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NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NFL Conference Championship Best Bets Sunday 1/25/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: Own seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: slump continuing, two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: Own four that have not had a good season. Man
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: I've reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: browins hat man, I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins. March eight? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth? I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day it is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what day it is anymore. Man,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I die, at least ohe and two Yesterday and yesterday
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: it did not go well for me. Own five. The
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: doing this. I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: about this anymore. To the slump, the slump discontinuous, the
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: know what I should do at this point, other than
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's towed back
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: with you with Toadsool Sports. It is Sunday, January twenty fifth.
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: Not a good day on the show yesterday. I gotta
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: run through this quick. It started out horrible. I mean,
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: the finish to the day wasn't too bad. It was
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: a three and four day college basketball definitely hurt.
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: Sacred Heart never in position to cover that thing.
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: I think they won somehow by one point, but they
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: were never close to covering that thing. So very unfortunate
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: in that one. I do believe that I could look
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: at the box score real quick. I do think that
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: there was something about that game that was a little
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: bit off about how the game was played, like something
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: misleading about it. Like I think there was something that
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: like some sort of outlier if I remember correctly. No,
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: not really, I don't really see it. Yeah, I don't know.
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: Sacred Heart went to the free throw line way more.
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: They had more field goal attempts in the game. Well,
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: Niagara shot fifty eight percent from the field, so that's
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: kind of where the difference came in. But Sacred Heart
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: did get out rebounded. I don't know, so that was
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: a bad one. Dayton was never in position either. That
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: was a loss. I think they lost outright. Actually, yes,
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: bad bad game date and not even close. Richmond looked
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: like they had chances to backdoor cover that thing maybe,
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: but they were not covering for most of the game
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: and not cover so we started out owning three. So
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: the day was pretty much a loss right out of
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: the gate. With those losses, it's not fun at all
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: when that happens. That game, Richmond shot terribly in the game,
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: Like they actually had more field goal attempts in the
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: game than George Washington did, but they shot thirty nine
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: percent from the field. George Washington hit fifteen threes and
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: shot forty five percent from three point range, so that's
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: really where it came in. Like, statistically, the game I
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: think was close enough that Richmond probably should have covered that,
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: but the shooting was just an outlier on both sides
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: that I know. George Washington does hit at a high percentage,
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: but that was just ridiculous. We started turning it around
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: to Paul got the outright win. Fresno did not cover,
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: so we were one and four at that point. Although
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: we won the rest of the games after that. Fresno
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: looked like they had chances to cover in that game.
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: They wound up losing it late. Grand Canyon pulled away late.
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: Fresno just couldn't score. Man.
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: Grand Canyon won by double digits.
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: In the end. San Diego was able to come back
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: and cover in their game because they were out of
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: range for a lot of the game, but they came
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: back and covered. Might have been one of those garbage
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: time just barely get back within the number type of covers.
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: But when you're having a bad day, you'll take it. Man.
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: I think that is what it was like. Santa Clara,
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: I think just took their foot off the gas. I
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: think we kind of got lucky on that one. But
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: when you're playing a huge underdog like that, that is
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: kind of part of the handicap. Like if the favored
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: is ahead by a big margin late in the game,
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: they might just start packing it in. Looking ahead to
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: the next game, the look ahead is part of it.
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: So San Diego did get there, and then we kind
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: of got lucky on the Kings. I know, the game
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: went into overtime. The Kings were winning that game two
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: to nothings, so it was looking good right out of
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: the gate, and then they were losing three to two
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: later in the game after they blew that the game
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: was statistically close. The Kings had the game at the
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: end though, the Kings were winning the game four to three,
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: and the Blues tied the game with two minutes left,
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: which that always pisses me off when you have that
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: late goal against you that sends into overtime. The Kings
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: luckily wound up winning in a shootout, but by the
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: end of the game they probably they should have won
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: the game, probably even though it was statistically close. They
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: had the upper hand for more of the game than
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: the Blues did, but not. I mean, it wasn't great
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: when you have a favorite like that and it goes
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: into overtime and whatever. You'd rather be on the underdog
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: at that point. But whatever, mister Pinsey, what's up, Kyle?
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: What's up?
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out everybody. Ooops, Yes, all right.
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: Short board today I got two plays. Sometimes I get
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: into props and things like that. For these NFL conference championships,
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: I'll give you a couple of prop ideas, but I'm
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: not gonna give them out as plays. I have one
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: play it's on a side in one of the NFL games,
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: and then I do have an NBA play today, and
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: that is it. All right. We do have some college
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: basketball today, but it's a very short basketball board. A
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: few of the games that were supposed to be today
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: actually got played yesterday, and then there were a couple
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: more games that were supposed to be today that got
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: postponed until I don't know when because of the weather,
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: including this ipfwiup Ui game that's one of the postponements.
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: I believe this St. Francis New Haven game also got postponed.
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: So we only actually have five college basketball games today,
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: where it would have been like probably about ten, but
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: again a few of them got played yesterday and summer
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: being postponed, so I mean we could talk about college
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: of basketball first. We do have an afternoon ESPN two game,
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: which of course is in Florida where they're completely unaffected
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: by all this weather. It's like Florida's just walled off. Nope,
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: but seventy degrees down here, we're supposed to get like
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: two to three feet of snow where I am up
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: here in Massachusetts, so that's gonna be awesome. Being on
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: the coast of Massachusetts. We get absolutely battered by these
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: snowstorms recently. Many. I don't know what happened, because like
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: when I was a kid, I remember like the coast
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: being a little bit more mild usually during the snowstorms,
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: and like Inland got more snow.
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: But now it's like the opposite is always the case.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: I don't know what happened. The weather's being controlled, man.
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: But Florida Atlantic at South Florida's this game should be
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: an interesting game in the American kind of in.
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: State rivals here as well.
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: FAUS on a five game win streak and they're atop
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: the American Conference right now. Even though I don't think
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: that they're really the best team in the conference, they're close.
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: They're going on the road here to play South Florida.
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: FAU I think is more in the I believe they're
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: more in the Miami Ish area somewhere over there. And
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: South Florida, I think is despite their name, I think
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: they're near Tampa, but that's where fau's going here. They
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: beat Tulane in their last game. Tu Lane's not really
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: as good as they look. They've already kind of drawn
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: quite a bit in the standings, so that win is
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: just I think gonna be kind of a momentum continure.
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: I think both teams are gonna show up for this.
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: FAU does play Memphis next, which is a big game,
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: but this is a big game as well on its
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: own here. South Florida just one at UAB and now
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: they're coming back home from that decent win there for them.
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: But again, I don't see either team overlooking this game.
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: But the one thing you're gonna notice is that FAU
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: has the better record here and only one conference loss,
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: and yet South Florida is a four and a half
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: point favorite. So that pretty much catches my eye, like
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you that South Florida is actually
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: the slightly better of the two teams despite what the
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: records look like. So that kind of has me leaning
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: in their direction, and on top of that, just kind
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: of because they're the better team, and sometimes I kind
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: of default to that when I don't really have another
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: angle to look at here. Obviously I'm avoiding this game,
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: but I kind of lean towards laying it with South Florida.
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: But they are down from six to five, and the
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: money looks like it is on FAU for what it's worth,
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: fifty percent of the tickets and seventy six percent of
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: the cash on FAU. But when I see a line
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: that doesn't look right like that, I usually sort of
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: trust the odds makers on it, and that the odds
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: makers are telling you something to basically not believe what
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: the records are saying, you know, but the money is
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: disagreeing with that read. So that's a tough game. I
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: don't want to do anything with it. Chicago's State at
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: Mercy Hearst is the ugliest game by far. Uh. Not
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: a whole lot to say about this game, just that
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: it's happening. Chicago State hasn't won in conference yet in
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: the Northeastern Conference. They're really really bad, though, but I
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: think you might still be getting an effort out of them,
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: just because you don't want to go an entire season
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: without winning a game. It's pretty embarrassing, so you continue
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: to put in an effort. I think for that reason,
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: they did just lose really badly by twenty one at
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: Saint Francis, and Saint Francis is not a good team either,
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: so that was a particularly bad loss for Chicago State.
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: So maybe they actually will show up with a little
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: bit more intensity for this game against Mercyhurst. Mercy Hurst
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: on a couple of game win streak here. They just
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: beat New Haven. They play New Haven again next, not
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: really a huge deal, but definitely Chicago State's probably pretty
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: easy to overlook when they can't win any game at
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: all and you're asking a mercy Hurst team, it's not
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: a great team to I assume lay a bunch of
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: points in this game. Yeah, they're a ten point favorite here.
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: I would probably lean towards taking the points with Chicago State,
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: as ugly as that is. It's an extremely low toll
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: to one twenty nine too. Do you really want to
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: put money on mercy Hurst winning by double digits with
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: a total that low? Probably not? Uh, sixty percent of
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: the tickets are on Mercyhurst, fifty eight percent of the
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: cash on Chicago State. I do agree with that market,
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: read with taking the points, but that is not something
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: I want to go anywhere near. We do have a
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: couple of big conference games, well, just Big ten games.
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: Feels weird calling Oregon in Washington a Big ten game,
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: but that is what it is. Oregon at Washington on
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: Peacock at three pm Eastern. These teams I thought they
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: were gonna play twice this year because they're the old
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: Pack twelve rivals kind of. But I guess there are
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: just too many teams in the Big Ten, so then
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: I'll do that. Oregon's gonna be probably pretty desperate for
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: a win here. They've lost five games in a row,
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: just took a double digit loss at home to Michigan State,
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: so they're staying out on the Pacific coast here, going
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: up to Seattle for this game. Oregon just having a
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: very very bad season, and it might be a little
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: bit more motivated coming into this one than Washington is.
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: Neither team's really going anywhere fast. Washington did just go
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: to Nebraska and lost by ten, which is a respectable loss.
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: I think the game was a little bit out of hand, though.
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: I think Washington made it look a little bit better
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: than it was by the end of it, Like it
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: wasn't they weren't close or anything like that. But Washington
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: is having a trial across time zones back from playing
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: that game, and they do have Illinois up next. They
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: have to go back on the road to play Illinois.
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: So to me, the spot does look a little bit
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: worse for Washington here. The travel spot is definitely easier
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: for Oregon. I would lean towards Oregon in this game.
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: The money does not seem to agree. Washington did initially
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: drop from ten to nine here, but we have fifty
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: five percent of the tickets on Oregon eighty eight percent
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Washington. The public doesn't really want
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: to lay big numbers like this with teams with bad
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: records like Washington. Oregon's record is still even worse though,
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. I just think this is gonna
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: be an ugly game, dude. The total is not high,
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: it's in the mid one forties. I don't know. I
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: just think the spot sets up a little bit better
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: for Oregon in my opinion, in that one to at
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: least come within that huge number there. Although the oddsmakers
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: are telling you Oregon is just not good this year,
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: Washington is the significantly better team. But that would be
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: my read on that game. Dirty sock, what's up? Thanks
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: for hanging out? And then we have a Southern Illinois
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: at Evansville, pretty ugly Missouri Valley game here. Southern Illinois
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: is on a pretty bad skid right now, four game skid,
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: but I think you can kind of explain that loss.
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: They just had to Valpo valparaison. Not a good loss.
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: But Southern Illinois had a really close game against Belmont
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: the game prior to that, which was a big game Belmont,
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: probably the best team in the conference. Of Southern Illinois
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: actually almost pulled off a season sweep of Belmont because
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: they actually beat Belmont on the road. So the Southern
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: Illinois team, they have the ability to beat the best
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: team in the conference on the road. So the Southern
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: Illinois team is not that bad. And they got caught
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: in a letdown spot off of that Belmont win that
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: they had. That's why they lost to UC. They lost
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: to Drake in overtime. Not a great loss there, but
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: unfortunately for them, a loss nonetheless. And then they did
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: lose to Belmont. That's somewhat expected. Again, Belmont is good,
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: but they played them close again. That was at home
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: five point loss, and then I think they were hungover
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: again after that, and that was the loss to Valpo.
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: They had already beaten Valpo once, so I'm.
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: Kind of expecting a better performance from Southern Illinois in
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: this one, even though they are playing Evansville, who's a
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: very easy team to overlook. So you do potentially have
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: to worry about who does Southern Illinois play next. They
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: do play in Northern Iowa, but Northern Iowa was kind
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: of dropped down in the standing, so I don't think
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: that's really that much of a cost for a look
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: ahead at this point. Evansville is coming off a very
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: very ugly loss though to UIC, losing seventy six to
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: forty nine. Whenever you lose that badly, I think you
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: are going to be focused coming into the next game.
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: So I think both teams will show up with focus here.
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: But if that's the case, I think I kind of
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: have to lean towards Southern Illinois the better team. They're
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: laying three on the road, and I think it's a
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: situation where the public won't even really want to do
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: it to that extent, like why would you want to
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: lay points with a below five hundred team on the road,
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: you know, even though they're up against an even worse team.
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: But we have eighty six percent of the tickets to
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: eighty seven percent of the cash on Southern Illinois. I
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: don't think the public is really playing this game, to
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: be honest, so I think most of the money that
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: we're seeing on this is probably more on the professional
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: side of things. I would lean to Southern Illinois as well.
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: Like I said, it's not really uh. I mean, I
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: don't want anything to do with it, really, but I
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: think in a situation like that where you have the
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: better team, that should be in a bounced back spot.
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: That's the way that I see it. And then Peacock
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: at four PM probably the best game out of all
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: of these level I think that FAU South Florida game
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: is actually a pretty good game. But USC is at
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin in this Big ten game. Here at USC coming
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: off that loss at home to Northwestern. We had Northwestern
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: here on the show. In that game that was a
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: win for US, an outright win as a seven point underdog.
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: USC was coming up playing Purdue really close, and they
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: had this Wisconsin game on deck. So the handicap was
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: USC was in a sandwich spot. Now that they just
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: took that loss as a big favorite, the expectation is
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: they will play a better game here and show up
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: for a game against Wisconsin. But USC is going to
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: be an underdog this time as well. Wisconsin is just
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: on a roll right now. They just had an easy
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: win over Penn State in their last game. They do
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: play in Minnesota next already for the second time, and
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: that is kind of a rivalry game, so maybe there's
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a look ahead component there for Wisconsin.
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: A little bit of a tough travel spot for USC, though,
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: having to leave the Pacific Coast and go to a
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: place that they don't usually play since USC has been
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: in the Big Ten, I'm not even sure that they
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: have had to play in Madison yet. The money looks
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: like it is coming in on Wisconsin. They're up from
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: seven to seven with juice here, eighty two percent of
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: the tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash on them.
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: They will be the public side, though. I think this
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: is probably gonna be the game that gets the most
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: public attention, although it's gonna overlap with football, so I'm
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: not totally sure about that. But it is the biggest
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: game out of the College of basketball games. I kind
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: of lead towards taking the points with USC. I think
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: USC is sort of in the more desperate mode right
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: now too, as far as like the tournament resumes are concerned,
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: like USC is looking like they're in danger maybe not
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: making the tournament, and I think Wisconsin is more solidified
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: in their tournament position at this point, so there is
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: that as well, So potentially getting more effort out of
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: the underdog here, I think I would lean to taking
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: the points, but I do not like it at all.
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: NHL we have six games. There's one afternoon game on
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: NHL Network, Colorado at Toronto. Colorado is coming off probably
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: the worst loss of the season. Actually the worst one
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: was to Nashville, but this is still pretty bad, losing
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: by the same score as that one, seven to three.
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: Colorado's lost four of their last five games, all at home,
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: which is very bizarre. So for that reason, it might
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: be good for them to just leave home. If things
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: are not going well for you at home, fuck it,
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: leave go somewhere else, you know, focus on hockey. That's
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: what they're doing here. They're going up to Toronto. Just
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: took a hideous loss of Philadelphia, they did lose. The
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: loss that started that bad stretch was really that loss
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: against Toronto back at home too. So this is a
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: little bit of a quick road revenge spot for Colorado
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: as well, because they lost at home to to Toronto
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: in overtime on the twelfth.
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: So this looks like a very focused spot.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: To me for the Avalanche, and they are the better
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: team here, but it does look like Toronto should be
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: in a pretty focused spot as well. They're not gonna
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: overlook Colorado, and Toronto's lost three games in a row,
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: all at home. They're gonna definitely want to try to
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: get a win on this home standing. They're coming off
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: a six to three loss themselves, although it was a
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: big game against Vegas, but lose by three at home
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: a lot of times you will bounce back. So I'm
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: staying off of the game. Hold on a second. I
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: just saw something. Something looked weird on the college basketball
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: board here, Oh Tulsa and Rice Yam. I was seeing
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: the red I'm like, what, Yeah, that game got played yesterday,
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: and I don't know that was weird, all right, But yes,
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: both teams should be focused here, but Colorado is still
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: the better team and I would have to lean towards
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: Colorado if I was gonna play this game, but they're
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: a big favorite here. Up from minus one seventy to
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: minus one seventy eight, seventy eight percent of the tickets
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: ninety five percent of the cash on them. Seems like
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: the actual money is coming in on them. If you
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: do want to do that, I mean, this might be
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: one where you actually do well. I would say maybe
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: Colorado over their team total, and maybe that's not what
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: you want to do, because both teams should should be
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: a little bit more focused on defense in a game
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: like this, after giving up a ton of goals both
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: teams did in their last game. I don't know. I mean, Colorado,
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: make your own minus one puck line maybe would be
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: the approach there. Obviously.
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: I don't want to touch the game myself, though.
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: Devils at Kraken, New Jersey at Seattle that sounds a
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: little bit better. The Devil's have won three games in
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: a row, they've swept the road trip so far, so
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: there is the potential that they kind of overlooked the
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: last game of the road trip. They did just beat
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: Seattle at home back on the fourteenth, which was unfortunate
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: because I think we had Seattle here in that game
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: in the New Jersey return home spot. But it might
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: be a game where New Jersey does overlook them, that
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: is possible. They only have Winnipeg up next, though, so
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: it's not a huge game up next. Seattle's lost five
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: of their last six games and they're staying at home,
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: so the spot to me does look a little bit
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: better for Seattle to bounce back, although they are the
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: worst of the two teams here. But I would prefer
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: Seattle as the home dog in this one. The money
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: looks like it kind of disagrees, though New Jersey did
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: drop from minus one thirty to minus one twenty five
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: five percent of the tickets ninety six percent of the
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: cash on the Devils though, But I think I would
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: probably lead towards Seattle at the underdog price there. Vegas
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: at Ottawa. Vegas just beat Toronto, like I said, on
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: the road, six to three.
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: Ottawa, potentially they overlooked them.
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. They got Montreal up next
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: and then Dallas when they come back home, and those
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: are kind of bigger games. Ottawa still, I think, dealing
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: with the oh Mark injury and whatever, they're just not
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: having a great season, So it is possible that Vegas
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: kind of overlooks them here. Ottawa to just get crushed
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: by Carolina, but that was yesterday, so they're on the
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: back to back. Although it was actually return home spot
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: for Ottawa, they had been on the road for three
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: games prior to that, so maybe part of the reason
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: they lost that game. And I do talk about how
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: when a team falls into that return home distraction spot
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: and they don't do well in that return home spot
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: because they get distracted by having family stuff to do, whatever,
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: they do play better in the next game. So I
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: actually do probably lean to Ottawa here, but they're on
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: the back to back. They did have a big game yesterday.
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: Still I don't really love it. And they are still
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: playing a third game in four days, fourth game in
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: six days, in a fifth game in eight days, and
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: actually a sixth game in nine days. Uh, and the
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: last most of them are in different cities, not all
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: of the most of them in different cities though, with
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: a road trip in the middle there. So it's been
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: a very packed schedule for Ottawa. So I do worry
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: about fatigue coming into play there. The money looks like
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: it is coming out of Vegas. They're ugh for minus
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: one thirty five to minus one forty two, ninety one
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets ninety eight percent of the cash.
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: I do probably still lean towards Ottawa as the underdog, though,
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: and their lack of rest is going to be somewhat
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: factor into the line, even though I do use it
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: as a handicapping tool as well because I think it
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: sometimes doesn't get factored in enough. But in that game,
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: I do lean to the home dog as well anti
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: public as well, but it's not a strong opinion. Pittsburgh
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: at Vancouver. Pittsburgh has won all three games on their
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: road trip so far. They just beat Edmonton six to two.
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: That is a very satisfying win, and now they've had
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: two days off, so it is possible they overlooked the
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: last game of the road trip here against a pretty
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: weak Vancouver team. Looks like it could be a letdown spot.
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: Maybe a couple of days off, we're gonna hurt Pittsburgh's
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: momentum here. So I don't love the spot for Pittsburgh.
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: For Vancouver, they are staying at home. They did just
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: loose in New Jersey at home, and they gave it
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: five goals in the game, so they're having a really
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: rough time. If Vancouver's really not playing well. They've lost
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: twelve of their last thirteen games, I think is what
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: that is. So I think you probably will get effort
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: out of Vancouver at the very least, and I think
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: I do lean to the Vancouver side in this one.
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: Obviously they're home dog here. We don't see the percentages
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: on this yet. Pittsburgh's a minus one forty five favorite.
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: I'd probably take the home dog in that one. A
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: lot of home dog leans in this one. The only
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: one that I am not leaning towards this Toronto out
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: of those, but I don't really have much of an
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: opinion on any of these. Every game has a road favorite,
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: actually except Anaheim Calgary, and that's one where you might
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: expect there to also be a road favorite, but that
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: is not the case of Florida at Chicago. Florida is
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: coming off a big game yesterday. They beat Minnesota on
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: the road in overtime. Now Florida's playing a third game
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: in four days, all in different cities. The first two
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: of those both went into overtime and shootout. Looks like
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: a pretty bad spot for Florida. Man might be a
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: spot where Chicago can catch them in a bad spot.
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: Chicago will be the more rested team here, but Chicago
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: after beating Carolina in a shootout on Thursday. They played
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: the back to back and we faded them and really
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: they got They got dominated statistically in the game by
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay at home, but they took that game into
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: a shootout and we took the loss because we had
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay puck line very unfortunately. I thought it was
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: a really good spot to take Tampa and that one.
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: Chicago still put in a big effort in that one man,
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: although it was also a misleading final because Tampa Bay
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: really dominated them statistically, So it would be a spot
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: where normally I'd be looking to fade Chicago as well.
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: So I think it's a bad spot for both teams.
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: Chicago is still playing a third game in four days
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: at the very least, although staying at home for the
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: last two.
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: The money sort of indicating of Florida.
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: They're down for minus one forty five to minus one
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: thirty five here eighty six percent of the tickets on them,
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: ninety three percent of the cash on them. I kind
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: of lean to Chicago and this one is the home dog,
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: but it's a.
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: Spot where I just really have to avoid both teams.
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: And then we have Anaheim at Calgary here, and this
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: is the one game where the lesser team is actually
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: favored slightly. Calgary is, although not by a full whole
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: Mie advantage. Anaheim is coming into this game on six
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: wins in a row. They're coming up beating Seattle, not
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: exactly a big win, but faded Anaheim in that game
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: because they've beaten Colorado the game before that. So maybe
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: there is gonna be some sort of delayed letdown here
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: in Anaheim does play Edmonton next, so that is a
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: bigger game. So it does look like they could overlook
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: Calgary in the spot. Calgary is just staying at home
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: and they've lost multiple games in a row here. Yeah,
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: they've lost three games in a row at home, so
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be focused here. This is the
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: end of the home stand as well, and they've only
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: scored one goal in each of the last three games.
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, I know, Carolina Calgary, excuse me, is not
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: an offensive juggernaut, but I would have to lean to
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: Calgary in this game. This is actually probably the strongest
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: out of all the hockey games today that Calgary is.
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: There's a huge like it looks like there's a pros
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: versus Joe's dichotomy here in a huge way. Eighty five
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets are on Anaheim. I mean, it
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: looks pretty tempting to grab Anaheim at like a basically
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: pick the winner price, even a slight dog price. But
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: eighty nine percent of the cash on Calgary. I would
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: definitely to Calgary in that one. And I believe Anaheim
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: is not very good on the road, if I'm not mistaken. Yeah,
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: I mean they're below five hundred. Calgary is actually above
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: five hundred at home including the overtime losses. So Calgary
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: is definitely better at home and Anaheim is worse on
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: the road. So that does help the Calgary case in
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: that one. That's not on my card, but that is
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: the if you're gonna play any hockey game today, that
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: would be my recommendation. NBA we got some after noon
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: action as well, although the first game is Sacramento at Detroit.
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: Oh God, Sacramento is coming off a close call at Cleveland. Man,
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: I did lean to Sacramento, plus the points in that
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: game they definitely covered. They almost won the game actually
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: at Cleveland. So Sacramento's coming off one of those games. Man,
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: you have a huge dog a double digit Dog came
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: really close to being able to pull off an upset
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: in the game, So you want to look to typically
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: fade that team coming off a game like that. So
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: Sacramento is gonna spot like that. They're playing Detroit now,
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: They're not gonna overlook Detroit. But the warrior is that
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: Sacramento is just not gonna have much left in the
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: tank after putting in that huge effort. But the problem
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: is Detroit is coming off a big game themselves. They
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: just played Houston, big game that did result in a loss, though,
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: and they did lose a four game win streak and
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: they're staying at home. You could worry about the win
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: streak being over, and maybe it will hang Detroit over
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: a little bit, and they do have a pretty big
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: game up next against Denver to start the road trouble though.
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: I don't think Jokic is gonna be back yet. But yeah,
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: I have to stay off the game. I think I
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: would probably lean to Detroit though, I mean, they are
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: still the better team if you're looking at two teams
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: that are kind of in bad spots. I think Detroit
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: laying the points is probably still the correct side here.
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: But I don't want to touch the game. I think
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: both teams are in bad spots. Pistons are up from
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: twelve and a half to thirteen and a half. Here
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the tickets eighty four percent of
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: the cash on them. So the money like it is
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: agreeing with me on Detroit in that one, Denver at Memphis.
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: I almost wanted to make a play on this one.
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: Denver just pulled off an upset at Milwaukee, but there's
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: something not right with the honest man. Yannis left the game, briefly,
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: came back in. He he has a calf injury again.
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: Then he played through it for the rest of the game.
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: But that's part of the reason why Denver wound up
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: winning the game, and that wound up being a road
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: upset win for Denver.
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: Pulling off the upset. Yeah, as six point underdogs.
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: They think Now Denver has a third straight road game,
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: They're playing a third game in four days, fourth game
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: in six days, all in different cities, and they have
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: Detroit up next to two days.
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: So it is a bad spot for Denver for sure.
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: Now the thing about Denver, though, that might mitigate this
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: a little bit, is there are gonna be we have
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: to we have to look at what's going on with
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: the injury situation for Denver the like. Just looking at
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: the spot, I think the spot is very favorable to
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: me Memphis. Though. Memphis came back home from that Europe
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: trip that they had, they lost to Atlanta. They lost
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: again to New Orleans, and that's what they're coming off of,
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: a home lost in New Orleans. So you've got to
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: think Memphis is going to show some focus here. I
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: know they play Houston tomorrow, but you don't want to
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: be losing like this at home, man, So I think
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: the spot is definitely better for Memphis. But you go
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: to look at the line here Memphis, I was expecting
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: them to be around where the opener was a two
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: point favorite, but there are four and a half point
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: favorite here and it's going up higher. So the money
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: is coming into Memphis. I don't disagree with it. I
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: would still probably lean towards Memphis laying the points here,
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: but I worry because the line is a little bit
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: higher than it would be because we do have some
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: injuries on the side of the Nuggets fifty four percent
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: of the tickets eighty eight percent of the cash on
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: the Grizzlies. The money is agreeing with the Grizzlies. Now,
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: we already know that Jokic is out, but that's not
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: what I'm talking about. So, yes, Jokic is out, but
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: Aaron Gordon is now out. He played in the game
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: against Milwaukee and he's now out. So I think that
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: is part of the reason why the line is moving
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: like this because he's basically their best player without jokicch
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: in the lineup. Now he's out. But that worries me,
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: of course, because I talk about that worries me as
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: far as the Memphis side, because I always talk about
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: the injured player spot where your best player goes down.
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: A lot of times, you'll step your game up a
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: little bit and you're getting additional line value on that team,
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: you know. So that's kind of the spot that the
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: Nuggets are in here. So I am worried about it.
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: And then we have Jamal Murray and balance to you
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: and us. Both didn't play in the Milwaukee game, and
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: they both might play in this game, so that that
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: could go both ways. Like when you have guys returning
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: to the lineup for Denver, that could be a good
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: thing or it could be a bad thing. Right, So
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: you could argue that's like a reverse injured player type
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: of spot, where, oh, these guys are coming back, they
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: have been in and out of the lineup. It's gonna
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: be like a chemistry shift whatever. Like it might be
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: negative for den but I don't know, man. I mean,
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: if you have two of your better players potentially coming
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: back and they're resting, and they both played recently. I
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: think both of them played in the game before the
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee game, so it's not like they were out for
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: an extended period of time. So I tend to view
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: that more as a positive for Denver. In this case,
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: multiple of their best players coming back and they might
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: both play here and they only miss one game, so
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: a lot of moving pieces in that game. I have
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: to stay away from it, but I do lean to
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: Memphis generally in that game. It's just I think the
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: number is a bit too high at this point. Golden
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: State at Minnesota. I handicapped this game yesterday, so I'm
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: gonna try to not really repeat myself. You guys could
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: go back and see what I talked about yesterday. The
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: handicap doesn't really change here. This game got postponed because
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: the NBA is woke and they're yeah, I mean that
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: that is what it is. Oh, we have this dude
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: who you know, want to.
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: Being killed by Ice. Yeah, like, dude again, I mean
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: you see my Twitter.
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: Like, I I don't like either side in this. I'm
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: not talking about the game. I don't want to get
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: political on the show really, but I don't like either
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: side in that whole fiasco, right, Like, I don't like
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: these radical left idiots that are all out there protesting
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: this like they have. At the at best, they're like
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: completely misguided here and wrong about what they're protesting.
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: Not protesting ICE for necessarily.
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: The right reasons, which would be that they're you know,
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: like a an arm of a tyrannical organization. So but
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: that's not what they're Like. The Left are just doing
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: it because it's oh, we're we're fighting to you know,
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: have all these foreign people come into our uh, into
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: our neighborhood and whatever, which is ridiculous. But I think
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: that dude, he did put himself in a terrible situation.
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm yeah, I'm not saying that he like
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: deserved it or whatever, but I am saying that it
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: was stupidity on the part of him. And I think
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: that both sides escalated the situation, as is always the
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: case with the situations like that. I'm not taking his
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: side in it, but I also think it's really really
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: stupid for the NBA to take a side in it
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: and make the whole thing political. And oh, we're gonna
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: postpone the Minnesota game for that reason. It's all totally stupid. Man.
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: Now it's on NBA TV here, five point thirty pm.
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: Mister Pinsey, Steve her Son got killed? Did he really?
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: I've killed by ice. I did not know that Steve
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: Kerr makes all these like really really stupid political point. Dude,
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: you're a basketball coach. Just shut up and focus on basketball. Please.
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: I'm old enough, dude. I remember Kerr playing. I'm old enough.
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: I watched the Bulls back when he was playing the
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: Michael Jordan era, et cetera. But anyway, as far as
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: this game is concerned, you can see what I said
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: about the game. Yes, it doesn't really change much with
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: the game being moved to today. Golden State is still
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: coming off losing to Dallas and a game where they
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: were a favorite, and they're gonna be looking for a
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: win here of course, and it's gonna be extra motivation
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: for Golden State because Minnesota is the team eliminated them
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: from the playoffs last year, so it's playoff revenge. They
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: played once this year but Minnesota won, So Golden State. Oh, yes,
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: Nick Kerr, that's I forgot about him. Yeah, that's right. Yeah,
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: not to be confused with Nick Kertz on the the
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: homeless Athletics baseball Nick Kurtz is a good player man
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: the Athletics baseball team. Golden State. Yeah, so they still
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: have playoff revenge in mind here for Minnesota eliminating them
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: from the playoffs. That is a big motivating factor still
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: for Golden State here, and I think that is That's
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: kind of what pushed me to their side yesterday. I
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: didn't give it out as a player or anything, but
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: just for an opinion. Minnesota is also in a positive spot,
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: though they've lost four games in a row. They returned
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: home for a road trip and they lost to Chicago
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: as a favorite. Bad loss for Minnesota, but it was
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: a bad spot return home spot. The only thing that
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: kept me off of giving out Chicago as a play
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: in that game was Josh Giddy returned in the game,
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: so it was a reverse injured player spot. For Chicago
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: because he's been out for like a month, So I
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: think you were gonna get less value on Chicago in
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: that case, although I told you guys to play it
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: in the morning if you're gonna play it, where you
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: got plus nine on Chicago, So that would have been
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: the better move, But it didn't even matter because they
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: went out right anyway. But now Minnesota's coming up of that,
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: I think it is a bounced back spot for them.
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: They do have maybe the handicapped changes slightly just because
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: they do have extra rest, and the extra rest is
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: gonna help break that momentum up a little bit more
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: that losing momentum that they're on now. One other thing
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: that's interesting about this is the line was six in
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: this game yesterday and now it is, Oh it's on
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: the extra board here, now it's seven. It's gone down
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: from seven and a half to si and yesterday it
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: was like five and a half six, Like you're telling
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: me the line deserves to be a full point higher
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: for no real reason other than that the game got
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: postponed yesterday. That doesn't really make sense to me. So
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: I have to still lean to taking the points at
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: Golden State and this one even though the money seems
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: like it's disagreeing with it, sixty two percent of the tickets,
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: eighty four percent of the cash on the tea Wolves,
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: the money's coming into the t Wolves. I don't really
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: agree with it, man. So that's my opinion on the game.
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: That's of course, that's the one televised game today because
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be the most politicized.
• 37:38
  Speaker 2: So that's great.
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: Steve Kerr is gonna say something stupid, but anyway, Yeah,
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: that's that's that game. Will what's up man? Thank you
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: for the shout out for the the LP debate where
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: the debate questions basically single handed they destroyed Jacob Hornberger.
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: Although I like to take credit for it. In the
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: middle of the debate, I dude, I was playing the
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: role of like making Josh look sane. He is saying, like,
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: I love Josh Josh Smith, but I was like taking
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: the more. I was being a more extreme version of
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: Josh in the debate where Josh is like, you know,
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: I respect Jacob, but he's got this wrong. And then
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: I'm I come out, I'm like, I don't respect Jacob
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: and he's definitely wrong about this. I do not agree
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: with you. About the Broncos game, which you're not gonna
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: like what I have to say about this, but I
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: have a very strong opinion on that game. You already
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: know what I'm gonna get, what I'm gonna give out
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: as a play.
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: In that game.
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: I think it is an extremely strong play on the
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: Denver Broncos.
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: Today, Curry's questionable, which Curry?
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: They have too many Curri's Man, the Warriors are like
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: an Indian restaurant. Yes, you're right, Steph Curry's day to
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: day he'll play, man. I mean he didn't play yesterday.
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: I mean yeah, that's like the game that postponed. I mean,
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: so he has extra rest. These guys are all this
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: is his game time decisions. They're all gonna play except
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: I guess Kaminga is out again. He just started playing
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: again and now he's out again. I don't know what's
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: actually that might be the reason for the line move
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: because I don't think Kaminga was supposed to be out. Yeah,
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: like as the game was scheduled yesterday, I think he
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: was supposed to play. So maybe that's why the line move.
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: But does Kaminga get that much respect? The line's gonna
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: move one point just because of cominga. I don't really
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: think so. I don't know actually, but you're right. It
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: might be because Curry's questionable, maybe the line move like that.
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: But I think he's gonna play. I mean, if he
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: was gonna play yesterday, why wouldn't he play today? So
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: I think he's gonna play. That would be my guess,
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: Like what did he get injured just you know, sitting
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: around yesterday, although I'm assuming they practice and whatever. All right,
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: Dallas and Milwaukee, this is my one basketball play of
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: the day here. Oh yeah, oh, thank you? Did Wait?
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: Did I say that this speak of sun and down? Yes,
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: it's Timer Hornberg, Thank you will. Yes, it's Timer Hornberger.
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: To go to bed? Yes, I believe I did say that. Yes,
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: that debate is still out there, I think on LP
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: Georgia's rumble page somewhere. I had fun at that debate.
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: I made it fun and I was I was one
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: of the only people that had fun with the Trump impersonator,
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: who I guess his friends with with Brad Binkley. Is
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: that his thing? Yeah, Brad Binkley, Right, yeah, I like
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: that guy. And they both made an appearance at bro
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: Grove three as well. They were there.
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: The Trump impersonator.
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: Just like didn't disrupt, but he interrupted the show to
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: live read Trump's tweet about what was it about. I
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: don't remember what it was. I forget what the Trump
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: tweet was at the time, but it was some Trump
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: made some major announcement and he came out and read
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: the tweet as Trump. It was pretty hilarious. All right,
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be in the Milwaukee Bucks minus one. I
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: think the line is moving up a little bit on this.
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: I would look at the money line market on this too,
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: to see if you can get a better price on
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: the money line, like I was considering it because I
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: saw like minus one fifteen or so on the money
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: line money line. I think it's fine as well. Here
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: now the Bucks flip from a two point dodge to
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: a one point favorite, and I don't really know why.
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: So that's a little bit weird to me, because I'm
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: gonna show you in a minute. If anything, I think
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: the line should have moved in the opposite direction. But
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: either way, we're gonna play. This is a spot that
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: I like for a whole bunch of reasons. The money's
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: not agreeing with me. Sixty seven percent of tickets on
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: the Bucks fifty nine percent of the cash on the MAVs.
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: Here they're playing Dallas.
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: But look at the spot here, man, Like I looked
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: at this spot and I'm like, I'm already leaning to
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: the Bucks just because of the spot. Dallas is on
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: a back to back. They just played the Lakers yesterday,
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: and if you look at what happened in this game,
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: Dallas should have won this game. I know they were
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: an underdog, a big road underdog, but the Lakers had
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: the lead for a huge portion in the game into
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: the second half. Lakers basically stopped scoring and Dallas flipped
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: the script and Dallas was winning this game by fifteen
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter and they wound up losing the game.
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: I mean, that is brutal. And this is a huge
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: game because it's the whole Luca thing. Dallas really wanted
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: that game, I think, man, And this is at home
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: for Dallas. They had the Lakers completely on the ropes,
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: game looked like it was over and they lose the
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: game outright. That is brutal, dude. So that's what Dallas
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: is coming off of. That was yesterday and they have
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: to travel to Milwaukee just for this one game and
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: there might be a reason why they might overlook Milwaukee
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: even more now. Yannis is out again now, which I'm
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: gonna talk about as part of the handicap as well,
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: and they have Minnesota on deck, which I think is
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: a bigger game because it's a Western Conference game. Minnesota
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: is good, so this looks like a sandwich spot. It's
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: also a third game in four days, and they beat
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: Golden State as an underdog the game before that, like
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: I said, Dallas did, and they crushed the Knicks in
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: Madison Square the game before that, so Dallas was on
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: this run of huge games man and that lost to
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: La yesterday ended a four game win streak for them too,
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: so that could also make it more of a hangover
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: spot as well. This is a horrific spot for Dallas
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: here from Milwaukee. I think the spot is better because
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: they did just lose as a home favorite against Denver.
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: And I know it is Denver, like you do get
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: up for a game against Denver, sure, but it was
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: Denver without Jokis. Milwaukee was the favorite in the game
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: and the game kind of like I said, it got
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: disrupted because Giannis exited the game. He came back into
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: the game and he still put up a bunch of
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: stats in the game, but I guess he was a
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: not at full strength. He injured his calf again and
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: he's now out four to six weeks, even though he
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: played through it and yes in the Friday excuse me,
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: he's out now for four to six weeks. So we
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: have an injured player spot now as well. So even
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: without that, I was looking at Milwaukee anyway, because I'm like, well,
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: this is the last game of the home stand for Milwaukee,
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: and they lost both other games, so you've got to
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna be motivated here. They've lost five out
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: of six games. No team wants that, like they're gonna
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: want to try to get a win here. But now
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: that Giannis is out and this is his first game
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: out after being in the lineup for a while, it's
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: an injured player spot again. Man, we're again. I'm gonna
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: talk about it. Usually the team is gonna step up
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: their level of play that first game without their star
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: player there because they know they have to, and usually
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: you get line.
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: Value on that team because of it.
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: And I still think we are I mean, we're talking
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: about them playing Dallas here. Like with Giannis in the lineup,
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: You got to think the Bucks probably would have been
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: a favorite of I would guess like four points or
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: so in this game. So I do think there is
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: live value on the Bucks here. I think it's a
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: really good spot. And you're basically just picking the winner
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: in the game. I like it, man. Yeah, this game
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: has Milwaukee written all over it. For me, that's what
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: we're gonna do in this game. And yeah, I mean
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: the injury situation besides the honest thing, I mean it
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: kind of is what It is, no real change for
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: either team between their previous game and today's game. And
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: of course there's a rest edge for Milwaukee as well
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: because they are staying at home and they didn't play yesterday.
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: Dallas played yesterday and have to travel here. And maybe
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: that does kind of factor into why the Bucks are
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: a favorite like this, you know, like they do have
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: to like the oddsbeagers do have to factor in the
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: rest a bit, There's no doubt about that. But we're
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: just picking the winner here, man. I think it's gonna
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: be the Bucks. That's the one play that we have here,
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: all right, And we're going against the market in that moment,
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: which do all love, But I did that with the
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: Kings last night and we got the winner. That was
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: it was close. Toronto at Oklahoma City. Yeah, Toronto will
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: get for this game, obviously, but I think I'm gonna
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: have to lean to the thunder. And if you guys
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: know what they did in their last game, you'll know
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: why Toronto might start running out of steam a little
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: bit here because they're on a road trip and they're
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: pretty well traveled right now. They're playing a what is
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: this fourth game in six days? I think is what
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: this is here, all on the road. A fifth game
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: in eight days as well, in a six game and
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: ten days, all in different cities. So that's not easy
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: to do them. Man, they've already won the road trip.
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: They're three and one on the road trip. Sure they're
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: gonna get up for a game against Oklahoma City because
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: it is Oklahoma City. But with all this travel going
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: on for Toronto here Oklahoma City staying at home and
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: what I think is a major bounce back spot, I
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: would definitely prefer okay See in this game. Okay See
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: just return home from a road trip and they had
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: to play Indiana. I should have given out Indiana as
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: a play. I don't know what I was thinking, I
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: think Indiana was also kind of in an ify spot.
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: I think in that game, but Oklahoma City was returning
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: home from a road trip and Indiana sled finals revenge
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: on their mind. So that was a massive game for
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: the Pacers. Man. Obviously, I'm going to look to fade
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: the Pacers in their next game whoever they play, which
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: I don't think has happened yet. So okay see took
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: that loss. They were big favorites in the game. There
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: were probably like fifteen point favorites in the game. But again,
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: return home spot, you can get a bit distracted. You
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: have to get back to home life. They probably didn't
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: care that much about Indiana. Indiana definitely wanted the game
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: way more. Okasee took the loss. Now they're staying at home.
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: They're in one of those positive spots that I talk
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: about where when you had a bad game in the
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: return home spot, you tend to play a lot better
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: in the next game. I would only play the Thunder
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: in this one, man, And the fact still remains that
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: the Thunder pretty much dominated at home, and they win
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: by an average or still like somewhere between seventeen and
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: eighteen points, probably at home. The money is disagreeing with me,
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: But I would only lay the points in this one
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: thunder down from thirteen to eleven and a half year,
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: seventy two percent of tickets, sixty nine percent of the
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: hash on them. So the market read is saying to
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: take the points, but I do not agree. I would
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: lay it or stay away. It's a stay away from me.
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: And then I guess, I don't know. I got to
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: see if there are injuries going on here. Caruso Hartenstein
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: are still out for Oklahoma City. That was already the case.
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: I think they already missed the prior game as well.
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: So and it does look like Toronto did get Barrett back,
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: so they got they did get one of their better
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: players back. But okay See is just a super deep
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: team man too. So yeah, I would still lay it
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: with okay See. I didn't want to fade okay See
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: at home. That's true, But I don't know. That was
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: like that was one of those spots where it was
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: it was one of the rare spots where it looked
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: like you definitely should you play the money line. Well,
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: good for you, Jeff, all right, Stacks, what's up man? Yeah,
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: I'm kind of mad at myself that I didn't give
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: that out as a play. I don't know. I could
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: go back to check. I think there was something about
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: the spot for Indiana that didn't quite jive with me,
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: because I think just solely Oklahoma City being at home
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: I don't think was enough, especially because it was a
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: return home spot. So I don't think that would have
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: been enough for me to to stay off of Indiana.
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: I think Indiana had to have been Oh, I can
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: look right now, let me see. Oh, yeah, Indiana had
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: played Boston. I think Indiana was on a back to
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: back or something, right, were they? No? No, I don't
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: know what I was thinking. They lost to Boston the
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: game before that, but it wasn't really that close. Yeah,
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: maybe you're right.
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: Maybe I said I just didn't want to fade, Okay.
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: See at home. I don't know.
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: I don't know what I was thinking there.
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: Did I did? I completely overlook that it was a
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: return home spot. I don't know, man, I should have
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: played Indiana in that game. My apologies, all right, New
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: Orleans at San Antonio. New Orleans just pulled off an
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: upset on the road at Memphis. They played fairly well
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: the prior to games against Houston into Detroit. So New
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: Orleans is playing kind of competitively right now. Now you
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: could make the argument, well, they've played a bunch of
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: pretty tough games in a row, so now they won't
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: have anything left against San Antonio maybe, or you could
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: argue that New Orleans is not as bad as they
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: look because they're playing pretty competitively, they should still step
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: up their game for San Antonio. They did play well
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: against San Antonio back on December eighth. I believe we
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: had New Orleans in that game, if I'm not mistaken.
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: It was at New Orleans and New Orleans only lost
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: by three. I think the Spurs are in some really
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: bad spot in that game because they think that was
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: a winner for us in that game. But I don't
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: know if that game is gonna matter, Like, I don't
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: know if San Antonio is gonna remember that and be like, oh,
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: we have to take this team seriously. As far as
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: the spot for San Antonio, they have multiple days off
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: here they are returning home from a road trip. But
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: it was only a two game road trip, the twentieth
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: and the twenty second. But they went to Houston that
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: was a big game. Then they went to Utah, and
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: even off of the Houston game they were in having
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: beaten Utah right before that, they beat Utah again on
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: the road. Now San Antonio is returning home from that,
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: it is still technically a return home spot where you
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: could maybe fall into that distraction spot and not pay
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: attention to your opponent. The one main reason why they
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: might not pay attention to this game though, is they
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: have Houston on deck on ESPN, and that's a quick
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: revenge spot, going right back to the scene where they
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: lost the last game at Houston. That's a big game, man.
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: So it is at the very least it is a
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: look ahead spot for San Antonio here. I would probably
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: have to lean towards taking the points of the Pelicans
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: in this one. The market does agree with that one.
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: The Spurs down from twelve to eleven and a half,
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: sixty two percent of the tickets, fifty two percent of
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Spurs. They're obviously the public side
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: less of the money on them. I'll lean to the
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: Pelicans in that one. But I'm not touching the game
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: Miami at Phoenix.
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: See what we got going on here? Yeah, this show
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: will wind up being about an hour.
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna talk about the NFL somewhat long, even
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: though it's only two games, but we'll talk about side total.
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: I'll give out maybe a couple of prop ideas. Miami
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: at Phoenix here, Miami just blew out Utah yesterday. That's
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: a satisfying win, man. I mean, I know Phoenix is
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: a decent team, but Miami did just beat Phoenix last
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: time they played them, back on January thirteenth in Miami.
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: Miami is in this rare spot where they're actually playing
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: a fifth game in seven days, believe it or not,
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: own different cities, which is very, very difficulty. This is
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: the second of two back to back since Monday, brutal
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: brutal scheduling from Miami and coming off winning by thirty
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: one points. I think it's a bad spot from Miami, dude.
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: The problem is, I went and I looked at the
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: Phoenix side of things, and I'm like, oh God, Phoenix
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: is in a bad spot too. Phoenixes are turning over
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: from a road trip. They've been on the road for
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: almost two weeks. They've been on the road since January thirteenth.
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: The road trip did start with that loss to Miami,
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: So maybe they will actually show up for a game
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: against Miami. But Phoenixes are turning home from a long
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: road trip, and you know, I talk about this when
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: a team returns home from the road trip, they can
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: get into a distracted spot. There's stuff that has to
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: be done at home. It can add distractions to it.
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: The one thing that might be keeping them from being
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: distracted is that their next game is only against Brooklyn,
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: who they beat on the road trip. At Miami was
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: the loss that started the road trip, and that's who
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: they're playing here in Miami, so they might actually still
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: show up. The fifth game in seven days is very,
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: very difficult for the heat man, although that's gonna be
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: factoring in to the line. Now. The Suns are up
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: from two to four and a half here, so I'm
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: wondering if maybe if there's an injury or if the
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: heat maybe they heat arresting somebody on the back to back.
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: Let me see here, what's going on? Where's the I
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: skipped over it, um not really seeing it. Tyler Hero
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: has been out anyway, so he's out. Green looks like
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: he's a game time decision for Phoenix. What else is new?
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: Doesn't look like there's really any injury situation that's causing
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: the line to move like that. I think most of
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: it is just because it's a back to back for
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: the Heat, sixty take a sixty percent of the cash
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: on the Suns, so the public money is a little
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: bit on the Sun's side. The market is saying, bade
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: the Suns. The return home spot is really really bad, man.
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: But so is being playing a fifth game in eleven
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: seven days. Fifth game and eleven would be easy. Fifth
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: game in seven days is really really difficult too. It's
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: very rare that that happens in the NBA, now, you know.
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: I guess I will need to take in the points
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: of the heat because I think the Heat being in
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: a fifth game in seven days, I think is actually
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: factoring into this line more than the Sun's return home
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: spot is. So I think the line probably is giving
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: you a little bit of value on the Heat in
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: that one, But I have to stay away from that.
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: The heater horrible spot, and they're on the back to back,
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: which is being factored into the line too. So, but
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: I think the return home spot is one of the
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: worst spots that you can be And and speaking of
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: bad spots, Brooklyn at the Clippers here Brooklyn just almost
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: beat the Celtics, and the Celtics got a three pointer
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: at the buzzer and regulation ascending into overtime from Hugo Gonzalez.
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: After all, I believe the Celtics. I believe were winning
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: that game easily, I think at various points in the game,
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: and then they blew the game and then still won
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: the game. Yeah, so the Celtics are winning the game.
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: Late in the game, they blew the lead, had to
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: take had to get a Gonzales three to send it
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: into overtime, and then Brooklyn wound up just fading and
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: double overtime. Man, really really brutal loss for Brooklyn to
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: play that tough against the Celtics. Now they got to
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: travel out to the Pacific Coast for a late game,
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: and you know, I don't love that. I do like
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: the start of a road trip usually because I think
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: a team will be focused to start the road trip,
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: but the fact that it's the first game out on
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: the Pacific Coast for an East Coast team, it can
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: mess with your biological clock. It's late. I don't love that. Obviously.
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: It's bad that they're coming off playing that double overtime
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: game two days ago. That's not good either. They have
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: Phoenix on deck, and they did just lose that home
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: to Phoenix back on the nineteenth, so they might be
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to that game and then Denver after that.
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: So a lot of things I don't like. Although this
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: Clippers team did actually beat Brooklyn on the ninth in
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn as well, so maybe they actually won't overlook the
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: Clippers here in this game. Still a bad spot for Brooklyn,
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: But I go and I look at the Clippers and
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: it's a bad spot for them too. They just beat
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: the Lakers, so good win for the Clippers, but they're
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: staying at home and they have two days off, so
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: the spot is still better for the Clippers, even though
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: you could argue it's a letdown spot. But last time
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: the Clippers beat the Lakers, they beat Houston the next
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: game with the same amount of rest. They stayed at home,
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: very similar spot. They stayed at home and they beaton
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: anyway in the next game, But that was Houston. They're
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: a team that you get up for. This is Brooklyn,
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: the team you don't.
• 57:06
  Speaker 2: Really get up for, so.
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: A lot of things to consider there in this game.
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: I think the spot is worse for Brooklyn though I
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: would lean to the Clippers in this one. They dropped
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: from ten and a half to eight and a half here,
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: seventy two percent of the tickets eighty one percent of
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Clippers market is seemingly agreeing with
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: the Clippers. I do agree with it. As far as
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: why the line moved like that, I don't know, man.
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: I mean, Leonard is always day to day for the Clippers,
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. Abougdanovich seems like he's always He's
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: been out for a while.
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: I think I think he's never healthy.
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. But the spot to me looks
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: worse for Brooklyn, So I lean to the Clippers in
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: that one. I just don't want to be on them
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: after they pulled off a big win over the Lakers.
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: But I think, yeah, the spot for Brooklyn is worse.
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: That would be my opinion. All right, let's go to
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: the NFL here, man. AFC Championship is up first, Patriots Roncos. Really,
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: I don't know if either team necessarily should be here.
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: I mean that's kind of the crux of this thing
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: is like which of these teams is more overrated? Really?
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: Is what the problem is here?
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: Right? Because? Yeah, they're the one seed in the two
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: seed here. But the Patriots played maybe the easiest schedule
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: in NFL history. They beat one team during the regular
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: season with a winning record, and that team also beat
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: them in New England. That was Buffalo, very very strange.
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: But now, yeah, of course the Patriots have won two
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: games against winning teams in the playoffs, of course, but
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: that's set up really well for the Patriots. Man. So,
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: the Patriots caught two Dome teams in cold outdoors for
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: their two playoff games, and I talked about how difficult
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: it is for Dome teams in cold weather. The history
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: is not good. The last eighteen games now, Dome teams
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: playing in an outdoor game in I believe sub forty
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: agree weather are two.
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: And sixteen in those games straight up.
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: And that second win was actually that was the Rams
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: in the Bears game. So without that Rams win, they were, yeah,
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: they had one win over the past like fifteen drives
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: or whatever. The Patriots had that in effect in both
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: of their games. The Patriots got to play a Chargers
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: team that had no offensive line. You know, their best
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: offensive lineman out included Joe Alt of course, Justin Herbert
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: playing with a broken hand. They just couldn't do anything.
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: And if you remember, the Patriots were still only winning
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: that game nine to three in the fourth quarter. The
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: Patriots didn't even have a touchdown in that game until
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: really late in the game when they finally got one.
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: It was an ugly, ugly game on both sides. And
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: then the Patriots beat Houston, but really Houston beat themselves.
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: So already this is factoring into my handicap here, Man,
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: Dirty Soccer on the Broncos, although I think you're a Broncos,
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: but I'll put it up right now. You know I'm
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: on the Broncos plus four and a half. You know that.
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: Although I think it looks like you can mostly get
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: four's out there right now, but the public might drive
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: this number back up a little bit. I don't know.
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: The line was five and a half at one point, primarily,
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: but five and a half is kind of a dead number.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: I think if you get four and a half, even four,
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: I think is still okay in this one. I think
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: the line is just too high at any of those numbers.
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: But back to what.
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: We're talking about here. Part of this handicap is what
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: I'm already talking about. I think the Patriots wins are misleading.
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: CJ Stroud, Dude, he was horrific in that game against
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: the Patriots, and I think it might have been more
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: hymn than the Patriots defense, because the Patriots defense has
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: been better against the run than the past. This year,
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: the Patriots defense has been mediocre. I know I was
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: saying it was bad, but the Patriots they've had a
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: bad red zone defense this year, actually one of the
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: worst in football, and they've been decent at stopping the
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: run and not very good against the pass. So I
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: don't know. We'll talk about how the factors into the
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: game today. I guess, well, I don't think of factors.
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know how much that factors into the game,
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: because that might help because Denver has a quarterback that
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: nobody wants to back with their money in this game,
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: and the Patriots aren't that great against the pass, so
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: maybe stid them. Maybe we'll actually do okay in this game.
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: The Broncos aren't really that much of a running team anyway.
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: Even though I thought they were gonna focus on the
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: run a bit more last week, they were able to
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: win without doing it. But yeah, so we'll see. But
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: the Patriots do slow down the run. That's kind of
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: what they do. So we'll see if the Broncos are
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: able to establish the run. And that might be the
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: one concern with the Broncos, that they might struggle to
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: establish the run, and of course they're gonna try to
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: do it to take the load off of the quarterback here.
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: But dude, CJ. Stroud threw that game away. He was
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: so bad in the game that I saw a stat
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: on this if CJ. Strout had spiked the football on
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: every play, he would have had a higher QBR in
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: that game than he did. That's pathetic, absolutely pathetic. He
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: threw a pick six in the game. I think he
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: had four interceptions in the game. Patriots had three offensive
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: touchdowns in the game, but one was set up by
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: a short field as well, right, I think at least
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: one was, maybe two of them were Houston was winning
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: that game close to halftime, they'd taken a ten to
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: seven lead, and then Stroud picked six right away, and
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: then the game is just completely swung in the opposite direction.
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: And even with that, Houston was still within five points
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: by the way in that game. Late in the game,
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: the Patriots put up a late touchdown that put it away.
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: It was twenty one to sixteen. I'm pretty sure in
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: the fourth quarter. So yeah, I mean that game wasn't
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: really what it appeared on the scoreboard. Man, it looks
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: like the Patriots scored a lot against the Houston defense.
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: They did not. Really, it was CJ. Stroud handing them
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: scores pretty much. It was one of the worst quarterback
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: performance in playoff history from Stroud. There's no way around that.
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: He was awful. Yeah, I mean, they should have put
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: in Davis Mills, Dude, I don't know why they didn't.
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 2: Mills is better than Stroud at this point.
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: Mills is one of the highest paid backups, which I'm
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: gonna talk about that when we talk about the Broncos
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: here as well. Mills would have done better than than
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: Stroud did in that game. There's no doubt about that.
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: Stroud his career might be over. I wouldn't want him
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: as my starter at all, even though I have my
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: Stroud jersey. I might I might have to burn it,
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: but I I just like the Houston pissing off the
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: Tennessee fans by having the Oilers colors with one of
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: their jerseys.
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: I like the colors. That's what I like, anyway.
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: Back to this game, Stroud was so bad that he
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: masked how bad Drake May was. So let's talk about
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: that as far as yes, we're gonna be on Denver here.
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: Like I said, plus the points. Drake May has been
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: awful in the playoffs so far. He's won two games,
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: but look at what he's done. He's had six turnovers
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: in two games Drake May has, He's had six fumbles,
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: they lost three of the fumbles, and he's throwing three
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: interceptions with four touchdowns. That that is not good. And
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: Denver is the number one team in the NFL in sacks,
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: so they pressure the quarterback a lot. So that's not
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: a good setup for Drake May, who's not able to
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: hold onto the football right now in these playoff games.
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: He's now having to play a first road playoff game
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: of his career. That's not easy at all, in high elevation,
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: which he's not used to, and he's gonna be facing
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: like the leading pass rush in the NFL out of
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: Denver here. He definitely could be liable to make some
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: mistakes in this one man So that is a problem
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: for the Patriots, and that's definitely a problem if you're
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: trying to lay points on the road, and let's talk
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: about this number. I think there's a ton of line
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: value in this number before the Bonnicks injury. Of course,
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: we know we have to talk about the Bonnicks injury.
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: Of course obviously that's but you know me, I'm gonna
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: play on the team with the injured player. The injured
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: player theory is part of this. Bonix got hurt. Very
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: strange situation where he finished the game last week against Buffalo,
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: but I guess he broke his ankle on one of
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: the final plays of the game, still made a completed
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: pass after that and then did the kneel down to
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: set up the winning field goal. Very very strange. So
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: he's not playing. Okay, Now, we had lines for this
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: game before that, there were look ahead lines because you know,
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: the the sportsbooks will put out the look ahead lines
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: like they'll they'll let you bet lines like a week
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: in advance, especially on these playoff games, like you can
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: bet lines on the Super Bowl right now with all
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: the hypothetical Super Bowl matchups. And I can tell you
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: right now that if the Broncos win this game, they're
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: an eight eight and a half point underdog. Against either
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: the Rams or Seahawks in the Super Bowl, So that
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: is a big line. The Patriots are only like a
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: three and a half or four point underdog against either
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: of the Rams or the Seahawks. So something interesting there
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: with those hypotheticals. But the hypothetical for this game was
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: Broncos minus one and a half with bon Nicks playing. Okay,
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: so the Broncos are a one and a half point favorite.
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: Now we're saying that the line moves six points basically
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: off of that to four four and a half here,
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: I know the point's going through zero worth a little
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: bit less. I get that, so it's not through too
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: many key numbers, but it is still through the Z.
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: It's still through the zero and through the three of course,
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: and a four basically, which those are key numbers. And
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's warranted because you're talking about the
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: question is what is the drop off from Bonnix to
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: Jared Stidham. The question is not what is Bonix worth?
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: And I don't think there's a six point drop off here.
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: I think Stidham is being undervalued here in the market.
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: The market, as I always point out, the injured player
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: theory is that the market overreacts to a quarterback going
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: down the line moves too much to account for it,
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: and the public actually overreacts to it as well. Though
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: we see here Patriots are only somewhat public sixty one
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: percent taket sixty five percent of the cash on them.
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: But I can tell you, like every professional that I've
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: listened to likes Denver in this one, and that was
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: my thought immediately anyway, before I listen to any of
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: those guys, I was like, Denver's gonna be a play here.
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: There's no doubt about this, and.
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: That just all listening to the professionals all we just
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: confirmed my thinking on this. It's actually yeah, I think
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: it's one of the stronger plays that I've seen, so hopefully,
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: hopefully it gets here. Now, Bonix, he's a mediocre quarterback, dude,
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: He's not one of those guys. He's not an elite
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: level quarterback that goes out there and carries the team,
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean.
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 2: The Broncos play as a team.
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: They have a lot of role players, they have one
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: of the best defenses in the NFL, so that's how
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: they win. And yes, as I said, I know the
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: Broncos are a bit overrated this year. They won a
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: lot of close games, but they also did not lose
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: by margin a lot. Every game is pretty close. The
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: only game that they lost by more than I think
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: three or four points all year was that game against
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville a few weeks ago. Jacksonville was just super motivated
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: in that game. It was kind of a weird spot whatever.
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: Other than that, the Broncos have not lost by more
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: than like a few points in any game this year. Now, yes,
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: they also didn't win by margin, but we're taking them
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: as a big home underdog here, so I like all
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: of that as well. The Broncos did face a week's schedule,
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: but not as weak as the Patriots. And as far
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: as the drop off between Nicks and Stidham, Nicks, again,
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: he's like a middle of the pack quarterback. He's only
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: in his second full year, so how much is he
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: really worth here? Jarrett Stidham has been in the NFL
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: for long or I know he's a backup, but he
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: is the third highest paid backup in the NFL, and
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: I was talking about Davis Mills. Mills I think might
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: be the highest. Stidham is the third highest paid backup
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: in the NFL. And there's a reason for that, and
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: Denver has refused to trade him, So why is that,
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: Like Sean Payton explicitly went out and got him. He
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: wanted Jarrett Stidham got him from the Raiders. He's been
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: in this system since then. Stidham, even though I don't
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: even think he's actually taken a snap in an actual
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: game with Denver in his tenure here since twenty twenty
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: three or whatever, there was a reason why Sean Payton
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: wanted him, and he's been in this system the whole time.
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: So what does that mean. That means he knows the system.
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: He's the backup, so his job is if there's an
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: injury to the starting quarterback, I have to know the system.
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: I have to be ready to get in there.
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: So I think he's really being overlooked here man because
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: he knows the system.
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 2: He's a high PA, he's a high paid backup quarterback.
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: And there's a reason why Sean Payton was refusing to
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: trade him and explicitly went out and got him. And
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: I think it's because he likes the fit. Jarrett fit him.
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: He likes to fit in the system. So I don't
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: think he's going to be a huge drop off from
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: Nicks here. I think probably the drop off is probably
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: should probably be closer to like a three point drop off,
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: maybe about a six or five and a half is
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: kind of ridiculous. So that's what I think about that.
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: And if you look at their career numbers, I know
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: Stidham hasn't played in a real NFL game for a
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: couple of years, but his QBR in his career is
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: only slightly worse than Knicks. Nix's is like ninety and
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: Stidham's is eighty eight, so he's not that bad. Yeah,
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: Nis might be able to do a few more things
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: with his legs and whatever. Stidham's not a complete statue
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: either though, like he has a little bit of mobility,
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, man, And again it's gonna be
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be kind of a game management
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: type of thing. And the other thing that's good about
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: still like you know Sindham might come out have to
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: be a game manager here. You can rely on the
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: defense as long as you keep the game close. We
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: don't need them to win the game. Although personally I
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: actually think Denver is going to win this game. But yeah,
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: I mean Sean Payton's gonna come up with some schemes
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: where Sinham is not gonna have to shoulder the complete
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: low here. The defense can help them in the game. Obviously,
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: Broncos have the better defense, and you know what I
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: talk about better defense getting points. That's what you have
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: in this game with the Broncos. Even though the Patriots
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: defense has been decent recently, the Broncos still are the
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: better defense here. Patriots are definitely the better offense, but
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: uh better defense getting points at home like that. The
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: other thing about Stidham being in here is that the
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: Patriots have no game film on him. There is no
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: game film on him playing with Denver internatual games. So
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: the Broncos have an unknown factor that benefits them here.
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: It's a disadvantage for the Patriots because how do you
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: prepare for a quarterback that hasn't played, like hasn't played
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: in the in an NFL game In this system, you
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: don't know what they're gonna do, so that makes preparation
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: more tough for the Patriots. Patriots have to travel here,
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: going out to Mile High not easy to do. The
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: Patriots have historically been pretty bad in Miles I think
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: Tom Brady never won a playoff game in Denver. I
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: think he was like owned three or owned four or
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: something in Denver. So I know this is not Tom Brady.
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: It's Drake may Oh he's better than Tom Brady. Went no,
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: but yeah, I mean the Patriots have historically struggled.
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: In playoff games in Denver.
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know if it's the elevation, I don't know
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: what it is exactly, but they haven't done well in
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: Denver in playoff situations. Denver has the extra rest and
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: that does mean something in this round of the playoffs.
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: Denver played on Saturday, of course, right, Patriots played on Sunday.
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: And when you have the home team in a conference
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: championship in the NFL and they have the rest advantage
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: like that, they're twenty one and seven straight up. That's
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: the history there. So the team if the home team
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: has the rest advantage in the conference championship, twenty one
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: and seven straight up. So we have that going for
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: us with the Broncos here now. Also, I think the
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: line actually was wrong when the line came out at
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: minus one and a half is what it would have
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: been with Knicks. That line also didn't make sense because
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: the Broncos were just minus one and a half last
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: week against Buffalo, So you're telling me that the Patriots
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: are as good as Buffalo. They're not. I know Buffalo
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: got eliminated from the playoffs, but we just saw Buffalo
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: played at New England like three or four weeks ago,
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: and Buffalo was a favorite in New England and they won,
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: And that was one of my plays on the show.
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: So what are we talking about here, Like, if Buffalo
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: played New England on a neutral, they'd probably be like
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: a two to three point favorite now, so, and that
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: line indicated in the game against New England back then
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: indicated they probably should have been about like a three
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: point favorite on a neutral as well. So this line
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: probably shouldn't have been one and a half to begin
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: with with Nix, it probably should have been like probably
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: two and a half. I don't know, if you give
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: them the full three maybe, So I think that line
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: was already short change in the Broncos So like that
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: as well. The Broncos, as it stands right now, are
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: the biggest home underdog in NFL history in a conference
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: championship game. So there's like no precedent for having an
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: underdog this big in this round of the playoffs as
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: a home team, which is insane, but that seems to
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: indicate there's gonna be some value on Denver for that
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: reason as well. Home dogs are really good in the playoffs.
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: Home dogs. I believe home dogs of four or more
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: are ten and oh in the last like fifty years
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs against the spread, six and four straight up,
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: ten and oh against the spread, and one of them
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: was one of the spread winners was this year Carolina
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: against the Rams.
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 2: So that's the only instance I think that we've had
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 2: this year.
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: But yeah, so home dogs of four or more in
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: the playoffs do really really well as well. So that's
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: another stat that we have going for us here. We
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: have a lot of statistics going for us here. And man,
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: I was trying to run through this is all in
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: a more concise way. I feel like I was all
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: over the place with that analysis. But yeah, I think
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: that's probably all I got for this one, hopefully. Those stats,
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, when I saw them all, I'm like, yeah,
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: holy crap, this is a great spot for Denver. That's
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: what we're doing, man. And you know, the public has
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: a tendency to like the the better offense too, But
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: of course they're gonna jump on the team that doesn't
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: have the injured quarterback. Oh it's Drake May versus the
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: Stidham guy. What. Oh, one other thing. Stidham, he was
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: drafted by the New England Patriots. That was the first
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: team that he played with in the in the NFL,
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: and they traded him away and he has a chance
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: to beat them.
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: In a conference championship game.
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: You don't think he's gonna be a little bit extra
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: motivated for that reason. The team might rally around him
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: for that reason. He gets to take a shot at
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: the team that didn't want him because he was he
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: was supposed to be the backup for Tom Brady and
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: then they did not go in that direction. And then
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: I think McDaniels, Josh McDaniels had left and brought him
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: over to the Raiders or whatever, and then the Raiders
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: wound up trading him. He gets a shot at McDaniels
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: in this game too, so huge. There's a little bit
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: of a revenge modive there from the side of Stidham there.
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: So yeah, we're absolutely gonna do it. We're on the
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: Broncos plus the points. I think they win the game.
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: Out right, Zach, what's up, man? Bo is definitely overrated.
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: Two A Maze fumbles were blind side hits. Okay, well,
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: so the Patriots offensive line sucks then, yeah, that's the
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: other thing. Denver has a huge line advantage here. Yeah,
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: one of the interceptions, it was a chuck at the
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: end of the half or whatever. Don't care. Mac Hollins
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: is back also, don't care. Whatever. He's one of their
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: wide receivers. I completely disagree with you. I've done this
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: for like twenty years, man. I'm telling you there's huge
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: value on the Broncos here, and I think they win
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: the game out right. I do not trust the Patriots
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: in a spot like this whatsoever. No, I do not.
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: And he May, any way, you look at May has
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: been struggling in the playoffs. I Ciindneam will be mentally ready,
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: and I dude, he doesn't even have great talent and
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: he doesn't need it. That's the whole point here. Bon
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: Nicks doesn't have great talent. Sidham is not a huge
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: drop off from bon Nicks. That is the whole thing.
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: Stidham has been in the league longer and has been
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: in this system for like three years, so he knows
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: what he's doing, he knows the system, and that's yeah,
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: that's it. He's really not like this Patriots defense is
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: really not that formidable. So Sidham does not need to
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: shoulder the load. As long as the Broncos defense and
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: the rest of the team plays up to their end
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: of the bargain.
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 2: Here doesn't need to happen.
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: So Sidham does not need to be great in this game,
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: especially for the Broncos to cover. Especially the total in
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: this game is a little bit weird. The total is
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: gonna up. It's gone up from forty one to forty three,
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: fifty per tickets on the over fifty five percent of
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: the cash excusely on the under fifty five percent of
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: the cash on the under. Now, my first instinct on
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: this was gonna be, well, this looks like an undergame.
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: The Broncos just had a really, really high scoring game
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: in their last game. Patriots just put up twenty eight.
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: So my first thought about this was, this is gonna
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: be an undergame. You know, we're looking at Broncos defense.
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: Both offenses looked like they could maybe struggle a little
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: bit in this game, So I think an under from
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: that perspective makes sense. The problem is the line dropped
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: on the total because of the quarterback injury, right, So
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: I think the total might have been a bit of
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: an overreaction to the bo Knicks injury, just like I
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: think the side was. I think that's why the total
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: dropped all the way to forty one, and that's why
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: I think some professional money started hitting the over on
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: the forty one. But forty one is a key number,
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: So now that it's forty three, I would probably start
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: leaning back towards an under here in this one. But
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: if I was kind of leaning towards an over at
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: forty one because I was like, well, that's an overreaction
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: to the quarterback injury, right, But yeah, I mean it's
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: a very very tricky side handy or Susie total handicap
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: in this, so I don't want anything to do with
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: it but with the total. But yeah, I would start
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: leaning slightly under at forty three, but at forty.
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 2: One I was leaning over.
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: So that's that's how tight these lines are, man especially
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs. But I do think the initial line
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: is an over or an under reaction. No, it was
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: an overreaction to the injury as far as props are concerned.
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: I was gonna say Stidham over his passing yard is
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: I think was one of the better ways to look
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: for props in this game, because again, it's all about fading.
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: The overreaction in the injury people was like, who is
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: a Stindham guy, Like he's gonna suck whatever. But I
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: already told you the Patriots are better against the run
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: than the pass, and Stiindham is probably gonna be having
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: to do something with his arm in this game. And
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: the total his passing yardage prop came out at like
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: one ninety eight, I'm pretty sure, so that was an
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: extremely low number. It's now all the way up to
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: two oh nine, though, so that's kind of the problem
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: at that point. You know, it's getting a little bit
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: iffy at two oh nine. A lot of these props,
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: and these big playoff games can move a lot on
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: these player props, so you know, I mean, that was
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: gonna be my recommendation if it was at like two
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: oh three where I saw it yesterday, I was like,
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: that seems decent.
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 2: To go over that At two o nine.
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: I'm not quite sure about it, but I think Stidham
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: was definitely getting short change on his passing yardage total there,
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: and if you look at like the trends like as
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: far as like what Denver's put up for passing yards,
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: I know he's not Bown next, so he's not that
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: much of a drop off from him. Denver's put up
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: more passing yards than that, at least in most of
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: their games, so I think he could definitely go over that.
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: So there is that factor as well. I think that's
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: about it for that game. Rams Seahawks in the NFC
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: Championship Game don't have a play on this one. The
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: Seahawks are two and a half point favorite, fifty per tickets,
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: fifty eight percent of the cash on the Seahawks. I
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: really thought the public is gonna be really heavy on
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks in this game. That was my first instinct
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: because look at what the teams did last week. The
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: Seahawks won forty eight to six or whatever, forty one
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: to six, whatever it was. They blew out the forty
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: nine ers. They looked really, really good. So I'm like,
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: the public is gonna be all over the Seahawks here.
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: The Rams didn't look good. The Rams haven't looked good
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: at all in the playoffs. They barely got by Carol
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: Lion and then they barely got by Chicago in a
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: snow game that was really ugly. But I do think
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: the weather kind of did have an impact on that one.
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: Oh by the way, I forgot to mention the weather.
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: Patriots Broncos. It's gonna be cold, and I guess there
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: is some snow potential there, but both teams are used
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: to it, so I don't really think it's an advantage
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: one way or the other for Patriots and Broncos. I think,
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, I think it's not really an advantage
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: one way or the other in that game. Let's just
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: put it that way. But it will be cold in
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: that game. But if it gets super cold, that might
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: start affecting the offense a little bit because the grip
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: on the football starts to get a little bit iffy. There.
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: Rams Seahawks is not really gonna be any weather related
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: stuff going on here. Looks like it might rain, but
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: I don't think that's gonna be a huge issue. Rain
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: gets overrated, but the fact that the total didn't really
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: move based on the weather, I don't think the weather's
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: gonna be much of a concern at all here. I
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: think it's gonna be gonna be a little bit cool
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: and potentially rainy in this one. Now, Again, as I
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: was saying, I thought the Seahawks are gonna be massively
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: public because they blew out the forty nine ers. The
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: Rams barely got by both their opponents. Rams only put
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: up whatever it was, twenty points against Chicago unfortunately, So
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: I'm own three with my NFL playoff plays so far.
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: Green Bay absolutely should not have been a loss, so
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: I'm pissed about it. And we got kind of screwed
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: on the Rams play too in the end of it,
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: with the stupid Caleb Williams back footing, you know, from
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: the fifty yard line or whatever the hell it was
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: not fifty, but like the forty one, he ran backwards
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: like twenty yards and then back footed it and then
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: the defender just ran away from the I thought it
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: was Loveland, it wasn't. It was Comet. Loveland was actually injured.
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: I guess it was out of the game. But whatever,
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: that play just shouldn't have even happened. Man, So we
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: should have had the Rams. Green Bay obviously should have.
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: We absolutely should have had. And then yes, I was
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: definitely wrong about the Eagles, but yes, whatever. Talking about
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: this game again, though, I was thinking the Rams are
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: gonna be the overlooked commodity in this one because everybody
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: likes everybody focuses on what they saw last and everybody
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: likes those high scoring teams. And last week that was
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks. So I was starting to lean towards the Rams.
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: I do. I do still lean to the Rams in
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: this game. I think there are some other things going
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: for the Rams here as well. The Rams are a
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: team that is being led by a Super Bowl winning
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: quarterback and that has been a good money maker in
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: the playoffs. And you have a guy who has won
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: a super Bowl already and he's an underdog in the playoffs.
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: That is a good way to look. Although I know
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers didn't get it done this year, but that does.
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: That is one of the trends that the Rams have
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: going for them. I forget what the number actually is,
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: but it's like it's somewhere like sixty range. I think
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: against the spread, I think is what it is. So
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: Stafford has that going for him. But all that to say,
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: the Rams have more experience here. They have the more
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: experienced quarterback quite obviously, and they have a Super Bowl
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: winning coach here, So a huge game like this may
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: wind up coming down to experience, and I'd probably rather
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: have the more experienced guys getting points, and that is
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: the Rams. Normally I like the better defense, and that
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: is the Seahawks here. So the Seahawks do have the
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: better defense. There are some concerns about their offense. I
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: think the Rams might be a little bit more balanced
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: as a team. The Rams have the number one offense
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: in football, believe it or not. The way they looked
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: last week, they have probably still like a top ten defense,
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: although the Seahawks are like a top one or two defense.
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: So yes, the Seahawks have a defensive edge, and I
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: do usually like defense. I just don't know if we
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: could trust Sam Donald when it comes down to it. Man,
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: I know he's looked all right in the playoffs. I
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: mean that forty nine Ers game just got completely out
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: of hand though, and then what was the other game
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: that they won? I don't even remember. No, they didn't
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: win another game. That was the only game they played
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs so far, right. They did beat the
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: forty nine ers to get the one seed, though, But
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: I still don't know if we could trust Sam Donald,
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: and he's been bad against Sean mcvaigh. Dude, if you
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: want to look at Donald's numbers against McVeigh, I thought
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: I had them up. I don't have them up right now.
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: He's thrown at least one interception in every game. I'll
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: just talk about the prop that I like right now.
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: I would play Donald interception in this game. It's around
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: minus one forty. So it is a little bit of
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: a favorite there, but I think it's justified because Donald
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: he faced the Rams twice this year. He threw five
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: picks in the two games, and when he faced Sean
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: mcvay's defense last year in the playoffs with the Vikings,
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: he threw a pick in that game too, and he
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: was terrible in the game. So I think there's a
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: high likelihood he throws at least one pick in this game.
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: So that's probably my favorite prop in this game, Donald
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: to throw an interception. Now back to this game, though, yes,
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: Donald could potentially struggle in this one. Actually, let me
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: bring it up because I do want to bring up
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: what happened because this is one of the rare situations
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: we have teams playing in the playoffs that already played
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 1: twice during the regular season.
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 2: I mean, it was not that rare, I guess, but
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: it is.
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: A divisional It's rare enough. It's a divisional conference championship.
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: We did have one last year, interestingly, in the NFC.
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: Before that, I think it had been quite a while. Now.
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: If we look at the games that these two teams
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: played against each other this year, they were like complete
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: different ends of the spectrum in really weird ways. The
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: Rams won the first game at home by two, but
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: if you look at this game, the Seahawks were the
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: better team in the game. The Seahawks outgained the Rams
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: four to fourteen to two forty nine, but Donald threw
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: four picks in the game and that's why they lost
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: the game. The Seahawks actually dominated the game statistically, dominated
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: time possession, dominated first downs, but lost the game. So
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: that would seem to indicate, well, Seattle's better than they
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: looked in that game. That's true. But then the most
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: recent game they played, which was on a Thursday night,
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks really should have lost this game to the Rams.
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: I know I gave out the Seahawks as a play
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: in this game should have been money line. That was bad.
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, I've thought that. Obviously, I didn't think they
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: were gonna win by one. Just totally ridiculous. But the
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: Seahawks definitely should have lost this game, dude. They were
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: losing this game thirty to fourteen with eight minutes left.
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: They had a punt return for a touchdown, got the
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: ball back really quick, got it again, got another touchdown.
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: They got two point conversions on both of those to
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: tie the game, and then they give him a touchdown
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: in overtime, and they wound up winning by going for
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: a two point conversion.
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 2: On their touchdown in overtime. Totally ridiculous.
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: And the Rams had this game pretty much in hand.
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: And yes, the Seahawks do have the better special teams,
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: but I don't think you can make a handicap completely
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: on special teams because it's not that huge of a
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: part of the game. But yes, Rashid Shaheed seems like
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: he's returning punts for touchdowns kicks for touchdowns in every game,
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: it almost seems, but I think it's probably unlikely that
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: he's gonna do it in any given game. Babely what
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: happened in this game. The Rams actually dominated this game statistically,
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: so the Rams are winning the game by a ton
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: towards the end of the game, but they also outgained
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: Seattle five eighty one to four fifteen. And this is
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: the game in Seattle, so we have a weird situation
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: where the the home team won both games, but the
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 1: road team dominated both games statistically, very very strange. And
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks were minus three in turnovers in this game
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: as well, so I don't know how it's ridiculous that
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: they won this game. The Rams had the first down
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: edge in the game, they dominated possession, so it was
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: like a tale of two different games here. But this
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: was the more recent game and this was the game
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: in Seattle, so the Rams were the way better team
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: in the game in Seattle, and this was the last
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: time the team's played, so I think this might set
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: up for the Rams making some adjustments to that. And
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: this was a misleading result because the Rams I had
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: the game wrong, so I probably deserved the loss anyway,
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: even though it would have been a win on the
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: money line, Rams were the better team in the game.
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: It was a misleading result. You could see it right here,
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: the percentage chance to win the game. It was like
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: all Rams and then all of a sudden, Oh shit,
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: there's Seattle winning the game. Yeah, ridiculous, But yeah, that's
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: basically what I have to say about this previous game.
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: Although the one other thing that I will say is
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: that the saw have actually not been as good at
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: home under a McDonald's tenure.
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 2: They've actually been a better road team.
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: I know they're okay at home this year six and two,
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: but the Seahawks have actually been better on the road
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: than at home, which is interesting. And the Rams were
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: at least above five hundred on the road. So I
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: definitely have some concerns with Seattle. Like I said, I
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: do lean to the Rams plus the two and a
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: half in this one, I don't think we're gonna get three.
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: Sharbonet is out for Seattle. He injured his ACL in
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: the last game, so he's gonna be out. So it's
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: gonna be Kenneth Walker, the third man, is gonna be
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: shouldering the load. But I don't think that's a huge
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: blow to Seattle. I mean, he's Walker is the guy
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: that basically shoulders the load anyway, usually he's the guy.
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: But you know, if you want to look for Walker
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: props over or something, I'm sure the Lions have adjusted
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: to that, but yeah, like walker Over's rushing yarders or
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: over rushing attempts might make sense. Although if the Rams
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: are winning, the Seahawks might have to abandon the runs.
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 2: That does worry me a little bit.
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: If this is similar to the last game, the Seahawks
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: might have to be putting the load on Donald and
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: then that becomes a problem if the Rams are winning.
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know that the Seahawks have another one of
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: those pull a rabbit out of a hat type of
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: wins left in the man. And again, we've seen what
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: Donald has done in these high pressure situations. He did
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: I guess he did okay.
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 2: In the game against the forty nine Ers a couple
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 2: of weeks ago.
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: But and yes, like the last game last week, he
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: didn't have to do anything like the Seahawks defense kind
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: of carried the day and it was just over anyway.
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: But if this is a close ish game and it
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: comes down to Donald having to do it in the
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: playoffs again, like I said, that's why I like the
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: Rams here. I don't trust him. I trust Stafford more,
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: even though Stafford is kind of old and playing through
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: some injuries. But I trust the experience man. So I
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: do like the Rams. Here. Uh. The one thing that
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: one thing the Seahawks do have going for them is
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: they have the same thing that the Broncos have. They're
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: in that spot where they're a rested team at home
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: because the Seahawks did play on Saturday. I'm pretty sure
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: right the Seahawks, Wait, did they yet they've on Saturday?
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 2: The Rams playing on Sunday. I'm pretty sure that's right.
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: So the Seahawks are the more rested team at home.
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: And like I said, that's a twenty one and seven
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: straight up trend in the playoffs. So that is a
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: trend that is on the Broncos and the Seahawks here today,
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: so that there is that. I'm not playing the side
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: in this one. I'm staying away, but I like the
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: Rams in this one. And as far as the total,
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: I like the under, but we've lost the best number here.
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: Forty seven is a key number open, forty seven and
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: a half. So it was not overreacting to like, if
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 1: there's gonna be any rain or whatever. I think there's
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: a little bit of rain, it doesn't matter at all.
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: Slick Surtace does actually make the defense maybe a little
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: bit worse because they slip when they try to react
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: to the offense. Total is down to forty six. Now, though,
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: if you like the under, I would probably wait because
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: the public is coming in on the over and this
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: game is in until six thirty, so maybe a forty
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: seven show again. Probably not, though, because it's already going
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: down to forty six. Juice to the under. I'll still
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: slightly lean into the under, but you're not getting the
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: best of it anymore. Seventy six percent of the tickets
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: and seventy four percent of the cash on the over. Again,
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 1: I think people are gonna see what they saw last right, like, oh,
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: the rams A Seahawks just had a thirty eight to
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: thirty seven final or whatever, and they're gonna only go
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: over in this game, and they're gonna see that the
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: Seahawks just put up forty whatever last week. Publics, yeah,
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: just gonna play the over in this one. But I
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: see this being a bit lower scoring. I see this
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: being more of a physical game. And I know the
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: first game between these teams was misleadingly low scoring. I
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: know because of all the turnovers. It was twenty one
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: to nineteen. But the last game was higher scoring than
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: I think it maybe should have been. Of course, it
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 1: did go into overtime. We had two touchdowns in overtime,
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: but the game was pretty high scoring anyway, even without overtime.
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 2: But I don't really see that happening again.
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: That was a Thursday night game where sometimes the defenses
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 1: are just they're on short rest, they don't play as well,
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: And I know I do talk about it in those
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: Thursday night games though, the defenses usually play a little
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 1: bit better on that short prep time when they know
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 1: their opponents. So I was kind of surprised that that
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: game is that high scoring. But that's also a factor here.
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: These defenses know each other well, so these defenses both
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: can prepare. So that makes sense as far as the
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: unders concerned as well, that the defenses pretty much know
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 1: what to prepare for here and they can do that
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: so and they have the full week of preparation time
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: for it, so that makes sense as far as the Yeah,
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks having that you know, bit of rest edge
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: or whatever, that is true, and they are staying at
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: home where the Rams are having to travel again, and
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: the Rams are having to do the difficult thing, the
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: difficult task of winning three road games in the playoffs,
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 1: which it's been done before. But it's rare. So the
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: Rams are having to do that here, which is difficult
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: because all that travel does kind of add up. Although
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 1: they haven't crisscrossed the country or anything like that multiple times.
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: They went Carolina, Chicago, and now Seattle. Now they're back
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: in their own time zone, so it's not as bad,
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 1: and they're going to play that they play every year,
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 1: so they're familiar with the venue.
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 2: So it's a little bit less bad.
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 1: So lean to the Rams, lean to the under and yeah,
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: the prop that I would prefer is Donald interception, yes,
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 1: or if you find a market that has like Donald
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: a half interception over the half and it's a better
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: number that way, Like you can look at different markets
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 1: and figure out how to play it at a better price.
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: But that's what I would do in this one. That's
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. Man Long Show, trying to give you
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: a you know, some NFL stuff and you know, focus
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: on the NFL a bit. There. It's gonna do it
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: once again. Only two plays today, Milwaukee Bucks minus the
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: one or money Line if you can find it, Denver
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: Broncos plus the points. It was four and a half.
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 1: I don't know if we're gonna see the four and
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: a half's out there anymore. It's mostly four's out there,
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 1: but I think I would it's still I think it's
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 1: still worth it to do it. So that's what we're
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 1: gonna do here, and hopefully we can get it. That's
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 1: gonna do it, man, Thanks for hanging out everybody. Learn
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: it Tone on Twitter, Learn it Tone on Instagram, like subscribe,
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 1: give me good comments on the channel here, listen on
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: audio review on audio that helps me out as well.
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: Spot it give me a good review hopefully on Spotify
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: and Apple Covered in YOUUC is my yuke channel on YouTube.
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: You can check that out Patreon, dot com, sash learn
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: to tone and get some bonus yuke stuff.
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 2: And we'll be back on Tuesday with a loser cast.
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: I got to figure out who my loser selection is
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: gonna be this week. That's the new comedy show that
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 1: I'm on, so check that out as well.
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: It's gonna do it. Enjoy all the games today. Snow
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 2: is starting here.
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: It was supposed to start ten to eleven am today,
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: So we're gonna see how deep we're gonna be into
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: this here up here in New England, Massachusetts coast. Here.
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: Man supposed to get two to three feet. I don't
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: know what's gonna happen here. I think it sounds like
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 1: it was a dud as far as like some of
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: the more southern states yesterday getting not a whole lot
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: of anything. It sounds like a lot of it was
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: more of a mix or whatever. That's not gonna be
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: the case here as far as the mix is concerned,
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: because it is cold up here, it's like in the
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 1: teens probably, so we're definitely getting snow. So we'll see.
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it.
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: Peace everybody. And it could be a snow game in
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: New England. To imagine that, it could have been Buffalo,
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: New England in the snow. That would have been crazy
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: and I would probably be Leana Droge's Buffalo again, and
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 1: that would if that was the case, but it was
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: not to be. That's gonna do it.
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 2: Thank you, sir, Thanks for hanging out as always.
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: All right, peace everybody,