Latest / The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping / Episode 41: Week 9 College Football Betting Preview

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Episode 41: Week 9 College Football Betting Preview · The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping

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Ladies and gentlemen. Boys and girls, what's your favorite time of week?
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You download the crazy sheets, you get you something cold to drink, you
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snuggle in, and you get ready talks about college football. I'm marking.
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I'm here in the podcasting studio and Scotty looks to be out on the road.
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Brother, the hell are you? Man? I'm good out on the
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road. Good week of gambling last week? What a fun weekend that was.
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I gotta tell you that my Bulldogs set back offensive football by ten years.
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That was reminiscent of Chrome and Auburn three to two. And the only
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thing that may challenge that pitiful offensive performance was the dan Eno sled Arkansas razorbacks.
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Damn there bad on offense. And they've got more talent than that.
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I mean, like Staate's just not very good. I mean, Mike Wright
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is an average quarterback. That's not the They've got more talent than that on
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offense. Their game plan was absolutely atrocious. All they did was play right
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into Mississippi State's hands. And the things that State does well I was.
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I mean, State's got a got of blitz linebackers. They did not try
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to attack the center of the field at all against that defense. I was
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they should have fired Anos at halftime, but they fortunately did it on Sunday
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morning. That game, I'm telling you, Mark said offensive football back.
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That would have made nineteen twenty two coaches blush. It was a really bad
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offensive performance. The only thing that would have been better is if Iowa would
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have showed up and it would have been like a three way game where everybody
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was just not going to the end zone, just kind of going in a
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triangle like a big circle jerk, but you couldn't score. It has been
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fantastic. Oh but that being said, speaking of Iowa, can we please
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fix this bullshit? All for a fair catch? I mean seriously, yeah,
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I didn't know what they were reviewing. I was like, a fair
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catch on the ball that's on the ground. How can you get souly?
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How can you call fair catch on the balls rolling? I don't know there
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was some fair catch. Hell, if I'm doing an on side kick,
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I have all eleven guys waving fair catching, fair catching, fair catch,
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don't you Yeah? Oh yeah, I mean you get all those guys to
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wave their damn hands and then it's an you can't on side kick anymore.
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That's the most bs role ever, it sucked in the Tennessee game to put
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them in a bad spot, but costing a team a foot a win for
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a bullshit. And here's the here's the true key. If anybody thought it
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was a nobody slowed down on either one of those teams. It's not like
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people pulled up. Certainly not in the damn Minnesota game. I cannot They
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got to fix that rule. I understand that you can go and read half
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assed idiot proof rule that, oh the referees got it right. No,
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you didn't get that right. You didn't get that right in neither ballgame because
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no player thought that was a fair catch. And at some point we have
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to take these idiot refs out of it. Good luck. I mean,
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that was nine. That was completely acidine. But I still want someone to
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tell me how in the world the ball rolling on the ground can be fair
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call. I'm telling you all eleven guys need to wave on the next fair
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catch, the next on side kick. I'd be waiting. Every dude's waiting
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in his hand. Well, I'm sitting on a fair catch ball back here.
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That is an interesting take. I didn't think a fair catch if he
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fumbles that ball when he picks it up. No, hell none, same
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thing for same thing for Tennessee, do we get a gut ball sportsmanship,
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get that dude from Iowa, just get smooth ass trucked when he's starting on
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them, you wouldn't have they call that. They called that ball back because
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he scored and the same things. And make no mistake, I absolutely,
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one hundred percent think the SEC is trying to take care of Alabama. If
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LSU think they're gonna get a fair shake when they play those dudes in a
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couple of weeks, they need to put down the crack pipe because they definitely
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needs Bama to not lose again, and they need Georgia to maybe lose once.
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Or bottom line is they're not they don't have shot at a playoff team.
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Yeah, you're probably right. It's gonna be interesting to see how to
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unfold. Of course, college football always seems to work itself out. We've
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been in this situation before where you think you've got a bunch of teams that
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are gonna play into it, and then crazy shit still happens. I mean,
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we've got six weeks of football left. There's still all kinds of things
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that are gonna happen. Penn State essentially eliminated themselves, not just with the
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loss. I think Penn State eliminated themselves with the eyeball test in that game
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that they've been there. You know, we started to hear, you know,
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rumblings out of the offense not being able to take downfield shots, and
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I kind of assumed we would see it, and then we didn't. And
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he just didn't look comfortable past anything past about fifteen yards. Obviously didn't look
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comfortable in the middle of the field. But if you ever want to ruin
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a really good football game, what I would recommend is hiring Gus Johnson to
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call it, because if I had to hear that motherfucker say Maserati marv one
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more time, like it was something we were all embracing together, I was
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like, god, Lee, and I was stuck in a bar with my
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daughter in Lubbock, and I couldn't. You know, obviously they're not going
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to turn the volume off of the main game, but I was like,
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this is terrible, and so, yeah, that was some bad announcement.
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And he gets playered wrong, he gets numbers wrong. You know, he'll
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be like complete, they're past and both rolling on the ground, You're like,
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oh, it's incomplete. Yeah. He is so annoying to watch.
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I mean it is. There are times that I'm literally like, does he
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not have a spot? Is he just doing this? You know, freelance.
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I mean it's like, come home, man, he's got Yeah,
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he's annoying. I would agree with that as well. Yeah, he's got
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Corso down there giving him play by play into his earpiece and he's calling it
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back from that. So you got that Tennessee about what I've expected from Tennessee.
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To be honest with you, they came out strong than they wilted.
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Uh. The problem is with that team is Joe Milton cannot go downfield.
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He just he looked great in the first half. Obviously Alabama made some adjustments
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shut that down. If you watched any of the U of H Texas game,
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quinn Ewers is out for several weeks with the shoulder issue, and if
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you'r Dana Holgerson, I don't know how you did not lose your ever living
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mind with that spot at the end of the game. Uh, no doubt.
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He was terrible and I couldn't believe it. And so yeah, again
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with the officiating, that was there and I didn't have a dog in the
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fight, but I mean I was cheering for you know, and I've got
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Texas to win the Big twelve, but I was still pulling for U of
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H's there at the end. You got some teams that just look like they've
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quit talking about your Mississippi State Rebel game. Arkansas showed no interest to being
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on the field on Saturday, I mean just none. And they still have
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several big games that they have to muddle through there and there is some talent
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on that roster. So the bye could not have come in a better time
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for that team. The Pac twelve is extremely interesting. We've got some huge
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games this week. UCLA quietly is gonna make a run at the Pac twelve
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championship now that they've benched the freshman Dante Moore. And I think Chip did
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what he had to do going into the season. He had that huge recruit.
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He wanted to keep him on the roster, keep him happy. He
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started him. He threw that early pick six in the U and the Utah
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game, and then he just had met delivered and then he brings in Ethan
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Garber's and then don't forget but he's got a what's the Collins' Lee the guy
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that was the Toledo last year, Salida or Kent and he's there too,
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is a backup, so he's got some depth that Garberg's has done well.
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And the defensive unit for UCLA is legit and it's I mean it's a really
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it's really good. Usc they're done, just done done. I can't handle
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the body language. I mean, we've all heard Caleb's I want a part
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of the team, and the look on his face whatever, they just don't
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look. I mean, you could still see there was some passion in there,
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but their defensive scheme from Greenwich. If you're Lincoln Riley and you legitimately
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think you're gonna win with him coaching you, I would have cut ties right
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then and been like, look we got to move on. And but I
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don't know why he's gonna keep him with them. I think I think Lincoln
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Riley's looking to do is just like he did at Oklahoma. Things got a
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little tough, and somebody in the NFL is gonna bring him up Cliff Kingsbury
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style, and I think he may be looking at that. You you're hearing
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some rumors of it. So it's a a lot of teams. I want
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to I want to circle back to USC on a second. Look. Man,
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I know these kids today are different in sportsmanship and everything is secondary.
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And but William sitting on the bench post game and just and a guy's rubbing
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on his shoulder and hey man, it's all right, And could a kid
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make it any bore about him? I've never seen a more me, me
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me attitude than that picture right there. You just lost to a good football
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team at home. That a backup quarterback just beat you. If nothing else,
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get up to go shake that kid's in. You can tell there were
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kids roaming around on that field looking for like where are always sitting over on
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the bench and it just bails and goes to the locker room. That guy
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has got a lot of work to do before he goes. I keep hearing
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my homes, my homes, homes, No, my ass He's got a
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long way to go. Anybody thinks he's gonna roll right in and be Patrick
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Mahomes is crazy. I think he certainly got the ability, but it ain't
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all about ability in the NFL. And at the same time, you've got
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bar Alexander standing fifteen feet away, who's literally crying because he got ejected from
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the game and he knows he let his team down on a mistake, which
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again I know it's the rule. You got to call it that way,
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but I think if there's not malice intent, then then call a personal foul
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give him fifteen yards all. But yeah, that's that's just me, man.
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I don't know, Scotty. We had prety good week last week,
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won some money staying ahead of the windows line. What are were forty four
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thirty six and one? Is that correct? I believe that is correct.
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Yep, that's what I've got to say. That was. It wasn't good.
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It was a good week, and there were some there were some things
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that went on early in the week that really got really got me off to
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a good start. I just I had been really really pleased with some of
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my games. My Mac game went sideways on me last week when when uh
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Gar broke that leg, I was bad as a bad gig. That went
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sideways on me. He got no chance to win on that. Michigan just
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absolutely did exactly what I what I thought, And I guess we have to
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talk about that a little more because I do think that it's much about nothing
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but there's no chance he doesn't get fired. And and and I'm going to
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pose the question to you at this point, if you're Hardball, to you
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just say to hell with it and go all in and just send another cat
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that this guy's been busted. Next man, let's send another guy to all
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these ball games because I love it at Tennessee message board post where some just
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randow fan on the on the message boards like, hey, Michigan's scouting us,
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and usually they got this guy coming down. Oh and it turned out
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to be right. I mean, how great is that? I mean,
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this guy's I've been in on the Tennessee messy board a year ago, so
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I think it's I think it's hilarious what's going on? So does Harball just
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say screw it and say next man up and just own it and be like
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we're gonna go win it all. I would do two things if I were
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Harball. I would go to the athletic director and I would go to the
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If you've never been around people from Michigan, there is a culture. The
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Michigan man thing is real. They're a very proud. A former defensive lineman
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for Michigan. Yeah, guy from New Orleans who was a big time recruits
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now they're athletic director. Yeah. I mean it's a big, proud community.
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They look down upon everything else going on in the Big ten in most
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of the country. If I'm Harbor, I walk in and I'm like,
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look, guys, yeah we did that. I may or may not have
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known. That was a rule that we broke. But we've got a team
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that can win the national championship and we're gonna win it. And if y'all
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want to talk about this February first, we can. And oh, by
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the way, if my expense report this week, I bought my man a
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wig and a mustache that I'm gonna need him to wear at the next couple
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of games. Because we got this thing on the rails and we ain't getting
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off, baby. That's what I'd be telling them. Right there. You're
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saying, don't help Bobby Petrino and lie to your ad. Just suck it
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up and tell him the truth and be like, brother, get on board.
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We're gonna win this deal. You know, it's been a long day
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time since we want a natty. It's time for us to get back up
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front. Look, I think you should probably own it because I don't look.
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I saw did you see Matt Rule and Dion Sanders response to it?
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I thought they were both fabulous. Rule basically, just what's going on all
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the time if you don't look, everybody's trying to steal people's signs. And
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if we really want to end it, let's just put their head gear where
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they got headgear and we can call the play in quarterback rolls out there were
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three plays, and we tell them what to run based on coverage or whatever
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exactly. We have the technology to do it, why not do it.
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Hell, high schools call in plays better than college teams do, so,
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I mean, I just you can't tell me that this is that big.
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At the end of the day, you still got to go make the play.
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Like Dion said, I do think it can help if you know,
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tass sweeps come in or you know whatever. But at the end of the
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day, you still you got a better dude. The better dude can make
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the play, you know, And I think at the end of the day,
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Marvin Harrison, I'll be able to beat most of their d beats.
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That's the deal. The play that everybody's drawing out about this showing and pointing
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at the sky and on that By the way, Ohio States scored on that
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play. Just why nobody's talking about that out Nobody pointing that out. Ohio
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State scored the touchdown on that ploy. If if I didn't matter that much,
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if I'm the NCAA prosecutor that's trying to explain this to the board,
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that's gonna be what's gonna do. I would get like the nineteen eighty four
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Techmobile game that only had four plays, and if you called the other team's
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play, it was just immediately over unless you had Bo Jackson and you could
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run him backwards because he was the only guy good enough to do it.
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Be like, so this is what Michigan is doing. They're calling the exact
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same play like this, And that's how I would explain it, just to
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dumb it down for the NCAA to completely understand everything. I think it's fabulous.
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I think there's a lot of people. I think they're gonna end up
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letting Harball go over. This, I think is what's going to happen.
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And I think it's asinine. But you know, hey, the old saying,
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you ain't trying, you ain't cheating, you ain't trying, You're not
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cheating. Well, that's where we're at right here, this, you know,
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just trying to get a leg up. Do I not like it because
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it's against the spirit of the game. Yes, But at the end of
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the day, there's a lot of shit going on that's against the spirit of
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the game every day. So let's not act like you know, I'm listening
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to Rick new Heisl talking about all the livery you never played the player when
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it wasn't legal. Well, well, I'm gonna go on and call b
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on that now time out. You got to realize Rick Neuheisel hates Jim Harbaugh.
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And if you've never if you've never heard of the slory, I'll tell
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it real quick and then we can jump in. It's the end of the
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game. Stanford comes back to beat Washington. I think we've talked about this
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every year, and they meet at the fifty yard line and Newheisel's looking for
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Harbaugh and Harbaugh comes sprinting out, and he's got his arm cock to shake
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his hand and slaps his hand in there and greets him with this how about
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that one, Ricky, and then pats him on the side and then runs
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off, and new Hazel just is just dumbfounded by the whole situation. So
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he's never liked him since then. Never I've heard him tell the story three
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times once in person. It was incredible. So anyway, that being said,
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Scotty, we're eight games above five hundred. I'm happy about that.
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The one thing I am super excited about and I want to lift up see
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USA if what they've been doing and the fun belt is playing football on some
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weekdays. Because next week is when it starts Halloween. I know you'll be
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putting your your gear on, dressed up as you know, a teletubby or
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whatever you're gonna be this year. But Maction starts next Tuesday, baby,
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And so if you haven't watched some good weekday Max, you are in for
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some treats this year because there are some really bad teams in the MAC and
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you're gonna have to watch them because this is the weekday games that we've got
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here. So Scott, let's lead off this week with a Maction play of
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the week. Is our last Saturday Maction play that we will most likely cover
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one fifty two on your rotation sheet. Ohio will be at home at Athens
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playing Miami this weekend over under here is thirty nine. Oh my goodness,
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that's low. Ohio is laying seven in this one. Miami scored twenty nine
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points a game, give up nineteen. They're six and two straight up six
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and two against the number Ohio scoring twenty three points a game, they're giving
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up fourteen. They're six and two straight up four and four against the number
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one and six to the under, which that is crazy considering how low this
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one is. More reason is number so low and Scott kind of hit on
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this last week is Blaine Gabbert had a really bad leger ankle break in the
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Miami Ohio game. I don't recommend you go watch it if you get kind
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of queasy. He's done and a backup quarterback in Miami, I mean,
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just is not going to be very good. Ohio, on the other hand,
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has not looked great. And this is a team that we thought would
18:06
really dominate the Mac coming the season. They've managed to pretty much handle their
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business, had that early loss to San Diego State and the slip of a
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couple of weeks ago. They're laying seven in this one. I think Ohio
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gets right as they can see the future and this gives them a chance if
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they win here, they've got a shot to win the EAT. They should
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win the East, and then they're on their way to possibly play for the
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MAC Championship game. Yeah, I think this is I think that's the key.
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This defense for Ohio is what is really really good. I think we
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were all expecting the offense to be a good football team with everything they had
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coming back. This defense is driving the show and they have now gotten into
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more of an offense where they're ris especially when they get a lead, leaning
18:47
on this defense not looking for a mistake. I think the lack of a
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quarterback at Miami is the difference in this ball game. I think they cover
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it, but I also think you can get you an under in this ball
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game because at Miami defense is pretty good too. So at the end of
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the day, I like Ohio minus six and a half. I think they
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get it done at home versus Miama of Oxford. Next game we want to
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go to on the rotation. She's just one away Kansas, Ohi and Oklahoma.
19:15
This should be a great game. A lot of points we're looking for
19:18
this one in a shootout. Give you a little indication where a handicap's gonna
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go over under here sixty five, Kansas is getting ten points. Both of
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these teams are scoring between thirty five and forty three points a game. Kansas
19:27
is giving up twenty eight OHU is giving up sixteen OU seven and oh straight
19:32
up where Kansas is five and two. Oh. He was also six and
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one against the number one of the most profitable teams if you've been betting them
19:38
all season. I kind of like Kansas in the points here, but you
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read you can't get a good read on whether or not the quarterback's gonna play
19:47
or not. And you know, I don't know that the backup's that big
19:51
of a drop off in this situation because he's played so much. But this
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Oklahoma team, to me, has been electric. Last week they laid close
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to the biggest egg that they've laid all season. They had a typical Oklahoma
20:03
moment where they couldn't quite get there. Reez Plumbley looked really good in that
20:07
game, but then they settled in. They ended up winning that game thirty
20:11
one to twenty nine. This one where I think it's gonna go. I
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think last week was a good eye opener, and that's the reason I'm taking
20:17
the over here. It's sixty five. I think Dylan Gabriel and them get
20:19
it done. They play with tempo, Kansas likes to go fast, and
20:22
their defense is not good at all. I think Oklahoma. Another way you
20:26
could look at this one would be to possibly get you an Oklahoma team total.
20:30
If you can get anything under Oklahoma, I'd say thirty eight, maybe
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even all the way up to forty two. I don't know, but somewhere
20:38
in there. If you get an Oklahoma team total around in there, I
20:41
think that's a good bet as well, because I just thought I can see
20:44
Oklahoma scoring six touchdowns in this game and Kansas is not having much to stop
20:48
them. Couldn't agree more. Here's the here's the deal. The two best
20:52
teams they played are Oklahoma State in Texas. They gave up thirty nine and
20:57
forty each one. You bring up a great point about the team total.
21:03
I agree with you. I think I think that is a fabulous number.
21:07
If you can get that at thirty eight, I think that's a great number
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because I think this team's gonna score. Dylan Gabriels, this offense is explosive.
21:15
Last week was a great game to watch with Gus Buss gave it US
21:21
all last week in Norman for UCF and plumb Lee was back. He looked
21:26
good. They moved to football pretty well. But Oklahoma just this team's good.
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This team's good, and it felt like every time they needed to make
21:36
a play, they went and made a play. And at the end of
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the day, I think Oklahoma last week got a scare not playing especially well.
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I think they come out and you get an A plus effort here,
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so I think you get a lot of points. I do think Kansas is
21:51
gonna be able to score as well, So like you, I like the
21:53
over, but that Oklahoma team total is a pretty good number. Next week,
21:56
Scottie, let's go to the Mountain West. Man. I used to
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love the Mac. Now I think I have a little crush on the Mountain
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West. I think it's gonna be next year We're gonna have Mountain West after
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dark. I'm not giving the Big Ten the after dark Moniker when they start
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playing games on the West Coast. I can't wait for Rutgers to play USC
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and u C l A and back to back weeks and they pull a full
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NFL and just stay the week out there like practice at UCSV or somewhere like
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that let them do that, Rutgers. They'll make them come home. Penn
22:30
State. I mean, trying to get from Penn State to Los Angeles is
22:33
gonna be a football is important enough. Football is not important enough at Rutgers.
22:37
Don't make them come They'll make them come back. Don't tell me football
22:41
is not important at Rutgers. Baby, That team's all its way to a
22:44
bowl game this year? Are you kidding me? Run baby? Oh,
22:51
let's talk about a team that has come out and surprised some folks and a
22:55
team that's letting folks down. Wyoming. They'll be traveling from Laramie to boy
23:00
The, Idaho, and they are not playing Uncle Rico in this one.
23:03
Baby. Boise State's coming off of a bye and they're laying five points in
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this one. They're scored twenty nine points a game, giving up thirty.
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They're three and four straight up two and three against the number. Wyoming scored
23:12
twenty six points a game, giving up twenty five to five and two straight
23:15
up four and two against the number. These teams look evenly matched. In
23:19
Boise State has kind of been stinky, and they're laying five at home.
23:25
Please explain to me why this is not a trap. You know what.
23:30
At the end of the day, I just think Wyoming's better. They've only
23:33
lost one game where their starting quarterback gave air Force all they wanted on the
23:38
road. This team's gone on the road and played well. They played pretty
23:41
well at Texas, played well at air Force. I think they go on
23:45
the road here. This Wyoman team's played a really good schedule and at the
23:48
end of the day they're four to two and one against the spread. I
23:52
just think they're the better football team. I think they're gonna be not only
23:56
are we getting points, but I'm gonna tell you I like them on the
23:59
money line. That's my upset play of the week. I think they're gonna
24:02
win this ball game. Thinking wrong team's favorite. I think there's still a
24:04
lot of weight on Boise for who Boise he's been and Brian Harson just was
24:11
smooth campaigning for the job this week. Oh. I have a lot of
24:15
great members of great people at Boise. OH. I think Avolos is fighting
24:19
for his job. I think there's a lot. I think there's a lot
24:22
of problems there. At the end of the day, I think k craig
24:26
bowl COEs up there, does a great job, takes it to Wyoming,
24:29
it gets the w I think this, I think this is the key.
24:33
I think they're gonna they've got a good enough run defense that they're gonna be
24:37
able to make Boise one dimensional. Boise has to run the football to do
24:42
well, and I think this Wyoming defense is good enough to slow them down
24:47
enough that they have to throw to win the game. And I don't think
24:49
their quarterback plays good enough to do that. Yeah, Boise State's been really
24:52
confusing to me. You know, they had a Tylon Wallace the quarterback.
24:56
I think that's a kid's name. I always screw this up in confusing for
24:59
the white receiver that played for Oklahoma State. But you know, last year
25:03
he was really dynamic, led the team in rushing. They get a new
25:06
offensive coordinator in there, and then they decide that this year they're gonna try
25:08
to keep in the pocket. He just hasn't been as good. He's trying
25:11
to bottle up that athleticism and you know, use his legs to move the
25:17
pocket and get open. That's a lot to ask on a college kid.
25:19
If you don't believe me, ask Caleb Williams, because that's what he's trying
25:22
to do and it doesn't look that great at USC and he's got way more
25:25
talent than they do here. And so that's the one thing that I'm down
25:29
on with Boise State. I've watched him play. This team has not been
25:32
impressive all season long. Losing to Colorado State the way they did, losing
25:37
to Memphis. I know they were close games, but Memphis and Colorado State
25:40
aren't good, and so losing those games, and then they had close wins
25:44
against the San Diego State team that's terrible. They had a close win over
25:47
a San Jose State team who might not lose again the rest of the season.
25:51
We'll talk about that later, but I just haven't been overwhelmed with Boise
25:53
State. I like your Wyoming getting five and you get you some money line.
25:57
We'll calculate those numbers up here in a little bit, Scottie. Let's
26:02
move on to a game everyone is excited to watch. I'm talking about game
26:04
one eight on your rotation sheet. And I doubt you're driving listening to this,
26:08
and you've got a rotation sheet in front of you, But let me
26:11
tell you what this one is, brother, this is the Boston College Yukon
26:15
game. I am excited about this one. Boston College is laying thirteen and
26:19
a half fourteen pretty much across the board. Now over under here is fifty
26:25
one and a half. This is gonna be an early noon kickoff on the
26:27
East coast. Boston College is laying twenty nine or giving scored twenty nine are
26:30
given up thirty. They're four and three straight up three and four against number
26:33
Yukon scoring twenty points a game given up thirty. They're one and six straight
26:37
up three and four against the number. You're probably gonna wonder how I can
26:41
do this. But if you've watched Boston College play since the Florida State game
26:45
where we saw them come out, put up a hell of a good fight
26:48
and end up losing that game, and then they get trucked the next week
26:52
by Louisville, everybody just kind of quit paying attention to that team. They
26:56
sense of beaten Virginia, they've beaten Army, They've beaten a Georgia Tech team,
27:00
and this Yukon team has totally folded it up and put taken it to
27:04
the house. At this point, I like BC here a lot. I
27:08
think this is an easy cover. I think Jeff Haley's actually coached himself back
27:14
into getting a job or keeping his job, and so I'm big on his
27:18
team to see I think this is a I think this is a good cover.
27:22
I like him to win this game pretty good. I don't see much
27:23
fight we're gonna get out of Yukon in this one. Well, it feels
27:27
like Yukon lost a couple of close games and it feels like they're kind of
27:33
getting body blowed. But at the end of the day, this is still
27:37
a team that lost to Florida International, got crushed by Duke. Utah State
27:42
is not very good Rice Man South Florida Man, even though those were fairly
27:48
close. I lost as they beat Rice. That's where their wins come from.
27:52
At the end of the day, this is just an average football team.
27:56
It does feel like Boston College has gotten more on the skin. This
28:00
number is big for a reason. Uh Vegas is obviously seeing this being a
28:04
bad spot for Yukon, and I agree with him. Let's roll, baby,
28:10
I like it. Let's take it. You're gonna get You're gonna look
28:11
up and tune this game in on Saturday, and you're gonna hear the pregame
28:15
talking about old Tommy Castianos the quarterback for BC, And you're gonna look around
28:21
and you're gonna try to find the whitest Gankee you can find, and instead
28:25
you've got a black kid from Waycross, Georgia. So get excited for it.
28:29
Man, this gets fun to watch. He's dynamic. If you didn't
28:30
watch the Red Bandana game, you missed out. He can play some football.
28:34
Next one, Scottie, Let's move along, baby. Let's move along
28:37
to game one eighty seven. Let's head to Malma Mater in Waco, Texas.
28:44
Iowa State and Baylor are playing in this game. This is an interesting
28:48
spot. This game's been on the move. It's getting some pro money.
28:52
Iowa State opened up I think minus one. Uh now that lines all the
28:56
way up to minus two and a half. Baylor's getting points at home.
29:00
If you look at those two teams, you're probably thinking, why in the
29:03
world would you take this game? Iowa State is trending in a really good
29:07
direction to me. This team is improving as the season has moved on and
29:11
may be a wagon that we can roll the rest of the way out of
29:15
here. Campbell's done a heck of a good job. I was ready to
29:18
kind of after the gambling scandal to start the season, I was ready to
29:22
chunk this team. Those kids back. They've gotten a lot of those kids
29:26
back. But Baylor, on the other hand, has not looked good all
29:30
season long. And their two wins are that crazy comeback win in the UCF
29:36
game where they had to score twenty eight or twenty nine unanswered points, and
29:40
then they snuck out a win against a really bad Cincinnati football team. I
29:45
am underwhelmed with this Baylor team all the way through. And I think this
29:48
Iowa State team is trending in the right direction. And the last time Iowa
29:52
State was down here at this Baylor game, they lost, and I think
29:56
they still have a little grit and their teeth in this spot. From it,
29:59
I think they come by. I can get some revenge in Waco.
30:00
It's not a bad place to play. It's easy to win there. Trust
30:04
me, I went to school there. Let's go Clones minus two and a
30:08
half on the road against the Baylor Bears. I love it. I think
30:12
the Cyclones do get it done on the road here. Uh. It just
30:17
feels like, again what you said, these teams are trending, but it
30:19
just looks like ile State's playing better, and I know Baylor's had some quarterback
30:23
issues, but so as Iowa State. So there just feels like this team's
30:29
getting on track, and it does not feel that way with Baylor. Baylor
30:33
still seems to be floundering around a little bit. I mean just absolutely got
30:37
woodshdded by Texas Tech, who is nah as well at this point. I
30:42
mean, that team's gonna be lucky to get to a bowl game. And
30:45
so it's not it's not the way this team's playing. Texas killed Baylor,
30:49
uh, And it's it's more of how Isle state's losing. They've been in
30:56
pretty much every ball game minus minus at Oklahoma game. They been in every
31:00
ball game right there a chance to win it one three out of four.
31:03
So and at Oklahoma game being the only loss. I like IWA State the
31:07
way they're trending here to play up and get the win. Scotty, let's
31:10
talk about that wagon from the Sun Belt. Baby. We're not talking about
31:12
James Madison though. We're gonna talk about South out Aabama. They'll be at
31:18
home this weekend in Montgomery and their hosting ooh La Lai will be rolling over.
31:22
This is a huge number. South Alabama is laying ten. They're scoring
31:26
thirty five points a game, only giving up nineteen. Hula Law is scoring
31:30
thirty two points a game, giving up twenty seven. Are we gonna lay
31:34
ten and on with the Jaguars, Yes we are. We have finally gotten
31:40
on the level play and the Jaguars are looking like the team we all thought
31:45
they would be, a team that won ten games last year, team that
31:48
we thought they'd be this year, finally starting to find their stride and really
31:52
put it on people. I like the Jags this weekend. I'm excited about
31:56
them getting into conference play, really getting a read on. Totally missed that
32:00
midweek game against Southern Miss a couple of weeks ago. I've said I'm gonna
32:05
watch them every game from here and and you not miss. They've got a
32:10
Thursday match next week waiting on deck with Troy. Can't wait to see what
32:15
that ball game is. They got to go to Troy, so I think
32:20
they've got to win this ball game. Got to win and handle it,
32:22
get prepared. I like the Jags, and one thing won't back to come
32:25
out and put it on Ula La who is who lost last week? We
32:30
want a little money on against Georgia State should have lost to Texas State as
32:34
well, but found a way to win that ball game. Laid on a
32:37
couple of Texas State mistakes. So at the at the end of the day,
32:40
I love again just like we said, the difference of Iowa State,
32:44
how they're playing, like how South Alabama's playing coming into this game. Not
32:47
so much for Ula Lah like them lay in the points at home. I
32:51
think they get an easy win, set up for the big rivalry game next
32:53
week against Troy. Last one I got on my boards, got a utsa.
32:59
Will be at home in the Alamodome, And if you've never watched a
33:01
game, they're flipping over for a couple of minutes. They get some fans
33:05
out for these games. San Antonio comes out to represent Frank Harris is back.
33:10
If you don't know who he is, he's their seven year quarterback that
33:14
they've got on this squad. He's probably thirty six years old and started actually
33:19
as a frustraten years old. He's old as Rocky Marciano when he beat Joe
33:23
Lewis Joe Gers. Anyway, he's been there forever. This team's laying a
33:30
big number. They're laying all the way up to I got them laying all
33:31
the way up to eighteen and a half in this spot, I'm still gonna
33:36
lay it. East Carolina is terrible. Their offense is so bad, and
33:39
I think UTSA just comes out and gets it done. I think East Carolina
33:43
has already packed it up. I mean they lost last week seven to ten
33:47
to Charlotte SMU thirty one ten. I mean right, they're just I'm not
33:52
impressed. I think UTSA comes out here, gets it done. They still
33:55
have a chance to win the conference championship now that they've got their quarterback back.
34:00
I think they're right. I'm rolling with UTSA minus the big number in
34:04
this one. Yeah. I like UTSA here simply because a Frank Harris is
34:09
back. That is a That's a big part of it. But the biggest
34:14
part. East Carolina is just not very good. They're one in six straight
34:17
up two and five against the spread when they are only I mean their offense
34:22
is not averaging two hundred and seventy five yards total offense. Again, I
34:30
mean that is un good. So I think Harris has a huge day coming
34:36
back. This is a really balanced team. I think they put it on
34:39
them. I think they simply just can't keep East Carolina can't keep up scoring.
34:45
And I think that's what this is. Look, this over under total
34:46
is only forty six. I mean it tells you they don't think East Carolina's
34:51
gonna be able to score at all. No, I mean at all or
34:53
there's no chance this number is that low because they're expecting UTSA to get to
34:59
the mid thirty. So I think at the end of the day, you
35:01
get you a pretty easy cover and we get a full blowout. GTSA may
35:06
may go over this over under total themselves. Oh we'll see, we'll see,
35:10
We'll see. Baby, that's the board I got, Scotty, I
35:13
got a couple more. I want to throw at you real quick. I'm
35:15
gonna take your Wyoming game and your plus five, and I'm gonna wrap that
35:19
up into another Mountain West money line parlay. And I'm gonna take the UNLV
35:25
running Rebels against Fresno State. They're getting seven and a half points in Fresno.
35:31
I think this is a team that could win. This team is six
35:35
and one, it's going bowling. They've got all kinds of momentum in there.
35:39
How good a job is Barry odom done at UNLV with this team.
35:45
They always play this team quote even when they had my man crushing Jake Hayn
35:50
playing quarterback for Fresno State. They typically stay close with these guys. I'm
35:53
gonna roll with the Rebels, getting a little plus number here at plus seven
35:58
and a half and take me some money lineup. I'mna sprinkle it in pizza
36:00
parlay for myself. All right, I'm gonna get you. I'll give you
36:05
a nice little parlay. Since we're gonna talk parlays, I'm going back twelve
36:07
parlay here. How about that. I'm loving the fact twelve this year and
36:12
actually went in some money in this league, so I'm enjoying it. But
36:15
I like wa zoom minus six at Arizona State. That line shorter than it
36:20
should be, simply because Washington played awful last week. That was a total
36:25
dead man's game. If you're gonna play for in the playoff, every team
36:30
has them. Last year with Georgia and Missouri, they got that no business
36:34
went in that game. They played terrible but found a way to win it
36:37
on the road. Washington was that bad at home, played terrible. That
36:43
offense looked at us sink the whole game. This line's way too short.
36:46
Was Zoo's gonna go down there and pound those guys. Uck Club, gonna
36:50
put it on prime at home. I love this spight, love this spot,
36:54
love the fight. And look I'm gonna bet Auck Club as it is
37:00
on the line as well. And then Arizona plus three and a half,
37:06
I think they got a legit got to win this ball game against Oregon State.
37:09
But look, they've only not covered the number one time this year.
37:14
I like them getting three and a half. That's my Pac twelve parlay.
37:16
I love all three of league lines. And I think Arizona's a live dog,
37:22
live dog so interested to see how that game works out. Since they
37:27
made the quarterback switch. It on as a good foot it's really good football
37:30
team. They should have beaten SC And here comes Oregon State having to go
37:36
down to the desert, and I think it's gonna be I think this has
37:38
got a chance to be a really tough spot for them. And you know,
37:42
I like this team. And what I really like about this number is
37:45
the hook. Get it now before the hook goes up three and a half.
37:50
It's on the road. The number is gonna be low. Both these
37:53
teams are playing a lot better defense than people think. I just think it's
37:57
gonna be a low scoring game. I think three and a half is too
37:59
much like me some Arizona right here. But I love that parlay overall.
38:02
Yeah, I don't disagree with you. I like everybody that's listening. It's
38:07
just in Jimmy. I like the plays that are out there. I like
38:10
that Ucla play a lot. I'll probably be on that play I love.
38:15
I mean, this is what I love about Colorado. Colorado is getting seventy
38:20
percent of the money and eighty percent of the bets coming in on this game,
38:23
and the line is not moving, which means to tell you, the
38:27
book is fine taking as much money as they want on Colorado because they think
38:30
they've got the right side. In UCLA. Marc think that's they play Yeah
38:37
on their own road. I don't know how. I mean, how the
38:44
numbers not bigger than this. No, I agree, And I like the
38:46
zone of pick a lot a couple more on throw out there to you Louisville.
38:51
I think Louisville's in a good spot this week, bounce back from that
38:55
loss that they had against Pitt. I like that spot. I like Mayor
39:00
man Hell and a shell getting it done this week in the Big ten,
39:04
they're laying a little bit bigger number. I might have to dig into that
39:06
one as we record this on Wednesday. But I like this spot for Maryland.
39:09
I kind of like Army laying ten against you Mass. I can't see
39:15
U Mass being able to put up much defense. I mean, the Army
39:17
had been great, but so and what about? So give me your opinion
39:21
on the cocktail party? Are you going sun Belt Billy? Are you going
39:24
to brockless of brocls Georgia? Here? So hard for me to belt on
39:30
sun Belt sun Belt Billy on anything, But if I bet that game,
39:36
it'll be on sun Belt Billy. I like the hook again. I like
39:39
the hook fourteen and a half. I want to see what George can do
39:42
without Rock Bowers. He has bailed them out so much. So they don't
39:47
win that game at Auburn much. Let's do they cover a big number without
39:52
him? They don't win that game straight up, So I'm interested to see
39:57
how that goes. So if I'm taking it, I will take Sunbelt Billy.
40:01
But you know I am not a fan, and I don't don't not
40:07
big on this team. I will tell you what game in the SEC I'm
40:10
gonna get on, and no it is not Mississippi State Auburn. It is
40:15
Kentucky Tennessee. I like the Cats and the Bluegrass. Baby, give me
40:20
the plus three and a half. I think this is a close game.
40:22
I ain Kentucky may win this game straight up, Joe Bilton, but they
40:25
got to run the football. At Kentucky defense is good against the run,
40:30
and while at Tennessee defense is good against the run, I think they're gonna
40:34
be able to make enough plays on offense to, if not win this game,
40:37
certainly keep it very close. I like Kentucky here to cover that three
40:40
and a half number. The world's largest checkout line. Huh. They do
40:45
play They do play good up there, and it'd be interesting to see how
40:49
Tennessee bounces back after that loss last week. Vandy Old Miss, I think
40:53
you're leaning on the Vandy train with twenty four in a hook. If I
40:57
had to make a guess, twenty four hook. The doors that have kept
41:01
this this game close. Ole Miss has not covered that they're four and six
41:06
against the spread last ten games. Van He's even got a couple of doves
41:09
in that stretch, and they always play this game close. I think Ole
41:15
Miss with A and M looming on deck. I think this is a coaster
41:20
game for the Rebels. I do not expect to be a big effort.
41:24
Last week was a bigger game for Old Miss than I think people realize because
41:29
of the Hugh Freezeville and Kiffin wasn't gonna lose that game. There was no
41:32
chance he was losing that Game's reason I was so so big on them in
41:36
the six and a half. I Freeze did give it all he's got.
41:40
They're just not a very good team. I think Ole Miss plays flat right
41:44
here, certainly not in danger of losing the ball game. But I think
41:46
Old Miss does not cover that twenty four and a half number. Oh my
41:51
goodness, Hey, next week you're gonna need four TVs. Brother because unless
41:54
they kick these games in different directions Bedlam LSU Bama three thirty. You've got
42:06
Georgia Missouri three thirty, Texas A and M Old Miss three thirty, Kansas
42:12
State Texas three thirty. They got a bunch of games slotted in that afternoon.
42:15
Slotted it or I mean, and it may not sound big, all
42:19
those games have ramifications on winning the conference. And possibly making a trip to
42:22
the national Championship. So, uh, it's gonna be a good Saturday next
42:28
Saturday. Yeah, there's no doubt about it. And look, give me
42:30
a give me a war on the Bluegrass this weekend. I need that game
42:35
to get icy and nasty Ka Wildcat come to start well next week for a
42:39
night game. So Bulldog's got to figure out how to win really one more
42:44
game because they still got Southern Miss on their schedule to get ball eligible.
42:47
I don't know that's gonna happen this weekend, but it's either this weekend or
42:52
Kentucky or it probably ain't gonna happen, and you never know an the Egg
42:55
Bowl. But Old Miss significantly better than State. I am kind of cheering
42:59
for Old Miss, for Mississippi State to not play well against Kentucky when when
43:04
this weekend, lose to Kentucky, get embarrassed really bad, and then get
43:07
a really cheap line when they play Southern Miss and just steamroll those guys and
43:13
get that in there. Because Southern Miss is awful. Yeah, they're one
43:20
of the worst five or six teams in the country. And I really I
43:23
thought he was going to do a good job. Former offensive coordinator at Tulane.
43:28
His dad was a big time coach in Mississippi for a high school goal,
43:30
I thought, we'll all do a really good job down there, and
43:36
and just to this point is not folks. With that being said, give
43:40
us some smash us a light, give us a subscribe, give us some
43:43
notes, hit us up on Twitter, get out there and enjoy some games.
43:46
As if we record this it's five pm Central. Some of you probably
43:50
won't hear this till tomorrow. And if you wus sit through the Sam Utep
43:53
game, god bless you, folks, because it's gonna be a barn burner
43:58
with the overunder at thirty and Sam laying three and a half points and not
44:02
having won a game this season. With all that being said, we're signing
44:07
out and we'll talk to you next week.