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F1 Singapore GP 2026 | Betting Preview · Apex Insiders Podcast

• f1capper: Apex Insiders is back. We got the Singapore GP. I got F1 Tipster here, F1 Kapper. Alright, so we go straight from Malaysia, the Bahrain GP at Malaysia, which was a very, very wild one, let's just say. Darksideday: interesting. f1capper: Yeah, yeah. And now we're just just south of Malaysia into Singapore. One of the most boring tracks. Monaco 2.0. However, we are now dealing with a sprint weekend here, which is the first time. I don't know if that makes it any better. But I guess it kind of does. Although from a betting standpoint, kind of wished it was not a sprint weekend. Although it probably won't make a difference. I don't think it's gonna change. your approach, I think it just makes it I wish we could have the practices to know like who's really trending best versus worse, but the one thing that is interesting is that the sprint race will actually be I think what the I don't know what the local time is, but the sun should still be up around that sprint race time. So that it's not gonna make much of a difference. So like the learnings we normally get from a sprint. race to apply into the this the actual race, it might I mean not to say you gotta just dismiss it altogether. It's just gonna be you gotta just kinda be careful because it's gonna be in night versus the day. It's very humid. So that that's gonna be a big difference here. So that's one one big change. And then the compounds I didn't Honestly, prepare myself to know if it was different from last year. I'm gonna assume it's not. C three, C four, C five. straight circuit, of course. So track evolution is gonna be fairly high. low speeds, low and medium speeds, I guess, but it's got the you know 90 degree turn characteristics. So you can make passes. That's assuming your car is a rocket ship and you're trying to pass a A Donkey Williams, aka Russ, who's gonna be starting in the back that needs to try to make his way up. So how far up can he get? That's gonna be TBD. so like tire stress isn't like a big deal. I expect it to be pretty minimal degradation. Also, I haven't even checked the weather, but you don't need to because this is one of those tracks where you just have to hope and wait till you know. even minutes before to see what it's like, just like Malaysia. Like we weren't sure when the rain was gonna come, and then all of a sudden, right 20 minutes before the race starts, it starts just pissing rain. So we do have some lines though, my friend. We do have some lines. Darksideday: me too. f1capper: I'm I'm excited to s to actually I have not looked at the lines. I did see we did we had some. As you can see, today I am not as prepared, but I don't care because I want to get this out for you guys on a Tuesday. And then we can continue discussion throughout the week. Also, you might notice something a little different in my room. I am doing natural sunlight today. It is beautiful. Windows open. Thank God. I am done with 110. So let's go into F free practice. Free money Friday, which I will not be awake for. 3 AM, 4 AM, 4 AM FP one, I think. Tell me. Or go. Darksideday: 9.30am my time so I probably will be here. f1capper: Comp let's hear the complaints. Let's hear the complaints. let's see. Number one. You know where I'm going. Top three. The FP one merchant. Darksideday: Let me guess, let me guess, is it Charles the Trap? f1capper: Mm mm mm. Mm-hmm. Plus one twenty-five. I think that also I was debating too. I'm like, man, you know, Lewis is actually also, you know, I mean, he has shown through the year, he's been stepping it up, but it's hard to ignore that this guy, LeClaire, is Netflix. However, in Malaysia, he did not get top three. He was fourth, P four. But the next FP2, he wins F basically the whole thing. He's P1. So I think Ferrari's gonna do just great here. I think they're gonna be just fine. Like this is, you know, we don't have to worry about horsepower or anything like that. Why wouldn't I? I mean, there is max for sappin. You can chalk too. One thing I wanted to see is get your opinion on. I guess maybe that that's right now is. Typically this has not been a Red Bull track. Darksideday: No. f1capper: Does that carry on this year? Darksideday: I don't think so, I don't think so because new regulations I was going to say they're decent in Malaysia but it really matter does it but it does help that they seem to have a configuration of car that's working McLaren don't seem to Ferrari seem a bit off it and Mercedes are just they don't know where they are with their upgrades f1capper: Yeah, Mer McLaren and Mercedes really have taken a step back with their upgrades, it looks like. it's sounding like yes, here here we go again with Mercedes. They introduced a floor and the floor is just not working the way they expected. We've seen this before. What was it 2023 or 2024? Something was was up, and then they reverted and then through the season and said we're going back to the old spec, and then they kind of produced. McLaren, I don't know. I can't really figure out what it is from their their upgrades that made them take a step back. But seeing how Red Bull, they look like they really have been nailing it with these upgrades. They look good. They sh especially showed it in Malaysia, like 100% confident, like I was like, this is Max is gonna win this after they've kind of improved on the tire deck with their setup. Darksideday: But at the same time, f1capper: Yeah. Darksideday: I don't think you can back him as favourite. f1capper: Here, yeah, no, no, no. I won't get that cute. I think my approach this week is the same. Like I would, you know, go in with unknowns, don't try to chalk. You know, we we we're gonna see some red flags. I mean, hell, last year Alonzo was P one at this track and and FP one, right? Like there's there's so many different things, so many factors to think about, like. And I think that's gonna be something tricky as we're talking about free practices. Yeah, there's it's gonna be shortened because someone is gonna maybe hit the barrier, something happens in But it's hard to ignore the Ferraris here. I feel like they have they have Yeah. Darksideday: They're very solid. f1capper: They're good they're they're one of the tap the best when it comes to braking. And what do you need here? You need braking. Cornering in, right? Like they can they can get the car pointed, so Do I take it? I mean, I kinda know I am, but I just want to see Which one Well, I'm gonna take Leclerc just Yeah, just just because the trend is still there. Darksideday: Which one? Which one? Which one? Which Ferrari? I'll a top three, yeah. FP1. f1capper: Yeah, the trend is still there. Darksideday: and trend is... f1capper: Friend. Trend is friend. All right, let's do it. One unit. Darksideday: All right. f1capper: We're doing one unit. Darksideday: I'm shocked we're talking and we have a full set of 365 lines. I mean, is he just like, they don't do junior drivers here, so we'll get them up. f1capper: Yeah, yeah. Darksideday: What match, what match bits do you like? f1capper: For which Darksideday: everyone. f1capper: Which F P one? Darksideday: Russell over Kimming plus 125. f1capper: Hmm. I definitely wouldn't want to chalk Kimmy. It's Russ or or no bet. Yes but not a lot. I wouldn't do anything a lot there. How did he do last year, Kimmy that is? let's But yes, I would take him here. It seems like even with the P U issue, he's still Russell still have found something. It was just, especially in the race, but I saw this throughout the the progression of everything the all the entire weekend. Russell looked good, but Kimmy just stayed so focused on trying to get his race pace. Race pace, race pace. And and you know, that's why he wasn't like topping timesheets or anything and y it it showed, right? Like it showed that I was like t right about Darksideday: and this is probably the one of the places where rote track position is a lot more important than race pace f1capper: Yeah. Darksideday: for once f1capper: Yeah. Yeah, let's see. So Kimmy did that was the race. Let's see. Darksideday: Kimi qualified P4 and then P5 finished but practice... f1capper: practice he didn't do that well. He was P14 to start. And this is his trend is usually F P one. He doesn't but I know there's only one FP one session. That's what's tricky about this is usually when we get to Darksideday: Thank f1capper: sprint weekends. That's why I do trust Leclerc is I still still think he's gonna you know try to push up and and be up in the top three. I feel like McLaren is going to just try to figure out what's going on with their car. But they won't need to as much because it's not about horsepower here. So setup is everything. yeah, I mean I would take it, yes, because of the price. I kinda I mean, I don't know. I I'm looking at this list and I'm usually a Gabe versus Hulkenberg backer. I just don't know how Gabe's gonna do. I guess. Maybe. Hulkenberg seems to be a little bit I wouldn't get cute with it. Maybe you do take Hulkenberg. Darksideday: Yeah, no, nothing's jumping out from me in particular. f1capper: Nothing nothing it really isn't. It really isn't. Like Ocon has been like winning all these sessions all of a sudden and bam he s comes out of nowhere. So I don't want to get cute with that and it's only even money to Bearman or to Ocon. I'm not really excited about these these match bets, to be honest with you. I almost just want to play that top three and it's just call it a day and let's see the winning margin though. Yeah, I was leaning this might be the under point one margin just because s shorter track and it should be pretty competitive. I don't mind that. But I also don't think it's it's worth it at two point three seven. I'm checking to see if anywhere else has it. wow. Bet US has got a bunch of stuff. Honestly, George Russell at plus one forty. Darksideday: I think so. f1capper: for top three isn't too bad too. Maybe I should have looked at that. well look at that. Battle online already moved it. Yeah, the practice margin is still it's the same. It's the same. Darksideday: Alright, shall we move into... Well, we have the sprint. Do you have anything for the sprint? Sprint qualifier? f1capper: I have not I'm just now capturing it. So let's see. Sprint qualifying I kinda am leaning that one of those Ferraris and almost feel like maybe it's Lewis. Little L H five to one to to win the the qualifier. Darksideday: feel that mean because of the just the track and because the odds don't always correlate as they should have they got fastest qualifying win the race or win the sprint me too. f1capper: I don't I don't I don't have that. What is it? Darksideday: The mark is not popping up for me, but it is there. f1capper: I feel like they n normally n nerf it knowing that whoever qualifies P one is going to win the race. Darksideday: they call him, plus 815. f1capper: Plus eight fifty. See, hold on. If you parlay, okay, Lewis Hamilton is five to one fastest qualifier, five to one to win. You can just parlay odds to win the sprint and odds to win the sprint shootout, and it's 35 to 1. Darksideday: But can you actually do that? f1capper: I don't know. I'm just saying I just p pulled it into a calculator. Can you do that? Can you just try it? Try it. Darksideday: I it, I doubt it. You cannot do that. f1capper: And try it. Tell let me know how it goes. So Darksideday: You can pretend to do that. f1capper: tell me how it goes. Let me see if Bookmaker will allow me to do that. Darksideday: No, but they say you can double anything and then you put it in it's like no no f1capper: Yeah, no, sorry. Yeah, we're not we don't allow that. nice. Cool, cool, cool, cool. If you can, if you can, if Darksideday: I think that's okay. I think that's okay, Pio. f1capper: you can, you just do that. Just parlay. I don't know if you can. I can't get many parlay options at all. So what about the top three in the sprint? Darksideday: Let me see the mark here. Max is way too short. He's way too f1capper: I mean max sure. Yeah. Darksideday: short. f1capper: Especially at a track like this. Darksideday: I don't think it could go wrong taking Eva Ferrari to be honest. f1capper: Right? The question is who? Which one? Which one? It's so weird. It is so weird. Darksideday: It's like a nightmare. f1capper: It's like Leclerc man. I this is what I need to look back at. I probably should have prepared. Darksideday: You know Lewis is either going to be like P2 or P7, there's no in between. f1capper: Or yes. Yes. All of a sudden he puts it in P two for Malaysia. It's like, what the hell? Where was this? And in Leclair, I feel like this year he's kind of been a donkey during the race when normally it's been the opposite. He's been really good. He's he I just I'm starting to change my tune on how to approach him on race days just because of that. It's like Well I think Darksideday: Do we not think George Russell is a bit big? Plus 250. f1capper: yours is plus two fifty. Darksideday: the sprint yeah. f1capper: sprint top three or Darksideday: Yeah. f1capper: yeah. Because he'll get the new engine, he'll get to use it and it's the penalty is not until the race itself. Darksideday: the ranks. f1capper: So he gets the new engine Does it matter? Darksideday: and I think they're just taking because Malaysia was a bit of a donkey this is a more of a it's a different track you don't know what George Russell you're gonna get f1capper: At two fifty, yeah. I mean I I I yes. Yes, I take it at two fifty. Do I want to take it is the question. Darksideday: As I see some books what got him at 160 but a lot of 1 plus 260 plus 200 250 sorry plus 200 I think you're gonna take that f1capper: I think you do. At plus two fifty you do. You don't even have to put a lot. You can even put, you know, half a unit i if you're not that comfortable. Because Norris That's the one guy we're not talking about enough. Like it I feel like this is also a buy low spot for Norris. I would not say that after seeing what happened the last two races at with a little bit more high speed, you know, straights and stuff like that. But they still were able to manage through, you know, a lot of the cornering. There's that's that wasn't the big issue. It was more of just they can't find the horsepower. Same with Mercedes, but that doesn't matter here. I mean, hell, they're already talking of The books are already pricing up freaking Alonzo because they're like, man, look at that. Even though they don't have the horsepower, they have a car that is set up that they can do it. See, like look, Alonzo top eight is five to one. He's the he's in there with outies. Hmm. Do we take him top eight? Five to one? No. Darksideday: No, don't be silly. f1capper: Immediate no. Darksideday: That's nearly as bad as the Monaco Q3 price. f1capper: Yeah, yeah. Okay, so we we do like I'm trying to s see, I don't have sprint on this book. So we do like sprint top three t plus two fifty. I wouldn't go any lower than two to one. Spa is that what we're saying about two to one up to The three point five. Ooh, tell me. Darksideday: I've got a good one for the spring join a good one for the spring f1capper: no, I do have it. Hold on, hold on, hold on. Sprint futures. I do have it. Are you you so are we s signing off on this? Darksideday: What George Russell. f1capper: Yeah. Darksideday: course. f1capper: gonna hate myself, ain't I? Darksideday: is do they have it for qualifying, sprint qualifying, because I feel like that's always less risk. f1capper: I w you know, it d I don't think it matters. Right? It jokes you right. Darksideday: No. it's got a new engine anyway, isn't it? f1capper: Right. Actually let me see. Okay, we'll go on. Darksideday: I'm just thinking off the line and know something goes wrong but let me see if I can see a price for scrim qualifying top three which I can't anyway Have you got the plus 250 for George Russell? f1capper: For sprint qualifying. Darksideday: Or just even for the race. I mean sprint. f1capper: I have Bet online for the race. Where is it? Race top finishes. There we go. He is where is he? He's top three finishes seven to one for the race. That doesn't even seem great, given that he's gonna start in the back. What do you have? Darksideday: buffer. f1capper: That's for the race though. That's not qualifying. I don't have anything for sprint shootout or sprint qualifying. Darksideday: No, I don't eat food. f1capper: There is nothing. Darksideday: It'll probably come out tomorrow. Not f1capper: I do have Darksideday: tomorrow, I mean Friday. f1capper: Hole position for the sprint. Let's see what that's at. If it would load. mean they have Russell at eight to one. They have Ant at five to one. They really do they really love Max this weekend. I just I don't think I could do that. Maybe we're gonna look back and say, Why didn't we do that? Darksideday: purple purple we're gonna see it the last lap of q3 purple purple f1capper: Mm-hmm. I don't know. I feel like this is gonna be a r random weekend of random results. Darksideday: I'll tell you one that we haven't talked about which doesn't usually come up. is a bit of an odd market but classified drivers for the Sprint over 20.5 plus 1.3A so you can get one day, you know. f1capper: This is Sprint, right? Yep, Sprint. I love it. Darksideday: Free Monday, Well, f1capper: I love it. Mm-hmm. I love it. Darksideday: Saturday, yeah. f1capper: Yeah, because Darksideday: Aston Martin seem to be doing some secret upgrades. They lasted a whole race, I'm sure they can last a sprint. f1capper: It is gonna be hot. That is one thing. I mean, it's always like this is gonna be this is one of the variables that this track is is cooling. That was another reason why I think I was kinda like shy with McLaren is they were talking about the cooling a lot. So maybe they are gonna test a lot in FP one. So anyways, going back to this. Yeah, I I think at at plus one thirty seven, two point three seven. I think it's solid. The only problem is is yeah, one it could be a couple DNS, but I just can't see that happening. I mean, in the sprint, they're not gonna try to wreck their car because then they gotta go back four hours later. And the guys in the back, they're not they're gonna definitely try to keep it together because this is their testing. This is how they get to learn and all that stuff. Darksideday: think so, when was the last spring? f1capper: was it wasn't Sanford. Darksideday: Italy, no, you're right, example. f1capper: Wasn't it Xamport? Yeah. Darksideday: Yeah, was, Nika Hulkenberg was a DNF. That was it. One DNF. and then lets go one more, Belgian Silverstone, there was, which is a long time ago, they all finished. f1capper: Alright. I like it. Th I think that's an acceptable one. You wanna if you wanna chalk something, it won't load. I was gonna say number of race leaders or maybe they just don't have that up. They just have the Chalk to no just to one. Minus seven hundred free fifteen bucks. Darksideday: They do have that up, they do not have it up. f1capper: Yeah, they don't I don't think they have it up. no, they Darksideday: They do, they do. What do you think it is? Or can you see it? f1capper: I can't see it. I'm gonna just I'm gonna just yeah, I'm gonna say minus seven hundred for one ra race leader. Darksideday: No, it's not minus seven and f1capper: What is it? Darksideday: 1.72. f1capper: Is it really? Do they really Darksideday: Yeah. f1capper: expect that there's gonna be more than one? Darksideday: 2 roughly did this, 2.75 and then freeze. Whatever you want. Plus 500. I think maybe that's, I think I might have to get stuck into that one as well. f1capper: That seems silly. Am I like thinking of this wrong? It's a sprint race at Singapore. Darksideday: Yeah, it's just off the line. f1capper: Off the line, get off, and just Darksideday: And that's it. f1capper: that's it. That's very silly. It should not be one point seven two. It should be something that That doesn't sound right. I mean yes, the risk is like they don't get off the line in second place, but what what are the chances of that? How I mean Darksideday: gonna have to do so let me do some research how many people off the line did not keep their position and we'll come back to it f1capper: Okay, that's crazy. I I mean it should be like minus three hundred or something at minimum. 'Cause they're not gonna pit too. That's another thing. There's no pit, there's no nothing. This is not the race. Darksideday: Yeah. f1capper: That's a auto bet at one point seven two. Darksideday: Alright, should we move into the main event, the race? f1capper: Yeah it Darksideday: And of course we had the hot alert if you signed f1capper: Mm-hmm. Darksideday: up to the paddock pass which was were you awake or were you asleep? f1capper: I was asleep, of course, it was k showed up at f saw my telegram at five whatever AM I was like, Are you kidding me? Although there wasn't really anything that I could have taken. Darksideday: which was... there was a bit, there was a bit. I mean, it was in a total log, but there was a bit, which was George Russell, back of the grid. Skysports understands anyway. Back of the grid for the Singapore Grand Prix. There was a bit of McLaren double top six plus 250. I got Oscar Piastri plus 160 got out my top six. f1capper: What is he at now? Darksideday: minus 200. f1capper: Mm, you lucky guys. Lucky. See, this is what happens when you don't get access to these sites. 'Cause I didn't have anything anyways from a top market until after. Actually wait, you said top six finish for the race is what now? Darksideday: Which one? f1capper: For piastry. Darksideday: It was, it is now like minus like 180 something like that, minus f1capper: Mm. Darksideday: 200. f1capper: What's Ezek, as some would say, Hajars. Darksideday: He's like a bit shorter. f1capper: Right now, Battle Online has both Piastri and Hijara at the same price. Because that is the risk, right? Let's see, one, two, three, four, five. Yeah, one of those two. Darksideday: properly. f1capper: Six. Yeah, I I still am cautious of it. Definitely like plus one sixty is a no-brainer. I would not chalk this at top six right now. Darksideday: No. f1capper: Absolutely not. But that is the benefit. you do get hot alerts, and I think that's what I'm gonna be looking forward to, especially for the sprint. You know, we're gonna see some guys that don't qualify well. Darksideday: Yes, Spring Weekends is Hotter Low Weekends. At least one person. f1capper: This is like you've got to you got to jump on it. You see where's the top six finish on this one? Yeah, they really minus one ninety and wow, they like a jar more on BetU S than they do Piastri. That's what I was c that's Darksideday: I don't know, think he actually always has a bit more in him. He's a bit more of a... He's nearly a world champion. He nearly fluked one. I don't think a child will ever nearly f1capper: Ne nearly Darksideday: fluk one. f1capper: He's nearly until he isn't Yeah. Darksideday: It's the Mark Webber of our days. f1capper: Well guess who's coaching him? Darksideday: yeah, I know, I know. f1capper: Okay, well what else? What other markets do you like? Darksideday: So with this big reaction, and I don't think it'll get any bigger, I do like, and you may disagree with me, George Russell, points finish, 1.67, which is, let me get my calculator. f1capper: Isn't that like w minus one forty? Minus one fifty. Darksideday: Yeah, minus 150. f1capper: Minus one fifty. Okay. Darksideday: Only cause this year with the differences between each team and the gap in the timings, it's not like they're close, like a Mercedes is like way better than an Audi. f1capper: No, I hear you. And also you can have anything happen in the race in terms of safety car and pulls them up. But I would Darksideday: Yeah. f1capper: say there's got there was this there was a time someone did start in the back. And yeah, there is a cap. There is somewhere that they get capped off. So if he starts in the back, shouldn't take him long to get to like P thirteen. And then from P thirteen, he's just gonna have to hope that he still has hasn't killed his tires and he can and get ahead or undercut strategy something. of course safety car helps, so Darksideday: So it may be like, can you overtake? Gazzley or something like that, and I think he should be able to. f1capper: I do not like it past one fifty. I'll put it that way. I think that's that's my line. That's where I draw the line. Darksideday: And if they're like terrible in FP1, it may get bigger. Like if it was minus 120, would you like back it? f1capper: I Darksideday: It's not Monaco. It's not Monaco. f1capper: Probably not. I don't know. It just depends. What is what how did Kimmy do? That's how I gauge it. Is the car is it the car or is it him? 'Cause if it's not the car, then maybe it is. Maybe he just needs needs the sprint race to kinda acclimate again and then get it right. Yeah, so that's where I'm at. I don't I don't I d I'm not I'm not too hot about anything right now. Darksideday: What about we all won it well a lot of us won it last weekend over 18.5 classified f1capper: Is not what is it sitting at? Darksideday: Hold on, odds match, wants me to pay for the premium, which I won't be giving, odds checker, and we just go to the incognito tab, which is... similar to last week plus 125. f1capper: The only thing I worry is that this is gonna be Darksideday: Bye. f1capper: Yeah, this is gonna be a little bit warmer. And I wonder if this is gonna impact like a team that's in the back and that wants to save their power unit if they're not getting anywhere, they just say, Hey, we're just gonna retire. I don't know. My my Darksideday: Okay. f1capper: lean is my lean is yes. My lean is yes. Darksideday: Okay, going back to number of race leaders in the last 10 years, which was eight races, how many times do you think the leader didn't keep their lead on one? f1capper: How many times they did it? I'm gonna say two times. Darksideday: you're correct two times can you name them? One's very very famous f1capper: Once very famous. Darksideday: Back in the day. Not back in the day, in the last 10 years. f1capper: That's back in the day. Yeah. Darksideday: Yeah. f1capper: I'm gonna say Rosberg Hamilton. Darksideday: No. When the Ferrari's and Mac's all crashed together. f1capper: Yes, yes, yes. Darksideday: That was one of them and the other time was when I was on Charles Leclerc to win. Varsity qualified to win and it was in the rain and Perez took the lead off the line. But that was in the rain. f1capper: But that was but wasn't that no that was the second time. Darksideday: That was 2022. f1capper: Or I'm thinking of Perez when he overtook LeClaire in Vegas. Man, there's some Darksideday: Yeah. f1capper: there's some sad bad beats there, which we'll get to here in a second. What is our bad beat? Well, we already know what that one is. okay. I I don't mind it. I don't love it, but if you're Darksideday: Keep your choke on. f1capper: If you're if you're f frothing Well, no, I'm the first lap leader. I think you should take it up one point seven two. I think that's just that's that's just seems silly to me. especially for a sprint race. That's a s it's a sprint race. There's not gonna be a pit. So you're just gonna hope that whoever gets P1 stays in P one and they most likely will. And we just gave you the the data behind that, but for the overclassified I I don't mind it. Let me just put it that way. I think the reliability has increased over the time, but at the same time pay attention to the weather. You never know. Like if we have weather impacts then that's a that's a point where you wanna you wanna wait because then the number just will go into your favor or you just don't do it at all. So Darksideday: What other markets have we got? Points, positions... once those odds on. How times have changed. Minus 120 points, you're taking minus 120 points. f1capper: For which one? Darksideday: Alonzo f1capper: I mean I I wanna buy the hype. I do think this is a good track for the you to take them on. They've seen Darksideday: Not at that price. f1capper: but I just can't yeah, not at that price. I can't do that. I still think it's gonna be competitive. I mean, I don't know what we really saw last week with Aston Martin. I know that they had this like s you know these secret upgrades that we're talking about, whatever it was. Darksideday: to Martin they just sort of just come out of nowhere to get points to f1capper: Yeah. Darksideday: be fair that is the lowest price on 365 I quoted but they seem to f1capper: Also, I I would have loved to have seen how this would have played out if we didn't have half the grid starting on whatever version of the tires that they were Darksideday: yeah. f1capper: on. we had the safety car, we had Max kind of or not Max, Russell, he had his DNF. Like there were so many different factors that may have brought this this whole thing. not just not to take anything away from them, but To me, this this feels less of a they're gonna dominate here, more of a well, this just kind of levels the playing field at this track, if we think about it. Like we don't have to worry about top end speed. You just need to make sure you have a car that can and a driver that knows what they're doing. which Alonzo is that, right? He should be able to. I mean, he did get P1 and FP1 last year, so it's not to say he can't do it. but we are at a street circuit too. Does that have a play into this whole thing, right? We're we're coming back now to they look like shit at Baku. Like if they have to raise their ride height for any reason, that might change things, right? So there's little things that might go and factor here versus Malaysia, which was a traditional street course. Or a r race course. So I don't know. I'm I don't like it at that price. And I would rather wait because he would have to absolutely dominate for that price to eat to drift even more, shorter versus if we Darksideday: Yeah. f1capper: if he actually comes out and it's still P sixteen, then you're just getting a better price on him. What what value are you getting? 'Cause then I think the Audies are gonna close that gap easily here. I think the Audis for sure should be better here. Darksideday: I've got one, I've got one and it's only on BedVictor and I can't believe I'm even saying this. You can get the Cadillacs but either of them, 100 to 1 points finish. Surely they get it one out of 100 simulations or two. f1capper: I don't know, man. Does Darksideday: You f1capper: per what's Perez's? Let's let's let's see. You said Darksideday: Most of them are like 60, 66 to 1 or 50 to 1 or 40 to 1. But 100 to 1, you know, maybe, maybe. f1capper: You might as well just take Perez sixty-six to one. I guess you could do both. Botas is not doing it. The dude just biked from Malaysia to Singapore. Do you think he's gonna have the energy for that? That's just to show he doesn't give a fuck about this. He's just trying to have some fun, you know? I don't know. I don't just take Perez sixty six. Darksideday: Lance Troll 4 to 1, Lance Troll 4 to 1. f1capper: No, if you're gonna do anything I I just I I was still I was like, man, if if anything was like f you know, fifty to one, sixty to one on those guys, yeah, okay, I'll take a chance. But I just I don't know, man. I think the There's something about these cars just in general that makes me feel like you you're just gonna see the same five people up front. Darksideday: Yes. f1capper: There's just no there's there's nothing you can do about that. And then it's gonna be the same five people fighting between like P six through P twelve, maybe mix in someone from the back of the field because of DNFs and chaos. Just it doesn't I And then it's it's always Cadillac in the back. You need chaos you're paying for chaos. And I just I don't see we're gonna s Darksideday: I mean, just isn't that just like Formula One over the last 20 years or whatever? f1capper: Serious? Yeah, I guess so. But at least there's times where, you know, this is an interesting time right now, especially right now, where people are seeing Max as as the top team, but we're just completely dismissing the others, which for good reason. However, that's not to say that's gonna be translate here. This might be different. They're gonna probably we're bringing now the highest down for specs. Maybe they revert back to something different for Mercedes and McLaren or they just say, Hey, we're gonna try it. It's we the top speed doesn't matter here, but they still look pretty good in cornering. I mean, they did have some understeer issues, but maybe they're having the down force, maybe it helps. I don't know. We're about to find out. Like maybe they do okay. Darksideday: got one more I've got one more market I think you're gonna say yes on Camby and the 1.5 safety cars plus 120. f1capper: Under one point five? Yes. Absolutely. Absolutely. I guess Darksideday: One, you never know, but it takes quite a lot for there to be two safety. f1capper: For two, yeah. Yeah, yeah, yeah. obviously if there's rain I will hate that, but even then if there's rain I'm still taking that. Plus one yeah. Is that on DK right now? I didn't have to phone some of these things in. I am definitely phoning in that that race leader thing. Might not have to might not post until I get that in. I'm not telling anyone. Until I get that in. I need that. I mean, tell me I'm wrong. Tell me I'm wrong. That should be that should be an that should be a nuke, right? That should be nuked. Darksideday: It'll be like sorry, sorry the price went. No, you're not wrong. You're not wrong. It'll be like minus 250 or something. That's the correct price. f1capper: Right, it should be that's exact that's what I'm saying. It should be like minus three hundred, especially for a sprint. That's crazy. I expected that from Layers Den and DK, not not bad three sixty-five here. we got driver props. Already for this? Okay. Yeah, I Darksideday: Wow, Bet365 has safety car NO at the same price as under 1.5 safety. f1capper: That's just crazy, dude. they don't have that on DraftKings. You have to have literally access. I don't think there is. That sucks on Cambi. Yeah, I do not have that. I do not. Mm, yeah, I don't. I'm looking everywhere. That sucks. Darksideday: you have access to about 10,000 head-to-heads and bookmakers on race day. f1capper: That's true. That's true. Yeah. Well you could sign up for it too. Where's Bet Online? Darksideday: no, I am, I am. f1capper: Where where's Bet Online so I can get some some royalties over here? I've had a lot of people sign up recently. Bet online, if you're listening, come on man. Darksideday: I can't believe Jens has access. I know you're listening. It's a bit f1capper: He is. Darksideday: online. And I'm out here in the UK, a developed country, not having access to it. I used to, f1capper: What are we doing? Everyone should get access to it. Darksideday: I used to, but then they made the regulations. f1capper: so they did block it for you. Darksideday: Dude. f1capper: Okay. Well let's talk well is that it so are the are there any other lines that we need to talk about? Darksideday: I think so f1capper: All right, well let's conclude. Let's talk about the bad beat of the week. Do you have one first off? Darksideday: Well, I'd like to say your bad bit of the week was my good bit of the week. f1capper: Did you have hijar over Russell? Darksideday: No. Why is it limblad? f1capper: What was yours? What was it what Darksideday: Limblad points. f1capper: that wasn't my bad beat. okay. Darksideday: okay. f1capper: No, that wasn't my bad beat. My bad beat was let me go back. It was I had both Russell over Norris and Russell over Hajjar. And he was doing fine. Clear of those guys. And then he poofs. Both of the both of those matchups lose. Which, by the way, put me into the negative for the week. If Darksideday: I know some guys that Hulk Hulk points f1capper: That was a that was Darksideday: as well f1capper: I did have that. That would I guess that's two bad beats. Let's put three bad beats out of this whole thing for me. But that wasn't as much of the killer as as those two matchups because I had that was pretty much like almost a five unit swing right there. I w was in the positive, everything's fine, just finished the race, and then poof he goes and that put me at like minus two units for their for the weekend. Unfortunate. Happens. It happens. Was I happy? Absolutely not. But was I devastated? Darksideday: No, but I could... f1capper: No. Because I'm like, this is just part of the game sometimes, even though it stings. It sucks, but Darksideday: Talking, just talking generally now. We're past the F1. Where have all these Nigerian scammers come back from? Just posting in the chat all the bloody... they've just come back from the dead. f1capper: They're back, man. They're back. I think they're listening to our channel. They're like, Hey, these guys are back. They're winning some money. Darksideday: yeah, I'll tell you what my bad beat of the week had to be. Had to be. Was. Well, Mercedes double podium sort of just vanished. f1capper: Yeah, it did. Darksideday: you know well it shouldn't have even been near anyway but also Bortoletto that group winner you just started on the slicks didn't he and that was game over f1capper: yeah. Yeah. Mm-hmm. Darksideday: Who got me onto that? yeah, just back it, just back it. f1capper: that's this is why I don't like the the group bets and talking to it, but I mean it seem it seemed like the right bet. But then and then Darksideday: I did. f1capper: but then but you know what I called out, I was like, holy crap, this is now gone. I'm just l Lululand type of odds, like minus 175, almost minus two hundred for a group bet. And I was like, you should be taking Alonzo at this point. I think it was but it wasn't even enough for me to say I wanted to do it. Now looking back, I'm like, I should have fucking done that. It was it was plus three fifty or four point five. And I was like, man, I because that's the opportunity, like when something goes a haywire with one of the group bets, look at look at some of the others. There's an opportunity there. So Darksideday: And one thing I've definitely noticed and everyone else has noticed when it's like dry wet to dry conditions and you're on McLaren it's not going to go well. They're never f1capper: No. No. Darksideday: on the right tyre. f1capper: No. No. So yeah. yeah. No. I get I would say just for this weekend, just I don't know. Take what take what's in front of you. I mean, I know FP one is just kind of a crapshoot. You you heard my not overthinking it. We're taking Leclerc, FP one, just like we always do. It's one of our favorite things to do here. plus the odds are plus one twenty five Ferrari should do fine. If you want to take Lewis Hamilton, go for it. I'm just sticking with LeClaire because he's just our FP w Darksideday: He's okay. f1capper: he's our F P one merchant. He just finds a way to get in the top three. So Darksideday: Charles deClair was there back in 2022 when we were back in Ferrari and FP then. f1capper: And last race, he was actually going to get P3. He was point zero six four off of Hajjar from FP from a top three. So we just were barely there. It wasn't that he wasn't he didn't have the speed or anything. He's he's g he's he he'll do it. So yeah. Any last thoughts? Any anything? You're right. These Nigerian scammers, I see you just kicked another one out. Banned. Darksideday: Yeah, enough wonk, go on. f1capper: And yeah. Any last thoughts? I do like Darksideday: That's it. f1capper: I like I like the the call outs you you brought up today. I had nothing other than one one play. So all right. Darksideday: There's plenty there for everyone. If you like there, f1capper: Plenty for everyone. Darksideday: yeah. f1capper: Yep. We're giving this to you early. I think that it would be wise to get into Discord. It would also be wise if you would pay to get into the premium chat because you will get the up to date alerts. You will get the hot alerts. This is the weekend. Hot alerts are are so hot right now. So get into Discord. Feel free to chat with us about anything. If you just want to have a general chat. But again, the premium is we have a seven day free trial and you can get premium chat and get access to all the tips, the data, the news, everything up to the second. So Darksideday: Everything. f1capper: everything. And you get a new free game that F1 tipster had put together, which I've domin I've Darksideday: yeah f1capper: I've dominated it. I'm just saying, I'm pretty good at it. Darksideday: Have you even played it? f1capper: I've played it. Yeah. Darksideday: Did you? It worked against the AI? Did I play you? f1capper: yeah. No, I c I killed it. we'll play. I Darksideday: That's for like when we have a rain delay or a delay and then we can have a big tournament. That's what it's there for. f1capper: That's what we should do. I was one point nine seconds faster than the AI. I'm like I'm like the Max Verstappen is what I am. Darksideday: I forgot about my game development, we're now in game development, I forgot about that. yeah. f1capper: Yeah. We're in three I don't know what we're in. We're we're we're developing trailers too, apparently. So it's been pretty fun though. All right. well we'll see you guys in the Discord and see you this weekend. Darksideday: All right, see ya.