Latest / The Lunch Rush with Trent Condon / Bama Bob recaps the College Football Playoff Quarterfinals, Mike Palm from Circa Sports & Trent's Picks
Transcript
- 0:03I'm Mary Condon, welcome back hour number two, Iowa Sports
- 0:07Radio Network. Trenton, Ken with you until the
- 0:09top of the hour. At the bottom of the hour, Mike
- 0:11Palm will join us. We're at the Las Vegas VP of
- 0:14operations at Circus Sports, Mike Palm.
- 0:17We'll get the latest numbers as we head into the final weekend
- 0:20of the NFL and take a look ahead of the semifinals numbers that
- 0:24have been posted as well. Let's get the Bama Bob.
- 0:28He joins us. We're going to recap the
- 0:29weekend, do a couple of other things in here.
- 0:31There are four games today. Trent Condon, yes, you're.
- 0:35One underway already. And you've got Navy, you like
- 0:38Navy over Cincinnati, and maybe we'll get a thought or two on
- 0:42one of the other games. If you have anything to owe to
- 0:45offer. Let's get Bama in here.
- 0:46Bama, how are you? You know, it's kind of a day of
- 0:51shock down here, but not unexpected that they lost.
- 0:55I think how they lost, I'm sure we'll get into it a little bit
- 0:57later. Is, is the big issue And you
- 1:00know, everybody has an opinion and we'll, we'll, we'll see what
- 1:04pans out. Well, let's go in order of how
- 1:06they played out, if that's OK. Start on Friday night with I
- 1:10thought it was an unbelievable football game.
- 1:12Just the way Miami Trent was able to knock off Ohio State in
- 1:18the fashion that they did. Beck was OK, Fletcher ran the
- 1:24ball effectively. It wasn't, I mean didn't blow
- 1:27you away, but it's the defence of Miami that kept them in this
- 1:31thing. Is this defence good enough to
- 1:33go all the way? The defence is, Is the offense
- 1:36good enough to win two more games, though, to get there?
- 1:38Yeah, absolutely. The defense is good enough to do
- 1:40it. But I still think that remains
- 1:42the concern. And though we're not going to
- 1:44see Carson Beck against his former team, which would have
- 1:46been outstanding to see against Georgia, not many people down in
- 1:50Athens have a lot of great things to say about Carson Beck.
- 1:53That aside, we're not going to get that game.
- 1:55Miami has the defense to do it. Do I believe two more times
- 1:58though that Carson Beck can? That continues to be my
- 2:02struggle. His, his inconsistency, the
- 2:04missing what they have. But they got the weapons, they
- 2:06got the dudes. And I think this was more almost
- 2:09an indictment on Ryan Day and Ohio State, another big spot,
- 2:13another opportunity. They moved the ball during the
- 2:15first half of the game and that's why I thought they had a
- 2:17shot. But you kind of score points and
- 2:19Ryan Day, once again, maybe he wishes a Brian Hart line.
- 2:22He wouldn't have pulled away those playing calling duties
- 2:25because that thing looked like Ryan Day in a big spot that we
- 2:29saw really outside of last year in the playoff run.
- 2:32That's kind of what Ohio State's become under him in my mind.
- 2:34So do you think his seat is hot going into next year?
- 2:36Big Michigan this year. He beat Michigan, but if they
- 2:40miss the playoff, I it's got to be the expectations are
- 2:43completely different at Ohio State and they're outsized.
- 2:46And as we'll talk about a little bit later on with Alabama, it's
- 2:49probably not fair, but it is the reality.
- 2:51And I think there's still plenty of people that are just waiting
- 2:54for the disappointment to happen again with Ohio State.
- 2:57And yeah, the sea will get high. You know what?
- 2:59What jumped off to my television screen as I'm watching it is
- 3:04just so damn good. Jeremiah Smith is my good God.
- 3:07He is. I don't know if he's the best
- 3:09football player in the country, but you can see why so many
- 3:13teams are salivating. For him to come out after next
- 3:16year, He's got to play one more before he's eligible to be
- 3:18drafted. But my good God, what a weapon.
- 3:21Bama, let's go back to this one. Your thoughts on the on the
- 3:24Cotton Bowl from this past year as Ohio State falls to Miami.
- 3:30Yeah, I I echo a lot of what Trent was saying there.
- 3:33I think the play calling for Ryan Day and they mentioned it
- 3:36in the broadcast. I mean, it was just very uneven.
- 3:38It got better in the second-half, but it looked like
- 3:41a guy that hadn't called plays in two years.
- 3:44I was again surprised that Miami.
- 3:48I knew they're. Listen, we're not you can you me
- 3:51are not allowed to watch the ACC and we know why.
- 3:53Yeah, but that defensive line from Miami, I'm telling you, the
- 3:59Tennessee Titans are going to have the 3rd or 4th pick.
- 4:01I want Ruben Bain. Hell yeah.
- 4:03It is like baby Miles Garrett. Yeah.
- 4:06And Micah Parsons all mixed into one.
- 4:08They. Absolutely ran roughshod over
- 4:11that game. They they listen, this was a
- 4:14butt kicking. This was just a physical butt
- 4:16kicking by Miami. That defensive line over Ohio
- 4:19State. I didn't think that could happen
- 4:21to them. We saw Indiana win physically in
- 4:25the Big 10 Championship game, but this was overwhelming.
- 4:29I think, you know, you question can Miami do it again twice?
- 4:33I think they can. And the reason I say that is for
- 4:36what you just said, Carson Beck didn't have to play a great
- 4:39game. He didn't he he can win you a
- 4:43game, but he can also lose your game.
- 4:45We talked about that the last time.
- 4:46You know, he can throw you out of the game just as easy as he
- 4:48can as he can hit some of these weapons that he has.
- 4:50And look, 2124 points might be enough for them to get for them
- 4:55to win out, especially against an Ole Miss team who will get to
- 4:59that game a little bit later. What a game that was.
- 5:01But you know, they've got a weapon of Malachi, Tony, they
- 5:05can earn it with Fletcher. They've got a good offensive
- 5:08line. They're physical on both sides
- 5:09of the ball. But my God, that defensive front
- 5:12is just unbelievable. Those guys are that there are a
- 5:15lot of NFL team. There are a few NFL teams that
- 5:17would take what Miami has and swap with them.
- 5:21But yeah, I think they are an absolute legit threat.
- 5:24I think any, I think it's wide open now.
- 5:26You've got Alabama's out, Ohio State's gone.
- 5:30You know, Indiana's is, I think clearly the top dog.
- 5:33I think Miami absolutely can win.
- 5:36I think this is a good match up for them against Ole Miss.
- 5:41And then, you know, you get you get one game for all the marbles
- 5:43and anything can happen. And it really is surviving
- 5:45advance. It's different than what you
- 5:47play during the regular season because you're worried about
- 5:49polls and rankings and who's in and who's out and, you know,
- 5:51quality wins and FPI and all this other crap.
- 5:54This one you just got to win. You get to keep playing.
- 5:56I was very impressed with Miami overall.
- 5:59And what Mario Cristobal has done is taken a while, right?
- 6:02And good for the Miami administration.
- 6:04You see all these, all these, you know, LSU number one is an
- 6:08example, get impatient with a guy who can't get anything done.
- 6:13But Crystal Ball was doing it the right way.
- 6:14They had faith in him. They let him do it and man, as
- 6:16he got rewarded and that's a sleeping giant down there.
- 6:20Don't let them get that recruiting base going again
- 6:22because there are so many players in Miami.
- 6:24They don't have to. They don't have to have a whole
- 6:26lot of NIL and recruit have a big reach in recruiting, but
- 6:29excellent outstanding win for them.
- 6:31Was it Cristobal after the television interview was where's
- 6:33my family? Was that?
- 6:34Was that him? I think it was.
- 6:36I think it was. Yeah, I was looking around for
- 6:38the fact and then before the interview started, I can't
- 6:40remember the whoever was interviewing on the field, I was
- 6:44shouting to Jimmy Johnson, don't go anywhere.
- 6:46Don't go anywhere. He wants him to stick around.
- 6:48I will say this, and I think I speak for America, enough of
- 6:52Michael Irvin's. Oh my gosh, way over the top.
- 6:57I just. This this whole belt to ask
- 7:00thing OK, he's got to stop that. OK, That is well, and it's if it
- 7:07were, if it were a different person doing that, OK, it would
- 7:12draw up images that this country doesn't want, OK.
- 7:16And it's just it's a bad look. It was going to be on the
- 7:20sideline with Ray Lewis and he can be as demonstrative as he
- 7:23wants and all this other kind of stuff.
- 7:24Maybe it's on, maybe it's on ESPN, maybe if they just don't
- 7:27show them. I don't know, I agree.
- 7:30I agree with that, right? It was you can't you can't
- 7:33control what's on social media and what he posts, but I totally
- 7:35agree to that. You've got to get him that, that
- 7:39that's just a bad look and it's distasteful and I, I, I don't
- 7:43like it. I'm not a big fan of his never
- 7:45was. I mean, he's a great player, but
- 7:48I just it's it's a bad look, but we're going to get it another
- 7:51time at least again, you know, fine.
- 7:54So I'm on the sideline if you want, but that that's that.
- 7:57The rest of that's got to stop. All right, then we move to New
- 8:00Year's Day, Trent Condon, and we get started with Oregon and
- 8:06Texas Tech. And I thought Texas Tech would
- 8:08give him a game and they did not give him a game.
- 8:11Oregon was much the best in that football game.
- 8:13I don't know if it's on Baron Morton.
- 8:15I don't know who is that where it starts and stops.
- 8:17I think it's absolutely has to. They went out, they spent, and I
- 8:20thought they spent very smart. You build the lines and that
- 8:24defensive line was disruptive and that defense as a whole for
- 8:26Texas Tech was outstanding. And they went out and they
- 8:29brought in another running back we didn't even get to see this
- 8:31year. The running back game was pretty
- 8:32good overall and those running backs were fine, but they did
- 8:35not go to what you have told me now for decades as the most
- 8:39important position in sport. Aaron Morton is a nice
- 8:42quarterback. He's a fine quarterback.
- 8:44He's not a national champion win quarterback.
- 8:47And we saw it once again. I know he was banged up
- 8:48throughout the course of the year, but now Cody Campbell, get
- 8:52out the bag once again and go find a quarterback.
- 8:55That's what you have. And if they would have had a
- 8:57different one, I got to believe that Baron Morton doesn't finish
- 8:59the game because he was hurting his team.
- 9:01And now David Bailey, my God, what a player he is.
- 9:04I mean, everybody focuses, and I'm guilty of it too, on
- 9:07Rodriguez. But David Bailey, my good God.
- 9:10What did you see in Oregon, Bama?
- 9:14Impressive. Listen, it's hard to blind and
- 9:17and I got, I guess the question I post to you guys, is this kind
- 9:22of an indictment on the Big 12? Yeah.
- 9:24We're trending that direction. They're now, I think one in
- 9:27eight in playoff game. TCU the only one, yeah.
- 9:30I mean, you have a you have a team that that wins the Big 12
- 9:34undefeated. Well, no, I guess they lost one
- 9:36game. Yeah, Arizona State.
- 9:37Yeah. Beats BYU twice, gets a number
- 9:39four seed, gets a bye and it gets shut out in the in the
- 9:43playoff game. And I know Oregon's good, but I
- 9:46agree with you on the defense. And this is one of the pros, if
- 9:52you will, of NIL and transfer and all that is a team like
- 9:54Texas Tech or a team like Indiana can't compete with the
- 9:58blue bloods and beat the blue bloods at their own game, right?
- 10:01Because, hey, you know, I understand we need rules and all
- 10:04that around it, right? But this was just this case.
- 10:08It's hard to blame Texas Tech's defense because there was a
- 10:11fumble that, you know, happened in the red zone and then I think
- 10:14they got one really late was the last 10 seconds of the game,
- 10:17right? So you take that away, their
- 10:18defenses, you're right. And they got some guys on
- 10:20defense, they got some studs, they got some dudes and they got
- 10:24the guys that are going to be playing on Sunday.
- 10:25But that was that was a hard watch offensively.
- 10:29And again, I don't know if it was the quarterback or the
- 10:31scheme or or Oregon's defense or playing in Miami or an
- 10:36indictment on the B12. You know, you really play a
- 10:39whole lot of great teams this year.
- 10:40The best team you played might have been BYU.
- 10:43And then you run up against a team like this and and they just
- 10:46bump you. But it was it was a bad look for
- 10:49Texas Tech Good season, can't take it away.
- 10:52Big 12 champion and you get a you get to the playoff.
- 10:54But I mean, it's just they just went out with a whimper, man.
- 10:57This is this is like a, you know, a two seed in the in the
- 11:01NCAA basketball tournament that loses that early game on
- 11:04Thursday. Were they ever really there?
- 11:07You know, so it was a bad look for them and the conference.
- 11:10And I feel bad for some of the players on there.
- 11:13But they you're right. They've got they've got to mix
- 11:15it up a little bit. They got to they got to split
- 11:17where they spend a little bit for next year.
- 11:19And they will, because you know, they got to.
- 11:21You know, however much you're allowed to spend, they'll spend
- 11:24it. And then some, in all
- 11:25likelihood, as I don't see this ending anytime soon.
- 11:30Why? Why should?
- 11:31And I, and I looked ahead and I'm trying to find Texas Tech's
- 11:33future schedule, but the Internet is not allowing me to
- 11:36do so. I looked at it over the week.
- 11:38They play nobody again next year.
- 11:40I mean, nobody. No Utah.
- 11:43I don't think BYU was on there. I have it here.
- 11:46What? What?
- 11:46It's pretty easy. The road games in the Big 12.
- 11:49Baylor. Cincy, Colorado, Oklahoma State.
- 11:53Oh good God. Wow.
- 11:55Home games against both Arizona schools.
- 11:57TCU, Houston, West Virginia. Oh and then the non con is who?
- 12:05Abilene Christian, Sam Houston State and they go out to
- 12:09Corvallis to take on the beeves. The PAC 12 power that's.
- 12:13Right. In the new PAC 12, they
- 12:15shouldn't have been allowed to use that name.
- 12:16By the way, That's a reason that's not even a reasonable
- 12:19faction. I'm going to.
- 12:22Say it right here. If Texas Tech loses a game next
- 12:24year, they're out of the I agree with that schedule.
- 12:26I agree they can't. They got to go undefeated to be
- 12:28back in. No, no, Utah.
- 12:30Win the Big 12, whatever, I can understand when you come
- 12:32championship. Yeah, if they don't, they don't
- 12:35win. They don't finish undefeated.
- 12:36That's, that's, oh, that's terrible.
- 12:38I bam, I tried as long as I could.
- 12:40Here we go, Bama. I'm waiting.
- 12:42Let's get to the here's here's what before before I turn over
- 12:45you and I, I just saw you pointing out onto I saw kind of
- 12:50thought I saw Alabama kind of quit and I never thought I would
- 12:53see that. Yeah, no, it was.
- 12:56And that's so my 2 notes, right? The Nick Saban era is officially
- 13:01over at Alabama. Whatever culture or standard or
- 13:07process or whatever you want to call it that he had instilled in
- 13:10that program over 17 years is done.
- 13:13It has taken 2 years of Kaylin De Boer to completely wipe that
- 13:18out. The other note I have is De Boer
- 13:21is officially on the clock for 26.
- 13:25He's going to get a third year. He may not get a fourth and I'm
- 13:29not 100% sure he wants a fourth. That's a topic for another day.
- 13:32But that that effort, listen, the game, the effort speaks for
- 13:35itself. OK, There were a couple of, I
- 13:39don't even know, there were really key plays in that game,
- 13:41right? I did not like the decision to
- 13:43go forward on 4th and one at your own 34.
- 13:46I hated the play call. You're going to run.
- 13:48You're going to run a sweep from the Wildcat on 4th and one.
- 13:54And that just goes back to the fact guys, and this is the
- 13:56number one. The number one issue is what you
- 13:59just said, Ken. They quit, OK, That team tapped
- 14:02out. Their spirit was broken.
- 14:04They were broken physically, mentally, emotionally.
- 14:07However, you could get broken. Indiana broke them.
- 14:09I have not seen that and I can't recall seeing that ever under
- 14:14Mike Schiller. Francione, go back and name your
- 14:17blat of a coach. I don't remember them ever
- 14:20quitting quite like that, certainly on a national stage
- 14:24like that. But it goes back to the fact
- 14:26that I think the reason you had to run that play.
- 14:29They finished fourth from bottom in rushing in FBS, 4th from
- 14:34bottom. He better fix that next year and
- 14:38the you couldn't you couldn't just line up high Simpson under
- 14:43center, put an HVAC fullback, whatever in there and hand it
- 14:46off because you didn't trust, you didn't trust your offensive
- 14:48line to get a yard against that front in that situation.
- 14:51So you had to try to scheme something up.
- 14:53That's an indictment. It was it's just everybody loses
- 14:57games, right? Nick Saban lost championship
- 14:59games. He lost SEC.
- 15:01Not in that fashion. He lost playoff games.
- 15:04He didn't make the playoffs. Some years you never saw an
- 15:07Alabama team get run over like that.
- 15:09And a lot of that credit goes to Indiana.
- 15:12I am giving them all the credit in the world because for a team
- 15:16to quit, the other teams got to make them quit.
- 15:18This wasn't. And they quit about, you know,
- 15:203/4 during that game. I think they showed a little bit
- 15:22of fight and they kept playing hard.
- 15:24But finally they just realized it ain't happening and that was
- 15:28it. And so you credit to Indiana for
- 15:30making that happen. But it's going to be a long,
- 15:34invisible offseason for Caitlin de Boer and Ryan Grubb and Kane
- 15:39Womack, who's the defensive coordinator.
- 15:41Because they got to fix something.
- 15:43They got to get more athletic upfront.
- 15:47They've got big guy, they don't have athletic guys.
- 15:49And again, the fact they can't, it doesn't matter who your
- 15:51running back is. You should.
- 15:53You should have a better running game than that and they don't.
- 15:55And I don't know if it's skiing personnel, whatever it is, but
- 15:58that was awful and he's going to hear it all offseason.
- 16:02Trent maybe might take away from this game and I didn't realize
- 16:04this till maybe it was this morning.
- 16:06Did you see that they named the MVP of the Rose Bowl?
- 16:08No, love it. The center, Pat Coogan, the
- 16:13center, not, not the quarterback, not the Heisman
- 16:16winner, Mendoza or any of those other guys making plays.
- 16:18They gave it to the center. I've never seen that before.
- 16:21I thought that was outstanding. And I bet Mendoza is the
- 16:24happiest guy. Absolutely.
- 16:25Is that guy won the MVP, You know what I mean?
- 16:28It just seems like that that just seems like the kind of guy
- 16:31he is that his center won the Rose Bowl MVP here.
- 16:35I bet he's that's his biggest fan today.
- 16:37I love this game. I get a lot wrong as anybody
- 16:41listening and certainly you 2 guys know, but I told both of
- 16:44you leading into it, if you took away the helmets and you just
- 16:47watched these two teams, it shouldn't have been a 7 point
- 16:50spread. It should have been 2 touchdowns
- 16:52and there should have been 5 touchdowns because that's how
- 16:55significant the gap was between these two teams.
- 16:58And as I go patting myself on the back, I'm an idiot.
- 17:00Also remember how many times I said Indiana, if they don't have
- 17:03the depth to win a national championship, I I played that
- 17:06they're the best team in college football and it's not
- 17:08particularly close this team. And I think the biggest just
- 17:12show of the way this program is built is you got 1 sideline the
- 17:17board doing dumb things. Oh, no, we're gonna fake it.
- 17:20No, we got Ty Simpson as a as a punt protector.
- 17:23Now he's going to come up and we're going to try to fake snap
- 17:25the ball. And Signetti just looking across
- 17:27the sideline, you just see him stoic.
- 17:30It's not going to work against my team.
- 17:32It's not going to work. What a story.
- 17:34He is not concerned. What iota what extra thing in an
- 17:38NFL hiring cycle that there's no Ben Johnson?
- 17:42There's no right Mike Rabel? Does no Freeman?
- 17:45Does NFL teams make a call to Kurt?
- 17:47You know what? Trent, I hope not.
- 17:49For Indiana to say for Indiana for college football.
- 17:51For the Big 10. However, if you're an NFL team
- 17:55and you look what's out there in the market.
- 17:56He just wins. And you look at what this guy
- 17:58does and you're exactly right. I'd be making that phone call
- 18:01all. Right, let's go to.
- 18:03The two, and I hope he doesn't go because I mean, why would you
- 18:06want to? Why would you want to go to the
- 18:08NFL where you're going to get fired in three to five years?
- 18:10He can stay at Indiana forever. Without a doubt.
- 18:13And make 8 to $9 million or whatever he.
- 18:15Because he won the Rose Bowl, his is now.
- 18:17It's his contract. He now has to be minimum the
- 18:19third highest paid coach in college football.
- 18:22What a story. What a story.
- 18:24There's nothing like it. I know everybody's trying to
- 18:26come up with that comparison. I dare you.
- 18:28There's nothing like it. Let's go to the let's go to the
- 18:31nightcap. There's a hell of a, by the way,
- 18:32Sean McDonough, my good God, he is so good.
- 18:35Oh my God, he's good. So, so, so is Chambliss.
- 18:39I mean, that play that was that was that was one that was good
- 18:43to say. There was two of them in the
- 18:45same drive. What a story.
- 18:48What a story, Trent. Loved the way this game played
- 18:51out. My favorite thing though might
- 18:54have been this from Xavion Harris.
- 18:57Defense alignment for Ole Miss. OK, that's what Kiffin tried to
- 19:01do. He tried to be a dam announcer
- 19:03trying to be a troll. We're going to troll him.
- 19:05We got something for him. He was just trying to steal our
- 19:08shine. That's all he tried to do.
- 19:10That's all he's been trying to do is steal our shine.
- 19:13Applaud you Xavion Harris, you absolutely nailed.
- 19:16It and he had a hell of a game. You guys know I've have been.
- 19:19I love the troll of Lane, but the way this played out, the way
- 19:23this goes, I'm rooting for Ole Miss to get to this championship
- 19:26game and if they get it done, what a story this is.
- 19:30Lane Kiffin is a terrible person.
- 19:32And he's still getting paid. He got a half, $1,000,000 from
- 19:35LSU because Ole Miss won last. Good for Lane, he's still a
- 19:38puke. He's an awful person.
- 19:39I have lost what little respect that I had for him.
- 19:42Ole Miss, I'm a red fan. Get it done.
- 19:44Yeah, and I, I hate myself for this because I, I watched the
- 19:48ESPN 30 for 30. You know what?
- 19:49This guy wasn't the guy. Yes, he was and May and here's a
- 19:53here's a question for you, Bama, 'cause this is out there are is
- 19:57there some thought that the LSU coaches that are currently
- 20:01coaching old miss that they won't be able to continue on
- 20:04this week that's out there? Bam, have you heard that?
- 20:07I have. I watched it on Sports Center
- 20:09this morning and the quote from Kiffin was there has been a well
- 20:14communicated plan throughout this process and everybody is on
- 20:18the same page now. We don't know what that is.
- 20:21Oh, boy. But it is confirmed that those
- 20:25that the Ole Miss coaches did not fly back with the team to
- 20:29Oxford last night. They are on the campus in Baton
- 20:33Rouge today. Now, I don't know what this is
- 20:35going to mean going forward, if they're going to be allowed to
- 20:37coach, if they're going to have to split time again, if Charlie
- 20:40Weis is going to say, you know what, Lane, screw you, I'm
- 20:43staying. I don't know.
- 20:44I don't know. I don't know what's going to
- 20:45happen. But again, it's all about Lane
- 20:50and the drama and the vortex that is around him and it's
- 20:54taken away from what was probably the best playoff game
- 20:57we've ever seen last night. And that was the place that
- 21:01Shambles made. You mentioned doing the same
- 21:02drive. How about the throw on 3rd and
- 21:04five? I mean, just drops a dime in
- 21:07there. If that pass is incomplete,
- 21:09George's got, I don't know what, 40 seconds left to go down and
- 21:13kick a field goal. I mean, and then I got to give a
- 21:16little shine to Gunner Stockton. Did you see?
- 21:19The toughest nails. Second quarter.
- 21:21Holy crap, if you hit Pat Mahomes like that, you're
- 21:25leaving in handcuffs. Well, at first you're flagged as
- 21:2715 yards. Let's get that out of the way
- 21:28first, because you can't touch. Him.
- 21:31Did you hear Mcdonough's lying on that?
- 21:33What's you mentioned McDonough? Mcilroy's.
- 21:35They were reviewing that play and McIlroy says, I'm not sure
- 21:38I'd have gotten up that quick. And McDonough says, yeah, we're
- 21:40just seeing you in spring practice.
- 21:41Yeah. I mean it was just, I mean, and
- 21:44then what does he do? He gets up and he goes and he
- 21:46runs a quarterback sneak the very next play.
- 21:48I mean, there's, I think Georgia needs a bit of an upgraded
- 21:51quarterback, but it ain't because of harder time.
- 21:53I mean, I mean and by the way, the number one quarterback
- 21:57prospects in the country from Georgia, Nori signed where
- 22:01Vanderbilt did he really? When's the last time we could
- 22:05ever say that the number one quarterback prospect nubbed
- 22:09Georgia for Vanderbilt? That's unbelievable.
- 22:12Hey, brother, listen, we got to go.
- 22:14We'll reconvene on Thursday. We'll do a hit Thursday.
- 22:16We'll do a hit Fridays. We're.
- 22:19There's precious few of these left.
- 22:20Yes, And I hate that. Bama.
- 22:22Thanks for doing this, brother. Enjoy the weekend.
- 22:24We'll talk. Yeah, we'll talk to you
- 22:25Thursday. OK, pal.
- 22:27Yeah, take care. Appreciate.
- 22:28It good to talk to you, Bama. Bob Chet and I recap it.
- 22:30Yeah, I'm glad he brought him up.
- 22:31What a tough, tough SOP. Good God.
- 22:34Mike Palm next. Miller and Condon I with sports
- 22:36radio. Now I'm Hillary Condon.
- 22:39Welcome back Iowa sports Radio network Trenton Ken with you
- 22:43until the top of the hour. Let's head to Las Vegas.
- 22:46Mike Palm, VP of operations circus sports circus sports.
- 22:49Download the app now. For those of you listening here
- 22:51in the state of Iowa and or those of you crossed the river
- 22:54in Illinois, you'll need to download the Illinois version
- 22:56and Mike Palm George. Or South of us in Missouri.
- 22:58I keep forgetting you do. Yes, I do.
- 23:00We do reach down there. Hello Mike, Happy New Year.
- 23:03How are you? Happy new year, fellas.
- 23:06Great. I was terrific in the bowl game.
- 23:08That was a nice start to the year.
- 23:09Hadley Yeah, it was. And by the way, not everybody
- 23:11can pull off the bow tie. You did well.
- 23:13It was a good look on New Year's Eve.
- 23:17Our party was terrific, the theme, the decorating.
- 23:22We had a band, a string band of three females and I'm Diamo did
- 23:26the catering. It was an awesome party.
- 23:27I bet it was. So did you linger there or did
- 23:30you get onto the Fremont Street? Because Speaking of party man,
- 23:33every stage was rocking. And it was, it was, it was quite
- 23:36a scene just while, you know, looking at it on X as I was.
- 23:40But boy oh boy, Fremont Street on New Year's Eve.
- 23:42Pretty fun place to be. Yeah, it was packed and they had
- 23:46great entertainment. Chingy was the headliner.
- 23:48And the rain, you know, people braved the rain.
- 23:51They had their umbrellas out. They had their slickers on.
- 23:54And so, you know, people had a good time.
- 23:57You know, the good thing is it's not too cold.
- 23:59It's a rain, but it's a rain in the upper 50s, so it's not
- 24:02miserable. Question outside of the world of
- 24:05sports gambling per SE, but it obviously connects and that is
- 24:09the law that's gone into effect now starting January 1st about
- 24:12taxable on profit and what you do in terms of gambling and the
- 24:16like. It's way above my head, way
- 24:19above certainly the way that I bet on top of it.
- 24:21But Mike, can you fill us in a little bit on those details and
- 24:23the new rules that are in place? I know Derek, you and and a
- 24:26number of other people in the gambling industry are are
- 24:29working to get that changed. But just what that means for the
- 24:32everyday gambler that is out there?
- 24:34Yeah, on the negative side of things, part of the big
- 24:38beautiful bill was reducing the gambling loss deduction from
- 24:43100% of your losses being deductible against your earnings
- 24:47to 90%. Now, Derek and I were among
- 24:51about 25 of the industry leaders, let's say, that had a
- 24:55luncheon with Jason Smith, who's from Missouri, as you guys
- 24:58referenced. He's chairman of the Ways and
- 25:01Means Committee that wrote that big beautiful bill.
- 25:04It wasn't put in the big beautiful bill.
- 25:06That was an amendment that went in in the Senate at the last
- 25:09minute. There's several ways that people
- 25:13have tried to get it overturned. Dina Titus has kind of led the
- 25:16way here in Nevada. The problem is they were never
- 25:18going to make an amendment to the big beautiful bill that just
- 25:21politically wasn't happening. So it's going to have to come
- 25:23through new tax law. There's several tax exemptions
- 25:28that ran out on the 1st that are very important.
- 25:30The NASCAR industry is one of them.
- 25:32The movie industry is another that are going to have to get
- 25:35fixed in the next month or so. It will most likely get attached
- 25:38to that, but he told us it probably fixed is probably not
- 25:41coming until late January or early February.
- 25:44So hang in there. But they're they're 80%
- 25:46confident it will get done. The good thing on January 1st
- 25:49was that the threshold for taxables on slots and on keto
- 25:54and all that type of thing went from $600.00 and on horse
- 25:59racing. Can you know that 300 to 300 to
- 26:021 and then it's now it's now going up as well to 2000.
- 26:05So you know that that's a good thing, especially for slot
- 26:09players because a lot of the hand phase, the jackpots are in
- 26:12that 1200 two $1000 range. Before we get into the gad, just
- 26:16because you and I are such hockey guys, if they're and this
- 26:19is you brought this up. You're 1000% right.
- 26:21If there's any doubt that Cooper Maurice that there's something
- 26:24there not naming Sam Bennett to the Canadian team because he
- 26:27plays for Florida the con Smythe winner.
- 26:29That was as big a shock as I saw.
- 26:30Mike, how about you? I no, I'll disagree.
- 26:35This buffoon, Bill Garrett. I'm sorry him as as the GM of
- 26:40the Wild and and and and GM of the American team leaving Jason
- 26:45Robertson off. The there's another one, yeah.
- 26:48He's a leading point getter. Yeah, American point getter.
- 26:53This is like leaving Mckennon off the Canadian team.
- 26:56What's he doing? And I say that in the context
- 26:58of, you know, your team's going to play the Stars in the first
- 27:01round and you're going to leave Robertson off the team.
- 27:03And they said, well, he wasn't a good fit systematically.
- 27:06What an idiotic excuse. I thought it was awful.
- 27:09I'm glad Logan Thompson got a spot on the roster.
- 27:12What I'm hearing is that Bennington was guaranteed a
- 27:15spot, but he's not guaranteed to start.
- 27:16Good, because if they do, then Canada will not win the gold
- 27:20because he's he's had his moments, but those are seemingly
- 27:24in the past. All right, let's we'll get more
- 27:26into this as we get closer to favor.
- 27:27I can't wait for this. But anyways, let's recap the the
- 27:31quarter final round from a betting perspective.
- 27:35Saw some pictures of the book. Looks like some decent crowds of
- 27:38Circa. No surprise there was there one
- 27:40result that was better for the betters and 1 result that was
- 27:42better for Circa. But the book was sold out, Ken.
- 27:47There wasn't one seat available. I have to tell you because I
- 27:51came back, I left at 2 AMI got back at 5:00 AM to do Visa and I
- 27:55walked down to the book about 7:30 and I said what's available
- 27:57at least for the morning game for a few of us to sit, not
- 28:00nothing sold out all day. So we posted up at Bar Canada,
- 28:04which was fine. Anyhow, the worst result was was
- 28:12the Mississippi. They bet Mississippi, I'm
- 28:15telling you, and it kept me off of Georgia.
- 28:16I was going to play Georgia and I said what am I missing?
- 28:18I didn't play the game. I'm glad Mississippi and then
- 28:23Oregon was a great result for us.
- 28:25People bet Texas Tech with the points and on the money line and
- 28:29all that. So those were the two in
- 28:31between. We went a small loser with
- 28:32Alabama. I'll tell you this now, though,
- 28:34all four teams are losers to the future.
- 28:37But I guess Oregon's a tiny winner.
- 28:39But Miami got bet right when they got announced.
- 28:41And so they went from being like a 350,000 winner to a 400,000
- 28:45loser because people bet Miami 35 to 1 when they made the
- 28:48field. And of course, Mississippi, we
- 28:52took the $125,000 bet at 20 to 1 before the season started.
- 28:56So that's a two and a half million dollar loser for us.
- 28:59So that's, that's the, that's the worst result.
- 29:01And, and Indiana's a loser as well.
- 29:03But, but we have to avoid Mississippi.
- 29:07That's that's awful for us. Interesting when we peek ahead
- 29:11here at the lines, Lines have been out now for a little bit.
- 29:15Any movement that you've seen when we look forward to the
- 29:17semifinals, anything that came a surprise here as we look at the
- 29:20opening lines that have been out.
- 29:22That movement, but I was surprised.
- 29:24Indiana's four, I thought they'd open 3 and let the market take
- 29:27the game. But a solid 4.
- 29:29Stormy asked me just 15 minutes ago, do you think that the
- 29:32Indiana hasn't got enough respect and now they're finally
- 29:35getting respect because they beat Alabama handily.
- 29:37I thought the market showed them tremendousness.
- 29:39That and respect. That number was 7 1/2 and it
- 29:42never moved off of it against Alabama.
- 29:44So I think that maybe the national media is not respecting
- 29:47Indiana, but I certainly think the betters of the market as
- 29:50respected Indiana. That being said, this Oregon
- 29:52defense is really good. I refuse to believe that outside
- 29:56the quarterback, the Texas Tech offense, it's awful.
- 29:58I think the quarterback had a really tough day and I said it
- 30:01for four months. That defense is good enough to
- 30:04win a national championship. All four of those D line are
- 30:06going to play in the NFL on Sundays.
- 30:08I don't think the quarterback is good enough to win it.
- 30:10I thought he was good enough to give him a chance to beat
- 30:12Oregon. He didn't, but I thought this
- 30:15game would be 3. I took the four.
- 30:17I don't think that it's going to go up.
- 30:19I just think 4 is a lot. I think Oregon has a revenge
- 30:21factor. I think their defense is better
- 30:23than when they played an ounce and I get Indiana beat him up.
- 30:26They beat him by 8 and they threw a pick six in that game.
- 30:29Mendoza was terrific against the blitz, but the court Oregon
- 30:33quarterback is going to play in the NFL too and he's going to be
- 30:35a good pro. I think he shows a lot of poise.
- 30:37My fear is this. Dan Lanning and his fourth down
- 30:40decision making will end up costing Oregon and costing me my
- 30:43bet. You knew that game would be low
- 30:45scoring yesterday from the jump and why you didn't take 3 and
- 30:48take 3 and take 3 and you know Texas Tech going to come out and
- 30:51take the opening drive and had to lead in the second-half.
- 30:53In the game they should have been down a minimum of 15 to
- 30:55nothing. Stormy had what?
- 30:57She was at the Orange Bowl right somewhere.
- 30:58I saw her yesterday. So she was at the Orange Bowl.
- 31:00I just did a hit with her and JBT.
- 31:02She's actually in Kentucky because she's calling the FCS
- 31:06national championship game Monday night, which is not in
- 31:08Frisco because that stadium is under innovation.
- 31:11But that is at Vanderbilt. So she's staying there for the
- 31:14weekend right there by where we have our place in Kentucky.
- 31:17The game will be in Nashville. Good stuff.
- 31:19Survivor obviously comes down to this.
- 31:21There are still 6 alive. One guy apparently, or gal,
- 31:24because there's two women, I'm told that are the primary owners
- 31:29of these of these tickets of these spots, Jacksonville.
- 31:33One guy has Jacksonville apparently.
- 31:36Is there any talk of a chopper? These guys just going to go all
- 31:39in. What are what?
- 31:39What are we looking for this weekend, the final week of the
- 31:4218,000,700 and change pool? I can't speak this as gospel or
- 31:48say it, you know, to shield myself from from any type of
- 31:53legality because I haven't seen the contracts.
- 31:55But I think there was some saves of 18% among several of these
- 31:59teams, not all of them that are in, but with teams that were out
- 32:01when they were at 10. So I think there's some saves
- 32:04involved. You might see six different
- 32:06picks or six different teams. The two women are interesting. 1
- 32:09is a younger girl who's part of a poker conglomerate, who's the
- 32:14front person for a poker conglomerate.
- 32:16The other one is just a lady and it's her and her brothers and
- 32:18sisters and that's the group so. I'm rooting for.
- 32:22Them I love yeah, I am too. And I love to the and by the
- 32:26way, they they have all the big favorites because they took the
- 32:28Giants last week. They were ballsy and they took
- 32:31the Giant. I liked it because they were the
- 32:33lone afternoon game so they could see if there was chaos in
- 32:35the morning. The Giants turned out to be a no
- 32:37sweat pick. And now they have Cincinnati,
- 32:40they have they have the Vikings. I think they're in pretty good
- 32:43shape. They have some they have, they
- 32:45have a choice of like three teams that you could use and I'm
- 32:48rooting for them as well. Is it, are they Nevada based?
- 32:50Mike, can you say that or do you know?
- 32:54They are not. I believe one brother and one
- 32:57sister is flying in because they have gotten a line of credit to
- 33:00be able to to hedge. So the two of the siblings will
- 33:03will fly in for the weekend. When we look at the Saturday
- 33:06game, the Panthers and the Bucks, we know regardless of if
- 33:10the Buccaneers win, they still need help to get that because if
- 33:13Atlanta wins, it'll be a three-way tie and the tiebreaker
- 33:15then goes back to Carolina. In that scenario, if it plays
- 33:19out in that fashion, do you anticipate we're going to see an
- 33:22onslide of money one way or the other on the Saints or Falcons?
- 33:25Just knowing that suddenly Atlanta, New Orleans has a whole
- 33:28lot more weight than anybody could have anticipated what,
- 33:30just a few days ago? Yeah, but what's the motivation
- 33:34though? I mean, so it so Atlanta
- 33:36controls who wins the division. Do they have a motivation?
- 33:41I don't know that the motivation in that game changes.
- 33:43I wonder if the NFL would like to have the schedule back as
- 33:45they didn't anticipate Atlanta beating the Rams on Monday
- 33:47night. And so that game would have been
- 33:49a win that win and you're in lose that you're out on Saturday
- 33:51afternoon. But it isn't.
- 33:53I don't know that it means anything.
- 33:55I maybe there's a little bit more money.
- 33:57The thing I take away is how does this Raheem Morris have a
- 34:00job? I mean, my God, they should have
- 34:02blown that game. The talent on that team.
- 34:05I mean, that they're not going to be in the playoffs again is
- 34:07criminal. Yeah, I'm not sure he'll have
- 34:09one after Monday. We'll see the Saturday night
- 34:12game, Sunday night game. Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh,
- 34:16Baltimore. Wonderful rivalry.
- 34:18Obviously Niners in Purdy, Seattle.
- 34:20What will be busier, Mike? Saturday because there's only
- 34:23two games and there's no college or the Sunday night game, just
- 34:27dovetailing off the the afternoon slate.
- 34:29Where will you guys do more right?
- 34:32I think Saturday night because of the the stakes of the game,
- 34:35inequality of the team and I'm a little surprised Seattle's a
- 34:39road favorite. But it's for everything, right?
- 34:42It's for the one seat. It's the same as the Vikings and
- 34:45Lions were last year, the last game.
- 34:48And it's for the one seat or the five seat, which you got to win
- 34:51three on the road or you got to win two at home.
- 34:53So I think that will, I think it's harder to handicap
- 34:57Baltimore and Pittsburgh because of the inconsistency the the
- 35:01Ravens have been in enigma. You've got Rogers, but I'm not
- 35:07saying it'd be by a huge margin, but I'm pretty confident that
- 35:10the the number one right game is going to be on Saturday night.
- 35:12Good stuff. Thanks for doing this.
- 35:14Happy New Year again, Mike. Appreciate you coming on.
- 35:16We'll talk to you in a week. Thank you.
- 35:18Happy New Year Day. Good to talk to you, Mike Pom,
- 35:19VP of operations at Circus sports.
- 35:22Download the app here in the state of I'd be glad you do.
- 35:24Boy, that was one of the they needed to they did so it's a
- 35:27very smooth, slick user experience.
- 35:30Our final segment it's next Miller and Condon on the Iowa
- 35:33Sports Radio network. All right, finally a couple of
- 35:35minutes here on a Friday. Miller and Condon off the bench
- 35:39comes up at the top of the hour. Sean Roberts, I guess, Lucas
- 35:43backed, you know, don't know from snowboarding.
- 35:45I haven't seen him. I've not either.
- 35:48Well, let's get into this before we ask.
- 35:50Before I ask you what you like tonight for the Bears, What do
- 35:53they have to play for this weekend?
- 35:56The number two or three. The number two seed with the
- 35:59win. Simple as that.
- 36:00Yep. They win, they get the two seed.
- 36:02Lose and. Likely the three seed, OK, as
- 36:05long as Philadelphia doesn't craft the bed, which I don't
- 36:07think that they will. So it is an important game, an
- 36:10incredibly important game because not only #2 seed
- 36:13automatically one playoff game, likely two playoff games at
- 36:16home. And I think likely three playoff
- 36:18games because I do think that Seattle will beat San Francisco.
- 36:23You know my thoughts on Arnold. But I don't believe that they
- 36:26will win their divisional round game even as the number one in
- 36:30order to get to the NFC championship game.
- 36:32And Can you imagine an NFC Championship game at Soldier
- 36:35Field against whoever comes out of the top side of that bracket?
- 36:38Oh my gosh. Likely the Rams.
- 36:40Wouldn't that be something? Possibly the Rams and we'll see,
- 36:44but regardless, that is what is on the line and I think this is
- 36:48an incredibly important game. I don't like it though these.
- 36:52Well, we saw Detroit go into Green Bay two years ago.
- 36:55We saw Detroit Chicago earlier this year and they rubbed 2.
- 36:59Years ago, Detroit wasn't Detroit yet.
- 37:01Yes, right, Right. I I have concerns about this
- 37:05game definitely be grabbing the field goal though that didn't
- 37:09make the cut for No, it did make the cut for the picks.
- 37:11What have you got? For today, we have 5 bets for
- 37:15you. Play Navy as we talked about on
- 37:17Tuesday, laying the touchdown against Cincinnati that comes up
- 37:21here this afternoon at 3:30. The rest is college hoops,
- 37:25starting in the Big 10. This, But what a slate of Big 10
- 37:29games to see. My God.
- 37:31This one might not make the cut for you. 630 on Peacock old.
- 37:35Michigan. Old Big 10 rivals Oregon and
- 37:37Maryland get together. Hang on a second, so but
- 37:39Michigan, their opponent, they play on Peacock.
- 37:42Must be two Peacock feats. Okay.
- 37:45I'm gonna grab Maryland at home on the money line, plus 1/20.
- 37:48That one. Tonight Gonzaga takes on
- 37:51Seattle. A pretty decent Seattle squad.
- 37:53Gonna grab a lot of points here. They're 12:00 and 3:00, and they
- 37:56cover for me a few times this year, so maybe I got an affinity
- 37:58for them. Getting 24 1/2 with Seattle
- 38:00tonight against Gonzaga late night.
- 38:03How about this for Speaking of great conference affairs, Notre
- 38:07Dame at Cal. Saw that 10:00 tip.
- 38:09Going to lay the 3 1/2 with the Golden Bears and also tonight
- 38:12going to play the ACC SEC A matchup give me Wake Forest
- 38:18going to grab the 3 1/2. All right, Wake Forest.
- 38:22What time's that game go 7:00? Same time as the SMU Arizona
- 38:27game. Which is on Fox.
- 38:29Big Fox. And I haven't leaned towards
- 38:31Arizona. I haven't put it in yet I think.
- 38:32With you on Arizona, Arizona had quietly a very good season.
- 38:35All right, Iowa State cover, This isn't even part of your
- 38:37picks. It's not West Virginia plays
- 38:40slow. Yeah, their new coach was at
- 38:42North Texas before. This is going to be rugged,
- 38:46grinded out, ugly so. Close.
- 38:48Maybe for a while before Iowa State pulls away.
- 38:50I think so. Eugene, as he's put it in our
- 38:52first story, kind of where they wear teams down.
- 38:54Yes, I think it's going to be maybe ugly at times.
- 38:57It's can Iowa State get out and run, as we've seen a little bit
- 39:00in the past, But yeah, they're a lot better.
- 39:02Any idea what the Iowa UCLA point spread will be tomorrow?
- 39:06Ken Palm has it at six. Iowa favored by 6 at Carver.
- 39:09Good stuff. Well, enjoy the weekend.
- 39:11We will. We'll be back on Monday, boys.
- 39:14A lot of sports this weekend. A lot of good sports.
- 39:16That's Seattle, San Fran game war night.
- 39:18Oh boy. Alright, that's going to do it
- 39:20for us. Appreciate you being with us.
- 39:21Trent and I talk sports with you Monday through Friday from noon
- 39:25to two on Des Moines Sports Station One O 6.3 KXO and the
- 39:28Iowa Sports Radio Network.