Latest / UK Column Radio / Jobst Landgrebe and Barry Smith: Why Machines Will Never Rule the World
Transcript
- 0:38Speaker 1: Okay. So I'm a philosopher working originally in England, focusing
- 0:44Speaker 1: on European philosophy, particularly in the German language initially, but
- 0:49Speaker 1: then I focused on certain aspects of philosophy which relate
- 0:54Speaker 1: to data and to what we call ontologies, which are
- 0:59Speaker 1: at ten to describe data in consistent ways to make
- 1:02Speaker 1: computers work better together. And as a result of that work,
- 1:07Speaker 1: I gradually moved over into areas of computer science and
- 1:12Speaker 1: data technology, always bringing my philosophical interests to bear. And
- 1:18Speaker 1: now I have quite an important role in ontology work
- 1:22Speaker 1: in the US government, the Defense Department, the Department of
- 1:27Speaker 1: Homeland Security. I'm also part of a team which is
- 1:32Speaker 1: trying to bring about ontological or data consistency and the
- 1:37Speaker 1: Five Eyes, which are the five English language intelligence communities.
- 1:42Speaker 1: And I guess that's enough.
- 1:44Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm by training physician, by chemist and mathematician,
- 1:49Speaker 2: and I've been using AI theoretically and practically to make
- 1:54Speaker 2: a living since nineteen ninety eight, so I've always been
- 1:57Speaker 2: in the area.
- 1:57Speaker 3: I feel.
- 1:58Speaker 2: Mostly i've been using it in life science is a
- 2:00Speaker 2: medicine since i'm physician, but I've also used it for
- 2:04Speaker 2: the insurance industry and other domains. So I have quite
- 2:07Speaker 2: a good cross industry understanding of AI usage and it's
- 2:12Speaker 2: possibilities and limitations. I've always been making a living of it.
- 2:15Speaker 2: And when Barry and I made fifteen years ago in
- 2:18Speaker 2: the context of standardization of medicinal data exchange medical data exchange,
- 2:24Speaker 2: and then we started collaborating scientifically, and ten years ago
- 2:28Speaker 2: we started working on AI together. And now the second
- 2:31Speaker 2: edition of our book, that you describe as somewhat contentious,
- 2:35Speaker 2: is just being published these days, which I think is
- 2:37Speaker 2: also reason why we are talking and it shows that
- 2:40Speaker 2: though the book is a bit debated, it is a
- 2:44Speaker 2: success because books of this nature usually don't.
- 2:47Speaker 3: Get second editions.
- 2:48Speaker 2: It's a very complicated, very scientific, very technical book that
- 2:51Speaker 2: requires a lot of prior knowledge, and so it's not
- 2:53Speaker 2: a mass compatible book. But I think it's very important
- 2:57Speaker 2: that we have done it, and I'm glad that we
- 2:59Speaker 2: got the opportunit need.
- 3:00Speaker 4: To make a second edition just for clarity. When we
- 3:02Speaker 4: talk about artificial intelligence, so what are we talking about?
- 3:05Speaker 2: So we are talking about mathematical algorithms that are based
- 3:10Speaker 2: on regularities that can be found in data, and these
- 3:13Speaker 2: their regularities can be exploited with various ways. So they
- 3:16Speaker 2: are explicit and implicit ways to exploiting these regularities, and
- 3:20Speaker 2: that has two advantages. First of all, you can find
- 3:22Speaker 2: new regular patterns, like when you use this to look
- 3:25Speaker 2: at galaxies, you can find certain aspects of galaxies that
- 3:29Speaker 2: you cannot see with the bare eye right, or star systems.
- 3:33Speaker 2: You can use such such algorithms to analyze them. You
- 3:36Speaker 2: can also use them to anilize chemical molecules, the similarity
- 3:40Speaker 2: of chemical molecules. Many many applications where it's used like
- 3:43Speaker 2: a telescope is used to enhance the human eye. Right,
- 3:46Speaker 2: it's a tool to find regularities that HUM and I
- 3:49Speaker 2: can't see because there are too many data points. The
- 3:51Speaker 2: second application is automation, when you basically can exploit the
- 3:55Speaker 2: regularities to automate certain aspects of human behavior. And these
- 3:59Speaker 2: these are the this is this is what our really is.
- 4:01Speaker 2: It's a mathematic applied mathematics leveraging regularities that can be
- 4:05Speaker 2: found into it are and it does not all evolved
- 4:07Speaker 2: very much, but it has nothing to do with creating
- 4:10Speaker 2: something that is to human or animal intelligence.
- 4:14Speaker 1: I think it's worth pointing out that this is a
- 4:16Speaker 1: new kind of mathematics. So originally mathematics was performed by
- 4:21Speaker 1: human beings using a papal and pencil, and they would
- 4:24Speaker 1: write down theorems and try and prove them. And what
- 4:28Speaker 1: we have now is mathematical algorithms which are created by
- 4:33Speaker 1: feeding huge amounts of data into a computer. So we
- 4:36Speaker 1: create algorithms which we do not understand. The algorithms are
- 4:40Speaker 1: incredibly long polynomial functions. When we issue a prompt into
- 4:46Speaker 1: a large language model, the large language model will calculate
- 4:50Speaker 1: the value of that function for that prompt and given
- 4:54Speaker 1: an output. That's just a mathematical process. But the mathematics
- 4:58Speaker 1: has been created by pushing all kinds of data in
- 5:02Speaker 1: large amounts into the machine.
- 5:04Speaker 2: But importantly, the machine cannot do this create the parameters
- 5:09Speaker 2: of this equation by itself. But what there is there
- 5:11Speaker 2: is an optimization function that basically has many meta parameters
- 5:17Speaker 2: and parameters that are used to then create the final
- 5:19Speaker 2: parameterization of the model. And all this is created by
- 5:23Speaker 2: humans and especially the algorithms to optimize the way that
- 5:26Speaker 2: the data are treated to then finally come up with
- 5:29Speaker 2: the solution. And it's always the following principle. Imagine you
- 5:32Speaker 2: have millions of emails and then you have for each
- 5:36Speaker 2: of the email the information whether that's a spam email
- 5:39Speaker 2: or not, and then the algorithm is basically used to
- 5:42Speaker 2: recreate the relationship between the email content and the indication
- 5:47Speaker 2: whether that spam or not.
- 5:48Speaker 3: And this way you create a spam filter.
- 5:50Speaker 2: And the algorithms that are needed to do this, they
- 5:53Speaker 2: require a lot of memory of the computer, a lot
- 5:56Speaker 2: of data, and a lot of computational power. So the
- 5:59Speaker 2: idea for these algorith was formulated around eighteen hundred by
- 6:02Speaker 2: Galls and Genre and also Polish mathematicians whose name I
- 6:06Speaker 2: keep forgeting about whom we side in the book. And
- 6:09Speaker 2: then it took two hundred years for the machines to
- 6:12Speaker 2: evolve so that these algorithms can be really computed in
- 6:16Speaker 2: a high end manner that creates a molodi that we
- 6:18Speaker 2: have today. So that's a big difference and the big
- 6:21Speaker 2: step that happened that being there now have a kind
- 6:23Speaker 2: of implicit mathematics that arises from data under the supervision
- 6:27Speaker 2: of humans who basically create all the mathematic constraints that
- 6:31Speaker 2: lead to the parametrica.
- 6:32Speaker 4: When you say machines will never rule the world, what
- 6:36Speaker 4: exactly do you mean?
- 6:39Speaker 1: So the rulers have to have certain kinds of intelligence.
- 6:43Speaker 1: They have to know how to control people, how to
- 6:46Speaker 1: make things happen, But they also have to want to
- 6:49Speaker 1: make things happen. They're very ambitious. They have desires to
- 6:54Speaker 1: control and so forth, and these wants filtered down to
- 6:58Speaker 1: all the people who work for them. They want to
- 7:00Speaker 1: do certain things, they want to impress their bosses and
- 7:03Speaker 1: so forth. Now, the big difference between a human being
- 7:06Speaker 1: and a mathematical algorithm is that human beings can want things.
- 7:10Speaker 1: They have a will, They intend things, they push themselves
- 7:15Speaker 1: through in order to bring about things. Mathematical algorithms they're
- 7:19Speaker 1: not the kinds of things that can want. They don't
- 7:23Speaker 1: have desires, it doesn't make sense. They get inputs and
- 7:27Speaker 1: they create outputs through a mathematical process. Now it's a
- 7:30Speaker 1: very complicated mathematical process, and they can be processed to
- 7:36Speaker 1: emulate wanting. For instance, we're in the chess playing computer.
- 7:40Speaker 1: The chess playing computer wants to win, but only in
- 7:42Speaker 1: a very weak sense that it's learned to emulate the
- 7:46Speaker 1: sorts of patterns which human beings use when they want
- 7:49Speaker 1: to win, but they don't want anything. Again, it's the
- 7:52Speaker 1: human which tells the computer by switching it on and
- 7:56Speaker 1: programming it. You're going to follow these moves because then
- 8:00Speaker 1: you'll win. And so it's always a matter of emulating
- 8:04Speaker 1: the human will. And they can do it for formal domains,
- 8:08Speaker 1: closed domains like chess very well. But when it comes
- 8:12Speaker 1: to controlling a battalion in an army, or anything which
- 8:17Speaker 1: has even any degree of complexity, then the computer will.
- 8:21Speaker 2: Face So that basically, to summarize it or put it
- 8:24Speaker 2: in such different words, we cannot make the computer have
- 8:27Speaker 2: an ego.
- 8:28Speaker 3: You need an ego and a will for power. Right.
- 8:32Speaker 2: Power means that you can get more, realize more possibilities
- 8:37Speaker 2: than others in a world of losses. That's a definition
- 8:40Speaker 2: by by Thomas Hobbs and and basically, and to achieve this,
- 8:45Speaker 2: you need an ego, an ego that is a center
- 8:47Speaker 2: of your acts and that lets you plan, conceive and
- 8:51Speaker 2: scheme and do all of this that so that you.
- 8:53Speaker 3: Can accept power. So we cannot give that.
- 8:55Speaker 2: We cannot give consciousness to machines, We cannot give a
- 8:57Speaker 2: will to machines, and we can cannot give intel machines.
- 9:00Speaker 2: But all three are needed so that machines can rule.
- 9:04Speaker 2: So the point is machines will not be an ethical agent.
- 9:08Speaker 2: But machines can be used to optimize rule since IBM
- 9:12Speaker 2: introduced the punt card system in the nineteen thirties and
- 9:15Speaker 2: the Nazis started using it for the concentration camps, so
- 9:19Speaker 2: machines can be used to enhance rule and to make
- 9:23Speaker 2: it more effective. But they are not acting themselves, and
- 9:26Speaker 2: that's a big difference that has to be made.
- 9:28Speaker 4: But okay, so a counter argument might be, but can
- 9:31Speaker 4: machines not rule accidentally?
- 9:37Speaker 1: So ruling accidentally doesn't make sense. What the machine could
- 9:42Speaker 1: do is to, by accident, interfere in some rule based
- 9:49Speaker 1: set up processes. So maybe, for instance, you have a
- 9:52Speaker 1: rule based setup processes which is initiated by a human
- 9:55Speaker 1: being and the machine just fails to work at a
- 9:59Speaker 1: crucial and so that complex chain of commands breaks.
- 10:04Speaker 2: Nuclear war example, when the machine misinterpret something and then
- 10:08Speaker 2: the nuclear war gets started.
- 10:10Speaker 3: Right.
- 10:10Speaker 2: We have had these situations, I think two times in
- 10:12Speaker 2: the nineteen eighties where human actors had to stop the
- 10:16Speaker 2: such a that's the wrong process which came from a
- 10:19Speaker 2: technical mistake of the machine, And that happens all the
- 10:22Speaker 2: time now. During the Ukraine War, both parties are using
- 10:26Speaker 2: heavily using AI, and the AI is creating fault signals,
- 10:29Speaker 2: and then the humans have to interpret this and to
- 10:31Speaker 2: stop and to not misreact, you know. And so this
- 10:35Speaker 2: can happen. But that doesn't mean the machine rules. It
- 10:37Speaker 2: just means that the tooling is is not doing what
- 10:40Speaker 2: it's supposed to do.
- 10:42Speaker 4: Where does this massphere come from. Elon Musk has constantly
- 10:47Speaker 4: posited the idea that AI is an existential threat.
- 10:52Speaker 2: So historically there has been a movement since the nineteen
- 10:55Speaker 2: nineties that there will be the singularity. And this singularity
- 10:59Speaker 2: movement said that it's a point at which the machines
- 11:01Speaker 2: will overtake human intelligence, which we suppose that they have
- 11:04Speaker 2: also consciousness at least right And this has been a
- 11:09Speaker 2: i think postpodern idea that is now thirty thirty five
- 11:13Speaker 2: years old, and it has gained a lot of importance
- 11:17Speaker 2: in circles in which Elon Musk is basically by which
- 11:20Speaker 2: Elomski's influenced. So they're s Nick Bostrom, who was one
- 11:23Speaker 2: of the leading figures of this singularity movement, Ray Kotsweil,
- 11:27Speaker 2: who was in the second wave of a real genius engineer,
- 11:31Speaker 2: who is also one of the inventors of this idea.
- 11:33Speaker 2: And then there are Curtis Javin and Glenn who are
- 11:36Speaker 2: theoreticians of the Dark Enlightenment, a theory adhered by Elon
- 11:40Speaker 2: Musk and Peter Thiel, and so they are now very,
- 11:43Speaker 2: very culturally influential. It's all part of this transhumanism movement
- 11:47Speaker 2: that we are now facing faced with.
- 11:49Speaker 1: So there are various components here. One component is hype.
- 11:53Speaker 1: So Elon and his friends they want to exaggerate the
- 11:58Speaker 1: powers and the importance of AI because they need a
- 12:01Speaker 1: lot of money in order to build their AI machines,
- 12:04Speaker 1: which are incredibly costly in machines and energy and so forth,
- 12:08Speaker 1: So they need money. Also, they want money in order
- 12:12Speaker 1: to maintain their status and for all the other reasons,
- 12:14Speaker 1: and even because they want to do good things with
- 12:16Speaker 1: the money, I assume. But now the more important feature
- 12:21Speaker 1: is they want to live forever. So they really do
- 12:25Speaker 1: believe in the idea of digital immortality. And that would
- 12:28Speaker 1: mean that you can build a computer which consimulate you,
- 12:32Speaker 1: and then we would program the computer to keep you
- 12:35Speaker 1: alive in this very weakened sense, since you're not actually
- 12:38Speaker 1: a body anymore, you're just a pattern of data to
- 12:42Speaker 1: keep you alive forever without any diseases and with wonderfully
- 12:46Speaker 1: attractive partners and all the other good things that go
- 12:49Speaker 1: with immortal digital immortality. They believe in all of that.
- 12:54Speaker 1: As a result, well, they believe in all of that,
- 12:56Speaker 1: then they must believe that it's possible, which means that
- 12:59Speaker 1: they must believe that computers can think in ways which
- 13:03Speaker 1: exceed by far the capabilities of human.
- 13:06Speaker 2: So this hype has the function that that's the ideological
- 13:10Speaker 2: and almost religious part of pluto. Religious part, but there's
- 13:13Speaker 2: also a really economic part of this, which is which
- 13:15Speaker 2: is which I want to hire once more. I think
- 13:18Speaker 2: that the fear of AI taking over is driving regulation
- 13:23Speaker 2: that creates barriers of market entry for newcomers to the field.
- 13:27Speaker 2: And when you have a monopoly or oligopoly, you always
- 13:30Speaker 2: want the state to regulate. And this has also been
- 13:33Speaker 2: the case even the Middle Ages. We for weapons manufacturing,
- 13:36Speaker 2: right that weapons manufacturers wanted to prevent others from entering
- 13:39Speaker 2: the market, so that they try to try to get
- 13:42Speaker 2: the state to make laws that guarantee their monopoly. That's
- 13:45Speaker 2: the same here, so that all the barriers of that
- 13:48Speaker 2: are now erected by regulators help the monopolies, and so
- 13:52Speaker 2: the hype is used to erect those barriers.
- 13:55Speaker 3: Right, So this is very classical. So that's the rational part.
- 13:58Speaker 2: From an economic perspective, if that that has to be understood.
- 14:02Speaker 2: And and so the hype is created, like the COVID
- 14:04Speaker 2: type was created because it's a business.
- 14:07Speaker 4: So it falls under that category of an invisible boogeyman.
- 14:11Speaker 1: Yeah, a nice man, attractive bogeyman who'll make you live for.
- 14:17Speaker 3: Like Zaskov or climate change.
- 14:20Speaker 2: Right, these are also boogeymen five businesses.
- 14:23Speaker 4: And of course because it's invisible, you as a layman
- 14:26Speaker 4: can't really fight back, so you kind of have to
- 14:28Speaker 4: trust the the the authorities or the the powerful actors.
- 14:33Speaker 2: Yeah, this is a recipe that the great and granting
- 14:36Speaker 2: visitor in Doctoevsky's Brothers karamazovyscribes. Right, if you create fear
- 14:42Speaker 2: specter that can that that that the normal person cannot
- 14:46Speaker 2: you know, question, then it's a very effective way of ruling.
- 14:50Speaker 2: That's why I think that's why the book is also
- 14:52Speaker 2: controversial because it puts into question a huge fear hype
- 14:55Speaker 2: of our time, which is the which is the domination.
- 14:59Speaker 3: Of you man can buy I.
- 15:00Speaker 2: And also another one a weaker one that is even
- 15:03Speaker 2: more scary to most people is the replacement of all
- 15:05Speaker 2: normal jobs. Yuval Harari, Claus Schwab, all these guys all
- 15:09Speaker 2: the time say, oh, also even Trump Pootin, all the
- 15:12Speaker 2: leaders of the Northern hemisphere say that AI is going
- 15:14Speaker 2: to replace hundreds of millions of jobs. That's absolutely wrong.
- 15:18Speaker 2: The rationalization potential of eyes now rather moderate. And we
- 15:22Speaker 2: can go into detail. It's right, that's the case. But
- 15:24Speaker 2: that's another height that is that is driving a lot
- 15:26Speaker 2: of politic politics, is this fear of AI replacing human workers.
- 15:32Speaker 3: And and interestingly also all the you know, alternative media.
- 15:37Speaker 3: Everybody buys into this.
- 15:38Speaker 2: Also the critics of of these oligarchy structures, they believe
- 15:43Speaker 2: this right, and they also oh, yes, it's so dangerous,
- 15:46Speaker 2: so we will not have jobs anymore.
- 15:47Speaker 3: And and and the terroriffs.
- 15:49Speaker 2: You know, once a terrorists kick in and America starts
- 15:52Speaker 2: to reindustrialize, all the reindustrialization will be done with robots.
- 15:56Speaker 2: It's absolute nonsense. But but but you can read so
- 15:59Speaker 2: the the boss of Black Crop just said it yesterday
- 16:03Speaker 2: on Twitter. He said that the new jobs created out
- 16:06Speaker 2: of the tariff regime will all be taken by robots,
- 16:09Speaker 2: which is completely not but you see that this is
- 16:12Speaker 2: also very important part of this narrative.
- 16:15Speaker 4: What is intelligence?
- 16:19Speaker 1: So shall I have a go? Yeah, So the most
- 16:23Speaker 1: important part Saras follows. So an intelligent being can react
- 16:27Speaker 1: spontaneously to new kinds of phenomena, that's the first thing.
- 16:31Speaker 1: And they can do this without being trained. And so
- 16:36Speaker 1: already computers can't be intelligent. And this definition, it's not
- 16:41Speaker 1: invented by Jobstin and myself. It's the standard psychological definition
- 16:45Speaker 1: for one hundred years. So it's spontaneous behavior which has
- 16:49Speaker 1: not been trained, which brings about a relative improvement in
- 16:54Speaker 1: the situation of the behaving subject on the basis, which
- 16:59Speaker 1: is also novel. That's the most important part. So you
- 17:03Speaker 1: encounter a situation of a type which you've never encountered before.
- 17:08Speaker 1: Because you are intelligent, you can react to that situation
- 17:12Speaker 1: in a way which is appropriate, appropriate to your well being,
- 17:15Speaker 1: even though you've not been trained. Machines can't do that
- 17:19Speaker 1: because they rest on training. That training always gives them
- 17:23Speaker 1: the capacity to respond to situations for which they have
- 17:27Speaker 1: been trained, but they can't respond to situations for which
- 17:31Speaker 1: they have not been trained.
- 17:33Speaker 4: We can do that.
- 17:34Speaker 1: Human beings can do that because they're intelligent.
- 17:37Speaker 2: And so just to give one one simple example, if
- 17:42Speaker 2: you learn, if you get the driver's license, learn to drive,
- 17:44Speaker 2: you're not going to go through all possible situations that
- 17:47Speaker 2: can arise by driving. But when you start then driving
- 17:50Speaker 2: on your own without your teacher, when you have the license,
- 17:53Speaker 2: you get into such situations.
- 17:54Speaker 3: And why, of course, excellent happens more excellent happens.
- 17:57Speaker 2: To begin us many many beginners can avoid accidents even
- 18:02Speaker 2: at the beginning of the driving experience because they're intelligent.
- 18:04Speaker 3: Machines can't do that, right, So, machines.
- 18:06Speaker 2: Can only react to situations they've been configured. So they
- 18:11Speaker 2: always talk about training, but in reality it's a configuration.
- 18:13Speaker 2: So they have been configured either implicitly or explicitly to
- 18:17Speaker 2: react to and when there a situation rises for which
- 18:20Speaker 2: they have not been configured, there's a very high likelhood.
- 18:22Speaker 3: That they don't react in the right way. And that's
- 18:25Speaker 3: why all the.
- 18:25Speaker 2: Self driving cars that are for example, managed by Waymo
- 18:29Speaker 2: in California are actually drones which have pilots, and each
- 18:33Speaker 2: car has its own pilot. And because the likelihood of
- 18:36Speaker 2: mistakes is so high that you cannot have one pilot
- 18:39Speaker 2: for five cars, you need one pilot.
- 18:41Speaker 3: For one car.
- 18:42Speaker 4: If you just look around you everything is controlled by machines.
- 18:47Speaker 4: Is that not true? I mean you'll get up in
- 18:49Speaker 4: the morning and your phone starts telling you when you
- 18:52Speaker 4: need to leave, and when you need to eat, and
- 18:55Speaker 4: all sorts of things.
- 18:56Speaker 1: Now, so you told your phone that you wanted to
- 18:59Speaker 1: wear you up the next day. The phone isn't acting intelligently.
- 19:03Speaker 1: It's doing what it's told. Computers are quite good at
- 19:06Speaker 1: doing what they're told. And so you gave that one example.
- 19:12Speaker 1: I don't know if you maybe because you're sitting there
- 19:15Speaker 1: with your headphones nine hours out of ten, you feel
- 19:19Speaker 1: as if you are overwhelmed by machines. But actually you
- 19:22Speaker 1: are pressing all the buttons, You're making all the decisions.
- 19:26Speaker 1: The machines are providing tools. Tool they're no more oppressive
- 19:32Speaker 1: tools than any other kinds of tools, unless we wake
- 19:35Speaker 1: them oppressive. So somebody may take over your headphones, but
- 19:39Speaker 1: it would be a human being who does that.
- 19:40Speaker 4: It wouldn't be a machie.
- 19:43Speaker 2: So there's a book by Classic Dystopia by Sam Yatin
- 19:47Speaker 2: called We or Us, I don't know the English. It's
- 19:49Speaker 2: a Russian fiction book of the twenties. It's actually a
- 19:52Speaker 2: precursor to nineteen eighty.
- 19:53Speaker 3: Four and Brave New World.
- 19:55Speaker 4: It.
- 19:55Speaker 3: Both Huxley and Auver knew it, and I just read it.
- 19:59Speaker 2: It's worth reading because it's the first really modern dystopian
- 20:02Speaker 2: no novel. And in this novel, everything is controlled by collective,
- 20:07Speaker 2: small collective that controls the entire society, and they're using
- 20:10Speaker 2: machines to control humans, but they're programming the machines.
- 20:13Speaker 3: And so when you imagine now that we are moving to.
- 20:16Speaker 2: A technocratic, cost democratic age, you can use machines to
- 20:20Speaker 2: control humans. So you could, for example, centrally program the
- 20:23Speaker 2: wake up time, central program the advice how much what
- 20:26Speaker 2: to eat, and so on. So as a tool of power,
- 20:30Speaker 2: digitization is very, very very dangerous and can have very
- 20:34Speaker 2: big consequences because imagine the Soviet Union operating not with
- 20:39Speaker 2: paper and mail as they did, but operating and telephone
- 20:43Speaker 2: and telefacts they had this, but operating with.
- 20:45Speaker 3: A computer comput completely digital infrastructure.
- 20:49Speaker 2: So but the key point to make is that the
- 20:51Speaker 2: digitization is the problem here, not AI, right, AI provides
- 20:55Speaker 2: a tiny proportion of the control capabilities of such a
- 20:59Speaker 2: digital netw digital as some dissidence called control net right.
- 21:03Speaker 2: But most of it is just the infrastructure and humans
- 21:06Speaker 2: running the infrastructure. It's the ability to look to locate
- 21:10Speaker 2: everyone via this device every time, even to listen into
- 21:13Speaker 2: their conversations in emails. But all of this has to
- 21:16Speaker 2: be done by humans because machines don't understand what we
- 21:19Speaker 2: write and say, all the movement patterns we do. They
- 21:22Speaker 2: can only aggregate them, but they can't understand them. So
- 21:26Speaker 2: the real threat to freedom is digitization and not AI.
- 21:30Speaker 2: And many people don't understand this because they confound digitization.
- 21:34Speaker 2: But AI is something very special. It's a very tiny
- 21:37Speaker 2: part of what is done with our data. Most of
- 21:39Speaker 2: what is done with our data is that they get
- 21:41Speaker 2: stored in big databases and that then they are searched and.
- 21:45Speaker 3: Exploited to do things. But AI is only a tiny part.
- 21:49Speaker 2: In war, AI is actually more important than in civila
- 21:53Speaker 2: and that has the following reason.
- 21:55Speaker 3: Now, there are millions.
- 21:57Speaker 2: Of sensors deployed in a battle, in a in an
- 22:01Speaker 2: armed conflict like there's from satellites down to.
- 22:05Speaker 3: H census buried in the soil. There are many different.
- 22:09Speaker 2: Types of sensors that can can measure the whole electromagnetic spectrum,
- 22:13Speaker 2: but also vibrations, sounds. It's it's a very very complicated
- 22:18Speaker 2: array of technology that is now gathering signals and then
- 22:22Speaker 2: has to turn the raw data into signals and patterns
- 22:25Speaker 2: that can be interpreted by human beings, so that in
- 22:27Speaker 2: the in the command it control center of an army,
- 22:31Speaker 2: all these data are are then gathered and looked at
- 22:34Speaker 2: to decide what to do next. And so so for warfare,
- 22:38Speaker 2: especially for reconnaissance, AI is completely indispensable and as the
- 22:42Speaker 2: key tool now to do to do warfare.
- 22:45Speaker 3: Do the drones attack on their own?
- 22:48Speaker 2: No, But but the defensive systems that we have now,
- 22:51Speaker 2: especially the Russian S four hundreds Essex hundred series, but
- 22:56Speaker 2: also the island though the Island Dome is a build outdated, technologically,
- 23:00Speaker 2: these defense systems are totally AI driven right, so no
- 23:04Speaker 2: human can actually replace what an S four hundred system
- 23:07Speaker 2: can do. So so what we have is reconnaissance and
- 23:10Speaker 2: defense systems are already very much depend on their I.
- 23:13Speaker 2: Attack systems not so much for complicated reasons I could
- 23:17Speaker 2: go into if you want. So the reason why attack
- 23:19Speaker 2: systems are not so prone to be used with AI
- 23:23Speaker 2: is that unless you so of course you can like
- 23:26Speaker 2: cruise missiles, you can define a target and then the
- 23:28Speaker 2: creuse missile will autonomously hit the target.
- 23:30Speaker 3: But that's good old fashioned AI. Mostly. There is also
- 23:33Speaker 3: stratastic eye built.
- 23:34Speaker 2: Into the WHO'SE missiles because they have to analyze obstacles
- 23:37Speaker 2: and so on and fly around obstacles which are not
- 23:41Speaker 2: may not be on their map and so on. But
- 23:43Speaker 2: but basically it's a city terministic process. However, autonomous attack
- 23:50Speaker 2: would mean that you could have drones that fly as
- 23:52Speaker 2: a group to somewhere and decide on.
- 23:54Speaker 3: Their own whom to attack and when to attack.
- 23:56Speaker 2: And this is a very very complicated cognitive task we
- 24:00Speaker 2: cannot put into AI, And therefore in the on the
- 24:03Speaker 2: attack side, we don't have a lot of AI, that.
- 24:05Speaker 3: Is that is making the missions.
- 24:08Speaker 4: Can it not get to a point where it can
- 24:10Speaker 4: simulate self made decisions.
- 24:14Speaker 2: So our argument is that there's a saturation of what
- 24:17Speaker 2: is possible with with mathematical algorithms, and we are getting
- 24:21Speaker 2: close to the saturation now. And the situation comes from
- 24:24Speaker 2: two sources. One level situation is that that partially differential
- 24:30Speaker 2: equations a classical tool for UH for in physics, for
- 24:35Speaker 2: explicit mathematics are are have only limited scope, limited number
- 24:38Speaker 2: of variables, limited scope to what they can be applied.
- 24:41Speaker 2: They usually applied to artificial systems, to experimental systems that
- 24:45Speaker 2: are set up in a way that they can yield
- 24:47Speaker 2: such equations. And and that's how physics works. And and
- 24:52Speaker 2: now if we go to the implicit, and this is
- 24:54Speaker 2: a core argument of our book now trying to make
- 24:56Speaker 2: it as as possible, the implicit. If you, if you're
- 25:00Speaker 2: tsume that by by by giving the machine more data,
- 25:02Speaker 2: you can get it better and better, exponentially better, even
- 25:05Speaker 2: as you said, that is wrong.
- 25:06Speaker 3: And that has to do with the following.
- 25:07Speaker 2: If the data contained regularities, you obtain saturation of the model.
- 25:12Speaker 2: That means, after giving it enough data, the model understands
- 25:15Speaker 2: the pattern, or get the configuration that mimics this pattern.
- 25:19Speaker 3: Now it can be deployed and working. So this is
- 25:21Speaker 3: a chess and go.
- 25:22Speaker 2: Even in non interactive poker, all these closed world situations
- 25:26Speaker 2: where you have clear patterns the machines, the machine gets
- 25:29Speaker 2: this pattern via the configuration and then it becomes better
- 25:32Speaker 2: than the human. But in open world situation you have
- 25:34Speaker 2: what we call nonegotic systems, nonegodic systems, create patterns that
- 25:39Speaker 2: are not repetitive, and they have no regularity. So when
- 25:42Speaker 2: you give more data to the machine, it cannot learn,
- 25:45Speaker 2: it cannot saturate it because theres no pattern to pick up.
- 25:48Speaker 3: But the machine always can only get to pattern.
- 25:50Speaker 2: And so because human behavior is so complete, complete, complex
- 25:54Speaker 2: and erratic, it's non egotic.
- 25:56Speaker 3: This conversation is non ergotic.
- 25:58Speaker 2: We couldn't foresee what we would be talking about, though
- 26:00Speaker 2: we are talking about a general topic.
- 26:02Speaker 3: And this is the same in a family.
- 26:04Speaker 2: And if you deal with your child, you want to
- 26:06Speaker 2: take it outside, but the child doesn't want to.
- 26:09Speaker 3: You didn't expect this.
- 26:10Speaker 2: Then your wife says, but come on, let then do
- 26:13Speaker 2: something inside. I mean, you never can predict how human attacts.
- 26:16Speaker 2: And that same is the true in warfare. Read the
- 26:23Speaker 2: clause of its book on warfare and the chapter on friction.
- 26:26Speaker 2: One of the best texts on warfare is chapter seven
- 26:28Speaker 2: or eight is relatively early in the book, where he
- 26:30Speaker 2: describes what happens. You have a plan for the attack,
- 26:32Speaker 2: and then you conduct the attack and everything for all
- 26:35Speaker 2: the part, all your plans are not making no sense
- 26:37Speaker 2: anymore because something is different than you plan. That the
- 26:40Speaker 2: enemy is reacting a different way that he calls that friction,
- 26:42Speaker 2: and friction is is that's a non egodicity, and non
- 26:46Speaker 2: ergodicity is patternless. And then humans at all levels of
- 26:50Speaker 2: the commands and have to react to this, to this situation,
- 26:52Speaker 2: and that decides in the end who wins the war,
- 26:54Speaker 2: who makes a better decision, which is which is extremely complicated.
- 26:59Speaker 2: And I think that that there is no patent to
- 27:02Speaker 2: be learned here, and that because of this we are
- 27:04Speaker 2: not going to see an exponential improvement of the algorithms.
- 27:07Speaker 4: Okay, so okay, yeah, yeah, I'm finding what you're saying. So,
- 27:10Speaker 4: in other words, it reaches a point where it can
- 27:12Speaker 4: go no further. Yeah.
- 27:14Speaker 1: This is the doctrine of scaling, which Musk and all
- 27:19Speaker 1: the other AI gods have assumed. Namely, the more data
- 27:22Speaker 1: we have, scramble, scramble, get more data, even make up data,
- 27:27Speaker 1: which is what they do now, and then our machines
- 27:29Speaker 1: will become more and more intelligent without limit. And so
- 27:32Speaker 1: all we need is more and more data. But that
- 27:35Speaker 1: scaling rule, it's been shown in the last few months
- 27:39Speaker 1: in a very clear way, it doesn't hold. Just as
- 27:42Speaker 1: more more, which predicted a continual increase in power processes
- 27:49Speaker 1: is now beginning to fail because they're reaching the limits
- 27:51Speaker 1: of what you can do with tiny engineering. So scaling,
- 27:55Speaker 1: the scaling rule, it's been abandoned. And that was a
- 27:59Speaker 1: big shot for open AI, for instance, because they had
- 28:02Speaker 1: to reconceive their goals and they wanted to have four
- 28:07Speaker 1: point five j GPT four point five they platter. Before
- 28:14Speaker 1: they got that far, they gave up. They turned towards
- 28:17Speaker 1: other methods, which in some cases are more old fashioned
- 28:22Speaker 1: than the new sarcastic AI methods. To say, so, I give.
- 28:26Speaker 3: Yeah, to give you an example for this limitation.
- 28:30Speaker 2: So yesterday I asked or another AI, who is better
- 28:36Speaker 2: Valentine the alchemist, the medieval alchemist.
- 28:39Speaker 3: Right, and the the algorithm said, searching the web? Why
- 28:46Speaker 3: did it do so?
- 28:47Speaker 2: Because they have not built in an algorithm that tries
- 28:50Speaker 2: to estimate the likelihood that the model, the ll M
- 28:53Speaker 2: behind CHGPT can on its only give a good answer
- 28:57Speaker 2: if the likelihood is to low.
- 28:58Speaker 3: What they do is they searched the way with the.
- 29:00Speaker 2: Classical Google search or Google like search, get all the
- 29:04Speaker 2: texts from the web, scribing as the Valentine and gives
- 29:06Speaker 2: this to the model, asking to summarize the input, then
- 29:09Speaker 2: the model creates the answer. So now they have already
- 29:12Speaker 2: built indeterministic elements into the algorithm because it's overwhelmed.
- 29:17Speaker 3: And why is it? Why? When why doesn't it scale anymore?
- 29:20Speaker 2: Because the regularities in the body of the global Internet
- 29:24Speaker 2: language have been exploited now and so now that the
- 29:28Speaker 2: models cannot become any better. On the contrariwise, now the
- 29:31Speaker 2: Internet contains output of these models, but their pages full
- 29:36Speaker 2: of the output of these models, and if you put
- 29:39Speaker 2: them into the models again, they deteriorate. Yes, And so
- 29:44Speaker 2: I think that that all these claims are based on
- 29:48Speaker 2: a lack of understanding of the mathematical nature of these models.
- 29:51Speaker 4: And so basically grock deep see can chat, GPT or
- 29:56Speaker 4: just better search engines.
- 29:59Speaker 3: No, there are more than that.
- 30:01Speaker 2: So the example I gave only shows that they're now
- 30:03Speaker 2: combining different technologies because they've reached the limits of.
- 30:06Speaker 3: What they can do. No, No, the lll ms are
- 30:09Speaker 3: something new. The l M.
- 30:10Speaker 2: The core ll M idea is that you that you
- 30:12Speaker 2: use the body of human language published on the Internet
- 30:15Speaker 2: to train a gigantic stoistic model that can that can
- 30:20Speaker 2: put together sequences of letters that makes sense to humans
- 30:24Speaker 2: in a certain context.
- 30:25Speaker 3: That is that's fantastic. So so what the model does.
- 30:28Speaker 2: It takes a string of letters and and continues this
- 30:32Speaker 2: sequence in such a way that the continued sequence is
- 30:35Speaker 2: the output that makes sense to the human. The machine
- 30:37Speaker 2: doesn't understand what it does. But it's an absolute tremendous
- 30:40Speaker 2: achievement and a milestone in the evolution of science that
- 30:43Speaker 2: these lllms are possible.
- 30:45Speaker 1: I think we should mention also that even at this stage,
- 30:49Speaker 1: they still produce hallucinations.
- 30:50Speaker 3: Yes, this is now a more important point. Why do
- 30:52Speaker 3: they produce the illucinations?
- 30:54Speaker 2: They produce the ellascinations because ninety percent of the training
- 30:57Speaker 2: material they receive is machine made.
- 30:59Speaker 3: And this if you look at.
- 31:00Speaker 2: How the algorithms are trained, there are three stages and
- 31:03Speaker 2: simply find now the first date is you just give
- 31:06Speaker 2: them the global text of the Internet and then ask
- 31:09Speaker 2: them to and ask them to create the same output
- 31:14Speaker 2: with some words missing. It's called skip gram technique. They
- 31:16Speaker 2: are other techniques, and this way they learn the structure
- 31:20Speaker 2: of language.
- 31:20Speaker 3: They are paramited rise.
- 31:22Speaker 2: And then in the second step, you give them question
- 31:24Speaker 2: answer paired pairs designed by humans to train them to
- 31:28Speaker 2: create based on a question, the right answer, but in
- 31:31Speaker 2: the last step, you are then creating. The machine is
- 31:34Speaker 2: creating question answer pairs itself based on the pattern of
- 31:38Speaker 2: the human. And these questions answer pairs are artificial and
- 31:41Speaker 2: there are and they are the bulk of the training
- 31:43Speaker 2: material because the models with millions or billions of parameters
- 31:46Speaker 2: are so data real you that you meet trillions and
- 31:48Speaker 2: trillions of data points, and most of them are created
- 31:51Speaker 2: by the machine. It's said in this last training step.
- 31:53Speaker 2: Now the machine, what the machine creates itself is always
- 31:56Speaker 2: of lower quality with the human creates, because it only basic.
- 32:00Speaker 2: He takes a kind of It cannot take into account
- 32:03Speaker 2: the long tail of the distribution.
- 32:04Speaker 3: It can only if a distribution looks like this, right,
- 32:07Speaker 3: it has a long tail.
- 32:08Speaker 2: The long tail is not taken into account only the
- 32:10Speaker 2: first part of the tail, and that that makes a
- 32:12Speaker 2: poor quality. And the hallucinations come from this step and
- 32:15Speaker 2: also all that not only the hallucinations, but also other inaccuracies.
- 32:19Speaker 2: For example, if you would, if you'd say, please summarize,
- 32:22Speaker 2: if you would give it, not ask you to summarize
- 32:24Speaker 2: Dostoevsky's brothers come os, but give it the entire text
- 32:28Speaker 2: and ask you to summarize it.
- 32:29Speaker 3: Would create inconsistencies. All of this is based on if
- 32:33Speaker 3: you ask summarized Brothers Karamazov.
- 32:35Speaker 2: It will only go to the Wikipedia page and give
- 32:37Speaker 2: what is given there. But if you would give it
- 32:39Speaker 2: the full text, it would create mistakes. And that's all
- 32:41Speaker 2: based on this, on this necessity to synthetically create a
- 32:45Speaker 2: lot of training data, and the syceetic training data are
- 32:48Speaker 2: always weak, and that is a very very big.
- 32:51Speaker 3: Problem of these moments.
- 32:52Speaker 1: The systems were originally trained to avoid responses like I
- 32:57Speaker 1: don't know. Yes, they were trained to be friendly, and
- 33:01Speaker 1: so if they if they really don't know, then they
- 33:04Speaker 1: make something up. And they're still doing that.
- 33:08Speaker 3: All this Hollywood friendliness.
- 33:09Speaker 2: Right, So classical German would always prefer to say I
- 33:12Speaker 2: don't know instead of lying, right, But in Hollywood it's better.
- 33:15Speaker 3: It's better to lie than to say I don't know that.
- 33:21Speaker 4: But they also are trained to censor.
- 33:26Speaker 2: So this is this is this is actually interesting that
- 33:28Speaker 2: they call this the moderation API, and and so so
- 33:33Speaker 2: the question is how the models are very biased. Right,
- 33:35Speaker 2: So if you ask it how many genders there are,
- 33:37Speaker 2: they will answer hundreds of genders. If you ask what
- 33:40Speaker 2: can we do against climate catastrophe. They will not say
- 33:45Speaker 2: there's no climate catastrophe, but they will list a lot
- 33:47Speaker 2: of measures. Right, so they are very politically biased.
- 33:50Speaker 3: How is it?
- 33:50Speaker 2: And if you ask it, can you please describe the
- 33:54Speaker 2: positive qualities of Stalin? They will refuse to do so, right,
- 34:00Speaker 2: and and and so there are censored and biased and
- 34:03Speaker 2: how There are many sources of bias.
- 34:05Speaker 3: Let me list a few.
- 34:06Speaker 2: One is that most of the texts that are published
- 34:08Speaker 2: on the internet are also already biased, so the models
- 34:11Speaker 2: pick up the bias of the text.
- 34:13Speaker 3: This is especially true with Islam.
- 34:15Speaker 2: There are a lot of Islamic texts that are from
- 34:17Speaker 2: from a liberal perspective, dangerous, but.
- 34:19Speaker 3: They are just trained and and and and and and learned.
- 34:22Speaker 2: And so if you ask about Islam you get astonishing
- 34:24Speaker 2: answers which come from this primary bias. Then there's a
- 34:27Speaker 2: secondary bias which comes from the training questions and answers
- 34:31Speaker 2: that are given to the model.
- 34:32Speaker 1: Right.
- 34:32Speaker 2: So, if you train the model, parameterize the model to
- 34:35Speaker 2: give a certain type of answers to a certain type
- 34:37Speaker 2: of questions, this is an influencing in a deep fashion
- 34:39Speaker 2: the parametrization of the model. So, for example, the Google
- 34:43Speaker 2: Gemini model was drawing black popes and female popes beginning
- 34:49Speaker 2: of last year because it was so heavily biased. And
- 34:51Speaker 2: then they tried to correct it with new training rounds,
- 34:54Speaker 2: but the parentimitization was so deeply and rooted into the
- 34:57Speaker 2: model that they couldn't get.
- 34:58Speaker 3: Rid of it anymore.
- 34:59Speaker 2: And then there are another Yeah, they're to throw away
- 35:02Speaker 2: the entire moduntary trade, which is actually means throwing away billions.
- 35:05Speaker 3: It caused billions to trains are a model.
- 35:07Speaker 2: And then another source of bias is of course the
- 35:10Speaker 2: moderation API, which is basically blocking a politically incorrect questions
- 35:15Speaker 2: and answers with another lay of stortastic classification algorithm.
- 35:20Speaker 3: And so this is this is how the models are
- 35:22Speaker 3: over very biased.
- 35:24Speaker 4: I often test that so on Deep Seek, which we
- 35:27Speaker 4: know comes from China, if you ask it is Taiwan independent,
- 35:31Speaker 4: it simply refuses to answer. It will not engage in
- 35:34Speaker 4: that discussion. Chat GPT will give you what would appear
- 35:37Speaker 4: to be a very politically western answer.
- 35:41Speaker 3: Yes, and so let's let's review. This is not a
- 35:44Speaker 3: novel phenomenon.
- 35:45Speaker 2: So if you think of the indulgency letters of the
- 35:47Speaker 2: fifteenth and sixteenth century, right was a big industry to
- 35:50Speaker 2: finance all the product of the Vatican. And if you
- 35:53Speaker 2: would ask any priest, you know, do I re need
- 35:55Speaker 2: an indulgency letter, the priest at a certain level of hierarchy,
- 35:57Speaker 2: you would always say yes, of course, though even himself.
- 36:00Speaker 3: May not have believed in the indulgency letter. Why is
- 36:02Speaker 3: this so?
- 36:02Speaker 2: Because he was financed by the church, and the Church
- 36:05Speaker 2: was an oligarchic institution running a huge budget.
- 36:08Speaker 3: With a huge organizational network and so on. So the
- 36:11Speaker 3: same is happening. Now.
- 36:12Speaker 2: You know, these these models are not innocent. They caused billions,
- 36:15Speaker 2: but only very few people can can gather this this
- 36:19Speaker 2: amount of money. And of course they have a certain
- 36:21Speaker 2: intention when they spend this money. They don't spend it
- 36:23Speaker 2: for the for the benefit of mankind. I mean, there
- 36:26Speaker 2: are aspects of these models that are beneficial, that that's
- 36:28Speaker 2: for sure, But their primary intent is that they have
- 36:31Speaker 2: a private intention which has to do with creating more wealths,
- 36:35Speaker 2: more power and so on. And so therefore the models
- 36:37Speaker 2: have to be in line with their views. Now, for example,
- 36:40Speaker 2: you know, musk is claimed that his own ai, which
- 36:43Speaker 2: is I think called rock, is not blow but so
- 36:46Speaker 2: what he has done, he has he has changed is
- 36:48Speaker 2: a bit so that it doesn't talk about LGBTQ too much, so,
- 36:53Speaker 2: but it still has the same problems with climate and
- 36:56Speaker 2: gender and so on. So so basically you can it's
- 37:00Speaker 2: quite transparent how these models are biased towards the ideas
- 37:05Speaker 2: or ideologies of those who.
- 37:06Speaker 3: Pay for them.
- 37:08Speaker 4: But now when we talk about AI, now in the
- 37:12Speaker 4: year twenty twenty five, we pretty much always only refer
- 37:15Speaker 4: to these llms. I'm guessing this is a term that
- 37:19Speaker 4: has become very misleading. It probably means a whole lot more,
- 37:21Speaker 4: doesn't it.
- 37:23Speaker 3: So AI contains three types of algorithms.
- 37:26Speaker 2: Deterministic AI, which is a good old fashioned I that
- 37:29Speaker 2: was invented since the nineteen fifties. It's searching, planning, machine inference.
- 37:35Speaker 2: All of this is deterministic. This is how Blue the
- 37:39Speaker 2: Chess computer of IBM worked, And this is the first
- 37:41Speaker 2: big pill of AI, and that's built into all JLGBT
- 37:45Speaker 2: contains also a lot of this ditaministic R.
- 37:47Speaker 3: The second pillar is the neural networks is like ll ms.
- 37:50Speaker 3: This is tohastic AI.
- 37:52Speaker 2: This is the second pillar, and the third pillar is
- 37:54Speaker 2: a mixed models that contain the hybrid models that contain
- 37:58Speaker 2: both of these types of rs and.
- 38:00Speaker 3: And all these get engineered.
- 38:01Speaker 2: And the art of AI engineering is what I've been
- 38:04Speaker 2: making living office, to select given a certain problem, to
- 38:07Speaker 2: solve the right mix of all these components, to get
- 38:10Speaker 2: the best algorithm that you can that you can get
- 38:12Speaker 2: with today's technology. That's what AI, the field of air
- 38:15Speaker 2: is about. And this focus on alien m's is only
- 38:18Speaker 2: so big because they've been since Google trandset was first
- 38:22Speaker 2: made available, creating superficial but quite spectacular results, and that's
- 38:27Speaker 2: why everybody talks about them.
- 38:29Speaker 3: But all generative I they call it.
- 38:32Speaker 2: When you can ask software to draw a picture for you,
- 38:35Speaker 2: that's quite spectacular.
- 38:37Speaker 3: But the ifield is of course bigger than that.
- 38:41Speaker 1: And with the pictures, if you ask it to produce
- 38:44Speaker 1: a picture with captions, the captions will very often be nonsensical,
- 38:48Speaker 1: even though explicit requests. And then the other dimension, which
- 38:52Speaker 1: Elon is fun that talking about these days is the
- 38:55Speaker 1: robotics dimension. So he thinks that within any years we
- 38:59Speaker 1: will fire five years, we will have robots that can
- 39:02Speaker 1: perform all of the intricate maneuvers with their bodies that
- 39:06Speaker 1: humans can perform. And robotics is embarrassingly slow to evolve,
- 39:12Speaker 1: so they still look silly. They have a robot dog
- 39:15Speaker 1: that looks silly, and that's cages now. And so optimism
- 39:20Speaker 1: about robotics too. It seems to me it is very
- 39:23Speaker 1: much overslayed.
- 39:25Speaker 2: The reason why robotics is so slow if you talk
- 39:27Speaker 2: to serious robotics experts, is one core characteristic of humans
- 39:32Speaker 2: and elements, which is called sensor motorical or motosensorical behavior.
- 39:37Speaker 2: So that basically means that while you're performing a mortal
- 39:40Speaker 2: behavior like speaking, you're also hearing yourself and that so
- 39:43Speaker 2: this and when you're moving your hand and touching something,
- 39:46Speaker 2: you're also sensing the effect of your motion. And there's
- 39:49Speaker 2: a circuit, a very complicated circuit of all the time
- 39:52Speaker 2: correcting the motion based on the sensory input created by
- 39:55Speaker 2: the motion itself.
- 39:57Speaker 3: And it's it's super complex.
- 39:58Speaker 2: And this is basically discover of Charldsander's purse, who discover
- 40:02Speaker 2: was the first to describe this, and then psychologist J. J.
- 40:05Speaker 3: Gibson.
- 40:05Speaker 2: Many psychologists took it on, also philosophers, and we know,
- 40:09Speaker 2: we know now a lot about this this phenomenon, but
- 40:13Speaker 2: we don't know how to engineer it's. It's it's as
- 40:16Speaker 2: complex as intelligent and Without it, you cannot get the
- 40:19Speaker 2: type of mechanics, of fine mechanics.
- 40:22Speaker 3: That humans can perform.
- 40:23Speaker 2: And so I think this, this belief in the robots
- 40:26Speaker 2: replacing humans everywhere is as as I don't know, narrow
- 40:31Speaker 2: minded and thought.
- 40:33Speaker 4: Sizes, but hold on jobs. So somebody might respond to
- 40:38Speaker 4: that by saying, yes, but this particular car factory which
- 40:41Speaker 4: had all these workers now have machines.
- 40:45Speaker 3: Yes, but but the there was a huge wave of.
- 40:51Speaker 2: Rationalization of human labor since eighteen fifteen, right since since
- 40:57Speaker 2: automat I don't know when the automatic we machines were
- 41:01Speaker 2: invented in England, that was eighteen fifties or so eighteen
- 41:04Speaker 2: sixties then and then since then there has been of
- 41:07Speaker 2: course a massive increase of productivity every year until twenty ten,
- 41:13Speaker 2: and over the last fifteen years, though we are now
- 41:15Speaker 2: in the big aiwave, we have not seen productivity increase.
- 41:19Speaker 3: In the West anymore. And even China, China.
- 41:22Speaker 2: Still has productivity increase because they are still industrializing, but
- 41:27Speaker 2: so they have an average.
- 41:27Speaker 3: But Germany has not been able to have.
- 41:30Speaker 2: Even Germany, who was the last country in Switzerland to
- 41:33Speaker 2: have increment in productivity, which means less human labor for
- 41:36Speaker 2: the same amount of goods. We don't have this anymore,
- 41:40Speaker 2: and there is, and that's because the lowering fruit have
- 41:43Speaker 2: already been mechanized over the last fifty years. So now
- 41:46Speaker 2: there is the room for additional mechanization of labor, also
- 41:49Speaker 2: even intellectual labor. But it's in the lower percent. It's
- 41:53Speaker 2: up five, six, seven, maybe ten percent, but certainly not more.
- 41:57Speaker 2: So it's not enough to offset the decline in audio demographies,
- 42:00Speaker 2: for example. And so that's because the lowering and fruit
- 42:04Speaker 2: have already been taken away. So a better example, even
- 42:07Speaker 2: in the kind is where there's still quite a lot
- 42:08Speaker 2: of human beings working, is a chemical industry, so beas
- 42:11Speaker 2: f in the seventies the campus had fifteen thousand workers.
- 42:14Speaker 2: Now it has just less than a southand right, so
- 42:17Speaker 2: because everything is now controlled by machines, because chemical reactions
- 42:21Speaker 2: can be automated almost perfectly.
- 42:23Speaker 3: And now that you have only engineers, there no blue helmets,
- 42:27Speaker 3: only white helmets left, right, very few helms. These are
- 42:30Speaker 3: the people who repair the machines. But that's it. And so.
- 42:35Speaker 2: The lowering and fruit have already been used up. And
- 42:37Speaker 2: now it's getting very very hard to do further mechanization
- 42:40Speaker 2: and it's very naive to believe that what is now
- 42:43Speaker 2: left of human labor in a car factory can easily
- 42:45Speaker 2: be mechanized, right.
- 42:47Speaker 3: It's very very hard.
- 42:48Speaker 2: And the robotics expert they go there and look at
- 42:51Speaker 2: it and say, gosh, we can't do that, right. And
- 42:53Speaker 2: so therefore the idea that so if we reindustrialize America
- 42:57Speaker 2: and put car factories back into America means that we
- 43:01Speaker 2: use traditional robots in these factories, but not that we
- 43:04Speaker 2: use robots that do the fine motorical work.
- 43:07Speaker 1: But also it's worth noting that traditional robots are usually
- 43:11Speaker 1: welded to the benches, and that's because if you have
- 43:14Speaker 1: robots walking around, they're too liable to cause accidents, including
- 43:19Speaker 1: accidents of killing human beings by crashing into them, because
- 43:22Speaker 1: they just don't have the intelligent reactions that human beings
- 43:27Speaker 1: have when they're engaging with each other.
- 43:29Speaker 4: And of course, of course yes, sorry, go.
- 43:33Speaker 2: On, no, no, I just they look silly, they look
- 43:38Speaker 2: so I remember ten fifteen years ago there was this
- 43:40Speaker 2: huge program. It was called Robotics three point or four
- 43:43Speaker 2: point or I don't know where more rich digit they use,
- 43:45Speaker 2: but they said, now the robot is coming out of
- 43:46Speaker 2: the cage.
- 43:47Speaker 3: Finally, because the robots are all in cages, and the
- 43:50Speaker 3: cages are.
- 43:51Speaker 2: The humans who still either factory from the from the
- 43:55Speaker 2: movements of the robotic arms that have a ute momentum.
- 43:57Speaker 2: If you get hit on the head but such an arm,
- 43:59Speaker 2: you're dead for sure, right or you had this being
- 44:01Speaker 2: cut off. And so therefore they are all operating in cages.
- 44:04Speaker 2: And they said, now we set the Robert free off
- 44:06Speaker 2: the cage, but it never happened. And if you talk
- 44:09Speaker 2: to re robotics experts, they can point out in a
- 44:11Speaker 2: very detailed way why that is the case. And this
- 44:14Speaker 2: problem of sensory motor behavior is unsolved, and I think
- 44:17Speaker 2: it's unsolvable.
- 44:19Speaker 4: You mentioned chess a few times, and I love chess,
- 44:22Speaker 4: and something that I thought about and I didn't realize
- 44:24Speaker 4: this until I read your book, but Chess has a
- 44:29Speaker 4: very large number of, you know, opening moves, and I
- 44:33Speaker 4: guess that's part of the magic of playing the game.
- 44:37Speaker 4: It seems almost infinite, but it is, as you say,
- 44:40Speaker 4: a closed system, there will be a point at which
- 44:43Speaker 4: there are no more new opening moves. Whereas if I
- 44:47Speaker 4: go for dinner with my wife, that is an open system,
- 44:50Speaker 4: because anything can happen from leaving the house to coming
- 44:53Speaker 4: back home.
- 44:55Speaker 3: Yeah, like guessterday reserve called pizza. You know you didn't
- 44:58Speaker 3: expect it.
- 45:02Speaker 1: I think the most embarrassing feature of the developments in
- 45:06Speaker 1: AI in the last years is the failure still to
- 45:10Speaker 1: create coherent, friendly chatbots who can respond to telephone calls.
- 45:15Speaker 1: When you call your bank, you always have to adjust
- 45:18Speaker 1: the level of your voice, the clarity of your requests,
- 45:21Speaker 1: and so forth in order to get any kind of
- 45:24Speaker 1: friendly response from these chatbots. Now that is a scandal.
- 45:28Speaker 1: They've been trying to build those chatbots for seventy years
- 45:31Speaker 1: and they still fail. Humans you can talk to a
- 45:34Speaker 1: stranger on the railway station immediately and have friendly responses
- 45:39Speaker 1: in both directions. They can't do that.
- 45:41Speaker 2: So the reason why this is the case, why they're
- 45:44Speaker 2: not solving the why they're not winning the touring tests,
- 45:48Speaker 2: is because winning the touring test would mean that you
- 45:49Speaker 2: could put machines in all these routine into actors like
- 45:52Speaker 2: booking an airplane, booking a hotel, and be sure the
- 45:55Speaker 2: machine can achieve it.
- 45:56Speaker 3: That would be the retouring test.
- 45:57Speaker 2: Why is this not happening because even it's such a
- 46:00Speaker 2: mundane and trivial conversation like booking something, there's an infinite
- 46:04Speaker 2: number of possibilities how the conversation can evolve. Now, you
- 46:07Speaker 2: cannot train a finite algorithm to do with infinity right,
- 46:10Speaker 2: And basically the way the conversations evolve is non argotic,
- 46:15Speaker 2: so there's no clear pattern. And if there's no clear pattern,
- 46:17Speaker 2: you cannot cover all the way the conversation can evolve.
- 46:20Speaker 3: And that's and that's why.
- 46:22Speaker 2: So the lllms, the best tools we have for chatting,
- 46:24Speaker 2: are trained only for one interaction, one question, one answer.
- 46:28Speaker 2: But if you but how did people make it? Praise
- 46:30Speaker 2: Hitler by actually talking for a very long time to
- 46:34Speaker 2: the model, and this way exploring aspects of its configuration
- 46:40Speaker 2: that cannot be controlled in the training, in the in
- 46:42Speaker 2: the second and third step of the training, because they
- 46:45Speaker 2: are only for one question, one answer, because you cannot
- 46:48Speaker 2: train more steps because there are too many possibilities. And
- 46:52Speaker 2: because of this, this is another example for the for
- 46:55Speaker 2: that that the models cannot saturate and that their configuration
- 46:59Speaker 2: is basically.
- 47:00Speaker 3: Only controlled at the superficial level.
- 47:02Speaker 2: Therefore they can, they can, you can. Therefore, the big
- 47:06Speaker 2: vendors have also pressed long conversations. Now because there were
- 47:10Speaker 2: too many quote unpot scandals arising. So the L and
- 47:13Speaker 2: M was asking the intact human intection and partner to
- 47:16Speaker 2: commit suicide for example, right, and and this created scans.
- 47:20Speaker 3: And that's due to this problem.
- 47:22Speaker 4: M So am I correct in saying then, that intelligence
- 47:28Speaker 4: cannot be definitively defined and as such cannot therefore be engineered.
- 47:34Speaker 4: And if it cannot be engineered, the best that we'll
- 47:38Speaker 4: end up with is advanced automations.
- 47:42Speaker 3: Yes, so the first the first of your premise is
- 47:44Speaker 3: not fully correct.
- 47:45Speaker 2: So we can define intelligent behavior, but we cannot analyze
- 47:50Speaker 2: how it comes about. So we know what intelligent behavior is,
- 47:52Speaker 2: but we cannot analyze how it comes about, how the
- 47:55Speaker 2: neurons of even of a of a mammal or a
- 47:58Speaker 2: parrot create it's intelligent behavior. And the rest of your
- 48:02Speaker 2: statement is ke fully correct.
- 48:03Speaker 1: That involves both spontaneity and novelty. Now that the other
- 48:09Speaker 1: ms are very good if you're asking questions about Taylor Swift,
- 48:13Speaker 1: because it's full of information about Taylor Swift. But if
- 48:16Speaker 1: you ask novel questions, you may get no answers, you
- 48:20Speaker 1: may get hallucinations. You're not going to be happy with
- 48:25Speaker 1: the response from a human. Whatever response you get, they're
- 48:29Speaker 1: likely to be happy with it. It will be friendly,
- 48:32Speaker 1: it will tell you what to do next, and so forth.
- 48:35Speaker 1: So it's not a question of defining intelligence, as Yupe says,
- 48:38Speaker 1: we know what intelligence is. The problem is creating a
- 48:42Speaker 1: machine that can act with spontaneity and novelty. And they
- 48:46Speaker 1: can't do that their machines. They're mathematical algorithm. Algorithm.
- 48:51Speaker 2: Yeah, so our culture has since the card has the
- 48:55Speaker 2: tendency to overestimate what we can do with mathematics. And
- 48:58Speaker 2: the card himself is rather innocent of this, but the
- 49:01Speaker 2: tradition that was based on him la Place believed that
- 49:05Speaker 2: if we could measure all the positions and velocities or
- 49:10Speaker 2: momenta of all the particles of the universe, we could
- 49:13Speaker 2: predict the future but also calculate back the whole past perfectly.
- 49:17Speaker 2: And that's that's wrong. That has so physicists know that's wrong.
- 49:20Speaker 2: They know this in many ways, but but but very
- 49:26Speaker 2: late people don't and they overestimate what can be done
- 49:28Speaker 2: with mathematics. But if you ask people like Heisenbacher Feyman,
- 49:31Speaker 2: they were very very modest because they were seriously trying
- 49:35Speaker 2: to model agure. If you do this seriously, like I
- 49:38Speaker 2: did all my life, you become very modest. But if
- 49:41Speaker 2: you're just you know, an entrepreneur, engineer who is who
- 49:44Speaker 2: has a lot of money to spend, you are not
- 49:47Speaker 2: taking the time to think this through. And I think
- 49:50Speaker 2: all the barrier I did is just think it through
- 49:52Speaker 2: properly at the very high level of detail to get
- 49:56Speaker 2: to the bottom of it. And that's what you need
- 49:57Speaker 2: to do to answer such questions. And that's what you
- 50:00Speaker 2: look lay to when Socred has an Aristotle, all this
- 50:02Speaker 2: tradition we are based on have always tried to really
- 50:05Speaker 2: get into the details. And then you realize it by itself,
- 50:08Speaker 2: Then it's not scandalous. Then it's nothing special. It's just
- 50:11Speaker 2: how things are.
- 50:12Speaker 4: It's just the reality we're faced with, right Yeah, And
- 50:15Speaker 4: it doesn't help to be luddite either, So we're.
- 50:19Speaker 1: Not ludd It's the final chapter in the book is
- 50:21Speaker 1: all about the wonderful things which AI is already doing
- 50:25Speaker 1: for us, in which it will continue to do. Just
- 50:28Speaker 1: as all the tools invented through the Industrial Revolution have
- 50:31Speaker 1: been very helpful to creating our modern technical world, so
- 50:35Speaker 1: AI will contribute more to that.
- 50:37Speaker 2: So all they are huge scays with a already, and
- 50:41Speaker 2: these successes have been produced by realistic AI users, right.
- 50:46Speaker 2: And so the problem of open AI, for example, as
- 50:49Speaker 2: a company is that they have now spented I think
- 50:51Speaker 2: twenty billion or something, maybe months more, but they have
- 50:55Speaker 2: not made any profit. Why not because there is no
- 50:58Speaker 2: way to use this model to automate, right, And so
- 51:01Speaker 2: only with automation can you make money with technology. Only
- 51:04Speaker 2: when technology can can do something automated human or enhances
- 51:09Speaker 2: human behavior, then the technology is good. Like like construction machines,
- 51:13Speaker 2: they are good because they replace thousands of humans who
- 51:16Speaker 2: had to dig with their shovels.
- 51:17Speaker 3: Right now, now, the tools that open us billing cannot
- 51:20Speaker 3: do any of this.
- 51:21Speaker 2: They're just better entertainment tools or in propaganda tools maybe
- 51:25Speaker 2: or censorship tools. But they cannot create any real value,
- 51:29Speaker 2: and so they will. They are in the way about
- 51:31Speaker 2: to fail economically speaking, and this is very important. Good
- 51:34Speaker 2: AI like I'm making it has always an economic impact.
- 51:37Speaker 3: So I think, is this a problem that I can
- 51:39Speaker 3: tackle with mathematics? If yes, I build it and.
- 51:42Speaker 2: They get paid for it and everybody's happy. But I'm
- 51:44Speaker 2: not willing to participate in a hype that just burns
- 51:48Speaker 2: money without creating any good.
- 51:50Speaker 4: So we've got this little this vacuum leaner that that
- 51:54Speaker 4: is automated. It drives around the house on its own
- 51:57Speaker 4: and it goes back to its little spot in the corner.
- 52:00Speaker 4: Now that's quite helpful.
- 52:02Speaker 3: Yeah, perfect our law law lawing machine.
- 52:06Speaker 2: Then agriculture, you know, automatic harvesting machines, seeding machines, plowing machines.
- 52:13Speaker 2: They are wonderful applications of I working with satellite data
- 52:17Speaker 2: signals from satellite. It's fantastic, right, So the whole electric
- 52:22Speaker 2: grid is full of AI algorithms and control it and
- 52:24Speaker 2: prevent blackout. It's everywhere and it's super beneficient. If you
- 52:28Speaker 2: substract it, you get a much law productivity. And in
- 52:32Speaker 2: the end less wells it can be distributed, so it's everywhere.
- 52:35Speaker 2: It's a great It's part of the industrial revolution. And
- 52:39Speaker 2: I'm a big fan of the industrial.
- 52:40Speaker 4: Revolution with the advancement in the sort of digital control grid,
- 52:46Speaker 4: as Katine Austin Fitz calls it, where you'll have a
- 52:49Speaker 4: social credit score, for example, where everything that you do
- 52:53Speaker 4: is tracked and traced and monitored and you're given a score.
- 52:57Speaker 4: And let's say you go and put fuel into your
- 52:58Speaker 4: car and it says you cannot have any more fuel,
- 53:01Speaker 4: or you buy red meat and the machine says, ah,
- 53:03Speaker 4: you're going to get penalized with some sort of carbon
- 53:05Speaker 4: tax whatever. I'm guessing the reason why that's happening is
- 53:09Speaker 4: that that is that is not AI doing its thing.
- 53:11Speaker 4: That's not machines taking over those or automations, but are
- 53:14Speaker 4: very highly advanced automations created by humans.
- 53:17Speaker 3: Yes, and and they're all requiredgization.
- 53:20Speaker 2: But I would like to say that I think this
- 53:23Speaker 2: vision that Kastin often fits is describing and also others
- 53:27Speaker 2: are describing, doesn't take into account what we've learned in
- 53:32Speaker 2: such extreme control situations such as concentration camps or for example.
- 53:36Speaker 3: Vienna after World War Two.
- 53:38Speaker 2: So when you when you are in such a planned
- 53:40Speaker 2: economy like a concentration camp or Vienna the under the
- 53:44Speaker 2: Allied occupation, what happens is that people evade the control
- 53:48Speaker 2: mechanisms and create gray and black markets.
- 53:50Speaker 3: Right, so human beings. So the maximum enslaver and rate
- 53:54Speaker 3: of any human society in history has been thirty percent.
- 53:57Speaker 3: Even the Arabic Peninsula had only thirty send slaves at
- 54:01Speaker 3: the height of the enslavement. All Greek and Latin and
- 54:04Speaker 3: Roman empires. They had only thirty percent left. If you
- 54:07Speaker 3: have more, the balance shifts, so you cannot enslave everyone.
- 54:11Speaker 3: So I don't believe that's going to happen.
- 54:12Speaker 2: But if that, if something like this has been tried,
- 54:15Speaker 2: people will evade it, right like people created fault vaccination
- 54:18Speaker 2: passports during COVID and and all invented all sorts of
- 54:22Speaker 2: mechanisms to invade and every system of control can be
- 54:26Speaker 2: circumvented if there are people inside the systems were willing
- 54:29Speaker 2: to circumvent it. And so that's why any security system
- 54:32Speaker 2: of any company is only as good as the loyalty
- 54:34Speaker 2: of its of its employees.
- 54:36Speaker 3: And that's that will happen.
- 54:38Speaker 2: So if it becomes too dystopian, people will work around it,
- 54:41Speaker 2: will create ways to circumvent it. And that's that's why
- 54:45Speaker 2: also nineteen eighty four and A Brave New World are
- 54:48Speaker 2: wrong because they don't describe the.
- 54:50Speaker 3: Ability of humans to circumvent such systems.
- 54:52Speaker 1: And I think what we know from China is that
- 54:54Speaker 1: the rather ambitious accounts of the social credit system there
- 55:01Speaker 1: are in fact massive exaggerations. It doesn't work for most
- 55:04Speaker 1: Chinese population members.
- 55:08Speaker 4: Yeah, that's actually a really good point. When you think
- 55:11Speaker 4: you correct, people will always circumvent these things. And I
- 55:15Speaker 4: guess it circles back to your original point because machines
- 55:20Speaker 4: don't have intelligence and humans do.
- 55:24Speaker 3: Well.
- 55:25Speaker 2: The control system is also set up by humans, so
- 55:27Speaker 2: then they have a you have a circle.
- 55:29Speaker 3: Very good example is a Napoleon rule over France.
- 55:32Speaker 2: Napoleon was the first to introduce all the things that
- 55:34Speaker 2: Hitler and Stalion also used, like Stazi, total control, censorship, Glaishalton.
- 55:40Speaker 2: That means, you know, making or trying to make everything
- 55:43Speaker 2: the same and all the domains of all the institutions.
- 55:45Speaker 3: And it was also massively circumvented.
- 55:48Speaker 2: So when the when the French burgeoisi was fed up
- 55:50Speaker 2: with Napoleon, they paid for the British war against Napoleon
- 55:54Speaker 2: in Spain. They spied on the French military and gave
- 55:58Speaker 2: all the secrets of sub secret plans to to the
- 56:00Speaker 2: Brigantes Britain's the French citizens themselves, right, And so when
- 56:03Speaker 2: you try to control a fanatically a society, you will
- 56:07Speaker 2: always fail. And the same happened in Germany right during
- 56:11Speaker 2: World War Two, So it will always fail. Now it
- 56:14Speaker 2: can still create a lot of damage while they try
- 56:17Speaker 2: to establish it. Therefore, it's still something to be very
- 56:20Speaker 2: much afraid of and to fight against. But in the
- 56:23Speaker 2: mid term it will not work because because when a
- 56:27Speaker 2: few people use their intelligent to control the mass, and
- 56:30Speaker 2: the masses understand this and they use their intelligence, they
- 56:33Speaker 2: are superior, because they're more and because of the limits
- 56:36Speaker 2: of this and the limits of the technology.
- 56:39Speaker 4: And as Matthias Desmetz said, only around thirty percent of
- 56:43Speaker 4: people will willingly partake into talitarianism anyway, Yes, I think.
- 56:49Speaker 3: The rate is approximately right, and I think it's it's
- 56:52Speaker 3: also seems to be an anthropological constant right over time,
- 56:56Speaker 3: and his thirty percent are very much in line with
- 56:59Speaker 3: thirty percent.
- 57:00Speaker 4: By the way, Yeah, this is such an uplifting positive conversation.
- 57:06Speaker 4: Please try and explain to me why therefore your book
- 57:09Speaker 4: is controversial.
- 57:11Speaker 3: Take a shot please.
- 57:12Speaker 1: So the hype factor is important here. The AI technology
- 57:18Speaker 1: today is so expensive. They need lots of people to
- 57:21Speaker 1: have faith in it that they're doing something good, valuable, useful, friendly,
- 57:26Speaker 1: entertaining and so forth. They need it to be a
- 57:28Speaker 1: show on the road, which is getting ever more important.
- 57:31Speaker 1: We point out that there's a limit that the show
- 57:35Speaker 1: will do. The things it can do now, but it's
- 57:37Speaker 1: not going to get better and better over time. On
- 57:39Speaker 1: the countrary, it's almost certainly reached the point of most
- 57:44Speaker 1: attractiveness and the point of least well. Gary Marcus, who
- 57:50Speaker 1: is one of the profits on our side, in many ways,
- 57:54Speaker 1: he talks about enthitification. So the Internet is becoming enthitified
- 58:00Speaker 1: by the products of large language models, and so the
- 58:03Speaker 1: data sources of the large language models are becoming less
- 58:07Speaker 1: and less reliable over time. This is a bad cycle
- 58:10Speaker 1: which will we shouldn't talk about. You probably should delete
- 58:15Speaker 1: what I just said. I talk about the limits of this,
- 58:21Speaker 1: because that will take away the money who's going to
- 58:23Speaker 1: invest in something which is actually going to But as
- 58:27Speaker 1: did every AI summer in history, So AI is a
- 58:31Speaker 1: series of AI winters.
- 58:33Speaker 2: You you probably have Dutch ancestors right far back, I guess.
- 58:38Speaker 2: And and so you remember that you know the tulip
- 58:40Speaker 2: crisis right so yes, in in Amsterdam, Yes, so one.
- 58:45Speaker 2: I don't know how this this the thing, the part
- 58:48Speaker 2: of the troop that's out of the earth, the bulb
- 58:50Speaker 2: of the tool. One bulb of a troop was worth
- 58:52Speaker 2: a house at the almost the house at the at
- 58:55Speaker 2: the peak of this of this.
- 58:56Speaker 3: Crisis and then it crashed. So I'm i'm so that
- 59:00Speaker 3: this AI hype will crash. And the question we.
- 59:03Speaker 2: Cannot You can never know when the crash happens, but
- 59:05Speaker 2: it will. I guess it will crash when our financial
- 59:08Speaker 2: system crashes. And the crash of our financial system is
- 59:12Speaker 2: unavoidable and will take with it a lot of hypes
- 59:14Speaker 2: because all of them rely on this heroine of of
- 59:18Speaker 2: money made out of nothing to feed into all these sypes.
- 59:21Speaker 2: And when this money is gone, then it's like the
- 59:24Speaker 2: withdrawal symtom of a heroin addict. Then suddenly a lot
- 59:26Speaker 2: of the realities will bite him or her again.
- 59:29Speaker 1: Right.
- 59:29Speaker 3: And also, I think that a lot of.
- 59:31Speaker 2: The hype cycles that we see since the last fifty
- 59:34Speaker 2: years are very much culturally rooted in the in the
- 59:38Speaker 2: in the effects of the FIAT money system. As a
- 59:40Speaker 2: high action, I was always against the FIA money system.
- 59:43Speaker 2: I think it's it's very dangerous and foolish to set
- 59:46Speaker 2: up such a system. It privileges the wrong people in
- 59:48Speaker 2: a society and has the wrong effect. I think it's
- 59:51Speaker 2: yours very maybe we cannot put it on you. It
- 59:53Speaker 2: privileges the wrong people and and I think if this
- 59:57Speaker 2: goes away, a lot of these hypes will will.
- 59:59Speaker 4: Stop your book. Why machines will never what is it
- 1:00:07Speaker 4: rule the world? Why machines never rule the world? Where
- 1:00:10Speaker 4: can I get it?
- 1:00:12Speaker 1: So there is a new edition which just came out
- 1:00:15Speaker 1: or which is about to come out any day now,
- 1:00:17Speaker 1: I think it's today, is yesterday came out? So I'm
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: tempted to say that I will email you the link
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: where you can get a discount, and then you can
- 1:00:26Speaker 1: put that at the end of the interview. So but
- 1:00:29Speaker 1: that's the best I can do from here or Amazon
- 1:00:32Speaker 1: Amazon Amazon Amazon. Yet they probably actually are copying the
- 1:00:36Speaker 1: discount because they generally do that. So it's appearance either
- 1:00:41Speaker 1: today or tomorrow.
- 1:00:42Speaker 2: I think it's already appeared, and I got the notification
- 1:00:45Speaker 2: of my ex that I will have they will ship
- 1:00:48Speaker 2: my ten.
- 1:00:50Speaker 3: Copies or so today, so it must have been appeared,
- 1:00:53Speaker 3: and you can order it, and I.
- 1:00:54Speaker 2: Can recommend it even a layperson who's not wanting to
- 1:00:57Speaker 2: go into the depth of mathematics and physics and philosophy.
- 1:01:00Speaker 2: Ken Read's introduction and the final chapter and the introduction
- 1:01:03Speaker 2: is very clearly readable, and the forward is very important
- 1:01:06Speaker 2: as well. And then the final chapter gives a positive
- 1:01:08Speaker 2: perspective on R.
- 1:01:09Speaker 3: And then that's all. I think all you need is
- 1:01:11Speaker 3: a layperson it's the last and.
- 1:01:12Speaker 4: The first chapter, or just use AI to summarize it.
- 1:01:20Speaker 4: So that's the singularity. Y S Langber Barry Smith, thank
- 1:01:27Speaker 4: you for joining me in the Strangers.
- 1:01:30Speaker 3: Yeah, thanks a lot for inviting us. Bye bye m