Latest / The SPY Trader / S&P 7,000: Navigating the Tech Gauntlet
Transcript
- 0:00Good morning traders and early birds !
- 0:02It is 5 am on Sunday , February 1st , 2026 , here on the Pacific Coast .
- 0:09I am your host , Sunny Stockwell , and you are listening to Spy Trader .
- 0:13Grab your favorite mug of cocoa or coffee and settle in , because we have a massive week ahead of us on Wall Street .
- 0:20We just witnessed the S&P 500 hit a historic milestone on January 28th by crossing the 7,000 mark .
- 0:29That is a huge number , but now the market is in what I like to call a showme phase .
- 0:34It is one thing to reach the mountain top ; it is another thing to stay there .
- 0:39This week , we are looking at the Big Tech Gauntlet and some critical jobs data that will tell us if these high valuations are actually justified .
- 0:48Let us look at the big picture first .
- 0:50The Federal Reserve just held interest rates steady in the 3.50 to 3.75 percent range .
- 0:58This marks the end of that aggressive ratecutting cycle we saw late last year .
- 1:02We are now in a higher for longer neutral stance .
- 1:05This is usually great for cashrich companies like the ones in the S&P 500 , but it can be a bit of a squeeze for smaller companies with a lot of debt .
- 1:15We also have a leadership shift at the Fed to talk about .
- 1:18Kevin Warsh has been nominated to succeed Jerome Powell as Chair , and the markets are feeling a bit twitchy about it .
- 1:26Warsh is known for being more disciplined on the dollar , which adds a layer of volatility to our morning .
- 1:32And of course , circle Friday , February 6th , on your calendars .
- 1:38That is when the January employment report drops .
- 1:41We are looking for a modest gain of about 70,000 jobs with unemployment holding steady at 4.4 percent .
- 1:49If we get a Goldilocks number — not too hot , not too cold — the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF , also known as VOO , should be very happy .
- 1:59Now , looking at the sectors , Technology is facing its biggest test of the year .
- 2:04After some consolidation , we are heading straight into the earnings fire .
- 2:08Alphabet reports this Wednesday , and everyone is staring at Google Cloud growth and how they are making money from AI search .
- 2:17Amazon follows on Thursday , where the focus will be on AWS margins and how AI is helping them move packages faster .
- 2:24We also have the semiconductor bellwethers , AMD and Qualcomm , reporting Tuesday and Wednesday .
- 2:31In the healthcare space , it is a giant week for the XLV ETF .
- 2:36Eli Lilly , Merck , and Pfizer are all reporting .
- 2:39Keep a close eye on Eli Lilly ; any news on their obesity drug pipeline can move that entire healthcare sector .
- 2:47And for those watching the banks in the XLF ETF , keep in mind there is some political talk about a 10 percent cap on credit card interest rates which could be a headwind .
- 2:57Let’s talk about some specific events to watch for the next few days .
- 3:01Tomorrow , Monday , February 2nd , is going to be high energy .
- 3:06Palantir and Disney are both reporting .
- 3:09Palantir has an expected move of nearly 10 percent , so that is a real highbeta play for the AI enthusiasts .
- 3:17Meanwhile , Disney fans want to see if Disney Plus is keeping up its profitability to balance out the traditional media side of the house .
- 3:25So , what is the game plan for this week ?
- 3:28First , for your core portfolio , my recommendation is to stay with the broad equity market .
- 3:35As long as the S&P 500 stays above its 10month moving average , the trend is our friend .
- 3:43You can maintain your exposure through the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF , ticker VOO , or the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust , known as SPY .
- 3:54This keeps you diversified across 500 companies so a single tech miss won't ruin your week .
- 4:00If you are looking for growth , think about accumulating tech on the dips .
- 4:04Sentiment is a bit low right now , which actually sets us up for a potential short squeeze if Alphabet or Amazon surprise us .
- 4:13You can use the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund , or XLK , for that concentrated tech exposure .
- 4:20For those who want something a bit more defensive , look at the bond market .
- 4:24With the Fed at that neutral 3.5 percent range , the bond market is offering some attractive yields .
- 4:31The iShares Core U.S.
- 4:32Aggregate Bond ETF , ticker AGG , is a great place for stability .
- 4:38It acts as a nice hedge if Friday’s jobs report comes in weaker than expected .
- 4:43Finally , for my aggressive traders out there , Palantir is your battleground stock .
- 4:49It is a highbeta play on enterprise AI .
- 4:52If you believe their AI platform adoption is accelerating , a small position ahead of Monday’s results might be for you , though you can always use the QQQ to play the general tech trend with a bit less individual risk .
- 5:06It is going to be a busy one , folks !
- 5:08Just remember to keep your eyes on the data and your feet on the ground .
- 5:13I will be back in a few hours with more updates .
- 5:16This is Sunny Stockwell for Spy Trader , wishing you a profitable and peaceful Sunday .