Latest / Pod Save America / The Audacity of Pope
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- 1:44Speaker 1: to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 1:46Speaker 2: I'm Jon Lovett.
- 1:46Speaker 3: I'm Tommy Detour.
- 1:47Speaker 1: On today's show, we'll talk about J.D. Vance's global face
- 1:50Speaker 1: plant from Budapest to Islamabad. Trump's new ploy to reopen
- 1:54Speaker 1: the Strait of Hormuz by blockading it, his new war
- 1:57Speaker 1: with the Holy Father, and his blasphemous depiction of himself
- 2:00Speaker 1: as an AI Jesus. How's that for a sentence?
- 2:04Speaker 2: Fucking, what a stupid era.
- 2:06Speaker 1: Then we'll get into the big news in the California
- 2:08Speaker 1: governor's race as horrific sexual assault allegations end Eric Swalwell's
- 2:12Speaker 1: campaign in his time in Congress. We'll also talk about
- 2:16Speaker 1: the latest encouraging sign for Democrat Senate hopes. Gotta throw
- 2:19Speaker 1: some good news in there, right? Then Love It sits
- 2:22Speaker 1: down with our pal Nithya Raman, the LA City Council
- 2:24Speaker 1: member who launched a last-minute surprise challenge to Karen Bass
- 2:27Speaker 1: about why she's running for mayor on a very yimby platform.
- 2:31Speaker 1: How's that?
- 2:31Speaker 2: Yeah.
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- 3:07Speaker 1: friends and subscribe. We're past 50,000 now. And so I
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- 3:19Speaker 2: Yeah, let's go.
- 3:19Speaker 3: Let's pick up the pace here.
- 3:20Speaker 1: Let's pick up the pace. All right, let's get to
- 3:23Speaker 1: the news. J.D. Vance and his New York real estate
- 3:26Speaker 1: duo did such a bang-up job negotiating with the Iranians
- 3:29Speaker 1: in Islamabad this weekend that Trump has ordered a naval
- 3:32Speaker 1: blockade of all Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz
- 3:36Speaker 1: and might resume military strikes, according to the Wall Street Journal.
- 3:39Speaker 1: The 21 hours of direct talks between the U.S. and
- 3:42Speaker 1: Iran broke down over some minor stuff like the fate
- 3:46Speaker 1: of Iran's nuclear program. control of the Strait of Hormuz,
- 3:50Speaker 1: nothing big. Vance, who is just absolutely crushing his audition
- 3:55Speaker 1: as future world leader, sandwiched a quick statement about the
- 3:59Speaker 1: failure of the talks in between stumping for Hungarian loser
- 4:03Speaker 1: Viktor Orban and watching silently as the moral and spiritual
- 4:06Speaker 1: leader of his church was insulted and attacked by his boss,
- 4:09Speaker 1: the president. Here's Vance in Islamabad. We've had a number
- 4:13Speaker 1: of substantive discussions with the Iranians. That's the good news.
- 4:17Speaker 1: The bad news is that we have not reached an agreement.
- 4:20Speaker 1: And I think that's bad news for Iran much more
- 4:21Speaker 1: than it's bad news for the United States of America.
- 4:24Speaker 1: It's quite a good news, bad news there.
- 4:25Speaker 3: He tried that again on Fox today. He was like,
- 4:27Speaker 3: everyone's talking about what went badly, but not what went well.
- 4:30Speaker 1: Right. He was like, you know, no one's talking about
- 4:33Speaker 1: how it's the first time, I think, since the Iranian
- 4:36Speaker 1: regime took power that we sat down for face-to-face talks.
- 4:40Speaker 1: It's like, yeah, why did that happen? Because you bombed
- 4:42Speaker 1: the shit out of them and now they're holding the
- 4:44Speaker 1: global economy hostage?
- 4:45Speaker 2: And also just, it's... It's not good news if you've
- 4:48Speaker 2: had talks, and then the bad news is that the
- 4:50Speaker 2: talks failed, insofar as it's not good news if your
- 4:53Speaker 2: plane flies almost all the way to your destination and
- 4:56Speaker 2: then crashes.
- 4:57Speaker 1: It's just that mountain at the end.
- 4:59Speaker 3: Inputs, outputs.
- 5:00Speaker 2: Other than that, how was the play? Kind of a situation.
- 5:03Speaker 1: Anyway, while Vance was in Islamabad trying to negotiate and failing,
- 5:08Speaker 1: Donald Trump was monitoring the situation with his Secretary of
- 5:12Speaker 1: State and other important figures. Let's take a look. so
- 5:22Speaker 1: there's donald trump in miami hitting on usc fighters.
- 5:26Speaker 3: It goes on he tells that guy he's hot like
- 5:28Speaker 3: two or three times he is.
- 5:30Speaker 2: Hot i'm glad he's confident nice i see a kind
- 5:32Speaker 2: of non-toxic version of masculinity on display a man can
- 5:35Speaker 2: admire another man being attractive without resorting to you know
- 5:39Speaker 2: sexual innuendo that's how i feel that's how i feel
- 5:42Speaker 2: about it in the middle of a high stakes negotiation
- 5:45Speaker 2: over the future.
- 5:46Speaker 3: Oily wrestling match.
- 5:47Speaker 1: Hey, one thing for Donald Trump to be there, uh,
- 5:51Speaker 1: which is bad enough, but we don't expect much of
- 5:52Speaker 1: Donald Trump. Very weird that the secretary of state and
- 5:55Speaker 1: national security advisor and national security advisor. And I realized
- 5:57Speaker 1: he's from Florida, but like just as hanging out with,
- 6:00Speaker 1: hanging out with Trump in Miami at a UFC fight,
- 6:02Speaker 1: you got to get anything better to do Marco.
- 6:04Speaker 3: It's ridiculous. Why isn't Rubio a part of these talks?
- 6:06Speaker 3: Why isn't he leading the talks? Probably because he wants
- 6:08Speaker 3: to stay out of it. Well, too much, uh, Islamabad news.
- 6:11Speaker 2: He's like, yeah, Things are going from Islamabad to Islamawars.
- 6:15Speaker 1: He's like, remember, I'm the guy who got Maduro.
- 6:18Speaker 2: The famous closer, Marco Rubio.
- 6:19Speaker 3: I did that other war.
- 6:22Speaker 1: So Trump claimed Monday morning that actually the Iranians just
- 6:24Speaker 1: asked for another round of negotiations. So who knows? Vance
- 6:28Speaker 1: didn't seem quite as forward leaning on that during the
- 6:30Speaker 1: Fox interview as Trump did. But why do you guys
- 6:34Speaker 1: think J.D. Vance, the closer, as he's known to no one,
- 6:39Speaker 1: couldn't get it done in Islamabad?
- 6:41Speaker 3: Tommy? Three problems as far as I can tell. One,
- 6:45Speaker 3: both sides seem to think or at least say they
- 6:47Speaker 3: are winning. Two, trust. And then three, just major substantive differences,
- 6:51Speaker 3: especially the straighter who moves in Iran's nuclear program. I
- 6:54Speaker 3: think in terms of like the who's winning question, obviously
- 6:57Speaker 3: the U.S. is winning every military battle, as we often do,
- 6:59Speaker 3: but we are losing the broader economic war. And the
- 7:03Speaker 3: Iranians know that they can just kind of wait it
- 7:05Speaker 3: out and continue to increase the economic pressure. And then
- 7:08Speaker 3: on trust, I mean, the U.S., we don't trust the Iranians.
- 7:10Speaker 3: But the Iranians don't trust Trump for good reason. He
- 7:12Speaker 3: pulled out of the JCPOA. And then we in Israel
- 7:16Speaker 3: have bombed them the last time we've been having talks.
- 7:18Speaker 3: So there's not a lot of goodwill.
- 7:20Speaker 1: Literally kills the people that we talk to sometimes.
- 7:21Speaker 3: Literally killed the negotiators often. That's not cool.
- 7:24Speaker 2: And uses negotiation as a pretext to do a surprise attack.
- 7:27Speaker 3: To do more bombing. Yeah. And then the substance, like
- 7:29Speaker 3: Trump wants the Strait of Hormuz open. The Iranians want
- 7:31Speaker 3: to de facto control it and charge a fee. And
- 7:34Speaker 3: then the nuclear program. The U.S. position was reportedly end
- 7:37Speaker 3: all nuclear enrichment, dismantle enrichment facilities, and hand over the
- 7:41Speaker 3: highly enriched uranium stockpile. And taking that position going into
- 7:44Speaker 3: the talks was doomed to fail because Iran has repeatedly
- 7:46Speaker 3: rejected those positions and asserted their right to peaceful civilian
- 7:51Speaker 3: nuclear enrichment. It sounds like they might have proposed a
- 7:54Speaker 3: middle ground. There was a 20-year halt on enrichment activities,
- 7:57Speaker 3: which is interesting because we were always told the JCPOA
- 8:00Speaker 3: was really awful because there was a 10-year sunset. Now
- 8:02Speaker 3: they proposed a 20-year sunset.
- 8:04Speaker 1: But obviously, so if they took it, they could say, well,
- 8:07Speaker 1: we doubled the Obama deal. Exactly.
- 8:09Speaker 3: But the Iranians, we've all seen their 10 point wish list.
- 8:12Speaker 3: It's like control the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, get
- 8:14Speaker 3: the U.S. bases, close them down in the Middle East.
- 8:16Speaker 3: So I think the Iranians think Trump's going to get
- 8:19Speaker 3: bored of this. He's going to taco. He's going to
- 8:21Speaker 3: give up. And meanwhile, the Iranians are like, we literally
- 8:23Speaker 3: have nowhere.
- 8:23Speaker 1: Else to go.
- 8:24Speaker 3: So see you next time. Love it.
- 8:26Speaker 1: Trump did say right as the negotiations were about to happen.
- 8:30Speaker 1: The Iranians don't seem to realize they have no cards.
- 8:32Speaker 1: other than a short-term extortion of the world by using
- 8:35Speaker 1: international waterways. The only reason they are alive today is
- 8:39Speaker 1: to negotiate. Regardless of what happens, we win. We've totally
- 8:43Speaker 1: defeated that country. Do you think that set the negotiations
- 8:45Speaker 1: up for success?
- 8:46Speaker 2: I was struggling with this, just watching all this unfold. Like, okay,
- 8:49Speaker 2: so Vance is going to Islamabad for high-stakes negotiations. Oh no,
- 8:55Speaker 2: the negotiations have fallen apart and now we're doing a blockade.
- 8:58Speaker 2: But wait, the negotiations are back on and it's all
- 9:01Speaker 2: in like, We're allowing like Trump's attention span to like
- 9:04Speaker 2: describe what's happening. And like, oh, you didn't resolve this
- 9:09Speaker 2: intractable situation in 21 hours? Of course you didn't. Oh,
- 9:12Speaker 2: people have walked away, but they're gonna maybe re-approach the
- 9:15Speaker 2: negotiating table. Like that's how these laws.
- 9:17Speaker 3: It's all Subaru dealer. Right, like- Two years to get
- 9:19Speaker 3: the Obama- It was 18 to 20 months.
- 9:21Speaker 2: Right, you're not trying to get to like a clean,
- 9:24Speaker 2: like lease terms where you roll it all in on
- 9:26Speaker 2: the front end. Like it's a complicated negotiation. There should
- 9:29Speaker 2: be kind of complexities to take time to unwind, like, oh,
- 9:33Speaker 2: it's a stalemate, wait, we're back on, and now we're blockading.
- 9:36Speaker 2: I don't know, who knows what the actual strategic logic
- 9:39Speaker 2: is of a blockade, but if anything, it just shows
- 9:42Speaker 2: that clearly they feel as though they need a deal
- 9:45Speaker 2: that's better than what Obama got out of Iran, but
- 9:48Speaker 2: because we fought a war, we have created all these
- 9:51Speaker 2: conditions that require us to give on all these other things.
- 9:54Speaker 2: They have to be in some way compensated, or the
- 9:56Speaker 2: consequences of the war have to be dealt with, and
- 9:58Speaker 2: so what do you have to do to get to
- 10:00Speaker 2: a better deal? You have to find some other place
- 10:02Speaker 2: to ratchet up the pressure and make it harder for
- 10:04Speaker 2: Iran to walk away from a deal. It all just
- 10:06Speaker 2: to me seems like maybe it'll work, but it's an
- 10:08Speaker 2: admission against interest.
- 10:09Speaker 1: The New York Times helpfully reminded us of what Trump
- 10:12Speaker 1: said during one of those Easter events a couple of
- 10:14Speaker 1: weeks ago about J.D. Vance going. He said, if it
- 10:16Speaker 1: doesn't happen, I'm blaming J.D. Vance. If it does happen,
- 10:19Speaker 1: I'm taking full credit. Honestly, like, that's where he's great.
- 10:23Speaker 2: I completely, look, as I say to the team at
- 10:26Speaker 2: Love It or Leave It, I cannot fail. I can
- 10:27Speaker 2: only be failed, and I kind of respect that ethos
- 10:30Speaker 2: from Trump.
- 10:32Speaker 1: A double fail, though, from J.D. Vance after his little
- 10:36Speaker 1: rally in Budapest.
- 10:37Speaker 3: Yeah, it didn't go so well for Victor.
- 10:38Speaker 1: And he said that on Fox News. He was like, look,
- 10:41Speaker 1: we can read polls. We didn't think that Victor was
- 10:43Speaker 1: going to run away with it. He's on a first-name
- 10:45Speaker 1: basis with them. He's like, but you know, sometimes you
- 10:47Speaker 1: just do what's right, which is stumping for an authoritarian.
- 10:50Speaker 3: In Eastern Europe, I guess. Yeah, the kleptocrat in Eastern Europe. Also,
- 10:53Speaker 3: I remember a couple of weeks ago when I think
- 10:54Speaker 3: it was Scott Besson said we were jujitsu-ing Iran by
- 10:57Speaker 3: lifting sanctions on them to increase global supply.
- 10:59Speaker 1: Forgot about the jujitsu.
- 11:00Speaker 3: Now we're blockading the Strait ourselves.
- 11:02Speaker 1: Well, let's talk about the blockade. Trump announced it shortly
- 11:04Speaker 1: after Vance's bad news announcement, which the military then had
- 11:08Speaker 1: to explain is not a blockade of all ships entering
- 11:11Speaker 1: or leaving the Strait of Hormuz, as Trump initially said,
- 11:13Speaker 1: but a blockade of Iranian ports. Trump also said that
- 11:16Speaker 1: other countries would be joining us, but once again, that
- 11:19Speaker 1: hasn't happened yet either, though Israel approves. Tons of questions
- 11:23Speaker 1: about what all of this actually means.
- 11:25Speaker 2: Thumbs up from Israel. That's two BBs.
- 11:31Speaker 1: Even Israel's like, are they helping with the blockade? No,
- 11:33Speaker 1: but they're like, go for it.
- 11:34Speaker 3: We like it.
- 11:35Speaker 1: Keir Starmer's like, we're not getting dragged into that. Tons
- 11:38Speaker 1: of questions about what all this actually means, which Trump
- 11:41Speaker 1: attempted to answer on Monday morning in the most natural setting.
- 11:44Speaker 1: a press event where a self-described DoorDash grandma knocked on
- 11:47Speaker 1: the door of the Oval to deliver the president McDonald's.
- 11:51Speaker 1: Here's how it went.
- 11:52Speaker 4: Do you think that men should play in women's sports?
- 11:55Speaker 3: I really don't have an opinion on that.
- 11:57Speaker 2: You don't? I'll bet you do.
- 12:00Speaker 5: I'm here about no tax on tips.
- 12:02Speaker 4: You're really nice. Would you like to do a little
- 12:06Speaker 4: news conference with me with these people?
- 12:08Speaker 3: These are not the nicest people. They're not nice like you.
- 12:11Speaker 5: You know that, right?
- 12:13Speaker 1: I'll do whatever you ask me to.
- 12:14Speaker 3: Do, sir.
- 12:15Speaker 4: Iran will not have a nuclear weapon, and we're going
- 12:18Speaker 4: to get the dust back.
- 12:19Speaker 3: We'll get it back.
- 12:20Speaker 4: Either we'll get it back from them or we'll take it.
- 12:22Speaker 3: Is it your anticipation, Mr. President, that other countries will
- 12:26Speaker 3: assist in this effort to blockade Iran in those?
- 12:30Speaker 2: Yeah, other countries are going to also.
- 12:31Speaker 3: Which countries, sir?
- 12:32Speaker 4: We don't need other countries, frankly.
- 12:34Speaker 5: Does your threat from before still stand?
- 12:36Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't want to comment on that, but it
- 12:38Speaker 4: won't be pleasant for them, let me put it that way.
- 12:41Speaker 1: Worst delivery ever. Can you imagine? Like, hey, sir, here's
- 12:44Speaker 1: your McDonald's. What do you think about men playing women's sports?
- 12:47Speaker 2: He's like, I don't know, but I have to take
- 12:50Speaker 2: a picture of this in front of the door. So
- 12:52Speaker 2: I don't want to talk about trans, but I do
- 12:55Speaker 2: need to take a picture of this just for the app,
- 12:57Speaker 2: to get this through the app.
- 12:59Speaker 3: Press conference?
- 12:59Speaker 2: Fuck.
- 13:01Speaker 3: DoorDash grandma, it's a very dystopian kind of sad concept,
- 13:05Speaker 3: this poor woman being just like forced to do delivery.
- 13:08Speaker 3: I don't know.
- 13:08Speaker 1: Maybe she enjoys it.
- 13:10Speaker 3: Hopefully. It made me sad. The whole thing made me sad.
- 13:12Speaker 2: If you told, just you sort of shake someone awake
- 13:15Speaker 2: in 2011 and you're like, Donald Trump's going to be president.
- 13:19Speaker 2: He's pretending he's Jesus and accepting McDonald's delivery at the
- 13:21Speaker 2: Oval Office while talking about blockading the straight up Hormuz.
- 13:24Speaker 2: You'd be like, what are, that's a joke. That's a
- 13:25Speaker 2: 30 rock thing. What the fuck are you talking about?
- 13:27Speaker 1: No one believes that.
- 13:28Speaker 3: That's not possible.
- 13:30Speaker 1: So what is happening with the Strait of Hormuz right
- 13:33Speaker 1: now and this naval blockade? Anything getting through? What's happening?
- 13:36Speaker 3: So it sounds like where the U.S. is going to
- 13:39Speaker 3: blockade all Iranian ports and then Iranian-linked ships, not just
- 13:42Speaker 3: flagged ships, but ones that U.S. intel says are Iranian ships.
- 13:45Speaker 3: I think ships going to non-Iranian ports will not be stopped.
- 13:48Speaker 3: So basically the way this works is there's like 15 U.S.
- 13:51Speaker 3: warships in place.
- 13:52Speaker 1: The U.S.
- 13:53Speaker 3: Abraham Lincoln is the aircraft carrier. That's kind of like
- 13:55Speaker 3: the base of operations there. They have these Navy amphibious
- 13:58Speaker 3: assault ships that will deal like with interdictions and boarding
- 14:01Speaker 3: along with helicopter assets. And then you got the big
- 14:04Speaker 3: ass guided missile destroyers, which will like, you know, block
- 14:08Speaker 3: things and push them in one direction or the other
- 14:10Speaker 3: and also do missile defense because they have all the
- 14:12Speaker 3: missile defense systems on them. Then there's some sort of
- 14:15Speaker 3: like mine sweeping and mine hunting operations that'll happen. And
- 14:18Speaker 3: so the question I have is, is the U.S. going
- 14:20Speaker 3: to be providing escorts to all the friendly ships? Because
- 14:24Speaker 3: the average... The average number of ships through the Strait
- 14:27Speaker 3: before this was 130 a day. That's a lot of ships.
- 14:30Speaker 3: That's a lot of escorts. And this is risky even
- 14:34Speaker 3: during the ceasefire because like there's apparently the Iranians have
- 14:36Speaker 3: lost contact with all their sea-based landmines. Not landmines. They're
- 14:41Speaker 3: naval mines that are in the Strait of Hormuz. They
- 14:42Speaker 3: can't account for them.
- 14:43Speaker 1: We don't know where we put them.
- 14:44Speaker 3: You don't know where they put them. You never know.
- 14:45Speaker 1: We kind of did it under pressure.
- 14:47Speaker 3: Yeah. With some IRGC guy might fire off a rocket
- 14:49Speaker 3: or a drone. But if the conflict restarts, like I
- 14:52Speaker 3: don't really see how this works because like It's not
- 14:54Speaker 3: just about the U.S. being able to defend the ships.
- 14:55Speaker 3: It's commercial shipping owners and captains being willing to go
- 14:59Speaker 3: through the strait while they're getting fired at.
- 15:01Speaker 2: Yeah. So you have also Trump threatening to blow up
- 15:06Speaker 2: ships the way that they've blown up ships and the
- 15:09Speaker 2: drug ships in Venezuela. That's obviously indefensible in war crimes,
- 15:13Speaker 2: but those are at least ostensibly their claim is that
- 15:15Speaker 2: they're talking about ships that have drugs on them. This
- 15:17Speaker 2: is just about commercial vessels that they're now threatening to
- 15:20Speaker 2: blow up as well. Then on top of that, I think.
- 15:24Speaker 1: The threat was for, like, because the Iranian Navy has
- 15:28Speaker 1: been destroyed, according to the president, but that, like, if
- 15:33Speaker 1: ships are going through, like, their smaller ships or their
- 15:36Speaker 1: drones could still launch attacks.
- 15:38Speaker 2: Yes.
- 15:38Speaker 1: So those are the ships that they want.
- 15:39Speaker 2: Well, there are multiple, I mean, he said multiple things.
- 15:41Speaker 2: That's one thing he said. He was talking about the
- 15:43Speaker 2: small attack ships. He also made a separate point about
- 15:45Speaker 2: going after any ships that try to violate the blockade,
- 15:48Speaker 2: which I hope that, I have no, he's completely unclear
- 15:51Speaker 2: and the military has been clarifying it. We have no
- 15:53Speaker 2: idea what he fucking means. We don't know how this
- 15:55Speaker 2: is going to be implemented. I hope that that's what
- 15:57Speaker 2: he means, but it's not clear that if a ship
- 15:59Speaker 2: is not listening to a US- Killing everybody.
- 16:02Speaker 4: Right.
- 16:02Speaker 2: Who knows? And then the other part of it is,
- 16:05Speaker 2: are we now saying that we're going to have the
- 16:08Speaker 2: US military board ships that may be hostile? This is
- 16:12Speaker 2: also something that sets up a possibility of a whole
- 16:14Speaker 2: bunch of horrible contingencies. Troops being grabbed, people getting hurt,
- 16:19Speaker 2: people dying in accidents because boarding a ship in the
- 16:22Speaker 2: fucking sea that doesn't want to be boarded is a
- 16:24Speaker 2: complicated endeavor. Who knows where this is going? It all
- 16:27Speaker 2: puts him in a position, if he wants, to escalate
- 16:30Speaker 2: and resume bombing and claim it's because of some incident
- 16:33Speaker 2: that took place on the seas. It's a dangerous thing
- 16:36Speaker 2: to be pursuing without really understanding why we're doing it.
- 16:38Speaker 1: He's known to be a bit imprecise in his language.
- 16:41Speaker 1: The military said it was the latter thing you said,
- 16:44Speaker 1: which is that for the blockade, it's about them stopping
- 16:48Speaker 1: and trying to board Any vessel. Of course, that does
- 16:50Speaker 1: raise the question, like, what happens when it's a Chinese
- 16:53Speaker 1: vessel that's trying to bring oil to Iran or an
- 16:56Speaker 1: Indian vessel?
- 16:57Speaker 3: And the Chinese said, we're coming. We have contracts and
- 17:00Speaker 3: we're going to go get that oil. And by the way,
- 17:01Speaker 3: like the problem is once you start operating the Strait
- 17:03Speaker 3: of Hormuz, it's 21 miles that it's like sort of
- 17:06Speaker 3: the narrowest choke point. But the Iranians can fire missiles
- 17:09Speaker 3: and drones from like anywhere along their coast. And your
- 17:12Speaker 3: reaction time to respond to that with missile defense is nothing.
- 17:16Speaker 3: So this is getting real risky.
- 17:17Speaker 1: And just so people understand the purpose of the blockade,
- 17:20Speaker 1: because I don't know if I explained it, by having
- 17:24Speaker 1: a blockade of all Iranian ports, the idea is Iran
- 17:28Speaker 1: has to get its oil exported out to people who
- 17:33Speaker 1: are buying it through all of its ports. And if
- 17:36Speaker 1: it can't do that, then Iran's going to lose billions
- 17:38Speaker 1: and billions of dollars. And that is, and obviously that
- 17:41Speaker 1: is how they get most of their money.
- 17:42Speaker 3: It's like half their, I think, oil and gas revenue
- 17:44Speaker 3: is through those straits.
- 17:45Speaker 1: It's through the straits. And if, so if you're blocking
- 17:48Speaker 1: all the Iranian ports, they can't get anything in, can't
- 17:50Speaker 1: get anything out. And that's how, it also, by the way,
- 17:53Speaker 1: like it could continue to squeeze the Iranian economy, but
- 17:57Speaker 1: it's also going to raise oil prices everywhere else because the,
- 18:01Speaker 1: you know, the rest of the world and the oil
- 18:04Speaker 1: prices around the rest of the world depend on Iranian
- 18:07Speaker 1: oil to some extent. So in the short term, it's
- 18:11Speaker 1: also going to raise oil prices for everyone else as
- 18:13Speaker 1: well as squeezing Iran itself. And the question is, like,
- 18:18Speaker 1: can the Iranians take the pain more than the rest
- 18:22Speaker 1: of the world and us here in the United States
- 18:25Speaker 1: who are very sensitive to higher gas prices?
- 18:28Speaker 3: And so far they've shown yes.
- 18:29Speaker 2: What are you trying to get out of a deal?
- 18:33Speaker 2: Iran is not currently willing to give you, but that
- 18:35Speaker 2: they will give you after two to three to four
- 18:37Speaker 2: to five weeks of pressure from a blockade. And like,
- 18:40Speaker 2: we just don't know. I mean, maybe that is known
- 18:42Speaker 2: to them. Maybe they have some sense of what they're
- 18:43Speaker 2: trying to achieve, but nothing public has made clear what
- 18:47Speaker 2: the point of this pressure is other than just to
- 18:49Speaker 2: get to some sort of a deal, I guess.
- 18:51Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 18:51Speaker 1: It seems like their idea is squeeze the Iranian economy
- 18:55Speaker 1: even more So that either suddenly there is a popular
- 18:58Speaker 1: uprising because now we're not bombing them anymore and people
- 19:01Speaker 1: are so upset.
- 19:02Speaker 4: Right.
- 19:02Speaker 2: It's crazy.
- 19:03Speaker 1: And that, uh, and so this will, and then the
- 19:05Speaker 1: leadership will say, okay, let's just make the deal and
- 19:07Speaker 1: let's give up, let's give up the dust. And make
- 19:10Speaker 1: the promises and give them what they want on nukes and,
- 19:14Speaker 1: I guess, reopen the strait and then maybe lift economic
- 19:18Speaker 1: sanctions for the Iranians as well. And that's the J.D. Vance,
- 19:23Speaker 1: Donald Trump view of this.
- 19:24Speaker 3: The dust is what he gave Justin Trudeau before he
- 19:26Speaker 3: went off to Burning Man. Sorry, Coachella.
- 19:30Speaker 1: Did you hear J.D. Vance say... He's talking about the
- 19:33Speaker 1: nuclear material on Brett Baer, and he knows, of course,
- 19:35Speaker 1: that it's called enriched uranium. He understands all this, but
- 19:37Speaker 1: he has to go, as some people call it, dust.
- 19:39Speaker 1: One person calls it dust, you fucking idiot.
- 19:44Speaker 3: There is a question of what does a blockade do?
- 19:46Speaker 3: I guess it chokes off the ability to have revenue.
- 19:50Speaker 3: to run the government. But yeah, the idea that people
- 19:52Speaker 3: are going to rise up again, like the IRGC has
- 19:54Speaker 3: all the weapons, the besieged militia has all the weapons,
- 19:56Speaker 3: the Iranian people have nothing. And you're bombing them.
- 20:00Speaker 1: The history of blockades is it usually hurts the people
- 20:02Speaker 1: more than it hurts the regime that it's directed towards.
- 20:05Speaker 2: And on top of that, I do think on some
- 20:09Speaker 2: On some level, it is about making the pain felt
- 20:12Speaker 2: outside of Iran to make other people feel as though
- 20:16Speaker 2: they're kind of dragged into this conflict.
- 20:21Speaker 1: Spokesman for Iran responded to the blockade on Monday by
- 20:23Speaker 1: calling it an attack on the global economy and asking,
- 20:25Speaker 1: is it ever worthwhile to cut off one's nose to
- 20:27Speaker 1: spite one's face? Trump doesn't seem too bothered by it.
- 20:30Speaker 1: He's a fan of cutting off his nose to spite
- 20:32Speaker 1: his face. Here he is talking to Maria Bartiromo on
- 20:35Speaker 1: Sunday morning.
- 20:36Speaker 3: So are a lot of people Mar-a-Lago. Yeah.
- 20:37Speaker 2: You know what I'm saying? Yeah, they have a doctor
- 20:41Speaker 2: that does that. You charge like a hundred grand. You
- 20:42Speaker 2: come out, they cut off your nose, they spite your face,
- 20:44Speaker 2: and you're done.
- 20:45Speaker 3: A little filler. A lot of filler.
- 20:47Speaker 2: A little derma-juvederm.
- 20:48Speaker 1: A lot of spited faces.
- 20:51Speaker 2: Spat?
- 20:51Speaker 3: Spitted? Spitted.
- 20:53Speaker 1: Anyway, let's play the clip.
- 20:56Speaker 4: Do you believe the price of oil and gas will
- 20:58Speaker 4: be lower before the midterm elections?
- 21:01Speaker 2: I hope so. I mean, I think so. It could be.
- 21:03Speaker 2: It could be. Or the same. Or maybe a little
- 21:05Speaker 2: bit higher. It's so funny. The full range.
- 21:10Speaker 1: The full range.
- 21:11Speaker 2: At some point, did someone tell Maria Bartiromo, hey, you know,
- 21:14Speaker 2: we can attach a lav to your shirt and you
- 21:16Speaker 2: can speak naturally. She's going to, no, boom across the
- 21:18Speaker 2: room and I'll keep shouting at it for no fucking reason.
- 21:20Speaker 2: You need to mic on your shirt. You don't have
- 21:22Speaker 2: to shout, it's crazy.
- 21:24Speaker 1: She's like a real boomer with just the TV on
- 21:27Speaker 1: constantly when you walk into the house.
- 21:30Speaker 2: The idea that the Iranian regime is posting these Confucius-like
- 21:37Speaker 2: sayings about revenge, lowering their head and saying, before embarking
- 21:40Speaker 2: on a campaign of revenge, dig two graves. It's more
- 21:43Speaker 2: than I can take from these people.
- 21:44Speaker 3: I will say that. Along with some Lego movies.
- 21:46Speaker 2: Yeah, they got us with the Lego movies.
- 21:48Speaker 3: Fire. Got us. That was tough. That was tough for sure.
- 21:53Speaker 1: Great lyrics.
- 21:54Speaker 3: I was talking to someone today who does, works in
- 21:57Speaker 3: an organization that does a ton of polling and research
- 21:59Speaker 3: on Trump and US politics or whatever. And they have
- 22:01Speaker 3: consistently like on a weekly basis. And he said, this
- 22:03Speaker 3: is the first time Trump's approval has moved significantly in years, literally.
- 22:08Speaker 3: It was like, as we've all seen public polls, rock
- 22:10Speaker 3: solid at like 43% approval always, right? It like moved
- 22:14Speaker 3: a little around Butler, moved a little around the Alex
- 22:17Speaker 3: Pretty shooting. Now it is in a straight line that
- 22:20Speaker 3: is going down and it looks like Joe Biden's approval
- 22:23Speaker 3: a month after the Afghanistan withdrawal, which we all remember,
- 22:26Speaker 3: essentially ended his presidency. And so maybe it'll come back,
- 22:29Speaker 3: but it just seems like the energy shock is just
- 22:33Speaker 3: getting started. Oil prices are back up. And Trump seems
- 22:37Speaker 3: to think, as you said earlier, he seems to think
- 22:38Speaker 3: that he's like, ah, whatever. We drill our own oil.
- 22:40Speaker 3: We'll be fine here. It's a global market. And then
- 22:44Speaker 3: the Financial Times today had a report out where it
- 22:48Speaker 3: said that U.S. crude exports will be up about a
- 22:51Speaker 3: third this month. And demand from Asia is also increasing.
- 22:53Speaker 3: So that's going to put upward pressure on all the
- 22:55Speaker 3: prices here. It's going to hurt.
- 22:57Speaker 1: It's already hurting.
- 22:58Speaker 3: It has not.
- 22:59Speaker 1: The real pain hasn't hit yet. And all of the
- 23:03Speaker 1: energy analysts keep saying this. And we're getting very close
- 23:05Speaker 1: to that point. where it's like, you can look at
- 23:07Speaker 1: the oil futures all you want, but like the actual
- 23:09Speaker 1: physical manifestation of the oil futures is about to hit. Um,
- 23:14Speaker 1: and I remember when we were in the white house, uh,
- 23:16Speaker 1: David Plouffe would always say gas prices are, uh, a
- 23:20Speaker 1: hit to the entire enterprise.
- 23:22Speaker 3: Yep.
- 23:23Speaker 1: Like the whole thing could collapse, like the whole political
- 23:25Speaker 1: project could collapse on gas prices. And that's when they
- 23:27Speaker 1: went up like, I don't know, a dime, five cents
- 23:30Speaker 1: here and there. This is, I mean, you know, uh, the, uh,
- 23:34Speaker 1: the parliament speaker, uh, Galabaf that negotiated with J.D. Vance.
- 23:40Speaker 1: He said, soon you'll be nostalgic for $ 4 to $ 5 gas,
- 23:42Speaker 1: as he's been saying.
- 23:44Speaker 3: Also, on the Iranian point, I know something I was
- 23:46Speaker 3: talking to today reminded me that Iran prepared for this
- 23:50Speaker 3: by taking a bunch of oil and placed it in
- 23:52Speaker 3: tankers outside of the Strait of Hormuz. They have something
- 23:55Speaker 3: like 130 million barrels kind of sitting in anchor in
- 23:58Speaker 3: various places. So at current prices, that is $ 18 billion
- 24:01Speaker 3: in So that's a nice little cushion for them.
- 24:03Speaker 1: You know what's funny about that is that they prepared
- 24:05Speaker 1: for this, but the United States, which is the one
- 24:08Speaker 1: that launched the war on its own timetable, its own decision-making,
- 24:13Speaker 1: did not refill the strategic petroleum reserve ahead of Trump
- 24:17Speaker 1: launching it.
- 24:17Speaker 3: It was only 60% full.
- 24:18Speaker 2: It's almost as if Bibi and Pete Hegseth persuaded Trump
- 24:24Speaker 2: that this would be faster and easier than it actually is. was, yeah,
- 24:28Speaker 2: we were watching Vance before we came in here and
- 24:30Speaker 2: he said, you know, look, obviously gas prices being up
- 24:33Speaker 2: is bad, but we had such a low benchmark and
- 24:35Speaker 2: we were doing so good and it's not nearly as
- 24:37Speaker 2: bad as it was under Biden. And it is true,
- 24:39Speaker 2: there was a moment during the Biden administration where gas
- 24:42Speaker 2: prices shot up to higher than they are now, I
- 24:44Speaker 2: think $ 5 on average, so higher in more expensive places.
- 24:47Speaker 2: And that, I think, actually was the rising of prices,
- 24:50Speaker 2: including gas prices, into the Afghan withdrawal that probably were
- 24:53Speaker 2: the one-two punch that kept Biden below uh, in the
- 24:56Speaker 2: low approval for the rest of his presidency. Uh, but
- 24:58Speaker 2: right now, today, gas prices are higher than they ever
- 25:00Speaker 2: were after that peak right now. And there's no hope
- 25:03Speaker 2: that they're going to, or at least we don't expect
- 25:04Speaker 2: them to go down between now and the election. So
- 25:06Speaker 2: it's just not true.
- 25:08Speaker 1: Voters historically more sensitive to price increases than they are
- 25:12Speaker 1: even to job losses. And within the realm of price increases,
- 25:15Speaker 1: there's nothing that people are more sensitive to than gas.
- 25:18Speaker 3: And they have eyeballs and they see them everywhere. They
- 25:22Speaker 3: are posted.
- 25:32Speaker 2: Pod Save America is brought to you by Uplift Desk.
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- 27:02Speaker 1: It's only available through our link. Pate of America is
- 27:06Speaker 1: brought to you by the Working Forests Initiative. The Working
- 27:09Speaker 1: Forests Initiative is a cross-industry coalition promoting the role of
- 27:12Speaker 1: working forests in driving economic growth and climate resilience. The
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- 27:47Speaker 1: that reduce wildfire risk, protect biodiversity, and provide sustainable solutions
- 27:52Speaker 1: for the future. The Coalition of Working Forest Professionals does
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- 28:02Speaker 1: remain a vibrant resource for our economy and a vital
- 28:04Speaker 1: sanctuary for for our environment for generations to come. So
- 28:11Speaker 1: Trump was also asked, with DoorDash grandma by his side,
- 28:14Speaker 1: whether he regretted the holy war he's decided to launch
- 28:16Speaker 1: against the Catholic Church, the world's largest Christian denomination that
- 28:20Speaker 1: includes more than 50 million Americans. The background here is
- 28:23Speaker 1: that Pope Leo has been speaking out with increasing frequency
- 28:26Speaker 1: about the church's opposition to Trump's brutal treatment of immigrants
- 28:30Speaker 1: and his war of choice in Iran. which reportedly led
- 28:32Speaker 1: to a meeting where a Pentagon official allegedly berated the
- 28:35Speaker 1: Pope's outgoing ambassador to the U.S. Always a good thing.
- 28:39Speaker 1: It also led to a 60 Minutes segment Sunday night
- 28:41Speaker 1: where the three most powerful American cardinals who were close
- 28:44Speaker 1: with the American Pope spoke bluntly about the church's issues
- 28:47Speaker 1: with Trump on war and immigration. The president was watching
- 28:51Speaker 1: 60 Minutes because right afterwards, he posted a lengthy tirade
- 28:56Speaker 1: that read in part, quote, Pope Leo is weak on
- 28:59Speaker 1: crime is a sentence that I will think about- It
- 29:01Speaker 1: was like I was shocked, but I also couldn't stop
- 29:04Speaker 1: laughing thinking about it.
- 29:05Speaker 3: Me too. It's like they're on some debate stage in Iowa,
- 29:09Speaker 3: and he's like, you are soft on crime. You are
- 29:11Speaker 3: soft on nukes.
- 29:11Speaker 1: Also, you met with David Axelrod. Pope Leo, weak on crime,
- 29:16Speaker 1: weak on nuclear weapons. and uh and wrong for america.
- 29:20Speaker 3: And friends with david axelrod that was mentioned my.
- 29:23Speaker 1: Name yeah i just talked to ax today about um
- 29:27Speaker 1: it was wild it's like yeah i was trying to
- 29:29Speaker 1: meet with the pope and then suddenly it's.
- 29:32Speaker 2: Like a you know a rabbi and a rabbi and
- 29:34Speaker 2: a priest walk into a bar in chicago you know
- 29:36Speaker 2: have you ever had ham no have you ever had
- 29:38Speaker 2: sex no oh you gotta try ham.
- 29:41Speaker 1: You know I did ask Ax if he brought if
- 29:45Speaker 1: he brought the Pope manis as a it's like an
- 29:47Speaker 1: interfaith offering oh that's nice but I guess they didn't
- 29:50Speaker 1: what he said they didn't meet in Chicago anyway he
- 29:54Speaker 1: also warned the Trump also warned the Holy Father to
- 29:57Speaker 1: quote get his act together okay And he took credit
- 30:01Speaker 1: for Leo's selection as the Supreme Pontiff of the Universal Church.
- 30:05Speaker 1: That is Trump's doing. Spot the line. For good measure,
- 30:10Speaker 1: Trump also posted an AI image of himself as Jesus
- 30:13Speaker 1: healing the sick.
- 30:16Speaker 2: Truly, like, did you just say, like, no? But yes,
- 30:20Speaker 2: he really did.
- 30:21Speaker 1: It's what, I mean... I would love to just, we
- 30:23Speaker 1: should have done a whole, we could do like a
- 30:25Speaker 1: whole video on just going through the actual.
- 30:27Speaker 3: The images.
- 30:28Speaker 1: The actual image. Because it's an AI slop image for sure.
- 30:31Speaker 3: There's a lot in there.
- 30:32Speaker 1: There's a lot in there. There's a lot of confusing
- 30:33Speaker 1: things in there. But what you really need to know, Trump, Jesus.
- 30:37Speaker 1: healing a sick man in bed who could pass for
- 30:40Speaker 1: Joe Biden.
- 30:41Speaker 2: Or Jeffrey Epstein.
- 30:42Speaker 1: Also maybe, yeah, mention maybe even more Jeffrey Epstein.
- 30:44Speaker 2: I thought it was Jeffrey Epstein.
- 30:45Speaker 3: I just didn't look.
- 30:46Speaker 2: A divorced slob.
- 30:47Speaker 1: It also looks like there's like a demon behind him
- 30:49Speaker 1: and maybe some G.I.
- 30:50Speaker 3: Joes. I thought I saw a ninja turtle maybe.
- 30:52Speaker 1: Yeah, like a ninja definitely.
- 30:54Speaker 3: Anyway.
- 30:56Speaker 1: So the pontiff was asked about all of this on
- 30:59Speaker 1: Sunday night. Here's what he said.
- 31:02Speaker 4: I have no fear, neither the Trump administration, or speaking
- 31:05Speaker 4: out loudly about the message of the Gospel.
- 31:08Speaker 3: And that's what I believe.
- 31:10Speaker 1: I am called to do what the Church is called
- 31:12Speaker 1: to do. Blessed are the peacemakers. I do not look
- 31:16Speaker 1: at my role as being political or politician. I don't
- 31:21Speaker 1: want to get into a debate with him.
- 31:22Speaker 2: I don't think that the message of the Gospel is
- 31:24Speaker 2: meant to be abused in the way that some people
- 31:27Speaker 2: are doing.
- 31:28Speaker 1: Too many innocent people are refilled.
- 31:30Speaker 2: And I think someone has to stand up and say,
- 31:33Speaker 2: There's a better way to put this.
- 31:34Speaker 1: The pope was also asked directly about the post, and
- 31:37Speaker 1: he did say that Truth Social was an ironic name
- 31:41Speaker 1: for the platform.
- 31:42Speaker 3: Not wrong.
- 31:43Speaker 2: I love just a pope in just Chicago English. It's
- 31:49Speaker 2: so strange.
- 31:50Speaker 1: The first American pope. Truly American. Yeah, it's awesome.
- 31:54Speaker 3: Do you think he flies business?
- 31:55Speaker 2: I was about to say, oh, he cares about the
- 31:58Speaker 2: least among us.
- 31:58Speaker 3: What's he flying? It's a nice-looking plane.
- 32:00Speaker 2: What's he flying?
- 32:00Speaker 3: Just kidding.
- 32:04Speaker 1: Woke Marxist Pope.
- 32:05Speaker 2: Pope's sitting next to Assam Piker in Delta One. And Bernie.
- 32:08Speaker 1: Bernie and AOC right behind him. Here's what Trump had
- 32:12Speaker 1: to say for himself when he was with DoorDash Grandma.
- 32:15Speaker 3: Which is what he calls Melania.
- 32:17Speaker 4: I think he's very weak on crime and other things,
- 32:21Speaker 4: so I'm not.
- 32:22Speaker 1: I mean, he went public.
- 32:23Speaker 4: I'm just responding to Pope Leo. There's nothing to apologize for.
- 32:26Speaker 4: He's wrong. The other thing is he didn't like what
- 32:30Speaker 4: we're doing with respect to Iran.
- 32:31Speaker 3: Did you post that picture of yourself depicted.
- 32:34Speaker 2: As Jesus Christ? Well, it wasn't depicted.
- 32:36Speaker 3: It was me.
- 32:38Speaker 4: I did post it, and I thought it was me
- 32:40Speaker 4: as a doctor and had to do with Red Cross
- 32:43Speaker 4: as a Red Cross worker there, which we support. I
- 32:45Speaker 4: just heard about it. And I said, how did they
- 32:48Speaker 4: come up with that? It's supposed to be me as
- 32:50Speaker 4: a doctor making people better. And I do make people better.
- 32:53Speaker 4: I make people a lot better.
- 32:56Speaker 3: That's such a funny lie.
- 32:57Speaker 1: So many doctors, just a healthcare provider dressed as Jesus.
- 33:02Speaker 1: It's one of those lies. I'm like, why, why does
- 33:04Speaker 1: anyone even spend time on it? Anyone with eyes knows
- 33:07Speaker 1: that it's even JD. JD Vance was asked about it
- 33:09Speaker 1: when we were watching Fox just now. What, what a
- 33:12Speaker 1: couple answers from him on this. First of all, He
- 33:14Speaker 1: said the whole thing was not newsworthy. The president of
- 33:18Speaker 1: the United States picks a very public fight attacking the Pope,
- 33:23Speaker 1: the Bishop of Rome, as weak on crime and weak
- 33:27Speaker 1: on nuclear and warns him to get his act together.
- 33:29Speaker 3: J.D.
- 33:29Speaker 1: Vance says it wasn't newsworthy. He said that of the
- 33:32Speaker 1: AI Jesus, Trump was just joking. So it wasn't meant
- 33:35Speaker 1: to be a doctor.
- 33:36Speaker 3: According to J.D.
- 33:37Speaker 1: Vance, he was joking. People don't get Trump's sense of humor.
- 33:41Speaker 1: And it's good that he posts his own stuff on
- 33:43Speaker 1: social media and that it doesn't go through a filter of,
- 33:46Speaker 1: you know, press assistants and people who work for him
- 33:48Speaker 1: and everything else, because it's good that he speaks directly
- 33:51Speaker 1: to people.
- 33:52Speaker 2: He also said that the Vatican should stick to matters
- 33:55Speaker 2: of morality.
- 33:55Speaker 1: Yeah, not like war.
- 33:57Speaker 2: Not the policies of the most powerful nation on earth
- 33:59Speaker 2: as it pertains to war, which is, I guess you
- 34:00Speaker 2: mean like what? Like just no divorces and the rhythm method?
- 34:04Speaker 2: Like it's just basically all that they want. That's what
- 34:06Speaker 2: they want.
- 34:07Speaker 1: It's so revealing that he said that. And I was like...
- 34:09Speaker 1: I was thinking about this even before you said that,
- 34:12Speaker 1: is to J.D. Vance and to a lot of the
- 34:15Speaker 1: right-wing Catholics and especially evangelical Christians in this country, issues
- 34:20Speaker 1: of morality are issues of personal morality. And so that
- 34:24Speaker 1: is why for so long they have been focused on
- 34:26Speaker 1: abortion and sexual orientation. And what Pope Leo and Pope
- 34:31Speaker 1: Francis before him have revealed is that the core of
- 34:36Speaker 1: Catholic social teaching is about matters of war and peace,
- 34:39Speaker 1: is about preferential option for the poor, is about treating
- 34:43Speaker 1: immigrants with dignity and respect and valuing life. And I
- 34:48Speaker 1: think that is all more explicitly mentioned in the Bible
- 34:52Speaker 1: and the New Testament and from Jesus' mouth than anything
- 34:56Speaker 1: related to abortion or sexual orientation or any of the
- 34:59Speaker 1: other personal morality issues that have become political in the
- 35:03Speaker 1: United States.
- 35:04Speaker 3: Thomas Aquinas over here.
- 35:05Speaker 2: Yeah, look at this guy. Thomas Aquinas. Actually, he knows
- 35:08Speaker 2: what he's talking about.
- 35:10Speaker 3: I'm like, yeah, yeah, bad. I'm Protestant.
- 35:14Speaker 2: Not since Henry VIII has a divorced slob. The Pope
- 35:20Speaker 2: had overstepped his bound, but at least Henry VIII did
- 35:25Speaker 2: Barry Ann Boleyn on a golf course. You know what
- 35:28Speaker 2: I'm saying?
- 35:29Speaker 1: What do you think? Smart fight to pick?
- 35:36Speaker 3: Incredible.
- 35:36Speaker 1: Let me tell you, we've talked about We talked about
- 35:38Speaker 1: Trump picking a fight with Muslims, which he has, obviously.
- 35:43Speaker 1: There was the whole Muslim ban. Also in the United States,
- 35:46Speaker 1: he's viciously attacked Muslims in the United States. He has
- 35:50Speaker 1: talked about dual loyalty and has said plenty of anti-Semitic
- 35:53Speaker 1: things about Jews in the United States. There's 20% of
- 35:58Speaker 1: the country are Catholic in the United States of America.
- 36:01Speaker 1: Is it that much?
- 36:04Speaker 3: Yes.
- 36:04Speaker 2: Wow.
- 36:04Speaker 1: There's over 50 million Catholics in the United States. So
- 36:07Speaker 1: there's a lot of Catholics.
- 36:08Speaker 3: There's a lot of Catholics. Politically, this feels worse. I mean, remember,
- 36:12Speaker 3: this is not his first big fight with a pope. Remember,
- 36:15Speaker 3: he tweeted about Pope Francis. If and when the Vatican
- 36:18Speaker 3: is attacked by ISIS, which, as everyone knows, is ISIS's
- 36:21Speaker 3: ultimate trophy, I can promise you that the pope would
- 36:23Speaker 3: have only wished and prayed that Donald Trump would have
- 36:26Speaker 3: been president. because this would not have happened.
- 36:28Speaker 1: Remember that one?
- 36:29Speaker 2: I forgot about that.
- 36:29Speaker 3: That's a wild one. This one feels bad, though, politically.
- 36:31Speaker 3: First of all, it's like mood music. Things are a
- 36:34Speaker 3: little rocky for Trump, especially with his far-right followers. I
- 36:37Speaker 3: don't know if you and Dan covered the op-ed-length screed
- 36:40Speaker 3: attacking Megyn Kelly, Tucker Carlson, Candace Owens, Alex Jones from
- 36:44Speaker 3: last week.
- 36:44Speaker 1: I read it aloud.
- 36:45Speaker 3: Yeah, so Trump's biggest supporters are not in the mood
- 36:48Speaker 3: to defend him, and it also comes right after the
- 36:51Speaker 3: Easter tweet. where he offended a lot more Christians by tweeting,
- 36:55Speaker 3: close the fucking straight and praise Allah on Easter.
- 36:58Speaker 1: Yeah, he offended Christians and Muslims in one tweet.
- 37:01Speaker 3: All over the, I started a little holy war there.
- 37:04Speaker 3: And then, you know, it is an American Pope. It's
- 37:06Speaker 3: just like, what are you doing, dude?
- 37:08Speaker 2: Yeah, he posted a picture of himself as the Pope
- 37:10Speaker 2: in May of last year. And I do think that like,
- 37:13Speaker 2: he's said, he's done moments, like you said with Francis,
- 37:16Speaker 2: he's done this before. I actually think he's just, doing
- 37:18Speaker 2: at a time in which he actually no longer seems
- 37:20Speaker 2: kind of tough and blustery, but it just seems sort
- 37:22Speaker 2: of sweaty. And so he's getting attacked from people that
- 37:25Speaker 2: would previously have never said a word about something like
- 37:27Speaker 2: this and would have done what Vance did and say, oh,
- 37:29Speaker 2: he was just kidding around. That's our president. That's our
- 37:32Speaker 2: big boy. But instead, they're actually saying what they think
- 37:34Speaker 2: about it. Yeah.
- 37:36Speaker 3: If you guys listen to the full 45 minute Tucker
- 37:38Speaker 3: Carlson monologue attacking the Easter tweet that led into a
- 37:42Speaker 3: broader Iran critique, it actually started by pointing out that
- 37:44Speaker 3: Trump did not put his hand on the Bible when
- 37:46Speaker 3: he was sworn into office.
- 37:47Speaker 1: I hadn't realized that.
- 37:48Speaker 3: I didn't realize that either.
- 37:49Speaker 1: I missed that.
- 37:50Speaker 3: And it really it built to an argument basically that
- 37:52Speaker 3: Trump thinks he's God and his thinks he has godlike
- 37:55Speaker 3: powers and that that is wrong and evil. Um, and
- 37:58Speaker 3: it's also, it's kind of like kicking up a debate
- 37:59Speaker 3: again about whether Trump is mentally well. I mean, he
- 38:01Speaker 3: was asked this at a press event the other day,
- 38:03Speaker 3: like people, Hey sir, people think you're crazy. What do
- 38:06Speaker 3: you think?
- 38:06Speaker 1: And my view on that is, um, he's been like
- 38:08Speaker 1: this forever. Yeah. Yeah.
- 38:10Speaker 2: I just, I listen. It didn't make sense when I
- 38:12Speaker 2: saw it as a kid, but as I get older,
- 38:14Speaker 2: stupid is as stupid does, you know?
- 38:16Speaker 1: I think he, I think watching the 60 minutes segment
- 38:18Speaker 1: is what, obviously that is what set him off and
- 38:20Speaker 1: there's been reporting on this. Um, but it is worth
- 38:24Speaker 1: watching everyone. Nora O'Donnell, uh, does a pretty great job.
- 38:27Speaker 1: talking to the three cardinals, the Archbishop of Washington, Chicago,
- 38:31Speaker 1: and New York. And, I mean, they accused the White
- 38:35Speaker 1: House of gamification of warfare, calling the administration's videos, the
- 38:40Speaker 1: snuff videos, sickening. Quote, we're dehumanizing the victims of war
- 38:46Speaker 1: by turning the suffering of people and the killing of
- 38:47Speaker 1: children and our own soldiers into entertainment. Cardinal Tobin called
- 38:51Speaker 1: ICE a lawless organization. They hide their identities to terrify people.
- 38:56Speaker 1: I mean, it was just it went on and on
- 38:57Speaker 1: and on. And I think that for Trump, when he
- 38:59Speaker 1: hears that, he's like, oh, this is a personal attack.
- 39:02Speaker 1: And I get to I get to hit back just
- 39:03Speaker 1: like anything else. But it's like what they are revealing
- 39:06Speaker 1: is that it's not just Trump's own personal morality, but
- 39:08Speaker 1: like his entire political agenda is incompatible with not just
- 39:13Speaker 1: Christian Christianity and Catholic social teaching, but like most of
- 39:17Speaker 1: the world's major religions. Yeah, it is like based in like.
- 39:20Speaker 1: because they are based in empathy and compassion and grace.
- 39:23Speaker 2: And banning abortion, which he kind of already gave them.
- 39:26Speaker 2: So we're on the other side. He gave them a
- 39:28Speaker 2: pretty big win and now they're turning on him?
- 39:32Speaker 3: Side note, not as important. Interesting that 60 Minutes aired
- 39:34Speaker 3: that piece, given all the concern that Barry Weiss would
- 39:36Speaker 3: be spiking anything kind of. critical of Trump. So I
- 39:39Speaker 3: guess good that that made it through.
- 39:41Speaker 2: Anthony Perez broke the story.
- 39:42Speaker 3: Yes.
- 39:43Speaker 2: He broke the story about them saying that they're going
- 39:45Speaker 2: to get the papacy back to Avignon.
- 39:46Speaker 3: Yeah. So like on the politics of this, I mean,
- 39:50Speaker 3: I don't know if it'll do lasting damage. Like a
- 39:52Speaker 3: lot of Catholics might be like, yeah, it was weird.
- 39:55Speaker 3: He deleted it, but he overturned Roe versus Wade. So like,
- 39:57Speaker 3: we're good. But it is interesting. I think that once again,
- 40:00Speaker 3: the anger of and the criticism falls into the character
- 40:05Speaker 3: values bucket. This isn't like, he didn't give us the
- 40:07Speaker 3: tax credit or let us like be mean to the,
- 40:10Speaker 3: you know, the cake artist who won't make an LGBT
- 40:14Speaker 3: like wedding cake or whatever. It was like, there's people
- 40:16Speaker 3: in true social saying, this is desecration. Trump is the antichrist.
- 40:20Speaker 3: Trump thinks he's God.
- 40:22Speaker 1: I've heard from people who, who like, they have mag
- 40:24Speaker 1: relatives who are like, this was it. They were done.
- 40:26Speaker 1: This was, cause it's, it's the, the, the extremely political
- 40:30Speaker 1: types who, like their first issue, even more than their Catholicism,
- 40:35Speaker 1: is abortion is one thing, like you were saying. But
- 40:36Speaker 1: I think for most Catholics, when you start attacking the
- 40:40Speaker 1: Pope like that, and then you put yourself as AI Jesus,
- 40:43Speaker 1: like that is a pretty, it's pretty blasphemous. And it's
- 40:49Speaker 1: very Trump too, because with Islam and Judaism, Catholicism has
- 40:55Speaker 1: a head of the church. And so there is someone,
- 40:57Speaker 1: there is like a person who can be a threat
- 41:00Speaker 1: to Donald Trump, who is a moral leader around the world.
- 41:04Speaker 1: He's not used to that. He's used to just being like, see,
- 41:07Speaker 1: that politician, they're just as bad as everyone else. We're
- 41:10Speaker 1: all the same, we're all bad.
- 41:11Speaker 2: And so it's he- Look, not the first leader also
- 41:14Speaker 2: just to think that like, oh, what could the Pope do?
- 41:16Speaker 2: He doesn't have any armies or anything. I do wonder
- 41:19Speaker 2: if maybe Trump could maybe go on the road to
- 41:22Speaker 2: Kenosa and then walk all the way to the castle
- 41:25Speaker 2: and then take his shoes off and then beat on
- 41:27Speaker 2: the doors for a few days until the Pope lets
- 41:28Speaker 2: him in. And then he can apologize. And then the
- 41:31Speaker 2: Pope would absolve him. And then he could go back
- 41:32Speaker 2: to leading the Holy Roman Empire.
- 41:35Speaker 3: Yeah, that's a good idea.
- 41:37Speaker 2: What about that?
- 41:38Speaker 1: I think that's a good idea.
- 41:38Speaker 3: That's really good.
- 41:39Speaker 1: Did you see the other interesting thing before we move
- 41:41Speaker 1: off on the CBS, on the 60 Minutes thing is
- 41:43Speaker 1: that the Pope has decided to spend the 4th of
- 41:47Speaker 1: July in Lampedusa, which is the Italian island where tens
- 41:52Speaker 1: of thousands of migrants have landed.
- 41:56Speaker 3: On their way to Europe.
- 41:57Speaker 1: And you know, Nora asked if that was symbolic. And
- 41:59Speaker 1: they're like, yeah, of course.
- 42:01Speaker 2: He's like, no, no, they have great spritzes there. It's
- 42:05Speaker 2: beautiful because it's on the coast, it's on the waters,
- 42:08Speaker 2: the waters really chill on that side.
- 42:10Speaker 3: Yeah, your hair doesn't get curly.
- 42:11Speaker 1: And it's like, what a contrast with, you know, Donald
- 42:14Speaker 1: Trump celebrating July 4th with what he's going to do.
- 42:17Speaker 3: He's bucking all of like literal violence, like UFC matches.
- 42:20Speaker 1: And he's meanwhile welcoming migrants to the shore, which is what,
- 42:24Speaker 1: you know. as one of the cardinals said, which is
- 42:26Speaker 1: what the Statue of Liberty is supposed to represent.
- 42:28Speaker 2: Also tough for Vance's I Became Catholic book tour.
- 42:31Speaker 1: Yeah. Big time. Yeah. Like I said, my road, what's
- 42:35Speaker 1: it called? Like the road home. It's taking the long
- 42:36Speaker 1: road back to Catholicism.
- 42:39Speaker 2: Sorry, I only know about Catholicism up to the Reformation.
- 42:41Speaker 3: That's where the end of my.
- 42:42Speaker 2: Memory of AP European history cuts off.
- 42:45Speaker 1: It's going to really ruin the book tour for JD Vance. It's,
- 42:49Speaker 1: what is it called?
- 42:51Speaker 3: Communion.
- 42:52Speaker 1: Communion, finding my way back to faith. He found his
- 42:54Speaker 1: way back.
- 42:56Speaker 3: How many books about himself is that guy going to write?
- 42:58Speaker 3: Jesus Christ.
- 43:00Speaker 1: Too many already.
- 43:01Speaker 3: VP, bud.
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- 45:26Speaker 1: to the big development here in the California governor's race.
- 45:28Speaker 1: Eric Swalwell, who was one of the leading candidates, has
- 45:31Speaker 1: dropped out after four women accused the congressman of sexual misconduct,
- 45:35Speaker 1: including a former staffer who has offered a detailed and
- 45:38Speaker 1: corroborated account of Swalwell raping her in a New York
- 45:42Speaker 1: hotel room after a night of heavy drinking in 2024.
- 45:45Speaker 1: The women spoke to the San Francisco Chronicle and CNN,
- 45:49Speaker 1: and the Manhattan District Attorney's Office has now opened a
- 45:52Speaker 1: criminal investigation into the allegations. Swalwell was initially defiant, but
- 45:56Speaker 1: after losing most of his endorsements, he ended his campaign
- 45:59Speaker 1: on Sunday night, writing in a statement on X that
- 46:01Speaker 1: he was, quote, deeply sorry for mistakes in judgment, and
- 46:04Speaker 1: that he, quote, will fight the serious false allegations that
- 46:07Speaker 1: have been made, just before we record it, Swalwell also
- 46:10Speaker 1: resigned from Congress. What are your reactions to both the
- 46:14Speaker 1: news and, in general, it's secondary, but just the audacity
- 46:19Speaker 1: to run for governor knowing that this was out there?
- 46:21Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, it was shocking. I mean, I think
- 46:24Speaker 3: there were a lot of rumors about Eric Swalwell kind
- 46:25Speaker 3: of being one of the younger members of Congress who
- 46:29Speaker 3: would go to bars, get too drunk, hang out with staffers,
- 46:32Speaker 3: maybe fraternize with them in inappropriate ways, but nothing. I
- 46:35Speaker 3: had never heard anything like this.
- 46:36Speaker 2: No.
- 46:37Speaker 3: So I read that CNN story and I thought he
- 46:38Speaker 3: should drop out of the race. He should resign from Congress.
- 46:40Speaker 3: Then he should hire a criminal defense attorney because there's
- 46:43Speaker 3: a damn good chance that guy gets prosecuted and could
- 46:46Speaker 3: see jail time. And then shortly after the Manhattan district
- 46:50Speaker 3: attorney announced an investigation. So, you know, it's horrible. I'm
- 46:55Speaker 3: glad the Democratic Party moved quickly to to push him out.
- 46:58Speaker 3: It's a nice it's a contrast with how the Republicans
- 47:00Speaker 3: operate and the Tony Gonzalez to Trump to many in between.
- 47:04Speaker 3: But it's despicable.
- 47:05Speaker 2: Yeah, at first, Swalwell was issuing these denials that sort
- 47:09Speaker 2: of referenced to mistakes in judgment, but that, oh, he'd
- 47:12Speaker 2: never done NDAs and had never been members of staff.
- 47:15Speaker 2: And then those were, I think, disproven, or at least
- 47:18Speaker 2: there was reporting that showed that those weren't true. So
- 47:20Speaker 2: then those statements sort of changed. Hard to get into
- 47:22Speaker 2: the mind of somebody that would have this in their
- 47:24Speaker 2: past and think that they could run for governor because
- 47:29Speaker 2: you can't even say, oh, he... Because it's like, this
- 47:32Speaker 2: is not... I don't know what stories people tell themselves,
- 47:37Speaker 2: but he's not the first person to have terrible skeletons
- 47:39Speaker 2: in their closet and still believe that they could do
- 47:41Speaker 2: whatever they want and keep rising and be brazenly ambitious.
- 47:45Speaker 1: And right up to the end, the video he recorded
- 47:50Speaker 1: reportedly at some billionaire donor's home in Beverly Hills, his
- 47:55Speaker 1: staff wasn't around, where he refused to drop out and
- 47:59Speaker 1: said he was going to stay in it. It's like
- 48:01Speaker 1: the woman who came forward on this Um, she, if
- 48:05Speaker 1: you read the CNN story in the San Francisco Chronicle story,
- 48:08Speaker 1: like she has text messages to a friend, um, saying
- 48:13Speaker 1: that she was sexually assaulted by Eric Swalwell saying exactly
- 48:16Speaker 1: what happened, like right after it happened in 2024, she
- 48:19Speaker 1: had told multiple family members, her partner at the time.
- 48:23Speaker 1: And then you have three other women having similar saying
- 48:26Speaker 1: similar things. The woman who, um, alleges, uh, the sexual
- 48:30Speaker 1: assault also like got tested for had a pregnancy test
- 48:34Speaker 1: and test for STDs and had the person at the
- 48:35Speaker 1: lab send her a note that said like, you're a survivor.
- 48:38Speaker 1: Hang in there. I mean, just like there's, there's so much,
- 48:40Speaker 1: a lot of, a lot of, and to like read
- 48:43Speaker 1: that story as Eric Swalwell and to like see the
- 48:45Speaker 1: other ones and just be like, I'm going to film
- 48:46Speaker 1: a video being like, fuck it. I'm a, I'm hanging
- 48:49Speaker 1: in here. And then his, his lawyer gave this insane
- 48:53Speaker 1: interview with Alex Michelson on CNN and Alex did a
- 48:57Speaker 1: great job, but it was just like, it was so
- 48:59Speaker 1: hard to watch because he just was like sitting there
- 49:01Speaker 1: not giving any answers on anything. It's like, why did
- 49:03Speaker 1: you even go on TV? Sociopathic.
- 49:05Speaker 2: We've seen like a lot. I also just like, there's
- 49:07Speaker 2: a story I think people tell themselves that, oh, like
- 49:09Speaker 2: I've been, you know, I've looked, I've stepped outside of
- 49:11Speaker 2: my marriage and I've been unfaithful, but I've never done anything.
- 49:16Speaker 2: I've never heard anybody. It's always consensual, always consensual. And
- 49:19Speaker 2: then these stories come out, whether it's... We've seen over
- 49:23Speaker 2: and over the powerful men that they truly cannot... Either
- 49:25Speaker 2: they are in denial of themselves or just lie in perpetuity,
- 49:29Speaker 2: but they cannot accept that what they've done is not
- 49:31Speaker 2: just been unfaithful, but actually been sexually assaulted people. Yeah.
- 49:35Speaker 1: And there was a story in, I think it was
- 49:37Speaker 1: the Times, about... you know, it's indicative, like this whole
- 49:40Speaker 1: thing was indicative of how, what a shit show the
- 49:44Speaker 1: California governor's race has been. And people were like clamoring
- 49:47Speaker 1: to get behind some kind of candidate because Kamala didn't
- 49:49Speaker 1: run and Padilla didn't run. And so Swalwell comes and
- 49:52Speaker 1: then they're all like, okay, this is our guy, this
- 49:54Speaker 1: is our guy. And there were rumors, some of the
- 49:57Speaker 1: rumors like that you were just saying, Tommy, that like,
- 49:58Speaker 1: you know, maybe he'd been inappropriate. And people kept going
- 50:01Speaker 1: to him and saying like, any truth to this. And
- 50:04Speaker 1: they said that his denials and his categorical denials, even
- 50:07Speaker 1: in private, like one-on-one before endorsements were like so intense
- 50:10Speaker 1: that they were like, okay, I guess he's saying absolutely not.
- 50:12Speaker 1: Nothing's going to come out. You know, MAG has been
- 50:15Speaker 1: after me for a while. Wouldn't they have surfaced this already?
- 50:17Speaker 3: Well, there was also this thing where, you know, there
- 50:19Speaker 3: was a report that Kash Patel was going to put the,
- 50:23Speaker 3: you know, eye of Sauron from the FBI on Swalwell
- 50:26Speaker 3: and like inappropriately release investigative files. So I think there
- 50:29Speaker 3: was There was also, I think, legitimate concern that maybe
- 50:32Speaker 3: like the Trump administration was going to use the power
- 50:35Speaker 3: of the government in some inappropriate way to target him, which, right,
- 50:39Speaker 3: like I think it led to maybe more second chances
- 50:42Speaker 3: for him. But then also I was thinking back to
- 50:45Speaker 3: that weird video he released with his wife where they're
- 50:48Speaker 3: like walking in Santa Monica and it's like his wife
- 50:50Speaker 3: like endorses his candidacy. And we're like, what is this?
- 50:53Speaker 3: What is the context? And it's just like so clear
- 50:55Speaker 3: that that was front running these controversies, by the way.
- 50:59Speaker 3: As we were recording, CNN and some others reporting that
- 51:02Speaker 3: in battle, GOP rep Tony Gonzalez announces he's stepping down
- 51:05Speaker 3: from Congress. So he's another absolute scumbag on the Republican side.
- 51:09Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 51:10Speaker 1: So people know like the Swalwell thing brought up these
- 51:14Speaker 1: other House members who they all thought that they maybe
- 51:17Speaker 1: would try to expel together. So there's Swalwell, Gonzalez, who
- 51:21Speaker 1: had had an affair with the staffer who later committed suicide.
- 51:24Speaker 1: Democrat Sheila Turfilis McCormick. who the house ethics committee found
- 51:28Speaker 1: guilty of stealing COVID relief funds for her campaign. Republican
- 51:32Speaker 1: Corey Mills, who's under investigation for committing campaign fraud and
- 51:35Speaker 1: sexual misconduct and domestic violence. Um, and so now Swalwell
- 51:40Speaker 1: has resigned. Uh, Gonzalez, uh, has said he's going to
- 51:42Speaker 1: resign or retire tomorrow. And so now I don't know
- 51:45Speaker 1: if the vote will go forward on, um, Turfilis McCormick
- 51:48Speaker 1: and Mills or the whole thing will get dropped, but, um, wow.
- 51:52Speaker 1: So there's a lot about the house just to kind of,
- 51:54Speaker 1: it's like, Oh, someone did something bad. Let's get them
- 51:56Speaker 1: all together. Let's expel them all.
- 51:58Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 51:58Speaker 2: It's, there's such a, um, cause like Santos was basically
- 52:01Speaker 2: the first person expelled since what, like, uh, reconstruction. And
- 52:06Speaker 2: with that, it was like, Oh, well, it's so obvious
- 52:08Speaker 2: that you should have this person removed. Cause it's just
- 52:10Speaker 2: so brazen. And there's so many examples, but the idea,
- 52:12Speaker 2: there's something so like, look, I'm glad Swalwell's resigning. All
- 52:15Speaker 2: these other people should be resigned and expelled. Uh, But
- 52:19Speaker 2: there's something so ugly about like, oh, we have to
- 52:21Speaker 2: do it in pairs because we're only going to enforce
- 52:23Speaker 2: our ethics in a bipartisan way, which tells you that
- 52:26Speaker 2: actually what you need is some kind of a standard
- 52:28Speaker 2: or process at the end of which there's a way
- 52:30Speaker 2: in which you say, all right, this standard has been met.
- 52:33Speaker 2: We will vote to expel. That won't be kind of
- 52:35Speaker 2: abused or politicized or ignored by either side.
- 52:37Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 52:37Speaker 1: And it is why I get why when sometimes people
- 52:39Speaker 1: face these expulsion votes, they say like, well, we need
- 52:42Speaker 1: either the House Ethics Committee to have completed an investigation
- 52:46Speaker 1: and find the person guilty through the House Ethics Committee
- 52:49Speaker 1: or- like an actual criminal conviction outside.
- 52:51Speaker 2: It's some kind of legal determination.
- 52:52Speaker 1: Right, because you do want that because otherwise then everyone's
- 52:54Speaker 1: going to start saying, oh, you did this, you did this, expelled, right?
- 52:57Speaker 3: Like the evidentiary standard.
- 52:58Speaker 2: And by the way, like I'm glad too that there
- 53:00Speaker 2: was like genuine reporting that dug in. Like, cause there
- 53:02Speaker 2: were like random posts on social media. Like, oh, Swalwell's
- 53:05Speaker 2: a creep. And someone like, this is just a hit piece.
- 53:06Speaker 2: This is by the opponents. And it's impossible to know. Like,
- 53:09Speaker 2: we're just trying, we don't know.
- 53:10Speaker 1: You can't go by that. Right.
- 53:11Speaker 2: And so I'm.
- 53:12Speaker 1: Thankfully someone, these women came forward.
- 53:14Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 53:14Speaker 2: So it sort of like was a combination of like
- 53:17Speaker 2: people kind of drumming this up online, including people sort
- 53:19Speaker 2: of outside of traditional journalism, and then it getting kind of,
- 53:21Speaker 2: you know, journalistic outlets sort of putting in the resources
- 53:23Speaker 2: to go and kind of run these things down, which
- 53:25Speaker 2: ultimately I think is why it was able to successfully
- 53:28Speaker 2: make the story breakthrough and get him to resign.
- 53:30Speaker 1: So let's talk about what happens now in the California
- 53:33Speaker 1: governor's race. We can do, you know, J.D. Vance, good news,
- 53:36Speaker 1: bad news. Bad news is this. Bad news is that guy.
- 53:40Speaker 1: Good news is, I feel like the lockout fears are
- 53:43Speaker 1: over at this point.
- 53:45Speaker 3: I don't know. I think, kind of revive them. We
- 53:47Speaker 3: can get to that, but yeah.
- 53:48Speaker 1: Well, let's talk about it because I think, um, I
- 53:50Speaker 1: think now that Trump has, Trump has jumped into endorse
- 53:54Speaker 1: Steve Hilton, Swalwell's out.
- 53:56Speaker 3: Yep.
- 53:56Speaker 1: So now you have, um, California's roughly 60, 40 state Democrats, Republicans.
- 54:03Speaker 1: So you have two Republicans splitting the 40, um, but
- 54:07Speaker 1: one endorsed by Donald Trump. And then now you have
- 54:11Speaker 1: Tom Steyer, Katie Porter. And then I guess, you know, um,
- 54:17Speaker 1: Matt Mahan is the mayor of San Jose, Javier Becerra,
- 54:22Speaker 1: former AG and Biden administration cabinet member, and Antonio Villaraigosa,
- 54:28Speaker 1: former mayor of LA, sort of vying for the third spot.
- 54:33Speaker 1: What do you guys think?
- 54:34Speaker 3: So most of the people I've talked to in the
- 54:36Speaker 3: California political world since the Swalwell news think that this
- 54:39Speaker 3: race will go down to, on the Democratic side, Steyer
- 54:42Speaker 3: versus Katie Porter. Um, Katie Porter's campaign has said, I
- 54:45Speaker 3: think the Politico today that they, in their internal polls,
- 54:48Speaker 3: they get half of Swalwell's vote. Steyer's team, I think
- 54:51Speaker 3: said they get a quarter of Swalwell's vote. So we'll see. Um,
- 54:54Speaker 3: the problem for Katie Porter is no matter how much
- 54:57Speaker 3: she raises or how hard she campaigns in the next
- 54:59Speaker 3: couple of weeks, like it's going to be impossible to
- 55:01Speaker 3: match the 120 million that Steyer has already spent. And
- 55:04Speaker 3: the problem for Steyer is he spent 120 million and
- 55:07Speaker 3: he's still kind of stuck in this heat.
- 55:09Speaker 2: He was spending millions attacking Swalwell, which at this point
- 55:12Speaker 2: means that money was just wasted.
- 55:15Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 55:15Speaker 3: And so most of the candidates, as you said, are
- 55:18Speaker 3: polling significantly lower than those two. The X factor seems
- 55:21Speaker 3: to be Matt Mahan, who may get a ton of
- 55:24Speaker 3: money from a bunch of tech industry billionaires, already has,
- 55:28Speaker 3: but may get a ton more. And maybe that'll move
- 55:31Speaker 3: the needle. The problem for him is that California is
- 55:33Speaker 3: so big. We have, what, 10 media markets. They're all expensive.
- 55:36Speaker 3: even spending 20 million is not going to get you
- 55:39Speaker 3: that much. So that's the assumption of where this will
- 55:42Speaker 3: set you at. Now, the good news for all of
- 55:43Speaker 3: us is everyone's in the field right now with polls, campaigns,
- 55:47Speaker 3: media organizations, PACs.
- 55:48Speaker 1: Hopefully, we'll get some new data.
- 55:49Speaker 3: I think the scary scenario is a situation where you
- 55:52Speaker 3: have Mahan, Porter, and Steyer all splitting the Dem vote.
- 55:55Speaker 3: Then you could see a Steve Hilton, Chad Bianco lockout scenario.
- 55:59Speaker 3: It is very unlikely. It is more likely, I think,
- 56:02Speaker 3: that the Democratic Party comes in or the DGA comes
- 56:05Speaker 3: in and elevates Steve Hilton further in some way to
- 56:08Speaker 3: ensure that it's a Republican Democrat general election, but we'll see.
- 56:14Speaker 1: Yeah, and the reason that it seems unlikely that there's
- 56:18Speaker 1: going to be a lockout now is if you've got,
- 56:20Speaker 1: so Becerra, Viragosa, and Mahan have like, maybe in one
- 56:26Speaker 1: or two polls, one of them has hit five. No
- 56:28Speaker 1: one's gotten to more than five, right? So say you
- 56:30Speaker 1: generously give All the candidates who aren't Porter and Steyer, 15%.
- 56:37Speaker 1: That still is 45% between Steyer and Porter. And divided
- 56:44Speaker 1: by two is as long as they're over 20, neither
- 56:47Speaker 1: Chad Bianco or Steve Hilton is getting over 20% because
- 56:50Speaker 1: it's 40% of the voters are Republicans in California.
- 56:53Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 56:54Speaker 2: The argument for this kind of all redounding to Porter
- 56:57Speaker 2: is Steyer has spent whatever it is, over a hundred
- 56:59Speaker 2: million dollars. He's gotten to wherever he's gotten. He's gotten
- 57:02Speaker 2: billions of impressions and, and he sort of stuck where
- 57:05Speaker 2: he is. Katie Porter hasn't really spent anything. Like she's
- 57:08Speaker 2: been very little on ads. And I hope that this
- 57:10Speaker 2: would be an opportunity to go spend that money. And
- 57:12Speaker 2: so for, before you even get to where the voters go,
- 57:15Speaker 2: like where does Swalwell money go? It doesn't make sense
- 57:17Speaker 2: for it to go to Tom Steyer. He's a fucking billionaire.
- 57:20Speaker 2: So like, maybe, maybe, but, or like some of them,
- 57:24Speaker 2: some of them, but like.
- 57:24Speaker 1: Cause he's a, Matt Mahan is like very, like a
- 57:26Speaker 1: lot of the, A lot of the tech-focused people, you know,
- 57:30Speaker 1: so he's got a lot of money throwing on that campaign. Now, again,
- 57:33Speaker 1: he's got some similar issue with Steyer. He's jumped in
- 57:35Speaker 1: the race later, but a lot of money spent and
- 57:38Speaker 1: still sitting around 4% or 5%.
- 57:39Speaker 3: I feel like, I don't know. We'll see.
- 57:42Speaker 2: But, like, the idea that there's a bunch of people
- 57:43Speaker 2: that were behind Eric Swalwell are now suddenly going to
- 57:45Speaker 2: go to the more kind of, like, they're not going
- 57:46Speaker 2: to go to the other traditional them in the race.
- 57:48Speaker 3: I don't know.
- 57:48Speaker 2: We'll see. But it does seem like it's a moment
- 57:51Speaker 2: for Katie Porter to, like, spend some money and try
- 57:52Speaker 2: to figure out how to, like, kind of bump herself up.
- 57:55Speaker 2: I'm sure she's been waiting because she's so outgunned by Steyer.
- 57:57Speaker 1: It's also, like, at some point in this environment where
- 58:01Speaker 1: attention matters most and people barely watch ads, like, I
- 58:06Speaker 1: do think finding a moment to capture attention is more
- 58:09Speaker 1: important in some ways than how much, as Tom Steyer
- 58:11Speaker 1: has found out, and then spending a whole bunch of money.
- 58:14Speaker 1: And it's a challenge in a statewide race, especially a
- 58:16Speaker 1: state as big as California, because you have a huge state,
- 58:18Speaker 1: so you have a huge fucking audience, but everyone's talking
- 58:21Speaker 1: about national politics all the time, and we have a
- 58:23Speaker 1: couple big debates coming up, And do we think California
- 58:26Speaker 1: voters are all going to be tuning into those debates?
- 58:29Speaker 1: You'd hope so, but I don't know.
- 58:30Speaker 2: There's going to be a forum tomorrow night, which will
- 58:32Speaker 2: be the first time I think they've all been together
- 58:33Speaker 2: and to comment on Swalwell. And I do think that
- 58:36Speaker 2: will be a newsmaking thing and we'll see something coming
- 58:38Speaker 2: out of there.
- 58:39Speaker 1: Luckily, there's lots of better news for Democrats to focus on.
- 58:42Speaker 1: On Monday, the Cook Political Report shifted its outlook for
- 58:44Speaker 1: several key Senate races in Democrats' direction. North Carolina and Georgia,
- 58:49Speaker 1: this is wild, from toss-up to lean Democrat. Ohio from
- 58:53Speaker 1: lean Republican to toss-up. And Nebraska, from solid Republican to
- 58:56Speaker 1: lean Republican. In Iowa, a survey commissioned by a Democratic
- 59:00Speaker 1: group gave Iowa State Auditor Rob Sand an eight-point lead
- 59:03Speaker 1: in the governor's race, while the same poll has Republicans
- 59:06Speaker 1: holding only a narrow lead in the Senate race, where
- 59:09Speaker 1: there are two strong Democrats in a tough primary. Over
- 59:11Speaker 1: in Alaska, Mary Paltola raised almost $ 9 million in the
- 59:15Speaker 1: first three months of the year, quadrupled the amount raised
- 59:17Speaker 1: by Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan, probably the most money ever
- 59:19Speaker 1: raised in that state. Do you guys think the Democrats'
- 59:23Speaker 1: chance of taking back the Senate has been underrated? I
- 59:25Speaker 1: feel like it might have been underrated by now.
- 59:27Speaker 3: Might have been underrated.
- 59:29Speaker 2: Yeah, I just started picturing an Ayatollah coming to the
- 59:31Speaker 2: microphone the day after the election and saying, we didn't
- 59:33Speaker 2: set out to change the American regime, but the regime
- 59:35Speaker 2: did change.
- 59:38Speaker 3: It's interesting to think about.
- 59:39Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know if it's underrated other than it
- 59:41Speaker 2: was rated correctly and then we launched a war and
- 59:46Speaker 2: gas prices are through the roof and now it needs
- 59:48Speaker 2: to be rated according to what's happened. It's been overtaken
- 59:50Speaker 2: by events. It was maybe a toss-up when gas was
- 59:54Speaker 2: $ 3 a gallon. If it's $ 5 or $ 6 a gallon, suddenly...
- 59:57Speaker 2: the Senate is not just in play, but we have
- 59:58Speaker 2: a real, real chance of taking it.
- 1:00:00Speaker 3: Yeah. I've long felt pretty optimistic about North Carolina and
- 1:00:04Speaker 3: Georgia just because those are great candidates in states that
- 1:00:08Speaker 3: are genuinely swingy. Ohio and Iowa, tough states in 2024.
- 1:00:11Speaker 3: I think Trump won Ohio by 11 points, won Iowa
- 1:00:14Speaker 3: by 13 points. Some big headwinds. But Ohio, we got
- 1:00:17Speaker 3: Sherrod Brown. He's probably the best candidate we could ask for.
- 1:00:20Speaker 3: He's to win a primary, but he's going to win
- 1:00:21Speaker 3: the primary. And then In Iowa, we will not have
- 1:00:23Speaker 3: a candidate until June 2nd. I interviewed Josh Turek a
- 1:00:26Speaker 3: couple weeks ago. Folks want to listen to that. We're
- 1:00:29Speaker 3: out to Zach Walls to try to get him on
- 1:00:30Speaker 3: soon too. But Iowa Democrats have a really strong candidate
- 1:00:34Speaker 3: at the top of the ticket in Rob Sand, who
- 1:00:36Speaker 3: is reportedly up eight points. Randy Feenstra is his opponent.
- 1:00:39Speaker 3: He's not that popular. He's got a lot of baggage.
- 1:00:41Speaker 3: And between like high gas prices, high fertilizer prices, and
- 1:00:45Speaker 3: then tariffs, Trump has done everything he can to piss
- 1:00:48Speaker 3: off farmers and fuck over Iowa's economy. So there's just
- 1:00:52Speaker 3: like There's just a lot of tailwinds for these candidates.
- 1:00:56Speaker 1: We should know that Cook, in the same breath as
- 1:00:59Speaker 1: moving those races, also still doesn't think the Democrats are
- 1:01:02Speaker 1: favored to win the Senate because they basically think we'll
- 1:01:05Speaker 1: pick up one to three.
- 1:01:07Speaker 3: We need four.
- 1:01:08Speaker 1: And so there must be counting Maine, North Carolina, and
- 1:01:13Speaker 1: then either Ohio or Alaska or Iowa. Um, and not
- 1:01:19Speaker 1: two of the three. Now we also, I think Texas
- 1:01:21Speaker 1: is a good chance too, but they don't, they don't
- 1:01:23Speaker 1: rate Texas as I think Texas is still lean Republican
- 1:01:25Speaker 1: in their ranking. If I'm remembering correctly.
- 1:01:28Speaker 2: I would also like to see like part of this too, like,
- 1:01:30Speaker 2: like how, who does gas prices hit? Obviously geographically it's
- 1:01:35Speaker 2: going to hit, you know, states where people are driving
- 1:01:36Speaker 2: a longer distance or driving bigger cars. Like I, like
- 1:01:39Speaker 2: I would bet if you looked at like, who are
- 1:01:41Speaker 2: the kinds of people that were kind of soft Trump voters,
- 1:01:45Speaker 2: and are now open to voting for a Democrat, it's
- 1:01:47Speaker 2: going to be people that they're not driving Teslas, they're
- 1:01:50Speaker 2: driving SUVs, and they find Democrats talking about these issues
- 1:01:54Speaker 2: pretty annoying, but they're pretty fucking pissed about how.
- 1:01:57Speaker 1: Expensive gas is because we went to war on Iran.
- 1:01:59Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 1:02:00Speaker 1: And it's not just gas, it'll be, you know, supply
- 1:02:02Speaker 1: shortages and the cost of other, I mean, inflation is
- 1:02:05Speaker 1: still a problem.
- 1:02:05Speaker 3: So it can be a big problem. And then the
- 1:02:07Speaker 3: argument that Why are we spending X billions on bombs
- 1:02:11Speaker 3: to drop on schools in Iran when we could be
- 1:02:13Speaker 3: spending it on anything else here? Like, polls through the roof,
- 1:02:15Speaker 3: and everyone's going to be able to use them.
- 1:02:16Speaker 2: Right, like, wait till we find out how much this
- 1:02:18Speaker 2: blockade is going to cost us today.
- 1:02:19Speaker 3: Yes, billions.
- 1:02:20Speaker 1: Trump was, Trump, right before the election in Hungary... was
- 1:02:24Speaker 1: promising like economic help for Hungary if they elect Viktor Orban.
- 1:02:28Speaker 3: Which he's done so many times.
- 1:02:29Speaker 2: Remember the beef, the Argentinian beef.
- 1:02:30Speaker 3: Yeah, the Argentinian bailout. Like he keeps doing that. It's insane.
- 1:02:34Speaker 3: Brazen election interference. Then J.D. Vance goes over there and
- 1:02:37Speaker 3: is like, the bureaucrats in Brussels tried to interfere in
- 1:02:39Speaker 3: your election. I won't, but also vote for Viktor Orban.
- 1:02:42Speaker 3: But I'm not here to say, like, what are you doing,
- 1:02:44Speaker 3: you absolute loser?
- 1:02:46Speaker 1: It's insane.
- 1:02:48Speaker 2: He wasn't doing it to win. He was doing it
- 1:02:49Speaker 2: because they're friends. That's right. He was doing it to
- 1:02:52Speaker 2: help a friend, all right? If you don't love J.D.
- 1:02:54Speaker 2: Vance at his Viktor Orban, you don't deserve him.
- 1:02:56Speaker 3: Just the most corrupt person I've ever met, Viktor Orban.
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: Finally, before we get to Lovett's interview with Nithya Raman,
- 1:03:02Speaker 1: one more quick item for you. Well, plenty of political
- 1:03:05Speaker 1: leaders from liberal democracies all over the world posted statements
- 1:03:08Speaker 1: celebrating Viktor Orban's defeat over the weekend. One in particular
- 1:03:12Speaker 1: caught our eye from former Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau,
- 1:03:16Speaker 1: not because of what he posted, but where he seemingly
- 1:03:19Speaker 1: posted it from, Coachella, where the 54-year-old was spotted in
- 1:03:23Speaker 1: a backwards hat with girlfriend Katy Perry in a series
- 1:03:25Speaker 1: of viral photos, which drew this comment from Twitter user,
- 1:03:29Speaker 1: at the departed rat, quote, when you're faded and need
- 1:03:32Speaker 1: to squint one eye to type, but you're trying to
- 1:03:35Speaker 1: tweet about Hungarian politics. Do we have the picture? There
- 1:03:41Speaker 1: it is.
- 1:03:42Speaker 2: This picture is enraging. This picture is enraging to me.
- 1:03:45Speaker 2: He looks so vital, young, and happy. He looks half
- 1:03:51Speaker 2: his age.
- 1:03:51Speaker 1: Look, maybe there's hope for 54.
- 1:03:53Speaker 2: I guess. For me, all Coachella is is a great
- 1:03:56Speaker 2: weekend where the traffic is less in LA. And there's
- 1:04:00Speaker 2: the former prime minister just living his best fucking life.
- 1:04:02Speaker 1: I like that there's also a video that's come up
- 1:04:04Speaker 1: too on the screen.
- 1:04:05Speaker 3: Yeah. He's like, what are you doing?
- 1:04:07Speaker 1: What are you doing? What are you doing? What are
- 1:04:08Speaker 1: you doing?
- 1:04:09Speaker 3: I was talking to a Canadian friend today who said
- 1:04:11Speaker 3: Trudeau is getting shit in Canada. I have friends in
- 1:04:13Speaker 3: Canada too.
- 1:04:13Speaker 2: Do you have friends in Canada?
- 1:04:13Speaker 3: We love it.
- 1:04:14Speaker 2: Lots of friends in Canada.
- 1:04:15Speaker 3: Yeah, go on. Sorry, your ex or something up there.
- 1:04:18Speaker 3: Girl from the camp. Because he pushed.
- 1:04:19Speaker 2: What a promise I'm from Canada.
- 1:04:20Speaker 3: He pushed for a plastic cup ban in Canada. And
- 1:04:23Speaker 3: as you can see there, he's got a red solo.
- 1:04:24Speaker 1: Cup on his knee.
- 1:04:25Speaker 3: That's why he was getting shit? That's one of the reasons.
- 1:04:27Speaker 3: People are also making fun of him for wearing like
- 1:04:29Speaker 3: relaxed clothes. Do you expect him to be in like.
- 1:04:31Speaker 1: A blue suit? Yeah, like a suit.
- 1:04:33Speaker 3: What are we talking about here?
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: I do like the backwards hat. Enjoying some Chinese food
- 1:04:37Speaker 1: in a.
- 1:04:38Speaker 3: Yeah. I guess I like Trudeau. He was on Pod
- 1:04:41Speaker 3: Save the World. Check out Pod Save the World. Subscribe
- 1:04:43Speaker 3: anywhere you get your podcasts. I guess my advice to
- 1:04:46Speaker 3: him would be like post about Coachella or post about
- 1:04:49Speaker 3: the Hungarian elections.
- 1:04:50Speaker 1: Don't do both.
- 1:04:51Speaker 2: I'm sorry. And you think he needs your advice.
- 1:04:53Speaker 3: Yes, he absolutely does.
- 1:04:55Speaker 2: He is dating a pop star at Coachella. We're fucking here.
- 1:04:59Speaker 2: He's crushing it.
- 1:04:59Speaker 1: He's living the most divorced dad life.
- 1:05:02Speaker 2: He's doing great. He's posting about Viktor Orban throwing back
- 1:05:06Speaker 2: a ketamine lozenge.
- 1:05:07Speaker 1: He's crushing it. It is a very relatable situation. We've
- 1:05:12Speaker 1: all been there. Oh, no, we've got to do some work.
- 1:05:14Speaker 3: Oh, yeah.
- 1:05:16Speaker 1: We're looking at Twitter. Here we are in a fun time.
- 1:05:18Speaker 2: Drafted a convention speech from Vegas.
- 1:05:20Speaker 3: Done it all. Was he just there to see Bieber?
- 1:05:22Speaker 3: Or was that just a coincidence? A lot of the
- 1:05:24Speaker 3: reporting connected them because.
- 1:05:26Speaker 1: They're both Canadian. I mean, she's there, so I'm sure
- 1:05:28Speaker 1: she was just there to see everyone and get all the,
- 1:05:30Speaker 1: you know. She's Katy Perry.
- 1:05:32Speaker 3: She's Katy Perry. Yeah. Imagine you're tripping balls waiting for
- 1:05:35Speaker 3: a port-a-potty. Justin, you're like, Justin Trudeau?
- 1:05:38Speaker 2: I bet he has artist passes. I bet he has
- 1:05:40Speaker 2: the good passes.
- 1:05:41Speaker 3: Oh, definitely. But he's still got to pee.
- 1:05:42Speaker 2: He's got to pee. And that's the thing.
- 1:05:44Speaker 3: We all got to pee. Bernie was at Coachella last year, right?
- 1:05:48Speaker 3: But he spoke. Remember that?
- 1:05:50Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 1:05:51Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 1:05:51Speaker 2: I think it was he opened for Skrillex. God, my
- 1:05:55Speaker 2: references are getting so old.
- 1:05:56Speaker 3: Wow. So old.
- 1:05:58Speaker 1: Nice.
- 1:05:59Speaker 3: It was a bare naked ladies show.
- 1:06:01Speaker 1: We'll be seeing you at 54 with your hat backwards.
- 1:06:04Speaker 2: Who was there? Not Wilco.
- 1:06:07Speaker 3: Was Wheezy?
- 1:06:07Speaker 2: Hey buddy, hey old man, stagecoach is down the road.
- 1:06:16Speaker 3: No, no.
- 1:06:18Speaker 1: That's next weekend.
- 1:06:20Speaker 2: She actually started out with a band called No Doubt.
- 1:06:27Speaker 2: All right.
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: It was fun.
- 1:06:28Speaker 3: I wish I was there. Yeah.
- 1:06:29Speaker 1: We're just jealous.
- 1:06:30Speaker 3: That's for sure.
- 1:06:32Speaker 2: For sure.
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: Anyway, when we come back, love it talks to Nithya
- 1:06:36Speaker 1: Raman about her race for LA mayor.
- 1:06:47Speaker 2: Pod Save America is brought to you by Zip Recruiter.
- 1:06:49Speaker 2: Did you know that the average employer has to sort
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- 1:08:31Speaker 2: Joining me in studio, she's a city council member and
- 1:08:34Speaker 2: candidate for mayor of Los Angeles. Nithya Raman, welcome to
- 1:08:37Speaker 2: Pod Save America.
- 1:08:37Speaker 5: Thank you so much for having me.
- 1:08:39Speaker 2: We have a lot to get through. I'm going to
- 1:08:40Speaker 2: go pretty quickly. I also do want to disclose that
- 1:08:42Speaker 2: I've been a supporter of yours for a long time.
- 1:08:45Speaker 2: But I was really excited to see you jump in
- 1:08:48Speaker 2: the race, not just because you're you, but because I
- 1:08:51Speaker 2: thought Los Angeles deserved a big, contentious, hard fought mayoral campaign.
- 1:08:56Speaker 2: And we were about to not have one. Yes. You
- 1:08:59Speaker 2: had endorsed.
- 1:09:00Speaker 3: Karen Bass for mayor.
- 1:09:01Speaker 2: Yes. She was a political ally of yours. Then literally
- 1:09:05Speaker 2: in the hours before the noon deadline, you decided to run.
- 1:09:08Speaker 2: What happened in the month between endorsing your former political
- 1:09:12Speaker 2: ally and deciding to run against her?
- 1:09:15Speaker 5: Well, the endorsement request had come months prior. Um, so
- 1:09:18Speaker 5: I just want to be very clear about that. It
- 1:09:19Speaker 5: wasn't like an overnight change of heart, but I will
- 1:09:22Speaker 5: say that, um, I had been getting really frustrated with
- 1:09:26Speaker 5: the way that things had been going in the city
- 1:09:28Speaker 5: and in the way that things had been going in
- 1:09:30Speaker 5: city hall on so many of the issues that I
- 1:09:32Speaker 5: really cared about on housing and housing production and the
- 1:09:35Speaker 5: cost of housing, the extraordinary cost of housing here in
- 1:09:38Speaker 5: Los Angeles. I felt like the city was actually fighting
- 1:09:42Speaker 5: against state mandates to build housing. The city was fighting
- 1:09:44Speaker 5: affordable housing. And we didn't have any clear direction or
- 1:09:47Speaker 5: urgency around the issue at all. On issues like homelessness,
- 1:09:51Speaker 5: where people were demanding accountability, that is possible, absolutely possible
- 1:09:56Speaker 5: to deliver things that I have actually made progress on
- 1:09:58Speaker 5: in my own district and in my limited way as
- 1:10:00Speaker 5: the chair of the committee. We were just not doing
- 1:10:02Speaker 5: on a system-wide level and we didn't feel any urgency
- 1:10:04Speaker 5: around it. And I feel like that lack of urgency
- 1:10:08Speaker 5: was everywhere in every issue that I cared about. And
- 1:10:11Speaker 5: I kept trying to push back against it and kept
- 1:10:15Speaker 5: hitting a wall. And I think I got increasingly frustrated.
- 1:10:19Speaker 5: And I'm not a traditional politician in that this is
- 1:10:21Speaker 5: what I want to be doing for the rest of
- 1:10:23Speaker 5: my life. I actually didn't even really think that I
- 1:10:24Speaker 5: would ever run for office. But I really care about
- 1:10:27Speaker 5: Los Angeles and the idea, exactly like you said, of
- 1:10:31Speaker 5: having a mayoral election where we weren't even talking about
- 1:10:33Speaker 5: the fact that L.A. is struggling right now, that a
- 1:10:36Speaker 5: lot of people feel like it's moving in the wrong direction,
- 1:10:39Speaker 5: that the city hall needs to be doing things differently
- 1:10:41Speaker 5: in order to address our biggest problems. that we weren't
- 1:10:45Speaker 5: even going to have that conversation, I mean, it made
- 1:10:49Speaker 5: me crazy. It made me absolutely crazy. And so finally,
- 1:10:52Speaker 5: in the last couple of days, I seriously considered running.
- 1:10:56Speaker 5: And then on the very last day, threw my hat
- 1:10:58Speaker 5: in the ring.
- 1:10:59Speaker 2: So let's talk about what's wrong with Los Angeles, which
- 1:11:04Speaker 2: would be too long of a conversation to have. But
- 1:11:06Speaker 2: stepping back, the city of LA has a budget of
- 1:11:08Speaker 2: around $ 14 billion. Yet we can't fix sidewalks, repave streets.
- 1:11:14Speaker 2: We don't plant trees. We can't replace the bulbs in
- 1:11:17Speaker 2: our street lamps. Why in the richest state in the country,
- 1:11:21Speaker 2: in the fourth largest economy in the world, is Los
- 1:11:25Speaker 2: Angeles such a basket case?
- 1:11:26Speaker 5: You know, I think a lot of it has to
- 1:11:28Speaker 5: do with really poor fiscal management here at the city.
- 1:11:30Speaker 5: We are making decisions that undermine our capacity to be
- 1:11:33Speaker 5: able to deliver basic essential services for our residents. And
- 1:11:38Speaker 5: I think that's a shame because it is, again, it's
- 1:11:40Speaker 5: completely possible to do it. We last year had a
- 1:11:44Speaker 5: billion dollar budget deficit that definitely had some kind of
- 1:11:50Speaker 5: impacts from the fires the year prior and from, or
- 1:11:55Speaker 5: a few months prior, and from heightened liability claims that
- 1:11:59Speaker 5: are impacting a lot of municipalities across the country. But
- 1:12:03Speaker 5: the biggest issue was that we signed unsustainably large contracts,
- 1:12:09Speaker 5: beginning with the police union, which is one of the
- 1:12:11Speaker 5: biggest players in local politics. We signed an enormous contract
- 1:12:16Speaker 5: with them that everybody at City Hall knew would lead
- 1:12:20Speaker 5: to hundreds of millions of dollars of shortfall. And yet
- 1:12:23Speaker 5: we signed it anyway because the mayor and many other
- 1:12:26Speaker 5: City Hall leaders, I voted against it, many other City
- 1:12:29Speaker 5: Hall leaders knew that the police union is the major
- 1:12:31Speaker 5: player in local elections. They're the biggest funders of independent
- 1:12:36Speaker 5: expenditure committees of campaign funding here in LA. And so
- 1:12:40Speaker 5: we signed that contract. We knew that we would be
- 1:12:43Speaker 5: hundreds of millions of dollars in the hole as a result.
- 1:12:45Speaker 5: And then exactly as everyone knew, we ended last year
- 1:12:48Speaker 5: with a billion dollar budget deficit and 1,600 layoffs on
- 1:12:52Speaker 5: the table. And because that happened, we are now in
- 1:12:55Speaker 5: a situation where we have 30,000 streetlights off across the
- 1:12:59Speaker 5: city of Los Angeles and an average repair time of
- 1:13:02Speaker 5: a year. to fix a streetlight. We haven't paved a
- 1:13:05Speaker 5: single mile of street this entire fiscal year because we
- 1:13:08Speaker 5: don't have the money. We're filling fewer potholes because we
- 1:13:10Speaker 5: have the trucks to fill potholes, but we can't pay
- 1:13:13Speaker 5: for the drivers to fill potholes. We are doing everything
- 1:13:17Speaker 5: worse than we could. And now we're going back to
- 1:13:19Speaker 5: residents and asking them to pay more in order to
- 1:13:22Speaker 5: deliver these essential services.
- 1:13:24Speaker 2: So you would, if you were to become mayor, you
- 1:13:26Speaker 2: would inherit these contracts. How do you fix it? How
- 1:13:31Speaker 2: do we dig ourselves out of this hole? And How
- 1:13:33Speaker 2: do you do it when it's not just the mayor
- 1:13:36Speaker 2: that's kind of making these decisions, but also the city
- 1:13:39Speaker 2: council and other people that feel beholden to these groups,
- 1:13:44Speaker 2: even if they're supportive of making sure public employees receive
- 1:13:46Speaker 2: good benefits and good pay?
- 1:13:48Speaker 3: 100%.
- 1:13:48Speaker 1: 100%.
- 1:13:48Speaker 5: And I think you can offer, I think we can
- 1:13:51Speaker 5: have a vision for Los Angeles where we are paying
- 1:13:54Speaker 5: public sector employees what they deserve, giving them raises to
- 1:13:58Speaker 5: be able to live in this city that is so
- 1:14:00Speaker 5: extraordinarily expensive. but also negotiate adequately in order to make
- 1:14:06Speaker 5: sure that we're also delivering basic services. And that inability
- 1:14:11Speaker 5: to negotiate, that's what we're losing in a system which
- 1:14:14Speaker 5: is so insular here in LA, where the people who
- 1:14:18Speaker 5: are really constituents of city hall politics are a very
- 1:14:22Speaker 5: small group, as opposed to all of the residents of
- 1:14:24Speaker 5: the city of Los Angeles for whom the decisions being
- 1:14:27Speaker 5: made in city hall really matter.
- 1:14:28Speaker 2: Yeah. Can you talk about what happened with the convention center.
- 1:14:33Speaker 2: So I think this is a good example. There was
- 1:14:36Speaker 2: a proposal to expand the convention center. You just tell
- 1:14:38Speaker 2: people what happened, how much it's going to cost, and
- 1:14:41Speaker 2: what happened there. Yeah.
- 1:14:42Speaker 5: So there's been a proposal being kicked around for actually
- 1:14:45Speaker 5: a decade to expand the convention center. We have a
- 1:14:47Speaker 5: convention center in downtown LA. It is pretty old. It's
- 1:14:50Speaker 5: smaller than other convention centers. And there's been kind of
- 1:14:53Speaker 5: a discussion to see whether we should expand it and
- 1:14:56Speaker 5: brighten it up. Suddenly, just a few months after we
- 1:14:59Speaker 5: had a billion dollar budget deficit, the convention center was
- 1:15:02Speaker 5: back on the table. And by this time, the costs
- 1:15:05Speaker 5: had ballooned significantly. Now the cost of that rebuilding that
- 1:15:09Speaker 5: convention center with a debt service, we're going to be
- 1:15:12Speaker 5: close to $ 6 billion, $ 6 billion. That would mean that
- 1:15:16Speaker 5: we were going to be paying out a hundred million dollars, uh,
- 1:15:20Speaker 5: annually out of our general fund. Those are our discretionary
- 1:15:23Speaker 5: dollars that we use for providing basic services here in LA,
- 1:15:27Speaker 5: everything from public safety to streetlights. And, uh, That proposal
- 1:15:32Speaker 5: was pushed through very, very quickly, despite the fact that
- 1:15:36Speaker 5: we are in a fiscal crisis, despite the fact that
- 1:15:38Speaker 5: we have the Olympics coming up, despite the fact that
- 1:15:41Speaker 5: local and economic headwinds are very, very uncertain here in
- 1:15:45Speaker 5: Los Angeles, because a small cluster of downtown businesses who
- 1:15:50Speaker 5: fund local elections really wanted to push it forward. And
- 1:15:54Speaker 5: For me, I represent a district right now that is
- 1:15:56Speaker 5: very vocal about their views. It's one of the relatively
- 1:16:02Speaker 5: wealthier districts, and they know how to get in touch
- 1:16:04Speaker 5: with City Hall when they care. I didn't hear from
- 1:16:06Speaker 5: any of my constituents saying that they wanted this project
- 1:16:08Speaker 5: to move forward. That's very unusual for big decisions in
- 1:16:12Speaker 5: front of the city.
- 1:16:13Speaker 2: How long would the project take, too? How many years
- 1:16:15Speaker 2: would it take to build this convention center?
- 1:16:17Speaker 5: It's going to take a couple of years. And what
- 1:16:19Speaker 5: is interesting about it is that we actually have Olympics
- 1:16:22Speaker 5: events that are scheduled to happen at the convention center.
- 1:16:26Speaker 5: And so in order to make sure that the Olympics
- 1:16:27Speaker 5: events are happening, what we have to do is to
- 1:16:30Speaker 5: move the project forward until it gets to Olympics readiness.
- 1:16:34Speaker 5: It won't be done by the time the Olympics are happening,
- 1:16:37Speaker 5: but we need to get to Olympics readiness. And then
- 1:16:40Speaker 5: we're going to kind of put walls around the remaining
- 1:16:42Speaker 5: parts of the conventions that are there still under construction.
- 1:16:44Speaker 5: Then we're going to have the events there. And then afterwards,
- 1:16:46Speaker 5: we'll finish the project.
- 1:16:47Speaker 2: And that's going to cost $ 6 billion.
- 1:16:49Speaker 5: With debt service.
- 1:16:50Speaker 2: With debt. Including all the costs plus the borrowing and
- 1:16:53Speaker 2: all the rest is going to cost the city $ 6 billion.
- 1:16:55Speaker 2: And how long would it take us to make back
- 1:16:57Speaker 2: that $ 6 billion?
- 1:16:57Speaker 5: I mean, we're going to be paying the debt for
- 1:17:01Speaker 5: that for the next 30 years. And the revenues will
- 1:17:04Speaker 5: never cover the costs.
- 1:17:05Speaker 2: I mean, this is... Terrific.
- 1:17:08Speaker 3: Love that for us. All right. Sorry.
- 1:17:10Speaker 2: So how does it get to the point where a
- 1:17:13Speaker 2: small group of people, Democrats or, you know, left associated
- 1:17:17Speaker 2: people are all coming together to make these decisions, not
- 1:17:20Speaker 2: Republicans that are causing these problems. It's not Donald Trump.
- 1:17:24Speaker 2: It's this is a problem generated by the only thing
- 1:17:28Speaker 2: between us and solving these problems is Democrats.
- 1:17:29Speaker 3: Right.
- 1:17:30Speaker 2: And so for like people that maybe aren't from Los
- 1:17:32Speaker 2: Angeles and see this, like, What have you learned being
- 1:17:35Speaker 2: in the city council about what it takes to get
- 1:17:37Speaker 2: a group of people that are maybe ideologically aligned to
- 1:17:39Speaker 2: care about just the basics of good governing?
- 1:17:43Speaker 5: You know, I don't know the answer to that, to
- 1:17:45Speaker 5: be honest with you, because that is not what we
- 1:17:46Speaker 5: have right now here in Los Angeles. So I don't
- 1:17:48Speaker 5: know what the solution for actually caring about good governance is,
- 1:17:52Speaker 5: except that I think it is absolutely necessary at this moment.
- 1:17:58Speaker 5: To me here, to live in this city, to think
- 1:18:01Speaker 5: about the fact that I have to look my constituents,
- 1:18:05Speaker 5: in the face and say to them, you trust me,
- 1:18:07Speaker 5: I'm going to address really complex issues like affordability. I'm
- 1:18:10Speaker 5: going to address really complex issues like homelessness, but I
- 1:18:14Speaker 5: can't fix your streetlight for a year. And just trust me,
- 1:18:18Speaker 5: I got this. That felt unacceptable to me. That felt
- 1:18:21Speaker 5: like an absurd situation to be in with my constituents.
- 1:18:24Speaker 5: And that is really what had, what pushed me into running. And,
- 1:18:28Speaker 5: you know, at this time, I had actually been so
- 1:18:31Speaker 5: frustrated with the that I had started to lose hope
- 1:18:38Speaker 5: in how things could get better here in Los Angeles.
- 1:18:41Speaker 5: And I think in the context of a federal environment
- 1:18:43Speaker 5: where I feel relatively helpless and hopeless as well, feeling
- 1:18:48Speaker 5: that locally has also been really, really, you know, frustrating.
- 1:18:54Speaker 5: But I will say that since I started the campaign
- 1:18:56Speaker 5: and since I've been going out and talking to communities
- 1:18:58Speaker 5: about these decisions and talking about how the city can
- 1:19:00Speaker 5: do better, how we can achieve all of the goals
- 1:19:03Speaker 5: that we want to set out to achieve, if we're
- 1:19:05Speaker 5: honest with our constituents, if we're open, if we're transparent,
- 1:19:08Speaker 5: And if we really work towards good outcomes, I really
- 1:19:11Speaker 5: do feel like people are excited by that message. People
- 1:19:14Speaker 5: are getting enthusiastic. People are organizing their own meetings so
- 1:19:17Speaker 5: that I can meet their friends. Like it is a
- 1:19:19Speaker 5: message that is getting a lot of positive reception, which
- 1:19:24Speaker 5: is really exciting.
- 1:19:25Speaker 2: So let's talk about one of the key challenges for LA,
- 1:19:27Speaker 2: which is housing. I actually interviewed Zoran Mamdani about this
- 1:19:30Speaker 2: when he was running in New York, that he had
- 1:19:33Speaker 2: actually evolved as somebody that was associated with the the DSA,
- 1:19:37Speaker 2: the socialists, democratic socialists, that he had come to see
- 1:19:40Speaker 2: the importance of not just like rent control and measures
- 1:19:44Speaker 2: to control the cost of housing, public housing, but also
- 1:19:47Speaker 2: market rate housing. I think you've had a similar evolution.
- 1:19:50Speaker 2: Can you talk about what is standing in the way
- 1:19:54Speaker 2: right now of Los Angeles building enough housing supply to
- 1:19:59Speaker 2: meet the need?
- 1:19:59Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 1:20:00Speaker 5: I mean, I think I definitely had that same movement.
- 1:20:05Speaker 5: I was very focused on affordable housing when I first
- 1:20:07Speaker 5: started my first race, building more affordable housing, building more shelter,
- 1:20:11Speaker 5: making sure that we were building kind of what people
- 1:20:16Speaker 5: talked about needing here in LA. But as I was
- 1:20:20Speaker 5: in office and I started getting calls from constituents who
- 1:20:23Speaker 5: were struggling with their rents, I realized these were often
- 1:20:27Speaker 5: people who would never qualify for affordable housing. But they
- 1:20:30Speaker 5: had no choice but to live in a unit with
- 1:20:33Speaker 5: a terrible landlord in terrible conditions because there was simply
- 1:20:36Speaker 5: nothing else available to them here in Los Angeles. And L.A.
- 1:20:39Speaker 5: is a city where there has been an active anti-housing
- 1:20:43Speaker 5: movement that has shaped our local politics for decades. In
- 1:20:47Speaker 5: the 80s, there was an anti-Manhattanization movement. that downzoned, that
- 1:20:52Speaker 5: reduced the capacity to build more housing along every major
- 1:20:56Speaker 5: boulevard and thoroughfare, that reduced capacity to build multifamily housing
- 1:21:00Speaker 5: across the entire city, leading to what estimates, what is
- 1:21:04Speaker 5: an estimated shortfall of something like 500,000 units here in
- 1:21:08Speaker 5: the city of Los Angeles right now. But I think
- 1:21:10Speaker 5: we can actually fix it. There are ways in which
- 1:21:13Speaker 5: the city of Los Angeles can build more. A huge
- 1:21:16Speaker 5: change would be getting the city out of the way
- 1:21:19Speaker 5: rezoning so that we actually have capacity to build more housing,
- 1:21:23Speaker 5: building more density, particularly near our major transit corridors, building
- 1:21:27Speaker 5: more gentle density like, uh, duplexes and triplexes, even in
- 1:21:31Speaker 5: some single family neighborhoods that can be more walkable that
- 1:21:34Speaker 5: are near transit. I think that's a key change that
- 1:21:37Speaker 5: we need to make. We need to get the city
- 1:21:39Speaker 5: out of the way. We have enormous red tape standing between, uh,
- 1:21:43Speaker 5: an application for a new housing unit coming in and
- 1:21:46Speaker 5: when it is actually approved. And our timelines for approving
- 1:21:48Speaker 5: housing are double, even triple what other jurisdictions are, which
- 1:21:52Speaker 5: leads to significantly less housing being produced. And by the way,
- 1:21:58Speaker 5: more expensive housing being produced because the longer you have
- 1:22:00Speaker 5: to sit and wait for your permits to come, the
- 1:22:02Speaker 5: more expensive that housing becomes ultimately.
- 1:22:04Speaker 2: And the fewer projects that get started because the people
- 1:22:06Speaker 2: building those projects know they have to be able to
- 1:22:08Speaker 2: make money on the end when there's going.
- 1:22:09Speaker 5: To be a huge Yeah, I also wanted to say
- 1:22:12Speaker 5: that we really have a culture in City Hall where
- 1:22:16Speaker 5: delay and denial are kind of rewarded and saying yes
- 1:22:22Speaker 5: is not. And I think we have to completely flip
- 1:22:24Speaker 5: that around. We have to build a city where saying
- 1:22:28Speaker 5: yes is the goal of our housing processes, not the opposite.
- 1:22:32Speaker 5: And that is a culture shift. That has to happen
- 1:22:35Speaker 5: at every level of the bureaucracy. It has to be
- 1:22:37Speaker 5: enabled and undergirded by technology that allows cooperation between departments.
- 1:22:41Speaker 5: And it has to be rewarded at the highest levels
- 1:22:43Speaker 5: of government. And that's really what I think needs to happen.
- 1:22:46Speaker 2: Yeah, like after the fires in the Palisades and Altadena,
- 1:22:51Speaker 2: there was this sense even from the mayor that like,
- 1:22:53Speaker 2: we're going to make this process faster. We're going to
- 1:22:55Speaker 2: make it work better. Of the 4,100 that have applied
- 1:22:58Speaker 2: for permits to rebuild, fewer than half have been approved.
- 1:23:02Speaker 3: Only 34 homes.
- 1:23:04Speaker 2: So even when there is an impetus, even when there
- 1:23:07Speaker 2: seems to be an understanding that we need to move faster,
- 1:23:10Speaker 2: it's not happening. Is that a technical problem of the rules?
- 1:23:14Speaker 2: Is that leadership? Is that the mayor not like what's happening?
- 1:23:18Speaker 5: Well, I think it is leadership. I think it is
- 1:23:20Speaker 5: a I think the mayor here in the city of
- 1:23:23Speaker 5: Los Angeles has while it is a weaker mayor system
- 1:23:27Speaker 5: than in other places, we the mayor has the capacity
- 1:23:31Speaker 5: to hire and fire every department head. And that means
- 1:23:34Speaker 5: that the mayor has the capacity to determine the priorities
- 1:23:37Speaker 5: of every department. They're getting motions and legislative efforts from
- 1:23:40Speaker 5: the council members to push them in a thousand different directions.
- 1:23:43Speaker 5: The mayor is the one that departments respond to. And
- 1:23:46Speaker 5: so it is up to the mayor to set housing
- 1:23:50Speaker 5: production and permitting timelines as a priority. She can set
- 1:23:55Speaker 5: deadlines by when these things have to happen. You can
- 1:23:58Speaker 5: appoint leadership that is responsive to those goals. You can
- 1:24:03Speaker 5: create metrics through which you can hold department heads accountable.
- 1:24:06Speaker 5: And if they meet those goals, you can reward them.
- 1:24:09Speaker 5: And if they don't meet those goals, you should replace them.
- 1:24:11Speaker 5: That is not happening here in the city of Los
- 1:24:13Speaker 5: Angeles at all, across all of the departments that are
- 1:24:15Speaker 5: involved in the housing production process. Also, we haven't had
- 1:24:19Speaker 5: a deputy mayor of housing for almost two years. In
- 1:24:22Speaker 5: a city where the cost of housing and housing production
- 1:24:25Speaker 5: and rebuilding are key issues for This city, we need
- 1:24:29Speaker 5: a deputy mayor for housing. But that position has been
- 1:24:32Speaker 5: left empty for, I think, an inexcusably long time.
- 1:24:36Speaker 2: So we're in this crisis in housing. We've lost 54,000
- 1:24:39Speaker 2: people in the county. Now, Los Angeles passed something that's
- 1:24:42Speaker 2: called ULA. It's the mansion tax, as people would know it.
- 1:24:45Speaker 2: And I actually supported the mansion tax because I thought, OK,
- 1:24:48Speaker 2: I don't think it was written in a stupid way
- 1:24:50Speaker 2: by people who seem, honestly, mathematically illiterate. But it put
- 1:24:55Speaker 2: a tax on houses over $ 5 million and then a
- 1:24:56Speaker 2: bigger tax on houses, I believe, over $ 10 million. And
- 1:24:58Speaker 2: I thought all things considered, better to have it than
- 1:25:00Speaker 2: not have it. I didn't understand when I voted for it, honestly,
- 1:25:03Speaker 2: that it also applied to multifamily housing because that was
- 1:25:06Speaker 2: so– it wouldn't even have occurred to me that it
- 1:25:09Speaker 2: would do something so fucking stupid. Truly, I feel stupid
- 1:25:11Speaker 2: that I voted for it. I would have voted no.
- 1:25:14Speaker 2: You tried to fix it. And you say, hey, we'll
- 1:25:16Speaker 2: keep the mansion tax, but we won't apply this to
- 1:25:19Speaker 2: new multifamily housing because all the evidence– says that multifamily
- 1:25:23Speaker 2: housing is being stopped and this is counterproductive. And yet
- 1:25:27Speaker 2: the council doesn't do it. It was enraging. I am
- 1:25:32Speaker 2: mad sitting here. What is the logic of it? How
- 1:25:35Speaker 2: do you show up with these people? What is stopping
- 1:25:38Speaker 2: them from doing that? Sputtering to a stop is so
- 1:25:41Speaker 2: fucking stupid. Why didn't they support what you were trying
- 1:25:43Speaker 2: to do?
- 1:25:44Speaker 5: Well, I mean, I think because people, A, people don't
- 1:25:47Speaker 5: believe the evidence. So there's, I mean, I was very
- 1:25:50Speaker 5: convinced by the evidence. There were real differences in LA
- 1:25:53Speaker 5: City versus LA County. LA County is producing more housing.
- 1:25:56Speaker 5: We're producing less. San Diego, which is facing the same
- 1:25:59Speaker 5: macroeconomic conditions that we are, is actually increasing permits while
- 1:26:03Speaker 5: LA has seen a 25% drop in permits. I mean,
- 1:26:06Speaker 5: to me, the evidence was very clear that this was
- 1:26:09Speaker 5: impacting multifamily housing production. I think there's two things that
- 1:26:12Speaker 5: are happening here that are preventing people more robust action
- 1:26:15Speaker 5: from being taken on issues that are obviously addressing housing production.
- 1:26:19Speaker 5: One is that there is significant pushback from, again, those
- 1:26:23Speaker 5: same kind of insider groups that have huge sway in
- 1:26:26Speaker 5: City Hall, both the ULA Coalition that I worked with
- 1:26:29Speaker 5: very closely to try and negotiate a pathway forward. I
- 1:26:33Speaker 5: was talking to them for many, many months to say,
- 1:26:35Speaker 5: because I too was a supporter of ULA, I really
- 1:26:37Speaker 5: value the money that it provides to the city for
- 1:26:40Speaker 5: rent relief and other things. And so I worked very
- 1:26:43Speaker 5: closely with them to say, hey, can we craft an
- 1:26:45Speaker 5: exemption that allows for this much needed housing to be
- 1:26:48Speaker 5: built here? Ultimately, we just were not able to come
- 1:26:51Speaker 5: to an agreement on what that would look like. And
- 1:26:54Speaker 5: I got extremely frustrated because to me, this is the
- 1:26:57Speaker 5: single most important issue that is, you know, hampering our
- 1:27:02Speaker 5: future resiliency, that is making Los Angeles into a place
- 1:27:05Speaker 5: of less opportunity. Secondly, I think both labor groups that
- 1:27:10Speaker 5: funded the effort also were not on board with making
- 1:27:13Speaker 5: any changes. And so with nonprofits and with labor groups
- 1:27:16Speaker 5: that had supported the effort not making any changes without
- 1:27:20Speaker 5: a real push from the mayor and from other leadership
- 1:27:24Speaker 5: to really move this forward, this effort died. It is
- 1:27:26Speaker 5: now going through a committee process, but I'm not sure
- 1:27:28Speaker 5: what is going to come from it.
- 1:27:29Speaker 2: So I think more than half the council had already
- 1:27:31Speaker 2: endorsed Karen Bass before you decided to run. They've, I think,
- 1:27:35Speaker 2: all stuck with their endorsements. But I assume behind the scenes,
- 1:27:39Speaker 2: others on the council are as frustrated as you are.
- 1:27:42Speaker 2: You happen to have also been somebody that endorsed Karen
- 1:27:44Speaker 2: Bass but was unhappy. Are you hearing from them privately
- 1:27:49Speaker 2: that they actually want you to win but they're afraid
- 1:27:51Speaker 2: to say so publicly?
- 1:27:52Speaker 5: Well, I don't. look, I don't want to betray my
- 1:27:56Speaker 5: private conversations. I still have relationships with people on the
- 1:27:58Speaker 5: council that I'm working with. And whatever happens in this election,
- 1:28:02Speaker 5: either outcome, I will need to work with them going
- 1:28:05Speaker 5: forward as well. But I will say that I've interacted
- 1:28:08Speaker 5: with a lot of local political figures here, not just
- 1:28:11Speaker 5: people on the council, but across the entire region. And
- 1:28:15Speaker 5: I think there have been a lot of questions about
- 1:28:18Speaker 5: the lack of leadership on issues. And I think that's
- 1:28:23Speaker 5: the most perplexing thing here in L.A., which I think
- 1:28:28Speaker 5: Angelenos can feel on the streets, which is just like
- 1:28:31Speaker 5: there's a rudderlessness. There's just a lack of pushing. There's
- 1:28:37Speaker 5: a lack of urgency on the things that— I feel
- 1:28:40Speaker 5: really urgent about. And that I think residents of the
- 1:28:43Speaker 5: city feel really urgent about. There's a lack of just
- 1:28:47Speaker 5: kind of being out there and fighting. Like Angelenos need
- 1:28:50Speaker 5: a fighter at a moment when things feel really bleak here.
- 1:28:54Speaker 5: And to not have that fighter in city hall, to
- 1:28:57Speaker 5: not have that person Really articulating a vision of how
- 1:29:01Speaker 5: things could change, whether it's on the cost of housing,
- 1:29:04Speaker 5: whether it's on our transit and safety infrastructure for our streets,
- 1:29:08Speaker 5: whether it's on homelessness, whether it's on ICE, whatever it is.
- 1:29:13Speaker 5: We're just missing that kind of that leadership here in
- 1:29:17Speaker 5: the city. And this is an incredible place. This is
- 1:29:21Speaker 5: an incredible place. It deserves that kind of leadership. It
- 1:29:24Speaker 5: deserves that kind of vision. It deserves someone pushing with
- 1:29:27Speaker 5: all of their might. To push it in the right direction.
- 1:29:29Speaker 5: And I just, I know I felt that absence and
- 1:29:34Speaker 5: I don't think I'm the only one. I really don't.
- 1:29:36Speaker 2: So I want to ask you about MacArthur Park. There's
- 1:29:38Speaker 2: a beautiful park in the middle of the city. Yeah.
- 1:29:41Speaker 2: If you go there right now, if we drove there
- 1:29:43Speaker 2: right now, it's the middle of the day, you would
- 1:29:45Speaker 2: see basically like an open air drug market. And the
- 1:29:49Speaker 2: mayor and the police, they set up chain link fences
- 1:29:53Speaker 2: on the sidewalks around the park. They're blocking off. They're
- 1:29:57Speaker 2: not coordinating anything in. It's hard to believe that this
- 1:30:00Speaker 2: is the solution. They have built boxes of chain link
- 1:30:04Speaker 2: fence to close the sidewalk so that people do not
- 1:30:08Speaker 2: use those spaces to sell drugs. This was touted as
- 1:30:12Speaker 2: a temporary solution. Years it has been devolving. There was
- 1:30:18Speaker 2: a plan for like about $ 27 million to try to
- 1:30:20Speaker 2: beautify the park over a long period of time. You're
- 1:30:23Speaker 2: the mayor of Los Angeles. How long does it take
- 1:30:26Speaker 2: until MacArthur Park is a place that's safe for families?
- 1:30:30Speaker 2: I personally, like, look, I can be told why I'm wrong,
- 1:30:33Speaker 2: but the idea that it's a six-month problem as opposed
- 1:30:36Speaker 2: to a one-month problem, two-week problem to really kind of
- 1:30:39Speaker 2: make the place safe again, like, what would you do
- 1:30:41Speaker 2: and how long do you think it takes with real
- 1:30:43Speaker 2: attention to make a place like that reflective of the
- 1:30:47Speaker 2: kind of city we think Los Angeles should be?
- 1:30:49Speaker 5: Yeah, I think it would take six months to a
- 1:30:51Speaker 5: year to change it because I think it takes repeated
- 1:30:54Speaker 5: engagement and presence in that location to address longstanding issues.
- 1:30:59Speaker 5: And I think you have to address both the homelessness
- 1:31:02Speaker 5: crisis that is on the streets. You have to address
- 1:31:05Speaker 5: the mental health issues that are out there. And you
- 1:31:07Speaker 5: have to address very obvious criminal activity that's happening there,
- 1:31:11Speaker 5: drug dealing and other kinds of things for which you
- 1:31:14Speaker 5: need police presence there dealing with really ugly issues that
- 1:31:19Speaker 5: are out there that require their attention, investigation and arrests.
- 1:31:24Speaker 5: And I think if you do both of those things,
- 1:31:27Speaker 5: if you are really, again, robustly engaged, um, pushing with
- 1:31:32Speaker 5: all your might on that issue, I do think that
- 1:31:34Speaker 5: you can make some real improvements there. Uh, I, you know,
- 1:31:38Speaker 5: we have had in council district four where I've, I've
- 1:31:42Speaker 5: been engaged, um, We don't have anything that resembles that
- 1:31:46Speaker 5: scale of crisis. But we did have very large encampments, very,
- 1:31:50Speaker 5: very large encampments, 30, 40 people that were there when
- 1:31:53Speaker 5: I first got elected. And each of those, addressing each
- 1:31:57Speaker 5: of those, took that kind of effort. We were able
- 1:31:59Speaker 5: to offer shelter, services, housing, and really push on the
- 1:32:03Speaker 5: system to be able to address issues. There were cases
- 1:32:05Speaker 5: where we had to work a much longer time to
- 1:32:08Speaker 5: address people who had severe mental health issues. who, you know,
- 1:32:13Speaker 5: despite repeated engagement, even arrests that came about from their
- 1:32:17Speaker 5: own behavior, would end up right back in the same place.
- 1:32:21Speaker 5: That requires engaging with the Department of Mental Health. That
- 1:32:23Speaker 5: requires engaging with mental health clinicians. It takes time, but again,
- 1:32:28Speaker 5: with time and effort, progress can happen. And I think
- 1:32:31Speaker 5: the key, the missing link here, the thing that I
- 1:32:34Speaker 5: keep articulating over and over again, is that you have
- 1:32:36Speaker 5: to put in the time and the urgency and the
- 1:32:38Speaker 5: leadership and the focus on these things that can actually
- 1:32:41Speaker 5: push things in the right direction. And it has to
- 1:32:43Speaker 5: be sustained over time.
- 1:32:45Speaker 2: Yeah. Like, because what I, what I'm hearing too, is
- 1:32:48Speaker 2: like a lot of this is pushing back even at
- 1:32:50Speaker 2: times on your own constituencies, whether it's a public employees
- 1:32:53Speaker 2: union or maybe advocates for, uh, uh, for, for the unhoused,
- 1:32:59Speaker 2: you know, Gavin Newsom, it's almost taken as a given
- 1:33:02Speaker 2: in some quarters that Gavin Newsom was performatively cruel in
- 1:33:06Speaker 2: the way that he wanted to clear encampments. Uh, But
- 1:33:10Speaker 2: at the same time, I imagine most even Democrats in
- 1:33:14Speaker 2: California would say, oh, that's what I want. I want
- 1:33:16Speaker 2: someone who's going to be aggressive about doing that. Is
- 1:33:20Speaker 2: part of the job of mayor making decisions that are humane,
- 1:33:25Speaker 2: that are reflective of our values as progressives, but at
- 1:33:28Speaker 2: the same time, sometimes the advocates are going to be
- 1:33:31Speaker 2: out there protesting if you do need to clear an encampment,
- 1:33:34Speaker 2: or sometimes you are going to have to go against
- 1:33:35Speaker 2: a labor union, even if you broadly support unions.
- 1:33:39Speaker 5: I think that for me, like on the issue of
- 1:33:42Speaker 5: encampments or the issue of homelessness overall, to me, I
- 1:33:48Speaker 5: think it is, and actually let me take a step back,
- 1:33:51Speaker 5: whatever issue that we're talking about here in the city
- 1:33:54Speaker 5: of Los Angeles, I think the issue for me as
- 1:33:57Speaker 5: a person who is deeply progressive, as someone who believes
- 1:34:01Speaker 5: in the power of government to do good things and
- 1:34:04Speaker 5: to make our lives better, my goal is to ensure
- 1:34:07Speaker 5: that you as a resident of Los Angeles and every
- 1:34:10Speaker 5: resident of Los Angeles feels like the government is working
- 1:34:13Speaker 5: for them and that they can palpably feel the positive
- 1:34:17Speaker 5: presence of government in their lives. And I think you
- 1:34:20Speaker 5: have to do what it takes in order to deliver
- 1:34:23Speaker 5: those results. On homelessness, I happen to believe that for
- 1:34:29Speaker 5: the encampments that I've dealt with in my district, housing, shelter, services,
- 1:34:34Speaker 5: focused work has been what has reduced street homelessness significantly
- 1:34:40Speaker 5: in my district at almost every encampment that we've worked in.
- 1:34:45Speaker 5: And that is the work that I would be doing,
- 1:34:48Speaker 5: is create that system of sustained effort to generate results
- 1:34:53Speaker 5: on reducing street homelessness, on addressing mental health issues, on
- 1:34:59Speaker 5: making our streets safer, cleaner, brighter, fixing street lights, whatever
- 1:35:04Speaker 5: it is. You have to push on these issues. And
- 1:35:07Speaker 5: I think that, that is really, I think for me,
- 1:35:10Speaker 5: my governing principle as a, as an elected representative and
- 1:35:14Speaker 5: as someone who is a very proud progressive is like,
- 1:35:17Speaker 5: I want people to feel like the government is working
- 1:35:19Speaker 5: for them.
- 1:35:20Speaker 2: When you were on the council, you supported what would
- 1:35:22Speaker 2: become Mayor Bassett's signature policy to address homelessness. It was
- 1:35:27Speaker 2: a $ 300 million program to get people off the streets.
- 1:35:31Speaker 2: The city spent about a about $ 259, 000 per person housed.
- 1:35:36Speaker 2: 40% of the participants, more than 2,000 people, ended up
- 1:35:40Speaker 2: back on the streets. What went wrong with that program?
- 1:35:45Speaker 2: And what does it tell you about how you.
- 1:35:47Speaker 3: Do it differently?
- 1:35:48Speaker 5: So initially, I thought the emergency response of the Inside
- 1:35:54Speaker 5: Safe program was.
- 1:35:56Speaker 3: Necessary for LA.
- 1:35:57Speaker 5: I also supported declaring a state of emergency on homelessness.
- 1:36:01Speaker 5: I think Street homelessness is a crisis. It is an
- 1:36:04Speaker 5: emergency and we should respond to it at that scale.
- 1:36:07Speaker 5: And the kind of effort that it was where you, again,
- 1:36:10Speaker 5: it was renting hotel and motel rooms and using those
- 1:36:14Speaker 5: as shelter to go to encampments and get off for
- 1:36:17Speaker 5: that shelter and then moving an entire encampment off the streets.
- 1:36:20Speaker 5: That's called encampment resolution. It's not unique to Inside Safe.
- 1:36:23Speaker 5: It's something that I've done in my district. In fact,
- 1:36:25Speaker 5: we did it years before the mayor came into office.
- 1:36:30Speaker 5: We've done it in Venice. It's been pioneered across the
- 1:36:34Speaker 5: city and it's very effective by really focusing encampment by
- 1:36:37Speaker 5: encampment and offering real shelter to people that we're able
- 1:36:41Speaker 5: to actually move people indoors and then clear those encampments
- 1:36:44Speaker 5: and then those areas stay clear because you've actually addressed
- 1:36:47Speaker 5: the reason why people are on the street in the
- 1:36:48Speaker 5: first place. So to me, that kind of an encampment
- 1:36:51Speaker 5: resolution focused response is really important. The issue becomes when
- 1:36:55Speaker 5: the intervention that you're using is enormously expensive and And
- 1:36:59Speaker 5: you're not doing the work to ensure that you are
- 1:37:02Speaker 5: making it into a fiscally sustainable response. So inside safe
- 1:37:06Speaker 5: motel rooms cost an average of over.
- 1:37:09Speaker 3: $ 80, 000.
- 1:37:10Speaker 5: Per person or per room per person per year. And
- 1:37:13Speaker 5: people are staying in them for an average of a year.
- 1:37:16Speaker 5: And sometimes they're costing as much as $ 100, 000 per person
- 1:37:20Speaker 5: per year. That is an enormously expensive intervention that I
- 1:37:25Speaker 5: think was appropriate as an emergency intervention and but needs
- 1:37:28Speaker 5: to be made into a real fiscally sustainable system that
- 1:37:33Speaker 5: actually can respond to the crisis on our streets with
- 1:37:35Speaker 5: the dollars that we have, because this is not sustainable.
- 1:37:39Speaker 5: And so to me, I want to build that system.
- 1:37:41Speaker 5: I've actually, in the city, generated data about the performance
- 1:37:45Speaker 5: of our homelessness investments for the first time, working with
- 1:37:48Speaker 5: LASA that shows us where beds are vacant, where our
- 1:37:52Speaker 5: permanent supportive housing units are available. And through that work,
- 1:37:55Speaker 5: I've actually brought people into these beds, filled every bed,
- 1:38:00Speaker 5: filled every unit. We need to be building a system
- 1:38:03Speaker 5: which is cost less per person, but is actually working
- 1:38:06Speaker 5: better at actually bringing people indoors, filling every bed, filling
- 1:38:09Speaker 5: every resource, and then doing the work when they're in
- 1:38:12Speaker 5: those units and those shelter beds to get them the
- 1:38:16Speaker 5: case management they need to transition to whatever is their
- 1:38:18Speaker 5: next step, whether it's reunification with family, whether it is
- 1:38:22Speaker 5: moving into a permanent supportive housing unit, whether it is
- 1:38:25Speaker 5: coming into self-sufficiency, getting a job, being able to actually
- 1:38:28Speaker 5: live independently. These are all things that the system can do,
- 1:38:33Speaker 5: but you have to design that system. You need to
- 1:38:36Speaker 5: make sure that there is leadership there and resources to
- 1:38:39Speaker 5: create that system, to make sure that people are moving
- 1:38:41Speaker 5: through it into safety and to permanent housing appropriately. But
- 1:38:45Speaker 5: that kind of work is not happening right now, despite
- 1:38:49Speaker 5: despite pushing within the city to create oversight, to create
- 1:38:54Speaker 5: responsibility here.
- 1:38:55Speaker 2: All right, a couple final questions. Look, I realize that
- 1:38:58Speaker 2: as mayor of LA, the Middle East has very little
- 1:39:02Speaker 2: to do with your portfolio, but you've been hit from
- 1:39:06Speaker 2: the left for not speaking out enough about Gaza. You
- 1:39:11Speaker 2: also would be running to be the mayor of a
- 1:39:14Speaker 2: city with a very big Jewish population that is deeply
- 1:39:16Speaker 2: concerned about the way in which anti-Zionism bleeds into anti-Semitism.
- 1:39:21Speaker 2: What do you view your role is in speaking about
- 1:39:24Speaker 2: this issue? And what do you think people in Los
- 1:39:26Speaker 2: Angeles should know about how you feel about it?
- 1:39:29Speaker 5: Well, I have spoken up about the issue in the past.
- 1:39:33Speaker 5: I called for a ceasefire, introduced a ceasefire resolution in
- 1:39:37Speaker 5: city council. I've called what's happening there, which is incredibly
- 1:39:41Speaker 5: horrific to witness what's happening in Gaza. I've called it
- 1:39:44Speaker 5: a genocide and you know, I've been deeply disturbed by
- 1:39:47Speaker 5: what I have seen. At the same time, in my
- 1:39:50Speaker 5: role as city council member and what I imagine in
- 1:39:53Speaker 5: my role as mayor would be the impacts on people
- 1:39:58Speaker 5: here and kind of the knock-on effects from what's happening
- 1:40:04Speaker 5: in the Middle East, I think have to be also
- 1:40:06Speaker 5: the focus of our work here in the city. So
- 1:40:09Speaker 5: in my district, we've had increases in really horrifying incidents
- 1:40:14Speaker 5: of antisemitism and Islamophobia. And I've had to respond to
- 1:40:18Speaker 5: both of those. And as mayor, I would need to
- 1:40:22Speaker 5: do more of that. I would need to ensure that
- 1:40:24Speaker 5: this city is a place where people are able to
- 1:40:26Speaker 5: express their political opinions freely, where people are able to
- 1:40:30Speaker 5: express their First Amendment rights, but that they are not
- 1:40:33Speaker 5: victims of antisemitism and Islamophobia. And when those happen, we
- 1:40:37Speaker 5: have to speak up about it. We have to make
- 1:40:39Speaker 5: sure that this is a place that's safe for everyone.
- 1:40:41Speaker 2: I want to talk about the film industry briefly. There's
- 1:40:43Speaker 2: so much to talk about.
- 1:40:43Speaker 3: I know.
- 1:40:44Speaker 2: So LA, we had only 19,000 on-location film and TV
- 1:40:49Speaker 2: production days. That's a 16% decrease from 2024. That's the
- 1:40:53Speaker 2: lowest number of production days ever recorded outside of COVID.
- 1:40:58Speaker 2: What would you do as mayor to bring production jobs
- 1:41:01Speaker 2: back to this city that Mayor Bass hasn't been.
- 1:41:04Speaker 3: Able to do?
- 1:41:05Speaker 5: Yeah, you know, one of the big things that I
- 1:41:07Speaker 5: think we need to be doing is making it easier
- 1:41:09Speaker 5: to film here. And there have been some efforts that
- 1:41:12Speaker 5: are making their way through the council around kind of
- 1:41:17Speaker 5: reducing restrictions on how production happens, on reducing costs for production,
- 1:41:23Speaker 5: improving how Film LA works. These have been moving, I think,
- 1:41:26Speaker 5: all too slowly. There's no reason why through executive directive
- 1:41:30Speaker 5: these fixes can't be made immediately and that the bureaucracy
- 1:41:34Speaker 5: that's standing in the way of people producing here, actually
- 1:41:37Speaker 5: making films here, cannot be eased more quickly by a
- 1:41:41Speaker 5: mayor who is deeply focused on this issue. But I
- 1:41:44Speaker 5: think there's more that can be done. You know, last
- 1:41:47Speaker 5: year we had a conversation about a tax credit that increased.
- 1:41:50Speaker 5: You know, I wanted to see more advocacy from our
- 1:41:53Speaker 5: mayor for a tax credit that would have no cap
- 1:41:55Speaker 5: and that would be guaranteed a decade into the future, right?
- 1:41:58Speaker 5: That's the kind of system that studios are looking for
- 1:42:03Speaker 5: as they're thinking about where to invest. And LA should
- 1:42:06Speaker 5: be the loudest advocate. The leadership of LA should be
- 1:42:09Speaker 5: the loudest advocate for the kind of tax credit system
- 1:42:11Speaker 5: that other states are putting into place and actually getting
- 1:42:14Speaker 5: production moving there, like in New Jersey. We should be
- 1:42:17Speaker 5: advocating for that same system here. Okay, Sacramento may not listen,
- 1:42:21Speaker 5: but the leadership of Los Angeles should be fighting as
- 1:42:24Speaker 5: hard as they can to make sure that that tax
- 1:42:25Speaker 5: credit system is put into place. I would also say that,
- 1:42:28Speaker 5: you know, I think we need to be really engaging
- 1:42:30Speaker 5: with studios. We need to be engaging with companies that
- 1:42:32Speaker 5: are headquartered here and saying to them, what do we
- 1:42:35Speaker 5: need to do to make sure that you're shooting here?
- 1:42:37Speaker 5: What do we need to do to make sure that
- 1:42:38Speaker 5: we are having production stay here? How can we make
- 1:42:41Speaker 5: sure that this industry, which is so central to Los Angeles,
- 1:42:45Speaker 5: so central to Los Angeles, stays in Los Angeles? How
- 1:42:48Speaker 5: can we make sure that the incredible talent that we
- 1:42:51Speaker 5: have across this city can work here, a place that
- 1:42:55Speaker 5: they moved to, to build their dreams, to work in
- 1:42:57Speaker 5: the film industry? And I think that's That's the kind
- 1:42:59Speaker 5: of engagement that I want to see. I haven't been
- 1:43:01Speaker 5: seeing that kind of engagement happening. That's what I would
- 1:43:03Speaker 5: want to do if I were mayor.
- 1:43:04Speaker 2: Oh, and then can you reopen the Arclight? Oh, I
- 1:43:06Speaker 2: don't know if I can.
- 1:43:07Speaker 5: I would love to figure out why it's closed.
- 1:43:10Speaker 2: For so long. What's going on with the Arclight? I
- 1:43:11Speaker 2: don't know. It's nuts. Yeah.
- 1:43:13Speaker 5: Let's go talk to that property owner.
- 1:43:15Speaker 3: Okay.
- 1:43:16Speaker 2: All right.
- 1:43:16Speaker 3: Made some progress today. Yeah.
- 1:43:17Speaker 2: All right.
- 1:43:18Speaker 5: Thank you.
- 1:43:18Speaker 2: Nithya Raman, thank you so much for being here. Good
- 1:43:21Speaker 2: luck in your race. I hope we get the Arclight open.
- 1:43:22Speaker 2: All right. We're done.
- 1:43:23Speaker 3: Thank you.
- 1:43:24Speaker 4: Thank you.
- 1:43:29Speaker 1: That's our show for today. Thanks to Nithya Raman for
- 1:43:31Speaker 1: coming on. Dan and I will be back with a
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