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Latest / The Bear Market Podcast with Fexingo: Surviving Downturns, Buying the Dip, and Long-Term Resilience

The Yield Curve Uninversion What History Says Next

Episode 45 of The Bear Market Podcast with Fexingo. Lucas and Luna drill into a quiet but significant market signal: the yield curve has been positively sloped for over a month after two years of inversion. As of June 11, 2026, the 10-year Treasury yield sits at 4.53, the 2-year at 4.13 — a spread of 40 basis points. Historically, every recession since the 1970s was preceded by a curve inversion, but the actual downturn often arrived months after the curve re-steepened. The hosts walk through the 1990-91, 2001, and 2008 examples, showing how the S&P 500 rallied an average of 8 percent in the…

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