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Episode 484 - 4/3/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
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Hello and welcome to episode 484.
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Of the All Systems Go sports betting podcast.
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Powered by Rhythm, I'm your host, Josh Applebaum.
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What's going on, everyone? Happy Friday.
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The final day of our. Work week is here guys and we
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got a big weekend ahead. We got wall to wall.
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Major League Baseball, of course you knew that.
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But also. I don't.
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You don't have to. I don't need to remind you, I
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should say. But you know what the?
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Final Four kicks off tomorrow, so March Madness returns.
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Yes, it's the month of April. We always know March Madness
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goes into the first week here of April here, but but I do have
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two plays for you and I want to thank.
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Everyone who tuned into the. Rhythm Rundown last night.
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I had a fun time with my. Buddy Kate Harper hosting live
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on Twitter. Remember every Thursday, 6:00 to
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7:00 PM. Eastern Time, Kate and I.
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Go live on. Twitter We share our rhythm.
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Homepage. We talk through the games.
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We try to help people utilize rhythm to their advantage.
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And we're talking about both games and both are very.
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Very interesting. I definitely want to.
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Give you my plays here for Illinois.
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And Yukon, Michigan and Arizona. One play is.
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Very, very clear to me. The other play is very, very
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difficult, so I'm actually going in a different direction.
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For one of these. Games here, but as always.
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Thank you for tuning in. Always fun, especially when I
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see some some hangout. Members or some, you know, some
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podcast listeners. Joining the rhythm rundown
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every. Thursday, 6:00 to 7:00 PM.
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Eastern Time streamed live on Twitter.
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Now that being said again. 2 plays.
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For the final four. For tomorrow, one for each.
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Game and then three. More plays here in major.
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League Baseball. So there's a big Friday slate
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today. We got a lot of day games going
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on. I have an.
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Early game here that. I want to hit on coming up at
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4:10 PM Eastern Time. Then I got a 745.
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Game and a nine. 45 game in. Addition to those two final
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four. Plays so as always, guys.
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Trying to go 2 and one. Eke out a winning day in MLB
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and. Hopefully we can get a couple
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hits here in the final. 4 Because there's only three games
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left, we got the two final four games and then.
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Obviously the championship game now.
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Before we get to our sweats for today, looking back toward
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yesterday guys after we had a three and O sweep, unfortunately
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didn't get the brakes we wanted yesterday. 1 and 2 -, 0.94 units
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had a great hit. With the Giants late night, the
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G men rolled. Pretty much start to finish.
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I remember we had the public. In that one, really leaning.
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Hard on on the New York. Mets.
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But the Mets went again. What were they like -130 down to
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-120 -? 115.
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That line. Kept going towards San Fran.
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And the G men came through the seven to two win the losers.
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Though unfortunately it's always annoying.
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When you lose your. First bat of the day, and that
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was Kansas. City because the Royals had a
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good sharp steam move, felt like it was a good spot there with a
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bunch. Of system matches, they just.
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Couldn't get anything going. Offensively they lost 5 to 1 and
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it was actually within reach it. Was a 2 to one game going into
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the 8th. And the 9th inning.
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And then Minnesota busted out. And scored a few runs in the
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ninth, so. Lost the Royals 5:00 to 1:00 and
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then the game that. Is just so disgusting and
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pathetic. We beat the.
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Closing line. That line kept.
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Steaming. Toward Arizona.
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Arizona went from like. Plus 110 all the.
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Way to like a pit. Almost a pick.
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Em game at some. Shops like a minus. 110 and
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didn't matter because Arizona got destroyed. 17 to 2, almost
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like an NFL game, you know, 2 touchdowns, a field goal against
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the safety. So it wasn't.
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Even close to that one. Even though that game was kind
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of. A battle until there is a call
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where they call the double play if you watch this game like me.
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You know what I'm? Talking about.
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But I think the. Diamondbacks of the time, we're
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down by one run. It was like a fourth or fifth
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inning. They turn to double play, start
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walking into the dugout, and then Atlanta challenges it they.
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Thought the guy was safe at first.
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He ended up being safe at. 1st literally next step bat Olson
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ropes a double and then they score.
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Like, I don't know. Ten runs in the fifth inning.
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So it was all downhill from there.
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But either way guys little plus money on.
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The G men so 1 and 2 minus. 0.94 units last.
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Night. See if we can.
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Finish up the week strong. Hopefully produce a winning day
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as we steam into the weekend. So that being said, let's start
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with MLB and then I'll finish up the pod with a couple March
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Madness Final Four plays. So first one on the board, let's
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talk about an early match up here.
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This is a 4:10 PM Eastern Time first.
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Pitch We have a. Game here between the Tampa.
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Bay Rays. And the Minnesota Twins.
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Let's talk line movement split system matches, and I'll give
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you my play for this one. So coming to this match up, we
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got the Rays 2:00 and 4:00. On the year just dropped two or
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three, however, against the. Brewers lost that series finale.
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8:00 to 2:00. As a + 1. 20 Road dog Fine by
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us. If you remember, that was a
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podcast play going. With the Brew Crew, meanwhile,
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the Twins. Two and four as well.
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Just lost 2. Or three against the Royals.
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But avoided the sweep 1520 yesterday as a + 130 road dog
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didn't like that because the podcast play there it was on the
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Royals now pitching match up for this afternoon showdown.
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We have Tampa Bay going at the ready.
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Joe Boyle, He's O&O with an ERA of three.
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He'll be opposed by Minnesota ready.
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Bailey Ober, O&O with. An ERA of 6. .75.
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Now what do we see across the? Market here.
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Well, this game open with Minnesota listed.
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As a very short -115 home favorite.
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Tampa Bay around a minus. One O 5 road dog and again short
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home favorite you always think. Of one of two things.
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Either wise guys say, hey that number should be higher.
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It's a good value play on that short home favorite.
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They get steamed up to. -120 - 1. 30 or.
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Maybe it goes the other. Way and wise guys say, hey, we
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have this more of a pick. EM or maybe even the road team
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should be favored. It looks like the latter cuz
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this line has moved away from Minnesota toward Tampa Bay.
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We've seen Minnesota. Drop -115 down to around -110.
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We've seen Tampa go from. -1 O 5 to -110.
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So this is basically. A dog to pick em.
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Sharp, sharp line move here. Again, Tampa Bay Open.
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As a clear dog. Now it's basically a pick em
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game. Cuz cuz we got smart money here
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going with the rays now splits look really good at.
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DraftKings 59% of money line Vets 70. 6%.
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Of money line dollars on Tampa. So slight, slight public
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support, but heavy big money here on Tampa.
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You also get the Rays. Hopefully their offense comes to
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play and gets to over they have the better.
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Team batting average hitting 274 versus only 218.
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For Minnesota and in particular. Two righties on the bump, Tampa.
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Has been better against. Righties hitting 293 versus 258.
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For Minnesota against righties, Tampa also a little bit of a
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rest versus tired advantage because the Rays were off
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yesterday. Twins, meanwhile.
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Played in Kansas City, had to travel back.
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To Minnesota so. Minnesota Open has a very short
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favorite, but we are now. Moving to a pick em game.
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We got a good split here on Tampa Bay, tells me.
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Tampa is the smart play here guys.
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Also, we have two rhythm recommendations on Tampa Bay.
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Including one official green. Star recommended play on Tampa
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Bay. So you add it all up.
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We got rhythm, we got line, movement, bet splits.
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We also have a rest. First tired, better bats, first
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play of the day for me guys. I took Tampa Bay, I got the
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raise at. -1 O 4 at. FanDuel shop around.
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Looks like around -1 O 5 is your best number, but again, some
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books. Now showing -110 So try to.
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Try to lay as. Little juice as you possibly
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can. Next up, 7:45 PM Eastern Time,
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first pitch. We have an interleague game.
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Milwaukee Brew Crew. At the Kansas City Royals.
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Now the Brewers come in. Five and one on the year.
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Took two or three against the Rays.
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They won that series finale 8 to 2.
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As a -. 145 home favorite. Meanwhile, the Royals.
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Three and three one. Two of their last three.
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Against the Twins again, couldn't complete the sweep.
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Lost. 5 to 1 yesterday. As a -. 155 home favorite Don't
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remind me Now. For this interleague series
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opener. Pitching matchup, we got
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Milwaukee. Going with the righty.
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Chad Patrick, he's. O&O with an ERA of two point O
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8. Kansas City, meanwhile.
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Is going with. The ready Lewinder Avila.
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I had never heard of this. Guy, until today.
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He's a young pitcher. He's making his debut in 2026.
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He pitched in 13 games last year, I believe out of the.
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Bullpen, that was his. Rookie year.
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He went one and one with A1. .29 ERA.
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Last year, now what are we seeing across the market?
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Will this game? Open with the Royals listed.
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As high as a minus. 130 home favorite Milwaukee around A +
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110 road Dog and sharps are hopping on the beer makers.
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Because we've seen Kansas City fall, basically -130.
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Down to a pick em. Milwaukee is moved.
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From Plus 1/10. Down to a pick em.
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So if you like Tampa Bay, I think you like Milwaukee.
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It's the same sort of thing where your Rd. dog is now
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becoming. A road pick em.
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So it tells us that plus money payout is evaporating.
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You got to pay more juice. Obviously it's still you.
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Know pretty relatively cheap play.
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But these lines are moving. Toward Tampa and toward
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Milwaukee. As a dog.
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To a pick em now we look at the splits here at DK 74% bets.
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Over 80% dollars. Are coming in on Milwaukee so it
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tells us we have a pro and Joe Bet.
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Split in favor of the Brew Crew, Milwaukee has the better batting
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average. They're hitting 279 as a team
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versus 238 for KC. They've scored more runs. 45
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versus 23. And they have the better
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pitching staff. The area of 2.83.
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Versus 4.3 O for KC Lastly, another rest first tired
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advantage on Fridays. You always got to look at, you
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know, hey. Did one team?
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Play yesterday is one team. Off you look at this rest first.
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Tired. It would be an.
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Advantage to Milwaukee. Because they were off yesterday.
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And Kansas City again. Played and lost.
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To the Minnesota Twins. Lastly, I popped open rhythm.
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And I had. All three of my rhythm
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recommendations. On Milwaukee.
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Here and two of those. Recommendations were official
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Green *. Plays so with rhythm behind us,
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with a dog to pick them with a rest first.
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Tired. I'm going with Milwaukee here
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guys, seeing if the Brew crew. Can cash a ticket for us?
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I got Milwaukee at a -, 110 price.
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Last night of the night. Call me crazy.
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We. Played them last night they.
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Completely. Embarrassed themselves and, you
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know, threw up on their in front, threw up on their their
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shirt, whatever you want to call it.
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But I'm going back to the, well, Atlanta at Arizona, we got the
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Braves. Visiting the Snakes as game two
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of the series. 9:45 PM Eastern Time, first pitch.
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As you know, the Braves 5 and 2 dominated 1. 17 to 2 yesterday.
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As a -, 115. Road favorite rematch?
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Here we have Atlanta. Going with the ready Grant
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Holmes, He's Owen one with a 5.4 OERA.
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You know all the snakes they are.
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Going with the lefty Eduardo Rodriguez ONOERA of 0.
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And remember E Rod, I'm a Red Sox fan, so I remember him.
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Years ago he was great. With the Sox signed a big money
10:52
deal. Hasn't been great, but he was
10:54
really good in the WBC so hopefully that's an advantage
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here. But anyway, looking at the.
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Opening line we. Have the Braves.
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Opening around -120. On the road, very short number
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Diamondbacks around a + 100 home dog and the.
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Public cannot. Believe this line is so low
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again the the Braves have the better record.
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The Braves just dominated and completely destroyed Arizona
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last night. And they're only laying -120
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again, run as fast. As you can to the window.
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Put your house on this one for Atlanta.
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That's what the public. 'S saying you should never.
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Put your house on anything. No matter how confident you are,
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but anyway. Even though you're getting. 65.
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Percent of money line bets laying it with Atlanta at
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DraftKings. Atlanta has not risen up. -120
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to -130. No, the sign is dropping. -120
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down to -115. Tells us we have a sharp
11:40
reverse. Line move on, Arizona.
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Because the line is moving. Toward the the Diamondbacks,
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they went from plus 100. To now -1 O. 5 even though.
11:48
The public is hammering the Braves.
11:50
Look at the splits here. Sharper RLM because Arizona's
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only getting. 35%. Of money line bets but.
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Nearly 50. Percent of money line.
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Dollars at TK again tells us the bigger, sharper wages here are
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going with. Arizona Diamondbacks also
12:04
correlative betting value dog. In a high total game.
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Total this game is 9. It's actually juice to the.
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Over -115 so. More expected run score, more
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variance. More upset opportunities.
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Arizona is also just an epic buy low contrarian play because they
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got destroyed yesterday so no one wants to play them today.
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But the market is showing liability with this movement
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toward Arizona. Even though Atlanta.
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Is getting all the support couple systems.
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That I really like if you're a short home dog.
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Plus 120 or less. Those teams are 292 and 2:50. 9.
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53. Percent with an 8% ROI since
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2020. 5. If they're coming off a loss, so
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you're a short home dog plus 120 or less off a loss.
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This would match with Arizona those.
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Teams are 147 and 121. 55 percent, 12% ROI since 2025.
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Also maybe get another higher scoring game here.
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Total is 9. It's juiced up over -115 overs
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getting 62%. Bets 84% dollars, so add it all
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up here guys, we have a gross. Play it feels like.
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You know, how on earth can we take Arizona again after they
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looked so terrible last night? But baseball is a funny.
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Game you can get. Rolled and you got to.
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Trust the market. So I'm going to go with this
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Arizona Sharp line move. I got Arizona plus 100, even
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plus 100 at Ballybet. Shop around because most books.
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Are now -1 O. Five.
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I did have two. Recommended plays here on
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Arizona from from rhythm, so rhythm is behind.
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Us as well. So pretty much.
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Three coin flip cheap cheap. Prices here guys Tampa Bay.
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Milwaukee, Arizona. -1 O 4 minus. 110 + 100.
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Again, let's see when we get. Two out of three and produce a
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winning night. Which is always the goal.
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Now on the. Eve of the final. 4.
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Let's talk both of these games. Here coming up for tomorrow.
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Reminder, no pot on the. Weekends we can always read.
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The sharp reports that I write for.
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Vsin.com. So I'll have the full write ups
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here for both games. Let's just.
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Talk through these games because.
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We haven't really hit on. Them a ton.
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I've kind of. Been waiting a bit just to, you
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know, see. Where the dust settles here.
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But I ended up. Making plays on both and.
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One might be obvious to you. One might surprise you, so first
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bet. Let's talk about the early.
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Game. 6. O 9:00 PM Eastern Time.
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Tip tomorrow night we. Got the.
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Illini against UConn now. The most important thing to me?
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The biggest factor, I guess I should say.
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In this Illinois and UConn game. Is the fact that the public is
14:31
all over Connecticut now? Think of it this way, UConn.
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You know big name. School This is their third Final
14:37
Four in four years. They won a couple back-to-back.
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Championships got Danny Hurley. But then also think about, you
14:43
know, what is the the goldfish? You know, 5 second memory.
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Of Connecticut, it's that they had that incredible, and I give
14:51
them credit because I was on them plus 5 1/2, but that
14:53
incredible backdoor. Cover and outright win, beating
14:56
Duke and now. They're short dog against
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Illinois plus 1 1/2 + 2. Some shops were even Connecticut
15:03
plus 2 1/2. The public is saying wrong team
15:06
is favored. And you got to take the points.
15:08
With Connecticut, so right now around 60% of spread bets.
15:12
Are going with. UConn.
15:13
But here's the thing. We've continued to stay with.
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Illinois favored in this matchup.
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Even though the public is. All over the Huskies again, you
15:23
saw Illinois. Most shops they were minus. 1
15:25
1/2 up to -2 1/2. Now, I must admit, a little bit
15:28
of buyback, they're back down to around 1 1/2 or two.
15:32
So maybe the plus? 2 1/2 with.
15:33
UConn was a bit of a. Value play but.
15:37
When I get to a big, big game, I consider this these two games,
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like the AFC championship game, NFC Championship game.
15:43
Because they're very, very heavily bet.
15:45
But if you're getting around 60%, nearly 2/3 of bets on one
15:48
side. In a very heavily bet.
15:51
You know, primetime playoff game.
15:53
Automatically take away the line.
15:54
Movement I'm I'm going to. Want to be on the other side of
15:57
that. I want to be against the drunk
15:58
guys at the bottom of saying you got to play the Huskies.
16:01
So first angle for me is that Connecticut?
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Is the public play Illinois? Is the contrarian play next?
16:08
If we look at. Money lining short favorites
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again, protect yourself. This is something we.
16:13
Did quite a bit and I would. Argue to pretty good success.
16:16
Throughout the year. When it comes to betting on
16:18
college basketball. Do you want to lay a - 1 1/2 - 2
16:21
- 2 1/2? Have them win by 1.
16:23
Or two and you lose. Your bet?
16:24
No, you pay up a little more juice, you go money line.
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So the money line splits look really interesting.
16:30
At DraftKings we have 36% bets, 45% dollars.
16:34
On the Illinois money line. And then at circa.
16:37
It's even. Sharper 38% bets. 55% dollars on
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the Illinois money line. Here's where it gets even
16:44
better. Popped open Ken.
16:46
Pom our guy Ken Pomeroy. Ken Palm has Illinois.
16:50
Winning, but not by 1, not by two, not by three, but by.
16:55
Four points. That's a.
16:57
Pretty big edge. A four point edge Ken Palm's
17:00
got. Illinois winning by. 4:00 Again,
17:02
we're in the market there minus. 1 1/2 -. 2 Touch, 2 1/2.
17:06
So I like the fact that Ken Palm's not.
17:08
You know, one point. Win 2.1 No.
17:09
He's I would argue, you know, 4 points.
17:11
Doesn't seem like a lot. 2 possessions, 3 pointer and a
17:14
free throw. But in a discrepancy play with a
17:17
spread around 1 1/2. Four is actually kind of big, so
17:20
I like the fact that Ken Palms got a four.
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Point win by the Illini. Illinois also just bigger, you
17:25
know, in terms of size, the average 41 rebounds a game, 36
17:29
for UConn, they have the better. Offensive efficiency compared to
17:32
UConn. First versus 27th, they have the
17:35
better offensive rebound percentage.
17:37
Third versus 30th, you have the better free throw percentage,
17:40
78% versus 72%. That is a ranking of 16th in the
17:45
country versus 210th. Also, they take better care of
17:49
the ball. They don't turn it over quite
17:50
as. Much they rank 10th and.
17:51
Fewest turnovers on offense. Versus 179th for UConn.
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So maybe UConn is a team of destiny.
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Again, had that incredible comeback, win and cover and win
18:01
against. Duke, but Illinois.
18:03
Maybe they're being a bit. Undervalued here and if you give
18:05
me a fade. The trendy dog contrarian
18:08
favorite. Where again on the money line
18:10
you can get. Them around -125 -, 130.
18:13
I got the -128 I believe. Either Fanatics or Valley Bet I
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put it in last night. But that's a decent.
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Price here to go with. A A team that again Ken Palms
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got by 4. Lastly, I look at my rhythm
18:27
recommendations and I have a bunch of recommended rhythm
18:33
money. Line.
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Place on Illinois as well so. Again, maybe you love UConn.
18:38
I'm in New England. We got UConn fever here.
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But I got to stay true to the data.
18:42
Ken Poms got him by 4. It's a fade, the trendy dog I
18:45
took. Illinois on the money line -128
18:50
now. The big one.
18:51
Michigan, Arizona. This.
18:53
Game is going to be insanely heavily bet 8. 49 PM Eastern
18:56
Time. I would argue.
18:58
This is your Super Bowl. You know, You look toward the
19:00
Super Bowl. You know it wasn't really
19:01
Patriots and Seahawks. It was.
19:03
Seahawks and Rams the week before kind of feels the same
19:06
way here. Where?
19:07
Michigan and Arizona are clear your clearly.
19:09
Your two best teams. And it's kind of sad that this
19:11
isn't the. Championship game one of these
19:13
teams. Has to lose here now.
19:16
I struggled with the side fully admit and here's.
19:20
The way that I'm looking at this game.
19:21
On the one hand, you did see this line move a little bit
19:24
toward. Michigan, you know Michigan
19:26
opened. At a lot of shops at a pick em.
19:29
Michigan even open at 1:00. Point, you know, getting.
19:32
Maybe a point or point? And 1/2.
19:34
The line has moved toward Michigan.
19:35
Now they are -1 1/2. So the first indicator to me is
19:39
that yes, the line move toward Michigan.
19:41
So we got to. Respect that right off the bat.
19:44
But here's the thing. You look at the bets, what's
19:46
here, they're getting 50%, bets 53.
19:49
Percent dollars at DraftKings. So basically.
19:53
Right down the middle. Like that Yukon and connect.
19:56
An Illinois game. It's clear you have a public
19:57
side Illinois or sorry, a public side Yukon in a contrarian side
20:01
Illinois. Public doesn't know what to do
20:04
here with Michigan, Arizona, it's basically 5050.
20:07
Down the middle. And there's not like 50% bets
20:09
but. 80% money. It's basically 5050.
20:12
Bets in dollars as well, so no contrarian value.
20:16
You also look at Circa, it kind of looks like Arizona's a little
20:21
sharper. 46% bets, 49% dollars then you have Circa.
20:25
Showing the money line tickets pretty good on Michigan. 40%
20:29
bets, 93% dollars. You look at the draftking
20:33
splits, talked about the 5050. Ticket count.
20:36
Or what was it? 53% dollars, well, you look at
20:39
the. The money line here.
20:41
We have, let's see, Arizona. 60% money line bet 65.
20:46
Percent money line dollars. So this is all a long winded and
20:50
all by the way. Ken Palma has Michigan winning
20:52
by one point, so. When I'm making a bet guys, you
20:57
can tell my indecision here because when I'm making a bet
20:59
I'm trying to check off multiple boxes and have a clear position
21:04
where I feel like I have an. Edge I have an advantage.
21:06
Over the sports book I've. Created, you know.
21:08
Enough evidence in a courtroom to say, hey, you know, I should,
21:11
I should make this play. I should you know, convict or
21:14
refine this person not. Guilty.
21:16
I can't find a clear play here. If you tell me you like
21:18
Michigan, the line moved in your favor and.
21:21
Ken Palms got him by 1 and you can money line them.
21:25
If you tell me like Arizona, Arizona, by the way, is the
21:29
recommended play from rhythm. Rhythm is.
21:31
Basically got this as a pick em. So they're saying take Arizona
21:33
plus 1 1/2 you look at. A bunch of the stat.
21:37
Categories you know you have. A few that definitely.
21:40
Favor Michigan, a bunch of others that favor Arizona.
21:44
I can't find a clear edge. Michigan or Arizona.
21:46
Again, you tell me like Michigan, I respect it.
21:48
Tell me like Arizona, you want to buy low on the plus 1 1/2, I
21:51
respect that as well. So when I can't find a clear
21:54
edge. As much as I.
21:55
Want to hammer Michigan or take the 1 1/2 with Arizona.
21:58
I don't want to risk. A unit if I haven't built a
22:00
strong enough case. To make a bet so.
22:03
Here's what I'm going to do. I'm not going to participate in
22:05
the side. I got no dog in the fight with
22:07
the side, but I am going to play the total and I'm going over
22:11
here guys. This is the play that I said
22:13
might surprise you. I'm checking off a lot of boxes
22:16
on the over here. Number one, it opened.
22:18
At 156 1/2. It's up to 157 1/2.
22:21
So immediately we've seen this total.
22:23
Tick up and rise. We look at the bet splits on
22:26
this total right now at. DraftKings, you're getting 62%
22:29
bets. 68% dollars. On the over, so a little bit
22:33
low. Bets higher dollars sharp.
22:35
Split there in. Favor of a higher scoring.
22:37
Game if we look at. Circa I really like this.
22:41
One only 21%. Bets but 59% dollars on the
22:46
over, so the total rose. 156. And half to 157 half.
22:51
Both DraftKings and Circa. Have a sharp bet?
22:53
Split on the over I have a 5% sharp mush edge from Juice Reel
22:58
on the Michigan Arizona. Over we have two.
23:01
Teams that average about. 90 points per game.
23:04
Michigan's averaging nearly. They're putting up 90 or more
23:07
100 basically in all these. Tournament games Both.
23:10
Are around 5051. Percent field goal percentage.
23:14
We have a very short spread, which typically is a good thing
23:16
for an over because back and forth competitive.
23:19
Game maybe get. Overtime get a lot of fouling at
23:21
the end. We have Ken Palm.
23:25
With an 80 to 70. 9 predicted final in favor of Michigan, so
23:28
that is a. 159 you. Can get over 150. 7 1/2.
23:32
But the reason that I really like this over is that all three
23:35
of my rhythm models are telling. Me to take the over.
23:38
Predicted finals of 150. 9.9159.5 but a.
23:43
Green Star Sharp recommended play.
23:47
On the. Over with a predicted total here
23:50
of 160. 1.1. So again, Michigan, Arizona
23:54
side. Not really clear to me which
23:56
side you should take. Based on a data perspective.
23:59
But the total? It's pretty clear that.
24:01
It's going to the over. Or hopefully.
24:02
It is hopefully the over. Cashes, I guess I should say.
24:05
Total ticked up, great bet. Split over sharp mush, edge,
24:09
rhythm, edge again. Great. 2 great offenses here.
24:13
Going at it. So I am playing the.
24:15
Over 150. 7 1/2 - 110 on the Michigan.
24:19
Arizona over and whoever you got, I hope you cash.
24:22
I wish I could pull you guys. Where are you going?
24:24
You know Michigan Money line, Arizona Plus 1 1/2.
24:27
Again, that's a tough one. But unlike the side, pretty.
24:31
Clear that the total is taking. Insurance money to the over so
24:34
Illinois money line. Michigan, Arizona Over 150.
24:37
Seven half that's. What I'll be sweating.
24:39
Tomorrow night. So that about does it for
24:41
episode 484 of the All systems Go sports betting podcast
24:45
powered by rhythm. As always guys, this is the part
24:48
of the pod where we wrap things up and I start first by.
24:51
Saying thank you. Thank you for listening, thank
24:53
you for tuning in, thank you for.
24:55
Grinding in the arena. With me every single.
24:57
Day through the UPS and the downs, the good and the bad.
24:59
The winning days, the losing days, the hot streaks, the cold
25:02
streaks. Just like in life, you're going
25:04
to have. Ups and downs.
25:05
Same thing in bedding. We got to.
25:06
Stick to the model. Stick filled.
25:07
Blueprint play our system matches.
25:10
Now, if you enjoy this pod and you've learned a few things,
25:12
maybe some good. Tips.
25:13
Some data-driven insights. You value each day.
25:16
Which I hope is the case. Well please help me grow this.
25:18
Podcast. Couple things you can do.
25:20
Give it a 5 star. Review on Amazon or sorry, a
25:23
five star review on. Spotify or iTunes?
25:26
Leave a nice comment. Under the rate and review.
25:28
Click the follow button. Recommend the pod to a friend.
25:30
Retweet the pod when I put it out on.
25:32
Twitter at Josh under Score Insights.
25:35
Next if. You enjoy these insights you.
25:37
Want to learn more about data-driven betting?
25:39
Guess what? I've written a couple books.
25:41
Go buy one or both of them. Just go to Amazon.com, type in.
25:45
The. Everything guide to sports
25:46
betting. Or the NFL.
25:47
Sharp betting playbook you can grab one or both of those books,
25:51
bring them to the sports book. I'll sign them for you and.
25:53
I'll buy you a beer. Or ginger ale and sweat some
25:55
games together. Next, have you downloaded?
25:57
Rhythm and juice reel yet? My 2.
25:59
Favorite sports betting apps because they're all about.
26:01
The data, they help me win. They're going to help you win
26:04
rhythm. Fantastic for their AI backed.
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Models and predictions. For game bets and player props,
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Juice Reel. So many great.
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Features you can. Sync up your sports.
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Books get a running report. Card of your action.
26:14
You can also get the Robo Jackson best bet picks sharp
26:17
mush indicator indicators, arbitrage plays shop for the
26:21
best sign features but also. You can support the pod.
26:25
By tipping your podcast host This pod is free if.
26:27
You want to support the team? Go sign up to get the ASG best.
26:31
Bet picks from Juice reel it cost you?
26:33
499 a week. That's $4.99.
26:36
Cents a week. A cup of.
26:37
Coffee 5 bucks for seven days worth of plays.
26:41
And again you'll get these. Plays earlier hopefully beat
26:43
some. Closing lines.
26:44
But go download Rhythm, go download Juice Reel, give him a
26:47
five star review in the app. Store next Do you have a live
26:50
odds? Page.
26:51
Well, if you. Don't have one?
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You need one. It's such a critical tool
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because if you're data-driven, better, or even if you're not.
26:57
Hey, you got to be. Able to track the market, figure
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out what this line opened at, where is it now?
27:01
Compare the open to the current. Pull up the line history you
27:04
know, Shop for the best number. Find the book offering the best
27:07
price of course. Getting live in game wagering.
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Odds and identifying. Steam that comes in late.
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Scratch starting pitchers, all this stuff is.
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Available to you when you. Sign up for Odds Logic.
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It's the best live odds page around All you got to.
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Do is go to? Oddslogic.com/josh 123 Make sure
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you do the slash Josh 12. Three, that's going.
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To give you a 7 day free trial, 50% off your first month of
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service. Lastly, have you heard of
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you win because you're going to get way better juice prices.
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Because it's an exchange where. You're going up against other
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betters, and you're not. Forced to go up against.
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The house. The house is.
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Going to make you pay. -115 -. 120 on the.
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Standard cider. Total with the juice.
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Not profit X. Because you're in an exchange.
27:57
You're going going up against other betters, you're getting
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minus. One O 5 + 1.
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O2 minus one O. Three plus one O 6.
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Therefore, you can win at the. Same rate that.
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You would at a sports book, traditional sports book, but
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make more money at profit X because you're risking less.
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So go download profit X and when.
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You fund your account. Put in the promo code Josh Josh
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for an extra 20% deposit match so that about does it for
28:25
episode. 484 of the ASG. Pod wrapping up the week on a
28:29
big Friday. As always, two final thoughts.
28:31
1. Whether I see you at the Borgata
28:34
in Atlantic City Twin. River in Rhode Island.
28:35
The Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan.
28:38
Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston.
28:40
Plainridge park casino MGM Springfield.
28:43
Or the Nash in my neck of the woods on the border of
28:45
Massachusetts and New Hampshire. We're out in the desert where
28:48
the true grinders get down. Where?
28:49
Billy. Walters sends his number runners
28:51
where the lowest as possible. Is found at the South.
28:53
Point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the.
28:56
Stadium swimming pool when you. Cash a big ticket at Circa.
28:59
You can walk. Up to me again.
29:01
You know, throw that KC in Arizona, throw those tickets in
29:04
the, in the, in the rubbish bin, in the recycling bin.
29:08
But show me a Giants. Ticket.
29:10
Nice little plus one to hit there with the G men.
29:12
First one's on me, next one's on you.
29:13
We'll post about the book Sweat. Baseball and March Madness.
29:16
Over the weekend. So as always guys.
29:18
Coming off a one and two or a two and one.
29:20
And O and three or a three and OA.
29:22
Winning night, a losing night, a hot streak, a cold streak.
29:25
We just got to stay even keeled. We can't get too high when.
29:27
Things are going well. Can't get down in the dumps when
29:30
things aren't going our way. Just got to stick.
29:32
To the model. Stick to the blueprint
29:34
discipline. With our bankroll management
29:36
playing, the system matches betting with our head and not
29:38
our heart. If we can do that.
29:40
Find the games that fit our model.
29:42
Against the public. With the house with the pros
29:44
flat bet avoid. Parlays and get that CLV if we
29:47
can do that. We're going to be successful
29:49
sports better as long term, so I hope everyone has a great
29:52
Friday. Have an even better weekend.
29:54
Guys, enjoy the baseball, enjoy the March Madness.
29:57
Go Illini. Let's get a lot of points.
29:59
In Michigan, Arizona, and then we'll be right back at it on
30:02
Monday. That'll be Episode 4. 85 of the
30:05
all. Systems Go sports betting
30:07
podcast powered by rhythm. Good luck.
30:10
Everybody and have a great weekend.