Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Ugly Holiday Bets, Good/Bad Gifts & Family Arguments | NFL Week 17

Transcript

Ugly Holiday Bets, Good/Bad Gifts & Family Arguments | NFL Week 17 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, all part of the Action Network
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: family presented by DraftKings.
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: The Crown is yours.
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: I'm Brandon Kravitz, joined by a couple of Santa's favorite elves.
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: On this pre Christmas episode to super episode, Kendra and Stuckey.
• 0:25
  Speaker 2: Are off to or well off of a great week.
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: Week sixteen had ourselves a phenomenal week of NFL betting
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: and a lot more to get to. Today, we'll plant
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: the flag, we'll nominate our two Kings, and a queen parlay.
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: We've got Evans super loaded primer.
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: It's an all in one episode.
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: We said around Thanksgiving that we learned a lesson to
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: take it easy around the holidays. We're distracted, We're trying
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: to get plays in early. We're forcing it sometimes and
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: sometimes for content reasons as well. Kendra, have we learned
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: our lesson? Or are the Christmas betting cards full?
• 1:06
  Speaker 3: I am going to have such a light week of
• 1:10
  Speaker 3: bets for so many reasons. One it's the holidays. Two,
• 1:13
  Speaker 3: people are on short rests and a lot of these scenarios. Three,
• 1:17
  Speaker 3: I'm sure just like everybody else, you know, players are
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: people too. They have a lot going on in their lives,
• 1:21
  Speaker 3: they have family, friends, kids that they've got stuff to
• 1:23
  Speaker 3: get done for holidays. Big distraction for everybody. I'm gonna
• 1:27
  Speaker 3: go super light this week. And additionally, like there's teams
• 1:30
  Speaker 3: who are playing for nothing and teams who are playing
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: for everything, and that always gets dicey. You always have
• 1:35
  Speaker 3: to decide who's gonna, you know, kind of try and
• 1:38
  Speaker 3: tank for picks and who's not, who's gonna who has
• 1:40
  Speaker 3: teams that people need to be playing for contracts next season,
• 1:44
  Speaker 3: all of those types of things. This time of year
• 1:46
  Speaker 3: is so tough. Save your bankroll for the playoffs.
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: Stuck you want to hit anybody with the holiday disclaimer
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: or are you are you loading up this week?
• 1:56
  Speaker 4: Not same as always. I actually loved the last two
• 1:59
  Speaker 4: weeks of the regular because I love betting on teams
• 2:01
  Speaker 4: that are playing for nothing against teams that need to win.
• 2:04
  Speaker 4: Usually get some value there. I think historically that they
• 2:06
  Speaker 4: hit it like sixty one percent. Everyone who wants to
• 2:09
  Speaker 4: bet the team that's playing for nothing, that's seen that
• 2:11
  Speaker 4: needs to win usually nobody, And a lot of times
• 2:15
  Speaker 4: you can get value betting against that. These are still professionals,
• 2:18
  Speaker 4: They're still going to show up. I mean teams rarely
• 2:21
  Speaker 4: outwardly tank the guys that the only things you could
• 2:24
  Speaker 4: do is like if from an organization standpoint, you might
• 2:27
  Speaker 4: just not play certain guys, right, you might just hey, say, hey,
• 2:32
  Speaker 4: we're going to set this guy out, We're going to
• 2:33
  Speaker 4: shut down this guy. But everyone on the field, I mean,
• 2:37
  Speaker 4: they're playing for contracts for next year. They're not going
• 2:40
  Speaker 4: to not try, so yeah, I I mean, look at
• 2:45
  Speaker 4: the the Raiders are a perfect example. Last week, like
• 2:48
  Speaker 4: they have an incentive to lose out they outplayed the
• 2:51
  Speaker 4: Texans in Houston who needed to win. So yeah, I
• 2:54
  Speaker 4: love betting on teams. It requires you to bet on
• 2:57
  Speaker 4: a lot of bad teams, but I love betting on
• 2:58
  Speaker 4: the bad teams in the final two weeks of the
• 3:01
  Speaker 4: regular season that are playing for nothing.
• 3:03
  Speaker 3: Betting on those teams the whole year don't lie.
• 3:07
  Speaker 4: Oh yeah, of course, but I think you get even
• 3:10
  Speaker 4: more value the last two weeks. So I already have
• 3:13
  Speaker 4: a couple of those I bet. And then the worst
• 3:16
  Speaker 4: part about this week the NFL, Right, the NFL regular
• 3:19
  Speaker 4: the end of the regular season has really lost a
• 3:21
  Speaker 4: lot of it's lost there this year. It's pretty unfortunate.
• 3:23
  Speaker 4: I mean, there's a chance we know all fourteen playoff
• 3:26
  Speaker 4: teams after this weekend, and it's not the one that's
• 3:30
  Speaker 4: probably most unlikely is who wins the NFC South because
• 3:34
  Speaker 4: it would require the Bucks to so that that's the
• 3:42
  Speaker 4: least likely. But there's a chance, like that's the only
• 3:45
  Speaker 4: thing we have left to decide.
• 3:48
  Speaker 3: Because they play week they played the last week of
• 3:50
  Speaker 3: they play again the last week.
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: Correct.
• 3:51
  Speaker 4: Yeah, so unless the Panthers have a two game lead
• 3:54
  Speaker 4: because the Bucks win the tiebreaker, then that's going to
• 3:57
  Speaker 4: decide the division. So there's a good chance that that
• 4:00
  Speaker 4: ends up getting flexed to Sunday night and then like
• 4:03
  Speaker 4: next Sunday afternoon, there's going to be maybe some seating stuff.
• 4:08
  Speaker 4: But yeah, and then you have all these quarterback injuries,
• 4:11
  Speaker 4: like we might have ten or eleven backup quarterbacks. The
• 4:13
  Speaker 4: third of the league is going to have a backup
• 4:14
  Speaker 4: quarterback this week, a bunch of third strings.
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: So.
• 4:20
  Speaker 3: We have a quarterback crisis.
• 4:23
  Speaker 4: Yeah, and they have all these rules to start to
• 4:24
  Speaker 4: keep quarterbacks healthy, and they're running.
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: They made these rules and then and then all of
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: a sudden, the NFL changed. Then these guys started running
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: around like they're in college. So I don't know, if
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: they need to develop new new rules that where you
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: can't even hit the quarterback when he's diving for a
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: first down fifteen yards down the field.
• 4:42
  Speaker 4: It's body weight, please, These injuries aren't happening on body weight.
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: By the way, the body weight fel is maybe the
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: worst of all on that.
• 4:52
  Speaker 4: So yeah, that's that's pretty unfortunate. The Christmas Leigh with
• 4:57
  Speaker 4: a Netflix playing pay pay the NFL on hundred and
• 4:59
  Speaker 4: fifty million, get a bunch of third string quarterbacks.
• 5:04
  Speaker 3: So yeah, I uh, I'm gonna watch every minute of it,
• 5:08
  Speaker 3: like a sec o every minute.
• 5:10
  Speaker 4: It's like my job, and I'll watch all the games.
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: People are still gonna watch the games because this is
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: a lot of people do, but they're gonna be on
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: like net. Netflix is still going to get their streaming numbers.
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: This will officially test. This is like the biggest stress
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: tests you could ask for for the NFL. Let's see
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: how much people actually love our fucking products.
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: Let's let's give you this one Christmas.
• 5:33
  Speaker 4: You want to watch Josh Johnson, you gotta, you gotta
• 5:36
  Speaker 4: put on Netflix at the family party.
• 5:38
  Speaker 3: Let's see, do you guys have the same issue that
• 5:40
  Speaker 3: I do. You remember back in the day when you're
• 5:42
  Speaker 3: making fun of boomers who couldn't say Chipotle. My mom
• 5:45
  Speaker 3: can't say Netflix. My mom cannot get she thinks it's
• 5:49
  Speaker 3: next Flix and she cannot stay Netflix properly. Does everybody
• 5:55
  Speaker 3: else have that issue? It's like the new Chipotle for me.
• 5:58
  Speaker 4: My dad say it, but he can't turn on any app.
• 6:04
  Speaker 4: He has the call one of us and we have
• 6:06
  Speaker 4: to walk them through it every time. Also he listens
• 6:09
  Speaker 4: to uh my podcast. I have to send him like
• 6:14
  Speaker 4: an email to his AOL email. It still as an
• 6:17
  Speaker 4: AOL email, and I can't I send him everyone he
• 6:21
  Speaker 4: had calls me if I don't send it. He can't
• 6:23
  Speaker 4: figure out how to just go to the field. I
• 6:26
  Speaker 4: have the email everyone, and it's from the a cast
• 6:28
  Speaker 4: site where we like we host it. Because I have
• 6:31
  Speaker 4: to send him the exact link where you can just
• 6:33
  Speaker 4: hit this play button on his old browser. Uh it's
• 6:37
  Speaker 4: the only one that works. So I remember after every
• 6:40
  Speaker 4: podcast to send him a link from this production site
• 6:44
  Speaker 4: and then he clicks it in his play. So yeah,
• 6:49
  Speaker 4: there's there's probably gonna be some people that just put
• 6:52
  Speaker 4: the NBA on on their TV to not and not
• 6:54
  Speaker 4: pull up the streaming. So I think it'll be hit
• 6:56
  Speaker 4: up a little bit.
• 6:57
  Speaker 3: But I am curious box because once on Netflix, that's killer.
• 7:02
  Speaker 4: Yeah, Netflix, Netflix, Amazon, So like there's gonna be some
• 7:07
  Speaker 4: people that are just like dude, I'm not I'm not
• 7:09
  Speaker 4: going to put the streaming on and.
• 7:12
  Speaker 3: For Max Brosmer boo, if you bet you guys better
• 7:18
  Speaker 3: watch Max Brosmer and like it.
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: I'm going to take a sip of my gingerbread latte
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: while Stucky asks us something weird, random and bizarre.
• 7:26
  Speaker 3: Hey, this is a dumb question.
• 7:29
  Speaker 4: Let me ask you a personal question kind of question?
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: Is that is question?
• 7:35
  Speaker 3: Uh?
• 7:35
  Speaker 4: Will in the Christmas spirit? What is what is the
• 7:41
  Speaker 4: worst gift you've ever see? It's a hard one, so
• 7:42
  Speaker 4: I don't know if you have an answer. But and
• 7:44
  Speaker 4: then two part question what do you want? Because as
• 7:47
  Speaker 4: you get older, it's harder to like get to come
• 7:50
  Speaker 4: up with a gift that would like make you happy,
• 7:53
  Speaker 4: Like what would you want as a gift? Obviously, he asked,
• 7:57
  Speaker 4: like a reasonable gift can't be like I want to
• 7:59
  Speaker 4: pry to jet or what's something that you would want
• 8:03
  Speaker 4: that makes you happy at your current age. I think
• 8:08
  Speaker 4: the worst gift I ever got was I got a
• 8:16
  Speaker 4: I won't say the family member the god for me.
• 8:18
  Speaker 4: But I got a like and it was really nice.
• 8:22
  Speaker 4: But I got this like tight leather jacket, Like, was
• 8:27
  Speaker 4: I ever gonna wear that? It is sad in my
• 8:29
  Speaker 4: closet or uh I think thirteen years I like moved
• 8:34
  Speaker 4: with it. I'm ever gonna wear a leather jacket? No, so,
• 8:39
  Speaker 4: but that was like really nice. And but yeah, I've
• 8:42
  Speaker 4: never got any use for it, and it's taken up
• 8:43
  Speaker 4: room in my closet in my house forever. So I
• 8:46
  Speaker 4: guess I gotta nominate that.
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, you could go as like a member of
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: Greece for Halloween. You know, you could use it for
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: outside of just like wearing it to dinner.
• 8:57
  Speaker 4: I guess. Yeah, what makes gift makes me at books?
• 9:02
  Speaker 4: But I don't like I give them myself. The buy
• 9:04
  Speaker 4: problem is in like twenty twenty five, I just buy
• 9:07
  Speaker 4: anything I want. My wife always says this, Whenever I
• 9:09
  Speaker 4: want something, I just buy it, And it's so easy
• 9:10
  Speaker 4: to buy it online.
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: So I like it.
• 9:13
  Speaker 4: Like food, it's probably what makes me happy. Like I
• 9:16
  Speaker 4: showed you, I got to I get a bunch of
• 9:19
  Speaker 4: tin fish. Sound like a seventy year old.
• 9:22
  Speaker 3: Yeah, what's the the Tinfish thing. What is that? Is
• 9:25
  Speaker 3: so like gen z girlypop of you? Why is why
• 9:28
  Speaker 3: are the girls obsessed with Tinfish girls?
• 9:31
  Speaker 4: Ob fish?
• 9:32
  Speaker 3: Oh my god, it's stucky. It is like the biggest
• 9:34
  Speaker 3: trend on TikTok right now. And like the gift that
• 9:37
  Speaker 3: everybody wants. I don't understand.
• 9:40
  Speaker 4: I love I love just grabbing a quick tinfish some
• 9:43
  Speaker 4: crackers or some bread. It's like some tuned good tuna
• 9:46
  Speaker 4: belly heating up a little bit. But I've always loved tinfish,
• 9:49
  Speaker 4: but also like chili oil paste, like different kinds of pastes,
• 9:53
  Speaker 4: and yeah, like or like a shirt, like a good
• 10:00
  Speaker 4: sweatshirt or hat. I think like that's it. It's hard
• 10:02
  Speaker 4: to find. It's hard to like for me to to
• 10:06
  Speaker 4: be like, this is what I really want to make
• 10:07
  Speaker 4: me happy. But how about you, guys, what's the worst
• 10:09
  Speaker 4: gift you ever got? And what would you want? What's
• 10:11
  Speaker 4: something that you want this year?
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: So the worst gift I ever got the one that
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: springs to mind. It's not a Christmas gift though, but
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: it definitely fits the It definitely fits the podcast.
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: A girl that I dated many many years ago, pre.
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: Wife, she got me it was for my birthday. My
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: birthday is in early August, right when the preseason starts
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: in the NFL. And she knew I was a Dolphins fan,
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: so and she was not. She wasn't a sports fan,
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: so she gets me tickets to a Dolphins game. The
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: Dolphins had just signed Dante Culpepper. I went to UCF.
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: I'm all pumped up about this and I opened it up.
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: I see that.
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: They're like they were like physical tickets is back when
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: they actually printed those and it said Dolphins Browns Week
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: two of the preseason. And she thought she had nailed
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: it because she didn't know the difference between a regular
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: season and pre season. So I had to go down
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: this game. I went to this game with her, drove
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: three hours down to Miami, go to this game with her,
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: and had to pretend the whole time like this is
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: the best experience of my life. Culpepper played two snaps,
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: was out of the game, and we watched backups for
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: the Browns and the Dolphins, and she had no idea
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: that this game didn't matter at all. That's the one
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: that springs to mind. I asked for a ring camera, doorbell,
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: So this is where I'm at in My Life and
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: a Cosmo pillow. They had this on display at a
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: city furniture and I, you know, you lay on the
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: bed when you go to the furniture stores to test
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: it out. Most comfortable pillow I've ever laid on. So
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: a digital camera and a pillow. And I don't want
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: any more kids, so I might get a ves sectomy,
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: but I'll probably pay for that myself.
• 12:01
  Speaker 3: You probably need an ice back. Maybe I'll get you
• 12:04
  Speaker 3: for Christmas. My worst gift was also from my ex
• 12:11
  Speaker 3: boyfriend that I dated all through college, and he got
• 12:16
  Speaker 3: me a I didn't eat meat until I was twenty five.
• 12:18
  Speaker 3: I don't know if you guys know that about me,
• 12:19
  Speaker 3: Like literally my whole life, I did not eat meat.
• 12:22
  Speaker 3: And then COVID happened, and maybe I was like twenty
• 12:25
  Speaker 3: three or twenty four whatever, and then COVID happened, and
• 12:27
  Speaker 3: I was like, well, if I'm gonna die, I guess
• 12:29
  Speaker 3: I should eat a steak. And so I started eating
• 12:31
  Speaker 3: meat again. But my boyfriend bought me a book about
• 12:35
  Speaker 3: like this girl wrote a book about her journey to
• 12:37
  Speaker 3: becoming a vegetarian. He bought me one of the Steven
• 12:39
  Speaker 3: Singer gold dipped roses and a bottle of gin and
• 12:44
  Speaker 3: I hated it and I was like, thanks, We've been
• 12:48
  Speaker 3: dating for like a year and a half and you
• 12:50
  Speaker 3: don't know me at all. Amazing.
• 12:53
  Speaker 4: Yeah, when someone just like reveals something to.
• 12:58
  Speaker 3: You, yep, and so that it sucked. I donated all
• 13:01
  Speaker 3: of it. And then what I want this year? I
• 13:05
  Speaker 3: really want a puppy, you guys, I want to puppy.
• 13:08
  Speaker 3: I have puppy fever so bad. I want another dog.
• 13:12
  Speaker 3: But I don't think that. Yeah, pets, pets are food.
• 13:14
  Speaker 3: That's what I want. If you want to givet me
• 13:16
  Speaker 3: another being, I'm in this.
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: It feels like a good disclaimer. Don't put the dog
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: in the box. I think too many people think that
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: that's cute, even if you cut the hole in it.
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: It's just not just give the person a dog. Don't
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: put it in a box.
• 13:31
  Speaker 3: Your responsible person too, because I feel like so many
• 13:34
  Speaker 3: people this year will like, get someone a pet and
• 13:36
  Speaker 3: then it winds up in a shelter. So only get
• 13:38
  Speaker 3: them a pet if they really want one.
• 13:41
  Speaker 4: Do you have any what kind of probably do you want?
• 13:44
  Speaker 3: I don't know. I bought Jackson out of the back
• 13:46
  Speaker 3: of a van because a lady was going to shoot him.
• 13:48
  Speaker 3: So just something that needs a home.
• 13:50
  Speaker 4: Yeah, we had We had a rescue too. Although I want,
• 13:53
  Speaker 4: I hope one day I can. I want a born
• 13:54
  Speaker 4: of Collie one day.
• 13:55
  Speaker 3: But I really want a Doberman. I like, imagine me
• 14:00
  Speaker 3: with a Doberman with just like a metal chaine around
• 14:03
  Speaker 3: its neck and its name it was like Fluffy. That
• 14:05
  Speaker 3: would be sick.
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: We should just get like a show dog and then
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: pass it around the country.
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: You know.
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: Then then it's it's not the same level of responsibility.
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: We can each have the dog for a couple of months.
• 14:14
  Speaker 3: Four uh we had.
• 14:18
  Speaker 4: I watched for uh friends the Great They had two
• 14:23
  Speaker 4: Great Danes. That's the only dog I don't want. I
• 14:25
  Speaker 4: love them, but they're so big and they they were
• 14:28
  Speaker 4: drooling all over me. And but I was watching like
• 14:32
  Speaker 4: house sitting too, like going over there and feeding two
• 14:34
  Speaker 4: huge Great Danes my brand. I do have a funny
• 14:39
  Speaker 4: preseason story. I was like fourteen, this is like early
• 14:42
  Speaker 4: two thousands. I went to So I went with like
• 14:45
  Speaker 4: my friend and his dad who brought us. They were
• 14:47
  Speaker 4: Eagles fans. I was a Raivens fan. This is like
• 14:49
  Speaker 4: two thousand and one, and I had a Ray Lewis.
• 14:55
  Speaker 4: I were Ray Lewis, Jersey. It was a preseason game
• 14:58
  Speaker 4: and it was that it was the VET and the
• 15:01
  Speaker 4: game got canceled. I don't know if you remember this.
• 15:05
  Speaker 4: There was like holes in the field and like Brian
• 15:08
  Speaker 4: Billick went out there and he was like, this is unsafe,
• 15:10
  Speaker 4: and there was this huge delay, and the NFL there
• 15:14
  Speaker 4: was like all these meetings with the officials and then
• 15:16
  Speaker 4: they just came out and they said the game is
• 15:17
  Speaker 4: unsafe to be played and they canceled it. And when
• 15:23
  Speaker 4: I was leaving, there was just all these drunk Eagles
• 15:25
  Speaker 4: fans just screaming at me, like murderer. They were just
• 15:28
  Speaker 4: so mad, aating. I was like, dude, we didn't get
• 15:30
  Speaker 4: to see a preseason game, but everyone was so mad.
• 15:32
  Speaker 4: I was like fourteen year old kid walking out of
• 15:35
  Speaker 4: there getting screamed at because people didn't get to see
• 15:37
  Speaker 4: their preseason football. So to your point, maybe people people
• 15:42
  Speaker 4: were upsetting out to see preseason NFL. They're probably gonna
• 15:46
  Speaker 4: turn on Josh Johnson, Max Brosmer, and Eludedcon.
• 15:52
  Speaker 3: As they should they should.
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: I hope that my ex of many many years ago
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: is forced to I'm sure she's married by now. I
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: hope that her husband forces her to watch Christmas Day
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: football just to make up for my experience watching the
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: Dolphins in the Browns.
• 16:10
  Speaker 3: I hope one of my ex's friends listens to this
• 16:12
  Speaker 3: podcast because statistically that is quite likely and sends him
• 16:16
  Speaker 3: the bit about me hating his gifts.
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: Yeah, we we can probably have production just send it
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: right to him. So if you could get us an
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: email address, we'll make that happen. Let's plant our flag
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: for week seventeen.
• 16:29
  Speaker 5: Might flag in a shut up.
• 16:31
  Speaker 4: I'm trying to plant my flag here.
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: Okay, you're really planning your flag in that thing, Hendro.
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: We will start with you.
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: I feel though, as though we're gonna have a little
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: bit of disagreement here.
• 16:41
  Speaker 3: What you got you pissed me off. I love you
• 16:44
  Speaker 3: to dad, but you pissed me off every single week.
• 16:46
  Speaker 3: We talked about this before the show started. I'm on
• 16:48
  Speaker 3: the Saints. I just don't get the vibe that they
• 16:51
  Speaker 3: are wanting to tank. The Titans got super lucky last week.
• 16:57
  Speaker 3: The gardnerment went down, got a good morale victory. I
• 17:00
  Speaker 3: see them probably rolling over going belly up here. I've
• 17:03
  Speaker 3: been really impressed by Tyler Shuck and I think that
• 17:05
  Speaker 3: they want to get him some reps, get him some snaps,
• 17:07
  Speaker 3: let him grow a little bit, because the progress that
• 17:10
  Speaker 3: I've seen from him the last couple of weeks has
• 17:12
  Speaker 3: been awesome. I was originally in the boat the Saints
• 17:14
  Speaker 3: probably would be going to the draft looking for a quarterback.
• 17:17
  Speaker 3: I don't think they have to at this point, and
• 17:19
  Speaker 3: I think Kellen Moore is a good coach, should have
• 17:21
  Speaker 3: been a head coach sooner. Probably probably going to take
• 17:24
  Speaker 3: this game as a chance to get another win under
• 17:27
  Speaker 3: their belt. I don't really have faith in the Titans.
• 17:30
  Speaker 3: They had their raw raw, you know, good win last week.
• 17:33
  Speaker 3: Those science Yeah.
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: I just think that New Orleans is probably peaking out
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: right now, and this feels like a really good time
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: to fade them. I know that the Titans are coming
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: off of a win, but that wasn't so much of
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: a win as it was a meltdown of competition. The
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: Saints have won three games in a row, and now
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: they go on the road. It just feels like a
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: major letdown. This feels like one of those games. Just
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: take the dog. Whoever be the underdog would be the
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: team that I would like. I don't hate it. I
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: just I'm definitely going to add the Titans to a
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: teaser leg. I just haven't decided who else I'm gonna
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: pair them with yet, but the Titans have already been nominated,
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: so we could both end up winning this. I'm gonna
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: take this up to eight and a half, and you're
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: gonna lay the two and a half with the Saints.
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: Stucky? What about you?
• 18:17
  Speaker 4: Well, yeah, I don't mind the teaser look for Titans
• 18:20
  Speaker 4: that we we're gonna go ugly. I gotta give people
• 18:25
  Speaker 4: a Christmas bet, so we're gonna bet on the Chiefs.
• 18:28
  Speaker 4: Oh my god, plus thirteen. This line is insane. So
• 18:34
  Speaker 4: let's just go. Let's rewind a month ago. The Chiefs
• 18:38
  Speaker 4: close up four in Denver, so we're keep it easy.
• 18:42
  Speaker 4: It's a divisional game, home field doesn't as much. We'll
• 18:44
  Speaker 4: keep it simple and say home field's worth one and
• 18:47
  Speaker 4: a half. That means the Chiefs at the time we're
• 18:49
  Speaker 4: five and a half points better than the Broncos. Now
• 18:54
  Speaker 4: the Broncos are favored by thirteen. Keep it at the
• 18:57
  Speaker 4: home field of one and a half. On the road
• 18:59
  Speaker 4: now saying the Broncos are over two touchdowns better than
• 19:03
  Speaker 4: the she that's a twenty point adjustment in a month,
• 19:06
  Speaker 4: twenty points in the NFL. By the way, Mahomes the
• 19:09
  Speaker 4: two games before he got hurt was the worst quarterback
• 19:12
  Speaker 4: in the NFL and EPA plus completion percentage of expedition.
• 19:15
  Speaker 4: Their offense was broken for the three weeks that he
• 19:17
  Speaker 4: was playing. It's not like we're going from peak Mahomes,
• 19:20
  Speaker 4: where this offense was operating at some crazy level over
• 19:25
  Speaker 4: you know, before he got hurt to Aluda Kon, So
• 19:29
  Speaker 4: twenty no quarterbacks worthy. Now there's other injuries, but I
• 19:32
  Speaker 4: would think also, I think the reason that you're getting
• 19:34
  Speaker 4: this number again, like Broncos win, you clinched the division
• 19:38
  Speaker 4: chiefs or eliminated. They got blown out by the Titans
• 19:40
  Speaker 4: last week. I was on the Titans LST week. I
• 19:43
  Speaker 4: thought it was a horrible spot for the chees. I
• 19:45
  Speaker 4: where they're going to show up the human element of that.
• 19:47
  Speaker 4: They were finally eliminated from the playoffs, were going at Tennessee,
• 19:50
  Speaker 4: so everyone who was hurt sat out. They had their
• 19:53
  Speaker 4: quarterback got hurt. Aludacon had to come in. He had
• 19:56
  Speaker 4: no reps with the first team, so you got a
• 19:58
  Speaker 4: couple things here. He'll have reps now this he can
• 20:00
  Speaker 4: move around, which you need to do behind this offensive line.
• 20:04
  Speaker 4: And I would imagine that some of the guys who
• 20:08
  Speaker 4: were hurt, you know, last week, it's like, why play?
• 20:11
  Speaker 4: This is like the last game that you'd want to play.
• 20:13
  Speaker 4: This is like the chief Super Bowl, Kelsey's last game
• 20:15
  Speaker 4: at home of his career, and you don't want the
• 20:18
  Speaker 4: Broncos to clinch the division and like on your home
• 20:21
  Speaker 4: field arrival, so well, the Chiefs lay down here, know,
• 20:25
  Speaker 4: like this is a game where the Chiefs will try
• 20:27
  Speaker 4: the low total. You're gonna get me close to two touchdowns.
• 20:30
  Speaker 4: I don't know this. I think this line should be
• 20:32
  Speaker 4: like ten and a half eleven. So yeah, we're taking
• 20:36
  Speaker 4: the Chiefs plus thirteen. I think they'll get up for
• 20:38
  Speaker 4: this one. And this is a Broncos team that doesn't
• 20:41
  Speaker 4: blow out anyone. And yeah, kind on a neutral to
• 20:46
  Speaker 4: justin fields and one by two with fields thrown for
• 20:49
  Speaker 4: negative ten net passing yards?
• 20:51
  Speaker 3: Can I put my tinfoil hat on?
• 20:53
  Speaker 4: Yeah?
• 20:54
  Speaker 3: What do you guys think about Andy Reid and Kelsey
• 20:56
  Speaker 3: both retiring at the end of this year and if
• 20:58
  Speaker 3: Harbaugh gets fired them bringing him in?
• 21:02
  Speaker 4: No, I mean, here's the thing. What is read? What
• 21:04
  Speaker 4: else is reed.
• 21:04
  Speaker 3: Gonna do, go be a grandfather.
• 21:08
  Speaker 4: Maybe he's gonna go like a Food Network show about
• 21:13
  Speaker 4: touring the country et and burgers.
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: It's amazing how quickly we sell stock on these guys.
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: Andy Reid was the toast of the town for the
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: last five years, and now we're like, they should probably
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: get someone else.
• 21:24
  Speaker 3: I've been a hater.
• 21:25
  Speaker 4: No, I don't read. Seems like he's going to be
• 21:27
  Speaker 4: like a football guy, though I feel like he doesn't
• 21:29
  Speaker 4: do anything else. So yeah, I think the Chiefs will
• 21:33
  Speaker 4: show up here. Now. Maybe Eludicon's a disaster and he
• 21:37
  Speaker 4: turns it over a bunch and gets sacked and gets
• 21:39
  Speaker 4: stripped and he's got he gotta stop holding the ball
• 21:41
  Speaker 4: with one hand. But maybe maybe, But I just think
• 21:43
  Speaker 4: this line's too high. And this is a Broncos team,
• 21:44
  Speaker 4: and they don't blow. They don't blow on anyone. I mean,
• 21:49
  Speaker 4: and I'm talking bad teams. They beat the Raiders ten
• 21:51
  Speaker 4: to seven at home, Like this is a team that
• 21:56
  Speaker 4: they just their offense can get stuck in the mud.
• 21:59
  Speaker 4: Nicks can be inconsistent for quarters at a time. And
• 22:04
  Speaker 4: after the Broncos, what's that hell?
• 22:06
  Speaker 3: I said, ninety percent of the Chiefs rosters on ILR.
• 22:10
  Speaker 4: It's Fairyeah, it's fair.
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: There's a lot of injuries, like the fact that Rashi
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: Rice isn't out there really doesn't help because they have
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: such a hard time moving the ball. A lude kwon,
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: by the way, eleven of sixteen for a buck. Eleven
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: for a quarterback that's coming in as a third string.
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: Not that bad.
• 22:24
  Speaker 4: He was done Minshew because Minshew can't move around and
• 22:27
  Speaker 4: he had no reps. Like he'll get reps this week.
• 22:30
  Speaker 4: Maybe there's a chance Rice comes back. I mean, I
• 22:32
  Speaker 4: don't know, but I mean right now. The Broncos beat
• 22:35
  Speaker 4: the Commanders by one on the road in overtime, the
• 22:40
  Speaker 4: Raiders by three. They beat uh Davis Mills by three.
• 22:47
  Speaker 4: I mean, like the Jets by two. Like this is
• 22:50
  Speaker 4: the team that the Titans by eight. They don't they
• 22:53
  Speaker 4: don't blow out anybody. And and this is coming off
• 22:56
  Speaker 4: a game where they got destroyed. I still think their
• 23:00
  Speaker 4: defense is a bit overrated. So uh just hit a
• 23:03
  Speaker 4: couple of long passes on Riley Moss, get to thirteen
• 23:05
  Speaker 4: points and you cover.
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: Wow. Well, this is Stucky's specialty.
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: So before you guys out there listening or watching this
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: Scoff the idea of betting the Chiefs on Christmas. These
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: are usually the bets that he hits. So I don't
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: know that I can get there.
• 23:21
  Speaker 3: If it were Gardner Minshew, I would have been in
• 23:22
  Speaker 3: on this.
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: I just the way that I'll look at it.
• 23:30
  Speaker 4: There's the road that's insane.
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: There's no way I'd bet the Broncos, which means it's
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: Chiefs or nothing, and it's probably gonna be nothing for me.
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: But I totally get it. I get it on Kansas City.
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: Uh, I told you guys, I was going to sell
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: you on the Dolphins plus five and a half. I
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: wasn't going to force it. I was going to crunch
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: some numbers. We did, and we're there.
• 23:51
  Speaker 3: Douggie at the same time, literally just did the.
• 23:57
  Speaker 4: No matter what numbers you crunched, you were going to
• 23:59
  Speaker 4: bet the Dolphins. Yeah, no, there's no numbers coming back
• 24:04
  Speaker 4: saying now, don't bet this.
• 24:06
  Speaker 3: There wasn't even a line, real line now on Sunday
• 24:09
  Speaker 3: and you were like, yeah, I'm gonna covince you guys
• 24:10
  Speaker 3: on the Dolphins.
• 24:11
  Speaker 4: It could have been minus five and a half and
• 24:12
  Speaker 4: you would have told us you bet in the Dolphins.
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: That is not true.
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: I I personally project this closer to three, so I
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: think that's around anything south of that. I think if
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: it was like three and a half or north of
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: three and a half, I would have been I would
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: have definitely tried to sell you guys only said.
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: Five and a half.
• 24:33
  Speaker 3: Gift to you was not planting my flag on the Buccaneers.
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: Yeah, oh my god, really, God, come on this Bucks
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: team right now.
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: Be trusted. They've been so bad.
• 24:46
  Speaker 4: So that covered seven in a row. Baker's been arguably
• 24:48
  Speaker 4: a bottom three quarterback for the last two months. I
• 24:50
  Speaker 4: don't know if he's hurt or he has just come
• 24:53
  Speaker 4: crashing back down to earth. He's been abysmal, So I
• 24:56
  Speaker 4: don't If you want to sell this a Bucks fade, that's.
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: Fine, well it's u It's much more of a it's
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: more of a Bucks fad. But it's also I think
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: this line is over adjusting to a blowout because people
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: are going to look and go, oh, well, quin Ewers
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: came in seventh round pick and then the team got
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: blown out. He really wasn't that bad. He had an
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: I int that bounced off of a receiver's hands. Greg
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: Dulsic fumbled the football he had nothing to do with that.
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: It was the defense that couldn't hold up. I actually
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: thought Youwers looked pretty crisp out there, all things considered.
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: No way this Bucks team should be laying over five
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: on the road.
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: It's stuck.
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: He mentioned he's been bad since week seven. The Bucks
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: are a bottom ten offense. These teams just are not
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: that far apart right now. So you give me five
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: and a half, and I don't think this number touches six.
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: Otherwise I wouldn't plant my flag on it.
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: I would just wait. I don't think we're getting there.
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: I think this is gonna go either stay where it's
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: at or it's gonna go down to four and a half.
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: And I like Miami legitimately, I know I was likely
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: gonna end up there no matter what.
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: But this number is a chef's kiss. I love it.
• 26:03
  Speaker 4: I don't hate it as a fate of The Bucks
• 26:05
  Speaker 4: are a mess right now. Baker's a mess, and that's
• 26:07
  Speaker 4: how you have to attack this Dolphins. He make Their
• 26:09
  Speaker 4: secondary is horrendous, and I mean Baker's just missing throws
• 26:13
  Speaker 4: left and right. And this is one of those instances where, yeah,
• 26:16
  Speaker 4: the line's probably attad inflated because the Bucks have to win, and.
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: Yeah, the Bucks can be eliminated this week. If the
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: Panthers beat the Seahawks and the Dolphins beat the Bucks,
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: the Bucks are out and the Dolphins have nothing to
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: play for here. These are exactly the kind of teams,
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: the kind of situations that you want to bet into
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: Week seventeen and Week.
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: Eighteen is this.
• 26:37
  Speaker 3: Do you think that Mike McDaniel's going to lose his job?
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: I don't.
• 26:41
  Speaker 4: I have no idea. Actually I thought he was, and
• 26:43
  Speaker 4: then he wasn't. Now I don't know.
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: I think the fact that the owner led there's no
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: way that you bench a quarterback, Yeah, who has signed
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: a two hundred million dollar contract without checking with the
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: owner first. So the fact that he got the go
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: ahead to do that to me, said that screams Mike
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: McDaniel is going to be the coach next year. Now,
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: maybe he gets fired three weeks into the season next year,
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: but I think they're at least going to get him
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: into next season.
• 27:07
  Speaker 4: Yeah, there was a recent report that came out that
• 27:09
  Speaker 4: said he's coming back.
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: So all right, there you go. Our flags are planted.
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: Saints minus two and a half, Chiefs plus thirteen and
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: the Miami Dolphins plus five and a half against those
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
• 27:22
  Speaker 3: You guys, yours might.
• 27:25
  Speaker 4: Be the otherest kind of Saints is road chalk?
• 27:28
  Speaker 3: You You are betting the cheess right now?
• 27:33
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm getting two touchdowns your I could argue yours
• 27:37
  Speaker 4: is the.
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: Fact that Tyler Shuck is the best quarterback on the plant.
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: The flag tells you a whole lot.
• 27:43
  Speaker 3: Jackson heard I wanted a puppy, and now he's like
• 27:45
  Speaker 3: in the background giving us his best right now.
• 27:50
  Speaker 4: That's a good sign for the for our dogs, not
• 27:53
  Speaker 4: your road chalk.
• 27:54
  Speaker 3: The dogs are barking anyways.
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: Hey, listen, you said you wanted dogs for Christmas.
• 28:00
  Speaker 4: We gave them to you and alluded Khan and yours.
• 28:05
  Speaker 3: Yeah, the real puppies.
• 28:07
  Speaker 4: Quinn. Quinn's a good dog name.
• 28:10
  Speaker 3: Yeah, but if he dresses like a wanna be Morgan Wallin,
• 28:13
  Speaker 3: I don't knoww that on that one.
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: So now that we've planted our flags, we're gonna jump
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: ahead a bit to Monday Night Football on ESPN because
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: right now there's an awesome offer from Sling TV. If
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: you need instant access to live TV. Maybe you're stuck
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: at the in laws on this holiday season, you're away
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: from the normal home set up, don't worry. With Sling TV,
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: you can take control with flexible package options of one
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: to three and seven day passes for access to thirty
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: plus live channels, which includes ESPN and TNT. So you're
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: covered for Monday Night Football, all eleven of the college
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: football playoff games and more so. With Sling TV, they're
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: gonna get you in Monday Night Football, and we're gonna
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: get you into a same game parlay. I like the
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: Falcons plus eight and a half. I like the way
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: that this team has looked the last couple of weeks.
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: They've gotten wins against the Bucks and the Cardinals. I
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: know that this is a step up in weight class
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: against the La Rams. Kyle Pitts has been playing well.
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: Drake London back in the mix. They can always lean
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: on Bijon give me a little prime time Cousins to
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: get the cover.
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: Kendra, what do you like?
• 29:21
  Speaker 3: I got to say that this Sling deal is the
• 29:23
  Speaker 3: absolute best thing if you're going to like your grandma's
• 29:27
  Speaker 3: house or something like that and you want to have
• 29:29
  Speaker 3: the games on, but know that they don't have any
• 29:31
  Speaker 3: sort of TV package whatsoever, or your Stucky's dad. That's
• 29:36
  Speaker 3: definitely probably what I'm gonna be doing. So I'm gonna
• 29:38
  Speaker 3: be my best friend's grandparents' house. I am waiting for
• 29:42
  Speaker 3: Blake Koram's numbers to come out. I want to see
• 29:46
  Speaker 3: what his total is for maybe like some pass catching,
• 29:49
  Speaker 3: just because he's been kind of a little bit more
• 29:51
  Speaker 3: involved in the game. Especially with Devonte Adams out, They've
• 29:53
  Speaker 3: got to get a little bit more creative with that offense.
• 29:56
  Speaker 3: I'm really looking at Blake Korum numbers once they're out.
• 29:58
  Speaker 3: Whether you like the ny time, whether you like him
• 30:00
  Speaker 3: to catch a couple passes, whatever looks nice with Blake Korum.
• 30:04
  Speaker 3: That's that's kind of where I'm at. Yeah, you're probably
• 30:08
  Speaker 3: gonna go with whatever his like patch total is. That's
• 30:11
  Speaker 3: probably where I'm gonna be. I'm probably gonna go with
• 30:13
  Speaker 3: the over.
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: I think he's been going over his rushing yards a
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: week after week, and we'll look into that.
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: What do you like, Yeah, ducky.
• 30:19
  Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with I mean, this is hard to
• 30:22
  Speaker 4: do on a Tuesday for a Monday night.
• 30:23
  Speaker 3: Game without knowing Yeah, yep, a lot.
• 30:25
  Speaker 4: Of injury stuff, but I want to go with Kobe
• 30:28
  Speaker 4: Parkinson anytime touchdown, but Adams' status in Dow expect just
• 30:34
  Speaker 4: a ton of heavy personnel from the Rams. Falcons have
• 30:37
  Speaker 4: struggled defending heavy personnel. I think I'll get plenty of
• 30:40
  Speaker 4: looks in the red zone. So let's go with Parkinson
• 30:43
  Speaker 4: anytime touchdown.
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: I dig it. Blake Koram.
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: By the way, four weeks in a row, he has
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: gone over his rushing yard total.
• 30:51
  Speaker 3: He's kind of a king. He's they've finally started to
• 30:53
  Speaker 3: give him some opportunity in that offense.
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: Yeah, which he looks like. He looks like a legit
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: starting running back.
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: If you know, if Kiren wasn't standing in his way,
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: I think that he's got bell Coal abilities. Did you
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: like him coming out of Michigan stucky as a as
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: a pro?
• 31:08
  Speaker 4: I didn't. I didn't think he could be in every
• 31:10
  Speaker 4: down back, but I thought he would be he could
• 31:15
  Speaker 4: find a role in the NFL. But he's been better
• 31:17
  Speaker 4: than I expected before. And then so I mean, I
• 31:21
  Speaker 4: guess we'll go once the line comes out, we'll go
• 31:23
  Speaker 4: with So we'll go Falcons corem over rushing yards and
• 31:28
  Speaker 4: Parkinson touchdown. And I mean, for what it's worth, the
• 31:31
  Speaker 4: Falcons a very poor rush defense. They're they're i think
• 31:35
  Speaker 4: twenty seventh in rush success rate, so you can run
• 31:39
  Speaker 4: on them too, so that that does make sense. Twenty
• 31:41
  Speaker 4: fifth and rush EPA. So yeah, that'll be the parlay
• 31:45
  Speaker 4: once the numbers come out. Falcons krem over and Parkinson touchdown.
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: The holiday season is here, and if you find yourself
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: at a let's gather around the table and play a
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: board game while the game is on. Kind of how
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: Sling TV is your solution to instant access to live
• 32:00
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• 32:11
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• 32:15
  Speaker 1: one day pass restrictions apply. We still have our two
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: Kings and a Queen parlay coming up, which means more picks,
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: more analysis, But first a word from the Queen of
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: the pod as we chat about our loyal friends at DraftKings.
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  Speaker 3: The Favorites podcast is sponsored by DraftKings sportsbook and in
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• 33:04
  Speaker 1: Evan Abrams joining us on the podcast The Voice of God.
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: No betting week can start without the primer. I am
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: hearing rumors that the primer is as loaded as it's
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: been all season long. Evan, what is the most common
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: theme that you have come across in the primer this week?
• 33:23
  Speaker 5: Yeah, so stuck.
• 33:24
  Speaker 6: He knows this more than anyone, and we kind of
• 33:27
  Speaker 6: have been working on this together since he's been here,
• 33:29
  Speaker 6: which is now, like, I don't know, close to a decade,
• 33:31
  Speaker 6: and it's basically these last two weeks, you're fading teams
• 33:34
  Speaker 6: that need to win. He knows this I know this.
• 33:36
  Speaker 6: It's sixty one percent, as he mentioned, want toweight and
• 33:39
  Speaker 6: sixty nine, And basically what it is is you're betting
• 33:41
  Speaker 6: teams who are eliminated against teams you need to win
• 33:44
  Speaker 6: right now. That is Vikings, Browns and Dolphins. You know,
• 33:49
  Speaker 6: as it's been mentioned by a bunch of people, we're
• 33:51
  Speaker 6: kind of short on games that matter this time of year,
• 33:54
  Speaker 6: So that's where we sit with this one. The other
• 33:57
  Speaker 6: one that's kind of interesting is just teams that middle pack.
• 34:01
  Speaker 6: So sixty percent win percentage week sixteen or later twenty
• 34:07
  Speaker 6: seven and seventy two against the spread, absolutely ridiculous. With
• 34:10
  Speaker 6: the worst win percentage. So it's in the primer that'd
• 34:12
  Speaker 6: be Dallas this week. But my recommendation is I don't
• 34:15
  Speaker 6: want to go anywhere near that Josh Johnson third stringer.
• 34:18
  Speaker 5: It's it's a bit of a mess.
• 34:19
  Speaker 6: So I think the other trend fits a lot of
• 34:22
  Speaker 6: the things we've talked about, so Vikings, Browns, and Dolphins,
• 34:25
  Speaker 6: and I think.
• 34:25
  Speaker 5: That's really the theme of this week.
• 34:27
  Speaker 6: The other one I'll give you is this, so Chiefs
• 34:30
  Speaker 6: sitting at plus thirteen and a half right now, would
• 34:33
  Speaker 6: be the biggest home dog for the Chiefs franchise in
• 34:37
  Speaker 6: their history. They closed plus thirteen in nineteen seventy seven
• 34:41
  Speaker 6: against the Raiders and Ken Stabler. And right now that
• 34:45
  Speaker 6: is above that line. And here's the crazier one. So
• 34:48
  Speaker 6: the Chiefs are on a seven game ATS losing streak.
• 34:51
  Speaker 6: They also lost seven straight against the spread last year,
• 34:55
  Speaker 6: so they'd be the first team in the Super Bowl
• 34:56
  Speaker 6: era to have back to back years of seven game
• 34:59
  Speaker 6: eighty A losing streaks.
• 35:00
  Speaker 5: They're literally the worst bet you.
• 35:03
  Speaker 6: Could make over the last two seasons, So pretty crazy
• 35:06
  Speaker 6: with candall was starting exactly yeah or minshew, but that
• 35:11
  Speaker 6: didn't do so well last week.
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: Yeah, fair Eagles Bills is going to be a heavily
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: bet contest. To get the Buffalo Bills as minus one
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorites. I assume that that part
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: of that spread and where it is. The Bill's only
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: playing two more games at their home stadium before they
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: wrap it up, and you know that they want to
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: send those fans out of out of that stadium with
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: a big old smile on their face. Josh Allen is
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: on the injury report and he impacts the line in
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: a major way. But anything as far as the Eagles
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: and the Bills go where trends can point us in
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: one direction or the other.
• 35:47
  Speaker 6: As always, I can give you both sides. So I'll
• 35:49
  Speaker 6: say this, Josh Allen, he's ozing two against the Eagles.
• 35:52
  Speaker 6: His career means a little means a lot kind of
• 35:54
  Speaker 6: how you look at it. So hasn't done well there
• 35:56
  Speaker 6: fill into cover by almost ten points per game as well,
• 35:59
  Speaker 6: So maybe thorn in the side. But from Buffalo's standpoint
• 36:02
  Speaker 6: five and zero against the spread facing teams above five
• 36:06
  Speaker 6: hundred this year most wins without a loss for any
• 36:09
  Speaker 6: team in the NFL, So a little bit how you
• 36:10
  Speaker 6: look at it, I think I'd have to look into.
• 36:13
  Speaker 5: The Eagles stuff a little bit more to look at
• 36:15
  Speaker 5: how he's played.
• 36:16
  Speaker 6: If you look at some of the numbers, betweind Josh
• 36:18
  Speaker 6: Allen this year really different at home versus road.
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  Speaker 5: Much better at home on the road, I believe it.
• 36:24
  Speaker 6: Passer rating is almost thirty points different home versus road
• 36:28
  Speaker 6: for Josh Allen, so home seems to be some cooking
• 36:31
  Speaker 6: for him.
• 36:33
  Speaker 4: I will say that Allen should have beat the It
• 36:35
  Speaker 4: was typical Eagles luck box win last year. Yeah, Eagles
• 36:38
  Speaker 4: beat him in overtime at in Philly, I think that
• 36:43
  Speaker 4: there was like so many fluky things that happened in
• 36:45
  Speaker 4: that game, it was unbelievable. I think the Bills out
• 36:49
  Speaker 4: gained them like five ten to three forty or something,
• 36:53
  Speaker 4: and they lost in overtime on a bunch of fluke
• 36:55
  Speaker 4: stuff missed field goals. So he did play well. I
• 36:58
  Speaker 4: think the final score was like thirty eight thirty five.
• 37:00
  Speaker 6: Yeah, I think that five their own numbers intriguing in
• 37:03
  Speaker 6: terms of what they've done against good teams Stucky.
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: Do you think that that line indicates some real question
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: marks about his health.
• 37:12
  Speaker 4: Uh, I can't imagine him not playing.
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: I think Dermott said that he is expected to play,
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: so yeah, I don't think they're hedging this too much.
• 37:23
  Speaker 4: No, I mean, I think there's probably some people that
• 37:24
  Speaker 4: make that line like one and a half. Not much
• 37:28
  Speaker 4: difference between these two teams. Lane Johnson is he back?
• 37:32
  Speaker 4: That's important for the Eagles. Still, I'm still not buying
• 37:35
  Speaker 4: this Eagles like offensive resurgence. Like I thought they were
• 37:37
  Speaker 4: gonna lose that game against Washington until Mariota got hurt,
• 37:40
  Speaker 4: and you know, Johnson throws that horrendous pick, which I mean,
• 37:44
  Speaker 4: there was no Washington, no chance once Mariota went out. Also, Elliott,
• 37:49
  Speaker 4: is he broken that could come into play. He looks
• 37:53
  Speaker 4: like he's completely lost. I will say Hurts is running
• 37:56
  Speaker 4: a bit more, which is helping their offense. I don't
• 37:59
  Speaker 4: know why they weren't doing that earlier, but you know
• 38:02
  Speaker 4: they beat the last two weeks. They beat the Raiders
• 38:05
  Speaker 4: and the Commanders with a third string quarterback and they
• 38:09
  Speaker 4: had to I mean had Commandis had even more injuries
• 38:11
  Speaker 4: during the game. Offensive line, they were without their left tack,
• 38:13
  Speaker 4: they lost their left guard, they'd lost a bunch more defenders,
• 38:17
  Speaker 4: and it's a defense that can't stop anyone. So now
• 38:19
  Speaker 4: the Bills aren't a great defense either, but if that
• 38:23
  Speaker 4: keeps going down, I'll probably look at the Bills.
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: There, Kendrick, should we just be looking to back Buffalo
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: in these final couple of games in Orchard Park?
• 38:32
  Speaker 3: So I very much am thinking that Buffalo is about
• 38:37
  Speaker 3: to go on a run here. I don't know if
• 38:40
  Speaker 3: any Here's the thing, when I look at the AFC
• 38:42
  Speaker 3: playoff picture, they're the team that I don't want to play.
• 38:44
  Speaker 3: Does anybody feel differently about that?
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: I think they'd be at the top of the list because.
• 38:49
  Speaker 4: The Chiefs got in with akon. I don't know.
• 38:53
  Speaker 3: Maybe, and in order for that to happen, you have
• 38:56
  Speaker 3: to win both of these games back to back. Obviously
• 38:58
  Speaker 3: they want to say no, no, lack of reason to
• 39:01
  Speaker 3: get up here. I'm on the Bills probably no matter what.
• 39:04
  Speaker 3: Probably not gonna bet this game though, just because it
• 39:07
  Speaker 3: feels yucky for some reason. But I'm I'm behind the
• 39:10
  Speaker 3: Bills when they get in through the postseason for sure.
• 39:14
  Speaker 4: Evan, Yeah, well they can't. We really can't win the
• 39:16
  Speaker 4: division though.
• 39:17
  Speaker 3: No they can't.
• 39:19
  Speaker 4: Because I mean all the Patriots somehow play two more
• 39:21
  Speaker 4: backup quarterbacks to close the year. Although Brandon will be
• 39:24
  Speaker 4: on the Dogs, could be.
• 39:27
  Speaker 3: Could be kind of stinky. I don't know the page.
• 39:30
  Speaker 3: I the Patriots have to be in bet yail for me.
• 39:32
  Speaker 3: After I had the Ravens the other night, I seriously
• 39:35
  Speaker 3: cannot touch them again or I might get fired from
• 39:38
  Speaker 3: another job.
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I.
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: Don't know that you have a great You're too close
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: to the fire. I don't think you have a good
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: read on the paper.
• 39:43
  Speaker 4: You're starting quarterback. If you're starting quarterback, it's certain just
• 39:47
  Speaker 4: the taffit's uh, you're gonna lose your bet. I mean,
• 39:49
  Speaker 4: I had the the Raids. I had the commanders like
• 39:53
  Speaker 4: you just sometimes that happens sometimes your starting quarterback.
• 39:55
  Speaker 3: They leave Derek Henry out for the fourth quarter, who's
• 39:58
  Speaker 3: the same.
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: The Ravens would have covered that with Lamar.
• 40:01
  Speaker 3: I think that would have won that game, no question,
• 40:05
  Speaker 3: if Lamar didn't get hurt and they played the best
• 40:09
  Speaker 3: running back in the league.
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: But what do I now?
• 40:11
  Speaker 4: They also could have the Patriots continue to get every fumble?
• 40:13
  Speaker 4: Would they have five fuffles and there's five funbles? Again,
• 40:15
  Speaker 4: they covered four of them. I think they recovered like
• 40:19
  Speaker 4: eighty three percent of opponents fumbles and have lost only
• 40:22
  Speaker 4: like thirty percent of theirs. That's and considering they played
• 40:26
  Speaker 4: nothing but backup quarterbacks all year, that's a little worrisome.
• 40:29
  Speaker 4: And Drake may put the ball in Harm's way again
• 40:31
  Speaker 4: a bunch. He's been amazing, but I think he had
• 40:33
  Speaker 4: three or four turnover worth. He plays a drop pick
• 40:35
  Speaker 4: that would have ended the game, So he's getting away.
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: Yeah, they're going to be that one They're going to
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: be that one seed that gets a bye and then
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: loses in their first opportunity.
• 40:46
  Speaker 3: So I agree, especially because they're so injured right now.
• 40:49
  Speaker 3: They are so especially on defense. It's unbelievable.
• 40:55
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, you gotta get made make throw some
• 40:57
  Speaker 4: amazing deep balls.
• 40:59
  Speaker 3: And he's playing three and eighty yards the other night
• 41:02
  Speaker 3: and played like that like he had three bad quarters
• 41:04
  Speaker 3: of football and still when I think like thirty one
• 41:07
  Speaker 3: four for three eighty and two touchdown.
• 41:10
  Speaker 4: Yeah, and there was a miss like fifty yard pi.
• 41:12
  Speaker 4: I don't know how they didn't call that was bad.
• 41:15
  Speaker 4: So but yeah, it looks like the Bills are going
• 41:18
  Speaker 4: to be a wild card and as of right now,
• 41:23
  Speaker 4: it looks like they will go to Pittsburgh, so like Schitsburg,
• 41:28
  Speaker 4: who they already went and just ran all over. We'll
• 41:31
  Speaker 4: see if the Steelers make an adjustment to the play
• 41:34
  Speaker 4: that the Bills ran thirty times.
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: In good Luck trying to stop good Luck trying to
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: stop Kenneth Ladenian game gain Well, you know, Evan, go
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: check out the Primer actionnetwork dot com.
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: Get yourself a pro subscription.
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: While you're at it, It's time for the reason you
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: all came here today, and we'll send you all on
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: your Mary Oy, our two Kings and a Queen parlay
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: for reminders.
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: We will each nominate two plays.
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: See if we can find some general consensus on the
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: board and eventually land on our team built parlay Stucky,
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: get us started.
• 42:17
  Speaker 4: We're going ugly as you might imagine. Week seventeen, Browns
• 42:22
  Speaker 4: fit the ball. Steelers need to win. Browns playing home
• 42:26
  Speaker 4: divisional dog. You know, I mean almost always bet them
• 42:28
  Speaker 4: the Browns. Last week. I was always bet the Garrett
• 42:31
  Speaker 4: Garrett I hope gets the records.
• 42:35
  Speaker 3: He's so sick.
• 42:37
  Speaker 4: Their defense always plays much better at home. I Plus,
• 42:42
  Speaker 4: there's no Dk Metcalf for the Steelers to suspend. It
• 42:45
  Speaker 4: that makes the Steelers easier to defend. Like you can
• 42:46
  Speaker 4: just watch when defenses play, you know, when the Steers
• 42:49
  Speaker 4: are in the red zone or like they have they
• 42:51
  Speaker 4: have a safety shading over to Metcalf. And now it's like,
• 42:56
  Speaker 4: you know, can we talk about that gotty Miller Adam
• 42:58
  Speaker 4: feeling like so yeah, so and this there's gonna be
• 43:04
  Speaker 4: like thirty mile hour wins in this this game, this
• 43:05
  Speaker 4: total might close to like thirty. So like getting four
• 43:08
  Speaker 4: points in this four and a half points in this
• 43:09
  Speaker 4: game is like getting ten. There's also many like so
• 43:13
  Speaker 4: this is now the Browns super Bowl at home, try
• 43:16
  Speaker 4: to spoil the Steelers. There's also scenariohe the Steelers already
• 43:18
  Speaker 4: clinched the division and they're playing for nothing. If the
• 43:20
  Speaker 4: Ravens lose to the Packers, and then what happens, well,
• 43:24
  Speaker 4: the sorts of a ton of injuries as well, offensive line,
• 43:27
  Speaker 4: defensive line, so they might rest guys that are hurt.
• 43:32
  Speaker 4: Do you hold back guys that are dealing with injuries
• 43:34
  Speaker 4: you know you're not gonna have Metcalf? Do you put
• 43:37
  Speaker 4: Rogers out there in harm's way against Garrett? Probably not?
• 43:40
  Speaker 4: So what does that mean? I mean, even if he plays,
• 43:41
  Speaker 4: you probably run the ball seventy times. You're playing for
• 43:44
  Speaker 4: nothing and then this game ends like seven to six.
• 43:49
  Speaker 4: That's my first one.
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: What's the case for the Raiders because I'm sold by
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: the way, my vote is gonna be on the Browns
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: unless you blow men.
• 43:55
  Speaker 4: I love the Raiders here. The Raiders are not like
• 43:58
  Speaker 4: this is like everyone's gonna say it's a tank off.
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: What it like?
• 44:01
  Speaker 4: I don't think either one of these teams is outwardly
• 44:03
  Speaker 4: tanking where it could come into plays like who you
• 44:06
  Speaker 4: sit out or make sure there's a one out of there.
• 44:09
  Speaker 4: I'm denominating the Raiders money. I took them early in
• 44:11
  Speaker 4: the week. Getting costs money where you see the tanks, Like,
• 44:14
  Speaker 4: if one team these these two tank ish teams, at
• 44:17
  Speaker 4: the end of the year, one team scores at the end,
• 44:20
  Speaker 4: there's no reason to go to overtime. So he might
• 44:22
  Speaker 4: just call the worst two point conversion play of all time.
• 44:26
  Speaker 4: We've seen that in the past. So he might just
• 44:27
  Speaker 4: call like a triple reverse and lose the game by one.
• 44:33
  Speaker 4: So but here's the thing. Dart is broken right now,
• 44:36
  Speaker 4: not running as much he was. I mean, he didn't
• 44:39
  Speaker 4: complete a pass with the whole first half last week.
• 44:42
  Speaker 4: I don't know if he said a sophomore slump, it's
• 44:45
  Speaker 4: after his injury, just not the same quarterback. They also
• 44:48
  Speaker 4: have a ton of offensive line injuries, and the Giants
• 44:50
  Speaker 4: are one team that cannot afford any offensive line injuries.
• 44:53
  Speaker 4: The Raiders, meanwhile, yeah, I mean Andrew Thomas is like
• 44:57
  Speaker 4: we've seen this in the past. When Andrew Thomas goes out,
• 44:59
  Speaker 4: this unit turns into dust. That's what's happened to the Raiders.
• 45:04
  Speaker 4: Who might maybe they'll get Colton Miller back Pro Bowl
• 45:07
  Speaker 4: caliber left tackle, and the Raiders they're gonna have like
• 45:13
  Speaker 4: you have Brock Bowers, you have Genty, who's going up
• 45:16
  Speaker 4: against the league's worst rush defense, so I think that
• 45:20
  Speaker 4: they'll be able to run the ball. And here's who
• 45:23
  Speaker 4: the Raiders have played over the past five weeks. The
• 45:29
  Speaker 4: Browns defense, the Chargers defense, the Broncos defense, the Eagles defense,
• 45:33
  Speaker 4: and the Texans defense. Are those five top seven defenses.
• 45:40
  Speaker 4: That's who they played over the past five weeks. They
• 45:42
  Speaker 4: played the Broncos before that, the Jags before that. Like,
• 45:47
  Speaker 4: their schedule has been vicious, So this will be a
• 45:50
  Speaker 4: nice break for Gino for genty to get going. Who
• 45:55
  Speaker 4: got going last week against Houston. So I just trust
• 45:58
  Speaker 4: that Raiders offense much more. Their defense, I think is
• 46:01
  Speaker 4: even better than the Giants defense. They're at home. Pete
• 46:04
  Speaker 4: Carroll is not a.
• 46:06
  Speaker 3: Tanking also Pete Carroll podcast.
• 46:09
  Speaker 4: And the Raiders. By the way, these are my two
• 46:11
  Speaker 4: most profitable teams in twenty twenty five. I've been the
• 46:15
  Speaker 4: Raiders and the Browns, and so that's who I'm dominating here,
• 46:19
  Speaker 4: the Raiders in the Browns.
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: Damn, you know, I like them both with is that bad?
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: I kind of got me with that one. Actually, that
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: was good that you definitely sold me on some ash
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: gent props. That's for sure. Definitely going to add that
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: to the card. I'll still vote Browns, but you almost
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: you almost got me.
• 46:36
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna go Browns as well, but I I
• 46:39
  Speaker 3: don't hate either of them, So Browns all right?
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: All right?
• 46:44
  Speaker 3: Points though not money Line. I'm a coward.
• 46:47
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, especially in the game of total of
• 46:50
  Speaker 4: that is trending towards like thirty one. Heaven, who would
• 46:54
  Speaker 4: you vote for?
• 46:56
  Speaker 5: I believe them, but I want to buy it to four.
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: It's three and a half.
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Drafts is allowing the slider to four and a half,
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: So we're gonna put four and a half in the parlay.
• 47:06
  Speaker 4: Okay, good, That's the number I bet earlier in the week.
• 47:09
  Speaker 3: So all right, Kendra, I really only have one nomination,
• 47:15
  Speaker 3: but I gave you a second option just in case.
• 47:18
  Speaker 3: I really love the Bengals this week. They didn't take
• 47:21
  Speaker 3: their foot. What they didn't take they didn't take their
• 47:24
  Speaker 3: foot off the gas last week I expected them to.
• 47:27
  Speaker 3: Joe Burrow just says he wants to go out there
• 47:28
  Speaker 3: play football and have fun. The fact that he didn't
• 47:31
  Speaker 3: sit and try and nurse that foot when he could
• 47:33
  Speaker 3: have last week, I think says a lot. I think
• 47:36
  Speaker 3: they're gonna go out there hoop, have some fun score
• 47:38
  Speaker 3: some points on a bad team, and I don't. I
• 47:41
  Speaker 3: don't think that there's any argument against that at this
• 47:43
  Speaker 3: point against a bad team. However, I know that Krevitz
• 47:48
  Speaker 3: also has the opposite side of that. So I'm gonna
• 47:50
  Speaker 3: give you guys the Lions minus six just because must
• 47:53
  Speaker 3: win game. I get that they're injured, but they got absolutely.
• 47:57
  Speaker 4: Just the game.
• 47:59
  Speaker 3: The other man what I do think it was a
• 48:02
  Speaker 3: correct call, but we were all sitting here screaming at
• 48:04
  Speaker 3: that game. I think that they have to come out
• 48:06
  Speaker 3: be ready, must win game against a bad Vikings team
• 48:09
  Speaker 3: on their third string quarterback. Love the Max Brosmer regardless,
• 48:13
  Speaker 3: I those are my two nominations.
• 48:15
  Speaker 4: I can't I will not bet the I can't bet
• 48:17
  Speaker 4: the lines. I'll tell you that. I mean, that's Evan
• 48:20
  Speaker 4: already talk about this. I probably gonna end up betting
• 48:22
  Speaker 4: the Vikings. I just if Brosmer gets ruled. Is he
• 48:25
  Speaker 4: not a ruled officially in yet? I'm pretty sure he's playing.
• 48:29
  Speaker 4: But sometimes when the team they get bump in the market,
• 48:34
  Speaker 4: what's that.
• 48:35
  Speaker 3: I don't think it's going to be JJ right, like,
• 48:36
  Speaker 3: I don't think so either.
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: I mean, would wait, I would wait on that.
• 48:39
  Speaker 4: I'm just saying, like maybe you get another bump when
• 48:41
  Speaker 4: it's announced.
• 48:42
  Speaker 3: I mean, this line is just so Bengals to me.
• 48:45
  Speaker 4: But no, I mean the line stink people Like they
• 48:48
  Speaker 4: just lost to the Steelers at home and I must
• 48:49
  Speaker 4: win game. This is this, this is not this, and
• 48:53
  Speaker 4: they're so hurt. They have no offensive line now, so
• 48:55
  Speaker 4: like going to floor as defense. McCarthy already beat them
• 48:58
  Speaker 4: when he when he was horrendous on the road. You
• 49:01
  Speaker 4: have offensive line injuries, your defense is I mean the
• 49:04
  Speaker 4: Lions defense they got, they got nobody left. They their
• 49:07
  Speaker 4: defense has allowed four hundred and sixty yards per game
• 49:10
  Speaker 4: over the last five games. The Bengals are dead last
• 49:13
  Speaker 4: enough I'll allowing four to h two. No, I can't
• 49:17
  Speaker 4: I cann occupy the lines, I now, Bengals, Yeah, I
• 49:24
  Speaker 4: could see. Just the Cardinals are so hurt, and I
• 49:28
  Speaker 4: don't know how they get any stops because like Bengal
• 49:32
  Speaker 4: flat got Flacco. Burrow can just dink and dunk all
• 49:36
  Speaker 4: the way down the field on them and they're gonna
• 49:37
  Speaker 4: hit some explosives too. Like, I don't know how the
• 49:39
  Speaker 4: Cardinals get any stops, and like who is left on
• 49:42
  Speaker 4: the Cardinals roster but Kravitz likes the I know he's
• 49:47
  Speaker 4: going to try to nominate the Cardinals. I don't know
• 49:52
  Speaker 4: hard early in the week because.
• 49:53
  Speaker 3: Of all the Kravits. I hate your nominations, all right,
• 49:58
  Speaker 3: So you're.
• 49:59
  Speaker 4: Gonna vote for the long, vot for the I'm not.
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: I'm voting for an alternate. I'm voting for an alternate idea.
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: I cannot and I'll give it to you in a second.
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: I cannot believe that I am the one that has
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: to nominate the sad Cats every single week on this podcast.
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to slowly convert us from a JAG's cast
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: to a Panthers cast.
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: Plus seven and a half.
• 50:18
  Speaker 3: I started the Panthers movement. Screw you.
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: You handed the ball off, and I've taken it to
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: the house.
• 50:24
  Speaker 4: Here.
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: Somebody has to do it. This one's simple. This is
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: what Carolina does. They're the Carolina repet vote.
• 50:30
  Speaker 4: We have to vote on Kendris first.
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: I'm i'm I'm laying this out there because we're going
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: to spend more time on the other My other idea.
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: Five and one against the spread as a home underdoger
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: the Carolina Panthers, They've covered nine straight against NFC opponents.
• 50:43
  Speaker 2: So I like the Panthers. But my idea that I think.
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: We might like here is that we marry our Cardinals
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: Bengals pick because both of us are of the same mindset.
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: You like the Bengals because you think they're going to
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: put up a bunch of points on a sad sack
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: Cardinals defense. I think the Bengals are just as bad,
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: if not worse than Arizona, and they're not gonna be
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: able to get any stops.
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: So I think we should take the over.
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: I think we should put the over fifty three and
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: a half into the parlay, and then we can kind
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: of both.
• 51:15
  Speaker 3: There are the Cardinals getting those points from though their.
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: Offense has been awesome with Jacoby Brissett and they have
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: Marvin Harrison junior back, and the Bengals are the worst
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: defense in the league against the tight end position. Trey
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: McBride's the best tight end in the game. They're not
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: gonna stop the guy.
• 51:31
  Speaker 4: Bengals money line. We're putting Bengals money line in there.
• 51:35
  Speaker 4: Get Evans vote. We can't change her pick to a total.
• 51:38
  Speaker 4: I had heaven, what do you what would you decide here?
• 51:41
  Speaker 6: But it's between Bengals, and what what are the.
• 51:44
  Speaker 4: Bengals that we could go Bengals spread. We also can
• 51:47
  Speaker 4: just throw Bengals money line in. There are lines. I
• 51:49
  Speaker 4: know you're not gonna pick the Lions.
• 51:51
  Speaker 6: I mean, oh my god, Lions money line? I guess
• 51:55
  Speaker 6: could be something.
• 51:57
  Speaker 5: No, okay, well stuck, you just gave me that.
• 52:00
  Speaker 4: Oh no, you know better than to do the team
• 52:02
  Speaker 4: us to win on the road.
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: So we're gonna put a minus three eighty money line
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: into the parlay?
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: What are we doing? It's what about?
• 52:09
  Speaker 4: Wait?
• 52:10
  Speaker 5: What about a suggestion off the cuff?
• 52:12
  Speaker 6: What if we did like Bengals first half or something
• 52:15
  Speaker 6: like that?
• 52:16
  Speaker 5: Is that feel? I don't know, it's it's I guess
• 52:18
  Speaker 5: it's four and a half. That sucks too.
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: This, I mean it has to be approved by Kendra.
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: This is her nomination.
• 52:22
  Speaker 3: We can't we can't put Bengals panther is whatever?
• 52:27
  Speaker 4: Well all right, so wait, wait, wait, Devin, who would
• 52:30
  Speaker 4: you pick between the Bengals minus the points or the Lions?
• 52:36
  Speaker 5: This is a Colon Stocking situation. Give me the Bengals.
• 52:40
  Speaker 3: Also, we are sitting here argue every time we sit
• 52:44
  Speaker 3: here and argue over this fucking parlay for more than
• 52:47
  Speaker 3: four minutes, it hits. So every time we sit here
• 52:52
  Speaker 3: and we're like, I don't think right.
• 52:55
  Speaker 5: Now, Bengals will let's do this? Does DraftKings allow us
• 52:57
  Speaker 5: to get under the seven? Like give me the six
• 53:00
  Speaker 5: and a half or something like that, I gott't.
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, well let me let me play around here.
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: So well, so you guys are good with the Panthers,
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: there's no.
• 53:09
  Speaker 4: Well, the other choices the Cardinals.
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: So but just even in general, for people out there
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: that want to bet it straight, I already bet the
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: Panthers plus seven and a half?
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: Stucky? Would you?
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: Would you sign off on that? For those out there
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: that are listening, that want to that want to take
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: that while I I'm just trying to buy time while
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: I put this in the app here.
• 53:30
  Speaker 4: I'm waiting get some injury stuff there. I'm close, but
• 53:35
  Speaker 4: over a touchdown out I don't. I'm not gonna oppose it.
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: Okay.
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: So we have the Browns plus four and a half
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: against the Steelers, we have the Panthers plus seven and
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: a half at home against the Seahawks, and the Bengals
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: down to minus six and a half against the Cardinals.
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: That is plus four sixty four over Undraftkings.
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: The crown is yours, you weirdos.
• 54:01
  Speaker 3: Well, get ready for another parlay to cash.
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: So you know what this feels like.
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: This feels like the middle of a Christmas get together
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: with the family where it was going well and then
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: it just gets really fucking awkward out of nowhere and
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: you're like, I think we got.
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: To go now.
• 54:16
  Speaker 3: I think Grandma starts talking about politics and you're like, all.
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: Right, that's right.
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: Uh, this did not feel like consensus.
• 54:26
  Speaker 4: But listen, the Browns are the only team those consensus.
• 54:30
  Speaker 4: What a were on it?
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: We should just parlay our our plant the flags. There's that.
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: We were much more happy to fortnutes ago. No, I
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: like this, all right, fine, there you go, and I'll
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: do it for our episode today. A reminder, no show
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: on Thursday. We're off for Christmas special. Thanks to all
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: of you for listening and making us part of your week.
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: We greatly appreciate it. We also appreciate our producers, Gifford Gold,
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: David Payne, Statsman Evan Abrams. The Favorites will return on
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: Sunday Night, will recap weeks seventeen and c where we
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: went right and where we went wrong. Hopefully none of
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: you get cold in your stockings and all that jazz.
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: Thanks for tuning in. We'll see you next time here
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: on the Favorites podcast presented by DraftKings.
• 55:10
  Speaker 2: A Merry Christmas to all and to all, O good
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: night kill.
• 55:14
  Speaker 3: This Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you
• 55:29
  Speaker 3: or someone you care about has a gambling problem, help
• 55:31
  Speaker 3: is available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred
• 55:34
  Speaker 3: Gambler