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Transcript

NFL Betting News Update · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the favorites of the podcast from the Volume
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: Podcast Network. I am Chad Noman. We are literally counting
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: down the days until the start of the NFL season
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: at the Action Network. The number today is thirty seven.
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: Thirty seven days until the NFL season starts, until gambling
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: comes back in full force for the majority of the country,
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: until more people than ever get to take advantage of
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: legalized sports betting during the NFL season. That's why I
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: have Simon Hooder, who's a professional better joining me. He
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: is my co host, he is my bff, he is
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: my companion. We got a massive, massive slate of subjects today,
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: Simon and Samantha Prividi, who was one of our c
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: your analysts covering all things fantasy, all things NFL. She's
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: got a lot of notes that she wanted to talk
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: about today. Well, he's going to read them back to
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: her and she what she has to say before we
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: get to that. Simon, how are you good? Chad? I'm
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: so glad she's here. Be even Actually now I'm thinking
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: I probably shouldn't because she's probably in side with you. Chat.
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: We we had to talk about something. You have a problem.
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: I have a problem. Yeah, you and you realize that
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: I have no idea what's coming right now. We talked
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: for I think I've talked to you four times in
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: the last two weeks. Somehow TikTok has come up in
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: the conversation all four times. Yeah, this is a big
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: worrior for me. Okay is someone that saw the death
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: of Facebook by older people. I see it coming. I
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: see you talking about TikTok. I saw someone's grandmam talking
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: about TikTok, and I'm just thinking myself, is this the end?
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: Is this? Because I just only got on there, and
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: I do feel creepy because I'll be watching a cookie
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: vie in the next video will be something like fifteen
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: year old girl Dan seeing and I'd be like, oh God,
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: and I have to keeps growing. So it is a
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: weird place as someone that's in their thirties to be.
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: But it's appealing. It's just videos of music and like words.
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: It's it's an easy website. But you're obsessed. I'm like,
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: we're in a meeting all hands and you said you
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: were looking at TikTok the whole time, and I believed you.
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: I thought to myself, I believe chat is probably watching
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: TikTok right now. So I just have to know, Chad,
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: how deep into TikTok are you? Oh? I'm deep brother?
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: I Uh? You know Samantha PAVIDI I she one of
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: the reasons we we learned who she was and discovered
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: her was because she was so good at doing fantasy
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: on TikTok and and I'd love to bring her in
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: to have this conversation as soon as I answer. Um,
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: I would say I started doing it mainly because I
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: kept hearing about it as sort of a media professional.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: And then I got nervous that the Chinese were stealing
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: my information because that's what everyone kept saying, like it's
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: a Chinese app and like they're using the data, and
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: I'm like what, And so then I just sort of
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: like I wasn't using it for a while, and then
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: I got back into it and I freaking love it. Um.
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: I think it's funny. I think it's informative. I think
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: that what some media outlets are doing there uh is amazing,
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: and the way people are using it to communicate your
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: stories advanced information translate things is really really smart. I'm
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: thinking a lot about what I want action networks. TikTok
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: strategy to be and I think I've narrowed down what
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: what we could really do well with on TikTok. And
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: it's also it's entirely different than the other social mediums.
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: And I think a lot of other places might think, oh,
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: I can just repurpose this and put it on TikTok,
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: or repurpose of that and put it on TikTok, and
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: you can't. You really got to think about creatively, how
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: is it different than all the other social platforms. I
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: don't think it's like Facebook, simon, and that Facebook became
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: toxic and silly and annoying, and I think it's harder
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: for TikTok to do that because it's a little bit
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: like Instagram in that it's a better combination of what's personal,
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: how to entertain, how to inform, without layering in like
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: layers and layers and layers of what your personal feelings
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: are that you can write down in many, many paragraphs
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: that become cringe worthy. Um, yes, so right right there,
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: Chat everything you just said, it's not true. People are
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: just mean. It's the Internet, so no, no, no, But
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: here's the no, Simon, here's the difference. Of course, people
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: can write comments and of course they're going to be mean.
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: But it's not the creator of the content, like giving
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: me a diet tribe about Trump or about Obama, or
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: about Biden, or about vaccinations or about their liberties. Um,
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: it's someone. If someone has an opinion on it, they're
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: doing it in a way that is cheeky and superficial
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: and is easy to swipe right through. Um. So I
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: find it to be a great medium. Also, I find
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: it to be an incredibly fun just total empty, vapid
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: time sock. Uh, beyond all these sort of high minded
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: strategic opportunities. Samantha way in here, please, Yeah, I totally
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: agree with you that one. It is an absolute time sock.
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: I think my screen time notification every week. I just like,
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: I don't even want to look at it because I
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: know it's like eight hours a day on TikTok or
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: something like that. But it is easy to consume a
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: ton of content all at once. I think what you
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: said in terms of like the way the platform is
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: built so differently from Facebook, where Facebook you see a
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: lot of the same posts from like the same people,
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: whereas like on TikTok and Instagram, you're seeing a lot
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: of different content all at once, and then the algorithm
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: really does learn your your preferences and stuff, and it
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: doesn't over personalize, I think, which I think is a
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: really nice balance for them to strike. Uh So, No,
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: I don't think it has become like choogy quote unquote,
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: but I do think, um, it has changed a little bit.
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: Like it was peak pandemic when everyone was at home
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: doing these like high production TikTok's because no one had
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: anything better to do, like see me. That's why I
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: literally made my TikTok account was because I was bored.
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: So I think it's shifted a little bit. But now
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: it's everyone's out in the world and traveling and showing
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: really cool things. So I think like the content has
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: shifted a little, but I don't think it has, you know,
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: past its prime or anything like that. You don't think
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: Chad's gonna kill it, because I do. I like, I
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: like Facebook this never forget my buddy's mom added me, Um,
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: I want to say it was, and I just remember
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: thinking of my stuff. Oh my god, this is how
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: it's gonna end, because it's just weird when it's like
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: you're blacked out with your friends and then your buddy's
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: mom likes your picture. It's just a it starts becoming
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: very strange, So you don't have the fear that Chad's
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: gonna kill another app. Let me ask him, Simon, do
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: you feel like a company that is trading at three
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: hundred and fifty one a share, that has a market
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: cap of nine hundred and ninety billion dollars and is
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: used by literally someone in every corner of the globe
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: is dead. I don't think so. I just think the
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: demographics of that particular product have changed, and there are
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: still plenty of people who use it for variety of
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: utilitarian reasons. And you happen to be someone who doesn't
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: want to use it for personal reasons because you don't
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: want to share stuff on there. You think it's going away.
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: It's not what it used to be, but it's evolved
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: into something that's entirely useful for other people who are
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: maybe older, but still represent a huge swath of uh
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: the world's population. I don't use Facebook. I think it's crap.
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: I haven't been on there in years, and I never
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: want to use it to begin with. And I'm not
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: even like a user of TikTok. I'm barely using Twitter
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: these days, but I do think TikTok is a fascinating
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: way to share information and it's not going anywhere. Even
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: I can't kill TikTok. I just love hearing dudes in TikTok.
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: It's like, yeah, I saw that on TikTok. I'm just like,
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: oh my god, what is happening. I think there's a
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: lot of old people on TikTok. I think you'd be
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: surprised at Like that's my whole point. It's creepy. That's
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: what I'm trying to get across that. But like I'm
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: not getting I'm not getting fifteen year old, fifteen year
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: old in my feed. I'm getting comedy, I'm getting news,
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: I'm getting sports. Uh, like I get like the dancing,
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: like on the rare occasion. Uh, that's one of my
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: favorite parts. That's how I hear new music. So like,
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to I have to come across this
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: fifth yearrol there's nothing I can do about it. Thinking myself,
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: I feel weird in my thirties. I can't imagine, like
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: an old dude, you hit one of these fifth year
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: just like, oh god, this is so weird. It's just
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: a weird act. Uh, it's well, it's it's it's weird
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: until you get used to it, and and then and
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: then you realize you finished doing something at and you're
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: recording the podcast at one thirty, and you're like, I
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: got two minutes. Let me see if there's anything fun
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: on TikTok, which, by the way, is exactly what happened.
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: You're ready to do it. Let's roll, brother. Uh, we
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: do have a lot of nf all to talk about.
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: We will end. We will end with the Hall of
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: Fame game because somehow that is happening this week. And
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: before we get to the Hall of Fame game, Uh,
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: we gotta start right now. We gotta start with Carson Wentz.
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: Simon and Samantha will come to you after this. But
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: anyone who's been listening to this pot oh wait, I'm sorry.
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: Before we do that, I do want to make a
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: comment because um uh a tweeter named John Doe j
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: o h n uh d o h sent me a
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: comment that I thought was really smart and we should
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: do this, and Matt mitchell I sort of I've made
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: a note about this in our slack chain this morning.
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: But we should do this because it's really smart. Uh.
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: We we've been bouncing around like we've done season win totals,
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: overs for the over unders for the a f C,
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: for the NFC, and we the way you broke it
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: down was kind of disorganized. We actually haven't done any
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: kind of since the season ended. To now full round up,
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: full recapture of how we think teams have improved. UM,
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: A team by team breakdown from last season, and now
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: John Doe says we should do that. I kind of agree,
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: and I think we should do that division by division.
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: So we will start doing that, I believe on Thursday.
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: Is that right, Matt Mitchell, that's the plan? All right,
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: John Doe, good suggestion. You are not being ignored. Uh,
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: we will start doing team by teams since the end
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: of the season to now breakdowns. UM on Thursday. We're
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: getting deep into the NFL. Uh. Carson Wentz, Simon, you
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: and I have been talking about the Colts season win
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: total of over ten ten and a half since Carson
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: Wentz signed. Boy, oh boy, that's the money we're gonna
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: start burning. Huh. Yeah, already let it on fire, chat, Uh,
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: it's dead. That's basically one of those where there's few
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: quarterbacks in this league that needed a preseason more with
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: their team and just to get right and get their
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: head right than Carson Wentz. So like on my list,
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: it's him and Joe Burrow, Like Joe bros Coming off
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: a big knee injury after his first year. I feel
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: like preseason is huge for Joe. Joe hasn't missed anything.
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: He's been back since it started. With Carson ends, he
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: had two really good practices. I mean, I think most people,
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: if you're found along, Carson had an incredible cross body
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: throw that it just looked like old Carson Wentz deep downfield,
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: and then we see what happens. The guy is I
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: don't want to say he's unlucky, but he's definitely injury prone.
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, at this point, this many seasons in, he
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: keeps getting little injuries here and there, um and then
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: Quinn Nelson, like an All Pro guard, he has the
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: exact same injury. He's on the same thing. You just
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: had the same surgery five uns all weeks. So the
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: culture right now, they're taking on so much water. Chad.
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: I mean literally like I'm burning these tickets and I'm
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: I've already bought out for a decent Penny, and I'm
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: gonna put into the action that after the show I'm
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: in on Tennessee now minus one twenty for the division
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: on our friends at Vandel It's just one of these
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: simply that I just thought the Colts and then the
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: Colts had a bigger advantage where they were more complete team,
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: they had a better defense, and with Carson Wentz, who
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: I believe in, and we all know Chad does not
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: like Carson Wentz, he does not believing him. So Chad,
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: Chad was right on this one where I jaked a
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: kool aid and I had high hopes. But they're giving
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: a timetable five to twelve weeks, which five weeks is
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: week one. That's great, but we know what this is.
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, Tomathy can talk about it feels like this
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: is gonna be an eight to nine weeks at the earliest.
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: And then who really knows what his fancy value or
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: even a season value is of course, and once so
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: everyone on that team, Jonathan Taylor, all these guys are
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: just taking hits in the famous the world. So I'm
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: gonna interest here with Samantha has to say about all that. Yeah,
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: that timetable is pretty wide. It goes from week one
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: to week seven, so that's a really wide range of
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: outcomes in terms of a return for him. Rounder Jacob
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: Eason was getting first team reps in WinCE's absence. Uh,
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: it doesn't look like they're necessarily going to sign anyone
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: at this point. They did sign former Packers back up
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: Brett Hunley, so like, adjust your rankings accordingly and just kidding,
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: but you know, it's likely that Easton is an even
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: further downgrade for this offense. Uh. So I'm not high
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: on any the pass catchers. That's Michael Pittman, t Mike Hilton,
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: Paris Campbell. They were all consensus ranked below top fifty
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: receivers in Fantasy to begin with, so they were bench
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: capital at best. So they're going to carry even less
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: value um and only really worthy of consideration the deepest leagues.
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: I think that with like the passing game though being
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: held together with Spit and Glue, I think they may
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: be forced to lean more on the run game. That
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: could sort of help Jonathan Taylor, though he's already a
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: projected first round pick, so I don't think I'm moving
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: him around too much. Um, it could help guys like
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: nine him Hines, who's a pass catching running back. If
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: they're gonna go on the more conservative passing side and
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: do a lot of like short dumb off passes, I
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: could see him getting a lot of targets. He had
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: sixty three catches last year, which is third most in
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: the NFL among running backs. Were you, Samantha a buyer
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: and believer in Carson Wentz in your projections before the injury?
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: I was not. No. I I think what we saw
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: last season when he was getting benched is more of
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: what I think we were gonna see in Indianapolis, And
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: I wasn't super high on him. And that win total
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: now is nine and the under is minus on. So
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: Vegas definitely doesn't have a lot of faith in a
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: speedy return for wins or anything like that. There is
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: gonna be value. They're gonna get slaughtered these first couple
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: of weeks, like they have a brutal schedule. In the
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: fact that their quarterback is Easton is just I mean,
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: that's that's what I'm saying, Like these it's brutal, Like
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: we're gonna talk about their quarterbacks with injuries, but it's
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: just one of those where it's this is the worst
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: thing that could have happened for the cold. So for me,
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: I'm I'm gonna be in on the Colts where you know,
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: come October, I'm probably gonna be taking some of the
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: a little bit for them to win the division. Different
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: things like that, because I still think this is the
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: most complete team in this division. But man, that when
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: the when the injury bugs in a team like this
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: early in the preseason, it's just kind of sets up
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: for the whole season. So it's just give me a
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: lot of pause right now in the Colts, Simon, I
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: am so out looking forward to Week five when the
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: Colts have played better for about two weeks, but they've
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: still lost after getting blown out in the first two weeks,
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: and you're looking at your numbers and you're saying to me, Chad,
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: the b B B of the week is going to
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: be the Indianapolis Colts plus seven against somebody, And I'm
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: gonna be like what, And then I'm gonna have to
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: go on Colin Show and I'm gonna have to convince
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: him at the Cults are the right side, and he's
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: gonna be like what, And then we're gonna have to
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: come back on the favorite after talking about the picks
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: that I made Colin pick, and we're gonna have to
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: convince ourselves still that the Colts are the right side.
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: I know it's it's it's literally the worst Chad, but
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: this is how we win, baby. Uh. You mentioned other quarterbacks,
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford, Dak Prescott's got a little bit of a
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: shoulder thing. I don't think that worries me very much, um,
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: because I'm not a buyer in the Boys either way.
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: The Stafford thing is really interesting to me. Injured thumb.
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know how serious it's going to be. I
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: don't know the extent of the injury. Samantha. Maybe you're
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: keeping track of that, um, But this, Simon, speaks to
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: the heart of your disagreement with me about the value
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: on the Rams or the Niners in what I think
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: we can both agree might be the best division in football.
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: Give me the Niners, Samantha. What's the latest on Matthew
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: Stafford's thumb. Yeah, so he hit his surgically repaired thumb
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: that was his left thumb and as helma yesterday in
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: a freak accident. Initially, Sean McVeigh was saying that they
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: don't know anything. They think he'll be okay. The latest
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: is that he has a swollen thumb. X rays were negative.
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: He will likely miss a few days, but nothing major.
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: And this is a guy that you know really before
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: that major injury, and he hadn't missed any games. And
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: I don't think this is necessarily like a huge deal.
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: So it's like a one out of ten on the
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: Warriomere No. I mean, I don't wish ill on anybody,
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: but I would like the Niners to have a better
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: year than the Rams. Yeah, that was definitely scary as
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: someone that is like I haven't put a lot of
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: money into the Rams, but I am the I am
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: a believer they're the best team in that division. So
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: it was like, of course, like this is what's happening
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: right now. I'm turning into pure mush. I mean, we
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: didn't even talked about it. I forgot to bring it
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: up last week. Chead. I don't know if you know this.
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: I hit up Matt Mitchell when the Sun's are up
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: to nothing, and I had made a bet that I
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: talked about the show way back on June eighth. I
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: talked about taking Chris Paul, but when m VP at
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: forty two one. I live man, Mitchell, I go, hey, man,
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: get this video ready for when the Sun's win. Right now,
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: you can find a really good value on FanDuel on
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: the m v P of the finals. So Chris Paul one.
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: So I feel like that's pretty good value. If they're
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: gonna win it all, it's gonna because of Chris Paul.
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: He just seems like he's facilitating that old team. And
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: of course the Bucks going to the next four games.
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: So I am slowly turning into mush chat. So, yeah,
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: a team I've been talking about a little bit. It's
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: againce again, it's not good. We got a guy Stafford
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: that's on a new team. They're hoping it's just a
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: couple of weeks, you know, the swelling will go down,
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: then they'll be able to really figure out from there.
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: But like Samantha just said, it's a surgicy repaired hand.
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: He literally just banged the hand on a guy's helmet,
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: which is one of the worst things you can do,
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: so scary. But it sounds like, yeah, we dodge a
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: bullet there. He might he might only be out for
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: a week or two. Are there any injuries right now?
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: We're talking about Dak Prescott, Amari Cooper, Say Kwan Barkley,
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: Davonte Smith, Jalen Waddle. Any injuries, Samantha that you're looking
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: at from a fantasy point of view that are making
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: you think about how you're rating players or looking at
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: potential sleeper opportunities in the backups to these guys. Yeah,
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: Amari Cooper's is I think a moderate concern at this point.
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: He's consensus ranked his wide receiver four, so you're using
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: a lot of draft capital to get him. He's likely
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: or wide receiver one. That's two spots below Ceedee Lamb. Now,
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: now those guys were like dead even, and I think
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: Cooper had the edge earlier in the off season, and
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: now it's kind of dropping because he has yet to
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: be activated from the publist while still rehabbing from a
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: minor ankle surgery. Mike McCarthy says he likes the like
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: progress being made, but it's hard to kind of trust
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: coach talk at this point. Um This could obviously open
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: the door for Lamb to truly break out and establish
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: himself as the wide receiver one. If Cooper ends up
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: missing time, or even if he doesn't miss time, he
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: has a little bit less explosion something like that. I
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: think that this really skyrockets Lamb's UH value at this point.
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: And then Michael Gallup is another guy who is one
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: of my favorite later round sleepers this year, and he
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: could definitely have more value. He caught eight hundred forty
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: three yards last year. Is the Cowboys wide receiver three.
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: So if we're going to see some kind of decline
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: from Coop for um, I think Gallup could see a
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: bigger role. Do we do? Gallup is one of those
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: guys who's fascinated because he's got such good hands and
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: seeming to make every catch. Is he a guy who
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: becomes less effective if he gets more time? No, I
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: don't think so. I think we've seen him be effective
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: when he had a larger role in this offense. So
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: I think when you're drafting him at like wide receiver fifty,
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: he's going to pay off at his ADP. So that's
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: all you're kind of looking for in drafts, right to
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: like make sure they pay off where they're relatively drafted.
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: I don't think Gallup is a better receiver than Cooper
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: or anything like that, but I'm not reaching for Cooper someone.
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: Do you have any thoughts or concerns and injuries before
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: I move on to our next rapid fire topic. Yeah,
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: if we're just looking in fantasy wise, I've been staying
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: away from se quon Um just everything I look at,
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: Like a lot of stuff goes into fantasy obviously, and
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: they're going to talk about that. But for me, for
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: running backs, I need a guy that's going to catch
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: the ball. That's really how you max out our running
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: backs value. Like you can go back and look at
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: Derrick Henry I one of the best running back seasons ever.
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: I think he was the third highest rated running back.
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: Like it's it's one of those where if you don't
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: catch the ball, you're not really adding value. And we've
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: seen the Giants they've had at Kenny golladagg So they
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: have another pass catch who's gonna get the ball and
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: Sean back yet like they're talking about him in my
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: miss week one or two. So he's one of these
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: guys where I'm not taking him in the first round
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: or the end of like the very beginning of the
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: secon round. He's kind of a guy I've been letting dropped.
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: So I saw they just signed another running back the Giants.
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: It's just making me more worried about stake Kuan, So
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: he's a guy I've definitely not been drafting. I am
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: shocked to hear you talk about fantasy I don't. I
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: try not to get in that line because I know
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: that's like people's like that's their career and like they
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: need to do it. But no one else gave out
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson ranked one, or Justin Herbert and their top
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: twenty quarterbacks last year. It's just what I do chat.
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: So people want my fantasy stuff, I'm gonna send some
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: stuff out, but yeah, I definitely that's not my lane
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: because it's more like I just have the date of
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: the numbers. So like, hell if I knew Justin Jefferson
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: was gonna be a top twenty receiver last year, but
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: my data said he was gonna be insanely good, so
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: that's the reason I gave that out. So yeah, I
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: definitely have rankings, but I would not call myself a
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: professional fantasy play. I mean Justin Jefferson ship. Like I
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: looked at FanDuel the other day too, because I want
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: to make a bet on who would have the most
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: receiving yards for the season to leave the league, and
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: he was the second shortest odds behind Calvin Ridley and
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: Calvin Ridley. By the way, I think a couple months
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: ago was twelve to one and now he's down to
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: six to one. Matt Freeman gave that out, I believe
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: on our show Who's that? I forget? Not familiar with that, kidding, kidding,
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: Matt Freeman went to fade the noise. Matt Freeman the
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: first person that ever called some at the BAVIDI on
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: behalf of the Action Network, So we owe him that much.
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: There we go. What a guy. Yeah, I am similarly
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: concerned about Barkley. Uh. He tore his e c L
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: in week two of last year, which to me seems
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: like the appropriate timeline for a return the next year.
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: And it is very concerning that they're already saying early on,
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: like this was early July that they were saying like
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: they're not sure about a week one return. So he
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: is a guy that's definitely been dropping in drafts a lot,
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: and plus that offensive line is still not up to
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: par and that could certainly hurt his value, also exposed
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: him to more injuries and just in general, like, I
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: don't think the Giants are necessarily going to be a
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: team that's super super competitive, so they might not, you know,
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: want to give him three hundred carries this year. So
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: it's um, it's definitely a risky play. You're you're saying
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: Danny Dimes can't bring the Giants back to domination. That
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: doesn't sound at all like something that is in reality,
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: because that is going to be an amazing team, because
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: that is a team that Simon and I needed to
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: cover in the last game of the year against the Cowboys,
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: and despite fumbling after securing the game, clinching first down,
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: then recovering the fumble, they did what they had to do.
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: Huge expectations for the Giants. I'm kidding, it's a joke,
• 25:06
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• 26:53
  Speaker 1: one of the biggest debates that Colin Cowherd and I
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: had this past week on his podcast. He is a
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: big believer in the under on the Broncos season win total.
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: I am agnostic. My argument was, I am not going
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: to feel passionate about that one. I think there are
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: so many that we can feel good about. And the
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: Broncos the quarterback battle Luck versus Bridgewater. I kind of
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: feel like Bridgewater is gonna win, and if he does,
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: it gives him a better chance to be over their
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: season win total. How are you handicapping the quarterback battle
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: in Denver? Simon your first I mean, of course, you know,
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: we're hoping it's Teddy Covers That one's that job chat.
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, we love Teddy covers Um. It's our breaking
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: the Broncos. I had them great out as the top
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: four defense right now, and they can move into my
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: top three. I'd like I have to get more data
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: on them and see how they do this year. But
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: this is just a team on paper that every position
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: they are stacked. I mean they're wide receiving corpiers. Just
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: it's incredible how good they're, what offensive weapons are. And
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: just from watching the film last year with Locke, he's
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: just one of these guys that he was terrible most games,
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: then in the fourth quarter he'd wake up and throw
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: for maybe two or three touchdowns in the fourth quarter.
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: But it's one of those where they're not really gonna Um,
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: I can't see them letting that go where I I
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: thought Teddy was gonna be the quarterback. He was gonna
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: win this job pretty easily. But the more I read
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: from these Denver guys, it's like the beat writers, it
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: just seems like they're really going to give it to Lock,
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: like Lock really has to lose this job. So it's
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: one of those where I'm I was gonna make I
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: was gonna bet a decent amount of Bridgewater be the
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: Week one starter. Now I'm not touching it because I
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: do think it's going to be unlocked because it just
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: seems like he's a guy they've invested in. They brought
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: Teddy and just to kind of give him competition to
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: see if they can make him a better player. Samantha,
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: what are you seeing as someone who is living in
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: the area. Yeah, it seems like the Beat writers are
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: going back and forth in terms of one has a
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: good day and then the next one has a good day,
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: and then another one has a good day, and it
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: really just feels like it's going to be a battle.
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: Vegas obviously thinks so too, because they're tied at plus
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: one twenty um to take the first TV snap at
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: this point. I mean, they're just totally different players and
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: have totally different skill sets. Bridgewater has that game manager aspect,
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: while Locke is much more of that gun slinger. I
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: think Bridgewater will keep them more competitive and gives them
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: a better shot at, you know, hitting the over on
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: the wind total, which is eight point five um. I
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: think in terms of fantasy Bridgewater will probably be better
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: for certain aspects. I think Courtland Sunton has a better
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: rapport with Drew lock But for guys like Jerry Judy
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: and No a Fan and probably the running backs, I
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: think Bridgewater is going to be the better bet. Sorry
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: to answer you chat, I'm on the under as well.
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: I'm just uh, I don't know. It's one of these
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: where It's this mainly because of the division they're in
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: where I just have such high hopes for the Chargers,
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: and I just think the Chiefs are gonna achieve, so
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: to me, them in Oakland and be fighting it out
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: for that three four spot. So I'm definitely on the
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: under for this team at eight and a half. Yeah,
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: this to me, it makes no sense that Bridgewater wouldn't
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: be the automatic starter here. Drew lock Uh is a
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: loose cannon um of an arm and a thinker who
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: had tremendous amount of turnovers last year, who was one
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: of the least accurate quarterbacks in the NFL, who um
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: cost his team opportunities to win as often as he
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: would get them back into a game with heroics. They
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: were a common team for us, Simon Tibet because we
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: knew the number was always wrong and it was based
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: on public perception, and yet they still found ways to
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: consistently break our heart. Um. And in Bridgewater, you get
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: a guy who's good enough to take advantage of the
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: talent to take a advantage of Courtland Sutton coming back
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: to take advantage of Jerry Judy, who can probably be
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: superstar in this league. And then and right no a fan,
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: and then like in Vic Fangio, you've got a coach.
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: I am surprised he wouldn't want to have a quarterback
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: who wasn't gonna lose him games. Given how defensive oriented
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: he is, given the fact they'll have Von Miller back,
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: given the fact they've improved their defensive backfield, it makes
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: no sense to me that Drew Lock would even be
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: in this conversation. So I would bet Bridgewater a plus
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: one twenty and if I thought he was, if I
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: thought he was going to start, I'd be a little
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: more comfortable bet in the over. But it's a stay
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: away from me. What do you think that? Breakdown? Folks?
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: We love the Chad you're the best? Thank you? Uh Simon,
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: you think the I love that you knew exactly what
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: I was looking for and you said it in a
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: way that's almost like, Honestly, that's how my kids and
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: my wife say it to me when I am looking
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: for some kind of It's just like, yeah, I just
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: say he's the best and let's move on. Uh So,
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: Jameis Winston Taysom Hill, Simon, you think this might be
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: the best preseason quarterback bet on the board, Explain yourself. Yeah,
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: this one in the myth fair situation. So for here,
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: I think it's one of these where people just love
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: Jamis Um. I love him too. He was just so
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: much fun to watch that year he went thirty thirty
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: like we'll never see that again, thirty year receptions, thirty touchdowns.
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: It's just a magical, magical thing that he did. Especially
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: the fact that he ended that year on a pick
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: six was just, I mean, truly chef's kiss um. Yeah, Honestly,
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: the Winston the more I've watched videos of him and
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: even his interviews, he just seems so much more mature
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: than his time in Tampa, the way he talks and everything.
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: I got him swinging a little bit. But for me,
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: the value is still so insane. Words it's plus I
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: think we gave it a plus two forty um the
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: fact that Taysom Hill could be the Week one starter.
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: So for me, it's one of those where I just
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: see Seanpagne and running to a two systems, a two
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: QB kind of all offense where he doesn't really know either,
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: like he's gonna he's waiting for one of them to
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: win the job. And to me, I could see Winston
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: making the mistakes in preseason or even practice where that
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: he wouldn't be the weak one starter, that Taysom Hill
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: could just be the first series he could be the starter.
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: So there's just a lot of things that point to it,
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: because even I mean the coaches talk in the red zone,
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: Taysom Hill is probably gonna be the quarterback for most
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: red zone possessions. That's how he likes to run that offense.
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: And it's all pointed to that. Just the fact that
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: it's like, should we just talked about Denver without plus
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: one each quarterback to be the week one starter. This
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: feels like it should be the same thing. This feels
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: like a true toss up between Winston Hill. They're both
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: getting paid money. I think Hill is actually making more money.
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: So it's just one of those where it's really interesting
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: where the public perception is everyone loves Winston, so everyone's
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: betting Winston, where no one really knows. Even Shampagne doesn't know.
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: He says an open competition right now. So for me,
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: I still love that value of plus two. It's twenty.
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: How are you seeing in Samantha, Yeah, it's a really
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: frustrating situation. I think Undraftkings right now, Winston to take
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: the Saints first snap is um my this one forty
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: and then no is plus one ten. Uh So you're right.
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: I think a lot of people do think that Winston
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: should be the guy. It's it's frustrating because I think
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: Sean Payton is a literal mastermind with an offense, but
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: it's frustrating to see him also shoehorn Taysom Hill into
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: situations that I don't think necessarily our best in the
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: best interest for the Saints. Um. I mean Hill was
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: the starter with Drew Brees out last season. I think
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: he went three and one in those four starts. Um.
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: But I think that Jamis Winston, especially for fantasy football,
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: gives that team a lot more dynamic, a lot more
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: dynamic aspects. He's going to be a gun slinger. He's
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: thrown for five thousand yards in the past, and that's
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: really going to bolster guys like Michael Thomas and especially
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: Alvin Kamara, who kind of took a huge hit when
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: Taysom Hill was in there. It's a tricky one. So
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: much is dependent on that team and how they perform
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: in that division. It's such a strange division. After the
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: box like are you buying the Falcons? Are you buying
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: the Panthers. I'm gonna tell you we might become an
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons podcast. Just I'm trying are not to be
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: that guy. We're gonna get to the the divisional things. But
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: the more I look at it, the more I'm starting
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: to love Atlanta. Chad, it's bad. Oh my god, Well
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: looks well. Here's the thing. We talked about the Colts
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: and the Titans earlier in the show in the a
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: f C South, and we were both veried down on
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: the Titans for a variety of reasons. But I do
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: think we believed one of those reasons was because Arthur
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: Smith was leaving and he had done a lot of
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: good things with Ryan Tannehill. And if you believe that
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: the Titans are going to be worse because he is leaving,
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: then part of you has to believe the Falcons will
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: be better because of his arrival. And I understand that
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: there's a difference from being offensive coordinator working closely with
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: your quarterback and having Derrick Henry to being the head
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: coach and sort of a team that that that seems
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: to have no hurt. But he's still is a guy
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: who's going to be able to help Matt Ryan and
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: help influence what could be one of the best offenses
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: in the NFL. No, really, it's really there. This same
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: exact team Tennessee was last year was gonna have one
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: of the worst defenses in all football with one of
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: the best offenses. So it's gonna be truly interesting to see.
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: We've seen Matt Ryan his career year was with Kyle Shanahan.
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: We'll see if he can work the magic once again.
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: And uh, if offensive genius can turn Matt Ryan into
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: an m v P again. Samantha, how are you grading
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: Matt Ryan right now? I will say he's another one.
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: I looked at the odds on fan duel to see
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: where he was to throw for the most yards, because
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: I already like Calvin Ridley for most receiving yards, and
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: Matt Ryan was about twelve to one or fourteen to one. Yeah,
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: he's consensus ranked just QB fourteen right now. That's in
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: a tier with Stafford Borrow, Trevor Lawrence, Kirk, Cousins, Jalen
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: Hurts like that kind of vicinity. I think he has
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: a lot more upside than some of those guys, so
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: I'm higher and more bullish on him than I think
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: other people are. I think a lot of people are
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: seeing this subtraction of Julio Jones and kind of what
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: you said in terms of like that team just like
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: lacking direction and heart. Um. But I think that they're
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: going to be a really good offense because their defense
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: is bad too. It's going to keep the offense quite busy.
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: And I'm super excited about Kyle Pitts um from a
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: fantasy perspective and an actual NFL perspective. So, yeah, they
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: lost Julio Jones, but they also got a generational talent
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: Kyle Pitts. We assume, right, we assume. We don't know.
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: We don't know yet, we don't know what he's We
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: can only hope, I hope, we can only hope. We
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: can only predict. That's what we do. But the lack
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: of a heart thing, I think is really a big deal,
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: And it has spanned several different coaches, and I say
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: this as a very specific criticism. The constant has been
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: Matt Ryant. I'm not saying the guy isn't courageous in
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: the pocket. I'm not saying he's not competitive. I'm not
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: saying that he's not incredibly talented, but I do think
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: here's a guy who's not probably not gonna go on
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: the Hall of Fame, yet have end up being a
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: guy with the most yards ever to not be in
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: the Hall of Fame. And throughout his career, consistently this
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: has been a team that overperforms and then all of
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: a sudden underperforms. And we saw that in micro cosmic
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: view in the Super Bowl, and it has continued to
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: be true since they lost that Super Bowl. I don't
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: know how this team ever gets back to the quality
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: of the team that it once was um with him
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: at quarterback. Yeah, and it's it's definitely one of those
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: where I is driving the train that they should move
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: on from him and draft a quarterback and number four, because,
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: like you just said, Matt Ryan, he he just seemed
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: like a guy that put together a couple of great seasons,
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: but he was never a great quarterback. Like it was
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: never really that you feared Matt Ryan coming to play
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: your team, Mattie Ice. So it's definitely interested me that
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: they have an owner who's just so loyal to this
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: guy that he's just gonna keep it keep it going.
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: Where to me, they're in the perfect spot to start
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: to rebuild. So for this is it. I mean, maybe
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: I'll give him another year after this, but it seems
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: like this is one or two years left of Matt
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: Ryan like down there in Atlanta, So he really does
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: need to show up this year. Al Right, last topic,
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: I want to get to the Hall of Fame game.
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: But before we do that, Uh, Samantha, backfield obviously vitally
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: important in the fantasy space. Give me the backfield you
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: are avoiding in fantasy right now? Yeah, the top one
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: that I'm avoiding is the Lions. That's spearheaded by DeAndre
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: Swift and then Jamal Williams and Jamar Jefferson. Uh. Spitch
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: finished is RB twenty and half PPR last season, which
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: is good, not great for a rookie season. Um, but
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: that whole offense, I just think there's a really strong
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: chance that it is not great. It's an anemic offense
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: and he's got a lot of competition. Jamal Williams finished
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: as RB thirty eight backing up Aaron Jones in Green Bay,
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: so that's gonna be a number of touches kind of
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: taken away from him. And then they also drafted a
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: guy in the seventh round, so I think they're also
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: going to be trailing frequently. It's a backfield that I'm
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: not excited about. DeAndre Swift is one of my biggest
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: bust candidates, which is sad as a Georgia fan. Uh
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: do you know why? Do you know why the offense
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: is anemic? They have no receivers and their quarterback is
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: Jared Goff. I mean you could take it literally, but
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: I would say it's because they're too heavy on a
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: diet of eating kneecaps, and everyone knows kneecaps are low
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: and iron. Sorry, I did not realize that was a
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: setup for a joke. No one did. No one did
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: a chat. But I got it there, I got it there.
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: Do you want to put out there? I have the lines.
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: They are one of the top bottom three worst teams
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: in football. They actually have a top five offensive line.
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: So sneaky, sneaky team that has a crazy good offensive line.
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: I don't know which out of those running backs is
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: gonna be good, but one running back is definitely gonna
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: pop there that that's a team that's gonna be able
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: to run the ball because they just have I mean,
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: they seriously have the biggest old line in football, Like,
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: that's what they wanted to do. They just want to
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: have a huge old line and that's what they have.
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: So it's definitely interesting to hear her talk about that
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: because I've looking in drafts tune. I have no idea
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: who to take. They just have three all pretty much
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: the same running backs that do different things though, So
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: it's interesting she that she said that she's avoiding it
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: because I am too. Well, look, we can all agree
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: that other than the Alliance and Simon, you and I
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: have talked about this a lot. You could give me
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: any number on the Houston Texans, and I'm taking their
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: under win total. It's four, right, it's four at four
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: and a half, thank god. But yeah, honestly, if they
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: were a three and a half, I'd probably take it. Uh.
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: How do you feel about their backfield? Oh god, I'm
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: This whole team is a stay away for me. Uh.
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: It's got David Johnson, Philip Flinty Mark Ingram, and Rex
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: Burke Head and there's not one guy in that group
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: even if they were on another team that I would
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: be super excited about drafting. And the fact that they're
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: all together on one team on a team that's kind
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: of rife with dysfunction. We have really no idea what
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: is going to happen with Shaun Watson. He did not
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: report to the first day of padded practice today. Um,
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: so he apparently has some kind of foot injury as well,
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: and then also obviously the looming uh legal troubles. So yeah,
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: that's that's just to kind of stay away from me altogether.
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: Brandon Cooks is the only guy that's like a sort
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: of intriguing thing, but like, who's going to be throwing
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: to him, like Davis Mills. I don't know, that's not
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: exciting to me. Yeah, people please stop drafting Watson. He
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: is not He's not playing like they literally had him
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: out there playing special like defense. It's like a guy
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: that was just staying out there. So it's one of
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: those where, yeah, he says his foot hurts because he
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: can he can't not go there. So basically, the NFL
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: made a rule that if you don't show up, they
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: can find you fifty K and there's no way of
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: the team paying at off. You have to pay it.
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: So that's what everyone's waiting for. Your wait for him
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: to say, you know, my foothhurts, like Okay, just go
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: in the training room every day for the next two months.
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: So it's one of those where he's not playing. Please
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: stop drafting Deshaun Watson thinking you're getting a late round value.
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: He's not worth it. Yeah. I don't think the reporting
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: thing was actually like that big of a deal that
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: he was taking fourth team reps and like you said,
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: he was literally like a stand in defensive back. So
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: not super encouraging. A train wreck of a team headed
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: for a dumpster fire that is situated on top of
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: a nuclear power plant that is melting down. That right
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: there is the Houston Texans franchise, Samantha, give me one
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: more backfield on a team that some of us otherwise
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: might think is a sleeper pick to win the NFC
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: M I assume you're talking about the forty Niners. Yeah,
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: the forty Niners. I think I have a lot of
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: components for actual you know, NFL and winning games, but
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: their backfield is quite the headache. Kyle Shanahan has commitment issues,
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: doesn't love to use the committee to start with, moster
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: can't stay healthy. Um when he's on the field, I
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: think he can give you RB two flex numbers, but
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: they also drafted Tray Sermon and they got Wayne Gallman
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: and Jeff Wilson, a lot of guys and like last season,
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: it was one of the biggest headaches. It was like, JA,
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: Michael Haysey's the guy, and then I don't know Jerick McKinnon,
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: who literally Kyle Shanahan said had tired legs and they
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: were not going to use and then he gets twenty carries.
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: So it's one of the most unpredictable backfields. Everyone likes
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: to talk about the Patriots as like the worst team
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: for fantasy, but the forty Lands backfield is up there
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: for sure. So that's a that's a stay away from me, Simon.
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: Is that why I should be worried about betting the
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: forty Niners to win the NFC West. That's a bad
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: bet as is, but a smart bet if you love value.
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: Chad Um again, hear me out. I'm gonna say a
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: lot of crazy stuff in this preseason, but some of
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: it's gonna hit, believe me. H one Tray Lance, the
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: one m v P Are you with me, Chad one?
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: So I'm literally it sounds crazy, but I did it
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: with r G three who fun fact, Kyle Shanahan was
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: his O C and r G three I believe came
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: third and voting. He won Rookie the Year but became
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: third m VP votes, So I had a nice little
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: hedge opportunity at a hundred of one R three year
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: he made that run, so h one tray Lance because
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: again I think people are drinking the Jimmy G kool aid.
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: Everything I read it out of nins camp, it sounds
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: like tray lance. He's leading the race right now in
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: that QB battle, So I think you're getting really good
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: value there. One I'm in Simon, give me ten gis
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: at a hundred and twenty one on tray Lance to
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: an m v P, I am all in our friend.
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: Is anybody going to bet on the Hall of Fame game? Yeah,
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: so I just checked Vandel then put it up yet.
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: But I love doing like first half bets and it's
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: mainly based on the quarterbacks. So I just saw Mason
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: Rudolph will be the starting quarterback for the Steelers against
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: who cares for the Cowboys? Like whoever is the backup
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: the Cowboys? I promise you's gonna be worse than Mason Rudolph.
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna be taking Steelers first half. The line's
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: on up yet, but whatever the number is, I'll be
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: taking Steelers first half. We already know we're going in
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: on Steelers first half, first bet of the year. I
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: wonder what Mike Tomlin is going to say about that.
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: I love the foss enthusiasm. I MTUs see if we
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: can make what of you guys quit today. It's good
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: to be back, Samantha. Are you gonna Are you gonna
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: pay any attention to the Hall of Fame game? Probably not.
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: I don't even think we're gonna see DC Prescott now.
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: So I think that was a big storyline was that
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: that was the first time we were going to see
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: him after he had a mangled ankle, so it was
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: going to be at least something. But we're not going
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: to see him, and they're probably just not gonna play
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: a lot of the first team guys. So for fantasy purposes,
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: I'm not interested. Um for betting purposes, I guess bet
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: the first half way to go. Now, Samantha is all in.
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: We got a group, are going, Matt Mitchell's gonna come
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: into We're all gonna bet the first half. We're gonna
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: bet the Steelers. We don't care what the number is.
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be Mason Rudolph Fans. All right. This has
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: been the Favorites from the Volume Podcast Network. We will
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: be back on Thursday, me and Simon Hunter. We're gonna
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: start our team by team breakdowns for every team in
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: the NFL, starting division by division. That is what we
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: will be doing in August. You can catch it all
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: on the Favorites, download the podcast from Spotify, from Apple podcast,
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcast until next time, which is Thursday.
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: I Love you, Yeah,