Latest / Washington Post / 8.2.25
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome to the reading of the Washington Post for Saturday,
- 0:05August the second of twenty twenty five. Your reader is
- 0:10Alis Daina, with the reminder that RADIOI as a service
- 0:13for those blind with difficulties in holding or reading printed material.
- 0:19So I'll start off with the front page of the
- 0:22Washington Post today, and the top one quarter of the
- 0:27paper is a picture of pedestrians wielding umbrellas traversing puddles
- 0:34Friday morning while crossing Fourteenth Street in Washington. The city
- 0:40was given a respite from heat and tumidity as a
- 0:43month of August began on a cooler and wetter note.
- 0:47And these folks are walking across a crosswalk with backpacks
- 0:54and pocketbooks and the background of Fourteenth Street, and I
- 0:59don't think gets very close to the Fourteenth Street bridge,
- 1:02which I took across to work every day for quite
- 1:06a few years. And to the right of that, Trump
- 1:11fires job dot a chief raising alarm move follows dim
- 1:18summer hiring report notes, deepen about labor picture agency autonomy
- 1:25by Andrew Ackerman and Jacob Bogags below the picture of
- 1:32the people walking in the ring. President rides high on tariffs,
- 1:39but for how long? By David Lynch and to the
- 1:43right of that underneath the firing Fed governor says she
- 1:49plans to retire early. On the far left, China advances
- 1:56real world uses of AI. Beijing Hole looks to practical
- 2:04applications as a way to take the lead on the
- 2:08tech by Katrina Northrop. A weight loss test for Medicare
- 2:15and Medicaid by Page Winfield Cunningham in proposed experiment programs
- 2:23to cover GLP DASH one drugs like ozimpet, and the
- 2:32bottom right hand side below the weight loss a mid
- 2:36doubt sown by Whitehouse one Pharmacies reprieve days after a
- 2:42post story, USDA expedited his aid for summer help from
- 2:49Latin America funds that Trump had frozen by John woodrow
- 2:55Cox and Sarah Blankie. I'll start with Trump fires labor
- 3:03statistics chief after a large revision to jobs report. Erica Macintarfer,
- 3:11the commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, was oasted
- 3:15after revised data showed higher unemployment in May and June.
- 3:22Andrew Ackerman and Jacob Bogage. President Donald Trump on Friday
- 3:28said he ordered the dismissal of the official in charge
- 3:32of compiling basic statistics about the US economy after the
- 3:37release of a soft jobs report that showed lackluster July
- 3:42employment growth and revealed large downward revisions for hiring in
- 3:47May and June. Erica Macintarfer, the Commissioner of the Bureau
- 3:53of Labor Statistics, was appointed to that role in twenty
- 3:57twenty four by President Joe Biden. Commissioners serve four year
- 4:02terms that often overlap with multiple presidential administrations. The commissioner
- 4:07before Macintarfer, the conservative economists William Beach, served in both
- 4:15the Biden and first Trump administrations. Trump, who announced Macintarfer's
- 4:21oosto on social media, criticized her as a Biden appointee
- 4:25overseeing what he falsely called faked jobs numbers. He said
- 4:31he would replace Macintarfer with someone more competent and qualified.
- 4:37Without evidence, He alleged the jobs numbers have been manipulated
- 4:41for political purposes. In my opinion, today's job numbers were
- 4:47rigged in order to make the Republicans and me look bad,
- 4:52he posted on his Truth social site shortly after announcing
- 4:57that he would fire Macintarfer. The firing came just hours
- 5:02after the BLS the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that
- 5:05the job market was far weaker than previously believed. Large
- 5:10cuts to earlier job council raised two hundred and fifty
- 5:13eight thousand positions originally reported for May and June, marking
- 5:18the deepest two month downward revision on record outside the pandemic.
- 5:25July figures were also below expectations, highlighting an economy struggling
- 5:30under new tariffs and aggressive immigration restrictions. Labor Secretary Laura
- 5:37Chavez Dirima said in a social media post that a
- 5:42recent string of major revisions have come to light and
- 5:46raised concerns about decisions being made by mac and Tarfer,
- 5:51whom she described as the Biden appointed Labor Commissioner. Deputy
- 5:57Labor Statistics Commissioner William Watrowski will serve as acting Commissioner
- 6:03during a search to permanently fill the position. Chavez Durima
- 6:07said Wadrokowsky Watrowski served as the acting commissioner twice before.
- 6:15Neither mcintarfer nor Abels representative immediately responded to requests for comment.
- 6:22The President is just shooting the messenger. It's not more
- 6:26complicated than that, said Doug Holtz Eiken president of the
- 6:31right leaning American Action Forum and a former director of
- 6:35the Congressional Budget Office, continuing, the data that were released
- 6:41today conformed in every way to the standards of past
- 6:45employment reports. Revisions to job reports are common, economists said
- 6:52the recent outsize changes from previous months were less about
- 6:57individual failings and more of reflection of how the government
- 7:00gathers its data. Early versions of the Job's Report rely
- 7:05on larger firms that respond quickly, while responses from smaller businesses,
- 7:10often more affected by economic headwinds, filter in later as
- 7:15their data is added. Job totals have been steadily revised downward,
- 7:21painting a grimar picture of the labor market than earlier
- 7:24reports suggested. In June, much of the revision was linked
- 7:29to state and local education jobs, whose numbers dropped dramatically
- 7:34after updated data came in. A big revision in one
- 7:40Job's report is not a sign of the declining accuracy
- 7:44of federal statistics, especially when there is so much uncertainty
- 7:49and good reasons job numbers are likely to be revised,
- 7:54said Jed cold Coode, a senior fellow with the Peterson
- 7:59Institute for International Economics. These extraordinary revisions and the sudden
- 8:06removal of a BLS chief could inject more uncertainty into
- 8:10an already volatilely but landscape. The episode underscores questions about
- 8:16the state of the US job market and also about
- 8:20the independence and stability of the federal agency tasked with
- 8:25reporting the nation's most critical economic data. Staffing shortages at
- 8:30the Bureau are already fueling questions about the agency's ability
- 8:35to accurately tabulate data on consumer prices. The President is
- 8:41risking material economic harm through his politicization of the BLS
- 8:47and of official government data, said Michael Strain, an economist
- 8:52at the conservative American Enterprise Institute who worked with mcintarfur
- 8:58in the early twenty tens at the US Census Bureau.
- 9:03It is imperative that businesses, households, and investors believe that
- 9:07the official government data are accurate and do not reflect
- 9:11any political bias. Fortunately, that is true the data, but
- 9:16by sowing doubt, President Trump is undermining the integrity of
- 9:20the information that businesses, investors, and households rely on. Strain
- 9:26said Beach, who served as mcintarfi's predecessor during Trump's first
- 9:32term and into the Biden administration, called the firing totally groundles.
- 9:38He warned it set a dangerous precedent and risked undermining
- 9:42the agency statistical mission. Early or Friday, the Bureau said
- 9:48an educational issue may have been the biggest driver of
- 9:51the most recent revisions. For June alone, the Department downwardly
- 9:56revised non farm payrolls by one hundred and thirty three
- 9:59thirds thousand on a seasonally adjusted basis, largely the result
- 10:05of routine in corporation of additional slash corrected sample that
- 10:10came in after the initial release, a department spokeswoman said
- 10:14in a written statement. The revision, she added, was concentrated
- 10:18within state and local government education, contributing to a forty
- 10:23percent of the total downward shift. June's report initially showed
- 10:29a gain of sixty three thousan five hundred jobs in
- 10:33that sector, but updated figures release Friday slashed that number
- 10:37to just seventy five hundred, a sign the earlier spit
- 10:41may have reflected seasonal quirks tied to the school calendar.
- 10:46The department spokeswoman said. Monthly revisions typically have offsetting movements
- 10:51among major industries, meaning some industries see figures revised up
- 10:56while others seat downward revisions, but in June most of
- 11:00the industry revisions were negative. She added. Lawmakers expressed alarm
- 11:06over the decision. Asked whether she could trust the federal
- 11:10government's job statistics. After Macintarfer's firing, Senator Lisa Murkowski, were
- 11:17Republican of Alaska, a Trump foil, exclaimed, No, that's the problem,
- 11:23and when you fire people, it makes people trust them
- 11:26even less. Kowski added. Senator Senator Bernie Sanders, independent of Vermont,
- 11:34called Macintarfa's dismissal very dangerous and another step in Trump's
- 11:40moving this country toward authitarianism. Sanders said, I think what
- 11:46Trump is doing is destroying the credibility in the United
- 11:49States government in terms of informing the American people about
- 11:53the realities of what's going on in our society. If
- 11:57you fire the people, the objective people who try to
- 12:00come up with the best information possible and replace them
- 12:04with political hacks who will tell the president what he
- 12:07wants to hear, then nobody will trust that information, and
- 12:11in the long run, it makes it harder for us
- 12:13to go forward because we don't really know what's going on.
- 12:20One BLS employee who spoke on the condition of anonymnity
- 12:24because they fear retaliation for speaking to the media. Said
- 12:28that mcintarfer is well liked, good at her job, and
- 12:31widely viewed as nonpartisan among agency staffers. I have not
- 12:37met anyone that dislikes her, the staffer said, adding she's
- 12:42straight up with the fact that this is an a
- 12:45political agency that we produce data, we don't produce politics.
- 12:51Following mcintarfer's firing Friday, staff has received an email from
- 12:56Billl's s leaders saying that they had no further information
- 13:01about the matter. There is very blatant shock across the bureau,
- 13:07the staff added. Also, there is a fear that they're
- 13:11going to appoint someone that will tell us that we
- 13:14can't do Eric jobs. Riley Began, Liz Goodwin, and Lauren
- 13:20Corey Gurley contributed to this report. Next article, Fed governor
- 13:27to resign early, handing Trump immediate opening on board. Adriana
- 13:34Kugler's successor could ultimately replace Powell as Federal Reserve chair
- 13:40next year. By Andrew Ackerman, Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler
- 13:49is stepping down early from the Central Bank's powerful Board
- 13:52of Governors, creating an immediate vacancy that will give President
- 13:56Donald Trump an early opportunity to shape the Fed's leadership
- 14:01as he continues to push for lower interest rates. Kugler,
- 14:05a fifty five year old labor economist, was nominated by
- 14:09President Joe Biden and her term was set to expire
- 14:13in January. Her unexpected resignation opens a slot on the
- 14:17FED that could help shift the balance of the Central
- 14:21Bank's policymaking, which Trump has been seeking for months. Whoever
- 14:26Trump nominates to succeed Cougler may ultimately replace Jerome H.
- 14:31Powell as chair of the seven member FED Board. Trump
- 14:36said late Friday before boarding Marine, I we just found
- 14:41out that I have an open slot on the Federal
- 14:43Reserve Board. I'm very happy about that. Trump has repeatedly
- 14:50attacked Powell for not moving to immediately slash the Fed's
- 14:53short term interest rates, saying lower rates are needed to
- 14:57duce the economy. On Friday, he renewed those attacks, saying
- 15:01in a social media post that Powell should be put
- 15:05out to pasture. In an earlier post, he referred to
- 15:09the FED chief as a stubborn moron and said the
- 15:13FED Board should assume control if Powell refuses to produce
- 15:18the cost of borrowing. Pall has generally declined to comment
- 15:23on the president's attacks. Trump's influence on interest rates will
- 15:29now be felt earlier and more strongly because Kugler's replacement
- 15:34adds another governor who may side against Powell on policy,
- 15:38said Derek Dang, an economist at L. H. Meyer, an
- 15:41economic consulting firm. The Federal Reserve is structured to be
- 15:46insulated from day to day political pressure, meaning it operates
- 15:50independently from the White House and isn't subject to the
- 15:53annual congressional appropriations process, but the President appoints each of
- 15:59its seven go governess and also designates one of the
- 16:02governors to serve as chair to a four year term.
- 16:06The Senate confirms the nominees. In a statement announcing her
- 16:12resignation Friday, the FED said Coogler would return to teaching
- 16:16at Georgetown University in the fall. She had missed this
- 16:20week's policy meeting, where the Fed left interest rates unchanged,
- 16:24citing personal reasons. Her resignation is effective August eighth. For
- 16:31a period this past frame spring, Trump appeared to be
- 16:34leaning toward trying to fire Powe, but close advisers convinced
- 16:39him not to, for fear of disrupting financial markets from
- 16:42an all battle with the FED. Whomever Trump taps to
- 16:47lead the central Bank faces a complex balancing act managing
- 16:51the monetary policy goals of an institution designed to operate
- 16:56independently while also navigating the demands of a president unafraid
- 17:01to publicly pressure the FED for lower interest rates. The
- 17:06next chair would be likely to come under intense scrutiny
- 17:10from financial markets and within the FED itself, as officials
- 17:14gauge whether the political loyalty might come at the expense
- 17:17of the central Bank's credibility in fighting inflation. If investors
- 17:23come to believe the next FED chair will act as
- 17:26an extension of Trump's political will rather than as an
- 17:29independent steward of monetary policy, they could demand higher yields
- 17:35on US government debt to compensate for the expectations of
- 17:39higher inflation that could push up longer term borrowing costs
- 17:44across the economy, even if the Fed vows took pressure
- 17:48from the White House to cut its short term benchmark rate.
- 17:54So far, the list of contenders for the top job
- 17:57include National Economics Council Director Kevin Hassett, former FRED Governor
- 18:04Kevin Walsh and FED Governor Christopher Walla, each with distinct strengths.
- 18:10Treasury Secretary Scott Bissett is also seen as a potential contender,
- 18:15though Trump has made it clear he likes Basset in
- 18:17his current position. Trump and top administration officials have also
- 18:22criticized Powell for cost overruns on an expansive two point
- 18:27five billion renovation of two office buildings along the National
- 18:32Ball Trump even took the unusual step of visiting the
- 18:36Central Bank in person last week, something as sitting president
- 18:40hasn't done in nearly twenty years. Instead of fireworks, what
- 18:46unfolded was a surprisingly cordial, if sometimes awkward meeting. Trump,
- 18:51wearing a white hard hat alongside Powell, refrained from criticizing
- 18:56the FED chair, telling reporters he didn't want to make
- 18:59the meeting personal. He later said he wouldn't fire the
- 19:03FED chair and signaled he wanted the project to proceed,
- 19:06but scrutiny of the Fed's facilities in spending may intensify
- 19:11as congressional Republicans press ahead with probes of the matter.
- 19:16During his first term, Trump repeatedly criticized Powell, whom he
- 19:21appointed his chair berating him on social media and imploring
- 19:25the Fed to lower rates. By late twenty eighteen, Trump
- 19:29started asking advisers whether he could fire Pale after markets
- 19:33dipped on fears of the president's escalating trade war with China.
- 19:38His advisers told him he lacked the authority publicly, Powell
- 19:43did not respond to the attacks, and while the Fed
- 19:46ultimately cut interest rates in twenty nineteen, it did so
- 19:50to address a slow down in the US economy caused
- 19:53by the US China trade war. It was an easier
- 19:57call for the Federal Reserve because wasn't a concern at
- 20:01the time, unlike the present circumstance. Though governors are appointed
- 20:07to staggered fourteen year terms, it's common for them to
- 20:11leave early. Still, the timing of Krugler's departure hands Trump
- 20:15the chance to install a new voice about six months
- 20:19before he might otherwise have been able to. Pal's tenure
- 20:24as chair expires in May, although he can remain on
- 20:28the bed as a governor until early twenty twenty eight,
- 20:32Trump's selection for Coogler's seat would be in position to
- 20:36step into the top job. Trump is remaking the global
- 20:43trade system, even as some see trouble ahead, the President
- 20:48and his allies see a historic trade overhaul moving forward
- 20:53as promised. This is by David J. Lynch. And there
- 20:59is a flat global map with colors of blue, yellow,
- 21:06and green on it. And the blue where tariff targets
- 21:13set as of August the first, and there are Canada, Brazil,
- 21:18parts of Europe, Tunisia or Africa, Tunisia, South Africa and
- 21:23that area India and Kazakhstan. The green are those in
- 21:30primary deals, which is all of the European Union, area
- 21:34of France, Spain, in Sweden, et cetera. And in negotiations
- 21:40are Mexico, which has been extended his paused higher rates
- 21:46for another ninety days, and China, whose rates are on
- 21:51paws until at least August the twelfth, under a trade
- 21:55truce between the two countries. After a rough dart, President
- 22:01Donald Trump's campaign to reshape global trade suddenly seems to
- 22:05be advancing from strength to strength. Little more than six
- 22:09months into his unlikely second term, Trump has rewritten the
- 22:13rules governing more than three trillion dollars in crossboader commerce
- 22:19against all mainstream economic advice. He has scrapped decades of
- 22:24American leadership in lowering trade barriers and raised the average
- 22:29tariff confronting US importers to its highest points since Monsieur's
- 22:34smoot and holy ran US trade policy in the nineteen thirties.
- 22:40Through tariffs, the president's favored all purpose policy tool, new
- 22:45arrangements have been reached to open foreign markets to American products.
- 22:50Economists who warned this past spring that Trump was courting
- 22:55renewed inflation, recession and collapsing supply chains looked like false profits.
- 23:02For the moment, the president is riding high, growing that
- 23:06tariffs are making America great and rich again, and to
- 23:11basking in the glow of an economy that grew at
- 23:14a muscular three percent annual rate in the second quarter.
- 23:18Administration officials say Trump's trade wins will deliver the golden
- 23:23age that he promised. We are right in the middle
- 23:28of the transformation not only of US trade policy, but
- 23:32also of the global economy. I think we are definitely
- 23:37headed in the right direction, said Orn Cass, chief economist
- 23:42of American Compass, which shares the president's trade goals. The
- 23:47White House is celebrating the success of Trump's high risk
- 23:51trade strategy, which used the size of the US market
- 23:55to squeeze concessions from foreign leaders while discouraging them from
- 23:59Retalian against American products. Wall Street is applauding too. The
- 24:05S and P five hundred index is up almost twenty
- 24:08eight percent from its early April loan. The President barrel
- 24:13toward his self imposed August first deadline for inking deals
- 24:17or raising tariffs at a place that left observers panting,
- 24:22with his truth social account serving as a running ticker
- 24:26for those trying to follow the action. Before Trump, trade
- 24:31deals took years of negotiations involving diplomats from more than
- 24:35one hundred company countries, but he prefers to barter with
- 24:39one country at a time, maximizing US leverage while risking
- 24:43resentment on the part of those whose arms are twisted.
- 24:47Deals are sketched out in days or weeks of frenzied
- 24:51and sometimes confused bargaining. If the non stop activity can
- 24:56be disorienting, one thing is clear. The seventh president has
- 25:01left an enduring mark on US trade. The average tariff
- 25:05confronting US importers is eighteen point four percent, up from
- 25:10around two point two percent in January and the highest
- 25:15mark since nineteen thirty three. According to the Yale Budget
- 25:19lab Then there is a chart of US tariff rates
- 25:25on the top fifteen trading partners, and the twenty twenty
- 25:30four numbers are estimated effective tariff rates. August numbers are
- 25:35new announced tariffs, so I'll give you some of them
- 25:40in yellow. Mexico the type in negotiations a higher rate
- 25:46pause extended for ninety days. The twenty twenty four rate
- 25:50twenty five percent August rate twenty five percent, Canada Blue,
- 25:56which was targeted in July zero point one one percent
- 26:01to thirty five percent. China also in yellow negotiations trade
- 26:07trus twenty twenty four rate twenty percent August rate one
- 26:14hundred and forty five percent. Germany Japan are both at
- 26:22almost a little above one percent, both going to fifteen percent.
- 26:28Switzerland is going from point sixty percent down to thirty
- 26:32nine percent, and also in Green Islands at Korea, Vietnam,
- 26:37UK are all going up to fifteen to twenty percent.
- 26:43India targeted in July two point forty percent to twenty
- 26:48five percent. Netherlands, France and Italy are going from zero
- 26:53point seventy one point to two point two all to
- 26:57fifteen percent. Still Trump's achievements may prove ephemeral. The tariffs
- 27:05that are the core of his trade strategy face a
- 27:08legal challenge that could end at the Supreme Court. None
- 27:12of the trade deals that the president has announced represent
- 27:16legally binding commitments, and discrepancy have emerged between the administration's
- 27:22description of their terms and what foreign governments have acknowledged publicly.
- 27:27Unlike with traditional accords, including the United States Mexico Canada
- 27:33Agreement that Trump signed during his first term, no formal
- 27:38text have been made public, and additional haggling will be
- 27:42needed to cement the bargains. Economic pressures from the president's
- 27:47import taxes are accumulating and threatening to crest as the
- 27:51twenty twenty six congressional election year begins. Through the first
- 27:56half of twenty twenty five, the economy grew at a
- 27:59one point two percent and your rate half as fast
- 28:03as it ended twenty twenty four. David Kelly, chief global
- 28:08strategist for JP Morgan Asset Management, told clients last week
- 28:12that growth in the second half of this year will
- 28:15be close to zero. Tariffs and continued uncertainty about the
- 28:21president's objectives of sapping the country's economy's vigor. According to
- 28:26Greg Daco, chief economists for e Y Parthenon, consumer spending
- 28:31grew by just one point four percent in the second quarter,
- 28:36a notable slowdown from last year's pace. It's not a
- 28:40cliff type of scenario. This is more of a gradual
- 28:45erosion of economic momentum, he said. Administration officials insist that
- 28:51businesses here and abroad are eating the tariff costs. Treasury
- 28:56Secretary Scott percent in mid July wrote on the social
- 29:00media site x that the inflation propagandist had been proven wrong,
- 29:07but the latest economic data contradicts him. On Thursday, the
- 29:11government said that the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure wrote
- 29:15at a two point eight percent annual rate in June,
- 29:19which is above the Central Banks price stability target. Would
- 29:24be surprised if it doesn't end the year above three percent.
- 29:28Once upon a time, three percent inflation was viewed as
- 29:32way past where it should be, said economist Jason Furman
- 29:36of Harvard University, who advised President Barack Obama. Indeed, Proctor
- 29:43and Gambled, the maker of Pampers, tied and Gellette products,
- 29:48said this week that it will raise prices on about
- 29:51one quarter of its offerings to compensate for tariffs. The
- 29:55consumer goods manufacturer joined companies such as Nike and Hasbro
- 30:00in warning of terror related price increases. On Wednesday, Trumpernan's
- 30:06new fifty percent taxes on Brazilian goods and imported copper products,
- 30:11along with a twenty five percent levee on merchandise from India.
- 30:16Even some experts who share the President's goal of revitalizing
- 30:20domestic manufacturing find fault with his free fire approach. It's
- 30:27a bunch of nominal deals and proclamations about tariffs, but
- 30:31there's no strategy. It's not clear there would be any
- 30:35particular outcome, said Beth Baltson, who served as a senior
- 30:41trade advisor in the Bond and Biden administration, adding this
- 30:46isn't helping workers in America. The president spid to re
- 30:51shape trade flows using the most popular comprehensive tariffs since
- 30:58the Great Depression is not popular. Voters disapproved of the
- 31:04way Trump is handling tariffs by sixty two percent to
- 31:08thirty six percent in a Fox News poll taken July
- 31:11eighteen through twenty one. Trade policy's potential impact on prices
- 31:17represents a political risk for the White House. In recent polls,
- 31:22Americans identified inflation in rising prices as their chief's concerns
- 31:27and said they were not satisfied with Trump's performance. Asked
- 31:31who is hurt the most by higher tariffs, fifty four
- 31:35percent of adults surveyed replied to American consumers, twenty two
- 31:40percent said foreign manufacturers, and according to an economist slash
- 31:45y you gov poll taken July twenty five through twenty eight,
- 31:51the market access gains from the president's trade deals are real,
- 31:55but modest. American ranchers can now sell up to thirteen
- 31:59thousand metric tons of beef each year to customers in Britain,
- 32:03up from the previous one thousand ton limit, thanks to
- 32:07a trade deal the White House announced in May. Australia
- 32:12separately has agreed to accept US beef after years of
- 32:16restricted shipments based on mad cow disease worries. The expected
- 32:23increase in sales in those nations, however, pales alongside the
- 32:28largest US export markets. Last year, the US sold more
- 32:32than two hundred and fifteen thousand metric tons of beef
- 32:36to each of four countries Japan, South Korea, Mexico and China.
- 32:43Thirteen thousand is small, but it's a good starting place,
- 32:47said Kent bacha's executive director for Government Affairs at the
- 32:52National Cattleman's Beef Association. We have a lot of work
- 32:56to do as an industry to build out that market
- 32:59and consumer demand. The outlook for increased automobile exports also
- 33:06is clothing. Trump's deal with Japan cause for Tokyo to
- 33:11lift long standing restrictions on US cars and trucks and
- 33:17recognize US safety standards as qualifying those vehicles for sale
- 33:21in its market, But even before the deal, Japan had
- 33:25no tariffs on imported vehicles. Given that low US car
- 33:31sales in Japan stem more from consumer preferences than regulatory barriers,
- 33:37the practical impact is likely to be minimal. Analyst at
- 33:42the Tenneo, New York based advisory firm told clients some
- 33:48business groups are hopeful about the market access promised in
- 33:52deals with the European Union, Japan, and Indonesia. The National
- 33:57Foreign Trade Council NFTC, for example, cheered Indonesia's decision to
- 34:03eliminate tariffs on intangible products such as Clode and other
- 34:08digital services, but some of the potential gains would be marginal.
- 34:14The EU for example, agreed to drop to zero its
- 34:17tariffs on US industrial products, but those are already low,
- 34:22averaging around two point five percent. Any increase in foreign
- 34:27autos must be balanced against the higher costs that US
- 34:31manufacturers will pay because of Trump's tariffs. Steel and aluminum
- 34:37prices have jumped following the President's imposition of a fifty
- 34:40percent import tax on industrial metals. Companies importing components from
- 34:46Vietnam face a new twenty percent tariff, Indonesian goods are
- 34:51hit with a nineteen percent tax, and items from South
- 34:55Korea bear a fifteen percent customs charge. By the time
- 35:01we recognize that the path we're on is headed in
- 35:04the wrong direction, we're going to lose their global competitiveness
- 35:09thanks to the tariffs, said Jake Covin, president of the NFTC,
- 35:15which represents large corporations such as Caterpillar, Eton and Ford.
- 35:21Kip Ideberg, senior vice president for Government and industry Relations
- 35:27at the Association of Equipment Manufacturers, called the President's trade
- 35:32deals a big win for our industry, but he acknowledged
- 35:37that tariffs mean that the cost of making the final
- 35:41product is going to go up and customers will pay
- 35:45a little bit more, his members want the administration to
- 35:50provide financial help to offset the tariff cost. He said
- 35:55there are doubts about whether trading partners such as the
- 35:58EU and Japan will follow through with promised investments in
- 36:02the US and purchases of American goods. Trump has said
- 36:06Japan agreed to find a new five hundred and fifty
- 36:09billion investment vehicle that would rebuild and expand core American
- 36:15industries with specific projects directed by him and profit split
- 36:20ninety slash ten in favor of the US government. But
- 36:25Rosio Akawaza or Akazawa, Japan's trade negotiator, has said Tokyo
- 36:34will contribute only one to two percent of that amount
- 36:38in cash, with the rest coming from loans or financial
- 36:41guarantees by state linked banks. While Trump said his EU
- 36:47deal would mean six hundred billion dollars in new investment
- 36:51in the US, the EU readate of the deal said
- 36:55only that its companies have expressed interest in such plans.
- 37:00The administration's claim of seven hundred and fifty billion in
- 37:04European purchases of American energy products is also not guaranteed,
- 37:11according to the European Commission, the EUS Executive arm Trump's
- 37:17reconstruction of US trade policy remains at work in progress.
- 37:22Perhaps the biggest challenge still lies ahead reaching a deal
- 37:27with China. Medicare Medicaid plan to experiment with covering weight
- 37:35loss drugs. The Trump administration is planning an experiment to
- 37:40cover weight loss drugs under Medicare and Medicaid, potentially benefiting
- 37:45millions of Americas struggling with obesity. And there is a
- 37:50huge picture of Ozimpic, a semiglutide injection for single patient
- 37:56use only. The Zimpic needle is in a blue plastic
- 38:03round cylinder and the boxes with red and white and
- 38:09blue writing on the white part. The move is a
- 38:12strong signal that the administration is open to more broadly
- 38:15covering GLP DASH one drugs such as ozimpic. This is
- 38:20about Page Wingfield Cunningham. Some obese Americans on Medicare and
- 38:27Medicaid could get access to expensive weight loss drugs under
- 38:32a five year experiment being planned by the Trump administration.
- 38:36Under the proposed plan, state Medicaid programs and Medicaid Part
- 38:41D insurance plans, we'd be able to voluntaryly choose to
- 38:45cover Ozimpic, Wigavi, Manjaro, and zip bound for patients for
- 38:51weight management purposes. According to centers from Medicare and Medicaid
- 38:56Services documents obtained by The Washington Post, it's a strong
- 39:01signal that the administration is open to more broadly covering
- 39:04glph one drugs lauded by many as a miracle solution
- 39:09to americans long standing struggle with weight Through government insurance programs,
- 39:16Medicare covers the drug mainly for patients with type two diabetes,
- 39:21even as some private insurance plans cover them for patients
- 39:24with obesity. The experiment is expected to start in April
- 39:29twenty twenty six for Medicaid and January twenty twenty seven
- 39:33for Medicare plans. According to the documents, it will be
- 39:37conducted through a testing lab called the Center for Medicare
- 39:40and Medicaid Innovation see MMAI, which tries new ways of
- 39:46paying for health care with the goal of lowering cost
- 39:50and improving CHAO. The project is in an alternative way
- 39:55to get anti obesity drugs to Medicare and Medicaid patients.
- 40:00The administration said in April that neither program would cover
- 40:04glp dash ones for weight loss. In doing so, it
- 40:09scrapped a twenty twenty four Biden administration proposal for the
- 40:13programs to start covering GLP ones for patients with obesity.
- 40:20Jaquita Brooks Lacheur, who led CMS during the Biden administration,
- 40:26said the experiment would be a game changer if it
- 40:30led to expanded coverage for treatments for obesity, increased coverage
- 40:37of anti OBESD medications in Medicare and Medicaid. Coverage was
- 40:41a priority during my tenure because scientists and celinicians increasingly
- 40:46believed that obesity is a serious health condition that should
- 40:50be treated accordingly. She said. The proposal isn't final and
- 40:56could but doesn't have to go through a formal product
- 41:00in which the administration solicits public feedback before finalizing it.
- 41:06Trump administration officials have offered mixed messages about GLP ones
- 41:11and whether they should be relied upon for weight loss
- 41:15by obese and overweight Americans. CMS administrator opmed Oz called
- 41:21them a big help on his Instagram page and in
- 41:25twenty nineteen promoted them for weight loss on his television show,
- 41:30But Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
- 41:34Has raised concerns about their steep costs and stressed that
- 41:38they shouldn't take the place of diet and exercise. Asked
- 41:43about the experiment, as CMS spokeswoman said all drug coverages
- 41:48undergo a cost benefit review. CMS does not comment on
- 41:53potential models or coverage. Congress's official scorekeeper has estimated that
- 42:00covering the drugs for obesity would couse Medicare about thirty
- 42:04five billion dollars from twenty twenty six to twenty thirty four.
- 42:08Ozimbic and Wgavi are among fifteen drugs for which Medicare
- 42:13is negotiating lower prices for twenty twenty seven. Top influences
- 42:19in the Make America Healthy Again movements are also skeptical
- 42:24of golp ones for weight loss. Jillian Michaels and Mark
- 42:28Hyman have suggested that the drugs change patients' metabolisms in
- 42:33a manner that causes people to regain the weight they
- 42:36lost or make it more difficult to lose weight again
- 42:39if they stop taking the drug. Such concerns are echoed
- 42:43by researchers trying to find ways to prevent weight regain
- 42:48after people stop using GLP medications. GLP one medications GLP
- 42:55one injections cut cravings for food, slow digestion, and keep
- 43:00people feeling full for longer periods of time, as the
- 43:03drugs mimic a hormone the body produces to regulate hunger
- 43:08and blood sugar. David Wrend, chief medical officer for the
- 43:13Institute from Clinical and Economic Review, which has studied the
- 43:18cost effectiveness of glp ones, set the drug surprised reasonably
- 43:23for the enormous health benefits they delivered individuals. A typical
- 43:27treatment plan costs between five thousand and seven thousand per year.
- 43:33The problem lies with the sheer number of obese Americans
- 43:36around one hundred million people who would probably need to
- 43:41take golp ones for their lifetime to see continuing benefits.
- 43:45He said. In the aggregate, this is terrifying. I just
- 43:50don't know how our nation is going to pay for this.
- 43:52Wren said it's unclear how many states and drug plans
- 43:57might choose to participate in the experiment. Insurers heavily pressured
- 44:02the Trump administration to walk back the Biden era plans
- 44:05to cover the drugs under Medicare and Medicaid, citing steep costs.
- 44:11Thirteen state medicaid programs have chosen to cover gop ones
- 44:16for obesity, but many states are deeply concerned about an
- 44:20unexpected loss of federal medicaid funds stemming from the tax
- 44:25overhaul bill that President Donald Trump signed on July fourth.
- 44:30The goal of the administration's experiment is to improve the
- 44:34metabolic health of patients by covering gop ones and providing
- 44:40a healthy lifestyle support system. According to the CMS documents,
- 44:45to participate, Medicare plans and state Medicaid programs would also
- 44:50need to provide patients with diet and exercise coaching. Participating
- 44:55Part D plans would have to offer the drugs to
- 44:58all eligible enroly. The model aims for broad national participation
- 45:05to maximize impact. The documents say the GLP one agonist
- 45:13or for dmprom prone would also be included if it's
- 45:19approved in twenty twenty six. According to documents, Although thousands
- 45:24of people have been laid off from the Department of
- 45:26Health and Human Services amid widespread government staffing cost the
- 45:31administration has singled signaled that it wants to boost the CMMI,
- 45:36which is running the experiment on funding GLP one medications.
- 45:41That center was largely spared from staff cuts this year
- 45:45and is now hiring about one hundred new workers. According
- 45:48to Politico asked to comment on the CMMI experiment, A
- 45:54spokesperson for Novo Nordisk, which makes so Zimpic and Wagabi,
- 45:59said we believe that comprehensive coverage through government and commercial
- 46:05insurance plans is critical to afford healthcare and treatment options.
- 46:11ELI Lilly, which makes Munjauo and zip Bound, did not
- 46:15respond to a request for comment. China is betting on
- 46:21a real world use of AI to challenge US control
- 46:27buying to control the future of artificial intelligence. Beijing is
- 46:31pushing the application of AI while the US focuses on
- 46:36developing cutting edge models by Katrina Northrop of Shanghai. As
- 46:44the United States in China buy for control over the
- 46:48future of artificial intelligence, Beijing has embarked on an all
- 46:53drive to transform the technology from a remote concept to
- 46:57a new, fragled reality with applications on factory flaws and
- 47:02in hospitals and in government offices. China does not have
- 47:07access to the most advanced chips required to power cutting
- 47:11edge models due to restrictions from Washington, and is still
- 47:15largely playing catch up with Silicon Valley giants like Open AI,
- 47:20but expert se Beijing is pursuing an alternative play book
- 47:25in an attempt to bridge the gap, aggressively pushing for
- 47:29the adoption of AI across the government and private sector.
- 47:34In parentheses, The Washington Post has a content partnership with
- 47:38Open Ai in parentheses. In China, there's definitely stronger government
- 47:45support for applications and a clear mandate from the central
- 47:49government to diffuse the technology through society, said Scott Singer,
- 47:55an expert on China's AI sector at the Carnegie Endowment
- 47:58for International By contrast, the US has been well focused
- 48:03on developing the most advanced AI models, while the application
- 48:08layer has been totally ignored, he said. China's push was
- 48:14on full display in Shanghai at its World Artificial Intelligence Conference,
- 48:19which ran until Tuesday. Themed Global Solidarity in the AI
- 48:24Area Era, the expo is one part of Beijing's bid
- 48:29to establish itself as a responsible AI leader for the
- 48:32international community. This pitch was bolstered by the presence of
- 48:38international heavyweights like Eric Schmidt, former CEO of Google, and
- 48:43Jeffrey Hinton, a renowned AI researcher often called the godfather
- 48:48of AI. During the event, Beijing announced an international organization
- 48:54for AI regulation and a thirteen point action plan aimed
- 48:58at fostering global coup operation to ensure the technology's beneficial
- 49:03and responsible development. China attaches great importance to global AI governance,
- 49:11Lee Kwang, Chinese Premier, China's premier, said at the opening
- 49:16ceremony on Saturday, it is willing to share its AI
- 49:22development experience and technological products to help countries around the world,
- 49:27especially those in the Global South, he said, according to
- 49:31an official redo. Just last week, President Donald Trump anounced
- 49:36a competing plan in a bid to boost American AI
- 49:39competitiveness by reducing regulation and promoting global exports of US
- 49:45AI technology. Washington has moved in recent years to restrict
- 49:50China's access to chips necessary for AI development, in part
- 49:55due to concerns about potential military application of such models.
- 50:00Integrating US tech leadership, The Trump Administration's approach to chip policy, however,
- 50:07has been mixed. Earlier this month, the White House reversed
- 50:11a previous span on specific AI chips made by US
- 50:15tech giant in Nvidia being exported to China. This shift
- 50:20occurred amid trade negotiations between the world's two largest economies,
- 50:25which have been locked and in escalating tariff and Export
- 50:28Control Wall. Since Trump returned to the Oval Office earlier
- 50:32this year, there was nothing but excitement about AI in
- 50:37the vast exposed center in Shanghai skyscraper rich Pudong District,
- 50:43where crabs entered gates controlled by facial recognition. Inside, thousands
- 50:49of attendees listened to panels stacked with Chinese government officials, entrepreneurs,
- 50:55and international researchers, or watch demonstrations on using AI to
- 51:00create video games, control robotic movements, and respond in real
- 51:05time to conversations via smart glasses. Chinese giants like Huei
- 51:13and al Baba and newer Chinese tech darlings like Uni
- 51:17Tree Robotics were there. Deep Seek was not present, but
- 51:22its name was spoken everywhere. The Hangzhau based upstart has
- 51:28been at the forefront of Beijing's attempt to push the
- 51:31government use of AI since it released a chatbot model
- 51:36in January, prompting a global craze and driving home China's
- 51:41rapid AI advances. Deep Seek has been put to work
- 51:46over the past six months on a wide variety of
- 51:49government tasks. Procurement documents show military hospitals in shangs and
- 51:56Gangxi provinces specifically requesting deep Seek to build online consultation
- 52:03in health record systems. Local government websites describe state organs
- 52:08using deep Seek for things like diverting calls from the
- 52:12public and streamlining police work. Deep Seak helps quickly discovers
- 52:19case clues and predict crime trends, which greatly improves the
- 52:24accuracy and timeliness of crime fighting. A city government in
- 52:29China's in a Mongolia region, explained in a February social
- 52:33media post. Anti corruption investigations long a priority for Chinese
- 52:41leadershisien ping are another frequent deep Seek application in which
- 52:47models are deployed to comb through dry spreadsheets to find
- 52:51suspicious irregularities. In April, China's main anti graft agency even
- 52:57included a book called Fish using deep Seek on its
- 53:02official book recommendation list. China's new AI Action Plan underscores
- 53:10this push, declaring that the public sector should take the
- 53:15lead in deploying applications by embedding AI and education, transportation,
- 53:21and healthcare. It also emphasizes a mandate to use AI
- 53:26to empower the real economy and praises open source models,
- 53:31which are more easily shared as in egalitarian method of
- 53:35AI development. Alfred wu An expert on China's public governance
- 53:40at the National University of Singapore, said Beijing has disseminated
- 53:45a top down directive to local governments to use AI.
- 53:51This is motivated, Wu said by a desire to improve
- 53:55China's AI prowess amid a fierce rivalry with Washington, pudding
- 54:00models access to vast doores of government data. But not
- 54:06everyone is convinced that China has the winning hand even
- 54:10as it attempts to push AI application nationwide. For one,
- 54:16China's sluggish economy will affect the AI industry's ability to
- 54:20grow and excess funding, said Singer, who is attending the conference.
- 54:25Beijing has struggled to manage persistent deflation and a property crisis,
- 54:31which has taken a toll on the finances of many
- 54:34families across the country. So much of China's AI policy
- 54:39is shaped by the state of the economy. The economy
- 54:42has been struggling for a few years now, and applications
- 54:46are one way of catalyzing much needed growth. The venture
- 54:52capital ecosystem in AI in China has gone dry, Singer said.
- 54:59Others point eight that local governments trumpeting their usage of
- 55:03deep seek is more than about signaling than real technology.
- 55:07Uptake Shenyang, a professor at Singhua University's School of Artificial Intelligence,
- 55:15said deep seek is not being used at scale and
- 55:18anti corruption work, for example, because the cases involved sensitive
- 55:22information and deploying new tools in these investigations requires long
- 55:27and complex approval processes. He also pointed out that AI
- 55:32is still a developing technology with lots of kinks. AI
- 55:37hallucinations still exist, he said, using a term for the
- 55:41technologies generation of false or misleading information. If it's wrong,
- 55:47who takes responsibility. These concerns, however, felt far away in
- 55:53the exposed humming hallways. At one booth, Katahou, co founder
- 55:59of Holiday, a smart glasses company, explained how the lenses
- 56:05project a tiny black screen at the top of a
- 56:08user's field division. The screen can provide translation, recordings and
- 56:14summaries of any conversation, and even deploy proactive AI, which
- 56:20anticipates questions based on a user's interactions and provides information preemptively.
- 56:28For example, if you ask me a difficult question that
- 56:32is fact related, Wos said, wearing the trendy black frames,
- 56:37all I need to do is look at it and
- 56:40use that information and pretend I'm a very knowledgeable person
- 56:46asked about the events geopolitical backdrop, while said he was
- 56:50eager to steer clear of diplomatic third rails. People talk
- 56:56a lot about the differences between the United States and China,
- 57:00he said, but I tried to stay to it as
- 57:03much as possible, because all we want to do is
- 57:06just to build good products for our customers. That's what
- 57:10we think is most important. While said Kiki Lee, a
- 57:15Shanghai resident who started an AI video company and attended
- 57:20the conference on Sunday, seemed to agree with this goal.
- 57:24She said that Chinese AI products are easier to use
- 57:28than US products because companies here really know how to
- 57:33create new applications and excel at catering to and learning
- 57:38from the large pool of Chinese technology users. Robots, perhaps
- 57:45the most obvious application of AI in the real world,
- 57:49were everywhere at the conference on model factory floors and
- 57:54inconvenience stores, retrieving soda cans, shaking disbelieving kids' hands, or
- 58:00roaming the packed halls at the booth for Model Best,
- 58:04another Beijing based AI startup, A young student from Shanghai's
- 58:09prestigious swing Haw University who was interning at the company
- 58:13demonstrated how a robot could engage with its surroundings and
- 58:17charm its human interlaquers. Looking directly at the student, the
- 58:22robot described his nondescript clothing. The outfit is both stylish
- 58:26and elegant, the robot continued. You have a confident and
- 58:30friendly demeanor, which makes you very attractive. And with that,
- 58:35that is the end of the article in Today's Reading
- 58:37for the Washington Post for August the second of twenty
- 58:40twenty five. Please continued listening to programs on Radio I.
- 58:46I'll be back next Thursday. Have a good weekend and
- 58:50enjoy this wonderful weather. Bye.