, then you'd be, yeah.
- 29:23I do feel for people who bought when it was really high.
- 29:26It's so hard because there's, I mean, oh, God,
- 29:29It would just be so devastating to have bought and it already lost quite a lot of value on something.
- 29:34And even now, like in Australia, property prices are 50% higher than where they were in 2020.
- 29:39And yet, but yet interest rates are also higher.
- 29:44So you are going to have to borrow more debt at a higher rate to get the house that you could have probably afforded before COVID.
- 29:52Does that make sense?
- 29:53So yeah, it's just a worse time to buy now with interest rates much higher than they were.
- 29:57How much did people benefit comparatively?
- 30:01You know, you said you bought yours before COVID,
- 30:03but it wasn't quite at that point where it was the opportunistic mark.
- 30:08Can you put that in more tangible numbers?
- 30:10Like how well or much better?
- 30:13Yeah, I guess it depends on how much you borrowed,
- 30:15but like the average wealth within the 25 to 34-year-olds
- 30:21that bought property between 2020 and 2021,
- 30:24their average wealth jumped 63% in five years.
- 30:30So if your net worth or your wealth was a million dollars,
- 30:35that's just jumped 63% in five years.
- 30:39Shit.
- 30:40That's a lot.
- 30:41I know.
- 30:42What about the – because, you know,
- 30:44there's obviously we bang on about the Gen X generation
- 30:47who bought property and did super, super well.
- 30:50Yeah.
- 30:50Is this almost like –
- 30:52It's bet that generation.
- 30:53Really?
- 30:53Yeah, it's bet the boomer generation and it's bet the Gen X generation.
- 30:58In terms of increase in value or wealth over a period of time.
- 31:01Yes, yeah.
- 31:03Gosh, that's crazy.
- 31:04Yeah.
- 31:05Because we're always complaining.
- 31:06They got in at such a great time, blah, blah, blah.
- 31:09I guess that's more of the entire generation than just a small percentage.
- 31:12And I guess you can sit here and be like, oh, damn it.
- 31:14But like it's – you kind of just have to take the cards you've been dealt a bit
- 31:19when it comes to investing.
- 31:21you know you're never gonna who knows what's around the corner right it could be house prices
- 31:27absolutely fall off a cliff and all those statistics mean nothing mean nothing like it's
- 31:32trying to because actually unless someone sells now yeah and make 63 percent in the five years
- 31:38since they bought it they it might do something else and then it goes down by 60 and they've
- 31:42made nothing and because they didn't actually crystallize their win yeah yeah you're right
- 31:47And it's like, it doesn't mean that just because you didn't buy property then that you're a failure.
- 31:52It's like, it's just more being aware of how the market moves, really.
- 31:57And there'll be more opportunities down the track.
- 32:00And you kind of just need to start investing where you can.
- 32:03You know, if you had to overstretch yourself to get into the property market in 2020, 2021, that probably wasn't the best idea either.
- 32:11You know, like there's, it's just very situational, I think.
- 32:15but yeah quite amazing the like the contrast between buying before and after and I've got
- 32:21friends that bought after and they're still feeling the pain it's quite sad I guess you
- 32:26when it comes to property and this is what we speak about on the property podcast quite a lot
- 32:30it's so it's such an exercise to buy and sell property it's not just like buying and selling
- 32:38shares where you can be more strategic about it there has to be an emotional personal tie to the
- 32:45purchase well it doesn't have to be you can just be buying as a property investor but generally
- 32:50it's it's a lot harder oh totally and also not many people have that much spare money to be able
- 32:56to have their home and then investment properties yeah yeah sort of one or the other and it's like
- 33:02even the deposits are huge like sometimes investing in the stock market it is it is way more liquid
- 33:08you can buy and sell you know you can get the money in and out when you need you can start
- 33:12with a smaller amount if that's for you that's fine you know like don't I don't know this whole
- 33:17like you need to get on the property later need to do you know like it's don't stress this out
- 33:21it's so many other ways I mean I was that so I can't actually sit here and be like don't worry
- 33:26it's fine because I was so desperate to buy yeah I don't know I just I guess you're always going
- 33:32to look around and think that person did that at a better time than me that person has a cooler top
- 33:37than me there's always someone more successful hotter more personality funnier not in my case
- 33:43no there's no one funnier but you know but it is you kind of you could constantly look around and
- 33:48be comparing or thinking what if or you couldn't just be constantly trying to do better and learn
- 33:52and make good decisions but actually just know that you know you're doing your best yeah because
- 33:57otherwise it's exhausting and you just literally will never get to a place financially where you
- 34:01feel proud of what you've done comparison is the thief of all joy yeah and if i take anything from
- 34:05this it's like the property market goes up and down interest rates go up and down they affect
- 34:11house prices and we've got an incredible property podcast that explains all of this but just never
- 34:16overstretch yourself financially it'll cause you way too much stress and headaches going forward
- 34:21it's not worth it and do you do you mean that in relation to looking around you and if you think i
- 34:25want a bigger house or i want to yeah that's all better that if you're having to really stretch
- 34:30yourself it's it's not worth it oh it's not worth it yeah yeah because investing is incremental you
- 34:35know it's and I I do feel like um if I look back on the last five years and I think holy shit I've
- 34:42come a long way in five years but at the time along the way it's quite hard to think oh wow
- 34:47I've done it's it's the compounding of investing in hindsight you kind of have to trust the process
- 34:53of it it takes time right like five years seems like a long time but it actually goes bloody
- 34:58quickly yeah and same with 10 years and all of that so it's like the fact i've nearly had my
- 35:02house house for 10 years i'm like wild it seems like yesterday absolutely wild also some news on
- 35:11nike and converse so converse is actually owned by nike i didn't know this yeah did you yeah but
- 35:19they're not i kind of forgot has it been in the nike family for a long time 23 years wow yeah
- 35:24They paid $300 million for it in 2003.
- 35:282003?
- 35:292003.
- 35:30That sounded really weird.
- 35:31But don't you think $300 million at the time would have been an enormous amount of money?
- 35:35Oh, totally.
- 35:36But now we're talking about SodaStream being bought for billions.
- 35:40I know.
- 35:41It's also the only brand that Nike owns.
- 35:43Well, not that it bought, but that's under the Nike brand.
- 35:46You've got Nike and Converse, essentially.
- 35:48Do you know what I mean?
- 35:50You would have thought, oh, maybe this is part of a strategy and they're going to buy
- 35:53yeah lots of other brands and have a bit of a like a house house of brands but they've got
- 35:58their flagship brand nike um but converse converse has been really really struggling
- 36:04and its sales are at a 15 year low they've never been this low so when i look at that and think
- 36:13you paid 300 million for a company and now its sales are at a 15 year low probably wasn't the
- 36:18best purchase you know so yeah but i think i don't know you buy a brand and you think or business and
- 36:25you think that sales are going to go up and up and up and up and up or that you can add value or
- 36:28improve it don't you think in since 2003 the amount of money that converse would have made
- 36:33would have definitely repaid that 300 million dollar investment of buying converse but you
- 36:38value a business on the future revenue and the future growth so has it been going down for a
- 36:44while basically yeah yeah so um they've really struggled and the reason that i've put this in
- 36:48the curve weekly is that they have sent all employees have been told to work from home
- 36:55and you'll get a call about whether you still have your job holy shit that is so stressful yeah
- 37:02so um there's no news about like how many job cuts or anything but not good news for converse no
- 37:07what do you think about because for me converse i think sometimes with fashion labels it's it's
- 37:13hard because things go in and out of fashion yeah i would have said converse is one of those tried
- 37:18and true stands the test of time i still love converse it's quite iconic yeah chuck taylor's
- 37:23but that's it right oh they have lots of other yeah and they tried to do like the platform ones
- 37:30the skinny ones the thin ones it's like the classic well for me yeah it's just the test of
- 37:35time yeah i think when you can't continue to grow and innovate and you just have one iconic
- 37:42product that's great but also like there's no future growth what's next yeah so yeah nike's
- 37:50actually have it nike's got its own issues it's got huge problems and with sales in china
- 37:56the tariffs all of that and its share price is down 55 in the last five years and now it's got
- 38:03converse as problem child that's also not doing well that's so stressful so i don't know when
- 38:07you're trying to turn around a big business and you've got this wart on the side that's
- 38:12So what do you think someone could buy Converse
- 38:14And that they would get rid of it for lower
- 38:16I think they'd probably divest it or
- 38:18Yes sell it to someone I mean
- 38:20Puma's in the same position
- 38:21You know there's a lot of sportswear
- 38:24Companies that are struggling right now
- 38:25Do you think it's just the industry then perhaps rather than
- 38:27The fact that Converse can't innovate and find new product
- 38:30Yeah there's just so much
- 38:32Competition now right we've got so much
- 38:34Choice you can just go online
- 38:36And order from wherever
- 38:38In the world and you know like
- 38:39There's so many businesses that are doing well that have the exact same thing.
- 38:42Yeah.
- 38:42You can buy online and blah, blah, blah.
- 38:45Yeah.
- 38:46Under Armour is another company.
- 38:47Absolutely.
- 38:48Really, really suffering.
- 38:50Maybe it's apparel.
- 38:51Like sports apparel is just doing badly.
- 38:53And the tariffs.
- 38:53I mean, the tariffs have hit them, right?
- 38:55Their tariff costs went from $9 million last year to $294 million.
- 38:59Wait, who's this?
- 39:00Under Armour.
- 39:01Oh, my God.
- 39:02Imagine our cost base.
- 39:04We've factored in $9 million for freight and logistics.
- 39:09and now it's 294 million like you just you can't even really plan for that wow it's just
- 39:15that is that is huge huge losses that's so scary and made a net loss of 450 million like what
- 39:21happens in this sort of situation if all of these businesses i mean this is probably a really good
- 39:26example of if you have invested in heaps of different companies like this like nike and
- 39:30under armour and they're all doing badly because you haven't diversified the types of companies
- 39:35that you've invested in, your portfolio would be looking terrifying.
- 39:38Pretty dire, yes.
- 39:40But what happens with this is the companies that have a lot of cash
- 39:44on their balance sheets.
- 39:46Can fund this awkward time.
- 39:47Or can get, yeah, if Nike and Under Armour had,
- 39:51then they can fund this awkward time.
- 39:53Or the ones, you know, you might have, I don't know,
- 39:56an Adidas or a Lululemon.
- 39:57I mean, Lululemon's not doing well,
- 39:58but you have other competitors on the sidelines going,
- 40:01What do you mean?
- 40:03We're just going to wait for you to
- 40:05Oh, and then they go buy it
- 40:07Then the shark starts circling
- 40:08And then they're like, okay
- 40:09You can't continue to trade
- 40:11And we can buy your business for peanuts
- 40:14Oh, it's so shit, isn't it?
- 40:16Yeah
- 40:16But yeah, but it's
- 40:18God, I honestly feel it
- 40:19A little struggle street for
- 40:20For Nike and Converse, Under Armour
- 40:23God, it's a bit of a negative
- 40:25Yeah
- 40:25Weekly really, isn't it?
- 40:26There's a lot happening
- 40:27Yeah, sorry
- 40:28Let's talk about AI then
- 40:31Oh, my God, because it's this new thing.
- 40:33It's this new thing that stands for artificial intelligence.
- 40:36I do like the name more than AI.
- 40:38Artificial intelligence sounds so fun.
- 40:41I feel like we're off on a spaceship somewhere.
- 40:43AI is just so used now that you can't forget what it stands for.
- 40:46It also doesn't flow off the tongue, AI.
- 40:48Neither does chat GPT.
- 40:49I'm sorry.
- 40:51I agree.
- 40:51I keep calling it PT.
- 40:53Chat GPT.
- 40:54Oh, just chat GPT it.
- 40:55It's like.
- 40:56Yeah, I know.
- 40:56I agree.
- 40:57I reckon it'll be chat soon.
- 40:59Just chat it.
- 40:59Yeah.
- 41:00I put it in chat and it said, yeah.
- 41:03Although I was speaking to someone yesterday and they were saying that chat is now almost one of the worst models.
- 41:09It is continually changing, right?
- 41:11Like these AI agents are like humans.
- 41:14You feed them more information, they get better and better and better.
- 41:17And they learn and they learn and they learn.
- 41:19And there's going to be better programs and platforms that come out because they learned off better data and like all of that.
- 41:26So it's, yeah, it's stressful staying up with.
- 41:30I must say that's one thing
- 41:31if anyone has any recommendations on the best
- 41:34podcasts or articles to read or people
- 41:36to follow on Substack to stay up with what's going
- 41:38on I really I almost need to have
- 41:40half an hour a day where I'm just like
- 41:42but I'm also like I'm not stressed about it
- 41:44no but I feel like a granny
- 41:46I'm so far behind yes but you're not
- 41:48like there is like
- 41:50so many people that are
- 41:52more behind than you are
- 41:54I don't want to be like you know the
- 41:56three quarters of the pack at the back you know what I mean
- 41:58I want to be passing the baton.
- 42:00The baton?
- 42:00Baton.
- 42:01Alphabet, so that's the Google parent company,
- 42:04has raised $32 billion in debt by issuing a 100-year bond.
- 42:11So we have heard of all these companies investing billions
- 42:16and millions and billions into AI and all of that.
- 42:18Like Amazon's going to spend $200 billion in 2026 for data centers for AI.
- 42:24like but this is really rare to issue an 100 year bond now a bond is like an iou so this is
- 42:34alphabet going so can we borrow some money off you and we'll pay you back in 100 years with interest
- 42:41and you're like yeah cool i'll give you 1 billion of that 32 and they go to someone else and they
- 42:45get another billion you know like yeah but people aren't gonna be alive in 100 years so how does
- 42:48that work yes so you can you can sell those you can sell those bonds to you know you might get to
- 42:5450 years and be like oh I'm gonna leave this to my granddaughter and yeah you know that kind of
- 42:57thing um or you can sell it there's like a market for selling and trading and trading bonds but
- 43:02what it shows from google or alphabet is they're locking in this interest rate this bond for 100
- 43:13years so they're saying like the reason you issue a long-term bond it's like a big flex they're
- 43:19they're paying interest on that 100-year bond and the actual money borrowed doesn't get repaid
- 43:25for 100 years that's so ridiculous yeah think about that shows to me they see this need for
- 43:32our in the potential it's not a short term oh my god we need to scramble we need to invest and then
- 43:37pay back the money you know asap we need to you know ai is not going to be around for that long
- 43:42that like the fact that they're saying that it's going to be 100 years we're going to pay it back
- 43:45in 100 years.
- 43:46So is the idea here what we take from it is that AI is a long-term investment.
- 43:50AI is not a flash in the pan.
- 43:52It's going to be around forever.
- 43:53It's going to be embedded into our lives.
- 43:55And businesses are so confident in that that they're investing
- 43:58and loaning money for AI purposes and they're not going to be paying it back
- 44:03for such a long time.
- 44:04And what that says is this is a long-term investment.
- 44:07And the fact that it raised $32 billion in 24 hours for a 100-year loan,
- 44:14essentially wrong.
- 44:14It's not all outrageous.
- 44:16But that's also, if you think, look, I'm going to lend you money at a certain interest rate and you're going to pay me back in five years time, cool.
- 44:24You know, there could be risks within that five years, but it's kind of, it's visually I can comprehend five years.
- 44:29for me to sign up and lend you money at an interest rate which could be five percent whatever it is
- 44:36for a hundred years shows that i have so much confidence in you that i am willing to take that
- 44:43risk for the long term you know what i mean for us for that many people to jump on it is absolutely
- 44:47the immense interest and trust funding and support for ai do you and so with something like this when
- 44:58they issued these bonds would that have gone on to the public market how did people get access to
- 45:02that yes yeah yeah did you would you have bought it I mean I just don't really like bonds just
- 45:07don't really interest me it's boring I'd rather buy google also I thought the point of bonds is
- 45:11that people buy bonds because they want that steady more you know recurring type revenue it's
- 45:19more for older investors but feels very counterintuitive to have bonds that are for AI
- 45:23which is like a very fast-moving agile bond for google like that's probably where the like
- 45:30defensiveness comes right only companies that are very stable and the fact that google can issue a
- 45:38hundred year bond shows that it's going to be around in a hundred years time do you know what
- 45:42i mean it's usually it's usually government it's like blue chip companies my point is that because
- 45:46normally people that are older that get bonds yeah wouldn't you be wanting a bond that's going
- 45:51to be returned to you within a shorter space of time because older people generally invest in bonds
- 45:56a hundred year payback is so long you get a lower return on that though because it's lower risk
- 46:02right so you get you get a higher return on a hundred year bond because you're there's so much
- 46:06more that can happen in 100 years does that make sense so right so what they might what they're
- 46:10getting from a money back in their accounts because they're taking such a big risk because
- 46:14it's 100 years actually they might be getting quite a high income from yeah that that bond
- 46:19It's like a term deposit.
- 46:20You know, if you put it in for three years or five years versus three months, you get a higher rate.
- 46:26Got it.
- 46:27It's a bigger commitment.
- 46:28Yeah, it's a bigger commitment.
- 46:29Yeah.
- 46:29So there's definitely that.
- 46:31But it is kind of counterintuitive that this money is being used to fund AI, which is, you know, deemed to be still very new technology.
- 46:39Kind of more risky, you would think.
- 46:40But it's actually a safer investment because it's a bond.
- 46:43Yeah.
- 46:43But it's effectively the company that's paying you back.
- 46:46So yeah, the fact that a company like Google, a tech company, if it defaulted on this bond would be like so, so bad.
- 46:56Because also bonds normally only from governments and like the most sturdy companies.
- 47:00And the reason that it's a lower return generally than a stock is because it's less risk that they'll default.
- 47:08Like you generally can only get bonds from the most well-established like institutions.
- 47:13So yes, there's a bit of risk involved, but it's not like a share.
- 47:16Or like governments, because governments can't issue shares, right?
- 47:20The governments are owned.
- 47:21They're not owned by the people.
- 47:23So their only way is to do debt, essentially.
- 47:27That's quite interesting.
- 47:28Why would they not have issued shares and done this as shares?
- 47:30Why would they have done it as a bond?
- 47:32Oh, now we're getting into something real.
- 47:34But essentially the return on, sorry, the cost of issuing debt,
- 47:39sorry, the interest rate they have to pay on this debt,
- 47:41would have been lower than issuing shares.
- 47:44It's basically a cheaper way to get money.
- 47:45Yeah, and also like people get pissed off if you're constantly issuing shares
- 47:48because you're constantly diluting shareholders.
- 47:50Also, it's a pretty amazing story and green flag to see a 100-year bond,
- 47:55don't you think?
- 47:56Yeah, it's just a big flex.
- 47:58Like their share price, you would think that that would have seen a bit of a spike
- 48:02when it's like, hi, we've got a 100-year bond.
- 48:04Yeah, I mean they've now got more debt though.
- 48:06Oh.
- 48:06So, yeah.
- 48:07But it's more like we're going to be around for 100 years.
- 48:11We are so confident in our trajectory and we are, yeah.
- 48:15anyway it just goes to show like people are getting quite crafty in terms of
- 48:18how they're funding all this ai spend as well so yes that's all i have for you i will there's
- 48:25actually some stuff that's coming from the community oh nice yeah and i'd loved it there's
- 48:29a voice note actually that i wanted to play hey girls uh firstly this feels super awkward to do
- 48:36i've never actually done anything like this before but you um your work and what the content
- 48:42that you put out makes me feel so passionate about networking and talking out and just doing
- 48:47stuff like this which I normally wouldn't um basically what I wanted to know is I'm a I'm a
- 48:54new investor really um I'm living in Wellington New Zealand and we uh well I find it really
- 49:01difficult to find investing platforms that I can manage so I have shares but I know that there's
- 49:07like Hatch and then I know that there's like private people after your talk about Japan I was
- 49:15really interested in looking at you know like Japan stocks and almost like the S&P 500 for Japan
- 49:21or China things like that but obviously you can't buy some of that stuff on Cheesy's so
- 49:27I'm just wondering like what platforms are accessible to us and how do we actually find
- 49:32that information because I probably know that there's a bit involved in terms of you can't
- 49:38say or recommend certain products.
- 49:40I imagine you can't say, look, She's This is a great option or
- 49:44whatever because there'll be, I don't know, your behind the scenes business legality stuff about
- 49:49it.
- 49:49But it would be really interesting to know, is there places that we can go to get informed
- 49:55besides chat GPT?
- 49:56Where do I go and how do I know what's good fees?
- 50:01Things like that.
- 50:02Even
- 50:02like kiwi saver like how do i know that my kiwi saver is good fees like what's the bench line and
- 50:08can we talk about it more um so yeah i just want to know investing platforms yeah how do we do it
- 50:14thank you and i love your work thank you so much for what you do bless i love the voice note can
- 50:21everyone send us voice notes it's so fun to hear from people so much more real right isn't it you're
- 50:25like oh my god people listen to this podcast um oh so much in there okay okay okay where do we start
- 50:30do you know what I think we should do as an aside or what yeah no you go oh I was gonna I was gonna
- 50:36say it could be quite cool to have a page on our website we're building a new website at the moment
- 50:41where we feature the our best picks in each area you know like for KiwiSaver really be clear on
- 50:50on fees the best for you know ethical the best for returns like blah blah blah like the same with um
- 50:56The platforms like sort of highlight our favorites, have them featured and show the pros and cons so that people can then make that decision for themselves.
- 51:04Because there's not like one best of everything.
- 51:07There's different that suits different people, depending on what you're looking for.
- 51:11Some people might want the lowest fee.
- 51:13Some people might want more comprehensive data on what they're trading.
- 51:18Some people might want all this stuff just in one place, you know, like it might be quite helpful for us to.
- 51:22We can do that for trading platforms, not for funds, though.
- 51:26What do you mean?
- 51:27Like we can't recommend.
- 51:28So when she was like,
- 51:29as to as much as you can recommend,
- 51:31we can recommend trading platforms
- 51:32because we're not,
- 51:33that's not an investing decision.
- 51:36You then go on there
- 51:37and you choose what you want to invest in.
- 51:38And to be honest,
- 51:39I think Sharesies is the best in New Zealand.
- 51:41They have the most choice.
- 51:43Yes, there's a few things
- 51:44that we can't get on there,
- 51:45but I think there is also so much we can
- 51:48that, you know,
- 51:50Japan, for example,
- 51:51you can get Japan ETFs on there.
- 51:53that's a really good way around it so it's like rather than feeling like you need to buy direct
- 51:58yeah you can yeah you can do etfs i think etfs is a really good thing to highlight because for
- 52:03example you might be thinking and this is actually really interesting you bring this up actually
- 52:06because i've been thinking the etf space we could do a bit of education help in terms of like here
- 52:12are the top three or not top three but here are three suggestions for if you do want to invest oh
- 52:17is that recommend oh it's so hard and also it changes right like the best like what is the best
- 52:24is it the highest performing the lowest fit yeah like we can suggest places to go to make those
- 52:28decisions yourself so we can suggest shares we can suggest hatch you know all of that but saying
- 52:33and this is the best investment that's where we kind of have to draw the line but could we say
- 52:38but could we say if you're using shares we've we've put 10 um we've highlighted 10 etfs that
- 52:45you can access on Sharesies and broken down so that you can understand and make your own decision
- 52:50on what's best for you because it's not we're not telling them to go and choose one of those it's
- 52:55like this is how this is yeah you know we'll chat about that yeah I think this is like we'll chat
- 53:00about that but it's a really good thing to bring up and thank you so much for asking it's really
- 53:04helpful to know the places that people are getting stuck we can absolutely work on this but essentially
- 53:08I use Sharesies in New Zealand yeah and don't stress yourself out about finding a trading
- 53:12platform in Japan or Asia or the UK or like unfortunately we can't buy Europe or UK stocks
- 53:18on Sharesies which is a bit frustrating but I use Stake for that but also I'm just I can kind of get
- 53:26what I want on Sharesies you know unless there's one that I'm like really really wanting to invest
- 53:31in a company that I'm really really wanting to invest in which is not on there but yeah most of
- 53:36my 99% of my investments are on Sharesies.
- 53:39And the stuff that you use Stake for is that when you
- 53:42there's something you want to invest in yeah it's available there but not on shares lvmh
- 53:46yeah is a classic one yeah louis vuitton louis vuitton mohine se which i've spoken about a bit
- 53:51on the podcast is unfortunately not available in shares but they're getting better right they're
- 53:55adding they're adding more they're getting more regions all of that more etfs so maybe it is
- 54:01you know in the interim it's buying a luxury uh luxury retailer etf on shares for example
- 54:08which includes our VMH.
- 54:10So yeah, there's ways around it.
- 54:12Getting creative.
- 54:12There's no perfect answer.
- 54:14And unfortunately, I think we will get to the place
- 54:15where one trading platform can access everything.
- 54:19But we've come so far, which is so great.
- 54:21Even a couple of years ago.
- 54:23The shares weren't even around.
- 54:24You know, it's like, yeah, so we'll get there.
- 54:27Just take time.
- 54:28Hopefully that was helpful.
- 54:29Thank you so much for your question.
- 54:30Anyone that does have any,
- 54:31we've got a link in our podcast show notes
- 54:33to leave us a message on the Curve hotline.
- 54:35You look very sweaty.
- 54:36I'm sweaty.
- 54:37I'm boiling
- 54:38before when we were
- 54:39having technicals
- 54:40I took my top off
- 54:41because I was just
- 54:41needing to like
- 54:42it's just so hot
- 54:43we'll put a little
- 54:44insert in the
- 54:45in the YouTube
- 54:46I mean
- 54:47poor Emily
- 54:48our producer
- 54:49must have gone on
- 54:49to the
- 54:50when we started
- 54:50recording and
- 54:51seeing that I was
- 54:51in my bra
- 54:52oh my god
- 54:54we're doing the porno
- 54:55and that's time to go
- 54:56bye
- 54:57have a good week
- 54:57everyone
- 54:59thank you so much
- 54:59for listening to
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- 55:37Okay, quickly, The Curve was created to empower and
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