Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / CLARITY Next Steps🔥Kristen Smith INTERVIEW🚨Solana Policy Institute
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: All right, let's dive into Clarity today because there's a
- 0:02Speaker 1: lot happening now that it has moved out of the
- 0:05Speaker 1: Banking Committee, and we're going to break all that down
- 0:08Speaker 1: for you. We have a special guest coming over from
- 0:10Speaker 1: the Salona Policy Institute. Let's just get started. I do
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- 0:51Speaker 1: to bring in Kristin Smith, who is the president at
- 0:53Speaker 1: the Salona Policy Institute today. How are you, Kristin?
- 0:57Speaker 2: Good morning, Paul, great to be here and excited about
- 1:01Speaker 2: the developments this week.
- 1:03Speaker 1: Listen, it was a big week. Yesterday pretty much a
- 1:06Speaker 1: rapid fire of amendments, and then of course those amendments
- 1:10Speaker 1: pretty much were I don't know if they were shot down,
- 1:13Speaker 1: but they were somewhat ignored coming out of the Senate,
- 1:16Speaker 1: and maybe there were some deals that were made to
- 1:20Speaker 1: kind of get into that, just to kind of get
- 1:22Speaker 1: people going. I'll give you guys a few things. This
- 1:25Speaker 1: was a few interesting developments and reactions from yesterday. This
- 1:29Speaker 1: was Amanda Fisher. She was talking about the issue around
- 1:33Speaker 1: I just don't get it. The industry spent years saying
- 1:35Speaker 1: crypto didn't fall within the SEC's jurisdiction. Now we're seeing
- 1:39Speaker 1: this kind of spin. You look at that, you also
- 1:43Speaker 1: look at the ABA, which of course moved directly into
- 1:47Speaker 1: doubling down on statements around what to do in term
- 1:51Speaker 1: of advancing the Clarity Act, and of course at all
- 1:53Speaker 1: centers around that right there, which is stable cooin yield. Guys,
- 1:56Speaker 1: So you guys know this generating rewards is the sticking
- 2:00Speaker 1: point for the ABA. So it's going to be a
- 2:03Speaker 1: big one. What do you consider as bipartisan right now? Kristin.
- 2:08Speaker 2: Yeah, well, you know, I mean, I think, as a
- 2:10Speaker 2: technical measure, anytime you have a legislation where there are
- 2:14Speaker 2: either co sponsors or votes where you have at least
- 2:18Speaker 2: one senator from both sides of the aisle, that is
- 2:22Speaker 2: technically considered bipartisan. But the real threshold here with the
- 2:27Speaker 2: Clarity Act is we need sixty votes to get it
- 2:30Speaker 2: out of the Senate, and there are fifty three Republicans,
- 2:34Speaker 2: forty five Democrats, and two independents, and so you know,
- 2:38Speaker 2: depending on if all the Republicans vote or not, you
- 2:41Speaker 2: know you're going to need at least another seven. And
- 2:43Speaker 2: so I think, you know, as you know, we look
- 2:47Speaker 2: at this legislation, we want it to be bipartisan because
- 2:50Speaker 2: it AA has to be bipartisan. But also the bills
- 2:53Speaker 2: that are bipartisan tend to have more staying power. They
- 2:56Speaker 2: aren't revisited anytime soon, Like they're really like the best
- 3:00Speaker 2: negotiated deals because you have inputs from all sides of
- 3:05Speaker 2: kind of the political spectrum. And so, you know, our
- 3:08Speaker 2: hope is that you know, I think listen, going into
- 3:12Speaker 2: the markup yesterday, there was a lot of nervousness around
- 3:16Speaker 2: whether or not we would have Democrats joined the Republicans.
- 3:20Speaker 2: It was clear we had all the Republican votes, but
- 3:22Speaker 2: it was a question of whether or not we would
- 3:24Speaker 2: get the additional Democratic senators to join. That did happen,
- 3:28Speaker 2: and that means that this bill has a much much
- 3:31Speaker 2: greater chance of getting floor time on the Senate floor.
- 3:34Speaker 2: If it had been just a straight partisan line, it
- 3:37Speaker 2: might not have had the momentum needed to finish the process.
- 3:40Speaker 2: So I'm incredibly pleased that Senators Diego and Senators also
- 3:45Speaker 2: Broke joined with the Republicans to get this bill out
- 3:48Speaker 2: of committee into the next phase, because if that had
- 3:51Speaker 2: not happened this week, it would have been very, very difficult.
- 3:54Speaker 2: It starts to get very difficult to have enough time
- 3:57Speaker 2: to complete the process before the end of the year.
- 3:59Speaker 2: So very excited that we reached this critical milestone.
- 4:03Speaker 1: Well, we're going to talk about timing here, because this
- 4:05Speaker 1: is going to get very, I think, very dire if
- 4:07Speaker 1: we don't get things moving quickly. You mentioned Gego and
- 4:11Speaker 1: also Brooks, others that we're concerned about. Obviously, Mastow is
- 4:15Speaker 1: in the hunt in terms of being able to turn
- 4:18Speaker 1: into a yes vote, but with Diego and also Brooks,
- 4:22Speaker 1: they did have a statement yesterday that kind of gave
- 4:26Speaker 1: them an out. Yes, they were voting to get this
- 4:29Speaker 1: through the committee, but it did kind of position it.
- 4:32Speaker 1: Do you think they'll end up rug pulling us? I
- 4:35Speaker 1: feel like, yeah, playing here.
- 4:38Speaker 2: No, I certainly, I certainly hope they don't rug pull us. Obviously,
- 4:41Speaker 2: each vote is an independent vote, and senators it's so
- 4:45Speaker 2: prerogative to vote how they want. But I think that
- 4:48Speaker 2: there there's been a lot of time and effort, both
- 4:52Speaker 2: in the House, with the Senate, with the White House,
- 4:55Speaker 2: that has gone into this bill, and I think that,
- 5:00Speaker 2: you know, people start to they have skin in the game.
- 5:02Speaker 2: They've spent hours and hours and hours negotiating this, and
- 5:05Speaker 2: so it is my hope that you know, they they
- 5:08Speaker 2: don't rug pull. Listen, Like we do this all the
- 5:12Speaker 2: time right at Salana Policy Institute, when I was at
- 5:14Speaker 2: the Blockchain Association. You want to preserve your optionality to
- 5:17Speaker 2: continue to negotiate, and so oftentimes support at one stage,
- 5:23Speaker 2: you know, doesn't necessarily mean support all the way through
- 5:25Speaker 2: the process. So so no, I, but listen, I think
- 5:29Speaker 2: that these senators, you know, I wasn't in the room,
- 5:31Speaker 2: but my colleagues were in the room. We sort of
- 5:33Speaker 2: divided and conquered yesterday. And the thing that I don't
- 5:38Speaker 2: think was a parent from viewing it versus being in
- 5:40Speaker 2: the room, is that negotiations were happening on this bill
- 5:45Speaker 2: up to the very last minute. I think both the
- 5:47Speaker 2: Republicans and the Democrats knew that if we wanted to
- 5:51Speaker 2: keep this bill moving forward, like, there had to be
- 5:54Speaker 2: some bipartisan support coming out of committee. And so, you know,
- 5:58Speaker 2: there was a tremendous amount of activity the room. I think,
- 6:00Speaker 2: you know, the fact that there was this recognition that
- 6:02Speaker 2: it needed to be bipartisan to increase its chances was good.
- 6:07Speaker 2: I think that, you know, the Republicans gave some concessions
- 6:10Speaker 2: in order to get Diego and also Brooks's votes at
- 6:13Speaker 2: this time, and I think that, but I think it
- 6:16Speaker 2: just shows that they're committed to finding a pathway forward
- 6:20Speaker 2: and you know, getting this to the Senate floor as
- 6:23Speaker 2: quickly as possible.
- 6:24Speaker 1: All Right, you just mentioned something there that the Republicans
- 6:26Speaker 1: may have given some concessions. What would you think that
- 6:30Speaker 1: concessions have been given so far in terms of just
- 6:34Speaker 1: your opinion?
- 6:35Speaker 2: Yeah, No, I think that there was one issue that
- 6:38Speaker 2: I think we need to continue to work on as
- 6:40Speaker 2: an industry. But this had to deal with sections three
- 6:45Speaker 2: oh one and six o four. And for those of
- 6:47Speaker 2: you who don't live in legislative build text all the time,
- 6:50Speaker 2: this is the relationship between UH sort of the rule
- 6:54Speaker 2: making for sort of non decentralized systems and the Blockchain
- 7:00Speaker 2: Regulatory Certainty Act, which are the developer protections. And so
- 7:04Speaker 2: there were a couple changes made to those sections, but
- 7:10Speaker 2: there were also some changes related to bank amissibility, to tokenization,
- 7:17Speaker 2: to insider trading, to customer protections. These were sort of
- 7:20Speaker 2: the bipartisan series of amendments that were passed, and I think,
- 7:24Speaker 2: you know, it was very exciting to hear Senator Diego
- 7:28Speaker 2: when he first said that he planned to support for it.
- 7:30Speaker 2: I think there was a real, you know, sort of
- 7:32Speaker 2: sense of relief and excitement amongst those of us watching
- 7:36Speaker 2: because it did show that there was a pathway forward
- 7:40Speaker 2: on a bipartisan basis, and so very very exciting, very
- 7:43Speaker 2: dramatic markup and a lot of activity being negotiated directly
- 7:48Speaker 2: in the room.
- 7:50Speaker 1: You look at what Sander was talking about. He's the
- 7:53Speaker 1: one of the reporters over at the CRYPT and he
- 7:56Speaker 1: mentioned also Brooks kind of holding on to this whole
- 7:59Speaker 1: issue around ethics, which we've talked about quite a bit,
- 8:03Speaker 1: but this is one of the things that we are
- 8:05Speaker 1: concerned about that this could become another sticking point in
- 8:10Speaker 1: terms of negotiations that are happening right now. We'll get
- 8:14Speaker 1: to timing a second. Obviously, ethics are going to be
- 8:17Speaker 1: a big part of this. Where do you think the
- 8:20Speaker 1: line will get drawn? Do you guys have any opinion
- 8:23Speaker 1: on what you think is going to come out of it?
- 8:25Speaker 2: You know, I think it's a It's an interesting issue
- 8:29Speaker 2: because this is legislation about regulating different participants in the
- 8:34Speaker 2: crypto space. You know, the ethics is not really regulation
- 8:39Speaker 2: of crypto. It's regulation and obligations that apply to government
- 8:44Speaker 2: employees all the way up, you know, from the president
- 8:47Speaker 2: down to the to the interns, right, and so this
- 8:52Speaker 2: is really a politically driven issue. This is about Democrats
- 8:58Speaker 2: wanting to hold you know, President Trump accountable for anything
- 9:03Speaker 2: him or his family might be doing with you know,
- 9:06Speaker 2: the crypto space. And so I do think for the
- 9:10Speaker 2: crypto industry it's a little bit challenging because we're not
- 9:12Speaker 2: really a party at this table, right, you know, we
- 9:16Speaker 2: we I think the thing that that the crypto industry
- 9:20Speaker 2: cares about, at least that we care about it, Slam
- 9:22Speaker 2: a policy institute. Is we want, like the example I
- 9:25Speaker 2: keep using, if we want a senator to go to
- 9:27Speaker 2: the floor of the Senate and give a speech celebrating
- 9:30Speaker 2: the Satoshi's the anniversary of Satoci's white paper, you know,
- 9:34Speaker 2: we don't want We want them to be able to
- 9:36Speaker 2: say the word bitcoin without them running into an ethics issue, right.
- 9:40Speaker 2: We want we want senators to be able to talk
- 9:42Speaker 2: about it, and especially as we see tokenization of assets,
- 9:46Speaker 2: you know, everything is going to be on crypto rails
- 9:48Speaker 2: at some point, and so we need to make sure
- 9:51Speaker 2: that that the ethics Provision is written in a way
- 9:54Speaker 2: where senators can have conversations that aren't being perceived as
- 9:59Speaker 2: being like endorsement of a specific token. And so I
- 10:03Speaker 2: think that you know, these conversations are ongoing. I know
- 10:07Speaker 2: that there was a lot of work that was done
- 10:09Speaker 2: between the Senate Democrats and the White House last week.
- 10:13Speaker 2: But this is kind of a funny issue because it
- 10:15Speaker 2: doesn't really have anything to do with the core part
- 10:18Speaker 2: of the bill. They're definitely you know, focused on crypto
- 10:23Speaker 2: industry assets and activity as opposed to just sort of
- 10:26Speaker 2: broader general you know, Trump has a lot of real estate,
- 10:29Speaker 2: for example, There's a lot of industries out there, and
- 10:31Speaker 2: so it's a really delicate one and it's one that
- 10:36Speaker 2: I think is not one that the industry is at
- 10:40Speaker 2: the table on. But I do think as the bill
- 10:42Speaker 2: moves forward and we negotiate and solve some of these
- 10:45Speaker 2: other outstanding issues that are there, if the last thing
- 10:49Speaker 2: that's left is ethics, I think there's going to be
- 10:51Speaker 2: a tremendous amount of pressure both on the White House
- 10:54Speaker 2: and the Democrats to find a deal and to attach
- 10:58Speaker 2: that and get that done, because, as I said, there's
- 11:00Speaker 2: just been you know, thousands and thousands of hours of
- 11:04Speaker 2: work that has gone into this legislation, and I think
- 11:06Speaker 2: people are going to want to see it across the
- 11:08Speaker 2: finish line.
- 11:08Speaker 1: I'm kind of I'm kind of curious now that David
- 11:11Speaker 1: Sachs has stepped away from that position. You've got Patrick
- 11:16Speaker 1: with kind of I guess leading the charge there. Who
- 11:20Speaker 1: would be at least in the negotiation side from the
- 11:24Speaker 1: administration that would maybe even get into a debate around ethics.
- 11:29Speaker 2: Well Patrick is definitely the sort of main negotiator on
- 11:33Speaker 2: behalf of the White House, and I think he's been
- 11:36Speaker 2: doing a phenomenal job. And for somebody who you know,
- 11:40Speaker 2: a year ago wasn't doing much with cryptopolicy, it's been
- 11:43Speaker 2: really amazing to see how effectives he has been. I
- 11:47Speaker 2: think that, you know, Listen, Patrick's going to go have
- 11:50Speaker 2: to sell this upwards at the White House right when
- 11:53Speaker 2: he did when he does have something on paper, and
- 11:56Speaker 2: so you know, we wish him go luck in in that.
- 12:00Speaker 2: But yeah, I do think, you know, David Zachs obviously
- 12:04Speaker 2: continues to care. He chairs the peak CAST, which is
- 12:08Speaker 2: the Advisory Committee for Science and Technology. He obviously continues
- 12:12Speaker 2: to have a direct line to President Trump and cares
- 12:15Speaker 2: deeply about this, but he's not doing the negotiations on
- 12:17Speaker 2: a day to.
- 12:18Speaker 1: Day basis, all right, So we have a lot happening
- 12:22Speaker 1: additionally with some of other key senators out there, as
- 12:26Speaker 1: far as Chuck Sumer. Schumer, you know, we've had him.
- 12:29Speaker 1: He voted against the Genius Act. I'm looking at his
- 12:31Speaker 1: page right here over on stand with crypto, but he
- 12:35Speaker 1: was also on the SAD one twenty one Joint House resolution,
- 12:40Speaker 1: so that had you know, some inklings of where we
- 12:43Speaker 1: are now with clarity. So my question is how important
- 12:48Speaker 1: is Schumer right now?
- 12:50Speaker 2: Now? I think I think Schumer is very important. Schumer
- 12:53Speaker 2: is a little bit interesting in that. I mean, he
- 12:55Speaker 2: is a political person, right like, he operates, you know, everything,
- 13:00Speaker 2: looks at everything through a political lens. He is, you know,
- 13:03Speaker 2: the majority leader for the Democrats, and so you know,
- 13:06Speaker 2: most of the Democrats are not going to vote for
- 13:09Speaker 2: this bill. There's only going to be a handful, you know,
- 13:11Speaker 2: maybe a dozen or so, maybe twenty if or for
- 13:15Speaker 2: really good you know Democrats that will you know, eventually
- 13:18Speaker 2: vote for this bill. And so you know, he has
- 13:23Speaker 2: a duty to kind of his full party and his
- 13:26Speaker 2: uh you know, ranking member and the Senate Banking Committee,
- 13:29Speaker 2: Elizabeth Warren. But he also, you know, very much understands
- 13:33Speaker 2: that crypto is an emerging industry. He represents New York.
- 13:37Speaker 2: He you know, there's a lot of activity going on
- 13:39Speaker 2: with the crypto industry and traditional finance, and so you know,
- 13:44Speaker 2: he he's looking at this through a lot of different angles.
- 13:47Speaker 2: I think that he's been very personally involved, and you know,
- 13:50Speaker 2: he was making phone calls, uh you know, to the
- 13:52Speaker 2: crypto industry this week. But I think his involvement is critical.
- 13:57Speaker 2: Whether or not we get his vote may or may
- 13:59Speaker 2: not matter if there are enough votes. But I think
- 14:02Speaker 2: having him, you know, kind of push to get something
- 14:06Speaker 2: across the finish line, even if he ultimately doesn't vote
- 14:09Speaker 2: for it, is very helpful. Like with the Genius Act,
- 14:12Speaker 2: he voted against that, but he was you know, helpful
- 14:15Speaker 2: and trying to get you know, some of the votes.
- 14:18Speaker 2: So he's a little bit of a complicated one. And
- 14:21Speaker 2: but he's he's very active at this time, and you know,
- 14:24Speaker 2: at least says that he's very committed to to moving
- 14:27Speaker 2: this forward.
- 14:29Speaker 1: Okay, so obviously there there are a lot of key
- 14:32Speaker 1: votes here right now.
- 14:33Speaker 2: Fifty.
- 14:34Speaker 1: Do you anticipate any of the Republicans defecting?
- 14:39Speaker 2: That's an interesting question. I hope not. Sometimes you might
- 14:43Speaker 2: get someone and I'm not saying that he's going to
- 14:46Speaker 2: do this, but just as an example, like a Senator
- 14:48Speaker 2: Ram Paul who's very libertarian, you know, he might look
- 14:52Speaker 2: at this and say this is too onerous a regulation
- 14:55Speaker 2: for you know, technology like so you might get somebody
- 14:59Speaker 2: like that. I'm not saying that's what he said he's
- 15:00Speaker 2: going to do, but it's very likely that we will
- 15:04Speaker 2: probably lose one or two Republicans, you know, unless it's
- 15:09Speaker 2: a really really tight vote. But you know, we'll have
- 15:12Speaker 2: to see and we'll know more. As the bill, you know,
- 15:15Speaker 2: kind of moves out of the committee, you know, combines
- 15:18Speaker 2: with the agriculture bill and gets ready for the floor,
- 15:21Speaker 2: we'll start to see, you know, if there's any cracks
- 15:23Speaker 2: on the Republican side. So yeah, I would expect we
- 15:26Speaker 2: lose one or two. But you know that's why we
- 15:28Speaker 2: need you know, a good number, you know, are more
- 15:32Speaker 2: Democrats to get on this bill.
- 15:34Speaker 1: For sure. I'm looking here at the calendar, Christen, this
- 15:38Speaker 1: of course, yeah, this is getting tight. So here we
- 15:41Speaker 1: are in May. We of course are seeing what will
- 15:45Speaker 1: be you know, a holiday coming up in another week,
- 15:49Speaker 1: so you've got that laying out right there in late May.
- 15:53Speaker 1: Likelihood is people are probably going to be departing, you know,
- 15:57Speaker 1: maybe on the twentieth or twenty first, uh, along with
- 16:00Speaker 1: June not having as much exposure maybe or maybe the
- 16:06Speaker 1: June is going to be the working month, I don't know,
- 16:08Speaker 1: and then you only have you know, three weeks in
- 16:10Speaker 1: July and then it's pretty much done outside of one
- 16:13Speaker 1: week in August before we probably go to midterms. So
- 16:17Speaker 1: in your anticipation. What's the timeline.
- 16:20Speaker 2: Here, Yeah, well, I think there's there's a big push
- 16:22Speaker 2: going on right now to try to get the Senate
- 16:24Speaker 2: to take it up in June. You know, yes, there
- 16:28Speaker 2: is some room that could slip to July, but the
- 16:31Speaker 2: floor time really does need to happen this summer because Congress,
- 16:35Speaker 2: you know, every year they take the August recess where
- 16:38Speaker 2: they go home and they work out of their districts.
- 16:40Speaker 2: When you come back in September, there are the Jewish
- 16:43Speaker 2: holidays which limit the number of days that they can vote,
- 16:47Speaker 2: and then there are also the it's the end of
- 16:51Speaker 2: the fiscal year, right, so the government fiscal year. This
- 16:54Speaker 2: is where they're working to pass legislation to keep the
- 16:56Speaker 2: government open, to keep the government funded. And so this
- 16:59Speaker 2: September floor time is largely accounted for. And then when
- 17:03Speaker 2: we move to October, they tend to take that time
- 17:07Speaker 2: to go home and get ready for the November election.
- 17:11Speaker 2: And depending on what happens with the election, you know,
- 17:13Speaker 2: sometimes that lame duck period in November and December is
- 17:16Speaker 2: very productive. Sometimes it's not. It's really hard to know
- 17:20Speaker 2: what the political situation is going to be like. So yes,
- 17:23Speaker 2: they need to move as quickly as possible. And the
- 17:25Speaker 2: Genius Act, if you recall Paul, was that took about
- 17:29Speaker 2: four weeks of floor time, and that is a very
- 17:31Speaker 2: long time. So yeah, there's going to be a big
- 17:34Speaker 2: push to get this moving as quickly as possible. And so,
- 17:39Speaker 2: you know, I think we're looking to hopefully get that
- 17:42Speaker 2: process going by mid June at the latest.
- 17:44Speaker 1: What is your what's your likelihood right now if you
- 17:47Speaker 1: were the Christen polymarket.
- 17:50Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I have a Kristen poly market every day
- 17:52Speaker 2: and it's all over the place depending on the latest information.
- 17:55Speaker 2: But I will say this, I'm probably at about sixty
- 17:59Speaker 2: percent this gets done right now. Okay, that is the
- 18:03Speaker 2: highest I have been throughout this whole process. I think
- 18:07Speaker 2: that legislation is really really hard to do. There are
- 18:12Speaker 2: so many different pieces that need to line up just right.
- 18:16Speaker 2: The good news is all of those pieces are there.
- 18:18Speaker 2: They're they're on the board, they're you know, we have,
- 18:22Speaker 2: you know, in theory everything we need and now we
- 18:25Speaker 2: need to get them all all lined up and in
- 18:27Speaker 2: a row. And so I'm at about sixty percent right now.
- 18:33Speaker 2: Just two weeks ago I was at forty percent. I
- 18:36Speaker 2: think I had a real turning point when I was
- 18:39Speaker 2: interacting with folks down in Miami. We had a really
- 18:42Speaker 2: good bipartisan group of Senators and congressmen that came down
- 18:46Speaker 2: to the consensus conference, and we're really actively engaged and
- 18:51Speaker 2: being very productive. And so I would say like that
- 18:55Speaker 2: the fact that we got through this markup has has
- 18:58Speaker 2: put that above sixty for me. But there's listen, there's
- 19:01Speaker 2: a lot that can go wrong. We don't want a
- 19:04Speaker 2: lot to go wrong. We want this to go right.
- 19:05Speaker 2: We want to get this done. And I think that's
- 19:07Speaker 2: why everyone's working really really hard, because you know, if
- 19:10Speaker 2: this gets bumped into next year, depending on the makeup
- 19:13Speaker 2: of the House and the Senate, it might not be
- 19:17Speaker 2: as much of a priority for getting this done. So
- 19:19Speaker 2: we really need to try to take advantage of this,
- 19:22Speaker 2: of the fact that we have so much work done
- 19:24Speaker 2: and we have such a willing group of bipartisan senators
- 19:27Speaker 2: that don't want to get it across the finish lane.
- 19:30Speaker 1: I was looking at a tweet by Adam Mainhart. He's
- 19:33Speaker 1: coming in. Yeah, we just had him on the show.
- 19:36Speaker 2: He's fantastic.
- 19:37Speaker 1: Yeah, he's been in DC for a while. And he
- 19:40Speaker 1: had a statement in here that caused me a pause,
- 19:43Speaker 1: and it was this statement right here that I highlighted.
- 19:45Speaker 1: I don't know if you can see it. Let me
- 19:47Speaker 1: zoom in on it for you a little bit. It
- 19:50Speaker 1: is really in reference to CLARITYAC, but it boiled down
- 19:53Speaker 1: to one thing. Serious work lies ahead on BRCA and ethics,
- 19:57Speaker 1: and this is a reference to the negotiation. So when
- 20:00Speaker 1: you think about that and you worry, I look at
- 20:04Speaker 1: it and I go, wait a minute, maybe there's some
- 20:05Speaker 1: negotiations being done by centralized exchanges as well. Coinbase is
- 20:09Speaker 1: going to be one of the biggest ones out here
- 20:11Speaker 1: has been fighting for this in terms of killing DeFi
- 20:15Speaker 1: protections as a sacrificial lamb. Do you think because it's
- 20:19Speaker 1: not in their interest, do you think that is possibly underway?
- 20:23Speaker 2: No, I don't think that's underway. I do think the
- 20:27Speaker 2: centralized exchanges and I obviously don't speak for that, but
- 20:30Speaker 2: in my conversations with them, you know, they want to
- 20:34Speaker 2: be at a gateway for people to get to the
- 20:37Speaker 2: DeFi world, and they want to connect with DeFi and
- 20:40Speaker 2: they have you know, Coinbase has base right, Kracken has
- 20:44Speaker 2: has you know, their own I think it is called ink.
- 20:48Speaker 2: I haven't used it, but they have their own like
- 20:50Speaker 2: they they want to you know, be gateways to the
- 20:55Speaker 2: DeFi world. And I think that the leadership at those
- 20:58Speaker 2: companies like these are the o GZ right, Like they
- 21:02Speaker 2: are not trying to recreate the old financial system with
- 21:05Speaker 2: like a fintech wrapper, like they truly believe that that
- 21:09Speaker 2: DeFi is really the entire point of crypto And so
- 21:14Speaker 2: I'm not worried about this. This is very different than
- 21:16Speaker 2: a couple of years ago when Sam Bateman Freed was
- 21:18Speaker 2: going around with FTX and he was you know, he
- 21:21Speaker 2: actually did have I think, you know, very harmful intentions
- 21:29Speaker 2: towards DeFi. That is not the case today. And I
- 21:33Speaker 2: think that the real source of this and any concerns
- 21:37Speaker 2: around DeFi is a misunderstanding by law enforcement and by
- 21:41Speaker 2: senators who have strong ties to law enforcement. You know,
- 21:45Speaker 2: there have been a lot of conversations trying to get
- 21:49Speaker 2: some of the law enforcement groups up to speed on
- 21:52Speaker 2: how much that if you look at the entirety of
- 21:55Speaker 2: the bill like this gives so many new tools for
- 21:58Speaker 2: law enforcement and an entire regulatory framework that will help
- 22:04Speaker 2: you know, law enforcement catch the criminals. And I think
- 22:06Speaker 2: if in isolation, without the full context, you look at
- 22:10Speaker 2: one little section here, in one section there you and
- 22:12Speaker 2: you know, most people don't read the full bill, right
- 22:15Speaker 2: like this is a three hundred plus pages. And so
- 22:19Speaker 2: I think we're going to continue to do some work
- 22:21Speaker 2: with the law enforcement and try to get them to,
- 22:24Speaker 2: you know, sort of back down from this sort of
- 22:26Speaker 2: very sort of narrow often like miss you know, sort
- 22:31Speaker 2: of not factual statements that they're making, because there I
- 22:34Speaker 2: think of real misunderstanding there that that that is the
- 22:37Speaker 2: biggest threat to something like the Blockchain Regulatory searchgy Act,
- 22:41Speaker 2: not the centralized six stages.
- 22:43Speaker 1: Okay, not that And and really this kind of goes
- 22:46Speaker 1: in line with what Senator Warren has been pushing for.
- 22:48Speaker 1: But there's also a handful of others that are out
- 22:52Speaker 1: there that have kind of aligned with it. We're starting
- 22:54Speaker 1: to identify some interesting people that have not necessarily been
- 22:58Speaker 1: in the negotiations before, at least on the Senate side,
- 23:01Speaker 1: that could end up on it. So I think we're
- 23:03Speaker 1: going to see a few new names. Anybody that you're
- 23:05Speaker 1: watching outside of the obvious ones that we know of
- 23:09Speaker 1: with Gagos, also Brooks, Mastow, anyone else that you think
- 23:13Speaker 1: we need to kind of be on the lookout for.
- 23:15Speaker 2: Yeah. I think Senator Mark Warner from Virginia is another
- 23:19Speaker 2: important one. You know, he also leads up the Intelligence
- 23:24Speaker 2: Committee on the Democratic side, and I think a lot
- 23:27Speaker 2: of you know, he's a lot of colleagues, you know,
- 23:32Speaker 2: off committee on the Senate floor, I think look to
- 23:35Speaker 2: him for how to handle something like this, given his
- 23:38Speaker 2: tech background and his intelligence background, and so I think
- 23:41Speaker 2: he's going to be kind of a critical one on
- 23:45Speaker 2: the Democratic side that if he gets to a good place,
- 23:48Speaker 2: you know, he'll bring several votes along with him.
- 23:51Speaker 1: What about van Holland, do you think he would.
- 23:53Speaker 2: Be Ben holds a potential Van Hollins in the mix.
- 23:58Speaker 2: I think he's an option. I mean, I think, I mean,
- 24:01Speaker 2: I think if we can get you know, if we
- 24:04Speaker 2: can get a deal, I think it's not going to
- 24:06Speaker 2: be a close vote. I think it's going to be
- 24:07Speaker 2: actually a very strong vote in the Senate. I think
- 24:10Speaker 2: it's just going to be a question of, you know,
- 24:13Speaker 2: can we find something that works for the Democrats that
- 24:16Speaker 2: also you know, doesn't overly harm the industry because you know,
- 24:21Speaker 2: if we do start to take away and eroad these
- 24:24Speaker 2: developer protections and we do make it very burdensome for
- 24:29Speaker 2: new startups to operate here in the US. You know,
- 24:32Speaker 2: all of a sudden, the bill is you know, not
- 24:35Speaker 2: going to be a net positive for the industry. It'll
- 24:37Speaker 2: be in that negative. And so it's really important that
- 24:39Speaker 2: we keep a couple of these key provisions in there
- 24:43Speaker 2: so that developers feel like they can come back to
- 24:45Speaker 2: the US and launch their companies, launch their protocols here,
- 24:51Speaker 2: because we think this is uh, that's the whole point.
- 24:54Speaker 2: We're trying to do this law so that we have
- 24:56Speaker 2: clarity so that the US can be the leader as
- 24:59Speaker 2: we entered this new era of financial technology.
- 25:04Speaker 1: Listen, Senator Warren most likely is going to be the
- 25:06Speaker 1: brick wall coming into that, you know, Senate vote who
- 25:12Speaker 1: would be because every time I've seen her go head
- 25:16Speaker 1: to head with anyone, whether it's Republican or Democrat, doesn't matter.
- 25:20Speaker 1: She does a pretty good job at positioning her facts,
- 25:24Speaker 1: even though sometimes I don't think the facts are fully disclosed.
- 25:27Speaker 1: And we just called that out yesterday in one of
- 25:30Speaker 1: our shows. Who could challenge Senator Warren to try to
- 25:34Speaker 1: get her on the right side of history here?
- 25:37Speaker 2: She won't. She's like, she's just not gonna happen. Yeah,
- 25:40Speaker 2: we've been you know, before being at Slana Policy Institute,
- 25:43Speaker 2: I was a CEO of the Blockchain Association for seven years.
- 25:47Speaker 2: She is not on our side and will never be
- 25:50Speaker 2: on our side. And there have been effort after effort,
- 25:56Speaker 2: you know, former students trying to appeal to her, you know,
- 26:01Speaker 2: people within the crypto industry who are very like minded
- 26:04Speaker 2: politically trying to get out. You know, there have been
- 26:06Speaker 2: more efforts to try to get Elizabeth Warren on our
- 26:09Speaker 2: side because if you think of her, you know, many
- 26:13Speaker 2: years ago, you sort of thought of her as being
- 26:15Speaker 2: the one that wanted to challenge the big banks, that
- 26:17Speaker 2: wanted to you know, democratize the finance like she had.
- 26:22Speaker 2: She has a lot of values that you think would
- 26:24Speaker 2: align with crypto. But it turns out at the end
- 26:27Speaker 2: of the day, she just wants the government to have
- 26:29Speaker 2: control over everything and all of the information, and she
- 26:34Speaker 2: is not here to be constructive and so it is
- 26:37Speaker 2: a lost cause. I think to get her on.
- 26:39Speaker 1: Board there you go, So fight to the end. Guys,
- 26:43Speaker 1: last question to you, this obviously comes out of center.
- 26:46Speaker 1: We're assuming that this is going to get passed through
- 26:48Speaker 1: the Senate. It goes to the House, would this be
- 26:51Speaker 1: pretty much a slam dunk over there, similar to fit
- 26:54Speaker 1: twenty one vote, which yeah, I.
- 26:56Speaker 2: Think, I think so, I think, And when the how
- 27:00Speaker 2: past their version of clarity, it was a very bipartisan
- 27:03Speaker 2: this year as well. And listen, it is so difficult
- 27:06Speaker 2: to get something through the Senate floor that whatever the
- 27:10Speaker 2: Senate can get the sixty plus votes to send over
- 27:13Speaker 2: to the House, I think the House will probably just
- 27:16Speaker 2: pass that obviously, as you will know, to get to
- 27:18Speaker 2: the President's desk you have to have identical language approved
- 27:21Speaker 2: in the House in the Senate, and so I think
- 27:23Speaker 2: it'll very quickly move through the House and then you know,
- 27:26Speaker 2: hopefully we can be headed back to the White House
- 27:28Speaker 2: for another bill sending ceremony this summer.
- 27:30Speaker 1: Wouldn't that be something?
- 27:31Speaker 2: It would be amazing, It would be really historian.
- 27:34Speaker 1: We haven't seen much like this in thirty years since
- 27:37Speaker 1: really the birth of the internet. So Kristin Smith, President
- 27:41Speaker 1: at the Salona Policy Institute, thank you so much for
- 27:43Speaker 1: coming in today.
- 27:44Speaker 2: We appreciate it all right, Thanks for having me, Paul.
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