Latest / Best of Business / Neil Paviour-Smith: Forsyth Barr Managing Director on the results of the Mood of the Boardroom survey
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: You're listening to a podcast from News Talks EDB. Follow
- 0:12Speaker 1: this and our wide range of podcasts now on iHeartRadio.
- 0:16Speaker 2: To the Mood of the Boardroom at twenty three to seven,
- 0:18Speaker 2: What have we got? The views of one hundred and
- 0:21Speaker 2: fifty of the country's leading business executives are the consensus.
- 0:24Speaker 2: New Zealand's at an inflection point, desperately needing clearer leadership
- 0:28Speaker 2: and direction. We've got growing fore as our complacency potentially
- 0:31Speaker 2: pushing us towards second world status now. Neil Pavias Smith
- 0:35Speaker 2: is the managing director of Forsath Barron is with us.
- 0:37Speaker 3: Good morning Moning. Mike.
- 0:38Speaker 2: Do you generally agree with the consensus of your fellow
- 0:41Speaker 2: business leaders?
- 0:44Speaker 3: Yes, I do. I mean there's no sugarcoating things at
- 0:46Speaker 3: the moment. Yeah, it's pretty hard messages and here for
- 0:50Speaker 3: the government to take. But I think it does reflect
- 0:53Speaker 3: every tough times in the economy. It reflects a tough
- 0:57Speaker 3: times in real New Zealand, and there's concerns being expressed
- 1:03Speaker 3: about the need to tackle the really hard issues, the
- 1:07Speaker 3: structural deficis we have and some of the longer term
- 1:09Speaker 3: issues that are being raised through the comments.
- 1:14Speaker 2: They would come back and say we're doing everything we can.
- 1:17Speaker 2: Every leber's being pulled. Is that true?
- 1:21Speaker 3: I think the government's working very hard. There's a lot
- 1:24Speaker 3: of energy. I think outside of economic matters, you'd certainly
- 1:27Speaker 3: give them a strong pick. And you know, I expect
- 1:30Speaker 3: them to do well across areas like education, crime and
- 1:34Speaker 3: so forth, foreign trade and foreign relations and what have you.
- 1:38Speaker 3: But when it comes to economic matters, I think there
- 1:43Speaker 3: is concern that there we're lacking sort of the long
- 1:45Speaker 3: term focus areas like infrastructure, some of the long term savings,
- 1:50Speaker 3: other matters, and Crown's fiscal position which really acts as
- 1:54Speaker 3: a ball and chain around the economy. So you know,
- 1:57Speaker 3: those are big concerns, and I think there is a
- 2:04Speaker 3: need for the government to be much clearer around what
- 2:06Speaker 3: plan is in those areas.
- 2:08Speaker 2: Looked at the choices, which is a center left, center
- 2:10Speaker 2: right government of your critical of center right, the center
- 2:13Speaker 2: left comes out even worse. So I mean, are we
- 2:14Speaker 2: in a parlor state in that sense?
- 2:18Speaker 3: Yeah, I think we are. There are concerns about the
- 2:22Speaker 3: whether the Labor Party is ready to form a government,
- 2:26Speaker 3: and there are certainly real concerns about to coalition parts
- 2:30Speaker 3: parties they would form with the Greens and around economic matter,
- 2:35Speaker 3: it's no doubt, so you know that that's a concern
- 2:38Speaker 3: that I think it gives an opportunity for the government
- 2:40Speaker 3: to degen some of the key issues, but it also
- 2:44Speaker 3: potentially takes the pressure off around some of the core
- 2:47Speaker 3: matters as well.
- 2:48Speaker 2: Have they missed a trick? One of the criticisms of
- 2:50Speaker 2: this government is they could have gone harders sooner and
- 2:53Speaker 2: we might not be sitting here in the latter part
- 2:55Speaker 2: of twenty five in the state we're in. Is that
- 2:57Speaker 2: fair or not?
- 2:59Speaker 3: I think it's difficult to argue two years in that
- 3:03Speaker 3: inherited a real mess and not to be sort of
- 3:07Speaker 3: going much harder and to continue to blame the previous
- 3:11Speaker 3: when you take a softer approach than could have been done.
- 3:16Speaker 3: So yeah, I do agree with that, and I think
- 3:17Speaker 3: that's been reflected through a lot of comments that you know,
- 3:22Speaker 3: while things are probably picking up right now and we
- 3:25Speaker 3: see lots of evidence of that, you know, some of
- 3:28Speaker 3: the core structural concerns, the long term issues that the
- 3:32Speaker 3: Zealand faces haven't been seized through this opportunity that've been
- 3:36Speaker 3: given is lux and a problem.
- 3:38Speaker 2: I don't know how much weight you place on these
- 3:40Speaker 2: scores of cabinet ministers, but he's not right up. There
- 3:42Speaker 2: is that on him and him specifically or not.
- 3:47Speaker 3: I think that there is a concern about both his
- 3:52Speaker 3: leadership around some of these longer term issues and also
- 3:55Speaker 3: finance minister, and that's been noted through the survey. So
- 4:00Speaker 3: this is not a catastrophic outcome, but there's certainly a
- 4:04Speaker 3: very strong message in here that, you know, while business
- 4:09Speaker 3: is innovating and addressing costs and focusing on issues of
- 4:14Speaker 3: concern adapting to the sort of geopolitical environment we're in,
- 4:18Speaker 3: there's little structural reform addressing those deeper issues around the
- 4:23Speaker 3: economy and the longer term matters as well. So there's
- 4:28Speaker 3: no doubt that quarter three will probably see an increase
- 4:31Speaker 3: in the economy, a pack up that will be agri led,
- 4:34Speaker 3: the straits coming down and so forth. It should lead
- 4:36Speaker 3: into a more confidence around the housing sector, more business
- 4:41Speaker 3: confidence and so on, and gradually seeing an increase in
- 4:45Speaker 3: the economy, improvement and right track long track type polls
- 4:49Speaker 3: and an election outcome. So there are reasons to be optimistic,
- 4:54Speaker 3: but hoping is not a strategy, and the business community
- 4:59Speaker 3: looking for stronger leadership from the Prime Minister and finances
- 5:03Speaker 3: around some of those core long term issues and the
- 5:07Speaker 3: structural gifts of.
- 5:07Speaker 2: Museum well said, appreciate it very much. Neil Paviasmith, who's
- 5:10Speaker 2: the Forsyth Barb Managing Director, part of the Herald's mood
- 5:13Speaker 2: of the boardroom this morning.
- 5:15Speaker 1: For more from News Talks ed B. Listen live on
- 5:17Speaker 1: air or online, and keep our shows with you wherever
- 5:20Speaker 1: you go with our podcasts on iHeartRadio.