Latest / SILVER / GOLD / $UFD Meme Coin Investing & Global Economics / **Silver and Gold Investors ** - 🚨 THIS is NEW Territory - Buckle Up
Transcript
- 0:01$100 silver. The thought could soon become a
- 0:05reality. We have a lot of data to look at
- 0:07today. We have a lot of interesting
- 0:09stories and developments coming up this week that are going to
- 0:12impact the silver and gold price and I think continue to put us
- 0:17on the road to much higher prices, not only for silver but
- 0:21also for gold. Let's start by taking a look at
- 0:23this piece of data which points us toward the amount of paper
- 0:28silver being traded on the electronic exchanges.
- 0:31Our friend the dude. On Friday of last week when
- 0:35silver went above $42.00 per oz, the paper silver market traded
- 0:40almost 400,000,383 million paper oz.
- 0:46The paper markets are in a state of, let's say, friction right
- 0:51now, a state of imbalance. And on top of everything else
- 0:55happening in the precious metals markets, we got to keep a close
- 0:58eye on what develops with them because the big people that
- 1:02analyze it closely are throwing up a lot of red flags.
- 1:06We're going to talk more about the COMEX in a little bit, but
- 1:08let's talk about $100 silver, $77 silver.
- 1:13We're going to go out next to the Silver Academy.
- 1:15And they quoted a chart here from a guy named Graddy.
- 1:20Triple digit silver by Christmas.
- 1:24That's a tongue twister. The surge that shocks the world.
- 1:28OK, gratty states. Big patterns lead to big moves.
- 1:33Getting in before the general public is always key.
- 1:36Now trying to break above the blue line could see 60 to $70 on
- 1:41the breakout. Again, this is the epic.
- 1:44The mother of all legit looking probable cup and handle
- 1:48patterns. And as you can see on this
- 1:50pattern, let's draw it quickly here.
- 1:52Here's the cup, right, going all the way back to 1980, all the
- 1:56way to 2011. And here's the handle.
- 1:59Here's where we're breaking through and we are doing it as
- 2:02we speak. It's going to be super
- 2:04interesting to see what happens in the markets this evening,
- 2:07Sunday night when the when the gold and silver markets open in
- 2:12green. This is full of great
- 2:14information. Silver finally smashed through
- 2:1642 an ounce, an explosive move that has utterly changed the
- 2:20investment landscape and signaled a global financial
- 2:23shift of historic proportions. This tidal wave isn't simply a
- 2:28speculative surge. All indicators point to a
- 2:31relentless self feeding silver rally destined to catapult
- 2:35prices toward $77 and then with with breathtaking speed into
- 2:42triple digit territory in red. And again guys, triple digit
- 2:47territory is $100 silver. There's no stopping at the time
- 2:52for waiting is over. The silver shortage is now is a
- 2:56crisis and only action today will preserve and multiply
- 3:00tomorrow's wealth. Man, there's a lot in this
- 3:02article. OK?
- 3:03The cause is as urgent as it is clear.
- 3:06A catastrophic mismatch between the world's dwindling physical
- 3:09silver supply and it's insatiable demand.
- 3:12Bloomberg confirms the London one year silver lease rates have
- 3:17blasted above 5%, while on September 4th the LBM as Bruce
- 3:22Imakuzu reported a London one month lease rate skyrocketing to
- 3:27an extraordinary 6.4%. Skyrocketing lease rates signal
- 3:32the panic behind the deaths of bullion banks and the
- 3:35desperation brewing in the heart of the London market.
- 3:39The paper claims are crumbling. Industrial giant sovereign funds
- 3:43and retail investors are scrambling for real metal, not
- 3:47empty promises in yellow. Industrial silver demand alone
- 3:52now consumes 83% of global mine output, compared to just 51% a
- 3:59decade ago. A few more things.
- 4:02There is such a great story for silver right now.
- 4:04Private investors are draining the London Bullion Market
- 4:08Association vaults, driving lease rates to all time highs
- 4:11and exposing the fatal shortfall in deliverable physical silver.
- 4:15And the ironic part, The paradoxical part is that on the,
- 4:19the on the retail side in the United States, there's an
- 4:24overabundance of silver, but guys everywhere else.
- 4:27And the critical thing to remember about that is that that
- 4:31retail demand level, investment level from the United States,
- 4:35it's a, it's a, it's a player in the overall demand picture, but
- 4:39it's not the £500 gorilla which is the industrial demand.
- 4:44So just because we can go to our local coin shop and the shelves
- 4:48are full of available, you know, sovereign coins, bars, all that
- 4:52good stuff does not mean that under the surface there's not a
- 4:56massive imbalance that is brewing.
- 4:58Fiat's last stand, the Fed trapped in insurmountable debt
- 5:02and evaporating global trust. We're going to look at the debt.
- 5:05U.S. debt clock here in a second is presiding over the death
- 5:08spiral of Fiat currency. The monetary system is a pyramid
- 5:13built on IO, US and digital phantoms.
- 5:15Aye, aye, captain. Here we go.
- 5:18The silver rocket. Next stop, 77 dollars, then
- 5:21triple digits prior to Christmas 2025.
- 5:25Yes, and finally. The chart has broken every every
- 5:29technical ceiling, $42.00 is just the launching pad.
- 5:33As resistance evaporates, silver is primed for a relentless
- 5:37assault towards 60, then $77 before the volatility of silver.
- 5:42Physical panic buying drives the price into into a euphoric
- 5:46bubble. Triple digits are no longer a
- 5:49fantasy, but the logical endpoint of cascading defaults
- 5:53and collapsing confidence. Those who hesitate will be left
- 5:56behind, holding paper in a world gone irreversibly real.
- 6:01And you know, look, I'm not a financial advisor.
- 6:04I'm not giving financial advice. I said I like silver at $20 per
- 6:08oz. I'll tell you this right now, at
- 6:10$42.00 per oz, I still love silver.
- 6:13I have a feeling you probably do too.
- 6:16And I've said for months and months and months, and it's not
- 6:19just me. There's a lot of other top
- 6:21analysts who are saying the same thing.
- 6:23Once silver breaks through that 424344 range, it's a pure rocket
- 6:30ship to $50 per oz because there is no resistance up there
- 6:34whatsoever. Let's go take a quick look and
- 6:38what's going on in China with the silver price.
- 6:41And there's something very interesting I want to point out
- 6:43to you about this. This is from our friend the
- 6:46Oriental Ghost. He gives us the prices from
- 6:49China on a daily basis. These are the Chinese market
- 6:53closing silver prices on Friday. This is the SG, the Shanghai
- 6:59Gold Exchange. There's silver right there.
- 7:02AG look, it's pretty close to where we are now.
- 7:05Again, that was before our market on Friday, which had a
- 7:08very, very good day. It'll be interesting to see what
- 7:12happens overnight on Sunday in the Chinese physical market.
- 7:16But I want you to think about something as the Chinese take
- 7:19over, as the East Eastern countries, India, China, Russia
- 7:24take over the pricing mechanism, the power in the precious metals
- 7:28market, it's actually a good thing.
- 7:30Typically what we had seen is that in the Chinese physical
- 7:33market, the price was much, much higher than what we had in the
- 7:37spot market in the United States.
- 7:39We're going to see a day where those prices converge and that
- 7:42will actually indicate to us more and more and more that the
- 7:46Chinese and the Russians and the Indians are taking over control
- 7:50of pricing silver in the same absolutely can be said for gold.
- 7:55Let's go look though it's some some astounding data that we
- 7:58have out there in regard to what is happening on the US debt
- 8:03situation. But then we want to look at the
- 8:05paper to silver ratio as well. Look, guys, big news.
- 8:10We've almost reached 37 trillion, $500 billion in
- 8:15national debt. This interest down here, the
- 8:17interest number where you can see my yellow cursor is the one
- 8:20we really want to keep our eye on that has grown larger than
- 8:25the Department of War, Department of Defense budget,
- 8:29but will only continue to grow higher as #1 the US national
- 8:34debt grows higher, right? And we just recently celebrated
- 8:37getting the 37 trillion in debt. But also as fewer and fewer
- 8:41buyers emerge for all this debt, the interest rate will go higher
- 8:46and higher, also driving the interest expense higher.
- 8:49It's really truly a debt spiral, truly a that situation that you
- 8:54and I didn't create in the founding fathers of the United
- 8:57States are rolling over in their graves in regard to let wrist
- 9:02right. I can't draw on this side of the
- 9:04screen for some reason, but if you see my yellow cursor right
- 9:07there, guys, paper to silver ratio that comex that we talked
- 9:11about earlier, currently sitting at 361.
- 9:15That means there's 361 paper claims for each one real ounce
- 9:20of silver. The other number we like to look
- 9:22at on this graph is the dollar to silver ratio.
- 9:26That indicates the growth in M2 money supply, the amount of
- 9:29money that's being printed through the M2 money supply for
- 9:33each one ounce of silver that's being produced by the world
- 9:37silver miners. All right, let's talk about big
- 9:40news this week. We've got the Federal Reserve on
- 9:44Wednesday. We'll issue their interest rate
- 9:46decision. We're going to go look and see
- 9:48what the markets are telling us we should anticipate.
- 9:51It's pretty much a done deal. All showed up that we're going
- 9:54to get at least 1/4 point cut. I think there's a much higher
- 9:57chance of 1/2 percentage point cut than the markets are giving
- 10:01credit for. But let's go out to the CME
- 10:03Group and see what the what the markets are telling us to expect
- 10:08at this point. And as you can see here, the
- 10:12next FOMC meeting is in three days that will be on Wednesday.
- 10:18Here we go. 93% chance of 1/4 percent cut.
- 10:22You can see that on the right hand side and a measly 7% chance
- 10:28of 1/2 percentage point cut. I believe those numbers, in
- 10:31reality, the odds of a of 1/2 percent percentage cut much,
- 10:36much higher than what we had. Let's learn about the Comex.
- 10:39We're going to go back to the Silver Academy Substack.
- 10:41They put out some great info. They put out some insightful
- 10:45information about the Comex and what is going on there.
- 10:48Because again, guys, a lot of people are calling for a
- 10:52potential for a silver squeeze. Let me look at you.
- 10:55I want to tell you, I want to look you in the eye and be able
- 10:57to smile when I say this. We don't want a silver squeeze.
- 11:02We want a silver squeeze. That's something unique to Ron's
- 11:07basement, to US basement dwellers.
- 11:09By the way, thank you for being here.
- 11:11Thanks for giving me your time. Please subscribe to the channel.
- 11:13It is free. Most importantly, I want you to
- 11:16feel like you found a friend, a home away from home.
- 11:18You know where to find me. Please come back.
- 11:21OK? We don't want, and this is ours.
- 11:23We made this up and we don't want a silver squeeze.
- 11:26We want a silver squeeze, a long drawn out, not a spike, but a
- 11:33long continued drawn out squeeze where the true price of silver
- 11:38is discovered by market forces. And I believe that we're already
- 11:43in that and the COMEX and the LBMA can be a part of that.
- 11:46And I believe they are right now we're going to look at some data
- 11:49about short positions on the COMEX and a number of other
- 11:53things. But again, we're going back out
- 11:55to the silver. Academy says gold 5X, silver to
- 11:5910X. OK, U.S. debt explodes, but he
- 12:02talks about derivatives, OK? And derivatives are what are
- 12:05traded on the COMEX and the LBMA.
- 12:07In case you didn't know, a derivative is a bet or a
- 12:09contract that gets its worth from the price of another asset,
- 12:13such as a commodity, stock or currency.
- 12:15If the price of silver goes up, the value of a silver
- 12:19derivative, like a futures contract traded on the COMEX,
- 12:22usually goes up to and vice versa.
- 12:25How the COMEX silver market works?
- 12:27The COMEX is the major U.S. market for trading silver
- 12:31futures, which are derivatives. Trading on COMEX mostly happens
- 12:35with paper contracts and not physical silver.
- 12:38Remember what we saw on the US debt clock?
- 12:41Like right, there's like 360 derivative paper claims for each
- 12:45one real ounce of silver. This means traders are buying
- 12:48and selling promises for silver delivery in the future, not the
- 12:52actual metal itself. Why many holders don't actually
- 12:56get silver. Most silver contracts on the
- 12:58COMEX never result in anyone getting real silver.
- 13:02About 99% are settled with cash instead.
- 13:06Give me one second here. Make sure we're on the right
- 13:09screen. At times there can be hundreds
- 13:11of people holding paper contracts, all believing they
- 13:15have a claim on the same pile of silver.
- 13:18If they all wanted their physical metal at once, the
- 13:21COMEX would run out since there isn't enough silver available
- 13:25for everyone's paper claims. Yeah, to the tune of about 360
- 13:29to 1 as I understand it. Big banks and their silver short
- 13:33positions recently. U.S. bank bets against silver.
- 13:37They're short positions in the COMEX have collapsed, meaning
- 13:41they no longer hold as many bets that silver price will go down.
- 13:46This shift may trigger major price changes if investors
- 13:50demand physical silver instead of settling for paper promises.
- 13:55And at the bottom line, at the end of the day, gold and silver
- 13:58are the financial watchdogs. So there you have it guys.
- 14:02I thought it would be good for us to do a little review, right?
- 14:04The Comex, it's derivatives, it's paper.
- 14:07We forget that like 360 to 1. I hear some people say 400 to 1.
- 14:11There's a lot of numbers thrown around, but the bottom line is
- 14:14that COMEX silver price that all the big tranfi markets rely on
- 14:19is really make believe right there aren't.
- 14:22The silver doesn't really exist except for one out of 360 of the
- 14:26oz that are being traded now if you want to get your hands on
- 14:29some real silver that does exist, I'm able to be down here
- 14:33because of the support of sponsors like first Mint.
- 14:36See where I'm pointing right there?
- 14:38First Mint, they are a silver mint in Las Vegas, NV.
- 14:42They are part of First Majestic silver.
- 14:45So First Majestic Silver mines the silver in Mexico ships it to
- 14:51the United States, Las Vegas, NV.
- 14:53The first meant where it's transformed into world class
- 14:56silver bullion products, products like this beautiful 5
- 15:00oz bar. And I'm going to have some new
- 15:02bars that I'll be showing you in the coming weeks.
- 15:05They have incredibly beautiful silver products.
- 15:08So you guys are giving me the best feedback.
- 15:10I really appreciate it, but I want to point out to you,
- 15:14they've got a sale going on. I'm going to go out to their
- 15:16website. I want to show you something
- 15:18special going on with First Mint right now and that's their Las
- 15:24Vegas round. That's not it.
- 15:26Oh, there's their Hail to the Chief round.
- 15:27These are all unique to 1st Mint.
- 15:30Here it is $1.00 over spot on all First Mint brand silver.
- 15:35So you can go here to their website, firstmint.com.
- 15:38Check that out. They have free shipping on
- 15:40orders over $199. They have a great selection.
- 15:45Most importantly, they're wonderful, beautiful products,
- 15:49and they're a company you can trust.
- 15:51They're owned by First Majestic Silver.
- 15:53That's Keith Newmeyer. Everybody knows Keith Newmeyer.
- 15:55He's been in the metals business for decades and decades.
- 15:58Please support First meant because they support me and
- 16:01allow me to be down here providing the Ron's basement
- 16:04content to you. All right, Yeah.
- 16:06So next week's the big Fed meeting, I think we're going to
- 16:10get a half percentage point cut. OK, I could be wrong.
- 16:13That's, that's a, I'm going out on a limb and saying that.
- 16:17But for sure we can see a quarter point, the great
- 16:20reversal and, and when you look by the way, when you look at
- 16:24what has happened over the last several major Fed rate cutting
- 16:28cycles, the price of silver and gold have exploded during each
- 16:33of those. It's hard to think that that
- 16:34could be the case again now, especially with gold and how
- 16:38well it's done. But if gold performs similarly
- 16:41to how it did at the beginning of other rate cut cycles, we
- 16:46could see that $5000 gold, right, $50.77 dollar silver,
- 16:51much, much quicker. But then we imagine the miners
- 16:54are undervalued. And this when people come back
- 16:57to the gold and silver mining stocks, that will be good for
- 17:00the whole gold and silver ecosystem.
- 17:03It'll bring more money into the entire precious metals
- 17:07ecosystem. And I'm telling you, the miners
- 17:09are so undervalued. Let's go out and take a look at
- 17:13a couple pieces of data that I have for you.
- 17:17Here we go. Make sure we got you on the
- 17:21right screen and we do. OK.
- 17:25This came from metals and miners.
- 17:27Just one chart. I want you to look at the great
- 17:28reversal, why gold miners are about to reclaim their crown and
- 17:35take a look at this chart. This chart does not lie, OK?
- 17:39The white line is the gold bugs index that represents the price
- 17:43of the gold miners. The yellow line is the price of
- 17:46gold, as you can see relative to each other all the way from 2000
- 17:50to 2011, which is a very similar period to what we're moving in
- 17:55now. Moving into now, the gold miners
- 17:58were significantly high, more higher valued than the price of
- 18:02gold. But look at what happened around
- 18:042013 where you see the white line.
- 18:07Again, that's the gold miners. Look at that gap between the
- 18:10price of gold and the gold miners.
- 18:13That's when we were buying a lot of our gold miners.
- 18:15But the incredible thing to look at is where this gap has gone.
- 18:19Now I'm going to draw a red line there and a red line there, and
- 18:23I'm going to color that in. Look at that gap that we have
- 18:27now between those two levels. That is like, I mean, this was a
- 18:31gap, no doubt about it. And don't forget, there's a big
- 18:33period of time where this white lines above the yellow line,
- 18:37like over here back in what, 2008 time frame.
- 18:41But look at that massive disparity between the price of
- 18:44gold miners and the price of gold.
- 18:47That will be fixed, right? That will come back into
- 18:50equilibrium. So that would either mean that
- 18:52the gold price would need to crash, which we don't think is
- 18:56going to happen, or the price of the gold miners absolutely
- 19:00explodes and catches up, which I happen to think is what we have
- 19:05to look forward to. Next piece of data.
- 19:07And it just keeps coming and coming.
- 19:10Here we go, the GDX. Sure, we got you on there.
- 19:14There we do. The GDX that was just the Gold
- 19:17Miners Index finally best its record high set in 2011.
- 19:22And there it is on the chart there you can see right over
- 19:26here, we finally surpassed the previous high, which is back in
- 19:312011. However, it's got some
- 19:34interesting information. The GDXETF finally bested its
- 19:37record close, which was seen an astonishing 14 years ago.
- 19:41Gold stocks forging back into record territory with fuel, much
- 19:45bullish financial media coverage and trader interest leading to
- 19:48more buying. And this record breakout will
- 19:52will remain or remains earlier in gold stocks revaluation.
- 19:56So we're still early in the process as minors fundamentals
- 20:00are radically better today than they were 14 years ago.
- 20:03And that is the truth, right? Not only did the GDX finally
- 20:07catch up to where it was in 2011, OK?
- 20:11But on top of that, the fundamentals, the balance
- 20:14sheets, everything about the minors is way better today than
- 20:18it was back in 2011. Seemingly in in eternity and
- 20:22eternity ago. In early September 2011, the GDX
- 20:27surged to an all time high of $66.63.
- 20:31Camping, I wanted to point this out, a 307% rise.
- 20:36So we may think, oh the GDX has done great.
- 20:38You know, it's over guys. The GDX right now is only up
- 20:42100%. I know that sounds strange to
- 20:44say only up 100%, but in previous full runs we've seen
- 20:50like that one, the GDX went up by 300%.
- 20:53And we know some of the mining stocks and those are the big,
- 20:56the GDX is the big mining stocks.
- 20:58A lot of the junior mining stocks can do even even better.
- 21:02What a great entry for me to say thank you to a great junior
- 21:06development stage mining stock company, First Mining Gold who
- 21:10sponsors Rons Basement. I held the stock long before
- 21:14they sponsored my channel. Their development stage company
- 21:17with two multi million ounce projects in Canada, Spring pole
- 21:21in Ontario, in du Parquet in Quebec, gold in the ground in
- 21:26Canada, big, big, big projects. Two of them in the big, big
- 21:30mining companies are going to be out looking for big projects to
- 21:34fill their pipeline because like I said earlier, the big miners,
- 21:39their balance sheets are in much better shape right now.
- 21:42That's because over the last decade and a half, they were
- 21:45spending their money on things like paying down their debt.
- 21:49They weren't necessarily spending a lot of money on
- 21:52exploration and development. So as they need to replace those
- 21:56ounces of gold that they're they're pulling out of the
- 21:58ground, they could, they could likely look to companies like
- 22:02First Mining Gold who has 2 multi million ounce projects in
- 22:06Canada to fill that need that they have within their future
- 22:11production pipeline. You can learn more about First
- 22:13Mining Gold at firstmininggold.com.
- 22:15And thank you to them for sponsoring the Basement.
- 22:18One final thing we want to look at again, interesting data that
- 22:22I didn't realize this was the case.
- 22:24Peter Spina pointed this one out.
- 22:26Guys, we are in a gold bull market because he says it right
- 22:30here. Gold has hit record highs more
- 22:33than 30 times this year, 30 times the gold price has gone
- 22:39down and then back up to all time record highs.
- 22:43Man, we are in for a wild, fun ride when it comes to silver and
- 22:47gold. I mean, we've waited a long
- 22:48time, some of us decades, some of us for for years and years.
- 22:53Maybe you're new to the gold and silver sector, but I'm telling
- 22:57you, there's a lot for us to look forward to.
- 22:59Before I forget, I do also want to say thank you to Dirty Man
- 23:03Safe for supporting Ron's basement.
- 23:06Ron 10 is your discount code. These are safes that you bury in
- 23:10your backyard. You get to be like a pirate.
- 23:12Really cool products. This is The Dirty Girl Safe.
- 23:15And if you open it up, I'll show you what's inside.
- 23:19There we go, right? You can store stuff in there.
- 23:21I'm not going to ask what you're going to store in yours.
- 23:24Maybe some people want to put some precious metals in it.
- 23:27I don't know. But like I say all the time, you
- 23:29know, where did the pirates hide their treasure and where has it
- 23:32stayed safe for 1000 years, 500 years in the ground?
- 23:37Where did Mother Nature put the all the treasure, silver and
- 23:40gold in the ground? So it's OK if you have a safety
- 23:43deposit box. It's OK if you have a safe at
- 23:45your house. But you can also diversify a
- 23:48little bit and and store some in the ground safe from all forms
- 23:52of natural disaster, fire, flood, whatever, you know, maybe
- 23:56not a backhoe, but everything else.
- 23:58All right, guys, thanks for being here.
- 23:59It's going to be interesting to see what happens this week.
- 24:03Big week with the Fed, big week with us breaking out,
- 24:07potentially with Silver. We'll be here together.
- 24:10We'll make it through it all together.
- 24:12Hey, don't forget, please subscribe to the channel.
- 24:14I'd love to have you back in the basement.
- 24:16Take care of yourself, OK? And I will see you.