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NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF Championship Best Bets Monday 1/19/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four, I have
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends the slump
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached a
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: new pink. Actually, I'm going to.
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: Burn my browins hack Man, I don't know what is
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: going on with the Bruins arch hape.
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: don't know what data is anymore. But I don't even
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. Man, back with you after
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: the worst day that I could.
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: Possibly have, Back with you, and I always am.
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: yesterday did not go well for me. Own five the
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: doing this. I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: about this anymore. To the slump yesterday, the slump discontinuous,
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: even know what I should do at this point other
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's towed
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: back with you with Toadstool Sports. It is Monday, January nineteenth.
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: It is MLK Day, so there's going to be a
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: lot of afternoon action basketball. They make a big deal
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: lot of it. There's afternoon NBA afternoon college basketball. I
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: don't have a voice, so I apologize mostly from yelling
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: yesterday as we lost right to the gate with army,
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: they could not come through. We went one and one
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: in the basketball play as New Orleans Pelicans got there
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: with the cover kind of close. They were hanging right
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: within that number basically all game. They wound up losing
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: by I believe ten, so they did get there. Oh yeah,
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: I was gonna wear my Zion jersey. I forgot whatever.
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: I'm just too pissed. I'm too pissed about it. Man.
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: The Kings did not get there. The money actually disagreed
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: with me on that one pretty strongly. I don't know
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: what to tell you. I thought it was the right
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: spot to play. The Kings. They went off one and
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: a half, so you might have gotten a better number
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: on It didn't matter or they didn't win the game.
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: They made it closer towards the end and still didn't
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: get there. And then obviously I'm really pissed about the Rams.
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: The Rams, you can never find a three out there.
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: I should have mentioned that you should probably just wait,
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: because I the public was probably gonna start coming in
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: on the Bears to some extent, and the number was
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: gonna drop a little bit, probably, but it was like
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: three and a half abundantly. It never hit threes, So
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: it wound up being a loser, and im somewhat the
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: worst possible way, because the Rams had the bigger lead
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: in the game. They I mean, they started right out
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: with seven to nothing leads, so I'm like, all right,
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: it's looking pretty good for the Rams. They could never
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: get marged, and they actually fell behind once in the game.
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: The game was ten to ten in the second half,
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: and the Rams got a crucial touchdown with not much
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: time left in the game, with maybe three or four
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: minutes left the Rams went back up seventeen to ten
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: in a low scoring game like that, you're thinking that
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: might do it. That might be enough. Then the Bears
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: have a fourth down play from I don't know where
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: they were, like the Rams twenty something with under two
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: minutes to go, and the Bears. I don't know if
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: you saw this play. I quote tweeted it out, but
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: kill Williams ran backwards like twenty yards probably and then
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: just chucked it like a complete prayer. Like people are
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: like saying this is a good play. It was not
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: a good play. And the Rams defender in the end
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: zone ran like five yards back, like back towards the
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: line of scrimmage. I don't know what that guy was
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: doing leaving I think Loveland wide open in the end zone.
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: Who caught it for a touchdown? It made no sense
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: to it. It was one of the worst touchdowns I've
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: ever seen. It was not a skillful touchdown. Okay, like
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: with the game on the line of fourth down, you
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: run backwards twenty yards, that's just stupidity. And then he
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: just got asked lucky that the Rams defender ran away
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: from the guy he was supposed to be defending. It
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: made no sense, absolutely no sense at all. I can't
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: believe they score a touchdown on that, and that's what
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: did it cause they don't score like they don't convert
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: the fourth down play there, the game's pretty much over
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: and you're gonna get the win and the cover there.
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: And then it goes into overtime, of course, and then hilariously,
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: Killer Williams throws an interception. Well, the Rams actually got
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: the ball first in overtime, so that was actually good.
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: So you're thinking you might actually still be able to
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: get away with a Ram cover here because they have
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: to get a touchdown. Well, they don't have to, but
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: if they get a touchdown, I believe if they get
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: a touchdown, then I guess the Bears still have a
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: chance to match it. But the Rams are incentivized to
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: get a touchdown on the first drive. They didn't they punted,
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: so then I think it's just next score wins. And
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: then Caleb Williams throws an interception from like midfield. They
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: probably needed like fifteen more yards and they're gonna be
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: kicking a field goal even though it was in snow
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: and whatever. Williams throwing another crucial interception. The guy is
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: not good. Dude, I'm telling you. And then at that
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: point you pretty much know the Rams are gonna win.
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: They're probably gonna drive on the Bear's defense, but they're
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: probably gonna do it with a field goal. And then
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: they did almost get a touchdown on a couple of
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: the plays on that drive because I'm thinking, well, maybe
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: they will actually like try to get it touchdown here
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: because the field goal is not automatic and snow and
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: whatever like this, especially with a rookie kicker. The thicker
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: kicker mevs. But they got him enough, they got him
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: to a range that was like a pretty makeable field goal.
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: I think it was about forty and he kicked thatf
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: for the game winner. So Rams money line hit. But
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: that's about it. I'm not happy about it. I think
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: the other game was pretty bullshit the way the Patriots won.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: The Texans had not lost by more than eight points
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: all season, and it was all because CJ. Stroud is absolute,
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: Like he's an absolute disaster, dude. Between those two games,
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: I think Stroud himself had like ten turnovers in two
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: games in the playoffs. It's unbelievable. It's got to be
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: some sort of record. He throws a pick six in
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: the game right after they take the lead and let's
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: say Houston's about to maybe seize control of the game. No,
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, Houston's defense did well in the game, and
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: there's nothing that they could do about it. When Stroud
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: is turning the all over on every single possession, it's ridiculous,
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: absolutely ridiculous. Yeah, and that was the name of that game.
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: It wasn't really anything that the Patriots did. It was
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: really which team threw the game away more, and that
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: was Houston. It's crazy, man, and we're gonna see what
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: happens coming into the championship. Games are just ridiculous. Man.
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: It's like the Rams are really the only team of
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: the legit quarterback left really well, I mean, may I
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: guess it's a legit quarterback, but he's a rookie, you know,
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, or a second year quarterback
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: hasn't been in the playoffs before, I should say, so,
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: you know, like there's only one like legit and experienced
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: quarterback left pretty much, and that is Stafford. So if
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: the Rams don't win the Super Bowl at this point,
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: I'll be pretty surprised to me honest. But we'll see
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: what happens when we get there, Jeffrey, what's up? Man? Tyson?
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: What's up? I kind of do the hail Mary? Like
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: it looked like it was a rigged play, Like why
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: would the defender just run away from the guy he's
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: supposed to be defending when you pretty much know the
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: ball is coming in your direction, Like you could see
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: where Williams is chucking the ball, Like it made no sense,
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: Like I'm pretty sure he started running in that direction
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: after the ball was in the air. It made absolutely
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: zero sense. Definitely could be rigged, because I think it
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: helped out the books quite a bit, having having the
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: Bears cover the spread and having the Rams hit on
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: the money line. I think that actually really helped the
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: books because probably more of the public money was playing
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: the Bears on the money line because the public likes
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: that plus money man on these small dogs, that's what
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: they like in these big games. Who are assholes? What
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: what are we talking about? I don't know. Like the
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: rigged aspect of it is. Yeah, it's just bad, all right,
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: let me get into it. I'm gonna have a bunch
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: of players today. I'm gonna have two college basketball hockey
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: to NBA. You might not be able to guess what
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: my NBA plays are, and the market is disagreeing with
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: both of them, and I'm just like, I don't care.
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: I'm dude. This is my handicapping that I've done for
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: a while. This is my situational handicapping. This is where
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: it leads me. And I am going to have a
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: play on the college football Championship game tonight. Please help me. Yeah,
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be one that nobody wants. You already know
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: what it's gonna be. All right, college basketball starts out
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: eleven am. There's college basketball on CBS Sports, and it
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: is not a good one. I'm sorry. In the Colonial
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: I'm always gonna call it the Colonial Conference. Northeastern and Monmouth,
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: I mean they get an isolated eleven am start time
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: on one of the big networks. I mean, good for them,
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: I guess, good for these teams. Good for my Boston
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: guys from Northeastern. I don't even know what to think
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: about this game North the Eastern to just break a
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: losing streak. They beat Elon, decent win. Elon's been decent
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: in the conference, so possible, maybe letdown spotier for Northeastern
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: going on the road to face Monmouth. I think Mommouth
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: is definitely gonna be the favorite in this game. They're
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: actually probably the they're the better of the two teams.
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: Not actually, I mean it's pretty obvious that they are.
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: Monmouth is staying at home. Just took a fairly ugly
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: loss at home to Drexel, although Drexel is of course
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: ahead of them in the standings, whatever, slightly into Monmouth
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: For me in this game, I don't really have much
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: much to lean on in that when the market is
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: agreeing with that. For what it's worth, fifty nine percent
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: of the tickets are on Northeastern, sixty four percent of
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: the cash on Monmouth. The public doesn't really like to
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: lay points with bad teams, and both of these teams
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: are bad, but they also they don't like laying points
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: with below five hundred teams and whatever you know. But
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: those are my thoughts on that game. Espn U has
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: an American East matchup as we have what do we
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: have today? We have Colonial American East IVY. A lot
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: of matt Ac action going on today, matt Action Northeastern Conference,
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: there's a little bit of a ten going on. I've
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: kind of scrolled through that, I mean, I did I
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: handicapped all the games in my head. There's SWACK, there's
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: one Big East game for some reason, there's some MEAC,
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: there's Southland. There are a lot of conferences in play today,
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: man and Big Sky later as well. I think that's
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: all of them. But yeah, all right, but yes, espn
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: U at one pm, I'm gonna cover the TV games
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: at least because people like to bet on what they're watching. Again,
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: I recommend only putting a little bit of money on
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: these games, just for fun, if that's what you're doing.
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: Vermont at Albany, I mean Vermont. They're pretty much always
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: one of the best teams in this conference, and they
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: are again right now. Last year was the first time
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: in recent memory that I really can remember them not
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: winning the conference. They're coming off a not so good
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: win over Maine. Didn't win by that much. Maine was
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: decent in the conference last year, but not this year.
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: I'm assuming Vermont was a big favorite here, so Vermont
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: probably should have won this more easily. Yeah, they were
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: fourteen and a half point favorites and they almost lost
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: the game almost like Mayne was winning the game in
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: the second half. So bad game for Vermont. So they
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: might bounce back here, but they do have UMass Lowell
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: on deck, and as bad as they are, they're one
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: of the teams that's right behind Vermont and the standings,
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: so there is still the chance that maybe Vermont overlooks Albany.
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: Although Vermont might show up again coming off that really
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: bad performance, Albany likely expect them to show up as
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: well because it is Vermont. Usually you're gonna step up
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: for a game against the team that pretty much dominates
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: your conference every year. So Albany beat Binghamton in their
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: last game, which is kind of a local rivalry type
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: of thing, but Albany is the better of those two teams.
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: Binghamton sucks, so I don't think Albany coming off that
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: win is really gonna be They're not gonna be overconfident
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: or anything like that. The money looks like it is
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: kind of indicating on Vermont, although they did drop from
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: five and a half to four and a half, sixty
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets and eighty seven percent of the
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: cash on Vermont. It's a lowish total at one for one,
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: so on a laying the points a little bit more
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: at dicey with a low total like that'll though maybe
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: I should stop thinking that way in basketball, because Houston
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: could have been a winner for me if I just
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: added them to my card yesterday. They had an easy
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: blowout win yesterday, and I did lean that way. That
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: was my second strongest college basketball opinion yesterday. This one,
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: I would probably lean to Vermont because it's the better
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: when you get the better team in what should be
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: a focused spot. That's kind of the way that you
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: want to lean, I would say more often than not,
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: and that is what you're getting there. So that's what
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: I think about that. Drexel is that thousand more Colonial
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: action at one pm on CBS Sports. Drexel not exactly
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: a great team. They are coming up winning at Mondmouth
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: in what I presume was an upset. Oh yeah, they
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: were five and a half point in that game, so
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: they are coming off an upset. Going to thousand thousand
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: has been kind of under the radar. Man. They're not
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: as bad as they look. But they did just get
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: a big win at home against College of Charleston or
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: I guess just Charleston now big win for thousands, so
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: it almost looks kind of like a sandwich for thousand. Actually,
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: they get Drexel here is not really that good. And
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: then on deck they have Elon who's close to the
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: top of the conference. So you can definitely make the
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: argument thousand is in a sandwich here. Drexel is coming
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: off pulling off an upset, though thousand still doesn't really
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: have the record of a team that is going to
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: be a team that you really focus on. But they're
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: better than the record looks. Like I said, thousand's a
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: six point favorite here. For what it's worth, Drexel has
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of the tickets, it's seventy four percent of
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: the cash coming in on them. I mean, it kind
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: of comes down to whether you think Drexel is going
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: to like really have a lot of focus on tousand,
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: or like, do they realize thousand is this good I
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: don't know, or this good for this conference? I guess
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: like Toews is definitely the most underperforming team in this conference,
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: I should say, at the very least. So the money
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: is coming on a Drexel. That's a tough read for me, though,
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: Like I don't think either team is in a particularly
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: good spot. Total's gone up a little bit to a
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: very low one twenty five and a half. Usually low
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: totals are gonna go under, but in that game, I
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: probably would not want to be in an under in
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: that one, to be honest, I could see both teams
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: not being in the greatest of spots, and sometimes that
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: does affect the defense more than anything else. Next game up,
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: we do have. I'll give you an afternoon play here,
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: one of my two plays in the afternoon, and it
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: is in the matt Act. We're gonna go with. I
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: know it's a team whose record doesn't look bad and
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: they're an underdog, so it's a little bit more palatable
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: of an underdog, and I usually like dogs that are
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: that are disgusting and not palatable because I like to
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: fade the public. But we're gonna be on IONA plus
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: three and a half here. I mean, we're still looking
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: at an IONA team. It's kind of middle of the
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: pack in this conference, even though I still think they're
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: one of the more competitive teams in this conference. They've
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: faced a fairly difficult conference schedule so well, at least
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: they faced Seanna and Maras already, so I guess it
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: wasn't the most difficult. But in Mount Saint Mary's on
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: the road is yeah, they're not a pushover at the
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: very least. But look at what Iona is coming off of. Man,
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: they just had their worst game of the season. They
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: lost at Ryder. Ryder is terrible Riders, like the dorm
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: out of this conference. I think they really stepped up
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: their game for Iona. If you dig into the box
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: score here, the one thing that really jumps out is
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: that Ryder had twenty eight free throw attempts and Iwona
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: only had twelve, and they missed more than half of them.
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: So the free throw disparity was really really huge in
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: this game. Iona was behind. I guess it just started
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: chucking up a bunch of threes, although it's kind of
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: what they do anyway, But the fact that they made
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: a bunch of more threes couldn't get them over the
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: hump there. They did get out rebounded horribly, though, which
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: is That's the one thing that's really alarming about this.
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: But I'm still gonna go with Iona here, man, I mean,
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: the free throw disparity to loom large. I think you're
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: gonna get Iona bouncing back here off a really really
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: disgusting loss, even though it is a second straight road game.
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: They're staying in the state of New Jersey for this.
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: You know, they're gonna have focus on Saint Peter's is
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: now suddenly at the top of the conference. And Saint
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: Peter's just beat that same Rider team where I thought
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: Saint Peter's is gonna be in a major sandwich there
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: after they played. They beat Merrimack and Quinnipiac, and yes,
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: Saint Peter's face is a difficult schedule so far, though
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: I don't think Merrimack is as good as they look
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: at record wise. Quinnipiac's pretty legit for this conference though,
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: so is Maris. So Saint Peter's has been those teams.
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: I thought they were gonna be in a sandwich spot
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: against Ryder, but they still beat Ryder by double digits.
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: Rider they're bad Man, and Saint Peter's had Iona and
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: Merrimack on deck. But now I think this is this
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: is a spot where you're gonna get really focused Iona
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: team getting points here in Saint Peter's. There is the
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: possibility they start looking ahead Man to Merrormack again, because
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: even though they beat them once, Merrimack is the one
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: team in the conference that's tied with them right now. Man,
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: so big game on deck. We have a common opponent.
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: These teams just face. So it's gonna look pretty easy
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: to lay a small favorite price with Saint Peter's here.
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: Oh they just beat Ryder by eleven Rider just beat Iona,
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: So of course Saint Peter's is gonna beat Iona, right.
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: I don't think that's the way it works, man. I
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna get a focused effort out of Iona here.
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: Iona is not a bad team. You're actually gonna get
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: four points on this now. But the money looks like
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: it is on Iona based on the percentage of sixty
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets. And again, the ticket percentage not
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: necessarily indicative of like a public side when you look
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: at these small conference college basketball games, seventy one percent
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Iona, and it's now four points
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: spread totals in one forty one and a half, so
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: the total is dropped now. Saint Peter's is the team
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: that likes to play slow. Iona plays fast. But if
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: it's a slow based game and you're asking a team
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: to cover like that as well, like I think it's
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: preferable to be on an underdog with a low total
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: like this in a game where even if it's the favorite,
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: is a slow down team. If you think it's gonna
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: be a slower type of game, points a little bit
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: more at a premium something like that or though again,
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: that type of strategy does work better in football where
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: fewer points are scored, but it is something to consider
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: in basketball, and I always talk about it. But I
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: like Iona due to the spot here. Ken Bom has
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: this being like I think a one or two point
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: line here, So the fact that it's for is a
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: little bit crazy. He's got Iona, he does have them
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: really lucky in the Lucky Index, but he actually has
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: both teams really lucky here. He's got Saint Peter's. Where
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: does he have Saint Peter's that? Yeah, I believe he
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: actually has Iona? Is the does he have that is
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: the better team? He does? He has Iona at two
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: point fifteen and Saint Peter's two forty five, So ken
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: Bum has Iona as the better team and they're getting
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: more than just home court advantage baked into the line here,
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: so there's definitely line value here. He has both teams
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: being very lucky, so that kind of balances itself out,
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: and both teams are actually more defensive oriented as well,
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: though Iona is a little bit worse defensively, I guess,
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: but it's pretty close, and Iona is the better offense,
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: although they play fast. Saint Peter's is a very weak offense,
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: so the biggest disparity between the two teams is actually
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: Iona having the better offense and the defenses are not
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: that far apart, even though yeah, Saint Peter's is a
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: little bit better on the defensive end, but it's I
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: think it's a much closer game than that. So we're
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: gonna be on Iona plus the points there, and again
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: I think you can get four on that. A Sacred
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: Heart is at Rider, and this is an interesting game
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: even though both teams suck, just because both teams are
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: coming off of upsets. Sacred Heart won at Siana and Ryder,
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: Like I just pointed out one against Iona, so I
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: think that kind of balances itself out. It makes it
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: difficult to want to be on either side here because
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: both teams could potentially be in letdown spots. Sacred Heart,
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: I mean, both these teams are really really bad, so
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: I don't even know which way I would want to
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: go here. Sacred Heart broke a long lost streak, so
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: sometimes when you do that, that will give you a
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: little bit of momentum moving forward. Ryder is the worst
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: team in the conference standing wise, and their first conference
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: win was that Iona went Oh but actually my mistake.
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: Ryder actually had another game after that. My mistake, Ryder
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: lost to Saint Peter's after they played Iona, So my
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: apologies there. So actually I would probably lean to Ryder
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: in this game. Yeah, I think that's what I was thinking.
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: I was like, why did I want to talk about
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: this game again? Yeah, Ryder already had their letdown spot
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: again Saint Peter's. Although Saint Peter's is at the top
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: of the conference. Like I said, but Ryder and Riders
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: a little brother in the state of New Jersey to
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: them too. But Ryder couldn't get it done. They're back
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: at home. I would prefer Rider in this spot. I mean,
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: Sacred Heart is almost as bad as Rider, and yet
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: they're laying three and a half on the road. I
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: think that number is maybe a little high. I don't
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: think a team like Sacred Heart like they're so bad.
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know that they should really be laying points
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: on the road against many teams, although Riders really really
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: awful for sure. Fifty seven percent of the tickets on
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: Sacred Heart, sixty one percent of the cash on Rider.
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: I agree with the cash perceensine that one. I would
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: take the points with Ryder both bad offenses too. It's
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: a low total of one forty one, so there's some
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: information on that one for you. Ken Bump does have
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: Rider in like the bottom fifteen in all of college basketball,
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: although he has them also being pretty unlucky, and he
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: doesn't have Sacred Heart that much better. Really Sacred Hearts
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: in the bottom well, bottom eighty or so, and he
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: has them very bad defensively and also unlucky as well,
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: which is interesting. All right. If you wanted to talk
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: about some of these other games, I will, but I'm
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: mostly focused on the TV games and the ones that
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: I thought had certain interest, maybe just better games in
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: conferences or ones that have situations that make sense to
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: talk about. Merrimack at Maris is actually one of the
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: better games in the matt Ac and Merrimack as we
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: saw as seven to one in conference and Maris is
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: six and two. Maris does have the better overall record.
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: You'll see in a minute. Maris is laying a lot
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: of points in this game, man, and it might be justified.
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: Merrimack just beat Quinnipiac that was a big win for them.
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: Now they're going back out on the road, playing a
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: third road game in four games. I mean, they're not
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook Marist, but having to play two huge games
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: in a row like this might be a little bit difficult.
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: I think Maris comes in off an easier game. Yeah,
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: they beat Fairfield at home, they're just staying at home.
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: So Maris comes into this game in the I think
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: more advantageous. Spot just kind of rolling on a four
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: game win streak here. Maris is legit even though they
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: did lose to Quinnipiac. So people might see this it's, oh,
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: Maris lost to Quinnipiac and Merrimack beat Quinnipiac, and you're
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: giving me a bunch of points with Merrimack. It looks
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: really easy to play Merrimac here, man, But that is
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: not what I would do in this game. I would
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: actually lay it with Marist. Maris is up to a
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: seven point favorite here, and you gotta wonder why that's
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: the case when they're below Merrimack in the conference or
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: whatever will the oddsmakers are telling you. As I already
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: pointed out, I think Merrimack is overrated right now. And
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: ken Bum is almost certainly gonna have them high in
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: the luck Index. Yeah, they're his second luckiest team in
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: the country right now. Merrimac is so even though this
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: is expected to be a low scoring game with a
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: total one point thirty three, I would lay it with
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: Marist if I gonna play it. They're up to that
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: key number of seven there though, from six eighty six
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets ninety eight percent of the cash
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: on Merrimack for what it's worth. But it's looking like
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: they might be a public side. I mean, I don't
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: necessarily want to say that. As much as you can gauge,
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: you can't really gauge the public that much in these games,
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: but those are my thoughts on that. On Northeastern Conference
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: in the afternoon, we have Wagner at Fairley Dickinson. This
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: just has kind of an interesting spot I think where
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: Wagner just lost at new Haven, not exactly a great loss,
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: and new Haven's been playing all right this year though
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: they're new to Division one this year, so maybe it's
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an embarrassing loss. For that reason, Wagner,
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: you got to think they're gonna be looking for a
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: win as they've lost four games in a row after
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: winning their first conference game, and maybe Wagner's is not
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: that good this year, but I think the spot for
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: Fairly Dickinson is fairly awful, as they just took Long
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: Island to the limit. Man Long Island is the top
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: team in the conference right now, and Fairley Dickinson also
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: faces the team it's in second in the conference, Central
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: Connecticut at next and Central Connecticut was the best team
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: in the conference last year, even though they got upset
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: in the conference final and didn't make the tournament. That's
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: still a big game on deck, I would say for
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: Fairley Dickinson. So I think Wagner is the right side
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: in this game. I think Fairley Dickinson could be a
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: bit hung over after that game against Long Island. Fairly
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: Dickinson was a big underdog in that game because they're
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: not good. So this game, Fairley Dickinson actually did go
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: from a pick them to one point favorite. But I
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: would be looking to take that point or point and
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: a half with Wagner in that game the way that
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: I look at that situation. And then we do have
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: the aforementioned Maine playing against New Hampshire. Here a New
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: Hampshire is in somewhat of a similar spot though, because
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: they just almost pulled off an upset as well against UNBC.
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: They were and a half point upset, but decent performance
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: from New Hampshire fell just short. They could be in
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: a flat spot coming off of that. They're playing a
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: third straight road game, which is also not easy to do.
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: But again, Maine just played pretty close against Vermont and
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: they're coming back home, which in college does make it
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: a little bit easier when you're back at home. And
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: Maine did lose their first conference home game to Bryant,
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: although Bryant, you know Brian's I don't think they're a
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: bad team necessarily, though, They're not as good as they
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: were last year as far as this conference is concerned
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: at the very least. But when you're a team returning
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: home and you lost your last home game, you do
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: tend to have more focus here. So Maine does have
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: that going for them. But that game against Vermont was
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: big man, and they almost got that upset. So what
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: are we doing this game? Well, I don't know. The
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: market read is indicating on Maine up from one to
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: two and a half year, fifty six percent of the
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: cash on them tickets are even at fifty to fifty.
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: UNH is definitely a really, really bad team, So you know,
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: I won't really disagree with it because I think UNH
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: having a third straight road game makes it a bit
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: difficult for them Maine, at least being back home, there
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: is some indication that maybe they should be focused there,
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: but coming off that big game against Vermont does make
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: it a little bit difficult. So that's a stay away
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: for me. Obviously, we have an A ten matchup on
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports. Well, CBS Sports, Yeah, I guess they switch
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: over from yeah having Colonial to A ten at three pm.
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: They got Saint Joe's at VCU. I mean, it's not
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: It might look like an interesting game based on the
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: team's records because their records are actually pretty close overall
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: end in conference, but VCU is a massive favorite in
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: this game. There's a reason for that. They're way better team.
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: Saint Joe's did just have a nice win over Saint Bonaventure,
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: but they are on a three game win streak, so
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: maybe they come into this with some momentum. They're not
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook VCU, and VCU won this conference last year.
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: They're always one of the better teams in the conference,
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: which they still are. VCU did just end a losing
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: streak by winning at Rhode Island. They're coming back home.
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: Maybe they have some new momentum here. I don't see
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: them overlooking this game either. VCU was a huge favorite.
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: Like I said, they dropped a little bit from fifteen
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: and a half to fifteen. But you know, it looks
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: like such an enormous line based on the team's records.
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: It's one of those lines that kind of messes with
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: your heads. So I would probably prefer to lay it
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: with VCU in that game, but that one's not It's
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: not anything that I want to jump in and touch
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: it anyway. In the Northeastern Conference, that Long Island team
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: that I mentioned, they're coming off that bad performance where
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: they almost lost to Fairley Dickinson, so they might have
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: more focus here against Lemoyne. Although it's not like leam
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: Mooyn is that good. But whenever you almost lose like that,
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: you do usually show up with focus coming into the
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: next game. LeMoyne's not gonna overlook Long Island either, though
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: Lemoyne just beat Chicago State whatever, so I think both
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: teams show up. But again, if you're getting Long Island
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: as the better team in a focused spot, that might
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: be the way to lean, you know. The le Moyne
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: flipped from a one and a half point dog to
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: a pick them. Now looks like the money is actually
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: coming in on the Lemoyne side. But I would somewhat
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: disagree with that, just because I tend to lean towards
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: better teams when they're coming off a scare like that,
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: like Long Island is MacNeice is at Texas A and
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: M Corpus Christie and MacNeice. They just took a loss
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: their second conference losses. They've been a dominant team in
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: this conference man the Saltland, but now they're actually behind
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: Steven F. Austin, even though I think they beat Steven V.
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: Austin already once if I'm not mistaken. Yeah, they did
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: close though at home, but they just lost as a
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: pretty big road favorite at Texas Rio Grande Valley, pretty
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: ugly loss. It did end a win streak for them,
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: but I'm kind of thinking Magnice will bounce back here
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: and show up with some focus after that against A
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: and MCC, who's right behind them in the conference. Down
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: ANMCC has been one of the better teams in the
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: conference recently. An MCC is staying at home, and of
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: course they're gonna show up for this as well anm
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: Corpus Christy. But I would probably prefer to be on
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: the Macneese side in this one. They're laying seven and
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: a half again, a good team coming off an ugly
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: upset loss. But the money looks like it's indicating on
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: A and MCC. But I don't really agree with this one.
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: Sixty percent of tickets on MacNeice, sixty percent of the
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: cash on A and MCC. Might just be maybe some
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: of the money coming in on A numbers play here,
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: like oh MacNeice is is favored by too much on
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: the road or whatever. But I don't know, man, I mean,
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: the oswigers are telling you MacNeice is still the significantly
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: better of these two teams. And the number did initially
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: tick up a little bit with the juice, the juice
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: being a little bit loose on the on the minus
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: seven and a half. There you're gonna parlay the the
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports games with what all the favorites Vermont VC
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: and George Washington. I don't know. I mean, well, you
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: know me and I just in my mind. I just
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: can't bring myself to do any parlays because they don't
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: give you good enough odds on them ever. But yeah,
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you want to do it for TV
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: watching and whatever, I would still recommend straight betting everything,
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: just so if you win more than you lose, you'll
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: still win something. But yeah, I mean, obviously the payout
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: is bigger with the parley, although it's not big enough.
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: George Mason at Excuse George Washington at George Mason, The
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: Battle of the Historical George's one Man against One Man,
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports at five. This game, George Mason, excuse me,
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: George Washington just lost at home to Davidson. I think
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: George Washington was a favorite in this game. I would
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: have made. Yeah, they were nine and a half point
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: favorite and they lost the game out right. So that
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: is the type of team that I want to look
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: to back after they come off a game like that.
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: George Mason as the better looking record. They're a one
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: loss team on the season, but they faced a pretty
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: weak schedule. They did have one big conference win against VCU,
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: but their schedule generally has been really really weak. So
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: I don't think George Mason is as good as the
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: record looks. Yeah, they're at home here. I'm assuming they're
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: gonna be a favorite in this game. They're coming off
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: a winner for Loyola Chicago that wasn't that impressive. They
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: were kind of in a sandwich spot in that game
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: because they had just beaten VCU. They had Washington on deck,
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: George Washington. I don't know if George Mason covered this
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: number or not. They did not. They were eleven and
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: a half point favorites, So Loyola would have been a
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: correct play in that game, which I think I gave
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: that out as a lean on the show. I mean,
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: I have a lot of leans. George Mason has dropped
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: from a three point favorite to a two point five
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: favorite here. The money is coming into George Washington eighty
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, ninety three percent of the cash
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: on GW here, So yeah, I do agree with it.
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: So I agree with Jeffrey on I guess all three
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: of those, you know, I mean that parlay price that
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: you're doing. What are you doing like VCU money line?
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: I mean they're a really hefty money line price, or
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: you're saying you're gonna do a spread Parlay. I don't know,
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: but I agree with all three of those teams on
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: the spread. But I mean doing that is it's of
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: course dangerous, because of course it's it's still when you
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: have three plays, it's still pretty likely one of the three,
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: at least one of the three is gonna lose. You know,
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: it's just the name of the game. Fox Sports one
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: has a Big East game randomly, the only big Conference
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: game of the day at six pm, and oh it's
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: it's a great one between Providence and Marquette. Yeah. When
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: the schedule makers schedule this, they probably thought this was
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: gonna be an interesting game. Yeah. No, both these teams
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: near the bottom of the Big East. They're both not
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: playing well. Providence to just beat Creighton, nice win for them,
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: and now they go out on the road to Milwaukee
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: to play Marquette. Looks like not the greatest situation really
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: for Providence here. They actually played pretty close against Villanova
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: the game before Creighton as well, So I don't really
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: love how it sets up for Providence here. Marquette just
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: lost at DePaul. Now they're coming back home. They've been
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: better at home though in conference play, Like if you
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: look at their home results, they had a fairly bad
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: loss while by nine at home to Georgetown, but other
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: than that, they'll only lost by six to Seaton Hall.
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: They beat Xavier by one all those Xavier's awful, and
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: they came to within three of Villanova at home, so
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: Marquette hasn't been that bad at home. I would lean
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: with Marquette in this one. The money seems to agree.
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: Marquette did drop from one and a half to pick them,
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: but yeah, I definitely prefer the Marquette side here. Providence
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: has fifty five percent of the cat sixty percent of
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: the fifty percent of the tickets. Excuse me on Providence
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: sixty one percent of the cash on Marquette. I agree
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: with Marquette in that game. Now do it? I don't know.
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: I just almost consider wanting to play it. I don't know.
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: Providence only is Georgetown next. Was a nice win for
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: them over Creighton though, although Creighton's kind of middle of
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: the pack, it was a small upset the Providence pulled.
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: I'll stay away, but I do I like Marquette in
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: that one. Okay, uh, we have CBS Sports yet again.
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: At seven pm. They're moving over to the Patriot League
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: with Loyola Maryland at Lehigh. Not a very enticing match
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: up here. Kyle, what's up man? Thanks for hanging out.
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: Uh yeah, I think I started late to nine thirty
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: because I was trying to handicap all the games here.
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: It took me about an hour. Today. Loyola just beat
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: Boston University at home, not a great win or anything,
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: so that might give them some new momentum coming into
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: this game against Leehigh. Lehigh is coming off of playing
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: Navy pretty close, man, and it ended at a wind
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: streak for Lehigh. So Lehigh losing a win streak. Sometimes
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: when you lose a wind streak, you get hung over
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: a little bit and you essentially lose the same game twice.
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: And that was a big game for Lee High. They
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: lost by three to Navy. Navy's at the top of
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: the conference right now, so I would be leaning to to.
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: I would be leaning towards Loyola Maryland in this game.
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: We don't really see any percentages dot on this. Lee
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: High is a five and a half point favorite, which
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: seems a little lee High, let's say a LEI not
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: a great team, although obviously neither of these teams are.
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: But I would prefer the loyal and Maryland Side in
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: that one. Next up is the other bet that I
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: have in college basketball. If you know how I do things,
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: you know where I'm going with this. It's ugly, but
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: we're going with Southeastern Louisiana plus five and a half
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: in the Southland against Texas Grande Valley. Here. Really, the
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: whole scenario here is that Real Grande Valley just upset
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: Macnice Man. That was a monster win for them. Macnice
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: won the conference last two years in dominating fashion. They've
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: been the best team in this conference for really probably
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: three years. Will Wade built up the program. Now he's
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: gone over to NC State, but Magnice is still the
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: best team in this conference, even though they've fallen behind
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: Steven F. Austin. But that was a monster win for
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: Rio Grande Valley. It was almost a double digit upset. Now,
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: staying at home basking in that win, sometimes when you
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: have a big win on campus, you become like the
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: big men on campus, you know what I mean. If
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: you're staying at home, it kind of just gets to
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: your head and you feel overconfidence. So I don't like
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: any of that for Real Grande Valley coming into this,
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: I wish they had a bigger game up next. It's
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: not really big, it's against Houston Christian, but still I
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna be in a letdown spot here. Southeastern
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: Louisiana comes into this game on a three game losing streak,
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: so I think they're gonna be a little bit hungry
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: for a win. I know it's a second straight road game.
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: They lost to MacNeice not that long ago on the
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: road at McNeese, so it looks even easier to play
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: Rio Grande Valley here looking at that common opponent there,
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: But I don't think that's the way to look at
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: this one. I know it's a second straight road game,
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: but at least the travel isn't as bad here. From
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: A and M Corpus Christi over to Rio Grande Valley.
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: I don't think that's a huge travel leg there. So
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: I like Southeastern Louisiana here. Man, they're not the greatest team, obviously,
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: but that's how leaning here. Rio Grande Valley is a
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: five point favorite. Now it looks like, hopefully there's not
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: much of a difference between five to five and a half.
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: One thirty six is the total, so you're looking at
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: a low total here in this one. Now for real
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: Grande Valley, Yes, they're the better team. Ken Bom actually
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: has them unlucky as well, so he has them as
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: very unlucky three in forty six in Locke, So that
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: does indicate the Rio Grande Valley is better than their
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: record looks. They're actually not horrible defense. They're like middle
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: of the pack defense wise, barely cracking the top two
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: hundred rankings wise overall Southeastern Louisiana. They are also better
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: on the defensive side of the ball. Both teams are.
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: They're actually middle of the pack defensively too. They're just
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: horrendous offensively, so they're actually almost as good as Rio
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: Grande Valley defensively, so their defense can actually match up.
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: And they're fairly unlucky according to ken Bomb as well.
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: And they play slow, but I believe Rio Grande Valley
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: also plays slow. I believe is what I was gonna say. Yeah,
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: both teams are in the bottom third of tempo, so
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: it's probably it's likely to be a slow game. As
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: the total also indicates meaning points more to premium. It's
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: harder for the favorite to cover like that, especially in
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: a bad spot like that, So Southeastern Louisiana is the
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: play for me in that one plus the points there,
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: although I think ken Bom might have that line actually
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: being a little bit higher because he has Real Grande
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: Valley so undervalued, So like that might be one of
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: the games where the numbers guys actually might prefer Rio
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: Grande Valley in that game. But me, being a situational guy,
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: I do not. I think it's a strong situation to
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: fade them and what I think is a letdown. Probably
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: the biggest game in the Southland is Steven F. Austin
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: at Nichols. Nichols still doing well in the conference. They're
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: a two loss conference team, but Steven F. Austin is
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: the better of these two teams. They're coming off kind
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: of a close call at New Orleans, continuing their momentum
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: here three wins in a row. Steman F. Austin's only
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: conference loss was a very close loss on the road
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: at McNeice, So they're a legit team in this conference.
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: Man Nichols may not be. Although Nichols, as I showed you,
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: they their overall record is really not indicative of what
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: they really are because Nichols played a really difficult out
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: of conference schedule. Now Steveen f Austin is on a
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: second straight road game, although I think they might be
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: down for it because Nichols is so close to them
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: and the conference standings. Nichols is obviously gonna show up too, though,
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: because they've lost two games in a row. After they
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: got crushed by MacNeice. They lost at home to Lamar Lama.
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: That was sandwiched in there between MacNeice and Stephen at
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: Austin though, so maybe explains the loss a little bit.
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: Stemen have Austin's up from three and a half to four,
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: but the money looks like it's coming in towards the
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: Nichols side. Seventy one percent of the tickets on Steven
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: at Austin and only fifty six percent of the cash.
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: I kind of agree with the market and that one
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: I would probably lean towards taking it with Nichols. They
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: are still, at the very least, there's still the more
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: battle tested team in the spot to me looks a
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: little bit better for Nichols bounce back, but and Semen
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: of Austin might be feeling pretty high on themselves now
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: that they're in first place in the Southland by themselves,
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: So that's those are my thoughts on that. And then
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: we do have one pretty good game in the Big
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: Sky here at eight pm Eastern between Montana State and
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: Northern Colrado. Montana State looking really good in the Big
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: Sky so far, four and one in Northern Colorado, one
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: in five to start Big Sky play. But I still
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: think I think Northern Colorado is way under the radar
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: right now, Like I still think they're one of the
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: top like four or so teams in the Big Sky.
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: So I would not overlook Northern Colorado and Montana State
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: might because they already beat Northern Colorado at home by fourteen.
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: That was a win for us on the show if
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: you remember, because there was a revenge aspect to that
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: from Montana State. Northern Colorado I believe had well. Northern
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: Colorado is the team that I believe they knocked Montana
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: State out of the tournament last year, the Big Sky Tournament,
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: I mean Northern Colorado also I believe had Montana on
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: deck in Montana was the team that won the conference
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: last year and had beaten Northern Colorado in the Big
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: Sky Tournament. In Northern Colorado I think was coming off
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: some big out of conference game too, so it was
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: a great spot to fade them, So Northern Colorado got
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: caught in a bad spot in that one. Tanna State
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: facing them for the second time, might actually look past them,
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: especially because Montana State just beat Montana big win. I mean,
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: it's a rivalry. Those teams don't like each other in
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: Montana of course, had the upper hand last year and
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: won the conference, so that was a big win for
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: Montana State. Northern Colorado again, they're playing so poorly that
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: you might actually overlook them, and Montana State doesn't. They
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: have Idaho State next. They're kind of in the middle
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: of the pack team in the conference. But still I
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: could see on Northern Colorado being the team that gets
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: up for this game more. They need to win badly, man.
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: They faced a difficult conference schedule though, Yeah, and Colorado
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: was the game before that Montana State game. By the way,
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado actually beat Colorado in that game on the road,
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: so they were in a major sandwich spot in that game,
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: I thought, and that's why we got the win on
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: that with Montana State. On Northern Colorado, they've actually they're
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: not a horrible team, man. I mean, they have a
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: loss by one to Saint Thomas and they're in the
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: out of conference than they played Texas Tech on the
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: Roads within eleven. That's not bad, man. So yeah, Northern Colorado,
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: I think they're way under the raidar and now they're
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: coming off a disgustingly bad loss to Sacramento State. I
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: mean that is awful. Sacramento State near the bottom of
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: the conference. Horrible loss there. Northern Colorado was definitely a
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: favorite in that game, losing an overtime to a bad
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: team like that, and Northern Colorado had the lead most
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: of the game, I think, and somehow lost. They were
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: six and a half point favorites. Yeah, look at how
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: they lost, man. Sacramento State had thirty four free throw
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: attempts in the game, so Northern Colorado's thirteen. You have
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: to be kidding me. They had twenty one more free
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: throw attempts in the game. That's absolutely ridiculous. And Northern
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: Colorado shot somewhat poorly from three point range in the
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: game too, But they also had the bigger lead in
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: the game Northern Colorado did with an eighteen point lead
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: and couldn't finish the game off. I think maybe they
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: started looking ahead to this game or something. I don't know, man,
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: But if you look at their other conference losses, they
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: played all the best teams in the conference. Man. They
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: played Montana State on the road, Montana on the road,
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: gotta win against Idaho State at home. They played Weber
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: State is not really that bad, and lost to Portland State,
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: who still hasn't lost in the conference, lost to them
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: on the road. All the Portland States faced a weak
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: conference schedule. But still, I think Northern Colorado is way
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: undervalued here, Man, did I talk myself into a play here?
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: I might have Northern Colorado dropped from three to one
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: and a half. It's like, dude, I don't even know
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: how that's how could the line be like that? Hold
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: on ken Bumstill is Northern Colorado at one hundred and
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: seventy ah in the country. They're not very good defensively,
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: they play on the faster side. Let me see, they're
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: pretty low in his luck index, meaning that they're probably
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an undervalued commodity. Montana. Where does
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: he have Montana's He has them better than Monte He
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: does not have them better than Montana State, though, but
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: he doesn't have a wide disparity between the two. He's
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: got Montana State being a slow ten boot team. Montana
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: State is a very unlucky team. Montana State is a
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: much more balanced team. Let me see, Northern Colorado's better
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: offensively and worse defensively, and they play fast, so maybe
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: they'll be able to speed this up and throw Montana
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: State out of the relevant here and then by ken
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: Bumman he has Northern Colorado winning by two. But I
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: would say, by Ken bump so you get these numbers man,
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: thirty bucks a year or whatever, it's not bad. You know,
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado is just so under the radar right now.
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: Montana State's coming up such a big win against Montana
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: and Northern Colorado just hasn't gotten anything right yet. I
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: think we should do it. I think it's gonna be
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: a money line play. Let me see, we're gonna have
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: a third play here. You can lay the one and
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: a half here or money line minus one twenty five. Yeah,
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: let's do it. Hopefully you can find a decent money
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: line that's its Caesars. It looks like DraftKings as minus
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: one thirty for what it's worth. Although I recommend having
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: as many books as possible man at your disposal, so
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: that'll be a money line play. We're adding it on
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado. Lots of basketball plays today. Man, there you go,
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: three basketball plays. This is the later one for you,
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado money line. All right, now, let's see and
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: what are these themes overall records look like? Let me see. Yeah,
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado still actually has the better overall record, but yeah,
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: I look Northern Colorado there. And then we do have
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: a CBS Sports game at nine pm some for some
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: reason between nca and T and Hampton, which I was
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: saying that was a MEAC game. There are some other
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: MEAC games today, I think, but I think this one
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: is a Actually Norfolk State is playing, but they're playing
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: an out of conference game and out of division one game. Actually,
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: I forgot Hampton and NCAAT. I'm used to them being
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: MEAC because they think they both used to be MEAC,
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: but they're both in the Colonial now on NCI and
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: T coming off losing to William and Mary fairly close
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: on the road, only losing by eight, so they played competitively.
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: NCAAT has actually had some competitive results in this conference,
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: even though they've lost every game. They've actually faced a
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: difficult conference schedule so far. Hampton just had a close
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: call at College of Charleston, so I would probably fade
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: Hampton here. Man, it looks like the spot is worse
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: for them coming off that pretty big game against Charleston.
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: NCAA T to me, looks like they're a little bit
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: under the race. Hampton is a five and a half
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: point favorite, so the oddsbeaker is still telling you they're
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: the better team, but the line has dropped a little bit.
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: I would probably take the points with NCA and T
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: in that one in that late game. But uh, that's that's,
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: you know, a bit out of my wheelhouse. Let's say, wait,
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: they're probat of the Jeff, what's up man? They're part
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: of a scandal. What were we talking about? Is there
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: a gambling scandal? Oh? Yeah, I think you're right. They've
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: been involved in like a gambling scandal. I don't know
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: if that's the case. I don't really want to touch them.
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: I'd have to read into what's going on with them.
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: Sometimes when you get over that scandal, you like start
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: playing better because then you can just forget about it.
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: You can focus on the game. You don't have players
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: that are point shaving and whatever. But yeah, I don't know. Man,
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: we'll have to We'll have to see there. All right,
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: let's go to well, we'll go to hockey. I need
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: to get more water here. I'm gonna have two hockey
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: plays here, and if you know how a handicapped, you
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: might know what the plays are. I'm gonna do that
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: in a second. Let me get more water real quick. Here.
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: It's the intermission time. Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself.
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: We are on OWN seven run over the last two
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: days after tonight it was just complete bullshit. So that's
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: that's I'm going to start off this show horrible Sunday
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: one and five. I don't even know what to tell
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: you about that. I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: slump continuing, two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: OWN four that have not had a good season. Man
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: with wickends slump that I'm on and the slump continues,
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: my brow in tack man. I don't know what is
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: going on with the brow and arch epe is that
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: what it is? I don't even know it's It's March ninth.
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: I think who even knows, Man, I don't know what
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: day it is anymore. But I don't even know what
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: day it is.
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: Anymore, Man, back with you after the worst day that
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: I could possibly have, Back with you as I always
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: am until I die, at least oh and two yesterday
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: and yesterday it did not go well for me. Own
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: five the worst month that I've ever had in my
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: eighteen years doing this.
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: To the slumps, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point other than potentially end
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: it all. Good to know. Uh So they covered the
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: first game after the news what other teams are involved?
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: And I don't even know. But yeah, sometimes when you
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: you get rid of the players that were doing it
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: or whatever, the team starts playing better. Actually, so kind
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: of an interesting phenomenon. I mean, I don't know how
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: often it's really happened. I mean, I know the last
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: team I remember was New Orleans was doing it last
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: year and their season was a lot worse than it
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: probably should have been because of it. And now this
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: season they're at least away from that, and they're having
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: like an okay season at the very least all right hockey.
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: Change of gears here, we have some afternoon hockey on TNT.
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: There's a doubleheader on TNT, both games in the afternoon
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: one thirty pm. We have Buffalo at Carolina. Pretty interesting game,
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: I guess. I mean, Buffalo's been playing better than expected recently.
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: They are coming out of an overtime loss in Minnesota,
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: so kind of a difficult loss there. But they are
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip. They're probably not gonna overlook Carolina.
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: Starting a road trip usually your focus. You want to
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: get the road trip off on the right foot. But
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: they are gonna have to play a few really pretty
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: big games in a row because they played well a
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: bunch of big games. They played Florida, Philadelphia, Montreal, then Minnesota,
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: and they played well in the Minnesota game. But I
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: think I remember I liked Minnesota in that game, and
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: they did get it done, but barely so. But now
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: carrying well, not momentum really, but now going out on
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: the road. Usually first game of the road trip is
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: usually a positive spot. Though Carolina, they did just beat
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: New Jersey on the road, in what I thought was
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for them. I don't know how they
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: did that in the back to back with travel off
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: of smashing Florida nine to one, so we had to
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: win on the game against Florida and a loss on
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: the game going against Carolina. With New Jersey. Now Carolina's
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: back home off of that, They're probably not going to
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: overlook Buffalo. I mean, they only play Chicago next, so
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know. It's a tough game to handicap for me.
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on Carolina. They're up for
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: minus one ninety five to minus two hundred sixty five
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets and eighty six percent of the
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: cash on Carolina. I mean, it's interesting because the Oswegers
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: are telling you Carolina is the way better team and
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: to maybe not totally buy into Buffalo's record here. I'm
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: not gonna really disagree with Caroline here. I mean, you
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: probably have to play like a puck line if you
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: wanted to actually do it, though, or judging based on
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: the fact that the total is pretty high and it
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: looks like there is some money actually coming in in
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: the over in the game, maybe Carolina over their team
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: total could be a way to look at that game
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: as well. Buffalo not very impressive from a goaltending perspective,
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: and again the spot doesn't look as good for Buffalo.
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: Looks like they might be tired, even though it is
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: the first game of a road trip. Second game of
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: the TNT doubleheader is also pretty decent. Washington at Colorado. Washington,
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: they're starting a road trip as well, I believe, yeah,
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: they are, so again starting a road trip, usually you
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: are focused for Washington. I kind of like how it
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: sets up a little bit better because they lost the
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: last two games at home to San Jose and then
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: losing by three goals to Florida, So I think it'll
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: be good for them to just leave, get out of home,
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: focus on hockey. So it's not a bad spot for Washington,
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: but they're running into a Colorado team is also not
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: in a bad spot. They're probably gonna be really angry.
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: Colorado's just staying at home. They've lost two straight games
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: and they've been off its Friday, so they had the
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: whole weekend to just stew After losing at home in
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: overtime to Toronto and then losing again horribly to Nashville
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: seven to three. I don't know if Wedgewood is coming
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: back aroun out of the Blackwood was in net in
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: the last game, whoever it is. I think Colorado is
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: pretty much in a bounce back spot here, and I
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: probably prefer them in this game, although both teams are
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: in decent spots, but getting the better team and what
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: should be a very focused spot again probably is the
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: way that I would want to go Colorado from minus
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: two hundred to minus two ten on the money line,
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: though eighty eight percent of tickets ninety four percent of
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: the cash coming into Colorado could look to a could
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: look to a Colorado puck line scenario in this game,
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: maybe to try to get that price down to some extent.
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: All right, next game up is one of my plays,
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: the weird five PM game. The rest of these games
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: are not televised. They're all on ESPN Plus, So again
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: I think it's worth it to have ESPN Plus. You
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: get so many games, dude, a lot of hockey games,
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: a lot of everything. Really. You get a ton of
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: college basketball, which I really like. So I know I'm
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: grandfathered in basically, and I have it through the Disney
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: Bundle unfortunately, but I mostly use it for having ESPN
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: plus when I when I can stomach watching games, but
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh and Seattle, let's go time for the best bet.
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: We're going to be on Pittsburgh in this one. So yeah, Jeffrey,
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: I guess we'll be happy about this. I mean, it's
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: all out the spot, man'. I don't think Pittsburgh is
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: as good as the record looks anything like that. They
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: have a ton of ot losses and whatever. But this
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: is a spot where I think playing Pittsburgh does make sense.
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a shootout loss at home to Columbus,
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: not a very good loss there. They were coming off
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: a big win over Philly the game before that, so
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: maybe kind of a letdown spot. And they played Tampa
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: into a shootout the game prior to that, so I
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: think could have been a bit of a letdown spot.
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: Silovs was in net in that one, so it should
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: be Skinner back in net here, which is probably a
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: better thing, even though I'm not a huge fan of
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: him either, but should be an alright thing for Pittsburgh.
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: But the better thing is they're going out on the
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: road to start a road trip, and as I always say,
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: a lot of times, that can help, like start you
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: some new momentum coming off a pretty ugly home loss.
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: One of the best things you can do is just
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: forget about it. Just go out on the road. And
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: this is not gonna be a late night game starting
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: a Pacific Coast trip. Sometimes if it's a really late game,
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: it can mess with your biological clock. But this game
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: is gonna be over seven eight pm Eastern times, so
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: it doesn't matter that much. It's not gonna really be
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: that bad on their biological clock. And for Seattle, the
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: spot is way worse. I mean, this is a Seattle
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: team that is really not that good, not even as
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: good as their record looks. They're not good. And they're
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: returning home from a road trip that they've been on
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: since Saturday the tenth. So you know what I always
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: talk about when teams were turned on from road trips,
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: and this one went to the East Coast, then into
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: Utah to elevation, and the public tendency is like, well,
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: the team's gonna bounce back now they're at home if
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: they had like a bad road trip. But I don't
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: think it matters if the road trip was bad, if
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: it was good, doesn't matter. Man. The factor remains the
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: same when a team returns home, stuff is piled up
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: to do at home, and sometimes it just distracts you
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: too much. Man, You got to get to it. And yeah,
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: I mean those women, man, women and children, there's such
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: a distraction, especially the women. But it is true. I mean,
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: it's a phenomenon that is it plays out historically, So
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: that's why I do it. One of the strongest phenomena
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: in NHL, NBA, major League Baseball as well. So that's
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: what we're doing here. It's possible they overlook Pittsburgh with
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh not playing as well recently, and the Islanders are
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: the next opponent for Seattle and they've been playing well
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: this season, so there is a possible I look ahead
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: and that's a TV game on TNT on Wednesday, so
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: they might look ahead to that game. Man. So I
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: think there's a horrible spot. And when a team is
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: in a horrible spot like this, in a return home spot,
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: I think it's even worse when it's a bad team
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: like Seattle. So we're gonna go with the Penguins in
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: this one. And the money seems to concur They're out
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: from minus one eleven to minus won twenty six on
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: the money line. Sixty seven percent of the tickets and
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: eighty two percent of the cash on Pittsburgh. I agree
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: with the market in that one, and that is play
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: number one in hockey, No. Nither of the Seven Kingdoms.
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: What is that? I don't even know what that is.
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: I don't think I'm I'm out of the loop in
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: the fantasy whatever. I don't know what we're talking about.
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: Next game up is my next play? All right? Best
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: bets are back to back. We're taking the San Jose
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: Sharks again. Man, there are right to us. Last time
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: they were actually really good to us. I think the
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: last time, right, they gotta win for us. Let's do
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: it again, baby, We're gonna fade the Panthers. So another
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: uh yeah, jeff reapproved game. Probably San Jose is starting
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: a road trip or no excuse than they're not starting
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: a road trip, my mistake. They're in the middle of
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: a road trip. They've had the entire weekend off, my mistake.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: So they lost to Detroit, but they were, you know,
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: in somewhat of a weird spot. There was a back
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: to back. They've beaten Washington the prior day, so you
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: can kind of see why they lost that game. At Detroit,
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: Askarov was in net. You'll probably get into Delkovich back
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: in net here, and he is I believe the better
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: of the two goalies, although they've kind of just alternated
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: between the two and it doesn't matter that much between
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: the two for San Jose. But I think they're gonna
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: be focused on Florida. Man. It's a big game against
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: the back to back returning champs, and now San Jose's
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: had two days off to recuperate after a loss, which
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: usually is good. It's good to have rest when you're losing, man,
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: So that's what San Jose is doing here. I think
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: they're gonna show up refreshed and kind of like this
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: is starting a new road trip almost out. They're down
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: in Florida for the Florida Panthers. I think this is
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: a bad spot. They just had a nice win over
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: Washington to bounce back from that awful game against Carolina.
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: I kind of did like Florida, even though it was
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: a back to back, they had a lot of days
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: off prior to the Carolina game. Florida got the job
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: done even though Tarasov was in net for that one.
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: Now it will be Bobrovski back in Net. They're better goalie,
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: but they've lost three of his last five games, so
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: actually four of his last six, so it's not like
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: they've been that great with Bebrovski and Net. And Florida
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: is returning over from a road trip now. So not
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: only are they coming up that big win over Washington,
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: nice win, they're turning over from a road trip. They've
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: been on since January sixth, so they've been on the
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: road for almost two weeks. They went up to Canada
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: and then they stayed pretty they stayed Eastern time zone,
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: but they went up to Canada. It was a long
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: road trip, man. And it still remains that when you
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: return home from a road trip, you can be a
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: bit distracted. Got to get back to home life. Maybe
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: they overlook the Sharks because there's still kind of a
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: middling team out there from the other conference up next.
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: I wish Florida had a bigger game up next to
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: make this even stronger. They played Winnipeg next, but even so,
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: it's still a bad spot. I think the return home spot,
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: I think it might be a letdown spot of a
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: beating Washington as well. So we're gonna be on San
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: Jose and it's gonna be a split bet, partially on
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: the plus one and a half puck line, partially on
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: the money line. And you can see the way I
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: calculated it here. If you do it based on one
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: hundred fifty eight or so, basically percent of the bet
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: goes on the minus one fifty portion of it on
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: the puck line. So then basically the go is so
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: if they cover the puck line, you're gonna push the
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: bet essentially if you do it this way, so the
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: amount that you win on that is the same that
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: you risk on the money line, which you're putting on
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: the money line to win more if they win that
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: as the underdog. So it's, you know, it's a bit
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: more risk averse way of doing it, but I like it.
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: Florida's dropped for minus one eighty five to minus one
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: eighty three, fifty eight percent of tickets a fifty nine
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Florida. So it's hard to
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: read these percentages right now. But I like San Jose
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: in the spot or I like I mean, I think
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: they're in a positive spot, but I also think Florida
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: is in a bad spot, So that is what we're
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: doing there. I don't know dude, I don't. I don't
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: look ahead like that, Like this is not chess. Will
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: the Flyers win a game this week? I don't fucking know.
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: It depends on what they do every game, depends on
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: what the team did in the previous game. Are they
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: gonna win at Vegas tonight? Probably not Minnesota at Toronto.
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: Let me see, Minnesota just beat Buffalo, that's right. We
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: already talked about that. They won an overtime. They broke
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: a losing streak deson win over Buffalo. But maybe it'll
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: give them some new momentum coming into this however, they
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: do with Montreal next and then Detroit Florida. All those
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: teams are probably bigger teams than Toronto is. Like Toronto
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: just hasn't been that good recently. But Toronto's in a
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: bad spot, dude. Toronto's are turning over from a road trip.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: They've been on the road since last Monday. They went
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: on into elevation, they went out to the Pacific time zone,
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: and they went up to Canada. And on that road trip,
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: they won at Colorado, you know, overtime. They lost at
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: Vegas in a game that they blew in the final
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: three seconds. I want to say, of regulation, and then
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: lost in overtime at Vegas, and then they won an
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: overtime against Winnipeg, so the spot is not good. I
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: would say for Toronto here, even though my concern is that, well,
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: Minnesota is still a team you might show up for
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: because they're good. That's the only concern. They do play
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: Detroit next on TV, so that's a big game as well. Overall. Yeah,
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: I would lean to Minnesota on this game overall, obviously,
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: and Minnesota is only going from what was it, from
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: Buffalo to Toronto, so it's a much easier travel spot
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: for Minnesota to do that. So I definitely prefer in
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: Minnesota here. And of course Toronto returning over from a
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: road trip bad spot that can get distracted. You wind
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: up getting distracted by home life and whatever. Again, my
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: hesitation is that they still might show up from Minnesota,
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: and Minnesota is coming off a big win ish over Buffalo,
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: and they do play Montreal tomorrow and might consider that
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: to be a bigger game, So that is my one
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: concern there really or a couple of concerns, but I
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: like Minnesota in the game. The money seems to agree.
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: They're an underdog as well. Toronto down for minus one
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: twenty one to minus one sixteen, fifty four percent of
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: the tickets, ninety two percent of the cash on Minnesota.
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: Money is on Minnesota. I agree with it, and yeah,
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: you're getting them in a decent underdive price. Although it
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: is it's weird to see Toronto as a favorite. I mean,
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: the oddsbegagers are telling you Minnesota is a slightly better team,
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: but based on the records, you would think that the
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: Minnesota would be a significantly better team, and they're not so.
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: As far as like the numbers are concerned, it looks
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: like almost kind of one of those lines where it
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: looks too easy to play Minnesota. But I agree with Minnesota.
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: The money seems to agree with it as well. I'm
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: never relaxed, man, I'm always on edge. Everything is anxiety.
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: That's that's that's how I am. I can't do anything
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: about it. That's it. I'm not gonna take drugs for it.
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna get all pharmaceuticaled up. Philadelphia is at
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: Vegas here. Philadelphia coming of a loss to the Rangers.
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: They've lost six games in a row. I think Vegas
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: is on a huge win stream. If I'm not mistaken
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: as well. Yeah, Vegas has won six games in a row,
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: so we have opposing six games streaks here. The one
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: good thing for Philadelphia is they're going out on the
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: road to start a road trip, and that's a good thing.
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: When things aren't going well at home, forget about it,
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: go out on the road. They are playing a fourth
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: game in six days, though, all in different cities, so
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: that's not easy because I guess they only had one
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: game at home and now they go back out on
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: the road. I did lean to the Rangers in that game,
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: and I was correct about that. If you look at
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: these losses for Philadelphia, it's two losses to Tampa Bay,
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: then at Buffalo, at Pittsburgh at home, and kind of
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: a bad spot against the Rangers. I mean, some of
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: those losses you can kind of excuse, but you can't
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: really excuse the way that they've lost most of these games,
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: losing by five four three, three three, giving up five
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: plus goals in all five for the most recent five games.
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: That's bad. That's all bad. But maybe going out on
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: the road again, maybe they'll focus a little bit on
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: defense something like that, maybe have a better game. It
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: is not a horrible spot for them, really, though you
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: do have to worry about the rest a little bit.
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: By the way, I forgot to mention, Florida is playing
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: a third game in four day's, all in different cities,
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: so we're fading them in a spot where they're not
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: exactly rested. For Vegas, they're staying at home, although they
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: just obliterated Nashville at home in their last game. They're
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: also playing a fourth game in six days, but most
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: of them are at home, so that alleviates the situation
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: a little bit. They just crushed Nashville. They do start
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: a road trip and play Boston next. Is that really
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: gonna be a look ahead though? I mean, does Boston
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: really command your attention to this point? I don't know,
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: But maybe it's possible they overlook Philadelphia just because philadelphi'sn't
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: playing poorly. I don't know, man, I mean the money
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: is saying Philadelphia in this one. I don't know. I
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: don't really see them winning the game, but I mean
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: the spot is slightly better for them. I guess Vegas
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: down for minus two ten to minus two hundred ninety
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: one percent of tickets, only eighty eight percent of the
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: cash on Vegas. You know, the money is saying Philadelphia
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: Vegas is very public. If you want to do it,
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: I guess Philadelphia puck line is the way to play
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: that game. The total has gone down a little bit.
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: I mean, I could see maybe an argument that, well,
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: Philly's got to focus on defense for once and go
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: under Vegas team total or something, but that seems dangerous
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: to me, just because Philadelphia is giving up a shit
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: ton of goals so many that it seems really really
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: dangerous to do it. So yeah, breakdowns on the weak side. Yeah,
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: this Philadelphia team, I don't think they're good defensively, and
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're good goaltending wise either, So I
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, But yeah, probably if I was gonna
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: play that game, it would be a puck line Philadelphia play.
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: But I really don't want to play that game. The
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: one that I the strongest one that I've left off
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: my card is the is Minnesota. So far, I like Minnesota,
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg at Chicago. Winnipeg just lost a four game win
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: streak overtime lost at home to Toronto. Sometimes when you
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: lose a win streak, it will hang you over into
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: the next game. So that is a little bit of
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: a concern. They only play Saint Louis next, so I
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: don't know, but it is fairly easy to overlook Chicago.
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: The Winnipeg you know, they're just not exactly They're still
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: not really playing that well right now. They have a
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: bad record, so they can't really afford to overlook anybody.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: Chicago is staying at home. They just lost pretty ugly
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: to my Bruins. They've had a horrible home stand, so
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna want to at least try to
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: salvage the last game of this home stand, even though
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: they do have Caroline up next. I don't see Chicago
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: overlooking this game. I would probably leanto Chicago. The money
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: is saying that as well. It's not a strong market read,
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: but it is tickets and cash on opposing sides. At
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: least Winnipeg up for minus one thirty five to minus
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: one thirty six, So the oddsmakers are telling you Winnipeg
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: is the better team here. But fifty five percent of
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: the tickets on them, fifty three percent of the cash
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: coming back on the Blackhawks side. So I'll agree with
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: the Chicago side, but not a strong opinion. Devils at
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: Flames New Jersey at Calgary here, let me see, Devil's
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: just had that bad home loss to color to Carol
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: Lyon excuser, I thought they're in a good spot in
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: that one man. Maybe those extra days off hurt their momentum.
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: I don't know what it was, But now they might
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: be able to get some new momentum because they're starting
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: a road trip and I always talking about how when
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: you start a road trip, usually you start with focus
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: because you want to get the road trip off on
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: the right foot. Problem is, New Jersey does play Edmonton tomorrow,
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: so it's possible they overlook this game because that's a
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: TV game, bigger game against Edmonton. So that's a little
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: bit of a concern there. As far as New Jersey
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: maybe lacking and focus a little bit, Calgary return home
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: in their last game, they returned home from a road
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: trip and they still won against the Islanders. So they
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: did not lapse and focus. They did not fall into
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: that distraction spot. They won nice win against the Islanders.
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: Now do they show up for a struggling New Jersey team,
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: Do they look ahead to Pittsburgh. I don't know. It's possible.
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: I could see Calgary being in a little bit of
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot here at the very least. But the
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: money is coming into the Calgary side after New Jersey
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: went up for minus one sixteen to minus one twenty one,
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the tickets and seventy two percent
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Calgary. You know, it might get
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: to the point where is Calgary really going to be
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: a public side or anything like that. I mean, it
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: doesn't really totally look like it now, but it looks
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: like maybe there's the makings of maybe the market winding
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: up looking that way. I don't know. I probably slightly
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: lean to the Devils in that game because they are
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: still the better team. I still think the spot might
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: be a little bit better than them, but I have
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: my concerns about it. Obviously, Islanders are at Vancouver. The
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: Islanders just took that loss at Calgary. Like I said,
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: now they're going to Vancouver. There have been alternating wins
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: and losses on the road trip here, so if that continues,
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: they should win at Vancouver. Here. The Islanders are the
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: better team. Vancouver is not good. Vancouver has lost a
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: ton of games in a row, though, so they might
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: be in desperation mode trying to get a win. They've
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: lost ten games in a row. They did just most
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: of them are on the road, though, so it was
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: a road trip that went totally wrong. They returned home
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: and they got destroyed by Edmonton's six to nothing. So
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: now they're in a spot where second game back home
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: sometimes it is a better spot, especially when you don't
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: do well in that first game back home. Now you're settled.
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: Now you get some of the stuff you have to
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: do at home out of the way, you get focus
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: on hockey. So I probably actually lean to Vancouver in
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: this game. The money seems like it agrees. The Islanders
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: are down for minus one forty to minus one thirty six,
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: eighty four percent of ticket sixty percent of the cash
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: on the Islanders, so the ticket percentage and less of
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: the money on the Islanders, so the money is indicating
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: on the Vancouver side. I don't disagree with it, really.
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: I think Vancouver is in the greater bounce back spot.
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: After you lose six nothing at home, I mean, I
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna show up with intensity in the next game.
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: And then we have Rangers at Anaheim. The Rangers are
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: of course a better road team than a home team,
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: and they did win to start the road trip, but
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: it was in Philadelphia. Now they have to go out
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: to the Pacific Coast. Sometimes that first Pacific Coast game
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: is a little bit tricky. Even though I usually like
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: starts of road trips and things like that, this isn't
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: one of those. But that first game out west for
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: an East Coast team sometimes it is bad biologically because
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: it's late night biological clock. Maybe not the greatest spot.
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: Although the Rangers, again, they're good on the road. They
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: just ended a five game losing streak. It was a
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: pretty nice win over Philadelphia, though, so does that put
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: them in a letdown spot? I don't know. It might
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: be good because it might break their momentum though, so
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: they might have some new winning momentum now after that.
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: Anaheim does have winning momentum. They did just beat LA
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: twice after beating Dallas. But maybe they overlook the Rangers,
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: man because beating LA. I mean LA and Anaheim they're
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: close by geographically kind of rivals, ish they don't really
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: like each other. Rangers might be a team that you
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: might overlook at this point. And Anaheim plays Colorado next.
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: So based on how this sets up here, I probably
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: have to lean to the Rangers, though the money is
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: not agreeing with that. Anaheim dropped for minus one thirty
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: eight to minus one thirty. But the Rangers have sixty
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: two percent of the tickets sixty percent of the cash
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: on Anaheim. But I would slightly lean towards the Rangers
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: in that one as the road dog. Rangers much better
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: on the road man like I said, although Anaheim's been
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: good at home though anaheims fourteen eight and one at home,
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: Rangers sixteen to nine to two on the road though,
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: so we have both teams on the better side of
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: their home roads split in that game. All right, we
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: got NBA. I will have two plays in the NBA
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: here the NBA. The first game up is at one
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: pm on Peacock, and then there's an NBC triple ahead
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: of where all those games are also on Peacock Peacock.
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: Because it's a streaming service, they can have multiple games
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: on simultaneously. Milwaukee Atlanta at one PM gets the bastard
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: treatment even though Atlanta is the MLK team on MLK Day,
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: but they don't get the NBC billing because it's not
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: a good game. Although one of the games on NBC,
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: the middle one is kind of. It's pretty questionable how
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: good that game really is Milwaukee and Atlanta. I mean,
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: but the one thing about this game is neither of
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: these teams are doing very well. Milwaukee's lost three more
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: games in a row, although two of them are on
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: the road, and those losses were Denver, Minnesota, San Antonio.
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: Those are good teams. Now they've had three days off,
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: so that might help Milwaukee because when you're losing sometimes
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: it's good to just break that momentum, have some rest,
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: focus back on your next game. They do have vokalahom
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: I was sitting next though on ESPN on Wednesday, So
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: that's a big game. Is it gonna be a look
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: ahead I don't know, man, because you can't really afford
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: to overlook anybody when you're losing like this. I don't
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: think now for Atlanta, they just got blasted by the Celtics,
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: but that was in a return home spot, so it
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: wasn't a good spot for Atlanta. Celtics not a team
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: you're gonna overlook. But I think maybe the distractions got
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: to them. Whatever. The Celtics ran away with that game,
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: Atlanta staying at home playing Milwaukee here. By the way,
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: Sam Houser in this game had the most ridiculous stat
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: line that you'll ever see. He's the first player in
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: NBA history to score at least thirty points without attempting
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: a two point shot. Sam Houser never took a two
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: point shot in the game, and he scored thirty points.
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: Literally all of his points came on three pointers, ten
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: for twenty one for three point range, and he never
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: took a two point shot. I've never seen anything like that.
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: That's I quote tweeted. I tweeted it out. I said,
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: that's the whitest stat line that you'll ever see. Man,
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: it's insane. It's so ridiculous. But anyway, Celtics hit a
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: lot of three point winters in that game, which is
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: not out of the ordinary for the Celtics. Now, Atlanta's
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: staying at home. Off of that, they are in a
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: second game back at home, which I think SOB might
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: have pointed this out the other day. So yeah, it
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: should be a positive spot for them, because when you
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: have a bad game that first game back home, you
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: will bounce back more often than not. In the next game.
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: You'll be more focused, you'll have gotten the stuff done
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: you need to get done. At home, But I don't
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: know about this, man. The money's coming in towards the Bucks.
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: Hawks are down from three to two and a half here,
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: ticket sixty six percent of the cash coming in on
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: the Bucks. Some of that might be because the Bucks
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: are the more rested team here. Both teams are in
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: positive spots here, man, So I would probably prefer an
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: under in this game, to be honest. We have eighty
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash on the over percent of
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: the cash on the under. Having rests sometimes makes sense
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: for an under because your offense can come out a
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: little bit slow. To me, it seems like both teams
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: are going to be more focused on the defensive end
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: of things, so I yeah, the under. I would probably
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 1: actually prefer in this game to a side, but the
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on the Bucks plus the points.
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: I see both teams being focused though, so I kind
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: of struggle with picking a side in that game. I
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: kind of slightly leaned to Atlanta based on the situation,
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: but not a strong opinion, and the market does not
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: agree with me on that. I does agree with the
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: under though. The first NBC game, which is also on
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: Peacock at two thirty, is OKC at Cleveland. Oklahoma City
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: and Cleveland. This is a pretty interesting game. Man. It's
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: a good game Oklahoma City to just lose a five game, yeah,
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: five game win streak. So sometimes when a team loses
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: a win streak, it will hang them over into the
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: next game. It could also be a bounceback spot though,
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: because Oklahoma City they're the type of team that you
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: would think that the type of team that does bounce back.
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: But let's look at what they've done otherwise when they've lost.
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: First time they lost against Portland, they did bounce back
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: with a blowout win. The next times they've lost, they
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: lost that game to San Antonio in the NBA Cup
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: and they had a lot of time off after that though.
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: They did have a blowout win after that after a
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: loss to Minnesota, they I think covered the next game
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: against Memphis, but it might have been close. They won
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: by double digits though. But then the last two times
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: they lost, they actually lost the next game as well.
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: So the last two times they lost, they did actually
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: lose the game twice literally kind of, so we'll see
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: in One of those is a horrible blowout loss to Charlotte,
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: which was unbelievable. The other one was a double loss
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: to San Antonio, and we know San Antonio is good,
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: so it's interesting to see how Oklahoma City responds. I
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: could see it going both ways here. I think they
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: will show up though it's a big game, TV game,
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: you know, on a holiday. Cleveland is coming off winning
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: back to back, well not back to back, but winning
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: two straight games on the road against Philadelphia in a
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: span of three days, and now they have a couple
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: of days off, and maybe those days off won't help
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: them because when things are working well, you don't want
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: to have days off. Man, you don't want to have
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: your momentum disrupted. So Cleveland coming up those games against Philly,
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: those were better performances from Cleveland. So I don't know, man,
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: if you're gonna get a focused Thunder team here, I
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: think I would probably have to lean to the Thunder. Here.
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: There's six and a half point favorites, sixty nine per tickets,
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: ninety four percent of the cash coming in on the Thunder.
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: I'll probably lean that way. The market is agreeing with
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: it as well. Looking at the injuries here, we got
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: Garland still out for Cleveland. Strus has been out for
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: a long time, and so is Merril. So really the
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: one that's been the more recent injuries Garland and then
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: Hartenstein is still out for Oklahoma City. It looks like
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: they're actually gonna lose Jalen Williams as well, although yeah,
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: he's actually the more he's the bigger, the bigger of
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: the two, Jalen Williams, the one who's a bigger factor.
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: So they're actually injuries on both sides coming into play.
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: But the Thunder or also the deeper team. So it's
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: crazy that the Thunder could just overcome injuries like that,
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: but that's the situation there. Three pm. Not televised anywhere,
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: You're probably not gonna like this. So we're gonna lay
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: a road favorite here with the LA Clippers minus seven
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: at this Washington team that I just can't get right recently,
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: So fuck them. We're gonna fade them here. But they're
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: a bad team and I think they're in a bad
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: spot in this one. Man, we're gonna play the Clippers here.
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: I know the Clippers have an awful record, Like why
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: would anybody wanna lay seven on the road with an
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: eighteen and twenty three team? Right, Well, the Clippers have
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: been playing better recently since they've figured some stuff out.
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: They've started to kind of coalesce into that team that
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: they were kind of supposed to be. I know, they
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: did just beat Washington in LA by double digits, but
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know if this is gonna be a spot
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: where they're necessarily gonna overlook Washington here and I'm gonna
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: show you in a minute. The spot for Washington is horrible,
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: which is why we're doing this LA. It is a
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: little bit of a concern that they did have the
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: weekend off, which might disrupt their momentum. They do just
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: win in Toronto in overtime, decent win. Their next game
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: tomorrow is only against Chicago, though, so I don't really
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: know that they're gonna be necessarily looking ahead to that game.
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: Washington coming into this game in a terrible spot though,
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: in my opinion. Washington's coming into this with six straight losses,
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: and they're playing a third game in four days, a
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: fourth game in six days, own different cities, so a
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: lot of travel, and they're coming home from a road
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: trip as well. So that's why I'm doing this, man,
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: I think this is a horrible spot for them. We're
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: turning over from a road trip and it's usually even
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: stronger to fade bad teams when they're in a bad spot,
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: like the Like I said, Washington went out to Phoenix, La,
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: like I said, and then Sacramento and then they went
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: into Elevation on Saturday. And what do they do against Denver?
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: They almost won at Denver, and I know it's Denver
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: without Jokic, but Washington was winning this game throughout the
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: second half and then they wound up falling just short
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: against Denver. That's a brutal loss. They were double digit
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: underdogs in that game, and that was their last game.
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: On top of this being a return home spot where
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: you have to get back to home life, you got
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: stuff to do, so it's a hangover spot and a
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: return home spot. I don't like it at all, man.
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: And they played Denver again next although it's not until Thursday.
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: But to me, it looks like a bad spot. Man,
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: even though they did lose to the Clippers on that
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: road trip. I don't like this at all. What was
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: the line in this game? Yeah, it was about right
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: eleven and a half. So the fact that the line
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: is seven here is not way off from that line
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: or anything like that. Again, horrible spot for the Clippers.
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: We will go with or a horrible spot for the Wizards.
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: Excuse me. We will go with the Clippers and hope
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: they can continue their momentum here. They're up from five
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: and a half to seven, seventy percent of the tickets
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: on them, though sixty seven percent of the cash coming
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: back on the Wizard side. You know, I a lot
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: of times that a market read like that will keep
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: me off the game, man, But I'm gonna go with
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: my situational read on this one. I have to kind
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: of figure out because sometimes I'll be like, I can't
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: do it just because of the market read, but the
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 1: spot is just so bad for the Wizards, I'm like,
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: I think I have to do this. So that's the
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: play Clippers minus the points. Can't be afraid to lay
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: points on the road of the NBA. Man, It's the
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: one the sport where that is the case, especially against
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: a bad team and a horrible spot. So that is
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: what we're doing there, dirty sock. What's up man? Thanks
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: for hanging out all right, NBC peacock. The next game
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: up is the one that I don't know why this
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: is even one of the NBC games. Dallas at the
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: New York Knicks By the way, that eleven am game
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: is about to start, so enjoy that piece of crap
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: game with Northeastern and whatever I talked about that at
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: the top of the show did not have a play
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: in it. Dallas. They're coming up back to back wins
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: over Utah, easy wins. Now, it's kind of a weird
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: spot for them having a single game travel spot to
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: go to New York. Kind of weird, but they're doing
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: it with momentum, and I don't think they're gonna overlook
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: the Knicks. For the Knicks, we got to see what's
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: going on with Jalen Brunson, though I don't know if
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: he came back yet or not. The Knicks have lost
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: three games in a row. One of them was a
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: return home spot though, so the Knicks are now in
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: one of those second games back home. So they had
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: a bad game in the return home spot. They lost
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: to the Suns again. Now I think second game back
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: home they might be in a better spot. Here man
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: to show up and do something, because when you lose
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: that game back at home, first game back, as I
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: always say, you get distracted whatever by being back home.
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: You tend to do better at the next game. So
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: I think that might happen here for the Knicks. But
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: the problem is, if Brunson is returning in this game,
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't really want any part of the
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: Knicks if that's gonna be the case. He's questionable right now.
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: He hasn't played since he got hurt in that game
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: against the Kings during the road trip. So if Brunson
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: comes back, it's gonna be a reverse injured player spot,
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: And to me, it looks like he probably is because
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: the line's ten and a half right now, so that
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: seems to kind of indicate that he is gonna play.
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: And if so, I don't like it as much because
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 1: again it's the reverse injured player spot, and he has
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: to get used to playing again. Team's got to get
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: used to him being back in there again. You usually
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: get line value going against that team because usually the
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: line just overreacts to him coming back. And the Knicks
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: are public eighty five percent of tickets, only eighty percent
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them. I'll slightly agree with that.
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 1: I'll somewhat agree with you taking the points with the
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: MAVs in that one. If Brunson's coming back, I think
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: it is, that does make it an actually that makes
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: it a worse spot with less value for the Knicks.
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: Utah and San Antonio is my other play here, and
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: I think this one is also not agreeing with the market,
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: and I don't care. We're gonna play the Utah Jazz.
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: Let's go. Let's go Utah man plus sixteen and a
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 1: half against San Antonio. Utah is coming up those two
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 1: losses at Dallas. They're staying in Texas. At least they're
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: gonna try to maybe salvage something at the end of
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: this road trip here. They did have one win to
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: start the road trip ack Cleveland, but probably gonna want
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: to try to get this one, although I don't think
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: it's likely they're gonna win, but we only need them
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: to cover here. Yeah, I know they're playing a fourth
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: game in six days. It's not really all in different
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: cities though, because they played two games in Dallas. I
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: know Dallas is San Antonio is not really that close
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: of a trip, but in the grand scheme of things,
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: it's not really that big of a trip either. So
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: I like this. You got to think you're gonna get
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: some effort out of Utah here at the very least.
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: Looking at the injury report In this one, Markanen is
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: gonna be outseer, and you know that is a concern.
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: You're gonna get some extra value there because he is
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: one of their best players. He's gonna be out. He
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: hasn't played since the twelfth, so I mean, yeah, it's
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a concern, but it's factoring into
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: the line and whatever. It's not in one of the games,
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: like it's not his first game out, which would be
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: actually better to play Utah. But it's also not like
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: a reverse injured players, a reverse sixth spot where he's
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: coming back or anything like that. But I think San
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: Antonio is in a bad spot here as they just
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: be Minnesota. That was a nice win for them, and
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: they play tomorrow they have an NBC game, not today,
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: they don't, but tomorrow they play Houston in Houston on
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: NBC and Peacock. So I think the spot is actually
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: worse for San Antonio here. I think it's a sandwich.
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: So we will be on the Jazz. The money actually
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: does kind of seem to agree with it. We're looking
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: at sixteen and a half, maybe even seventeen here, sixty
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: four percent of the tickets and sixty nine percent of
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Jazz. The total is a little
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: bit high, which I would prefer taking the points at
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: a lower total game, obviously, but it is what it is.
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: To forty whatever is the total to forty one and
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: a half. I like the Jazz and that one plus
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: the points. It's a sandwich spot for the Spurs Indiana
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: at Philadelphia. For Indiana here, they just got destroyed by
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: Detroit the other day. They're playing a third game in
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: four and a's now, though all in different cities. They
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: do play Boston next, but after getting annihilated like that,
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna be embarrassed and you're gonna show
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 1: up Philadelphia. They're probably not gonna overlook Philadelphia coming in
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: off two losses as well, but they were both against Cleveland,
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: so those are That second one was a tough loss.
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: It was a close loss to Cleveland. They have had
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: two days off, though they were off over the weekends.
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: That might help them break that momentum a little bit.
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: They play Phoenix next, so maybe there is a little
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: bit of a look ahead component there. Overall, I probably
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: lean to the Pacers here. The Sixers are down from
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: ten to seven here, so that might mean the Sixers
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: might be resting some guys today here seventy nine percent
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: of the tickets, only sixty one percent of the cash
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: on the Sixers, So the money is fading the Sixers
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 1: in this one, and I don't really disagree with it.
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: Let me see what's going on. It looks like well
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: and being in Georgia, just game time decisions like they
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: always are. But based on the fact that the line
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: has dropped, I think probably at least one of them
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 1: is not going to play in this game. So that
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: is the uh, the situation there. Phoenix at Brooklyn, Phoenix
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: just beat the Knicks, So right away I'm looking at
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: this and thinking it's gonna be a letdown spot. You know,
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: they're hanging around in New York. They actually had a
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: few big games in a row. They played close at Miami,
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: then they played even closer at Detroit. Then they beat
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: the Knicks, although I believe it was the Knicks without bruntson,
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: but still beating the Knicks on the road. Beating the
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: Knicks for the second straight time in January, pretty big
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 1: man could be a letdown spot. Who they got Philly tomorrow,
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: so it looks like a sandwich spot basically for Phoenix,
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: So why am I not on the Nets here? Well,
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: the Nets have the Knicks next, so that worries me
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: a little bit, and the Celtics after that, and the
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: Nets around a back to back here, so that is
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: what my worry is here. They just went to Chicago
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 1: yesterday and they did get blown out, but then now
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: playing a third game in four days, a fourth game
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: in six days, fifth game in eight days, and actually
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: it's a sixth game in nine days. So that's really
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: what worries me about this, man. It's the amount of
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: travel they've done most of those games around the road too,
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: and it's just a pack schedule that Brooklyn is facing here.
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: So that's my concern with the Nets here. I just
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 1: can't get involved with it. Man. You know, the money's
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: coming in on the under interestingly in this game, because
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 1: I think that it's the type of game that looks
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: like an over type of games. The total is really low,
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: down to two seventeen, so usually you expect these low,
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: low totals to go under. But because there's a reason
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 1: why it's that low. But when teams are in bad spots,
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: a lot of times the depfense gets affected more. The
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: public is really on the Suns ninety two percent of
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: tickets only seventy two percent of the cash on them.
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: They've gone up through that key ish number seven to
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 1: eight now, So I mean, I guess based on the
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: market read, the Nets plus the points are the side
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: to look at in the game. But I just showed you.
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: I just can't do it. Man. It is a bad
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 1: spot for the Suns where they might not show up,
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: but the Nets have played so many games in such
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 1: a short stretch. I can't do it. I don't like it.
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: Cleveland won on an uncontested dunk. Is that more rigging
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: of games going on there? I don't know, man, Yeah,
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean in a case like that,
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: I mean, you obviously have to cont because if they
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: get the dunk, you're gonna lose the game. So it's
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: not like you're, oh, I can't foul him. Well, you know,
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: the worst case scenario is obviously that he just gets
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: the dunk and you lose. At least if you foul him,
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 1: he might miss the free throws. So I don't know,
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: and there might be a little bit of time left
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 1: for you to get a shot off, depending on if
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: it was a buzzer beat or anything like that. My
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: Boston Celtics are the late They're the late game on
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: NBC and Peacock, So the afternoon game and the and
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: the late game are both pretty good games. Boston at
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: Detroit here, the Celtics coming into this game off of
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: destroying Atlanta. Like I said, they do a momentum coming
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: into this one, and I don't think they're gonna overlook Detroit.
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: I think these teams are one and one against each
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 1: other this season so farwards. I think the home team
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: won each game. I believe, but I'm not one hundred
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: percent sure of that. But the Celtics are coming into
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: this with momentum. I don't think they're gonna They're not
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook Detroit or anything like that after crushing the Hawks,
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: like who really cares? Detroit coming into this one off
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: of destroying the Pacers. So both teams are coming off
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: of blowout wins. Detroit staying at home, so the travel
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: spot's a little bit better for them. I probably lean Celtics,
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 1: though the money is coming in that way. Detroit's already
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: dropped from four and a half to three here, so
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: that four and a half I think was too high.
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: I mean, the odds makers initially telling you the Pistons
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: are the better team, but I think these two teams
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: are pretty close power ratings wise, man, believe it or not.
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 1: I know, the Pistons have a really good record, but
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: if you look at what the power ratings guys say,
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: and even now the line is down to three, it's
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are almost at the point where they're telling
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: you these teams are almost even. Piston is getting home
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: court and maybe an extra point or so there. The
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 1: Knicks are the top power rated team in the Eastern Conference.
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: And then I think it's really basically between the Pistons
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 1: and the Celtics. So I don't know, man, a fifty
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: five percent ticket, seventy percent of the cash coming in
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: on the Celtics, I agree with it, although you know,
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: hopefully my bias isn't factory into that. But let's go Celtics,
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 1: I guess. But yeah, that's the way that I lean.
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: It's not a player or anything. And then Miami is
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 1: at Golden State. My first look at this was, well,
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: we're gonna want to fade Miami here. I mean, Miami
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: just beat Oklahoma City after playing the Celtics pretty close,
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 1: and I believe Miami blew a lead in that game
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: too against the Celtics. Celtics bench players came through big
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: in that game. Celtics bench coming through big in a
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 1: lot of these games. Man, So Miami coming off a
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 1: couple of big games, they're starting a road trip, and
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: usually I do say when you start a road trip,
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: you're gonna be focused, but maybe not. It could be
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: a letdown. Spider Man beating Oklahoma City was huge, so
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Although it is still Golden State, it
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 1: is still Curry, it is still the Warriors, so maybe
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 1: Miami will still show up for it. It is the
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: start of a road trip where you usually do want
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: to get the road trip off on the right foot.
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: A Golden State is just staying at home, and they
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: do have momentum right now. They just beat Charlotte in
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: what I thought might be a bit of a let
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: down off of beating the Knicks, but nope, they won
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: easily against Charlotte, So I think Golden State is still
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: the preferable side here in this game. All the Warriors
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 1: are down from six and a half to five and
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: a half here, but seventy one percent of tickets and
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: eighty percent of the cash on the Warriors. You know,
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 1: I'm I'm come. I'm somewhat tempted here, man, I just
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: worried that maybe Miami still will show up in a
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: game against the Warriors. Here. What does the injury report
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: look like?
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 2: Here?
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 1: The other Curry is out? But that doesn't really matter
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: Draymond Green game time decision. I mean he's old. I
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: don't think that really matters. Hero is still out from Miami.
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: That's the one big thing with Miami here. I like him.
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 1: For rose Er, it's he's out with not injury related.
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: Oh you mean he's out with with like being suspended
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 1: for gambling. You mean, is that what you mean? Oh? Man?
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: Uh man? You know, I'm tempted to add this one.
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 1: Like we already have a ton of plays today to do.
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 1: Do I want to add another one on this pack
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: day here. I'll stay off of it. But I do
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: like the Warriors in that one, man. I like the Warriors.
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: And okay, I already added Northern Colorado too. Now we're
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: gonna go to the College Football Championship to finish the
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: show off here, you know, as soon as as soon
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 1: as that last game finished, as soon as that Indiana
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 1: game finished, I was like, man, like, nobody's gonna want
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 1: Miami in this game, and maybe it is a little
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 1: bit misleading. Man, I think we gotta do it. We're
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. We're gonna take the points of Miami.
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 1: Nobody's gonna want to do this. But that's the way
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be, actually making Miami Florida just just to
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 1: it's not Miami Ohio. What they're not in the championship,
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: Miami Florida. There you go, plus the eighth. I saw
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 1: an eight out there. I think the seven and a
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: half's are abundant, so obviously get at least the seven
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: and a half. You're getting the key number here. Obviously,
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: Indiana is gonna be a public side. I mean, there's
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: no question about that. Although I know I've heard some
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: professionals on the Indiana side. I've heard a lot of
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: them teasing Indiana down to just win the game along,
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 1: like teasing them and tying them into like one of
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: the NFL games with the teaser. I didn't hate that,
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: even though generally the rule is never tease college football
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: because the points aren't worth as much a college football,
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 1: but in a championship game where the total is forty
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: seven and a half. It is almost like an NFL game.
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 1: So I don't hate the idea of teasing Indiana down.
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 1: You get through the key number seven and seven three
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: and you get down to one and a half. I
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: don't hate that, but I prefer we're gonna grab the
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 1: points on Miami. Man, We're gonna go with it. We're
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: gonna have some balls. Nobody's gonna want to do it.
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: We're gonna do it. Seventy six percent tickets, seventy eight
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Indiana for what it's worth,
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 1: seventy eight percent of tickets to seventy nine percent of
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: the cash on the over, So the public they're playing
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: Indiana and over here, And I actually prefer the opposite.
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: I don't really want to jump in an under in
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 1: a college football championship, but a lot of them tend
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 1: to go over for whatever reason. Although forty seven and
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 1: a half is so low, nobody is gonna want to
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 1: go under, man seeing that Indiana just put up fifty
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: five points or whatever in Miami put up thirty something
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: in their game, Like, who the hell is gonna want
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 1: to go under forty seven and a half in this game.
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: Indiana covered that number by themselves in their last game.
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 1: But here's the difference, man, as far as the total,
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 1: is that Miami was doing that against a pretty weak
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 1: Old Miss defense and Indiana was doing it against well,
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 1: Oregon's not even that bad defensively. But I'll show you
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 1: what Indiana didn't a minute. Indiana had a lot of
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 1: short drives, they had a defensive touchdown, so their offense
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 1: was it was a little bit skewed what happened in
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 1: that game. And that's actually part of the handicap in
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: this game is that game wasn't what it appeared to
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 1: be so and both these teams are really good in
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 1: the trenches, man, so sometimes that does kind of lend
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 1: itself to more of a tighter game. I think if
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 1: you do want to go under here, I'd probably do
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: it in the first half instead, because sometimes the floodgates
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 1: open later in the game, especially if the game happens
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 1: to be close and then you get kind of back
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 1: and forth going on whatever. But I think early on
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 1: the teams might be feeling each other out, you know,
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: so we'll see what happens. And both of these teams
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 1: are really good defensively, Let's not forget these are two
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 1: top ten defenses. Indiana's like a top five defense in
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 1: college football. They're probably top three both defense and offense,
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 1: and Miami is a top ten defense, and they're probably
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 1: twenty fifth or so offensively. See, Miami's not as good offensively.
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: I know Indiana is obviously the better team. But if
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: you can get this thing and do a defensive slug
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 1: fest and a trench war of some kind, man, I
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: think Miami might be able to hang around within the
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 1: number in this game. Man. That's what I think. No,
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 1: it seems like nobody thinks that way. Even some of
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: the professionals that I've listened to don't think that, but
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 1: I do. Miami is a day of extra rest sol
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 1: though not that that really matters with both teams having
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 1: like a week and a half off. It doesn't really matter. Now.
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 1: If you look at Miami's game against oh Miss, it
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 1: wasn't misleading, dude. Miami outgained them four fifty nine to
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 1: three ninety eight. So in Miami had they lost a
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 1: turnover battle, actually minus won and Miami still was able
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: to win that game. They outgained ole Miss won the game.
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 1: Miami had way more penalty. So that's the one issue
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 1: I guess is that Mario Chrystoball doesn't have his team
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 1: disciplined enough, so they gotta worry. Gotta worry about that.
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 1: They were amazing on third down though, but that was
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 1: kind of the style of game that they played. They
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 1: did win the first down battle, and they dominated the
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 1: time of possession. This is key, dude, Like this was
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 1: the game plan and it might be the game plan again.
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 1: Crystal Ball basically saying, even though a lot of it
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 1: had to do with the fact that they just kept
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 1: converting third downs and continuing drives, but that's what he
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: was doing, Like he wanted the game plan to be
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 1: basically the Jim Harbaugh style, where you want to possess
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 1: the ball as much as possible, which makes your defense
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 1: be more well rested, even though I know Miami has
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: a better defense than offense, but it keeps your defense rested,
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 1: it keeps the opposing offense off the field, and that's
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 1: definitely what you want to do against both Indiana and
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 1: Ole Miss because they were both really good offenses. But man,
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: did they do that well in this game. They had
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 1: over forty minutes of possession in the game against Old Miss.
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 1: I thought it was actually really really good game planning
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 1: from crystal Ball. I know he gets all these he gets.
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 1: There are a lot of knocks on crystal Ball for
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 1: his team making mistakes and key moments, but that, yeah,
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 1: that wasn't really the case in this game, except for
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 1: you know, the penalties, one turnover, whatever. But that game
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 1: plan worked off awesomely. And I know it was against
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 1: an Ole Miss defense that isn't good, so you can
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 1: pick up chunks of yards continue your drives against which
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 1: you won't be able to do as easily against Indiana.
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 1: But still, I think they're gonna try to do that,
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 1: and they're gonna try to slow the game down and
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 1: play a possession game, and that's what you want if
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 1: you're gonna play the underdog here. So yeah, Miami won
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 1: that game. Good game planning. The final score was pretty
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 1: much indicative of what happened in that game. That was
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 1: not the case with this Indiana game. Man. People have
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: now seen Indiana crush Alabama, but I mean Alabama, I
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 1: mean they still have a young coach there that hasn't
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: been there that long. They had a freshman quarterback. I mean,
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 1: you know it was just I'm surprised that Alabama won
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 1: by that much, but it was what it was. This
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 1: Alabama team, they're one of the last teams to get
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 1: into the playoffs. I thought Alabama was still pretty decent,
• 1:45:50
  Speaker 1: like a top several team, but still they just couldn't hang. Now,
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 1: Oregon probably a legit like top three or four team
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 1: in the country, and yeah, Alabama hammered them, or excuse
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 1: the Indiana hammered them in the Peach Bowl fifty six
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 1: to twenty two. And by the way, I was surprised
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 1: Indiana had a ton of fans at that game. Man,
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 1: I guess it makes sense because Atlanta is a lot
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 1: closer to Indianapolis than Oregon is. So or it's a
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 1: lot closer to Indianapolis than it is to Oregon. I
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 1: mean to say, so Indiana they had like ninety ninety
• 1:46:24
  Speaker 1: five percent of the crowd there. That's not gonna be
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 1: the case tonight, by the way, which I'll talk about
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: in the second. But Indiana they'll have their crowd will
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 1: show up for sure, but I don't think it's gonna
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 1: be overwhelming like it was in this game. I think
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be probably more on the Miami side than
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 1: I think it'll be less than fifty percent Indiana fans
• 1:46:45
  Speaker 1: at the game tonight. But look at the game, man,
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: Indiana one. Yeah, fifty six to twenty two in the game.
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 1: But what happened in this game? Well, Oregon actually outgained
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 1: Indiana in this game. Well, how is that even possible?
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 1: How did Oregon outgain Indiana when they lost by thirty
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 1: four points? Well, yeah, that's what I'm saying. This score
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 1: was misleading. Oregon outgained them by sixteen yards. They had
• 1:47:07
  Speaker 1: two more first downs in the game, and they had
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 1: a pretty close possession battle, time of possession battle against Indiana,
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 1: So statistically this game should have been really really close.
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: But what happened in this game, Well, the game unraveled
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 1: basically immediately. Literally the first play from scrimmage was a
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 1: pick six for Indiana, so that basically sort of set
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 1: the tone almost right away. Oregon actually did bounce back
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 1: with a really long, awesome drive to tie the game.
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 1: But then what happened after that, Well, Indiana scored again
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 1: with their like good drive themselves. Then after that everything
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 1: just went haywire. Man. Oregon had another turnover and Indiana
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 1: had a three yard touchdown drive set up by a turnover.
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 1: Then Oregon had another turnover a couple of possessions later,
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 1: and Indiana had a nineteen yard drive that led to
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 1: a touchdown. So Indiana had multiple spers. And then later
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 1: in the game, in the fourth quarter, there was another
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 1: again one that I believe was set up by a turnover.
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 1: Maybe at this point it might have been a turnover
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 1: on downs, So that was the other thing. Oregon just
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 1: was going for it on fourth down because the game
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 1: was way out of hand at that point, so they
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 1: just started going for it on fourth down, turning it
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 1: over again. So Indiana had another drive that was a
• 1:48:22
  Speaker 1: touchdown drive of that one was four yards. Indian had
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 1: a pick six plus three touchdown drives that were nineteen
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 1: yards or fewer. Two of them were single digit yardage drives.
• 1:48:35
  Speaker 1: That's how they put up twenty eight of their points
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 1: in this game. So I would say this is a
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 1: misleading result, man. So yeah, that has me looking towards
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: fading Indiana here. Nobody's gonna want to do it because
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 1: they just look so good. They looked like they look convincible. Man.
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 1: But remember going into the playoffs, people didn't really think
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 1: that going into the playoffs, like more people were picking
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 1: Ohio State and Georgia to win the championship than in Indiana.
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 1: I have Indiana winning it in my bracket, as you
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 1: guys know, over Ohio over Ohio State, I believe. Yeah,
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 1: so yeah, I mean I'll get my champion right most
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 1: likely in my bracket because I think Indiana will still
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 1: win the game probably. I just think Miami might have
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 1: a chance here. Man, looking at all this in Miami
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 1: is the one team that I, like I said, in
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: the trenches that can maybe match up against Indiana because
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 1: the trench battle matters. Man. It gets overlooked a lot,
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 1: like how good are your lines? Well, Indiana has great
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 1: offensive defensive lines, but so does Miami. Like these are
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 1: the two teams with the best offensive and defensive lines
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 1: in college football and they're going up against each other here.
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 1: So it's interesting. And finally, the thing that I was
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 1: alluding to is, yeah, guess where this game is being played.
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 1: It's being played in Miami. It's not at Miami's home
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 1: stadium at you know, at the U, but it is
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 1: in hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. So which is
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 1: I believe the Dolphin Stadium if I'm not mistaken. So
• 1:50:04
  Speaker 1: it's in Miami, so I think you gotta think that
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be more than fifty percent Miami fans at
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: this game. At the very least. It's like a de
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 1: facto home game from Miami here and you're getting points
• 1:50:16
  Speaker 1: like this. Yeah, there'll be in Indiana crowd. Obviously, they're
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 1: gonna travel for it. Like Indiana has not been anywhere
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 1: near this good like in program history. So yeah, it's
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 1: a historical thing. The crowd's gonna show up. I expect
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 1: the crowd to be probably about I would say, like
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent Miami, it would be my guess, even
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 1: though I know it's a home game from Miami, but
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 1: it is the National Championship or whatever. But yeah, I
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 1: think you know, our semi home game. But you know,
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 1: the crowd's gonna be there from Miami for sure. So
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 1: and we don't have to worry about the weather or
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 1: anything like that. Of course. I mean it's in fucking Miami,
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 1: so it's gonna be in the sixties. Looks like it'll
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 1: be fine weather whatever. But yeah, that's it, man. We're
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 1: basically we're fading what I think is recency bias and
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 1: before that Indiana game was played, you could bet this game.
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 1: Prior to that Indiana Oregon game being played, you could
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 1: already bet a number on this game, and the number
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 1: in this game was five and a half and now
• 1:51:13
  Speaker 1: we're looking at seven and a half eight here. So
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 1: obviously the oddsmakers have shifted that line just because of
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 1: what we saw Indiana do in the Peach Bawl. Like, literally,
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 1: prior to that game being played, this line was gonna
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 1: be five and a half and now it's above seven
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 1: and a half. So I think you're definitely getting line
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 1: value on this. It's recency bias. I just have to
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 1: do it, man, like almost out of principle alone. So
• 1:51:39
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. Man. That's the final play there.
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 1: People are sleeping out to go to the bars in Indiana. Yeah,
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 1: I mean it's gonna be crazy. There's gonna be a
• 1:51:52
  Speaker 1: lot of people watching it on Indiana's campus for sure.
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be madness there. Yeah, It's it's a huge game. Yeah, yeah,
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 1: I mean there's middle potential. I don't know, man, I
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 1: don't think I would want to try to middle it,
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 1: to be honest. I mean, I don't disagree with the teaser,
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 1: just because it does kind of fall into a Stanford
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 1: Long teaser where you kind of know that there's value there.
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 1: But I'm just going with like how I read these
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 1: games and how I handicap them and whatever, like you know,
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 1: so I just pretty much just straight at these things.
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 1: I don't know. You know, if you if you have
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 1: a plus eight or whatever on Miami and you have
• 1:52:32
  Speaker 1: a teaser with Indiana tied into it, I'm not gonna
• 1:52:35
  Speaker 1: knock you for it. I mean it's possible that you
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 1: win both for sure, so that's gonna do it. Thank you, sir.
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 1: I apologize for being a dick as usual. I gotta
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 1: get these Instagram videos though, too. I think the first
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 1: game that I have is until two in the afternoon.
• 1:52:49
  Speaker 1: Though two in the afternoon some panic at the disco there.
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: Nine in the afternoon. We're gonna be on. I own
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 1: a plus the points at College of Basketball Destern Louisiana
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: plus the points Northern Colorado money line or lay like
• 1:53:05
  Speaker 1: a small spread, but it's in that range where I
• 1:53:07
  Speaker 1: think the money line is more advantageous. NHL, we got
• 1:53:10
  Speaker 1: the Penguins money line. We got a split bet puck
• 1:53:13
  Speaker 1: line money line on the San Jose Sharks NBA. We're
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 1: laying the points of the Clippers going against the market read.
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: I just think it's a terrible, terrible spot man and
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 1: we're fading a bad team, which I mean a lot
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 1: of times I like to play on bad teams because
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 1: you get live value that way. But not in that case.
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be on the Utah Jazz. So the Jazz
• 1:53:34
  Speaker 1: better get it done for us. Man. We need to
• 1:53:36
  Speaker 1: we need we need to root for Utah. Here who
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 1: do I rote for? What to root for Utah? There
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 1: we go. We're gonna root for Utah Celtic Pride there
• 1:53:51
  Speaker 1: and then college Football Championship. I can't help myself. We're
• 1:53:54
  Speaker 1: gonna be on Miami plus the points balls. Let's do it, man,
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. Let's bounce back. Let's have a
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 1: winning day. We got a lot of plays today. I
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 1: think eight plays. Let's get it done. Peace everybody. Oh
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 1: and yeah, plugs shit, Learn it toad on Twitter, learn
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 1: it to it on Instagram, like subscribe, review boost this channel.
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 1: Let's get it going. We're on audio as well. Listen
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 1: and review over there. That helps Spotify Apple covered in
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 1: Yuke is my Yuke YouTube channel, patroon dot com slash
• 1:54:27
  Speaker 1: learned It Toad for some extra yuke stuff that I
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 1: never get around to. I apologize and then, dude, this
• 1:54:34
  Speaker 1: stuff just I don't know this. All the betting and
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 1: whatever takes a lot out of me. Man, I'm not
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 1: actually putting money on this right now until I free
• 1:54:42
  Speaker 1: up my funds so I can start doing it again.
• 1:54:44
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, I'm giving out the place as if
• 1:54:47
  Speaker 1: I am, though maybe I will put a little bit
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 1: on the on the football game. I don't know, although
• 1:54:52
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's my strongest bed of the day.
• 1:54:55
  Speaker 1: I don't know which one is really though, I don't know.
• 1:54:58
  Speaker 1: I can't decide. And then Loser Cast will be back
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 1: tomorrow night with a new episode there too, so you
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: can check that out too. That'll do it. Peace, happy, happy,
• 1:55:09
  Speaker 1: happy what I consider to be really a fake holiday.
• 1:55:13
  Speaker 1: Don't nupe me, don't nuop the channel. Peace everybody,