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The most open race ever at Phillip Island?! Australian MotoGP Preview I Pit Talk · Pit Talk

0:01
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Speaker 2: Get a quote online today. This is the moment, then,
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Speaker 2: that we've all been waiting.
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Speaker 3: For for in a romanxstree Land.
0:25
Speaker 1: I know they aren't playing hardball out there at the moment,
0:29
Speaker 1: the pivotal moment of twenty twenty four.
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Speaker 3: Well, the world's fastest riders on two wheels are making
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Speaker 3: their way down Under for this weekend's Australian Moto GP
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Speaker 3: at Phillip Island, and Matt I would say this is
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Speaker 3: the best weekend of the year on the Moto GP calendar.
0:51
Speaker 1: Not that we're biased. World's best riders, world's best bikes,
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Speaker 1: world's best racetrack, world's possibly worst weather for a racetrack,
0:58
Speaker 1: but hopefully we get one day over the course of
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Speaker 1: the week. But yeah, the best weekend of the year.
1:01
Speaker 2: Buffer Well, this episode.
1:03
Speaker 3: Of Pittsbook is brought to you by Shannon's Insurance. I'm
1:05
Speaker 3: your host Ronita Vanmullin and joining me is Matt Clayton,
1:08
Speaker 3: and we're going to break down everything that you need
1:10
Speaker 3: to know ahead of this weekend's Australian Grand Prix, and
1:14
Speaker 3: the breaking news coming out is there's a few big
1:17
Speaker 3: names are not making their debut this weekend and one
1:20
Speaker 3: of those is the world champion who was crowned in Japan,
1:23
Speaker 3: Mark Marquees. So what's going with Marquez?
1:26
Speaker 2: Why is he not a full of Island this year?
1:28
Speaker 1: Well, we knew that he wasn't going to be at
1:30
Speaker 1: the Island because of the shoulder injury that he had
1:32
Speaker 1: in Indonesia when Marco Berzeki ran up the back of
1:35
Speaker 1: him on the first lap. So you know, it's sort
1:37
Speaker 1: of Mark's had his Australian drama before he's got to Australia.
1:40
Speaker 1: It's usually dramatic when he gets here. He gets disqualified,
1:42
Speaker 1: he crashes from the lead, he wins. It's never a
1:44
Speaker 1: dull moment for Mark. You remember in the start last
1:47
Speaker 1: year where he slipped on one of his own tear offs, Yeah,
1:49
Speaker 1: and it almost was like fifteenth on the first lap
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Speaker 1: and still came back and won the race. But we
1:53
Speaker 1: knew Mark wasn't going to be at the Island because
1:55
Speaker 1: he had the shoulder injury from Indonesia. What's interesting was
1:58
Speaker 1: they tried to let this just heel itself without surgery,
2:01
Speaker 1: and you know part of that is you don't want
2:03
Speaker 1: to go under the knife at any time. Mark Marquez,
2:05
Speaker 1: the right side of his body does not need any
2:07
Speaker 1: more surgeries because we've had enough of those. So he's
2:10
Speaker 1: gone under the knife in Spain over the course of
2:12
Speaker 1: last weekend, so we knew he was going to miss
2:14
Speaker 1: Australia in Malaysia. Interesting thing for me now that only
2:18
Speaker 1: means there's two rounds after that, Portamow and Valencia. Valencia
2:22
Speaker 1: really important because you've got the effectively the first day
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Speaker 1: of twenty twenty six, that test one day after the
2:27
Speaker 1: Grand Prix. It wouldn't surprise me at all of you
2:29
Speaker 1: missus Portermow. It's not a circuit he's been particularly great
2:32
Speaker 1: at and there's no small crashes at Portermow. That just
2:35
Speaker 1: the nature of that track. He's won the World.
2:38
Speaker 2: Championship, right por similar to Philip Eyland correct.
2:41
Speaker 1: Yeah, high risk, high reward and he's won the championship.
2:44
Speaker 1: It's done. He had a chance to possibly have his
2:47
Speaker 1: greatest season ever with thirteen wins if he had won
2:49
Speaker 1: two of the last four. The fact he's going to
2:51
Speaker 1: miss two of those four. The stats are kind of irrelevant.
2:54
Speaker 1: The only stat he wanted to was the seventh world champion.
2:56
Speaker 1: Wh've got that. So I think Valencia comeback, do that
3:00
Speaker 1: this weekend, you know, salute the crowd. They'll hold him
3:02
Speaker 1: as a hero there. But it's the test that's the
3:05
Speaker 1: important thing. Now twenty twenty five is done, he's thinking
3:08
Speaker 1: about twenty six. Why put yourself at risk. So it's
3:12
Speaker 1: unfortunately he's going to miss Australia because I would have
3:14
Speaker 1: loved to have seen him on that red decadier around
3:16
Speaker 1: Philip Pilot, a track where he's so good at any time.
3:19
Speaker 1: But it's a sensible decision. There's nothing to fight for
3:21
Speaker 1: for this season. Get yourself right for Valencia, start twenty
3:24
Speaker 1: twenty six off in November the right way and then
3:27
Speaker 1: just put twenty twenty five to bed, I think. But
3:29
Speaker 1: a shame for the Aussie fans, definitely.
3:31
Speaker 3: But the other names that aren't hearing is Maverick Vignalez,
3:34
Speaker 3: who's still recovering and it makes me think that well,
3:37
Speaker 3: maybe Maverick might have needed to have this.
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Speaker 2: Surgery or whatever the situation.
3:41
Speaker 3: We don't know the ins and outs, but Joge Martin
3:43
Speaker 3: and the listeners who listen to us on Pittook, you
3:46
Speaker 3: predicted that if Jujey Martin was back and he was here,
3:49
Speaker 3: this could have been the race that he particularly won
3:51
Speaker 3: or at least fought with.
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Speaker 1: Mark four right when I thought a podium would be
3:55
Speaker 1: in the offing for Martin with the comeback. Obviously he's
3:57
Speaker 1: so underdone. He doesn't really know the bike. He's been
4:00
Speaker 1: Batten and Bruce all year. But I thought if he
4:01
Speaker 1: gets on the podium before the end of twenty five,
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Speaker 1: it'll be at Philip Island. He's been on pole here
4:06
Speaker 1: the last three years, so post COVID when we came back,
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Speaker 1: he's been the fastest rider at Philip Island for three years.
4:12
Speaker 1: He hasn't had a win. He came so close in
4:15
Speaker 1: the year that Jones RK won. He led for twenty
4:17
Speaker 1: six laps and four corners or whatever it was before
4:19
Speaker 1: he got swamped on the last lap. But you look
4:22
Speaker 1: at the injuries. You mentioned vinals as well. That's our
4:25
Speaker 1: entire front row starters from last year. Martine on pole,
4:28
Speaker 1: Marquez second, Vignali is third on the Aprillia last year
4:31
Speaker 1: and Philip Island's a track where Maverick just pulls random
4:34
Speaker 1: results out of the bag because he's won there before.
4:36
Speaker 1: You never know with Maverick. It's either one extreme or
4:38
Speaker 1: the other. Last year was good Maverick. Previous year was
4:41
Speaker 1: no good Maverick. But it happens you've got your entire
4:44
Speaker 1: front row from last year's Australian crand Prix not here.
4:47
Speaker 1: And so the interesting part for me, Yeah, we know
4:49
Speaker 1: all three riders are going to be replaced by guys
4:51
Speaker 1: who will be on bikes and be part of the mix,
4:53
Speaker 1: but they're not going to be competing for anything meaningful.
4:55
Speaker 1: Let's be honest. We should tick those off in a
4:57
Speaker 1: sec But how open does it make this Australian Grand Prix.
5:01
Speaker 1: I can't think of a race where you look on
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Speaker 1: Sunday and think who on earth is going to win
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Speaker 1: this thing because there's a lot of reasons to not
5:08
Speaker 1: pick people. Someone's got to win it, and whoever that
5:11
Speaker 1: person is super interesting because right now there's a lot
5:14
Speaker 1: of guys that aren't making great cases for themselves out there.
5:17
Speaker 3: Well no, but then you also think back to the
5:19
Speaker 3: recent races and we've had every manufacturer, yes, in the
5:23
Speaker 3: top five or six or whatever it is.
5:24
Speaker 2: So it could literally be a Honda win, which is.
5:27
Speaker 3: The first time in power a prially win, a KTM win,
5:31
Speaker 3: a Yamaha win, imagine if Jack Miller does that.
5:34
Speaker 1: But it just feels super open. And that's and the
5:37
Speaker 1: nature of the way races tend to take place at
5:39
Speaker 1: this track is not really anywhere that lends itself to
5:43
Speaker 1: this type of racing because it's very hard to get away.
5:46
Speaker 1: You know that you don't have twenty seven laps of
5:48
Speaker 1: tire life around there because this place just eats tires.
5:51
Speaker 1: So it's how you decide to run the race. You
5:54
Speaker 1: think back to the well there, I say, the race
5:57
Speaker 1: before Malaysia in twenty fifteen and there was to twenty
6:00
Speaker 1: seventeen razers, an amazing pack race as well. It's hard
6:03
Speaker 1: to really break away there. And last year we had
6:06
Speaker 1: this fantastic duel between Juje Martin and Mark Marquez that
6:08
Speaker 1: boiled down to the last couple of laps. This year,
6:11
Speaker 1: because you don't have guys with great Island pedigree, I
6:14
Speaker 1: reckon you could throw a blanket over about five or
6:16
Speaker 1: six guys and it might literally come down to a
6:19
Speaker 1: two three lap showdown. At the end, it might be
6:21
Speaker 1: more Moto three. The Moto three is which is a
6:24
Speaker 1: Motor three at the Island's awesome at the best desires,
6:26
Speaker 1: but we could have just a really interesting race at
6:28
Speaker 1: the island. Picking a winner from this it's so so hard.
6:32
Speaker 1: I mean, I've given it some thought, but not with
6:34
Speaker 1: any great conviction. I wouldn't put my house on. I
6:36
Speaker 1: might put yours.
6:36
Speaker 2: Oh okay, thanks, that's fine.
6:38
Speaker 1: But I'm not super confident because there's probably you could
6:41
Speaker 1: make a case for half a dozen guys to win this.
6:43
Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly.
6:44
Speaker 3: And I think that's what's so exciting is we have
6:46
Speaker 3: these changes with the riders. We have the unpredictability of
6:49
Speaker 3: the weather at Phillip Island every year because you don't
6:51
Speaker 3: know what it's going to bring.
6:53
Speaker 2: And then we have the replacement riders.
6:55
Speaker 3: So we have Mikayley Piro who's replacing Mark Markez, we
6:59
Speaker 3: have a Well Spargo replacing Maverick Vignalez, and Lorenzo Savadori
7:03
Speaker 3: who's replacing Joi Martin. Now, before we jumped on, he
7:06
Speaker 3: had to record. You were like, when did Sava last
7:09
Speaker 3: race of Philip Pilot.
7:10
Speaker 1: And I forgot that it was last year because he
7:12
Speaker 1: replaced Prilia when Alasa was injured of course, and Maverick
7:15
Speaker 1: was on the grid.
7:15
Speaker 2: But before that.
7:16
Speaker 1: Well it was in the one two five at about
7:19
Speaker 1: twenty ten or something and the Purero one. Like you remember,
7:22
Speaker 1: before Dacadie lost all their concessions, he would pop up
7:24
Speaker 1: for one or two races a year, usually be Maisano
7:26
Speaker 1: or Magello or somewhere. I thought to myself, when was
7:28
Speaker 1: the last time he raced a motor GP bike at
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Speaker 1: Philip Island. It was twenty twelve when he still had
7:34
Speaker 1: CRT you know, claiming rule teams. It's that far back
7:37
Speaker 1: so in terms of knowledge of the island motor GP
7:42
Speaker 1: being in that intense level of competition. It's been a
7:44
Speaker 1: while and he's been a guy that Decadi has been
7:47
Speaker 1: so good that he hasn't been able to make these
7:49
Speaker 1: wildcard appearances because they've lost their concession. So talk about
7:52
Speaker 1: being thrown in the deep end.
7:53
Speaker 3: My goodness, Oh well, I mean the dep end this
7:55
Speaker 3: year I could save for Peco Bannaya. Let's talk about that,
7:58
Speaker 3: because coming off fantastic weekend unfortunately overshadowed by Mark Markers
8:04
Speaker 3: winning the championship. Story of this season well, yeah, and
8:07
Speaker 3: then you fast forward to Indonesia where soomkat Chantra are
8:11
Speaker 3: scored points and Peko Vanyaya did it. Yeah, how is
8:14
Speaker 3: Peco going to be this weekend? Is this a weekend
8:17
Speaker 3: where Mark's out of the question? Pecko is going to
8:20
Speaker 3: have everyone focused on him because they're still not giving
8:24
Speaker 3: us an answer as to what is the issue, what's
8:27
Speaker 3: going on with Peco, what's going with the bike? How
8:29
Speaker 3: can he come forward from this? Can we see a
8:31
Speaker 3: better Peco this weekend?
8:33
Speaker 1: It had to be worse, wouldn't. I mean, you have
8:35
Speaker 1: a look at what happened between Japan and Indonesia. I mean,
8:37
Speaker 1: if you talked about the extremity of results between two
8:41
Speaker 1: races seven days apart, you'd think we'd be talking about
8:44
Speaker 1: someone like somcat Chantra or a rookie, or some bizarre
8:47
Speaker 1: weather conditions or something. The weather was pretty benign in
8:50
Speaker 1: both places. He looked like he was completely unbeatable in Japan,
8:54
Speaker 1: and he looked absolutely hopeless in Indonesia. And this is
8:58
Speaker 1: a guy who's a two time moto jeep world champion.
9:01
Speaker 1: And it does show you how much of what Pecko's
9:03
Speaker 1: doing at the moment, how much is going on between
9:05
Speaker 1: his ears rather than between the handlebars at this point,
9:07
Speaker 1: because he's convinced that he can't ride this GP twenty
9:11
Speaker 1: five point whatever it is. At this point. How many
9:13
Speaker 1: bits have they taken off the twenty four You had
9:16
Speaker 1: Ucho Saluci at VR forty six saying I'll Peco Boro
9:19
Speaker 1: Frankel Morberdelli's bike at the Messano test. Dacaddi factory team
9:23
Speaker 1: didn't want to allow for that. There's all this mixed
9:26
Speaker 1: messaging going on, and it's very unusual, you know, to
9:29
Speaker 1: take people behind the curtain here. Picko's usually very good
9:32
Speaker 1: with media, and the fact that he didn't even he
9:35
Speaker 1: was too just distraught by what happened Indonesia to even
9:37
Speaker 1: speak at Mandalika, that's really really unlike him, and you've
9:41
Speaker 1: got this sort of push. Paul and I wrote about
9:43
Speaker 1: this for Fox Sports during the week, and we talked
9:45
Speaker 1: about it with Peter Bomb actually a couple of weeks ago.
9:48
Speaker 1: Ducatti's a very engineering focused team under Gigjulna, right, so
9:53
Speaker 1: as far as GG sees it, the rider is just
9:55
Speaker 1: another go faster bit to put on the bike, and
9:58
Speaker 1: so if the telemetry and the and the wind tunnel
10:00
Speaker 1: and everything says that a particular bike is faster for
10:02
Speaker 1: whatever reason, then it's up to the rider to meet that.
10:06
Speaker 1: And we've talked all year about the GP to twenty
10:08
Speaker 1: five not being as good as a twenty four. Twenty
10:10
Speaker 1: five still won the World Championship because it had Mark
10:12
Speaker 1: Marquez on it. So as far as GG sees it,
10:15
Speaker 1: the rider is just another tool to make the bike achieve. It's,
10:18
Speaker 1: you know, what it should be achieving, and it hasn't
10:21
Speaker 1: with Peko. Pecko's probably someone who needs Some guys need
10:25
Speaker 1: a PROD and some guys need an arm around their shoulder,
10:27
Speaker 1: and I think Pecko's a guy who needs an arm
10:29
Speaker 1: around his shoulder. I thought it was really interesting after
10:31
Speaker 1: Indonesia where Davidota Dootzi was the guy who faced the
10:34
Speaker 1: press with Peco not doing it, and he sort of
10:36
Speaker 1: talked about the fact that you know, emotionally, he needs
10:39
Speaker 1: our help right now, and you can just look at
10:41
Speaker 1: the raw data and try and engineer your way out
10:43
Speaker 1: of a situation. But there's a human element to this.
10:45
Speaker 1: And it's not to say that the way Peko goes
10:47
Speaker 1: about it is wrong, because he won two World Championships
10:49
Speaker 1: doing it, and he narrowly lost two others, so it
10:51
Speaker 1: clearly works. But you've got this push pull between engineering focus,
10:55
Speaker 1: Gigglina Banya who needs the perfect feel to be good,
11:00
Speaker 1: and we've seen what happens when he has the perfect
11:01
Speaker 1: film he wins world championships. So you know, look, this
11:05
Speaker 1: weeknd to me, he's kind of the beginning of twenty
11:07
Speaker 1: twenty six, right. They need to get him right and
11:10
Speaker 1: comfortable and not just jumping at shadows like he has
11:12
Speaker 1: been because this will just run into twenty six if
11:15
Speaker 1: they don't, and they've got to repair this rider. You're
11:18
Speaker 1: not going to have Mark forever. And there's no telling
11:20
Speaker 1: whether you're going to have this advantage forever because in
11:23
Speaker 1: twenty twenty seven we get this rule reset right, They've
11:25
Speaker 1: got to get their rider right. He's been the most
11:28
Speaker 1: successful rider in Ducati's Motor GP history. They can't just
11:31
Speaker 1: throw him out because he's not working.
11:34
Speaker 3: I think what I'm looking forward to this weekend is
11:36
Speaker 3: the fact that Philip Island's a circuit where they don't
11:40
Speaker 3: necessarily need to utilize as much technology that's on the
11:43
Speaker 3: bob correct. Is there even a corner where they potentially
11:46
Speaker 3: do use the right heighth device, possibly out.
11:49
Speaker 1: Of four at a Miller corner. That'll be about it.
11:51
Speaker 1: But it's so fast and flowing. You're right, it's an
11:53
Speaker 1: analog circuit. It's very old school in that regard. It's
11:57
Speaker 1: not a circuit that was designed, you know, out of
11:59
Speaker 1: a computer or you know, built like a particular circuit designer.
12:03
Speaker 1: It's a natural race track. It's one of the few
12:06
Speaker 1: that's left. Yeah, and you wonder if it is a
12:08
Speaker 1: bit more analog and it's more in the rider's hands,
12:11
Speaker 1: in the machine's hand. Is this what he needs right now?
12:14
Speaker 1: I would say yes.
12:15
Speaker 3: Well, the professor like what we said it so many times.
12:17
Speaker 3: That's what makes me think. But the other downside with
12:19
Speaker 3: Philip Island is it is a circuit where you need confidence, yes,
12:24
Speaker 3: because you are going in remember that big crash going
12:26
Speaker 3: into term one years ago where they slid off like you,
12:29
Speaker 3: every corner, every aspect of this circuit.
12:32
Speaker 2: You need to be so confident in yourself, in the.
12:34
Speaker 3: Machine, trusting the weather because the wind can change everything
12:37
Speaker 3: at that moment, so can that Hinderpecko.
12:40
Speaker 1: Well, you either need the confidence or you need to
12:43
Speaker 1: use one of Fabio couatrero sayings about Jack Miller take
12:45
Speaker 1: your brain out. Sometimes you can actually overthink these things.
12:49
Speaker 1: It comes down to either having the confidence or being
12:52
Speaker 1: able to bluff yourself that you have the confidence. And
12:55
Speaker 1: there's a reason why certain riders have an affinity with
12:58
Speaker 1: this particular place. It's no surprise that a Martine is
13:00
Speaker 1: fast here when he's here, because he's just going to
13:03
Speaker 1: rip the throttle harder than everybody else and be confident
13:05
Speaker 1: and almost to a point of arrogance that he's going
13:07
Speaker 1: to make all of these corners work. Equally, you get
13:10
Speaker 1: a guy who has more emotional peaks and troughs like
13:12
Speaker 1: Vignalees that we're talking about before, when Maverick's on here
13:15
Speaker 1: in the past, and when he feels at one with
13:17
Speaker 1: the bike. He's amazing to watch because it's just so
13:21
Speaker 1: precise and you can see the confidence.
13:24
Speaker 2: It's like a real.
13:24
Speaker 1: Body language about the way that he rides. So I
13:26
Speaker 1: think Friday is super interesting. If Peco struggles in that
13:30
Speaker 1: first session, if he is floundering around the back of
13:33
Speaker 1: getting into Q two Friday afternoon, I don't think you'll
13:36
Speaker 1: be able to turn around a bad Friday afternoon if
13:38
Speaker 1: it goes wrong. If he has a good Friday afternoon,
13:41
Speaker 1: He's going to be really strong for the rest of
13:42
Speaker 1: the weekend because you've got that confidence base to build on.
13:45
Speaker 1: So yeah, super interesting.
13:47
Speaker 3: I'm glad you brought up the body language because that's
13:49
Speaker 3: something I noticed watching Peco last year at Philip Eiland,
13:52
Speaker 3: was his body language on Friday wasn't showing that confidence
13:55
Speaker 3: and then you could see it. So something for you
13:57
Speaker 3: guys at home to think about, as well as the
13:59
Speaker 3: fact that what happens Friday can really determine the rest
14:03
Speaker 3: of your weekend, because yeah, obviously we have Saturday, we
14:06
Speaker 3: have the qualifying, we have the sprint, but if you're
14:08
Speaker 3: not getting that set up right and looking at the weather,
14:10
Speaker 3: Friday is meant to be wet, Saturday's looking dry, and
14:13
Speaker 3: the Sunday's possible showers and we know that can change
14:15
Speaker 3: on a whim.
14:16
Speaker 2: That can affect everything.
14:18
Speaker 1: Yeah, massively. So there's some riders that need to be
14:21
Speaker 1: a slow burn and they need to build up. There'll
14:23
Speaker 1: be other guys who'll go out and almost set their
14:25
Speaker 1: fastest lap time for the weekend on their second flying
14:27
Speaker 1: lap on Friday. And that's what's so interesting about this track.
14:30
Speaker 1: It probably plays more into that personality and confidence that
14:33
Speaker 1: you mentioned, maybe more than some of the more sort
14:35
Speaker 1: of stop go tracks where there's kind of only really
14:37
Speaker 1: one way to go fast yea, where this is a
14:39
Speaker 1: track where the human element of it comes out a
14:41
Speaker 1: lot more so as far as Banao goes. Yeah, it's
14:43
Speaker 1: super interesting to see how this plays out now.
14:46
Speaker 3: Jack Miller, we were talking about this off air here
14:48
Speaker 3: the last time he was on the podium twenty nineteen
14:52
Speaker 3: with Pramac.
14:53
Speaker 1: The Dark Knight Rises, the special one off Livery that
14:56
Speaker 1: he had on race day.
14:57
Speaker 2: Interesting but now he's back with it.
15:01
Speaker 3: But could this be his chance at the podium or
15:04
Speaker 3: the win on home soil in man A GP.
15:06
Speaker 1: It's interesting with Jack in that he's always qualified much
15:11
Speaker 1: better than he races at the Island. I think he
15:12
Speaker 1: sort of regresses to them me and over one lap
15:14
Speaker 1: he does amazing things. He's often done that you know
15:17
Speaker 1: back in his you know Honda days with Australia Galizia.
15:19
Speaker 1: I mean he's qualifying second roll on that bike, so
15:22
Speaker 1: he is able to churn one lap out of it.
15:25
Speaker 1: It's funny with Home Grand Prix, for any rider or any track,
15:28
Speaker 1: some people see it as being like a burden or
15:30
Speaker 1: a weight on their shoulders. I think Jack gets massively
15:33
Speaker 1: energized by the home crowd and the flags and means
15:36
Speaker 1: got one hundred and twenty people from his family in
15:39
Speaker 1: Queensland and New Zealand that come over. It's hard for
15:41
Speaker 1: a lot of guys in two and four wheels to
15:43
Speaker 1: cope with that home support. Jackson has thrived off that,
15:46
Speaker 1: and you know, we know that the season started pretty
15:49
Speaker 1: well and has kind of petered out a little bit.
15:51
Speaker 1: It's not been great. He was very convincing. I thought
15:54
Speaker 1: in Indonesia it was really good to see him at
15:55
Speaker 1: the back of that front pack and it looked like
15:57
Speaker 1: he was going well until he got dive bomb by
15:59
Speaker 1: Franco Morbidelli. Join Club Jack. But this strikes me as
16:03
Speaker 1: a weekend. I can absolutely see him in Q two
16:05
Speaker 1: and this is not somewhere Jack's been for a lot
16:08
Speaker 1: of the year. Now. Whether a Yamaha can sustain that
16:10
Speaker 1: sort of pace if he's able to qualify in the
16:12
Speaker 1: first three rows over the course of a Grand Prix,
16:15
Speaker 1: maybe not in a spring possibly, but it's all about
16:18
Speaker 1: Friday for Jack. He's just got to get himself in
16:20
Speaker 1: Q two. You know that quaatearero is going to be there.
16:23
Speaker 1: Miguel Oilver has been a lot better since he got
16:25
Speaker 1: sacked quite frankly from Yamaha. He's been maybe he's just
16:27
Speaker 1: riding a bit more freely, but he's been quite decent.
16:30
Speaker 1: Alex Rins is excellent at Philip Island, yes, and he
16:33
Speaker 1: won there in twenty two on the Suzuki. I wouldn't
16:35
Speaker 1: have thought he'd be a factor until we saw what
16:38
Speaker 1: we saw in Indonesia and it was a bit of
16:40
Speaker 1: fools goal there because he ran the soft tire and
16:41
Speaker 1: it looked amazing and then he ran out of tire.
16:43
Speaker 1: But the island's a track where he makes a difference.
16:45
Speaker 1: He's always been good Phillip Island, so maybe we will
16:47
Speaker 1: see some more Yamaha representation. This is not a super
16:51
Speaker 1: horsepower track as we know, and you know, a bike
16:54
Speaker 1: that turns, it's not all about top speed there. So
16:56
Speaker 1: Jack's not within you know, it's not beyond the realms
16:58
Speaker 1: to imagine him in Q two and then from there,
17:00
Speaker 1: you know, maybe we can see something.
17:02
Speaker 3: What's your thoughts on the fact of the writers knowing
17:05
Speaker 3: Mark's not there, they're not having to fight for that
17:06
Speaker 3: championship anymore. Do you think it's like, well, the cat's away,
17:10
Speaker 3: the mice will play like these guys are really going
17:12
Speaker 3: to battle it out one hundred.
17:13
Speaker 1: Percent, because you look at the one big championship battle
17:18
Speaker 1: and I use battle inverted conference, but it's not really
17:20
Speaker 1: Alex Marquez is more likely than not to see a
17:23
Speaker 1: runner up in the World Championship this weekend. That's kind
17:25
Speaker 1: of the only thing really left of intrigue in the
17:28
Speaker 1: Points stayble. No one's really thinking about third from there on.
17:31
Speaker 1: And yeah, the fact that Mark as dominant as Mark's
17:34
Speaker 1: being generally, and then you come to a track where
17:35
Speaker 1: he's awesome anyway, the fact that he's not there, the
17:38
Speaker 1: fact that Martine's not there, someone like Maverick who might
17:41
Speaker 1: have a random result. This feels so open. So I
17:43
Speaker 1: think the way a lot of these other riders will
17:45
Speaker 1: approach the weekend is really interesting. Pressures off right, It's
17:49
Speaker 1: like an absolute one off world cut, let's just go
17:52
Speaker 1: for this. And I think because of that, we're going
17:54
Speaker 1: to see a different race emotionally for a lot of
17:57
Speaker 1: these guys, and I think we might see a few
17:59
Speaker 1: surprises this wed You'll think, oh, this guy's on the
18:01
Speaker 1: third and second rower a great how did that happen?
18:03
Speaker 1: This guy's on a sprint podium. We know this track
18:06
Speaker 1: suits certain riders and not others, so I think it'd
18:09
Speaker 1: be pretty mixed up.
18:10
Speaker 3: Okay, I'm going to ask you the tricky question. I
18:13
Speaker 3: know you've been waiting for it. I believe you have
18:16
Speaker 3: an article coming out on Fox sports dot com. Doa
18:18
Speaker 3: forward slash Motorsport, Matt wa'ts your thoughts this weekend?
18:22
Speaker 2: Who's for poll? Who's for the Grand Prix podium?
18:28
Speaker 1: It wouldn't surprise me in qualifying at all if we
18:30
Speaker 1: see one of those fabio Quatrero specials. Now, this is
18:33
Speaker 1: not something that I have written in the story that
18:35
Speaker 1: will probably be up by the time anyone listens to
18:37
Speaker 1: this Quatrero this year has Watching him in qualifying has
18:41
Speaker 1: been sort of one of my absolute favorite things of
18:43
Speaker 1: this season because four times this year he's put a
18:45
Speaker 1: bike on pole. It's got absolutely no business being there. Now,
18:48
Speaker 1: it regresses to the mean of the race, but they're
18:50
Speaker 1: almost the most fun, like ninety second periods of motor GP,
18:53
Speaker 1: because you look at the timing screen it's like, how
18:55
Speaker 1: is he doing that? Yeah, and so there's every chance
18:58
Speaker 1: that he could pull one of those wouldn't surprise me
19:01
Speaker 1: in the slightest because he's the best one lap rider
19:03
Speaker 1: in Motor GP, and that's other than maybe Juge Martin,
19:06
Speaker 1: who's not here fully fit Joy Martin. That wouldn't surprise me.
19:09
Speaker 1: But in terms of the race win, I just to
19:13
Speaker 1: me there's kind of five guys that are in the
19:15
Speaker 1: frame here and it's hard to separate them, so I
19:18
Speaker 1: sort of went through a bit of a process of elimination.
19:21
Speaker 1: The one I like is Marco Bozeki, but with asterisks here.
19:26
Speaker 2: Yes one.
19:27
Speaker 1: We know he's got a grid penalty for what he
19:28
Speaker 1: did to Mark Marquez in Indonesia. Now as we speak
19:32
Speaker 1: right now, we don't know what the griod penalty is.
19:33
Speaker 1: It'll be the three places or five grid penalties at
19:36
Speaker 1: Philip Island aren't massively relevant. The only concern I've got
19:40
Speaker 1: a bit with a Pillier is that this is the
19:42
Speaker 1: time of year where they tend to go downhill a
19:44
Speaker 1: little bit, they come to the flyaways and they kind
19:45
Speaker 1: of disappear. It's happened time and time again. You know,
19:48
Speaker 1: Aprillius never finished better than eighth at Philip Island before.
19:51
Speaker 1: It's never happened.
19:52
Speaker 3: But they have led a lap here, they said the
19:55
Speaker 3: first time they ever lost lead in a Grand Prix.
19:57
Speaker 1: Right, And so you know, they've tended to be a
19:59
Speaker 1: bike in the p where it has like one or
20:01
Speaker 1: two awesome circuits a year. It was always like termass
20:05
Speaker 1: Barcelona with Alage because he lived down the road, of course,
20:08
Speaker 1: but then they'd come to the flyways and they kind
20:09
Speaker 1: of disappear. It was too hot. You remember when they
20:11
Speaker 1: went to India the other year, like Alasia's burning himself
20:14
Speaker 1: on the bike, and it's never really operated great in
20:16
Speaker 1: the flyways. But it seems like a more rounded bike
20:19
Speaker 1: and a more rounded team this year. So I'm wondering
20:22
Speaker 1: if that holds for here. Bazeki's not one hundred percent fit.
20:24
Speaker 1: He's had two massive accidents the last two races and
20:27
Speaker 1: got taken out by his own teammate in Japan. Of course,
20:30
Speaker 1: how fit is he? And what does the grid penalty
20:32
Speaker 1: play in so without going through the I like Fabio
20:38
Speaker 1: di jan Antonio is really good at Philip Pilot. Now
20:41
Speaker 1: we know that twenty five has not been so great,
20:43
Speaker 1: but did he's last two years here podium? In twenty
20:46
Speaker 1: three in the crazy Zarco race he came from twelfth
20:49
Speaker 1: to finish fourth last year. He just about going on
20:51
Speaker 1: the podium from the fourth row last year. He's enormously
20:55
Speaker 1: rapid at the end of races, so he's one of
20:57
Speaker 1: those guys he'll have great tire life at the end.
20:59
Speaker 1: He's in the top four or five in seven laps
21:03
Speaker 1: to go look out because he's really really good. Here
21:06
Speaker 1: fermin Al Deguerrez got an awesome Motor two CV here.
21:09
Speaker 1: I think he's had three top four finishes in a row,
21:11
Speaker 1: one here last year in Moto two. Talk about a
21:14
Speaker 1: guy that's confident. He's just demolished everybody in Indonesia. So
21:17
Speaker 1: he's another guy that's in the frame for me. But
21:20
Speaker 1: my favorite friend the race win Ronita, is Peco Vanaya.
21:23
Speaker 2: Really yes, But.
21:25
Speaker 3: Then we're just looking before and we're talking about is
21:27
Speaker 3: he right? Is he mentally capable?
21:29
Speaker 1: Massive asterisk of all time here, let's look at the
21:32
Speaker 1: background with Pecko. His very very first Mordor GP result
21:36
Speaker 1: of any note was twenty nineteen. He finished fourth. Really
21:38
Speaker 1: tough rookie season. He was right on the back of
21:40
Speaker 1: Jack Miller, who was his teammate when Jack took that
21:42
Speaker 1: podium in nineteen. Since we've been back here at post
21:45
Speaker 1: COVID in twenty two, twenty three, twenty four. He's been
21:47
Speaker 1: on the podium every year. He hasn't qualified lower than fifth.
21:51
Speaker 1: This is a good Peco track. Mark's not there, Martine's
21:55
Speaker 1: not there now. It would require a massive swing between
21:59
Speaker 1: one race to the other based on what we saw in Indonesia.
22:01
Speaker 1: We only need to go back to races to know
22:03
Speaker 1: what good Peko looks like, because in Japan he looked
22:06
Speaker 1: utterly untouchable. Yes, I know, Mark was sort of playing
22:09
Speaker 1: for the championship at that point. No one saw him
22:12
Speaker 1: after the start. For two straight days he was on pole,
22:14
Speaker 1: He led every lap of the sprint, he led every
22:16
Speaker 1: lap of the Grand Prix. He made everyone look ridiculous.
22:19
Speaker 1: If you can fluctuate between that extreme to the other
22:22
Speaker 1: extreme in Indonesia, why can't we see Japan Pecko this
22:25
Speaker 1: weekend as opposed to Indonesia Pecko. It's in the cards.
22:28
Speaker 1: It's a good track for him. He's usually pretty confident here.
22:31
Speaker 1: He gets a decent started on Friday. I think he's
22:35
Speaker 1: going to be a very very hard man to be
22:37
Speaker 1: come Sunday. Now it may sound like the craziest prediction
22:40
Speaker 1: of all time, given the guy was last and absolutely
22:43
Speaker 1: hopeless two weeks ago. But this is Peco Banyoora in
22:45
Speaker 1: twenty twenty five. This is what happens. Why can't we
22:48
Speaker 1: have an extreme swing back the other way?
22:50
Speaker 2: I mean, this year we've had a Honda.
22:52
Speaker 3: On the podium, Uh huh, We've seen our world champion
22:55
Speaker 3: crash out. There's so many things on our bingo Kat
22:57
Speaker 3: and I swear I say this every episode. I was
22:59
Speaker 3: not expecting that in twenty twenty five. So I mean, yeah,
23:02
Speaker 3: Peco comeback?
23:03
Speaker 2: Why not?
23:04
Speaker 1: And then he could also go to Malaysia the following
23:06
Speaker 1: weekend and me last, because we know.
23:07
Speaker 2: Alex Markeez is good at Malaysia.
23:09
Speaker 1: So yeah, and Picko, there's no middle ground with Pecko
23:11
Speaker 1: this year. It's either really really good or more more
23:14
Speaker 1: often than not, really really bad. Yeah, given what you
23:17
Speaker 1: mentioned before, how you laid it out with the people
23:19
Speaker 1: that aren't here, and the fact it's such a particular track. Now,
23:22
Speaker 1: if small would consequences, Like I always say, if you
23:25
Speaker 1: can have that confidence here, he's proven it before. He's
23:29
Speaker 1: been very very fast here for a long period of time.
23:32
Speaker 1: Given the guys that aren't here, why not.
23:35
Speaker 3: It's funny because Matt was like, you're going to be
23:37
Speaker 3: shocked at my prediction, and I.
23:40
Speaker 2: Talked to you around a little bit.
23:41
Speaker 3: Now I'm understanding it, but before I was thinking, you know,
23:44
Speaker 3: you were joking like what if it's Pyro or what
23:46
Speaker 3: if it's a polus bugger, you know, Jack Miller. Now
23:49
Speaker 3: that you said it, I'm going, yeah, actually, I can
23:51
Speaker 3: see it in my mind, though I'm still thinking, yeah,
23:53
Speaker 3: it's Bez maybe a Zarco because of like how he's
23:56
Speaker 3: been here in the past.
23:57
Speaker 2: I remember last year when we spoke to Chris.
23:58
Speaker 3: Chris said, don't out Zarko back then on the Honda.
24:02
Speaker 2: So yeah, I can see it, but I just think
24:05
Speaker 2: the weather's going to come into place so much.
24:07
Speaker 1: But this is why this weekend is so compelling, because
24:10
Speaker 1: we're trying to find perfect answers to questions where every
24:14
Speaker 1: single answer is imperfect. There's always ah, but what about this?
24:17
Speaker 1: Oh but what about this? He mentioned Zarko first half
24:20
Speaker 1: of the season, fantastic second half of the season. He's
24:23
Speaker 1: fall off a cliff. Yeah, he's got about thirty points
24:25
Speaker 1: in the last nine rounds. He's been nowhere. Do the
24:27
Speaker 1: factory Hondas come to play. I don't know. I mean,
24:29
Speaker 1: Luca Marine has never had a great result here. That
24:31
Speaker 1: bike looks great at the moment.
24:32
Speaker 2: Jean mir has had good results and he's.
24:34
Speaker 1: Been good here too. Can he stay on? Is he
24:36
Speaker 1: a podium chance? You could make a case for twelve
24:39
Speaker 1: to fourteen riders to potentially be on a podium this weekend.
24:42
Speaker 1: We've only got twenty of them. Is because so many
24:44
Speaker 1: guys out injured at the moment. That's what makes this
24:46
Speaker 1: so compelling.
24:47
Speaker 3: I think, yeah, even just when you said that, I'm
24:49
Speaker 3: going pas, you're Acosta.
24:50
Speaker 2: Last year he crashed out, but he was fighting hard.
24:53
Speaker 3: Yeah, sor I mean potential, No, he crashed on the screen, correct.
24:58
Speaker 2: I think what I'm excited for off track? I mean
25:00
Speaker 2: we spoke about on track. Off track is Pedro Costas
25:04
Speaker 2: last year had the mullet helmet. We know we've got
25:07
Speaker 2: the Aussi's.
25:07
Speaker 3: We love the fact that they really get into the
25:10
Speaker 3: Australians of this weekend.
25:13
Speaker 1: Heedro is half Australian. He hangs out with Remy.
25:14
Speaker 2: Gard Yeah exactly, half Australian. Exactly, Well, adopt him. We'll
25:18
Speaker 2: adopt him.
25:18
Speaker 3: But the cool thing is is we have Assi's across
25:20
Speaker 3: all three classes, So Jack Miller, we know in Moto
25:23
Speaker 3: GP this weekend. In Moto two we have two Aussie
25:26
Speaker 3: Sena Ageas and Harrison Void is making his wild card
25:31
Speaker 3: once again, this time with the MT Helmets MSI team.
25:34
Speaker 2: In Moto two. Now Senna, he's had his win this season.
25:38
Speaker 3: Last year at philip Island was his first ever Moto
25:40
Speaker 3: two podium.
25:41
Speaker 2: Yep.
25:42
Speaker 3: How do we think he's gonna go? Because he is
25:44
Speaker 3: one of those ones who I feel like relish is
25:46
Speaker 3: in the fact that it's the home race for him.
25:47
Speaker 3: He has all that extra press and extra responsibilities, but
25:51
Speaker 3: it seems to work for him.
25:52
Speaker 1: Couldn't agree more. I mean, he was literally the busiest
25:54
Speaker 1: man in Philipilo last year. If there was can you
25:56
Speaker 1: come and do this? Yep, I'll be there and he
25:58
Speaker 1: I mean, I thought, you're going to be exhausted the
26:00
Speaker 1: time you get on the bike, but he just reveled
26:02
Speaker 1: in the support. And you have to look at these
26:04
Speaker 1: guys like they do all these other rounds where they
26:07
Speaker 1: are so far from home that they are literally the
26:09
Speaker 1: furthest from home that you could possibly be. He's got
26:12
Speaker 1: a lot of family that will come down. I love
26:14
Speaker 1: the way he handled all of that last year, and
26:17
Speaker 1: so to have what at the time was a career
26:19
Speaker 1: best result, the place went nuts. It was fantastic to
26:21
Speaker 1: be there. And you look at where he's at twelve
26:24
Speaker 1: months on. He's become a guy who we're expecting to
26:26
Speaker 1: see at the front and we're disappointed now when he's not.
26:29
Speaker 1: We're in the past. It's like, oh, sent us up
26:30
Speaker 1: the front. What a bonus. He's won a Grand Prix.
26:33
Speaker 1: He comes back here knowing what the madness is going
26:35
Speaker 1: to be. Like, he's had a couple of not so
26:38
Speaker 1: great rounds, like Motigi was pretty ordinary, Like he's had
26:40
Speaker 1: a couple of rounds that haven't gone quite so well.
26:43
Speaker 1: But if there's a chance for someone to have a
26:44
Speaker 1: one off result, you could absolutely see it because I
26:47
Speaker 1: think he relishes the pressure.
26:48
Speaker 2: He loves it.
26:49
Speaker 1: He loves the support and the adulation. And yet look,
26:51
Speaker 1: the more ausies we can have a World Championship. Gridji
26:53
Speaker 1: mentioned Harrison vot he was here last year of course
26:55
Speaker 1: as well, so and Moto two is you know, it's
26:58
Speaker 1: the most live of all the championships. Course it's still
27:00
Speaker 1: going that'll be a tense one Sunday. It wouldn't surprise
27:03
Speaker 1: me at all to see center right up the sharp end.
27:06
Speaker 3: And then if we look at Moto III, we've got
27:08
Speaker 3: our Jacob Rylstone and Joel Kelson. Now I actually saw
27:11
Speaker 3: Joel last weekend at the Bathurst one thousand.
27:13
Speaker 1: Not something you thought you were going to say.
27:14
Speaker 3: Something I thought I was going to say at all,
27:16
Speaker 3: his first ever Bathurst one thousand, and I was talking
27:18
Speaker 3: to him. I said, how are you feeling? And same
27:20
Speaker 3: for him, He's like, I love coming home. I love
27:23
Speaker 3: being here in this environment, having my friends and my
27:25
Speaker 3: family there. And I said, okay, well, what's the goal
27:28
Speaker 3: for this weekend? He's like, I think I can get
27:30
Speaker 3: on the podium.
27:31
Speaker 1: Well, we know in qualifying there's no issues been job
27:34
Speaker 1: because he's always up on the first one or two rows.
27:36
Speaker 1: It's always that. What's his pace like in the last
27:38
Speaker 1: four or five laps of a race? But again, podium
27:40
Speaker 1: finisher in his home Grand Prix, hopefully not those conditions.
27:43
Speaker 1: My god, we needed boats or other than motor three
27:45
Speaker 1: bikes that year. That was yeah, So we don't want
27:47
Speaker 1: to be part of that. But we know he's risen
27:49
Speaker 1: to the occasion here in the past. I wouldn't be
27:52
Speaker 1: surprised at all if he's on the front row. He's
27:54
Speaker 1: just almost permanently on the front road these days. Ossie
27:56
Speaker 1: Paul would be quite nice, yeah, and then Jacob Roston, Look,
27:59
Speaker 1: we know it's been a tough year for him. If
28:01
Speaker 1: what's the old saying, if you're only as good as
28:03
Speaker 1: your last race, then he's pretty bloody good because he
28:05
Speaker 1: finished fifth in his last race at Indonesia, career best
28:08
Speaker 1: for him. So it's been a difficult year for him.
28:10
Speaker 1: Injured at the beginning, it's been tough. You know, it
28:12
Speaker 1: doesn't have his right next year with that team come
28:15
Speaker 1: here with you know, he's obviously lived the Australian Grand
28:18
Speaker 1: Prix experience once already. It's been tricky for him this year.
28:21
Speaker 1: But to come here with a great result and then
28:24
Speaker 1: sort of you know, nestle into the support that you're
28:26
Speaker 1: going to get here hopefully a good result for him
28:29
Speaker 1: this weekend. And the best part about this is we've
28:31
Speaker 1: got ossies in all three categories who were expecting to
28:34
Speaker 1: be prominent, and I mean, let's be honest, there's going
28:36
Speaker 1: to be a lot of buzzie flags trackside of Philippilon
28:39
Speaker 1: this weekend. That's what we're looking forward to.
28:41
Speaker 3: I think for listeners though, we always go if you
28:43
Speaker 3: only watch Moto GP and one other race, obviously we
28:46
Speaker 3: want you to support all three categories. Moto three, Moto
28:49
Speaker 3: three here, oh my god, it's going to be elbows out.
28:52
Speaker 3: They're going to be going for it. And like even
28:54
Speaker 3: last weekend in Indonesia it was the same thing. Is
28:57
Speaker 3: every lap you're on the edge of your seat, going,
29:00
Speaker 3: what are they going to do? The moves that they're
29:01
Speaker 3: making and whatnot. Philip Island's going to be another class.
29:04
Speaker 1: I always say it's like the last lap for twenty
29:06
Speaker 1: one laps. Yeah, it literally feels like that. And you'll
29:09
Speaker 1: have these packs at the front of races where every
29:12
Speaker 1: point's paying position is within one point two seconds, and
29:15
Speaker 1: you could throw a top haul and over the front group.
29:17
Speaker 1: And you know, Jack Miller won a pretty memorable Motor
29:19
Speaker 1: THREI race here back in the day where five of
29:21
Speaker 1: them could have won that race coming into the last corner.
29:24
Speaker 1: So it's usually the best race of the day. And
29:27
Speaker 1: God only knows how big thefer I mean, the front pack,
29:29
Speaker 1: it's basically the entire field is the front pack. Yeah,
29:31
Speaker 1: and yeah, when you get to the last three laps
29:33
Speaker 1: like there's no analysis needed, just just laugh like the
29:35
Speaker 1: rest of us.
29:36
Speaker 3: I know we sound biased, and I'm going to say
29:38
Speaker 3: this once again. If there's only one Grand Prix you
29:40
Speaker 3: watch in the whole entire year, make it the Australian
29:42
Speaker 3: Grand Prix because it is one of the best, not
29:44
Speaker 3: just because we have Assi's on the grid, but the
29:46
Speaker 3: circuit provides some of the best racing that we're going
29:49
Speaker 3: to see across all three classes.
29:50
Speaker 2: And I can't wait, Matt. I'm excited.
29:53
Speaker 3: We're both going to be on the ground this weekend,
29:55
Speaker 3: so you're going to be covering it for Fox Sports.
29:57
Speaker 3: I'm also there as well, which you guys can follow
29:59
Speaker 3: along on the Fox Sports socials at Fox Motorsport and
30:02
Speaker 3: Fox Sports Oh's and KO Sports everywhere as well. But Matt,
30:07
Speaker 3: I think that gives everyone a little bit of an
30:08
Speaker 3: insight into this weekend. Obviously, the weather's going to be
30:11
Speaker 3: a big player in how all the results turn out,
30:15
Speaker 3: but I'm excited.
30:15
Speaker 1: Yeah, definitely. You do the usual Philip Islum packing list,
30:18
Speaker 1: You just tip your entire wardrobe into the back of
30:20
Speaker 1: the car because you're probably gonna need a ski. Parker
30:22
Speaker 1: and some sunscreen, probably within an hour of each other
30:24
Speaker 1: when you're down there. But that's why we love this place.
30:26
Speaker 2: That is exactly why we love it.
30:29
Speaker 3: So thank you so much again once to Shannon's Insurance
30:32
Speaker 3: for being our sponsor for this episode of Pittook. Matt
30:35
Speaker 3: Clayton's articles are on Fox sports dot com dot au.
30:38
Speaker 2: Ford's slash Motorsport.
30:39
Speaker 3: Like I said, follow along with us on socials all
30:42
Speaker 3: we can, and we're going to take you guys behind
30:44
Speaker 3: the scenes at Fox Motorsport.
30:46
Speaker 2: Fox Sports, OHS and KO Sports.
30:48
Speaker 3: But from Matt Clayton and myself Ronita Vermulene, we're going
30:52
Speaker 3: to be back real soon with more Moto GP Pittook