Latest / Masters in Business / At The Money: When Should Do-It-Yourself Investors Fire Themselves?
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.
- 0:20Speaker 2: Doctor mind have seen the year. It's so great? Ee
- 0:27Speaker 2: that fight? Now I want to understand.
- 0:32Speaker 3: Are you a do it yourself investor whose needs have
- 0:35Speaker 3: become more complex? Is the world making you concerned about
- 0:40Speaker 3: your portfolio? How do you know when it's time to
- 0:44Speaker 3: bring in some professional help to help us unpack all
- 0:48Speaker 3: of this and what it might mean for your portfolio.
- 0:51Speaker 3: Let's bring in doctor Jordan Grummitt, a physician whose specialty
- 0:55Speaker 3: is the intersection of money, mortality, purpose, and regret. He's
- 1:01Speaker 3: trained and worked in both internal medicine and hospice care.
- 1:04Speaker 3: His prior books include Taking Stock, a hospice Doctor's advice
- 1:09Speaker 3: on Financial independence and Living a Regret Free Life, and
- 1:14Speaker 3: The Purpose Code. So, doc g let's just start very basically,
- 1:19Speaker 3: what does it mean to fire yourself as a DIY investor?
- 1:25Speaker 1: Well, Barry, I grew up in the financial independence retire
- 1:28Speaker 1: early movement. These are the young, scrappy people who are
- 1:31Speaker 1: trying to save enough so that they never have to
- 1:33Speaker 1: work again. And so we were kind of cheap back
- 1:37Speaker 1: in the day, right, This idea of why pay someone
- 1:39Speaker 1: else to do what you can do for yourself? That
- 1:42Speaker 1: was good in a sense because it made us deeply
- 1:45Speaker 1: understand our investments. But as I get older, I realized
- 1:49Speaker 1: that sometimes it makes sense to fire yourself. In other words,
- 1:53Speaker 1: bring in the help when you need it because you
- 1:55Speaker 1: can't know everything.
- 1:57Speaker 3: So I know you've worked with other financial advisors. What
- 2:00Speaker 3: has your own experience taught you about what financial advice
- 2:05Speaker 3: should and should not address.
- 2:09Speaker 1: I had Roger Whitney the other day on my podcast,
- 2:12Speaker 1: and he is one of the financial advisors I really respect,
- 2:16Speaker 1: and we're talking about this idea of the balcony of
- 2:19Speaker 1: your life, this idea that you want to stand on
- 2:21Speaker 1: that balcony with your financial advisor, look out at your
- 2:25Speaker 1: future and start to plan. This doesn't look like, boy,
- 2:29Speaker 1: I want my net worth to be this many millions
- 2:31Speaker 1: of dollars. It's more a question of how do I
- 2:34Speaker 1: see the landscape of my life appearing in the future.
- 2:37Speaker 1: That has to do with money, but that also has
- 2:39Speaker 1: to do with family, it has to do with travel,
- 2:41Speaker 1: it has to do with career, and so it's really
- 2:43Speaker 1: this holistic approach. As a doctor, we used to see
- 2:47Speaker 1: people and we talked about the biopsychosocial model, the idea
- 2:50Speaker 1: of not just seeing what's hurting a patient, but how
- 2:53Speaker 1: they fit in their environment and their needs. And I
- 2:55Speaker 1: think with the financial advisor it's actually very similar.
- 2:58Speaker 3: Huh, really really interesting. What are the tasks that are
- 3:01Speaker 3: smart yourself investor can probably handle by themselves, and what
- 3:07Speaker 3: areas do they tend to run into trouble?
- 3:11Speaker 1: So the truth of the matter is, when you are
- 3:14Speaker 1: young and you're in the accumulation phase, it's almost hard
- 3:17Speaker 1: to mess up, right. You have to do it, Nickma
- 3:19Speaker 1: Julie says, just keep buying, and so when we're young,
- 3:22Speaker 1: there's lots of room for airs. So starting to understand
- 3:26Speaker 1: the stock market, starting to understand index investing, writing out
- 3:29Speaker 1: your investor statement or plan, basically accumulation is really something
- 3:35Speaker 1: that most people can manage. Now, the caveat is that
- 3:38Speaker 1: you have to be able to control your emotions, right,
- 3:41Speaker 1: So anyone who's going to sell the minute the stock
- 3:44Speaker 1: market drops on any given day probably needs financial advice
- 3:48Speaker 1: right away. But assuming that you have the solidity of
- 3:52Speaker 1: your character enough to be able to realize, Okay, the
- 3:55Speaker 1: market dropped, but I'm going to stay where I am
- 3:57Speaker 1: and leave my money where it is. Long as you
- 4:00Speaker 1: can pass that hurdle, A lot of accumulation and being
- 4:03Speaker 1: young is quite possible to do it yourself.
- 4:06Speaker 3: So how can a do it yourself investor recognize the
- 4:10Speaker 3: difference between being reasonably capable and becoming overconfident? What are
- 4:18Speaker 3: the red flags that they should be paying attention to.
- 4:21Speaker 1: Well, here's something I think we don't normally think about
- 4:24Speaker 1: when we're talking about building wealth. What we're really talking
- 4:27Speaker 1: about is concentrating risk. And for your average person, you're
- 4:30Speaker 1: going to be concentrating risk in your career, right, You're
- 4:33Speaker 1: going to be building and getting promotions and making more.
- 4:36Speaker 1: You're going to be concentrating risk in your business if
- 4:39Speaker 1: you're a founder or if you have a side hustle.
- 4:42Speaker 1: What you don't want to be doing unless you're a
- 4:44Speaker 1: professional is concentrating risk in the stock market. So over
- 4:48Speaker 1: confident people seek alpha, right, They're saying, boy, I don't
- 4:53Speaker 1: want to just take what the market has to give
- 4:55Speaker 1: me beta, but I'm going to seek alpha and that's
- 4:58Speaker 1: exceedingly hard. So some of the sign you're zooming in
- 5:01Speaker 1: and out of positions. You're looking at lots of multiple
- 5:04Speaker 1: stocks instead of thinking about index funds. You're falling into
- 5:08Speaker 1: the trap of fomo. Right, You're starting to fear missing out,
- 5:12Speaker 1: and so you're making very reactive decisions. So you know,
- 5:16Speaker 1: if you're setting in forgetting it and maybe evaluating every
- 5:19Speaker 1: six to twelve months, you're probably on the right track.
- 5:21Speaker 1: But if you're looking at that stock market every day
- 5:24Speaker 1: and buying and selling on a regular basis, you're probably overconfident.
- 5:29Speaker 3: So this conversation is a giant exercise in confirmation bias.
- 5:34Speaker 3: For me, I've spent I don't know three decades telling
- 5:37Speaker 3: people you can do it yourself. But there's an important caveat.
- 5:42Speaker 3: You have to have a plan, you have to be discipline,
- 5:45Speaker 3: and when things start to head south, you must manage
- 5:50Speaker 3: your own behavior. Is that oversimplifying advice to do it
- 5:55Speaker 3: yourselfers or is that more or less a path to
- 5:59Speaker 3: success that you've watched in your career.
- 6:02Speaker 1: No, I think it's a beautiful assessment of how things
- 6:05Speaker 1: should be. Really, there are two things you need to
- 6:07Speaker 1: watch out for as a young person. The first is
- 6:09Speaker 1: your own behavior, which we just talked about, and then
- 6:12Speaker 1: the other thing is when you go from accumulation to decumulation.
- 6:15Speaker 1: That's a hard stop in my brain. That's when you
- 6:17Speaker 1: should really say, Okay, do I need some professional help.
- 6:21Speaker 1: But when you're a young person, those are really the
- 6:23Speaker 1: two red flags, and I think if you can keep
- 6:26Speaker 1: those under control, doing it yourself is very reasonable.
- 6:30Speaker 3: You know, we've built a firm over the past thirteen years,
- 6:35Speaker 3: and perhaps the biggest surprise to me has been how
- 6:39Speaker 3: difficult it's been to get people with plenty of money,
- 6:44Speaker 3: lots of runway they'll never outlive their cash, to actually
- 6:49Speaker 3: turn around and spend the money when they want, whether
- 6:52Speaker 3: it's taking the whole family back to the old country
- 6:55Speaker 3: to see where they came from, or buying a vacation
- 6:58Speaker 3: property or a boat, or I got a phone call
- 7:02Speaker 3: from somebody who wanted to buy a ferrari. And I'm
- 7:05Speaker 3: not exaggerating. He could buy a ferrari every month for
- 7:08Speaker 3: the rest of his life and never run out of money.
- 7:11Speaker 3: And so it's shocking to me how challenging that is.
- 7:16Speaker 3: Why is that deccumulation phase. Why is that spending the
- 7:21Speaker 3: money that's there to spend, even if it's setting up
- 7:25Speaker 3: trust for your kids and grandkids or giving it to philanthropy.
- 7:29Speaker 3: Why is that so challenging?
- 7:31Speaker 1: So I have this theory and I call it escape velocity.
- 7:35Speaker 1: If you listen to personal finance gurus. If you sit
- 7:39Speaker 1: there and debate the four percent rule and talk about
- 7:42Speaker 1: safe with your all rates and all those kind of things,
- 7:45Speaker 1: you're under the assumption that the whole idea behind building
- 7:48Speaker 1: a net worth is to have enough money so then
- 7:51Speaker 1: you can decumulate during retirement. I think that's all false.
- 7:56Speaker 1: I think actually all of our talk of safe with
- 7:58Speaker 1: your all rates and net worth, all it is is
- 8:01Speaker 1: it's the amount of money that gives you enough courage
- 8:05Speaker 1: to walk away from the life you don't want and
- 8:07Speaker 1: start living the life you do want. Believe it or not,
- 8:10Speaker 1: I don't even think that amount of money has anything
- 8:12Speaker 1: to do with what you're going to spend. It's the
- 8:15Speaker 1: amount of money that gives you the courage. What we
- 8:17Speaker 1: tend to find is when people finally get the courage
- 8:19Speaker 1: to leave the life that they're living that they don't
- 8:22Speaker 1: like and then live the life they want to live,
- 8:24Speaker 1: it's just actually not that expensive. Like you can do
- 8:28Speaker 1: a lot of the things you love without spending much money.
- 8:32Speaker 1: And one thing which is not that expensive. The other
- 8:35Speaker 1: thing is we actually like having a safety net. People
- 8:40Speaker 1: like having a lot of money in the bank, even
- 8:42Speaker 1: to the extent that they will pass up on things
- 8:44Speaker 1: they say they want to do because that security and
- 8:48Speaker 1: that good feeling, that identity of having a lot of
- 8:50Speaker 1: money in the bank actually serves them. So a lot
- 8:53Speaker 1: of people see this as negative, and I agree in
- 8:55Speaker 1: a sense. This idea of working so hard and accumulating
- 8:58Speaker 1: this much money and that not spending it sounds bad
- 9:01Speaker 1: at the forefront, But I'll tell you, I know lots
- 9:05Speaker 1: of happy people who are underspending, and yet they're still happy.
- 9:07Speaker 1: They're still giving to charities, they're still going on great vacations.
- 9:12Speaker 1: They're just not spending everything down. And one thing I
- 9:15Speaker 1: think we need to come to peace with is maybe
- 9:18Speaker 1: that's okay. Maybe it's fine if you die and you
- 9:21Speaker 1: bequeath tons to either of your kids or charity, and
- 9:23Speaker 1: that's just is what it is.
- 9:25Speaker 3: So I have a family member I won't mention their name,
- 9:28Speaker 3: but they're in the fifties and I don't know. Maybe
- 9:31Speaker 3: the portfolio is ten million dollars and I can't get him.
- 9:35Speaker 3: He's constantly asking me about convertibles, and he sees the
- 9:40Speaker 3: cars I drive, which are not crazy expensive but a
- 9:45Speaker 3: lot of fun. I can't get them to spend twenty
- 9:48Speaker 3: five or fifty thousand dollars on a convertible that he's
- 9:51Speaker 3: jonesing for and will have no impact on his net worth.
- 9:55Speaker 3: How do you advise a person like that?
- 9:58Speaker 1: You know, I just had a conversation with Jane Chatsky,
- 10:00Speaker 1: who wrote a book that's forthcoming soon called The Forever Paycheck,
- 10:04Speaker 1: and she makes, you know, a brilliant point. With some
- 10:08Speaker 1: of these people. What you have to do is set
- 10:09Speaker 1: up a paycheck so they feel like they have money
- 10:12Speaker 1: that they either can spend or have to spend. See
- 10:14Speaker 1: you take someone with a networth a ten million or
- 10:17Speaker 1: eleven million. The idea is to structure their assets in
- 10:21Speaker 1: such a way that they feel like they're getting a
- 10:22Speaker 1: paycheck every year and they have the freedom to spend
- 10:25Speaker 1: that paycheck till it's at zero.
- 10:27Speaker 3: So you bond portfolio or something like that that just
- 10:30Speaker 3: kicks out regular yields.
- 10:32Speaker 1: So you can do it in so many different ways.
- 10:35Speaker 1: You can do it with annuities, You can do it
- 10:37Speaker 1: with a mix of annuities, their social Security muni bonds,
- 10:40Speaker 1: what have you. Or you can even go the other way.
- 10:43Speaker 1: We is, have your advisor say I'm just going to
- 10:45Speaker 1: liquidate this much equities every year, where regardless of where
- 10:49Speaker 1: the market is, and we're going to call that your paycheck.
- 10:52Speaker 1: It's funny. This is not a math problem. This is
- 10:56Speaker 1: a brain problem. And so the question is how can
- 10:58Speaker 1: you set these things up? A good friend of mine
- 11:00Speaker 1: I made the joke. He said, well, I have something
- 11:01Speaker 1: called the fun bucket, and I put as much money
- 11:04Speaker 1: as I think I can spend every year in the
- 11:05Speaker 1: fun bucket, and whatever is left, I either spend it
- 11:08Speaker 1: or I have to donate it to a political candidate
- 11:11Speaker 1: I hate. And that is the trick he plays on
- 11:14Speaker 1: himself to make sure he spends it.
- 11:17Speaker 3: The fun bucket. I love that idea. So you mentioned
- 11:20Speaker 3: the transition from accumulation to decumulation. What are the other
- 11:25Speaker 3: big transitions retirement, inheritance, selling a business, divorce where the
- 11:32Speaker 3: people who are doing it themselves might be most vulnerable.
- 11:36Speaker 1: So you know, I think they're really two situations. One
- 11:39Speaker 1: is where emotions play a big role, right, and so
- 11:42Speaker 1: for some people retirement, they just get very emotional. They
- 11:45Speaker 1: don't make great decisions. A family member dies and they
- 11:47Speaker 1: get an inheritance, and you tend to make emotional decisions,
- 11:50Speaker 1: especially at the beginning. So one is any place whether
- 11:53Speaker 1: it's a divorce or a death or even retirement where
- 11:56Speaker 1: you feel exceedingly emotional. This is going to be different
- 11:58Speaker 1: for each person. And the other time where I think
- 12:01Speaker 1: it's really important is when the room for error is
- 12:05Speaker 1: small and so for instance, and this is why I
- 12:07Speaker 1: always say, when we go from accumulation to decumulation, we
- 12:10Speaker 1: have to be really thoughtful because you might be depending
- 12:13Speaker 1: on healthcare subsidies right and if you decumulate incorrectly, you
- 12:17Speaker 1: may find that those subsidies are no longer there, or
- 12:20Speaker 1: you might be making complex roth conversions, and if you
- 12:23Speaker 1: do that wrong, it can really mess you up and
- 12:25Speaker 1: put you in different tax brackets. Or if you have
- 12:28Speaker 1: a disabled child and so you're starting to plan for
- 12:30Speaker 1: the fact that you're not going to have any income anymore,
- 12:33Speaker 1: the room for air can be very small in those situations.
- 12:37Speaker 1: And so that's an indicator that a financial advisor a professional,
- 12:41Speaker 1: even if all they do is look over your work,
- 12:44Speaker 1: is important. We tend to forget like hiring a financial
- 12:47Speaker 1: advisor doesn't mean you hire them and they do everything
- 12:48Speaker 1: for the rest of your life. It's a continuum. You
- 12:51Speaker 1: can hire a financial advisor to look over your work.
- 12:53Speaker 1: You could pay them hourly, they can give you some
- 12:55Speaker 1: recommendations and then you can carry it all out yourself.
- 12:58Speaker 1: So there's really a continuum of how we use financial
- 13:00Speaker 1: advisor in the first place.
- 13:02Speaker 3: Interesting, So you mentioned several behavioral mistakes. I'm curious what
- 13:07Speaker 3: do you see as the most common behavioral mistakes from
- 13:12Speaker 3: young DIY investors and what do you see amongst the
- 13:16Speaker 3: more financially sophisticated investors.
- 13:19Speaker 1: I think that in the young investors it's definitely an
- 13:22Speaker 1: overconfidence issue. And again we talked about this a little bit.
- 13:25Speaker 1: It's the seeking alpha when they should be concentrating on beta.
- 13:29Speaker 1: It's this idea that I know better than everyone else,
- 13:31Speaker 1: and maybe they haven't been around the block enough times
- 13:34Speaker 1: to see a stock go to zero. You know, you
- 13:36Speaker 1: see this all the time in alternative assets too. We're
- 13:39Speaker 1: experiencing this right now with multifamily syndications. For years, people
- 13:45Speaker 1: were telling me and everyone else, you know, multifamily syndications
- 13:48Speaker 1: are the way to go very little work, very little risk.
- 13:52Speaker 1: And what are we seeing now. We're seeing some of
- 13:54Speaker 1: these go to zero, literally, people losing everything. It's confidence
- 14:00Speaker 1: and a lot of times it's seeking alpha. Now, as
- 14:03Speaker 1: you get older, believe it or not. I think the
- 14:06Speaker 1: bigger problem and really mature DIY investors is you get
- 14:09Speaker 1: complacent like the world changes. And I, for instance, I
- 14:13Speaker 1: am a big believer in index funds, and I want
- 14:16Speaker 1: to believe that index funds will be able to ride
- 14:18Speaker 1: that wave for the next fifty or seventy five years.
- 14:20Speaker 1: But I'm also open to this idea that we can
- 14:23Speaker 1: become complacent and we have to keep our eyes open
- 14:25Speaker 1: and we have to look for how the world is changing.
- 14:29Speaker 1: Will index funds be the way to go in fifty years.
- 14:31Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm going to keep paying attention. That
- 14:33Speaker 1: doesn't mean I'm changing things. That doesn't mean I'm reacting
- 14:37Speaker 1: to little changes in the market. But I'm keeping my
- 14:40Speaker 1: eyes open, especially as I get older and I'm in decumulation.
- 14:44Speaker 1: We're really talking about risk modification. So I'm not as
- 14:48Speaker 1: worried about returns as I used to be. I'm worried
- 14:51Speaker 1: about losses. I want to modify my risk in such
- 14:55Speaker 1: a way that I don't have those really deep losses anymore.
- 14:59Speaker 1: Whereas you know, if my money returns four percent one year,
- 15:02Speaker 1: eight percent, one year six percent, but the market does
- 15:05Speaker 1: seven or seven point five I might be okay with that.
- 15:09Speaker 3: Really interesting last question. As a physician, you compare good
- 15:13Speaker 3: advice to a diagnosis. What should the diagnostic process look
- 15:18Speaker 3: like before someone either recommends a portfolio or recommends a
- 15:24Speaker 3: change in course of financial behavior, tell us what that
- 15:27Speaker 3: looks like.
- 15:29Speaker 1: So when a person comes into the office and has
- 15:32Speaker 1: a medical problem, I can assess that medical problem and
- 15:36Speaker 1: give them a quick treatment and send them off. And
- 15:39Speaker 1: that's very transactional, and it solves the problem for the moment,
- 15:43Speaker 1: but doesn't solve the greater problem. Remember I talked about
- 15:47Speaker 1: this idea, the biocyclesocial model. We need to put a
- 15:49Speaker 1: person in the context of who they are, who their
- 15:51Speaker 1: family is, what their stressors are, and what their goals are.
- 15:55Speaker 1: So when you walk into a financial advisor's office and
- 15:58Speaker 1: you're trying to assess is this the right financial for
- 16:00Speaker 1: you or not? You know, one of the first questions
- 16:01Speaker 1: they should be asking you is tell me about your goals.
- 16:04Speaker 1: What are your dreams. It shouldn't be what is your
- 16:07Speaker 1: goal net worth? It shouldn't be like, how many millions
- 16:09Speaker 1: do you want to have by the age of fifty
- 16:11Speaker 1: or fifty five, Because that's only one of many questions
- 16:14Speaker 1: The bigger question is you know, what do you want
- 16:16Speaker 1: to accomplish, what's important to you, Who are the important
- 16:19Speaker 1: people in your life, and what are the must haves.
- 16:23Speaker 1: And once you get past then that, that's when we
- 16:26Speaker 1: can start looking at your specific financial goals. What are
- 16:30Speaker 1: the trade offs? Is retirement important to you or maybe
- 16:33Speaker 1: you're willing to work longer to enjoy life more. Now,
- 16:37Speaker 1: all of those are bigger questions. It's equivalent to the
- 16:39Speaker 1: biopsychosocial model. We really have to put people in the context.
- 16:43Speaker 1: And any good advisor is going to put you in
- 16:44Speaker 1: the context of your life and try to stand on
- 16:47Speaker 1: that balcony with you, look across the fields of your
- 16:51Speaker 1: future and try to help you plot out that best life,
- 16:54Speaker 1: not just financially but generally.
- 16:57Speaker 3: Really really interesting stuff. So to wrap up, if you're
- 17:01Speaker 3: a do it yourself investor, there are a handful of
- 17:05Speaker 3: mistakes you need to avoid when you're younger. You have
- 17:08Speaker 3: to be aware of overconfidence and alpha chasing. When you're older, complexity,
- 17:14Speaker 3: changes in life, changes in the world might lead you
- 17:17Speaker 3: to seek additional help. You can do it yourself if
- 17:22Speaker 3: your disciplines, have a plan and manage your own behavior,
- 17:26Speaker 3: but there are times when you might need to various
- 17:28Speaker 3: types of help. Lots of it is available across all
- 17:32Speaker 3: sorts of different price points. If you need assistance, go
- 17:36Speaker 3: find it. I'm Barry Redults, you're listening to Bloomberg's At
- 17:40Speaker 3: the Money, Can I