Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Weekend Crypto Crash?🔥Technical Analysis with Evan Aldo
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Let's get into it today and let's take a look
- 0:02Speaker 1: at whether or not we're going to see a crash
- 0:03Speaker 1: into the weekend. We'll break it all down for you.
- 0:06Speaker 1: Let's just jump right in. I do want to think
- 0:08Speaker 1: our sponsor day and that is Salt Lending. You guys
- 0:10Speaker 1: can go over and start to play some strategies here
- 0:14Speaker 1: around utilizing your digital assets to create liquidity, and this
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- 0:25Speaker 1: is a no liquidation solution, so very effective. If you're
- 0:28Speaker 1: looking at this, and most people in reality, if you're
- 0:31Speaker 1: going to go out and take a loan on your
- 0:33Speaker 1: bitcoin or on your ethereum, you're probably going to only
- 0:35Speaker 1: go at a thirty percent or maybe even a fifty
- 0:37Speaker 1: percent TVL and that is our LTV loan to value
- 0:42Speaker 1: and that is going to benefit you. So take a
- 0:45Speaker 1: look at that. It may be able to extend you
- 0:47Speaker 1: into being able to buy a dip if you are
- 0:49Speaker 1: already all the way in on where this is going.
- 0:52Speaker 1: So check out Salt Lending. We'll leave a link down below.
- 0:54Speaker 1: All right, I want to bring in mister evan Aldo
- 0:57Speaker 1: to talk about some trades today we'll be getting into bitcoin, eth,
- 1:01Speaker 1: B and B. How are you having.
- 1:04Speaker 2: I'm doing fantastic, Paul, and well, I will stay fantastic
- 1:08Speaker 2: if we can hold if we can hold thirty seven
- 1:10Speaker 2: hundred free eth and so far we've seen a little jump,
- 1:12Speaker 2: but I will be doing worse if we lose seventy
- 1:15Speaker 2: or excuse me, if we lose thirty seven hundred for ETH.
- 1:18Speaker 1: Hey, listen, there's a few people that are still very
- 1:20Speaker 1: bullish right now. Here is mister Tom Lee coming in.
- 1:24Speaker 1: I understand why markets are wary. We've got a lot
- 1:27Speaker 1: of tensions right now with this global trade issue, major
- 1:30Speaker 1: deliveraging last week that we saw, and then the fears
- 1:34Speaker 1: on private credit. October is normally the explosion month, but
- 1:38Speaker 1: we're not necessarily seeing that, so sentiment is definitely negative.
- 1:41Speaker 1: We're seeing that in a lot of the markets. Only
- 1:44Speaker 1: twenty two percent of fund managers right now are beating benchmark,
- 1:47Speaker 1: So that means everybody's chasing to try to get into this.
- 1:51Speaker 1: But his main thing by the dip guys right there,
- 1:54Speaker 1: that's it, look for opportunities. By the now you got
- 1:57Speaker 1: to think about it. This is Tom Lee, which right now,
- 2:01Speaker 1: Tom is like a super investor. I mean, he's one
- 2:04Speaker 1: of the top five on Wall Street. He is the
- 2:07Speaker 1: guy that called bitcoin very early, and he is also
- 2:11Speaker 1: the guy that has gone all in on ethereum. Within that,
- 2:15Speaker 1: if you look at what people are doing right now
- 2:18Speaker 1: in terms of what this looks like for either October
- 2:22Speaker 1: or October, right there it is October is forty nine,
- 2:27Speaker 1: in October at fifty, So we are at a split
- 2:30Speaker 1: decision on whether or not we play this out. What's
- 2:33Speaker 1: your opinion right now up for October? Do we get
- 2:36Speaker 1: a green month or do we close red?
- 2:39Speaker 2: Call me crazy, but I still think we may have
- 2:41Speaker 2: potential of bitcoin hitting one hundred and thirty K by
- 2:44Speaker 2: the end of the month or early November. So there's
- 2:46Speaker 2: still potential if you hold these areas right now and
- 2:50Speaker 2: you have a good jump here. If you don't, then
- 2:54Speaker 2: we may be in some serious trouble.
- 2:56Speaker 1: So if you go to the bitcoin chart right now, Evan,
- 3:00Speaker 1: and you look at that position, because this is one
- 3:02Speaker 1: that I know Ben Kaunt has talked about this one
- 3:05Speaker 1: hundred to one oh two range, this fifty week moving average,
- 3:08Speaker 1: it has to be able to be broken for a
- 3:10Speaker 1: period of time. What are you showing right now in
- 3:13Speaker 1: terms of bitcoin, and where would be your signal of
- 3:16Speaker 1: no return versus a signal that we are back.
- 3:21Speaker 2: So if we look at the chart right here for bitcoin,
- 3:24Speaker 2: the big thing I'm looking at the four hour is
- 3:26Speaker 2: big right here. Hit the big point about one oh three.
- 3:29Speaker 2: That's a big pocket right there. Nice jump on it,
- 3:31Speaker 2: which is good. To answer your question, I think if
- 3:34Speaker 2: you lose like this like barrier right here one hundred,
- 3:37Speaker 2: you know, and you lose it for more than you
- 3:40Speaker 2: know a day or two or even a few hours,
- 3:43Speaker 2: probably then your bull run is most likely over. Unfortunately, however,
- 3:48Speaker 2: there's a lot of good things that we're seeing right now.
- 3:50Speaker 2: You see a bullet stive on the four hour right here,
- 3:52Speaker 2: momentum waves coming up, money flow coming up as well,
- 3:55Speaker 2: which looks good. Last time this happened was back at
- 3:57Speaker 2: the end of September and you had, as you can see,
- 4:00Speaker 2: sixteen percent jump. If we do the same thing, you
- 4:03Speaker 2: likely can get up to one hundred and twenty K
- 4:06Speaker 2: towards the end of October. If you could continue forward
- 4:09Speaker 2: your next big place where these lines intersect huge area
- 4:13Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty k. This would be my absolute
- 4:16Speaker 2: most bolish indication by the end of the month one
- 4:19Speaker 2: hundred thirty K and then that could be your bullmarket peak.
- 4:22Speaker 2: Maybe you could extend into November and hit like one forty.
- 4:25Speaker 2: At this point, I'm not really thinking you're gonna get
- 4:27Speaker 2: all the way up to one fifty, but we'll see
- 4:29Speaker 2: what happens. Let's focus on getting up to one thirty
- 4:33Speaker 2: sometime by early November, and I think we'll be in
- 4:35Speaker 2: a very good position if that does happen.
- 4:38Speaker 1: So yeah, all right, So you're still leaning somewhat positive
- 4:41Speaker 1: on bitcoin if you look at the amount of positions
- 4:46Speaker 1: right now. We just put this poll out just a
- 4:48Speaker 1: little bit ago. We'll probably revisit this to see where
- 4:51Speaker 1: it holds. But how much of your investing capital is
- 4:55Speaker 1: positioned in the market primarily I'm assuming this could be
- 4:59Speaker 1: crypto primary, But it looks like all in at about
- 5:03Speaker 1: fifty six percent. That's crazy sixty to eighty percent at
- 5:07Speaker 1: twenty three. So we're standing at what is that almost? Yeah,
- 5:12Speaker 1: almost eighty percent over yeah, right at eighty percent right now?
- 5:17Speaker 1: At sixty percent or more in the crypto market? Is
- 5:20Speaker 1: that where your bags are right now? What are you
- 5:23Speaker 1: setting on in terms of.
- 5:25Speaker 2: I'm all in right now? Well, It depends on you
- 5:28Speaker 2: define all in I mean, I'm not every penny of
- 5:31Speaker 2: reserves and you know, money in real estate and other things.
- 5:34Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean I'm I'm like seventy you know,
- 5:37Speaker 2: eighty percent of like you know, a lot of I mean,
- 5:40Speaker 2: highly in eth, especially since eth has done so well
- 5:43Speaker 2: against all coins. But yeah, if you look at my portfolio,
- 5:46Speaker 2: you'd think, yeah, this guy's high risk.
- 5:47Speaker 1: Yeah, high risk. All right, So we got a couple
- 5:51Speaker 1: of things that are happening. President Trump calls his one
- 5:54Speaker 1: hundred percent tariff on China not sustainable. This, of course
- 5:57Speaker 1: has been back and forth, so he's going head to
- 6:01Speaker 1: head with China in terms of negotiation tactics. And you know,
- 6:05Speaker 1: there are some other things that could play into this.
- 6:07Speaker 1: Even Scott Bessen mentioned this the other day, and that
- 6:10Speaker 1: is this push on what other kind of pain points
- 6:13Speaker 1: could they impose on China? And part of it was
- 6:16Speaker 1: maybe even delisting over on the Nasdaq. But China is
- 6:19Speaker 1: now betting it can win a trade shore trade war
- 6:23Speaker 1: and is playing hardball with Trump. And I think this
- 6:26Speaker 1: is the issue. My understanding is we're going to get
- 6:29Speaker 1: a meeting between she and Trump if we see this
- 6:32Speaker 1: come off do you think this is more important than
- 6:35Speaker 1: the government shutdown stopping or China and Trump playing nice?
- 6:43Speaker 2: Government shutdown is big because I think that ends the
- 6:46Speaker 2: gold and silver rally, puts more money into bitcoin. This
- 6:50Speaker 2: is also very big as well. They're both huge. I
- 6:54Speaker 2: would say it's hard to kind of pinpoint what's more important.
- 6:57Speaker 2: They're both very important, though. I think we need both
- 7:00Speaker 2: of them to kind of happen to get this show
- 7:02Speaker 2: on the road. I would say, to get things to
- 7:04Speaker 2: keep moving forward.
- 7:06Speaker 1: If we get the government shutdown resolved it and it
- 7:09Speaker 1: does happen, you feel that that gold and silver move
- 7:12Speaker 1: is over, at least in the short term and it
- 7:16Speaker 1: begins to hold or do you think we'll see a
- 7:18Speaker 1: significant market correction there on gold and silver.
- 7:22Speaker 2: I think gold and silver will start to bleed against
- 7:24Speaker 2: bitcoin and ethereum as soon as the government shut down ends.
- 7:28Speaker 2: I do think between some time between now and early
- 7:30Speaker 2: twenty six you will see you for gold at least
- 7:33Speaker 2: a twenty thirty percent correction. I'm buying thirty three hundred
- 7:37Speaker 2: would be a big place to get in on gold.
- 7:39Speaker 2: I think.
- 7:41Speaker 1: I want to go into this clip because this gets
- 7:45Speaker 1: into really where the progress is going and this is
- 7:48Speaker 1: all about China, because obviously this is a big factor here.
- 7:51Speaker 1: But let's go to satwe.
- 7:54Speaker 3: Last weekend when the President said everything's going to be fine.
- 7:58Speaker 2: Scott Bessett really.
- 7:59Speaker 3: Chafed at that journal piece that said that they're just
- 8:02Speaker 3: watching the stock market and that they you know, they
- 8:06Speaker 3: base their comments on what's going on in the stock market.
- 8:09Speaker 3: And again you could say that once again, the President
- 8:12Speaker 3: today said, no, it's not Those big tariffs are not
- 8:15Speaker 3: going to last. Should we believe that or should we
- 8:19Speaker 3: attribute it to to watching what the market's doing?
- 8:22Speaker 2: Is there real progress? We don't know.
- 8:25Speaker 4: Like I said, I don't know what's going to happen
- 8:26Speaker 4: in this call. The fact of the call itself, I
- 8:28Speaker 4: think is notable, which is why I'm calling it into
- 8:31Speaker 4: you guys. But you know, we don't know what the
- 8:34Speaker 4: content of that call is going to be. And obviously
- 8:36Speaker 4: Besen did bristle at that piece.
- 8:38Speaker 5: You know, the US side.
- 8:40Speaker 4: Of course, doesn't want it to look as if the
- 8:42Speaker 4: Chinese side has.
- 8:43Speaker 5: More leverage in this negotiation than they do, and that's
- 8:46Speaker 5: sort of what that Wall Street journal piece was suggesting
- 8:49Speaker 5: earlier this week. So it is very hard to say,
- 8:54Speaker 5: and I think Ultimately, no large breakthrough can come until
- 8:59Speaker 5: the two top leaders meet face to face.
- 9:03Speaker 1: All right, So no large breakthroughs I would agree with that,
- 9:06Speaker 1: and I think that's what we're waiting on, is to
- 9:08Speaker 1: see that coming in on between Trump and She, coming
- 9:13Speaker 1: on whether or not they're going to come to a
- 9:14Speaker 1: deal one hundred percent tariffs on China in effect by
- 9:18Speaker 1: November first. Nobody believes this is going to happen. This
- 9:22Speaker 1: is on polymarket, so you can kind of see right there,
- 9:26Speaker 1: it's a nine percent chance right now. Why if no
- 9:29Speaker 1: one believes this is going to happen. Do you feel
- 9:31Speaker 1: we're seeing such an impact on the markets? Is there
- 9:34Speaker 1: a subversive thought that Trump's going to try something else?
- 9:39Speaker 1: What do you think it is right now?
- 9:41Speaker 2: Evan? You know, I mean the markets they always you know,
- 9:45Speaker 2: have their angrier points, They always have, you know, money
- 9:47Speaker 2: moving around. We talked about, you know, the finance thing
- 9:49Speaker 2: and all that that invokes the fear, especially for all coins.
- 9:54Speaker 2: I I don't know, you know, maybe this could be
- 9:56Speaker 2: this is you know, this would kind of support what
- 9:58Speaker 2: I was saying for the big jump ump. People are
- 10:00Speaker 2: just overreacting a lot. Maybe given that we're in quarter
- 10:04Speaker 2: four and the fier cycle. People are getting out a
- 10:07Speaker 2: little bit too early. Maybe it could be that fear,
- 10:10Speaker 2: so I would remain optimistic. Once this does, you know,
- 10:13Speaker 2: kind of end with Trump and some good things hopefully
- 10:16Speaker 2: come out and government shutdown ends, you could be off
- 10:20Speaker 2: to the races.
- 10:21Speaker 1: We had a call yesterday or a show yesterday with
- 10:24Speaker 1: Jamie Coates from Real Vision, and he was kind of
- 10:27Speaker 1: talking about this whole issue of repositioning into the major
- 10:32Speaker 1: l ones and or Bitcoin, you know, basically is what
- 10:34Speaker 1: it boiled down to. And if you look at all
- 10:37Speaker 1: of the investments right now on digital assets in general,
- 10:42Speaker 1: I think a lot of people are spread fairly thin
- 10:44Speaker 1: in terms of diversification. How are you playing your portfolio?
- 10:48Speaker 1: Are you stacking at the top side of the high
- 10:51Speaker 1: value assets right now or are you still taking some risk
- 10:54Speaker 1: down on the lower value assets.
- 10:56Speaker 2: You know, I bought a lot of the lower caps
- 10:59Speaker 2: stuff like a year to two years ago. I've had
- 11:03Speaker 2: as much as I want of it so far. On
- 11:05Speaker 2: this dip, I bought ETH, which hit off of a
- 11:08Speaker 2: big area thirty seven hundred, So I'm betting pretty big
- 11:11Speaker 2: on eth right now. So I've stacked some more Eth
- 11:13Speaker 2: and I'm planning to be honest with you and kind
- 11:15Speaker 2: of getting out of that. You know, hopefully if Eth
- 11:17Speaker 2: goes above five thousand, hopefully somewhere between fifty eight hundred
- 11:21Speaker 2: to seventy three hundred. So that's kind of how I'm
- 11:23Speaker 2: playing it right now for a nice Eth trade. If
- 11:26Speaker 2: you want to be riskier, yeah, all coins have hit
- 11:29Speaker 2: big areas, the big l ones, so I do think
- 11:32Speaker 2: that slightly riskier play could be a big thing for
- 11:35Speaker 2: the l ones right here. But obviously, as always, that's
- 11:38Speaker 2: going to be riskier than Eth. I think right now,
- 11:41Speaker 2: when you look at the eight bitcoin evaluation, especially with
- 11:44Speaker 2: QT ending really soon, that could strengthen the l one
- 11:48Speaker 2: argument too. And when you look at eth bitcoin evaluation,
- 11:51Speaker 2: this is one of the rare times where I would
- 11:52Speaker 2: even say it's like, maybe slightly less risk to get
- 11:55Speaker 2: into Ether right now. I know some of the maxis
- 11:58Speaker 2: will hate me for that, but just right now Eth
- 12:00Speaker 2: looks real good against Bitcoin.
- 12:01Speaker 1: I would say, I'm looking at the eight bitcoin chart.
- 12:04Speaker 1: I mean it has been trading down obviously, but now
- 12:06Speaker 1: it's position however, it has flatline. This is on the
- 12:09Speaker 1: on the weekly. But if to your point, if you
- 12:11Speaker 1: go to the daily somewhat somewhat sideways right now, at
- 12:17Speaker 1: least after coming up some Well, okay, so what are
- 12:19Speaker 1: the key the key indicators right now on ethereum? What
- 12:23Speaker 1: are you watching? Where would you enter or exit if
- 12:27Speaker 1: you were trying to make a trade on eth right now.
- 12:30Speaker 2: So it's kind of similar to kind of what we're
- 12:33Speaker 2: seeing on bitcoin. Just like the Bitcoin chart, you're making
- 12:35Speaker 2: a higher low so far you have a very nice
- 12:38Speaker 2: you could see these waves coming up, money flow coming
- 12:41Speaker 2: up in the four four hour very nice Polish divergence forming.
- 12:44Speaker 2: You know, your textbook standard TA would tell you that
- 12:48Speaker 2: if you can break above like four thousand, you should
- 12:51Speaker 2: be off your way on your way to forty six hundred,
- 12:54Speaker 2: which would be huge. So what you could do here
- 12:56Speaker 2: low risk, high red word trade something along these lanes
- 13:00Speaker 2: all the way up to you know, maybe this high
- 13:02Speaker 2: October seventh. You know that's a risk order ratio above
- 13:05Speaker 2: two to one, so very low risk or high reward.
- 13:08Speaker 2: Something like this would work very well. And the thing
- 13:10Speaker 2: here is, like I do think if you were to
- 13:13Speaker 2: come down and like lose this area and lose thirty
- 13:15Speaker 2: four hundred and bounce around like this for a few days,
- 13:18Speaker 2: you're probably dead in the water. Your bull run's probably over.
- 13:21Speaker 2: I think we really need to hold here, so I
- 13:23Speaker 2: think very low risk, high reward. Try to buy the
- 13:26Speaker 2: dip here. Not financial advice, but what I'm doing. Buy
- 13:29Speaker 2: the dip here and try to run this up. If
- 13:31Speaker 2: we can get another wave on the daily that brings
- 13:34Speaker 2: us up quite a bit, do something like this again.
- 13:37Speaker 2: Run us up to forty seven hundred, then you break
- 13:39Speaker 2: above five thousand. Get up to this point for potentially
- 13:42Speaker 2: a cycle peak early November fifty seven hundred, start to
- 13:46Speaker 2: scale out there, and then best case scenario into the
- 13:49Speaker 2: end of the year, maybe even early January. Who knows,
- 13:52Speaker 2: seventy three hundreds or something like this. So yeah, that's
- 13:56Speaker 2: the big area. I'm looking at the thing I'm waiting for,
- 13:58Speaker 2: and I'll show you real quick here this is a
- 14:00Speaker 2: nice indicator that I've been waiting for for a while.
- 14:02Speaker 2: On eighth the three week trigger wave, well kind of
- 14:07Speaker 2: anchor wave trigger wave to this wave over here. This
- 14:09Speaker 2: VWOP is if you all comes down, you're going to
- 14:11Speaker 2: see a red dot here in this three week that's
- 14:13Speaker 2: gonna happen anywhere from a week or two to the
- 14:16Speaker 2: end of the year, even January, and that would be
- 14:19Speaker 2: kind of the market cycle peak where I would say,
- 14:22Speaker 2: is a good place to really get out, similar to
- 14:24Speaker 2: kind of up here on that area, nice place December
- 14:27Speaker 2: of twenty one right there, so that area, and you
- 14:30Speaker 2: could even test it back this high wave right here,
- 14:32Speaker 2: this is January of twenty eighteen. It's kind of the
- 14:35Speaker 2: red dot above the zero line here anchor trigger wave
- 14:39Speaker 2: in quarter four. You haven't seen it yet, but you're
- 14:41Speaker 2: probably going to see it byerly January at the latest.
- 14:45Speaker 1: Well, and that'll be a key indicator. I think. Yeah,
- 14:47Speaker 1: as we look into E and okay, so beyond ethereum,
- 14:51Speaker 1: let's stay in the layer ones for now. Let's look
- 14:54Speaker 1: at B and B because there's been a lot of
- 14:57Speaker 1: people that have really one big time on B and B.
- 15:01Speaker 1: Where are you today if you're looking at BNBO, would
- 15:04Speaker 1: you take this as an asset or would you stand
- 15:08Speaker 1: on the sidelines on this one.
- 15:11Speaker 2: B and B? I mean, yeah, it's like hitting a
- 15:14Speaker 2: big point here. I think it could be. I mean,
- 15:16Speaker 2: there's gonna be less volatility in a lot of other things,
- 15:18Speaker 2: but hitting that big point around one thousand, I think
- 15:21Speaker 2: common sense would tell you, you know, this is just
- 15:23Speaker 2: basic ta. If you can hold a thousand, you've got
- 15:25Speaker 2: a good shot of jumping up to like fifteen hundred
- 15:27Speaker 2: into the end of the year in November December, if
- 15:29Speaker 2: the market continues good. I would say absolute best case
- 15:33Speaker 2: scenario would probably be two thousand, but I think that's
- 15:35Speaker 2: a little bit too opimistic. I'd be looking at fifteen hundred. So,
- 15:39Speaker 2: you know, following this general trajectory into the end of
- 15:41Speaker 2: the year, I think fifteen hundred is a pretty good goal,
- 15:44Speaker 2: you know. I mean some aults can potentially double or
- 15:47Speaker 2: triple on that amount of time. This is you know,
- 15:49Speaker 2: we're towards the end of the cycle here, but I
- 15:51Speaker 2: think fifteen hundred. You definitely could see B and.
- 15:54Speaker 1: B trading at around thousand one thousand now and down
- 15:57Speaker 1: four days in a row. Also off of that last
- 16:01Speaker 1: week liquidation that we saw and a lot of people,
- 16:04Speaker 1: you know, kind of looking at finance in a different format.
- 16:07Speaker 1: Let's jump over to Solana and compare if you were
- 16:11Speaker 1: looking at Solana today, which is under two hundred, that's
- 16:13Speaker 1: been a window that people have been looking at on Seoul.
- 16:17Speaker 1: How would you play Salana right now as it's trading
- 16:20Speaker 1: at one eighty two, as we record.
- 16:23Speaker 2: Solana's promising, I'll say that as long as you could
- 16:26Speaker 2: hold this area one eighty seven year below it right now,
- 16:29Speaker 2: but I think we could easily wake up like we did,
- 16:31Speaker 2: you know over here in early October, kind of kind
- 16:33Speaker 2: of what you've been seeing hirelow right here, very similar
- 16:36Speaker 2: to Bigcoinny theorem. And if you can kind of break
- 16:39Speaker 2: above one eighty eight, that big place you know, maintain,
- 16:43Speaker 2: have this bull did play out, you got a good
- 16:44Speaker 2: shot at potentially early November, end of this month hitting
- 16:48Speaker 2: this big point two seventy, which is what I would
- 16:50Speaker 2: be looking at some nice trajectory like that. So there
- 16:53Speaker 2: is that possibility if you look at your two day
- 16:56Speaker 2: here in nice trigger wave forming. The last time this formed,
- 16:59Speaker 2: you know, you saw a nice trajectory for a bit,
- 17:01Speaker 2: and this would bring us out into early January at
- 17:04Speaker 2: that marker. I know you've talked about three hundred, so
- 17:07Speaker 2: I don't think you're going to get all the way
- 17:09Speaker 2: up to four hundred, but I think three hundred or
- 17:11Speaker 2: maybe high threes is doable until later this year. So
- 17:16Speaker 2: I do like Solana overall.
- 17:17Speaker 1: Still, So yeah, so Solana, okay, so let's let's talk
- 17:21Speaker 1: about that and go back to kind of our big three.
- 17:24Speaker 1: You've got Ethereum, you've got Solana, you've got Avalanche in
- 17:29Speaker 1: the mix. We'll even put Swee in there, because we,
- 17:32Speaker 1: of course is also taken a fairly big hit. Where
- 17:35Speaker 1: would you stay right now through this next leg? Is
- 17:40Speaker 1: would you rot out out of any of those right now?
- 17:43Speaker 1: In terms of those big l ones, I just.
- 17:47Speaker 2: I would say, stay, stay, stay stay. I mean, yeah,
- 17:51Speaker 2: it's diversification. You know, we don't know exactly which one
- 17:54Speaker 2: is going to do the best. Theoretically, if the FED
- 17:57Speaker 2: ends QT this month, which may happen, you know, the
- 18:00Speaker 2: lower caps that you mentioned, like Swee would probably do
- 18:03Speaker 2: the best, but you know, we don't exactly know when
- 18:06Speaker 2: that's going to happen. So I think the versification would
- 18:08Speaker 2: be the biggest thing here. I think all those ones
- 18:11Speaker 2: you mentioned it definitely would would do well. I mean
- 18:14Speaker 2: I think that you know at this point, like sure,
- 18:16Speaker 2: if you're holding garbage like mean coin stuff like that
- 18:19Speaker 2: that's very high risk, sure self or tax loss harvesting,
- 18:23Speaker 2: move it into something safer. That makes the most logical sense.
- 18:26Speaker 2: But I think most people kind of would already guess.
- 18:29Speaker 1: That, you know what I mean, Yeah, how would you,
- 18:32Speaker 1: I mean, in this kind of situation where you've got
- 18:35Speaker 1: an opportunity to take a little bit of a tax loss.
- 18:37Speaker 1: Here we are, you know, Q three, Q four rolling
- 18:40Speaker 1: into as we get into November, this would be some
- 18:45Speaker 1: of the timing in which you might take a look
- 18:47Speaker 1: at some of those Is this the time that you
- 18:49Speaker 1: would do it? Because even if even if you just
- 18:51Speaker 1: took a tax loss and rebought it, if you were saying, hey,
- 18:54Speaker 1: I think we're going to go up from here, but
- 18:57Speaker 1: I want to take this tax loss and then rebuy
- 18:59Speaker 1: because there's no wash, so you'd be back in the
- 19:01Speaker 1: asset and still have the tax loss benefit within that.
- 19:06Speaker 1: Would that be a strategy you might deploy or would
- 19:09Speaker 1: you go in to dry powder and wait and see
- 19:12Speaker 1: on the sidelines and try to redeploy that into another major,
- 19:15Speaker 1: you know, asset. What are your thoughts?
- 19:18Speaker 2: I think the most logical thing just sell and buy
- 19:21Speaker 2: back and just take the tax. Don't make it more
- 19:24Speaker 2: complicated that it has to be, because a lot of
- 19:27Speaker 2: things are going to happen potentially quickly and you could
- 19:30Speaker 2: have quick recoveries. So I'm trying to wait for another dip.
- 19:34Speaker 2: You know, it depends like if you're holding something you
- 19:37Speaker 2: know that's bled against all the coins you just mentioned
- 19:40Speaker 2: just keeps going down and down. Maybe take the tax
- 19:43Speaker 2: loss harvest and convert it into something that's a little
- 19:45Speaker 2: bit more promising, a higher cap like eat, you know, Salana,
- 19:48Speaker 2: something like that. But I mean, if it's if you're
- 19:51Speaker 2: holding you know, I guess Solana, and you happen to
- 19:53Speaker 2: be down with it, which a lot of people probably
- 19:55Speaker 2: aren't even down with a lot of the ones we mentioned.
- 19:58Speaker 2: I mean, you know, just self for the tax harvest
- 20:01Speaker 2: buy back, you know, And I mean if it goes lower,
- 20:02Speaker 2: you could do the same thing again, I think, right,
- 20:04Speaker 2: you could just get more, even more of a tax
- 20:06Speaker 2: loss harvest. So if you did it again.
- 20:09Speaker 1: Well you could. Yeah, if you took another one at
- 20:12Speaker 1: the same on the same asset that you would do
- 20:15Speaker 1: one now, I mean it's kind of a no loss
- 20:18Speaker 1: if you believe in the asset. That's the key. All right, guys,
- 20:21Speaker 1: there's a lot happening right here in the market. Again,
- 20:25Speaker 1: you should check out Evan's channel. I'll drop a link
- 20:28Speaker 1: down below. Make sure and check out Evan Aldo over
- 20:30Speaker 1: on YouTube. Evan, it was good having you on the
- 20:32Speaker 1: show again today. Thanks so much for coming in. We
- 20:34Speaker 1: appreciate it.
- 20:36Speaker 2: Always do it to be on. Thanks so much, Paul.
- 20:38Speaker 1: You bet all right, you guys get in on the
- 20:40Speaker 1: Diamond Circle. It's a great way to get additional content
- 20:43Speaker 1: from us. I put out an email every week that
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- 20:47Speaker 1: are going, what are the opportunities that play into all
- 20:50Speaker 1: of where the market conditions are. And you can do
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- 20:55Speaker 1: hit me out there on X at Paul Baron. We'll
- 20:57Speaker 1: catch you next time right here on the Paul Baron Show.
- 21:08Speaker 1: All right, my man, were good? Yeah, all right, So
- 21:15Speaker 1: Eith is the one man you are all in on ethereum, right,