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NFL Divisional Weekend, National Championship, NBA & More! · Best Betting Show Ever

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is the best betting show ever.
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: And when I mean ever, I mean at least over
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: the last six minutes here, Joe and Airy longside. Well,
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: we don't want arts. First of all, I am sorry
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: Art that I disrespected you like that. Let me get
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: your name in there so we can we make sure
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: that we don't ever make that mistake again. So hold
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: on one second on, I promise we're going to get
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: you all squared away here, because nobody wants to be
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: known as Lawrence Presman, who, by the way, is trying
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: to convince me that he's not actually laying on the
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: beach right now, that he is somehow doing well in
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: his poker tournament. But I think you and I both
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: know that is not the case. But he is enjoying
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: the warm weather here in South Florida, Art, which I'm
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: guessing is half the battle. But there you go. Now
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: it's Art to see or not Lawrence President. So we
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: welcome you back in now, Art unfortunately mislabeling you there
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: as the press. But we got a lot going on
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: coming up this week. We got a lot going on
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: here today. We got plenty of college basketball, huge conference
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: games coming up today. We got NBA, you got NHL,
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: but of course we got divisional matchups We've got also, well,
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: we got one more game to crown a national champion
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: in college football. But let's start like we usually do
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: on a Tuesday with you, because I'm dying and now
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: feels like the public might have had themselves a halfway
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: decent weekend here in wild card weekend. How did the
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: books do after everything was said and done?
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Joe, you know, putting my name as Lawrence Pressman,
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: it's like a as fantasy and having a punishment. I
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: think that's like my fantasy punishment is to be Lawrence Pressman.
• 1:50
  Speaker 3: For the day.
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: You know that's correct?
• 1:51
  Speaker 3: All right? I paid my dues and I'm good. But
• 1:55
  Speaker 3: you know, yeah, yeah, Joe.
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: As far as the weekend goes, you know, we'll just
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: start with Saturday and obviously the Rams. We had talked
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: earlier in the week where there was a lot of
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: Ram money. Hey listen, if the Rams would have lost
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: out ready, that would have been awesome because you would
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: have crushed all the parlays early. But the Rams covering
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: was a really good result, it really was. And then
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: we get to the sets the night game, and we
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: would have had a banner day if green Bay would
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: have won that game and held on. They didn't, so
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: it ended up being like just a wash of a
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: day for us. Green Bay really killed us blowing that
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: game that way, and then we get to Sunday, and
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: Sunday was awesome.
• 2:32
  Speaker 3: You get to that Jacksonville game.
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: Jacksonville closed what one and a half two in that game,
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: so obviously a ton of Jacksonville money.
• 2:39
  Speaker 3: Buffalo winning outright was enormous.
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: We had talked all week about San Francisco that that
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: was our biggest knee because it felt like it was
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: just one way traffic on Philly. That thing was three
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: and a half, got up to six. The sharps and
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: the publics were there, all the teasers, all the moneyline
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: parlays were on Philly. So San Francisco big outcome for us.
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: And then the night game, once you got to that,
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: it kind of was a wash as far as a
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: result for US. I mean, maybe a little bit of
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: money we made on New England, but San Francisco carried
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: the day for us. Sunday was a banner day for us,
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: and then last night a little bit of a loss
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: on Houston early in the week. We took a ton
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: and I mean a ton of sharp Pittsburgh money, but
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: the public and everyone else kind of overwhelmed that with
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: the Houston money and a lot of things that were
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: tied into Houston on Monday night as far as parlays
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: and teasers and parlay cards and all that. So a
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: little bit of a loss, but overall, because Sunday was
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: so good and that San Francisco win, it was a
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: winning weekend for us.
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: We had I know, we talked about it on Friday Art.
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: We had Buffalo becoming very public, but that wasn't the
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: public running to the window flipping that line before kickoff there.
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: So that was a big, big move before. And we
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: had mentioned the only game all week where the pros
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: and the Joe's were aligned seemed to be that Philadelphia game.
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: You said you couldn't find anybody coming to the window
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: to bet the forty nine ers, uh, And it was
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: just one way money Pros and Joe's. And of course
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: that is the biggest head scratcher upset of the of
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: the weekend. But in hindsight, it probably should not have
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: been that big a surprise to a lot of people.
• 4:29
  Speaker 3: I think, yeah, I would totally agree.
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: You know, I think a lot of people in the
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: end when you actually watch that game and look at
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: that game, Yeah, Philly's offense is so challenged. It's like,
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: how are they gonna go and cover a six point game?
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: Despite all the San Francisco injuries and obviously they had
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: even more on Sunday with Kettle going down. It's like
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: a team every week. It's the you know, the wounded
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: Warriors just going through. But yeah, I mean, you're right
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: about that Jacksonville game. I thought a Buffalo would be
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: pretty public, and they were, but right, it's it's not
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: the public that's going to move an opening number of
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: Buffalo early from one to them being a two point
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: dog by kickoff. So clearly we took a ton of
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: sharp and then we started to see some public Jacksonville money.
• 5:13
  Speaker 3: We really did.
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: Yep. Yeah, And then of course most places I don't
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: know what you club, but most places where I think
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: fifty one hour, fifty two and a half somewhere in
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: that ballpark for that total and what at Land fifty one?
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: So yeah, yikes, that was that was very interesting as well.
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: But how about rewind it the friday we talked about
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: Oregon being also against Indiana. You had mentioned Indiana had
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: become the public darling, you were getting nothing but Indiana money.
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: If I remember quikly, it was a little bit of
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: a push for Oregon late, but for the most part,
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: it was over before it began. How did that? How
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: did the books do with Indiana and Oregon in Indiana
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: kill you?
• 6:00
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean they did.
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: Listen, there was a little bit of support for Oregon,
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: but I think the overwhelming Indiana money that has just
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: been coming through this whole tournament and then Indiana and
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: we'll talk about it too in the championship game. You know,
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: with them being the favorite that they are, they're very
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: popular in the moneyline favorite parlays. Indiana is always going
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: to be one of the two or three or four
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: legs in somebody's parlay because they just go out and
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: they beat everyone by forty. So, I mean people are
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: using Indiana like the free Bingos square now, so and
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: that's no different once we get to this championship game.
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: You've already seen that.
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: Yep, that is for sure, all right, Art, So let's
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: start there as we try to figure out where the
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: money is going this week and will we saw the
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: look ahead ART one five, five and a half for
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: an Indiana for Miami game. You and I talked about
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: that on Friday, and then you know, they absolutely steamrolled Oregon.
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: Then we saw seven and a half as an open
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: and unless it has been all Indiana ever since, correct,
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: I mean I saw maybe eight and a half's yesterday
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: pretty prevalent. I even saw nine in the market yesterday.
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: Steve and I talked about it and said, listen, if
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: you like Miami, there is no rush. It feels like
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: to have to bet Miami at this point because if
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: that money is coming, it is likely going to be
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: later in the week. Art They're going to see how
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: far this line gets pushed towards Indiana. But it feels
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: like that might be the only money you're just getting
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: so far in this one.
• 7:34
  Speaker 3: No doubt about it. And you mentioned it.
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: We opened seven and a half, we're now eight and
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: a half, and this is something we've talked about on
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: this show. Right we're starting to be around dead numbers,
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: So what's the difference. I mean, you know, eight, eight
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: and a half, nine, nine.
• 7:47
  Speaker 3: And a half.
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: You're right, I think we're going to see eventually how
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: high we could push this number. You've already seen the
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: money line stuff with Indiana. People are coming to the
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: window and lay in three thirty, lay in three forty
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: to win a coupleule of dimes because Indiana has just
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: been that team.
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: We have also mentioned we get murdered on Miami in
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: the futures, so we're rooting for Indiana, but we're also not,
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: you know, over here, just trying to give Indiana money away.
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: We're just gonna book the game the way we're.
• 8:16
  Speaker 3: Gonna book it. And I think I'm with you, guys.
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: I think this thing's gonna approach ten I think if
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: you like Miami, you like Miami on the money line,
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: I think you wait because the Indiana story is just overwhelming.
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: I haven't heard one person talk about Miami this week
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: or leading up to this game, and I think you're
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: just gonna continue with that. It's gonna continue to be
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: Indiana money here.
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: It feels a lot like that forty nine Ers Eagles game.
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: You know, we just could not find anybody wanting to
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: back the can't find anybody wanted to back Miami except
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: this six son of a bitch right here, all right,
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: So plenty of time there. Interestingly enough, as much of
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: as a move that we've seen and continue to see. Uh.
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: On the side, are not a lot of movement in
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: the total forty eight and a half isn't open still
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: forty eight and a half. You tend to usually get
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: those kinds of moves on the total when the limits
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: are higher later in the week or before kick. When
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: do you usually see the push with the total?
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean you'll see some probably total money later
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: in the week. And I think this is one two
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: where you'll see the public coming and want to bet
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: the over. They're just gonna want to bet a championship
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: game over and maybe you know, the sharp guys are
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: waiting to see this is total get pushed up a
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: little bit and maybe we want to come in and
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: fire on the under.
• 9:36
  Speaker 3: Just haven't seen that yet. Really, just for.
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: Us, the main moves have been on the money line
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: and on the side. Because you said we haven't budgeted
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: off our forty eight and a half.
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, exactly, And that seems to be pretty steady here.
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: Not so much though, lack of movement in the divisional
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: rounds now that we know everything that is set up
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: here are and I think the one game that stuck
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: out to everybody was the Denver and Buffalo game where
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: Buffalo opens up as that small favorite right one, one
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: and a half and it's like deja vu all over
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: again because they just did that with Jacksonville. But Jacksonville
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: ended up going off as the favorite. We're starting to
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: see some movement in that direction already are but Denver
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: feels like maybe they're the public side here early on.
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: What are you seeing in this game for us?
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: And we did open Buffalo as a small favorite minus one,
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: and our initial bets early bets, and I mean, this
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: is as public as it gets. A couple of you know,
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: money line stuff on Buffalo, you know, laying minus one, fifteen,
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: that type of stuff, and then one of our sharpest
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: NFL accounts did take Denver plus one, so we moved,
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: we moved to pick on the game. And I'm with
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: you on this. I think this is gonna be public's
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: gonna be all over Buffalo again. And I think the
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: sharp guys, and we've seen it early, are gonna look
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: to take Denver here. And this is a game, It
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: would not shock me if Denver closes as a one
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: to one and a half point favorite. It feels like
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: Denver is getting no respect. They haven't gotten a lot
• 11:12
  Speaker 2: of respect all year pretty much in the betting market.
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: It felt like, and I think buff Buffalo is going
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: to start to go on this you know ride here
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: with Josh Allen saying, Oh, he's going to make the
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: super Bowl and you're gonna really see And you gotta
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: remember too, the later we get in these playoffs, especially
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: super Bowl, you start to see way more public money. Yeah,
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: there's way more public money each round you go in
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: these playoffs. It always happens.
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, big time here. And we've had a couple
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: of days we you know, a couple of those games
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: after Saturday, we knew what the matchups were gonna be.
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: We knew the forty nine ers winning were heading back
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: to a very familiar foe there in Seattle, and we
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: saw what look ahead there. Six and a half maybe seven,
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: saw a lot of seven and a half. So I
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: think we're still at seven and a half here art
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: with Seattle and the forty nine ers. Not a lot
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: of movement on your end either here.
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: We opened seven, we moved to seven and a half,
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: and that was just a market move for us. It's
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: not like we took a bet on seven and pushed
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: us to the seven and a half. We didn't want
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: to be at seven. We said, you know what, we'll
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: go to seven and a half. We almost too, And listen,
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: when the market moves like that, then it's like, well
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: does someone want to come take seven in a half
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: And no one has bit yet on that. So now listen,
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: we know Seattle, when you sit at that seven seven
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: and a half gonna be very popular in moneyline parlays
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: and very popular and teasers.
• 12:34
  Speaker 3: There's no doubt we will be rooting for San Francisco.
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it feels like once again you're gonna need the
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: forty nine ers to make it a very profitable weekend
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: for the books there. And the Rams opened up three
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: and a half against Chicago. But I don't know, I'm
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: starting to see maybe a four or two pop up
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: in the market here, are you seeing any? And boys,
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: Chicago's becoming more and more public by the week here,
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: So what are we thinking the bears at home? Nobody
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: gives them a chance, and yet all they do is win.
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: I keep hearing art, It's true, nobody gives them a chance.
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: We opened three and a half on La we are
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: now four once again, that is a market move as well.
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: We didn't necessarily take a bet that moved.
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: Us to four.
• 13:16
  Speaker 3: It's funny our total.
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: I think we opened at fifty one, got as high
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: as fifty two, then we saw some sharp money bring
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: us back down to our opener fifty one. So for us,
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: really the total has been the big move in the game.
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: And let me say this on the futures, as we
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: talk about Miami killing us in college, the one team
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: we really need to avoid winning.
• 13:35
  Speaker 3: The Super Bowl is the Rams.
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: So we're gonna be root.
• 13:38
  Speaker 3: Yeah.
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: Oh, many have not stuff betting the Rams all year.
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: And I'll say this too. The Rams are huge two
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: in those exacts, you know, like Rams beat Patriots, Rams
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: beat Bills. Like if the Rams getting to the super
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: Bowl is even bad for us. So we really want
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: to avoid the Rams. We hope we get they get
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: picked off here in the next couple of weeks.
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: What we got, of course, after last night and CJ.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: Stroud turning the ball over it can't hold on to
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: it three times and still somehow or other, the Steelers
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: couldn't take advantage. But now Houston passed to head to
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: Foxborough to take on New England. Look ahead, I saw
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: two and a half in some spots threes. It feels
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: like that's kind of what we're at right now. Still
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: a lot of threes, but it looks like we got
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: some tickets and money on Houston here. But boy, nigga,
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: are they gonna win another game strictly by defense? Aren't?
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: Well, you know, their defense is good enough to win
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: a championship, now is their offense?
• 14:41
  Speaker 3: I don't think so. That defense is phenomenal. I'll say this.
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: We had had a debate on if Houston wins that
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: game last night, how do we open the game. If
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: it's a tight game, maybe they win in a last
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: second field goal. Maybe you open New England three. But
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: the way they dominated and the way that defense played,
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: and I get it, New England's way bet other than
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh and Houston's gotta go on the road again and
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: win a playoff game. We decided, hey, let's open New
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: England two and a half. We feel comfortable there at
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: the two and a half. Nobody's wanted to lay us
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: two and a half. Now, you know, under a field
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: goal with a home favorite in a playoff game, nobody
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: has done it yet. Now, obviously that line has had
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: the least amount of shelf life because obviously just came
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: out late last night.
• 15:21
  Speaker 3: We'll obviously be able to.
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: Talk about that game a little bit further as we
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: go down here on the weekend. Listen, a lot of
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: these games have barely had move in. We're gonna see
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: a lot more moving here in the next couple of days.
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: But we felt comfortable with you with Houston and New England,
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: New England being a two and a half point favorite.
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: What's the biggest handled game you think this weekend? All right,
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: what's gonna what's gonna garner the most, the most handled?
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: You think?
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: It's a great question. I think the Rams and Bears
• 15:49
  Speaker 2: are gonna be great there. Yeah, I could see that
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: because we're talking.
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: I mean the Rams.
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: You know, you gotta remember for us who we have,
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: the California influx that comes into town.
• 16:01
  Speaker 3: So we get that. The Bears are the Bears, and
• 16:03
  Speaker 3: they're very.
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: The late game on Sunday.
• 16:05
  Speaker 3: Yeah, it's the late game on Sunday. I think that
• 16:08
  Speaker 3: really helps you know.
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: Yeah, and now listen, once you get to this stage,
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: you're gonna get tremendous handle. Yeah, You're gonna get tremendous handled.
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: But I would say, right now, I think the Bears
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: Rams gonna get your highest hand.
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's gonna be your Sunday night game. Houston,
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: New England will be the three o'clock game on Sunday.
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: So a lot still gonna happen between now and then,
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: though Art certainly from the book perspective and the lines
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: will keep an eye on it all week long. But
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: you know, as we get ready to wrap up the
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: football season here, let's not forget we got plenty of
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: NBA and of course college basketball action. It is a
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: loaded slate here today of conference games in college hoops.
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: What are you seeing on the hardwood? NBA, college basketball, NHL?
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: Anything crazy as well here so far this morning.
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: Absolutely give us some stuff in all three Let's start
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: with the NHL saw some overnight money on the Islanders,
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: and we also saw some overnight money on Utah the Mammoth.
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: They've been pretty good at home. They are at home tonight.
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: When you go to the NBA in the big game,
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: okay See in the Spurs, I mean it feels like,
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: okay See really needs to win this game and prove
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: themselves that they can actually beat the Spurs. Okay, see,
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: we opened seven, we're now eight on the game. They're
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: going to be super popular as well in all the
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: money line parlays for the daily stuff. So obviously if
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: we can get the Spurs to win outright, that'd be
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: great because we'll knock all those thunder money lines out.
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: We've seen the over creep up two from two twenty
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: eight and a half to two thirty. And then in
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: College A and M took some money. Believe they're at
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: Tennessee they took plus money or took money at plus
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: nine and a half. U console really good over money
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: on the road at newly ranked Seat and Hall over
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: one thirty one now one thirty four, so.
• 17:55
  Speaker 3: You've seen a three point move to the over there.
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: And Oklahoma at home against Flow Oklahoma took money at
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: plus six.
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: Wow, so there you go. Oh you at home against
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: Florid who just destroyed Tennessee. Who's home against Texas A
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: and M there, and yeah, Seaton Hall and Yukon, interesting right,
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: I mean Yukon hasn't fared very well there against Seaton Hall,
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: especially at Seaton Hall over the last couple of seasons here,
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: so that should be a good still feels like one
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: thirty three is a ridiculously low number, and now it's
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: up to one thirty four, like it's been. They keep
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: betting the over there doesn't shock me. Art, So we
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: got a little sub for everyone here. Moving forward, NBA
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: and you know, college hoops NHL certainly going to be
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: front and center moving forward. Do you usually see the
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: transition art from right around now we're less football, now
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: we start to see a little more interest, a little
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: more handled towards the college basketball realm here or does
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: it stay pretty pretty steady from here moving forward?
• 19:00
  Speaker 3: I always say it like this.
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: You know what the college basketball season, let's say starts
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: November sixth. The guys who bet college basketball the whole year,
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: they're betting on November sixth. The public and the people
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: who just realize, oh wait, there's a college basketball season
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: going on.
• 19:15
  Speaker 3: They get involved the week after.
• 19:17
  Speaker 4: The Super Bowl.
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, it's.
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: Like they start remembering, oh wait, there's other sports, and
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: then you know, you're really deep in a conference play.
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: Then you're gonna get close to your conference tournaments. Then
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: you really start to see the public start to creep
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: in on the other sports. But the guys who bet
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: NHL NBA College Basketball. They're there from day one, you
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: know that. I mean, you know, they don't even care
• 19:39
  Speaker 2: about the football games, most of them. You know, we
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: have some accounts we see on November sixth, and then
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: we see to the end what April first second, whenever
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: the championship game is, and then we don't see in
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: the rest of the year. They are strictly college basketball accounts.
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: We have plenty of people like them.
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: Yeah, well, it's certainly there are some huge games coming up.
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: How else the time to get back into the swing
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: of things here. And if you're just watching college basketball,
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: you're going wait a minute, Kansas is at fog Allen
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: and they're an underdog. Like, what in the world has
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: happened here? Yeah, it's been that kind of season so far.
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the new nil in college Hoop's gonna make
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: things very interesting. Moving forward to art, all right, so
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: we've got everyone caught up. Of course, we'll have more
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: as the week progresses here, but it is time for
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: our Parlay of the Day art. So before we get
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: everyone else's picks here, Parlay of the Day can be
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: in any sport here today and you got a little
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: something for everyone. So what direction are you heading here tonight?
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: I always love the fired coach angle, and someone did
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: that in the NHL yesterday the Columbus Bluejackets fired their coach.
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: They're at home tonight against the Flames, who are no good.
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: I gotta lay one thirty, but I'm gonna do it.
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: Give me Columbus at home minus one thirty against the Flames.
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: Got to love it, all right, Art, this Caesar. If
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: it ain't bron don't fix it, min Man. That's what
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: we say here. Fired coaches system has been money. Let's
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: get it to cash again here tonight. All right, Art,
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: we'll talk to you again tomorrow. We'll have more updates
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: across the board. What's going on though? I imagine pretty interesting
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: time here at the book leading up to, of course
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, and then not a lot of time
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: to waste because March Madness will be just a month
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: away after that, and then all hell breaks loose. So
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: it's a little crazy for you now over at the
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: West Gate.
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, listen, playoff football mode is huge, and
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: you know, we really get into.
• 21:46
  Speaker 3: You know, longer I listen. The football season's always that way,
• 21:49
  Speaker 3: and we.
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: Recognize there's only a handful of games left, but we
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: start putting up a lot more content, a lot more props,
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: a lot more you know, index props, general game props.
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: Try to start to book all these NFL playoff games
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: like mini super Bowls with more options. So it's a
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: really fun time for us. A busy time, but a
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: fun time.
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: Yeah. About two and a half weeks away from pitchers
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: and catchers to Art. So I'll just remind you of
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: that that's around the corn World Baseball Classic should be
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: a whole lot of fun coming up, Man, Art, this
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: sees enjoyed the day. Man, we appreciate the time. As always.
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: We'll talk to you again, Omar. All right, Merril, So
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: Art is going with his usual fired coaches system. There
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: the Columbus Blue Jackets tonight in the NHL. Now it
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: is up to you and I not to screw this
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: three leg parlay of the day up. And we got
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: plenty of games to look at it too, a lot
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: of NBA, a lot of college basketball here. So which
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: side or which league are you looking to go with
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: for your end of the parlay of the day.
• 22:58
  Speaker 4: A little bit of a sharp money move, but I
• 23:00
  Speaker 4: think there's still some value at seven o'clock Eastern tonight
• 23:03
  Speaker 4: in the ACC College Hoops, Mimia Florida opened is about
• 23:06
  Speaker 4: a two and a half point favorite over Notre Dame.
• 23:08
  Speaker 4: Isn't it a appro pro that they're playing Notre Dame
• 23:11
  Speaker 4: in college hoops? And you got to figure that's a
• 23:13
  Speaker 4: huge spot for Notre Dame, right, the team that kept
• 23:16
  Speaker 4: them out of the college football playoffs. Well, the sharp
• 23:18
  Speaker 4: mightey doesn't feel that way. They're back in Miami of
• 23:20
  Speaker 4: Florida open two and a half. It's now up to
• 23:23
  Speaker 4: four and a half, even five at some of the
• 23:25
  Speaker 4: sharper allshore books, and I agree with that move tonight.
• 23:28
  Speaker 4: I think Miamia Florida is the better team in this game,
• 23:31
  Speaker 4: and if you're going to play it, I would lay
• 23:33
  Speaker 4: it with the Hurricanes. It would have been a great
• 23:35
  Speaker 4: college football game we saw the opening week of the season.
• 23:38
  Speaker 4: But now we're getting in college hoops tonight, and one
• 23:40
  Speaker 4: thing that jumps out to me, but Miami of Florida
• 23:42
  Speaker 4: a really good offensive team this season and get it
• 23:45
  Speaker 4: done really at both ends of the court. Off to
• 23:47
  Speaker 4: a three to zero starting the ACC. You look at
• 23:49
  Speaker 4: this matchup tonight as well against Notre Dame. I think
• 23:52
  Speaker 4: One of the edges Miami's going to have is not
• 23:54
  Speaker 4: only the offensive edge, but also with the tempo. Notre
• 23:57
  Speaker 4: Dame likes to play slow half court basketball, Miami's gonna
• 24:00
  Speaker 4: speed it up. And normally I side with the slower
• 24:02
  Speaker 4: half court team at home, but I just don't think
• 24:04
  Speaker 4: that matchup's gonna work tonight. Also, Miami does not rely
• 24:08
  Speaker 4: on the three point shot much. They're an excellent two
• 24:10
  Speaker 4: point shooting team scoring down low, and Notre Dame does
• 24:13
  Speaker 4: not force turnovers, So short money's on Miamia, Florida. I
• 24:16
  Speaker 4: would agree with that move tonight.
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: Yeah, And it's funny. I've been watching Steve all day long.
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: What a battle in the marketplace on the total. In
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: that game, it opened up one forty four and a half,
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: and at about nine thirty this morning, it got steamed
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: down to as low as one forty one and a half.
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: And we know, listen, Notre Dame and Shrewsbury's not gonna
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: be running up and down the court in any way,
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: shape or form here. But about an hour and a
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: half later it got jacked all the way back up,
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: steams all the way back up to one forty four,
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: one forty four and a half only to get hit
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: a game to go back the other way, and now
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: once again, sure enough the over money has come in.
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: So it's funny watching how that happened different hours during
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: the day. You can see the different steam moves across
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: the board multiple books. But we got two competing groups.
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: One thinks the unders to play in that game and
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: one thinks the over is, which likely means it's somewhere
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: in the middle. There isn't it, Steve.
• 25:17
  Speaker 4: Well, I think you could definitely make a case the
• 25:18
  Speaker 4: side and total or codependent. Right, So we saw that
• 25:21
  Speaker 4: early money coming to Miamia, Florida from two and a
• 25:23
  Speaker 4: half up to four and a half five That would
• 25:25
  Speaker 4: probably coincide with money coming on the over as well,
• 25:28
  Speaker 4: because Miami likes to play fast and Notre Dame plays slow,
• 25:31
  Speaker 4: and whichever team dictates the tempo side total probably correlated.
• 25:35
  Speaker 4: So a two team parlay with Miami over or Notre
• 25:38
  Speaker 4: Dame under probably would not be a bad investment tonight.
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: Like it all right, I am gonna go in the
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: NBA then, and I am going to I am going
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: to look at the Houston Rockets at home, who have
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: not played a home game. It feels like in a
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: very very very long time. But this starts a five
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: game homestand that they will be on and boil. It's
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: gotta be a little embarrassing right coming off a loss
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: to Sacramento. You couldn't beat Portland not once, but twice,
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: So I think they're gonna be glad to get home.
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: They're taking on a Chicago team who will have no Josh,
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: getting old Colby White very hard. I think for Chicago
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: to be competitive without them. This will be Sangoon's second
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: game back. I believe now from the injury. I would
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: look for Houston to light up Chicago in this one here.
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: I know it's thirteen, but it's thirteen for a reason.
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: I think Chicago's got a game tomorrow night against Utah
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: in which they'll probably get everybody back. But it feels
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: like this is one of those scheduled losses here Maryland.
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: It feels like Houston has a little frustration they might
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: want to get out tonight. So I'll take Houston for
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: my end of the of the parlay of the day.
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: So there you got it. We've got one NBA one
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: college and of course Art and the n h L guys.
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: Don't forget hit that light button, hit the subscribe button.
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: We do have a surprise for you, though, Prez.
• 27:08
  Speaker 4: Even though he.
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: Still claims to be at the poker table, Meryl is
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: apparently gonna drop in with a big announcement. He's got
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: a big play here tonight. He also has a couple
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: of plays in the NHL that he wants to give out,
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: so we'll hear from him shortly. But that does remind
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: me that, you know, it's now that I get the pres.
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: I can't get that picture out of my head here Meryl,
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: because now it is time for some business here. And
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: yet when it comes to the PRES, he's all about business. Apparently,
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: how about you tonight doing a loaded slate? What do
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: you got rolling over at wager Talk?
• 27:47
  Speaker 4: I like Eli wears that suit in more than one location.
• 27:50
  Speaker 4: It went from the Halloween party to the football stadium
• 27:52
  Speaker 4: where he's now apparently the halftime entertainment. He doesn't realize
• 27:56
  Speaker 4: that the outfit is the entertainment, not what he thinks.
• 28:00
  Speaker 4: But hey, leisure suit, whatever floats your boat, my man,
• 28:04
  Speaker 4: Time for some business. I've got one NBA best bet tonight,
• 28:07
  Speaker 4: one College Hoops best bet, both on my page. Steve
• 28:10
  Speaker 4: merrillwager talk dot com. And also we always post bonus
• 28:12
  Speaker 4: free plays on a daily basis. The last cut just
• 28:15
  Speaker 4: a bit outside goes up as a bonus free play.
• 28:17
  Speaker 4: So go get the free play and check out the
• 28:19
  Speaker 4: best bets. Oh because Joe I Bury the lead. Yeah,
• 28:21
  Speaker 4: this best bet is just five dollars. It's five dollars Tuesday,
• 28:26
  Speaker 4: and get multiple best bets both my college and pro
• 28:29
  Speaker 4: hoops plays for five dollars each normally be fifty. You're
• 28:33
  Speaker 4: getting a meat for just five bucks. Five dollars Tuesday,
• 28:35
  Speaker 4: wager talk dot com. Get to my page quicker wt
• 28:38
  Speaker 4: dot buzz slash.
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: Sm love it, Meryl. All right, yeah lockloaded you mentioned,
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: and I got to find dollar play college basketball. I
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: have actually a couple of games I really like a
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: lot on this loaded slate, all of it in packages
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: right now, including two in the NBA that you can
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: go get over on my page at wager talk dot com.
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: Take advantage of the five dollars Tuesday guys, customer appreciation
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: both at Steve's page and my page, and go grab
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: those five dollar plays and let's make it a profitable
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: night here, Steve. Just like well, the Houston Texans did
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: last night. Now that we know what the divisional round
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: is going to look like here Houston on its way
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: to New England, and we talked to Art earlier and
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: Art said, listen, whatever we see right now, we're likely
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: going to see maybe some different moves in different numbers
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: as the week and of course the limits rise. But
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: he also showed that looks like Denver in some spots
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: is already starting to get a little bit of love
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: in the marketplace because they were a dog to open.
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: We talked about that yesterday, Steve, and now it looks
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: like in a lot of spots Denver minus one here,
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: and it wouldn't shock me if this continent used to
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: go in that direction. How about you.
• 30:04
  Speaker 4: It's tricky because I think the situational setup, as we
• 30:06
  Speaker 4: talked about yesterday, definitely favored the Broncos and they were
• 30:09
  Speaker 4: a home dog. They were a one one and a
• 30:11
  Speaker 4: half point home dog Monday yesterday and we first started
• 30:13
  Speaker 4: talking about it. Now they're a pick them to one
• 30:15
  Speaker 4: point favorite in most spots, and historically speaking, having to
• 30:19
  Speaker 4: buy having home field has been worth four to five points.
• 30:21
  Speaker 4: It's a strong situational set up. Buffalo also last second
• 30:24
  Speaker 4: win come from behind when on the road now, traveling
• 30:27
  Speaker 4: cross country, playing in the thin air and altitude on
• 30:30
  Speaker 4: a short week against arrested team, huge situational edge for Denver.
• 30:34
  Speaker 4: The problem is, I'm not a believer in Denver. I
• 30:37
  Speaker 4: want to fade them. I think they're a phony one seed.
• 30:38
  Speaker 4: They won the majority of their games by less than
• 30:40
  Speaker 4: a score this season, and that does mean something. But
• 30:43
  Speaker 4: then again, they're the better defensive team as well, So
• 30:45
  Speaker 4: we get the situational set up the better defense with Denver,
• 30:48
  Speaker 4: I can understand why there has been some money coming
• 30:50
  Speaker 4: on the Broncos and why they're a slight favored now.
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: Yeah, and also I mean, now that we know it's
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: Houston and New England, two and a half is what
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: the Westgate all with a couple of spots opened up
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: at two and a half late last night. But we
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: wake up here today and it looks like three across
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: the board here, and I think that it feels like
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: Houston could get a little bit public as the week progresses,
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: because that defense is what everybody focuses on. But if
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: we're being honest, Meryl, you know both offenses. I think
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: we question, right New England, who the hell have you played?
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: This will be the best defense they have played in
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: Houston all year long. And Houston, I mean three turnovers.
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: You can get away with that against Pittsburgh. I don't
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: know even get away with that with New England. So
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: this is a tricky game, and I think the market
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: I don't know that we get back over a field
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: goal here. I don't think we get to three and
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: a half at any point. We might get back down
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: to two and a half.
• 31:53
  Speaker 4: Though, Oh we're geting to three and a half. Selth
• 31:55
  Speaker 4: point is dealing it right now. I'm looking at the
• 31:57
  Speaker 4: Ossite screen, Yeah, on Tuesday afternoon, and so I mean
• 32:00
  Speaker 4: this is we're seeing three a halbs. Even money, by
• 32:04
  Speaker 4: the way, in your defense, has happened about twenty five
• 32:06
  Speaker 4: minutes ago, so when you last look before the show,
• 32:08
  Speaker 4: it was three. But yeah, about one thirty eastern south
• 32:11
  Speaker 4: Point and some other books went to three and a half.
• 32:13
  Speaker 4: So we're definitely seeing it now. Total has not moved
• 32:16
  Speaker 4: and it's hovering on that key number of forty one one. Yeah,
• 32:19
  Speaker 4: about a three to four percent chance of game lands
• 32:21
  Speaker 4: exactly forty one points twenty one to twenty twenty four
• 32:24
  Speaker 4: to seventeen thirty one ten there's so many margins that
• 32:27
  Speaker 4: get you there. I will say last night, when I
• 32:30
  Speaker 4: was watching the game, thought that New England would be
• 32:32
  Speaker 4: at least a field goal favorite. So, you know, I
• 32:34
  Speaker 4: think two and a half was a bad opener. I
• 32:36
  Speaker 4: don't feel like Houston's necessarily a public team still. You know,
• 32:39
  Speaker 4: the Texans have been a fade the public team for years,
• 32:42
  Speaker 4: and they've gotten good the last few seasons. New England's
• 32:44
  Speaker 4: still a big name franchise. And I also watched the
• 32:48
  Speaker 4: game last night was thinking, how could you not play
• 32:51
  Speaker 4: the under? I mean, we just saw them play a
• 32:52
  Speaker 4: good Chargers defense. Texans statistically are the best d in
• 32:56
  Speaker 4: the NFL this year points allowed, nan yards allowed, and
• 32:59
  Speaker 4: LA held the Patriot offense and check. You know, the
• 33:02
  Speaker 4: big knock on New England this year was that they
• 33:04
  Speaker 4: didn't play anybody, and when they did step up against
• 33:07
  Speaker 4: good defensive teams, they were held in check at times.
• 33:10
  Speaker 4: With that said, though, you know, Joe, when you have
• 33:12
  Speaker 4: two teams coming off low scoring games, it seems a
• 33:14
  Speaker 4: little too obvious, right, So yeah, we'll see the under.
• 33:17
  Speaker 4: It seems like the play and at forty one there
• 33:19
  Speaker 4: is probably some value DraftKings has a forty and a
• 33:22
  Speaker 4: half already out there, but it's juice to the over.
• 33:25
  Speaker 4: Fan too has a forty one and a half Juice
• 33:26
  Speaker 4: to the under. Everybody else is a forty one. Yeah,
• 33:29
  Speaker 4: so you could definitely shop around right now in that total,
• 33:32
  Speaker 4: it's been moving a little bit depending on what book
• 33:34
  Speaker 4: you look at.
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's funny. I have my Odds Logic page open, Maryland.
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: I don't have any books that'd see three and a half.
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: I got all books that say three circa said three.
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: But everything is getting juiced right now here on that side.
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: Now if we do go I'm looking.
• 33:51
  Speaker 4: At Odds Logic. You don't have self point at three
• 33:53
  Speaker 4: half point?
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: No, I don't have that as one of the books
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: that's on my page that oh I got you.
• 33:59
  Speaker 4: Okay, Yeah, that's right, and that's one of the more
• 34:02
  Speaker 4: square books. To put it nicely out there. In Vegas,
• 34:04
  Speaker 4: they kind of limited winners at times, so that's interesting
• 34:08
  Speaker 4: as well that it's going up there. We'll see where
• 34:11
  Speaker 4: the public comes in. You know, all more data on
• 34:12
  Speaker 4: that hitting towards the week, and I'm gonna do videos
• 34:14
  Speaker 4: for all these games on Thursday and Friday, so we'll see,
• 34:18
  Speaker 4: you know, we'll see if Houston becomes a public team
• 34:20
  Speaker 4: or not. They just didn't look very impressive last night,
• 34:22
  Speaker 4: so I'm just not so sure the public's gonna be
• 34:25
  Speaker 4: jumping on board with them this week.
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: Hey, I am showing fifty one percent of the ticket,
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: sixty three percent of the early money towards Houston. But
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: it's it's clear this might be one of those situations
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: where it might get split down the middle before it's
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: all said and done. But even all the books, the
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: Circus of the World, the even DraftKings, Bet MGM, superb
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: all are juiced big time here at minus three, So
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: that could be if you, I would say, if you
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: like New England, get the three, because it certainly seems
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: to be heading in that direction, doesn't it.
• 35:03
  Speaker 4: Dave, Yes, Yes, and three and a half flat at Southway.
• 35:06
  Speaker 4: But there are some other books that have minus three
• 35:08
  Speaker 4: and a half even so you're exactly right. It's being
• 35:10
  Speaker 4: juiced on three juice the other way on three and
• 35:13
  Speaker 4: a half. You're not getting two and a half again,
• 35:15
  Speaker 4: that number's gone. I guess the only you know, little
• 35:20
  Speaker 4: point would be how much juice do you lay on three?
• 35:22
  Speaker 4: But yeah, minus three with New England, I'm pretty sure
• 35:24
  Speaker 4: it's gonna be the best number you get with the Patriots,
• 35:26
  Speaker 4: just depends on maybe how much juice you have to pay.
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: Yeah, and it's that's gonna be an interesting one to
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: follow because it's still pretty new and early in the week.
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: We'll see what happens once the limits get jacked up there.
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: But we have seen a little bit of movement in
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: the total market with Chicago and the Rams as well. Merrill.
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: We're seeing forty nine and a half's now opened at
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: fifty one. It was kind of stagnant twenty four hours ago,
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: but it appears we've got we've got some under money
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: hitting the market with the Rams in Chicago, and I'm
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: that weather report gets a little bit closer. I'm sure
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: that's gonna flucch Awight as well.
• 36:06
  Speaker 4: Yeah, and the Rams are a tricky team with totals
• 36:07
  Speaker 4: because they're as explosive offensively as anybody in the league,
• 36:10
  Speaker 4: but they're actually one of the best defenses. Also bears
• 36:14
  Speaker 4: good offense, not a good defense. And you know, I said,
• 36:16
  Speaker 4: Denver's kind of a phony number one seed. I think
• 36:18
  Speaker 4: it's because their offense is no good. Chicago, my opinion,
• 36:21
  Speaker 4: is a phony number two seed because I think their
• 36:23
  Speaker 4: defense is no good, so you could always, you know,
• 36:26
  Speaker 4: take some of that out of the equation by looking
• 36:27
  Speaker 4: at team totals Rams team totals twenty seven and a half,
• 36:32
  Speaker 4: Bears twenty two and a half. So you could just play,
• 36:34
  Speaker 4: you know, if you like the over in the game,
• 36:36
  Speaker 4: just play the RAM team total over twenty seven and
• 36:38
  Speaker 4: a half, because they do have a good defense that
• 36:41
  Speaker 4: could maybe hold Chicago and check. We saw Green Bay
• 36:44
  Speaker 4: hold them in check at times in the game a
• 36:46
  Speaker 4: few weeks ago, and even for the majority of the
• 36:48
  Speaker 4: game the other night. And let's not forget Jo. You know,
• 36:50
  Speaker 4: we talked about first quarter unders, first half unders. Yeah,
• 36:53
  Speaker 4: those did extremely well this week, even though some of
• 36:55
  Speaker 4: those games opened up in the second half. It's probably
• 36:58
  Speaker 4: another strategy of they'll need to work, especially on Saturday
• 37:01
  Speaker 4: when you have two teams at home that have been
• 37:03
  Speaker 4: laid off for a couple of weeks. You know, first
• 37:06
  Speaker 4: quarter under his first half hundreds if you like unders
• 37:08
  Speaker 4: and games, might be a better way to attack. In fact,
• 37:11
  Speaker 4: that New England game, let's look at what the first
• 37:14
  Speaker 4: half under is. First half under there is twenty and
• 37:16
  Speaker 4: a half. It's kind of an ugly number. Yeah, and
• 37:19
  Speaker 4: then first first quarter under in that New England Houston game,
• 37:22
  Speaker 4: it's seven and a half juiced under, well seven over.
• 37:25
  Speaker 4: I mean, it just shows they've caught onto that concept.
• 37:28
  Speaker 4: We got nine and a half's under in both games
• 37:30
  Speaker 4: on Saturday. Every good concept. I have the odds makers
• 37:34
  Speaker 4: priced me up. They do it.
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: Yeah, job, the market jumps all over it. But listen,
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: we told you yesterday it was ugly. I mean it
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: was eighteen and a half nineteen I think in that
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh and Us again, and it was sorry, it's uh.
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: I can't see us getting to twenty points in the
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: first half of that game, and they barely got to
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: nine last night, So that was that was a definitely
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: disgusting game last night. It looks like we've got some
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: bigger totals coming up this week, but those are the
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: big line moves early. But it's only Tuesday. Wait until
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: those limits start opening up and there's only four games
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: on the board, which means there's gonna be a lot
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: more public money flowing in at some point here during
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: the week, and we'll get you covered there, all right. NBA,
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: merrill back at it here tonight, boyt. That was some
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: ugly games. Last night in the Association, I had Dallas
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: and I almost couldn't watch it without trying to throw
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: up here, But they ended up getting you done for
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: us last night. Nothing worse than betting bad teams and
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: hoping for good things. But we got a couple of
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: those games on the board here tonight. So talk to
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: me here, give us an idea of some of these
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: games here, and give us a breakdown on what you're
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: looking at.
• 38:54
  Speaker 4: Gonna look at two late night NBA games for Tonite
• 38:56
  Speaker 4: Hawks Lakers at ten forty Eastern also Portland. Golden stated
• 38:59
  Speaker 4: the eleven pm Eastern. We're going late night to say
• 39:02
  Speaker 4: the least here, and let's start with that Atlanta Lakers
• 39:05
  Speaker 4: game to ten forty eastern. Obviously some uncertainty with the
• 39:08
  Speaker 4: Hawks recent trades and whatnot. Porzingis has been ruled out
• 39:11
  Speaker 4: tonight with the achilles. Luke Canard is questionable to play.
• 39:15
  Speaker 4: But the big news here is that Doncic has on
• 39:17
  Speaker 4: the injury report and as of Tuesday afternoon, he is
• 39:20
  Speaker 4: questionable whether he's going to go tonight with the groin.
• 39:23
  Speaker 4: And that's why we see currently in this line is
• 39:26
  Speaker 4: Atlanta as a substantial road favorite here of a field
• 39:29
  Speaker 4: goal full field goal open minus one, it's now minus three.
• 39:32
  Speaker 4: Totals dropped a little bit from two thirty three and
• 39:34
  Speaker 4: a half down to two thirty one and a half.
• 39:36
  Speaker 4: Just not sure if I trust the Hawks yet to
• 39:39
  Speaker 4: be fully focused and ready to roll. With that said, though,
• 39:42
  Speaker 4: they are playing good basketball, three straight wins and covers
• 39:45
  Speaker 4: their last three. They've gone five and two straight up
• 39:48
  Speaker 4: and going back further, they're now seven and two against
• 39:50
  Speaker 4: the spread their last nine. But if you look at
• 39:53
  Speaker 4: the totals in these games, they've been staying under the total.
• 39:55
  Speaker 4: Six of their last seven have gone under, and it's
• 39:58
  Speaker 4: because their defense has started to show up here with
• 40:00
  Speaker 4: those three straight wins, it's been on the defensive side
• 40:01
  Speaker 4: of the ball. Lakers, meanwhile, zero and three straight up
• 40:04
  Speaker 4: in ats their last three, maybe don't have dontic tonight.
• 40:07
  Speaker 4: I would lean under in this game here between the
• 40:09
  Speaker 4: Hawks and Lakers. It's dropped a little bit, but still
• 40:11
  Speaker 4: some value under two thirty one and a half in
• 40:14
  Speaker 4: that game and then the late game at eleven PM
• 40:16
  Speaker 4: Eastern Portland and Golden State a similar situation here. Golden
• 40:20
  Speaker 4: State should be pretty focused after the loss in their
• 40:23
  Speaker 4: last game against Atlanta. That team the Hawks just beat
• 40:25
  Speaker 4: was Golden State. Warriors have still won three of their
• 40:28
  Speaker 4: last four straight up, though defense has been suspect, though
• 40:31
  Speaker 4: they've given up over fifty percent shooting in five of
• 40:34
  Speaker 4: their last seven games. But it might not matter tonight
• 40:36
  Speaker 4: because the Trailblazer is one of the worst offensive teams
• 40:39
  Speaker 4: in the league. They've shot forty three percent or worse
• 40:42
  Speaker 4: in three of their last five games, in five of
• 40:44
  Speaker 4: their last seven, and despite doing that, they have still
• 40:48
  Speaker 4: won five of their last six games straight up and
• 40:50
  Speaker 4: against the spread, a recent loss against New York. Not
• 40:53
  Speaker 4: a believer in Portland, though this line's gone from nine
• 40:55
  Speaker 4: and a half up to ten and a half. I
• 40:56
  Speaker 4: think they're a little bit of a phony team. Should
• 40:58
  Speaker 4: be a focused spot tonight for Golden State. I would
• 41:00
  Speaker 4: take a look at the Warriors and lay the ten
• 41:02
  Speaker 4: and a half in this one, so under Lakers Hawks
• 41:05
  Speaker 4: and a bounce backspot for Golden State minus the ten
• 41:07
  Speaker 4: and a half. Two late night games for Tuesday, and
• 41:09
  Speaker 4: don't forget it is five dollars Tuesday, I've got a
• 41:12
  Speaker 4: five dollar best bet in the NBA in a different game,
• 41:15
  Speaker 4: and also a five dollar college hoops best bet get
• 41:17
  Speaker 4: both my top college and pro basketball player for just
• 41:20
  Speaker 4: five dollars each tonight Steve merrillwager talk dot com and
• 41:23
  Speaker 4: get there quicker with shortcut WT dot buzz slash sm
• 41:29
  Speaker 4: great stop Meryll.
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about some college basketball games here tonight.
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: We'll start with one of them right off the bat
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: that you don't often see, and that is fog Allen
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: and Kansas being at home and being a dog, Meryll,
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: and that never ever happens, but that hows when Iowa State,
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: I guess comes to town right now. But this is
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: a pretty big road test for Iowa State here to
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: go to fog Allen. You know, Peterson Weathery plays long
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: enough for or doesn't play long enough. It feels like
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: he's you know, he's playing long enough in big twelve
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: games to get his twenty some points and then all
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: of a sudden his legs can't go and he's on
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: the bench when ice packs and everything else. So you
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: really got your moneys, weren't there, Bill self? My goodness?
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: But the question is do we trust in Iowa State team?
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: So win and win by you know, more than a
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: bucket is what it looks like. Now, this was as
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: high as four and a half before we started to
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: see some buyback. I think it's three now in a
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: lot of spots in the market. But man, you don't
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: get to see Kansas as a home dog very often here.
• 42:42
  Speaker 4: Yeah, there is something to that, and obviously every team
• 42:44
  Speaker 4: is different every season, but when you have a historically
• 42:46
  Speaker 4: strong program, historically strong court like that, it does catch
• 42:50
  Speaker 4: your attention. And we talked about the NFL playoffs. You know,
• 42:53
  Speaker 4: blindly playing home underdogs for over forty some years now
• 42:56
  Speaker 4: has been a seventy percent playing in the NFL postseason.
• 42:58
  Speaker 4: We saw the Panthers almost win out as a double
• 43:00
  Speaker 4: digit dog, you know. We saw the Bears went out
• 43:03
  Speaker 4: as well, So I do put some credence in that.
• 43:05
  Speaker 4: It's very difficult to say lay the points here with that.
• 43:07
  Speaker 4: Iwa State, even though they are the better team on
• 43:09
  Speaker 4: paper this year also I was State sixteen, and oh
• 43:12
  Speaker 4: straight up, you know, we saw Michigan just lose recently.
• 43:15
  Speaker 4: I think Michigan's the best team in college basketball. When
• 43:17
  Speaker 4: you're undefeated and running like that, you almost start playing
• 43:19
  Speaker 4: tight at some point, Whereas I think Kansas has less
• 43:22
  Speaker 4: to lose here. They're off to a one and two
• 43:24
  Speaker 4: start in the conference. They're a home dog tonight, so
• 43:26
  Speaker 4: we'll dig into the matchup a little bit here. I
• 43:29
  Speaker 4: still have Kansas as a top twenty program, so it's
• 43:31
  Speaker 4: not like there are a much weaker squad this year.
• 43:33
  Speaker 4: There's still, you know, probably a four or five seed
• 43:35
  Speaker 4: in the NCAA Tournament. I was State, it's a one
• 43:37
  Speaker 4: or two seed. So this isn't a complete mismatch. And
• 43:40
  Speaker 4: then if you look at the pace of play, both
• 43:41
  Speaker 4: teams like an upper tempo pace of play. What it's
• 43:44
  Speaker 4: going to come down to, I think is really if
• 43:46
  Speaker 4: i Was State hits here at three pointers, the second
• 43:48
  Speaker 4: best three point shooting team in the country, yeah, forty
• 43:51
  Speaker 4: one percent. Kansas is the sixth best three point defense
• 43:55
  Speaker 4: in the country twenty eight percent. On the road, it's
• 43:57
  Speaker 4: tougher to shoot and make your shots. Hard to predict
• 44:00
  Speaker 4: three pointers, just like it's hard to predict turnovers and football,
• 44:03
  Speaker 4: and that's usually what decides both sports. But I get
• 44:05
  Speaker 4: a sneaking suspicion tonight, Joe that Iowa State might not
• 44:09
  Speaker 4: be quite as strong from three, and that could be
• 44:10
  Speaker 4: the difference in this game. So yeah, I think Kansas
• 44:13
  Speaker 4: definitely could pull the upset which is hard to believe.
• 44:14
  Speaker 4: We're saying it's an upset they beat I was stayed
• 44:16
  Speaker 4: at home.
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: Yeah, well again, they're not going to shoot forty one
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: percent the entire season Iowa State from three, So this
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: could be this could be a little bit of a
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: regression coming here tonight at fog Allen. That place will
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: be rocking. Also, I can't figure out. One of the
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: other flips that we've seen here today is with my
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: boys in Stillwater in Oklahoma State and they opened up
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: as a two point dog with Baylor come into town.
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: But Baylor sucks. I don't care who they have in
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: the portal that came there at twenty eight years old
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: NBA player doesn't make a difference. I mean, they have
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: dropped three straight. Houston destroyed them seventy seven to fifty five.
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: They were two and a half point home dog there
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: and it wasn't even close. Oklahoma State. It's eleven and
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: zero back in gallagha Iva there. Now, they did cover
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: against Iowa State even though they got destroyed eighty three
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: to seventy one, but they were eighteen and a half
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: point road dogs in that one. The market is flipped it.
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: The market does not trust Baylor in this spot, so
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: they went from a two point favorite to now a
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: dog here. You know, Baylor zero and two in Big
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: Twelve road games so far. Oklahoma State much better at
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: home than they have been on the road. And I
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: gotta kind of agree with the market. I can't trust
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: Baylor offensively right now.
• 45:38
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I rate these two teams almost dead equal, Joe
• 45:40
  Speaker 4: am I they're both barely top fifty teams. Like you said,
• 45:43
  Speaker 4: both off t the go. Oklahoma start off to the
• 45:46
  Speaker 4: Baylor off to the OZH and three starting conference. I
• 45:49
  Speaker 4: really don't think there's much of a difference between these squads.
• 45:52
  Speaker 4: So I think that's one of the reasons we've seen
• 45:54
  Speaker 4: some money coming to Oklahoma State. Is I just don't
• 45:56
  Speaker 4: as you said, I don't think Baylor should have been
• 45:57
  Speaker 4: a road favor. Minus two especially was a stranger. We're
• 46:00
  Speaker 4: a thought in this game, even at the Pickham price range. Now,
• 46:03
  Speaker 4: I think there's some value with Oklahoma State fifth fastest
• 46:06
  Speaker 4: tempo in the country. They like to get up and down.
• 46:08
  Speaker 4: Baylor likes that play at style of play as well,
• 46:11
  Speaker 4: so I don't think either team will be unhappy with it.
• 46:13
  Speaker 4: Both teams are very good offensive teams. Both offenses hold
• 46:16
  Speaker 4: the edge total, though has actually dropped one sixty eight
• 46:19
  Speaker 4: and a half down to one sixty six. We always
• 46:22
  Speaker 4: talk about how the highest totals go over, lowest totals
• 46:25
  Speaker 4: go under under. I think there's some value with the
• 46:27
  Speaker 4: over in this game, now over one sixty six and
• 46:30
  Speaker 4: at a Pickham range, I probably lean in Oklahoma State
• 46:32
  Speaker 4: is I favored them buy a couple of baskets here,
• 46:34
  Speaker 4: but the total might be the best way to attack this.
• 46:35
  Speaker 4: Two fast paced teams and two offenses that hold the edge.
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. I think that this should be a go.
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: And there's a lot of those across the board here
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: tonight in college basketball. It is a huge sleigh tier.
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: But we also have, of course, our mail bag that's
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: coming up here where some of the viewer question and
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: comments there from yesterday's show will highlight. But first, like promised,
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: we have a very special visitor, and I mean special
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: because the Pres is special. But Pres is here. He's
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: got a great opportunity for you guys tonight. Not to mention,
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: he's got an NHL rundown he's going to go through. So, Pres,
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: what do you got going for us here today?
• 47:24
  Speaker 5: Joe and Airy thanks for doing this. It's time for
• 47:27
  Speaker 5: your NHL rundown, everybody, and I came on today's show
• 47:30
  Speaker 5: even though I made Day two of the poker tournament
• 47:33
  Speaker 5: and starting in an hour. I came on because I
• 47:35
  Speaker 5: have one of those must bet plays.
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: Today.
• 47:37
  Speaker 5: It's a customer appreciation Tuesday. It's five dollars and I
• 47:42
  Speaker 5: have one of my probably the single most consistently profitable
• 47:47
  Speaker 5: bet I ever make in my life, and it is today,
• 47:50
  Speaker 5: and it is.
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: Very very rare.
• 47:52
  Speaker 3: We only had one of these recently and we won it.
• 47:55
  Speaker 5: Bottom line, guys, as I got a four percent NHL
• 47:57
  Speaker 5: play tonight. To give you perspective, this is a money
• 48:01
  Speaker 5: line bet. I am on an eight and two run
• 48:04
  Speaker 5: in these I am forty one and seventeen in these plays.
• 48:09
  Speaker 5: That's sixty seven percent since twenty twenty two.
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: That is correct.
• 48:15
  Speaker 5: Since the beginning of the twenty twenty two season. I
• 48:18
  Speaker 5: am forty one and seventeen in these plays. This is
• 48:22
  Speaker 5: as strong as it gets. It's only five dollars. Please
• 48:27
  Speaker 5: make sure make sure to bet this play, and make
• 48:31
  Speaker 5: sure to do it tonight. It also comes I have
• 48:36
  Speaker 5: an nfl ats five percent play. I got a promo
• 48:39
  Speaker 5: code inside there for you. Okay, guys, we've got our
• 48:43
  Speaker 5: NHL rundown coming your way. Let's get straight into it.
• 48:47
  Speaker 5: A whole lot of games tonight. We're going to start
• 48:50
  Speaker 5: right off the bat with Vancouver playing Ottawa. I like
• 48:54
  Speaker 5: the under in this game. It is six. Vancouver struggling
• 48:56
  Speaker 5: to score. We saw then put up a nothing against
• 48:59
  Speaker 5: the Leafs. Take under the total of six. Washington playing Montreal,
• 49:05
  Speaker 5: all I like this game to go under the total
• 49:09
  Speaker 5: of six as well. I also lean on Washington, but
• 49:12
  Speaker 5: I don't like the line. Tampa Bay playing Pittsburgh. I
• 49:16
  Speaker 5: like over the total of six here, guys, keep taking,
• 49:19
  Speaker 5: keep taking Pittsburgh games over. Keep looking to take Tampa
• 49:23
  Speaker 5: Bay games over. You should win on a regular basis.
• 49:26
  Speaker 5: Calgary playing Columbus. I look at Columbus here at minus
• 49:30
  Speaker 5: one forty against Calgary. Detroit hosting on the road playing
• 49:35
  Speaker 5: Boston tonight. I like under the total. You can get
• 49:38
  Speaker 5: a six and a half there, guys, so look to
• 49:41
  Speaker 5: take that. Carolina playing Saint Louis. Look, Carolina, this team
• 49:46
  Speaker 5: is going over, and Saint Louis they're struggling. I like
• 49:50
  Speaker 5: Carolina here, but I like them in regulation. I don't
• 49:53
  Speaker 5: want to lay minus one sixty five, especially with their
• 49:55
  Speaker 5: goaltending problems. Take Carolina in regulation. Take Edmonton and Nashville
• 50:02
  Speaker 5: to go over six and a half, and take Edmonton again.
• 50:05
  Speaker 5: I gave it out on my Instagram channel yesterday. Take
• 50:10
  Speaker 5: Edmonton again, New York Islanders playing Winnipeg. I like the
• 50:14
  Speaker 5: under in this game, and I like the under in
• 50:17
  Speaker 5: the Toronto Utah game. A great ever by Toronto last night.
• 50:21
  Speaker 5: Bad spot with Toronto as well. I do like Utah
• 50:24
  Speaker 5: and I take them in regulation, and I like Dallas
• 50:27
  Speaker 5: over Anaheim. Guys, thanks for listening, and please, if you
• 50:32
  Speaker 5: don't mind, five dollars head over grab my four percent
• 50:37
  Speaker 5: NHL money line bet. This is as big a play
• 50:40
  Speaker 5: as I give out, and they're very very rare.
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: Thanks so much. Back to Joe and Steve. Always good
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: to see the press. Probably have to see him again tomorrow,
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: buts hopefully he gets through with that poker tournament wins
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: a few bucks. Either way, we're gonna call Shenanigans on
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: them when again. Back here tomorrow, Meryl, let's take a
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: look at the mail bag here, Steve. A lot of
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: folks love to see you here on the show at
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: the Best Betting Show ever, which is always great. Somebody
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: what I think it was ghost Win Sports wants to
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: know how much longer can the Bears continue to be
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: the cardiac kids and win games like they have done.
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: They can they run the table? Art said the Bears
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: would be devastating to the books in the future markets.
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: If the Bears actually get to the Super Bowl and
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: win it, that would be a That would be a
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: bad situation for the book. But I don't know that.
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: You feel like the rucket the luck is running out
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: here with the Bears. Meryl.
• 51:48
  Speaker 4: Yeah, they're gonna be an underdog in every remaining game.
• 51:50
  Speaker 4: They'd have to win three more straight games, and underdogs,
• 51:53
  Speaker 4: they'd have to win four straight as a dog. Now,
• 51:55
  Speaker 4: it's not a coincidence that they make comebacks. They remind
• 51:57
  Speaker 4: me so much of not my Washington Commanders last season.
• 52:01
  Speaker 4: Young quarterback come from behind, wins questionable defense, and we
• 52:05
  Speaker 4: saw the Commanders come back down to earth. It was
• 52:07
  Speaker 4: my strongest season totals win play probably in several years,
• 52:11
  Speaker 4: under nine and a half. We've cashed it before their
• 52:13
  Speaker 4: bye week, and by the way, Dangles getting hurt it
• 52:16
  Speaker 4: was factored into that handicap because I thought he was
• 52:18
  Speaker 4: a ticking time bomb running the ball as much as
• 52:20
  Speaker 4: he does. Caleb Williams, bigger, stronger, doesn't run as much,
• 52:23
  Speaker 4: so that's not as likely. But you still win with
• 52:25
  Speaker 4: defense with championships. Now, I think Denver's a little phony
• 52:28
  Speaker 4: as well, because they don't have enough offense. And as
• 52:30
  Speaker 4: I pointed out yesterday, teams that win close games, margin
• 52:33
  Speaker 4: of victory matters, and that's how the points spread is said.
• 52:36
  Speaker 4: It's margin of victory and schedule strength. The Bears, the Broncos,
• 52:40
  Speaker 4: teams like that that keep having narrow wins, The Commanders
• 52:43
  Speaker 4: last year, the Chiefs last year fit that category, and
• 52:45
  Speaker 4: we saw how they regress this year. So yeah, I
• 52:48
  Speaker 4: don't think the Bears run the table here, and they're
• 52:50
  Speaker 4: definitely a regression candidate even next season, maybe if they
• 52:53
  Speaker 4: don't shore up that defense a little bit in the offseason.
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: I agree there. Also, we've got Dennis Carter, ju says,
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: you know, John Elway used to be called the comeback kid. Meryll,
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: He says, he guess is Josh Allen has got to
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: be the new comeback kid. Listen, I could say Caleb
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: Williams is the new comeback kid. Would have spenny games
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: as they have done, but I think they've won in
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: the you know, in spite of him. But Josh Allen,
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: Now that's somebody that has not just been doing it
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: one season. He's all he does in December and January,
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: Steve is that when the game and the teams in
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: the competition is better, all he does is win games.
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's even against this defense of Denver, who,
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: by the way, over the last couple of weeks of
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: the season, is not the same suffocating defense that it
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: was earlier in the year. But he plays his best
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: against better defenses. He always has. That's just that's you know,
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: you don't come across that. But comeback, kid, I'm sure
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: he'd rather not have to comfort behind in the fourth
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: quarter of the second half, merrill of every game. But
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: it does feel a lot very But you know, John
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: Elway asked what we're getting from man.
• 54:03
  Speaker 4: Yeah, it's funny you mentioned that because that last question
• 54:06
  Speaker 4: I was about to say. You know another team that
• 54:08
  Speaker 4: comes to mind with all these comebacks and questionable defenses
• 54:10
  Speaker 4: the Buffalo Bills. Their run d gives up just like Chicago.
• 54:14
  Speaker 4: Both give up over five yards of carry that's half
• 54:16
  Speaker 4: a first down every time the team opponent runs the ball,
• 54:18
  Speaker 4: you can't. That's not sustainable normally. The difference, though, is
• 54:22
  Speaker 4: it's not a fluke. They come back because Caleboys was
• 54:24
  Speaker 4: playing great, Jayden Daniels played great last year and Josh
• 54:26
  Speaker 4: Allen's better than both of them. And what is it
• 54:28
  Speaker 4: I think now thirty six come from behind wins in
• 54:31
  Speaker 4: the fourth quarter or whatever that stat was they showed
• 54:33
  Speaker 4: last week it was thirty five as he was driving
• 54:36
  Speaker 4: down the field. I don't remember the exact qualifier. I
• 54:38
  Speaker 4: think maybe it was fourth quarter comeback in his career.
• 54:41
  Speaker 4: So now it's thirty six. So yeah, there's something to that,
• 54:43
  Speaker 4: right and John Elloy there was, and they're both really good.
• 54:45
  Speaker 4: They're MVP caliber quarterbacks. And I will say, you know,
• 54:48
  Speaker 4: we talked about this yesterday, like if experience matters, it's
• 54:52
  Speaker 4: like the Rams, the forty nine ers and maybe the Bills, Theos,
• 54:55
  Speaker 4: like the only three teams left in the playoffs that
• 54:57
  Speaker 4: you could say have any kind of big game experience,
• 55:00
  Speaker 4: whether in the conference title game or even the Super Bowl.
• 55:02
  Speaker 4: And there again you start looking at the quarterbacks for
• 55:04
  Speaker 4: those teams. Matthew Stafford's the favorite to be MVP. Drake
• 55:08
  Speaker 4: May is the second favorite, but he doesn't have the experience.
• 55:11
  Speaker 4: But Josh Allen is up there as well. He has
• 55:13
  Speaker 4: the experience. And I'll even throw rock Party. I don't
• 55:16
  Speaker 4: know if he has all the experience, but he's been
• 55:17
  Speaker 4: clutched now, been there for a few years. And was
• 55:20
  Speaker 4: he in the super Bowl? He made the super Bowl
• 55:22
  Speaker 4: that first year, right, yeah, but he.
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: Didn't play because that's where they had to go, like uh.
• 55:26
  Speaker 4: He when they remember his rookie year. If they made
• 55:29
  Speaker 4: it or not.
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: To the NFC Championship.
• 55:33
  Speaker 4: I believe they lost it home. I think to they
• 55:36
  Speaker 4: maybe the Eagles or somebody.
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, Josh Johnson, yeah yeah, yeah.
• 55:41
  Speaker 4: So we have two and a half qualifiers Stafford and
• 55:44
  Speaker 4: Allen and then maybe Party. And I will say this
• 55:48
  Speaker 4: too about the Niners. You look up Mac Jones's numbers,
• 55:50
  Speaker 4: they were five and three with them. I think they're
• 55:52
  Speaker 4: like eight or nine and one now with Party this year.
• 55:54
  Speaker 4: Whatever the record is, Mac Jones is like yards per
• 55:57
  Speaker 4: pass QB rating, We're almost identical in the games he played.
• 56:00
  Speaker 4: So could also make an argument maybe the San franc
• 56:03
  Speaker 4: system is just good and you know, Shanahan and whatnot.
• 56:06
  Speaker 4: But yeah, if you really break it down, simplistically, it's
• 56:08
  Speaker 4: gonna be Rams Bills, right, but I still don't trust
• 56:11
  Speaker 4: that Buffalo defense. But that's another reason I'm not big
• 56:13
  Speaker 4: on Chicago. They'd have to get through both the Rams
• 56:15
  Speaker 4: and Seattle, who I think are probably the two most
• 56:17
  Speaker 4: complete teams right now.
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: Yeah, well, he actually did. He actually made it to
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: the super Bowl. They lost to the Chiefs in twenty
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: twenty four. You're right, twenty three, twenty four, right, and
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: five and two in the playoffs, so.
• 56:32
  Speaker 4: You know, Okay, Yeah, I thought he maybe made his
• 56:34
  Speaker 4: rookie season because that's where he came out of nowhere,
• 56:36
  Speaker 4: started the second half of the season and had the
• 56:38
  Speaker 4: monster run. Okay, so I throw him in the mix.
• 56:40
  Speaker 4: He's got super Bowl experience, yep. I'd say, if you
• 56:43
  Speaker 4: can win the conference championship, you have experienced at that point.
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: We got there, I agree. Yeah, And now you know,
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: and they've pulled off some upsets his rookie year twenty
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: twenty two. They ended up beating the Seahawks in the
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: wild card. They beat the Cowboys in the Divisional, but
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: they lost to the Eagles. That's when they had the
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: go I think wildcat or whatever the hell that was.
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: It was Actually he was araz It's been that long.
• 57:04
  Speaker 4: I thought two rookie Seaton, Yeah, yep, man ten years old.
• 57:09
  Speaker 4: I could tell you every score of every Super Bowl
• 57:11
  Speaker 4: for the first twenty years, and I can't even tell
• 57:13
  Speaker 4: you played in it two years ago. I didn't remember.
• 57:15
  Speaker 4: I knew they were in it recently. And that might
• 57:17
  Speaker 4: start irrelevant hewers out there, but it's just like you're
• 57:20
  Speaker 4: talking about twenty games every day and every sport. It
• 57:22
  Speaker 4: just starts to yep, overload.
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: First rookie quarterback since Russell Wilson in twenty twelve to
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: win a playoff game. That's who he is, Mister irrelevant
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: kind of and nobody puts him in that category. It's
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: so funny nobody looks at him that. But I mean,
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: the guy is certainly when it comes to experience, you
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: have to take what he brings to the table pretty well.
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: And again to go on the road and do it
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: was pretty down impressive even against you know that Philadelphia offense.
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: But we'll the luck run out against Seattle this week.
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know, are we really banking on Sam Donald
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: if you had, I mean, just from a quarterback perspective,
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: who's got more experience? Brock Perty or Sam Donald in
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: his spot.
• 58:07
  Speaker 4: Great, great point. I was just going to say there
• 58:09
  Speaker 4: was a name I did not mention during that whole conversation.
• 58:11
  Speaker 4: If you were calling it was on purpose. I did
• 58:13
  Speaker 4: not mention Sam Donald. He does not quit. He does
• 58:15
  Speaker 4: not fit any of those qualifiers. Now Drake May doesn't either,
• 58:18
  Speaker 4: but May's just like the second of the MVP odds
• 58:21
  Speaker 4: right now. So I think he's had a slightly better
• 58:22
  Speaker 4: season than Donald. Yep, strall, you know Strald that has
• 58:25
  Speaker 4: had some wins in the playoffs. But if you really
• 58:28
  Speaker 4: look at it, it's an interesting system to use as well.
• 58:31
  Speaker 4: In the NFL. During the regular season, we talked about
• 58:33
  Speaker 4: Kansas being a rare home dog.
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 58:36
  Speaker 4: Getting the better quarterback as an underdog price in the
• 58:38
  Speaker 4: NFL is probably. I haven't back tested that. Probably should.
• 58:42
  Speaker 4: You'd have to put some quantifiers on it. You'd almost
• 58:44
  Speaker 4: have to do it by hand, because you know, I
• 58:46
  Speaker 4: don't know you quantify who was the better quarterback maybe
• 58:48
  Speaker 4: career QB rating or something, or for that season. You
• 58:51
  Speaker 4: could do something like that. But the eyeball test, I
• 58:54
  Speaker 4: think we would all agree that party has had the
• 58:56
  Speaker 4: better career consistently than Donald getting him as a dog
• 58:59
  Speaker 4: of a yep. And we also have the quick revenge spot,
• 59:04
  Speaker 4: you know, Bowl rematches. The team that lost the regular
• 59:07
  Speaker 4: season game is five and one. The only one that
• 59:09
  Speaker 4: buck that trim was all miss beating Tulane is like
• 59:11
  Speaker 4: a three touchdown favorite, and that's a quick rematch there
• 59:14
  Speaker 4: too with Seattle San fran YEP. I'll be interesting to
• 59:17
  Speaker 4: see what the public lines up on that one.
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: Five and two in the postseason with Super Bowl experience,
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: you know, let me know when Sam Donald gets those
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: you know, five wins in the postseason, Let's see how
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: that rolls out there. But that's why I got to
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: play the game, and they'll do that on Sunday. Final game,
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: I believe, of the two on Saturday. San Francisco Seattle
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: is the late game on Saturday, Buffalo and Denver is
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: the four to thirty game, and then Houston and New
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: England kicks it off on Sunday at three. So that
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: final game is going to be Rams versus Chicago this week,
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: and that'll be Sunday night at six thirty. So a
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: lot can happen between now and then, but we will
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: certainly keep you posting art the season all week long.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: Steve Merrill always a pleasure man. It's been a lot
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: of fun having you on the show. And you and
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: I both press well Thursday Thursday exact press confirmed. Yes
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: he's flying.
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 4: Apparently he told me today I'm doing to day and Thursday,
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 4: so you have him tomorrow. Yes, he's your responsibility, and
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 4: then Thursday were okay, and then Friday he get him again.
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 4: I would assume yes.
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: Really think this would be great if we can only
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: get Brian Power in, that would be really a homecoming.
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: All good stuff. Merrill enjoyed the damn games here tonight.
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: Reminded people it is five dollars Tuesday, right, everything up
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: over at wager talk dot com for us.
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 4: That's right, it could be a simpler. Look at that
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  Speaker 4: college hoops night for his five dollars each five dollar Tuesday.
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 4: Self explanatory. As we say in the business.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: That's correct. Go get him. His is all locked and loaded.
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: I got one in college basketball ready to go, guys,
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: So make sure you hit that like subscribe button and
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: make plans to come back and join us again tomorrow
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: and merrill, we'll see you apparently on Thursday. Enjoy the games, guys,
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: we'll see you tomorrow